Maut - Multiattribute Utility Theory

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Maut — Multiattribute Utility Theory

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Chapter Title Multiattribute Utility Theory (MAUT)


Copyright Year 2016
Copyright Holder Springer Science+Business Media New York
Corresponding Author Family Name Dyer
Particle
Given Name James S.
Suffix
Division Department of Information, Risk and
Operations Management
Organization The McCombs School of Business, The
University of Texas at Austin
Address Austin, TX, 78712, USA
Email [email protected]
Abstract In this chapter, we provide a review of multiattribute utility theory.
We begin with a brief review of single-attribute preference theory,
and explore preference representations that measure a decision maker’s
strength of preference and her preferences for risky alternatives. We
emphasize the distinction between these two cases, and then explore
the implications for multiattribute preference models. We describe the
multiattribute decision problem, and discuss the conditions that allow
a multiattribute preference function to be decomposed into additive
and multiplicative forms under conditions of certainty and risk. The
relationships among these distinct types of multiattribute preference
functions are then explored, and issues related to their assessment and
applications are surveyed.
Keywords Multiattribute utility theory - Additive value functions - Preference
(separated by “-”) modeling
Chapter 8 1

AQ1 Multiattribute Utility Theory (MAUT) 2

James S. Dyer 3

Abstract In this chapter, we provide a review of multiattribute utility theory. 4

F
We begin with a brief review of single-attribute preference theory, and explore 5

preference representations that measure a decision maker’s strength of preference 6

O
and her preferences for risky alternatives. We emphasize the distinction between 7

these two cases, and then explore the implications for multiattribute preference

O
8

models. We describe the multiattribute decision problem, and discuss the conditions 9

PR
that allow a multiattribute preference function to be decomposed into additive and 10

multiplicative forms under conditions of certainty and risk. The relationships among 11

these distinct types of multiattribute preference functions are then explored, and 12

issues related to their assessment and applications are surveyed. 13


D
Keywords Multiattribute utility theory • Additive value functions • Preference 14
TE

modeling 15
EC

8.1 Introduction 16

In this chapter, we provide a review of multiattribute utility theory. As we shall 17


R

discuss, multiattribute preference theory would be a more general term for this topic 18
R

that covers several multiattribute models of choice. These models are based on alter- 19

nate sets of axioms that have implications for their assessment and use. We begin 20
O

with a brief review of single-attribute preference theory, and explore preference 21

representations that measure a decision maker’s preferences on an ordinal scale, her 22


C

strength of preference and her preferences for risky alternatives. We emphasize the 23

distinctions among these cases, and then explore their implications for multiattribute 24
N

preference theory. 25
U

J.S. Dyer ()


Department of Information, Risk and Operations Management, The McCombs School
of Business, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX 78712, USA
e-mail: [email protected]

© Springer Science+Business Media New York 2016


S. Greco et al. (eds.), Multiple Criteria Decision Analysis, International Series
in Operations Research & Management Science 233,
DOI 10.1007/978-1-4939-3094-4_8
J.S. Dyer

In order to differentiate between theories for preference based on the notions of 26

ordinal comparisons and strength of preference versus theories for risky choices, we 27

will use the term value function to refer to the former and utility function to refer to 28

the latter. This distinction was made by Keeney and Raiffa in 19761 and has been 29

generally adopted in the literature. Further, we will use the term preference model 30

or multiattribute preference model to include all of these cases. 31

We describe the multiattribute decision problem, and discuss the conditions 32

that allow a multiattribute preference function to be decomposed into additive 33

and multiplicative forms under conditions of certainty and risk. The relationships 34

between multiattribute preference functions under conditions of certainty and risk 35

F
are then explored, and issues related to their assessment and applications are 36

surveyed. 37

O
We do not address the important issue of selecting the attributes for a mul- 38

tiattribute decision problem, which may influence the choice of the appropriate

O
39

multiattribute preference model. This topic is explored in Keeney and Raiffa [32] 40

PR
and in more detail in Keeney [30]. More recent discussions include the contributions 41

of Keeney and Gregory [31] and Butler et al. [6]. 42

There are several important points related to the field of multi-criteria decision 43

analysis that we wish to make. First, multiattribute preference theory provides an 44


D
axiomatic foundation for choices involving multiple criteria. As a result, one can 45

examine these axioms and determine whether or not they are reasonable guides 46
TE

to rational behavior. Most applications of the methods of multi-criteria decision 47

analysis are developed for individuals who are making decisions on behalf of others, 48

either as managers of publicly held corporations or as government officials making 49


EC

decisions in the best interests of the public. In such cases, one should expect these 50

decision makers to use decision-making strategies that can be justified based on a 51

reasonable set of axioms, rather than some ad hoc approach to decision making that 52
R

will violate one or more of these axioms. 53

Often arguments are made that decision makers do not always make decisions 54
R

that are consistent with the rational axioms of decision theory. While this may be 55

true as a descriptive statement for individual decision making, it is much more 56


O

difficult to identify situations involving significant implications for other parties 57


C

where a cavalier disregard for normative theories of choice can be defended. 58

Second, multiattribute utility theory can be based on different sets of axioms 59


N

that are appropriate for use in different contexts. Specifically, the axioms that are 60

appropriate for risky choice do not have to be satisfied in order to use multiattribute 61
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models of preference for cases that do not explicitly involve risk. Much of the work 62

on multiobjective mathematical programming, for example, does not require the 63

consideration of risk, and many applications of the Analytical Hierarchy Procedure 64

(AHP) are also developed in the context of certainty [40]. 65

1
The classic book Decisions with Multiple Objectives by R. L. Keeney and H. Raiffa was originally
published by Wiley in 1976. The Cambridge University Press version was published in 1993.
8 Multiattribute Utility Theory (MAUT)

The broad popularity of the award-winning book on multiattribute utility theory 66

by Keeney and Raiffa [32] emphasized the use of multiattribute preference models 67

based on the theories of von Neumann and Morgenstern [46], which rely on axioms 68

involving risk. As a result, this approach has become synonymous in the view of 69

many scholars with multiattribute preference theory. However, this theory is not 70

the appropriate one for decisions involving multiple objectives when risk is not a 71

consideration.2 Instead, the multiattribute preference theories for certainty are based 72

on ordinal comparisons of alternatives or on estimates of the strength of preference 73

between pairs of alternatives. 74

Third, many existing approaches to multi-criterion decision analysis can be 75

F
viewed as special cases or approximations to multiattribute preference models. 76

We shall make this case for the popular methods of goal programming and the 77

O
AHP as examples. By viewing these seeming disparate methods from this unifying 78

framework, it is possible to gain new insights into these methodologies, recognize

O
79

ways that these approaches might be sharpened or improved, and provide a basis 80

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for evaluating whether their application will result in solutions that are justified by 81

a normative theory. D 82

8.2 Preference Representations Under Certainty 83


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and Under Risk 84

Preference theory studies the fundamental aspects of individual choice behavior, 85


EC

such as how to identify and quantify an individual’s preferences over a set of 86

alternatives, and how to construct appropriate preference representation functions 87

for decision making. An important feature of preference theory is that it is based 88


R

on rigorous axioms which characterize an individual’s choice behavior. These 89

preference axioms are essential for establishing preference representation functions, 90


R

and provide the rationale for the quantitative analysis of preference. 91


O

The basic categories of preference studies can be divided into characterizations 92

of preferences under conditions of certainty or risk and over alternatives described 93


C

by a single attribute or by multiple attributes. In the following, we will begin with the 94

introduction of basic preference relations and then discuss preference representation 95


N

under certainty and under risk for the single attribute case. We shall refer to a 96

preference representation function under certainty as a value function, and to a 97


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preference representation function under risk as a utility function. 98

2
“The important addition since 1976 concerns value functions that address strength of preference
between pairs of consequences (see [4, 13]).” A quote from the Preface to the Cambridge
University Press Edition, R. L. Keeney and H. Raiffa, Decisions with Multiple Objectives,
Cambridge University Press, 1993.
J.S. Dyer

Preference theory is primarily concerned with properties of a binary preference 99

relation  on a choice set X, where X could be a set of commodity bundles, decision 100

alternatives, or monetary gambles. For example, we might present an individual with 101

a pair of alternatives, say x and y (e.g., two cars) where x, y 2 X (e.g., the set of all 102

cars), and ask how they compare (e.g., do you prefer x or y?). If the individual says 103

that x is preferred to y, then we write x  y, where  means strict preference. If the 104

individual states that he or she is indifferent between x and y, then we represent 105

this preference as x  y. Alternatively, we can define  as the absence of strict 106

preference; that is, not x  y and not y  x. If it is not the case that y  x, then 107

we write x  y, where  represents a weak preference (or preference-indifference) 108


 

F
relation. We can also define  as the union of strict preference  and indifference 109


O
; that is, both x  y and x  y. 110

Preference studies begin with some basic assumptions (or axioms) of individual 111

O
choice behavior. First, it seems reasonable to assume that an individual can state 112

preference over a pair of alternatives without contradiction; that is, the individual 113

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does not strictly prefer x to y and y to x simultaneously. This leads to the following 114

definition for preference asymmetry: preference is asymmetric if there is no pair x 115

and y in X such that x  y and y  x. 116

Asymmetry can be viewed as a criterion of preference consistency. Furthermore, 117


D
if an individual makes the judgment that x is preferred to y, then he or she should 118

be able to place any other alternative z somewhere on the ordinal scale determined
TE

119

by the following: either better than y, or worse than x, or both. Formally, we define 120

negative transitivity by saying that preferences are negatively transitive if given x  121

y in X and any third element z in X, it follows that either x  z or z  y, or both.


EC

122

If the preference relation  is asymmetric and negatively transitive, then it is 123

called a weak order. The weak order assumption implies some desirable properties 124

of a preference ordering, and is a basic assumption in many preference studies. If 125


R

the preference relation  is a weak order, then the associated indifference and weak 126
R

preference relationships are well behaved. The following statements summarize 127

some of the properties of some of these relationships. 128


O

If strict preference  is a weak order, then 129

1. strict preference  is transitive (if x  y and y  z, then x  z);


C

130

2. indifference  is transitive, reflexive (x  x for all x); and symmetric (x  y 131


N

implies y  x); 132

3. exactly one of x  y, y  x, x  y holds for each pair x and y; and 133


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4. weak preference  is transitive and complete (for a pair x and y, either x  y or 134
 
y  x). 135


Thus, an individual whose strict preference can be represented by a weak order 136

can rank all alternatives considered in a unique order. Further discussions of the 137

properties of binary preference relations are presented in Fishburn [18, Chap. 2], 138

Kreps [36, Chap. 2], and by Bouyssou and Pirlot in Chap. 4 of this volume. 139
8 Multiattribute Utility Theory (MAUT)

8.2.1 Preference Functions for Certainty (Value Functions) 140

If strict preference  on X is a weak order and X is finite or denumerable, then 141


o
there exists a numeric representation of preference, a real-valued function v on X 142
o o o
such that x  y if and only if v.x/ > v.y/, for all x and y in X [18]. Since v is a 143

preference representation function under certainty, it is often called a value function 144

[32]. This value function is said to be order-preserving since the real numbers 145
o o
v.x/; v.y/, : : : ordered by > are consistent with the order of x, y, : : : under . Thus, 146
o
any monotonic transformations of v will also be order-preserving for this binary 147

F
preference relation. Since such a function only rank orders different outcomes, there 148
o
is no added meaning of the values of v beyond the order that they imply.

O
149
o
Notice that we use the symbol “o” to indicate that v is an ordinal function. While 150

O
the notion of an ordinal value function is very important for economic and decision 151

theories, such a function is seldom assessed in practice. For example, if we know 152

PR
that preferences are monotonically increasing for some real-valued attribute x (e.g., 153
o
more is better), then v.x/ D x is valid ordinal preference function. Therefore, we 154

may choose an objective function of maximizing profits or minimizing costs, and be 155

comfortable assuming implicitly that these objective functions are order-preserving 156
D
preference functions for a decision maker. However, the notion of an ordinal value 157
TE

function does become important when we speak of multiattribute value functions, 158

as we shall discuss. 159

In order to replicate the preferences of a decision maker with less ambiguity, we 160
EC

may wish to consider a “strength of preference” notion that involves comparisons 161

of preference differences between pairs of alternatives. To do so, we need more 162

restrictive preference assumptions, including that of a weak order over prefer- 163

ences between exchanges of pairs of alternatives [35, Chap. 4]. We use the term 164
R

measurable value function for a value function that orders the differences in the 165
R

strength of preference between pairs of alternatives or, more simply, the “preference 166

differences” between the alternatives. 167


O

Once again, let X denote the set of all possible consequences in a decision 168

situation, with w, x, y, z, w’, x’, y’ 2 X; define X  as a nonempty subset of X  169


C

X, and  as a binary relation on X  . We shall interpret wx  yz to mean that 170


 
N

the strength of preference for w over x is greater than or equal to the strength of 171

preference for y over z. The notation wx  yz means both wx  yz and yz  wx, 172
 
U

and wx  yz means not yz  wx. 173



There are several alternative axiom systems for measurable value functions, 174

AQ2 including the topological results of Debreu [11] and the algebraic development by 175
Scott and Suppes [44]. Some of these systems allow both “positive” and “negative” 176

preference differences and are called algebraic difference structures. For example, 177

the “degree of preference” for x over w would be “negative” if w is preferred to 178

x. Our development is based on an axiom system presented by Krantz et al. [[35], 179

Definition 4.1] that does not allow negative differences; hence it is called a positive 180

difference structure. 181


J.S. Dyer

This set of axioms includes several technical assumptions that have no significant 182

implications for behavior. However, a key axiom that does have an intuitive 183

interpretation in terms of preferences is the following one: If wx; xy; w0 x0 ; x0 y0 2 X  , 184

wx  w0 x0 , and xy  x0 y0 , then wy  w0 y0 . That is, if the difference in the strength 185


  
0 0
of preference between w and x exceeds the difference between w and x , and the 186

difference in the strength of preference between x and y exceeds the difference 187

between x0 and y0 , then the difference in the strength of preference between w 188

and y must exceed the difference between w0 and y0 . Some introspection should 189

convince most readers that this would typically be true for preference comparisons 190

of alternative pairs. 191

F
The axioms of Krantz et al. [35] imply that there exists a real-valued function v 192

on X such that, for all w, x, y, z 2 X, if w is preferred to x and y to z, then wx  yz

O
193

if and only if 194

O
v.w/  v.x/  v.y/  v.z/ (8.1)

PR
Further, v is unique up to a positive linear transformation, so it is a cardinal function 195

(i.e., v provides an interval scale of measurement). That is, if v’ also satisfies (8.1), 196

then there are real numbers a > 0 and b such that v’(x) D av(x) C b for all x 2 X ([35], 197
D
Theorem 4.1). 198

We define the binary preference relation  on X from the binary relation  on


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199
 
X  in the natural way by requiring wx  yx if and only if w  y for all w, x, y 2 X. 200
 
Then from (8.1) it is clear that w  y if and only if v(w)  v(y). Thus, v is a value 201
EC


function on X and, by virtue of (8.1), it is a measurable value function. 202

The ideas of strength of preference and of measurable value functions are 203

important concepts that are often used implicitly in the implementation of pref- 204
R

erence theories in practice. Intuitively, it may be useful to think of a measurable 205

value function as the unique preference function in the case of certainty that 206
R

reveals the marginal value of additional units of the underlying commodity. For 207
O

example, we would expect that the measurable value function over wealth for most 208

individuals would be concave, since the first million dollars would be “worth” more 209
C

to the individual than the second million dollars, and so on. This notion would be 210

consistent with the traditional assumption in economics of diminishing marginal 211


N

returns to scale. 212

Further, the measurable value function can be assessed using questions for
U

213

subjects that do not require choices among lotteries, which may be artificial 214

distractions in cases where subjects are trying to choose among alternatives that do 215

not involve the consideration of risk. Examples of methods for assessing measurable 216

value functions would include the direct rating of alternatives on a cardinal scale, 217

or direct comparisons of preference differences. For a detailed discussion of these 218


AQ3 approaches, see Farquhar and Keller [16], von Winterfeldt and Edwards [47], and 219
Kirkwood [34]. 220
8 Multiattribute Utility Theory (MAUT)

In addition, subjects can be asked to make ratio comparisons of preference 221

differences. For example, they might be comparing automobiles relative to a “base 222

case”, say a Ford Taurus. Then, they could be asked to compare the improvement 223

in acceleration offered by a BMW over a Taurus to the improvement offered by 224

a Mercedes (relative to the same Taurus) in terms of a ratio. This ratio judgment 225

could be captured and analyzed using the tools of the AHP, and this provides a link 226

between measurable value functions and ratio judgments. This point has been made 227

on numerous occasions, and is worth further exploration (e.g., see [12, 29, 41]). 228

F
8.2.2 Preference Functions for Risky Choice 229

O
(Utility Functions) 230

O
We turn to preference representation for risky options, where the risky options are 231

PR
defined as lotteries or gambles with outcomes that depend on the occurrence from 232

a set of mutually exclusive and exhaustive events. For example, a lottery could be 233

defined as the flip of a fair coin, with an outcome of $10 if heads occurs and an 234
AQ4 outcome of $2 if tails occurs. 235
D
Perhaps the most significant contribution to this area of concern was the for- 236

malization of expected utility theory by von Neumann and Morgenstern [46]. This 237
TE

development has been refined by a number of researchers and is most commonly 238

presented in terms of three basic axioms [18]. 239

Let P be a convex set of simple probability distributions or lotteries fp, q, r, : : : g 240


EC

on a nonempty set X of outcomes. We shall use p, q and r to refer to probability 241

distributions and random variables interchangeably. For lotteries p, q, r in P and all 242

, 0 <  < 1, the expected utility axioms are: 243


R

1. (Ordering)  is a weak order; 244

2. (Independence) If p  q then .p C .1  / r/  .q C .1  / r/ for all r in P;


R

245

3. (Continuity) If p  q  r then there exist some 0 < ˛ < 1 and 0 < ˇ < 1 such 246
O

that ˛p C .1  ˛/ r  q  ˇp C .1  ˇ/ r 247
C

The von Neumann–Morgenstern expected utility theory asserts that the above 248

axioms hold if and only if there exists a real-valued function u such that for all p, q 249
N

in P, p  q if and only if 250



U

X X
p.x/u.x/  q.x/u.x/ (8.2)
x2X x2X

Moreover, such a u is unique up to a positive linear transformation. 251

The expected utility model can also be used to characterize an individual’s risk 252

attitude [39], [32, Chap. 4]. If an individual’s utility function over a closed interval 253

is concave, linear, or convex, then the individual is risk averse, risk neutral, or risk 254

seeking, respectively. 255


J.S. Dyer

The von Neumann–Morgenstern theory of risky choice presumes that the 256

probabilities of the outcomes of lotteries are provided to the decision maker. Savage 257

[43] extended the theory of risky choice to allow for the simultaneous determination 258

of subjective probabilities for outcomes and for a utility function u defined over 259

those outcomes. Deduced probabilities in Savage’s model are personal or subjective 260

probabilities. The model itself is a subjective expected utility representation. 261

The assessment of von Neumann–Morgenstern utility functions will almost 262

always involve the introduction of risk in the form of simple lotteries. For a 263

discussion of these assessment approaches, see Keeney and Raiffa [32, Chap. 4], 264

von Winterfeldt and Edwards [47], and Anderson and Clemen [3]. 265

F
As a normative theory, the expected utility model has played a major role in the 266

prescriptive analysis of decision problems. However, for descriptive purposes, the 267

O
assumptions of this theory have been challenged by empirical studies [28]. Some 268

of these empirical studies demonstrate that subjects may choose alternatives that

O
269

imply a violation of the independence axiom. One implication of the independence 270

PR
axiom is that the expected utility model is “linear in probabilities.” For a discussion, 271

see Fishburn and Wakker [21]. A number of contributions have been made by 272

relaxing the independence axiom and developing some nonlinear utility models to 273

accommodate actual decision behavior [7, 20, 48]. 274


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8.2.3 Comment 275


EC

Note that both the measurable value function v(x) and the von Neumann and 276

Morgenstern utility function u(x) are cardinal measures, unique up to a positive 277

linear transformation. However, the theory supporting the measurable function is 278
R

based on axioms involving preferences differences, and it is assessed based on 279

questions that rely on the idea of strength of preference. In contrast, the von 280
R

Neumann and Morgenstern utility function is based on axioms involving lotteries, 281

and it is assessed based on questions that typically involve lottery comparisons. 282
O

Suppose we find a subject and assess her measurable value function v(x) and her 283
C

utility function u(x) over the same attribute (e.g., over monetary outcomes). Would 284

these two functions be identical, except for measurement error? A quick reaction 285
N

might be that they would be identical, since they are each unique representations 286

of the subject’s preferences, up to a positive linear transformation. However, that 287


U

is not necessarily the case. Intuitively, a measurable value function v(x) may be 288

concave, indicating decreasing marginal value for the underlying attribute. However, 289

a utility function u(x) may be even more concave, since it will incorporate not only 290

feelings regarding the marginal value of the attribute, but also it may incorporate 291

psychological reactions to taking risks. Empirical tests of this observation are 292

provided by Krzysztofowicz [37] and Keller [33] and generally support this 293

intuition. This is an important point, and one that we will emphasize again in the 294

context of multiattribute preference functions (see [13, 15, 27, 42]). 295
8 Multiattribute Utility Theory (MAUT)

8.3 Ordinal Multiattribute Preference Functions 296

for the Case of Certainty 297

o
A decision maker uses the appropriate preference function, v.x/ or v(x) in the case 298

of certainty or u(x) in the case of risk, to choose among available alternatives. The 299

major emphasis of the work on multiattribute utility theory has been on questions 300

involving conditions for the decomposition of a preference function into simple 301

polynomials, on methods for the assessment of these decomposed functions, and on 302

methods for obtaining sufficient information regarding the multiattribute preference 303

F
functions so that the evaluation can proceed without its explicit identification with 304

full precision. 305

O
Suppose that the alternatives defined for single attribute preference functions 306
Y n

O
are now considered to be vectors. That is, suppose that X D Xi where Xi 307

iD1

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represents the performance of an alternative on attribute i. We will be interested 308

in conditions allowing the determination that .x1 ; : : : ; xn /  .y1 ; : : : ; yn / if and only 309

o o
if v .x1 ;    ; xn /  v .y1 ;    ; yn / for example. Essentially, all that is required is the 310

assumption that the decision maker’s preferences are a weak order on the vectors of
D
311

attribute values. 312


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In some cases, methods for multiattribute optimization do not need any additional 313

information regarding a multiattribute preference function, other than perhaps 314

invoking concavity to allow maximization. Geoffrion et al. [23] provide an example 315
EC

of an early approach to multiattribute optimization that does proceed with only local 316

information regarding the implicit multiattribute preference function. Additional 317

conditions are needed to decompose the multiattribute preference function into 318

simple parts.
R

319
R

8.3.1 Preference Independence


O

320
C

The most common approach for evaluating multiattribute alternatives is to use 321

an additive representation. For simplicity, we will assume that there exist a most 322
N

preferred outcome xi and a least preferred outcome x0i on each attribute i D 1 to n. In 323
o
U

the additive representation, a real value v is assigned to each outcome .x1 ;    ; xn / by 324

o X
n
o
v .x1 ;    ; xn / D vi .xi / (8.3)
iD1
J.S. Dyer

o
where the v i are single attribute value functions over Xi .3 When it is convenient, 325
o   o   o
we may choose the scaling vi xi D 1; vi x0i D 0; and write v .x1 ; x2 ; : : : ; xn / D 326
X o o
n X o
n
i vi .xi / where i D 1. 327
iD1 iD1
If our interest is in simply rank-ordering the available alternatives then the key 328

condition for the additive form in (8.3) is mutual preference independence. Suppose 329

that we let I  f1; 2; : : : ; ng be a subset of the attribute indices, and define XI as the 330

subset of the attributes designated by the subscripts in I. Also, we let X I represent 331

the complementary subset of the n attributes. Then, 332

F
1. 1. XI is preference independent of X I if .wI ; wI /  .xI ; wI / for any wI ; xI 2 XI 333


O
and wI 2 X I implies .wI ; xI /  .xI ; xI / for all xI 2 X I : 334

2. The attributes X1 , : : : , Xn are mutually preference independent if for every subset

O
335

I f1, : : : , ng the set XI of these attributes is preference independent of X I 336

PR
When coupled with a solvability condition and some technical assumptions, 337

mutual preference independence implies the existence of an additive ordinal 338

multiattribute value function for n  3 attributes. Furthermore, this additive ordinal 339

value function is unique up to a positive linear transformation. 340


D
Attributes Xi and Xj are preference independent if the tradeoffs (substitution 341
TE

rates) between Xi and Xj are independent of all other attributes. Mutual preference 342

independence requires that preference independence holds for all pairs Xi and Xj . 343

Essentially, mutual preference independence implies that the indifference curves for 344
EC

any pair of attributes are unaffected by the fixed levels of the remaining attributes. 345

Debreu [11], Luce and Tukey [38], and Gorman [24] provide axiom systems and 346

analysis for the additive form (8.3). 347

An example may help to illustrate the idea of preference independence. Suppose 348
R

that a subject is attempting to evaluate automobiles based on the three criteria 349
R

of cost, horsepower, and appearance. Assume that the subject decides that her 350

preferences between two automobiles differing in cost and horsepower but with 351
O

identical values for appearance are as follows: ($24,000, 150 hp, ugly)  ($25,000, 352

170 hp, ugly). If the level of appearance does not affect the subject’s indifference 353
C

curve between cost and horsepower, then she will also prefer ($24,000, 150 hp, 354

beautiful) to ($25,000, 170 hp, beautiful), and will maintain the same preference
N

355

relation for any common value of appearance. 356


U

As a practical matter, it is only necessary for preference independence to hold for 357

the n-1 pairs of criteria involving the first criterion and the other n-1 criteria taken 358

one at a time. See Keeney and Raiffa [32, Chap. 3] for a discussion. 359

In Chap. 4 of this volume, Bouyssou and Pirlot provide an excellent discussion 360

of the additive ordinal value function which they present as the use of conjoint 361

measurement for multiple criteria decision making. In our development, we use 362

o
3
Note that the v i are called partial value functions by Bouyssou and Pirlot in Chap. 4 of this volume.
8 Multiattribute Utility Theory (MAUT)

the terminology ordinal additive value function instead in order to contrast this 363

preference representation with other additive and non-additive preference models. 364

We also use the term preference independence rather than simply independence to 365

distinguish this key assumption from other forms of independence conditions that 366

are appropriate for multiple criteria decision making in different contexts. 367

8.3.2 Assessment Methodologies 368

F
The additive ordinal value function would seem to be an attractive choice for 369

practical applications of multiattribute decision making. However, the resulting 370

O
additive function is, in general, difficult to assess. The problem arises because the 371
o
single attribute functions vi cannot be assessed using the methods appropriate for

O
372

the single-attribute measurable value functions. Instead, these functions can only be 373

PR
assessed through protocols that require tradeoffs between two attributes throughout 374

the process, and these protocols are therefore burdensome for the decision makers. 375

Further, the resulting additive function will only have an ordinal interpretation, 376

rather than providing a measure of the strength of preference. 377


D
Keeney and Raiffa [32, Chap. 3] illustrate two assessment procedures for ordinal 378

additive value functions. However, an example may be helpful to emphasize that the 379
TE

resulting additive value function may only provide an ordinal ranking of alternatives, 380

since this important point is also a subtle one. 381

Suppose that an analyst is attempting to assess a preference function from a 382


EC

decision maker on three attributes X, Y, and Z that are related in the mind of 383

the decision maker in a multiplicative form; that is, the decision maker’s true 384

preferences are represented by the product xyz where x, y, and z are attribute values. 385
R

Of course, the analyst is not aware of this multiplicative form, and is attempting to 386

develop an appropriate preference representation from the decision maker based on 387
R

a verbal assessment procedure. Further, suppose that there is no risk involved, so 388
O

the analyst would like to consider the use of an additive ordinal multiattribute value 389

function. 390
C

An example of a situation that might involve this type of a preference function 391

would be the ranking of oil exploration opportunities based on estimates of their oil 392
N

reserves. Suppose that the decision maker thinks that these reserves can be estimated 393

by multiplying the area (x) of the structure containing oil by its depth (y) to obtain 394
U

the volume of the structure, and then multiplying this volume by its rate of recovery 395

per volumetric unit (z). In practice, this is a simplification of the approach actually 396

used in many cases to estimate oil reserves. 397

This multiplication of the relevant parameters could be done explicitly in this 398

case, but this example should suggest that such a true preference structure could 399

occur naturally. For simplicity, and to avoid complications associated with units of 400

measurement, we will assume that X D Y D Z D [1,10], which might occur if the 401

analyst rescaled the actual units of measurement. 402


J.S. Dyer

The analyst does not know the true underlying preference model of the decision 403

maker, and so he might ask a series of questions to determine if mutual preference 404

independence holds in this case. Consider alternative 1, with x1 D 2, y1 D 3, and 405

z1 D 4, versus alternative 2, with x2 D 4, y2 D 2, and z2 D 4. The decision maker 406

would be asked to compare (2,3,4) with (4,2,4), and would reply that she prefers 407

alternative 2 (because 2  3  4 D 24 and 4  2  4 D 32, although these 408

calculations are unknown to the analyst). It is easy to see that alternative 2 would 409

remain preferred to alternative 1 for all common values of z1 and z2 , so attributes X 410

and Y are preference independent of Z. Likewise, a similar set of questions would 411

reveal that X and Z are preference independent of Y, and Y and Z are preference 412

F
independent of X, so these three attributes are mutually preference independent. 413

Therefore, the analyst concludes that the preferences of the decision maker can 414

O
be represented by the ordinal additive multiattribute preference function 415

O
o o o o
v .x; y; z/ D v x .x/ C v y .y/ C v z .z/

PR
As we shall see, this is not a mistake even though the true preference function 416

is multiplicative, and the assessment procedure will construct the correct ordinal 417

additive function that will result in the same rank ordering of alternatives as the 418
D
multiplicative preference function. 419

For this example only, we will abuse the notation and let subscripts of the 420
TE

attributes indicate the corresponding values of the single attribute functions. For 421
o
examples, we will let x0 indicate the value of attribute X such that v x .x0 / D 0, and 422
o
let y1 indicate the value of attribute Y such that v y .y1 / D 1, and so forth. Suppose
EC

423

the analyst begins the assessment procedure by letting x0 D y0 D z0 D 1, which is 424

allowable given the fact that the function is unique up to a linear transformation. 425
o o o
That is, the analyst scales v x so that v x .x0 / D v x .1/ D 0, and similarly scales 426
R

o o
v y .1/ D v z .1/ D 0. Therefore, we would have 427
R

o o o o
v .1; 1; 1/ D v x .1/ C v y .1/ C v z .1/ D 0 C 0 C 0 D 0:
O

o o
C

The analyst then arbitrarily selects x1 D 2; that is, he sets v x .x1 / D v x .2/ D 1; 428

which is also allowable by virtue of the scaling convention. Finally, the analyst 429
N

involves the decision maker, and asks her to specify a value y1 so that she is 430

indifferent between the alternative (2,1,1) and the alternative (1,y1,1). Based on her
U

431

true multiplicative preference model unknown to the analyst, if she is indifferent 432

between (2,1,1) and (1,y1,1) it must be the case that 2  1  1 D 1  y1  1, so she 433
o o
responds y1 D 2 . Based on this response, the analyst sets v y .y1 / D v y .2/ D 1. 434
o o o o
This means that v .2; 1; 1/ D v x .2/ C v y .1/ C v z .1/ D 1 C 0 C 0 D 1, and that 435
o o o o
v .1; 2; 1/ D v x .1/C v y .2/C v z .1/ D 0C1C0 D 1, which verifies to the analyst that 436

the additive representation indicates that the decision maker is indifferent between 437
o
the alternatives (2,1,1) and (1,2,1). In addition, the analyst knows that v .2; 2; 1/ D 438
o o o
v x .2/ C v y .2/ C v z .1/ D 1 C 1 C 0 D 2. 439
8 Multiattribute Utility Theory (MAUT)

Now, the analyst asks the decision maker to specify a value for x2 so that 440

she is indifferent between the alternatives (2,2,1) and (x2 ,1,1). This response will 441
o
determine the value of x2 such that v x .x2 / D 2, because indifference between these 442
o o o o
two alternatives will require v .x2 ; 1; 1/ D v x .x2 / C v y .1/ C v z .1/ D 2 C 0 C 0 D 2 443

also. 444

Using her implicit multiplicative preference function for the alternative (2,2,1), 445

she obtains 2  2  1 D 4, and since indifference requires x2  1  1 D 4, she would 446


o
identify x2 D 4, so v x .4/ D 2. The reader should confirm that similar questions 447
o o o
would determine v y .4/ D v z .4/ D 2, and that v x .8/ D 3, and so forth. Continuing 448
o
in this fashion, and using similar questions to develop the assessments of v y .y/

F
449
o o
and v z .z/, the analyst would develop graphs that would indicate v x .x/ D ln x/ln 2,

O
450
o o
v y .y/ D ln y/ln 2, and v z .z/ D ln z/ln 2, so that the ordinal additive multiattribute 451

O
value function would be given by the sum of the logs of the variables. Notice that this 452

ordinal value function is an order preserving transformation of the true underlying 453

PR
preference representation of the decision maker, which was never revealed explicitly 454

to the analyst. 455

As this example illustrates, the assessment procedure will determine an additive 456

ordinal value function that may be an order preserving transformation of a true 457
D
preference relation that is not additive. The log function provides an example of 458

such a transformation for a multiplicative preference relation, but other non-additive 459
TE

relationships may also be transformed to order preserving additive value functions. 460

See Krantz et al. [35] for a discussion of other such transformations. 461

This example also illustrates the fact that the assessment methods required 462
EC

for accurately capturing an additive ordinal multiattribute value function may be 463

tedious, and will require tradeoffs involving two or more attributes. This same 464

point is made by Bouyssou and Pirlot in Chap. 4 of this volume. Thus, while 465
R

this approach could be used in practice, it would be desirable to have simpler 466

means of assessing the underlying preference functions. This can be accomplished 467
R

if some additional preference conditions are satisfied, but the requirement of mutual 468
O

preference independence will still be common to the preference models that are to 469

follow. 470
C
N

8.4 Cardinal Multiattribute Preference Functions 471


U

for the Case of Risk 472

Y
n
When X D Xi in a von Neumann–Morgenstern utility model and the decision 473

iD1
maker’s preferences are consistent with some additional independence conditions, 474

then u(x1 , x2 , : : : , xn ) can be decomposed into additive, multiplicative, and other 475

well-structured forms that simplify assessment. In comparison with other sections, 476

our coverage of this topic will be relatively brief since it is perhaps the most well 477

known multiattribute preference model. 478


J.S. Dyer

8.4.1 Utility Independence 479

An attribute Xi is said to be utility independent of its complementary attributes if 480

preferences over lotteries with different levels of Xi do not depend on the fixed 481

levels of the remaining attributes. Attributes X1 , X2 , : : : , Xn are mutually utility 482

independent if all proper subsets of these attributes are utility independent of their 483

complementary subsets. Further, it can be shown that if these same attributes are 484

mutually preference independent, then they will also be mutually utility independent 485

if any pair of the attributes is utility independent of its complementary attributes 486

[32]. 487

F
Returning to the automobile selection example, suppose that a decision maker is 488

O
considering using the attributes of cost, horsepower, and appearance as before, but 489

there is some uncertainty regarding some new environmental laws that may impact 490

O
the cost and the horsepower of a particular automobile. Further, assume that the 491

decision maker prefers more horsepower to less, lower costs and more attractive 492

PR
automobiles. The current performance levels of one of the alternatives may be 493

($25,000, 170 hp, ugly), but if the legislation is passed a new device will have to 494

be fitted that will increase cost and decrease horsepower to ($25,700, 150 hp, ugly). 495

An alternative automobile might have possible outcomes of ($28,000, 200 hp, ugly) 496
D
and ($29,000, 175 hp, ugly) depending on this same legislation, which the decision 497

maker estimates will pass with probability 0.5.


TE

498

Therefore, the decision maker may consider choices between lotteries such as the 499

one shown in Fig. 8.1. For example, the decision maker may prefer Auto 1 to Auto 500

2 because the risks associated with the cost and the horsepower for Auto 1 are more
EC

501

acceptable to her than the risks associated with the cost and horsepower of Auto 2. If 502

the decision maker’s choices for these lotteries do not depend on common values of 503

the third attribute, then cost and horsepower are utility independent of appearance. 504
R

A multiattribute utility function u(x1 , x2 , : : : , xn ) can have the multiplicative form 505
R

Y
n
1 C ku .x1 ; x2 ; : : : ; xn / D Œ1 C kki ui .xi / (8.4)
O

iD1
C
N

Auto 2
Auto 1
U

pass pass
0.5 ($25700, 150 hp, ugly) 0.5 ($29000, 175 hp, ugly)

does not does not


0.5 ($25000, 170 hp, ugly) 0.5 ($28000, 200 hp, ugly)
pass pass

Fig. 8.1 Choice between two lotteries


8 Multiattribute Utility Theory (MAUT)

Auto 1 Auto 2

pass pass
0.5 ($29000, 150 hp, ugly) 0.5 ($29000, 200 hp, ugly)

does not does not


0.5 ($25000, 200 hp, nice) 0.5 ($25000, 150 hp, nice)
pass pass

Fig. 8.2 Additive independence criterion for risk

F
if and only if the attributes X1 , X2 , : : : , Xn are mutually utility independent, where

O
506

ui is a single-attribute function over Xi scaled from 0 to 1, 0


ki
1 are positive 507

O
scaling constants, and k is an additional scaling constant. If the scaling constant k is 508

determined to be 0 through the appropriate assessment procedure, then (8.4) reduces 509

PR
to the additive form 510

X
n
ki ui .xi / (8.5)
D
iD1

X
TE

n
where ki D 1. 511
iD1
EC

8.4.2 Additive Independence 512


R

A majority of the applied work in multiattribute utility theory deals with the 513
R

case when the von Neumann–Morgenstern utility function is decomposed into the 514

additive form (8.5). Fishburn [17] has derived necessary and sufficient conditions for
O

515

a utility function to be additive. The key condition for additivity is the marginality 516

condition which states that the preferences for any lotteries p, q 2 P should depend
C

517

only on the marginal probabilities of the attribute values, and not on their joint 518
N

probability distributions. 519

Returning to the automobile example once again, for additivity to hold, the 520
U

decision maker must be indifferent between the two lotteries shown in Fig. 8.2, and 521

for all other permutations of the attribute values that maintain the same marginal 522

probabilities for each. 523

Notice that in either lottery, the marginal probability of receiving the most 524

preferred outcome or the least preferred outcome on each attribute is identical (0.5). 525

However, a decision maker may prefer the right-hand side lottery over the left- 526

hand side lottery if the decision maker wishes to avoid a 0.5 chance of the poor 527

outcome ($29,000, 150 hp, ugly) on all three attributes, or she may have the reverse 528
J.S. Dyer

preference if she is willing to accept some risk in order to have a chance at the best 529

outcome on all three attributes. In either of the latter cases, utility independence 530

may still be satisfied, and a multiplicative decomposition of the multiattribute utility 531

function (8.4) may be appropriate. 532

Other independence conditions have been identified that lead to more complex 533

non-additive decompositions of a multiattribute utility function. These general 534

conditions are reviewed in Abbas and Bell [1]. 535

8.4.3 Assessment Methodologies

F
536

O
The assessment of the multiplicative or additive form implied by the condition 537

of mutual utility independence is simplified by the fact that each of the single-

O
538

attribute utility functions may be assessed independently (more accurately, while 539

PR
all of the other attributes are held constant at arbitrarily selected values), using 540

the well-known utility function assessment techniques suitable for single attribute 541

utility functions. In addition, the constants ki and k can be assessed using n 542

relatively simple tradeoff questions. See Keeney and Raiffa [32] or Kirkwood [34] 543
D
for additional details and examples. 544
TE

8.5 Measurable Multiattribute Preference Functions 545


EC

for the Case of Certainty 546

We have delayed the discussion of measurable multiattribute preference functions 547


R

until after the review of multiattribute utility theory because the latter may be more 548

familiar to the reader. If so, this transposition of a more natural order of presentation 549
R

may be helpful in providing the opportunity to discuss similarities between these 550

models of preference, and therefore to enhance an intuitive understanding of the


O

551

relationships among some important concepts. 552


C

Again let X denote the set of all possible consequences in a particular decision 553
Yn
problem. In the multiattribute problem X D
N

Xi where Xi is the set of possible 554

iD1
U

consequences for the ith attribute. In this section, we use the letters w, x, y, and z to 555

indicate distinct elements of X. For example, w 2 X is represented by (w1 , : : : , wn ), 556

where wi is a level in the nonempty attribute set Xi for i D 1, : : : , n. Once again, we 557

let I  f1; 2; : : : ; ng be a subset of the attribute indices, define XI as the subset of the 558

attributes designated by the subscripts in I, and let X I represent the complementary 559

subset of the n attributes. We may write w D (wI , wI ) or use the notation .wi ; wi / and 560

.xi ; wi / to denote two elements of X that differ only in the level of the ith attribute. 561

Finally, we also assume that the preference relation  on X is a weak order. 562

8 Multiattribute Utility Theory (MAUT)

Next we introduce the notation necessary to define preferences based on strength 563

of preference between vector-valued outcomes. We let X  D f wxj w; x 2 Xg be a 564

nonempty subset of X  X, and  denote a weak order on X  . Once again, we may 565


interpret wx  yz to mean that the preference difference between w and x is greater 566

than the preference difference between y and z. 567

It seems reasonable to assume a relationship between  on X and  on X  568


 
as follows. Suppose the attributes X1 , : : : , Xn are mutually preference independent. 569

These two orders are difference consistent if, for all wi ; xi 2 Xi ; .wi ; wi /  .xi ; wi / if 570

and only if .wi ; wi / .xi ı ; wi /  .xi ; wi / .xi ı ; wi / for some xıi 2 Xi and some wi 2 X i ; 571


F
 
and for any i 2 f1; : : : ; ng ; and if w  x then wy  xy or yw  yx or both for 572

O
any y 2 X: Loosely speaking, this means that if one multiattributed alternative is 573

preferred to another, then the preference  difference


 between that alternative and 574

O
some common reference alternative xıi ; wi will be larger than the preference 575

difference between the alternative that is not preferred and this reference alternative. 576

8.5.1 Weak Difference Independence


PR 577
D
In this section we identify a condition that we refer to as weak difference indepen- 578
TE

dence. This condition plays a role similar to the utility independence condition in 579

multiattribute utility theory. We show how this condition can be exploited to obtain 580

multiplicative and other nonadditive forms of the measurable multiattribute value 581
EC

function. 582

Specifically, the subset of attributes XI is weak difference independent of X I if, 583

given any wI ; xI ; yI ; zI 2 XI and some wI 2 X I such that the subject’s judgments 584
R

regarding strength of preferences between pairs of multiattributed alternatives is 585

as follows: .wI; wI / .xI ; wI /  .yI ; wI / .zI ; wI /, then the decision maker will also 586
R


consider .wI; xI / .xI ; xI /  .yI ; xI / .zI ; xI / for any xI 2 X I . That is, the ordering of 587

O

preference differences depends only on the values of the attributes XI and not on the 588

fixed values of X I . 589


C

The attributes are mutually weak difference independent if all proper subsets of 590
N

these attributes are weak difference independent of their complementary subsets. 591

Further, it can be shown that if these same attributes are mutually preference 592
U

independent, then they will also be mutually weak difference independent if any pair 593

of the attributes is weak difference independent of its complementary attributes [13]. 594

Notice the similarity of the definition of weak difference independence to that 595

of utility independence. In the latter case, preferences among lotteries depend only 596

on the values of the attributes XI and not on the fixed values of X I . In the case of 597

certainty, the same notion applies to preference differences. Therefore, it should 598

not be surprising that this condition leads to a decomposition of a measurable 599

value function that is identical to the one implied by utility independence for utility 600

functions. 601
J.S. Dyer

This intuition may be formalized as follows. A measurable multiattribute value 602

function v(x1 , x2 , : : : , xn ) on X can have the multiplicative form 603

Yn
1 C v.x/ D Œ1 C i vi .xi / (8.6)
iD1

if and only if X1 , : : : , Xn are mutually weak difference independent, where vi is a 604

single-attribute measurable value function over Xi scaled from 0 to 1, the i are 605

positive scaling constants, and  is an additional scaling constant. If the scaling 606

constant  is determined to be 0 through the appropriate assessment procedure, then 607

(8.6) reduces to the additive form 608

F
Xn

O
v.x/ D i vi .xi / (8.7)
iD1

O
X
n
where i D 1. Therefore, we obtain either an additive or a multiplicative 609

PR
iD1
measurable preference function that is based on notions of strength of preference.
D 610

8.5.2 Difference Independence 611


TE

Finally, we are interested in the conditions that are required to ensure the existence 612

of an additive multiattribute measurable value function. Recall that mutual prefer- 613
EC

ence independence guarantees the existence of an additive preference function for 614

the case of certainty that will provide an ordinal ranking of alternatives, but it may 615

not capture the underlying strength of preference of the decision maker. Further, the 616
R

appropriate assessment technique will require tradeoffs that simultaneously consider 617

two or more attributes as illustrated in Sect. 8.3.2. 618


R

Recall the example from Sect. 8.3.2 where the decision maker’s true preferences 619

were represented by the product of the attributes. If we were to ask the decision
O

620

maker to express her preferences for the first attribute while holding the other 621
C

attributes constant at some given values, she would respond in such a way that we 622

would obtain a linear function for each attribute, rather than the correct logarithmic 623
N

form. We would like to exclude this case, and be assured that the preference function 624

that also measures strength of preference is additive. 625


U

Perhaps this point is worth some elaboration. Recall that the true preferences of 626

the hypothetical decision maker introduced in Sect. 8.3.2 were consistent with the 627

multiplicative representation xyz. Suppose we set y D z D 1, and ask the decision 628

maker to consider the importance of changes in the attribute x while holding these 629

other attribute values constant. Considering the alternatives (1,1,1), (3,1,1), and 630

(5,1,1), she would indicate that the preference difference between (3,1,1) and (1,1,1) 631

would be the same as the preference difference between (5,1,1) and (3,1,1). This is 632

because her true preference relation gives 1 1 1 D 1, 3 1 1 D 3, 5 1 1 D 5, 633


8 Multiattribute Utility Theory (MAUT)

and the preference difference between (3,1,1) and (1,1,1) is 3-1 D 2, which is also 634

the preference difference between (5,1,1) and (3,1,1). If the analyst is not aware 635

of the fact that this assessment approach cannot be used when only preference 636
o
independence is satisfied, he might mistakenly conclude that v .x; y; z/ D x C y C z 637

rather than the appropriate logarithmic transformation that we obtained earlier in 638

Sect. 8.3.2. 639

The required condition for additivity that also provides a measurable preference 640

function is called difference independence. The attribute Xi is difference indepen- 641

dent of X i if, for all wi ; xi 2 Xi such that .wi ; wi /  .xi ; wi / for some wi 2 642

X i ; .wi ; wi / .xi ; wi /  .wi ; xi / .xi ; xi / for any xi 2 X i : Intuitively, the preference 643

F
difference between two multiattributed alternatives differing only on one attribute 644

O
does not depend on the common values of the other attributes. 645

The attributes are mutually difference independent if all proper subsets of these 646

O
attributes are difference independent of their complementary subsets. Again, it can 647

be shown that if these same attributes are mutually preference independent, then 648

PR
they will also be mutually difference independent if X1 is difference independent of 649

X 1 [13]. For the case of n  3, mutual difference independence along with some 650

additional structural and technical conditions4 ensure that if wx, yz 2 X*, then wx 651

 yz if and only if 652


D

TE

X
n X
n X
n X
n
i vi .wi /  i vi .xi /  i vi .yi /  i vi .zi / (8.8)
iD1 iD1 iD1 iD1
EC

and x  y if and only if 653




X
n X
n
R

i vi .xi /  i vi .yi / (8.9)


R

iD1 iD1
O

where vi is a single-attribute measurable value function over Xi scaled from 0 to 1, 654


Xn
and i D 1. Further, if vi 0 , i D 1, : : : , n are n other functions with the same 655
C

iD1
properties, then there exist constants ˛ > 0; ˇ1 ; : : : ; ˇn such that vi 0 D ˛vi C ˇi ;
N

656

i D 1; : : : ; n: 657
U

Result (8.9) is well known and follows immediately from the assumption that the 658

attributes are mutually preference independent (Sect. 8.3.1). The significant result 659

4
Specifically, we assume restricted solvability from below, an Archimedian property, at least three
attributes are essential, and that the attributes are bounded from below. If n D 2, we assume that
the two attributes are preferentially independent of one another and that the Thomsen condition
is satisfied (see Krantz et al. [35] and the discussion by Bouyssou and Pirlot in Chap. 4 of this
volume).
J.S. Dyer

X
n
is (8.8), which means that v .x1 ; x2 ; : : : ; xn / D i vi .xi / also provides difference 660

iD1
measurement on X. Note that this latter result is obtained based on the observation 661

that any arbitrarily selected attribute is difference independent of its complementary 662

attributes. 663

8.5.3 Assessment Methodologies 664

F
Because the notion of a measurable multiattribute value function may not be familiar 665

O
to many readers, we will briefly consider methods for the assessment of them. 666

Further details and examples are provided by von Winterfeldt and Edwards [47], 667

O
and by Kirkwood [34]. 668

PR
8.5.3.1 Verification of the Independence Conditions 669

The first issue to be considered is the verification of the independence conditions. 670
D
Since methods for verifying mutual preference independence are discussed in 671
TE

Keeney and Raiffa [32], we focus on the independence conditions involving 672

preference differences. 673

Difference consistency is so intuitively appealing that it could simply be assumed 674


EC

to hold in most practical applications. The following procedure could be used to 675

verify difference independence. We determine w1 ; x1 2 X1 such that .w1 ; w1 /  676



.x1 ; w1 / for some w1 2 X 1 . We then ask the decision maker to imagine that she is 677

in situation 1: She already has .x1 ; w1 / and she can exchange it for .w1 ; w1 /. Next,
R

678

we arbitrarily choose x1 2 X 1 and ask her to imagine situation 2: She already has 679
R

.x1 ; x1 /, and she can exchange it for .w1 ; x1 /. Would she prefer to make the exchange 680

in situation 1 or in situation 2, or is she indifferent between the two exchanges? If she 681
O

is indifferent between the two exchanges for several different values of w1 ; x1 2 X1 682

and w1 ; x1 2 X 1 then we can conclude that X1 is difference independent of X 1 .


C

683

For example, suppose we ask the decision maker to consider exchanging a car 684
N

described by ($25,000, 150 hp, ugly) for a car described by ($25,000, 180 hp, ugly). 685

Next, we ask her to consider exchanging ($35,000, 150 hp, nice) for ($35,000, 180 686
U

hp, nice). Would the opportunity to exchange a car with 150 hp for one with 180 hp 687

be more important to the decision maker when the cost and appearance are $25,000 688

and ugly, or when they are $35,000 and nice? If the common values of these two 689

attributes do not affect her judgments of the importance of these exchanges, then 690

horsepower would be difference independent of cost and appearance. 691

Before using this procedure, we must ensure that the decision maker understands 692

that we are asking her to focus on the exchange rather than on the final outcomes. For 693

example, if she states that she prefers an exchange of $1,000,000 for $1,000,001 to 694

an exchange of $5 for $500, then she undoubtedly is not focusing on the substitution 695
8 Multiattribute Utility Theory (MAUT)

of one outcome for another, but she is focusing instead on the final outcome. Thus, 696

some training may be required before this approach to verification of difference 697

independence is attempted. 698

To verify weak difference independence, partition X into XI and X I , and choose 699

wI ; xI ; yI ; zI 2 XI and wI 2 X I so that .wI ; wI /  .xI ; wI /, .yI ; wI /  .zI ; wI / and the 700

exchange of .xI ; wI / for .wI ; wI / is preferred to the exchange of .zI ; wI / for .yI ; wI /. 701

Then pick another value xI of X I and ask if the decision maker still prefers the 702

exchange of .xI ; xI / for .wI ; xI / to the exchange of .zI ; xI / for .yI ; xI /. This must be 703

true if the subset XI is weakly difference independent of X I . If the decision maker’s 704

response is affirmative, we repeat the question for other quadruples of consequences 705

F
from XI with the values of the criteria in X I fixed at different levels. Continuing in 706

this manner and asking the decision maker to verbally rationalize her responses, the 707

O
analyst can either verify that XI is weakly difference independent of X I or discover 708

that the condition does not hold.

O
709

Note that for the multiplicative measurable value function, it would only be 710

necessary to verify weak difference independence for the special case of I D fi,jg,

PR
711

where i and j indicate the subscripts of an arbitrarily chosen pair of alternatives. This 712

is true so long as the attributes are mutually preference independent. 713

For example, suppose we establish that the decision maker would prefer the 714
D
exchange of the car ($25,000, 150 hp, ugly) for the car ($27,000, 200 hp, ugly) 715

to the exchange of the car ($24,000, 130 hp, ugly) for the car ($25,000, 150 hp, 716
TE

ugly). If this preference for the first exchange over the second exchange does not 717

depend on the common value of appearance, and if it also holds true for all other 718

combinations of the values of cost and horsepower, then cost and horsepower are 719
EC

weak difference independent of appearance. 720


R

8.5.3.2 Assessment of the Measurable Value Functions 721


R

If difference independence or weak difference independence holds, each conditional 722

measurable value function vi can be assessed while holding xi constant at any 723
O

arbitrary value (generally at xi ı ). With the additive value function that does not 724
C

provide difference measurement, this strategy cannot be used as illustrated above. 725

As a result, any of the approaches for assessing a single attribute measurable value 726
N

function referenced in Sect. 8.3.1 may be used, including the direct rating of attribute 727

values on an arbitrary scale (e.g., from 0 to 100), or direct estimates of preference 728
U

differences. 729

If the measurable value function is additive, the scaling constants may be 730

assessed using the same trade-off approach suggested for estimating the scaling 731

constants for the additive ordinal value function [32, Chap. 3]. For a discussion of 732

other approaches to the assessment of the scaling constants for the additive and 733

multiplicative cases, see also Dyer and Sarin [13]. 734

Measurable multiattribute value functions may also be assessed using the ratio 735

judgments and tools provided by the AHP methodology, and used as a basis
J.S. Dyer

for relating the AHP to formal preference theories that are widely accepted by 736

economists and decision analysts. This point has been made by several authors, 737

notably Kamenetzky [29] and Dyer [12]. 738

Perhaps the best discussion of this important point is provided by Salo and 739

Hamalainen [41]. As they observe, once a suitable range of performance [xıi , 740

x*i ] has been defined for each attribute, the additive measurable value function  741

representation may be scaled  so that the values v .xı / D v xı1 ; : : : ; xın D 0 742

and v .x / D v x1 ; : : : ; xn D 1 are assigned to the worst and best conceivable 743

consequences, respectively. By also normalizing the component value functions 744

onto the [0,1] range, the additive representation can be written as 745

F
X
n X
n
  

O
v.x/ D vi .xi / D vi .xi /  vi xıi
iD1 iD1

O
 
X
n
    ı  vi .xi /  vi xıi Xn
D vi xi  vi xi    ı D wi si .xi /

PR
iD1
vi xi  vi xi iD1

     ı
where si (xi ) D vi .xi /  vi xıi =v
 i xi vıi  xi 2 [0, 1] is the normalized score of x 746

on the ith attribute and wi D v xi  v xi is the scaling constant or weight of the 747
D
ith attribute. 748
TE

A careful evaluation of this representation leads Salo and Hamalainen to the 749

conclusion that pair wise comparisons in ratio estimation should be interpreted in 750

terms of ratios of value differences between pairs of underlying alternatives. This, in 751
EC

turn, provides the link between traditional models of preference theory and the AHP, 752

and reveals that the latter can be an alternative assessment technique for measurable 753

multiattribute value functions (with some simple adjustments for normalization and 754

scaling). 755
R
R

8.5.4 Goal Programming and Measurable Multiattribute


O

756

Value Functions 757


C
N

Goal programming was originally proposed by Charnes et al. [10] as an ingenious 758

approach to developing a scheme for executive compensation. As noted by Charnes 759


U

and Cooper [9] in a review of the field, this approach to multiple objective 760

optimization did not receive significant attention until the mid-1960s. However, 761

during the past 40 years, we have witnessed a flood of professional articles 762

and books dealing with applications of this methodology (e.g. see Ignizio [25], 763

Trzaskalik and Michnik [45], Ignizio and Romero [26]). 764

This discussion is limited to the use of goal programming as a methodology for 765

solving problems with multiple, compensatory objectives. That is, we do not address 766

problems that do not allow tradeoffs among the objectives. These non-compensatory 767

models involve the use of the non-Archimedian, or “preemptive priority”, weights. 768
8 Multiattribute Utility Theory (MAUT)

An analysis of these models would be based on the theory of lexicographic orders, 769

summarized by Fishburn [19]. The conditions that would justify the use of a non- 770

compensatory model are very strict, and are unlikely to be met in a significant 771

number of real-world applications. 772

8.5.4.1 Goal Programming as an Approximation to Multiattribute 773

Preferences 774

Let us begin with a simple example. Suppose a manager has identified a problem 775

F
that can be formulated as a traditional mathematical programming problem with one 776

exception—there are two criterion functions, f1 (x) and f2 (x) where x 2 X is an n- 777

O
vector of controllable and uncontrollable variables, and the non-empty feasible set 778

X is defined by a set of constraints. For simplicity, and without loss of generality,

O
779

we assume that our choice of X ensures 0


fi .x/
1; i D 1; 2. 780

PR
To use goal programming, we ask the manager if she has any “goals” in mind for 781

the criteria. She replies that she would be happy if f1 ./ were at least as large as b1 , 782

but she does not feel strongly about increasing f1 ./ beyond b1 . However, she would 783

like for f2 ./ to be somewhere between b2L and b2U . Finally, we ask her to assign 784

“weights” of relative importance to the deviations of f1 ./ from b1 , and of f2 ./ from
D
785

b2L and b2U , respectively. After some thought, she responds with the weights w1 , w2 786
TE

and w3 . 787

Now, we can immediately write down this problem as follows: 788


EC

C
min w1 y 
1 C w2 y2 C w3 y3
x2X
subject to f1 .x/  yC 
1 C y1 D b 1
C 
f2 .x/  y2 C y2 D b2L (GP)
R

f2 .x/  yC 
3 C y3 D b2U
C 
R

yi ; yi  0; i D 1; 2; 3
O

Notice that GP includes a “one-sided” formulation with respect to f1 ./, and a “goal 789

interval” formulation with respect to f2 ./. 790


C

Let us pause a moment to reflect on this formulation. First, notice that y 1 D 791

b 1 C yC  .x/. .x/  C
D 0
N

1 f1 Suppose we introduce the relationship f1 y 12 as a new 792

constraint for GP.Since b1 is a constant, minimizing w1 y1 is obviously equivalent 793

to minimizing w1 yC C
U

1  y12 . 794
C
Similarly, if we introduce the constraint f2 .x/  y22 D 0, minimizing w2 y
2 795
C C C
is equivalent to minimizing w2 y2  y22 , and minimizing w3 y3 is equivalent 796
  
to minimizing w3 y3 C yC 22  b2U . The constant b2U is maintained in the last 797

expression in order to facilitate a graphical portrayal of the objective function as 798

we shall see. Combining the results and re-writing GP as a maximization problem, 799

we have the equivalent problem statement: 800


J.S. Dyer

   C   C 
max w1 yC C C 
12  y1 C w2 y22  y2 C w3 y22 C y3  b2U
x2X
subject to f1 .x/  yC 
1 C y1 D b 1
C 
f2 .x/  y2 C y2 D b2L
f2 .x/  yC 
3 C y3 D b2U (VA)
C
f1 .x/  y12 D 0
f2 .x/  yC22 D 0
yC
i ; y 
i  0; i D 1; 2; 3
yC ;
12 22y C
 0

F
where the objective function may be interpreted as the sum of two piecewise linear 801

functions (e.g. see [8, pp. 351–355]) 802

O
Figures 8.3 and 8.4 illustrate these two piecewise linear functions. Recall that 803

O
piecewise linear transformations are commonly used to transform additive separable 804

nonlinear programming problems into linear programming problems. The lines 805

PR
labeled v1 ./ and v2 ./ in Figs. 8.3 and 8.4 respectively suggest nonlinear preference 806

functions that might be approximated by the bold piecewise linear functions. 807

Thus since VA is equivalent to GP, and VA may be viewed as a piecewise linear 808

approximation to an additive separable nonlinear objective function, we are led to 809


D
the conclusion that GP is an implicit approximation to the problem: 810
TE

max v1 .f1 .x// C v2 .f2 .x// (V)


x2X

And how do we interpret V? Since the choice of goals and goal intervals in 811
EC

GP reflect the decision maker’s preferences and no uncertainty is involved in the 812
R
R
O
C
N
U

Fig. 8.3 Piecewise linear approximation of v1 ./


8 Multiattribute Utility Theory (MAUT)

F
O
O
Fig. 8.4 Piecewise linear approximation of v2 ./

PR
decision, v1 ./ and v2 ./ are measurable functions, and their sum, v .f1 ./ ; f2 .// D 813

v1 .f1 .// C v2 .f2 .//, is an additive separable measurable value function. 814

Goal programming is generally applied to problems where risk is not explicitly


D
815

involved in the formulation. Therefore, the additive utility function theory developed 816
TE

for risky choice is not relevant for these applications. Likewise, the ordinal additive 817

theories are not operational here because they require a simultaneous conjoint 818

scaling of the separable terms. Goal programming applications generally allow the 819
EC

selection of each goal or goal interval independent of consideration of the values of 820

the other criteria. This practice implies the existence of a measurable additive utility 821

function under certainty. 822

This point has been made recently by Bordley and Kirkwood [5] in a general dis-
R

823

cussion of the relationship between goals and multiattribute preference models. Also 824
R

see Abbas and Matheson [2]. This perspective provides some insights regarding the 825

nature of goal programming, as well as some challenges. For example, how should 826
O

the piecewise linear approximations to the nonlinear value functions be selected 827

in order to minimize error? Geoffrion [22] provides some useful guidelines for 828
C

choosing “goals” or “goal intervals” for each criterion so that the piecewise linear 829
N

approximation to the implicit utility function provides the best fit. 830

One important implication of this point of view is that goal programming should 831
U

not be considered an ad hoc, heuristic approach to solving multiple objective 832

problems. Rather, the approach is based on a set of implicit, well-understood 833

assumptions from multiattribute preference theory. Goal programming formulations 834

should be either criticized or justified on the basis of these assumptions. 835


J.S. Dyer

8.6 The Relationships among the Multiattribute 836

Preference Functions 837

The necessary conditions for the additive and multiplicative measurable value 838

functions and risky utility functions, notably mutual preference independence, are 839

also necessary and sufficient for the ordinal additive value function that does 840

not provide difference measurement. Therefore, it is natural to investigate the 841

relationships among them. The following choice of scaling will be imposed. For 842
ı
f D v; v; or u, f is normalized by f .x1  ; : : : ; xn  / D1 and f .x1 ı ;: : :; xn ı / D 0 and 843

fi (xi ) is a conditional function on Xi scaled by fi xi D 1 and fi xıi D 0. Finally,

F
844
o
;  and k will be used as scaling constants for the ordinal and measurable value

O
845

functions and the utility function, respectively. 846

O
PR
8.6.1 The Additive Functions 847

The relationships among the alternative developments of the additive forms of 848
D
real-valued functions on X follow immediately from their respective uniqueness 849

properties [13]. This may be summarized as follows. Assume n = 3 and X1 , : : : , Xn 850


TE

are mutually preference independent. Then 851

1. if X1 , : : : , Xn are difference consistent and X1 is difference independent of X 1 852


ı
EC

then v D v; 853

2. if there exists a utility function u on X and if preferences over lotteries on 854

X1 , : : : , Xn depend only on their marginal probability distributions and not on 855


ı
R

their joint probability distributions, then v D u. 856


ı
3. if both 1 and 2 are satisfied, v D v D u
R

857

ı
Note the implication of this result. In order for v D v D u for a single
O

858

decision maker, she must have preferences simultaneously consistent with mutual 859
C

preference independence, difference independence, and additive independence for 860

risky alternatives. Mutual preference independence will hold in all cases, but it 861
N

may be the case that difference independence and/or additive independence for 862

risky alternatives will not hold. Further, difference independence may hold for 863
U

the preferences of a decision maker, implying that an additive measurable value 864

function would provide a valid representation of her preferences, but additive 865

independence for risky alternatives may not be satisfied, implying that an additive 866

utility function would not be a valid representation of her preferences in decision 867

scenarios involving risk. 868


8 Multiattribute Utility Theory (MAUT)

8.6.2 The Multiplicative Functions 869

Throughout this section we assume that the following conditions are satisfied: 870

1. There are n = 3 attributes, and X1 , : : : , Xn are mutually preference independent; 871

2. There exists a measurable value function v on X and X1 is weak difference 872

independent of X 1 , and 873

3. There exists a utility function u on X and X1 is utility independent of X 1 . 874

ı
Suppose we have assessed the additive value function v and wish to obtain either 875

v or u. Then the following relationships will hold ([13], Theorem 5). Either

F
876

ı ı
1. 1. v.x/ D v.x/ and v i .xi / D vi .xi /, i D 1, : : : , n, or

O
877
ı ı ı
2. 2. v.x/ ln .1 C / D ln Œ1 C v.x/ and i v i .xi / ln .1 C / D ln Œ1 C i vi .xi /, 878

O
i D 1, : : : , n. 879

PR
Either 880
ı ı
1. 1. v.x/ D u.x/ and v i .xi / D ui .xi /, i D 1, : : : , n, or, 881
ı ı ı
2. 2. v.x/ ln .1 C k/ D ln Œ1 C ku.x/ and i v i .xi / ln .1 C k/ D ln Œ1 C kki ui .xi /, 882
D
i D 1; : : : ; n: 883
TE

These relationships may be used to simplify the assessment of multiattribute 884

preference functions. For example, suppose we define xi 0 as the equal difference 885

point for attribute Xi if .xi 0 ; xi / .xi ı ; xi /  .xi  ; xi / .xi 0 ; xi / for any xi 2 X i . Notice 886

that vi .xi 0 / D 1 2 because of our choice of scaling. Given v, the assessment of xi 0


 ı
EC

887

for any attribute Xi is enough to completely specify v, because if vi .xi 0 / D 1 2 for



888
o o o
some i 2 f1; : : : ; ng then v D v. Otherwise, 1 C .1 C /i D 2.1 C /i v i .xi / .
ı 0
R

889
ı
Finally, to derive u from v; find xi 00 for some attribute Xi such that the decision 890
R

maker is indifferent between xi 00 and an equal chance lottery between xi  and xi ı 891
O

with the other criteria held fixed. A parallel result to the above relationship between 892

ordinal and measurable value functions holds. Specifically, if vi .xi 00 / D 1 2 for


ı 
893
C

o o o
some i 2 f1; : : : ; ng ;, then u D v. Otherwise, 1 C .1 C k/i D 2.1 C k/ . / .
ı i v i x0i
894
N

These results can also be used to derive v after u has been assessed, or vice versa. 895

For example, suppose u has been assessed using appropriate procedures. To obtain 896
U

v, we find the equal difference point xi 0 for some criterion Xi . The second result 897
ı ı
above is used to obtain i and vi for each criterion, and we can obtain v. In a similar 898

manner, u can be obtained from v after assessing xi 00 for some criterion Xi . 899

Since the AHP can be interpreted as ratios of preference differences, this 900

relationship also allows the results from assessments based on the AHP to be 901

suitably transformed into multiattribute utility functions appropriate for use in risky
J.S. Dyer

situations. This completes the circle required to synthesize ordinal multiattribute 902

value functions, measurable multiattribute value functions, multiattribute utility 903

functions, and multiattribute functions based on ratio judgments. As a result, the 904

analyst is justified in choosing among a variety of assessment tools, and making 905

the appropriate adjustments in order to calibrate the results into a coherent and 906

theoretically sound representation of preferences. 907

8.7 Concluding Remarks 908

F
In this chapter, we have presented an informal discussion of “multiattribute utility 909

O
theory”. In fact, this discussion has emphasized that there is no single version of 910

multiattribute utility theory that is relevant to multicriteria decision analysis. Instead,

O
911

there are three distinct theories of multiattribute preference functions that may be 912

PR
used to represent a decision maker’s preferences. 913

The ordinal additive multiattribute preference model requires the assumption of 914

mutual preference independence, and is appropriate for use in the case of certainty. 915

Most of the applications and methods of multicriteria decision analysis are presented 916
D
in the context of certainty, and so this would seem to be an appealing theory to 917

use for framing these approaches. However, as we have emphasized, the ordinal 918
TE

additive multiattribute preference model requires assessment techniques that are 919

cumbersome in practice, and that force the decision maker to make explicit tradeoffs 920

between two or more criteria in the assessment of the value functions defined on the 921
EC

individual criteria. 922

The measurable value functions also require the assumption of mutual preference 923

independence, along with the stronger assumptions of weak difference indepen- 924
R

dence or difference independence in order to obtain convenient decompositions 925

of the model that are easy to assess. The assessment of these preference models 926
R

is relatively easy, and they can be interpreted intuitively as providing a measure 927

of strength of preference. In addition, the ratio judgments of the AHP can be 928
O

interpreted as ratios of preference differences based on this theory, linking the AHP 929
C

methodology to traditional models of preference accepted in the decision analysis 930

and economics literatures. 931


N

Finally, multiattribute utility theory is an elegant and useful model of preference 932

suitable for applications involving risky choice. The brilliant work of Keeney and 933
U

Raiffa [32] has made this theory synonymous with multiple criterion decision 934

making, and the ordinal and measurable theories are often overlooked or ignored as 935

a result. In fact, these latter approaches may provide more attractive and appropriate 936

theories for many applications of multicriteria decision analysis. 937


8 Multiattribute Utility Theory (MAUT)

References 938

1. Abbas, A.E., Bell, D.: One-switch independence for multiattribute utility functions. Oper. Res. 939
59(3), 764–771 (2011) 940
2. Abbas, A.E., Matheson, J.: Normative decision making with multiattribute performance 941
targets. J. Multicrit. Decis. Anal. 16, 67–78 (2010) 942
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decision analytic preference judgments. Decis. Anal. 10, 121–134 (2013) 944
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Decision Making: Descriptive, Normative, and Prescriptive Interactions. Cambridge University 946
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5. Bordley, R., Kirkwood, C.: Multiattribute preference analysis with performance targets. Oper. 948
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6. Butler, J.C., Dyer, J.S., Jia, J.: Using attributes to predict objectives in preference models. 950
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7. Camerer, C.: Individual decision making. In: Kagel, J.H., Roth, A.E. (eds.) Handbook of 952
Experimental Economics. Princeton University Press, Princeton (1995) 953
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Programming. Wiley, New York (1961) 955
9. Charnes, A., Cooper, W.W.: Goal programming and multiple objective optimizations. Eur. J. 956
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linear programming. Manag. Sci. 1(2), 138–151 (1955) 959
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(1979) 965
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16. Farquhar, P.H., Keller, L.R.: Preference intensity measurement. Ann. Oper. Res. 19, 205–217 969
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17. Fishburn, P.C.: Independence in utility with whole product sets. Oper. Res. 13, 28–45 (1965) 971
18. Fishburn, P.C.: Utility Theory for Decision Making. Wiley, New York (1970) 972
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19. Fishburn, P.C.: Lexicographic orders, utilities, and decision rules. Manag. Sci. 20, 1442–1471 973
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AQ6 20. Fishburn, P.C.: Nonlinear Preference and Utility Theory. Johns Hopkins University Press, 975
Baltimore and London (1988) 976
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21. Fishburn, P.C., Wakker, P.: The invention of the independence condition for preferences. 977
Manag. Sci. 41(7), 1130–1144 (1995) 978
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22. Geoffrion, A.: Objective function approximations in mathematical programming. Math. Pro- 979
gram. 13(1), 23–37 (1977) 980
23. Geoffrion, A., Dyer, J.S., Feinberg, A.: An interactive approach for multi-criterion optimization 981
with an application to the operation of an academic department. Manag. Sci. 19, 357–368 982
(1972) 983
24. Gorman, W.M.: The structure of utility functions. Rev. Econ. Stud. 35, 367–390 (1968) 984
25. Ignizio, J.P.: Introduction to Linear Goal Programming. Sage, Thousand Oaks (1986) 985
26. Ignizio, J., Romero, C.: Goal programming. In: Bidgoli, H. (ed.) Encyclopedia of Information 986
Systems, vol. 2, pp. 489–500. Academic, San Diego (2003) 987
27. Jia, J., Dyer, J.S.: A standard measure of risk and risk-value models. Manag. Sci. 42(12), 1691– 988
1705 (1996) 989
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28. Kahneman, D., Tversky, A.: Prospect theory: an analysis of decisions under risk. Econometrica 990
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29. Kamenetzky, R.D.: The relationship between the analytic hierarchy process and the additive 992
value function. Decis. Sci. 13, 702–713 (1982) 993
30. Keeney, R.L.: Value-Focused Thinking. Harvard University Press, Boston (1996) 994
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Oper. Res. 53(1), 1–11 (2005) 996
32. Keeney, R.L., Raiffa, H.: Decision with Multiple Objectives: Preference and Value Tradeoffs. 997
Cambridge University Press, New York (1993) 998
33. Keller, L.R.: An empirical test of relative risk aversion. IEEE Trans. Man Syst. Cybern. SMC- 999
15, 476–482 (1985) 1000
34. Kirkwood, C.W.: Strategic Decision Making. Duxbury, Belmont (1996) 1001

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35. Krantz, D.H., Luce, R.D., Suppes, P., Tversky, A.: Foundations of Measurement, Volume I, 1002
Additive and Polynomial Representations. Academic, New York (1971) 1003

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36. Kreps, D.M.: A Course in Microeconomic Theory. Princeton University Press, Princeton 1004
(1990) 1005

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37. Krzysztofowicz, R.: Strength of preference and risk attitude in utility measurement. Organ. 1006
Behav. Hum. Perform. 31, 88–113 (1983) 1007

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38. Luce, R.D., Tukey, J.W.: Simultaneous conjoint measurement: a new type of fundamental 1008
measurement. J. Math. Psychol. 1, 1–27 (1964) 1009
39. Pratt, J.W.: Risk aversion in the small and in the large. Econometrica 32, 122–136 (1964) 1010
40. Saaty, T.L.: The Analytic Hierarchy Process. McGraw-Hill, New York (1980) 1011
41. Salo, A.A., Hamalainen, R.P.: On the measurement of preferences in the analytic hierarchy 1012
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process. J. Multi-Criterion Decis. Anal. 6, 309–319 (1997) 1013
42. Sarin, R.K.: Strength of preference and risky choice. Oper. Res. 30, 982–997 (1982) 1014
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43. Savage, L.J.: The Foundations of Statistics. Wiley, New York (1954) 1015
44. Scott, D., Suppes, P.: Foundational aspects of theories of measurement. J. Symb. Log. 23, 113– 1016
128 (1958) 1017
45. Trzaskalik, T., Michnik, J. (eds.): Multiple Objective and Goal Programming: Recent Devel- 1018
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opments. Physica Verlag, Heidelberg (2002) 1019


46. von Neumann, J., Morgenstern, O.: Theory of Games and Economic Behavior. Princeton 1020
University Press, Princeton (1947) 1021
47. von Winterfeldt, D., Edwards, W.: Decision Analysis and Behavioral Research. Cambridge 1022
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University Press, Cambridge (1986) 1023


48. Wakker, P.: Prospect Theory: For Risk and Ambiguity. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge 1024
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(2010) 1025
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AUTHOR QUERIES

AQ1. Please check the edits made to the article tile and correct if necessary.
AQ2. Debreu (1960) has been changed to Debreu (1959) as per the reference list.
Please check if okay.
AQ3. Kirkwood (1997) has been changed to Kirkwood (1996) as per the reference
list in all occurrences. Please check if okay.
AQ4. The usage of “-$2” has been changed to “$2”. Please check and advice.
AQ5. Reference [14] is not cited in the text. Please provide the citation or delete it

F
from the list.

O
AQ6. Please check the inserted publisher location in refs. [20], [25], [35], [36] are
appropriate.

O
PR
D
TE
EC
R
R
O
C
N
U

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