Anthem Inc
Anthem Inc
Anthem Inc
2017 2018
Total operating revenue $ 89,061 $ 91,341
Net investment income $ 867 $ 970
Net gains on financial instruments $ 145 $ (180)
Total revenues $ 90,040 $ 92,105
Benefit expense $ 72,236 $ 71,895
Cost of products sold $ - $ -
Selling, general and administrative
expense $ 12,650 $ 13,364
Other expense1 $ 1,190 $ 1,122
Total expenses $ 86,076 $ 87,037
Income before income tax expense $ 3,964 $ 5,068
Income tax expense $ 121 $ 1,318
Operating Margin
Commercial & Specialty Business 7.10% 10.10%
Government Business 3.00% 3.50%
IngenioRx 0% 0%
P&L
Year 2017 2018
Revenues
Premiums $ 83,648.0 $ 85,421.0
Product revenue $ - $ -
Administrative fees and other revenue $ 5,413.0 $ 5,920.0
Total operating revenue $ 89,061.0 $ 91,341.0
Net investment income $ 867.0 $ 970.0
Net gains on financial instruments $ 34.0 $ (180.0)
Cashflow extracts
2017 2018
Net cash provided by operating activities 4,185 3,827
Net Cashflow from Investment Activities (5,082) (1,259)
Net cashflow from Financing activities 427 (2,241)
EBITDA
2017 2018
$ 4,872.0 $ 6,179.0
2019 2020 2021
$ 103,141 $ 120,808 $ 136,943
$ 1,005 $ 877 $ 1,378
$ 114 $ 182 $ 318
$ 104,213 $ 121,867 $ 138,639
$ 81,786 $ 88,045 $ 102,645
$ 1,992 $ 8,953 $ 10,895
$ - $ 9
$ 4,807 $ 4,572 $ 6,104
$3,000.0
$ 6,022.04 $ 6,110.59 $ 6,322.96
$ - $ - $ - $2,000.0
$ 6,022.04 $ 6,110.59 $ 6,322.96
$1,000.0
$-
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 E2022 E2023 E20
$ (1,137.0) $ (1,153.7) $ (1,193.8)
Assets
Current assets:
Cash and cash equivalents $ 3,934.0
Fixed maturity securities (amortized cost of $25,641 and $22,222;
allowance for credit losses of $6 and $7) $ 16,692.0
Equity securities $ 1,676.0
$ - $ -
Average share in
Segment revenue for 2021
Commercial & Specialty Business 25%
Government Business 53%
IngenioRx 16%
Other 7%
Pharmacies and Drug Stores /retail pharmacy arm of Anthem Applicable to IngenioRX
Market size (mln) $ 351,600
Annualized Growth 2017-2022 2.8%
Projected Growth 2022 and beyond 4.60%
IngenioXR revenue stabilization 2023
IngenioXR Revenue growth forecast for 2022 7.50%
Assumed premium on market same as insurance 1.12%
Projected growth 2023 and beyond 5.72%
Product revenue as part of IngenioXR 49.8%
$35,000
$30,000
Inge
social security benefits will be added to $40,000
Govt spending for 2021 $ 644,000 federal spending for Medicareand other
Share of Anthem 12.9% insurance schemes $35,000
expected y-y Increase 4.00% on top of market growth $30,000
$25,000
$20,000
$15,000
$10,000
$5,000
$-
2019 2020
Commercial &
Chart Title Specialty Business
Government
Business
7% IngenioRx
16% 25% Other
53%
Insurance
14.0%
Comparable Data for Anthem
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2018 2019
$ 83,648 $ 85,421 $ 94,173 $ 104,109 $ 117,373 12.0%
Market 7.1% 6.4%
2.12% 10.25% 10.55% 12.74% Anthem In 2.1% 10.2%
10.0% 10.2
-5.01% 3.89% 2.28% 3.60%
4.0%
2.0% 2.1%
4.27% 4.07% 4.61% 3.75% 4.40%
0.0%
2018 2019
Ma
E2025 E2026
$ 32,301.26 $ 34,148.27
$ 16,076.33 $ 16,995.58
$35,000
$30,000
IngenioRx arm revenue
$40,000
$35,000
$30,000
$25,000
$20,000
$15,000
$10,000
$5,000
$-
2019 2020 2021 E2022 E2023 E2024 E2025 E2026
Insurance market growth rate
6.4%
ELV $ 485.00
Anthem 19.6
Price to earnings CVS Aetna 17.4
Industry 21.2
Anthem 12.8
EV/EEBITDA CVS Aetna 9.5
Industry 9.2
Overvalued