Economic and Price Stability
Economic and Price Stability
Economic and Price Stability
Monetary Aggregates
The changes in money supply are a primary causal factor affecting price stability. In general,
three definitions of monetary aggregates are used in analysing monetary developments in Sri
Lanka. The first is 'reserve money' consisting of currency issued by the Central Bank and
commercial banks' deposits with the Central Bank. This is also called base money or high-
powered money, as commercial banks can create deposits based on reserve money which are
components of a broader definition of money supply, through their process of creating credits
and deposits. The second is narrow money, defined as the sum of currency held by the public
and demand deposits held by the public with commercial banks. The third is broad money
defined as the sum of currency held by the public and all deposits held by the public with
commercial banks. Studies have shown that the most appropriate monetary variable to
analyse the relationship between the money supply and the general price level is the broad
money supply.
The monetary programme is prepared by the Central Bank taking into account economic
factors such as the expected fiscal and balance of payments developments, economic growth,
desired levels of growth in credit and inflation. Based on these factors, the monetary
programme sets out the desired path for monetary growth and determines the path of
quarterly reserve money targets necessary to achieve this monetary growth. The Bank would
then conduct its Open Market Operations (OMO) within a corridor of interest rates formed by
its policy rates i.e. the repurchase rate and the reverse repurchase rate, to achieve the reserve
money target. Policy rates are periodically reviewed and adjusted appropriately, if necessary,
to bring the reserve money to the targeted path.
At present, the Central Bank conducts its monetary policy under a system of active
Open Market Operations. The key elements of the system are (i) an interest rate corridor
formed by the main policy rates of the Bank i.e. the repurchase rate and the reverse
repurchase rate, (ii) a daily auction either to absorb or inject liquidity, (iii) a standing facility
at interest rates at the bounds of the corridor and (iv) outright transactions.
The main instruments to achieve the path of the reserve money targets are the
repurchase rate and the reverse repurchase rate of the Central Bank which form the lower and
upper bounds for the comparable overnight interest rates in money markets. These rates,
which are the Bank's signalling mechanism on its monetary policy stance, are reviewed on a
regular basis, usually once a month, and revised if necessary.
A daily auction is conducted either to absorb liquidity through repurchase transactions, if
there is excess liquidity, or to inject liquidity through reverse repurchase transactions, if there
is a shortage of liquidity and thereby to maintain overnight interest rates stable around a level
considered consistent with the path of reserve money targets. The auction is on a multiple
bid, multiple price system. Participants could make up to three bids at each auction and the
successful bidders would receive their requests at the rates quoted in the relevant bid.
Standing facilities are available for those participating institutions which were unable to
obtain their liquidity requirements at the daily auction. That is, even after the daily auction, if
a participant has excess money he could enter into a repurchase transaction under the
standing facility. Similarly, if a participant needs liquidity to cover a shortage, he could
borrow funds on reverse repurchase basis under the standing facility. Accordingly, these
facilities help containing wide fluctuations in interest rates.
Outright transactions are conducted at the discretion of the Central Bank to address long
term liquidity issues. If a relatively large liquidity surplus exists and is likely to persist for a
long period it is absorbed by selling Treasury bills outright out of the holdings of the Central
Bank, and if a sufficient stock of Treasury bills is not available, by issuing the Central Bank's
own securities. Similarly, a long term liquidity shortage would be removed by purchasing
Treasury bills and bonds in the secondary market and buying Treasury bills in the primary
market.
There also exists another policy rate known as the Bank Rate. It is the rate at which the
Central Bank provides credit to commercial banks as a lender of last resort. These are
collateralised loans and government securities are accepted as collaterals. The Bank rate is
usually a penalty rate and it is higher than other market rates. Therefore, at present this rate is
just an indicative rate as commercial banks can borrow from the Central Bank at the reverse
repurchase rate which is less than the Bank rate.
The statutory reserve ratio (SRR), i.e., the proportion of the deposit liabilities that
commercial banks are required to keep as a cash deposit with the Central Bank, also has been
widely used to influence money supply in the past. However, the reliance on SRR as a day to
day monetary management measure has been gradually reduced with a view to enhancing
market orientation of monetary policy and also reducing the implicit cost of funds which the
SRR would entail on commercial banks.
Under the MLA, commercial banks are required to maintain reserves with the Central
Bank at rates determined by the Bank. At present, demand, time and savings deposits of
commercial banks denominated in rupee terms are subject to the SRR and the applicable ratio
is 10 per cent on all deposit liabilities.
The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) is chaired by the Deputy Governor in charge of
Price Stability and includes the following members:
Chairperson
Deputy Governor responsible for Price Stability
Members
Deputy Governor responsible for Financial Stability
Assistant Governor responsible for Price Stability
Assistant Governor responsible for Financial Stability
Director of Economic Research
Additional Director of Economic Research responsible for
Money and Banking
(Alternate, Deputy Director, Economic Research responsible for
Money and Banking)
Director, International Operations (Alternate, Deputy Director,
International Operations)
Director, Domestic Operations (Alternate, Deputy Director,
Domestic Operations)
The primary function of the MPC would be to forecast and evaluate emerging monetary and
macro-economic developments and make recommendations on appropriate future directions
of monetary policy for consideration by the Governor and the Monetary Board.
The MPC would meet at regular intervals, at least once a month. At these meetings, members
would consider reports prepared by the Economic Research Department and other
departments on monetary, foreign exchange market and price developments, together with
developments in the fiscal, external and real sectors, which would serve as the bases for the
deliberations of the MPC, in the formulation of recommendations to the Governor and the
Monetary Board.
Dissemination of Information
Changes in monetary policy, including information on the rationale for such changes, are
notified to the public, including all market participants, through press releases, press
statements made by senior officials of the Central Bank and posting on the Bank's website.
The Central Bank's website is updated whenever necessary. Usually, press conferences are
held by senior Central Bank officials if the changes are significant. In addition,
senior officials of the Central Bank are frequently interviewed by the media.