Investor Presentation
Investor Presentation
Investor Presentation
March 2018
TMK– Global Supplier of Full Range of Pipes for Oil and Gas Industry
THE COMPANY OPER
ATES MORE THAN 30 PRODUCTION SITES IN RUSSIA,
27 production sites in Russia, the USA, Canada, Oman, Romania and Kazakhstan, with trade offices in 10 countries
2017E global drilling activity
Canada: by geography
Russia:
1 production facilities (number of wells drilled)(a) 12 production facilities
1 trade office 1 R&D centre
1 trade house
Canada US
13% 49%
TMK sales by region (2017) TMK sales by product (2017) Key financials
ME & Gulf C.Asia &
…
Others Welded LD (US$mln) 2014 2015 2016 2017
Region Caspian Region Welded
MANAGEMENT
1% 7%
3%
PRODUCTION 2% Line Pipe Revenue 6,009 4,127 3,338 4,394
SALES Oil & Gas = 77%
OIL AND
Europe GAS SERVICES Welded 10%
RESEARCH & DEVELOPMENT Adj. EBITDA 829 651 530 605
7% OCTG
4% Seamless Adj. EBITDA
OCTG 14% 16% 16% 14%
Welded Margin (%)
Americas Industrial 42%
Russia FCF(b) 252 498 395 77
26% 8%
61%
Seamless Seamless Net Profit (Loss) (217) (368) 166 30
Industrial Line Pipe Net Debt 2,969 2,496 2,539 2,688
15% 13%
Source: Company data
Note: Percentages and other figures included in this presentation are subject to rounding adjustments. Totals therefore do not always add up to exact arithmetic sums
(a) Spears & Associates. Excluding China and Central Asia. Onshore and offshore drilling
(b) Calculated as Net cash flows from operating activities plus Net cash flows used in investing activities
2
TMK Today – Key Investment Highlights
Industry-leading market position and large modern asset base
1 Dominant #1 player in seamless OCTG industry in Russia and Top-3 in the US
State-of-the-art underutilised production base with major investments completed over 10 years in 2004-14
Established longstanding relationships with major oil & gas upstream and midstream players
Combined exposure to some of the most attractive and dynamic regional oil & gas markets
2 Russia – large low-cost oil producing region; a major market with increased drilling activity in 2017
TMK - dominant player in Russian oil & gas with 38%(a) market share for pipes used in the oil and gas industry,
64%(a) market share in seamless OCTG
US OCTG market is at the recovery stage, following a c.75% demand contraction in 2014-2016 – with shale industry
supported by OPEC agreement and conducive political environment under new administration
TMK – Top-3 US OCTG producer with its market share at 10% in 2017
Ability to pass through costs of steel products – demonstrated by stable margins throughout the cycle
Substantial improvement in the global competitive positioning on the back of Ruble devaluation in 2014-16
Continuous reduction in net debt (US$1bn+ reduction in net debt since 2013)
Superior governance practices and uniquely stable and experienced management team
5 Core management team unchanged since IPO in 2006
5 Independent Directors on the Board with vast diversified international and domestic experience
Source: Company data
Notes:(a) Company estimates for FY 2017
(b) Adjusted EBITDA for TMK represents profit/(loss) for the period excluding finance costs and finance income, income tax (benefit)/expense, depreciation and amortisation, foreign exchange (gain)/loss,
impairment/ (reversal of impairment) of non-current assets, movements in allowances and provisions (except for provisions for bonuses), (gain)/loss on disposal of property, plant and equipment, (gain)/loss
on changes in fair value of financial instruments, share of (profit)/loss of associates and other non-cash, non-recurring and unusual items
3
TMK Market Exposure = Highly Resilient Russian Market +
US Shale Passing the Inflection Point
OCTG consumption in Russia and the US Global E&P investments
(m tonnes) (US$ bn nominal)
1000
10
900
8.4
800
8 7.7
1.9 Saudi Arabia
6.9 700 Norway
Australia
2.0 Brazil
600 China
6 5.6 Canada
2.3
Russia
500
4.7
1.8
400 US
4
1.9
6.5 300
5.7
4.6
2 200
3.8
2.7 Other
100
0 0
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016E
2017E
2018E
2019E
2020E
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Russia US
Source: Metal Expert for Russian OCTG consumption, Preston Pipe & Tube Report for US Source: Rystad Energy
statistics
4
TMK – Superior Earnings Resilience Through the Cycle
4,288 4,402
3,871 3,781
3,458 3,661 3,675
1,866 1,842
1,461 1,113 1,049 885 2,618
1,046 2,633
Total 2,159 2,323 2,256
605 1,990 461
pipes sales 355 1,411
2,790 1,281
volume 2,422 2,560 2,410 2,412 2,668 2,612
2,028 2,157
(ths. tonnes) 1,635
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Seamless Welded Seamless Welded Total sales
26% 26%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
(32%)
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
6
Strong Position in Multiple End-Markets for Pipes Beyond
Oil & Gas
Automotive Civil Construction
TMK-ARTROM is qualified as an authorised supplier for Galvanised pipe for the outer steel frame of the Otkritie
such companies as Dacia (a subsidiary of Renault) Arena stadium in Moscow
No. 1 supplier for Dacia in 2015 Impact resistant seamless pipe shipped for the construction
Qualified as Tier 2 supplier for Toyota of Zenit Arena stadium retractable roof in St Petersburg
Structural steel pipe for the stadium roof in Samara
In 2015, TMK won a number of tenders for pipe shipments to TMK-INOX stainless pipe of 8–114 mm diameter, used in
energy and petrochemical businesses, including boiler long- nuclear, aircraft, automotive, aerospace and energy
length pipe for Taman TPP’s equipment industries
7
TMK Russian Division: Market Overview
8
Oil Production in Russia Remains Strong…
Oil production remains well above 10.5 MMbpd whilst adhering to the agreement with OPEC …
Russian total oil output, MMbpd
10.4
Production cuts are unlikely to be reached through
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec decrease in drilling activity given deteriorating well flow
2015 2016 2017
dynamics across Russia(1)
…However OCTG demand is growing supported by existing level of production and development of greenfields
30 3.4
25 3.0
Meters (mln)
Tonnes (mln)
20 2.6
15 2.2
10 1.8
5 1.4
0 1.0
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Meters drilled (LHS) OCTG demand (RHS)
9
… However There are Changes to its Composition …
… is accompanied by the development of greenfield
Gradual stagnation of oil production from brownfields … projects …
Brownfields production, MMbpd Greenfields production, MMbpd
10.0 2.0
1.6
9.5
1.2
9.0
0.8
8.5
0.4
8.0 0.0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Source: Interfax, Info TEK Source: Interfax, Info TEK
88% 60%
87% 40%
86% 20%
85% 0%
'11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 1H17 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 1H17
10
…Creating Long-term Demand for High-End Oil & Field Services
Russian drilling activity keeps growing …
Russian drilling, kmpd 2017 Russian drilling growth broken down, km
80
30,000
20% 4% (11%) (4%) (2%)
25% 27,648
70
24,908
25,000
60
50
20,000
40
30 15,000
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2016 Rosneft Lukoil SurgutNG Tatneft GPN Other 2017
Russian development drilling activity keeps growing with strong demand for advanced oil field services fueled by EOR
activity at brownfields
Sidetracking progress (# of operations)
80 76 50%
68 3,400
60 40%
60 57
54 53
49 41%
45
36% 30%
33%
km/d
40 30%
2,200
20%
21%
20
10%
12% 14%
11%
0 0% 1,000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017E
11
Attractive Portfolio of Premium OCTG Projects
12
TMK’s Home Market is One of the Lowest Cost Oil Producing
Regions
Global oil production supply curve
Coal to Liquid
Gas to Liquid
125 Low-cost supply completely in the money at current Brent price Asia DW (3)
Permian tight
100
Breakeven price (U.S.$/Boe)(1)
Bakken
Oil Sands
Canadian
(primarily Brazil)
VZ extra heavy
SA DW (3)
Africa Offshore
Arctic
75
NA DW(3)
January 2018 Brent price
Eagle Ford
Europe
Aus. and Pacific
EOR(2)
50
NA
conv.
Brent Crude 5 Year Low
(Non-OPEC)
S. America
25 Asia
Asia
Russia,
Conv.
conv.
OPEC, Middle East and Caspian region*
Africa
0
20 40 60 80
Production (MBD)
Even with oil at 5 year lows, the low cost Russian and Caspian region is able to remain profitable unlike the majority of its
international counterparts. In 2015 and 2016, Russia was the only region globally to maintain healthy drilling activity and stable
OCTG demand.
Source: IEA World Energy Outlook; EIA International Energy Outlook; EIA Annual Energy Outlook; Morgan Stanley
Notes: (1) Breakeven price assumes a 10% return, and NPV of zero; *includes Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan; (2) Enhanced oil recovery; (3) Deep Water
13
Russian Tube and Pipe Market
12
10
8 Non-Energy
mln tonnes
4
Energy
2
2018E
2019E
2020E
2021E
2022E
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
No.1 on the Russian tube and pipe market 36% market share of energy pipe demand
2017 2016 2017
Source: TMK estimates, based on FY2017 numbers Source: TMK estimates, based on FY 2016–2017 numbers
14
Strong Position on the Domestic Market
TMK share of seamless OCTG remains high
Seamless OCTG Market Shares, % Development of conventional and unconventional
reserves will require the use of non-conventional
drilling techniques and reliable OCTG products
25% Russian seamless OCTG market is up 10% YoY in
2017
64%
11% TMK is a leader in the production of seamless
OCTG on the Russian market with around 64%
market share for 2017
30 9,000
8,000
25
7,000
20 6,000
5,000
‘000 km
27.6
15
units
24.9
4,000
22.2
22.0
20.8
20.5
18.7
10 3,000
16.5
14.4
14.3
13.3
11.6
2,000
9.3
5
8.4
1,000
0 0
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Annual development drilling volume
Total new wells drilled (rhs)
Source: CDU TEK, TMK estimates
15
LDP Demand in Russia
LDP demand in Russia, 2012–2020E
Booming market Stable and constructive outlook
3,500
15%
3,000
2,500 20%
'000 tonnes
20%
2,000
26%
26%
1,500 31% 30% 15% 30% 29%
34% 30%
14% 65% 12% 13%
1,000 26%
14% 15%
54% 59%
500 54% 58% 58%
44% 52% 55%
0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018E 2019E 2020E
Major projects planned: Power of Siberia (GAZP), NS2 Onshore (GAZP), Power of Siberia-2
(GAZP), Sakhalin – Khabarovsk – Vladivostok GTS (GAZP), maintenance needs of Transneft and
Gazprom
16
Strategic Cooperation Supporting Growth
Strategic cooperation with key customers
Technology
Partnership
Scientific and Program
Technological
Cooperation
Partnership
Memorandum
Newly signed long-term agreements with key customers to develop and supply innovative premium
products with related services will strengthen TMK’s position
Import substitution programs guarantee purchase of tubular products and related services
TMK’s innovative products are able to considerably improve the energy efficiency of wells, as well
as safety and environmental impact
17
TMK UP Connections for all Conditions
18
TMK American Division:
Market Overview
19
Strong Fundamentals Driving OCTG Consumption
20
1 Improving Oil & Gas Market Fundamentals …
Signs that the global glut is easing…
Sentiment has improved as the EIA’s forecast for
2018E is positive
104
102
100 These new estimates signal confidence that the
98 global oil glut is finally easing
MMbbl/d
96
94
Improved demand outlook, weaker oil and gas
92
investment, and the OPEC prolonging production
90
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q cuts indicate a tighter market in 2018E
2017 2018E 2019E
Demand Supply EIA expects WTI to stabilise at $56-58/bbl in 2Q-4Q
Source: EIA 2018
…improve sentiment and price in 2H 2017
Growth in exports and consumption will contribute to
80 4 natural gas output rising and stabilising at $3.07-
3.15/MMBtu in 2Q-4Q 2018
70 3
60 2
50 1
40 0
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q
2017 2018E 2019E
WTI Crude Oil HH Natural Gas (rhs)
Source: EIA
21
1
Improving Oil & Gas Market Fundamentals … (cont’d)
U.S. natural gas consumption by sector, Growth in exports and consumption point to
2014 – 2040E higher Henry Hub natural gas prices in 2018
15 4.0
Industrial
9
3.0
6
Residential
2.5
3 Commercial
2.0
Transportation
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q
0
2010 2015 2020E 2025E 2030E 2035E 2040E 2017 2018E 2019E
Industrial and electric power sectors will drive demand for natural gas over the next 20 years
In early 2000, 16% of electricity was generated by natural gas and 52% by coal, while in 2017 it is expected that
31% of electricity will be generated by natural gas and 31% by coal
Natural gas storage is projected to end the 2017E injection season at below average levels, creating a tighter
supply/demand balance moving into 2018E and upward pressure on natural gas prices
22
1 … Drive U.S. Shale Production …
U.S. crude oil production
According to EIA forecasts, U.S. crude oil 11.2
12 10.6
production is set to achieve 10.6 MMbpd and 11.2 9.4
10 8.7 8.9 9.3
MMbpd levels in 2018E and 2019E respectively vs. 7.5
8 6.5
9.3 MMbpd in 2017, driven by a corresponding 5.1 5.0 5.3 5.5
5.6
MMbpd
6
recovery of shale oil production 4
2
Shale oil production has proven resilient despite 0
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
the lower oil price environment, maximizing output
potential at lower profitability levels
Source: EIA
U.S. shale oil production reached the pre-crisis U.S. shale oil production(1) is growing
level of approximately 6 MMbpd in September 2017
7
Jan-08
Jan-09
Jan-10
Jan-11
Jan-12
Jan-13
Jan-14
Jan-15
Jan-16
Jan-17
Jan-18
Notes: (1) Includes total oil production from Anadarko, Appalachia, Bakken, Eagle Ford, Source: EIA
Haynesville, Marcellus, Niobrara, Permian & Utica
23
… Which is Sustainable in the Long Term at Current Oil
1
Price Levels
Continental U.S. tight oil cost curve 2026E
120
Niobrara
100 Eagle Ford
Breakeven U.S.$/bbl Brent equivalent
80
Mid-
continent
60
2018 YTD
WTI
40 Bone Spring price:
(Permian) Bakken
Wolfcamp $61-65/bbl
(Permian)
20 Other
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Cumulative liquids production 2026E (MMbpd)
Weighted average breakeven price based on 2026E production
Source: Wood Mackenzie
During the past 2 years, U.S. shale players have managed to decrease production costs
─ Drilling technology has evolved, driven by efficiency requirements
─ Key changes included higher intensity of drilling, longer laterals, significantly higher usage of proppants and equipment and well
string standardization
Despite a wide variation between plays, many U.S. shale producers are profitable at oil prices in the U.S.$50-60/bbl range in the long
term
─ A number of shale plays, incl. Permian and Eagle Ford basins as well as Mid-continent region of the U.S., are profitable at around
U.S.$45-50/bbl
24
2 Driving Increasing Unconventional Horizontal Drilling …
U.S. active rig count by type of drilling
Horizontal and directional drilling exceeded 90% in 100
13 11 7
22 17
2017 and has more than doubled for the last 10 years 32 31 27
35
75 47
% as of year end
55
According to Spears & Associates estimates, U.S.
drilling and completion spending doubled YoY in 2017 50 73 79 81 86
63 65
48 56 58
and will increase by 19% YoY in 2018E 25 34
25
Growing number of available productive benches 20 19 17 13 13
11 10 10 9 9 7
means that for any drilled well there is the potential for 0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
additional drilling activity further down the line
Directional Horizontal Vertical
Source: Baker Hughes
2018E
2019E
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Wolfcamp C
Source: Spears & Associates, Drilling Production Report as of June 2017 Source: Spears & Associates
25
3 …Growing Rig Count and Footage Drilled per Rig …
U.S. average annual rig count(1) Footage drilled per rig
2,500 (000’s)
400
2,000 1,879 1,879 1,919 1,862 334.8
1,768 1,761 319.1
1,546 286.9
300
1,500
211.1 216.8
1,089 191.1
983 986 200 169.1 173.7
1,000 876
512
500 100
0 0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018E 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Source: Baker Hughes, BTU Analytics, Raymond James, Spears & Associates, Inc. Source: Spears & Associates, Inc.
Rig count increased by 70% YoY in 2017 and is expected to grow by 13% YoY in 2018E
After a slowdown in 4Q 2017 caused by exhaustion of E&P budgets, the consensus forecast indicates
that the rig count will average in the high-900s during 2018E
Number of rigs used for horizontal drilling increased in 2017, according to Baker Hughes
According to Spears & Associates, over the past 8 years footage drilled per rig grew at a CAGR of 9%
Notes: (1) Numbers for 2007 – 2017 based on Baker Hughes data, numbers for 2018E based on median between BTU Analytics, Raymond James, and Spears & Associates estimates
26
4 5 … Coupled with More Wells Drilled per Rig and Longer
Laterals …
Horizontal wells drilled per rig
Pad drilling operations allow operators to drill more
20 18.6
horizontal wells per rig per year 16.7
15.4
15
In the U.S., the average number of horizontal wells 11.6
10.0
drilled per rig has increased from an average of 8.0 10 8.0 8.2
7.0
wells per rig in 2010 to an average of 18.6 wells per
rig in 2017, according to Coras Oilfield Research 5
5,000
2,500
0
2014 2015 2016 2017E 2018E
Source: Spears & Associates, Inc.
27
6 … Resulting in OCTG Consumption Growth …
Total U.S. OCTG consumption
U.S. consumption of OCTG reached 4.6 mln metric
10.0
tonnes in 2017, more than twice 2016
7.3
1,000 350
300
500
250
0 Jan-13 200
Sep-13
Jan-14
Sep-14
Jan-15
Sep-15
Jan-16
Sep-16
Jan-17
Sep-17
Jan-18
May-13
May-14
May-15
May-16
May-17
U.S. Rig Count OCTG Consumption per Rig (tonnes/month)
28
6 … Inventory Normalization, Higher Efficiency …
Increased shipment levels bring months-of-
US OCTG inventories have reached the normalized
inventory back to pre-downturn levels
levels of 2014 as shipments outpace consumption
3.0 12
Despite months of inventory having reached 2014 Monthly absolute inventory
levels, the monthly absolute inventory is meaningfully Months of inventory (rhs)
below pre-crisis levels due to higher industry efficiency:
10
Design has standardized resulting in more obsolete 2.6
inventory
Months of Inventory
2.2
ground that was typically required to maintain a
certain rig level has decreased from previous cycles
6
Standardized diameters of OCTG piping
1.8
Chevron Permian XTO Bakken Cabot Northeast
4
Total Weight per well: Total Weight per well: Total Weight per well:
492 NT 323 NT 267 NT
20"
13 3/8" 9 5/8”
1.4
13 3/8" 2
7"
9 5/8"
9 5/8”
29
6 … and Stabilization of OCTG Prices in 3Q-4Q 2017
U.S. distributor welded OCTG vs. HRC prices U.S. distributor seamless OCTG vs. scrap prices
(U.S.$/tonne, monthly average) (U.S.$/tonne, monthly average)
2,100 2,400
1,800
1,500
+34% +25%
1,400
1,400 1,600
1,100
1,000
+25%
700 700 800
600
+60%
0 300 0 200
Apr-16 Nov-16 Jun-17 Jan-18 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Apr-16 Nov-16Jun-17 Jan-18
Jan-13 Feb-14 Mar-15 Apr-16 May-17
Welded OCTG price Seamless OCTG price
HRC price Scrap price
Prices have rallied from the low in April 2016. Since the trough, welded OCTG prices increased by 34%
and seamless OCTG prices – by 25%
Prices declined in 4Q 2017 due to downward 4Q 2017 budget adjustments by main oil and gas
producers as the average oil price stayed below budgeted levels through 9M 2017 and stabilized in
early 2018
Raw material prices demonstrated relative flat growth in 4Q 2017 over 3Q 2017
30
Potential Upside for Business
Sales volume (thousand tonnes)
240 Rig count reached the bottom in May
199
200 185 2016 at 404 rigs, but has grown by
158
160 128 almost 570 rigs since then
120 93
80 50
65 74
The average number of rigs in 4Q 2017
40 decreased by 3% compared to the prior
0 quarter due to downward 4Q 2017
1Q 2016 2Q 2016 3Q 2016 4Q 2016 1Q 2017 2Q 2017 3Q 2017 4Q 2017 budget adjustments by main oil and gas
Adjusted EBITDA (U.S.$ mln) producers as the average oil price
60 stayed below budgeted levels through
42 39
40
9M 2017
21
20 9 U.S. domestic crude production
0 averaged 9.3 MMbpd in 2017, up 0.5
-20 -9 -9 MMbpd from the average for 2016
-22
-40 -32
1Q 2016 2Q 2016 3Q 2016 4Q 2016 1Q 2017 2Q 2017 3Q 2017 4Q 2017
These factors are reflected in the
IPSCO’s financial performance:
Adjusted EBITDA margin
─ Sales volume demonstrate strong
20% 14.5% 12.9%
9.0% 9.1% upward trend
10% 5.3%
0% ─ Adjusted EBITDA and EBITDA
(10%) (3.0%) margin troughed in 1Q 2016, then
(20%) recovered in 2Q-4Q 2016 & FY 2017
(19.6%)
(30%)
2014 2015 2016 1Q 2017 2Q 2017 3Q 2017 4Q 2017
Source: Company data
31
Strategic Overview
32
Key Strategic Pillars
Enhance leadership Dominate the Russian OCTG and line pipe markets
in key segments Remain in the TOP 3 leading OCTG producers in the USA
and enter new Increase the share of high-tech products in the Russian division’s revenue to 50% by 2022 and
product niches maintain a leading position in the Russian market for premium connections
Increase capacity utilization of steelmaking facilities through higher production volumes of steel billets
Optimise vertical and other products, and maximize the financial impact
integration Expand presence in further processing of tubular products (drill pipe, coating)
Develop a service offering of ready-to use comprehensive engineering solutions for customers
Enhance the sales Expand commercial footprint of TMK’s products and services
platform and Develop strategic partnerships with major customers and global consumers
leverage TMK’s Focus on offering products that have a global market and stable demand outlook, i.e.high-tech seamless
global scale pipes and premium connections
Focus on Develop e-commerce across all divisions via TMKe Trade, the first tubular goods Internet shop in Russia
innovation and
digitalisation Use cutting-edge digital technology to improve product quality and cut costs
Enhance Foster a culture of continuous operational improvements and production cost cutting
operational Ensure consistent product quality through increasing the sustainability of technologies and personnel
excellence qualification
Source: TMK management accounts (figures based on non-IFRS measures), TMK estimates
Note: Certain monetary amounts, percentages and other figures included in this presentation are subject to rounding adjustments. Totals therefore do not always add up to exact arithmetic sums.
34
Summary Financial Results
35
FY Consolidated Results Snapshot
Revenue Volumes and realised prices
Average
6,000 USD/RUB rate(a) 37.97 60.66 66.90 58.35
Thousand tonnes
3,871 3,781
3,000 6,009 4,000 3,458
1,842 1,113
3,000 1,461 1,046
2,000 4,127 4,394
3,338 2,000
1,000 2,560 2,410 2,412 2,668
1,000
0 0
2014 2015 2016 2017 2014 2015 2016 2017
Seamless Welded
Adjusted EBITDA(b) Net profit
US$ mln
400 829 9%
651 (100)
300 605 6%
530
200 (200) (217)
3%
100 (368)
0 0% (300)
2014 2015 2016 2017 2014 2015 2016
36
Gross Margin, SG&A and Cash Conversion
Gross margin SG&A and corporate overheads(a)
US$ mln
%
0% 0
2014 2015 2016 2017 2014 2015 2016 2017
Seamless Welded
Cash Conversion, %
consolidated gross profit and demonstrates consistently
200 50% superior margins
US$ mln
37
Segmental Quarterly Performance Dynamics
Russian division American division European division
Sales
volume
185 199
(ths.tonnes) 128 158
74 93 50
41 45 45 48 42
3Q 16 4Q 16 1Q 17 2Q 17 3Q 17 4Q 17 3Q 16 4Q 16 1Q 17 2Q 17 3Q 17 4Q 17 3Q 16 4Q 16 1Q 17 2Q 17 3Q 17 4Q 17
144
127 (b) 127 120
107 111
Adjusted 42 39
EBITDA(a), 21
9 8 6 5 6 7 11
US$ mln
(9) (9)
3Q 16 4Q 16 1Q 17 2Q 17 3Q 17 4Q 17 3Q 16 4Q 16 1Q 17 2Q 17 3Q 17 4Q 17 3Q 16 4Q 16 1Q 17 2Q 17 3Q 17 4Q 17
(b)
19% 19% 18% 18%
13% 15% 13% 15% 13% 14% 11% 13% 14%
5% 9% 9%
Adjusted
EBITDA
margin(a), %
(9%) (8%)
3Q 16 4Q 16 1Q 17 2Q 17 3Q 17 4Q 17 3Q 16 4Q 16 1Q 17 2Q 17 3Q 17 4Q 17 3Q 16 4Q 16 1Q 17 2Q 17 3Q 17 4Q 17
38
4Q 2017 vs. 3Q 2017 Summary Financial Highlights
Revenue increased QoQ, due to improved performance at
Sales were flat QoQ, with lower sales at the Russian the European division, higher sales at the American
division offset by stronger pipe sales at the American division and stronger consumption of seamless OCTG
and European divisions and line pipe at the Russian division
0% QoQ 5% QoQ
1,000 1,500
Thousand tonnes
750
US$ mln
1,000
0 0
3Q2017 4Q2017 3Q2017 4Q2017
Adjusted EBITDA decreased QoQ, largely due to higher Net loss amounted to $16 mln in 4Q 2017, compared to a
raw material prices and lower welded pipe sales at the net income in the prior quarter, mainly due to lower
Russian division operating profit and an impairment of assets
-5% QoQ
200 18% 30
15%
13% 15% 20
EBITDA margin, %
150
US$ mln
12% 10 22
US$ mln
100 9% 0
169 160
6% -10 -16
50
3% -20
0 0% -30
3Q2017 4Q2017 3Q2017 4Q2017
Source: TMK data
39
FY 2017 vs. FY 2016 Summary Financial Highlights
Revenue increased YoY, driven by strong sales and
Sales were up YoY, driven by 2.4-fold increase in sales at improved pricing at the American division and a positive
the American division effect of currency translation
9% YoY 32% YoY
4,000 4,500
Thousand tonnes
3,000
US$ mln
3,000
2,000 3,781 4,394
3,458
1,500 3,338
1,000
0 0
2016 2017 2016 2017
Adjusted EBITDA increased YoY, driven by a much Net profit decreased YoY, mainly reflecting a lower FX
stronger performance from the American division gain compared to FY 2016
US$ mln
605
9% 100
300
530 166
6%
150 50
3%
30
0 0% 0
2016 2017 2016 2017
40
Seamless – Core to Profitability
US$ mln QoQ, YoY, FY 2017 gross profit breakdown
4Q2017 2017
(unless stated otherwise) % %
Other
Sales - Pipes, kt 691 11% 2,668 11% operations
Welded 3%
Revenue 816 10% 3,074 31% 13%
SEAMLESS
Revenue 314 -7% 1,086 30% Sales of seamless pipe generated 70%
of the total revenue in FY 2017
WELDED
41
Appendix – Summary Financial Accounts
42
Key Consolidated Financial Highlights
(US$mln)(a) 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013
Revenue 4,394 3,338 4,127 6,009 6,432
Adjusted EBITDA(b) 605 530 651 829 986
Adjusted EBITDA Margin(b)(%) 14% 16% 16% 14% 15%
Profit (Loss) 30 166 (368) (217) 215
Net Profit Margin (%) 1% 5% n/a n/a 3%
Pipe Sales ('000 tonnes) 3,781 3,458 3,871 4,402 4,287
Average Net Sales/tonne (US$)(c) 1,162 965 1,066 1,365 1,500
Cash Cost per tonne (US$)(d) 862 692 783 1,030 1,108
Cash Flow from Operating Activities 312 476 684 595 703
43
Income Statement
(US$ mln) 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013
Revenue 4,394 3,338 4,127 6,009 6,432
Cost of sales (3,521) (2,634) (3,282) (4,839) (5,074)
Gross Profit 872 704 845 1,169 1,358
Selling and Distribution Expenses (261) (220) (260) (350) (379)
General and Administrative Expenses (231) (196) (207) (278) (317)
Adverstising and Promotion Expenses (7) (6) (8) (14) (12)
Research and Development Expenses (11) (11) (13) (15) (13)
Other Operating Expenses, Net (34) (4) (35) (35) (34)
Foreign Exchange Gain / (Loss) 28 130 (141) (301) (49)
Finance Costs, Net (268) (263) (269) (226) (245)
Other (10) 35 (354) (150) 5
Income / (Loss) before Tax 78 169 (443) (201) 312
Income Tax (Expense) / Benefit (48) (4) 75 (15) (98)
Net Income / (Loss) 30 165 (368) (217) 215
Source: TMK Consolidated Financial Statements for 2017, 2016, 2015 and 2014
Note: Certain monetary amounts, percentages and other figures included in this presentation are subject to rounding adjustments. Totals therefore do not always add up to exact arithmetic sums.
(a) Calculated as Finance income less Finance costs
44
Statement of Financial Position
(US$ mln) 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013
ASSETS
Cash and Cash Equivalents 491 277 305 253 93
Accounts Receivable 871 689 512 728 995
Inventories 1,121 769 785 1,047 1,324
Prepayments 139 107 113 113 148
Other Financial Assets 0 42 0 1 0
Total Current Assets 2,624 1,883 1,715 2,142 2,561
Total Non-current Assets 2,913 2,853 2,697 3,508 4,857
Total Assets 5,537 4,736 4,412 5,649 7,419
LIABILITIES AND EQUITY
Accounts Payable 950 735 682 831 1,111
ST Debt 610 268 600 764 398
Other Liabilities 178 48 41 48 62
Total Current Liabilities 1,738 1,051 1,323 1,643 1,571
LT Debt 2,725 2,650 2,201 2,459 3,296
Deferred Tax Liability 82 90 110 206 298
Other Liabilities 59 47 64 71 125
Total Non-current Liabilities 2,866 2,786 2,374 2,735 3,718
Equity 933 899 715 1,271 2,130
Including Non-Controlling Interest 50 55 53 66 96
Total Liabilities and Equity 5,537 4,736 4,412 5,649 7,419
Net Debt 2,688 2,479 2,471 2,969 3,600
Source: TMK Consolidated Financial Statements for 2017, 2016, 2015 and 2014
Note: Certain monetary amounts, percentages and other figures included in this presentation are subject to rounding adjustments. Totals therefore do not always add up to exact arithmetic sums.
45
Cash Flow
(US$ mln) 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013
Profit / (Loss) before Income Tax 78 169 (443) (201) 312
Adjustments for:
Depreciation and Amortisation 263 242 251 304 326
Net Finance Cost 268 263 269 226 245
Others (260) (154) 552 479 61
Working Capital Changes (253) (13) 105 (159) (159)
Cash Generated from Operations 349 506 734 648 786
Income Tax Paid (38) (31) (51) (53) (82)
Net Cash from Operating Activities 312 476 684 595 703
Source: TMK Consolidated Financial Statements for 2017, 2016, 2015 and 2014
Note: Certain monetary amounts, percentages and other figures included in this presentation are subject to rounding adjustments. Totals therefore do not always add up to exact arithmetic sums
(a) Calculated as Finance costs less Finance income
46
Appendix – Capital Structure and Corporate
Governance
47
Capital Structure
Capital structure Key considerations
Source: TMK
48
TMK Corporate Governance
DMITRY PUMPYANSKIY, Chairman of the Board of Directors, non-executive director
Key considerations Born in 1964. Graduated from the Sergey Kirov Urals Polytechnic Institute in 1986. PhD in Technical Sciences,
Doctor of Economics. Founder and beneficial majority shareholder of TMK
Relevant experience: Chairman of the Supervisory Board of Russian Agricultural Bank, Member of the Board of
The Board of Directors is comprised of Directors at Rosagroleasing and SKB-Bank, President and Chairman of the Board of Directors of Sinara Group,
member of the Management Board of the Russian Union of Industrialists and Entrepreneurs, CEO at TMK, CEO and
11 members, including 5 independent a member of the Board of Directors of Sinara Group, Board member at various industrial and financial companies
directors, 4 non-executive directors
and 2 executive directors. MIKHAIL ALEKSEEV, Independent director, Chairman of the Nomination and Remuneration Committee.
Born in 1964. Graduated from the Moscow Finance Institute in 1986. Doctor of Economics.
Relevant experience: Chairman of the Management Board of UniCredit Bank, Chairman of the Supervisory Board
The Board of Directors has 3 standing of LLC UniCredit Leasing, Chairman of the Board and President of “Rossiysky Promyishlenny Bank” (Rosprombank),
Senior Vice President and Deputy Chairman of the Management Board of Rosbank, Deputy Chairman of the
committees, chairman of each Management Board of ONEXIM Bank, Deputy Head of the General Directorate of the Ministry of Finance of the
committee is an independent director: USSR.
– Strategy Committee. ALEKSANDER SHOKHIN, Independent director, Chairman of the Strategy Committee
Born in 1951. Graduated from the Lomonosov Moscow State University in 1974. PhD, Doctor of Economics,
Professor.
TMK’s day-to-day operations are Relevant experience: President of the Russian Union of Industrialists and Entrepreneurs, President of the Higher
School of Economics State University, member of the Board of Directors of AO Russian Small and Medium Business
managed by the CEO and the Corporation, Board member at Lukoil, Russian Railways, member of the Public Chamber of the Russian Federation,
Management Board which consists of member of the State Duma, Minister of Labour and Employment and Minister of Economic Affairs, Head of the
Russian Agency for International Cooperation and Development, twice appointed as Deputy Head of the Russian
eight members. Government, Russia’s representative to IMF and World Bank.
operations.
ROBERT MARK FORESMAN, Independent director, member of the Board of Directors
Born in 1968. Graduated from Bucknell University (USA) in 1990 and Harvard University Graduate School of Arts &
Sciences in 1993.
Relevant experience: Head of Barclays Capital in Russia, Deputy Chairman of the Management Board at
Renaissance Capital, Chairman of the Management Committee for Russia and CIS at Dresdner Kleinwort
Wasserstein, Head of Investment Banking for Russia and CIS at ING Barings, Vice Chairman at UBS Investment
Bank.
49
Appendix – TMK Products
50
Wide Range of Products
Seamless Welded Premium
Threaded pipes for the oil Threaded pipes for the oil Premium connections are
and gas industry including and gas industry including proprietary value-added
drill pipe, casing and drill pipe, casing and products used to connect
tubing. tubing. OCTG pipes and are used
in sour, deep well, off-
OCTG OCTG shore, low temperature and
other high-pressure
applications.
The short-distance The short-distance
transportation of crude oil, transportation of crude oil, Premium
oil products and natural oil products and natural Connections
gas. gas. (TMK UP)
Industrial
51
TMK Premium Product Offering
TMK connections series Premium products and services
TMK to maintain its share of premium connections
Higher resistance to torque Easy and reliable make-up
market with greater focus on sales of 2nd and 3rd
for casing while drilling and Comprises connections with generation premium connections to improve sales
rotating metal-to-metal seals and efficiency and enhance competitive advantage
A comprehensive line of positive torque stops that
semi-premium connections provide gas tightness and TMK is actively developing HI-TECH products for
designed to outperform ensure reliability in difficult
unconventional reserves, including offshore deposits:
standard API connections well conditions
LDP
Ability to withstand high
tension, compression and
bending loads at excessive Extreme torsional resistance
internal and external pressure for high operational torque
Pipes with premium connections are designed for O&G wells developed in challenging exploration and production conditions,
including offshore, deep-sea and Far North locations, as well as for horizontal and directional wells
52
Premium Solutions: TMK UP
ULTRA SF ULTRA SFII ULTRA FJ ULTRA FX ULTRA CX ULTRA QX SXC ULTRA DQX ULTRA DQXHT TMK BPN TMK-2S ULTRA GX ULTRA QX
2003 2013 2003 2003 2008 2009 2009 2011 2013 2013 2013 2016 TORQ
2016
ТМК 1 TMK FMC TMK CS TMK TTL 01 TMK GF TMK PF TMK FMT TMK PF ET TMK TDS TMK CWB TMK PF Tubing TMK UP TMK UP
2004 2005 2005 2005 2005 2007 2008 2008 2010 2011 2012 Magna Centum
2013 2014
53
Utilisation of TMK Pipe Products in Oil and Gas Industry
OCTG – Oil Country Tubular Goods (drilling, casing, tubing) used for oil & gas exploration, well fixing and oil & gas
production (46% of total sales for FY 2017)
Line pipe – used for short distance transportation of crude oil, oil products and natural gas (23% of total sales for FY 2017)
LDP - large diameter pipe used for construction of trunk pipeline systems for long distance transportation of natural gas,
crude oil and petroleum products (7% in total sales for FY 2017)
54
Appendix – Other Materials
55
TMK’s Undisputed Market Leading Position in Russia
Seamless Welded Premium
OCTG TMK Line Pipe Premium
18% Connections
TMK Threaded pipes for O&G Short-distance
64% industry including drill transportation of O&G TMK (TMK UP)
79%
pipe, casing and tubing and oil products Premium connections are
proprietary value-added
products used to connect
OCTG pipes and are used
in sour, deep well, off-
shore, low temperature and
Line Pipe TMK Large Diameter other high-pressure
16% applications
TMK Short-distance transport Construction of trunk
60% of crude oil, oil products pipeline systems for long
#1 in the Russian Tube and Pipe
and natural gas distance transportation of
O&G and petroleum Market
products
TMK
24%
Industrial TMK
8% Industrial
TMK
36% Automotive, machine Wide array of applications
building, and power and industries, including
generation sectors utilities and agriculture
TMK will continue to grow its market share due to expected increased competitiveness of domestically
produced pipes vs. imported ones (due to RUB depreciation)
56
TMK Investor Relations
40/2a, Pokrovka Street, Moscow, 105062, Russia
+7 (495) 775-7600
[email protected]