Case Study - Discounted Cash Flow

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Basics

Methods to change name


Name Box
Namae Manager

Shortcut Keys

CTRL+Shift+F3 Creat from Selection


CTRL+F3 Display namer manager
F3 To past

Sales Growth-Base 10%


Discount Rate 15%
Interest Rate 30%

Present Value Function


P/'(1+R)^n

Forumals

=NPV-II

=NPV/II PI>1

Income/Investment
Briefly
NPV=NPV function-Initial Investment
PI = NPV function/initial Investment
ROI= Acc Disc Infow-Acc Disc Outflow/Acc. Disc Outflow
Payback
ABC Coffee

Financial Model

For the years 2021 to 2030


ABC Coffee
Assumptions
Initial Investment $600,000
Price per order-(First Year) $100
Orders (First year) 1000
Sales Growth-Base 10%
Discount Rate 10.0%
Tax Rate 30%
Time (Years) 10
Base Year 2020

Variable costs
Material Cost per Unit $10.00
Selling Expenses per Unit $8.00
Other Variable Cost $4.00

Fixed Costs
Lease payments $4,000.00
Administration $3,500.00
Other Fixed Cost $3,000.00
Investment
Waffle iron $2,000 TASKs:
Squeezer $2,000
Blender $2,000 • Put appropriate figures to prepare an yearly Cas
Dishwasher $8,000
Fridge freezer $8,000 • Calculate NPV, PI, IRR, ROI & Payback Period
Ice maker $4,000
Confectionery showcase $10,000
Carob coffee machine $30,000
• Assign 3 different Scenarios Worst Case, Base C
Coffee grinder $4,000 a) Growth in sales respectively as 5%, 10% & 20%
Other Equipments $130,000 b) Selling price per unit respectively as 3%, 5% &
Land & Building $400,000
$600,000 HINT --> Use name Ranges to save the time
are an yearly Cash Flow model
ayback Period

orst Case, Base Case & Best Case on the


s 5%, 10% & 20%
ely as 3%, 5% & 15%

ve the time
### ABC Coffee
Discounted Cash Flow Model
Net Present Value
Profitablity Index
Internal Rate of Return
BayBack Period
ROI

Chose Scenario

Base Year 2020

A Projected Income Statement


Years # 0 1 2
20 FY21 FY22
Price per order
Orders (First year)
Net Sales/Inflow $0 $0

PV of Inflow
Accumulated PV of Inflow

Material Cost per Unit


Selling Expenses per Unit
Others per Unit
Total Variable Cost (per unit) $0.0 $0.0
Total Variable Cost $0.0 $0.0

Lease payments
Administration
Others Fixed Cost
Total Fixed Cost $0.0 $0.0

Total Outflow $600,000.0


PV of outflow $600,000.0
Accumulative PV of outflow $600,000.0

Net Income-IBT -600000 $0.0 $0.0


Tax $0.0 $0.0
Net Income after Tax $0.0 $0.0

Net Cash Flow-Helping Cell -$600,000.0 $0.0 $0.0


Amount Left to Payback -$600,000.0 -$600,000.0 -$600,000.0

Via Formula Manual Verification


Net Present Value ($600,000) $0.00 Acc Inflow-Acc Outflow
Profitablity Index 0.00
Internal Rate of Return Err:523
BayBack Period 10Years
ROI #DIV/0!

Power of F3
F3: to past values
CTRL+F3: to open name manager
CTRL+SHFT+F3: Create names from selection
0
-0 - 1 -2 - 3 -4 -5 -6 - 7 -8 - 9 0 Scenario Manager
-100000ear ear ear ear ear ear ear ear ear ear ar-1
Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Ye
-200000 2
esent Value ($600,000) -300000 Base Case
0.0 -400000 Best Case
al Rate of Return Err:523 -500000 Worst Case
10Years -600000
#DIV/0! -700000 Used in Model

Years
3 4 5 6 7 8
FY23 FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28

$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0

$0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0


$0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0

$0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0

$0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0


$0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0
$0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0

$0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0


-$600,000.0 -$600,000.0 -$600,000.0 -$600,000.0 -$600,000.0 -$600,000.0

flow-Acc Outflow For better understanding


NPV=NPV function-Initial Investment
PI = NPV function/initial Investment
ROI= Acc Disc Infow-Acc Disc Outflow/Acc. Disc Outflow
rio Manager
Orders Growth Price
10% 5%
20% 15%
5% 3%

20% 15%

9 10
FY29 FY30

$0 $0

$0.0 $0.0
$0.0 $0.0

$0.0 $0.0

$0.0 $0.0
$0.0 $0.0
$0.0 $0.0

$0.0 $0.0
-$600,000.0 -$600,000.0
Inflow Outflow
Year-0 -600000
Year-1 0 0
Year-2 0 0
Year-3 0 0 Chart Title
Year-4 0 0 0
Year-5 0 0 Year-0 Year-1 Year-2 Year-3 Year-4 Year-5 Year-6 Year-7 Year-8 Year-9 Year-1
-100000
Year-6 0 0
Year-7 0 0 -200000
Year-8 0 0 -300000
Year-9 0 0
Year-10 0 0 -400000

-500000

-600000

-700000

Inflow Outflow
ar-6 Year-7 Year-8 Year-9 Year-10

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