BUSINESS FINANCE Las Week 3 and 4
BUSINESS FINANCE Las Week 3 and 4
BUSINESS FINANCE Las Week 3 and 4
BUSINESS FINANCE
Second Quarter
Week 3 and 4
Brown and Reilly (2014) identified the major sources of risks as follows:
1. Business risk
2. Financial risk
3. Liquidity risk
4. Exchange rate risk
5. Country risk
Business risk is related to the nature of the company’s products and operating strategy.
Companies with stable sources of sales and earnings have relatively low business risk.
Financial risk refers to the risk created by the choice of capital structure—the
financing mix of the issuing company. A company usually funds its operation through debt
and equity financing. As the debt portion increases, financial risk increases.
Source:https://www.clearrisk.com/risk-management-blog/bid/47395/the-risk-management-
process-in-5-steps
1. Identify Risks. The four main risk categories of risk are hazard risks, such as fires or
injuries; operational risks, including turnover and supplier failure; financial risks,
such as economic recession; and strategic risks, which include new competitors and
brand reputation. Being able to identify what types of risk you have is vital to the risk
management process.
2. Measure Risk. A risk map is a visual tool that details which risks are frequent and
which are severe (and thus require the most resources). This will help you identify
which are very unlikely or would have low impact, and which are very likely and
would have a significant impact.
Knowing the frequency and severity of your risks will show you where to
spend your time and money, and allow your team to prioritize their resources.
3. Examine Solutions. Organizations usually have the options to accept, avoid, control,
or transfer a risk.
Accepting the risk means deciding that some risks are inherent in doing
business and that the benefits of an activity outweigh the potential risks.
To avoid a risk, the organization simply has to not participate in that activity.
Risk control involves prevention (reducing the likelihood that the risk will
occur) or mitigation, which is reducing the impact it will have if it does occur.
4. Implement Solution. Once all reasonable potential solutions are listed, pick the one
that is most likely to achieve desired outcomes.
Find the needed resources, such as personnel and funding, and get the
necessary buy-in. Senior management will likely have to approve the plan, and team
m embers will have to be informed and trained if necessary.
5. Monitor Result. Risk management is a process, not a project that can be “finished”
and then forgotten about. The organization, its environment, and its risks are
constantly changing, so the process should be consistently revisited.
Determine whether the initiatives are effective and whether changes or
updates are required. Sometimes, the team may have to start over with a new process
if the implemented strategy is not effective.
A basic risk measure for a single asset is the variance and standard deviation (square root
of the variance) of returns. The variance ( is computed as follows:
n
[Rt – Rmean]2
t=n n
Where:
Rt = Return for a Particular Period
Rmean = Average return
n = Number of Periods
Stock A
2011 13.25%
2012 16.25%
2013 13.80%
2014 20.70%
2015 11.20%
Sum = 0.00529870
5. Divide by the number of periods.
Variance = 0.00529870 / 5 years = 0.00105974
The standard deviation is equal to the square root of the variance:
he standard deviation of the returns of Stock A is equal to 3.26%. The
greater the standard deviation of the returns, the greater is the risk of the single a sset.
Risk-Return Measure
Assets should be compared based on both risk and return. The coefficient of variation
is a simple risk-return measure to compare various assets. It is computed by dividing the
standard deviation of returns by the mean return.
Coefficient of variation = Rmean
Using our Stock A example, the coefficient of variation is equal to:
Coefficient of variation = 0.0326 / 0.1504 = 0.21676
Based on this simple measure, investors should prefer assets with a low coefficient of
variation.
Risk Reduction
From a portfolio perspective, risk, as measured by the portfolio variance or standard
deviation, can be reduced by combining assets whose returns do not move in the same
direction or at least do not move perfectly together.
This will accomplish the same objective of minimizing risk for a given level of
return. It is then the objective of the investor to look for these assets, whose returns are not
correlated, less correlated, or better yet, negatively correlated.
It is recommended that an investor should not pull out his money in a single asset and
diversify his portfolio into various assets associated with differing industries and businesses.
As they say, “Do not put all your eggs in one basket.”
LEARNING COMPETENCY
Measure and list ways to minimize or reduce investment risks in simple case problems,
Quarter 2, Week 1-2) ABM_BF12-IVm-n-25
Exercise 1
1. C
2. C
3. D
4. A
5. C
6. C
7. C
8. C
9. B
10. D
Exercise 2
1. A
2. A
3. A
4. A
5. A
6. A
7. B
8. A
9. A
10. A