Chapter 2 - Financial Analysis
Chapter 2 - Financial Analysis
Chapter 2 - Financial Analysis
Entrepreneurial Ventures
10–1
Why business needs finance
Finance refers to sources of money for a business. Firms need finance to:
❑ start up a business, eg pay for premises, new equipment and advertising
❑ run the business, eg having enough cash to pay staff wages and suppliers on time
❑ expand the business, eg having funds to pay for a new branch in a different city or
country
The Importance of Financial
Information for Entrepreneurs
Accrual Method of recording & allocating income & costs for period in which each
system of is involved, regardless of date of payment or collection. E.g., if you were paid RM
100 in April for goods you sold in March, RM 100 would be income for March under this system.
accounting
(Opposite of cash system of accounting.)
Cash & assets that can be easily converted to cash, such as accounts
Current assets
receivable & inventory.
Current
Debts you must pay within a year (short-term liabilities).
liabilities
Lost usefulness; diminution of service yield from a fixed asset or fixed
Depreciation asset group that cannot or will not be restored by repairs or by
replacement of parts.
10–11
Account
(Statement of Financial Position) Left-hand side Right-hand side
Balance Sheet Debit Credit
Balance Sheet
Left-hand side Right-hand side
Assets Liabilities +
Owner’s Equity
Table 10.2
Kendon
Corporation Non-current
Balance $235,000
Sheet $350,000
Note:
Assets = Liabilities
+ Owners’ Equity
Kendon
Corporation
Income
Statement
for the Year Ended
December 31, 2006
Kendon Corporation Close-up view
Income Statement
Sales Revenue 1,750,000
Less: Sales Return & Allowances 50,000
Net Sales 1,700,000
Cost of Goods Sold
Inventory, January, 2000 150,000
Purchases 1,050,000
Goods available for sale 1,200,000
Less: Inventory, December, 2000 200,000
Cost of Goods Sold 1,000,000
Gross Margin (Gross Profit) 700,000
Gross margin - company's profit before operating expenses, interest payments & taxes.
Kendon Corporation Close-up view
Income Statement
Gross Margin (Gross Profit) 700,000
Operating Expenses
Selling expenses 150,000
Administrative expenses 100,000
Total operating expenses 250,000
Operating income 450,000
Financial Expenses 20,000
Income before income taxes 430,000
Estimated Income Taxes 172,000
Net Profit 258,000
Balance Sheet (Statement of
Financial Position) versus
Income Statement
Understanding Key Financial Statements
(iii) Statement of Cash Flow (Cash-Flow)
➢ Analysis of cash availability & cash needs of business that shows effects of
company’s operating, investing & financing activities on its cash balance.
➢ Insolvency
If a business runs out of cash and cannot pay its suppliers or workers it is
insolvent.
The owners must raise extra finance or cease trading.
This is why planning ahead and drawing up a cash flow forecast is so
important.
Preparing Financial Statements
Budget
➢ One of the most powerful tools the entrepreneur can use in planning
financial operations.
Operating Budget
➢ A statement of estimated income & expenses over a specified period of time.
Cash Budget
➢ A statement of estimated cash receipts & expenditures over a specified
period of time.
Capital Budget
➢ The plan for expenditures on assets with returns expected to last beyond one
year.
The Operating Budget
• Forecasting
– Creating an operating budget through preparation of the sales forecast.
• Forecasting
– Linear regression: a statistical forecasting technique.
– Y = a + bx
• Y is a dependent variable—its value is dependent on the values of a, b, and x.
• x is an independent variable that is not dependent on any of the other variables
• a is a constant.
• b is the slope of the line of correlation (the change in Y divided by the change in
x).
F i g u re 1 0 . 1 Re g re s s i o n A n a l y s i s fo r Fo re c a st i n g
Y = a + bx
Instead of Y,
S = Projected Sales
Instead of x,
A = Advertising
Expenditures
S = a + bA
2 Initial Assumptions:
(1) If no money is spent on advertising (A), total
sales (S) will be $200,
(2) For every dollar spent on advertising (A), sales
(S) will be increased by two times that amount.
Table 10.5 North Central Scientific:
Sales Forecast for 20XX ($000)
❑ Minimum cash balance (desired by some firms – if not met, seek additional
financing)
Operating Budget
Cash Budget
Capital Budget
Budget
Table 10.9
Cash-Flow
Capital Budgeting
❖ Entrepreneur may be required to make several investment decisions in the
process of managing their firms.
➢ Capital budgeting ➔ a technique the entrepreneur can use to help plan for
capital expenditure.
1 $ 500 $ 100
2 400 200
3 300 300
4 20 400
5 11 500
N et P re s e nt Va l u e ( N P V ) M et h o d
1 500 0.9091 454.55
Proposal A
2 400 0.8264 330.56
3 300 0.7513 225.39
4 20 0.6830 13.66
5 10 0.6209 6.21
1030.37
Less: Initial outlay – 1000.00
* From present value tables
Net present value 30.37
YEAR CASH FLOW DISCOUNT FACTOR* P R E S E N T VAL U E
Proposal A
2 400 0.7996 319.84
11.83% IRR
3 300 0.7151 214.53
4 20 0.6394 12.80
5 10 0.5718 5.73
1000.00
Less: Initial outlay – 1000.00
* From present value tables
Net present value 0.00
YEAR CASH FLOW DISCOUNT FACTOR* P R E S E N T VAL U E
12.01% IRR
3 300 0.7117 213.51
4 400 0.6354 254.15
5 500 0.5673 283.65
1000.00
Less: Initial outlay – 1000.00
* From present value tables
Net present value 0.00
Pro Forma Statements
break-even point
General Manufacturing: Variable-Cost Assumption
break-even point
Example:
Ali decide to use break-even analysis as a profit
planning tool. From operating costs, Ali determined
variable cost per unit is RM 9, while fixed costs are
estimated as RM 1200 (per month). Anticipated
selling price (SP) per unit is RM 15.
Ali unable to classify one cost as either variable or fixed - a RM 200 repair
& maintenance expense allocation. This RM 200 is appropriate for activity
level of 400 units; so, if cost were variable, it would be RM 0.50 per unit
(from RM 200/400 unit or QC/U). Finally, sales are projected to be 400
units during the next budget period.
Ali decide to use break-even analysis as a profit planning tool.
From operating costs, Ali determined the variable cost per unit is RM 9, while fixed costs
estimated as RM 1200 (per month). Anticipated selling price (SP) per unit is RM 15.
Ali unable to classify one cost as either variable or fixed. It is a RM 200 repair & maintenance expense
allocation. This RM 200 is appropriate for activity level of 400 units; therefore, if the cost were
variable, it would be RM 0.50 per unit (from RM 200/400 unit or QC/U). Finally, sales are projected
to be 400 units during the next budget period.
S = Sales in units
QC as fixed costs QC as variable costs
RM 15 RM 9 RM 1200 RM 200 RM 15 RM 9
0 = (SP−VC) S − FC − QC 0 = [SP−VC− (QC/U)] S − FC
0 = (15−9) S − 1200 − 200 0 = [15−9− (200/400)] S − 1200
0 = (15−9) S − 1400 0 = [6− (0.50)] S − 1200 Ali
(15−9) S = 1400 [5.50] S = 1200
(6) S = 1400 S = 219
S = 234 (rounded to next unit)
Ratio Analysis
Ratios useful for:
➢ Anticipating conditions (predict firm’s earnings &
dividends) & as starting point for planning actions.
➢ Show relationships among financial statement accounts.
Horizontal Analysis
➢ Looks at financial statements &
ratios over time for positive &
2013 2014 2015
negative trends. R O I 0.82 0.94 1.1
Overall Efficiency Ratios
Sales Measures: Relative efficiency in
Sales-to-Assets = using total resources to produce
Asset Turnover Total Assets output (sales)
Net Profit
Return on Assets = before Tax Measures: How well assets
(ROA) have been employed by
Total Assets management
Net Profit
Return on Investment = before Tax
Measures: Return on
(ROI) Net Worth owner’s capital
Ratio Analysis: Financial Ratios
Current
Measures: Solvency – the
Assets number of dollar in current
Current = assets for every dollar in
Current
Liabilities current liabilities
Short term debt paying ability
Net Profit
Return on Measures: Return on owner’s
before Tax
Investment = capital or efficiency of net
Net Worth worth in generating net profit
(ROI) 16.1% ROI?
Total Measures: Financial Risk –
Liabilities the number of dollars of
Debt-To-Worth = debt owed for every $1 in
Net Worth
net worth
Ratio Analysis: Financial Ratios
Net Profit
Return on before Tax Measures: How well assets
Assets = employed by management
Total Assets to generate net profit
(ROA)
Sales Measures: Relative efficiency in
Sales-to-Assets = using total resources (assets) to
Asset Turnover Total produce output (sales)
Assets
Guidelines
Financial Measure
Good Average Poor