HGF432 Kuliah 1 Systems Thinking SCP

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HGF432 ALAM SEKITAR LESTARI

DR. ASYIRAH ABDUL RAHIM

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PEMIKIRAN SISTEM
(SYSTEMS THINKING)

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The Ragweed Problem
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• A problem from the 1950s.

• Rachael Carson 1962 Silent Spring, page 80.

• “Ragweed, the bane of hay fever sufferers,


offers an interesting example of the way that
efforts to control nature sometimes
boomerang.”
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But, this action leads to more ragweed next


year. Why? 5
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Prevalence
+ of allergies

B +
Extent of infestation Extent of spraying
by Annual Ragweed - with broad-spectrum
(Ambrosia artemisiifolia) herbicides
+ R
Extent of -
Area of bare
ground perennial
vegetation
- cover
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The Freeway Trap
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The Freeway Trap
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Persistent Problems We lead

“… in our view, the persistence of so many of the problems


facing humankind in the modern world is to a large extent
due to the excessive compartmentalisation, fragmentation,
and specialism which are so characteristic of education,
research and government today.”

Boyden et al. (1981), xiii. Emphasis added.

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Persistent Problems
“There is an urgent need for more intellectual effort aimed at
improving knowledge and understanding of the patterns of
interplay between different cultural and natural processes in
human situations, and of the principles relevant to this
interplay.”

Boyden et al. (1981), xiii. Emphasis added.

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Persistent Problems We lead

Persistent (or stubborn) problems can result from feedback


effects. Such problems cannot be solved by silo thinking –
they need a ‘systems approach’. This requires attention to
two sets of critical interactions:
• The cross-sector feedback interactions that can cause
unwanted outcomes.
• The quality of the communication between people with
different views of the problem.

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Cross-Sector Feedback We lead

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Cross-Sector Feedback
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Systems Thinking We lead

Why is systems thinking important?


• Feedback systems can react to policy interventions in surprising
ways. This is true even in systems that have simple structures.
• Systems Principle
• In a complex system all actions can produce expected and
unexpected outcomes. The expected outcomes may or may not
occur; unexpected outcomes always occur.

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Systems Principle
• The behaviour of a social-ecological system emerges from
feedback interactions between its parts.

• Therefore, you cannot improve the behaviour of such a system


by working to improve the performance of the parts taken
separately. You must work on the whole system.

Systems Thinking
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The Complexity Dilemma
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1. A feedback system is a set of parts (elements, actors) that interact to


constrain each other’s behaviour.

2. Problematic behaviour in such a system typically emerges from the


interactions (interplay) between its parts.

3. Therefore, you can’t solve the problem by changing one or more of


the parts taken in isolation (silo thinking).

4. You have to take account of the system as a whole.

5. But, when you try to do this, you are overwhelmed by the complexity
of the system. It seems that there is no practical way to take a systems
approach.
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• Example of social system – ecosystem interaction


– Destruction of marine animals by commercial fishing

http://www.gerrymarten.com/human-ecology/images/01-1-english.jpg
Beza antara Loop R dan B We lead
Mod asas kelakuan sistem We lead
Pertumbuhan Eksponential We lead

• Pertumbuhan eksponential terbentuk


daripada putaran pengukuhan (reinforcing)
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• Cooking fuel and deforestration in India

http://www.gerrymarten.com/human-ecology/images/01-1-english.jpg
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• Chain of effects through social system and ecosystem when biofuel generators are
introduced to villages

http://www.gerrymarten.com/human-ecology/images/01-1-english.jpg
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SUSTAINABLE CONSUMPTION AND


PRODUCTION
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DEFINITION OF SCP We lead

“the use of goods and services that respond to basic needs


and bring a better quality of life, while minimizing the use
of natural resources, toxic materials and emissions of
waste and pollutants over the life cycle, so as not to
jeopardize the needs of future generations”

The Oslo Ministerial Roundtable Conference on SCP, 1994

Source: EPU, 2013 25


DEFINITION OF SCP We lead

SCP is
“efforts by various stakeholders in achieving
environmental quality through efficient utilization of
natural resources, minimization of wastes, and
optimization of products and services”

World Business Council for Sustainable Development

Source: EPU, 2013 26


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SCP is a holistic approach that encompasses the triple bottom


line of sustainable development, focusing on increasing
efficiency and preventing unnecessary wastage of resources.

“more and better with less”


- Reducing resource use
- Reducing degradation and pollution along the life cycle of
goods and services
- Enhance the quality of life and well-being for all

Source: EPU, 2013


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• Despite recent improvements in resource


efficiency, developed countries economies
continue to be based on resource-intensive
consumption and production patterns,
therefore, increasing the use of resources.
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Source: EPU, 2013


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• Local Agenda 21 states that achieving sustainable


development will require both efficiency in the
production process as well as changes in
consumption patterns
– Use of alternative energy sources such as renewable
energy
– Reducing waste through reduce, reuse and recycle
practices
– Providing environmentally related product information
such as green labelling
– Raising consumers’ awareness programmes
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Source: EPU, 2013
Changing production patterns We lead

Supply side of life cycle

Source: EPU, 2013


Changing Consumption Patterns We lead

Demand side of life cycle

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Source: EPU, 2013
Life Cycle Thinking We lead

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Source: EPU, 2013
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• From linear to cycle

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