The CIA MercenarYS

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DIRECTORATE OF

INTELLIGENCE

Intelligence Memorandum

The Mercenary Mutiny and the Tshombe Plot

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Top Secret

25 July 1967

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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY


Directorate of Intelligence
25 July 1967

INTELLIGENCE MEMORANDUM

The Mercenary Mutiny and the Tshombe Plot

Summary

The mutiny in the eastern Congo is sub-


siding, and in its wake there is a growing
suspicion in some quarters--backed by some

fairly good evidence that it was part of a
larger plot aimed at restoring former
premier Moise Tshombe to power. That
Tshombe had been almost constantly engaged
in some form of "plotting" since he left the
Congo is almost certain. He may even have
been in touch over the past few months with
the mercenaries who staged the mutiny, since
he was probably planning to use them in his
comeback attempt. That the mutiny, however,
was part of a Tshombist "master plan" is
much less certain. The available evidence
suggests that even if there was a plot, the
mercenary action was essentially spontaneous
stimulated by Tshombe s kidnaping on 30 June
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as well as by parochial mercenary grievances.

Note: This memorandum was produced solely by CIA.


,Itwhs prepared by the Office of Current Intel-
ligence and coordinated with the Office of National
Estimates and with the Clandestine Services.

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More significant

are two aspects of tne situation itselt


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which throw doubt on the theory that the mutiny


was designed to be part of a Tshombe take-over.
In the first place, it seems unlikely that a plot
would be put into action right after its leader
had been taken out of circulation. Second, any
plot of this type must aim at seizing Katanga or
Kinshasa (or both) to have any hope of success.
For this, additional troops would be necessary.
Although the story of a mercenary camp in Angola
is one of the most durable features of the
Tshombist-plot literature, there is no good evi-
dence that such a camp exists. Without a camp in
Angola--or a fleet of mercenary-laden planes in
Rhodesia, or some outside force of this type--a
mutiny in the northeastern Congo would have little
chance of success. The plotters outside the Congo
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have given many indications that they are aware


of this and it seems unlikely that they would
,

start action without being sure that more forces


were available.

One Possible Scenario

3. As is usually the case in the murky world


of Congolese intrigue, there is no completely
satisfactory answer to all these questions. A
good case can be made, however, for a scenario in
which the mercenaries acted after warning their
outside contacts but without the approval of the
latter. On this theory,, the mercenaries, unpaid for
months and knowing that Mobutu was planning to dis-
band them, reacted in a typically aggressive and
unforesighted fashion when the news of Tshombe''s
kidnaping was added to their other grievances
they moved into the nearest towns (Kisangani,
Bukavu, and perhaps Kindu) shot up a few Congolese
,
soldiers, scared off the rest, behaved in courtly
fashion toward local Europeans, and then tried to
decide what to do next.
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5. If this reading of the evidence is accurate,


it appears that while Tshombe awaited his fate
at
the hands of the Algerian courts, Tshombe' s assets
for any comeback attempt were being expended in
a
piecemeal and uncoordinated way which gave Mobutu
an opportunity to neutralize the plot as well as
the
chief plotter. Thus, if Mobutu's outside opponents
are still interested in moving against him in the
wake of the kidnaping and the mutiny, they will have
to do so with drastically shrunken resources.

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25 July 1967

Talking Paper for "The Mercenary Mutiny and the Tshombe


Plot"

1. There has been wide speculation in the press


and a spate of diverse intelligence reports alleging
that the mercenary mutiny in the Congo was part of a
Tshombist plot to stage a coup against the Mobutu gov-
ernment. This memo is an effort to examine the facts
as well as the allegations and to draw up a scorecard
of the evidence supporting the plot theory and the data
denying such a plot.

2. We believe that a Tshombe plot or indeed —



perhaps several Tshombe plots did exist. That the
mutiny, however, was part of a Tshombist "master plan"
is much less certain. In any event, the available
evidence suggests that the mercenary part of any such
plot went off permaturely, stimulated by Tshombe'
kidnaping on 30 June as well as by parochial mercenary
grievances.
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