Garg
Garg
Garg
TABLE OF CONTENTS
I. Introduction ......................................................................................... 198
II. Background ......................................................................................... 199
A. What Is Geoengineering? ............................................................ 199
B. International Environmental Law ................................................ 202
1. The Transboundary Harm Principle ...................................... 202
2. The Precautionary Principle .................................................. 203
3. The Environmental Modification Convention (ENMOD)..... 204
4. Convention on Biological Diversity X/33 Decision .............. 204
5. The London Convention / London Protocol
Assessment Framework ......................................................... 205
III. Analysis ............................................................................................... 206
A. The Shortcomings of Current International Law in
Regulating Geoengineering ......................................................... 206
B. Specific International Laws and Principles ................................. 207
1. The Transboundary Harm Principle ...................................... 207
2. The Precautionary Principle .................................................. 209
3. ENMOD ................................................................................ 210
4. CBD X/33 Decision............................................................... 211
5. The LP/LC Assessment Framework ...................................... 211
IV. Recommendations ............................................................................... 212
A. Environmental Impact Assessments ............................................ 212
B. Transparency, Notification, and Consultation ............................. 214
C. Dispute-Resolution Mechanisms ................................................. 216
D. Substantive Law .......................................................................... 217
V. Conclusion .......................................................................................... 218
J.D., University of Illinois College of Law, May 2013. M.A., Philosophy, Western Michigan
University, May 2010. B.A., Philosophy, University of Michigan, May 2007. I would like to thank Prof.
Lesley Wexler for her excellent feedback throughout the writing process, Joshua Gross for his editorial advice,
and the entire JLTP staff. I would also like to thank my family for their unconditional support throughout my
academic career and Kristin Troy for her love and support.
197
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I. INTRODUCTION
Global climate change threatens to seriously and irreversibly impact
Earth’s climate in ways that scientists are just beginning to understand.1 The
effects of climate change are likely to have devastating consequences for
humans and the ecosystems upon which they depend.2 As a global problem,
climate change requires an international response.3 However, economic
disincentives, combined with the temporal and spatial complexities inherent to
climate change, have interfered with the international community’s ability to
adequately respond to the problem.4 Exacerbating the difficulty in combating
climate change is the presence of positive feedback loops—mechanisms by
which greenhouse gas emissions lead to environmental changes that drive
further climate change.5 The international community’s proposed solution to
climate change, abating greenhouse gas emissions, has largely been
ineffective, leading many to consider alternatives in the form of
geoengineering.6
In recent years, geoengineering has become attractive as an option to
mitigate the effects of climate change, gaining broad public support.7
Geoengineering, the practice of international large-scale environmental
manipulation, would combat climate change by modifying the climate rather
than by reducing greenhouse gas emissions.8 Geoengineering proposals
generally involve reflecting solar radiation to offset the effect of greenhouse
gases or removing greenhouse gases from the climate.9
Advocates of geoengineering argue that conventional climate policy
options are too slow to effectively combat climate change, necessitating a new
approach to solving the problem.10 The costs of geoengineering are likely to
be significantly lower than the costs of reducing greenhouse gas emissions;11 in
II. BACKGROUND
This Part provides background information regarding geoengineering and
applicable international law. Subpart A discusses the definition of
geoengineering, the kinds of activities that fall under the umbrella term
“geoengineering,” and the potential harms associated with geoengineering.
Subpart B discusses current international law that might be applicable to the
geoengineering activities of states that are parties to the relevant conventions.
A. What Is Geoengineering?
15. Conference of the Parties to the Convention on Biological Diversity, Nagoya, Japan, Oct. 18–29,
2010, Decision Adopted by the Conference of the Parties to the Convention on Biological Diversity at Its
Tenth Meeting, 5 n.2, U.N. DOC. UNEP/CBD/COP/DEC/X/33 (Oct. 29, 2010) [hereinafter Convention on
Biological Diversity Dec. X/33].
16. See Alan Carlin, Global Climate Change Control: Is There a Better Strategy than Reducing
Greenhouse Gas Emissions?, 155 U. PA. L. REV. 1401, 1450–64 (comparing conventional approaches for
controlling climate change, which involve reducing emissions, with geoengineering techniques, which involve
carbon sequestration or deflection of solar radiation).
17. See Finbarr Sheehy, Geoengineering Projects Around the World – Map, GUARDIAN (July 17, 2012,
9:44 PM), http://www.theguardian.com/environment/graphic/2012/jul/17/geoengineering-world-map
(introducing various geoengineering projects around the world).
18. See About Geoengineering, INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT OF GEOENGINEERING PROPOSALS,
http://www.iagp.ac.uk/about-geoengineering (last visited Mar. 5, 2014) (discussing the two types of
geoengineering approaches).
19. David W. Keith, Geoengineering the Climate: History and Prospect, 25 ANN. REV. ENERGY &
ENV’T 245, 261 (2000).
20. William C.G. Burns, Geoengineering the Climate: An Overview of Solar Radiation Management
Options, 46 TULSA L. REV. 283, 289–96 (2010).
21. Id. at 289.
22. Keith, supra note 19, at 261–63.
23. Burns, supra note 20, at 294.
24. Keith, supra note 19, at 264.
25. Id. at 265.
26. Id. at 265–67.
27. Carlin, supra note 16, at 1456–57.
28. Id. at 1447.
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growth.29 Because algae absorbs CO2 from the atmosphere and eventually
falls to the ocean floor, increased algae growth would increase the amount of
CO2 sequestered at the bottom of the ocean floor.30 Technological approaches
to greenhouse gas sequestration involve removing CO2 from the atmosphere
using artificial means and storing it in geological formations.31
The key feature of both these types of proposals is that they would
mitigate the impact of CO2 and other greenhouse gases on the environment
without decreasing overall greenhouse gas emissions.32 Thus, for the purposes
of this Note, we can understand geoengineering as any large-scale
environmental manipulation designed with the purpose of mitigating the
effects of climate change without decreasing greenhouse gas emissions.
Though geoengineering projects are diverse and each project is unique in
its own way, this Note focuses on similarities that all such projects share.
First, geoengineering projects can be done by a single country or a small group
of countries.33 Second, geoengineering can be utilized relatively
inexpensively.34 Third, as other climate change strategies continue to fail to
reach emissions benchmarks, the appeal of geoengineering will continue to
increase.
However, while geoengineering offers significant promise, it also has the
potential to create numerous significant environmental risks.35 In a worst-case
scenario, a geoengineering project could fail to mitigate any of the harms from
climate change while simultaneously creating side effects with worldwide
implications.36 Because geoengineering projects cannot be tested physically
on a large scale,37 the risks of geoengineering remain unknown. However,
those risks could include severe and irreversible impacts on biodiversity.38
While the risks of different projects are diverse, it is worthwhile to consider the
risks posed by the two most popularly suggested geoengineering projects:
ocean iron fertilization (with the goal of removing CO2 from the atmosphere)
and the placement of reflective particles in the stratosphere (with the goal of
reflecting sunlight).
Risks of ocean fertilization include the possibility of severe changes in
marine food webs and reduced productivity in areas that are down-current from
29. Id.
30. Id.
31. Id. at 1446.
32. Keith, supra note 19, at 279.
33. Hadi Dowlatabadi, Scale and Scope in Integrated Assessment: Lessons from Ten Years with ICAM,
in SCALING IN INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT 51, 70 (Jan Rotmans & Dale S. Rothman eds., 2003).
34. See Michaelson, supra note 6, at 243 (discussing how costs related to geoengineering are
decreasing and not of great concern anymore).
35. See Alan Robock, 20 Reasons Why Geoengineering May Be a Bad Idea, 64 BULL. ATOMIC
SCIENTISTS, MAY/JUNE 2008, at 14, 14–18, available at http://climate.envsci.rutgers.edu/pdf/20Reasons.pdf
(listing and expounding on possible risks associated with geoengineering).
36. See Keith, supra note 19, at 274 (noting that some side effects of CO2 control include “loss of
biodiversity or loss of aesthetic value that may arise from manipulating ecosystems to capture carbon . . . .”).
37. See Robock, supra note 35, at 17 (discussing difficulty in testing projects on a large scale).
38. Pat Mooney et al., Darken the Sky and Whiten the Earth – The Danger of Geoengineering, WHAT
NEXT VOL. III, Sept. 2012, at 210, 227.
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the fertilized area.39 Because fertilization must take place in the ocean, these
risks pose problems of transboundary harm; that is, the nation undertaking the
project to fertilize the ocean with iron may cause harm to the environment and
economy of other nations.40 Additionally, the production of various chemicals
resulting from ocean fertilization could have significant impacts on
atmospheric chemistry and global climate, and thus affect nations whose
economics do not rely on the ocean.41
The placement of reflective particles in the atmosphere also carries severe
risks. Such placement is likely to have differential effects; it is not likely to
reduce sunlight equally around the globe, resulting in equatorial regions
experiencing increased drought.42 Additionally, the reflective particles (most
likely sulfate) will eventually come back to earth, and will have the potential to
cause global pollution.43 The risks of geoengineering make it imperative that
some international framework govern implementation of projects to engineer
the climate.
restricted where risks are not fully known as long as there is a possible
environmental risk.58 The weak version of the principle has been adopted as
part of the Rio Declaration with respect to climate change, and some have
suggested that the Rio Declaration thereby permits the use of geoengineering
as a tool to mitigate climate change, despite the uncertainty of its success.59
58. Noah M. Sachs, Rescuing the Strong Precautionary Principle from its Critics, 2011 U. ILL. L. REV.
1285, 1295–96.
59. Rio Declaration, supra note 46; Ralph Bodle, Geoengineering and International Law: The Search
for Common Legal Ground, 46 TULSA L. REV. 305, 309 (2010).
60. Convention on the Prohibition of Military or Any Other Hostile Use of Environmental Modification
Techniques, art.1, Dec. 10, 1976, 31 U.S.T. 333, 1108 U.N.T.S. 151 [hereinafter ENMOD].
61. Bodle, supra note 59, at 312.
62. ENMOD, supra note 60, at Art. I.
63. Id. at Art. II.
64. Bodle, supra note 59, at 312.
65. ENMOD, supra note 60, at Art. III.
66. Bodle, supra note 59, at 312.
67. Convention on Biological Diversity Dec. X/33, supra note 15, ¶ 8(w).
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III. ANALYSIS
This Part focuses on analyzing the current international law governing
geoengineering, and its successes and failures in avoiding the transboundary
harms that are likely to arise from geoengineering.83 Subpart A argues that
current international law fails to adequately protect against these harms; it also
provides a brief analysis of the ways in which current international law fails.
Subpart B examines the specifics of this failure by considering specific
international legal principles, treaties, and decisions and analyzes those pieces
of international environmental law with a view toward making suggestions for
a robust international framework that could govern geoengineering.
81. Id.
82. Bodle, supra note 59, at 319.
83. See supra Part II.A (discussing the aspects of geoengineering, including its benefits and harms).
84. Carlin, supra note 13, at 57.
85. NICOLAS DE SADELEER, ENVIRONMENTAL PRINCIPLES: FROM POLITICAL SLOGANS TO LEGAL RULES
219 (2002).
86. Mooney et al., supra note 38, at 227.
87. Id. at 226–27.
No. 1] ENGINEERING A SOLUTION TO CLIMATE CHANGE 207
93. See id. at 132–34 (discussing the possibility of an alternative liability theory for domestic acid rain
torts).
94. See, e.g., Sindell v. Abbot Laboratories, 607 P.2d 924, 937 (Cal. 1980) (providing a test for market-
share liability under which those companies that contribute to the total amount of a fungible product in the
market are held liable to the extent of their contribution).
95. See Lucian Arye Bebchuk, Property Rights and Liability Rules: The Ex Ante View of the Cathedral,
100 MICH. L. REV. 601, 629–631 (2001) (discussing alternative causation rules affecting potential defendants’
investment strategies).
96. Id. at 630.
97. Id.
98. Jonathan I. Charney, Third State Remedies for Environmental Damage to the World’s Common
Spaces, in INTERNATIONAL RESPONSIBILITY FOR ENVIRONMENTAL HARM 149, 175–77 (Francesco Francioni &
Tullio Scovazzi eds., 1991).
99. Jonathan I. Charney, Third State Remedies in International Law, 10 MICH. J. INT’L L. 57, 92 (1989).
No. 1] ENGINEERING A SOLUTION TO CLIMATE CHANGE 209
100. Simon Marr, The Southern Bluefin Tuna Cases: The Precautionary Approach and Conservation
and Management of Fish Resources, 11 EUR. J. INT’L L. 815, 816, 821 (2000).
101. See id. at 823–28 (discussing various approaches different legal entities have taken in interpreting
the precautionary principal).
102. Southern Bluefin Tuna Case (Austl. & N.Z. v. Japan), Award on Jurisdiction and Admissibility, at
33–34 (Arbitral Tribunal constituted under Annex VII of the United Nations Convention for the Law of the
Sea 2000), available at https://icsid.worldbank.org/ICSID/FrontServlet?requestType=ICSIDPublications
RH&actionVal=ViewAnnouncePDF&AnnouncementType=archive&AnnounceNo=7_10.pdf (applying the
precautionary principle, at the request of the parties, to a dispute regarding overfishing of Bluefin Tuna).
103. Marr, supra note 100, at 816.
104. Lothar Gundling, The Status in International Law of the Principle of Precautionary Action, 5 INT’L.
J. ESTUARINE & COASTAL L. 23, 25–30 (1990).
105. See EDITH BROWN WEISS ET AL., INTERNATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL LAW AND POLICY 314 (2007)
(“Various versions of the principle have been included in resolutions of the UN Environment Programme, the
Paris and Oslo Commissions, the London Dumping Convention, the Caribbean and Mediterranean Regional
Seas Programmes, and the Commission for the Conservation of Antarctic Marine Living Resources
(CCAMLR), among others.”).
106. See supra Part II.B (describing the areas of international law that could potentially govern
geoengineering).
107. Rio Declaration, supra note 46.
108. Geoengineering the Climate: Science, Governance and Uncertainty, ROYAL SOCIETY (Sept. 1,
2009), http://royalsociety.org/policy/publications/2009/geoengineering-climate/.
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3. ENMOD
While ENMOD’s status as a wartime legal norm would prevent it from
being used to govern geoengineering projects designed to mitigate the effects
of climate change,111 it could serve as a valuable check on ensuring that
technologies created through geoengineering would not become weaponized.
Because geoengineering technologies carry a significant possibility of harm to
other nations, those nations engaging in geoengineering research might wish to
weaponize their technology.112 Furthermore, because even small countries or
non-state actors could weaponize geoengineering technology,113 it is possible
that the actors using weaponized geoengineering would not be parties to
ENMOD, and thus not fall within the reach of its jurisdiction.
Additionally, because it may be unclear whether a particular
geoengineering technology will be used to combat climate change or as a
109. Convention on Biological Diversity Dec. X/33, supra note 15, at ¶ 8(w).
110. See infra Part IV (laying out a comprehensive framework for a geoengineering treaty).
111. Bodle, supra note 59, at 310.
112. Jamais Cascio, Battlefield Earth, FOREIGN POLICY (Jan. 28, 2008), http://www.foreignpolicy.com/
articles/2008/01/27/battlefield_earth.
113. Id.
No. 1] ENGINEERING A SOLUTION TO CLIMATE CHANGE 211
weapon, countries may not realize until after the harmful technology has been
deployed that ENMOD applies.114 Thus, international law needs a mechanism
to monitor the development of geoengineering technologies to ensure peaceful
intentions on the part of the country enacting a geoengineering project. Such
mechanisms may include transparency, international cooperation on
geoengineering technology, and extensive monitoring of countries engaging in
geoengineering research.115 These solutions are discussed in more detail in
Part IV.
114. Id.
115. Id.
116. Bodle, supra note 59, at 317.
117. Id.
118. Id. at 318.
119. Convention on the Prevention of Marine Pollution by Dumping of Wastes and Other Matter, INT’L
MARITIME ORG., http://www.imo.org/OurWork/Environment/LCLP/Pages/default.aspx (last visited Mar. 7,
2014) [hereinafter Convention on Prevention].
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fewer treaty participants decreases the force and effect of a treaty’s laws.120
Because over half the nations of the world are not parties to the Assessment
Framework,121 its norms governing geoengineering have insufficient force on
the international stage to prevent potential harms associated with
geoengineering. A second problem with the Assessment Framework is its use
of precatory language, which fails to bind parties to the Assessment
Framework.122 For example, the treaty frequently uses the term “should,”
suggesting an aspirational norm, rather than the word “shall,” which would
suggest a mandatory norm.123
Despite these problems, the Assessment Framework provides a useful
tool for determining the content of an international treaty governing
geoengineering. First, the Assessment Framework requires consideration of
social and cultural effects in addition to economic effects.124 Furthermore, step
three of the Assessment Framework requires a detailed environmental
assessment that requires consideration of biodiversity and other ecosystem
considerations.125 The detailed step-by-step requirements of the Assessment
Framework would serve as an excellent basis for a treaty governing all
geoengineering.
IV. RECOMMENDATIONS
The preceding Part shows the ways in which current international law
fails to adequately protect against the harms of geoengineering. However, it
also serves as a starting point for developing a comprehensive framework for
an international agreement that would govern geoengineering projects. The
remainder of this Note lays out a comprehensive framework for a
geoengineering treaty regime in light of the previous analysis of international
law and the necessary requirements for an effective geoengineering treaty
regime. Included in the discussion are Environmental Impact Assessments to
be undertaken during the planning stages of a geoengineering activity,
information-sharing mechanisms that occur both before and during the
geoengineering project, procedural mechanisms for resolving disputes
regarding transboundary harm, and substantive norms governing
transboundary harm caused by geoengineering activities.
120. See Catherine Logan Piper, Reservations to Multilateral Treaties: The Goal of Universality, 71
IOWA L. REV. 295, 296 (1985) (“The greater the number of nations joining the treaty, the greater the force and
effect of the laws rising out of the treaty.”).
121. Convention on Prevention, supra note 119.
122. See, e.g., Assessment Framework, supra note 75, at 20 (using the term “should” rather than “shall”
when referring to states’ obligations to ensure that activity is not contrary to the aims of the London
Convention and Protocol).
123. Id.
124. Bodle, supra note 59, at 319.
125. Assessment Framework, supra note 75, at 11–12.
No. 1] ENGINEERING A SOLUTION TO CLIMATE CHANGE 213
126. NEIL CRAIK, THE INTERNATIONAL LAW OF ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT ASSESSMENT 5 (2008).
127. Id.; see Bodle, supra 59, at 311.
128. Craik, supra note 126, at 64.
129. Id.
130. Id. at 50.
131. Id.
132. See supra Part III.B.1 (discussing the requirements of the precautionary principle).
133. Id.
134. Id.
135. Id.
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143. See WEISS ET AL., supra note 105, at 347–59 (discussing international agreements that include
requirements of transparency, notification, and cooperation).
144. See, e.g., Rep. of the Int’l Law Comm’n, 53d Sess., Apr. 23–Jun. 1, Jul. 2–Aug. 10, 2001, U.N.
Doc. A/56/10, 374–5; GAOR, 56th Sess., Supp. No. 10 (2001) (outlining United Nations notification and
information exchange rules).
145. Cascio, supra note 112.
146. See Rio Declaration, supra note 46, Principle 19 (imposing a requirement on states to notify and
provide information to states whose environments may be adversely affected); Dietrich Rauschning, Legal
Aspects of the Conservation of the Environment, 60 INT’L L. ASSOC. REP. CONF. 157, 171–75 (1982) (outlining
rules of international law requiring prior notice and consultation where “transfrontier” pollution is possible).
147. Harold K. Jacobson & Edith Brown Weiss, Strengthening Compliance with International
Environmental Accords: Preliminary Observations from a Collaborative Report, 1 GLOBAL GOVERNANCE
119, 130 (1995).
148. Id.
149. Id. at 140.
150. Id.
151. Mark R. Goldschmidt, The Role of Transparency and Public Participation in Environmental
Agreements: The North American Agreement on Environmental Cooperation, 29 B.C. ENVTL. AFF. L. REV.
343, 353 (2002).
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C. Dispute-Resolution Mechanisms
D. Substantive Law
In addition to procedural mechanisms to resolve disputes, a
geoengineering regime must include substantive legal norms to be used as
standards to resolve disputes. Such norms should include provisions allowing
for compensation when transboundary harm occurs, provisions allowing for
resolutions of harm to the global commons, and provisions to compensate
countries and possibly enact sanctions when geoengineering technology is
weaponized.
Countries seeking compensation for harms caused by other countries that
enacted geoengineering projects should be able to avail themselves of a
slightly relaxed causation requirement vis-à-vis the transboundary harm
principle.165 This will encourage countries to enact treaties or other
agreements to settle disputes prior to the launch of a large-scale
geoengineering project. Furthermore, it will ensure that countries cannot
externalize the economic harm of such projects to other nations. This is crucial
for distributive justice because countries enacting geoengineering projects will
likely be among the wealthiest nations, and externalizing the harms would
protect their economies at the expense of poorer nations. Such a result would
allow some nations to maintain their economic status at the expense of weaker
nations, a result that violates basic principles of justice.
Additionally, a complete geoengineering framework must address harms
to the global commons. Because geoengineering may involve ocean
fertilization or space-based activity, geoengineering activities may harm areas
that fall within the scope of the global commons rather than individual
countries.166 By providing third-state standing to any countries that make use
of a particular commons or have a state interest in that commons and are
affected by harm, a geoengineering treaty could ensure that the transboundary
harm principle applies to the commons as well as to individual countries.
In addition, to address transboundary harms and harms to the global
commons, a geoengineering treaty should address weaponization of
geoengineering technologies. Because geoengineering technology can easily
be weaponized, there is good reason to include substantive treaty provisions
prohibiting such weaponization.167 While disputes regarding weaponized
geoengineering technology may be resolvable through international courts
under the laws of war or other substantive international law, the experience of
the specialized geoengineering arbitral tribunal discussed in the previous
section may render it a better option for resolving problems that arise through
the weaponization of geoengineering technology. Additionally, because
weaponization of technology is to be especially discouraged (unlike
transboundary harm, which should be seen as a probable consequence of
geoengineering), a geoengineering treaty regime should have the power to
impose sanctions on nations that fail to comply with prohibitions on
weaponization of geoengineering technology.
V. CONCLUSION
This Note has shown that unilateral geoengineering creates risks for the
international community, and that current international law is insufficient to
avoid these risks. While particular provisions of current international law fail
to provide an adequate mechanism to regulate geoengineering, an analysis of
international environmental law and its associated legal principles serves to
provide a valuable source of information from which a geoengineering treaty
regime can be created.
In order for a geoengineering treaty regime to adequately address the
potential risks of geoengineering, it must contain requirements for an
Environmental Impact Assessment to identify potential harms and weigh risks
and benefits, provide mechanisms for information-sharing to encourage early
dispute resolution and compliance with treaty obligations, establish procedural
mechanisms to resolve transboundary harm disputes, and have substantive
legal norms to ensure that transboundary harms are fully compensated.