Bhaskar A Bhat La 2018
Bhaskar A Bhat La 2018
Bhaskar A Bhat La 2018
Ajay Bhaskarabhatla
Regulating
Pharmaceutical
Prices in India
Policy Design, Implementation and
Compliance
India Studies in Business and Economics
The Indian economy is considered to be one of the fastest growing economies of the
world with India amongst the most important G-20 economies. Ever since the Indian
economy made its presence felt on the global platform, the research community is
now even more interested in studying and analyzing what India has to offer. This
series aims to bring forth the latest studies and research about India from the areas of
economics, business, and management science. The titles featured in this series will
present rigorous empirical research, often accompanied by policy recommendations,
evoke and evaluate various aspects of the economy and the business and manage-
ment landscape in India, with a special focus on India’s relationship with the world
in terms of business and trade.
Regulating Pharmaceutical
Prices in India
Policy Design, Implementation
and Compliance
Ajay Bhaskarabhatla
Erasmus School of Economics
Erasmus University Rotterdam
Rotterdam, The Netherlands
This Springer imprint is published by the registered company Springer International Publishing AG part of
Springer Nature.
The registered company address is: Gewerbestrasse 11, 6330 Cham, Switzerland
To my mother
Acknowledgements
I thank the AIOCD for generously sharing the data. I also thank a number of students
at Erasmus School of Economics, who have assisted in writing the book. In
particular, I would like to thank Andreea Beznea, Sophie de Clercq, Farhan Haider,
Huibert van der Hart, David November, Matej Opatrny, Henning Sökeland, and
Clément Staner. I would also like to thank my coauthors on research papers based on
the Indian pharmaceutical industry, Priyatam Anurag, Chirantan Chatterjee, Bas
Karreman, and Enrico Pennings. I would like to thank Erasmus Research Institute
of Management for financial support. I also thank S. Srinivasan, Malini Aisola,
and T. Srikrisna for their insights into the Indian pharmaceutical industry. Finally,
I would like to thank my wife, brother, and sister-in-law for their encouragement
and support.
vii
Contents
1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1
Appendix . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 235
ix
Chapter 1
Introduction
1
International reference prices (IRPs) are median prices of quality multi-source medicines offered to
low- and middle-income countries by not-for-profit and for-profit suppliers, as available from
Management Sciences for Health (MSH) International Drug Price Indicator Guide (MDC Gap
Task Force 2015).
their limitations is useful for India as well as for other countries around the world
undergoing similar policy changes (Selvaraj 2013).
Third, several civil society groups have successfully argued before the Supreme
Court of India that the prices of essential medicines, which form a significant
component of the healthcare expenses, are soaring, reflecting the need for a govern-
ment response in the form of price control regulations to make medicines more
accessible and affordable. Although India expanded price control regulations
recently, these groups continue to argue for a further expansion of the scope of
regulation. They demand the inclusion of substitute medicines under the price
control regime, greater alignment of price controls with India’s public health
needs, an improvement of the methodology for determining the ceiling price, and
a mechanism to control the exorbitant margins on several essential medicines
(Shankar 2014). There is also a concern among the civil society organizations that,
under pressure from the pharmaceutical companies, pharmaceutical policies and
price control laws that protect access to affordable medicines will quickly erode
(Chatterjee 2013). As a cautionary note, they point to the challenges in access to
essential medicines for chronic diseases such as diabetes and asthma (e.g., Kotwani
2010).
Fourth, the pharmaceutical firms and their trade associations argue that price
control regulations have led to a significant loss of revenue, that the price control
regulations have been ineffective, and that better alternatives, such as bulk public
procurement, exist to make medicines more affordable and accessible (McLain
2014; Silverman 2015; IMS Health 2015).
Fifth, the Indian pharmaceutical industry is considered an extremely competitive
market with tens or hundreds of firms competing with each other in narrowly-defined
medicine markets, reflecting a thriving entrepreneurial culture and raising concerns
among many as to why price control regulations are necessary (Saberwal 2006).
The presence of price control regulations, some argue, leads to the delay in the
launch of new, patented medicines into India, exacerbating the negative conse-
quences. However, others argue that although India is a net exporter of cheap generic
medicines, many medicines are either out-of-stock or too expensive in the domestic
market (Selvaraj 2007). Also, the price control policies apply mainly to out-of-patent
medicines and a policy to control the prices of patented medicines has not been
finalized in over a decade (Francis 2016). While prior research on pharmaceutical
regulation is focused on intellectual property protection in developing countries, few
studies examine the capacity to regulate pharmaceutical markets, most of which are
out of patent protection (Pezzola and Sweet 2016; Sell 2003).
Finally, the regulator responsible for implementing the price control regulation on
essential medicines, the National Pharmaceutical Pricing Authority (NPPA) itself is
fighting a battle for relevance and survival (Francis 2014a). Some observers have
expressed concern that the government is attempting to dismantle the NPPA and
dilute price controls (Shankar 2014). The NPPA is also concerned about the poten-
tial shortages of medicines that enter price control regulations, one of the many ways
in which firms can mitigate and circumvent the regulations. For example, the NPPA
received reports of shortages of several essential medicines such as anti-malarial
1 Introduction 3
Some key findings of the study are[:] primary beneficiaries of the DPCO 2013 price controls
have been high-income patient populations, rather than the low-income targets; the con-
sumption of price-controlled drugs in rural areas has decreased by 7% over the past two
years, while that of non-price controlled products has risen by 5%; and the DPCO 2013 has
resulted in an increase in market concentration (fewer brands are now listed) and a decrease
in competitive intensity (the average number of new brands has gone down since 2013).
In this book, we address the need for a systematic and comprehensive analysis of
the nature and impact of the 2013 price control regulation on several essential
medicines in India. Our study is based on an analysis of the data collected by the
AIOCD, known among the industry observers in India by its product name,
Pharmatrac data. The NPPA used the IMS data in 2013 but, under criticism from
several firms and disputes arising from fixing ceiling prices using the IMS data, the
NPPA switched to the Pharmatrac data in 2015 (Francis 2014b). We exploit
Pharmatrac data to examine quantitatively the method used by the NPPA to fix
ceiling prices, and the challenges that arose in fixing them. Pharmatrac data cover the
period from January 2011 until July 2016, which makes it possible to analyze the
trends before and after the DPCO 2013. The data are disaggregated at the level of the
stock keeping unit, which allows us to compare different brands and dosages of the
same medicine as well as different medicines within the same therapeutic category.
Moreover, the data distinguish between different delivery forms of the same med-
icine, such as a tablet, injection, capsule or syrup. Such disaggregation along with
the partial nature of the regulation allows us to study the impact of the regulation by
comparing regulated and unregulated dosages of the same medicine.
The book is divided into four parts. In the first part, we provide a historical
account of the price control regulations on pharmaceuticals in India. We examine the
efforts leading up to the 2013 regulation and elaborate on the policy process that
unfolded. We also document the essential characteristics of the Indian pharmaceu-
tical industry that motivates the need for introducing price control regulation. We
illustrate, using Pharmatrac data on medicines, the extent of margins firms obtain for
essential medicines and the need for controlling them. The second part of the book
focuses on the design of the 2013 price control regulation. We examine the details of
the design and highlight the inherent challenges and shortcomings. We also study
how firms have used the slowly unfolding policy process to their advantage. The
third part of the book examines the effectiveness of these regulations. In particular,
we focus on the many ways in which pharmaceutical firms have mitigated the impact
of the regulations. We discuss, using several case studies of individual medicines, as
well as analyses of comprehensive lists of price-controlled medicines, the nature,
and extent of coverage of price regulations, their effectiveness, and impact. The
fourth part describes the nature of enforcement and compliance. In particular, we
examine the extent of compliance with price ceilings imposed on essential medicines
in India in 2013 and how it has changed in response to enforcement efforts. We
estimate how much firms overcharged above the ceiling price and the total
overcharged amount. We also reflect on whether the regulator has followed a
targeted approach to enforcement to induce compliance and whether such targeting
has had any impact on overall compliance. The book concludes in Chap. 9, which
1 Introduction 5
violation of the price ceiling regulation challenging for the average citizen.2 The
regulator’s efforts to publish a searchable list of the SKU-specific ceiling prices
rather than per-tablet ceiling prices is a useful step, as it becomes easier for the more
than 750,000 pharmacists in the country to know whether the medicine brands they
sell are in violation of the regulations.
As noted earlier, one of the challenges in effective regulation of medicine prices
in India is the manner in which the regulatory system is currently organized. The task
of providing affordable healthcare is distributed among the ministry of health and
family welfare, the ministry of chemicals and fertilizers, which oversees the depart-
ment of pharmaceuticals, and the ministry of commerce. The administration and
regulation are distributed over the Central Drug Standards Control Organization
(CDSCO), the National Pharmaceutical Pricing Authority (NPPA), and various state
drug controllers. In recent years, there has been a vocal criticism of the manner in
which some of the regulators have operated and the Drug Technical Advisory Board
(DTAB) and proposed to rename the CDSCO as the “Indian Drug Administration,”
which would ensure a dedicated pool of qualified workforce to enforce the regula-
tions (Vijay 2017). While the book does not offer solutions to improving the
organization of the pharmaceutical regulatory system in India, it provides a context
for the debate by documenting the limitations of the current efforts to design,
implement, and enforce price control regulations in India.
References
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Ananth Kumar, Business Standard.
Bhaskarabhatla, A. S., Chatterjee, C., Anurag, P., & Pennings, H. P. G. (2016). Mitigating
regulatory impact: The case of partial price controls on metformin in India. Health Policy and
Planning, 32(2), 194–204.
Chatterjee, P. (2013). India’s patent case victory rattles Big Pharma. Lancet, 381(9874), 1263.
Francis, P. (2014a, October 22). Patented Drugs & DPCO. PharmaBiz.com
Francis, P. (2014b, July 02). Modifying DPCO 2013. PharmaBiz.com
Francis, P. (2016, November 22). Do not dismantle NPPA. PharmaBiz.com
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Indian Journal of Pharmacology, 42(3), 127–128.
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PharmaBiz [online]. Available from http://www.pharmabiz.com/NewsDetails.aspx?
aid¼24757&sid¼2
2
An SKU is a particular brand of medicine sold by a firm for a particular delivery and dosage form.
For example, “CROCIN ADVANCE 500 MG TABLET 10” is an SKU indicating that Crocin, a
popular brand of Paracetamol manufactured by GSK, contains 500 mg of the active ingredient and
ten tablets in the pack.
References 7
Mehta, P. S. (2005). Towards a functional competition policy for India. New Delhi: Academic
Foundation.
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price cut. PharmaBiz.com
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albumin. PharmaBiz.com
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cardiac stents. PharmaBiz.com
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for developing states. Globalization and Health, 12, 85.
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IMS study.
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to medicines? [online]. Available from http://www.tapanray.in/new-drug-price-control-order-
of-india-is-it-directionally-right-improving-access-to-medicines/
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(5), 499–501.
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Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
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Public Health [online]. Available from https://cdn1.sph.harvard.edu/wp-content/uploads/sites/
114/2012/10/RP256.pdf
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of-pocket payments on medicines in India: A repeated cross-sectional analysis of national
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2017-018020.
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under price control. PharmaBiz.com
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Report. Wall Street Journal.
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ability & professionalism: Dr Jagashetty. PharmaBiz.com
Part I
Historical Context and the Motivation for
Regulation
Chapter 2
Brief History of Regulating Pharmaceutical
Prices
2.1 Introduction
In this chapter, we begin with a historical overview of India’s efforts to design a price
regulation mechanism for essential medicines and how such efforts culminated in the
latest episode of price controls in 2013. The chapter documents how India began
regulating nearly 350 medicines in 1970, steadily lowered the scope of regulation to
74 in 1995, and then expanded the number again to nearly 350 in 2013, completing
the full circle. The historical account shows how the same set of issues have arisen
during the design, implementation, and enforcement of each of the episodes of price
control regulations.
Price controls have been commonplace in India since its independence in 1947.
They were part of a broader set of ‘command-and-control’ policies that regulated
almost all areas of economic activity in the country to strengthen the economy and
promote local investment and production (Mehta 2005). Price controls on several
commodities instituted by the British before independence continued to exist even
afterward, and they were made permanent through the Essential Commodities Act of
1955. Under the act, India regulated the prices of a wide variety of products such as
petroleum and related derivatives, food grains and seeds, textiles, and fertilizers (see,
for an overview, De 2014). The regulation of medicine prices, however, did not
begin under the Essential Commodities Act. Instead, India started to control the
prices of medicines in the backdrop of the national emergency created by the
Sino-Indian war in 1962, under the 1915 Defense of India Act.
India introduced the Drugs Display of Prices Order of 1962 and the Drugs
Control of Prices Order of 1963, effectively freezing medicine prices as an emer-
gency measure. The government replaced the 1962 and 1963 drug control orders
with the Drugs Prices Display and Control of 1966. On the one hand, the 1966 order
strengthened the control regime by mandating pharmaceutical firms to obtain prior
approval from the government before increasing the prices of any medicine formu-
lation (Basak 2008; Mehta 2005). On the other hand, however, the order introduced
The next revision of the order in 1970 issued under Section 3 of the 1955 Essential
Commodities Act, enabled India to control the production, distribution, and supply
of essential medicines. The government hoped that the revised order would ensure
equitable distribution and availability of essential medicines at fair prices (Joseph
2015; Government of India 1955). The 1970 DPCO allowed the government to
regulate the prices of essential bulk drugs and their formulations by restricting
excessive profiteering, which was intended to ensure greater supply, distribution,
and availability of essential drugs. As shown in Table 2.1, most bulk drugs and
their formulations sold on the market were either directly or indirectly affected by
the 1970 DPCO, indicating a shift towards increased control and protectionism in
India (Malhotra 2010). The 1970 DPCO stipulated that a company’s pre-tax profit
from its pharmaceutical activity should not exceed 15% of its pharmaceutical sales,
net of excise duty and sales tax (Mehta 2005). The 1970 order targeted only
18 bulk drugs and their formulations, while the prices of the remaining bulk
drugs were frozen. The order allocated a healthy markup of 75% on the material,
conversion and packaging costs. Also, the markup was set higher for new combi-
nations of existing drugs at 100% and new drugs at 150%. Alternatively, compa-
nies could fix prices within the ceiling of a 75% mark-up for essential drugs and
150% for other drugs, as long as their gross profit did not exceed 15% of sales
(Joseph 2015).
The 1970 DPCO represented the introduction of cost-based regulation of drug
pricing in India, which is sometimes also referred to as ‘rate-of-return’ or ‘cost-plus’
regulation. This kind of regulation targeted firms’ profit margins, limiting profit-
maximizing behavior and the abuse of market power (Cowan 2002). The govern-
ment considered cost-based regulation as a way to balance the need for controlling
drug prices while at the same time providing sufficient profits to manufacturers to
1
‘Essential drugs’ are defined as drugs that meet the priority healthcare needs of the population
(WHO 2017). Today, priority healthcare needs are established based on disease prevalence and
public health relevance, as well as clinical efficacy and safety and cost considerations.
2.2 Deregulation of Pharmaceutical Prices from the 1970s to the 1990s 13
incentivize production (Mehta 2005). Consequently, the 1970 order involved direct
control on the profits of pharmaceutical firms and indirect control on the prices of
18 essential medicines and capping of the remaining medicines at their prevailing
price. The product-wise margins under the 1970 DPCO were flexible, and compa-
nies had the freedom to set the prices of their products without the approval of the
government as long as their overall profit margin did not exceed the stipulated norm.
However, the cost-based approach to pricing had some downsides. In particular,
determining actual costs as opposed to claimed costs proved to be a difficult task for
the regulatory authorities. Until the establishment of the National Pharmaceutical
Pricing Authority (NPPA) in 1997, there was no dedicated regulatory authority to
monitor the market activity and enforce pharmaceutical price controls. The Drug
Controllers at the state-level monitored the prices in addition to shouldering a range
of other responsibilities. Moreover, since imported products were priced based on
their landing costs, the policy made room for loopholes on imported products and
indirectly encouraged the sale of relatively more expensive medicines produced in
foreign countries (Malhotra 2010).
Following the ‘command-and-control’ policies of the 1970s, the government
appointed the Hathi Committee to find ways to make India self-sufficient in produc-
ing medicines (Joseph 2015). The government asked the committee to analyze the
pharmaceutical industry and make recommendations for the rapid growth of the
small-scale sector, high-quality production of drugs, lowering of prices, and equita-
ble distribution of basic medicines. The committee’s final report promoted the
14 2 Brief History of Regulating Pharmaceutical Prices
2
The idea of generic prescribing was once again recommended by the Sen Committee in 2005, but it
was not implemented (Malhotra 2010).
3
The 1979 DPCO defined markup as the sum of distribution costs, outward freight, manufacturer's
margin, promotional expenses and trade commissions, calculated as a percentage value of the cost
of production (Government of India 1979).
2.2 Deregulation of Pharmaceutical Prices from the 1970s to the 1990s 15
The pharmaceutical industry reacted to the DPCO of 1979 in peculiar ways. The production
of category I and II drugs started falling markedly while the production of categories III and
IV drugs showed an upward rise. The production of drugs in category I dropped from 4.5
percent in 1978 to 3.6 percent in 1980 and that of drugs in category II from 16.7 percent in
1978 to 13.2 percent in 1980. However, in the case of drugs in category III the production
increased from 67.1 percent in 1978 to 68.6 percent in 1980. Thus an artificial scarcity of
essential drugs was being created.
4
The term ‘Maximum Allowed Post-manufacturing Expenses’ (MAPE) replaced the concept of
‘mark-up’ in the 1987 DPCO to incorporate all costs incurred after production, as well as trade
margins (Government of India 1987).
5
The Uruguay Round of Multilateral Trade Negotiations concluded in 1994, establishing the World
Trade Organization (WTO). The Organization aims to facilitate the free flow of goods and services
across nations and to promote multilateral negotiations for further liberalization of trade (WTO
2017). One of the principal agreements that were signed by all members of the WTO in 1994 was
the Agreement on Trade-Related Aspects of Intellectual Property Rights (TRIPS), requiring
member states to provide a set of minimum standards of protection of intellectual property rights,
including patent protection for pharmaceuticals (WTO 1994). Developing countries such as India
that had previously abolished product patents were given several years to change their patent
regime. Consequently, India became compliant with the agreement in 2005 (Malhotra 2010).
16 2 Brief History of Regulating Pharmaceutical Prices
6
According to Selvaraj (2007), the 2006 DPCO affected only ten percent of the drug market in
2007. According to Malhotra (2010), the 74 drugs that were on the 1995 DPCO represented less
than 15% of the medicines defined as ‘essential’ by the new NLEM (Malhotra 2010).
7
The number of price-controlled drugs reduced to 74 in 1997. Meanwhile, the list for the 2002
DPCO initially covered 38 drugs but was later reduced to 34 drugs.
2.3 The Demand More Price Controls After 2002 Leading to the 2013 DPCO 17
2006). Moreover, they argued that the medicines under regulation were increasingly
older formulations and were increasingly becoming ‘irrelevant.’ Alarmed by the
challenges posed by fading price controls on access to medicines for poor con-
sumers, civil society organizations such as the All India Drug Action Network
(AIDAN) brought the matter to the Karnataka (Bangalore) High Court (Basak
2008).8 Under the proposed pharmaceutical policy of 2002, the sales of medicines
(that is, the moving annual turnover value) became an essential criterion for deter-
mining the ceiling price of bulk drugs. The idea was to identify markets for bulk
drugs of mass consumption, which did not feature sufficient levels of competition to
lower prices (Government of India 2002). Therefore, the concerns raised by citizen
groups in the Public Interest Litigation (PIL) against the government’s policy were
that price controls were determined based on sales rather than the volume of sales,
thereby putting in danger the availability and affordability of essential drugs
(Mathew 2002). Moreover, according to Amit Sen Gupta, the co-convener of Jan
Swasthya Abhiyan, a network of healthcare organizations, the drug pricing policy
was not contingent on the country’s health policy, the availability of healthcare, or
the prevalence of diseases. Medicine such as quinine and primaquinine, used to
battle malaria, were not under price control, while analgin (also known as
Metamizole), a drug banned in many countries since the 1970s, was listed as
essential (Narrain 2004).
Concerned by the rising prices of life-saving medicines, the Karnataka High
Court granted a stay order for the new Pharmaceutical Policy on November
12, 2002, compelling the government to stop implementing the policy (Ray
2013).9 By August 2002, the High Court lifted the stay order on all aspects of the
policy such as those concerning pharmaceutical R&D, the changes to the regulatory
infrastructure and education, except for the part concerning the pricing of drugs
(Mathew 2002). After further analysis, a 2002 High Court verdict challenged the
validity of the policy, terming it (Mathew 2003a): “arbitrary and unreasonable and
violative of relevant provisions of Essential Commodities Act, 1955 and Article
14 and 21 of the Constitutions only to the extent of the price control mechanism
adopted in the policy to determine drugs under price control.” Opposing the High
Court decision, the government took the case to the Supreme Court of India. On
March 10, 2003, the Supreme Court reversed the Karnataka High Court’s stay order
on the 2002 Pharmaceutical Policy but stipulated that the Government “shall con-
sider and formulate appropriate criteria for ensuring essential and life-saving drugs
not to fall out of price control” (Nair 2006).
The Supreme Court judgment directed the Department of Chemicals and Fertil-
izers to revise its policy and to revise the list of drugs that were considered essential
and life-saving by May 2003 (Arthapedia 2015). However, this led to some
8
The All India Drug Action Network (AIDAN), the Medico Friends Circle (MFC), the Low Cost
Standard Therapeutics (LOCOST) and the Jan Swasthya Sahyog filed the petition (Narrain 2004).
9
‘Life-saving’ drugs are defined as drugs that are used in life-threatening situations or for emer-
gency care (The Sen Committee 2005).
2.3 The Demand More Price Controls After 2002 Leading to the 2013 DPCO 19
confusion, as the government had accepted to revise its list of essential medicines,
but not the entire policy (Mathew 2003b). Nonetheless, following further Supreme
Court directives, the Department of Chemicals and Fertilizers drafted a revised list of
essential medicines, which included 354 essential drugs that satisfied the country’s
priority healthcare needs (Arthapedia 2015b; Government of India 2003). They
became part of the first National List of Essential Medicines (NLEM) in 2003,
overriding the previous National Essential Drugs List in 1996. The drug pricing
policy remained a matter of debate among different sections of the government,
which had opposing views on the scope of drug price controls. The Ministry of
Health and Family Welfare and the Ministry of Chemicals and Fertilizers preferred
to bring all medicines listed in the NLEM under the price control regime, while the
Prime Minister’s office and the Planning Commission sought alternatives to the
expansion of price controls (Malhotra 2010). Over the years, various committees
were therefore constituted to look into the issue of price controls and search for
options other than price controls.
This episode marked the beginning of a protracted series of debates surrounding
the design of price control regulation. Several stakeholders such as associations of
the pharmaceutical firms lobbied for a reduction in the number of medicines under
price control while the government sought to ensure the affordability of life-saving
drugs. The pharmaceutical firms argued that reducing the number of drugs under
price control would increase competition and therefore lower drug prices. However,
a closer look at drug prices throughout the 1980s, 1990s and early 2000s showed that
this was not the case (Rane 1996; Selvaraj 2007). Brand leaders were often price
leaders, maintaining prices that were not affordable for poor consumers (Narrain
2004). Throughout this period of debate, the 1994 Pharmaceutical Policy remained
the principal mechanism for price controls on medicines.
In the wake of the Supreme Court’s March 2003 order, several committees were
constituted to make recommendations for a revised pharmaceutical policy that could
satisfy the expectations of the various interest groups involved in the debate sur-
rounding price controls. The process began with the revision of the NLEM in 2003,
based on the World Health Organization’s Model List of Essential Medicines. The
committee responsible for drafting the list used the following criteria: (i) the priority
health care needs of the Indian population; (ii) the country’s prevailing diseases; (iii)
safety and efficacy; (iv) comparative cost-effectiveness; and (v) infrastructure for
delivery (Government of India 2003). However, the pharmaceutical policy covered
only a small fraction of the medicines included in the NLEM, which did not keep
pace with the dynamics of public health (Malhotra 2010). Civil society organizations
20 2 Brief History of Regulating Pharmaceutical Prices
stressed the importance of making essential drugs available to the broader public at
affordable prices. Particularly, India struggled with managing disease burdens for
HIV/AIDS, diabetes, and cardiovascular problems but their medications remained
outside the price control regime (LOCOST 2006).10 The discussion on drug pricing
also gained momentum following changes to the patent regime in India in 2005.
India introduced product patents on the 1st of January 2005, to meet the international
commitments made during the Uruguay Round of Multilateral Trade Negotiations.
The prevailing patents regime established by the 1970 Patents Act had enabled India
to grow as a producer of generic medicines on the strength of process patents.
Beginning in 2005, India was expected to continue to benefit from the production
of generics, but the freedom to reverse-engineer newer molecules was hindered (The
Sen Committee Report 2005). The shift in the patent regime generated concerns of
price increases and shortages of affordable drugs.
Consequently, in August 2004, the Ministry of Chemicals and Fertilizers set up a
new committee under the chairmanship of G. S. Sandhu. The committee was asked
to review the span of price control and to suggest reasonable trade margins on the
sale of drugs, in light of the Supreme Court order and continued public debate on the
issue of drug pricing. After consulting with the industry representatives, NGOs,
health activists and field experts, the Sandhu Committee concluded that the current
framework for price control was ineffective and endorsed a new monitoring system.
The committee’s interim report came out as early as November 2004 and made many
recommendations, but could not make any conclusions on the issue of criteria for
price controls. The findings of the report contained several observations relevant for
price regulation (Mathew 2004a):
1. The NLEM 2003 was determined to be a comprehensive list of essential and life-
saving drugs, which may form a basket of drugs suitable for price management
(through price control and price monitoring);
2. Price control should be limited for ease of administration, improved availability
and to avoid adverse effects on the growth of the pharmaceutical industry;
3. Two types of monitoring should exist (i) intensive monitoring for the 339 essential
drugs that were in the 2003 NLEM but not under price control; and (ii) regular
monitoring for price-controlled drugs and drugs outside the NLEM basket. A
10–15% annual price increase would apply to the drugs under price control
regulation (Mathew 2004a);
4. Trade margins should be capped at 8–16% for wholesalers and retailers respec-
tively. Meanwhile, the margins for non-scheduled drugs are restricted to 10% for
10
LOCOST (2006) argues that many essential drugs were systematically deregulated leading up to
the 2002 Pharmaceutical Policy, while many non-essential or sometimes dangerous medications
remained under price control (for an overview, see Table 1, p. 135). The organization emphasizes
the downfalls of using only economic criteria, such as company turnover in the 1995 DPCO, to
establish what drugs should be regulated. Until 2002, economic criteria dominated essentiality of
medicines, contrary to what the Kelkar Committee recommended in 1984. Therefore, the debate
surrounding price control included discussions around the principles of selection for price-
controlled drugs (The Sen Committee 2005).
2.3 The Demand More Price Controls After 2002 Leading to the 2013 DPCO 21
wholesalers and 20% for retailers for branded drugs, and 15 and 35% respectively
for generic drugs. The NPPA is expected to implement the rules on trade
margins11;
5. The NPPA should also interact more with State Drug Controllers, consumer
organizations, NGOs and industry organizations to facilitate enforcement and
compliance;
6. The government should increase public awareness about the Drug Policy and the
prices fixed by the NPPA to strengthen consumer movement and keep a check on
high prices;
7. Other recommendations included: negotiations at the time of launching a new
patented drug, higher health insurance coverage, dedicated schemes for people
below the poverty line, decreased taxes and levies on drugs in the NLEM, the use
of an open-tender approach for the procurement of drugs (similar to the Rajasthan
Model of Medicare Societies), compounding of offenses arising from the viola-
tion of price controls, the creation of DPCO State Cells for better enforcement and
the development of a pharmaceutical price index to monitor the movement of
prices.
The recommendations concerning trade margins came as a solution to the high-
profit margins that existed for control-free drugs. For example, some medicines
enjoyed a trade margin of 500–2000% for generic medicines (Mathew 2004b). In
fact, generics were sold at almost the same price as branded drugs in India, and the
huge margins were being passed on to the trade by pharmaceutical companies
through high sales volumes (Francis 2005). The Minister for Chemicals and Fertil-
izers did not entirely agree with having different margins for branded and generics
medicines since he considered that manufacturing costs should be the same. How-
ever, he supported the idea that the NPPA should play a more significant role in the
price control of all drugs (Mathew 2004b). Although the proposed caps on trade
margins of scheduled and non-scheduled formulations were to be implemented
through the Drugs (Prices Control) Amendment Order 2004 in December 2004,
the Ministry of Chemicals and Fertilizers received objections from the Prime
Minister's office, the Law Ministry and from the industry and trade sectors and
could not enact these changes (Mathew 2005a).12 In the meantime, the Prime
Minister’s Office had initiated a different task force under the chairmanship of
Pronab Sen to consider alternatives to price control (The Sen Committee 2005).
Furthermore, some of the recommendations of the Sandhu Committee were ambig-
uous regarding their impact on the consumer. For example, the annual allowance of
10–15% price increase on these same drugs would lead to a price that would double
every few years (Malhotra 2010). The NPPA’s level of staffing was also a significant
problem for implementing the recommended monitoring system involving
11
Trade margins (i.e., profits) should not be confused with ‘markups’ or the ‘MAPE,’ which cover
all costs incurred after production, as well as margins.
12
The following year, trade margins of 200–300% were proposed for the retail price of generics and
were found more agreeable by the industry and trade sectors (Francis 2006, 2016).
22 2 Brief History of Regulating Pharmaceutical Prices
339 drugs outside the ambit of price control. Such a system would have faced
significant problems with effective monitoring and with ensuring compliance.
In November 2004, the Prime Minister’s office constituted the Sen Committee
under the chairmanship of Pronab Sen, who was the Principal Advisor at the
Planning Commission, to explore options other than price control to make life-
saving drugs available at reasonable prices. The committee met with industry
representatives, international agencies, health professionals, NGOs and academics
and concluded in September 2005 that “the pharmaceutical industry by its very
nature is non-competitive, and requires active public intervention to ensure compet-
itive outcomes” (The Sen Committee 2005, p. 19). The final report included the
following proposals (Alexander 2007; The Sen Committee 2005):
1. Price controls should only apply to formulations and not to bulk drugs or other
upstream products
2. Price controls should not be based on company turnover, but on the essentiality of
the drug
3. The effect of price control on the entire therapeutic class should be considered
4. Price ceilings should be implemented, and companies can place themselves
anywhere below the cap—price ceilings should rise according to the Wholesale
Price Index (WPI) for manufactured goods
5. A stronger central drug supervisory and regulatory system should be created—it
should include the various regulatory bodies that already exist, including the
NPPA, and it should support state-level regulatory bodies (the creation of DPCO
state cells is also mentioned)
6. NLEM 2003 should form the basis of drugs for price control and monitoring
7. Public procurement and distribution of drugs through the public health system
should mainly be for generics
8. Low-volume, high-priced drugs (e.g., for HIV/AIDS) should be exempted from
excise duty, customs duty, and other levies, and this benefit should be transferred
to the consumer
9. The government should improve public awareness and educate people about the
scope and extent of the Drug Policy
The Sen Committee, in accordance with its mandate, recommended a switch from
a cost-based pricing system to a reference pricing system (Mathew 2005b): The
committee note that “no effort should be made to impose a uniform price, and only a
ceiling price should be indicated” (The Sen Committee 2005, p. 4). The reference
price for existing essential drugs would be the price quoted in bulk procurement by
the government or other agencies and the reference price for new drugs would be the
average price of the top three selling products by value in the therapeutic category. In
case there are less than three brands in the respective market, the average of all
existing medicines would be taken, and if no reference price were found domesti-
cally, the lowest price in the world would be established as a reference (The Sen
Committee 2005). Companies could address the Price Negotiations Committee to
2.3 The Demand More Price Controls After 2002 Leading to the 2013 DPCO 23
examine the ceiling price based on superior therapeutic cost-effectiveness and all
patented drugs, and their formulations would have to go through mandatory price
negotiations before receiving market approval (Malhotra 2010). However, the com-
mittee noted the risk of pharmaceutical firms “circumventing price controls is
extremely easy through non-standard combinations, strengths, and other such inno-
vations. Also, there is a tendency for prescriptions to move away from controlled
drugs to non-controlled drugs in the same therapeutic class. The consequence of the
quality of treatment is not known, but it is almost certain that the consumers end up
buying higher priced products” (The Sen Committee 2005, p. 28). Consequently, the
task force recommended coverage of all formulations of the same drug under the
new ceiling price regime and price monitoring of all therapeutic substitutes. It also
took note of high prices of branded generics and suggested de-branding of generic
drugs. Several concerns were raised by both the industry and NGOs concerning
some of the recommendations put forth by the Sen Committee (Mathew 2005c).
First, both sides expressed worry about the de-branding of generic drugs, feeling that
brand names have a value for assuring the quality of products. They also disagreed
with the committee’s suggestions to define reference prices based on the institutional
prices quoted by the companies in public procurement process, fearing that either
quality or quantity may be compromised. Lastly, both groups agreed that there
should be less or zero taxation on drugs, and the NGOs advocated for a system of
trade margins based on medicines prices.
The Prime Minister’s task force made some important advancements in the
discussion around price controls. Although other committees were constituted
throughout this period to shed light on the debate surrounding the drug policy
(e.g., the National Manufacturing Competitiveness Council, the National Commis-
sion on Macroeconomics and Health, the Standing Committee on Chemicals and
Fertilizers), the Sandhu and Sen Committees contributed most to the debate and
consequent revisions of the pharmaceutical policy (Malhotra 2010). The proposals
made by the two committees finally led to the Draft 2006 Pharmaceutical Policy and
spurred discussions on ways to make the policy more impactful. The reports of the
committees included some common points, namely, the need to make regulation
more visible to the public, the acknowledgement of the NLEM as a comprehensive
list of essential medicines that could serve as the basis for price control and
monitoring, price negotiations on new patented drugs, the necessity of DPCO
State Cells and the strengthening of the NPPA’s role as a central drug regulatory
body. Also, the Sandhu Committee attempted to bring down trade margins on all
essential medicines, since consumers were burdening high margins. The Sen Com-
mittee Report highlighted the outdated nature of the cost-based system of drug price
control and suggested a reference pricing system. The discussion brought by the
latter also emphasized the need to regulate drugs based on essentiality and not
economic criteria. Some of these recommendations, such as restrictions on trade
margin restrictions, were not readily implementable due to opposition from the trade
and industry lobbies. For example, the Sen Committee recommended a 50% markup
24 2 Brief History of Regulating Pharmaceutical Prices
to make up for the proposed trade margins and distribution costs, but industry leaders
felt that without a 300–400% markup they would not be able to survive (Mathew
2005d). However, evidence shows that at that time, trade margins for wholesalers
ranged from 2 to 12.4% and from 15 to 43.7% for retailers in other developed
countries (Malhotra 2010). The government also considered the recommendation to
strengthen the NPPA and reviewed its overall structure and working pattern and
resolved to develop proper IT infrastructure that would enable the NPPA to interact
with other drug regulatory authorities efficiently. The government also planned to
devote more funds to the NPPA’s infrastructure, increase its staff, and demand
greater accountability (Mathew 2005e).
Based on the recommendations of the Sandhu and Sen Committees, the Department
of Chemicals and Fertilizers published Part A of a draft of the 2006 Pharmaceutical
Policy on December 28, 2005. However, the government did not release the section
on price regulation, referred to as Part B. Part A of the draft served as a blueprint for
future directions and included some provisions regarding drug pricing, such as
mandatory price negotiations of patented drugs before granting marketing approval
(Malhotra 2010). The government decided to take the full list of essential medicines
included in the NLEM as the entire list of medicines for price regulation and split the
354 drugs into five categories. The rationale was to create a ‘multi-dimensional’
system of price regulation by following different types of pricing regulation and
monitoring systems for different categories of drugs (Mathew 2005f). The govern-
ment hoped that through the inclusion of all drugs under the NLEM under some
form of price scrutiny, the new policy would circumvent the Supreme Court’s
supervision.
Under the proposed policy, only the medicines in the first category were subject
to cost-based price control. These medicines were identified following the same
criteria used in the National Pharmaceutical Policy of 2002 while using revised data
and accounting for inflation to determine the drugs. This process resulted in about
35 medicines to be included in the first category. The policy included another
39 medicines, generally sold at low prices, in a category named ‘hospital supply
medicines.’ This category would only be subject to price monitoring but not price
control. Another category consisted of 42 medicines for life-threatening diseases like
cancer and HIV/AIDS, which would be made affordable through public-private
partnerships and special access arrangements. The prices of all medicines that
would not be monitored, that is, the medicines that did not fall under the category
or ‘hospital supply,’ were frozen until ceiling prices or trade margins could be
2.3 The Demand More Price Controls After 2002 Leading to the 2013 DPCO 25
highlighted the following: “The 886 items included a pregnancy test card, 7 Ayur-
vedic medicines, at least 31 forms of iron, vitamins, or other nutritional supple-
ments. Notwithstanding the positive role the preceding items play in healthcare, it
is argued that these items could not be viewed as (allopathic) formulations. It was
found that from the 886 items, only 134 or 15.1% were listed in CIMS9 (July–
October 2007), Drug Today (October–December 2007), or IDR (November 2007–
January 2008).” Naturally, the 752 drugs not listed on the three reference books
were likely to have insignificant sales since doctors did not usually prescribe items
that were excluded from these reference books. Moreover, out of the 134 drugs that
were listed, 103 items had a price higher than the agreed price, 16 had a lower
price, nine had a price lower than or equal to the agreed price in at least one out of
the three reference books, and only six had a reduced price in all three reference
books (Malhotra 2010). Further investigation illustrated that out of the 134 drugs;
an important proportion was not widely available in all states. Therefore, despite
widely publicized price reductions, many of the 886 formulations were either not
accessible or sold at higher prices.
After further revisions, the Group of Ministers began deliberating on the draft
Pharmaceutical Policy 2006 in January 2007. The draft policy remained with the
group for several years until 2011 when the National Pharmaceutical Pricing Policy
2011 (NPPP 2011) became available for public comments in October 2011 (Joseph
2015). News reports indicated that heightened lobbying efforts by the industry
delayed the deliberations, creating differences of opinion among the ministries
(PharmaQuest 2009). The 2011 NLEM and the recommendations of the Sen Com-
mittee 2005 became the basis for NPPP 2011 (Government of India 2011a, b). The
Group of Ministers recommended a market-based approach to drug pricing, as was
advocated by the Sen Committee in 2005. It also overruled the Health Ministry’s
proposal to set the ceiling price as the average of the three lowest priced medicines
and suggested to fix the ceiling price according to the average price of the top three
selling brands (of single-ingredient formulations) by value (Joseph 2015). Addition-
ally, the draft policy excluded essential medicines with price less than Rs. 3 per tablet
from price regulation.
Several stakeholders criticized the government’s new draft pharmaceutical pol-
icy. The draft, described as a ‘flawed’ document, was once again taken to the
Supreme Court by the All India Drug Action Network (AIDAN), an independent
network of NGOs (Ray 2012a). AIDAN argued against the market-based pricing
methodology calculated as the weighted average price of the top three brands and
appealed for the cost-based pricing approach as a way to contain high prices.
Furthermore, AIDAN criticized the lack of control mechanisms to prevent manu-
facturers from avoiding price control by modifying their formulations. Global
policy actors such as the WHO also disagreed with the proposed mechanism to
fix the ceiling price based on the top three selling brands, stating that the policy was
“virtually topping off the price of top brands” (Economic Times 2011). Other
2.3 The Demand More Price Controls After 2002 Leading to the 2013 DPCO 27
the industry did not need regulation, as it remained competitive (Nautiyal 2013).
Moreover, both the activist judiciary that called for legislative action and the NGOs
that lobbied for price regulation described the new DPCO as inadequate and
ineffective (Times of India 2015). The order, therefore, prompted a patchwork of
amendments.
In May 2014, the NPPA notified new guidelines, highlighting that certain
legislative clauses gave it wider powers to control drug prices (Kamath 2014).
Under paragraph 19 of the 2013 DPCO, the NPPA could monitor and, if necessary,
regulate prices of drugs currently not under price control regulation, but considered
essential. Soon afterward, in July 2014, the NPPA announced that 108 new anti-
diabetic and cardiovascular drugs would be added to the list of controlled formu-
lations, in addition to the 348 existing ones (NPPA 2014). The NPPA felt that
although these medicines differed from similar price-controlled medicines regard-
ing binders, fillers, dyes, preservatives, coating agents and dissolution agents, they
did not differ in their therapeutic value. However, the order was revoked by
September 2014 due to non-compliance and discontent from pharmaceutical firms
and directives from the government. Although the order was revoked, the potential
for expanded price control pushed the pharmaceutical industry to file lawsuits
(Kamath 2014).
The 2013 DPCO, in theory, has several advantages over the 1995 DPCO. The
1995 DPCO used a cost-based method of controlling medicine prices but collecting
cost information proved to be difficult for regulators. By contrast, the market-based
approach adopted in the 2013 DPCO allows for determining the ceiling price based
on the prevailing prices in the market. The price ceiling regulation is also consid-
ered better than cost-based regulation as price ceilings preserve the incentives for
completion on prices. The 2013 DPCO also allows for a continuous revision of the
price cap, which again preserves the incentive to improve production efficiency
(Cowan 2002). Also, the 2013 DPCO contained support for research and develop-
ment (R&D) by exempting new drugs from price control for five years (Kumar et al.
2014), a step necessitated by India’s implementation India’s introduction of phar-
maceutical product patents in 2005. The patent regime in 2013 was different from
the one in 1995 when only process patents were allowed. This shift gave more
strength to MNCs, which had been discouraged by India’s previous protectionist
policies (KPMG 2006). However, this also resulted in a different kind of lobbying
power. Although Kumar et al. (2014) state that the 1995 DPCO was a ‘win-win’
situation for manufacturers, since the government could not fix prices, and that the
2013 DPCO addressed this problem in favor of the consumer, the analysis that is
presented in the following chapters shows that pharmaceutical firms found ways to
avoid regulation or mitigate its impact.
References 29
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Chapter 3
Is the 2013 Price Control Regulation
Necessary?
3.1 Introduction
example of a market for experience and credence goods. Unlike search goods, the
consumers of credence and experience goods find it difficult to assess beforehand,
and sometimes even after the purchase, the quality and utility of the products. The
customers in pharmaceutical markets cannot judge the quality or utility of medicines
and rely on the medical advice of their physician (Zeithaml 1981). Further compli-
cating the nature of transactions in pharmaceutical markets is how the demand for
these goods is generated and what role physicians and pharmacists play in complet-
ing these transactions. While the doctor chooses the drug and writes a prescription,
the customer pays for it, typically out of pocket in India, which causes the demand
for pharmaceuticals to be driven by prescriptions of doctors rather than well-
informed decisions made by the final consumers. If the doctor acts as a perfect
agent of the patient by making choices that the patient would have made in the
absence of any information asymmetry, then there is little cause for concern.
However, when the interests of physicians and pharmacists differ from those of
the patients, then competition alone cannot guarantee lower prices. Such situations
can lead to supplier-induced demand, a phenomenon by which the customer buys
more of a good at a higher price than she would if she were fully informed. As a
result, customers may end up buying more expensive substitutes and bundles of
medicines, which leads to a loss of social welfare (Evans 1974).
In many countries, the presence of large institutional buyers such as health
insurance companies and expert intermediaries such as public health agencies
safeguards the interests of the patient. However, in a country such as India where
the insurance coverage is negligible, and patients pay out of pocket for purchasing
medicines, pharmaceuticals become more of a credence good than in other countries.
If the physicians and pharmacists receive a percentage of the profits from the sale
of medicines, then they have an incentive to promote the demand for higher-priced
medicines, which yield higher profits in absolute terms, at the expense of lower-
priced substitutes. As we will argue later, the cartelization of pharmacies in India,
and the nexus between the physicians’ clinics and pharmacies that adjoin them, the
aggressive promotional practices of the pharmaceutical firms, and the unethical
division of profits along the pharmaceutical distribution value chain suggest that
the presence of a large number of brands of a medicine at the country-level does not
necessarily translate to lower prices at the neighborhood pharmacy.
Second, the consumption of goods in general and medicines, in particular,
involves switching costs. Switching costs pose an added challenge to the customers
in pharmaceutical markets, and can potentially undermine the competitiveness
of an industry. Switching costs are the costs incurred by the consumer as a result
of switching brands, suppliers, or products (Porter 1980). Burnham et al. (2003)
developed a typology of switching costs that identifies three types. First, procedural
switching costs include all costs related to potential economic risk, evaluation and
learning time and setup costs. Second, financial switching costs involve all costs that
can be expressed in monetary value, including potential benefits and losses. Third,
relational switching costs include all costs related to psychological or emotional
discomfort due to the loss of identity and the ending of relationships. Burnham et al.
(2003) suggest that all forms of switching costs significantly influence customer
3.2 Pharmaceuticals Are Credence Goods with High Search Costs 35
loyalty. Switching costs are associated with higher profits for incumbents (Beggs
and Klemperer 1992), less elastic or inelastic demand (Farrell and Shapiro 1988),
and increased barriers to entry for a supplier and higher strategic advantages for
incumbents (Karakaya 1989). Switching costs are not necessarily financial but
include “search costs, transaction costs, learning costs, loyal customer discounts,
customer habit, emotional cost and cognitive effort, coupled with financial, social,
and psychological risk on the part of the buyer” (Fornell 1992: 10).
Since the purchase of medicines involves the patient, the physician, and the
pharmacist, there are switching costs for all three parties. Prior research has explored
the extent to which intra-molecular, and inter-molecular substitution takes place in
the pharmaceutical industry.1 Ellison et al. (1997) find that demand for both intra-
and intermolecular substitutes is price elastic. However, inter-molecular substitutes
are more price elastic compared to intra-molecular substitutes. This means that
doctors are more likely to prescribe a different brand of the same molecule than a
completely different molecule when they prescribe a new medicine to a patient. The
fact that there is some price elasticity in demand for medication leaves some space
for competitive forces on the demand side to incentivize producers to become more
productive and to lower their prices. However, these competitive forces are hindered
when physicians allocate little effort in gathering information about brands of
medicines. Since the physician is the only one judging the information on all
available drugs and their relative prices, she should invest in getting to know all
options available (e.g., Steele 1962; Walker 1971; Temin 1980; Ellison et al. 1997).
The drug prescription decision is formed by learning effects of patients and the
doctor that prescribes it (Ellison et al. 1997). This shows that information is not a
universal good in the pharmaceutical industry and that demand is shaped by personal
experiences of both the patient and the doctor.
Physician brand loyalty plays a key role when it comes to switching costs in the
pharmaceutical industry. Pharmaceutical firms try to generate physician loyalty to
maintain their market share. Waheed et al. (2011) found that the donation of tangible
rewards from pharmaceuticals to physicians leads to higher prescription loyalty.
Also, professional values of pharmaceutical sales representatives promote prescrip-
tion loyalty; that is, recommendations of the drug by major doctors at seminars are
strongly related to the high prescription loyalty of attending physicians. The brand
value appears not to be related to prescription loyalty. These findings point to the
prevalence of switching costs in the pharmaceutical industry. In a country such as
India, where generic medicines are sold under different brand names, and pure
generics account for a small fraction of the overall sales, physician brand loyalty is
stronger than in other countries, leading to higher switching costs. Overall, the
presence of switching costs can severely hinder the competitive functioning of
markets.
1
Intra-molecule research focuses on substitutability of different molecules for the same therapeutic
therapy, inter-molecule research focuses on substitutability amongst drugs that contain the same
molecule, but differ in brand, strength, pack size and price
36 3 Is the 2013 Price Control Regulation Necessary?
So far, we argued, largely based on the theory of credence goods and search costs,
that pharmaceutical markets in India are not necessarily competitive. While, in
theory, it is a possibility, it may not necessarily be the reality of the Indian medicine
markets. In fact, the general impression among many is that the Indian pharmaceu-
tical industry, featuring a large number of firms in any given medicine market, is
highly competitive and the prices of medicines in India are among the lowest in the
world. If it is true, then there is no necessity for imposing price ceilings on essential
medicines in India. Before we examine the design, implementation, and impact
of the 2013 DPCO legislation, we address questions about the necessity of 2013
regulation briefly. Our purpose here is not to argue that price controls are per se good
or bad. Instead, we want to highlight some of the reasons advanced by various
patient interest groups before the Supreme Court of India and various committees
appointed by the government to convince them that price regulation is still neces-
sary. We do so by reviewing the recent literature on the pricing and availability of
medicines in India as well as on pharmaceutical marketing and prescription prac-
tices. We will complement the review of the literature in this section with a more
quantitative approach in the next section.
We document several reasons for regulating the prices of essential medicines in
India. First, in many medicine markets, greater choice and perceived competition at
the national level does not necessarily lead to greater choice, lower prices, or greater
availability in a local market. Sharma and Kaplan (2016) study the pricing and
availability of insulin in the state of Delhi, which is also the capital city of India and
is noted for its relatively efficient public-sector procurement system for medicines.
Although 16 domestic brands and 87 foreign brands manufacture human insulin
in India, in a survey of 40 pharmacy outlets in Delhi, the 40 IU/ml human insulin,
considered essential under the 2013 DPCO, is available in its soluble version in only
47.5% of the outlets, in the isophane version in only 25%, and in the biphasic
isophane version in 67.5%. The availability of analog insulin versions is lower in the
range of 2.5–25%. The availability of 100 IU/ml human insulin, not considered
essential and hence not regulated, is even lower in the range of 5–12.5%. Sharma and
Kaplan (2016) find that the median consumer price of 40 IU/ml human insulin per
10 ml is 2.39 times and that of 100 IU/ml strength is 2.62 times compared to the
public-sector procurement price in Delhi. In other words, the presence of more than
100 brands of insulin, a medicine on which a large number of chronically ill diabetes
patients rely for daily usage, is often unavailable and competition at the local level is
severely limited.
Second, in India, out-of-patent medicines are sold under brand names. Also, the
prices of such “branded” generic medicines are several times higher than their cost of
production. Srinivasan (1999) compares the market price of 61 medicines obtained
from the October 1998 issue of the Monthly Index of Medical Specialties (MIMS,
India) with the lowest prices quoted in the public-sector procurement process in the
38 3 Is the 2013 Price Control Regulation Necessary?
Indian state of Tamilnadu in August 1998 for equivalent formulations and packag-
ing. In all but one case, the public-sector procurement price, used as a proxy for
the marginal cost of production, is several times higher than the market price of
substitute brands. In 15 cases, the market price of a competing brand is more than ten
times the public-sector procurement price. In particular, Torrent set a market price
of 1190, more than 52 times the public-sector procurement price of 22.60, for
100 tablets of Albendazole 400 mg. German Remedies set a market price 43 times
the procurement price for Bisacodyl 5 mg and Sun Pharma charged 40 times the
procurement price for Alprazolam 0.5 mg tablets. Phadke and Srinivasan (2013)
repeat the analysis for nine medicines and find that the market leader’s price in each
case is more than ten times the public-sector procurement price in Tamilnadu. For
example, the market leader’s price for Atorvastatin 10 mg is 50 times Domperidone
10 mg is 40 times the public procurement price.
Third, compounding the problem of high prices of branded medicines is the
role of pharmaceutical marketing, pharmacists, and doctors. In India, physicians
prescribe certain brands rather than their underlying formulation (Nalinakanthi
2014). Miller and Catherine (2016) conduct a systematic review of the literature
and find that pharmacists in many low- and middle-income Asian countries employ
profit-maximizing strategies that are linked to poor dispensing practices. Kamat and
Nichter (1998) study the role played by pharmacists in Mumbai, the financial capital
of India. They interview 75 pharmacy owners and managers, 35 medical represen-
tatives who market medicines to pharmacists and doctors, and 150 randomly-
selected customers. Their analysis indicates that medicine wholesalers and medical
representatives incentivize pharmacists to substitute brands prescribed by the doctor
for other brands with higher margins. In their sample, 72% of the pharmacists
recommend substitutes when a prescribed brand is not available, and 34% of the
customers accept their recommendations. Gillian and Grills (2016) conduct a sys-
tematic review of the literature on the role of doctors and pharmacists in the misuse
of medications. In their analysis of 115 articles, they find that in some cases doctors
pursue profit motive and prescribe higher cost medication while pharmacists follow
the doctors’ lead (see, also, Kotwani et al. 2010; Kotwani et al. 2012). Analysis of
prescriptions written by doctors in India reveals that in more than 96% of the cases,
doctors prescribe brand names instead of the generic ingredient names, limiting the
choice to the consumer (Patel et al. 2005). Seeberg (2012) studies pharmacies in a
relatively underdeveloped state of India, Odisha, and finds similar conclusions.
Since pharmacists receive a proportion of the price of medicine as revenue, they
are incentivized to sell more expensive substitutes when low-priced alternatives
exist, limiting competition in pharmaceutical markets in India.
Gulhati (2004), an editor of the Monthly Index of Medical Specialties, the most
widely used reference guide for doctors in India, provides several examples of how
doctors are persuaded by pharmaceutical firms to prescribe medicines to increase
their private incentives and profit margins for the pharmaceutical firms and pharma-
cists: (i) in most cases of chlamydial genital infection, doctors in India prescribe the
higher priced ofloxacin at Rs. 100, as opposed to tetracycline at Rs. 14 or doxycy-
cline at Rs. 28; (ii) doctors in India prefer pantoprazole at Rs. 6 per tablet as opposed
3.3 Choice and Competition Are Limited in Local Pharmaceutical Markets in India 39
to omeprazole at Rs. 2 per tablet although many clinical trials indicate that there is
little difference in efficacy; and (iii) similarly, doctors in India prescribe perindopril
at Rs. 9.4 per tablet as opposed to enalapril at Rs. 1 per tablet. Although these are
examples from 2004, there is no reason to believe that the nature of relationships
between the doctors, pharmacists, and pharmaceutical firms has changed subse-
quently. Recent cases of pricing of medical devices indicate that hospitals have
also begun collaborating with these players in administering more expensive sub-
stitutes. As Gulhati (2004) notes, if prescribers and producers collaborate to take
advantage of consumers’ vulnerability, the state must intervene. In its report on the
pricing or medicines and trade margins, the Pant Committee noted that the pharma-
cists and other traders in the retail chain promote higher-priced medicines (Pant et al.
2016, p. 27):
The trader gets bargaining leverage and when he is able to sell at the printed MRP
[maximum resale price], he gets a higher trade margin. Higher MRP therefore provides an
incentive to the retailer to sell those brands which have higher MRP printed on them. The
patient is always at the receiving end. He cannot decide the bargaining level and most of the
times he is guided by the printed MRP. Thus high MRP’s is a tool to cheat the helpless
consumer.
In a letter stating its opposition to calls for limiting high trade margins, the
Organization of Pharmaceutical Producers of India argued against the possibility
to substitute between different brands of a generic drug formulation until generic
drugs are debranded. Incidentally, the OPPI stated in the same letter that it is
opposed to the debranding of single-ingredient medicines as well. The OPPI stated
(Pant et al. 2016, p. 67):
OPPI feels that it is the doctor who best understands the needs of patients. Doctors take
decisions on the brand to be prescribed based on their experience and conviction on quality
of certain manufacturers and the varying ability of patients to pay for better quality. It is the
Doctor who is solely responsible for the medical outcome of his/her patient, and there must
be no move that compromises the Doctor’s ability to decide on a prescription. Substitution at
a chemist level may bring in competition on all aspects other than science and quality. This
can also lead to potential anti-competitive vertical arrangements between retailers and
manufacturers to push sales. Substituting medicines of one brand by other brand or by the
generic will result in the decision-making process shifting from well-qualified professionals
like doctors and physicians to sales staff in the chemists/pharmacy shops. Many of such
pharmacies do not have qualified pharmacist on the premises.
We use the AIOCD’s Pharmatrac data to investigate whether the prices of medicines
in India are relatively higher compared to their costs of production. Naturally, in the
absence of data on firm-specific costs disaggregated by individual medicines, we
cannot conduct a definitive test of the proposition. Nonetheless, we will examine
several aspects of the medicine markets that are revealing and consistent with the
proposition. While previous analyses of the arguments involved anecdotes of select
medicines, our approach is to document the reasons more comprehensively for a
broad selection of medicines. We do so by examining wholesale and retail prices for
the first batch of 150 medicines for whom the NPPA fixed the ceiling price on June
14, 2013. We will refer to these medicines as the “June 14, 2013 List” for the rest of
the book. These medicines include tablets, injections, and syrups.
At the outset, we acknowledge that the imposition of price controls may have
both positive and negative effects. For example, both multinational and domestic
firms may exit medicine markets because of insufficient profit margins in regulated
medicine markets. Domestic firms may shift production of the regulated medicines,
leading to shortages. Similarly, innovator firms may delay the launch of newly
patented medicines due to price ceilings. Although the DPCO has exemptions for
newly invented medicines, we agree that multinational firms may be discouraged by
the presence of regulations such as price controls and the burden associated com-
plying with them.
We begin by examining price variation among the top-selling medicines in India.
We show in Table 3.1 the lowest-priced and the highest-priced SKUs of each of the
top eight medicines in their tablet form. We compute the ratio of the highest price to
the lowest price and report it in the last column of Table 3.1. The price of a 5 mg
tablet of Atorvastatin ranges from Rs. 0.9 to Rs. 10.87, indicating that the highest
price is 12 times higher than the lowest price. Similarly, in the market for Cefixime
50 mg tablets, the highest price is five-time the lowest price. The number ranges
from 5 to 120, indicating significantly large price dispersion in these markets. One
may argue that the presence of price dispersion is not necessarily a sign of lack of
competition. Instead, if SKUs with lower prices have larger market shares, then the
presence of a few SKUs with relatively large prices is not a cause for concern.
42 3 Is the 2013 Price Control Regulation Necessary?
We examine whether firms that lead the market in terms of pricing, charging the
highest price, also have the largest market share. We present in Table 3.2 the top-ten
drugs in terms of sales value, sold in India from January 2011 until June 2016. We
report total sales during this period in the second column and the weighted average
price in column 3. The weighted average price of Atorvastatin is Rs. 6.41. The
market leader charges Rs. 7.71, higher than the weighted average price, and has a
market share of 14.1%. The weighted average price of the top five is Rs. 6.74 firms
and they account for 57.9% of the market share. By contrast, the next five firms
account for 22.9% of the market share at a weighted average price of Rs. 6.14. The
top five firms account for more than half of the market share across these medicine
markets and consistently charge higher prices. Moreover, in seven out of ten sub-
groups, the market leader charges a price higher than the weighted average price that
is charged by all firms in the market. This table clearly indicates that firms with
higher market shares charge higher prices. However, this correlation might be
explained by other factors, and must, therefore, be further analyzed. For example,
differences in quality are often invoked to explain such vast differences in pricing
and market shares of the firms operating in these markets. Nonetheless, prior studies
find that the Indian pharmaceutical markets do not exhibit the kind of differences in
quality that justify such large differences in prices.
Much of the differences in prices result from differences in the underlying trade
margins. Singal et al. (2011) examine trade margins for five commonly used medicines,
alprazolam, cetirizine, ciprofloxacin, fluoxetine, and lansoprazole, all manufactured in
multiple versions by the same company. In particular, they distinguish branded and
branded-generic SKUs of the same medicine manufactured by the same company. For
example, Alerid and Cetcip are the branded and branded-generic versions of Cetirizine
10 mg, both manufactured by Cipla. The markup for the retailer for the branded
medicine is 30% and 1016% for the branded-generic. One obvious concern is whether
the quality of medicines between the two versions is different even if they are
manufactured by the same company. Singal et al. (2011) conduct a quality test for
each pair of branded and branded-generic medicines and find that both versions of the
five medicines are “within their permissible range for all the quantitative and qualitative
parameters as prescribed in Indian Pharmacopoeia.”
Table 3.2 Top ten medicines sold in India by sales
Market
Sales Weighted leader’s Market leader’s Weighted average Market share Weighted average Market share
Medicine (billion) average price price share (%) price of top 5 of top 5 price of next 5 of next 5
Atorvastatin 41.8 6.41 7.71 14.1 6.74 57.9 6.14 22.9
Cefixime 33.7 12.45 10.66 19.7 11.64 54.8 10.59 20.0
Ranitidine 25.2 0.66 0.59 34.9 0.78 98.1 0.61 1.8
Pantoprazole 23.8 8.38 8.88 30.5 7.79 86.4 6.31 5.7
Rosuvastatin 23.5 11.23 11.80 26.2 11.95 59.9 10.53 19.4
Telmisartan 22.9 6.95 7.92 30.9 6.63 54.3 6.18 19.7
Cefpodoxime 22.1 18.65 14.22 14.4 19.09 53.7 17.45 17.5
Azithromycin 22.1 25.14 29.73 24.2 26.91 57.0 22.45 15.8
Cefuroxime 20.2 57.06 87.13 34.2 56.44 66.4 26.91 11.0
Metroprolol 18.7 2.89 3.27 23.7 3.58 51.7 2.75 19.5
3.4 Evidence Indicates Leading Brands Are Also the Price Leaders
Table 3.3 Pricing strategies of market leaders in 66 tablets regulated under DPCO 2013 and
ceiling prices fixed on 14 June 2013
Price/
Medicine SKU Share Price Min Price Margin
Acyclovir tablets 200 mg Acivir 200 mg tablet Dt 10 40.51 6.13 3.87 26.85
Zovirax 200 mg tablet 5 21.82 6.53 4.12 27.34
Ocuvir 200 mg tablet Dt 10 16.29 4.7 2.97 26.9
Amiodarone tablets 100 mg Cordarone 100 mg 82.43 6.44 5.26 27.34
tablet 10
Amiodar 100 mg tablet 10 4.8 6.06 4.95 26.11
Amipace 100 mg tablet 10 3.36 4.96 4.05 27.35
Amiodarone tablets 200 mg Cordarone X 200 mg 82.76 12.83 2.03 26.87
tablet 10
Amiodar 200 mg tablet 10 4.45 11.62 1.83 26.94
Amipace 200 mg tablet 10 3.59 9.92 1.57 27.34
Amitriptyline tablets 25 mg Tryptomer 25 mg tablet 10 72.05 2.55 2.45 27.42
Eliwel 25 mg tablet 10 7.87 2.74 2.64 26.44
Amitone 25 mg tablet 10 5.67 1.46 1.4 26.8
Atenolol tablets 100MG Aten 100 mg tablet 14 37.51 3.91 4.09 26.2
Tenormin 100 mg tablet 14 30.82 4.05 4.24 27.34
Tenolol 100 mg tablet 14 13.09 3.05 3.19 27.33
Atorvastatin tablets 5 mg Atorva 5 mg tablet 10 17.35 2.79 4.06 26.71
Storvas 5 mg tablet 10 16.31 4.94 7.2 29.43
Aztor 5 mg tablet 10 14.85 3.7 5.38 26.83
Azathioprine tablets 50 mg Azoran 50 mg tablet 10 83.53 8.17 2.09 27.12
Zymurine 50 mg tablet 10 7.42 6.14 1.57 28.72
Imuran 50 mg tablet 25 3.64 14.08 3.6 26.14
Azithromycin tablets 500 mg Azithral 500 mg tablet 3 25.81 23.68 10.25 27.34
Azee 500 mg tablet 3 10.51 18.06 7.82 27.33
Zathrin 500 mg tablet 3 4.5 15.81 6.84 26.87
Carbimazole tablets 10 mg Neo Mercazole 10 mg 88.59 2.61 1.09 26.85
tablet 100
Thyrocab 10 mg tablet 60 5.85 2.88 1.21 65.49
Anti Thyrox 10 mg 4.92 2.39 1 27.34
tablet 100
Carbimazole tablets 5 mg Neo Mercazole 5 mg 90.92 1.58 1.11 27.34
tablet 100
Anti Thyrox 5 mg 4.72 1.43 1 26.86
tablet 100
Thyrocab 5 mg tablet 100 4.03 1.46 1.02 27.13
Clomiphene citrate tablets Siphene 100 mg tablet 5 35.31 11.5 2.66 29.97
100 mg Clofert 100 mg tablet 5 33.74 10.89 2.52 26.91
Fertyl super 100 mg 10.59 10.12 2.34 27.34
tablet 5
Colchicin tablets 0.5 mg Zycolchin 0.5 mg tablet 10 83.82 3.12 3.17 26.6
Goutnil 0.5 mg tablet 10 15.96 1.98 2.01 26.84
Colochicine 0.5 mg 0.22 1.64 1.67 25.98
tablet 10
(continued)
46 3 Is the 2013 Price Control Regulation Necessary?
brands. To elaborate on this point, consider the case of retail margins for
Amiodarone 100 mg tablets. The Cordarone 100 mg brand, which explains
82.43% of the market, is priced at Rs. 64.4 per ten tablets at 5.26 times the minimum
price. The retailer margin on Cordarone brand is 26.87% or Rs. 17.3 for a pack of ten
tablets. In comparison, the price of the lowest price brand is Rs. 12.24, with a retailer
trade margin of Rs. 3.7, estimated at 30%. Therefore, a retailer is incentivized to
market Cordarone relative to a cheaper alternative aggressively. Such retail trade
margins are relatively higher compared margins for pharmaceuticals in other
countries.
While a trade margin of 30% for higher priced brands results in a larger absolute
profit margin, pharmaceutical firms have the option to increase the trade margin from
30% to 40 or even 50%, thus increasing the net benefit to the retailer in return for
retailer patronage. Srinivasan (1999) suggests that manufacturers giving exorbitant
trade margins remains a major problem in the Indian pharmaceutical industry. We
examine the extent of trade margins for medicines on the June 14, 2013 List. We
report in Table 3.4 the retail trade margins for 125 brands of medicines with at least
100% in high trade margins, as computed in December 2012, when the 2013 DPCO
list of medicines was released publicly. These brands represent 7.3% of the overall
number of brands of the medicines in the June 14, 2013, List. In some medicine
markets, there are multiple brands with more than 100% margin, indicating that it is
3.5 Evidence of High Trade Margins on Several Brands 51
Table 3.4 Brands with more than 100% vertical trade margin in December 2012 among the
150 medicines whose ceiling price was fixed on June 14 2013
Medicine SKU MRP PTR Margin
Acyclovir tablets 200 mg Lovir (Eli Lilly) 200 mg tablet 5 365 57.79 531.6
Ampicillin powder for suspen- Ampurin 125 mg dry syrup 30 ml 20 9 122.2
sion 125 mg/5 ml
Atenolol tablets 100 mg Obeta 100 mg tablet 14 30 12 150
Hipres 100 mg tablet 14 55 11 400
Atropine Sulphate injection Atrowok 0.60 mg injection 1 ml 8.5 4 112.5
0.6 mg/ml
Azathioprine tablets 50 mg Azathioprine 50 mg tablet 10 442.47 41.12 976
Azithromycin tablets 500 mg Azikem (Alkem) 500 mg tablet 3 75 27 177.8
Azax 500 mg tablet 3 70.88 30 136.3
Azilup 500 mg tablet 3 73.12 26 181.2
Azivista 500 mg tablet 3 79 29 172.4
Azitol 500 mg tablet 3 72 28.3 154.4
Jocin 500 mg tablet 10 218 49.95 336.4
Zithrokem 500 mg tablet 3 75 31.43 138.6
Azicip 500 mg tablet 3 69.3 32.57 112.8
Gerimac 500 mg tablet 3 85 35.82 137.3
Carbimazole tablets 10 mg Thyrocab 10 mg tablet 60 428 170.31 151.3
Cyclosporine capsules 50 mg Consiral 50 mg capsule 5 390 180 116.7
Diethylcarbamazine citrate Banocide 50 mg tablet 10 12.75 4.46 185.9
tablets 50 mg Banocide 50 mg tablet 100 56.25 9 525
Domperidone syrup 1 mg/ml Stopvom 1 mg suspension 30 ml 24 9 166.7
Vomistop 1 mg suspension 30 ml 30.5 9.7 214.4
Dopamine Hydrochloride Dopacef 40 mg injection 5 ml 150 33.75 344.4
injection 40 mg/ml
Doxorubicin injection 50 mg Adrosal 50 mg injection 1 895 290 208.6
Zodox 50 mg injection 1 962 450 113.8
Enalapril Maleate tablets Dilvas 2.5 mg tablet 10 18.4 3.55 418.3
2.5 mg
Enalapril Maleate tablets 5 mg Enalapril(Cip) 5 mg tablet 10 19.8 8 147.5
Minipril 5 mg tablet 10 16.1 4.82 234
Dilvas 5 mg tablet 10 29.4 3.85 663.6
Folic Acid tablets 5 mg Folly 5 mg tablet 10 8 2 300
Folitab 5 mg tablet 30 59.35 7 747.9
Vitafol(Cip) 5 mg tablet 10 17.3 2.5 592
Foldivit 5 mg tablet 10 8.33 1.9 338.4
Gemcitabine hydrochloride Gemciglan 1000 mg injection 1 5999 1809.52 231.5
injection 1 gm Gembin 1000 mg injection 1 6390 1993.85 220.5
Gemcitabine hydrochloride Gembin 200 mg injection 1 1440 600 140
injection 200 mg
Glibenclamide tablets 2.5 mg Semi Daonil 2.5 mg tablet 40 29 4.87 495.5
Daonil 2.5 mg tablet 60 65.46 9.24 608.4
Glibenclamide tablets 5 mg Daonil 5 mg tablet 600 168 8.4 1900
Imatinib tablets 400 mg Imanib 400 mg tablet 30 10,200 5000 104
(continued)
52 3 Is the 2013 Price Control Regulation Necessary?
not an uncommon practice. For example, in the market for Paracetamol 500 mg
tablets, there are 14 brands with more than 100% trade margin. Similarly, in the
market for Paracetamol 125 mg/5 ml syrup, five different brands have more than
100% trade margin. Closer inspection reveals that the trade margin is much higher
than 100% for dispensing packs, that is, SKUs containing a large number of units for
use at a hospital. For example, the trade margin for 100 tablets of Paracin 500 mg is
1465%, indicating that the brand sells each tablet at Rs. 0.15 per tablet to the retailer,
presumably at a profit, indicating that their marginal cost of production is lower than
Rs. 0.15. The ceiling price for Paracetamol is fixed at around Rs. 1 per tablet, more
than six times the price-to-the-retailer for a dispensing pack. The MRP for Paracin
500 mg is 238, indicating that the per-tablet price to the consumer is 2.38, creating an
incentive for the pharmacist and the hospitals for profiting from the inexplicably
high trade margin.
Next, using data on all the 150 medicines present in the June 14, 2013 List,
we examine the variation in prices for different brands of the same medicine
manufactured by the same company. We found 64 cases of companies in 25 medicine
markets where one or more companies sell at least three versions of the same
medicine and dosage. Cipla tops the list by producing multiple brands in 16 different
medicine markets. Alkem and Lupin produce multiple brands of the same medicine
in six and five medicine markets respectively. The list also contains several domestic
and multinational firms such as Cadila, GSK, Abbott, Indoco, Indswift, Ipca Lab,
Mankind, Micro, Ranbaxy, and Zydus. Our analysis expands on the study of five
medicines by Singal et al. (2011), which finds large differences in prices, but little
differences in quality.
We present a partial list of firms manufacturing three or more brands within a
medicine in Table 3.5. We use pricing data for May 2012, which formed the basis for
fixing the ceiling price for the chosen medicines a year later in Jun 2013 (we will
elaborate on the design and timing issues surrounding the 2013 DPCO in the next
two chapters). The brand name and dosage of the medicine are shown in column
1, company name in column 2, and the detailed SKU in column 3. The PTR, MRP,
and SKU’s share of the sales within the company’s medicine sales are shown in
columns 4–6. The retailer trade margin is shown in column 7 and how expensive is
the most expensive SKU relative to the least expensive SKU of the same company in
May 2012 is shown in column 8. We find that the more expensive SKU is uniformly
several times more expensive than the least expensive SKU and that it is also the
Table 3.5 Examples of price variation for medicines of a company in May 2012 for the same dosage formulation
SKU share in PTR/Min
Medicine Company SKU PTR MRP company Margin PTR
Albendazole (400 mg) Cipla Bendex 400 mg tablet 1 12.07 15.7 98.39 30.07 7.32
Tiobend 400 mg tablet 1 3.3 12 0.07 263.64 7.32
X worm 400 mg tablet 1 1.65 15 1.54 809.09 7.32
Indoco Abz 400 mg tablet 10 1.37 1.8 93.58 31.29 10
Abz 400 mg tablet 2 13.71 18 2.59 31.29 10
Olban 400 mg tablet 1 12.8 16.65 3.83 30.08 10
Klar Sehen Odal 400 mg tablet 1 9.22 10 81.62 8.46 15.36
Odal 400 mg tablet 2 9.23 12 17.44 30.08 15.36
Odal 400 mg tablet 20 0.6 0.75 0.95 24.98 15.36
Lupin Lupibend 400 mg tablet 1 1.75 12 16.7 585.71 10
Lupiworm 400 mg tablet 1 11.43 15 72.26 31.23 10
Lupiworm 400 mg tablet 10 1.14 1.5 11.04 31.23 10
Allopurinol (100 mg) Cipla Alrik 100 mg tablet 10 1.9 2.4 0.54 25.98 2.49
Ciploric 100 mg tablet 10 1.97 2.59 67.68 31.22 2.49
3.5 Evidence of High Trade Margins on Several Brands
(continued)
Table 3.5 (continued)
60
leading SKU when ranked by market share. For example, in the market for
Albendazole 400 mg, Cipla produces three SKUs, Bendex, Tiobend, and X Worm
with PTRs of Rs. 12.07, 3.3, and 1.65 respectively. The relatively more expensive
brand, Bendex accounts for 98% of the sales of Albendazole 400 mg for Cipla, and it
is more than seven times the price of X Worm. The retail margin for many of the
medicines with lower PTR is exorbitantly high. For example, the retail margin for X
Worm is 809%. The presence of such multiple versions reveals two insights. First,
the marginal cost of production is closer to the lowest PTR, which is several times
lower than the highest PTR. For Cipla, the marginal cost of production for
Albendazole 400 mg is likely to be closer to Rs. 1.65 rather than Rs. 12.07. Second,
the consumer does not benefit from the relatively lower PTR for an alternative brand,
as the manufacturer sets similar MRPs across the multiple brands. For example, the
MRPs of Bendex and X Worm are nearly identical at Rs. 15.7 and Rs. 15 although
there is a huge discrepancy in their PTRs.
In summary, although pharmaceutical companies often complain that price con-
trol regulations are not necessary and that competition would lower prices, the nature
of competition in the Indian pharmaceutical markets is limited, strengthening the
case for a well-designed regulation (Basak 2008).
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Part II
The Design of the 2013 DPCO Regulation
Chapter 4
The Proposed Design to Fix Ceiling Prices
Under 2013 DPCO
4.1 Introduction
Unlike the 1995 DPCO, which adopted a cost-based approach, the Indian regulators
agreed to implement a market-based method for fixing the prices of essential
medicines under the 2013 DPCO. While a government watch list of essential
medicines was used to determine the set of medicines to be controlled under the
1995 DPCO, India used the 2011 version of the National List of Essential Medicines
(NLEM) as the basis for the 2013 DPCO (Government of India 2011a, b). The
74 bulk drugs regulated under the 1995 DPCO accounted for nearly 40% of the
overall market initially and the coverage reduced to 10% by the late 2000s (Malhotra
2010). However, 652 formulations of 348 medicines on the 2011 NLEM were
regulated under the 2013 DPCO. Some preliminary estimates suggested that the
coverage of the 2013 DPCO was 18% (Ray 2013). The medicines brought under
regulation were narrowly defined under the 2013 DPCO based on the active phar-
maceutical ingredient, the method of administration (e.g., tablet or injection) and the
dosage strength (e.g., 500 mg or 1000 mg)—and excluded other formulations of the
same medicine and its fixed-dose combinations from any regulation. The govern-
ment’s decision to implement such a partial, market-based, price-cap regulation
requires a clear specification of the manner in which the ceiling price will be
determined. We describe the primary method used for fixing the ceiling price and
alternative methods employed when the primary method cannot be implemented due
to practical difficulties.
4.3 The Primary Method for Fixing the Ceiling Price Under
2013 DPCO
the period May 2012 to April 2013, but use IMS prices for the month of May 2012 to
calculate the simple average of prices with more than 1% market share. At any time,
the Indian government is allowed to validate these data using an appropriate survey
or evaluation. Additionally, the government also has the possibility to collect its own
market-based data, and such data are considered final under all conditions. The 2012
policy also requires all manufacturers, retailers, and dealers, including those of
unregulated formulations, to issue a price list and supplementary price list showing
conformity with price fixation and revision. In addition, the 2012 policy determined
that the price at which retailers purchase the medicine is used to determine the
average price to the retailer, and then a retailer margin of 16% is proposed to be
added to obtain the final ceiling price. While the policy states these design choices,
the government’s thinking behind these choices, and the role played by various
interest groups remain unspecified and unclear.
In summary, the ceiling price is determined in two steps. First, the simple average
of price to the retailer (PTR) of all branded-generic and generic versions of a certain
drug formulation with a market share of at least 1% is calculated. This is done on the
basis of moving annual turnover of the particular drug. As a next step, a national
retailer margin of 16% is added to the average price to retailer calculated under step
one, using the following formula:
where, P(c) is the ceiling price, and P(s) is the simple average of the price to retailers
for brands with more than 1% market share. The brands include all existing
manufacturers as well as importers and marketers. A margin (M) of 16% is added
to the simple average of the PTR. The ceiling price is scheduled to come into effect
within a period of 45 days after notification. All existing manufacturers of the same
formulation who are selling below ceiling price are required to maintain their
existing maximum resale price (MRP). The ceiling price for the regulated formula-
tions is calculated on the basis of dosage, that is, per one tablet or per one injection,
and price ceilings for stock keeping units with varying package sizes are calculated
as a simple multiplication with the number of tablets, capsules or injections in the
package. In India, every manufacturer of both regulated and unregulated formula-
tions is obliged to display the MRP of a certain formulation in ineffaceable print on
the package, which, in theory, can facilitate enforcement activities and compliance
with the DPCO. As Gulhati (2004) notes, the use MRP to fix price ceilings is
problematic, which may be a reason for why the NPPA chose to focus on the
PTR. However, the internal deliberations that led to these design choices remain
undisclosed to the wider public.
74 4 The Proposed Design to Fix Ceiling Prices Under 2013 DPCO
We illustrate the determination of the ceiling price with an example. We use the case
of Paracetamol, a widely used medicine in India for treating pain and fever.
Paracetamol is one of the oldest and largest medicines sold in India by volume
having been launched in May 1973. One of its brands is the largest brand, by
volume, of any medicine in our Pharmatrac dataset (which we introduced in the
previous chapter and use throughout the rest of the book). During a period of
67 months between January 2011 and August 2016, nearly 2.5 billion tablets of
the largest Paracetamol brand, Calpol, were sold. During the period from May 2012
to April 2013, the year before the implementation of the 2013 DPCO, 118 different
SKUs of the 500 mg Paracetamol tablet brands were present in the market. Among
them, only 14 brands had a market share of at least 1%. They are shown in Table 4.1.
The first column lists the stock keeping unit (SKU) and the second column lists the
month and year of its launch. The third column contains the price to the retailer, and
the fourth computes the price per one tablet of the SKU.
The table illustrates the considerable variation in the price of Paracetamol price
per tablet among the 14 firms with more than 1% market share. Pacimol, at the top of
the table, contains 1000 tablets per SKU and it is sold at a PTR of 232.5, translating
to a per-tablet price of Rs. 0.23 (¼232.5/1000). The average of the column labeled
Price is 0.89, and the ceiling price is determined using Eq. (4.1) as 0.89*1.16 ¼ 1.03.
The ceiling price we computed is close to 0.99, the official ceiling price determined
by the NPPA based on the IMS Health dataset. The marginal difference in prices is
Table 4.1 List of Paracetamol 500 mg tablet SKUs with more than 1% market share during May
2012 and April 2013
Stock keeping unit Launch PTR PTR per tablet Margin
Pacimol 500 mg tablet 1000 Dec-97 233 0.23 30.11
Calpol 500 mg tablet 1000 Feb-95 319 0.32 41.57
T98 500 mg tablet 10 Aug-06 7.62 0.76 31.23
P 500 mg tablet 10 Mar-03 8.22 0.82 30.17
Malidens 500 mg tablet 10 Feb-84 8.77 0.88 31.13
Dolo (Micro Labs) 500 mg tablet 15 May-07 13.7 0.91 31.29
Pyrigesic 500 mg tablet 10 May-73 9.21 0.92 30.29
Calpol 500 mg tablet 15 Apr-09 13.8 0.92 30.15
Pacimol 500 mg tablet 10 Apr-89 9.39 0.94 29.93
Fepanil 500 mg tablet 10 Jun-73 9.88 0.99 30.06
Xykaa Rapid 500 mg tablet 10 Mar-10 10.1 1.01 31.21
Crocin 500 mg tablet 15 Apr-07 15.8 1.05 28.96
Metacin 500 mg tablet 8 Feb-92 8.5 1.06 31.18
Crocin Advance 500 mg tablet 15 Aug-11 23.8 1.59 26
Source: Author’s calculations
Data source: All India organization of chemists and druggists
4.5 Alternatives to the Primary Method for Fixing the Ceiling Prices 75
due to the differences between the IMS and Pharmatrac datasets the NPPA, and we
have employed respectively, but we will return to these differences in the next
chapter. It is useful to note that while many SKUs were launched years before the
2013 DPCO, the highest-priced SKU in the list was launched in August of 2011 and
its introduction inflates the ceiling price by pushing up the simple average of prices.
Although the NPPA provides a 16% retail margin over the PTR, each SKU has
provided a margin of around 30% in the period before the 2013 DPCO, where the
margin is calculated as 100*(MRP-PTR)/PTR. How these margins have changed as
a result of the DPCO is examined later in the book. The proponents of the cost-based
regulation point to the relatively low price of some Paracetamol brands compared to
the ceiling price, which suggests that the market-based method of determining the
ceiling price leads to a price cap that is several times the marginal cost of production.
We will return to these aspects as well later in the book. Nonetheless, the simple
method of fixing the ceiling price is not applicable in all cases. The NPPA has
devised alternative methods to fix the ceiling price in cases where there are insuffi-
cient firms to calculate a simple average. We discuss these exceptions in the next
section.
Under some conditions, the original stepwise calculation described in Sect. 4.3
cannot be implemented. For example, in cases where competition in a market for a
particular formulation is limited or even absent, the original method described above
would result in little to no reduction in average price to the retailer. To address such
scenarios, the NPPA has generated three alternative methods to determine the ceiling
price depending on whether other regulated strengths or dosage forms of the same
scheduled formulation are available (Table 4.2).
First, if there are other regulated strengths or dosage forms of the same scheduled
formulation, step 2 of the original method remains similar but the formula for
calculating the average price to retailer changes as follows:
The above formula first calculates Pi1, Pi2, and so on, which represent the
percentage reduction in price to the retailer that would have occurred if the price
ceiling mechanism were to be imposed on the unregulated dosage strength markets
of the medicine. Subsequently, an average of such price reductions across
unregulated dosage strength markets of the medicine is calculated, and it is multi-
plied by the medicine price in the regulated dosage strength market to determine the
ceiling price. Therefore, the average price to the retailer is no longer a simple average
of the prices of all versions of a drug formulation but uses the percentage difference
76
between the average PTR of other strengths and dosage forms and the highest priced
formulation within the medicine dosage market to be regulated.
Second, if no other regulated strengths or dosage forms of the medicine formu-
lation that is to be regulated are present in the market, other regulated formulations in
the same sub-therapeutic category are considered as a reference group. In such cases,
the average PTR in step 1 uses the percentage difference between the average PTR of
other formulations in the same category and the PTR of the highest priced formu-
lation within the medicine market to be regulated. When a particular formulation is
listed under multiple sub-therapeutic categories, the lowest average PTR across
categories is used for calculating the ceiling price.
Third, where no other strengths and dosage forms are available, and no other
scheduled formulations in any similar sub-therapeutic categories exist, the average
PTR is calculated using data from the same therapeutic categories. As with the
sub-therapeutic categories, when the regulated formulation is covered by multiple
therapeutic categories, the category average of the lowest PTR is considered.
Although some medicines are newly regulated under the 2013 DPCO, others carry
over into the revised price control regime from the earlier version in 1995. The 2013
DPCO proposes a special price ceiling calculation method for such regulated
formulations (also referred to as scheduled formulations). The 1995 DPCO contains
a First and Second Schedule listing specifying formulations under regulation. Addi-
tionally, the 1995 DPCO includes formulations that are fixed and notified up to and
after 31st, May 2012. Based on these distinctions, scheduled drugs under the pro-
visions of the 1995 DPCO are divided into four categories: (i) those specified in First
Schedule and notified under DPCO 1995 up to 31st, May 2012; (ii) those specified in
First Schedule and notified under DPCO 1995 after to 31st, May 2012; (iii) those not
specified in First Schedule and notified under DPCO 1995 up to 31st, May 2012;
(iv) and those not specified in First Schedule and notified under DPCO 1995 after to
31st, May 2012. In all categories, prices remain effective for 1 year from the date of
notification. For example, notifications up to May 31st, 2012 are applicable until
May 30th, 2013. Thereafter, the traditional calculation method for fixing ceiling
prices is applied. Only manufacturers of formulations in categories (i) and (ii) are
allowed to revise their prices as per the annual wholesale price index prior to price
fixation under the 2013 DPCO.
78 4 The Proposed Design to Fix Ceiling Prices Under 2013 DPCO
Notwithstanding the preceding rules and alternative methods, the Indian government
reserved the right to fix the ceiling price or a specific retail price of any unregulated
formulation or brand under extraordinary circumstances that concern the public
interest. These circumstances are detailed under the 19th paragraph of the 2013
DPCO, and such powers were briefly invoked, albeit with mixed results, in 2014 to
control the prices of 108 cardiovascular and anti-diabetic medicines. Under the
Paragraph 19 provisions, the government can call for an increase or decrease in
the price ceiling to ensure optimal functioning of the regulation. In addition to
ensuring affordable prices, the 2013 DPCO also states as an objective adequate
availability and distribution of medicines. Consequently, whenever the ceiling price
of a certain formulation leads to lower production and distorted allocation, the
government is free to direct manufacturers to increase production and sell their
formulations to public institutions. Also, the government monitors prices of
unregulated medicines so that manufacturers do not increase the MRP of such
medicines by more than 10% within a period of 12 months before the start of
DPCO 2013. Although these safeguards are put in place to prevent shortages and
sudden prices increases in regulated or substitute medicines, the question remains
whether the prices of unregulated and regulated dosages of a medicine are similar or
vastly different, as the DPCO was implemented.
The provisions of the DPCO 2013 do not at all apply to new drugs that are
patented under the Indian Patent Act 1970 either as a product or process patent,
developed through domestic R&D and not produced elsewhere for a period of
References 79
5 years. However, manufacturers with a new and inventive delivery system of a new
drug are also exempted from the 2013 DPCO regulations. As noted in the introduc-
tion, the details on how to fix the prices of patented medicines remain under
discussion.
Once set, the ceiling prices do not remain constant forever. In April each year, when
India’s financial year begins, the Indian government is required to revise ceiling
prices of the regulated formulations. Subsequently, manufacturers have 45 days to
ensure that their MRP does not exceed the revised ceiling price. The list of medicines
in the 2013 DPCO are referred to as the first schedule, and the list can be amended by
adding an additional list of medicines, referred to as the second schedule. The
revision of ceiling prices for medicines in the first schedule is based on market-
based data available for “the month ending immediately before 6 months of notifi-
cation of revision in the first schedule.” Manufacturers may, once a year in April,
also increase the MRP on the basis of the wholesale price index. Such actions do not
require any approval from the government, but the manufacturers must provide
information about the revised MRPs. The government has the power to amend the
first schedule of the DPCO 2013 and introduce a second schedule under the
condition that reasons for amendment are clearly stated. The formulations that are
removed from the first schedule are categorized as non-scheduled formulations, and
they are no longer subject to price control regulation.
Additionally, every time the National List of Essential Medicines is revised,
ceiling prices for all medicines, including the ones that are already part of the old
list, are once again fixed. That is, the ceiling prices are determined afresh based on
the simple average of the prices of brands with more than 1% market share in the
1-year period before the revision of the ceiling prices. The procedure is followed
once every 5 years from the date of fixing the ceiling price under the 2013 DPCO or
when the NLEM is revised.
India used May 2012 prices to determine the ceiling prices initially and revised
the ceiling prices using data from August 2015, following the revision of NLEM
in 2015.
References
Government of India. (2011a). National list of essential medicines, 2011. New Delhi: Ministry of
Chemicals and Fertilizers.
Government of India. (2011b). National pharmaceutical pricing policy, 2011 (NPPP-2011). New
Delhi: Ministry of Chemicals and Fertilizers.
Government of India. (2012). National pharmaceutical pricing policy, 2012. New Delhi: Ministry
of Chemicals and Fertilizers.
80 4 The Proposed Design to Fix Ceiling Prices Under 2013 DPCO
Gulhati, C. M. (2004). Why drug price regulation. PharmaBiz [online]. Available from http://
pharmabiz.com/ArticleDetails.aspx?aid¼24980&sid¼21
Malhotra, P. (2010). The impact of TRIPS on India: An access to medicines perspective. London:
Palgrave Macmillan.
Ray, T. J. (2013). New drug price control order of India: Is it directionally right improving access
to medicines? [online]. Available from http://www.tapanray.in/new-drug-price-control-order-
of-india-is-it-directionally-right-improving-access-to-medicines/
Chapter 5
Challenges with Fixing the Ceiling Price
Under the 2013 DPCO
5.1 Introduction
In the previous chapter, we elaborated on the design of the 2013 DPCO and the
procedure used for fixing ceiling prices under the newly-adopted market-based
approach. Although it may appear relatively simple, the determination of the ceiling
prices is associated with multiple challenges related to data availability, data selec-
tion, data collection, and data analysis. The lack of sufficient data and the use of
inaccurate data can result in a miscalculation of the ceiling prices and create
confusion among pharmaceutical companies, NGOs, and consumers, and lead to
several legal disputes. The effectiveness of the 2013 DPCO will be judged based not
only on the extent to which prices of essential medicines decline but also by
comparing the ceiling prices resulting from the market-based approach with those
that would result from using a cost-based approach. Soon after the implementation of
the 2013 DPCO, some industry observers argued that the ceiling prices set by the
NPPA were much higher relative to those resulting from a cost-based pricing
mechanism that was previously in place. They noted that the new policy “institu-
tionalized the super profits” (Alexander 2013a). The profit margins under the new
price ceilings were estimated to be over 1000% in some cases. Moreover, the NGOs
blamed the government for not sharing the data it collects from IMS and for not
collecting its own data and corroborating them with other alternative sources. Are
the criticisms of the 2013 DPCO design and implementation valid? In this chapter,
we take a quantitative approach to examining the challenges that arose in determin-
ing the ceiling prices based on the new design and in implementing the 2013 DPCO.
We begin by documenting the cases in which the pharmaceutical firms contested the
NPPA’s calculations and then present analyses to characterize the nature and extent
of such disputes.
Four years since the start of the DPCO 2013, several inaccuracies in determining the
ceiling price, which could defeat the purpose of the policy directive, have become
apparent. The Department of Pharmaceuticals received a number of review petitions
challenging the manner in which the NPPA calculated the ceiling price and seeking
alternative pricing for their products based on packaging or other characteristics
(Shankar 2016a). The NPPA began receiving such complaints as early as 2013, and
several firms have been successful in convincing the Department of Pharmaceuticals
that the NPPA’s calculations were incorrect, as PharmaBiz.com (2013a, b) reports:
The Delhi High Court has sent notices to the Centre and the National Pharmaceutical Pricing
Authority (NPPA) as seven more companies moved the court to question the newly revised
prices of formulations as per the Drug Price Control Order (DPCO) 2013. The Court sent
notices to the Centre and others including NPPA on a petition filed by the Indian Drug
Manufacturers Association (IDMA) on the issue of drug pricing. . .The companies are
Novartis, Wockhardt Limited, Lupin Limited, Intas Pharmaceuticals Limited, Alembic
Pharmaceuticals Limited, Sandoz Private Limited and Chiron Behring Vaccines Private
Limited. Cipla Ltd and four other companies had moved the court against the 2013 DCPO
and won the similar order from the High Court recently.
The basis for contesting the NPPA’s ceiling prices often involves issues about the
validity of the data used for determining the ceiling prices. For example, in February
2017, the Department of Pharmaceuticals advocated a re-fixation of the retail price
of a fixed-dose combination medicine, Teneligliptin 20 mg + Metformin 1000 mg
extended-release tablets, produced by Glenmark, as the NPPA previously used
incorrect data while fixing the retail price of these formulations. When the NPPA
revised the ceiling price using Pharmatrac data, the ceiling price increased by more
than 10% from Rs. 11.65 to Rs. 13.02 per tablet (Shankar 2017a).
We compile a list of 22 cases where the Department of Pharmaceuticals ordered
the NPPA to revise the ceiling price (see Table 5.1). We are not certain these are all
the cases that the NPPA received, but these cases have been reported in an online
trade journal, PharmaBiz.com. We found four cases in 2015, eight cases in 2016, and
nine cases in 2017, indicating that the number of such complaints is increasing. We
preview some of the objections raised unsuccessfully by the pharmaceutical compa-
nies. First, some drug companies have criticized the NPPA for failing to differentiate
the consumer and dispensing pack while calculating ceiling prices. In general,
dispensing packs are for use in hospitals and are therefore of larger size, sometimes
containing 1000 tablets of paracetamol as opposed to 10 tablets. Combining the PTR
of consumer and dispensing packs to work out average PTR for ceiling price
determination generates a lower ceiling price as packs show wide variation in PTR
per tablet or injection. For example, for Metoclopramide syrup 5 mg/5 ml consumer
packs have a PTR ranging between Rs. 0.38 per ml and Rs. 0.44 per ml, while the
PTR per unit of the dispensing pack is only Rs. 0.16 per ml. As Shankar (2014a)
notes:
The DPCO, 2013 does not distinguish between sales through retailer shop or through
hospital outlets. It is only the “Price to retailer,” which is captured by IMS, that is taken
5.2 Pharmaceutical Firms Contested the Ceiling Prices Fixed by the NPPA 83
Table 5.1 Department of Pharmaceuticals directs NPPA to revalidate data, re-fix ceiling price
under 2013 DPCO
Department of Pharmaceuticals’ directive to the NPPA Date Year
Review ceiling price fixed for Azithromycin 31-Oct 2013
Revalidate data on Ciprofloxacin tablet 250 mg 16-Feb 2015
Revalidate data on Cefotaxime 250 mg and 500 mg injections 4-Mar 2015
Revise prices of Ilaprazole + Domperidone capsules 3-Jun 2015
Re-fix price of Nab Tortaxel injection 28-Jul 2015
Re-fix ceiling price of Clotrimazole cream 1% 12-Jul 2016
Examine new data to review ceiling price of Erythropoietin injection 2000 IU & 18-Jul 2016
10,000 IU
Re-fix ceiling price of Azithromycin and Dexamethasone phosphate eye drops 30-Aug 2016
3 ml
Re-fix ceiling price of coagulation factor VIII 12-Sep 2016
Revise ceiling prices of Paclitaxel injection, Carboplatin, and Cisplatin 27-Sep 2016
Re-fix and re-notify ceiling prices of Cefotaxime 1 g injection 21-Oct 2016
Adopt correct methodology in fixing ceiling price of Ciprofloxacin 500 and 12-Dec 2016
250 mg tabs
Re-fix ceiling price of levoflexacin 500 mg 24-Oct 2016
Re-fix prices of Methotrexate 2.5 mg, 7.5 mg, and 10 mg tabs 3-May 2017
Re-fix ceiling price of Ondansetron 2 mg/ml injectables 5-Jan 2017
Revise ceiling price of formulation Methyldopa 500 mg tablet 12-Jan 2017
Re-fix ceiling price of Ranitidine 25 mg/ml 1-Jun 2017
Re-fix ceiling price of N-acetylcyseine 200 mg sachet 14-Aug 2017
Re-fix the ceiling price of Furosemide injection 31-Aug 2017
Re-fix ceiling prices of clomiphene 100 mg and 50 mg tablets 18-Sep 2017
Re-fix ceiling price of Co-Trimoxazole tablet 21-Sep 2017
Seek expert committee’s opinion for fixing ceiling price of methylprednisolone 3-Oct 2017
Inj 40 mg/ml
Source: Alexander (2013b), Shankar (2016b, c, d, e, f, g, h, i), Shankar (2017b, c, d, e, f, g, h, i, j, k)
into account for the calculation of ceiling price. Therefore, any such further classification or
exclusion of hospital sales may not be in line with provisions of DPCO, 2013.
Second, pharmaceutical firms argued that the NPPA included SKUs with less
than 1% market share in determining the ceiling price. Reacting to complaints, the
Department of Pharmaceuticals ordered the NPPA to follow the correct procedure in
fixing the ceiling price by averaging the prices of brands with more than 1% market
share rather than using aggregated market share at the company level (Shankar
2016d):
The Department of Pharmaceuticals (DoP) has directed the NPPA to adopt the correct
methodology in all such cases of calculating the ceiling price of scheduled formulations
like ciprofloxacin 500 mg and ciprofloxacin 250 mg tablets as per para 4(i) of DPCO, 2013
and provisions of existing Schedule-I by including market shares of only generic/brands and
not company-wise MAT [moving average turnover] percentage.
84 5 Challenges with Fixing the Ceiling Price Under the 2013 DPCO
Third, pharmaceutical firms argued that the NPPA did not follow its own rules
in determining the ceiling price by excluding newly entering SKUs with more than
1% market share. Responding to one case, where Volitra AQ injection containing
75 mg/ml diclofenac produced by Sun Pharmaceuticals was excluded from the
calculation of the ceiling price, the Department of Pharmaceuticals asked the
NPPA to not invent its own rules (Shankar 2017j):
Review application of the company is accepted, and NPPA is directed to re-fix the price as
per the provisions of DPCO 2013 within one month of this Order, rather than deciding the
prices on its own derived principles which are beyond the provisions of DPCO 2013. The
calculation sheets should also be put up in the public domain.
Table 5.2 Department of Pharmaceuticals rejects the review petitions challenging the NPPA’s
method of calculating ceiling prices
Company Medicine regulated under DPCO 2013 Date Year
Dr. Reddy’s Omeprazole 20 mg capsules 29-Oct 2013
Abbott Phenobabitone tablets, 60 mg, and 30 mg and 29-Oct 2013
promethazine injection, 25 mg/ml
Sun Pharma Isosorbide 5 mononitrate tablet (10 mg), pantoprazole 6-Jan 2014
injection (40 mg), ondansetron injection (2 mg/ml)
atorvastatin tablets (10 mg) and alprazolam tablets
(0.25 mg)
Unichem Warfarin sodium tablets (5 mg), olanzapine tablet 6-Jan 2014
(10 mg), albendazole tablets (400 mg), albendazole
suspension (200 mg/5 ml), atorvastatin tablets (10 mg),
alprazolam (0.25 mg), tramadol capsule (50 mg),
cetrizine tablets (10 mg) and alprazolam (0.5 mg).
Panacea Biotec Oral Poliomyelitis Vaccine (LA) Solution 6-Jan 2014
Win-Medicare Povidone iodine oinment 5% 6-Jan 2014
Modi-Mundipharma Povidone iodine oinment 5% 6-Jan 2014
Wockhardt Povidone iodine solution 5%, povidone iodine ointment 10-Jan 2014
5% and human insulin injections
Albert David Glucose Injection 10% 27-Feb 2014
Baxter, etc. Ringer lactate injection 27-Feb 2014
Indi Pharma Clindamycin tablets (300 mg) 27-Feb 2014
Gland Pharma Heparin sodium injection (5000 IU/ml); 27-Feb 2014
Adcock Ingram Metoclopramide injection 5 mg/ml; 27-Feb 2014
Synchem Oral rehydration salts powder for solution 27-Feb 2014
Laboratories
Neon Laboratories Lignocaine hydrochloride + adrenaline injection 27-Feb 2014
(2% + adrenaline 1:200000)
Lifestar Pharma Calamine Lotion 14-Mar 2014
Kedrion S.p.A Antitetanus human immunoglobulin 250 IU/pack 14-Mar 2014
Ranbaxy Ciprofloxacin HCl injection 27-May 2015
Parenteral Drugs Glucose inj 10% & mannitol 20% 100 ml 8-Jun 2015
Lifecare Amphotericin B injection 8-Jul 2015
Innovations
Panacea Biotec Amphotericin B injection (50 mg) 16-Jul 2015
Pregna Hormone Releasing IUD 27-Jul 2016
Abbott India Carbimazole 10 mg tablet 4-Oct 2016
Sanofi Amiodarone tablet 200 mg 14-Nov 2016
Micro Labs Paracetamol 500 mg tablets 24-Nov 2016
Sun Pharma Ciprofloxacin HCl tablet 250 mg 6-Dec 2016
Sanofi India Sodium valproate 200 and 500 mg tabs; amiodarone 23-Dec 2016
tablets 100 mg; leflunomide 10 and 20 mg tabs
Sun Pharma Volini Duo (Acetaminophen 650 mg extended-release 27-Dec 2016
tablets)
Sun Pharma Ondansetron tablet 2-Jan 2017
USV Amlodipine 5 mg, clopidogrel 75 mg tablets 30-Jan 2017
(continued)
86 5 Challenges with Fixing the Ceiling Price Under the 2013 DPCO
price based on questionable claims made by the pharmaceutical firms. We list such
instances in Table 5.2. These disputes also provide a window into the challenges
faced by the NPPA in implementing the 2013 DPCO and the tactics and strategies
employed by the pharmaceutical companies. We document relatively more com-
plaints that were rejected by the Department of Pharmaceuticals than those that were
accepted, indicating that the pharmaceutical companies used the legal process to
delay compliance with the regulation and also weaken enforcement. Francis (2014)
summarizes the difficulty the Department of Pharmaceuticals and the NPPA expe-
rienced in fixing the ceiling prices under the 2013 DPCO:
As in the case of earlier DPCOs, Department of Pharmaceuticals and National Pharmaceu-
tical Pricing Authority are finding it difficult to fix and enforce new prices for 348 drugs
covered under DPCO 2013 even after several months of its notification. Wherever NPPA
finds scope for a reduction or only a marginal hike in prices of products, such decisions are
challenged by the pharmaceutical companies seeking higher prices. Over two dozen large
companies have already disputed ceiling prices fixed for several products and approached for
a review during the last six months. Some of these companies are Sun Pharma, Unichem
Labs, Panacea Biotec, Win-Medicare, Albert David, Baxter (India), Indi Pharma and Gland
Pharma. In many cases, DoP or NPPA rejected the claims of these companies seeking higher
prices for want of justification.
In the rest of the chapter, we examine using Pharmatrac data the nature and extent
of these disputes between the NPPA and the pharmaceutical firms.
The NPPA fixed the ceiling price of 150 medicines on June 14, 2013, and 39 med-
icines on June 21, 2013, using the data provided by IMS Health. The NPPA also
made public the calculations it performed to arrive at the ceiling price. The NPPA’s
reliance on the data collected by IMS Health has been criticized by several observers.
For example, Francis (2014) notes:
Now, the leading pharmaceutical companies are pointing out that the basis of price fixation
by NPPA is not accurate as they consider IMS Health data used by NPPA does not represent
the real prices. Following these complaints, DoP has directed NPPA to revalidate the data
5.3 Disputes Due to Lack of Authentic Data 87
used for capping prices of all notified medicines. NPPA accordingly started seeking cost
details of drugs from individual companies. Till then drug prices notified by NPPA has to be
maintained by the companies. . . The basic problem with the NPPA is that it does not have
reliable data for finalizing prices of controlled drugs as it is solely depending on IMS Health.
Out of the 348 drugs, NPPA is yet to fix prices of 100 odd drugs for want of data. Some of
the pharmaceutical companies are of the view now that the basis of price fixation by NPPA is
not accurate as they consider IMS Health data used by NPPA does not represent the real
prices.
To study the potential discrepancy in the ceiling prices resulting from alternative
data sources, we compare the ceiling prices determined by the NPPA for the first
batch of medicines in June 2013 with alternative price ceilings we calculated using
the AIOCD’s Pharmatrac data. To illustrate the differences between the two datasets,
we begin by focusing on the case of Acyclovir, as it is the first item contained in the
work sheet released on the 14th of June 2013.1 We reproduce in Table 5.3 calcula-
tions presented by the NPPA as well as the prices and market shares observed in the
Pharmatrac data. Table 5.3 contains 16 SKUs from the IMS data used by the NPPA,
of which eight have more than 1% market share. The average of the per tablet PTR
for these eight SKUs is Rs. 5.3 and an addition 16% retailer margin results in a
ceiling price of 5.3 1.16 ¼ 6.14. However, the NPPA considers 11 SKUs to fix the
ceiling price at 7.3, nearly 19% more than the ceiling price of 6.14. We will return to
this discrepancy in greater detail momentarily, but seven of the 16 SKUs in the IMS
data are not present in the Pharmatrac data, and six of the 15 SKUs in the Pharmatrac
data are not present in the IMS data. Nonetheless, there are some similarities between
the numbers obtained from the two datasets. For example, Cipla’s Acivir brand has
the highest market share in both datasets, although there is a 3.3% difference in
market share. In fact, the top four SKUs remain the same in both datasets. In
addition, the PTR per tablet also matches in several cases between the two tablets.
Many of the SKUs of Acyclovir missing from both datasets are relatively small
with market shares of less than 1%, indicating that such inconsistencies between
datasets do not necessarily affect the ceiling price for this medicine. However, the
market shares computed using the two methods differed significantly in two of
the top three SKUs. There are also some differences in PTR between the two tables.
Overall, there are eight SKUs, whose average per-tablet price is 5.77 and the result-
ing ceiling price would be 5.77 1.16 ¼ 6.69. Although the ceiling price deter-
mined using the AIOCD Pharmatrac data is higher than that obtained from the IMS
data, it is still lower compared to the ceiling price fixed by the NPPA.
The NPPA’s difficulty in fixing the ceiling prices of several medicines came to
light because it was not able to put together sufficient market data. For example, at
1
The NPPA’s worksheet displaying their calculations for determining the ceiling price is available
online at: http://www.nppaindia.nic.in/ceiling/press14june13/workingsheet-14-6-13.html
88 5 Challenges with Fixing the Ceiling Price Under the 2013 DPCO
Table 5.3 Comparing the ceiling prices for Acyclovir 200 mg using IMS Health and AIOCD
Pharmatrac prices and market shares
PTR Share PTR Share
Data source
No Company SKU IMS Pharmatrac
1 Cipla Acivir Tabs Dispers 200 mg 10 6.19 39.8 6.19 43.1
2 Glaxosmithkline Zovirax Tab Uncoated 200 mg 5 6.52 21.1 6.52 20.64
3 Fdc Ocuvir Tabs Dispers 200 mg 10 4.84 11.7 4.84 15.75
4 Torrent Pharma Herpex Tab Uncoated 200 mg 10 6.72 9 6.66 6.64
5 Fdc Ocuvir Tab Uncoated 200 mg 10 4.84 8
6 Micro Labs Herperax Tab Uncoated 200 mg 5 5.1 4.4 5.1 4.91
7 Mankind Herpikind Tabs Dispers 200 mg 10 3.27 3.6 4.56 4.94
8 Veritaz Acivex 200 mg Tablet Dt 10 6.2 1.25
Healthcare Ltd
9 East India Trikase 200 mg Tablet 10 4.97 1 6.05 1.07
10 Ind-Swift Aclovir Tabs Dispers 200 mg 10 3.29 0.6 1.85 0.03
11 Micro Labs Herperax Tab Uncoated 5.08 0.5 2.55 0.76
200 mg 10
12 Samarth Pharma Axovir Tabs 200 mg 10 4.11 0.4
13 Micro Labs Herperax Tabs 200 mg 6 14.81 0.1
14 Agio Pharma Aciherpin Tabs 200 mg 10 4.57 0
15 East India Trinase Tab Uncoated 200 mg 10 5.64 0
16 Vhb Lifesciences Zoylex Tabs Dispers 200 mg 10 5.84 0
17 Maneesh Pharma Clovirax Tabs Dispers 200 mg 5 4.68 0
18 Ipca Laboratories Pvt Ocurax 200 mg Tablet 10 5.03 0.33
Ltd.
19 Alkem Laboratories Herpesafe 200 mg Tablet Dt 5 4.88 0.23
Ltd.
20 Monichem Healthcare Zovistar 200 mg Tablet 10 4.58 0.15
Pvt Ltd
21 Alkem Laboratories Herpesafe 200 mg Tablet Dt 10 2.44 0.12
Ltd.
22 Dial Pharmaceuticals Rivol 200 mg Tablet 10 4.59 0.03
Pvt. Ltd.
the beginning of 2017, the government responded to the public pressure to regulate
the prices of coronary stents, but the NPPA faced difficulties in compiling the data on
prices (Shankar 2017l). Since pharmaceutical firms want to keep their orders private,
the collection data on market shares has been challenging for the NPPA even during
the implementation of the 1995 DPCO. Over the years, most pharmaceutical com-
panies and importers have been reluctant to share authentic, accurate industry data
with the Indian government. If such data are compiled, the NPPA can potentially use
them to improve compliance with price controls. The non-cooperation by drug
companies has forced the NPPA to develop its own database of pharmaceutical
5.4 Challenges with Older Stocks and Labeling Price-Controlled Medicines 89
The NPPA has also moved away from the use of data exclusively from
IMS Health in its subsequent revisions of the ceiling prices. According to Shankar
(2017m):
Ceiling price has been fixed based on the data provided by IMS for the month of May, 2012
under NLEM 2011 and the data provided by [AIOCD] pharmatrac for the month of August,
2015 under NLEM 2015 as per existing practice.
The problems, however, have continued to arise even in the recent revision of
ceiling prices in 2015. To illustrate further, consider the case of fixing the ceiling
prices for Abbott’s Clomiphene 50 mg and 100 mg tablets. Abbott argued that NPPA
used Rs. 104.64 as PTR for Clome 100 mg tablet 10s, but the correct PTR from
August 2015 is Rs. 107.56 (Shankar 2017h). Also, Abbott claimed that NPPA
incorrectly used the same PTR for both Fertomid 100 mg Tablets 10s and Fertomid
100 mg Tablets 5s of Cipla in calculating the ceiling price but the IMS data contain
only the Fertomid 100 mg tablets 5 SKU. Similarly, Abbott argued that to determine
the ceiling price of Clomiphene 50 mg, the NPPA used the same PTR for Ovafar
50 mg Tablets 10s and Ovafar 50 mg Tablets 5s of Organon but IMS data contain
only the 5-pack.
The NPPA’s 2013 DPCO notification states that the revised prices must be
implemented within 45 days from the date of fixing the ceiling price but does not
address the presence of older stock of price-regulated medicines on the market.
Pharmaceutical companies, as well as pharmacies, have complained that it is costly
to relabel or recall stock with the older price printed on their packages. Many
pharmaceutical firms did not provide a list of revised prices to retailers, which
resulted in retailers charging relatively higher, older prices. The problem has
persisted since the initial implementation in 2013 due to the annual revision of the
ceiling prices and the issue remained unresolved 3 years later. In April 2016, the
NPPA determined that recalling, re-labeling of medicine stocks before price revision
90 5 Challenges with Fixing the Ceiling Price Under the 2013 DPCO
is not mandatory if manufacturers submit a revised price list and ensure compliance
with the revised prices at the retailer level. However, the retailer trade association,
the AIOCD, argued that the responsibility of displaying accurate prices lies with
manufacturers. According to the president of the AIOCD (Rana 2016):
We have found that some of the manufacturers though have reduced the prices only in their
invoices as per NPPA guideline but physically supplying the products with old MRPs to
dealers and asking the distributors or retailers to sell it at lesser price. They are informing
distributors to circulate this information to retail chemists. This is absolutely not acceptable,
because manufacturers have failed to provide the price lists to retail chemists as mandated in
DPCO-2013 and can expose retail chemists to legal action in case of oversight by
them. . .We have urged NPPA to ensure that they do not force our members to accept the
stocks having higher than ceiling price. We will appreciate if all such products having higher
than ceiling price are recalled from the trade and re-labelled with new price. Also issue new
price list up to retail chemist as well. This will remove any ambiguity and help to establish a
uniform system for better compliance.
The AIOCD suggested to the NPPA that providing a window of 90 days can mitigate
these practical difficulties. The secretary of the Federation of Gujarat State Chemist
& Druggist Association (FGSCDA), a state affiliate of the AIOCD, pointed out
(PharmaBiz.com 2013a):
It is needless to say that the issue of 45 days time frame set by NPPA for printing new prices
on the old stocks had been a contentious issue from the very beginning, creating a lot of
confusion among all the stake holders. What is more disturbing is the fact that as traders we
have been left clueless on what our role was in this set-up. While the pharma companies
insisted that it is impossible to recall and re-label the drugs within such a short time, the drug
regulators desisted us from selling drugs, putting us in a spot. This lead to a lot of chaos, as
there was a fear of unavailability of life saving drugs, as recalling stocks from villages and
other remote areas needed much more time and elaborate planning.
Eventually, the NPPA and the industry reached an agreement that allowed the
sale of older stocks of regulated medicines at older prices based on the date of
5.5 Challenges with Identifying SKUs with More Than 1% Market Share 91
manufacturing. According to Yadav (2016), DoP finally agreed with the AIOCD’s
demand for allowing the sale of medicines at prices before the price revision comes
into effect until a certain manufacturing serial number expires. The NPPA further
clarified that if the manufacturers show evidence sending the revised price list to the
retailers or distributors, and if they sell the medicine above the ceiling price then the
burden of noncompliance falls only on the distributors and retailers (Shankar
2017k).
The NPPA undertook efforts to collaborate with the pharmaceutical industry in
developing a labeling method to distinguish price-controlled medicines. The NPPA
argued that such an identification mark promotes awareness among consumers about
the presence of lower-priced medicines (Vijay 2015). Also, the measure was
expected to increase vigilance, accountability, and self-regulation (Shankar 2014b).
Shankar (2014b) reports that the NPPA invited feedback from stakeholders such as
the pharmaceutical industry, trade associations, consumer groups, and state drug
controllers. The pharmacists soon opposed the measure, arguing that there is already
considerable information provided on the package (Shankar 2014c). The IDMA also
opposed the measure suggesting that any identification mark would cause confusion,
ill-will, and chaos among consumers (Nautiyal 2014). The NPPA ultimately rolled
back the proposal to introduce distinguishing marks (Shankar 2015e).
The NPPA’s calculations revealed that in some cases it did not follow the rules it
designed to fix the ceiling price. For example, the DoP directed the NPPA to
exclusively consider the formulations with a market share of 1% or more for
calculation of price ceilings. The directive to the NPPA was the result of many
complaints from manufacturers arguing that the NPPA sometimes averages PTRs
across multiple brands instead of the PTR for a specific formulation with more than
1% market share. As noted in Table 3.3 in Chap. 3, several companies produce
multiple brands of a medicine and sell at vastly different prices, and typically the
brand with more than 1% market share has the largest price. In such cases, the NPPA
clubbed together the market share of multiple versions of a medicine produced by a
company, while the single brand/generic version of the same medicine of this
company has a market share of less than 1%. For example, in one case, the DoP
asked the NPPA to reexamine IMS data on ciprofloxacin hydrochloride 0.30%
drops. Responding to such mistakes by the NPPA, the Indian Pharmaceutical
Alliance (IPA) secretary general D G Shah noted in a letter to NPPA chairman C
P Singh (Shankar 2013):
However, we understand that the first lot of prices being notified is calculated using brands
and generic versions having less than one per cent market share for companies having more
than one brand. This is contrary to the above noted provisions and could distort the balance
sought to be achieved by the NPPP 2012.
92 5 Challenges with Fixing the Ceiling Price Under the 2013 DPCO
We examine the NPPA’s calculations for fixing the ceiling prices of several other
medicines and find that the primary method described in Sect. 4.2 of the book is
correctly applied. For example, the calculations for Adenosine Injection 3 mg/ml,
shown in Table 5.4, involve five SKUs, each with more than 1% market share. The
average of the last column of 5.4 containing PTR per unit is 98.75, and the ceiling
price is calculated accurately as 98.75 1.16 ¼ 114.55. Similarly, the calculations
for fixing the ceiling price for Adrenaline Bitartrate 1 mg/ml injection, also shown in
Table 5.4, appears to be accurate as well. While there are eight SKUs, only seven
have a market share of more than 1% and their average PTR is 32.11, and the ceiling
price is 32.11 1.16 ¼ 37.24. Nevertheless, in several cases, the calculation of the
ceiling price does not match with the procedures determined under the DPCO 2013.
Similar problems arose even in the revision of ceiling prices in 2015. As Shankar
(2017h) notes:
During examination, the reviewing authority DoP noted that the NPPA has taken into
account certain formulations having MAT value of less than 1%. NPPA may be directed
to consider only those medicines/formulations having MAT value of more than 1% market
share, as DPCO does not recognize a company for average PTR but only medicines/
formulations.
Shankar (2017c) notes that the DoP asked the NPPA to re-fix the ceiling price
of “Methotrexate tablets 2.5 mg, 7.5 mg and 10 mg” by considering only eight
formulations with SKU-wise MAT of more than 1% market share. Similarly,
Shankar (2017n) notes that Sun Pharma complained with the NPPA that Mankind
Pharmaceuticals’ Lubistar CMC forte 1% 10 ml eye drops with less than 1% was
considered in the ceiling price calculation.
Table 5.4 The accuracy of the NPPA calculations for Adenosine Injection 3 mg/ml and Adrenaline
Bitartrate Injection 1 mg/ml
No Company SKUs for Adenosine Share PTR
Adenosine
1 Sanofi Adenocor Inj Iv. Vial 6 mg 2 ml 1 81.70% 163.8
2 Samarth Pharma Carnosine Inj Iv. Amp 6 mg 2 ml 1 9.30% 80
3 Sun Adenoject Inj Amp 3 mg 2 ml 1 (/1 ml) 3.80% 83.93
4 Sun Adenoject Inj Amp 3 mg 10 ml 1 (/1 ml) 3.80% 78.11
5 Troikaa Pharma Tachyban Inj Amp 3 mg 2 ml 1 (/1 ml) 1.40% 87.96
Adrenaline Bitartrate
1 Neon Labs Norad Inj Amp 2 mg 2 ml 1 40% 38
2 Samarth Pharma Adrenor Infus Amp 2 ml 1 39% 50.05
3 Neon Labs Vasocon Inj Amp 1 mg 1 ml 1 (/1 ml) 16% 10.15
4 Sunways Epitrate Inj 1 ml 1 2% 11.71
5 Sunways Epitrate Inj 1 ml 10 2% 6.73
6 Alkem Dianora Amp. 1 mg 2 ml 1 (/1 ml) 1% 62.13
7 Neon Labs Norad Inj Iv. Amp 1 mg 4 ml 1 (/1 ml) 1% 45.99
8 Cipla Infunor Infus Amp 1 mg 2 ml 1 (/1 ml) 0% 54.22
5.6 Quantitative Analysis of the Impact of Using IMS vs. AIOCD Pharmatrac Data 93
Since the NPPA’s reliance on the IMS data can be questioned, we have recalculated
the ceiling prices of 150 medicines for which the NPPA fixed prices on June
14, 2013. We rely on the Pharmatrac data to calculate the ceiling prices. These
data are collected by the pharmaceutical retailer trade association, the AOICD,
which many observers claim are more reliable and exhaustive compared to the
IMS Health data, as the AIOCD membership of wholesalers and retailers are more
conscientious in reporting data to the AIOCD. We compare the ceiling prices
obtained from the AIOCD data using the traditional approach with the ceiling prices
obtained from using the IMS data. Our calculations reveal discrepancies between the
ceiling prices obtained using both datasets. Not only do the final price ceilings
significantly differ, but also the details of the calculation and the component SKUs
that constitute the determination of the ceiling price substantially differ in several
cases.
We present the results of the analysis in Table 5.5. Our determination of the
ceiling price is based on the primary method described in Sect. 4.1. However, for
12 medicines such as Adenosine 3 mg/ml Injection, there is only one producer in the
AIOCD data that has more than 1% market share, and alternative methods have been
employed by the NPPA to determine their ceiling price, as described in Chap. 3. We
exclude these medicines from the analysis in Table 5.5. We also exclude a small
number of medicines for which we could not find a match in the AIOCD data.
For each medicine in Table 5.5, column 1 contains the ceiling price fixed by the
NPPA using the IMS data. Column 2 contains the number of SKUs in the NPPA list,
and Column 3 contains the number of SKUs in the NPPA list with more than 1%
market share. Column 4 contains the ceiling price determined using the AIOCD data.
Column 5 contains a hypothetical ceiling price calculated using the prices of firms
with less than 1% market share, which are currently excluded from influencing the
ceiling price. The total number of firms in the market is shown in Column 6, and the
number of firms with more than 1% market share is shown in Column 7. The
difference between the IMS and AIOCD ceiling prices is shown in Column 8. To
provide a concrete example, the ceiling price of Acyclovir 200 mg Tablets is
determined by the NPPA to be Rs. 7.3 per tablet. The AIOCD-based ceiling price,
however, is determined to be Rs. 6.69, 8% less than the NPPA’s ceiling price. While
there are 15 firms present in the market, eight of them have more than 1% market
share in the AIOCD data, and they account for determining the ceiling price in
column 4. The difference between the two ceiling prices, shown in column 6, is
Rs. 0.61 for Acyclovir 200 mg Tablets. Overall, Table 5.5 contains 129 medicines,
and among them, the NPPA ceiling price is greater than the AIOCD ceiling price for
48 medicines and less for 77 medicines. The ceiling prices exactly match in the case
of four medicines, Enalapril Maleate Tablets 2.5 mg, Hyoscine Butyl Bromide
Injection 20 mg /ml, Metoclopramide Injection 5 mg/ml, and Permethrin Cream 5%.
The NPPA excluded the prices of SKUs with less than 1% market share during
May 2012 to April 2013 from the process of determining the ceiling price. One
Table 5.5 Comparison of Ceiling Prices based on IMS and AIOCD data
94
Column 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Composition as per NLEM NPPA ceiling N of firms N of firms AIOCD AIOCD ceiling N of N of firms Difference in
price in Rs. in NPPA with > 1% ceiling price price based firms firms in with > 1% ceiling price
list market share in Rs. with < 1% market AIOCD market share (1)–(2)
in NPPA list share in Rs. list in AIOCD list
Acyclovir Tablets 200 mg 7.3 16 8 6.69 4.3 15 8 0.61
Alpha Interferon Injection 3 million IU 759.7 4 4 692.88 464 5 4 66.82
Amiodarone Tablets 100 mg 6.52 8 6 6.37 2.74 8 6 0.15
Amiodarone Tablets 200 mg 11.67 8 7 11.7 7 7 0.03
Amitriptyline Tablets 25 mg 2.12 21 9 2.53 2.24 25 8 0.41
Ampicillin Powder for suspension 125 mg/5 ml 0.63 7 3 0.15 0.07 4 3 0.48
Anti-D immunoglobin (human) Injection 300 μg 2209.8 3 2 1886.64 5046 4 3 323.16
Atenolol Tablets 100 mg 3.72 25 7 4.12 2.17 12 6 0.4
Atorvastatin Tablets 5 mg 3.82 32 19 4.06 3.72 30 14 0.24
Atracurium besylate Injection 10 mg/ml 45.28 13 5 48.2 6 6 2.92
Atropine Sulphate Injection 0.6 mg/ml 4.01 4 3 5.41 3 3 1.4
Azathioprine Tablets 50 mg 9.89 9 3 9.86 7.23 9 5 0.03
Azithromycin Injection 500 mg 182.27 8 7 47.15 6 6 135.12
Azithromycin Tablets 500 mg 19.86 149 24 20.56 18.65 185 22 0.7
Betaxolol Hydrochloride Drops 0.5% 6.59 3 3 6.98 4 4 0.39
Carbimazole Tablets 10 mg 3.43 4 3 3.13 2.78 4 3 0.3
Carbimazole Tablets 5 mg 1.77 3 3 1.81 1.67 4 3 0.04
Ceftazidime Injection 250 mg 63.4 10 4 42.63 46.46 8 6 20.77
Clofazimine Capsules 100 mg 2.22 3 3 2.43 3.36 3 2 0.21
Clofazimine Capsules 50 mg 1.28 3 2 1.21 1.49 3 2 0.07
Clomiphene citrate Tablets 100 mg 12.18 10 7 14.27 10.17 11 8 2.09
Colchicin Tablets 0.5 mg 2.88 2 2 3.09 0.97 3 2 0.21
Cyclophosphamide Tablets 50 mg 3.75 3 2 4.09 2 2 0.34
5 Challenges with Fixing the Ceiling Price Under the 2013 DPCO
Cyclosporine Capsules 25 mg 24.75 7 6 26.29 5 5 1.54
Cyclosporine Capsules 50 mg 48.26 8 8 48.96 4 4 0.7
Dacarbazine Injection 500 mg 1029.09 2 2 638.77 3 3 390.32
Danazol Capsules 100 mg 20.33 6 5 15.58 17.89 6 5 4.75
Danazol Capsules 50 mg 9.37 6 5 8.34 7.72 6 5 1.03
Diazepam Injection 5 mg/ml 5.59 18 5 4.79 5 5 0.8
Diethylcarbamazine citrate Tablets 50 mg 0.47 3 3 0.97 0.21 4 2 0.5
Digoxin Tablets 0.25 mg 1.26 3 2 1.37 1.27 5 3 0.11
Diltiazem Tablets 30 mg 2.27 17 5 2.66 1.82 11 5 0.39
Domperidone Syrup 1 mg/ml 1.03 41 7 0.89 0.63 12 5 0.14
Dopamine Hydrochloride Injection 40 mg/ml 5.53 9 6 27.31 3 3 21.78
Doxorubicin Injection 50 mg 1145.2 13 4 639.42 485.41 9 7 505.78
Enalapril Maleate Tablets 2.5 mg 1.78 13 5 1.78 0.99 12 6 0
Enalapril Maleate Tablets 5 mg 2.96 18 5 2.71 2.22 16 6 0.25
Ethambutol Tablets 400 mg 2.17 3 3 2.15 3 3 0.02
Ethambutol Tablets 600 mg 3.15 8 4 3.24 3.02 6 4 0.09
Ethambutol Tablets 800 mg 3.74 23 7 4.35 4.2 15 6 0.61
Ethinylestradiol Tablets 0.01 mg 2.12 3 3 2.8 2 2 0.68
Folic Acid Tablets 5 mg 1.15 56 5 2.79 1.65 38 6 1.64
Gemcitabine hydrochloride Injection 1 g 5969.16 18 10 5108.66 4623.23 12 9 860.5
Gemcitabine hydrochloride Injection 200 mg 1304.86 15 9 1198.63 1525.4 11 8 106.23
Glibenclamide Tablets 2.5 mg 0.48 5 3 0.6 5 5 0.12
Glibenclamide Tablets 5 mg 0.96 13 2 0.64 0.91 11 3 0.32
Glucagon Injection 1 mg/ml 788.33 3 3 830.78 2 2 42.45
Glyceryl Trinitrate Injection 5 mg/ml 7.53 9 7 8.93 2 2 1.4
Glyceryl Trinitrate Sublingual Tablets 0.5 mg 1.85 3 2 1.69 2 2 0.16
5.6 Quantitative Analysis of the Impact of Using IMS vs. AIOCD Pharmatrac Data
Column 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Hydrochlorthiazide Tablets 12.5 mg 0.97 6 5 1.14 0.86 8 5 0.17
Hydrochlorthiazide Tablets 25 mg 1.66 6 5 1.87 1.17 7 5 0.21
Hydroxychloroquine phosphate Tablets 200 mg 5.64 15 11 5.58 11.14 16 10 0.06
Hyoscine Butyl Bromide Injection 20 mg/ml 9.84 9 2 9.84 9.83 3 2 0
Imatinib Tablets 400 mg 268.33 5 5 237.96 230.79 15 11 30.37
Imipramine Tablets 25 mg 0.75 13 10 1 0.94 17 7 0.25
Imipramine Tablets 75 mg 2 12 11 2.08 2.27 12 9 0.08
Indinavir Capsules 400 mg 19.41 3 2 16.67 2 2 2.74
Isosorbide 5 Mononitrate Tablets 10 mg 1.92 14 8 1.97 1.5 12 6 0.05
Isosorbide 5 Mononitrate Tablets 20 mg 3.29 21 10 3.33 2.65 20 8 0.04
Ketamine Hydrochloride Injectable 50 mg/ml 10.46 9 5 10.82 35.96 7 5 0.36
Lamivudine + Nevirapine + Stavudine Tablets 17.29 1 1 33.09 24.28 11 7 15.8
150 mg
Lamivudine + Zidovudine Tablets 150 mg + 300 mg 19.63 8 6 19.19 7 7 0.44
Leflunomide Tablets 20 mg 28.63 6 6 28.38 6 6 0.25
Lithium Carbonate Tablets 300 mg 1.41 13 9 1.72 1.48 16 7 0.31
Lorazepam Injection 2 mg/ml 7.39 4 2 8.39 16.15 3 1 1
Losartan Potassium Tablets 25 mg 2.5 55 16 2.38 2.36 54 17 0.12
Losartan Potassium Tablets 50 mg 4.3 58 16 4.54 4.33 61 19 0.24
Medroxy Progesterone Acetate Tablets 10 mg 5.24 10 5 5.02 4.35 12 7 0.22
Mefloquine Tablet 250 mg base 50.06 4 4 51.75 4 4 1.69
Methotrexate Tablet 2.5 mg 4.72 11 7 4.66 4.54 14 7 0.06
Methotrexate Tablets 5 mg 7.6 6 4 7.49 10.16 7 4 0.11
Methotrexate Tablets 7.5 mg 11.27 8 6 10.76 10.43 8 6 0.51
Methyl Ergometrine Tablets 0.125 mg 7.14 16 3 7.42 3.36 11 3 0.28
Metoclopramide Injection 5 mg/ml 2.09 14 7 2.09 0.64 6 5 0
5 Challenges with Fixing the Ceiling Price Under the 2013 DPCO
Metoclopramide Syrup 5 mg/5 ml 0.47 7 3 0.1 0.1 5 4 0.37
Metoclopramide Tablets 10 mg 1.04 13 7 1.32 3.95 9 3 0.28
Midazolam Injection 1 mg/ml 5.79 13 5 6.67 5.53 9 8 0.88
Midazolam Injection 5 mg/ml 24.78 7 4 19.4 27.67 5 4 5.38
Misoprostol Tablets 100 μg 9.43 4 3 8.62 7.31 6 4 0.81
Neostigmine Injection 0.5 mg/ml 4.04 11 5 6.53 84.54 6 4 2.49
Nifedipine Capsules 10 mg 1.18 7 5 1.45 0.95 7 4 0.27
Nifedipine Tablets 10 mg 1.13 4 2 1.37 1.06 11 6 0.24
Norethisterone Tablets 5 mg 5.07 26 9 5.42 4.24 22 9 0.35
Ofloxacin Syrup 50 mg/5 ml 0.67 65 17 0.13 0.13 52 10 0.54
Olanzapine Tablets 10 mg 5.32 37 17 5.58 4.89 44 17 0.26
Olanzapine Tablets 5 mg 2.9 42 18 2.95 2.75 47 15 0.05
Ondansetron Tablets 8 mg 11.07 21 8 10.29 10.58 18 9 0.78
Oxytocin Injection 10 iu/ml 37.7 4 2 43.15 48.15 2 1 5.45
Pantoprazole Injection 40 mg 47.93 57 13 10.51 25.44 69 12 37.42
Paracetamol Injection 150 mg/ml 3.29 12 4 3.56 3.55 9 4 0.27
Paracetamol Suppository 80 mg 4.88 2 2 6.95 2 2 2.07
Paracetamol Syrup 125 mg/5 ml 0.33 68 17 0.08 0.06 58 18 0.25
Paracetamol Tablets 500 mg 0.94 103 15 1.03 1.23 91 14 0.09
Penicillamine Tablets or Capsules 250 mg 13.12 4 4 13.82 3 3 0.7
Permethrin Cream 5% 1.77 23 10 1.77 1.63 21 10 0
Permethrin Lotion 5% 1.07 16 14 1.19 0.87 20 13 0.12
Phenobarbitone Tablets 60 mg 1.69 6 3 2.25 1.65 3 1 0.56
Phenytoin Sodium Capsules or Tablets 50 mg 0.77 12 4 0.82 0.79 7 3 0.05
Povidone Iodine Solution 10% 0.91 10 6 0.94 0.81 9 6 0.03
Povidone Iodine Solution 5% 0.39 48 9 0.64 18.64 28 7 0.25
5.6 Quantitative Analysis of the Impact of Using IMS vs. AIOCD Pharmatrac Data
Column 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Promethazine Tablets 25 mg 2.49 10 2 2.31 0.92 6 2 0.18
Propofol Injectable 1% oil suspension 7.94 16 10 8.48 10.77 10 9 0.54
Pyrazinamide Tablets 1000 mg 8.3 6 6 8.37 7.48 6 5 0.07
Pyrazinamide Tablets 500 mg 3.77 15 6 4.43 4.2 8 5 0.66
Pyrazinamide Tablets 750 mg 6.91 17 4 6.75 4.73 8 4 0.16
Quinine sulphate Injection 300 mg/ml 9.07 5 4 10.11 10.59 9 5 1.04
Quinine sulphate Tablets 300 mg 5.1 19 8 6.07 8.34 26 8 0.97
Rabies Vaccine Injection 302.39 6 6 311.3 306.66 11 7 8.91
Raloxifene Tablets 60 mg 9.89 7 3 12.49 8.99 5 3 2.6
Sodium Valproate Syrup 200 mg/5 ml 0.58 8 3 0.12 0.12 15 5 0.46
Sodium Valproate Tablets 200 mg 3.07 10 5 2.74 3.06 8 6 0.33
Stavudine + Lamivudine Tablets 30 mg + 150 mg 9.2 9 4 9.73 55.68 6 5 0.53
Streptokinase Injection 1,500,000 IU 2034.04 9 5 1196.51 2073.8 6 5 837.53
Sulphacetamide Sodium Drops 20% 1.73 3 2 2.51 3 3 0.78
Tamoxifen Citrate Tablets 20 mg 2.77 9 6 2.91 2.53 5 4 0.14
Testosterone Capsules 40 mg(as undecanoate) 10.96 6 4 13.91 4 4 2.95
Tetanus Toxoid Injection 10.29 7 4 527.12 458.93 23 12 516.83
Thiopentone Sodium Injectable 0.5 g Powder 41.67 4 2 48.58 2 2 6.91
Trihexyphenidyl Hydrochloride Tablets 2 mg 1.36 21 6 1.78 1.42 27 6 0.42
Tropicamide Eye drops 1% 9.6 5 4 11.38 10.37 6 5 1.78
Vancomycin Hydrochloride Injection 1 g 514.44 3 2 217.95 3 3 296.49
Vancomycin Hydrochloride Injection 500 mg 330.6 13 9 139.3 269.72 12 9 191.3
Vincristine Injection 1 mg/ml 50.6 5 4 48.48 68.06 9 7 2.12
Warfarin sodium Tablets 5 mg 2.24 4 2 2.93 2 2 0.69
Zidovudine + Lamivudine + Nevirapine Tablets 300 19.05 1 0 21.68 12.39 7 5 2.63
5 Challenges with Fixing the Ceiling Price Under the 2013 DPCO
5.6 Quantitative Analysis of the Impact of Using IMS vs. AIOCD Pharmatrac Data 99
reason for excluding such small SKUs, although not stated by the NPPA, is because
if they were allowed to influence the ceiling price, then firms can introduce several
SKUs with relatively higher prices and push the potential ceiling price upwards.
For example, GlaxoSmithKline introduced a 15-pack of Crocin Advance 500 mg,
an SKU of Paracetamol, in August 2011 with a per-tablet price of Rs. 1.59. In
comparison, the per-tablet price of most SKUs of Paracetamol 500 mg is less than
one rupee. In Table 5.5 we calculate a hypothetical ceiling price based on the prices
of the neglected SKUs, that is, SKUs with less than 1% market share. Among the
129 medicines listed in Table 5.5, in 29 cases, we could not compute a ceiling price
based on the neglected SKUs because such SKUs were not present in the AIOCD
data. Among the remaining 100 cases, in 68 of the cases, the AIOCD-based ceiling
price computed using the prices of neglected SKUs is lower compared to the
AIOCD-based ceiling price computed using the prices of SKUs with more than
1% market share. Furthermore, in 63 of the 100 cases, the AIOCD-based ceiling
price computed using the prices of neglected SKUs is lower compared to the
IMS-based ceiling price fixed by the NPPA.
We find that the number of SKUs differs between the NPPA and AIOCD datasets.
For example, among the 129 medicines listed in Table 5.5, the number of SKUs is
higher in the NPPA list for 72 medicines and lower in 39 cases. When we compare
the number of SKUs with more than 1% market share, the NPPA list has more SKUs
for 44 medicines and fewer in 39 cases. For some medicines, the coverage as
measured by the number of SKUs appears to be better in the IMS/NPPA list, and
for other medicines, the AIOCD dataset appears to be more comprehensive. For
example, the AIOCD dataset shows 15 different SKUs for Imatinib 400 mg tablets
with 11 of them holding more than 1% market share while the IMS dataset has only
five. On the contrary, IMS/NPPA list has 32 SKUs of Atorvastatin 5 mg tablets with
19 holding more than 1% market share while the AIOCD dataset contains 30 and
14 respectively.
The largest absolute difference between the NPPA and AIOCD ceiling price
reported in Table 5.5 is in the case of 1000 mg Gemcitabine hydrochloride injection
used for chemotherapy in treating cancer patients. The difference between the two
ceiling prices is Rs. 860.5 and we examine the reasons for the discrepancy further in
Table 5.6. The IMS/NPPA dataset contains 18 SKUs of Gemcitabine while the
AIOCD dataset for the period May 2012 to April 2013 contains 20 SKUs. However,
not every SKU with more than 1% market share during May 2012 to April 2013 has
sales and price information in May 2012. Only 12 of the 20 SKUs are represented in
May 2012 data of the AIOCD, whose prices can be used to determine the ceiling
price in the AIOCD dataset. The SKUs of Gemcitabine drawn from IMS/NPPA and
AIOCD datasets are shown in Table 5.6 along with their estimated market shares and
price to the retailer per injection. While Eli Lilly’s Gemcite 1000 mg SKU has the
same price of Rs. 6897.6 in both datasets, the market share of the SKU differs
significantly between the two datasets. Eli Lilly has a market share of 57% in the
IMS/NPPA dataset but only 12% in the AIOCD dataset. Overall, in many cases,
neither the prices nor the market shares match across the two datasets.
100 5 Challenges with Fixing the Ceiling Price Under the 2013 DPCO
Table 5.6 Comparison of Gemcitabine SKU prices in May 2012 in IMS/NPPA and AIOCD data
IMS/NPPA dataset AIOCD dataset
Market Market
Company Stock keeping unit (SKU) share Price share Price
SKUs appearing in both the IMS/NPPA and AIOCD datasets
Eli Lilly Gemcite Inj Iv Lyo V 1 g 1 57.10% 6897.6 12.10% 6897.6
Dr Reddys Cytogem Infus Vial 1000 mg 1 15.70% 4724.57 50.57% 3809.52
Labs
Fresenius Kabi Gemita Inj Iv Lyo V 1 g 1 4.80% 4650 3.69% 4904.8
Panacea Biotec Gemtrust Inj Lyo Vial 3.80% 4905 2.78% 4100
1000 Mg 1
Cipla Oncogem Inj Dry Vial 1 g 1 2.80% 6316.55 0.43% 5572.12
Alkem Celgem Inj Dry Vial 1 g 1 1.80% 4887.69 7.43% 4888.01
Intas Pharma Gemibine Inj Iv Lyo V 1000 mg 0.90% 4358.09 1.68% 4800
25 ml 1
Emcure Gemizan Inj Dry Vial 0.60% 4716.92 0.15% 4575
1000 mg 1
Rpg Life Emcitaben Inj Lyo Vial 1000 mg 0.50% 4905 6.59% 3920
Sciences 25 ml 1
Macleods Gemacta Inj Dry Vial 0.30% 2846.16 1.90% 3100.95
Pharma 1000 mg 1
SKUs appearing only in the IMS/NPPA dataset
Wockhardt Ltd Winogem Inj Dry Vial 1 g 1 5.70% 4639.17
United Biotech Biogem Inj Dry Vial 1000 mg 1 1.70% 5409.98
Vhb Gemset Inj Dry Vial 1 g 25 ml 1 0.10% 3261.83
Lifesciences
SKUs appearing in the IMS/NPPA and AIOCD datasets but prices unreported in the AIOCD
dataset in May 2012
Cadila Pharma Tabicad Inj Dry Vial 1 g 1 2.00% 4784.63 0.06% NA
Emcure Citafine Inj Dry Vial 1 g 1 1.20% 4672 3.14% NA
Khandelwal Gempower Inj Dry Vial 1 g 1 0.40% 4080.96 0.58% NA
Hetero Gemtero Inj Dry Vial 1 g 1 0.40% 6316.67 0.04% NA
Healthcare
Ranbaxy Xtroz Inj Dry Vial 1 g 1 0.30% 5242 0.42% NA
SKUs appearing only in the AIOCD dataset
Sun Pharma Gemtaz 1000 mg Injection 1 4.37% 3215.24
Lab. Ltd.
Gland Pharma Gemciglan 1000 mg Injection 1 0.85% 1809.52
Ltd.
SKUs appearing only in the AIOCD dataset with prices unreported in May 2012
Zydus Cadila Gembin 1000 mg Injection 1 2.44% NA
Parenteral Gemcitapar 1000 mg Injection 1 0.73% NA
Drgus
Zuventus Gemizan 1000 mg Injection 1 0.14% NA
(continued)
5.6 Quantitative Analysis of the Impact of Using IMS vs. AIOCD Pharmatrac Data 101
While the AIOCD data are likely to be relatively more accurate compared to the
IMS/NPPA dataset, the extent of discrepancy between the two datasets remains a
serious concern in determining the ceiling price. Among 18 to 20 SKUs present in
the two datasets, 15 SKUs are common between the two datasets, only 10 SKUs
have both the annual market share during the period and price information in the
month of May 2012. Five SKUs by Cadila, Emcure, Khandelwal, Hetero, and
Ranbaxy do not have any reported sales and price information in the month of
May 2012. Among these five, Cadila and Emcure have more than 1% market share
in both datasets, but they cannot influence the ceiling price because of the
unavailability of their price information. Six SKUs are present exclusively in the
AIOCD dataset, and two of them have more than 1% market share. While price
information for Zydus Cadila with 2.44% market share is unavailable for the month
of May 2012, Sun Pharma’ s Gemtaz brand of Gemcitabine with a market share of
4.37% is missing in the determination of the ceiling price by the NPPA using IMS
dataset.
The NPPA announced in May 2013 that it would use prices of May 2012 for
calculation of the ceiling prices under the DPCO 2013. This decision would mitigate
the effects of potential manipulation of prices in the period prior to the start of the
regulation. We further examine how the ceiling price would have changed if the
price for the months other than May 2012 had been used to determine the ceiling
price. We plot in Fig. 5.1 the ceiling price based on the primary method of averaging
the price to the retailers of SKUs with more than 1% market during May 2012 to
April 2013 using prices of these SKUs for each month. Such an exercise reveals how
the ceiling price would have changed if prices of other months are used for
determining the ceiling price rather than May 2012 prices alone, which may not
always be available in the IMS or AIOCD datasets. According to Fig. 5.1, the ceiling
price based on May 2012 prices is 5108.66, but it drops to around 4600 in some
102 5 Challenges with Fixing the Ceiling Price Under the 2013 DPCO
5100
5000
4900
4800
4700
4600
May 2012 Aug 2012 Nov 2012 Feb 2013 May 2013
Fig. 5.1 Ceiling price of Gemcitabine using the AIOCD data, computed using prices in each month
during May 2012 to April 2013
months and raises to 4900 in early 2013. These hypothetical ceiling prices, however,
are lower than the ceiling price of 5969.16 computed using the IMS data.
We repeat the exercise for 39 other medicines for which the NPPA fixed the
ceiling price on June 21, 2013. Table 5.7 compares the ceiling prices calculated
using IMS and AOICD data. For ten medicines on the list, the AIOCD-based ceiling
price is lower than the one fixed by the NPPA and higher for the remaining
25 medicines. For Ceftazidime1000 mg injection, the actual per unit ceiling price
fixed under the DPCO 2013 is 20% higher than the price calculated using AOICD
data. Consistent with earlier analyses, the extent of exact match between the two
ceiling prices is minimal.
Differences in the choice of datasets can lead to different ceiling prices. Even
while using the IMS dataset, the NPPA’s implementation of the methodology for
determining the ceiling price is not clear. We examine the case of Albendazole
200 mg/5 ml suspension, whose ceiling price was fixed on the 21st of June 2013.
According to the NPPA Working Sheet, there are 94 different SKUs producing the
medicine.2 We estimated the market share of each SKU in the list and presented the
results in Table 5.8. There are eight SKUs with more than 1% market share, but the
NPPA reports using 22 SKUs in determining the ceiling price. While not explicitly
mentioned, our calculations suggest that the NPPA rounded off the market share of
SKUs with more than 0.50% as 1%. As a result, SKUs such as Dr. Reddy’s Rediout
brand of 400 mg 10 ml suspension with a market share of 0.5176% is reported by the
NPPA as having 1% market share. Even under this unusual approximation, there are
2
http://www.nppaindia.nic.in/ceiling/press21june13/workingsheet-21-6-13.html
5.6 Quantitative Analysis of the Impact of Using IMS vs. AIOCD Pharmatrac Data 103
Table 5.7 Comparison of ceiling prices for medicines NPPA fixed the ceiling price on Jun 21 2013
IMS based AIOCD based
Medicine ceiling price ceiling price Difference
Acetazolamide Systemic Tablet 250 mg 3.69 4.48 0.79
Aciclovir Cream 5% 8.89 9.93 1.04
Albendazole Solids 400 mg 1.46 12.29 10.83
Albendazole Suspension 200 mg 1.47 1.95 0.48
Alprazolam Tablet 0.25 mg 0.95 1.28 0.33
Amikacin Injection 250 mg/2 ml 13.95 17.43 3.48
Amlodipine Tablet 2.5 mg 2.03 1.71 0.32
Amlodipine Tablet 5 mg 3.06 2.7 0.36
Amoxycillin Capsule 500 mg 6.09 7.67 1.58
Amoxycillin Suspension 125 mg 0.57 0.72 0.15
Ampicillin Capsule 500 mg 4.76 7.25 2.49
Ampicillin Injection 500 mg 13.41 20.39 6.98
Artesunate Solids 50 mg 20.04 20.84 0.8
Atenolol Solids 50 mg 2.08 2.5 0.42
Atorvastatin Solids 10 mg 5.92 6.54 0.62
Bromocriptine Solids 1.25 mg 7.57 9.59 2.02
Bromocriptine Solids 2.5 mg 13.6 13.85 0.25
Cefixime Tablet 100 mg 7.69 5.11 2.58
Ceftazidime Injection 1000 mg 229.19 190.98 38.21
Ceftriaxone Injection 250 mg 24.6 11.88 12.72
Diazepam Tablet 5 mg 1.32 2.3 0.98
Fluconazole Capsule 200 mg 38.91 37.91 1
Fluconazole Capsule 50 mg 10.16 8.75 1.41
Fluconazole Tablet 100 mg 14.15 4.63 9.52
Fluconazole Tablet 200 mg 25.86 28.71 2.85
Fluconazole Tablet 50 mg 7.83 6.85 0.98
Glucose Injectables 10% 0.05 0.05 0
Imatinib Mesylate Tablet 100 mg 87.59 97.11 9.52
Levo-Thyroxine (Synthetic) Tablet 100 mcg 1.11 1.12 0.01
Metformin Tablet 500 mg 1.57 1.92 0.35
Omeprazole Capsule 10 mg 2.76 1.5 1.26
Omeprazole Capsule 20 mg 3.02 5.09 2.07
Ondansetron Injection 2 mg/1 ml 7.38 7.77 0.39
Ondansetron Syrup 2 mg/5 ml 1.03 1.08 0.05
Primaquine Tablet 2.5 mg 1.54 2.03 0.49
only 14 different SKUs with more than 1% market share. Yet the NPPA reports
using prices for 22 packs in determining the ceiling price for the medicine at
Rs. 1.48. The ceiling prices based on eight or 14 SKUs are Rs. 1.80 or Rs. 1.70
respectively.
A deeper analysis of the ceiling price reveals that the NPPA uses the listed
number of packs starting from the top of the list. This means that in the case of
Table 5.8 NPPA’s calculations to determine the ceiling price for Albendazole 200 mg/5 ml suspension
104
Company SKU Sales Reported market share Price Market Share we Computed
Glaxosmithkline Zentel Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 227,190,459 0.53 2.02 52.52817
Alkem Noworm Susp 400 mg 10 ml 1 42,830,864 0.1 1.95 9.902822
Mankind Bandy Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 35,044,084 0.08 1.08 8.10246
Blue Cross Womiban Susp 200 mg 10 ml ml 1 (/5 ml) 25,375,927 0.06 1.91 5.867108
Cipla Bendex Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 23,485,722 0.05 1.73 5.430078
Ranbaxy Zeebee Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 12,501,945 0.03 0.53 2.890545
Indoco Abz Susp 10 ml 1 7,213,860 0.02 1.35 1.667899
Unichem Wormfix Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 5,392,763 0.01 1.91 1.246848
Micro Labs Xenda Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 3,763,669 0.01 1.70 0.870189
Albert David Sioban Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 3,486,108 0.01 1.78 0.8060148
Intas Pharma Abd Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 2,905,302 0.01 0.50 0.671728
Medo Pharma Alworm Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 2,497,120 0.01 1.69 0.5773532
Klar Sehen Odal Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 2,472,353 0.01 1.37 0.5716269
Dr Reddys Labs Rediout Susp 400 mg 10 ml 1 2,238,772 0.01 1.08 0.5176212
Mapra Labs Xenith Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 2,151,956 0 1.49 0.4975486
Juggat Pharma Cidazole Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 2,129,812 0 1.77 0.4924288
Zydus Cadila Olworm Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 2,111,061 0 1.48 0.4880934
Wallace Abwal Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 1,836,423 0 1.58 0.424595
Torque Pharma Ben Plus Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 1,824,483 0 2.09 0.4218344
Obsurge Biotech Ah-1 Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 1,740,667 0 1.33 0.4024555
Darkt Internation. Albend Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 1,530,226 0 1.40 0.3537999
Shine Pharma Albid Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 1,505,611 0 1.50 0.3481087
Novartis Intl. Kealwerm Syrup 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 1,475,580 0 1.69 0.3411654
Emcee Sidose Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 1,413,181 0 1.54 0.3267382
Shrinivas Labs Alvela Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 1,111,645 0 1.60 0.2570208
5 Challenges with Fixing the Ceiling Price Under the 2013 DPCO
Indoco Olban Susp 200 Mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 1,071,860 0 1.53 0.2478222
Lupin Limited Lupibend Susp 200 Mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 1,064,667 0 0.60 0.2461591
Burnet Pharma Ben Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 875,992 0 1.94 0.202536
Alembic Worid Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 865,290 0 0.66 0.2000616
Alkem Dispel Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 842,935 0 1.95 0.194893
Rpg Life Sciences Exyt Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 777,719 0 1.88 0.1798146
Micro Labs Albendol Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 761,730 0 1.58 0.1761178
Sterkem Beworm Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 759,923 0 1.84 0.1757
Torrent Pharma Alminth Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 686,836 0 1.31 0.1588017
Iatros Pharma Albenmint Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 621,888 0 0.81 0.1437853
Wockhardt Ltd Alzad Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 590,364 0 0.65 0.1364967
Makers Labs Wintil Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 588,748 0 0.65 0.136123
Zydus Cadila Zybend Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 534,989 0 0.64 0.1236935
Khandelwal Alltel Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 514,905 0 2.04 0.11905
Abbott Embee Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 472,076 0 0.50 0.1091476
Elder Pharma Eldoben Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 417,818 0 1.80 0.0966027
Mars Helmex Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 375,202 0 1.50 0.0867496
Alkem Elminex Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 366,777 0 1.46 0.0848016
Cadila Pharma Albendazole Syrup 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 328,768 0 0.67 0.0760137
Micro Labs Xenda Susp 200 mg 10 ml 50 (/5 ml) 324,606 0 1.09 0.0750514
Nestor Pharma Albest Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 320,270 0 1.23 0.0740489
Bestochem Albendabest Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 313,789 0 1.88 0.0725504
Dales Pharma Krumex Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 299,675 0 0.88 0.0692871
Mankind Mahabend Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 277,092 0 0.64 0.0640658
5.6 Quantitative Analysis of the Impact of Using IMS vs. AIOCD Pharmatrac Data
Cadila Pharma Vormout Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 226,069 0 0.51 0.0522689
Wockhardt Ltd Wozole Susp 10 ml 1 219,397 0 0.60 0.0507263
(continued)
105
Table 5.8 (continued)
106
Company SKU Sales Reported market share Price Market Share we Computed
Seagull Labs Spantel Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 211,310 0 1.80 0.0488565
Lincoln Pharma Anthel Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 203,260 0 1.06 0.0469953
Aglowmed Wormpel Susp 10 ml 1 202,110 0 1.55 0.0467294
Euphoric Pa-Pa A Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 199,173 0 1.30 0.0460503
Radicura Pharma Al Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 178,783 0 0.92 0.041336
Libra Drugs Zeben Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 128,357 0 1.13 0.0296771
Agio Pharma Albazio Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 114,080 0 1.11 0.0263762
Morepen Labs Mybend Liquid 400 mg 10 ml 1 110,830 0 0.63 0.0256247
Orchid Chem&Pharm Banhelmin Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 107,979 0 0.58 0.0249656
M M Labs Emanthal Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 107,916 0 0.93 0.024951
Cipla Tiobend Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 104,388 0 0.59 0.0241353
Glaxosmithkline Zentel Susp 200 mg 50 ml 1 (/5 ml) 97,523 0 0.96 0.0225481
Acron Alone Syrup 10 ml 1 95,207 0 1.45 0.0220126
Glenmark Labs Albact Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 94,685 0 1.01 0.0218919
Morepen Labs Morezole Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 92,755 0 2.40 0.0214457
Emcure Sezole Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 92,256 0 1.27 0.0213303
Cipla Xworm Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 91,113 0 0.70 0.021066
Seagull Labs Panamint Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 87,317 0 1.43 0.0201884
Shreya Life Scienc Alzist Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 73,921 0 1.80 0.0170911
Pharmindia Abend Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 51,687 0 1.25 0.0119504
Blue Cross Albendazole Syrup 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 46,620 0 1.11 0.0107789
Medley Pharma Odipar Susp 10 ml 1 42,845 0 0.55 0.0099061
Indoco Wormiknock Syrup 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 39,284 0 0.57 0.0090828
Ambalal Sarabhai Albendazole Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 38,072 0 0.64 0.0088025
5 Challenges with Fixing the Ceiling Price Under the 2013 DPCO
Pfizer Combantrin-A Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 28,779 0 2.09 0.0066539
Ind-Swift Elbenol Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 26,019 0 0.57 0.0060158
Cadila Pharma Wormin-A Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 23,534 0 1.12 0.0054412
Synchem Labs Mintel Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 22,840 0 1.57 0.0052808
Moraceae Pharma Morband Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 18,079 0 0.85 0.00418
Syncom Alb Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 10,596 0 0.60 0.0024499
Kanpha Bendol Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 8053 0 1.05 0.0018619
Zydus Cadila Cantel Syrup 10 ml 1 7225 0 0.50 0.0016705
Ranbaxy Albendazole Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 5802 0 0.98 0.0013415
Galpha Labs Helmanil Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 4500 0 1.56 0.0010404
Euphoric Abzole Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 4365 0 0.98 0.0010092
Lark Labs Toko Syrup 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 3845 0 0.72 0.000889
Caryl Pharma Alzol Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 3039 0 1.61 0.0007026
Zee Labs Altec Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 1408 0 1.35 0.0003255
Lincoln Pharma Bentel Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 989 0 1.80 0.0002287
Wings Pharma Albazole Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 924 0 0.53 0.0002136
Cipla Wormex Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 722 0 0.67 0.0001669
Invida India Albrodo Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 410 0 0.91 0.0000948
Stadmed Private Tagazole Susp 200 mg 10 ml 1 (/5 ml) 110 0 1.22 0.0000254
5.6 Quantitative Analysis of the Impact of Using IMS vs. AIOCD Pharmatrac Data
107
108 5 Challenges with Fixing the Ceiling Price Under the 2013 DPCO
Albendazole Suspension the first 22 packs on the working sheet are considered. It is
remarkable that not all of the 22 SKUs have a market share of 1% or more. Looking
closer at the companies producing the 22 packs considered, it seems that packs for
fixation of the price ceilings are not chosen based on the “branded-generic and
generic versions of a certain drug formulation” as stated in the DPCO 2013 having a
market share of at least 1% but based on the company’s total market share. In other
words, once a company has a single pack that meets the market share criterion, all
other packs with different retail prices produced by the same company are also used
for calculating the ceiling price.
Unfortunately, this procedure is repeated for all molecules on the Working Sheet
of June 21 2013, which has a significant impact on the level of the ceiling prices. We
repeat our analyses for Albendazole 400 mg/5 ml suspension and find similar
inconsistencies (see Table 5.9). The NPPA list contains 107 SKUs for 400 mg
Albendazole. Among them, 10 SKUs have a market share of more than 1% with
an estimated ceiling price of 12.71. There are 54 SKUs with more than 0.5% market
share and the ceiling price based on their prices is 12.28. Yet the NPPA’s ceiling
price is based on 32 SKUs and fixed at 9.12.
The above analysis shows two important findings. First, it clearly demonstrates
the ambiguity in the information the NPPA provides to the public. Second, it gives
evidence for the claim that the fixation of ceiling prices by the NPPA is not done
according to the own rules outlined in the DPCO 2013.
The inconsistencies described above are not exhaustive (Table 5.10). There are
identical packages with comparable brand names included in the NPPA list and the
AOICD list that match with dissimilar companies. Although it is possible that
different companies offering brands are named similarly, it looks like the NPPA
has confused company names sometimes leading to a lack of clarity on the type and
number of brands considered for price ceiling calculation. This problem seems to
apply to company Zydus Cadila in the IMS data set and company Biochem Phar-
maceuticals in the AOICD dataset, as well as to company Emcure in the IMS data set
and company Zuventus Healthcare in the AOICD data set. Take the case of
Amikacin. Here, pack Amicin Inj Vial 250 mg 2 ml x 1 with brand name Amicin is
produced by company Zydus Cadila at a price of Rs. 13.72 per unit according to the
NPPA list. The same pack Amicin Inj Vial 250 mg 2 ml x 1 is manufactured by
company Biochem according to the AOICD list at exactly the same price of
Rs. 13.72 per unit. Similarly, for Ampicillin capsule the pack Biocillin Caps
500 mg x 10 with brand name Biocillin is produced by company Zydus Cadila at a
unit price of Rs. 5.24 according to the NPPA and by Biochem at the same price
according to the AOICD. In the latter case, both companies also have identical
market shares. Moreover, looking at molecule Cefixime, the pack C-Tax-O Tabs
Dispers 100 mg x 10 with brand name C-Tax-O is listed by the NPPA for company
Emcure with a market share of 1% and a price per unit of Rs. 6.21 and by the AOICD
for company Zuventus with a similar market share and price. Also in the case of
Ondansetron 2 mg/5 ml the pack Emigo 2 mg Syrup 30 ml is produced by these same
companies at comparable prices. The reason for the mismatch between companies
and packages is unclear. A short search on the websites of the pharmaceutical
Table 5.9 NPPA’s calculations to determine the ceiling price for Albendazole 400 mg/5 ml suspension
Company SKU Sales Reported market share Price Market share we computed
Glaxosmithkline Zentel Tab Uncoated 400 mg 1 319,208,884 0.49 14.02 49.30674
Ranbaxy Zeebee Tabs Chew 400 mg 1 69,170,157 0.11 9.6 10.6844
Alkem Noworm Tab Uncoated 400 mg 1 43,831,785 0.07 12.77 6.770496
Cipla Bendex Tabs Chew 400 mg 1 35,547,976 0.05 12.07 5.490934
Mankind Bandy Tabs Chew 400 mg 1 31,024,473 0.05 6.54 4.792209
Blue Cross Womiban Tabs 400 mg 1 25,664,909 0.04 13.83 3.964342
Intas Pharma Abd Tabs 400 mg 1 8,909,485 0.01 9.84 1.376208
Mankind Bandy Tabs 400 mg 10 7,688,700 0.01 5.71 1.187639
Micro Labs Xenda Tabs Chew 400 mg 1 7,636,455 0.01 12.95 1.179568
Lupin Limited Lupiworm Tabs Chew 400 mg 1 7,134,612 0.01 12.26 1.102051
Indoco Abz Tabs 400 mg 1 6,070,724 0.01 11 0.937717
Unichem Wormfix Tabs Chew 400 mg 1 5,204,667 0.01 13.33 0.803941
Juggat Pharma Cidazole Tab Uncoated 400 mg 1 4,990,185 0.01 10.14 0.770811
Micro Labs Xenda Tabs 400 mg 30 4,963,188 0.01 8.96 0.766641
Zydus Cadila Zelbend Tabs 400 mg 1 4,725,737 0.01 9.63 0.729963
Albert David Sioban Tabs Chew 400 mg 1 4,543,932 0.01 12.24 0.701881
Shreya Life Scienc Albenum Tabs 400 mg 10 4,480,718 0.01 16.35 0.692116
Shrinivas Labs Alvela Tabs Chew 400 mg 1 3,881,264 0.01 12.18 0.599521
Dr Reddys Labs Rediout Tabs Chew 400 mg 1 3,355,741 0.01 5.77 0.518346
Alembic Worid Tabs Chew 400 mg 1 3,322,948 0.01 9.63 0.513281
Cipla Xworm Tabs Chew 400 mg 1 3,251,536 0.01 3.61 0.50225
Zydus Cadila Olworm Tabs 400 mg 1 2,414,483 0 10.63 0.372954
5.6 Quantitative Analysis of the Impact of Using IMS vs. AIOCD Pharmatrac Data
(continued)
Table 5.9 (continued)
110
Company SKU Sales Reported market share Price Market share we computed
Darkt Internation. Albend Tabs Chew 400 mg 1 2,001,086 0 9 0.309099
Shine Pharma Albid Tabs 400 mg 1 1,844,490 0 10.69 0.28491
Mapra Labs Xenith Tabs 400 mg 1 1,796,816 0 11.26 0.277546
Ranbaxy Albendazole Tabs 400 mg 1 1,752,600 0 8.4 0.270716
Medo Pharma Alworm Tabs Chew 400 mg 1 1,745,783 0 8.99 0.269663
Glaxosmithkline Zentel Tabs Chew 400 mg 2 1,725,090 0 10.55 0.266467
Iatros Pharma Albenmint Tabs 400 mg 1 1,246,181 0 10.49 0.192492
Zydus Cadila Albendazole Tabs 400 mg 1 1,243,641 0 3 0.1921
Alkem Dispel Tabs 400 mg 1 1,195,687 0 12.45 0.184692
Sterkem Beworm Tab Uncoated 400 mg 1 1,127,798 0 10.82 0.174206
Palson Drug All-In-1 Tabs 400 mg 1 1,104,213 0 9.83 0.170563
Wallace Abwal Tab Uncoated 400 mg 1 1,034,127 0 11.93 0.159737
Emcee Sidose Tabs Chew 400 mg 10 1,025,639 0 9.73 0.158426
Burnet Pharma Ben Tabs 400 mg 1 915,166 0 13.17 0.141362
Lupin Limited Lupibend Tabs Chew 400 mg 1 717,187 0 2.66 0.110781
Glaxosmithkline Zentel Tabs 400 mg 5 712,550 0 11.61 0.110064
Aglowmed Wormpel Tabs 400 mg 1 619,344 0 9.52 0.095667
Elder Pharma Eldoben Tab Uncoated 400 mg 1 615,004 0 13.9 0.094997
Indoco Olban Tabs Chew 400 mg 1 530,345 0 11.74 0.08192
Torrent Pharma Alminth Tabs 400 mg 3 516,406 0 9.98 0.079767
Nestor Pharma Albest Tabs 400 mg 1 484,634 0 9.65 0.074859
Micro Labs Albendol Tabs 400 mg 1 441,812 0 9.67 0.068245
Zydus Cadila Zybend Tabs 400 mg 1 390,024 0 1.71 0.060245
Dales Pharma Krumex Tab Uncoated 400 mg 1 364,844 0 6.4 0.056356
Mars Helmex Tabs 400 mg 1 352,921 0 13.04 0.054514
Lincoln Pharma Anthel Tabs Chew 400 mg 1 342,730 0 8.11 0.05294
5 Challenges with Fixing the Ceiling Price Under the 2013 DPCO
Laborate Pharma Abide Tab Uncoated 400 mg 1 339,984 0 12.26 0.052516
Emcee Sidose Tabs 400 mg 3 328,820 0 7.06 0.050791
Cipla Tiobend Tabs 400 mg 1 304,862 0 1.6 0.047091
Uni-San Pharma Helmix Tabs Chew 400 mg 1 304,341 0 8.43 0.04701
Satven&Mer Pharma Low Tab Uncoated 400 mg 10 303,459 0 0.8 0.046874
Radicura Pharma Al Tabs 400 mg 1 289,380 0 7.17 0.044699
Graf Labs D Worm Tabs 400 mg 1 287,930 0 10.73 0.044475
Makers Labs Wintil Tabs 400 mg 1 284,320 0 4 0.043918
Wockhardt Ltd Alzad Tabs 400 mg 1 282,795 0 1.4 0.043682
Wockhardt Ltd Wozole Tabs Chew 400 mg 1 269,132 0 1.75 0.041572
Novartis Intl. Kealwerm Tabs 400 mg 2 242,078 0 8.65 0.037393
Acron Alone Tabs Chew 400 mg 1 229,477 0 8.02 0.035446
Mankind Mahabend Tabs 400 mg 1 210,987 0 1.58 0.03259
Medo Pharma Alworm Tabs Chew 400 mg 10 196,806 0 6.97 0.0304
Klar Sehen Odal Tabs 400 mg 10 167,286 0 0.82 0.02584
Micro Labs Wormal Tabs Chew 400 mg 1 143,685 0 1.75 0.022194
Cadila Pharma Vormout Tabs 400 mg 1 139,855 0 1.36 0.021603
Ind-Swift Elbenol Tabs 400 mg 1 112,999 0 2.73 0.017454
Blue Cross Womiban Tabs 400 mg 4 88,964 0 6.89 0.013742
Morepen Labs Morezole Tabs Chew 400 mg 1 88,903 0 8.84 0.013732
Glenmark Labs Albact Tabs 400 mg 1 69,101 0 9.61 0.010674
Seagull Labs Panamint Tabs 400 mg 1 65,058 0 11.72 0.010049
Syncom Alb Tabs 400 mg 1 61,896 0 4 0.009561
Omega Remedies Albee Tabs Chew 400 mg 1 61,650 0 10.96 0.009523
5.6 Quantitative Analysis of the Impact of Using IMS vs. AIOCD Pharmatrac Data
Company SKU Sales Reported market share Price Market share we computed
M M Labs Emanthal Tabs 400 mg 1 42,942 0 6.14 0.006633
Libra Drugs Zeben Tabs Chew 400 mg 1 34,991 0 10.53 0.005405
Seagull Labs Spantel Tabs 400 mg 10 32,753 0 1.19 0.005059
Ashok Pharma Envorm Tabs Chew 400 mg 1 23,859 0 9 0.003685
Anglo French Drugs Albendazole Tabs 400 mg 1 22,086 0 3 0.003412
Maneesh Pharma Goworm Tabs Chew 400 mg 1 18,787 0 7.76 0.002902
Morepen Labs Mybend Tabs Chew 400 mg 1 18,168 0 1.5 0.002806
Noel Pharma Benz Tabs 400 mg 1 18,077 0 1.8 0.002792
Marc Laboratories Eraworm Tabs 400 mg 1 17,665 0 11.11 0.002729
Glenmark Pharma Milibend Tabs 400 mg 1 14,780 0 5.7 0.002283
Lark Labs Toko Tabs Fort 400 mg 1 14,055 0 4.33 0.002171
Medico Labs Mediminth Tabs 400 mg 1 10,649 0 4.11 0.001645
Pfizer Combantrin-A Tabs Chew 400 mg 1 7619 0 12.23 0.001177
Cipla Wormex Tabs Chew 400 mg 1 6984 0 3.25 0.001079
Unk. Generic Manf. Albendazole Tabs 400 mg 1 5405 0 1.09 0.000835
Indoco Wormiknock Tabs 400 mg 1 4880 0 1.42 0.000754
Zydus Cadila Zelbend Tab Uncoated 400 mg 4 2034 0 8.62 0.000314
Rpg Life Sciences Albendazole Tabs 400 mg 1 1476 0 2.4 0.000228
Pharmasynth Formul Nemofex Tabs Chew 400 mg 1 1144 0 24.34 0.000177
Syncom Alb Tabs 400 mg 10 1063 0 0.27 0.000164
Cadila Pharma Wormin-A Tabs 400 mg 1 769 0 9.05 0.000119
Mapra Labs Xenith Tabs Chew 400 mg 1 763 0 12.51 0.000118
Overseas Elbend Tab Uncoated 400 mg 2 314 0 9.81 4.85E-05
Overseas Elbend Tab Uncoated 400 mg 1 182 0 9.1 2.81E-05
Invida India Albrodo Tabs 400 mg 1 59 0 6.57 9.11E-06
Ar Ex Saf-A Tabs 400 mg 1 48 0 8 7.41E-06
5 Challenges with Fixing the Ceiling Price Under the 2013 DPCO
5.6 Quantitative Analysis of the Impact of Using IMS vs. AIOCD Pharmatrac Data 113
Table 5.10 Comparison of total number of packs, packs considered and similar packs considered
using IMS vs. AOICD data
N of N of N of packs N of packs Common
Medicine with ceiling price packs packs in used by used in N of
notified on 21st June 2013 in IMS AOICD NPPA AIOCD packs
Acetazolamide Systemic Tablet 8 9 3 6 3
250 mg
Aciclovir Cream 5% 7 8 6 5 4
Albendazole Suspension 200 mg 94 51 14 4 4
Albendazole Tablet 400 mg 107 91 32 6 6
Alprazolam Tablet 0.25 mg 84 70 17 8 7
Amikacin Injectables 250 mg 50 41 26 14 11
Amlodipine Tablet 2.5 mg 64 42 34 15 12
Amlodipine Solids 5 mg 88 71 42 17 14
Amoxycillin Suspension 125 mg 69 20 24 6 6
Amoxycillin Capsule 500 mg 105 58 18 7 5
Ampicillin Capsule 500 mg 28 11 13 4 3
Ampicillin Injection 500 mg 27 10 15 5 4
Artesunate Solids 50 mg 14 10 6 8 6
Atenolol Solids 50 mg 69 38 21 9 9
Atorvastatin Solids 10 mg 99 104 45 21 21
Bromocriptine Solids 1.25 mg 9 7 6 6 4
Bromocriptine Solids 2.5 mg 11 9 6 7 4
Cefixime Tablet 100 mg 121 125 48 20 18
Ceftazidime Injection 1000 mg 23 16 8 7 5
Ceftriaxone Injection 250 mg 67 55 28 14 11
Diazepam Tablet 5 mg 20 13 10 6 5
Fluconazole Capsule 200 mg 5 5 5 5 5
Fluconazole Capsule 50 mg 6 5 4 3 3
Fluconazole Tablet 100 mg 4 2 3 1 1
Fluconazole Tablet 200 mg 11 8 8 7 4
Fluconazole Tablet 50 mg 16 7 10 5 3
Glucose Injectables 10% 14 6 10 5 5
Imatinib Mesylate Tablet 100 mg 3 10 3 7 3
Levo-Thyroxine (Synthetic) 11 11 4 4 4
Tablet 100 mcg
Metformin Tablet 500 mg 100 94 44 15 15
Omeprazole Capsule 10 mg 11 7 4 2 1
Omeprazole Capsule 20 mg 117 78 26 5 4
Ondansetron Injection 2 mg/1 ml 71 59 31 12 10
Ondansetron Syrup 2 mg/5 ml 56 40 11 7 5
Primaquine Tablet 2.5 mg 3 4 2 4 2
Ispaghula Granules 29 3 20 1 0
114 5 Challenges with Fixing the Ceiling Price Under the 2013 DPCO
companies does not suggest any connection between the two, neither for Zydus
Cadila and Biochem nor Emcure and Zuventus. However, since the discussed
packages have a market share of more than 1%, the result is a lower number of
similar packs considered for price fixation.
References
Shankar, R. (2016b, July 12). DoP asks NPPA to re-fix ceiling price of ‘Clotrimazole Cream 1%’ on
review petition filed by Glenmark. PharmaBiz.com
Shankar, R. (2016c, December 12). DoP directs NPPA to adopt correct methodology in fixing
ceiling price of ciprofloxacin 500 & 250 mg tabs. PharmaBiz.com
Shankar, R. (2016d, July 18). DoP directs NPPA to examine new data to review ceiling price of
erythropoietin Inj 2000 IU & 10000 IU. PharmaBiz.com
Shankar, R. (2016e, October 21). DoP directs NPPA to re-fix and re-notify ceiling prices of
“Cefotaxime 1 gm injection”. PharmaBiz.com
Shankar, R. (2016f, September 12). DoP directs NPPA to re-fix ceiling price of ‘Coagulation Factor
VIII’. PharmaBiz.com
Shankar, R. (2016g, August 30). DoP directs NPPA to re-fix retail price of “azithromycin and
dexamethasone phosphate eye drops 3 ml vial”. PharmaBiz.com
Shankar, R. (2016h, September 27). DoP directs NPPA to revise ceiling prices of “Paclitaxel
injection, Carboplatin & Cisplatin” strictly as per para 4 of DPCO 2013. PharmaBiz.com
Shankar, R. (2016i, October 24). DoP quashes ceiling price of levoflexacin 500 mg by NPPA;
directs to refix ceiling price as per DPCO. PharmaBiz.com
Shankar, R. (2016j, May 16). NPPA asks retailers not to return stocks if manufacturers provide
current price list as per revised notified prices of drugs. PharmaBiz.com
Shankar, R. (2017a, February 6). DoP directs NPPA to re-fix retail price of teneligliptin 20 mg +
metformin 1000 mg ER tablets. PharmaBiz.com
Shankar, R. (2017b, September 21). DoP asks NPPA to re-fix ceiling price of co-trimoxazole tablet
after examining documentary proof submitted by Cadila Healthcare. PharmaBiz.com
Shankar, R. (2017c, May 3). DoP asks NPPA to refix prices of “Methotrexate 2.5 mg, 7.5 mg and
10 mg tabs” by considering only 8 formulations with SKU-wise MAT of more than 1% market
share. PharmaBiz.com
Shankar, R. (2017d, October 3). DoP asks NPPA to take expert committee’s opinion for fixing
ceiling price of methylprednisolone Inj 40 mg/ml. PharmaBiz.com
Shankar, R. (2017e, August 14). DoP directs NPPA to re-fix ceiling price of N-acetylcyseine
200 mg sachet. PharmaBiz.com
Shankar, R. (2017f, January 5). DoP directs NPPA to re-fix ceiling price of ondansetron 2 mg/ml
injectables. PharmaBiz.com
Shankar, R. (2017g, June 1). DoP directs NPPA to re-fix ceiling price of Ranitidine 25 mg/ml.
PharmaBiz.com
Shankar, R. (2017h, September 18). DoP directs NPPA to re-fix ceiling prices of clomiphene
100 mg and 50 mg tablets. PharmaBiz.com
Shankar, R. (2017i, August 31). DoP directs NPPA to re-fix the ceiling price of Furosemide
injection. PharmaBiz.com
Shankar, R. (2017j, January 12). DoP directs NPPA to revise ceiling price of formulation methyl-
dopa 500 mg tablet as per para 4(1) and para 6 of DPCO, 2013. PharmaBiz.com
Shankar, R. (2017k, November 11). DoP directs NPPA to take expert panel’s opinion on separate
ceiling prices based on pack sizes of methylprednisole injection. PharmaBiz.com
Shankar, R. (2017l, January 4). NPPA fails to fix ceiling prices of coronary stents due to insufficient
data. PharmaBiz.com
Shankar, R. (2017m, April 17). No provision in DPCO 2013 to differentiate consumer pack and
dispensing pack while calculating ceiling price: DoP. PharmaBiz.com
Shankar, R. (2017n, April 27). Sun Pharma gets favourable review on carboxymethylcellulose
drops 1% as DoP asks NPPA to re-fix ceiling price. PharmaBiz.com
Vijay, N. (2015, February 27). NPPA to discuss identification marks for drugs under ceiling price
with trade, BDCDA wants red color on packs. PharmaBiz.com
Yadav, L. (2016, July 20). DoP agrees to AIOCD’s demand for allowing sale of drugs at pre-revised
prices until their batch number expires. PharmaBiz.com
Part III
The Impact of the 2013 DPCO
Chapter 6
How Effective Are the 2013 DPCO
Regulations?
6.1 Introduction
In this chapter, we examine whether the 2013 DPCO has been successful in making
essential medicines more affordable. Before we do so, it is useful to recall historical
assessments of previous versions of the DPCO. Historical accounts indicate that
the implementation of DPCO regulations in India has been ineffective. In the 1970s,
the implementation of the recommendations of the Hathi Committee were delayed
by 4 years. Although the committee established the importance of focusing
price regulation based on the ‘essentiality’ of drugs rather than their prices, the
recommendation was forgotten by 2002, leading to a fresh debate on the issue. In
1979, the control of drug prices led to a troubling shortage of essential drugs, causing
hardships for patients (Basak 2008). The drafting of the drug policy was delayed in
the 1980s due to opposition from industry associations (EPW 1985). In 1986, the
pharmaceutical policy was still unclear about what drugs needed to be brought under
price regulation, allowing industry associations to influence regulators on behalf of
the pharmaceutical firms (Bal 1986a, b). In 1990, the industry and trade associations
warned about a possible nationwide strike unless the implementation of price control
was postponed (EPW 1990). Similarly, after the implementation of the 1995 price
control regime, prices of essential medicines rose, which benefited pharmaceutical
producers (Malhotra 2010; Rane 1996). Before we examine the effectiveness of the
2013 DPCO, we discuss the assessment by the NPPA as well as an assessment by the
pharmaceutical industry lobby in collaboration with IMS.
IMS evaluated the 2013 DPCO and released a report in July 2015. The study was
sponsored by the Organization of Pharmaceutical Producers of India (OPPI), an
industry association of foreign pharmaceutical firms operating in India, who were
less enthusiastic about the imposition of drug price controls in India. The IMS study
argued that price controls are neither an effective nor a sustainable strategy for
improving access to medicines for Indian patients and that they are counterproduc-
tive (PharmaBiz.com 2015). Nitin Goel, general manager, IMS Health South Asia
notes (PharmaBiz 2015):
Price control has limited impact on improving patient access and, furthermore, is not aligned
with the requirements of a vibrant economy like India. Government’s priority should be on
strengthening India’s healthcare infrastructure and extending universal insurance coverage.
The IMS report contains four key findings, which we list below (IMS Health
2015). We also identify potential limitations associated with each of the findings.
Finding 1. For low-income households that are reliant on the government system for
healthcare, DPCO would not improve the patient’s ability to purchase drugs. This is
supported by the fact that no significant penetration of price-controlled molecules in rural
markets is visible, with consumption in rural towns decreasing at ~7% over the last two
years. The price controlled molecules has also witnessed muted growth in prescriptions
outside metros (town class I) as compared to 5% Rx growth in non-DPCO molecules.
In theory, a decline in prices should make the medicines more affordable, partic-
ularly to low-income households in rural areas. Yet the study points to a decline in
prescriptions for price-controlled medicines compared to others. The result is sur-
prising, and the study does not elaborate on the potential underlying mechanisms
causing such decline in prescriptions in rural areas. Nevertheless, the study concludes
that the DPCO is ineffective. We identify the following limitations with this conclu-
sion. First, a decline in prescriptions can result from a shift in production as well as the
promotional effort by pharmaceutical firms away from regulated medicines and into
unregulated medicine markets. We will examine this mechanism in greater detail in
Chap. 7. Second, although the IMS study chooses to focus on low-income house-
holds, access to affordable medicines remains a problem for not only low-income
families but also for the vast majority of the population in India. Hence, the focus of
the 2013 DPCO is not merely to make medicines affordable to low-income families
alone, but to control the inexplicably high profit margins for both manufacturers and
retailers in the pharmaceutical industry, as discussed in Chap. 3.
Finding 2. DPCO has an impact on the tail-end brands than the leading players thereby
increasing market concentration and resulting in discontinuation of brands, with the average
number of brands in DPCO molecules reducing from 36 in 2013 to 32 in 2015. These market
forces can move towards strengthening of oligopolistic behavior, which will result in
reduced set of choices for the doctors/patients.
The basis for the assertion by IMS that the DPCO has an impact on the tail-end
brands alone is unclear. By contrast, as we discussed in Chap. 4, the DPCO takes
6.2 Revisiting an Evaluation of the Price Control Regulations Conducted. . . 121
into account SKUs with more than 1% market share in determining the ceiling price.
As a result, in the market for 500 mg Paracetamol tablets, the 14 SKUs with more
than 1% market share influence the ceiling price, but more than 100 tail-end brands
have no such influence. Also, as we documented in Chap. 3, the leading players in
the market usually also charge relatively higher prices. Consequently, the ceiling
price is generally non-binding concerning the tail-end firms. One would expect that a
well-executed DPCO sets ceiling prices that are binding for the leading brands. The
market structure of the medicine markets with more than 30 SKUs indicates that
there are a small number of dominant firms and a large number of relatively small
firms, commonly referred to as the competitive fringe. It is unclear from the IMS
finding whether SKUs produced by the dominant firms exited the market on those of
the tail-end firms. Overall, if the 2013 DPCO is designed and implemented well, and
pharmaceutical firms comply with price controls, and doctors and patients shop for
better prices, then the intensity of competition should increase between the tail-end
and the leading players.
Finding 3. The decline in R&D resulting in fewer new introductions of generic products;
Post DPCO 2013, the average number of new introductions in DPCO molecules has
declined, which also indicates increasing concentration and reducing competitive intensity.
The medicines brought under the DPCO are generally older, out-of-patent med-
icines. Pharmaceutical firms in India focus on promoting these medicines rather than
invest in R&D. It is unclear what IMS consider to be R&D in the context of DPCO
medicines, and whether the study can come to such conclusions without examining
medicine-specific and dosage-specific investments in R&D. To our knowledge, such
data are not compiled by the Center for Monitoring the Indian Economy (CMIE). In
addition, interpreting new SKU introductions of generic products as a measure of
R&D is highly problematic for several reasons. First, as we will examine later in the
book, the new introductions of generic products in the Indian pharmaceutical
industry typically involve innovations in packaging, branding, and marketing that
have per se no added therapeutic value. Second, as discussed in Chap. 3, a company
like Cipla introduces three different varieties of the same medicine under different
brand names and with different prices, and the brand with highest prices typically
has the highest market share. The presence of multiple such SKUs does not indicate
higher R&D expenses by Cipla. Third, there is anecdotal evidence to suggest that
pharmaceutical firms introduced new SKUs to circumvent DPCO regulations. For
example, GSK claimed that its new SKU of Paracetamol, introduced in August
2011, at a per-tablet price of Rs. 1.59 and a retail margin of 26%. GSK also
discontinued all older Crocin brands. The consumer division of GSK argued that
Crocin Advance is an innovative drug with an advanced technology compared to any
other brand of Paracetamol (Nautiyal 2014a, b, c April 7). GSK went on to claim
exemption from the DPCO regulations and refused to comply with the ceiling price
(Nautiyal 2014a, b, c April 7):
Crocin Advance has a superior pharmacokinetic profile to standard paracetamol tablets and
has been approved as New Drug Formulation by CDSCO. GSK had applied to NPPA
through Remedix Pharmaceuticals, the manufacturer of the drug, for grant of exemption
from price control under the provisions of Para 32, in DPCO 2013.
122 6 How Effective Are the 2013 DPCO Regulations?
While the study speculates that at the macroeconomic level, price controls have a
negative impact, there is little evidence gathered in the study to support the assertion.
Nonetheless, at the macro level, price controls on commonly used pharmaceuticals
can also have a positive impact on the health of the workers in the economy, which
can lead to higher productivity, and it is problematic to draw such far-reaching
conclusions without conducting a proper analysis.
The IMS study argues that drug price controls implemented in other countries
have failed to benefit the poor. In the Philippines, the sales of regulated drugs have
declined while unregulated drug sales increased. Some generic drug producers
experienced a decline in revenues by 50% due to lower drug prices under the price
control regime, which adversely impacted their ability to launch new drugs. Simi-
larly, in China, drug price controls led to a near zero profitability of drug manufac-
turers and retailers. Since hospitals and stores did not want to give up their margins,
they started prescribing and selling more expensive unregulated drugs to remain
profitable, which hurt the availability and affordability of drugs for the poor.
The IMS study provides several recommendations. The study suggests that the
government could: (i) strengthen healthcare financing by extending universal health
coverage; (ii) invest in healthcare infrastructure; (iii) promote joint and bulk pro-
curement by state governments; (iv) establish a tax on tobacco and liquor industry
to fund the healthcare sector and subsidize essential medicines from taxes; and
(v) setup dedicated generic medicine stores. The sweeping conclusions and recom-
mendations of the study are surprisingly based on an examination of only 18 med-
icines under the 2013 DPCO and 18 comparable counterparts not under price control
regulation. The IMS study claims that the list of medicines is “representative of the
whole universe and with strong statistical significance” and validated by key stake-
holders (IMS Health 2015, p. 3).
We deepen our examination of the manner of selection of 18 medicines employed in
the IMS study. We find that these medicines collectively account for 7% of the Indian
pharmaceutical industry between 2011 and 2012. Also, the medicines are partially
regulated, that is, only some dosages of the 18 medicines are regulated and others not,
and the regulated dosages account for 77% of the overall sales during 2011–2012,
indicating that the overall share of the regulated doses of the 18 medicines is closer to
5% of the Indian pharmaceutical market. The 18 medicines represent 6.7% of the
269 medicines under the 2013 DPCO during 2013–2014, as contained in the
Pharmatrac dataset. We present in Table 6.1 the list of 18 medicines under the 2013
Table 6.1 Selection of medicines in the IMS study evaluating the effectiveness of the 2013 DPCO
3-digit Non-
medicine Representative DPCO medicine DPCO Non-DPCO counterpart DPCO 3-digit 2-digit DPCO/Non-
# code selected by IMS for comparison sales selected in IMS study sales substitutes substitutes DPCO sales
1 A10B Metformin|A10B6 5 Glimepiride|A10B4 4.95 46 59 1.01
2 J2A Fluconazole|J2A4 2.18 Ketoconazole|D1A3 1.26 14 14 1.74
3 C8A Amlodipine|C8A1 6.22 Cilnidipine|C8A24 0.28 12 32 22.14
4 C10A Atorvastatin|C10A1 13.92 Rosuvastatin|C10A6 5.31 6 39 2.62
5 C9D Losartan|C9D3 3.95 Telmisartan|C9D4 5.9 6 48 0.67
6 B1C Aspirin|B1C1 0.64 Prasugrel|B1C23 0.28 12 34 2.32
7 C7A Metoprolol|C7A29 6.4 Carvedilol|C7A19 1.21 12 42 5.3
8 A6B Bisacodyl|A6B5 0.86 Lactulose|A6A4 2.63 5 25 0.33
9 A3F Metoclopramide|A3F19 0.64 Prochlorperazine|A4B4 1.1 41 92 0.58
10 A4A Ondansetron|A4A2 4.54 Granisetron|A4A1 0.19 8 23 23.72
11 N5D Alprazolam|N5D1 2.96 Etizolam|N5C8 0.34 16 62 8.64
12 M2A Diclofenac|M2A2 7.03 Aceclofenac|M1A1 1.22 12 17 5.74
13 N2B Paracetamol|N2B1 9.48 Analgin|N2B7* 0.87 11 28 10.9
14 R6A Cetirizine|R6A3 3.01 Levocetirizine|R6A13 2.34 47 47 1.29
15 P1B Albendazole|P1B1 1.98 Mebendazole|P1B2 0.2 11 46 9.84
16 J1C Amoxycillin|J1C1 5.7 Piperacillin|J1H5 0.0 25 153 >100
17 J1F Azithromycin|J1F1 9.8 Lincomycin|J1F6 0.5 15 153 19.54
18 J1D Ceftriaxone|J1D17 11.61 Cefoperazone|J1D22 0.31 58 153 37.73
6.2 Revisiting an Evaluation of the Price Control Regulations Conducted. . .
Notes: The table shows the 18 medicines under the 2013 DPCO selected for study by IMS and 18 other medicines not under DPCO selected for comparison. The
sales are based on Pharmatrac data between January 2011 and December 2012 and measures in billions of rupees. The 3-digit and 2-digit substitutes represent
the number of other medicines under the same therapeutic category at the 3-digit or 2-digit medicine code of the medicine under price regulation. The ratio
DPCO/Non-DPCO sales show the relative size of the regulated medicine compared to the unregulated medicine
Source: Author’s calculations
*Metamizole (commonly known as Analgin) is briefly banned in India in 2013 (Bhaumik 2013; Business Standard 2014)
123
124 6 How Effective Are the 2013 DPCO Regulations?
DPCO selected for study by IMS and the list of 18 other medicines not under DPCO
selected for comparison. The sales of these medicines are reported in billions of rupees
based on Pharmatrac data between January 2011 and December 2012. While IMS has
chosen only one medicine for comparison for each medicine under DPCO, there are a
large number of potentially comparable medicines within the 3-digit and 2-digit
therapeutic categories of the DPCO medicines. We identify the “3-digit and 2-digit
substitutes,” which indicate the number of other medicines under the same therapeutic
category at the 3-digit or 2-digit medicine code of the medicine under price regulation.
The ratio DPCO/Non-DPCO Sales shows the relative size of the regulated medicine
compared to the unregulated medicine. The ratio is significantly more than one in more
than half the cases, indicating that the comparison medicines chosen for the study are
significantly smaller relative to the medicines entering the 2013 DPCO.
Some medicines chosen for comparison are not the ideal choices. For example,
the choice of Metamizole, a drug banned in India in 2013 (since 1974 in Sweden and
1977 in the US due to an increased risk of agranulocytosis) as a comparison for
Paracetamol is surprising (Bhaumik 2013). Although the ban on Metamizole was
lifted in 2014, the manufacturers were required to display on packaging and promo-
tional materials the following: “The drug is indicated for severe pain or pain due to
tumor and also for bringing down temperature in refractory cases when other
antipyretics fail to do so” (Business Standard 2014). In addition, the market for
Metamizole is more than ten times smaller compared to Paracetamol. We also found
the choice of Piperacillin as a comparison to Amoxicillin surprising, because it is
more than 100 times smaller than Amoxicillin in sales.
The choices of medicines for comparison are surprising particularly because the
3-digit and 2-digit therapeutic categories contain a large number of other potential
substitutes. We compile the top-selling medicines in each of the 3-digit therapeutic
categories containing the 18 medicines selected for study by the IMS. We list the top
ten medicines including the medicine under the 2013 DPCO. For example, within
the A10B 3-digit category, Metformin is the third largest medicine in sales.
Although Glimepiride is comparable in sales to Metformin, two fixed-dose combi-
nations of Metformin outsell both Metformin and Glimepiride. Similarly, in the case
of Amoxicillin, its fixed-dose combination with Clavulanic Acid outsells the plain
medicine. Overall, as shown in Table 6.2, in six of the 18 cases, the comparison is
not present in the same 3-digit therapeutic category.1
Next, we limit the dataset to tablet and capsule formulations of the medicines chosen
in the IMS study and examine their prices over time. We compare the normalized prices
of 16 of the 18 DPCO medicines and their counterparts in the IMS study, which have
data for tablets or capsules. We plot in Fig. 6.1, the normalized prices of both prices for
each of the medicines, with solid line representing the price trend for the DPCO
1
Table 6.2 also reveals a significant limitation of the 2013 DPCO. While it controls the price of plain
medicines, its combinations are excluded from regulation. Also, several larger, often-prescribed
medicines within the same 3-digit therapeutic category are excluded. Overall, the use of relatively
smaller, and insignificant medicines for comparison cannot be described as a strength of the IMS
study design.
6.2 Revisiting an Evaluation of the Price Control Regulations Conducted. . . 125
Table 6.2 Top-selling medicines during 2011–2012 by 3-digit therapeutic categories containing
the 18 medicines chosen for analysis in the IMS Health (2015)
DPCO IMS Sales
# Metformin medicine control (Million Rs.)
1 Glimepiride + Metformin|A10B11 13730.1
2 Glimepiride + Metformin + Pioglitazone| 7742.23
A10B36
3 Metformin|A10B6 Yes 5001.63
4 Glimepiride|A10B4 Yes 4947.46
5 Gliclazide + Metformin|A10B10 3311.11
6 Voglibose|A10B22 3236.64
7 Vildagliptin + Metformin|A10B69 2626.35
8 Sitagliptin|A10B66 2300.11
9 Sitagliptin + Metformin|A10B68 2206.07
10 Vildagliptin|A10B67 2129.55
Fluconazole
1 Fluconazole|J2A4 Yes 2184.03
2 Terbinafine|J2A9 998.62
3 Caspofungin acetate|J2A23 728.167
4 Itraconazole|J2A7 488.84
5 Amphotericin B|J2A2 414.171
6 Voriconazole|J2A14 399.022
7 Griseofulvin|J2A8 322.486
8 Ketoconazole|J2A3 Yes 239.008
9 Anidulafungin|J2A19 88.449
10 Micafungin|J2A18 75.3856
Amlodipine
1 Amlodipine|C8A1 Yes 6223.78
2 S-Amlodipine|C8A2 2369.28
3 Diltiazem|C8A6 1500.64
4 Nifedipine|C8A16 1046.18
5 Cilnidipine|C8A24 Yes 281.105
6 Verapamil|C8A23 193.037
7 Nimodipine|C8A18 125.313
8 Lercanidipine|C8A12 88.9306
9 Felodipine|C8A7 44.8254
10 Levosimendan|C8A26 13.2279
Atorvastatin
1 Atorvastatin|C10A1 Yes 13917.5
2 Rosuvastatin|C10A6 Yes 5306.67
3 Simvastatin|C10A7 521.698
4 Pitavastatin|C10A8 29.1274
5 Fluvastatin|C10A3 12.0721
6 Lovastatin|C10A4 6.73759
7 Pravastatin|C10A5 0.197357
(continued)
126 6 How Effective Are the 2013 DPCO Regulations?
medicine. We obtain the normalized price by dividing the maximum retail price at the
SKU-level by the number of tablets in the SKU as well as the strength of the tablet to
obtain a per-milligram price. We then divide the price we observe for the medicine in
the first month they appear in the dataset, which results in the initial price of one. In
more than half of the graphs, the price trends for the DPCO and the non-DPCO
molecule vary differently over time. Using a similar procedure, we plot in Fig. 6.2
the normalized sales of these 16 medicines in their tablet or capsule form over time. We
find that the normalized sales of the DPCO and other medicines depart from each other
significantly in as many as eight cases.
A significant limitation of the IMS study is that it compares medicines that are
selected for price regulation with other medicines. As we discussed so far, any such
comparisons, however well-conceived, remain open to criticism, as different med-
icines are only imperfect substitutes with fundamental differences in their prescrip-
tion and usage patterns over time. One alternative is to examine different dosages of
the same medicine that entered price control regulation. We will exploit this insight
in our own evaluation of the efficacy of the 2013 DPCO subsequently.
130
Fig. 6.1 Normalized price trends, plotted on y-axis, of 16 of the 18 DPCO medicines and their counterparts in the IMS study, the solid line represents DPCO
medicine. Notes: The 16 DPCO medicines from left to right and then from top to bottom are Metformin, Fluconazole, Amlodipine, Atorvastatin, Losartan,
6 How Effective Are the 2013 DPCO Regulations?
Aspirin, Metoprolol, Bisacodyl, Metoclopramide, Ondansetron, Alprazolam, Diclofenac, Paracetamol, Cetirizine, Albendazole, and Azithromycin
6.2 Revisiting an Evaluation of the Price Control Regulations Conducted. . .
131
Fig. 6.2 Sales over time for 16 of the 18 DPCO medicines and their counterparts in the IMS study
132 6 How Effective Are the 2013 DPCO Regulations?
We revisited the IMS study in this section primarily to highlight the difficulty in
evaluating the effectiveness of the 2013 price control regulations. In light of the
above shortcomings of the study, it is important to deepen the analysis and examine
how firms responded to the regulations.
The 2013 DPCO regulated 348 medicines while more than 2900 medicines are sold
in India. One way to gauge the effectiveness of the 2013 DPCO is by its scope.
Recall that the scope of pharmaceutical regulation varied significantly since the
1970s. The 1979 DPCO controlled 347 bulk drugs covering nearly 80% of the
market. However, the proposed (but never implemented) policy of 2004 reduced the
number of medicines to 35, which covered only 20% of the market. By contrast, the
2013 DPCO has covered nearly 350 medicines. On the surface, it appears that a
significant portion of the market must be affected by the expansion of the number of
medicines under price controls in 2013.
To examine the scope of 2013 DPCO, we plot the sales of medicines under
regulation and those excluded from regulation in Fig. 6.3. We find that the sales of
regulated medicines remain constant at around 10 billion rupees while that of the
unregulated market doubled from 40 billion in 2011 to 80 billion in 2016. The share
of sales of regulated medicines decreased from 20% of the overall market in 2011 to
11% in 2016. Next, we plot the number of SKUs for the regulated and unregulated
Fig. 6.3 The sales of medicines under 2013 DPCO over time in billion rupees
6.3 The 2013 DPCO Controls a Declining Share of the Indian Pharmaceutical Market 133
Fig. 6.4 The number of unique SKUs under 2013 DPCO over time in thousands
medicines in Fig. 6.4. We find that the number is declining for the regulated
medicines from 7466 in January 2011 to 6323 in July 2016. By contrast, the number
of SKUs for the unregulated medicines increased from 45,515 to 53,361 during the
same period, indicating a potential adverse impact of regulation on the introduction
of new varieties, as the IMS study concludes. While the IMS study interprets these
numbers as reflective of investments in R&D, we hypothesize that the pharmaceu-
tical firms strategically reduced the number of SKUs in regulated medicines and
increased the number of SKUs in unregulated medicines to mitigate the adverse
impact of regulation. A close examination of the trends indicates that the number of
SKUs among the unregulated medicines remained constant until the end of 2013,
and began to increase rapidly afterward.
Next, we report the share of sales attributed to regulated medicine SKUs by 3-digit
therapeutic category. We do so for the partial list of 3-digit categories with a non-zero
percent of the market that in 2011 is likely to enter regulation. In other words, we
exclude from this list those 3-digit classes that were unaffected by the 2013 regulation,
as they would have a zero percent share of sales attributed to the regulated medicines.
Among the 127 categories in the list, there are 46 categories with less than 10% of the
market under regulation and six categories with more than 90% of the market under
regulation. Overall, for 101 3-digit category markets, the percentage of regulated
medicines by sales is less than 50, indicating that the scope of the 2013 DPCO is limited.
As noted in our discussion of the IMS study, the presence of a large number of
potential substitutes within the same 3-digit therapeutic category that are not regu-
lated allows firms to mitigate the impact of regulation. The limitation of the 2013
DPCO goes further than the number of medicines it regulates, but the extent of the
dosages within each medicine market that it regulates. Next, we examine the partial
nature of the price regulation at the medicine level Table 6.3.
134 6 How Effective Are the 2013 DPCO Regulations?
Table 6.3 The percentage share of sales by regulated medicines in 3-digit therapeutic category
markets
3-digit Share in Share in Share in Share in Share in
# category 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
1 A10B 6.17 5.95 5.3 4.72 4.11
2 A10G 70.69 69.32 59.65 56.56 53.86
3 A10H 70.88 70.59 62.53 56.65 62.85
4 A11E 0.05 0.18 0.22 0.22 0.24
5 A11X 9.03 24.76 4.96 4.75 4.73
6 A12A 0 0.19 0.39 0.3 0.14
7 A12C 78.63 80.8 78.72 77.16 74.39
8 A2A 0.73 1.1 4.42 5.7 5.85
9 A2B 4.85 5.49 4.78 4.02 3.86
10 A2C 28.59 28.4 26.54 23.14 24.77
11 A2E 2.69 1.8 2.01 0.44 0.06
12 A3A 29.16 30.7 28.33 20.96 18.76
13 A3F 5.35 4.65 3.67 2.84 2.34
14 A4A 67.85 68.15 67.58 68.53 63.66
15 A4B 21.61 19.86 17.91 15.47 13.87
16 A6B 43.8 48.96 45.21 34.14 37.48
17 A6C 44.84 40.95 39.31 37.97 37.78
18 A7A 8.88 8.17 9.18 9.66 9.14
19 A7E 41.38 36.74 34.15 30.48 27.85
20 A7G 63.14 61.81 57.55 57.17 57.08
21 B1A 7.91 7.49 9.47 5 4.31
22 B1B 64.29 69 68.31 69.17 69.46
23 B1C 32.15 36.48 39.75 36.6 33.94
24 B1D 14.66 17.17 19.91 15.23 18.45
25 B1X 28.75 15.35 12.76 8.47 7.29
26 B2D 40.93 34.64 61.87 1.25 8.92
27 B3A 7.16 7.15 5.18 4.25 4.97
28 C10A 38.83 34.53 29.75 24.38 22.05
29 C1A 93.89 92.78 89.96 91.27 92.25
30 C1B 78.75 75.95 78.64 78.28 78.58
31 C1C 16.72 15.16 9.22 6.72 5.29
32 C1E 26.01 25.05 22.17 17.51 16.08
33 C2A 37.53 30.53 23.93 20.42 6.29
34 C2B 0.19 0.27 0.1 0.06 0.17
35 C3A 19.28 19.69 11.9 9.37 7.49
36 C3C 7.36 6.77 5.52 3.69 3.1
37 C3F 94.23 98.8 98.86 98.83 98.43
38 C7A 52.86 52.55 50.9 46.99 46.86
39 C8A 60.14 61.05 58.89 51.6 47.88
40 C9A 17.21 16.88 18.9 16.11 15.62
41 C9D 32.64 28.1 23.64 18.96 17.48
(continued)
6.3 The 2013 DPCO Controls a Declining Share of the Indian Pharmaceutical Market 135
The 2013 DPCO only partially regulates the Indian pharmaceutical industry. Not
only does the DPCO exclude a large number of medicines but it also excludes
several dosage markets within many regulated medicines. To illustrate the nature of
such incomplete regulation, we compile a list of 108 medicines in their tablet or
capsule form that entered the 2013 DPCO but contained some regulated and other
unregulated dosages. We present the list in Table 6.4. We calculate the market share
of each of the dosage within the medicine market during 2011–2012 using the
Pharmatrac dataset. Some dosages have a very small market share of less than
0.01, but we include them for completeness and report their market share approxi-
mated as 0.00. At the top of the table, Aciclovir tablets are sold in four dosage
markets, 200 mg, 400 mg, 800 mg, and 1200 mg. The 200 mg and 400 mg dosage
markets are regulated, and they account for 14 and 39% market shares respectively.
The 800 mg and 1200 mg dosage markets are unregulated and account for nearly
46.5% market share. The effectiveness of the regulation is significantly affected by
such partial regulation, as firms can adjust to price controls in the regulated dosage
markets by shifting production to the unregulated dosage markets and increasing
prices in those markets.
Although the DPCO regulated some dosages, for some medicines the market
share of the regulated doses more than 90%. For example, 400 mg of Albendazole is
regulated and accounts for nearly 99% of the market. However, as we discussed in
Table 6.2, fixed-dose combinations of Albendazole, such as Albendazole + Iver-
mectin and Albendazole + Levamisole are not regulated. Also, other close plain
medicine substitutes within the same 3-digit category, such as Mebendazole are not
regulated, which undermines the effectiveness of the regulation.
We compile a similar list of partially regulated medicines in their injection or
infusion form in Table 6.5 and for medicines administered as syrups in Table 6.6.
Some injection SKUs contained in the Pharmatrac data do not report their dosage
strength. Consequently, we do not take into account these SKUs in calculating the
market shares during 2011–2012. Nonetheless, we find as many as 70 medicines
with some injection doses regulated and other unregulated and 17 such syrups.
138 6 How Effective Are the 2013 DPCO Regulations?
Table 6.4 The partial or incomplete nature of the 2013 price controls for 108 essential medicine in
their tablet form
Regulated tablet Paragraph-19
Medicine|4-digit doses (market Unregulated tablet doses doses (market
# category share) (market share) share)
1 Aciclovir|J5A4 400 mg (39.40), 1200 mg (.67), 800 mg
200 mg (14.02) (45.90)
2 Albendazole|P1B1 400 mg (99.33) 200 mg (.66)
3 Allopurinol|M4A4 100 mg (83.69) 250 mg (2.89), 300 mg
(13.39), 20 mg (.01)
4 Alprazolam|N5D1 0.5 mg (56.88), 20 mg (.02), 100 mg
0.50 mg (.49), (0.00), 12.5 mg (0.00),
0.25 mg (36.25) 1.5 mg (.36), 0.125 mg
(.05), 6.25 mg (0.00),
2 mg (.18), 1 mg (5.71),
10 mg (.00), 5 mg (0.00),
15 mg (0.00)
5 Amitriptyline|N6A1 25 mg (35.95) 5 mg (.12), 10 mg (52.75),
75 mg (4.82), 50 mg
(6.34)
6 Amlodipine|C8A1 5 mg (74.59), 7.5 mg (.01), 50 mg (0.00) 10 mg (9.15)
2.5 mg (16.21)
7 Amoxycillin|J1C1 250 mg (19.79), 500 mg (3.00), 100 mg
500 mg (50.15) (.00), 50 mg (0.00),
125 mg (5.86), 200 mg
(.30), 400 mg (.28),
250 mg (20.40), 875 mg
(.20), 228.5 mg (0.00)
8 Ampicillin|J1C7 250 mg (29.84), 500 mg (.01), 125 mg
500 mg (57.66) (4.23), 2.5 mg (.02), 5 mg
(.01), 250 mg (8.18)
9 Aspirin|B1C1 75 mg (39.29), 162.5 mg (.25), 50 mg
325 mg (2.41), (3.95), 80 mg (.09),
100 mg (14.17) 650 mg (.02), 20 mg
(0.00), 150 mg (38.72),
60 mg (0.00), 163 mg
(1.05)
10 Atenolol|C7A5 50 mg (60.38), 40 mg (0.00), 500 mg 12.5 mg (.87),
100 mg (2.91) (.01), 750 mg (0.00), 25 mg (35.77)
75 mg (.02)
11 Atorvastatin|C10A1 5 mg (3.83), 20 mg (.00), 1000 mg 20 mg (28.84),
10 mg (48.11) (0.00) 80 mg (3.00),
40 mg (16.19)
12 Azathioprine|L4A3 50 mg (98.70) 25 mg (1.28)
13 Azithromycin|J1F1 250 mg (31.81), 20 mg (0.00), 250 mg
100 mg (2.81), (.17), 600 mg (0.00),
500 mg (64.77) 150 mg (.17), 500 mg
(.09), 10 mg (0.00), 50 mg
(.00), 1000 mg (.14),
200 mg (0.00)
(continued)
6.4 The 2013 DPCO Controls Medicine Markets Only Partially 139
One may argue that it is sufficient to regulate one of the doses of an essential
medicine and that it would automatically lower prices in other dosage markets. For
example, in the market for Aciclovir, if the 800 mg tablet is more expensive because
it is unregulated, an informed consumer can potentially substitute it with two 400 mg
tablets, which are price-controlled. However, as we discussed in Chap. 3, consumers
are not aware of the choices they have, and physicians and pharmacies have an
incentive to prescribe and sell the relatively more expensive medicine because they
receive a higher profit margin in absolute terms.
6.4 The 2013 DPCO Controls Medicine Markets Only Partially 145
Table 6.5 The partial or incomplete nature of the 2013 price controls for 70 essential medicine in
their injection form
Paragraph-19
Medicine|4-digit Regulated dose dose (market
# category (market share) Unregulated dose (market share) share)
1 Adenosine|C1B1 3 mg (25.52) 30 mg (3.42), 6 mg (71.05)
2 Amikacin|J1 K4 250 mg (16.28) 100 mg (12.30), 500 mg (71.00),
50 mg (.00), 25 mg (.03),
1000 mg (.37)
3 Amiodarone|C1B3 50 mg (1.78) 150 mg (98.20)
4 Amphotericin B| 50 mg (77.97) 500 mg (0.00), 10 mg (12.46),
J2A2 100 mg (8.27), 25 mg (1.29)
5 Ampicillin|J1C7 500 mg (62.40) 250 mg (22.14), 100 mg (6.84),
1000 mg (8.60)
6 Atracurium|M3A2 10 mg (14.32) 50 mg (24.02), 25 mg (53.72),
100 mg (3.38), 2.5 mg (4.55)
7 Azithromycin|J1F1 500 mg (.00) 250 mg (0.00)
8 Betamethasone| 4 mg (99.98) 5 mg (.00)
H2A9
9 Carboplatin|L1X2 150 mg (25.45), 600 mg (.5.00)
450 mg (74.05)
10 Cefotaxime|J1D13 250 mg (16.47), 375 mg (.03), 750 mg (0.00),
125 mg (4.34), 1000 mg (52.43)
500 mg (26.70)
11 Ceftazidime|J1D20 1000 mg 500 mg (4.44), 125 mg (2.98),
(62.95), 250 mg 2000 mg (9.57)
(20.03)
12 Ceftriaxone|J1D17 1000 mg 500 mg (13.85), 125 mg (2.02),
(67.69), 250 mg 2000 mg (4.55)
(11.85)
13 Chloroquine|P1D1 40 mg (96.52) 64.5 mg (3.47)
14 Ciprofloxacin|J1G1 200 mg (68.19) 100 mg (.76), 125 mg (4.86),
400 mg (1.42), 2 mg (21.60),
250 mg (.44), 500 mg (2.42),
50 mg (.27)
15 Cisplatin|L1X3 50 mg (87.51), 100 mg (.18)
10 mg (12.30)
16 Cloxacillin|J1C23 250 mg (9.56) 500 mg (90.44)
17 Cyclophosphamide| 500 mg (27.56) 200 mg (18.13), 1000 mg
L1A3 (54.29)
18 Cyclosporin|L4A4 100 mg (53.88) 50 mg (46.11)
19 Dacarbazine| 500 mg (49.75) 200 mg (49.95), 100 mg (.30)
L1A23
20 Dexamethasone| 4 mg (99.76) 20 mg (.20), 10 mg (.00), 0.5 mg
H2A5 (0.00)
21 Diazepam|N5D9 5 mg (10.53) 10 mg (89.45)
22 Diclofenac|M1A12 25 mg (18.79) 50 mg (.40), 12.5 mg (.00),
80 mg (0.00), 75 mg (80.70),
3 mg (0.00), 100 mg (.07)
(continued)
146 6 How Effective Are the 2013 DPCO Regulations?
Table 6.6 The partial or incomplete nature of the 2013 price controls for 70 essential medicine in
their syrup form
Medicine|4-digit Regulated dose
# category (market share) Unregulated dose (market share)
1 Albendazole|P1B1 200 mg (87.18) 400 mg (12.81)
2 Amoxycillin|J1C1 125 mg (79.44) 400 mg (.40), 250 mg (19.81), 50 mg (.03),
100 mg (.02), 200 mg (.25)
3 Ampicillin|J1C7 125 mg (77.00) 250 mg (23.00)
4 Azithromycin|J1F1 100 mg (41.79) 2000 mg (.75), 250 mg (.56), 50 mg (.15), 500 mg
(.02), 200 mg (55.88), 125 mg (.62), 20 mg (.10),
40 mg (.10)
5 Cefalexin|J1D1 125 mg (49.08) 150 mg (0.00), 250 mg (50.86), 500 mg (.03)
6 Cetirizine|R6A3 5 mg (96.05) 10 mg (.70), 1 mg (3.25)
7 Chloroquine|P1D1 50 mg (85.83) 80 mg (10.68), 125 mg (.28), 160 mg (0.00),
250 mg (2.88), 100 mg (.33)
8 Domperidone|A3F7 1 mg (93.30) 5 mg (1.74), 10 mg (4.96)
9 Erythromycin|J1F4 125 mg (64.33) 100 mg (35.61), 250 mg (.03), 50 mg (.00)
10 Ibuprofen|M1A30 100 mg (74.47) 200 mg (25.53)
11 Metronidazole|A7A1 100 mg (4.84) 125 mg (6.30), 200 mg (88.84)
12 Ofloxacin|J1G9 50 mg (64.94) 400 mg (.74), 100 mg (30.76), 200 mg (3.56)
13 Ondansetron|A4A2 2 mg (97.98) 4 mg (1.50), 12 mg (.50)
14 Paracetamol|N2B1 125 mg (26.06) 250 mg (48.24), 156.25 mg (.25), 60 mg (.00),
156 mg (.00), 240 mg (.00), 100 mg (.20), 150 mg
(1.19), 500 mg (.15), 650 mg (.02), 120 mg
(23.80)
15 Piperazine|P1B6 750 mg (98.81) 500 mg (1.17)
16 Promethazine|A4B1 5 mg (99.93) 250 mg (.05), 125 mg (.02)
17 Sodium Valproate| 200 mg (99.41) 100 mg (.57)
N3A14
After the NPPA fixed prices of several medicines in 2013, it noticed that the prices
of several anti-diabetic medicines that are not regulated but serve as close substitutes
(such as Glimepiride for Metformin in the IMS study) were brought under price
regulation by invoking the 19th Paragraph of the 2013 DPCO, which applies to the
fixation of ceiling prices under special circumstances (DPCO 2013, p. 17):
Notwithstanding anything contained in this order, the Government may, in case of extra-
ordinary circumstances, if it considers necessary so to do in public interest, fix the ceiling
price or retail price of any Drug for such period, as it may deem fit and where the ceiling
price or retail price of the drug is already fixed and notified, the Government may allow an
increase or decrease in the ceiling price or the retail price, as the case may be, irrespective of
annual wholesale price index for that year.
Using paragraph-19, the NPPA fixed the prices of 108 medicines in mid-2014
although they were not initially regulated under the 2013 DPCO, and were not
included in the National List of Essential Medicines in 2011. In some cases, new
dosages of previously price-controlled medicines were added to the list. For exam-
ple, 10 mg tablets of Amlodipine were added to the list of regulated medicines after
6.5 The 2013 DPCO Did Not Lower Prices of Regulated Medicines Overall 149
In the interim, companies such as Pfizer, Cipla, and Sanofi lowered prices on some
diabetic medicines previously not listed under 2013 DPCO and lobbied against the
order directly with the union minister for chemicals and fertilizers (Nautiyal 2014c). In
a surprise move, the Indian government rolled back the NPPA’s invocation of para-
graph 19 by directing its Department of Pharmaceuticals in the Ministry of Chemicals
and Fertilizers to withdraw its guidelines with immediate effect (Nautiyal 2014c). The
OPPI noted that they appreciated the government’s decision to withdraw and that they
look forward to working with the government toward a common goal (Nautiyal 2014c).
Fig. 6.5 Weighted price of regulated medicines in tablet form over time
6.5 The 2013 DPCO Did Not Lower Prices of Regulated Medicines Overall 151
Fig. 6.6 Weighted price of regulated medicines in tablet form over time, excluding SKUs with 1%
market share
Fig. 6.7 Weighted price of regulated medicines in injection form over time
high prices, but due to the pricing choices of the large SKUs that contributed to the
determination of the ceiling price eventually.
We repeat the analysis for drug types other than tablets and find similar results. In
Fig. 6.7, we plot the price index for injections and find an increase much larger than that
observed for Tablets. We find an increase of 50% in May 2012 compared to the initial
level of one in January 2011. In Fig. 6.8, we plot the price index for syrup and
152 6 How Effective Are the 2013 DPCO Regulations?
Fig. 6.8 Weighted price of regulated medicines in syrup form over time
Fig. 6.9 Weighted price of top 3 SKUs of regulated medicines in tablet form over time
suspension SKUs that entered the 2013 DPCO and find a similar increase in the price
index to 1.3 in May 2012 and although the index declines to 1.1 in late 2013, it then
steadily increases to 1.4. We also restrict the SKUs to top three by market share and
repeat the analysis. We plot the price index as well as the aggregate market share of the
top 3 SKUs in Fig. 6.9. The price index increases to approximately 1.15 in May 2012
and the aggregate market share of the top three SKUs increases by 2% from 87.5 to 89.5.
6.6 Some Regulated Medicines Experienced a Decline in Prices 153
We examine the changes in the price index for each medicine to identify medicines
that experienced a decrease in prices. In Table 6.7, we compiled the list of medicines
and prices at four points during the 5-year period starting January 2011. We show the
price index in January 2011, which is by definition one. Next, we list the price index
in May 2012, as the NPPA utilized the prices from this month to determine the
ceiling price. We also list the price index for August 2013, when the implementation
of DPCO began, and for December 2015, the end of the 5 year period. Among the
128 medicines in the list, the price index decreased for 40 medicines, even though
only marginally in several cases. The price index decreased by more than half for
only four of the 128 medicines during this period, although the DPCO aimed at
lowering prices by half and tinkered with the appropriate the method to average
market prices to achieve that objective. The price index increased significantly in the
interim for some of these medicines. For example, the price index for Biscodyl
increased to 1.46 in May 2012 and for Imatinib Mesylate to 1.21 in August 2013.
The price index varied between 1 and 2 for the next 40 medicines on the list,
indicating that the prices doubled despite the price cap regulation.
Table 6.7 The weighted price index for regulated medicines over time
# Medicine|4-digit category Jan 2011 May 2012 August 2013 December 2015
1 Clindamycin|J1F3 1 1.14 0.38 0.36
2 Ciprofloxacin|S3A2 1 1.04 0.05 0.38
3 Testosterone|G3B2 1 0.78 0.61 0.48
4 Procarbazine|L1X19 1 0.54 0.6 0.49
5 Warfarin|B1X9 1 1.13 0.74 0.54
6 Cyclophosphamide|L1A3 1 1.14 0.82 0.61
7 Amitriptyline|N6A1 1 1.19 0.61 0.61
8 Ritonavir|J5B9 1 1.87 1 0.63
9 Flutamide|L2B5 1 2.09 1.79 0.66
10 Zidovudine|J5B2 1 1.06 1.05 0.66
11 Vitamin B1 plain|A11E13 1 0.62 1.24 0.68
12 Leflunomide|M5C1 1 1.04 0.71 0.7
13 Trihexyphenidyl|N4A10 1 1.3 0.66 0.72
14 Metoclopramide|A3F19 1 0.81 0.7 0.72
15 Neostigmine|N7C10 1 1.14 0.67 0.75
16 Salbutamol|R3A11 1 0.88 1.15 0.76
17 Chlorpromazine|N5B2 1 0.53 0.58 0.77
18 Bisacodyl|A6B5 1 1.46 0.76 0.78
19 Metoprolol|C7A29 1 1.03 0.8 0.78
20 Clomifene|G3G2 1 0.92 0.61 0.81
(continued)
154 6 How Effective Are the 2013 DPCO Regulations?
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Chapter 7
Firm Strategies to Mitigate the Impact
of Price Control Regulation
7.1 Introduction
In the previous chapter, we examine the limitations in the design of the 2013 DPCO.
It is reasonable to expect that pharmaceutical firms likely to be affected by the
regulation undertook actions to mitigate their impact. Because of such strategic
actions, regulations, despite being well-intentioned, can sometimes make matters
worse (Noll 1989). Have the 2013 DPCO regulations made consumers worse-off
than they were before? In this chapter, we examine some of the strategies firms used
to mitigate the impact of price controls. We are aware of more strategies than we
discuss below. Documenting the larger set of firm strategies is part of our ongoing
research agenda.
Glazer and McMillan (1992) note firms that are going to be subject to regulation are
aware of them well before the actual passage of legislation. Therefore, firms under
the threat of regulation can undertake actions, both independently and as a group, to
reduce the probability of regulation as well as to mitigate the impact of regulation.
Ellison and Wolfram (2006) show that those firms that are more vulnerable to
regulation coordinated to lower prices to forestall the 1993 healthcare reform in
the US. Similarly, in India, the pharmaceutical industry coordinated through its
industry associations and lobby groups, as the demand for broader and more
effective regulation of drug prices in India for more than a decade between 2002
and 2013. As noted in Chap. 2, the deliberations during this period involved the
formation of several committees and drafting of many proposals and reports. We
begin this chapter by documenting several instances of a coordinated response by
pharmaceutical firms to forestall or influence in their favor the 2013 DPCO.
Chemicals and Fertilizers blamed the industry lobby for the delay in the implemen-
tation of the policy, “We have been trying hard to get the policy cleared for long. But
it is still stuck with the Cabinet. You know, the private lobby is so strong, and they
have been trying to stop it” (PharmaQuest 2009). The policy proposal remained with
the GoM until 2012 when the 2012 NPPP was announced. Although the Supreme
Court was leaning towards maintaining the cost-based method of pricing, the GoM
finally decided on the market-based approach. Moreover, it overruled the Health
Ministry’s proposal to fix the price cap based on the average price of the three lowest
priced brands and instead recommended that the ceiling price is calculated based on
the three top-selling brands (Unnikrishnan 2012a).
Fourth, the industry argued for a market-based regulation and for the ceiling price
to be based on the average of the MRP of top-three SKUs in the market by sales
(Mathew 2005). After much criticism, the ceiling prices were calculated based on the
simple average of all brands having 1% or more market share. Although this was
more acceptable than the initial suggestion, it still determined the maximum price
based on the top brands and ensured higher profits for pharmaceutical companies in
comparison to the cost-based alternative. As such, the reduction in prices using the
market-based formula were inferior to the reduction in prices using the cost-based
formula, which was still being used under the 1995 DPCO (Gopakumar 2017).
According to a statement by the managing trustee of LOCOST at the time, “Bulk
drug prices left to the market can lead to cartelization on vital drugs. In some vital
drugs (like anti-TB Rifampicin) only 2–3 major manufacturers are present. The
government has no recourse if bulk drug prices shoot up without reason (or with
reason). Smaller manufacturers for all drugs will have to rely on higher priced local
manufacturers of bulk drugs. This will render smaller manufacturers of formulations
uncompetitive” (Pradhan 2011). Although pharmaceutical companies maintained
that the price control policy would affect their profitability, they pushed for the
market-based approach, as it would allow them to set their profit margins, provided
the prices of their products do not exceed the ceiling prices. An account by one of the
industry lobbies stated, “Though the average profitability of the pharmaceutical
industry will be impacted badly by about 25%, the Indian Pharmaceutical Alliance
(IPA) is reconciled to the new policy as it moves away from the intrusive and opaque
pricing regime to a more transparent system of pricing” (Unnikrishnan 2012b).
Finally, we argue that the pharmaceutical firms timed their coordinated price
increases just before May 2012, likely indicating their knowledge of the policy
process and their influence on its timing and content.
We begin by examining the price index developed in the previous chapter for
regulated and unregulated doses of the partially regulated medicines. We computed
separately the weighted, normalized, per-milligram prices for regulated and
162 7 Firm Strategies to Mitigate the Impact of Price Control Regulation
Fig. 7.1 Comparing the price index for regulated and unregulated doses of medicines in their
tablet form
unregulated doses of partially regulated medicines and plotted the price indices in
Fig. 7.1. We find that the price index increased much more for the unregulated doses
of the medicines that entered the regulation. The price index for the unregulated
doses, shown by the dashed line, is twice as high as that for the regulated doses at
2.25 in December 2015. The unregulated doses also experienced a much sharper
increase in price in the months before May 2012, indicating that the pharmaceutical
firms looked to compensate the price declines in the regulated markets with price
increases in the unregulated markets. We argue, based on Fig. 7.1, that partial
regulation has been a significant limitation of the 2013 DPCO, undermining its
effectiveness in lowering prices overall. We plot in Figs. 7.2 and 7.3 the price indices
for regulated and unregulated doses of medicines administered in an injection form.
The price index for the unregulated doses, shown in dashed line, increased by more
than 15 times in the months leading up to the implementation of the DPCO, and
eventually declined to about five times the price index for the regulated doses. We
observe a similar pattern for medicines administered as syrups or suspensions. The
increase in prices in both the regulated and unregulated doses happens well before
the regulation is implemented. Consistent with Glazer and McMillan (1992), phar-
maceutical firms increased prices in the unregulated doses as early as in May 2012,
which remained high after the implementation of the regulation. The prices in the
unregulated dosage markets also increased in May 2012, more than a year before the
regulation was to be implemented, and declined on the eve of implementation of
regulation in August 2013. However, the prices of regulated doses increased
subsequently.
7.3 Evidence of Coordinated Price Increase in Regulated and Unregulated. . . 163
Fig. 7.2 Comparing the price index for regulated and unregulated doses of medicines in their
injection form
Fig. 7.3 Comparing the price index for regulated and unregulated doses of medicines in their
syrup form
Fig. 7.4 Price index averaged across regulated and unregulated doses of medicines in their
tablet form
Fig. 7.5 Price index averaged across regulated and unregulated doses of medicines in their
injection form
Figs. 7.4, 7.5 and 7.6 for tablets, injections, and syrups respectively. The trends show
that the overall price at least doubled during 2011–2015, and in the case of injections
and syrups price more than doubled.
To illustrate the extent to which firms coordinated on prices, Bhaskarabhatla et al.
examine the case study of the Metformin medicine, which is used extensively to treat
7.3 Evidence of Coordinated Price Increase in Regulated and Unregulated. . . 165
Fig. 7.6 Price index averaged across regulated and unregulated doses of medicines in their
syrup form
patients with diabetes mellitus in India. They show that firms coordinated to
selectively increase the prices of SKUs containing the regulated dosage. We build
on their example of Metformin medicine and plot in Fig. 7.7 the average MRP for
500 mg and 650 mg Metformin tablets for a longer time series after the implemen-
tation of the regulation. The figure shows that the average price of 500 mg
166 7 Firm Strategies to Mitigate the Impact of Price Control Regulation
Metformin tablets, normalized per 1000 mg, remained identical to the average price
of 100 mg Metformin tablets before the implementation of the regulation at around
three rupees per tablet. The average price of 500 mg SKUs selectively increased
in May 2012 and subsequently declined after August 2013. The average prices of
both doses converged again at 3.5 rupees per tablet after the 2013 DPCO was
implemented. Bhaskarabhatla et al. argued that such a coordinated, temporary
increase was aimed at inflating the prospective ceiling price. The government, likely
aware of such coordinated action, decided to use PTR as the basis for regulation (for
further details see Chap. 4).
While the trends indicate that the consumers as a whole are worse off, if the
most vulnerable segments of the society have enjoyed better access to lower-priced,
regulated medicines, then the 2013 DPCO can be considerable as valuable for some
segments of the consumers. However, there is little evidence based on prescriptions
data that physicians prescribe price-regulated medicine dosages for lower-income
households. Also, as the IMS study (2015) pointed out, the imposition of price
controls may have crowded out producers from the production of regulated doses.
Next, we examine such diversion of production resources.
Fig. 7.8 Share of 500 mg metformin tablets as a percentage of 500 mg and 1000 mg metformin
markets
Fig. 7.9 Quantity share of regulated SKUs among all SKUs of regulated medicines in tablet form
that when the costs of production in the regulated and unregulated markets are
similar—as is the case for different dosages markets of the same medicine—then
even if the costs are not known, information asymmetries on the demand side can
lead to inefficient effort diversion. Using Pharmatrac data on Paracetamol between
168 7 Firm Strategies to Mitigate the Impact of Price Control Regulation
Fig. 7.10 Quantity share of regulated SKUs among all SKUs of regulated medicines in
injection form
Fig. 7.11 Quantity share of regulated SKUs among all SKUs of regulated medicines in syrup form
March 2007 and June 2015, they document the nature and extent of effort diversion
from 500 mg to 650 mg tablets. They also find that firms successfully increased the
relative price in the unregulated market and diversified away from the regulated
500 mg segment into the unregulated 650 mg segment, thus limiting the overall
effectiveness of regulation.
7.4 Diverting Production from Regulated to Unregulated SKUs 169
Table 7.1 The share of units of regulated SKUs among all SKUs of partially regulated medicines
in tablet form
# Medicine | 4-digit Category Jan 2011 May 2012 August 2013 December 2015
1 Glyceryl Trinitrate | C1E4 3.12 2.44 1.98 1.32
2 Doxycycline | J1A6 66.54 55.32 50.92 5.9
3 Dextromethorphan | R5F3 7.27 8.38 9.61 9.24
4 Efavirenz | J5B6 58.64 41.9 10.22 10.87
5 Lamivudine | J5B1 9.36 12.64 19.37 11.62
6 Chlorambucil | L1A1 56.27 62.65 41.34 22.44
7 Famotidine | A2B2 35.11 36.68 29 27.31
8 Amitriptyline | N6A1 30.87 30.1 30.05 27.96
9 Primaquine | P1D6 27.61 28.64 35.41 32.26
10 Lithium | N6A11 35.78 35.57 34.73 33.53
11 Diclofenac | M1A12 48.58 33.43 35.92 34.95
12 Zidovudine | J5B2 58.92 64.02 67.07 35.75
13 Methyldopa | C2A7 100 100 100 36.34
14 Mesalazine | A7E1 70.04 60.37 46.58 39.28
15 Ritonavir | J5B9 61.26 30.88 14.22 39.79
16 Isosorbide Dinitrate | C1E3 46.54 46.58 43.4 41.02
17 Warfarin | B1X9 56.19 52.3 52.9 41.65
18 Vitamin B1 Plain | A11E13 7.3 32.28 46.44 41.85
19 Tramadol | N2B5 53.12 49.69 57.31 45.31
20 Paracetamol | N2B1 54.44 56.53 50.24 49.47
21 Diltiazem | C8A6 54.45 52.38 53.52 50.51
22 Rifampicin | J4A12 57.88 46.96 54.37 51.73
23 Clindamycin | J1F3 47.44 56.32 47.89 51.74
24 Isosorbide-5-Mononitrate | C1E1 60.34 61.31 56.38 55.5
25 Spironolactone | C3A3 62.95 75.25 57.94 56.53
26 Atenolol | C7A5 53.38 55.06 54.12 57.18
27 Cefalexin | J1D1 45.59 48.19 56.4 57.7
28 Diethylcarbamazine | P1E2 31.51 45.75 42.54 58.83
29 Sulfasalazine | A7E3 66.7 65.49 62.85 60.57
30 Aspirin | B1C1 56.37 57.09 61.31 61.05
31 Fluoxetine | N6A8 69.81 72.8 69.43 62.88
32 Atorvastatin | C10A1 73.6 69.97 67.47 63.4
33 Propranolol | C7A37 78.18 74.08 72.3 63.88
34 Aciclovir | J5A4 69.64 66.43 66.27 64.14
35 Olanzapine | N5A5 67.11 65.07 64.57 64.76
36 Nitrofurantoin | G4A3 68.35 70.6 66.91 66.47
37 Bromocriptine | N4A2 78.13 62.47 53.47 67.54
38 Metformin | A10B6 68.2 69.74 68.64 67.59
39 Amoxycillin | J1C1 63.62 65.36 61.08 69.17
40 Ibuprofen | M1A30 72.64 81.95 75.84 73.57
41 Clomifene | G3G2 70.64 79.11 72.73 73.68
42 Carbamazepine | N3A1 79.7 78.86 76.71 74.26
(continued)
170 7 Firm Strategies to Mitigate the Impact of Price Control Regulation
Pharmaceutical firms can, in theory, introduce new product varieties of the same
medicine to attempt to mitigate the impact of the 2013 DPCO. For example, the
pharmaceutical firms can over-invest in innovation in the unregulated market seg-
ments of a medicine, thus softening price-competition and generating greater
demand in those segments. As discussed in Chap. 3, using the same active ingredi-
ent(s), companies can develop several product varieties with little to no cost. For
example, Cipla sells three different brands of 400 mg Alebndazole tablets, Bendex,
Tiobend, and X Worm. Similarly, Klar Sehen sells the same brand of 400 mg
Albendazole tablets, but in three different package sizes, containing one, two, or
20 tablets. It is rational for pharmaceutical companies to develop and sell SKUs that
cater to different segments of the population conveniently. Also, launching new
product varieties under different brand names or package sizes can lower the risk of
failure by allowing the firm to learn and discover the brands and package sizes that
succeed in the market. From a consumer’s point of view, having many distinct
brands and variety should also, in theory, increase welfare by providing them with
the product characteristics they prefer. For regulators, however, dealing with product
varieties remains a challenging issue, as the regulation should exempt newer varie-
ties that are not merely packaging and marketing innovations, but enhance the
efficacy of a drug. A regulation that is too strict can potentially hinder incremental
innovations. To that effect, the NPPA decided to create a subsection in the DCPO
regulation (section 32):
Non–application of the provisions of this order in certain cases:
i. A manufacturer producing a new drug patented under the Indian Patent Act,
1970 (39 of 1970) (product patent) and not produced elsewhere, if developed
through indigenous Research and Development, for five years from the date of
commencement of its commercial production in the country.
ii. A manufacturer producing a new drug in the country by a new process developed
by indigenous Research and Development and patented under the Indian Patent
Act, 1970 (39 of 1970) (process patent) for five years from the date of the
commencement of its commercial production in the country.
iii. A manufacturer producing a new drug involving a new delivery system devel-
oped through indigenous Research and Development for a period of five years
from the date of its market approval in India: Provided that the provision of this
paragraph shall apply only when a document showing approval of such new
drugs from Drugs Controller General (India) is produced before the Government.
In other words, the NPPA allowed for a 5-year exemption for any new drug or
novel delivery system. This exemption is a way for the NPPA to promote research
and development in the newly regulated market, as innovators could still finance
7.5 Introduction of Product Varieties of Regulated and Unregulated SKUs 173
their research by increasing their price and gain from their newly acquired compet-
itive advantage. But despite its advantages, this system also has an important
drawback, namely that it can create an important loophole in the ceiling price
mechanism. As Abbott (1995) notes,
The critical question is how to define the product for purposes of the price cap. Is a bottle of
50 400 mg tablets the same product as a bottle of 25 800 mg tablets? What if additional
active ingredients are added to one but not the other? Or, what if one product is in solid form
and the other in liquid? Clearly, there are many ways in which the same basic active
ingredient could be incorporated into a “new product,” and the pharmaceutical industry is
noted for its ingenuity in developing alternative presentations. Introducing one and phasing
out the other might enable the pharmaceutical firm to avoid the price cap and could be very
difficult to detect -- was the product changed in order to get around the price cap or is the
“new” product really better for consumers?
Regulators must be able to answer such questions case by case and weigh the
advantages and disadvantages each time. Is the innovation substantial? What are the
advantages for the Indian population? Is it worth the price? Regulating and assessing
the quality of an innovation is extremely hard, especially in a market where the
stakes are this high. The NPPA thus has to weigh each decision assessing the
public’s interest while keeping an eye on the pharmaceutical companies’ interest,
which is a challenging trade-off to balance.
Historically, however, pharmaceutical firms have introduced new product varie-
ties of existing medicines to avoid price controls. For example, Pfizer changed the
composition of its cough syrup, Corex to dodge the 1995 drug price controls
(Ghangurde 1998). Similarly, Burroughs Wellcome, a subsidiary of Glaxo, replaced
pseudo-ephidrine with phenyl propalomina in its brand of anti-cold medicine brand,
Actifed (Ghangurde 1998). Gulhati (2004) elaborated on the economics behind the
choice:
Actifed, a cough and cold remedy of Glaxo is an international brand. All over the world it
contains pseudoephedrine while in India it contains phenylpropanolamine. Last year PPA
was found to be causing strokes. Coldarin [Johnson & Johnson] issued front page ads to
inform readers that its product was free from PPA. Yet recently they themselves have
changed their own formula by using the discredited, dangerous PPA. Why? Because PPA
is cheaper while psuedoephedrine is not only expensive but under price control. Since both
are decongestants, they should be subjected to similar price controls or remain out of price
control.
500 mg Crocin tablets. In response, GSK decided to launch a new product called
Crocin Advance, which contained the same dosage of Paracetamol but had a new
and innovative delivery system discovered through research and development to be
exempted from the price cap. GSK thus decided to launch Crocin Advance at
Rs. 30 for a 15 tablet and discontinue the old Crocin that was priced at Rs. 12.70
(Nautiyal 2014). According to GSK, Crocin Advance has substantial benefit com-
pared to the regular slow release version, as “Crocin Advance is India’s first
paracetamol tablet with Optizorb technology. It starts releasing its medicine in as
little as 5 min. It gets absorbed 25% faster than standard paracetamol.”1 In other
words, GSK justified a 130% increase in price because patients would be able to feel
the effect of Paracetamol approximately 1 min and 30 sec earlier. GSK hoped that
the NPPA would agree to keep Crocin Advance out of the ambit of 2013 DPCO for
5 years to cover GSK’s research and development expenses, as specified under
paragraph III of section 32. The NPPA did not agree with GSK’s arguments because
they considered that Paracetamol was not a new drug. A special technical committee
of the NPPA ruled that a different way of manufacturing a new drug or a faster
delivery system does qualify as an innovation for the NPPA. The section of DCPO
2013 thus did not apply to this case. An injunction on the sale of Crocin Advance
was then released, and GSK had to recall the entire stock of Crocin Advance, and
relabel it to comply with the ceiling price. By March 2017, GSK paid Rs. 53.99
crores to the NPPA as reimbursement for overcharging the consumers and violating
the 2013 DPCO. Depending on the importance of the innovation on the delivery
system, the NPPA has however allowed for exemptions. Drugs with innovative
delivery systems can be sold at a higher price by setting a different ceiling price for
these. For example, “Glycerol Trinitrate” has a different price ceiling for its
sustained release tablet or capsule (Shankar 2014a). But overall, the Department of
Pharmaceutical stated that “no drug can fall out of price control merely because it
involves a New Drug Delivery System. Hence, merely because a capsule is conven-
tional or non-conventional does not make it cease to be capsule” (Shankar 2017).
Second, pharmaceutical firms tweaked the dosages of their brands to mitigate the
impact of the DPCO. For example, GSK argued that its Crocin suspension was
not subject to 2013 DCPO as 120 mg/ml was not mentioned in the 2011 edition of
the National List of Essential Medicines. GSK continued to sell the medicine at
Rs. 37.77, even though the NPPA fixed the price of Crocin suspension at Rs.19.20.
The 2011 National List of Essential Medicine includes 125 mg/ml but not 120 mg/
ml. By exploiting this loophole, GSK tried to push other medicines of the Crocin
brand like Crocin drops. According to the Maharashtra Food and Drug Administra-
tion, other Crocin products like Crocin drops were available at Rs.32 even though
the ceiling price was set at Rs. 4.80 (Nautiyal 2014). All these maneuvers were met
with skepticism by the Maharashtra Food and Drug Administration, and the NPPA
decided to rule against GSK, which had to reimburse the overcharged amount. The
practice of tweaking dosages was widespread before the implementation of DCPO
1
http://www.crocin.com/products/crocin-advance.html
7.6 Evidence of Temporary Increases in Product Margins 175
2013, and the Department of Pharmaceutical has demanded to the NPPA “to
vigorously pursue the issue with the Ministry of Health to its logical conclusion”
(Alexander 2013).
Third, pharmaceutical firms have developed combinations to avoid price controls.
This manipulation can have two different goals. First, adding an active ingredient in
a drug creates a gray area where regulators have to decide whether or not it is subject
to DCPO 2013. For example, a company can add caffeine to paracetamol arguing it
is not the same medication anymore, or that the added product brings an improve-
ment worthy of an exemption to the price ceiling. An analysis of the petitions
submitted to the Department of Pharmaceutical gives us a good overview of how
companies try to circumvent the regulation. Medications are composed of two
things: the active ingredient, like paracetamol, the molecule that is supposed to
“solve the problem,” and the excipient, the vehicle of the active ingredient. Cipla
tried to persuade the NPPA to consider their medication differently by arguing that
excipients are also active ingredients. The review was finally rejected by the DoP
“the ground that DPCO does not distinguish between prices based on different
excipients” (Alexander 2014). Finally, adding other components to the drug such
as vitamins can also create an opportunity to change the legal classification of the
product. The practice has been used by the Indian pharmaceutical firms for a long
time and was even present before the implementation of DCPO 2013. Indeed, adding
nutritional supplements can make active substances to be considered as a dietary
supplement under the Prevention of Food Adulteration Act of 1954 which is not
under the responsibility of the NPPA and not subject to the DCPO 2013 price ceiling
(Alexander 2013). Overall, since the Crocin Advance scandal, both the NPPA and
the pharmaceutical companies have been more careful in their product introductions.
Any variant of a drug has to be first submitted to the NPPA, which decides if the
medication should be subject to the DCPO 2013 or not (Nagappa et al. 2015). As
PharmaBiz.com (2017) notes:
Some pharmaceutical companies have launched formulations by altering a scheduled for-
mulation, with strength other than as specified in DPCO 2013 and/or in combination with
other non-scheduled medicines without even applying for price approval from NPPA as
required.
Price controls and trade margins are twin issues that must be addressed together.
However, the 2013 DPCO remains silent on the issue of trade margins. Although the
ceiling prices were initially designed to be based on MRP in 2005, when the DPCO
176 7 Firm Strategies to Mitigate the Impact of Price Control Regulation
2013 was publicly notified, the government based it on PTR and allowed for a 16%
margin for retailers (see for more details, Chap. 4). The move led to a considerable
disagreement between pharmaceutical firms and the AIOCD, the union of pharma-
ceutical traders in India. According to Vijay pharmacies in Karnataka refused to
stock medicines that newly entered price control regulation because the trade
margins on such medicines became lower:
The only way to come out of this situation would be to see that manufacturers comprehend
our situation and call to restore the margins as this is only going to hamper not just our sales
but revenues of the pharma companies too following the reluctance to sell these drugs by
pharmacy outlets.
The drug industry finally buckled last year, and representative associations of the manufac-
turers agreed to allow an 8 per cent wholesale margin and 18 per cent retail margin on all
drugs classified under the Government’s non-essential category IV.
In the Indian pharmaceutical industry, trade margins were first capped as part of the
1970 DPCO. Interestingly, regulations on trade margins were significantly stricter at
that time compared to the most recent DPCO in 2013. For instance, under the 1970
and 1979 DPCOs, the trade margin for wholesalers is fixed at 2%, and for retailers,
the margin varied from 10 to 12% based on whether the medicine was ethical or
non-ethical category. The retailer margin was fixed at 16% under the 1987 and 1995
DPCOs, but the ceiling price was computed based on manufacturing costs rather
than market-based prices. By contrast, the DPCO 2013 includes a notional retail
margin of 16%, which applies only to price-controlled drugs. The stipulated margin
is considered notional because, as we will elaborate momentarily, there is nothing
preventing firms from providing margins greater than 16%. It is useful to recall that
the DPCO 1970 originally introduced “a combined trade margin for all intermediary
levels between manufacturer and retailer including retailer” (Pant et al. 2016).
However, an amendment introduced on 11th January 1971 separately fixed the
trade margins for wholesalers and retailers. Pant et al. (2016) note:
Initially, wholesaler and retailer margin was fixed but subsequently Government tried to lift
control on upstream margins and wholesaler margin was not specified in the later DPCOs.
Under DPCO, 2013 except for adding margin to price to retailer while fixing ceiling/retail
prices, DPCO, 2013 does not specify any other trade margins to be paid by the manufacturer
or trader.
Moreover, the Pant report acknowledges that the discussion on trade margins
has become a heated issue related to the 2013 DPCO due to the large number of
complaints the NPPA received identifying the cases of exorbitant margins. In
particular, the NPPA received several complaints through its Centralized Public
Grievance Redress and Monitoring System and through the Ministry of Chemicals
and Fertilizers, which indicated that the trade margins were 300–5000% (Pant et al.
2016, p. 13). The report notes that there is a considerable difference between “the
sale price of the company to the distributor/wholesaler and the MRP printed on it.”
Such discrepancy between prices throughout the value chain critically affects the
equilibrating process in the market. The Pant report mentions the case of M/s
Ranbaxy Laboratories Ltd. v/s State of Haryana, in which the drug is sold to dealers
at Rs. 2, but the MRP printed on the strip is Rs. 26. The report cites the judgment of
the Punjab and Haryana High Court (Pant et al. 2016):
Before parting with the judgement, it has to be noticed that although the petitioner is
allegedly selling the drug in question to the consumer at about 900% of the reasonable
price of the drug, but there appears to be no legal provision in force to save the consumers
from such naked fleecing of the consumers by the petitioner or other drug manufacturers by
over-pricing the drug to such an extent. It is surprising that no remedial or ameliorating step
has been taken either by State or by the Union of India in this regard. The court hopes that
now at least the concerned authorities shall wake up and shall take some remedial step to
save the consumers from such fleecing.
Although India tried to cap trade margins of unregulated medicines in 2000, its
law ministry at the time opined that doing so can potentially be challenged under
7.6 Evidence of Temporary Increases in Product Margins 179
to cap trade margins of “all drugs including generics, branded, scheduled, and
non-scheduled drugs”. The Pant Committee made additional, but related recommen-
dations, which we list below (Pant et al. 2016, p. 33–34):
• Recommended a cap on the trade margins, including medical devices such as
stents and orthopedic implants
• Recommended capping trade margins concerning price to the trader rather than
maximum retail price.
• Recommended an amendment to Form V submitted by manufacturers to the
NPPA under the 2013 DPCO to include price to the trade so that it can be
monitored.
• Recommended adjusting the trade margins appropriately when manufacturers
offer promotional offers.
• Recommended amending paragraph 7(2) of the 2013 DPCO as stated below: “No
manufacturer shall sell a drug to the Trade, unless otherwise permitted under the
provisions of this order or any order made thereunder, the MRP of which exceeds
the margins notified by the Government from time to time with reference to the
price to trade.”
The Pant Committee also clarified that the practice of providing high trade
margins is unethical, defined as not consistent with the rules or standards for right
conduct or practice especially the standards of a profession. Also, the NPPA clarified
that the consumers of generic medicines are often adversely affected due to higher
prices compared to branded generic equivalents. As an example, the Committee
noted that Alken sold the generic version of 50 mg Nandrolone injection at an MRP
of Rs. 185. However, PCI Pharma sold the same medicine under the brand name
Decapic at an MRP of Rs. 14.25 and Jaksonpal Pharma sold the medicine under the
brand name of Metadec at an MRP of Rs. 260. Similarly, the generic version of a
pack of ten 20 mg Piroxicam tablets is sold by Alkem at an MRP of Rs. 43. By
contrast, Indswift sold the same medicine at an MRP of Rs. 3.75 for ten tablets under
the brand name Doloswift and Akumentis sold at Rs. 85 under the brand name
Pirover.
The Pant Committee also refuted the claim that capping trade margins is inher-
ently anticompetitive. The committee noted that capping trade margins will neither
create entry barriers nor push existing manufacturers out of the market. The com-
mittee argued that placing an upper limit on the trade margin allows pharmaceutical
firms the freedom to choose their margins, but protects consumers against exorbitant
margins. Therefore, the committee argued that capping trade margins are not in
violation of the Competition Act of 2002.
7.6 Evidence of Temporary Increases in Product Margins 181
Table 7.2 Stakeholder responses to the proposal to limit trade margins on the sale of medicines
Stakeholders Response to the proposal to cap trade margin in the sale of medicines
Indian Drug Manufac- Capping trade margins will disrupt sales in rural areas and adversely
turers Association affect small and medium-sized pharmaceutical firms
Organization of Trade margins are a matter between the manufacturer and the trade. So
Pharmaceutical long as the availability of drugs at mandated ceiling price is
Producers of India maintained, there is no reason for additional regulatory guidance
Capping trade margins will adversely affect the availability of medi-
cines in remote villages.
Fixing and maintaining a “Stokist Price” (that is, price to the trader)
could be deemed anti-competitive as the manufacturer should be free
to sell the product at any price as negotiated between manufacturers
and stockists as long as the same conforms with the DPCO.
Amending Form V to include price to the trader is burdensome as the
IPDMS website is not user-friendly.
Indian Pharmaceutical Trade margins are not regulated for any commodity or product,
Alliance however essential.
Regulating trade margin can violate competition laws and adversely
affect competition.
Regulated trade margin will compromise access to medicines in
remote areas.
Capping the trade margin will embolden the traders to seek the
minimum stipulated amount and settle for nothing less.
Confederation of Indian Manufacturers are compelled to give margins higher than 16% because
Pharmaceutical otherwise, retailer’s associations boycott their products
Industry
Alkem, Cipla, and Capping trade margins will be in violation Article 14 of the Indian
Micro Labs constitution.
Capping trade margins will lead to severe shortages.
The trade margins are not capped in any other country.
Prices of price-controlled and non-controlled medicines are already
among the cheapest in India as compared to other developing countries
and the increase in prices have always been below or at par with
inflation.
Capping trade margins will not lower MRP. Instead, the MRPs will
rise because the PTR will rise. As a result, the ceiling prices, currently
calculated by PTR, will rise.
The calculation of mark-ups is incorrect.
Higher trade margins allow for distribution to rural areas
All India Chemists & Support capping trade margins
Distributors Federation Argued for strengthening rules around disclosing PTR through
Form V, which would not allow manufacturers to hide actual trade
margins and restrict the practice of allowing extraordinary discount or
margin or incentive or bonus to any dealer
Capping
Competition Commis- Generally, any kind of fixation of trade margin and the price is
sion of India considered anti-competitive, unless there is strong justification on the
grounds of public policy.
(continued)
7.6 Evidence of Temporary Increases in Product Margins 183
the government’s evolving policy on online pharmacies and proposed changes to the
DPCO. The AIOCD general secretary noted (Yadav 2017a):
At present wholesalers get 10 per cent margin on non-scheduled drugs and 8 per cent margin
on scheduled drugs from drug manufacturers. On the other hand, retailers receive 20 per cent
margin on non-scheduled drugs and 16 per cent margin on scheduled drugs from drug
manufacturers. Given the existing margin cap, it’s impossible for chemists to offer 25-30 per
cent discount to customers. We have appealed to the government to prevent e-pharmacies
from offering heavy discount or remove existing margin cap for wholesalers, retailers,
he said.
Recently, the AIOCD demanded changes in the DPCO 2013 (Yadav 2017b),
their criticism addressed the calculation of the price ceiling for scheduled formula-
tions. The AIOCD proposed the following formula (Yadav 2017b):
1) retail price (RP) minus percentage (DPCO 1995 formula) then the retailers margin is equal
to RP minus 20 per cent; 2) if the margin is to be calculated on PTS then the formula should
be as follows: Price to stockiest (PTS) plus 39 per cent as to maintain 20% margin to retailer
and 10 per cent margin to distributor.
Using Pharmatrac data, we examine the extent of trade margins before and after the
2013 DPCO. The pharmaceutical industry claims that the high trade margins are
prevalent among generics. However, our analysis of price-controlled medicines,
most of which are branded, out-of-patent medicines, indicates relatively high trade
margins. We limit the analysis to all SKUs that entered price cap regulation in
2013. We plot in Fig. 7.12, the percentage of trade margins, calculated as 100*
(MRP-PTR)/PTR. The trade margin increased from an average of 29% in January
2011 to 33% in March 2012. However, the average trade margin increased suddenly
in the next month to 73% and reached a high of 105% in January 2013. The margin
decreased briefly after the 2013 DPCO was implemented but soon increased to a
high of 74% in January 2015. The trade margins declined subsequently and hovers at
184 7 Firm Strategies to Mitigate the Impact of Price Control Regulation
Fig. 7.12 Retail trade margin for regulated SKUs before and after the 2013 DPCO implementation
around 40% at the end of our dataset in July 2016. The Figure shows how pharma-
ceutical firms strategically doubled or tripled margins, even though the 2013 DPCO
assumes a margin of 16% in determining the ceiling price.
We examine the extent to which margins changed for the top 16 price-regulated
medicines in our dataset with more Rs. 10 billion in sales during January 2011 and
July 2016. We plot the evolution of margins before and after the 2013 DPCO in
Fig. 7.13. Although the margins did not increase substantially in the case of four
medicines, in the remaining cases, they increased multiple times the initial margin.
For example, in the case of Paracetamol, the margins increased to more than 250%
during August 2013.
Next, we report in Table 7.3 the average trade margin for all the price-controlled
medicines during 2011–2015. We find that in 2015, none of the medicines had an
average trade margin of less than 16%, the lowest being 16.7 for Deferoxamine. For
many of the medicines, the trade margins in 2012, 2013, and 2014 remained
considerably higher compared to 2011 and 2015, indicating the manner in which
pharmaceutical firms collectively manipulated the margins during the implementa-
tion of the 2013 DPCO. Therefore, one can conclude that the DPCO 2013 did not
succeed in lowering trade margins in the Indian pharmaceutical industry. Addition-
ally, the lines for scheduled and non-scheduled drugs deviate towards the end of the
observed period, with the line for scheduled drugs increasing more rapidly. Overall,
these analyses suggest that pharmaceutical firms strategically changed their margins
to mitigate the impact of the 2013 DPCO. Since we observed similar patterns of
changes to trade margins for both scheduled and non-scheduled tablets, there is
strong evidence that the DPCO 2013 failed to contain trade margins.
7.6 Evidence of Temporary Increases in Product Margins
185
Fig. 7.13 The evolution of retail trade margins for the top 16 medicines with more than Rs. 10 billion in sales during Jan 2011–Jul 2016
186 7 Firm Strategies to Mitigate the Impact of Price Control Regulation
Table 7.3 Average trade margin, as a percentage, by year for price-controlled medicines
Medicine | 4-digit category 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Water For Injection | K5A1 84.02 2656.28 2288.04 1507.79 330.29
Metylergometrine | G2A3 35.23 215.71 196.09 184 109.66
Cetirizine | R6A3 54.51 223.46 238.7 190.57 88.47
Atorvastatin | C10A1 25.5 49.03 54.74 128.93 74.14
Tramadol | N2B5 36.55 131.57 176.2 177.69 73.72
Enalapril | C9A6 25.41 73.2 211.2 79.03 66.92
Mifepristone | G3X2 40.93 121.47 87.18 119.85 66.41
Omeprazole | A2C1 54.88 148.51 182.33 176.17 66.08
Suxamethonium | M3A11 25 65.33 71.82 64.95 65.07
1/1 Electrolyte Solutions | K1A1 26.23 77.27 99.29 91.04 62.85
Diclofenac | M1A12 34.21 82.16 89.08 102.38 59.46
Propofol | N1B5 24.93 62.51 77.39 79.39 57.47
Vancomycin | J1X2 26.86 65 77.75 67.24 57.11
Albendazole | P1B1 32.07 115.11 124.7 101.53 54.55
Streptokinase | B1D2 22.85 54.84 68.43 53.07 50.66
Hepatitis B | J7A3 105.38 118.87 110.46 145.88 48.1
Ofloxacin | J1G9 31.21 72.83 82.17 81.83 47.34
All Oral Electrolytes - Ors | A7G2 27.67 68.15 88.42 81.16 43.1
Sodium Bicarbonate | A2A20 24.98 49.47 49.78 40.05 42.78
Folic Acid | B3A4 28.09 81.18 107.78 125.49 41.91
Domperidone | A3F7 32.14 125.39 144.04 147.54 41.29
Amikacin | J1 K4 32.45 89.4 100.89 92.46 41
Snake-Bite Sera | J6A1 25 25.54 49.96 73.46 40.33
Fluconazole | J2A4 33.75 108.36 108.11 89.87 40.05
Ringers And Ringers Lactate Solutions | 29.33 120.66 116.26 142.37 39.4
K1A7
Amlodipine | C8A1 28.81 45.75 46.87 51 39.23
Paracetamol | N2B1 32.42 72.82 135.29 144.19 37.35
Ondansetron | A4A2 28.91 60.63 74.05 73.98 37.09
Pantoprazole | A2C4 28.28 57.47 75.69 55.32 36.87
Norethisterone | G3A12 25.87 34.68 36.99 36.59 36.86
Ciprofloxacin | J1G1 31.52 73.89 75.71 79.39 36.52
Amoxycillin | J1C1 27.77 93.93 106.01 80.08 36.36
Alprazolam | N5D1 40.26 66.96 198.61 94.62 36.26
Cefalexin | J1D1 28.53 115.54 97.43 105.41 36.14
Enoxaparin | B1B3 26.57 38.67 50.82 45.51 35.94
Povidone Iodine | D8A2 35.53 77.38 103.5 83.71 35.81
Lidocaine | N1C10 24.97 78.45 63.72 51.6 35.58
Tetanus | J7A2 25.81 38.88 44.99 46.87 35.45
Allopurinol | M4A4 32.39 55.14 64.12 72.49 35.37
Bisacodyl | A6B5 26.53 40.02 51.83 84.89 35.25
Thiopental Sodium | N1B6 25.42 70.93 82.5 35.93 34.4
Iuds Containing Hormones | G3A9 35.2 44.25 33.6 42.93 34.26
(continued)
7.6 Evidence of Temporary Increases in Product Margins 187
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Part IV
Enforcement and Compliance
Chapter 8
Enforcement and Compliance with Price
Ceilings on Essential Medicines
8.1 Introduction
The effectiveness of price control regulations depends as much on the design of the
policy as on implementation. Yet rarely if ever studies examine the enforcement and
compliance aspects of such price control regulations. In this chapter, we address this
gap in the literature by examining the extent of compliance with price ceilings
imposed on essential medicines in India in 2013 and how it has changed in response
to enforcement efforts. We estimate the extent of noncompliance with the 2013
DPCO and the total overcharged amount. We identify firms and markets with
significant levels of noncompliance. We also reflect on whether the regulator has
followed a targeted approach to enforcement to induce compliance and whether such
targeting has had any impact on overall compliance. We examine efforts by the
regulator to ask firms to self-report their prices and whether that has had any impact
on inducing compliance.
The enactment of laws and regulations does not by itself ensure compliance. Some
firms obey, others evade, and yet others defy them. Compliance depends on the
regulator’s ability to set and communicate standards, to design and implement
mechanisms to monitor evasion and noncompliance and to enforce regulations by
punishing—swiftly, demonstrably, and impartially—those that flout the standards.
Regulations are pervasive, but compliance remains a global challenge for environ-
mental protection, public finance and tax collection, consumer protection, and health
and safety. A large body of work focuses on compliance issues in tax collection and
environmental protection, but very little exists on compliance in the area of phar-
maceutical price regulation. Heyes (2000) surveys the theoretical literature on
compliance in others, which they term regulatory dealing. Overall, the above
theoretical literature suggests ways to induce greater compliance while recognizing
that the regulatory resources and powers are limited and that fines are not costless
transfers from noncompliant firms to the regulator.
Separate from these economic models, scholars have developed regulatory
enforcement models that recognize economic, social, and normative motivations
underlying compliance and noncompliance and the role of legitimacy and fairness of
the regulation and enforcement procedure in achieving compliance. As Garvie and
Keeler (1994) note, the non-economic literature distinguishes enforcement by deter-
rence and compliance regimes. Whereas a deterrence regime looks at each episode of
violation independently and unforgivingly, a compliance regime promotes compli-
ance through frequent contact between the regulator and the firm and through
tolerance for intermittent violations as long as the firm is on a trajectory of compli-
ance. Among the non-economic theories promoting such a compliance regime is the
idea of responsive regulation, which suggests that compliance increases as the
regulated firm has an increasingly positive assessment of and attitude towards the
regulator (Ayres and Braithwaite 1992). These scholars suggest an incremental
approach to the severity of punishments for violations starting with persuading the
violating firm to change its behavior without imposing any fines. They also suggest
that regulators can collaborate with NGOs to build social pressure and induce
compliance, particularly in developing countries (Braithwaite 2006).
The empirical literature largely examines compliance with taxes and environ-
mental standards in the US. Early empirical work finds that resources for enforce-
ment play a significant role in compliance (Epple and Visscher 1984). Regens et al.
(1997) find that firms invest in compliance-specific tools and personnel when the
regulator’s budget increases. Laplante and Rilstone (1996) find that inspections and
the threat of inspections induce compliance. Gray and Deily (1996) find that
regulators focus enforcement resources on identifying large violations and that
greater enforcement leads to greater compliance. Magat and Viscusi (1990) and
Nadeau (1997) find that rigorous enforcement has led to better compliance and
shorter durations of noncompliance in the US pulp and paper industry. Harrison
(1995) compares the US pulp and paper industry with the same industry in Canada
and finds that the relatively less adversarial and cooperative approach of the Cana-
dian regulator contributed to a relatively lower level of compliance in Canada.
Helland (1998) finds that self-reporting by firms indicates their willingness to
cooperate with the regulator and self-reporting increases after targeted inspections
that detect violations. Yee et al. (2016) provide evidence to suggest that a clearer
understanding of the enforced regulation and the fear being targeted arbitrarily play a
role in increasing compliance in developing countries.
The literature on enforcement and compliance with pharmaceutical price controls
is surprisingly limited given the number of countries experimenting with such
regulations. In an exception, Menon (2001) suggests that the Canadian experience
in controlling prices for patented medicines through annual reviews by a review
board has been positive. The board does not set prices but highlights cases of
excessive prices, asks firms to voluntarily lower prices, and if necessary, conducts
200 8 Enforcement and Compliance with Price Ceilings on Essential Medicines
public hearings. The board also has the option to take legal action if compliance is
not reached. However, we are unaware of a quantitative analysis of the effectiveness
of such an enforcement strategy. A separate stream of literature focuses on the
impact of price controls on incentives for innovation and launch of patented med-
icines in developing countries (Cockburn et al. 2016; Berndt and Cockburn 2014;
Kyle 2007; Danzon et al. 2003) and strategies for pricing such medicines in
developing countries (Cockburn et al. 2016; Danzon et al. 2015).
Another stream of literature looks at the impact of pharmaceutical price controls
on prices in developing countries (Yang et al. 2010; Yang et al.2013; Meng et al.
2005). Closely related to our context, Bhaskarabhatla et al. (2016) examine the
impact of partial market-based price regulation of essential medicines implemented
in India in 2013 on prices for Metformin, a widely-used antidiabetic medicine. They
find that firms increased their prices in a coordinated manner before the implemen-
tation of the regulation to inflate the ceiling price. However, they do not examine
issues surrounding enforcement and compliance. Chu et al. (2011) examine the
impact of reforms in Taiwan found that average cost per prescription and the
duration of prescriptions increased in Taiwan when price reduction policies were
implemented as physicians found ways to circumvent the controls, reflecting chal-
lenges with compliance. The Philippines introduced pharmaceutical price controls in
2009, but anecdotal evidence suggests that it has led to the shortage of inexpensive
generic medicines.1 Overall, we are unaware of studies that examine enforcement
strategies and compliance with price controls on essential medicines in developing
countries. We address this gap by exploiting the recent revision of price controls on
essential medicines in India.
Price controls have been commonplace in India since its independence in 1947.
Many controls on commodities instituted by the British before independence con-
tinued to exist even after. Price controls were made permanent through the Essential
Commodities Act of 1955, which regulated the prices of a wide variety of products
such as petroleum and related derivatives, food grains and seeds, textiles, fertilizers,
and medicines. Noncompliance with these price controls was treated as a criminal
offense. Activities such as hoarding, black-marketeering, tax evasion, food adulter-
ation, and illegal trading in licenses and permits and such offenses invited impris-
onment up to 3 years or fine or both as documented by De (2014: p. 289):
1
Philippines President Arroyo Orders Drug Price Controls, Wall Street Journal July 28, 2009.
Philippine Price Controls Hamper Rise of Generics, Wall Street Journal June 18, 2010.
8.3 Price Controls in India: Enforcement and Compliance 201
The controls system was undergirded by an exceptional regime of criminal law. These arose
from the belief that these ‘socio-economic’ criminals needed stronger deterrence than fines
and public shaming. Indeed, a socio-economic offence was characterised as one that was not
challenged by the ‘organised moral sentiments’ of the community, because the crimes were
often complex, and public agencies like the press were themselves controlled by businesses
involved in violating these laws. . .. In recognition of the fact that companies were likely to
try and contravene such orders, the controls regime made all directors, managers, and
officers of a corporate body liable for a contravention unless they could prove that this
took place without their knowledge or negligence. In cases of violation, deviating from the
Indian Evidence Act, the burden of proof was shifted to the accused. Perhaps most omi-
nously, those charged for violating control orders would be subject to a summary trial under
the Criminal Procedure Code.
It was not until 1995 that an enforcement agency was set up to determine the level of
noncompliance and undertake remedial action, although price controls existed since
1970. The National Pharmaceutical Pricing Authority (hereafter, NPPA) is respon-
sible for fixing and revising the prices of selected medicines and enforcing price
ceilings and ensuring availability of medicines in the country. The NPPA currently
has a pricing division that determines ceiling prices, a monitoring and enforcement
division that collects data and identifies cases of overcharging, two divisions dedi-
cated to recovering the overcharged amount from the pharmaceutical firms, and a
legal division to prosecute noncompliant firms.
The NPPA operates by identifying instances of overcharging and sending notices
demanding the return of the overcharged amount with interest. However, firms that
202 8 Enforcement and Compliance with Price Ceilings on Essential Medicines
6000
4000
2000
0
Fig. 8.1 Overcharging by pharmaceutical firms and recovery of fines by the NPPA under
DPCO 1995
8.3 Price Controls in India: Enforcement and Compliance 203
violate price ceilings do not pay any additional fines beyond the interest rate on the
overcharged amount. The NPPA has a nearly two-decade-long record of enforce-
ment of price ceilings on bulk drugs under the DPCO 1995 regime. During this
period, the NPPA has sent more than 1280 notices, but it has a poor record of
recovering the overcharged amount. Using data from the NPPA, we plot in Fig. 8.1
the amount the NPPA identified as overcharged and the amount that was recovered
so far under the 1995 DPCO. The recovered amount has not increased while the
extent of overcharging has been rapidly rising, reflecting the NPPA’s inability to
enforce price controls on medicines in the DPCO 1995 list itself. Responding to a
question in the Indian parliament, a minister in the government noted that the NPPA
had recovered only 7.8% of the nearly Rs. 49.28 billion it identified since August
1997 through March 31, 2016.2 All India Drug Action Network (AIDAN), an NGO
pursuing affordable access to essential medicines has identified several flagrant
violations of the 1995 DPCO and argued that the process of recovering overpriced
amount has been abandoned for years (see Table 8.1).
The increase in the number of medicines from 74 to 348 in the 2013 DPCO and
the additional qualifications on dosages and delivery forms of a regulated medicine,
makes the job of monitoring all the more challenging for the NPPA given its history
of enforcement. For example, the NPPA now sets different prices for tablets and
capsules of the same dosage strength of medicine in some cases, which the NPPA
must also monitor. What is further troubling is the weakening of enforcement
powers. For example, the 2013 DPCO provides NPPA “power of entry, search
and seizure,” but penalties under the Essential Commodities Act of 1955 do not
apply. That is, the regime of criminal law that undergirded price controls in the post-
independence era does not appear to apply to violations of the 2013 DPCO. The
NPPA has sought to amend it so that a tougher law would discourage noncompliance
(Dey 2016). Also, the 2013 DPCO elaborated on the procedure for the recovery of
the overcharged amount under 1987 and 1995 DPCOs without mentioning the 2013
DPCO, leading to confusion among some experts (Vijay 2013).
Newspapers have documented violations of DPCO 2013 and editorials have
called for an extensive price monitoring network that covers all state-level drug
control offices (Francis 2013, 2014). A Parliamentary panel has also asked the NPPA
to vigorously pursue defaulting firms and recover fines (Alexander 2013). In its
response, the NPPA noted that recovery has not happened because several cases are
pending in the courts, including in several High Courts and the Supreme Court. The
NPPA responded to calls for effective action by approving a plan to set up moni-
toring cells across the country, but the implementation challenges remain (Francis
2016a):
Recovery notices are sent by NPPA only when the violations of price fixing orders are
detected. NPPA has been finding it difficult to ensure ground-level compliance of its orders
on ceiling prices for both essential and non-essential medicines ever since it was set
2
Government recovers just 7.8% of Rs 4928 crore drug overcharging fine, Economic Times, May
10, 2016.
204 8 Enforcement and Compliance with Price Ceilings on Essential Medicines
up. Being a Central body with no effective network of inspectors in States and Union
Territories to monitor price violations, drug companies have been flouting DPCO until
violations are noticed. NPPA has been trying hard to detect cases of major violations by
seeking support from drug control administrations. Last year, the Authority made an attempt
to involve the state governments in curbing price violations and requested the state drug
control administrations to set up their own price monitoring cells. This did not work out with
no cooperation from most of the state governments. Last June, NPPA announced that it was
planning to set up Price Monitoring Units in seven states for better compliance of price fixing
orders.
The NPPA has struggled to fix the prices of several medicines for more than
2 years after the government decided to control prices because of lack of data on
prices of several medicines. It relied on IMS Health database, which did not contain
data on some medicines manufactured by domestic firms. The NPPA in 2015 asked
firms to self-report prices and began compiling a database of prices called Integrated
Pharmaceutical Database Management System (IPDMS). Recently the NPPA clar-
ified its procedures to recover the overcharged amount, partly leveraging the IPDMS
(Shankar 2016a, b):
The M&E division shall first examine all such cases based on the consolidated price list in
Form I, Form II and Form V furnished by the manufacturers or available on IPDMS as per
Para 15, 16, 24 and 25 of the DPCO, 2013 and verify the fact of overcharging. The
manufacturer and dealers both will be responsible for overcharging on jointly or separate
basis. If the manufacturer has not already furnished the information in Form 1, Form II and
Form V or the information is not enough to draw a conclusion, the Monitoring division will
send the prescribed time-bound preliminary notice (PN) to the company and seek requisite
information on the prescribed format within 21 days from the date of receipt of the PN or
30 days from the date of issue of PN.
The NPPA has also launched a hotline for citizens to call in and report cases of
overcharging and an online portal for registering such complaints. Yet it must be
noted that pharmaceutical prices are in some ways challenging to monitor, as they
can be changed from one production batch to the other. While the NPPA can use the
data reported by IMS or Pharmatrac to set ceiling prices, these datasets have not been
used widely for establishing noncompliance in a court of law, as pharmaceutical
firms will argue that such databases are unreliable. As noted earlier in the book, if the
IMS and Pharmatrac datasets are appropriate to determine the ceiling price, then they
must also be valid for enforcement. As Shankar (2014) notes,
One of the biggest challenges being faced by the NPPA today is to monitor ceiling/retail
price compliance in respect of scheduled drugs/“new drugs.” With over 600 scheduled
formulations, which translate into more than 6000 packs (different brands) sold at over
6 lakh retail outlets spread across the length and breadth of the country the task of ensuring
comprehensive oversight on price compliance by manufacturers, importers, marketers,
distributors, retailers of pharmaceutical products is a very challenging task to accomplish
in the absence widespread consumer awareness regarding ceiling/retail prices of scheduled
drugs/“new drugs” notified by the NPPA as well as a greater degree of self-regulation and
accountability among the pharmaceutical industry & trade.
8.4 Estimating the Overcharged Amount Under 2013 DPCO 205
We use the AIOCD’s PharmaTrac data for our analysis. The data are widely used by
the financial analysts, pharmaceutical firms, NGOs, retailers and wholesalers, policy
makers in India and researchers around the world (Bhaskarabhatla et al. 2016; Evans
and Pollock 2015). Since the data are compiled by the trade association of retailers,
these data more accurately record prices and sales than other sources such as the IMS
Health. We link data on ceiling prices, obtained from the Compendiums of Ceiling
Prices for 2013, 2014, 2015, and 2016 as compiled by the NPPA. Overall, we find
2028 instances of price setting and revisions over the last 4 years under the 2013
DPCO. We match 783 medicines of a specific dosage and delivery form with entries
in the PharmaTrac database for each month. That is, for Paracetamol, we match
Rs. 0.83 as the ceiling price for the 500 mg tablet, Rs. 1.71 as the ceiling price for the
650 mg tablet. Therefore, we can measure for each Stock Keeping Unit (SKU),
whether there is compliance in a given month or not. We can then estimate the
amount of overcharging for each noncompliant SKU and finally the total amount of
overcharging under DPCO 2013. We begin by illustrating how we calculate
overcharging with the example of Paracetamol tablets for 1 month and highlighting
the challenges in doing such an arithmetic. We then repeat the process to estimate the
overall level of noncompliance.
Our data on Paracetamol contains 835 SKUs for tablets, injections, suspensions, and
oral drops. We focus on 163 SKUs related to 500 mg tablets, which have come under
price regulation since June 2013. We exclude 22 SKUs with more than 30 tablets in
the pack and exclude observations where the maximum retail price is more than ten
times the price to the retailer. These choices reflect our conservative approach to
estimating a lower bound for the overcharged amount and to avoid any suggestion
that such an estimate is due to outliers in the data. We use the following formulae
to convert the ceiling price specified by the 2013 DPCO per tablet into the
SKU-specific ceiling price by multiplying with the number of tablets in the SKU,
as shown in eq. (1).
SKU Ceiling Price ¼ DPCO Ceiling Price ∗ Number of Tablets in Pack ð8:1Þ
Overcharge ¼ ðPharmaTrac Maximum Retail Price SKU Ceiling PriceÞ
∗ Sales Units
ð8:2Þ
206 8 Enforcement and Compliance with Price Ceilings on Essential Medicines
We then quantify the overcharged amount, as shown in eq. (2), by subtracting the
SKU-specific ceiling price from the actual price as it appears in the PharmaTrac data
for the SKU in a given month and multiplying the difference with the number of
units of the SKU sold in India in that month. The ceiling price of 500 mg Paracet-
amol tablet was set at Rs. 0.94 in June 2013, and an SKU with ten tablets in the pack
would have a ceiling price of Rs. 9.4. If the pharmaceutical firm sells for more than
Rs. 9.4, then the firm is determined to be overcharging. Note that our estimate uses
the appropriate ceiling price for any given month during this period as it has been
revised over time.
Table 8.2 lists the pharmaceutical firm, the particular SKU of the firm in violation,
and the overcharged amount for the top 50 SKUs with at least Rs. 100 million
overcharged amount between June 2013 and July 2016. Not surprisingly, at the top
Table 8.2 Overcharging under the 2013 DPCO in Paracetamol 500 mg Tablet SKUs above
Rs. 1 million during June 2013 and July 2016
Overcharge
Pharmaceutical firm Stock keeping unit (SKU) (Rs. Millions)
Glaxosmithkline Pharmaceuticals Ltd. Crocin advance 500 mg tablet 15 130.54
Glaxosmithkline Pharmaceuticals Ltd. Calpol 500 mg tablet 15 114.05
Dew Drops Lab Denim P 500 mg tablet 10 16.45
East India Pharmaceutical Works Ltd. Pyrigesic 500 mg tablet 10 12.47
Ipca Laboratories Pvt. Ltd. Pacimol Xp 500 mg tablet 10 10.95
Micro Labs Ltd. Dolo 500 mg tablet 15 9.6
Ronak Labs Cetcold 500 mg tablet 10 7.04
Themis Medicare Ltd. Metacin 500 mg tablet 8 6.18
Apex Laboratories Ltd. P 500 mg tablet 10 5.91
Abbott Healthcare Pvt. Ltd. Malidens 500 mg tablet 10 4.62
Themis Medicare Ltd. Metacin 500 mg tablet 15 4.5
Glaxosmithkline Pharmaceuticals Ltd. Crocin 500 mg tablet 15 4.32
Mankind Pharmaceuticals Ltd. T98 500 mg tablet 10 3.65
Indoco Remedies Ltd. Febrex 500 mg tablet 10 3.16
Troikaa Pharmaceuticals Ltd. Xykaa rapid 500 mg tablet 10 3.15
Medo Pharma Medomol 500 mg tablet 10 2.96
Ipca Laboratories Pvt. Ltd. Pacimol 500 mg tablet 10 2.95
Rekvina Pharmaceuticals Dispar kid 500 mg tablet 10 2.83
Macleods Pharmaceuticals Pvt. Ltd. Macfast 500 mg tablet 10 2.83
Veritaz Healthcare Ltd. Fepanil 500 mg tablet 10 2.76
Exotic Laboratories Pvt. Ltd. Eboo 500 mg tablet 10 2.2
Cipla Ltd. Paracip 500 mg tablet 10 1.5
Apex Laboratories Ltd. P 500 mg tablet 15 1.46
Ipca Laboratories Pvt. Ltd. Pacimol 500 mg tablet 15 1.25
Indoco Remedies Ltd. Febrex 500 mg tablet 15 1.18
Vanguard Therapeutics Pvt. Ltd. Tyfy 500 mg tablet 10 1.14
Jagsonpal Pharmaceuticals Ltd. Paracetamol-Jag 500 mg tablet 1.08
Total 360.73
8.4 Estimating the Overcharged Amount Under 2013 DPCO 207
of the list is the well-publicized case of GSK’s Crocin Advance, which violated the
DPCO and unilaterally claimed an exemption from price ceiling for 5 years on its
Paracetamol tablet because it had a fast-release feature. Naturally, the claim was
rejected, and GSK was asked to comply with the price regulation. According to the
PharmaTrac data, GSK charged Rs. 30 for Crocin Advance SKU with 15 tablets
between June 2013 and June 2014, when it should have charged a maximum of
Rs. 14.1 or lower. GSK reduced the price from Rs. 30 to Rs. 29.76 during July and
August 2014. In September 2014 GSK reduced the price to Rs. 15.72 while the
actual ceiling price should have been Rs. 15. News reports in April 2014 suggested
that it would price at Rs. 14.84 (Nautiyal 2014). GSK later increased the price to
Rs. 16.36 in October 2015 and lowered it to Rs. 15.91 in June 2016. We estimate the
total overcharged amount by GSK for “Crocin advance 500 mg tablet 15” SKU to be
Rs. 130.54 million. Similarly, the overcharged amount for “Calpol 500 mg tablet 15”
SKU, also manufactured by GSK, is estimated to be Rs. 114.05 million. There are
25 other SKUs with more than Rs. 1 million in illegal overcharging. Overall, the
overcharged amount for Paracetamol 500 mg Tablet SKUs alone is estimated to be
Rs. 369.53 million.
According to the NPPA’s detailed statement of overcharging up to February
2017, GSK overcharged Rs. 5399.37 lakhs or Rs. 53.99 million on Crocin Advance
tablets. Yet our estimates show that the overcharged amount until July 2016 is
more than twice the amount recovered by the NPPA. Also, the NPPA has not
identified any overcharged amount for GSK’s other significant SKU of Paracetamol,
Calpol, although our estimates show that the overcharged amount is as high as
Rs. 114 million.
We follow a similar approach to estimate the overcharged amount and find that there
are 200 firms with at least Rs. 1 million and 104 firms with at least Rs. 10 million
in overcharges. The list of 51 firms with at least Rs. 100 million is presented in
Table 8.3. Sanofi tops the list with an overcharged amount of Rs. 3.5987 billion. It is
not surprising to find Sanofi at the top of the list as prior market research and
newspaper reports suggested that Sanofi would be hit the hardest due to price
controls (Gokhale 2014):
Paris-based Sanofi’s Indian business is worst hit based on maximum retail prices and would
have lost 1.39 billion rupees ($23.1 million) of sales in the past year under the curbs, market
researcher AIOCD AWACS estimates.
It is clear from our estimates that, over the past 3 years, Sanofi did not fully
comply with the 2013 DPCO and continued to charge prices above the ceiling price.
It does not surprise us that Cipla is the second on the list with Rs. 3.471 billion in an
illegal collection as Cipla already has outstanding notices for Rs. 1.768 billion under
208 8 Enforcement and Compliance with Price Ceilings on Essential Medicines
Table 8.3 Overcharging above Rs. 100 million by pharmaceutical firms under the 2013 DPCO,
during Jan 2011–Jul 2016
Pharmaceutical firm Overcharging (Rs. Million)
Sanofi India Ltd. 3598.7
Cipla Ltd. 3471.55
Glaxosmithkline Pharmaceuticals Ltd. 2919.93
Zydus Cadila 2378.99
Pfizer Ltd. 2145.71
Ranbaxy Laboratories Ltd. 2083.35
Dr. Reddys Laboratories Ltd. 1364.54
Bharat Serums & Vaccines Ltd. 1333.5
Abbott Healthcare Pvt. Ltd. 1286.72
Micro Labs Ltd. 1277.18
Novartis India Ltd. 1245.69
Alkem Laboratories Ltd. 1010.07
Lupin Ltd. 903.29
Sun Pharma Laboratories Ltd. 895.99
Intas Pharmaceuticals Ltd. 868.13
Emcure Pharmaceuticals Ltd. 744.96
Jb Chemicals 661.05
Panacea Biotec Ltd. 644.07
Torrent Pharmaceuticals Ltd. 610.7
Ipca Laboratories Pvt. Ltd. 516.37
Wockhardt Ltd. 460.76
Alembic Ltd. 392.7
Cadila Pharmaceuticals Ltd. 390.98
Macleods Pharmaceuticals Pvt. Ltd. 326.45
Usv Ltd. 319.36
Unichem Laboratories Ltd. 306.59
Zuventus Healthcare Ltd. 300.48
Troikaa Pharmaceuticals Ltd. 275.93
Abbott India Ltd. 261.27
Rpg Life Sciences Ltd. 228.91
Hegde & Hegde 226.46
Franco Indian Pharmaceuticals Pvt. Ltd. 225.31
Glenmark Pharmaceuticals Ltd. 220.43
Apex Laboratories Ltd. 215.67
Allergan India Ltd. 190.2
Serum Institute of India Ltd. 184.67
Win-Medicare Pvt. Ltd. 181.88
Biocon Ltd. 181.13
Fdc Ltd. 176.05
Mankind Pharmaceuticals Ltd. 159.45
Indoco Remedies Ltd. 156.4
Natco Pharma Ltd. 136.12
(continued)
8.5 Enforcement Activity by the NPPA for 1995 and 2013 DPCO 209
the 1995 DPCO, or nearly 3.5% of the total fines imposed under the 1995 DPCO
(Business Line 2016). The total amount of overcharging among all firms in our
dataset is estimated to be Rs. 39.619 billion after excluding SKUs with large packs
and SKUs where the maximum retail price is not more than ten times the price to the
retailer. The estimate is slightly larger at Rs. 43.938 billion without these exclusions.
Some critics of the procedure point to the presence of local taxes, which we have not
incorporated in our estimates. While it is true that some local bodies impose one or
2% local taxes on medicines, the medicine packs state that the maximum retail price
is inclusive of all taxes. Nonetheless, if we allow for a generous 5% on local taxes,
we find that the estimate for the overcharged amount is Rs. 31.451 billion with the
exclusion of large packs and cases where maximum retail price is more than ten
times the price to the retailer and Rs. 34.639 billion without such exclusions.
The NPPA has begun enforcement activities under the 2013 DPCO and sent two
notices in 2013, 39 in 2014, 104 in 2015, and 21 until the end of June 2016. We
examine NPPA’s enforcement strategy based on these activities. We found that
among the pharmaceutical firms that were sent notices under 2013 DPCO,
40 firms were not matched to any of the 919 firms in the Pharmatrac dataset,
indicating that these are relatively small firms. We present the list of these firms in
Table 8.4. While a targeted approach to enforcement would call for focusing on large
firms with a prior history of violations, the limited resources of NPPA seem to be
directed toward small firms, considered too small even to be included in the
Pharmatrac dataset. We also examine the 47 SKUs, shown in Table 8.4, which
matched those in the Pharmatrac data. We find that the total overcharging in these
SKUs to be Rs. 0.735 billion during June 2013 and July 2016, slightly higher than
the NPPA’s estimate of Rs. 0.627 billion. However, we found that 30 of the 47 SKUs
210 8 Enforcement and Compliance with Price Ceilings on Essential Medicines
Table 8.4 The market shares of selected SKUs facing enforcement under the 2013 DPCO
SKU reported as subject of enforcement Market share Overcharge (Rs. Million)
Ambistryn S 0.75 gm injection 1 3.53 17.77
Ambistryn S 1 gm injection 1 0.33 0.14
Andial 2 mg tablet 10 5.86 3.09
Atocor 10 mg tablet 10 0.13 43.68
Atocor 20 mg tablet 10 0.95 7.24
Atocor 5 mg tablet 10 0.15 3.81
Atorsave 10 mg tablet 10 0.06 13.03
Auxime 200 mg tablet 10 0 0.5
Aziclass 250 mg tablet 6 0.01 0.65
Calaptin 80 mg tablet 10 4.35 7.7
Cetfast 10 mg tablet 10 0 0.01
Cetfast 5 mg syrup 30 ml 0 0.01
Chlorocol eye 0.1% ointment 3 gm 2.69 1.18
Ciprolet ds 500 mg tablet 10 0.03 4.05
Crocin advance 500 mg tablet 15 0.4 130.54
Diapill D3 60,000 Iu tablet 4 0.01 0.02
Domperi 1 mg suspension 30 ml 0.06 0.34
Enoxsave 40 mg injection 0.4 ml 0.01 9.2
Eradiclav 500/125 mg tablet 6 0 0.09
Eradiclav duo 500/125 mg tablet 6 0 0.01
Fever X 500 mg tablet 10 0 0.07
Floxip 250 mg tablet 10 0.01 1.18
Floxip 500 mg tablet 10 0.01 3.65
Gardenal 60 mg tablet 20 1.33 36.55
Gardenal 60 mg tablet 30 2.63 36.96
Genticyn 0.3% eye drops 10 ml 5.56 1.99
Glyciphage 500 mg tablet Sr 10 0.45 193.73
Hcqs 200 mg tablet 10 1.76 85.92
Heksi 2 mg tablet 10 0.02 1
Homide 2% eye drops 5 ml 2.68 10.49
Inderal 10 mg tablet 10 1.6 19.09
Mazetol 100 mg tablet 10 0.68 0.42
Mixtard human 30/70 40 Iu injection 10 ml 17.81 46.87
Moxipil 250 mg tablet Dt 10 0 0.07
Neorof 1% injection 10 ml 0.58 8.67
Neorof 1% injection 20 ml 0.87 14.99
Oflavid 200 mg tablet 10 0 0.15
Pedimite 5% cream 30 gm 0.02 0.08
Perinorm 10 mg tablet 10 2.04 17.15
Perinorm 10 mg tablet md 10 3.23 1.61
Perinorm 5 mg drops 30 ml 2.35 4.9
Perinorm 5 mg syrup 30 ml 2.11 4.68
(continued)
8.5 Enforcement Activity by the NPPA for 1995 and 2013 DPCO 211
have a market share of less than 1% and the average market share to be 1.5%,
indicating that the NPPA is likely targeting small violations. We find that the
absolute amount of overcharges is more than 44 times larger than what is identified
by the regulator. Collecting overcharges is challenging because of considerable
delays in the judicial process. However, if collected, the fines can be used to provide
free medicine to much of India’s population—if not all—given the budget for
providing free medicines for a large state like Karnataka is Rs. 0.3 billion per year.
One may argue that weak enforcement by the NPPA must be understood in the
context of a strict statutory standard the NPPA imposed. That is, the pharmaceutical
firms violating the ceiling price may argue that the ceiling price is set at levels
impossible for them to comply with profitably. The flaw with this argument is that
prior work shows that pharmaceutical firms, particularly those with more than 1%
market share, coordinated to inflate the ceiling price just before the implementation
of the 2013 DPCO, resulting in a weak statutory standard at the beginning of the
2013 DPCO.
Overall, the enforcement activity has been characterized not only by the NPPA’s
low estimates of overcharging by the pharmaceutical firms but also the limited
recovery of these overcharged amounts. We report in Table 8.5 the number and
status of cases of overcharging under the 1995 DPCO since its inception until the
end of February 2017. The percentage of the overcharged amount recovered is
15 between August 1997 and March 2009. We report the number and status of
cases of overcharging under the 2013 DPCO in Table 8.6. According to the NPPA,
the total amount recovered from the pharmaceutical companies is only 13.34% of the
claims made by the NPPA. As we discussed in the previous section, the NPPA
appears to have substantially underestimated the overcharged amount in the first
place. Next, we report in Table 8.7 the outstanding amount various pharmaceutical
companies owe to the NPPA under the 1995 DPCO. We also reported in Table 8.8
both the overcharged and the outstanding amounts owed to the NPPA under the
2013 DPCO.
The All India Chemists and Druggists Federation (AICDF), a competing and
relatively small union of retailers compared to the AIOCD, has recently sent letters
to the NPPA alleging that the pharmaceutical companies are continuing to violating
212
Table 8.5 The status of cases of overcharging under DPCO 1995 since inception until 28.02.2017
Aug 1997– 2009– 2010– 2011– 2012– 2013– 2014– 2015– 2016–
Particulars Mar 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
DPCO 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995
Number of cases 653 87 42 40 103 88 90 160 24
Overcharged demanded amount including interest 2645.87 71.23 107.11 60.81 129.22 415.9 526.06 907.49 93.17
Total amount realized during the year 156.04 35.91 17.26 10.69 14.97 40.06 34.37 7.59 220.36
Total amount realized against the demands for the 401.71 23.8 20.35 8.88 10.36 55.3 11.92 4.89 0.04
year
Percentage of the amount realized against the 15.18 33.41 19.00 14.60 8.02 13.30 2.27 0.54 0.04
demand for the year (%)
Amount outstanding 2244.16 47.43 86.76 51.93 118.86 360.6 514.14 902.6 93.13
Source: NPPA (http://www.nppaindia.nic.in/order/stmt-14-03-2017.pdf)
8 Enforcement and Compliance with Price Ceilings on Essential Medicines
8.5 Enforcement Activity by the NPPA for 1995 and 2013 DPCO 213
Table 8.6 The status of cases of overcharging under DPCO 2013 since inception until 28.02.2017
2013– 2014– 2015– 2016– Cumulative
Particulars 2014 2015 2016 2017 total
DPCO 2013 2013 2013 2013 1995 &
2013
Number of cases 2 39 103 96 1527
Overcharged demanded amount including 0 53.99 20.47 7.43 5038.72
interest
Total amount realized during the year 0.02 55.8 4.73 74.48 672.28
Total amount realized against the demands 0.04 55.96 8.14 70.89 672.28
for the year
Percentage of the amount realized against 0.00 103.70 39.77 954.10 13.34
the demand for the year (%)
Amount outstanding 0.04 1.97 12.33 63.46 4366.44
Source: NPPA (http://www.nppaindia.nic.in/order/stmt-14-03-2017.pdf)
the ceiling prices imposed under the 2013 DPCO, and that the state drug regulators
in West Bengal are ignoring such violations (Kunnathoor 2017):
In a letter sent to the office of the national price regulator, Joydeep Sarkar, general secretary
of AICDF has said that the law violating companies are not concerned about the regulatory
body in the state. Despite so many complaints made against them by the law abiding
wholesale traders, the manufacturers are continuing their unlawful activities. They are
denying supplying life-saving medicines to the legitimate wholesalers.
One of the main challenges in enforcing the ceiling prices under 2013 DPCO lies
in establishing the violations in a court of law. Yet the government has faced
considerable difficulty in collecting data to determine the ceiling price. As we
discussed in Chap. 5, the IMS and Pharmatrac data often provide different estimates
of market shares and prices. As a result, relying on them for enforcement can lead to
legal disputes. The NPPA has attempted to collect data directly from pharmaceutical
companies. However, only 90 companies complied with the request for data and
several companies failed to register and self-report data on prices and sales to the
NPPA’s Integrated Pharmaceutical Database Management System (Shankar 2014a).
The effort to compile the database remains unfinished 2 years later despite repeated
requests and extended deadlines since September 2014, when it was first announced
(Shankar 2014b; Shankar 2016a, b).
As Francis (2016a, b) notes, the NPPA decided to set up Price Monitoring and
Resource Units in seven states, Gujarat, Maharashtra, Odisha, Haryana, Kerala,
Assam, and Manipur, to improve compliance with the DPCO. However, the pro-
posed investment per state is Rs. 4–5 lakh, indicating the lack of resources and
commitment to enforcement. Francis (2016a, b) notes that the NPPA does not have
an effective network of inspectors in states to monitor price violations and the NPPA
has not received cooperation from the state drug control administrations. Francis
(2016a, b) summarizes the difficult facing the NPPA:
Table 8.7 Noncompliance with the 1995 DPCO
214
Outstanding amount in N of
Company name Rs. hundred thousands cases Medicine formulations where violations occurred
Cipla Ltd. 246,991 26 Ciprofloxacin; D-Fylin tab; Mebex plus tabs; Doxycycline;
Duolin Rotacaps; Norflox based formulations; Asthalin 4 mg tabs;
Duolin Rotacaps; Ciplox 500 mg tab; Asthalin SA 8 mg tab;
salbutamol.; Ciprofloxacin based formulation; Aerocort Forte
Rotacaps; Ciplox-TZ; Norfloxacin based formulation; Tetracy-
cline 500 and 250; Salbutamol based formulation; Cloxacillin
based formulation; Furazole-M tab; Norfloxacin based formula-
tion; Ciplox E/E Drops; Erycin 500 tabs; Burnheal Cream; Ciplox
100 ml vial/Bottle; Duolin Inhaler; Maxirich caps
Johnson & Johnson Pvt. Ltd. 65799.56 6 Benadryl cough syrup 450 ml; Benadryl cough syrup 50 ml;
Raricap tablets; Pedia 3 liquid; Raricap tablets; Benadryl cough
syrup 150 ml
Okasa Pharma Ltd. 28735.38 13 Norfloxacin based addl demand; Ciplox D eye ointment; Cefadur;
Betasalic ointment; Fourderm cream; Predone Forte; Ibugesic plus
tab; Cloxacillin based formulations; Nutrolin B syrup; Cefadroxyl
based formulations; Norflox TZ tabs; theophylline based formu-
lations; Dytor plus 20 tab
Claris Life Science Ltd 10407.1 1 I V Fluid
Ranbaxy Labs Ltd 7734.84 8 Suprimox-P tabs; Cloxacillin based formulations; Norfloxacin
based formulations; Ciprofloxacin; Cefazoline Sodium;
Norfloxacin based formulations; Suprimox caps; Cloxacillin
based formulations
Rexcin Pharmaceuticals Ltd. 7045.41 10 Diprovate-N 17 gm Creram; Diprovate plus Lotion 50 ml;
Diprovate G plus 15 gm; Diprovate-S plus cream 15 gm;
Diprovate S plus 20 gm; Diprovate plus cream 15 gm; Diprovate
Lotion 50 ml; Diprovate plus 20 gm; Diprovate G plus 20 gm;
Statum plus cream
Macleods Ltd. 6518.43 1 Doxoril 400 tab
8 Enforcement and Compliance with Price Ceilings on Essential Medicines
Cheminova Pharmaceuticals/Cipla Ltd. 6045.5 1 Powergyl suspension 30 ml
Mars Therapheuticas 5276.23 3 Synsama tabs 15’s pack; Bicil P; Synsama syrup
Swiss Garnier/Lupin 3619.91 1 Doxiflon
Baxter India Pvt. Ltd. 3551.72 3 Metrodazole; Dns/NS 500 ml; IV Fluid
Astalife/Usv Ltd. 3423.32 2 Doxy 1 LDR Forte; Ecosprin gold 20 forte caps
Tridoss Labs Pvt. Ltd. 2844.16 3 Aceten 25 mg; Captopril/Acetan; Phylobid tab SR
Franco Indian 2767.06 4 Benalgis; Surfaz-SN cream 7 gm * 1; native C 200; Native C 400
Cipla/Alchon 2437.9 1 Ciprofloxacin Inj.
Ipca Labs Ltd. Mumbai 2365.41 2 Ciprofloxacin based formulations; Lariago DS tablet
Dr Reddy’S 2307.96 6 Gris OD 375; Bio-E; Becozinc caps; Norfloxacin; Ciprofloxacin
based formulation; Cloxacillin based formulation
Cadila Healthcare Ltd. 2256.91 17 Ofrex-M plus; Gertac; Gexofen; Deriphylline OD 300 & 450;
Zydril Expectorant; Zygenta 20 ml Inj.; Deriphylin 300;
Ciprofloxcin ciprobid 500; Cefadroxil; Gilpimet; Deriphyllin 450;
Rimpazid kid tabs.; Megalox; Quadridus 5 gm; Citimed; Nortee
400 LB; Ciprobid 250 mg
Best Lab Pvt. Ltd. 2041.86 3 Riconia film coated tabs; Riconia film; Caserra
Mmc Healthcare 1931.07 1 Medineuron tabs
Indswift Ltd./Alliance Biotech 1922.95 1 Amibex TZ tabs
Star drugs 1874.14 1 Nervijan Inj.
8.5 Enforcement Activity by the NPPA for 1995 and 2013 DPCO
Glenmark Pharmaceuticals 1862.27 2 E Cap-400 (Vitamin E Acetate 400 mg caps.); Doxovent tabs
Modi Mundi/T C Healthcare 1720.46 2 Unicortin CR-400; Unicortin CR-600
Universal Pharmaceuticals Ltd 1699.22 3 LCF cough formula; Analgin tabs. 10’s; Emvit cap
Mars Therapheuticas/Dr. Reddy 1641.81 1 Doxobid tab
Usv Ltd. 1624.7 4 Glynase XL-5; Doxy-I (DPCO’87); Ecosprin AV 75; Pioz
Kopran Ltd. 1307.43 5 Cloxacillin based formulations; Norfloxacin based formulations;
Salbutamol based formulations; Vent syrup; Cefadroxyl based
formulations
(continued)
215
Table 8.7 (continued)
216
Outstanding amount in N of
Company name Rs. hundred thousands cases Medicine formulations where violations occurred
Pharmed Ltd./Mmc Healthcare 1205.92 1 Cartigen forte tab
Manish Pharmaceuticals 1182.71 3 Benadryl cough syrup 100 ml; Salbutamol Sulphate;
Ceradrish 500
Laborate Pharmaceticals India Ltd. 1160.5 46 festive-D; Doxylab caps; MP-4 tab; Clear & Clean Cream; Doxy
tab; Memory plus syrup 200 ml; Ceflox CF cream; Elthrocin-
250 mg tab; Deco E/E Drops; LB Drox 250; Festive-M Suspen-
sion; Valerate-N; Ibuflam tablets; MP-16 tab; Cipdec E/E Drops;
Lantac Inj.; Gentacord-D E/E Drops; Gentacort-MF cream;
Cefadroxyl dry syrup 30 ml bottle; Dexalab Inj.; Norbin Oral
susp.; Ceflox suspension,; Maligo-250 mg tabs; Doxylab capsule;
Povirex plus ointment; Labizone; Nflox-TZ tab; N-TZ tabs;
Betamox plus capsules; Ceflox D E/E Drops; Ceflox E/E drop;
Ceflox E/E drop; LB Drox 500 tabs; Mediclox plus cap; Valerate
‘C’ skin cream 20 gm; Ceflox TZ tab; Nflox-B 400; Lantac Inj.
and Betamox plus caps.; Gentalab Inj.; Sivez cream 20 gm;
Gentalab E/E Drops; Quard cream 15 gm; Nflox E/E Drops;
Quard cream; Norlab-TZ tab; Silvez plus cream
Lyka Labs Ltd. 1151.38 2 Cloxacillin based formulations; Lydin tabs.
Tristar Formulation P Ltd. 1020.09 2 Ecospin AV; Ecosprin gold
Rexin Pharmaceutical 891.95 1 Silverex cream 24 gm
Cipla/golden cross 862.43 1 Ibugesic plus suspension
Meridan enterprises 858.02 1 Tedral SA
Fdc Ltd. 835.73 3 ZoxanTZ tab; Doxiba syrup; Doxiba tabs
Pfizer Ltd. 745.5 10 Becosules Z caps.; Oxytetracycline; Zipron 500 tab.; Depo
Medrol; Solu-Medrol 1000 mg AOV 8 ml; Becosules caps;
Medrol 4 mg tab/Solumedrol 500 mg 4 ml aov/Solumedrol
1000 mg 8 ml AO > V; Benadryl syrup; Caladryl lotion;
Becosules caps
8 Enforcement and Compliance with Price Ceilings on Essential Medicines
Oscar Labs 695.16 1 Gramogyl/Gramoneg
Bdh Industries 648.12 1 Keralgo tab
Cadila Healthcare Ltd./German Remedies 559.87 1 Doxolin tab
Torque Pharmaceuticals 526.47 11 Glycort E/E Drops; Gencin B E/E Drops; Ticin suspension 60 ml;
Gencin E/E Drops; Cipromac E/E Drops; Norgyl suspension;
Bedex Forte; Doxymac caps; Cold go suspension; Cipromac caps;
Cipromac D E/E Drops
Innova Cap Tab/Manish Pharma 464.12 1 Duoflam kid tab
Maneesh Pharmaceuticals Pvt. Ltd. 442.11 6 Elferri tonic; SCC-JR tabs; Sigma CT tabs; SCC-2 LW tabs;
Sigma CTH tabs; SCC-2 tabs
Wyeth Ltd. 438.42 2 Prednisolone; Wymesone Inj. 2 ml Vial
Bestochem Formulaiton (I) Ltd. 432.32 2 Betawin-S and Betawin forte tab. 10’s each; Doran-O tab,
Doran-O Inj
Cadila Pharmaceuticals Ltd. 429.3 5 Ciprofloxacin based formulations; Envas 5; Cloxacillin based
formulations; Ciprofloxacin; Envas 2.5
Saichem Pharma/Pharmed Ltd. 417.34 1 Citravite-Z
Sol Pharma 404.13 2 Ciprofloxacin based formulation; Theophylline based
formulations (Theolong)
Gland Pharma 400.41 1 Huminsulin 30/70 Inj.
Vapi Care Pharma P Ltd./Bombay Tablet 397.08 1 LAA tab.
8.5 Enforcement Activity by the NPPA for 1995 and 2013 DPCO
Mfg Company
Martin & Harris Ltd. 393 1 Venusmin
Noel Pharma 357.52 9 Iclox Welfen & Welfen M; Vitatop tabs; Megadine-M Oint;
Zenfer caps; Betaphil-T tab; Megadine-M Oint; Megatac tab;;
Inor—400
Indswift Ltd. 314.18 7 Neurobex-SG; Cetin plus suspension; Provita, neurovit;
Doxycycline; Swiflox; a) Stemin tab 0.5 mg.; Swiflox E/E Drops
Allergan India Pvt. Ltd. 307.91 2 Acetate; V-Ret plus
Ipca Labs 296.74 2 Norfloxacin based formulations; Normax-TZ
217
(continued)
Table 8.7 (continued)
218
Outstanding amount in N of
Company name Rs. hundred thousands cases Medicine formulations where violations occurred
Espi Chemicals 280.54 1 Rediplox
Biochem Pharmaceuticals Ind Ltd. 278.24 2 Amplox 250 mg Caps & Amplox LB cap; Mplox-C Vial 500 mg
Tuton Pharma 258.88 1 Tresmox LB
Saar Biotech/Biochem Pharmaceuticals 253.63 1 Clobet GM cream
Shimal Investment and Trading Company 247.84 1 Gramoneg/Gramogyl formulations
(Ranbaxy)
Kemwell Pvt. Ltd. 241.8 2 Ventrorlin Exp./Sry.; Ventorlin expect.
Avis Life Sciences/Morepen 239.51 1 Norpen-TZ
Lark Labs (I) Ltd. 235.39 3 Infa-V; Livogard 60 ml; Ciprolar -FC 15 gm cream
Softesule Pvt. Ltd. & Alembac Ltd. 223.47 1 Farisis cap
Concept Pharmaceuticals Ltd. 198.27 6 Synabron tab; Anabest; Coprime DS; Ibucon plus suspension;
Ibucon 400 plus; Synabron expectorant 100 ml
Cipla Ltd./Curetech Skincare 196.22 1 Burnheal cream 15 gm
Wanbury/Creative Healthcare 190.58 1 SET Cal Mom
Gmbell Healthcare/Universal 175.56 1 Clobed GM cream
Lifesciences
Ak Labs 159.92 1 Doxicip 100 mg tab
Nicholas Piramal (I) Ltd. 159 3 Tetracycline 500 mg tabs; Quinobact eye drop & tabs; Norfloxacin
based formulation
Sresan Pharmaceuticals 158.09 2 Respolite S syrup; Respolite ST syrup
Arvind Remedies Ltd. 152.92 4 Vitoxid AO; Racy 500 tabs; Cetafen; Crolox tabs
Shreya Lifesciences 145.51 2 Monto 4 tabs; Aspisol tabs
Somatico Labs Ltd 144.62 1 Somadox DT caps
Softech Pharma Pvt. Ltd./Dr. Reddy 140.65 1 Ovista caps.
Ajanta Pharma 134.49 1 Gate-PD E/E Drops
8 Enforcement and Compliance with Price Ceilings on Essential Medicines
Lupin Ltd. 131.59 2 Tonact ASP 75; Odoxil 250 DT tabs
Palson Derma Pvt. Ltd. 116.61 1 Kensol-B 10 gm
Vapi Care Pharma Ltd./Tridoss Labora- 115.54 1 Phylobid-300 CR
tories Pvt. Ltd.
Ankur Drugs & Pharmaceuticals 106.2 1 Cipract TZ tabs
Themis Medicare Ltd. 104.49 1 Tetra Cox tabs
Source: NPPA (http://www.nppaindia.nic.in/order/stmt-30-6-2016.html)
Partial list of companies with an outstanding balance of more than 10 million rupees with the NPPA
8.5 Enforcement Activity by the NPPA for 1995 and 2013 DPCO
219
Table 8.8 Noncompliance under the 2013 DPCO
220
(continued)
Table 8.8 (continued)
222
NPPA has to collect a total sum of Rs.4551 crores from various pharmaceutical companies
up to February 2016 for overcharging of drugs from 1995 onwards when the earlier DPCO
was notified. In 2015-16 alone, NPPA issued demand notices to 263 companies for recovery
of Rs. 928.32 crores but could collect only Rs. 12 crores. There are no indications when the
NPPA will be able to recover such a huge sum of money. As the NPPA price violation cases
are fought in different courts and are in various stages of hearing, it looks difficult to recover
such a huge amount by the government from the drug companies even with the price
monitoring units in the states. After the notification of the new DPCO in 2013 covering
348 drugs, health ministry revised the National List of Essential Medicines in last December
raising the total number of drugs under DPCO to 384. With this, NPPA has a bigger task in
fixing and monitoring the additional number of drug prices. Now, the circumvention and
violation of the DPCO provisions have to be expected on a much bigger scale looking at the
track record of the pharmaceutical companies. Considering the fact that the litigations have
been going on with several companies for more than 20 years, it is futile to expect the
recovery of this amount will be possible under the existing judicial process. The Central
government needs to find some extra judicial option to recover these amounts.
Gujarat has enforced the DPCO regulations better than many other states, indi-
cating that the quality of state drug control administration plays an important role in
enforcement. In 2014 alone Gujarat’s regulator referred 629 cases of DPCO viola-
tions to the NPPA, as Shirodkar (2015) notes:
We have been training our inspectors on a regular basis as an ongoing effort on all the basics
of how to effectively calculate the prices of the medicines available in the market, compare
and check it with the notified prices and how to efficiently and timely report or refer all the
cases to the NPPA. All our efforts are targeted to ensure full compliance with the existing
laws such as Drugs & Cosmetics Act, the DPCO and others.
Overall, the extent of overpricing is substantial in some of the SKUs during the
2013–2016 period. We compiled in Appendix A1 the annual revisions to the ceiling
prices of various medicines and in Appendix A2, the MRP, PTR, the ceiling prices of
some of the SKUs with an MRP at least double the ceiling price. Targeting such
instances of significant violations of the ceiling price can prove to be an effective
enforcement strategy.
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Chapter 9
Conclusion
The NPPA enforced the price ceilings by expediting 300 cases of price ceiling
violations (Nautiyal 2017). The NPPA also revised the DPCO to include importers
and distributors under the definition of manufacturers (Shankar 2017c). Some
reports suggested that hospitals responded to the capping of stent prices by charging
exorbitant prices for consumables such as cardiac catheters, balloon catheters and
guide wire (Sreenivasan 2018). However, such compensatory prices increases can-
not be a reason for not limiting the prices of stents in the first place. Instead, the
NPPA has responded to these reports by requiring hospitals to provide detailed
232 9 Conclusion
Although there is growing evidence to indicate that stents do not prevent heart
attacks and that they are unnecessary and expensive procedures involving adverse
events such as heart attacks and renal failure (Carroll 2018; Al-Lamee et al. 2017;
Brown and Redberg 2018), the Indian medical community is far from limiting their
use. Consequently, the NPPA’s role in limiting excessive profiteering from the sale
of stents must be counted as a success of the 2013 DPCO regulation. While the
government has addressed the pricing of stents, Nautiyal (2014b) provides examples
of the partial or incomplete nature of this regulation and suggests that the lack of
regulation has led to arbitrarily high prices for similar medical devices used in
different medical procedures:
Products are often being labeled with a high price due to lack of any regulation in pricing as
most of the medical devices have not been notified by the government. A case in point being
that drug eluting stent (DES) meant for cardiac disorder is notified but Cerebral shunt meant
for neurological disorders is not notified. Endotracheal tube used in anaesthesia devices
which falls under the catheter category is notified by the government while Laryngeal Mask
Airway is not notified. All the anaesthesia intubation devices therefore need to be regulated
and not only endotracheal tube. It has also been observed that notified medical device like
endotracheal tube is imported and sold in the name of “tube” to evade local rules and
import duty.
Table 9.1 Budgetary allocation for the National Pharmaceutical Pricing Authority, 2015–2016
Non-planned and planned spending Budget estimates in rupees
Period (2015–2016)
Salaries 38,000,000
Wages 7,000,000
OTA 100,000
Medical treatment 1,000,000
Travelling allowance (D) 2,500,000
Travelling allowance (F) 500,000
Office expenses 10,000,000
Rent, rate and taxes 30,500,000
Other administrative expenses 500,000
Professional services 12,000,000
Consumer awareness scheme 50,000,000
Source: NPPA website’s right to information act tab
URL: http://www.nppaindia.nic.in/last accessed on March 25, 2018
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234 9 Conclusion
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Appendix
Table A.1 Ceiling prices per tablet for tablet formulations of medicines under the 2013 DPCO
Medicine Strength Date Revised price ceiling
Aciclovir 200 mg Jun-13 7.3
Aciclovir 200 mg Apr-14 7.76
Aciclovir 200 mg Feb-15 8.06
Aciclovir 200 mg Jun-16 6.29
Aciclovir 400 mg Jun-13 11.64
Aciclovir 400 mg Apr-14 12.38
Aciclovir 400 mg Feb-15 12.86
Aciclovir 400 mg Jun-16 11.42
Albendazole 400 mg Jun-13 9.12
Albendazole 400 mg Apr-14 9.7
Albendazole 400 mg Jul-14 9.92
Albendazole 400 mg Feb-15 10.3
Albendazole 400 mg Jun-16 7.15
Albendazole 400 mg Jul-16 10.3
Allopurinol 100 mg Sep-13 2.09
Allopurinol 100 mg Apr-14 2.22
Allopurinol 100 mg Feb-15 2.31
Allopurinol 100 mg Jun-16 1.76
Alprazolam 0.25 mg Jun-13 0.96
Alprazolam 0.25 mg Apr-14 1.02
Alprazolam 0.25 mg Feb-15 1.06
Alprazolam 0.5 mg Jun-13 2.01
Alprazolam 0.5 mg Apr-14 2.14
Alprazolam 0.5 mg Feb-15 2.22
Aluminium + Magnesium 50/250 mg Sep-14 0.49
Aluminium + Magnesium 50/250 mg Feb-15 0.51
Amiodarone 100 mg Jun-13 6.52
(continued)
Table A.2 A partial list of top-1157 SKUs violating the 2013 DPCO during 2013-2016 by
charging MRP at least double the DPCO ceiling price
Medicine Company SKU MRP Ceiling PTR
Aciclovir Eli Lilly And Lovir (Eli Lilly) 365 36.5 58.48
Company (India) 200 mg tablet 5
Pvt. Ltd.
Aciclovir Eli Lilly And Lovir (Eli Lilly) 365 58.2 99.65
Company (India) 400 mg tablet 5
Pvt. Ltd.
Aciclovir Eli Lilly And Lovir (Eli Lilly) 124.56 58.2 99.65
Company (India) 400 mg tablet 5
Pvt. Ltd.
Albendazole Zydus Cadila Zelbend (Zydus 125 9.12 1.75
Cadila) 400 mg
tablet 1
Albendazole Alde Medi Impex Aldezole 400 mg 125 9.92 11.95
tablet 1
Albendazole Alde Medi Impex Aldezole 400 mg 118 9.7 11.95
tablet 1
(continued)
Appendix 253