Roughly in Line Q1
Roughly in Line Q1
Roughly in Line Q1
(VOG)
®
EARNINGS UPDATE Jeffrey P Hayden, CFA
713-255-5090
[email protected]
OIL & GAS EXPLORATION AND
PRODUCTION
May 10, 2011
Market Outperform / Aggressive Risk
Roughly In Line Q1; Maintain Market Outperform
MARKET DATA 5/10/2011 For the complete note, please contact your Rodman & Renshaw Institutional
Price $3.72 Sales representative or Dan Hanley at 212-356-0512
Exchange AMEX
Target Price $5.50
52 Wk Hi - Low $7.54 - $2.87
EV(MM) $186.0
Market Cap(MM) $218.0
Shares Out (MM) 58.6
Avg. Daily Vol 419,562
VALUATION METRICS
Price/Earnings NM 41.3x
EV/EBITDA NM 27.4x 6.8x
Price/Cash Flow NM 37.2x 9.3x
INDICES
DJIA 12,760.4
SP-500 1,357.2
NASDAQ 2,411.4
Russell 2000 855.9
1 Year Price History
7
6
5
4
3
2
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q1 Q2
2011
2
0
Created by BlueMatrix
For definitions and the distribution of analyst ratings, and other disclosures, please refer to pages 2 - 3 of this report.
Voyager Oil & Gas, Inc. May 10, 2011
RODMAN & RENSHAW RATING SYSTEM: Rodman & Renshaw employs a three tier rating system for evaluating both the potential
return and risk associated with owning common equity shares of rated firms. The expected return of any given equity is measured on a
RELATIVE basis of other companies in the same sector, as defined by First Call. The price objective is calculated to estimate the potential
movement in price a given equity could achieve given certain targets are met over a defined time horizon. Price objectives are subject to
exogenous factors including industry events and market volatility. The risk assessment evaluates the company specific risk and accounts
for the following factors, maturity of market, maturity of technology, maturity of firm, cash utilization, and valuation considerations.
Potential factors contributing to risk: relatively undefined market, new technologies, immature firm, high cash burn rates, intrinsic value
weighted toward future earnings or events.
RETURN ASSESSMENT
●
Market Outperform (Buy): The common stock of the company is expected to outperform a passive index comprised of all the
common stock of companies within the same sector, as defined by First Call.
●
Market Perform (Hold): The common stock of the company is expected to mimic the performance of a passive index comprised
of all the common stock of companies within the same sector, as defined by First Call.
●
Market Underperform (Sell): The common stock of the company is expected to underperform a passive index comprised of all
the common stock of companies within the same sector, as defined by First Call.
RISK ASSESSMENT
●
Speculative - The common stock risk level is significantly greater than market risk. The stock price of these equities is
exceptionally volatile.
●
Aggressive - The common stock risk level is materially higher than market level risk. The stock price is typically more volatile
than the general market.
●
Moderate - The common stock is moderately risky, or equivalent to stock market risk. The stock price volatility is typically in-line
with movements in the general market.
Rating and Price Target History for: Voyager Oil & Gas, Inc. (VOG) as of 05-09-2011
0
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q1 Q2
2009 2010 2011
Created by BlueMatrix
RATING SUMMARY
Distribution of Ratings Table
IB Serv./Past 12 Mos
Rating Count Percent Count Percent
Market Outperform(MO) 146 59.60% 37 25.34%
Market Perform(MP) 41 16.70% 4 9.76%
Market Underperform(MU) 8 3.30% 0 0.00%
Under Review(UR) 50 20.40% 14 28.00%
Total 245 100% 55 100%
Investment Banking Services include, but are not limited to, acting as a manager/co-manager in the underwriting or placement of
securities, acting as financial advisor, and/or providing corporate finance or capital markets-related services to a company or one of its
affiliates or subsidiaries within the past 12 months.
ADDITIONAL DISCLOSURES
Rodman & Renshaw, LLC. (the "Firm") is a member of FINRA and SIPC and a registered U.S. Broker-Dealer.
ANALYST CERTIFICATION
I, Jeffrey P Hayden, CFA, hereby certify that the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect my personal views about the
subject company(ies) and its (their) securities.
None of the research analysts or the research analyst's household has a financial interest in the securities of Voyager Oil & Gas, Inc.
(including, without limitation, any option, right, warrant, future, long or short position).
As of Mar 31 2011 neither the Firm nor its affiliates beneficially own 1% or more of any class of common equity securities of Voyager Oil &
Gas, Inc..
Neither the research analyst nor the Firm has any material conflict of interest with Voyager Oil & Gas, Inc., of which the research analyst
knows or has reason to know at the time of publication of this research report.
The research analyst principally responsible for preparation of the report does not receive compensation that is based upon any specific
investment banking services or transaction but is compensated based on factors including total revenue and profitability of the Firm, a
substantial portion of which is derived from investment banking services.
The Firm or its affiliates have received compensation from Voyager Oil & Gas, Inc. for investment banking services within twelve months
before, and intends to seek compensation from the companies mentioned in this report for investment banking services within three
months, following publication of the research report.
Neither the research analyst nor any member of the research analyst's household nor the Firm serves as an officer, director or advisory
board member of Voyager Oil & Gas, Inc..
The Firm does make a market in Voyager Oil & Gas, Inc. securities as of the date of this research report.
Any opinions expressed herein are statements of our judgment as of the date of publication and are subject to change without notice.
Reproduction without written permission is prohibited. The closing prices of securities mentioned in this report are as of May 10 2011.
Additional information is available to clients upon written request. For complete research report on Voyager Oil & Gas, Inc., please call
(212) 356-0500.
Readers are advised that this analysis report is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or
the solicitation of an offer to buy. The information contained herein is based on sources which we believe to be reliable but is not
guaranteed by us as being accurate and does not purport to be a complete statement or summary of the available data. Past performance
is no guarantee of future results.