Chapter 3

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CHAPTER 3

Statistics in Engineering
Statistics: Basic Ideas
 Statistics is the area of science that deals with
collection, organization, analysis, and
interpretation of data.
 It also deals with methods and techniques that
can be used to draw conclusions about the
characteristics of a large number of data points--
commonly called a population--
 By using a smaller subset of the entire data.
For Example…
 You work in a cell phone factory and are asked
to remove cell phones at random off of the
assembly line and turn it on and off.
 Each time you remove a cell phone and turn it
on and off, you are conducting a random
experiment.
 Each time you pick up a phone is a trial and the
result is called an outcome.
 If you check 200 phones, and you find 5 bad
phones, then
 relative frequency of failure = 5/200 = 0.025
Statistics in Engineering
 Engineers apply physical
and chemical laws and
mathematics to design,
develop, test, and
supervise various
products and services.
 Engineers perform tests
to learn how things
behave under stress, and
at what point they might
fail.
Statistics in Engineering
 As engineers perform experiments, they
collect data that can be used to explain
relationships better and to reveal
information about the quality of products
and services they provide.
Frequency Distribution:
Scores for an engineering class are as follows: 58, 95, 80,
75, 68, 97, 60, 85, 75, 88, 90, 78, 62, 83, 73, 70, 70, 85,
65, 75, 53, 62, 56, 72, 79
To better assess the success of the class, we make a
frequency chart:
Now the information can be better analyzed.
For example, 3 students did poorly, and 3 did
exceptionally well. We know that 9 students
were in the average range of 70-79. We can
also show this data in a freq. histogram (PDF).
Divide each no. by 26
Cumulative Frequency
 The data can be further organized by calculating the
cumulative frequency (CDF).
 The cumulative frequency shows the cumulative number
of students with scores up to and including those in the
given range. Usually we normalize the data - divide 26.
Measures of Central Tendency &
Variation
 Systematic errors, also called fixed errors, are
errors associated with using an inaccurate
instrument.
 These errors can be detected and avoided by properly
calibrating instruments
 Random errors are generated by a number of
unpredictable variations in a given measurement
situation.
 Mechanical vibrations of instruments or variations in
line voltage friction or humidity could lead to random
fluctuations in observations.
 When analyzing data, the mean alone cannot signal
possible mistakes. There are a number of ways to define
the dispersion or spread of data.
 You can compute how much each number deviates from
the mean, add up all the deviations, and then take their
average as shown in the table below.
 As exemplified in Table 19.4, the sum of deviations
from the mean for any given sample is always zero.
This can be verified by considering the following:

n
1
x   xi di  (x i  x )
n i1
 Where xi represents data points, x is the average, n
is the number of data points, and d, represents the
deviation from
the average.
n n n n

d   x   x
i i d i  nx  nx  0
i1 i1 i1 i1

Therefore the average of the deviations from the


mean of the data set cannot be used to measure
the spread of agiven data set.
Instead we calculate the average of the absolute
values of deviations. (This is shown in the third
column of table 19.4 in your textbook)
For group A the mean deviation is 290, and Group
B is 820. We can conclude that Group B is more
scattered than A.
Variance
 Another way of measuring the data is by
calculating the variance.
 Instead of taking the absolute values of
each deviation, you can just square the
deviation and find the means.
 (n-1) makes estimate unbiased

 (x i  x ) 2

v i1
n 1
 Takingthe square root of the variance
which results in the standard deviation.

 (x i  x ) 2

s i1
n 1
 The standard deviation can also provide
information about the relative spread of a
data set.

 The mean for a grouped distribution is calculated
from:

x
 (xf )
n
 Where
x = midpoints of a given range
f = 
frequency of occurrence of data in the range
n = f = total number of data points
The standard deviation for a grouped distribution is
calculated from:
s
 (x  x ) 2
f
n 1


Normal Distribution
 We could use the probability distribution from the figures
below to predict what might happen in the future. (i.e.
next year’s students’ performance)
Normal Distribution
 Any probability distribution with a bell-shaped
curve is called a normal distribution.
 The detailed shape of a normal distribution
curve is determined by its mean and standard
deviation values.
THE NORMAL CURVE zi = (xi - x) / s

 Using Table 19.11, approx. 68% of the data will


fall in the interval of -s to s, one std deviation
 ~ 95% of the data falls between -2s to 2s, and
approx all of the data points lie between -3s to 3s
 For a standard normal distribution, 68% of the
data fall in the interval of z = -1 to z = 1.
AREAS UNDER THE NORMAL CURVE

 z = -2 and z = 2 (two standard deviations below and


above the mean) each represent 0.4772 of the total area
under the curve.
 99.7% or almost all of the data points lie between -3s
and 3s.
Analysis of Two Histograms

Graph A is class distribution of numbers 1-10


Graph B is class distribution of semester credits

Data for A = 5.64 +/- 2.6 (much greater spread than B)


Data for B = 15.7 +/- 1.96 (smaller spread)
Skew of A = -0.16 and Skew B = 0.146
CV of A = 0.461 and CV of B = 0.125 (CV = SD/Mean)
Frequency A Frequency B

7 9
6 8
7
5 6
4 5
3 4
3
2 2
1 1
0 0
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20

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