DBB1103-Unit 02-Economic Environment
DBB1103-Unit 02-Economic Environment
DBB1103-Unit 02-Economic Environment
2.1 Introduction
In the previous unit, we studied about the social environment of business. In
this unit we will study the economic environment of business. A company
has to work within the economic framework of the country. The economic
framework is the level of income in the country, the external conditions that
affect the economy, and theeconomic policies that affect the economy. The
economic environment affects the way a business operates. When the
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economy is growing and business is booming, there will be more jobs and
people have greater purchasing power. This means companies are able to
sell more, and introduce new products and expand the business. External
factors like slowdown in global economies can affect companies that sell in
international markets. Rise in oil prices can affect the transportation costs.
Hence, when a company has to decide which product to sell, or at what
price, it has to consider the economic environment that it operates in. This
unit explains what is meant by the economic environment of business.
Objectives:
After studying this unit, you should be able to:
recognize the Nature of the Economic Environment in which business
operates.
discuss the Global Economic Environment
explain how Fiscal and Monetary Policy operates
identify the ways Economic Policies can change Aggregate Demand
The above facts define the environment in which modern firms must
operate. Thus the things which a business has to keep in mind are:
Market or the Non-Market Environment
Objectives of National Planning
Policies of the Government
Social Responsibilities
Structure and pace of Economic Changes
International Business Environment
Thus we cannot segregate the national and the global environment since in
modern times both are closely interlinked witheach other.
We will now understand certain concepts which are integral to the
understanding to the economic environment.
2.2.1 Money supply
The word money stands for anything that is generally accepted as a medium
of exchange and at the same time can be used as a measure and a store of
value. Money supply is the total stock of money available to a society for
use in connection with the economic activity of the nation at a point of time.
Money supply consists of two elements, namely:
Currency with the public, and
Demand deposits with the public.
The term public refers to households, firms and institutions other than banks
and the government. While the public use money, banks and the
government are the money producers. Currency with the public is the sum
total of the currency notes and coins in circulation issued by the Reserve
Bank. The cash reserves with banks must remain with them and hence
have to be deducted from the total currency notes and coins.
The demand deposits with the public are the bank deposits held by the
public. Bank deposits are either demand deposits or time deposits. While
demand deposits can be withdrawn by the public by drawing cheques on
them, time deposits mature only after a fixed period and are money that
people hold as a store of value.
2.2.2 Aggregate demand
Aggregate demand (AD) is the total demand for final goods and services in
the economy at a given time and price level. It is the amount of goods and
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services in the economy that will be purchased at all possible price levels.
This is the demand for the gross domestic product of a country.
AD = C + I + G + (X-M)
Where:
C = Consumers' expenditure on goods and services: This includes
demand for consumer durables (e.g. washing machines, audio-visual
equipment and motor vehicles)& non-durable goods such as food and drinks
which are consumed.
I = Capital investment: This is investment spending by companies on
capital goods such as new plant and equipment and buildings. Investment
also includes spending on working capital such as stocks of finished goods
and work in progress.
G = Government spending: This is government spending on state-
provided goods and services including public and merit goods. Decisions on
how much the government will spend each year are affected by
developments in the economy and also the changing political priorities of the
government. In a normal year, government purchases of goods and services
accounts for around twenty per cent of aggregate demand.
Transfer payments in the form of welfare benefits (e.g. pensions) are not
included in general government spending because they are not a payment
to a factor of production for any output produced. They are simply a transfer
from one group within the economy (i.e. people in work paying income
taxes) to another group (i.e. pensioners drawing their pension having retired
from the labour force).
The next two components of aggregate demand relate to international
trade in goods and services between an economy and the rest of the
world.
X = Exports of goods and services: Exports sold overseas are an inflow
(an injection) into our circular flow of income and therefore add to the
demand for the country’s output.
M = Imports of goods and services: Imports are a withdrawal of
demand (a leakage) from the circular flow of income and spending. Goods
and services come into the economy for us to consume and enjoy, but there
is a flow of money out of the economy to pay for them.
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Net exports (X-M) reflect the net effect of international trade on the level of
aggregate demand. When net exports are positive, there is a trade surplus
(adding to Aggregate Demand); when net exports are negative, there is a
trade deficit (reducing Aggregate Demand).
2.2.3 Inflation
In economics, inflation is a rise in the general level of prices of goods and
services in an economy over a period of time. When the general price level
rises, each unit of currency buys fewer goods and services. Consequently,
inflation also reflects a reduction in the purchasing power of money, a loss
of real value in the internal medium of exchange in the economy. A chief
measure of price inflation is the inflation rate, the annualized percentage
change in a general price index (normally the Consumer Price Index) over
time. It is calculated by subtracting the last year’s price index from this
year’s index, dividing that difference by the last year’s index and multiplying
by 100. Suppose price index was 200 in 2010 and 210 in 2011.
Then
Inflation rate = (210-200)/200 = 0.05 = 5%
The effects of inflation on an economy can be simultaneously positive and
negative. Negative effects of inflation include a decrease in the real value of
money and other monetary items over time; uncertainty over future inflation
may discourage investment and savings, and high inflation may lead to
shortages of goods if consumers begin hoardingin view of price increase in
the future. Positive effects include adjusting interest rates by central banks
(intended to mitigate recessions), and encouraging investment in capital
projects. Today, most mainstream economists favor a low, steady rate of
inflation. Low (as opposed to zero or negative) inflation may reduce the
severity of economic recessions.
Economists have attempted to distinguish cost and demand inflation. Cost
inflation is started by an increase in some elements of costs, for example
the oil price explosion of 1973-4. Demand inflation is due to too much
aggregate demand.
2.2.4 Balance of payment
A country’s balance of payments is a record of its economic transactions
with the rest of the world. This record shows whether a country has a trade
High income: These are countries whose GNP per capita is $12,196 or
more.
In Table 4.1 we see 25 countries classified according to the above
classifications.
Table 4.1
SL.NO. Economy Income group
1 Afghanistan Low income
2 Bangladesh Low income
3 Ethiopia Low income
4 Nepal Low income
5 Zimbabwe Low income
6 Bhutan Lower middle income
7 China Lower middle income
8 India Lower middle income
9 Indonesia Lower middle income
10 Pakistan Lower middle income
11 Sri Lanka Lower middle income
12 Thailand Lower middle income
13 Brazil Upper middle income
14 Cuba Upper middle income
15 Iran, Islamic Rep. Upper middle income
16 Libya Upper middle income
17 Malaysia Upper middle income
18 Mexico Upper middle income
19 Australia High income: OECD
20 France High income: OECD
21 Germany High income: OECD
22 Israel High income: OECD
23 Japan High income: OECD
24 United Kingdom High income: OECD
25 United States High income: OECD
Source: World Bank
reserve ratio, it can expand the volume of bank credit. Hence, changes in
reserve requirements are a powerful weapon for influencing the volume of
bank deposits and the money supply.
2.4.5 Selective or qualitative controls
There are several methods by which selective controls can be imposed:
(i) Margin requirements: The Reserve Bank can order the commercial
banks to lend an amount lower than the volume of security. If margin
requirement is 40%, then commercial banks can lend only up to 60% of the
value of a security.
(ii) Control throughDirectives: The Reserve Bank may give directions to
commercial banks in respect of their lending policies about the purpose for
which advances may be made and the margin to be maintained in respect of
secured loans.
(iii) Moral suasion: It implies request and persuasion made by the Reserve
bank to commercial banks to follow the general policy of the Reserve Bank.
(iv) Regulation of consumer credit: The Reserve Bank can regulate the
terms and conditions under which consumer credit is to be given by the
banks.
(v) Rationing of credit: Credit rationing is a method of controlling and
regulating the purpose for which credit is granted by the banks. The
Reserve Bank may fix maximum amount of loans for every commercial
bank. This is known as variable portfolio ceiling.
(vi) Direct Action: It refers to all the controls and directions which the
Reserve Bank may enforce on all banks or any bank in particular concerning
the lending and investment.
Thus monetary policy can be used to cure recession by making the Reserve
Bank undertake open market operations and buy securities in the open
market from banks and the general public. This would increase the
availability of credit with the banks and currency with the public. Lowering of
the bank rate can increase the availability of credit. Reducing the reserve
ratio releases the tied up funds of the banks for providing loans. A tight
monetary policy on the other hand helps suck credit from the market. The
money supply will decrease and the cost of credit will rise. The general price
level would decrease and inflation can be controlled using this policy.
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employment on its own within a year and that stabilization policies took a full
year to become effective; If policymakers tried to expand the economy
today, their actions would not take effect until a year from now. But one year
from now, if stabilization policies were enacted, the economy would be
stimulated unnecessarily and output would exceed full employment.
2.5.2 Policy mix
Policy mix refers to the combination of monetary and fiscal policies in use, at
a given time. A policy mix that consists of a decrease in government
spending and an increase in money supply would favour investment
spending over government spending. This is because both the increased
money supply and the fall in government purchases would cause the
interest rate to fall, which would lead to an increase in planned investment.
The opposite is true for a mix that consists of an expansionary fiscal policy
and a contractionary monetary policy. This mix favours government
spending over investment spending. Such a policy will have an impact of
increasing government spending and reducing the money supply.
2.5.3 Factors causing change in aggregate demand
Changes in expectations: The current spending is affected by anticipated
future income, profit, and inflation. The expectations of consumers and
businesses can have a powerful effect on planned spending in the economy
E.g. expected increases in consumer incomes or wealth or company profits,
encourage households and firms to spend more, boosting Aggregate
Demand. Similarly, higher expected inflation encourages spending now,
before price increases come into effect, a short term boost to Aggregate
Demand.When confidence turns lower, we expect to see an increase in
saving and some companies deciding to postpone capital investment
projects because of worries over a lack of demand and a fall in the expected
rate of profit on investments.
Changes in monetary policy (i.e. a change in interest rates)
An expansionary monetary policy will cause interest rates to fall.This lowers
the cost of borrowing and the incentive to save, thereby encouraging
consumption. Lower interest rates encourage firms to borrow and
invest.There are time lags between changes in interest rates and the
changes on the components of aggregate demand.
2.6 Summary
An economic environment has two separate environments:
microeconomic and macroeconomic. The microeconomic environment
relates to individuals while the macroeconomic environment relates to
the aggregate economic information of business.
A country’s fiscal, monetary or economic policy can have great
implications on the nation’s entire economic environment.
An important economic factor is the inflation or deflation that alters the
purchasing power of the nation’s currency. As the purchasing power of
money changes in the economic environment, consumers often change
their spending behaviors and business invests less money in operations.
Current political systems usually change the monetary and fiscal policy
of the nation in order to correct these changes by consumers and
businesses.Monetary and fiscal policy in an economic environment
attempts to maintain full employment, price stability and economic
growth.
Under free market principles, governments should be restricted from
significantly altering the market’s monetary or fiscal policy since political
solutions often create more problems when correcting economic
situations.
Two other significant areas of the nation’s economic environment
include interest rates for borrowing and exchange rates of goods among
countries.Interest rates are the cost of borrowing money usually set by a
nation’s central bank.
2.7 Glossary
Aggregate demand: The total amount of goods and services
demanded in the economy at a given overall price level and in a given
time period.
Balance of payments: A record of all transactions made between one
particular country and all other countries during a specified period of
time.
Bank credit: It includes loans, cash credit and overdrafts, and inland
bills and foreign bills purchased and discounted. Bills exclude those
rediscounted with RBI and IDBI.
Closed economy: The idea behind the closed economy is to meet all
consumer needs with the purchase and sale of goods and services that
are produced internally.
Demand deposits: It includes current deposits, demand liabilities,
portion of savings bank deposits, overdue deposits and cash certificates,
outstanding telegraphic and mail transfers and margins against letter of
credit/guarantees.
Fiscal deficit: This is the gap between the government's total spending
and the sum of its revenue receipts and non-debt capital receipts.
Fiscal policy: Fiscal policy is a change in government spending or
taxation designed to influence economic activity.
Free market: A free market is a market in which there is no economic
intervention and regulation by the state, except to enforce taxes, private
contracts, and the ownership of property.
Inflation: A persistent rise in the price levels of commodities and
services, leading to a fall in the currency’s purchasing power.
2.9 Answers
Self Assessment Questions
1. rise, prices
2. demand, goods, services, price level
3. Currency, Demand deposits
4. economic transactions
5. five, takeoff
6. Low income economies, Lower middle income, Upper middle
income,High income, GNI per capita.
7. Taxes, Government Spending
8. open market operations
9. expansionary
10. Bank/Discount