Power Point Fibonacci Review Workshop 11 28 16 Aa

Download as pdf or txt
Download as pdf or txt
You are on page 1of 71

Fibonacci Trading Review

Workshop

Presented by Larry Gaines


2
Disclaimer
Fibonacci for Support - Resistance
& Price Target Analysis

4
 In the early 1200’s, an Italian mathematician
Leonardo Fibonacci discovered the famous
Fibonacci number sequence or series.

 The famed Fibonacci numbers turn up in many


areas of nature, the human body and music.

 They also show up in Market Action and if they


continue to show up in the universe they have
predictive values that can be used and even
used in trading….

5
It’s all based on Fibonacci’s famous
number sequence or series…

This number series will continue to infinity by


adding the previous two numbers…

0,1,1,2,3,5,8,13,21,34,55,89,144,233,etc…

6
The Fibonacci number sequence is directly
related to the Golden Ratio (1+√5/2 ) which
results in the Golden Number Phi…

(1.618033988749…).

7
 If you multiply any term in the series by the value of
the golden ratio (1.618), the answer that results will
be close to the next number in the series.

 For example, 8 is .618 greater than 5 and when the


higher numbers in the series are multiplied by the
golden ratio, the result becomes closer and closers
to the next number in the series.

5 x 1.618 = 8.08
8 x 1.618 = 12.944
13 x 1.618 = 21.034
21 x 1.618 = 33.978
34 x 1.618 = 55.012 8
 For Fibonacci Support & Resistance Analysis,
Fibonacci Ratios that are derived from the number
series are used.
The ratios used are:
.382, .236, .50, .618, .786, 1.0, 1.272 & 1.618, 2.618, 4.236

9
Trading & Fibonacci

10
 Support and resistance levels are seen as important in
terms of market psychology and supply and demand.

 Support and resistance levels are the levels at which a lot of


traders are willing to buy the stock (in the case of a support)
or sell it (in the case of resistance).

 And Fibonacci is a very useful and effective technical


analysis tool for establishing support & resistance levels or
zones to trade against.

11
It’s all based on key Fibonacci ratios.

The 38.2%, 50% and 61.8%.

However, more multiples can be used when needed, such as


23.6%, 78.6%, 127.2%, 161.8%, 261.8% and so on.

There are three different types of price relationships that are


used for this trading analysis:

1. Fibonacci Retracements
2. Fibonacci Extensions
3. Fibonacci Projections

12
1. Fibonacci Price Retracements
For possible support, run low to high swings using the ratios below

For possible resistance, run high to low swings using the same ratios

high high

for potential resistance

for potential support

low low

% Retracement .382, .50, .618, .786


2. Fibonacci Price Extensions
high

high

low

low
Price extensions are essentially Retracements beyond 100%.
Use the ratios of 1.272 and 1.618.
Run low to high swings for possible support.
Run the high to low swings for possible resistance.
3. Fibonacci Price Projections

For possible resistance For possible support

high

high high

low low
low
Fibonacci price projections are measured from 3 points on the chart to compare swings
in the same direction.

Mostly use 1.00% and 1.272% and sometimes 1.618 for these projections.
Run prior low to high swings from another low for possible resistance.
Run prior high to low swings from another high for possible support.
To run Fibonacci Price Support
Retracements Price Extensions Price Projections (3 points)

Lows to Highs Lows to Highs Use


100%
Use Use A 1.618
B B
.382 1.272
.50 1.618
.618 C
.786 High to Low
from High
A B

A
To run Fibonacci Price Resistance
Retracements Use Price Extensions Price Projections (3 points)
.382
Highs to Lows .50 Use Use
Highs to Lows
.618 1.272 100%
.786 1.618 1.618
A

Low to B
A
High from
Low

C
B
A
B
 Fibonacci Price Retracements

18
Fibonacci Price Retracements
For possible support, run low to high swings using the ratios below

For possible resistance, run high to low swings using the same ratios

high high

for potential resistance

for potential support

low low

% Retracement .382, .50, .618, .786


Top Down Fibonacci Analysis

Charts Nov., 2016


 SPX: Monthly, Weekly, Daily

 NQ: Monthly, Weekly, Daily, 60 minute

 IWM: Monthly, Weekly, Daily

 DX: Monthly, Weekly, Daily

 CL: Monthly, Weekly, Daily

 GC: Monthly, Weekly, Daily

20
 Fibonacci Price Retracements
S&P 500 (SPX)

21
Monthly: High to Low = Retracement Resistance & Extensions

22
Monthly: High to Low = Retracement Resistance & Extensions

23
Weekly: High to Low = Retracement Resistance

24
Daily: Low to High = Retracement Support

25
 Fibonacci Price Retracements
NASDAQ 100 (NQ)

26
Monthly: High to Low = Retracement Resistance

27
Weekly: High to Low = Retracement Resistance

28
Daily: High to Low = Retracement Resistance

29
Daily: Low to High = Retracement Support

30
60 Minute: Low to High = Retracement Support

31
 Fibonacci Price Retracements
RUSSELL 2000 ETF (IWM)

32
Monthly: High to Low = Retracement Resistance

33
Weekly: High to Low = Retracement Resistance

34
Daily: Low to High = Retracement Support

35
 Fibonacci Price Retracements
USD INDEX (DX)

36
Monthly: High to Low = Retracement Resistance

37
Weekly: High to Low = Retracement Resistance

38
Daily: Low to High = Retracement Support

39
 Fibonacci Price Retracements
Crude Oil

40
Monthly: High to Low = Retracement Resistance

41
Weekly: High to Low = Retracement Resistance

42
Weekly Low/High Retracement Support & Monthly High/Low Retracement Resistance

43
Daily High to Low Retracement Resistance & Low to High Retracement Support

44
Daily: Low to High = Retracement Support

45
 Fibonacci Price Retracements
Gold Futures (GC)

46
Monthly: High to Low = Retracement Resistance

47
Weekly: Low to High = Retracement Support

48
 Fibonacci Price Extensions

49
2. Fibonacci Price Extensions
high

high

low

low
Price extensions are essentially Retracements beyond 100%.
Use the ratios of 1.272 and 1.618.
Run low to high swings for possible support.
Run the high to low swings for possible resistance.
 Fibonacci Price Extensions
SPX

51
Monthly: High to Low = Retracement Resistance & Extensions

52
Weekly: High to Low = Retracement Extension

53
 Fibonacci Price Projections

54
3. Fibonacci Price Projections

For possible resistance For possible support

high

high high

low low
low
Fibonacci price projections are measured from 3 points on the chart to compare swings
in the same direction.

Mostly use 1.00% and 1.272% and sometimes 1.618 for these projections.
Run prior low to high swings from another low for possible resistance.
Run prior high to low swings from another high for possible support.
Prior Measured Move to Identify Resistance

56
Prior Measured Move to Identify Support

57
Spotting Momentum Breakouts
Trend Lines

© RLCG Management LLC – 2012 – All 58


Rights Reserved
How is this done? Trend Lines…

•Supply and demand dictate price movement and the use of Trend
Lines.

•Trend Lines are universally used but the construction of them can
be very dissimilar from one person to the next causing for a very
subjective interpretation.

•So precision and accuracy demand that the lines be extended


from right to left with the most recent date appearing at
the right side of the chart.

59
Supply Pivot Points

A supply trend line is the declining price movement as


defined by a down sloping “supply” line as well as the
pattern of both lower price highs and lows.

The Supply Pivot Point is when there is a Price High that is


not exceeded by the Prior Price or the Price immediately
after.

This is a Pivot High.

© RLCG Management LLC – 2012 – All 60


Rights Reserved
61
© RLCG Management LLC – 2014 – 62
All Rights Reserved
© RLCG Management LLC – 2014 – 63
All Rights Reserved
© RLCG Management LLC – 2014 – 64
All Rights Reserved
© RLCG Management LLC – 2014 – 65
All Rights Reserved
Demand Pivot Points

The Demand Pivot Point is when there is a Lower Price that


is lower than the Prior Price and the Price immediately after.

This is a Pivot Low.

© RLCG Management LLC – 2012 – All 66


Rights Reserved
67
68
© RLCG Management LLC – 2014 – 69
All Rights Reserved
 Chart Examples

70
Fibonacci Trading Review
Workshop

Presented by Larry Gaines

You might also like