Factors Affecting Financial Shenanigans in The Per
Factors Affecting Financial Shenanigans in The Per
Factors Affecting Financial Shenanigans in The Per
ABSTRACT
This research aimed to obtain an empirical evidence about the effectiveness of fraud triangle in explaining the
tendency of financial shenanigans. To achieve these objectives, this research examined the factors that
influenced financial shenanigans consisting of 5 independent variables; three variables of pressure elements
(Financial Stability, External Pressure, and Financial Target); one variable of opportunity elements (Monitoring
Effectiveness); and one variable of rationalization elements (Auditor Change). The population of this research
was the companies in manufacturing sector listed in Indonesia Stock Exchange during 2017-2018. Total sample
of this research was 78 samples. For hypothesis testing, we used the logistic regression method. The results
showed that Financial Stability, External Pressure, and Monitoring Effectiveness has a significant influence
toward Financial Shenanigans, while Financial Target and Auditor Change has no effect on the tendency of
Financial Shenanigans.
Keywords: Financial Shenanigans, Fraud Triangle, Pressure, Opportunity, Rationalization
2. LITERATURE REVIEW AND to conduct fraud in financial report of the company will be
CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK higher.
H₁: Financial Stability has a positive effect on Financial
The Agency Theory. [6] stated that the agency theory Shenanigans
describes the relationship between the principal or
shareholders and the agent or management. This theory External Pressure. This variable is proxied by the ratio of
assumes that an individual acts according to his/her own leverage (LEV). Leverage is the amount of debt used to
interest. In the agency theory viewed by [7], the agency finance a company’s operation. In order to acquire a loan
relationship appears whenever one person or more (the from external party, a company must convince that it can
principal) hire another person(s) (or the agent) to provide afford to repay the loan. The pressure from external party
the service and then delegates the authority in decision makes the company try to present good performance or
making to the agent. The relationship between the principal financial ratios and high profit to attract the candidate
and agent can lead to the existence of asymmetrical investors. According to [10], when a company has a high
information, because the agent stands on the position that leverage ratio, it has a probability to create a false financial
has more information regarding the company than does the reporting.
principal. Under the asumption that individuals act to H₂: External Pressure has a positive effect on Financial
maximize their own interests, with the asymmetrical Shenanigans
information possessed will cause the agent to hide some
information which is unknown by the principal. Under this Financial Target. This variable is proxied by the ratio of
asymmetrical condition, an agent can manipulate the Return on Asset (ROA). ROA is used to measure the
accounting numbers presented in financial report. capability of management to generate the profit overally.
This analysis is then projected to the future to oversee the
Financial Shenanigans. According to [8], Financial company’s capability in generating the profits in the future.
Shenanigans is an action done by the management that According to [1], the higher the target ROA determined by
misleads the investors regarding the company performance. a company, the earning management is more likely to
This deception is intentionally done to bias the material happen as one of the financial report fraudulences.
facts, or to mislead the accounting menyesatkan and can H₃: Financial Target has a positive effect on Financial
affect or change the readers’ decision and assessment after Shenanigans
considering the wrong facts that have been presented.
Monitoring Effectiveness. The existence of fraudulent
Fraud Triangle Theory. This study is underlied by this practices in companies is the impact of monitoring
theory. Sutherland introduced the concept of fraud triangle ineffectiveness as a weakness of corporate governance.
initially in 1949, and the it was developed and reintroduced This phenomenon provides opportunity to company’s
by the Criminologist Dr. Donald R. Cressey (1953) in his agent, which is the manager to behave deviantly. Fraud can
study on embezzlement [9]. According to Cressey, there are be minimized by applying a good monitoring system.
three dominant factors underlying the fraud creation, which According to [3], by the existence of board of independent
are pressure, opportunity, and razionalitation / attitude. commissioner, the company’s monitoring system is
Based on [2], there are four types of general condition expected to be more effective and the fraud can be
applied in pressure that may cause the fraud, which are minimized. Therefore, monitoring effectiveness can be
financial stability, external pressure, individual financial proxied by the ratio board of independent commissioner
needs, and financial target. Meanwhile, the opportunity (BDOUT).
consitis of three condition categories, which are industrial H₄: Monitoring Effectiveness has a negative effect on
category, monitoring effectiveness, and organizational Financial Shenanigans
structure. The last component causing the fraud is
rationalization. This rationalization causes the fraud External Auditor Change. Auditor is an important
perpetrator to seek for justification of his/her conduct. supervisor in financial report. Information regarding a
company which is indicated having fraud usually comes
Financial Stability. This variable is proxied by the ratio of from the auditor. [11] stated that the more often a company
total asset change (ACHANGE). According to [2], changes its auditor, then the higher the risk of financial
managers face the pressure to conduct fraud in financial shenanigans in the company, because the fraud perpetrators
report when the financial stability and/or profitability is feel confident that their actions will not be detected due to
threatened by the condition of economic, industry, or the the auditor change.
operating entity. Companies try to enhance their good H₅: External Auditor Change has a positive effect on
outlook, one of them is by manipulating the information Financial Shenanigans
regarding the assets possessed. This proves that the higher
the ratio of total asset change of a company, the probability Based on those explanations, the conceptual framework in
this study is as follow:
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Pressure
Financial Stability (X1)
External Pressure (X2)
Financial Target (X3)
Opportunity
Monitoring Effectiveness (X4) Financial Shenanigans
Rationalization
External Auditor Change (X5)
1. Skousen et al. Detecting and 5 proxies of Pressure and Rapid asset growth, the increase
(2009) Predicting Financial 2 proxies of Opportunity of cash necessity, external
Shenanigans: The significantly affect the financing, external and internal
Effectiveness of The Fraud share ownership, BOD control,
Fraud Triangle and SAS the number of Independent
No. 99 Commissioner in Audit
Committee affect the increase of
Financial Shenanigans.
2. Ema The Analysis of Factors Financial Stability, All variables affect
Kurniawati Affecting Financial External Pressure, Financial Shenanigans, except the
(2012) Shenanigans in Fraud Transaction with Special auditor change done by the
Triangle Perspective Parties, and Public company
Accountant Change
3. Sukirman and The Model of Fraud Financial Stability, Only one variable, which is the
Sari (2012) Detection Based on External Pressure, Audit Report, has significant
Fraud Triangle Financial Target, effect on fraud, while others do
(A Case Study Among Industry Characteristics, not.
Public Companies in and Audit Report.
Indonesia)
4. Hanum and The Analysis of Factors Financial Stability, Financial Stability has positive
Sudrajat (2014) Affecting Financial Effective Monitoring, and significant effect on the risk
Shenanigans in Fraud and Auditor Change of Financial Shenanigans.
Triangle Perspective
5. Tiffani and Financial Shenanigans Financial Stability, Financial Stability, External
Marfuah (2015) Detection with Fraud External Pressure, Pressure, and Monitoring
Triangle Analysis Personal Financial Effectiveness have significant
Among Manufacturing Needs, Financial Target, effects on Financial Shenanigans.
Companies Listed in Industry Characteristics,
IDX Monitoring
Effectiveness, and
Auditor Change
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In this study, the population is the manufacturing From the secondary data collection, the number of samples
companies listed in Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) are 39 companies, so for two-year observation there are 78
during 2017-2018 [12]. The purposive sampling was used samples in total.
with the criteria as follows:
a. The manufacturing companies have been listed in IDX 3.2. Variables’ Operationalization
during the period of 2017-2018.
b. The manufacturing companies published their financial 3.2.1. Dependent Variable
reports and annual reports in IDX website in the years
of 2017 and 2018 consecutively. The dependent variable in ths study is Financial
c. The manufacturing companies use IDR denomination Shenanigans (FRAUD), which was measured by using the
in presenting their financial reports. Beneish M-Score Formula. The Beneish M-Score was
d. The data was completely available and published in the measured using eight financial ratios to identify whether the
years of 2017-2018 especially regarding the five companies had the indication to manipulate their income in
variables used in this study. the financial reports [13].
7. Total Accruals to Total Assets ∆𝑊𝑜𝑟𝑘𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝐶𝑎𝑝𝑖𝑡𝑎𝑙 − ∆𝐶𝑎𝑠ℎ − ∆𝐼𝑛𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒 𝑇𝑎𝑥 𝑃𝑎𝑦𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑒
(TATA) −𝐷𝑒𝑝𝑟𝑒𝑐𝑖𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝐸𝑥𝑝𝑒𝑛𝑠𝑒𝑡
𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝐴𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑠𝑡
8. Leverage Index (LVGI) 𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝐷𝑒𝑏𝑡𝑡 /𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝐴𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑠𝑡
𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝐷𝑒𝑏𝑡𝑡−1 /𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝐴𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑠𝑡−1
Source: Beneish (1997)
After calculating those ratios, the Beneish M-Score can be If the Benesih M-Score is greater than -2.22, the company
formulated as follow: can be categoried as conducting fraud. If the score is less
than -2.22, the company can be categoried as NOT
M-Score = -4.84 + 0.920 DSRI + 0.528 GMI + 0.404 AQI conducting fraud (non-fraud), The company indicated
+ 0.892 SGI + 0.115 DEPI - 0.172 SGAI - 0.327 LVGI + conducting fraud was given score 1, and the one does not
4.679 TATA was given score 0.
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Table 5
Moreover, the Omnibus Test of Model Coefficient can be Omnibus Test of Model Coefficients
used to show whether the logistic regression model used in Chi-square df Sig.
this study can explain the dependent variable (Financial
Shenanigans). The Omnibus Test of Model Coefficient was Step 1 Step 31.496 5 .000
conducted by comparing the significance value of Chi Block 31.496 5 .000
Square (p-value) to the significance level of 0.05. The Model 31.496 5 .000
model is significant in explaining the dependent variable, if Source: SPSS Output
the significance value of Chi Square (p-value) is less than
the significance level (0.05). The result of Omnibus Test of
Based on the test result, the significance value of Chi
Model Coefficient can be viewed in Table 5 as follow:
Square (p-value) is 0.000 which is less than the significance
level (0.05). Thus, this model is significant in explaining
the occurance of Financial Shenanigans.
Testing the Prediction Accuracy
Tabel 6
Classification Tablea
Predicted
FRAUD
Did Not Conducted Percentage
Observed Conduct Fraud Fraud Correct
Step 1 FRAUD Did Not Conduct Fraud 45 12 78.9
Conducted Fraud 15 24 61.5
Overall Percentage 71.9
Source: SPSS Output
The prediction of model accuracy using a 2x2 Classification classification accuracy is 61.5%. Therefore, the overall
Table shows that the number of companies not conducting classification accuracy is 71.9%.
fraud (0) was 57, while the observation result only shows
45 companies, thus the classification accuracy is 78.9%. In Coefficient of Determination (Nagelkerke R-Square).
predicting the companies conducting fraud (1), the number Dalam logistic regression, CD (or 𝑅2 ) is used to measure
is 39, while the observation result only shows 24, thus the the variation in dependent variable that can be explained by
the independent variables.
Table 7. Nagelkerke R-Square Test Result The value of Nagelkerke R-Square is 0.377 (or 37.7%).
Model Summary Based on the value of Nagelkerke R-Square, it can be
-2 Log Cox & Snell Nagelkerke R concluded that the independent variables consisting of
Step Likelihood R Square Square Financial Stability (ACHANGE), External Pressure (LEV),
Financial Target (ROA), Monitoring Effectiveness
1 98.193a .280 .377 (BDOUT), and External Auditor Change (AUDCHANGE)
Source: SPSS Output affect Financial Shenanigans as much as 37.7%, while the
remaining 62.3% variation in Financial Shenanigans is
affected by other variables that are not included in this
study.
Parameter Estimation and Interpretation
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The test was conducted using the significance value of 0.05. the Return on Asset (ROA) and External Auditor Change
If the p-value is less than 0.05, then the hypothesis is (AUDCHANGE) do not have significant effects on
accepted. Meanwhile, if the p-value is greater than 0.05, Financial Shenanigans.
then the hypothesis is rejected.
Limitations. The Authors realize that this study is not
The Results of Hypothesis Testing perfect yet, thus there is still a lot of weaknesses and
limitations that occurred during the research conduct, such
a. The effect of Financial Stability on Financial as: (1) The samples were only limited to manufacturing
Shenanigans. The variable of Financial Stability has a companies listed in IDX in the periods of 2017-2018; (2)
beta coefficient of 4.226 with the significance value of This study only used five independent variables as proxies
0.037. This result shows that H₁ was accepted, which to the components of Fraud Triangle, which are Financial
means that Financial Stability has a significant effect on Stability, External Pressure, Financal Target, Monitoring
Financial Shenanigans. This result is in line with the Effectiveness, and External Auditor Change. Meanwhile,
study conducted by [3], but not in line with the study there are still many other proxies of Fraud Triangle; (3) The
conducted by [11]. research period is only limited to two years (2017-2018),
b. The effect of External Pressure on Financial while to predict the tendency of Financial Shenanigans
Shenanigans. The variable of External Pressure has a needs a long period of time in order to acquire the more
beta coefficient of 1.717 with the significance value of consistent result.
0.025. This result shows that H₂ was accepted, which
means that External Pressure has a significant effect on Suggestions. Based on the conclusions and limitations of
Financial Shenanigans. This result is in line with the this study, some suggestions can be provided as follows: (1)
study conducted by [1] as well as [5], but not in line with Add the category of samples, such as the financial
the study conducted by [15]. companies (banking) and non-financial companies in other
c. The effect of Financial Target on Financial sectors, to predict the tendency of financial report
Shenanigans. The variable of Financial Target has a fraudulence; (2) Add other proxies of Fraud Triangle
beta coefficient of 1.948 with the significance value of components so that the research scope can be broadened,
0.519. This result shows that H₃ was rejected, which especially for the proxy of rationalization which needs more
means that there is no significant effect of Financial attention, because this research is still unable to show the
Target on Financial Shenanigans. This result is in line significant effect; (3) Expand the period of observation in
with the study conducted by [15], but different from the order to predict the financial report fraudulence more
study conducted by [16] accurately and effectively.
d. The effect of Monitoring Effectiveness on Financial
Shenanigans. This variable has a beta coefficient of -
16.247 with the significance value of 0.000. This result
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