MODULE 7

Applying Climate Information

to Development Planning
AT THE END OF THIS MODULE,
YOU SHOULD LEARN ABOUT:
● how (mean) climate data is being
used for development planning in
the Philippines
● cases of successful implementation
of projects, backed by climate data
● how climate extremes data can
provide additional information to
improve development planning
USE OF CLIMATE DATA FOR DECISION-
MAKING AND ACTIONS:
CDRA and LCCAP process
LCCAP

Enhanced LCCAP
CDRA CDRA Process
Step 1: Collect and organize climate
change and hazard information

Step 2: Scope the potential impacts of

hazards and climate change

Step 3: Develop the Exposure Database

Step 4: Conduct Climate Change

Vulnerability Assessment

Step 5: Conduct Risk Assessment

Step 6: Summarize the Finding

 CLIRAM
CLIMATE INFORMATION RISK
ANALYSIS MATRIX
The CLIRAM Tool
 CERAM
Climate Extremes Risk Analysis Matrix
 CLIRAM CERAM
tool that uses seasonal new tool that provides
mean climate projections projected changes in terms
that provides projected of climate extreme indices
changes in the mid- and in three time periods
late- 21st century
 CERAM Provincial Tables

BASELINE:
 CERAM Provincial Tables

FUTURE PERIOD:
Key Sectors Health

Environment &
Agriculture Biodiversity

Infrastructure
Water
 ACCOMPLISHING THE CERAM TOOL

UTILIZATION OBTAIN INFORMATION ABOUT

THE PROJECTED CHANGES IN
it is recommended that it be
EXTREMES
accomplished by sector
done by analyzing the projected
change for the target period under
the two scenarios

IDENTIFICATION OF HISTORICAL ANALYSIS

CLIMATE-RELATED HAZARDS
users’ interpretation of the level of
AND CORRESPONDING IMPACTS
change to the hazards & impacts
allow users to link the baseline
derived from the baseline values
values to the present situation of
their localities
 Meteorological
Event Rx1day Hazards

Strong Storm
winds Surge
Tropical
cyclones
Heavy Flood
Rainfall
Landslide
Monsoons

Heavy Flashflood/
Rainfall Flood
ITCZ Strong Landslide
winds
describes the largest
amount of rain that Lightning/
Thunder
falls on any single day.
Risks related to hazards
Storm Flood Landslide Lightning
Strong
winds Surge / Thunder

Direct damage to Direct damage to Direct damage to

Damage to Submergence of seeds plants
plants plants
plant/leaves and plants Delay farm activity
Crop submergence
Delay farm activities Falling of corn tassel
Uneven distribution of Delay of activity
seeds
Decrease in water Decrease in water Decrease in water Decrease in water
quality quality quality quality Siltation due to
Siltation due to soil soil erosion
erosion

Injuries and deaths Injuries and deaths Injuries and deaths Injuries and deaths Injuries and deaths
Water borne diseases
Presence of insects

Power failure Power failure Damage to roads and Damage to roads and Damage to structure
Damage to roads and Damage to roads and bridges bridges and properties and properties
bridges bridges

Displacement from Displacement from Displacement from Environmental

habitat habitat habitat degradation
 Historical Reports
Rx1day
On 17 December 2005,
rainfall of 77 millimeters
caused by typhoon
Quedan resulted to
flashfloods in Calapan
City.

Impacts
● Large river discharges
● Flood as most barangays are flood-prone
● Agricultural losses.
 RCP4.5 RCP8.5

85.6
(3.8) Rx1day 84.0
(2.2)

Maximum 1-day total rainfall Maximum 1-day total rainfall

will increase by 3.8 mm. will increase by 3.8 mm.
Extreme events TCs and Extreme events TCs and
monsoons may induce more monsoons may induce more rain
rain in the future. in the future.
 Projected Agriculture Adaptation
Impact Sector Option

INCREASE
IN
RAINFALL
CAUSE
FLOOD

● immersion of ● Floating agriculture

seeds/seed washout ● Recommended rice
● submergence of varieties
plants ● Early Warning
● decrease yield systems

RICE YIELD LOSS

BY UP TO 1.5%
Rx1day
SAMPLE CERAM (Rx1day)

Agriculture
Sector
 Agriculture
SAMPLE CERAM (Temperature) Sector
 Agriculture
SAMPLE CERAM (Rainfall) Sector
 Projected Water Sector Adaptation
Impact Option
10%
INCREASE
IN EXTREME
RAINFALL

● Increased surface ● Accommodation

runoff INDUCE to flooding
● Increased flooding ● Riparian buffers
8%
potential
INCREASE
IN RUNOFF Rx1day
 Projected Agriculture Adaptation
Impact Sector Option

A 1°C INCREASE
IN NIGHT
MINIMUM
TEMPERATURE ● Adapting crop
● Decrease in yield breeding varieties
of up to 10%
(RCP4.5) or 15%
(RCP8.5
● Increased spikelet RICE YIELD
degeneration
DECLINES BY
UP TO 10% Insert animation
of thermometer TNn
 Projected Health Adaptation
Impact Sector Option

A 1°C INCREASE
IN NIGHT
MINIMUM
TEMPERATURE
● Increased ● Long-lasting
mosquito insecticidal bed
reproduction and nets
biting activity ● Rapid diagnostic
● More intense 233 NEW testing
transmission CASES OF ● Immunization
DENGUE* programs

*Study conducted in Metro Manila

Insert animation
of thermometer TNn
 Projected Environment & Adaptation
Impact Biodiversity Option

A 1°C INCREASE
IN NIGHT
MINIMUM
TEMPERATURE
● Decrease in plant ● Natural regeneration
growth of adapted plant
● Up to 30% habitat species
loss ● Managed relocation
● Increased 3-32% HABITAT ● Managing for habitat
migration LOSS & 59-736 type
METERS MIGRATION
RATE PER YEAR DUE
TO FEWER FOOD
SUPPLY
Insert animation
of thermometer TNn
PRCPTOT

Historical Reports/
Impacts
● Total annual wet-day rainfall of 1992.7
mm is mostly due to occurences of
thunderstorms, Asian monsoon, ITCZ,
LPA, and tropical cyclones events. These
events have triggered incidences of
flooding in the past.
 RCP4.5 PRCPTOT RCP8.5

22.3 22.5
(0.2) (0.4)

Minimal decrease to total annual

Minimal decrease to total annual
wet-day rainfall of 22 mm (-
wet-day rainfall of 50.2 mm (-
1.1%). Past extremes events may 2.5%). Past extremes events may
continue in the future. continue in the future.

Same vulnerability to the present may continue in the future.

 Infrastructure
Projected Adaptation
Sector
Impact Option

Same vulnerability
to the present may
continue in the
future.

Same risks unless

● Potential flooding ● Drainage systems
current
may continue to ● All Weather Schools
pose damages on vulnerabilities are ● Community-based
roads and bridges addressed. hazard mapping

PRCPTOT
Climate Extremes Report 2020

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