Imcet Turkey
Imcet Turkey
Imcet Turkey
Philippe Baudry
Executive General Manager – Consulting and Advisory
JOB NO.
DATE. 16 April 2019
Workshop Agenda
• Corporate Introduction
• 23 Offices Globally
• 50 Years Experience
• 125 Countries
• 15,000+ Studies
PAGE 5
RPMGLOBAL OVERVIEW
Completed over 15,000 studies
across all commodities
PAGE 6
RPMGLOBAL OVERVIEW
PAGE 7
RPMGLOBAL OVERVIEW
PAGE 8
RPMGLOBAL – ADVISORY & CONSULTING
• Industry leader in Mining Advisory & Software
- 9
RPMGLOBAL TURKEY EXPERIENCE MAP
PAGE 10
ADVISORY SERVICES FOR THE FULL LIFE OF MINE
PAGE 11
TYPES OF INVESTORS AND
THEIR PREFERRED
INVESTMENT WINDOWS
• Debt (Commercial, Sovereign,
Private)
• Mining Companies
• Chinese State Owned
• Streaming and Royalty
TYPES OF INTERNATIONAL FUNDING FOR THE MINING
INDUSTRY
• Corporate Lending • Private Equity/Private Debt
• Equity (Public Markets) RK
• Offtakers
• Streamers and Royalty Traxis Ocean Partners
• Venture Capital
• Import Export Credit Agencies
• Commercial Debt
PAGE 13
WHERE IN THE DEVELOPMENT CYCLE DO THEY INVEST
PAGE 14
EQUITY MARKET CAPITAL RAISING
• Types and Transaction
• Which exchange for which project
(Purchase, Location, Status)
• Type of raising for which project
(IPO / RTO or stay private)
EQUITY MARKET REGULATIONS
• Each market has its own listing rules which must be strictly abided by when making
public disclosures. These rules are vigorously policed and in the case of mining companies
usually impact:
• Requirements for reporting of resource and reserves
• Continuous disclosure requirements
• Materiality – what is considered material
• Forward looking statements – what can you say and not say
• Common types of transaction to list your asset:
• Initial Public Offering – IPO’s are the most common way of filing a project on a stock
exchange. Will require reporting of your Projects resources and reserves under international
reporting standards such as JORC or NI 43-101, usualy referred to as a Competent Persons
Report (CPR)
• Reverse Take Over – RTO these are common on some markets where dormant shell
companies which are already listed are used to inject mining projects into the shell creating a
new company with a new purpose, mining. Most will require a CPR to be prepared
• Very Significant Acquisition – VSA’s are similar to an RTO except the listed company is the
actual company acquiring the asset.
MINIMUM PROJECT STATUS FOR LISTING
Exploration Pre-development Advanced-Development
Exploration
Development
Exploration
Exploration
Exploration
PAGE 17
EXCHANGE & RESOURCE/RESERVE CODES
New York Stock Exchange – Rules SEC Rule ‘S-K 1300: Modernization of
Property Disclosure for Mining Registrants’ issued 2019 (JORC, NI 43-101)
PAGE 18
COMPLIANCE REPORTING
OVERVIEW FOR RESOURCES
AND RESERVES
• Key international reporting codes
(JORC/NI 43-101)
• What is CRIRSCO, other systems
(Russia and China)
• UMREK development
• RPM’s Turkey experience and
thoughts
WHY REPORT YOUR RESOURCES AND RESERVES UNDER
INTERNATIONAL REPORTING STANDARDS
• Why go to the effort:
• Provides confidence to investors that a minimum level of confidence has been
reached prior to reporting resources and reserves
• Allows potential investors to look at your project on a like for like basis and do
comparisons with other projects
• Required by 99% of the main international investors to the mining industry
• If done in parallel to local country reporting standards is not a large cost to a
Company and provides the Company with more options for raising capital
DEVELOPMENT OF INTERNATIONAL REPORTING
STANDARDS
• Late 1960’s Poseidon Nickel in Australia • Late 1990’s Bre-X scandal in Canada
• JORC (Joint Ore Reserves Committee) formed 1971 to bring • National Instrument 43-101 introduced in 2000 to protect investors
confidence to investors, incorporated into ASX rules in 1989, from unsubstantiated disclosures
updated 2004 and 2012
• Primarily for securities disclosure, involves substantially more
• Code aimed at providing consistent disclosure to investors. technical disclosure to the market
PAGE 22
CURRENT CODES
• Natively developed and most • Developed under the guidelines of
commonly used internationally: CRIRSCO
PAGE 24
THE JORC CODE – PRINCIPLES-BASED, NOT
PRESCRIPTIVE (CLAUSE 4)
Transparency
clear unambiguous
presentation
PAGE 25
THE JORC CODE – PRINCIPLES-BASED, NOT
PRESCRIPTIVE (CLAUSE 4)
Transparency
clear unambiguous
presentation
Materiality
all reasonable
information
expected
PAGE 26
THE JORC CODE – PRINCIPLES-BASED, NOT
PRESCRIPTIVE (CLAUSE 4)
Transparency
clear unambiguous
presentation
Competence Materiality
based on work all reasonable
by Competent Person information
expected
PAGE 27
THE JORC CODE – PRINCIPLES-BASED, NOT
PRESCRIPTIVE (CLAUSE 4)
Transparency
clear unambiguous
presentation
JORC
Code
Compliant
Reports
Competence Materiality
based on work all reasonable
by Competent Person information
expected
PAGE 28
JORC CLASSIFICATION SYSTEM
PAGE 29
WHAT IS A COMPETENT PERSON?
Unlike most UNECE codes which clearly outline how to estimate resources and reserves International
Codes rely on a Competent (Qualified) Person to determine the appropriate method for estimating and
classifying resources and reserves.
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OTHER REPORTING CODES
International system places responsibility on Competent Person’s judgment, code
provides consistent framework and brings confidence to investors
Having a standard basis for reporting of resources and reserves in public markets
allows investors to compare projects on a like for like basis and encourages
investment.
PAGE 32
RUSSIAN / CHINESE CLASSIFICATION SYSTEM
PAGE 33
GUIDE TO MAPPING BETWEEN RUSSIAN/CHINESE AND
INTERNATIONAL
• This comparison between the
CRIRSCO/JORC Systems and the
UNECE System used by China
and Russia is an example only and
not a guide for direct correlation
between the schemes.
PAGE 34
UMREK
PAGE 35
RPMGLOBAL TURKEY EXPERIENCE MAP
PAGE 36
RPM’S EXPERIENCES IN TURKEY
• Significant amount of historical drilling completed by MTA, work done to a high
standard but some challenges around coal quality sampling;
• Most private company's in Turkey in the metals space have staff with international
experience meaning that the exploration is done well and in line with international
standards;
• Great advances being made in the development of a Turkey domestic technical
experts who are able to utilize industry leading software for resource estimation
and moving into mine planning and scheduling;
• Same as in other countries, geologists need to remember they are geologists first!
• Mining studies still have a ways to go. Main criticism being that they fail to consider
multiple options before choosing what is the best option to take forward.
PAGE 37
TYPES OF STUDIES AND
THEIR ACCURACY AND
THEIR USE AS ENGINEERING
COST ESTIMATES
ENGINEERING COST ESTIMATES AND THEIR USE
Summary
Many different types of engineering studies – none provide a cost “point estimate,” but instead a
range around an expected result
• PEA-Scoping-Class 5
• Conceptual planning studies
• Accuracy -50%/+100%
• Prefeasibility – Class 4
• To define a single path forward (trade off studies)
• Allows statement of resources and reserves
• Accuracy -30%/+50%
• Feasibility – Class 3
• Use of Funding authorization
• Accuracy -10%/+30%
• Accuracy of the engineering estimate used for funding authorization is not as “tight” as we
would like to believe which may lead to cost overruns – but the cost estimate may be accurate
within the expected range.
SOURCE OF DATA
• Data/Standard comes from common, often referenced sources
• AACEi International Recommended Practice No. 17R-97, 18R-97, 47R-11
• CIM Definition Standard-For Mineral Resources and Minerals Reserves, CIM
Standing Committee on Reserve Definitions.
• RPM Perspective #129, https://www.rpmglobal.com/wp-
content/uploads/mp/files/resources/files/rpm-perspectives-2015-128.pdf
MINING STUDIES ARE UNUSUALLY COMPLEX
• Mining estimates requires
information from many
areas such as:
• Permitting
• Drilling and exploration
• Underground and/or
surface mining
• Ore handling
• Milling and metallurgical
processes
• Tailings and water
management
• On-site and off-site
infrastructure
TYPES OF STUDIES AND PURPOSES
• Industry accepted path
• Scoping/PEA
• Prefeasibility
• Feasibility
• Can/should you skip steps?
• Terms of scoping/prefeasibility/feasibility is unique to mining
• Other industries uses study “Class” to define accuracy and engineering status
GOVERNING BODIES
• Canada
• NI43-101 - Canadian Securities Administrators National Instrument 43-101,
Standard of Disclosure for Mineral Projects
• Australia and New Zealand
• JORC or the Joint Ore Reserves Committee
• USA
• United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Regulation S-K Item
102, Modernization of Property Disclosures for Mining Registrants.
• United Kingdom – Institution of Metals, Minerals and Mining (IMMM) or Pan-
European Reserves and Resources Reporting Committee (PERC)
EVOLUTIONARY NATURE OF STUDIES
• NI43-101 and JORC focuses on evolutionary nature of studies
1) Geologic knowledge and confidence – including volume and purity of the
mineral ores based on exploration results
2) Modifying factors influencing the profitability of extraction including:
• Mining
• Processing-Metallurgical
• Economic
• Marketing
• Legal
• Environmental
• Socio-economic
• Governmental factors
RESOURCES VS RESERVES
• Geology results in a “Resource” which may or may not be profitable but has
to have reasonable prospect for eventual economic extraction.
• Resource categories are defined as “Indicated,” “Inferred” or “Measured”
depending on degree of confidence
• Modifying factors establish profitability “at a point in time” and define a
“Reserve”
• Reserve categories are “Proved/Proven” or “Probable” depending on degree of
confidence
TYPES OF STUDIES (NI43-101/CIM)
• Feasibility Study (FS) – purpose is to
justify full funding authorization
“…means a comprehensive study of a mineral deposit in which all geological, engineering,
legal, operating, economic, social, environmental and other relevant factors are considered
in sufficient detail that it could reasonably serve as the basis for a final decision by a
financial institution to finance the development of the deposit for mineral production.”
• Analogy: “I built one of these about 4 years ago and it cost about $750 million”
Study can be as quick as a couple of weeks.
PREFEASIBILITY STUDY/CLASS 4
Project definition: 1% - 15%
Accuracy: -30%/+50%
Purpose: Trade-off studies and determine a single path forward
Geology: Preliminary geologic model sufficient to support Reserve estimates (M&I Resource)
Mining: detailed mine plan with supporting detail, geotech & hydrology. Opex/capex from recent budget
pricing.
Processing: probable flowsheet identified with mass balances, met test work essentially complete.
Opex/capex based on recent budgetary pricing and quantity take-offs, but can use some cost factoring.
FEASIBILITY STUDY/CLASS 3
Project definition: 10%-40%
Accuracy: -10%/+30%
Purpose: Project definition and full funding authorization
Geology: Detailed geologic model
Mining: Proven and Probable Reserves based on detailed mine plans with full supporting detail.
Opex/capex based on recent vendor quotes.
Processing: detailed processing plans with full PID’s, mass balances, and detailed equipment lists.
Opex/capex based on detailed first principals and recent vendor quotes.
WHY THE RANGE IN THE ESTIMATE?
Engineering Estimate Accuracy
• Modifying factors
• Percent completeness of
engineering
• Skill of the Estimator
What comes after the FS (Class 3)?
• Front End Engineering Design
(FEED) studies – Class 2
• Detailed Design – Class 1
• Build it!
Projects can fail to progress at any
stage of the study stage. Lose early.
From AACEi 47R-11: Cost Estimate Classification system – As applied in
the Mining Mineral Processing Industries
A FEW COMMENTS
• Engineering studies are not as “accurate”
as we are led to believe
Project CAPEX mean
• PEA and PFS studies - never intended to
be used for final Project financing
• Feasibility Studies - used for financial
decisions, but have wide accuracy range
• FS Accuracy = -10%/+30%
Project CAPEX distribution
Davis & Franks, 2011: the cost of conflict with local communities in the extractive industry
PAGE 56
GOOD GUIDING PRINCIPLES
• Most international bank lenders are either signatory to
Equator Principle 3 and abide by its rules or use a mix of
EP3 and IFC PS.
• Equator Principles is a method of determining, assessing
and managing environmental and social risk in project Principle 1: Review and Categorisation
finance. Principle 2: Environmental and Social Assessment
• Catch all for any industry results in some lenders
Principle 3: Applicable Environmental and Social Standards
interpretation being different to each other which needs
to be managed during credit and risk committee Principle 4: Environmental and Social Management System
clearances. and Equator Principles Action Plan
• Applies to all activities which have happened in the past Principle 5: Stakeholder Engagement
so it is critical that if you want to seek funding for your
Principle 6: Grievance Mechanism
project in the future from international lenders you are
aware of these principles and abide by them. Principle 7: Independent Review
• Theoretically not required if you are sourcing funding Principle 8: Covenants
locally or internally. Usually not required by Private Equity
lenders. Principle 9: Independent Monitoring and Reporting
• RPM considers these good practice and can guide Principle 10: Reporting and Transparency
project owners to ensure maintenance of their ‘social http://equator-principles.com/
licence to operate’
• EP4 is under development
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OTHER KEY GUIDELINES
• Most international commercial banks • Lenders like the European Bank of
will use a combination of Equator Reconstruction and Development (EBRD)
Principal and IFC Performance have developed their own standards which
Standard whilst similar to EP3 and IFC PS have some
unique difference reflective of their country
of origin. Key to this:
• Emission standards applied are EU
defined
• EBRD standards apply to all entities of
the borrowing company whether they are
mining related or not.
PAGE 58
EVOLUTION OF PROJECT
FINANCE THROUGH
COMMERCIAL DEBT
• Initial Technical Review – to loan or
not to loan
• Construction Phase
• Completion Phase
• Post Completion Phase
COMMERCIAL DEBT
• Most active lead banks in this space globally:
• The role of the Lenders Engineer in the execution of
• Societe General
commercial debt occurs in 4 well defined stages with varying
• BNPP responsibility for each.
• ING
1. Initial Technical Review – to loan or not to loan
• Macquarie
2. Construction Phase
• Other banks which will participate in consortiums but 3. Completion Phase
rarely lead: Credit Agricole, Natixis, HSBC, Scotia
(Canada only), Australian Big 4 (NAB, CBA, WB, ANZ) 4. Post Completion Phase
• Often can only invest in countries where they have a • Lenders Engineer is usually mandated by the technical bank
local partner (BNPP – TEB in Turkey etc…) initially with the engagement novating to the Loan Agency once
draw down occurs. Commercial considerations are usually the
• Usually work as lending ‘Consortiums’ USD 50-80M responsibility of the borrower with the fees payable included in
usual individual contribution to share risk and workload
the loan facility.
• Banks will take three specific roles in the Consortium
• Technical Bank
• Document Bank
• Legal Bank
• Borrower still required to provide a portion of equity
(this can be the hardest portion of the capital raising as
usually dilutive to the shareholders, will provide
opportunity for offtakers)
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1 - INITIAL TECHNICAL REVIEW - LENDERS ENGINEER
• This phase is used by most Financiers at varying • Lenders Engineer Key Tasks:
• Review supporting documents within the data room.
level of detail. (Private Equity, Commercial Banks
• Site Visit
and Import Export Credit Agency) • Geology
• Mining
• Purpose of a Lenders Engineer Technical Review:
• Processing and Infrastructure
• To identify and allow the Borrower and Lenders • Social and Environmental
to mitigate the risks (fresh set of eyes) • Geotechnical/Hydrological/Tailings
Visit will include discussions with your key third party advisors,
• To provide technical inputs to the lenders which visiting to local communities and authority’s (E&S)
helps: • Draft Lenders Engineer Review Report provided to Lenders for their
review
• develop the appropriate legal and funding • May lead to further in depth review of key technical risks
structure. This may include the definition of • Finalisation of the Report
‘Technical Condition Precedent’ and ‘Condition
• Review technical aspects of key contracts (performance guarantees,
Subsequent’ to the ‘Loan Facility Agreement’. etc….)
• determine the risk reward relationship in order to • Define appropriate Condition Precedent and Subsequent tasks if
required to mitigate technical project risk.
correctly price the debt.
• Sign off on Condition Precedent item completion.
• Assist in drafting technical aspects of the Completion Tests and
Certificates (Physical and Performance – Mine and Plant)
• Define construction and monthly reporting templates
• Work with Lenders to explain technical risks to the banks own risk
and credit committees to allow ‘first draw down’
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1 - INITIAL TECHNICAL REVIEW - AREAS AND KEY RISKS
• All aspects of the project study will be assessed • Key Risks which are considered before “First
• Risks identified will be managed by the lenders in Draw Down”:
various ways including ‘insurance’, ‘hedging’ and • Orebody risk
more relevant to the Lenders Engineer role • Technology risk (mining and processing)
development of ‘Condition Precedents’, ‘Condition
• Operational risk
Subsequent’ as well as ‘Action Plans’ which can all
be included in the “Loan Facility Agreement” and • Market risk
become legally binding. • Infrastructure risk (mine gate supply such as power
and water as well as key infrastructure especially
tailings storage)
• Political risk (resource nationalization, others)
• Construction risk (schedule, ramp up, cost overrun)
• Environmental risk (biodiversity, emissions,
permitting)
• Social risk (relocation, grievances, all aspects of
social license to operate)
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2 - CONSTRUCTION PHASE
• After all ‘Conditions Precedents’ have been • Lenders Engineer Responsibility:
meet the Construction Phase is the period • Conduct quarterly visits to verify construction
between ‘First Draw Down’ and the point at progress;
which the project is ‘Financially Complete’
• Monitor and ensure completion of ‘Condition
traditionally defined as the point when
Subsequent’ items;
commissioning can commence.
• Monitor spend to date vs budget vs cost to
• Bank will closely monitor this construction complete;
phase and seek the Lenders Engineer sign off
• Opine on cost to complete, construction
for key milestone draw downs
schedule;
• Actual construction progress against costs • Approve and quantify cost overrun account
incurred vs cost to complete estimates form a draw down;
key focus in this stage
• Sign off on budgets.
• DURATION: 12-24+ months
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3 - COMPLETION PHASE
• Completion Phase is the period between • Lenders Engineer Responsibility:
the point at which the project is ‘Financially • Monitor project commissioning ramp up
Complete’ and when the Project passes its performance (monthly)
‘Completion Tests’. • Monitor and sign off on the Project having
• Whilst this is the shortest of the Project meet its ‘Completion Tests’:
Finance periods it is also the highest risk • Physical completion
one for the banks and sponsors as it is • Plant performance tests
when operational and technological risks • Mine performance tests
become apparent. • Tests are usually run over a 90 day period.
• May result in sponsors completion • Complete quarterly or 6 monthly inspections
guarantees or contractors performance of the site dependent on complexity of project
bonds’ being called in…. or lenders having
• DURATION: 4-8 months
to provide further debt to get the project
running properly.
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4 - POST COMPLETION PHASE
• Post Completion Phase is the period • Lenders Engineer Responsibility:
between the point at which the project has • Conduct yearly visits to the project site
passed its ‘Completion Tests’ and the loan • Review the monthly and quarterly reports
is fully repaid. produced by the borrower
• This is the longest of the Project Finance • Provide final post repayment project condition
periods. sign off for the lenders. This is especially
important from a E&S perspective.
• Project financial state is monitored through
ratio of cashflow to outstanding debt. • DURATION: Usually <4 years
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SOME LEARNINGS
• Openness and communication is key to • How to prepare yourself:
this process succeeding, no surprise policy
• Have your work independently peer
either in the initial review or any subsequently
stage of the loan. reviewed regularly – fresh thinking
• Prepare your data room - this is an
• Lenders are enablers of projects, the last
insight into the Company’s
thing a lender wants is for a Borrower to fail to
payback their loan. However as Lenders often professionalism and is often poorly
do not have recourse to the balance sheet of executed putting a bad impression
the project sponsors they must be absolutely before you even start the review
sure (as much as possible) that the project • One source of the truth!
will be brought to account.
• Make sure to have your key experts with
• The best way for a lenders engineer to protect historical knowledge of the project on
the interest of the Lender is through helping hand
the Borrower to succeed by sharing any
recent and relevant experience, flagging risks • More communication is better than less
and opportunities early and helping the
borrower mitigate or leverage these. • Work as a single Team as much as possible
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CLOSING THOUGHTS
- THANK YOU -
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