Rukundo Alain
Rukundo Alain
Rukundo Alain
BUJUMBURA, BURUNDI
By
UNIVERSITY
DECEMBER, 2018
i
DECLARATION
I hereby declare that this is my original work, and to the best of my knowledge, it has
never been submitted by any other person for any academic award in and out of Kampala
International University.
Sign: ……………………………………….
Date: ………………………………………..
i
APPROVAL
I hereby certify that this thesis was compiled under my supervision, and is herein
submitted for examination with my approval as the designated University supervisor.
Sign: …………………………………………
Date: …………………………………………
ii
DEDICATION
I wish to dedicate this research work to my family, especially my mother Mrs. Inamahoro
Jacqueline, Uwikukiye Godefroid family, my sister Mrs. Gahimbare Larissa, and my
brother Mr. Shingiro Aristide for all the encouragement, moral and financial support that
has got me to where I am today.
I also dedicate it to my friends who inspired me in education. Thank you for being there
for me, showing me your love and tolerance for the long hours away from home as I
pursued my studies.
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ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
I acknowledge with gratitude the contributions and co-operation made by respondents for
their willingness to provide the necessary information when I visited them. Without their
cooperation, this study would not have been possible to accomplish.
I would like to deeply thank all my lecturers at Kampala International University. These
have adequately guided and equipped me with both theoretical and practical skills. I would
also like to acknowledge the contribution of my classmates from whom I enjoyed fruitful
discussions on challenging topics.
Finally, for all those not mentioned here, thanks very much for your contribution.
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
DECLARATION .................................................................................................................... i
APPROVAL .......................................................................................................................... ii
DEDICATION ......................................................................................................................iii
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT .................................................................................................... iv
TABLE OF CONTENTS ...................................................................................................... v
LIST OF ACRONYMS ......................................................................................................viii
LIST OF TABLES ................................................................................................................ ix
ABSTRACT .......................................................................................................................... x
v
CHAPTER TWO ............................................................................................................... 15
LITERATURE REVIEW ................................................................................................. 15
2.0 Introduction.................................................................................................................... 15
2.1 Theoretical Review ........................................................................................................ 15
2.1.1 Modern Portfolio Theory ............................................................................................ 15
2.1.2 Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) ........................................................................ 19
2.2 Conceptual Review ........................................................................................................ 20
2.3 Related Literature .......................................................................................................... 21
2.3.1 The effect of credit standards on loan performance ................................................... 21
2.3.2 The effect of credit policy on loan performance ........................................................ 24
2.3.3 The effect of credit terms on loan performance.......................................................... 26
2.3.4 The effect of collection policy on loan performance .................................................. 28
2.4 Empirical Review .......................................................................................................... 29
2.5 Summary and Gaps ........................................................................................................ 33
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CHAPTER FOUR ............................................................................................................. 41
PRESENTATION, ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION OF RESULTS ............... 41
4.1 Introduction.................................................................................................................... 41
4.2 Demographic Characteristics of Respondents ............................................................... 41
4.3 Credit standards and loan performance ......................................................................... 43
4.4 Credit policy and loan performance .............................................................................. 45
4.5 Credit terms and loan performance................................................................................ 46
4.6 Collection policy and loan performance ........................................................................ 47
4.7 Regression Analysis....................................................................................................... 48
REFERENCES. ................................................................................................................. 58
APPENDIX I ....................................................................................................................... 64
Questionnaire ....................................................................................................................... 64
APPENDIX II ...................................................................................................................... 69
Introduction Letter ............................................................................................................... 69
vii
LIST OF ACRONYMS
viii
LIST OF TABLES
ix
ABSTRACT
This study was aimed at determining the effect credit management on loan performance.
The study was based on four specific objectives; to assess the effect of credit standards on
loan performance in commercial banks, to determine the effect of implementation of credit
policy on loan performance in commercial banks, to analyze how credit terms affect loan
performance in commercial banks and to establish the effect of collection policies on loan
performance in commercial banks in Burundi. A review of existing literature revealed that
very few studies have been done on factors affecting credit management as many of the
studies concentrated largely on non-financial loans and credit allocation yet it is through
improved credit management that banks’ loan portfolios can enlarge and banks would meet
their ultimate goal of stimulating growth and performance in the economy. Despite many
researches it is quite clear that very little research studies has been done on factors
affecting credit management as many of the researches concentrates largely on
nonfinancial loans and credit allocation yet it is through improved credit management that
banks would be able to expand their loan portfolios. The study aims to fill that knowledge
gap. The study adopted a descriptive survey design, with the study population comprised
of 58 employees of 3 selected commercial banks. Data was collected using questionnaires
and was analyzed using descriptive and regression analysis to determine the effect of credit
management on loan performance. The findings of the study revealed that the various
components of credit management, that is credit standards (average mean 4.73 and
standard deviation 0.68), credit policy (average mean 4.71 and standard deviation 0.63),
credit terms (average mean 4.57 and standard deviation 0.57) and collection policy
(average mean 4.63 and standard deviation 0.61), have a positive and significant effect on
loan performance in commercial banks in Bujumbura, Burundi. The study concluded that
having objective and appropriate parameters for credit standard, enabling banks to
adequately assess the credit records, and clear guidelines in the processing and issuance of
loans and monitoring their repayment schedules has a direct bearing on the levels of
default and repayment. It was also concluded that the policy on loan repayment collections
is another key determinant of loan performance, where the rate of asset recovery and
transfer of loans is directed related to the level of losses from loan default. The study
recommended that Commercial banks should consider having in place effective credit
standards, credit policy, credit terms and collection policies or procedures as mechanisms
to guide their business, since the effectiveness of credit management is important to the
successful management of banking institutions; that Commercial banks should operate
their credit businesses based strictly on established lending guidelines that clearly outline
the business growth priorities of the senior management, as well as the conditions to satisfy
in order to qualify for loan approval; and that there should be prior customer evaluation
before loans are granted, and a continuous process of assessment before and during the
course of loan repayment. This study’s contribution to knowledge is its ability to add to the
body of existing knowledge on financial and credit management discipline and bridging
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gaps in credit management research as a whole, by informing policy makers and managers
of the best practices in appraising their credit policies and to review their operations
critically for more result oriented approaches in the dealing with credit facilities.
xi
CHAPTER ONE
INTRODUCTION
1.0 Introduction
This study examined the effect of credit management on loan performance among selected
commercial banks in Bujumbura, Burundi. This chapter presents the background of the
study, the statement of the problem, purpose of the study, objectives, research question,
scope and significance of the study.
In Europe during the Middle Ages, a period which spanned 1,000 years from about 500 to
1500 A.D., credit bills were essential to the trading activities of the prosperous Italian city-
states (Hill & Satoris, 2005). Lending and borrowing, as well as buying and selling on
credit, became widespread practices; the debtor-creditor relationship was found in all
classes of society from peasants to nobles. A common form of investment and credit,
especially in Italy, was the “sea loan” whereby the capitalist advanced money to the
merchant and thus shared the risk. If the voyage was a success, the creditor got the
1
investment back plus a substantial bonus of 20 to 30 percent; if the ship was lost, the
creditor stood to lose the entire sum. Another form of credit was the “fair letter,” which
was developed at fairs held regularly in the centers of trading areas during the Middle-
Ages Europe. The fair letter amounted to a promissory note to be paid before the end of the
fair or at the time of the next fair (Gestel & Baesens, 2009). It enabled a merchant, who
was short of cash, to secure goods on credit. This gave the merchant time either to sell the
goods brought to the fair or to take home and sell the goods that had been purchased on
credit.
In the UK credit dealings were a personal affair, as people tended to borrow from
businesses in their community. Whether borrowers were purchasing goods on credit from
local merchants or borrowing money from their local bank, lenders typically knew their
borrowers well – either personally or through their standing in the community. However,
in larger communities this was more difficult (Gallinger & Poe, 2008). So tradesmen
would share information on customers who failed to repay their debt. One such group were
London tradesmen who, in 1803, pooled their knowledge of customers to avoid. As
tradesmen saw the benefit of working together to protect their businesses, other units also
formed across the country. In 1826, the Society of Guardians for the Protection of
Tradesmen against Swindlers, Sharpers and other Fraudulent Persons was created in
Manchester. Members received a monthly circular, informing them of people who
defaulted on their debts, and it was seen as a member’s duty to share information to protect
others from fraud (Emery, 2010). However, as information was often based on hearsay, it
was still lacking in accuracy. By 1857, the Society’s name had evolved to the Manchester
Guardian Society and it even had a ‘data accuracy officer’ to ensure that information was
reliable and not based on gossip. Information on creditworthiness was becoming more
efficient and rooted in fact.
In the Americas, credit is traced back to 1620 when a London merchant provided credit to
facilitate the transportation of pilgrims to the American colony of Virginia. In return, the
Pilgrims contracted to work for seven years (Gallinger & Poe, 2008). At the end of that
period, payment would be made to the creditors based on the size of the individual
2
investment. The original credit of £1800 could not be paid at the end of seven years, so an
alternative arrangement was agreed upon: £200 to be paid annually for a term of nine
years. This arrangement had to be renegotiated and finally, after 25 years, the last payment
was made. Also, to finance the American Revolution, the Second Continental Congress
issued bills of credit. After the signing of the Treaty of Paris, bringing an official end to the
war and official recognition of the United States by England, trading resumed and
American importers and wholesalers would extend generous terms to their customers,
ranging from 6 to 12 months, but it was not uncommon for an account to remain unpaid for
a much longer period, sometimes up to 24 months or more (Emery, 2010).
With the restoration of pre-Revolutionary trade customs and habits, credit references
assumed importance, although in most instances, proper information was still lacking
(Gestel & Baesens, 2009). Some prospective purchasers took the precaution of using the
names of prominent people they knew when placing orders on credit. While credit
references sometimes accompanied orders, in most cases merchants took their chances.
The 12-month period, which had prevailed, gradually became shorter. By the 1830s, the
average term of sale was about six months. Hard financial times hit the country in the mid-
1830s. The population was rapidly growing and business was expanding. The sale of land
on credit went virtually unchecked and the banking system was not centralized (Hill &
Satoris, 2005). By the summer of 1837, bank after bank closed its doors and thousands of
businesses went into bankruptcy. The financial panic of 1837 saw the beginnings of the
Mercantile Agency, established in 1841 by Lewis Tappan. It was this credit information
agency that eventually became Dun & Bradstreet and helped transform credit and, with it,
the course of American commerce.
In Africa, credit management is not a new concept, spanning back during the early colonial
days. During the 1950s, at the peak of colonial rule, indigenous credit institutions
developed alongside colonial ones (Seidman, 1986). However, while colonial credit
institutions benefitted from centuries of experience in credit management, African
institutions could not build on the same traditions and the lax regulatory regime was not
enough to prevent the challenges associated with fraud, embezzlement and high default.
3
Consequently, African credit institutions suffered waves of failure compounded by heavy
restrictions on access to credit by colonial authorities. After independence, a relaxation of
the restrictions did remove some constraints, but the limitations and loopholes in regulation
still presented challenges (Seidman, 1986). African credit institutions have served
entrepreneurs and communities with very minimal state intervention or regulation. Instead
of seeking recourse from the state to enforce credit contracts, merchants relied on
institutions such as extended family connections, kinship groups, religious fraternities and
codes of honor to safeguard their credit. Long term commitments entailed a moral
authorization matrix, rather than a legal contractual matrix as a basis for trust.
4
as possible so as to enhance the company’s profitability (Nzuve, 2013). The theory was
pioneered by Markowitz in his paper portfolio selection published in 1952 by the journal
of Finance, which explains the four basic steps involved in portfolio construction as;
security valuation, asset allocation, portfolio optimization and performance management.
The essence of coming up with the theory is to validate construction of an efficient
portfolio that optimizes returns of a particular investment.
The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) of Sharpe (1964) introduced the notions of
systematic and specific risk. According to the CAPM, all investors will hold the market
portfolio, leveraging or de-leveraging it with positions in the risk-free asset in order to
achieve a desired level of risk. CAPM decomposes a portfolio’s risk into systematic and
specific risk. Systematic risk is the risk of holding the market portfolio. As the market
moves, each individual asset is more or less affected. To the extent that any asset
participates in such general market moves, that asset entails systematic risk. Specific risk is
the risk which is unique to an individual asset. It represents the component of an asset's
return which is uncorrelated with general market moves (Lintner, 1965).
5
Loan appraisal is an application/request for funds, evaluated by financial institution. The
aspects to be focused in appraisal includes: purpose of the client, need genuineness,
repayment capacity of the borrower, quantum of loan and security. Loan appraisal plays
important role to keep the loan losses to minimum level, hence if those officers appointed
for loan appraisal are competent then there would be high chances of lending money to
non-deserving customers (Boldizzoni, 2008). Collection procedure is a systematic way
required to recover the past due amount from clients within the lawful jurisdiction. The
collection aspects may vary from institution but those should be complaint to existing laws
such as third party collection agencies may involve in a collection process. It does not just
involve in collection procedure details provided by the institution but also the procedure in
which the lawful collection takes place (Latifee, 2006). Well administered collection is
needed for better performance of the loan. If financial institutions do not follow well
administered collection procedures, this would results in loan defaults (Boldizzoni, 2008).
Previous studies indicate that microfinance institutions need to have strong and effective
credit risk management policies for ensuring consistent recoveries from clients (Frank et
al., 2014).
Credit management is the combination of coordinated tasks and activities for controlling
and directing challenges confronted by an organization through the incorporation of key
risk management tactics and processes in relation to the organization’s objectives
(Nikolaidou & Vogiazas, 2014). Credit management practices are not developed and aimed
to eliminate credit risks altogether but they aim at controlling opportunities and hazards
that may result in risk (Frank et al., 2014). Moreover, Ross et al. (2008) contend that credit
management practices also ensure that financial institutions must have strong and rational
frameworks for decision making by which firm’s objectives can be attained (Ross et al.,
2008). García et al., (2013) on the other hand, note that effective credit management
practices have never been successful to eliminate the human element in making decisions
about controlling risks associated with credit.
6
Credit management is basically the handling of uncertainties faced by an investor to lose
money that a borrower fails to repay. This may result in default or default risk. Investors
may lose interest and principal that can result in increased cost of collection and decreased
cash flows. Previous studies have noted that high credit risk controls (CRC) result in low
chances of defaults (Ross et al., 2008). Therefore, credit risk could be alleviated by
utilizing danger based evaluating, contracts, credit protection, tightening and broadening
(Ross et al., 2008). Moti et al. (2012) argue that intelligent and effective management of
credit lines is a key requirement for effective credit management. Furthermore, to
minimize the risk of bad debt and over-reserving, banks ought to have greater insight into
important factors like, customer financial strength, credit score history and changing
payment patterns (Moti et al., 2012).
Credit management variation indicates the change in health of loan portfolio managed by
bank (Cooper et al., 2003) resultantly performance of financial institution would also
varies accordingly. Miller & Noulas (1997) depicted that if financial institutions are
exposed more too high risk loans, there would be accumulation of unpaid loans along with
less profits. Credit risk is most critical and expensive risk associated with financial
institutions. Its impact is quite significant compared to any other risk associated to the
banking sector as it is direct threat to solvency of the institution (Chijoriga, 2011). Credit
management is not only directly associated to solvency but it’s magnitude as well as level
of loss is severe compared to other risks. It may results in loan losses of high level and
even failure of financial institution (Richard et al., 2008; Chijoriga, 2011).
For microfinance institutions, the main source of income is the credit, which is why they
need to have strong policies for credit risk management. The advance reimbursements may
be questionable and the accomplishment of giving out credit relies on the philosophy
connected to assess and to grant the credit (Moti et al., 2012). Subsequently the credit
choice ought to be focused around a careful assessment of the danger states of the loaning
and the qualities of the borrower. Various approaches have been created in customer
evaluation preparation by budgetary establishments which run from generally
straightforward techniques, for example, the utilization of subjective or casual
7
methodologies, to reasonably mind boggling ones, for example, the utilization of
mechanized reproduction models (Horne, 2007).
The Government of Burundi, through the Bank of the Republic of Burundi (BRB), in a
number of cases guarantees the BBCI’s large credits which it obtains from external
financiers, notably African Development Bank (ADB), International Development
Association (IDA), European Investment Bank (EIB), European Union (EU), Kuwait Fund
and the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) Fund. The bank uses these
funds to build up a significantly large loan portfolio in form of term loans to major
8
industries and most of these loans are non-performing, some are written off, and others are
under recovery with the ratio of non-performing loans to the total loan book in excess of
42% (BBCI Financial Report, 2017).
Currently, the banking sector comprises 8 commercial banks, but highly concentrated with
the two mature banks, the Banque de Crédit de Bujumbura (BCB) and the Banque
Commerciale du Burundi (BANCOBU) accounting for a commanding share of the market.
These two banks account for 43 percent of deposits, 42 percent of total assets, and 42
percent of credit allocated in 2014. Together with the Interbank Burundi (IBB) created, the
three largest banks represented 78 percent of total assets, 77 percent of credit, and 82
percent of deposits in 2018, as well as most bank branches in the country (BRB, Annual
Supervision Report, 2017).
State ownership in the banking sector is low, representing only 6.6 percent of total capital
of commercial banks. However, the government still has substantial influence in the
banking sector through its public entities that own up to 31.6 percent of the capital of all
banks combined. The government is also a majority shareholder in two out of the three
most important banks (BANCOBU and BCB). Hence, the government is still able to
influence the management of banks through the nomination of its representatives to the
board of directors. The government’s presence also has implications in the allocation of
credit, directly through borrowing by state entities and indirectly through political pressure
on bank management (BRB, Annual Supervision Report, 2017).
9
causing pressures on the central bank and commercial banks. Banks were forced to
increase interest rates by an average of over 8% compared to the period prior to the crisis
(BRB, Annual Supervision Report, 2017). This pushed the Central Bank of Burundi to set
out a new directive on the treatment of credit risk management which thus has increased
pressure on banks. The credit management challenges negate the profitability of financial
institutions as they entirely depend on loan lending to increase its portfolios (Haneef et al.,
2010). This is due to the fact that, when borrowers default in servicing their loans or in
meeting their loan servicing obligations of the loans awarded to them, the lending
institution will not get returns through interest charged on those loans. According to the
BRB Annual Supervision Report (2017), the three banks (Burundi Bank of Commerce and
Investment [BBCI], Banque de Crédit de Bujumbura [BCB] and the Banque Commerciale
du Burundi [BANCOBU]) were not just the busiest banks in the country, they also posted
the highest percentage of non-performing loans, (23% for BBCI, 27% for BCB and 19.6%
for BANCOBU), leading to cash flow stress in BCB in the second quarter of 2017. The
continuous rise in commodity prices also increased inflationary pressure on the economy,
affecting tge general loan repayment capacity of borrowers, and since these three banks
have the biggest loan portfolio market, they were affected more than the others. This is
shown from the records of the banks indicating that borrowers do not effectively service
their loans as and when they are due in good time while others default completely.
Credit management challenges are not only argued to affect performance of loans but they
also have far reaching implications. This is due to the fact that, other potential borrowers
may fail to access credit facilities since part of the funds could have been extended as loans
by commercial banks are still tied up due to default of clients from repaying. Ineffective
credit management too affects the entire economy of a country which explains why the
Central Bank of Burundi sets guidelines to enable financial institutions to mitigate risk of
default by having credit reference bureaus. The purpose of credit management is to
mitigate the risk of default which can result to reduction in lending institutions loan
portfolio and its failure of granting loans to borrowers is an important activity in
management of financial institutions (Motiet al., 2012). Despite many researches it is quite
clear from the foregoing that very little research studies has been done on factors affecting
10
credit management as many of the researches concentrates largely on credit allocation yet
it is through improved credit management that banks’ loan portfolios will enlarge and
banks would meet their ultimate goal of stimulating growth and performance in the
economy. The importance of credit management to loan performance necessitated this
study which aimed to establish the effect of credit management on loan performance of
commercial banks in Bujumbura, Burundi.
1.3 Purpose of the Study
The purpose of this study was to examine the effect of credit management practices on
loan performance in selected commercial banks in Burundi.
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1.6 Hypotheses
H01 – Credit standards have no significant effect on loan performance in commercial
banks in Burundi.
H02 – Credit policy has no significant effect on loan performance in commercial banks in
Burundi.
H03 – Credit terms have no significant effect on loan performance in commercial banks in
Burundi.
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risk component of Modern Portfolio Theory is measured using various mathematical
formulations, and reduced via the concept of diversification which aims to properly select a
weighted collection of investment assets that together exhibit lower risk factors than
investment in any individual asset or singular asset class.
The study will also be instrumental in exposing and evaluating the various risks faced by
commercial banks in their credit taking operations and the various mechanisms put in place
to mitigate them.
The study will also assess the linkages between the various government institutional
framework regulations and the success of commercial banks in operating profitable loan
portfolios.
The study will also help to explore the challenges faced by commercial banks in the credit
market as well as lay out measures of addressing these challenges.
The study will help the author to acquire practical research skills, as well as help him to
partially fulfill the requirements for the award of a Master of Science Degree in
Accounting and Finance of Kampala International University.
13
1.8 Operational Definition of Key Terms
Credit: Is the amount of credit/loan issued to an individual or business.
Credit management: Are the various procedures put in place to prevent, minimize or
mitigate the challenges associated with issuance of credit.
Credit standards: Are the procedures put in place to ensure that the credit supplier gains an
acceptable level of confidence to attain the maximum amount of credit at the lowest as
possible cost.
Credit policy: Is an institutional method for analyzing credit requests and its decision
criteria for accepting or rejecting applications. A credit policy is important in the
management of accounts receivables.
Credit terms: Is the collateral, repayment periods and interest rate, the security given by a
borrower to a lender as an assurance that the loan will be paid and operates as a broad
insurance against uninsurable risk or intentional default leading to non-payment of the
loan.
Collection policy: Are the procedures an institution follows to collect past due account,
the procedures that financial institutions use to ensure that they realize their collections on
due accounts.
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CHAPTER TWO
LITERATURE REVIEW
2.0 Introduction
This is a review of the theories which were relevant to this study, and the existing literature
about the effect of credit management on loan performance. It explored the findings of the
various previous researchers who have studied the same or related topics to analyze the
applicability of their findings.
Modern portfolio theory tries to look for the most efficient combinations of assets to
maximize portfolio expected returns for given level of risk (McClure, 2010). Alternatively,
minimize risk for a given level of expected return. Portfolio theory is presented in a
mathematical formulation and clearly gives the idea of diversifying the assets investment
combination with a purpose of selecting those assets that will collectively lower the risk
than any single asset. In the theory, it clearly identifies this combination is made possible
when the individual assets return and movement is opposite direction (Veneeya, 2006). An
investor therefore needs to study the value movement of the intended asset investment and
find out which assets have an opposite movement. However, risk diversification lowers the
level of risk even if the assets’ returns are not negatively or positively correlated.
15
The modern portfolio theory explains ways of maximizing return and minimizing risk by
carefully choosing different assets (McClure, 2010). The Primary principle upon which the
modern portfolio theory is based is the random walk hypothesis which states that the
movement of asset prices follows an unpredictable path: the path as a trend that is based on
the long-run nominal growth of corporate earnings per share, but fluctuations around the
trend are random. Since the 1980s, banks have successfully applied modern portfolio
theory (MPT) to market risk. Many financial institutions are now using value at risk
(VAR) models to manage their interest rate and market risk exposures (Veneeya, 2006).
Unfortunately, however, even though credit risk remains the largest risk facing most banks,
the practical of MPT to credit risk has lagged.
The framework for Modern Portfolio Theory includes numerous assumptions about
markets and investors. Some of these assumptions are explicit, while others are implicit.
Markowitz built his portfolio selection contributions to modern portfolio theory on the
following key assumptions (Markowitz, 1959): investors are rational (they seek to
maximize returns while minimizing risk); investors are only willing to accept higher
amounts of risk if they are compensated by higher expected returns; investors timely
receive all pertinent information related to their investment decision; investors can borrow
or lend an unlimited amount of capital at a risk free rate of interest; markets are perfectly
efficient; markets do not include transaction costs or taxes; and it is possible to select
securities whose individual performance is independent of other portfolio investments.
These foundational assumptions of modern portfolio theory have been widely challenged.
Many of the criticisms leveled at the theory are discussed later in this essay.
Modern portfolio theory maintains that “the essential aspect pertaining to the risk of an
asset is not the risk of each asset in isolation, but the contribution of each asset to the risk
of the aggregate portfolio” (Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, 1990). Risk of a security
can be analyzed in two ways: stand-alone basis (asset is considered in isolation), and
portfolio basis (asset represents one of many assets). In context of a portfolio, the total risk
of a security can be divided into two basic components: systematic risk (also known as
16
market risk or common risk), and unsystematic risk, also known as diversifiable risk.
Modern Portfolio Theory assumes that these two types of risk are common to all portfolios.
Risk and Return trade-off relates to modern portfolio theory’s basic principle that the
riskier the investment, the greater the required potential return. Generally speaking,
investors will keep a risky security only if the expected return is sufficiently high enough
to compensate them for assuming the risk (Ross, Westerfield & Jaffe, 2002). In modern
portfolio theory, risk is synonymous with volatility, the greater the portfolio volatility, the
greater the risk. Volatility is the amount of risk or uncertainty related to the size of changes
in the value of a security. This volatility is measured by a number of portfolio tools
including: calculation of expected return; the variance of an expected return; the standard
deviation from an expected return; the covariance of a portfolio of securities, and the
correlation between investments (Ross, Westerfield & Jaffe, 2002).
It suggests that it is not enough to look at expected risk and return of a particular stock, but
by investing in more than one stock, an investor can reap the benefits of diversification,
particularly a reduction in the riskiness of a portfolio. MPT quantifies the benefits of
diversification also known as not putting all your eggs in one basket. It considers that, for
most investors, the risk they take when they buy a stock is that the return will be lower
than expected. In other words, it is the deviation from the average return. Each stock has its
own standard deviation from mean which MPT calls it risk. Markowitz theory asserts that,
the risk in a portfolio of diverse individual stock will be less than the risk inherent in
holding any one of the individual stocks provided the risk of the various stocks are not
directly related. He showed that investment is not just about picking stocks, but about
choosing the right combination of stocks which to distribute ones’ nest egg (Seibel, 2006).
An increasing body of analytical work has attempted to explain the functioning of credit
markets using new theoretical developments. Challenging the model of competitive
equilibrium, they have explored the implications of incomplete markets and imperfect
information for the functioning of credit markets in developing countries. These provide a
new theoretical foundation for policy intervention. . In this explanation, interest rates
17
charged by a credit institution are seen as having a dual role of sorting potential borrowers
and affecting the actions of borrowers. Interest rates thus affect the nature of the
transaction and do not necessarily clear the market. Both effects are seen as a result of the
imperfect information inherent in credit markets (Horne, 2006).
Adverse selection occurs because lenders would like to identify the borrowers most likely
to repay their loans since the banks’ expected returns depend on the probability of
repayment. In an attempt to identify borrowers with high probability of repayment, banks
are likely to use the interest rates that an individual is willing to pay as a screening device.
Since the bank is not able to control all actions of borrowers due to imperfect and costly
information, it will formulate the terms of the loan contract to induce borrowers to take
actions in the interest of the bank and to attract low risk borrowers. The result is an
equilibrium rate of interests at which the demand for credit exceeds the supply. Other
terms of the contract, like the amount of the loan and the amount of collateral, will also
affect the behavior of borrowers and their distribution, as well as the return to banks (Moti
et al., 2012).
Raising interest rates or collateral in the face of excess demand is not always profitable,
and banks will deny loans to certain borrowers. Since credit markets are characterized by
imperfect information, and high costs of contract enforcement, an efficiency measure as
exists in a perfectly competitive market will not be an accurate measure against which to
define market failure. These problems lead to credit rationing in credit markets, adverse
selection and moral hazard. Adverse selection arises because in the absence of perfect
information about the borrower, an increase in interest rates encourages borrowers with the
most risky projects, and hence least likely to repay, to borrow, while those with the least
risky projects cease to borrow (Ewert et al., 2000).
Interest rates will thus play the allocation role of equating demand and supply for loan
funds, and will also affect the average quality of lenders’ loan portfolios. Lenders will fix
the interest rates at a lower level and ration access to credit. Imperfect information is
therefore important in explaining the projects have identical mean returns but different
18
degrees of risk, and lenders are unable to discern the borrowers’ actions. An increase in
interest rates negatively affects the borrowers by reducing their incentive to take actions
conducive to loan repayment. This will lead to the possibility of credit rationing (Boland,
2012).
The key element of the model is that it separates the risk affecting an asset's return into two
categories. The first type is called unsystematic, or company-specific, risk. The long-term
average returns for this kind of risk should be zero. The second kind of risk, called
systematic risk, is due to general economic uncertainty. The CAPM states that the return
on assets should, on average, equal the yield on a risk-free bond held over that time plus a
premium proportional to the amount of systematic risk the stock possesses (Markowitz,
1959). The treatment of risk in the CAPM refines the notions of systematic and
unsystematic risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk to an asset’s value caused by factors that
are specific to an organization, such as changes in senior management or product lines. For
example, specific senior employees may make good or bad decisions or the same type of
manufacturing equipment utilized may have different reliabilities at two different sites. In
general, unsystematic risk is present due to the fact that every company is endowed with a
unique collection of assets, ideas and personnel whose aggregate productivity may vary.
19
2.2 Conceptual Review
The conceptual framework in this study examines the interconnection between the
variables in the study. It explores how the independent variable influences or determines
the dependent variable.
CREDIT LOAN
MANAGEMENT PERFORMANCE
Credit standards Loan recovery rates
Credit policy Timely repayment
Credit terms rates
Collection policy Loan reapplication
rates
20
2.3 Related Literature
2.3.1 The effect of credit standards on loan performance
According to Ross et al. (2008), in advancing loans, credit standard must be emphasized
such that the credit supplier gains an acceptable level of confidence to attain the
maximum amount of credit at the lowest as possible cost. Credit standards can be tight or
loose (Moti et al., 2012).Tight credit standards make a firm lose a big number of
customers and when credit are loose the firm gets an increased number of clients but at a
risk of loss through bad debts. A loose credit policy may not necessarily mean an increase
in profitability because the increased number of customers may lead to increased costs in
terms of loan administration and bad debts recovery. In agreement with other scholars.
Horne (2007), advocated for an optimum credit policy, which would help to cut through
weaknesses of both tight and loose credit standards so, the firm can make profits. This is
a criteria used to decide the type of client to whom loans should be extended.
Cooper et al. (2003) noted that it’s important that credit standards be basing on the
individual credit application by considering character assessment, capacity condition
collateral and security capital. Character it refers to the willingness of a customer to settle
his obligations (Richard et al., 2008) it mainly involves assessment of the moral factors.
Social collateral group members can guarantee the loan members known the character of
each client; if they doubt the character then the client is likely to default. Saving habit
involves analyzing how consistent the client is in realizing own funds, saving promotes
loan sustainability of the enterprise once the loan is paid. Other source should be
identified so as to enable him serve the loan in time. This helps micro finance institutions
not to only limit loans to short term projects such qualities have an impact on the
repayment commitment of the borrowers it should be noted that there should be a firm
evidence of this information that point to the borrowers character (Chijoriga, 2011).
21
Condition and Capital. Capacity refers to the customer’s ability to fulfill his/her financial
obligations. Capacity, this is subjective judgment of a customer’s ability to pay. It may be
assessed using a customer’s ability to pay. It may be assessed using the customer’s past
records, which may be supplemented by physical or observation. Collateral is the
property, fixed assets, chattels, pledged as security by clients. Collateral security, This is
what customers offer as saving so that failure to honor his obligation the creditor can sell
it to recover the loan. It is also a form of security which the client offers as form of
guarantee to acquire loans and surrender in case of failure to pay; if borrowers do not
fulfill their obligations the creditor may seize their asset (Latifee, 2006).
According to Craig (2006), security should be safe and easily marketable securities apart
from land building keep on losing value as to globalization where new technology keeps
on developing therefore lender should put more emphasis on it. Capital portends the
financial strength, more so in respect of net worth and working capital, evaluation of
capital may be by way of analyzing the balance sheet using the financial ratios. Condition
relates to the general economic climate and its influence on the client’s ability to pay.
Condition, this is the impact of the present economic trends on the business conditions
which affects the firm’s ability to recover its money. It includes the assessment of
prevailing economic and other factors which may affect the client ability to pay (Miller &
Noulas, 1997))
Appraisal of clients is a basic stage in the lending process. Ross et al. (2008) describes it as
the ‘heart’ of a high quality portfolio. This involves gathering, processing and analyzing of
quality information as way of discerning the client’s creditworthiness and reducing the
incentive problems between the lenders as principals and the borrowers as agents. The
bank’s credit policy, procedures and directives guide the credit assessment process. Banks
should base their credit analysis on the basic principles of lending which are Character,
Capacity, Capital, Collateral and Conditions (Moti et al., 2012). It is designed to ensure
lenders take actions which facilitate repayment or reduce repayment likely problems. This
information about the riskiness of the borrower makes the financial institution to take
remedial actions like asking for collateral, shorter duration of payment, high interest rates
22
and other form of payment (Abedi, 2000) when a financial institution does not do it well,
its performance is highly affected.
Abedi (2000) stressed the importance of credit analysis when he observed that its
abandonment often resulted into several banks using credit card to process. The variables,
according to Ross et al., (2008) included the length of time taken to process applications,
credit experience, proportion of collateral security to the loan approved. It was found out
that long waiting time reflected a shortage of credible credit information required to make
informed credit decisions. This in turn leads to greater risk more intense credit rationing
and low repayment rates. Horne (2007) also observed that loan experience indicated the
ability to manage the business loans better hence good quality borrowers for the business.
A less experienced borrower has less ability to manage a business loan and therefore is not
credit worthy (Moti et al., 2012; Frank et al., 2014). This implies that there are big risks
associated with new borrowers since the loan officer has no familiarity of recovery from
them.
According to Latifee (2006) on the management of credit risk, the following was observed:
Many credit problems reveal basic weaknesses in the credit granting and monitoring
processes. While shortcomings in underwriting and management of market-related credit
exposures represent important sources of losses at banks, many credit problems would
have been avoided or mitigated by a strong internal credit process. They noted too that
many banks find carrying out a thorough credit assessment (or basic due diligence) a
substantial challenge (Boldizzoni, 2008). For traditional bank lending, competitive
pressures and the growth of loan syndication techniques create time constraints that
interfere with basic due diligence. Globalization of credit markets increases the need for
financial information based on sound accounting standards and timely macroeconomic and
flow of funds data.
When this information is not available or reliable, banks may dispense with financial and
economic analysis and support credit decisions with simple indicators of credit quality,
especially if they perceive a need to gain a competitive foothold in a rapidly growing
23
foreign market (Craig, 2006). Banks may also need new types of information, such as risk
measurements, and more frequent financial information, to assess relatively newer
counterparties, such as institutional investors and highly leveraged institutions. Chijoriga
(2011) argue that credit criteria are factors used to determine a credit seeker’s
creditworthiness or ability to repay debt. The factors include income, amount of existing
personal debt, number of accounts from other credit sources and credit history. Richard et
al. (2008) suggested that giving out loans to borrowers who are already overloaded with
debt or possess unfavorable credit history can expose banks to unnecessary default and
credit risk. In order to decrease these risks, banks need to take into consideration several
common applicants’ particulars such as debt to income ratio, business and credit history
and performance record and for individual loan applicants their time on the job or length of
time.
According to Basel (2004), one of the features that banks deliberate when deciding on a
loan credit application is the estimated chances of recovery. To arrive at this, credit
information is required on how well the applicant has honored past loan obligations. This
credit information is important because there is usually a definite relationship between past
and future performance in loan repayment. Chijoriga (2011) in a study of the response of
National Bank of Kenya Ltd. to challenges of non-performing loans concludes that the
reliance of the bank on qualitative credit analysis methods that entails such factors as
character of the borrower, reputation of the borrowed and the historical financial capability
of the borrower as opposed to the used of quantitative techniques that emphasized on the
borrowers projected cash flows and analysis of audited financial books of accounts have
contributed to immensely to the non-performing loan portfolio.
24
(Richard et al., 2008; Chijoriga, 2011). Policies save time by ensuring that the same issue
is not discussed over and over again each time a decision is to be made. This ensures that
decisions are consistent and fair and that people in the same circumstance get treated in
the same manner (Ross et al., 2008). According to Moti et al. (2012), credit policy
provides a frame work for the entire management practices.
Most financial institutions have written credit policies which are the cornerstone of sound
credit management, they set objectives, standards and parameters to guide micro finance
officers who grant loans and manage loan portfolio (Cooper et al., 2003). The main
importance of policies is to ensure operation’s consistency and adherence to uniform
sound practices. Policies should always be the same for all and is the general rule
designed to guide each decision, simplifying and listening to each decision making
process. A good credit policy involves effective initiation analysis, credit monitoring and
evaluation. Credit policies are set of objectives, standards and parameters to guide bank
officers who grant loans and manage the loan portfolio. Thus, they are procedures,
guidelines and rules designed to minimize costs associated with credit while maximizing
the benefit from it (Boldizzoni, 2008).
The main objective of credit policy is to have an optimal investment in debtors that
minimizes costs while maximizing benefits hence ensuring profitability and sustainability
of microfinance institutions as commercial institutions. The credit policy of an
organization may be stringent or lenient depending on the manager’s regulation of
variables. There are three main variables namely credit terms, credit standards and credit
procedures (Latifee, 2006). Managers use these variables to evaluate clients credit
worthiness, repayment period and interest on loan, collection methods and procedures to
take in case of loan default. A stringent credit policy gives credit to customers on a highly
selective basis. Only customers who have proven creditworthiness and strong financial
base are given loans, the main target of a stringent credit policy is to minimize the cost of
collection, bad debts and unnecessary legal costs (Horne, 2007).
25
2.3.3 The effect of credit terms on loan performance
Credit terms have been understood to mean collateral, repayment periods and interest rate
(Ayyagari et al., 2003). Collateral is the security given by a borrower to a lender as an
assurance that the loan will be paid and operates as a broad insurance against uninsurable
risk or intentional default leading to non-payment of the loan. Loan repayment period is
the time in which the borrower should repay the loan (Nkundabanyanga, 2014). Interest
rate is the rate which is charged or paid for the use of money and is used as a means of
compensating banks for taking risk. According to Stiglitz and Weiss (1981), credit terms
are part of a general exercise to help determine the extent of risk for each borrower.
According to Malimba and Ganesan (2009), grace period, collateral, interest rate charges
and number of official visits to the credit societies, have a strong effect on loan repayment.
Nkundabanyanga et al. (2014), found out that the higher interest rates induce firms to
undertake projects with lower probability of success but higher pay offs when they
succeed.
Nanayakkara and Stewart (2015) further indicated that since the financial institution is not
able to control all actions of borrowers due to imperfect and costly information, the MFI
will formulate terms of the loan contract to induce borrowers to take actions in the interest
of the financial institution and to attract low risk borrowers. According to Ifeanyi et al.
(2014), the interest rate has an effect on the use, repayment of the loan and the overall
performance of the business. When the interest rate charged is high, there is a tendency for
the borrowers to keep part of the borrowed money to pay the interest or to use the business
capital to pay the interest. Malimba and Ganesan (2009) further argue that interest on
borrowing is one of the costs of production. The higher the interest rate the higher the
likelihood of loan repayment default as the costs of servicing the loan increase. Anderson
(2002) indicated that an increase in interest rates negatively affects the borrowers by
reducing their incentive to take actions that are conducive to loan repayment.
According to Makorere (2014), Grace period is the period given by the financial institution
to the borrower before the first installment is due. In other words, it is considered to be the
time between when the loan was disbursed to the loan applicant and when the first
26
installment is paid. While conducting a study in Tanzania, Makorere (2014) found out that
most of the financial institutions tend to provide a grace period of one month only, which
was seen not to be sufficient for the small business enterprise owners to start realizing
enough revenue for them to start paying their loans. Makorere (2014) further found out that
businesses that get enough grace period have never defaulted. Woolcock (1999) observed
that if the loan term is too short, the borrower fails to generate revenue to enable him/her
make repayments while a longer loan term may make the client extravagant and the client
may in the end fail to pay back.
Kakuru (2008) found that when Small and Medium Enterprises perceive repayment period
as not being flexible, they will not apply for the loans. For successful results, the loan
terms should match the cash patterns to help the client budget cash flows (Stiglitz and
Weiss, 1981). The findings made by Atieno (2001), indicates that stringent lending terms
discourage borrowers to apply for bank debt even when they are searching for finance to
execute valuable investment projects. For example, pledging business collateral limits the
firms’ ability to obtain future loans from other lenders which creates a position of power
for the lending bank (Mann, 1997). According to Atieno (2001), collateral value
requirements deter SME borrowers from seeking credit. Stiglitz and Weiss (1981) found
out that SMEs hesitate to seek credit when they do not understand why requirements like
collateral are imposed on them. Banks, however, prefer borrowers with collateral.
For example, Ifeanyi et al. (2014) observed that commercial banks usually provide larger
loans, longer repayment periods and lower interest rates when borrowers offer collateral.
This means that a borrower who cannot provide the type of assets lenders require as
collateral often gets worse loan terms than otherwise. Indeed Atieno (2001) notes that
borrowers who provide more collateral receive a better rating. Access to finance is
particularly difficult for SMEs with insufficient collateral that do not have any established
track record or credit history. Nevertheless, some studies (Ayyagari et al., 2003;
Nkundabanyanga, 2014) indicate that higher availability of collateral is expected to
increase the supply of bank debt as collateral can mitigate the information asymmetries
between the borrower and lender. This means that commercial banks’ requirement for
27
collateral positively affects access to formal credit where collateral is readily available.
Contrarily, where collateral is not readily available, the demand for it will negatively affect
access to formal credit. In the majority of studies, this distinction has not always been
made explicit.
Makorere (2014) asserts that collection policy is a guide that ensures prompt payment and
regular collections. The rationale is that not all clients meet their obligations, some just
take it for granted, others simply forget while others just don’t have a culture of paying
until persuaded to do so. According to Ifeanyi et al. (2014), many micro finance
institutions may send a letter to such individuals (borrowers) when say ten days elapse or
phone calls and if payment is not received with in thirty days, it may turn over the
account to a collection agency.
Collection procedure is required because some clients do not pay the loan in time some
are slower while others never pay. Thus collection efforts aim at accelerating collections
from slower payers to avoid bad debts. Prompt payments are aimed at increasing turn
over while keeping low and bad debts within limits (Malimba and Ganesan, 2009).
However, caution should be taken against stringent steps especially on permanent clients
because harsh measures may cause them to shift to competitors. Anderson (2002) states
that collection efforts are directed at accelerating recovery from slow payers and
decreases bad debts losses .This therefore calls for vigorous collection efforts .The
28
yardstick to measurement of the effectiveness of the collection policy is its slackness in
arousing slow paying customers.
The collection process can be rather expensive in terms of both product expenditure and
lost good will (Ayyagari et al., 2003). Collection efforts may include attaching mandatory
savings forcing guarantors to pay, attaching collateral assets, courts litigation. Methods
used by commercial banks could include letters, demand letters, telephone calls, visits by
the firm’s officials for face to face reminders to pay and legal enforcements.
Nkundabanyanga (2014) asserts that collection policy is a guide that ensures prompt
payment and regular collections. Collection procedure is required because some clients do
not pay the loan in time hence collection efforts aim at accelerating collections to avoid
bad debts.
According to Ifeanyi et al. (2014) posited that prompt payments aimed at increasing turn
over keeping low bad debts. Collection efforts are directed at accelerating recovery from
slow payers and decreases bad debts losses increase profitability of the banking
institution Methods used by Micro finance institutions could include letters, demand
letters, telephone calls, visits by the firm’s officials for face to face reminders to pay and
legal enforcements (Ayyagari et al., 2003; Nkundabanyanga, 2014). Stiglitz and Weiss
(1981) assert that collection policy is a guide that ensures prompt payment and regular
collections.
29
Mohammad (2008) did a study on risk management in Bangladesh Banking Sector. His
main objective was to investigate the contribution of credit risk on non-performing loans.
He found that, the crux of the problem lies in the accumulation of high percentage of non-
performing loans over a long period of time. As per him unless NPL ratio of the country
can be lowered substantially they will lose competitive edge in the wave of globalization
of the banking service that is taking place throughout the world. Since they have had a
two-decade long experience in dealing with the NPLs problem and much is known about
the causes and remedies of the problem, he concluded that it is very important for the
lenders, borrowers and policy makers to learn from the past experience and act
accordingly.
Aboagye and Otieku, (2010) conducted a study on Credit Risk Management and
Profitability in financial institutions in Sweden. The main objective was to find out if the
management of the risk related to that credit affects the profitability of the financial
institutions. They found that credit risk management in financial institutions has become
more important not only because of the financial crisis that the world is experiencing
nowadays but also the introduction of Basel II. They concluded that since granting credit is
one of the main sources of income in financial institutions, the management of the risk
related to that credit affects the profitability of the financial institutions (Aboagye and
Otiekun, 2010).
There have been debate and controversies on the impact of credit risk management and
bank’s financial performance. Some scholars e.g., (Naceur & Goaied, 2003; Kinthinji
2010; Kolap & Funso 2010; Kargi (2011;) amongst others have carried out extensive
studies on this topic and produced mixed results; while some found that credit risk
management impact positively on banks financial performance, some found negative
relationship and others suggest that other factors apart from credit risk management
impacts on bank’s performance. Specifically, Kargi (2011) found in a study of Nigeria
banks from 2004 to 2008 that there is a significant relationship between banks performance
and credit risk management. He found that loans and advances and non-performing loans
are major variables that determine asset quality of a bank.
30
Musyoki and Kadubo (2011) also found that credit risk management is an important
predictor of bank’s financial performance; they concluded that banks success depends on
credit risk management. Kithinji (2010) analyzed the effect of credit risk management
(measured by the ratio of loans and advances on total assets and the ratio of non-
performing loans to total loans and advances on return on total asset in Kenyan banks
between 2004 to 2008). The study found that the bulk of the profits of commercial banks
are not influenced by the amount of credit and non-performing loans. The implication is
that other variables apart from credit and non-performing loans impact on banks’ profit.
Kithinji (2010) result provides the rationale to consider other variables that could impact
on bank’s performance
Most relevant to this study is a working paper by Sadaqat et al., (2016) which studied
financial and nonfinancial business risk. Data were collected from a sample of 28
commercial banks from 2011 to 2013. To test the importance of the factors that affect the
financial and non-financial risk the multi-variant regression model was used. They found
that non-financial and financial risk had a positive relationship with bank size. But
operating efficiency build negative relationship with non-financial risk, and non-
performing loans ratio established the negative and significant relationship with
operational risk. The result proposed that the banking system of Pakistan is well
diversified. Moreover the size of market also effect the tendency of risk management
practices (Chaudhry et al., 2015).
Mujtaba (2016) also investigated credit risk management and 10 domestic and foreign
banks in Pakistan was the sample. Different statistical analysis was performed on the
collected data to achieve the aim of this research. The findings of this research relates that
Bank size has an insignificant relationship with credit risk in foreign banks, alternatively in
domestics banks have positive and significant relationship with the earlier mentioned
scenario. Liquid assets have a positive and insignificant relationship with credit risk with
domestic banks and negative but significant relationship in foreign banks. They suggested
that credit risk can be reduced if the size of the banks maintain and the banks increase their
liquidity.
31
Different researchers had investigated the risk management in case of different countries
and found different phenomenological ideas related to the under consideration issue. Selma
et al., (2016) investigated risk management in Tunisian commercial banks. They surveyed
16 commercial banks through a questionnaire. The data were analyzed using descriptive
statistics, one sample t-test and Friedman test. The main results are that Tunisian banks are
practicing the tools and also known about the importance and role of effective risk
management and don’t use widely economic capital and market Value at Risk (VAR) for
different risk types. The role of transparency is well known by the Tunisian bankers and
also found that risk management is an ongoing process and it will be developed in future,
past and present. Risk information is disclosed in the financial statements according to
Basel II. However the contribution of information towards risk management is of
significant importance (Chaudhry et al., 2015).
Banks registered in stock exchanges of their respective countries are volatile towards the
new significant information in the market. However the efficient stock markets may react
according to the information of the current market situation and which risk may arise due
to unexpected circumstances (Mehmood et al., 2016). According to Dionne (2013), the
risk management practices should be deployed by organizations and most specifically by
the financial institutions to manage their risk. Financial institutions must implement policy
reforms for under consideration issue. However, application of derivatives for risk
management practices is of significant importance.
Masoud et al., (2016) studied risk management in Iranian banks. Financial data was
collected from 10 Iranian banks from 2009 to 2014.The Regression model is used to test
the data and result shown that capital adequacy had an inverse relationship and credit risk
found a positive relationship with debt to equity ratio. The size of the bank, debt to equity
ratio and Cash to asset ratio, had an inverse relation to liquidity risk and liquidity risk had a
positive relationship to capital adequacy. And also found that the size of the bank, cash
ratio and capital adequacy had a negative relation to operational risk.
32
Kanchu and Kumar (2017) also investigated the risk management in the banking sector of
India. Data were collected through secondary sources and GAP analysis was adopted to
find the results. The conclusion of this paper was that function of risk management
depends upon the quality of the balance sheet and size of the bank. The activity of the
efficient management information system, networking and computerization are the
important factors of the effectiveness of risk management. Level of risk and level of
performance may vary from person to person as the individual traits varies (Mehmood &
Mehmood, 2017). In case of accounting and management perspective, risk management is
of considerable debate and hence influence the decision making of the organizations and
most specifically in case of commercial banks (Hall et al., 2015). However, corporate risk
are of managerial concern and should be heighted and addressed for proper administration
and for attaining economies of scale (Garcia et al., 2015).
33
in which its financial institutions operate, which leave a geographical gap. These were the
knowledge gaps that this study intended to fill.
34
CHAPTER THREE
METHODOLOGY
3.0 Introduction
The chapter presents the research design, research population the sample size, sampling
procedures, the research instrument, validity and reliability, data gathering procedures, data
analysis and ethical considerations in the study.
35
Therefore, all people in the research population participated in the study (Mugenda &
Mugenda, 2003).
For the instrument to be valid, the CVI will have to fall within the accepted statistical
range of 0.7 to 1.
CVI = 7(9)
CVI = 0.7777
The validity score is 0.77, indicating that the instruments will produce valid data.
36
Cronbach alpha (Cronbach, 1951) reliability coefficient of 0.7 points and above was used
to measure the internal consistency or average correlation of items in a questionnaire
instrument to gauge its reliability. The higher the score, the more reliable the generated
scale is. For instance, Nunnally (1978) argues that a 0.7 alpha coefficient is an acceptable
reliability coefficient.
The reliability was calculated using the Crobach’s Alpha Coefficient formula:
where
k = number of questions
pj = number of people in the sample who answered question j correctly
qj = number of people in the sample who didn’t answer question j correctly
σ2 = variance of the total scores of all the people taking the test = VARP(R1) where R1 =
array containing the total scores of all the people taking the test.
Values range from 0 to 1. A high value indicates reliability, while too high a value (in
excess of .90) indicates a homogeneous test.
The Content Validity Index was computed and all items scored above 0.7 as shown above.
The instrument was also checked for accuracy, reliability, consistency and completeness
using the alpha cronbach test (cronbach, 1951). The acceptable reliability results were
those of 0.7 points and above as shown above.
3.7 Data Gathering Procedure
3.7.1 Before data gathering
In this stage the researcher obtained a reference letter from the College of Economics and
Management, Kampala International University, which he presented to the authorities in
the field. He then made preparations based on the conditions in the field of study. The
37
researcher made an assessment of the weather conditions, physical locations and linguistic
characteristics in the study area so as to determine the best methods to use as well as
preparing questionnaires and interview guide.
38
Where:
Y= Loan performance
α = Constant,
β= Coefficient factor,
X1= Credit standards,
X2= Credit policy,
X3= Credit terms,
X4= Collection policy
ẹ = Error Term
The hypotheses testing were done by the linear regression model using the distribution (F-
statistic) test, to determine where to accept or reject the hypotheses. The decision rule was
as follows:
It also involved explaining to the respondents the purpose of the study. Respondents were
assured that the information obtained from them would be used for academic purposes
only.
The researcher ensured that he used only those techniques for which he was qualified by
education, training and experience. Whenever in doubt, the researcher would seek
clarification from the research community especially the immediate supervisor and
research colleagues.
39
The researcher ensured that data was interpreted according to general methodological
standard and that elements that were irrelevant to data interpretation were excluded from
the report.
The researcher kept all the information given to him very confidential and used it only for
purposes indicated as the justification of the study.
There was also a problem of some respondent’s failure to give out their views and
also fill the questionnaires. Here, the researcher supplemented this information by
carrying out face to face interviews.
The study was also limited by time because there were a lot of activities that had to
be done which at times would create a lot of fatigue for the researcher. Here, the
researcher hired research assistants to help him during the course of data collection.
40
CHAPTER FOUR
PRESENTATION, ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION OF RESULTS
4.1 Introduction
This chapter gives the presentation, analysis and interpretation of the results of the study
on the impact of credit management on loan performance in commercial banks in
Bujumbura, Burundi. The findings were presented in line with the objectives of the study,
but for a more systematic presentation, the first section deals with the demographic
characteristics of the respondents who participated in the study.
41
Total 58 100
Position held General manager 3 5.2
Financial manager 6 10.3
Credit analyst 12 20.7
Internal auditor 37 63.8
Total 58 100
Length in the position 1 – 3 years 21 36.2
3 – 5 years 23 39.7
5 – 10 years 14 24.2
Over 10 years 0 0.0
Total 58 100
Source: Field data, 2017
The results in table 4.1 indicate that on the gender of respondents, 53.4% of the
respondents were male while 46.6% were female. This implies that both genders were
adequately represented in the study. Documenting the gender differences of the
respondents was important in determining the gender distribution of roles and
responsibilities in the various selected commercial banks in Bujumbura, Burundi.
Regarding the age categories of respondents, the results indicate that 12.0% of the
respondents were aged 18 – 25 years old, 39.7% of the respondents were aged 26 – 35
years old, 32.8% of the respondents were aged 36 – 45 years old, and 15.5% of the
respondents were aged 46 years and above. This implies that respondents were sourced
from various categories of people working within the various selected commercial banks in
Bujumbura, Burundi.
The information regarding the respondents’ marital status indicates that 46.6% of the
respondents were single (unmarried), 34.5% of the respondents were married, and 19.0%
of them were widowed. The information on the marital status of respondents was gathered
and considered for purposes of determining the level of individual responsibility of the
various respondents. And the results show that majority of the respondents were single.
42
Information on the education levels of respondents indicates that 24.2% of the respondents
were Master’s degree holders, 60.3% of the respondents were Bachelor’s degree holders,
12.0% of the respondents were Diploma holders, and 3.5% of the respondents were
Certificate holders. This implied that respondents were from the various educational
backgrounds, which helped to expand the pool of information collected, from the least to
the most qualified.
Information on the position held by the respondents indicates that 5.2% of the respondents
were general managers, 10.3% of the respondents were financial managers, 20.7% of the
respondents were credit analysts, and 63.8% of the respondents were internal auditors. This
implied that respondents were from the various positions within the various selected
commercial banks in Bujumbura, Burundi.
The information about the length of stay in the position of employment indicates that
36.2% of the respondents had been in their positions for 1 – 3 years, 39.7% of the
respondents had been in their positions for 3 – 5 years, and 24.2% of the respondents had
been in their positions for 5 – 10 years, and none of them had been in their positions for
over 10 years. This implies that the majority of the respondents had spent an average of 4
years working in the various selected commercial banks in Bujumbura, Burundi.
43
Statement Mean Std. dev.
There is a credit standard in place to manage credit risk 4.62 0.61
Credit standard reduces banks’ exposure to bad credit 4.54 0.58
Credit standard helps to determine the borrowers’ credit worth 4.68 0.61
Borrowers’ past performance determines their credit worth 4.81 0.72
Market conditions also determine credit repayment capacity 4.83 0.72
Tighter credit standard reduces losses on loan default 4.87 0.85
Source: Field data, 2018
Table 4.2 revealed the results from the respondents’ responses on how the various banks’
credit standards affect loan performance in those banks. The findings revealed that
majority of the respondents asserted that there are credit standards in place to manage
credit risk in the commercial banks, as indicated by the mean and standard deviation scores
of 4.62 and 0.61 respectively. Also, the findings show that majority of the respondents
agreed with the assertion that credit standards reduce banks’ exposure to bad credit with
the mean and standard deviation scores of 4.54 and 0.58 respectively. Furthermore, the
study findings revealed that majority of respondents still assented to the assertion that
credit standards help to determine the borrowers’ credit worth with the mean and standard
deviation scores of 4.68 and 0.61 respectively. The findings also revealed that majority of
respondents alluded to the fact that borrowers’ past performance determines their credit
worth with the mean and standard deviation scores of 4.81 and 0.72 respectively. Further
still, respondents also agreed with the assertion that market conditions determine credit
repayment capacity, with the mean and standard deviation scores of 4.83 and 0.72
respectively. Additionally, majority of respondents said that tighter credit standard reduces
losses on loan default, with the mean and standard deviation scores of 4.87 and 0.85
respectively. This implied that majority of the respondents agreed that credit standards has
an effect on loan performance in commercial banks in Bujumbura, Burundi.
44
4.4 Credit policy and loan performance
The second specific objective of the study was to examine the effect of credit policy on
loan performance in commercial banks in Burundi. The information from the findings is
presented in the following table.
Table 4.3 revealed the results from the respondents’ responses on how the various banks’
credit policy affects loan performance in those banks. The findings revealed that majority
of the respondents asserted that there is a credit policy in place to manage credit risk in
their banks, with a mean score of 4.59 and a standard deviation score of 0.54. The results
also show that majority of the respondents agreed that the credit policy helps to determine
the loan limit to customers, as indicated by the mean and standard deviation scores of 4.77
and 0.61 respectively. The results also show that majority of the respondents agreed that
the credit policy helps banks to determine the volume of credit they can issue, indicated by
a mean score of 4.63 and a standard deviation of 0.58. Additionally, the majority
respondents strongly agreed that credit policy considers customers cash flow over the past
years, as shown by the mean score and standard deviation of 4.86 and 0.75 respectively.
Furthermore, majority of the respondents agreed that credit policy considers customers
balance sheet and financial condition with a mean score of 4.60 and standard deviation of
0.56. Further still, majority of the respondents strongly agreed that credit policy considers
the condition of the customers’ market and industry, indicated by the mean and standard
45
deviation scores of 4.82 and 0.71 respectively. This implied that majority of the
respondents agreed that credit policy has an effect on loan performance in commercial
banks in Bujumbura, Burundi.
Table 4.4 showed the results from the responses on how the credit terms in the various
commercial banks affect loan performance in those banks. The findings indicated that
majority of the respondents agreed that clear credit terms are in place to manage credit risk,
with a mean score of 4.79 and standard deviation of 0.66. The findings also revealed that
majority of the respondents agreed that credit terms determine the amount of credit a
customer can get, as indicated by the mean and standard deviation scores of 4.64 and 0.59
respectively. The findings further showed that respondents agreed that credit terms also
spell out the loan repayment schedules, as indicated by the mean of 4.43 and standard
deviation of 0.48. Also, the findings revealed that respondents agreed that credit terms
indicate the type and amount of interest charged as shown by the mean and standard
deviation scores of 4.22 and 0.45 respectively. Additionally, the findings showed that
majority of the respondents agreed that credit terms indicate collateral and guarantees
46
needed for loans with a mean score of 4.76 and standard deviation of 0.64. Further still, the
credit terms spell out the other charges imposed on loans with a mean score of 4.70 and
standard deviation of 0.58. These findings implied that majority of the respondents. This
implied that majority of the respondents agreed that credit terms have direct effect on loan
performance in commercial banks in Bujumbura, Burundi.
Table 4.5 showed the results from the responses on how the collection policies in the
various commercial banks affect their loan performance. According to the findings,
majority of the respondents agreed that there are collection policies in place to manage
account receivables in their banks, with a mean score of 4.72 and standard deviation of
0.74. The findings also revealed that majority of the respondents agreed that the collection
policy improves loan performance by clearly laying out the incentives and rewards for
early repayment of the loans, with mean and standard deviation scores of 4.69 and 0.77
respectively. Also, the findings showed that majority of the respondents agreed that the
47
collection policy spells out penalties for late and missed repayment schedules which
discourages irregular and late loan repayments, with a mean score of 4.79 and standard
deviation score of 0.71. Additionally, the findings indicated that respondents agreed that
through the collection policy, customers are notified severally when their repayments are
due, which helps to prevent delays and missed payment schedules, with a mean of 4.70 and
a standard deviation of 0.38. Furthermore, the respondents also agreed that the collection
policy ensures that new and poorly performing customers have tighter collection terms,
which discourages them from irregular repayment schedules as a way of avoiding tight
repayment terms, with mean and standard deviation scores of 4.63 and 0.60 respectively.
Further still, the respondents also agreed that through the collection policy, long-standing
and trusted customers have more flexible collection terms, which serves to incentivize
them to maintain their trusted status as well as encourage others to also strive to build their
trust, with a scores of 4.24 and 0.47 for mean and standard deviation respectively. This
implied that majority of the respondents agreed that the collection policy is of fundamental
importance in determining the performance of the loan portfolio in commercial banks in
Bujumbura, Burundi.
48
The established regression equation was;
Y = 3.911 +.854X1+.746X2+.622X3+.732X4 -ẹ
Where:
Y= Loan performance
α = Constant,
β= Coefficient factor,
X1= Credit standards,
X2= Credit policy,
X3= Credit terms,
X4= Collection policy
ẹ = Error Term
The regression model presented in table 4.6 above shows loan performance at a coefficient
of 3.911, with the credit management practices that affect it, that is; credit standards, credit
policy, credit terms and collection policy held at zero constant.
The second hypothesis stated a null assumption that credit policy has no significant effect
on loan performance in commercial banks in Burundi. The regression analysis was used to
test the hypothesis, and the results show that credit policy has a positive and significant
effect on loan performance in commercial banks in Burundi (B= .746, p=0.003<0.05).
49
Since the relationship was found to be significant, the null hypothesis (H01) was rejected
and the alternate hypothesis which recognizes credit policy as having a positive and
significant effect on loan performance.
The third hypothesis stated a null assumption that credit terms have no significant effect on
loan performance in commercial banks in Burundi. The regression analysis was used to
test the hypothesis, and the results show that credit terms have a positive and significant
effect on loan performance in commercial banks in Burundi (B= .662, p=0.003<0.05).
Since the relationship was found to be significant, the null hypothesis (H01) was rejected
and the alternate hypothesis which recognizes credit terms as having a positive and
significant effect on loan performance.
The forth hypothesis stated a null assumption that collection policies have no significant
effect on loan performance in commercial banks in Burundi. The regression analysis was
used to test the hypothesis, and the results show that collection policies have a positive and
significant effect on loan performance in commercial banks in Burundi (B=.732,
p=0.004<0.05). Since the relationship was found to be significant, the null hypothesis (H01)
was rejected and the alternate hypothesis which recognizes collection policies as having a
positive and significant effect on loan performance.
These results therefore implied that the credit management practices (credit standards,
credit policy, credit terms and collection policy), when adopted and applied in banking
operations, have potential to significantly affect loan performance in commercial banks.
50
CHAPTER FIVE
DISCUSSION OF FINDINGS, CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
5.1 Introduction
This chapter presents a summary of the findings of the study, the conclusions reached in
the study as well as the recommendations made by the study.
These findings are echoed by those of Selma et al., (2016) who asserted that credit
standards can be tight or loose, that tight credit standards make a firm lose a big number of
customers and when credit are loose the firm gets an increased number of clients but at a
risk of loss through bad debts. They noted that it’s important that credit standards be
basing on the individual credit application by considering character assessment, capacity
condition collateral and security capital. Character it refers to the willingness of a customer
to settle his obligations, it mainly involves assessment of the moral factors. Mujtaba (2016)
found out that social collateral group members can guarantee the loan members known the
character of each client; if they doubt the character then the client is likely to default.
51
appreciated the importance of having credit policy in their operations, and the effect that
this has on the performance of their loan businesses.
These findings are supported by Sadaqat et al., (2016), who found out that credit policy is
important in the management of accounts receivables, and that a firm has time flexibility of
shaping credit policy within the confines of its practices. A loose credit policy may not
necessarily mean an increase in profitability because the increased number of customers
may lead to increased costs in terms of loan administration and bad debts recovery. In
agreement with other scholars. Kanchu and Kumar (2017), advocated for an optimum
credit policy, which would help to cut through weaknesses of both tight and loose credit
standards so, the firm can make profits. It is a means of reducing high default risk implying
that the firm should be discretionary in granting loans. Policies save time by ensuring that
the same issue is not discussed over and over again each time a decision is to be made, thus
ensuring that decisions are consistent and fair and that people in the same circumstance get
treated in the same manner. According to Masoud et al., (2016), credit policy provides a
frame work for the entire management practices.
These findings are echoed by the works of Nkundabanyanga et al. (2014), who asserted
that credit terms are part of a general exercise to help determine the extent of risk for each
borrower. According to Mehmood et al., (2016), grace period, collateral, interest rate
charges and number of official visits to the credit societies, have a strong effect on loan
repayment, and that the higher interest rates induce firms to undertake projects with lower
probability of success but higher pay offs when they succeed. Nanayakkara and Stewart
52
(2015) further indicated that since the financial institution is not able to control all actions
of borrowers due to imperfect and costly information, the MFI will formulate terms of the
loan contract to induce borrowers to take actions in the interest of the financial institution
and to attract low risk borrowers. According to Ifeanyi et al. (2014), the interest rate has an
effect on the use, repayment of the loan and the overall performance of the business. When
the interest rate charged is high, there is a tendency for the borrowers to keep part of the
borrowed money to pay the interest or to use the business capital to pay the interest.
Anderson (2002) indicated that an increase in interest rates negatively affects the
borrowers by reducing their incentive to take actions that are conducive to loan repayment.
These findings are supported by research by Chaudhry et al., (2015), who said that
collection efforts may include attaching mandatory savings forcing guarantors to pay,
attaching collateral assets, courts litigation. Methods used by financial institutions could
include letters, demand letters, telephone calls, visits by the firm’s officials for face to face
reminders to pay and legal enforcements. Makorere (2014) saw the collection policy as a
guide that ensures prompt payment and regular collections. The rationale is that not all
clients meet their obligations, some just take it for granted, others simply forget while
others just don’t have a culture of paying until persuaded to do so. According to Ifeanyi et
al. (2014), collection procedure is required because some clients do not pay the loan in
time some are slower while others never pay. Thus collection efforts aim at accelerating
collections from slower payers to avoid bad debts. Prompt payments are aimed at
53
increasing turn over while keeping low and bad debts within limits, according to Garcia et
al., (2015).
These findings are in line with Nanayakkara & Stewart (2015), who indicated that since
the financial institutions are not able to control all the actions of borrowers due to
imperfect and costly information, the they have to formulate terms of the loan contracts
that will induce borrowers to act in the interest of the financial institution and to attract low
risk borrowers. Ifeanyi et al. (2014) also added that the interest rate has an effect on the
use, repayment of the loan and the overall performance of the business, observing that
commercial banks usually provide larger loans, longer repayment periods and lower
interest rates when borrowers offer collateral. By this, he (Ifeanyi, 2014) meant that a
borrower who cannot provide the type of assets that lenders require as collateral often gets
worse loan terms than otherwise and their likelihood for loan repayment is lower than
those whose collateral can get them better loan terms. Additionally, Makorere (2014)
asserted that collection policy is a guide that ensures prompt payment and regular
collections. The rationale is that not all clients meet their obligations, some just take it for
54
granted, others simply forget while others just don’t have a culture of paying until
persuaded to do so.
Having objective and appropriate parameters for credit standard, enabling banks to
adequately assess the credit records, and clear guidelines in the processing and issuance of
loans and monitoring their repayment schedules has a direct bearing on the levels of
default and repayment. From the findings of the study, it was also concluded that the
various aspects of the credit policy such as signing of loan agreements, taking out
insurance policies on loans issued, customer credit rating models, as well as accurate
assessment of the customers’ financial conditions as well as repayment periods, have a
significant effect on loan performance in commercial banks. Also, the findings on the
credit terms pointed to the conclusion that the structuring of the various terms of loan
issuance/acquisition such as the security for loans or collateral, grace period before start of
repayment, the rates of interest charged on loans as well as the repayment period also
significantly affect loan performance in commercial banks. It was also concluded that the
policy on loan repayment collections is another key determinant of loan performance,
55
where the rate of asset recovery and transfer of loans is directed related to the level of
losses from loan default.
5.4 Recommendations
From the findings of the study analyzed in the previous chapter and the conclusions
reached, the researcher made various recommendations, which in his opinion, if properly
considered, have the potential to improve the effectiveness of credit management and
thereby improve loan performance in commercial banks. These recommendtaions are:
Commercial banks should seriously consider having in place effective credit standards,
credit policy, credit terms and collection policies or procedures as mechanisms to guide
their business, since the effectiveness of credit management is important to the successful
management of banking institutions. In order to ascertain the level of credit to issue out to
a borrower, the banks should use credit standards to appropriately evaluate the borrower’s
liquidity and cash flow, as well as the performance of their business and saving culture,
that can be used in determining the borrower’s ability to repay the loan.
Commercial banks should operate their credit businesses based strictly on established
lending guidelines that clearly outline the business growth priorities of the senior
management, as well as the conditions to satisfy in order to qualify for loan approval.
These lending guidelines (credit policy) should be regularly updated in order to keep their
consistency with the prevailing changes in the credit market and the overall outlook of the
economy.
There should be prior customer evaluation before loans are granted, and a continuous
process of assessment before and during the course of loan repayment. In this way, the
bank will be in position to accurately ascertain the trajectory of the borrower’s
performance in terms of repayment. This should be cemented by effective customer
relationship management, where the bank not only acts as a source of credit, but also as a
source of vital information business management in order to improve the business
performance of the borrowers, which will consequently improve loan performance.
56
5.5 Suggestions for further Research
Further research should be carried out to determine the relationship between customers’
financial information, the level of credit worth and the performance of commercial banks.
This will help to generate more knowledge on the impact of accurate customer credit rating
on the performance of loans in commercial banks.
57
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APPENDIX I
Questionnaire
Dear Respondent,
My name is Rukundo Alain Romaric, a student of Master of Business Administration and
Management Studies at Kampala International University. I am conducting a study on
“Credit risk management and loan performance in commercial banks in Burundi”. You
have been selected to participate in this study by answering the following questions. Please
tick the most appropriate response or elaborate where necessary. The information obtained
from you shall be kept confidential and used for academic purposes only. You are also free
to withdraw from participating at any time.
2. Age 18 – 25 [ ]
26 – 35 [ ]
36 – 45 [ ]
46 and above [ ]
64
Other, please specify…………………………………...
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Section B: Credit policy
Please tick the most appropriate option in the ranking of the questions; Use the following
Likert scale to rate your answers:
1 – Strongly Agree (SA)
2 – Agree (A)
3 – Not Sure (NS)
4 – Disagree (D)
5 – Strongly Disagree (SD)
Alt. Statements Rankings
1 2 3 4 5
a. There is a credit policy in place to manage credit risk
b. Credit policy helps to determine the loan limit to customers
c. Helps banks to determine the volume of credit they can issue
d. Credit policy considers customers cash flow over the past years
e. Considers customers balance sheet and financial condition
f. Considers the condition of the customers’ market and industry
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e. Credit terms indicate collateral and guarantees needed for loans
f. Credit terms spell out the other charges imposed on loans
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APPENDIX II
Introduction Letter
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