GB Training Dmaic
GB Training Dmaic
GB Training Dmaic
D M A I C
Six Sigma
Green Belt TRAINING
GB TRG MATERIAL Slide 1 Proprietary to Wipro Ltd
Successful leaders have made Six Sigma their way of conducting business.
- Azim Premji, Chairman,
Wipro Limited
6 Sigma as a metric
P R O J E C T
A philosophy :
Successful leaders have made Six Sigma their way of conducting business.
- Azim Premji, Chairman,
Wipro Limited
‘Six sigma is the best training that an organization can give to its employees,
it’s even better than sending them to Harward Business School.’
- Jack Welch, Former CEO, GE
Target 0 days
-20 -10 0 10 20
-20 -10 0 10 20
Don’t worry,
That rope is
one inch thick
on average.
DMAIC Overview
DEFINE
The Problem
MEASURE
Y ( Outcome) DMAIC applies to an existing process
Validate Measurement System that needs improvement
ANALYZE
Baseline Y and Set Goal
Identify X’s(Variation Sources)
IMPROVE
Quantify X’s
CONTROL
Control X’s
DMAIC
Establish CTQ Characteristics
A CTQ is a
Business CTQ
Product or Service
that satisfies a
Internal CTQ
Customer Requirement
OR
Project CTQ
Process Requirement
Operational Excellence
Cost Reduction
Productivity Improvement
Employee Satisfaction
Customer Satisfaction
Sales Growth
Profitability
Key concepts
Customer CTQs
Survey results
Service reviews
Meetings
VOC Table
Complaints Interviews
More structured methods & tools are available to convert Customer CTQs /
Business CTQs into internal CTQs / CBPs
CTQ Drill-down
Improve
Profitability
Increase Offshore
Reducing
Realization Business
cost
or Billing rate Model
More
Manpower Travel & High End
Infrastr. cost New Geos Offshore
cost overheads Practices
component
A 36 B 47 C 31 D 18
A4 B 27 C1 D4
52 Defects 36 Defects
DMAIC
Define a Project
What is Scoping?
Types of Scoping
Longitudinal Scoping
Lateral Scoping
Longitudinal Scoping
e.g. – From the time a bug is assigned to the time it is submitted for fix
e.g. – From the time of customer reporting the complaint till final satisfaction confirmation
Mostly the ‘start’ & ‘end’ points are baton change points
SIPOC
Tool
P
Process
3
S
S I 1 2 5
O C I
P
O
C
Process Boundary
Example - SIPOC
Process Name
Starting point: User sending a mail to Helpdesk
End point: Call logging in the Tool/Email Response to the Customer
Pre-defined Terminator
Document
Process
Manual Manual
Delay
Operation Input
Lateral Scoping
CTQ Drill down and pareto analysis will help in effective lateral scoping
Scoping Techniques
Project boundary
Quantify Benefits
Projection of Benefits
Enhanced productivity
Our customers are angry with us and thus delay paying their bills.
In the last 3 months, 12% of our customers are late, by over 45 days in
paying their bills. This represents 20% of our outstanding receivables &
When
Consequence
What Magnitude
D M AIC
Establish
Performance
Parameters
Introduction - MEASURE
A robust measurement system forms the basis of any Six Sigma project
Recall..One
picture is
better than
1000 words
Process Mapping is a graphic display of steps & activities that constitute a process
Enables seeing that changes are not made in a vacuum and will carry through,
Helps re-examine (if needed) the scope and charter of your project
despatch
as reject
no
baking top
additional additional hot air squeezing water hot air squeezin water baking primer
as per coating additional additional ? no
inspection drying by rubber quenching drying g by as per coating
cold air cold air thickness wf t=55-65 cold air quenching cold air end
temp-100 - roll temp=100 wf t-15-18 Paint
drying drying pmt-224 visco-58-65 drying (r.t.) rubber thickness drying
110 Deg C Deg C visc-30 sec peel off
2 burner roll -
yes
continuous squeezin hot squeezin cold (room squeezin wet squeezin chromating coating baking
hot air water hot air
degreasing g by water g by g by scrubbing on back side as per g.p.
uncoiling of temp) g by concn- 0.8 - drying drying
rinsing 30 wft thickness quenching complaint
coil concn-0.3-0.4 rubber rubber water rinsing rubber by scoth rubber 1.2 temp-100 temp -90-
temp=80 Deg C visco-30 -35 PMT -224 raising by
temp-80 Deg roll roll roll bright Ph-1.2-2.0 Deg C 100 Deg C
sec
customer
START
2 stage
POINT testing of ph , concn. , squeezing
squeezing by
temp, by rubber
rubber roll visit to
of water , degreasing roll & CPC
customer for
and chromating assesment
replacement /
rework end
Teams can use this structure for processes that move across functions
Step
Function 1 Step 5
4
Step 6 Step 7
Function 4
The pain areas (identified at the time of project selection) must be within the
selected scope
Guard against analyzing the process at this stage, just map as-it-is
Take care of Parallel & Sequential activities for Cycle time reduction projects
Improvement can only occur if we understand where we are & where to go, supported
by a measurement system that validates both situations
Have you reached where you intended to? -- only data answers that question
It’s rightly said…If you can’t Measure it, you can’t improve it.
An Operational Definition is a precise description that tells how to get a value for the
characteristic you are trying to measure. It includes what something is and how to
measure it
Purpose:
Removes ambiguity – common understanding of defect definition
I’ve reduce patient’s waiting time…at which stage or what is the start & end point
Operational Definition
Unit of What to Measure How to Measure
Measurement
Performance Operational Data source Sample Who will When will How will Other data that
measure (Y) definition and size collect the data be data be should be
location data collected collected collected at the
same time
Source of Data: IS System (Pure), Manual, Hybrid (IS System with manual
intervention )
Process owner
Any stratification reqd/ recommended: SLA w.r.t. Skill calls, spare calls, EC Vs FE
Challenges in authenticity of data: Like RE Call closure may not reflect 100%
Types of Data
Discrete data
Data that can take a limited number of values (Pass / Fail, OK / Not OK, W in / Loss)
Examples
Days in a week
Continuous Data
Examples
Height of a person
Large sample sizes are required to measure higher Sigma multiples for discrete data
8:30 AM 11:00 AM
A B C D
What is Baseline?
Historical data may have measurement errors like operational definition issues,
which can lead to wrong projection of the Baseline
Introduction to Sampling
Sample
Population
D M AIC
Validate
Measurement System
for ‘Y’
DM AIC
Establish
Process
Baseline
Defects
Business Problem
A project team wants to reduce the total waiting time taken in hospital (from reception
to discharge). Team has randomly collected the following data of last 3 weeks for the
waiting time for few patients/ customers :--
USL decided by Management based on other hospitals study is decided at 60 Minutes max.
USL: Upper Specification Limit for a Performance Standard. Anything above this is a defect.
2a Discrete Data
That means I would count the number of patients who had to wait more than 60
minutes
Every DPMO value relates to a particular Sigma Multiple or ZST value. In this case, this
process is working at 3.00 Sigma multiple
The same can be calculated by Given Excel template also.
ZST ZST
2b Continuous Data
Let’s treat the data of the waiting time data as Continuous and calculate Base Line
Sigma
USL : 60 Minutes
This process is working at 1.54 Sigma multiple ( ZST = 1.54, or DPMO = 484750).
Can you notice the difference in Z ST & DPMO values by treating the same data in
- +
70 80 90 100 110 120 130
Higher frequency of values around the mean & lesser & lesser at values away from mean
Bell shaped
Figure 3.02
- +
µ
- 1σ + 1σ
68.26%
- 2σ + 2σ
95.46%
- 3σ + 3σ
99.73%
- 4σ + 4σ
99.9937%
- 5σ + 5σ
99.99943%
- 6σ + 6σ
99.999998%
DM AIC
Define
Performance
Goals
Benchmarking Exercise
Benchmarking
Competitive
Key Concepts
If the existing process has to be improved, then the improvement goal should be
chosen only after proving statistically that it can be achieved only due to change,
& not by chance , I.e; the probability of achieving the goal with the current process
should be very low (generally <5%)
In Minitab, Graphical summary command is used to identify the right target, that is
outside of 95% probability band of current data set.(Target can be set on mean as well
as std deviation)
Summary for June
A nderson-Darling Norma lity Test
A -Squared 351.69
P -V alue < 0.005
M ean 160.41
S tDev 483.73
V ariance 233992.60
S kew ness
K urto sis
9.161
12 3. 073
Any value, outside
N 1477
M inimum 1.77
this band will be a
1 st Q u art ile
M edian
2 3. 49
50.75 good target, as the
3 rd Q u ar ti le 9 2. 88
0 1200 2400 3600 4800 6000 7200 8400 M a xi mu m 8 35 4. 38 chances of getting
95% C onfidence Interval for Mean
135.72 185.10 it by current
95% C onfidence Interval for Median
46.95 55.05
process is <5%
95% C onfidence Interv al for StDev
95% Confidence Intervals
466.89 501.83
Mean
Median
DM AIC
Identify
Variation
Sources
Y X
Dependent Independent
Effect Cause
Symptom Problem
Monitor Control
Identifying & prioritizing X’s could be done using both non-statistical & statistical tools
Fishbone
Focus on identifying potential root causes
Pareto Diagram
Stratification
Chi-square test
ANOVA
Identification Tools
Even though it provides a short-list, it’s not an effective prioritization tool because short-listing
is not done on any mathematical basis
Use of Process mapping requires studying the micro as-is process mapped in step 2
earlier & walking through it
All ideas are important, don’t out rightly reject any idea
To ensure this, project teams could use the round-robin method of idea generation
Fishbone
It works on the principal of asking ‘why’ to each cause till you reach the ‘root cause’
F
i
s
h
b
o
n
e
Characteristics of a Fishbone
Characteristics of a Fishbone
Fishbone Structure
Effect
Backbone
Cause 31
Cause 3
Fishbone Structure
Effect
Backbone
Cause 31
Cause 3
Fishbone Structure
Effect
Backbone
Cause 31
Cause 3
Fishbone Example
No
Lack of training maintenance
Printer error on listening skills Problem with
CRM not saving the instrument
data properly Rough
handling
Wrong Customer
Backbone Details
No credit card verification
Root-cause 1
Foul order No cross-check
Root-cause 2
Key Concepts
It’s difficult to judge how many levels one needs to explore in a fishbone
Sometimes project teams may hit the root-cause at multi-voting / process mapping
level, but they may do a further root-cause for the sake of it
In such cases, it is always a good idea to see if there is further scope for exploring by
asking ‘why’
Always remember that we are trying to identify controllable X’s , what can not
be controlled – can not be a root-cause
One must be able to see the effect on ‘Y’ when values / levels of root-causes are
changed
Prioritization Tools
Pareto diagram works on the 80:20 rule of 20% causes contributing to 80% of defects
Co-relation & Regression help in identifying the movement of continuous ‘Y’ with
respect to continuous ‘X’
ANOVA & Chi-square help in identifying the movement of continuous / discrete ‘Y’
with respect to discrete ‘X’
Failure Mode & Effect Analysis (FMEA) identifies the process failure modes &
assigns a number to it that helps to prioritize the actionables
Pareto Diagram
A graphical tool for ranking causes form most significant (Vital Few) to least significant (Trivial many).
Based on Pareto principle, which was first defined by J.M Juran in 1950. Pareto principle was made Tool
after 19th century Italian economist V. Pareto (1897). Most effects come from relatively few causes.
Also known as 80:20 Principle.
Pareto diagram indicates which area should be taken up first in eliminating defects and improving
operations.
Pareto Diagram
70 100
60
80
50
t t
n 60 n
u 40 e
o c
r
C 30 e
40 P
20
20
10
0 0
t i m e d y l a t e m d y g
a t i i n
i n g o n
o t r e a u p c j a
i
f
f
o
t r e a w
c o m t e s
o h
n k e
W o T r a a s t
f
n B u s
s
u n o t
l
C B r e
a k
B
Count 25 18 15 6 5 2
Percent 35.2 25.4 21.1 8.5 7.0 2.8
Cum % 35.2 60.6 81.7 90.1 97.2 100.0
Depending upon the data characteristics of Y & X, we can choose the appropriate tool
Correlation
Continuous & ANOVA
Regression
Y
Identify
opportunities for
Discrete converting ‘Y’ Chi-square
into a continuous
one or use FMEA
Continuous Discrete
X
Regression
While correlation tells us only about the direction of movement, it does not
throw much light on degree of movement in one variable with respect to Tool
movement in another
Regression of ‘Y’ on ‘X’ results in a transfer function equation that can be used to
predict the value of ‘Y’ for given values of ‘X’
R
Y = f ( X ) e
g
r
e
s
‘Y’ can be regressed on one or more X’s simultaneously s
i
o
Simple linear regression is for one X n
It is similar to Two-way ANOVA we have discussed in step 5, except for the difference
that X’s used in ANOVA were discrete
Suppose we are trying to predict rent of an apartment based on the size of the
apartment & its distance from the main commercial area. We gather the following
information as below. If you are looking for a two-bedroom apartment 2 miles from the
main area, what rent should you expect to pay?
Y X1 X2
Regression Analysis
The regression equation is
Analysis of Variance
Source DF SS MS F P
Total 5 33518750
For a 2 bedroom apartment 2 miles away from main area, expected rent could be INR
3614 per month
ANOVA
A
N
O
V
A
ANOVA Example
A team puts great emphasis on customer satisfaction. For some weeks, the ratings
seemed to suffer & the manager tried to identify the factors that could be causing this.
He chooses two of the potential discrete factors as ‘Team’ that handles the call & ‘Shift’
in terms of A & B. Which factor is vital?
Team Shift Rating
Desktop A 3.4
DC A 4.5
Desktop A 3.2
DC A 4.8
Desktop A 3.6
DC A 4.2
Desktop A 4.1
DC A 4.6
Desktop A 3.1
DC A 5
Desktop B 3.5
DC B 4.2
Desktop B 4.6
DC B 4.9
Desktop B 3.5
DC B 4.1
Desktop B 4.3
DC B 4.7
Desktop B 3.4
DC B 3.8
ANOVA Example
Two-way Analysis of Variance
Team that handles the call seems to be more important than shift
In other words, two levels of the team, Desktop & DC, are significantly different in their average
ratings (between 'team' variation)
However, error is quite high (within ‘team’ variation) which implies that there are other factors
contributing to variation in ratings
Typically, FMEA is applied on the output of root-cause analysis, & is a better tool for
focus / prioritization as compared to multi-voting
Effect
Severity
Control
Detectability
Severity is the seriousness of the effect of the failure mode on the customer
Rating Scale:
Occurrence is the probability that a specific cause will result in the particular failure mode
Rating Scale:
Rating Scale:
FMEA Table
DMA C I
Explore
Potential
Causes
FMEA
x1 x7 = 38%
x2 x6 = 27% Vital X’s
x3 x2 = 12%
x4
x5 Exploration of x9 = 4%
x6 the y-x x10= 4%
x7 relationship x5 = 2%
x8 x1
Trivial X’s σ error
x9 x3
x10 x4
x11 x8 = 13%
x12 x11
x12
Fishbone
DMA C I
Design Counter-Measures
Counter-Measure Matrix
Counter Measure Matrix is used to arrive at action to be taken on a root cause that
would lead to the desired result Tool
If there are more than one counter-meas ure for a root cause, then the counter
meas ure is prioritized usi ng three parameters C
o
u
n
Each counter-measure is given a rating on a scale of 1-7 (higher the better) & overall t
e
r
-M
score is calculated by multiplying the 3 ratings, one with the best score is chosen
e
a
s
u
er
M
a
t
r
i
x
DMAI C
Develop Control Mechanism
So far, we have identified the best settings for each of the vital ‘X’
The key now is to ensure that the X’s don’t vary away from the targeted setting
Process control is a crucial tool in ensuring that this Six Sigma project delivers lasting
benefits
Correction Loop
Prevention
Prevention &
Detection
Mistake-Proofing (Poka-Yoke)
Advantages of Mistake-Proofing
Provide guidelines
Check-lists
SOP’s
Templates
Use visuals
Color-codes
Shapes
S
In DMAIC, we apply SPC to control X’s (remember ‘Y’ is only monitored) t
a
t
i
s
t
i
c
a
However, sometimes applying SPC to ‘Y’ can also be beneficial in detecting trends l
P
or
c
About SPC e
s
s
Aids visual monitoring & controlling C
o
Depends heavily on data collection n
t
r
o
l
Control charts are useful for tracking process statistics over time and detecting the
presence of special causes
A process is in control when most of the points fall within the bounds of the control
limits, and the points do not display any nonrandom patterns
0.135%
UCL = µ + 3σ
99.73% CL
LCL = µ - 3σ
0.135%
Out of control point
e
m
i
t
UCL
g
n
i Excellent Work Change the transporter??
d
a
o
L
LCL
5. Two out of three successive points more than 2σ on the same side of the
centerline
6. Four out of five successive points beyond 1σ on the same side of the centerline
8. Eight points in a row with none between 1σ on either side of center line
Continuous Data
Discrete Data
Defectives Defects
P-chart U - chart
Average Handle Time (AHT) by an agent is a vital ‘X’ for productivity. This is monitored
periodically to keep it within desired operating range.
1 65
2 69
3 67
4 66
5 63
6 70
7 71
8 68
9 64
10 69
11 63
12 68
13 84
14 81
15 68
I-MR
I &Chart of Temperature
MR Chart of AHT
1
5 UC L=82.93
80
e
u
l
a
V
l _
a 70
u X=69.07
d
i
v
i
d
n
I 60
LC L=55.20
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Observation
UC L=17.04
16
e
g 12
n
a
R
g 8
n
i
v
__
o MR=5.21
M 4
0 LCL=0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Observation
P Control Chart
A call center receiving calls will have to closed within specified SLA. Team has
collected data every hour to monitor process control
0.3 UCL=0.2906
n
o
i
t
r 0.2
o
p
o
r
P
_
0.1 P=0.0944
0.0 LCL=0
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Sample
Tests performed with unequal sample sizes
Do not apply SPC tools to processes that are known to be out on control
Do not ignore ‘out-of-control’ signals if your ‘Y’ is meeting the specifications & ‘X’ is
meeting the operating limits
It’s quite possible that ‘X’ is under control, but ‘Y’ is out-of-spec’s
I-MR charts
( stage wise )
Control Plan
QFD / VOC
FMEA / Fishbone
Process Owners
SOP’s
P R O J E C T
Q City : http://qcity.wipro.com:8080/hive/index.jsp
KM Link : http://knetsites.wipro.com/sites/1010/Pages/Default.aspx
Thank You
Improvement is a Journey…
and Improvement is a Journey…
and
Tog etherTog
Weether
Will
We Will
161
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