Emropub 2016 en 19266
Emropub 2016 en 19266
Emropub 2016 en 19266
Pakistan
WHO Library Cataloguing in Publication Data
Foreword
The Government of Pakistan and WHO are working together to effectively improve the
public health situation in the country with special emphasis on the five key regional
priorities:
• health security and prevention and control of communicable diseases;
• noncommunicable diseases, mental health, violence and injuries, and nutrition;
• promoting health through the life-course;
• health systems strengthening; and
• preparedness, surveillance and response.
The strategic directions to address these priorities are broadly in line with WHO’s 12th
General Programme of Work, the Programme Budget 2016–2017 endorsed in May 2015 by
the Sixty-eighth World Health Assembly and the five strategic areas of work endorsed by the
WHO Regional Committee for the Eastern Mediterranean in 2012.
Reliable and timely health information is essential for policy development, proper health
management, evidence-based decision-making, rational resource allocation and monitoring
and evaluation of the public health situation. While the demand for health information is
increasing in terms of quantity, quality and levels of disaggregation, the response to these
needs has been hampered because of fragmentation and major gaps and weaknesses in
national health information systems.
The strengthening of health information systems is a priority for WHO in the Region.
Intensive work with Member States since 2012 has resulted in a clear framework for health
information systems and 68 core indicators that focus on three main components: 1)
monitoring health determinants and risks; 2) assessing health status, including morbidity
and cause-specific mortality; and 3) assessing health system response. In order to successfully
achieve this important goal, concerted and aligned action at national and international
level are required to address the gaps and challenges in the health information systems
of all countries. This will ensure the generation of more effective evidence to monitor
improvement in the health situation, nationally, regionally and globally.
Pakistan 3
Health profile 2015
4 Pakistan
Health profile 2015
Introduction
The population of the country has increased by 41.0% in the past 25 years, reaching 188.1
million in 2015. It is estimated that 62.6% of the population lives in rural settings (2012),
19.4% is aged 15–24 years (2015) and life expectancy at birth is 65 years (2012). The literacy
rate for youths (15–24 years) is 70.8% (2011) and the rate for all adults is 54.7%; for adult
females the rate is 42.0%.
The burden of disease attributable to communicable diseases is 38.3% (2012), for
noncommunicable diseases it is 50.5% and for injuries 11.2%. The share of out-of-pocket
expenditure is 54.9% (2013). In 2009 there were 8.3 physicians per 10 000 population; the
density for nurses and midwives was 5.7.
The public health issues facing the country are presented in the following sections:
communicable diseases, noncommunicable diseases, promoting health across the life
course, health systems strengthening and preparedness, and surveillance and response.
Each section focuses on the current situation, opportunities and challenges faced and the
way forward. In addition, trends in population dynamics and in selected health indicators
are analysed to provide policy-makers with evidence and forecasts for planning.
Pakistan 5
Communicable
diseases
HIV
Tuberculosis
Malaria
Neglected tropical
diseases
Vaccine-preventable
diseases
Health profile 2015
Communicable diseases
• All four provinces have their own provincial hepatitis control programmes in place.
• Sixteen sentinel sites have been established to manage patients with tuberculosis and
HIV co-infection for key affected populations in concentrated epidemic hot spots
through the collaborative efforts of the national tuberculosis programme and the
national HIV/AIDS and sexually transmitted infections control programme.
• The government bears the full cost of all routine traditional vaccines.
HIV
The HIV prevalence is low (0.1%) among adults aged 15–49 years (1). The population most
affected is people who inject drugs, with an overall HIV prevalence of 21.0%, although 77.0%
of those who inject drugs are using sterile injecting equipment. For female sex workers HIV
prevalence is 0.2–0.5% and for men who have sex with men it is 6.4% (2). The estimated
number of pregnant women living with HIV is 1500 (3) while antiretroviral therapy
coverage to prevent mother-to-child transmission is 2.0% (2). Estimated antiretroviral
therapy coverage is 9.0% (2).
There is a national strategic plan for HIV and AIDS. The HIV epidemic is growing in key
populations, particularly injecting drug users and transgender sex workers. In addition,
there have been mini-outbreaks of HIV epidemics in rural communities like Jalal Pur
Jattan in Gujrat district as the result of an alarming concurrence of injecting drug use,
unsafe hospital infection control practices and therapeutic injections, and commercial sex
work. Another significant concern is the fact that the country has high rates of unscreened
blood transfusions, a very high demand for therapeutic injections and poor infection
control practices in hospitals and clinics nationwide. The most common reasons for
the spread of hepatitis in the general population were re-use of syringes, very high use
of therapeutic injections, weak infection control practices in health care settings and a
weak blood transfusions system, leading to transmission of this infection from infected
to healthy persons. To control the spread of infection the government launched its first
national programme for control of hepatitis in 2005; it ended in 2010. In 2011, the federal
programme devolved to the provinces and now all four provinces have their own provincial
hepatitis control programmes in place. In 2002, the national Expanded Programme on
Immunization introduced hepatitis B vaccination in its vaccination schedule, but it still
lacks the birth dose, which is planned to be introduced in the schedule from 2015. The
country is currently developing a comprehensive national strategic plan for viral hepatitis.
8 Pakistan
Health profile 2015
Tuberculosis
In 2013, the tuberculosis-related mortality rate was estimated at 27.0 per 100 000 population
(4). A total of 298 446 detected tuberculosis cases were reported in 2013, of which 111 682
were new sputum smear-positive cases (4). The treatment success rate for new and relapsed
cases registered in 2012 was 91.0% (4). Drug-resistant tuberculosis is estimated at 4.3%
among new cases and 19.0% among previously treated cases (4).
The country has the sixth highest burden of tuberculosis globally and is among the high
multidrug-resistant tuberculosis burden countries, accounting for approximately two-thirds
of the tuberculosis burden in the Eastern Mediterranean Region. The government declared
tuberculosis a national emergency, and the national tuberculosis control programme
was revived in 2001 to adopt and implement the WHO recommended directly observed
treatment, short-course (DOTS) strategy followed by the Stop TB Strategy, which includes
universal access to quality tuberculosis care aimed at achieving zero tuberculosis deaths in
the country. The national tuberculosis control programme, in the post-devolution context,
working under the Ministry of National Health Services, Regulation and Coordination, acts
as a collaborating body at the central level for the development of uniform policies and
strategies, facilitating donor liaison at national and international levels. The tuberculosis
control programme is integrated within the primary health care system through the support
of provincial tuberculosis control programmes. The Stop TB Partnership has been established
as an advocacy forum. Sixteen sentinel sites have been established to manage patients with
tuberculosis and HIV co-infection for key affected populations in concentrated epidemic
hot spots through the collaborative efforts of the national tuberculosis programme and the
national HIV/AIDS and sexually transmitted infections control programme.
Malaria
The country is considered high burden and high risk for malaria; the total number of
confirmed malaria cases increased from 125 152 in 2003 to 290 781 in 2012 (5). In 2013,
among the confirmed cases, 25.7% were Plasmodium falciparum cases and 74.3% were P.
vivax. Coverage in targeted areas for households that had at least one long-lasting insecticidal
net for malaria prevention reached 11.0% (5), and 34.8% of people with at least one net had
slept under a long-lasting insecticidal net the previous night.1
Transmission of malaria in most parts of the country is highly seasonal and unstable,
with peaks in the summer (June–September) for P. vivax and late-summer and the winter
months (August–November) for falciparum malaria. Because P. vivax malaria relapses,
there is a peak of relapse episodes seen in the early summer (April–June) resulting from
transmission in the previous year. The primary malaria vectors are Anopheles culicifacies
and An. stephensi. Resistance of the parasite and the vectors to the drugs and the insecticide
1
Ministry of Health, unpublished data, 2014.
Pakistan 9
Health profile 2015
and low coverage of diagnosis, treatment and prevention services are the major challenges.
The malaria control programme has undergone major changes since 2011, initiated by
the 18th constitutional amendment whereby provincial health directorates and provincial
malaria control programmes are fully responsible for malaria control in their own
provinces. This restructuring has created a new environment of work at the national and
sub-national levels, hence the need for reorganizing and harmonizing the mechanisms for
joint collaboration between provincial and federal programmes and all malaria control
partners. An insufficient and unstable management structure, particularly in high endemic
areas, the evolving security situation in the areas bordering Afghanistan and the resurgence
of malaria in Punjab, the province with lowest endemicity, are the major threats to the
country’s control programme.
A malaria programme review conducted in December 2013 concluded that the diversity
of the eco-epidemiological situation for malaria transmission calls for a new vision and
stronger programme leadership and management. This would lead the programme towards
the targets of the Sustainable Development Goals by accelerating and intensifying malaria
control at district and provincial levels in Baluchistan, Sind and the Federally Administered
Tribal Areas, with a focus on the control and elimination of P. falciparum, and moving
towards malaria elimination in parts of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Punjab, with a special
focus on P. vivax elimination. This review emphasized that major programme reorientation
with changes in implementation policies, strategies, and strategic planning and programme
re-organization is required in the health system reforms at provincial and district levels:
there should be a focus on capacity-building in the malaria programme to deliver sustained
universal access and coverage of at-risk populations with a selected combination of malaria
interventions.
Vaccine-preventable diseases
Immunization coverage among 1-year-olds improved between 1990 and 2013: for BCG
from 80.0% to 85.0%, DTP3 from 54.0% to 72.0%, measles from 50.0% to 61.0% and polio
from 54.0% to 72.0% (7). Neonatal tetanus coverage increased during the same period from
50.0% to 75.0% (7). In 2013, hepatitis B (HepB3) vaccine coverage was 72.0% among 1-year-
olds (7).
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Health profile 2015
The country has about 33% of the children who must be immunized in accordance with WHO
immunization targets for the Region. Unfortunately, routine immunization coverage is far
from optimal. The country is one of 10 countries with at least 60% of children unvaccinated.
Due to the low immunization coverage, the country remains one of the last with indigenous
poliovirus circulation, measles is endemic and deaths due to diphtheria, pertussis and
neonatal tetanus are reported regularly. The Expanded Programme on Immunization offers
nine antigens to all infants through its immunization service network. These antigens
protect against nine childhood diseases: childhood tuberculosis, poliomyelitis, diphtheria,
pertussis, neonatal tetanus, hepatitis-B, infections due to Haemophilus influenzae type
b, pneumococcal infections and measles. In addition, tetanus toxoid is provided to
pregnant women. Besides the routine immunization service, the Expanded Programme on
Immunization also conducts supplementary immunization activities periodically against
polio, measles and neonatal tetanus. The government bears the full cost of all routine
traditional vaccines and co-finances the new vaccines supported by Gavi, the Vaccine
Alliance (pentavalent and pneumococcal conjugate vaccines). Vaccines for supplementary
immunization activities are usually supported by partners.
Pakistan 11
Noncommunicable
diseases
Noncommunicable
diseases
Mental health and
substance abuse
Violence and injury
Disabilities and
rehabilitation
Nutrition
Health profile 2015
Noncommunicable diseases
• A noncommunicable diseases and mental health unit has been established at the
federal level in the Ministry of National Health Services, Regulation and Coordination.
• At the Institute of Psychiatry, 15 districts have successfully incorporated mental health
services in primary health care.
• The first comprehensive legislation on disabilities, the National Disability Bill, has
been drafted.
• In association with the provincial governments, efforts for the control of malnutrition,
food fortification and improving treatment facilities at the community and facility
level have been strengthened.
Noncommunicable diseases
The burden of noncommunicable diseases is responsible for 50.5%, of all deaths:
cardiovascular diseases account for 18.7%, cancers 7.6%, respiratory diseases 6.4% and
diabetes mellitus 3.0% (8). As a result, 21% of adults aged 30–70 years are expected to die from
the four main noncommunicable diseases (9). More than 10.7% of adolescents (13–15 years
of age) currently use a tobacco product (13.3% of boys, 6.6% of girls), while 21.0% of youth
(15–24 years) have been exposed to tobacco smoke at home (10). Per capita consumption of
alcohol among adults is 0.1 litres of pure alcohol (11). The prevalence of insufficient physical
activity in adolescents (11–17 years of age) is 88.2% (87.3% of boys, 91.1% of girls); the
age-standardized prevalence is 24.0% (18.5% of males, 29.7% of females) (12). Raised blood
pressure affects 25.2% of the adult population aged over 18 years (25.6% of males, 24.8%
of females), and obesity affects 5.5% of the population (3.3% of males and 7.8% of females)
(9). Only one of 11 essential medicines for the treatment of noncommunicable diseases is
available in the public health sector; this is the lowest rate in the Region.
The government has promulgated the Prohibition of Smoking and Protection of Non-
smokers Health Ordinance 2002, ratified the Framework Convention on Tobacco Control,
introduced pictorial health warnings and created 100 indoor, smoke-free environments.
A noncommunicable diseases and mental health unit has been established at the federal
level in the Ministry of National Health Services, Regulation and Coordination. The federal
government is now working in coordination with all the provinces and regional governments
to establish similar noncommunicable diseases structures and named focal persons in order
to move ahead with the development of action plans for noncommunicable diseases and
mental health. The government has taken a number of measures to strengthen the health
system in order to prevent and control noncommunicable diseases. For example, a stepwise
14 Pakistan
Health profile 2015
survey has been conducted in different provinces, which will provide a solid base for the
planning and implementation of control and preventive measures for noncommunicable
diseases. Similarly, lady health workers have been given apparatus to routinely check the
blood pressure of their clients, the involvement of community health workers in baseline
measurement of weight, and encouraging them to adopt healthy lifestyles are some of
the health system responses aimed at the prevention of noncommunicable diseases. The
government is determined to take adequate measures at national and provincial levels to
prevent and control noncommunicable diseases, taking into account the regional framework
of action.2
2
WHO Regional Office for the Eastern Mediterranean, unpublished data, 2013.
Pakistan 15
Health profile 2015
16 Pakistan
Health profile 2015
Nutrition
The estimated prevalence of various forms of malnutrition conditions in children under 5
years is summarized in the following indicators: 31.6% underweight, 10.5% wasting, 3.3%
severe wasting, 45.0% stunting and 4.8% overweight (18). The prevalence of anaemia in
women of reproductive age (15–49 years) was 26.0%. Initiation of breastfeeding within one
hour of birth is 18.0%; 5.3% of children under 6 months are exclusively breastfed; and low
birth weight is 25.0% (19).
Effective interventions are being implemented under the national acceleration plan
for Millennium Development Goals 4 and 5, and multiple emergency and development
interventions are in place in the country to improve the nutritional status. Extensive
programmes have been developed for acute malnutrition, with most of the provincial
governments having approved plans; this is in addition to partner support for malnutrition
by the community-based management approach to severe acute malnutrition. The
surveillance system and growth monitoring are areas that need to be strengthened. The
promotion of breastfeeding is implemented through the infant and young child feeding
practices. A multisectoral approach has been adopted and action plans developed by the
provinces; further provincial strategies are also being formulated. The country is a member
of the scaling up nutrition movement, and is rapidly involving different partners and
groups for the improvement of nutrition in the country. In association with the Planning
Commission and the provincial governments, the Ministry of National Health Services,
Regulation and Coordination has scaled up its efforts for the control of malnutrition, food
fortification and improving treatment facilities at the community and facility level.
The focus will be on the implementation of rehabilitation and recovery nutrition activities,
including infant and young child feeding and the treatment of severe or moderate acute
malnutrition in remote areas and areas accommodating internally displaced persons.
Pakistan 17
Promoting health
across the life
course
Reproductive,
maternal, newborn,
child and adolescent
health
Ageing and health
Gender, equity
and human rights
mainstreaming
Social determinants
of health
Health and the
environment
Health profile 2015
20 Pakistan
Health profile 2015
committed to supporting and overseeing the implementation of the national vision. The
main challenge impeding further reduction of maternal and child mortality are insecurity
and the countrywide maldistribution of the limited human resources in the health sector; a
shortage of female doctors and paramedics at the primary health care level, and of skilled birth
attendants at the community level; inequitable access to care; low quality of interventions
and limited capacity in planning, management and evaluation; the cultural and geographic
isolation of women; and poor access to improved drinking water and sanitation.
There is a need to support the delivery of quality services; build capacities to improve
managerial skills and ensure security of lifesaving medicines, commodities and equipment;
ensure equitable distribution of human resources with community outreach; target
evidence-based, cost-effective and community-based interventions promoting education
and mobilization; and encourage supportive supervision, monitoring and evaluation. A
sound strategy on human resources is needed to fill the gap at primary care level along with
improving the quality of training programmes.
Pakistan 21
Health profile 2015
22 Pakistan
Health profile 2015
There is a need to advocate for prioritization of social determinants in health planning, with
practical actions being taken for their operationalization in existing health programmes.
Pakistan 23
Health
systems
National health
policies, strategies
and plans
Integrated people-
centred health
services
Access to medicines
and health
technologies
Health systems,
information and
evidence
Health profile 2015
Health systems
• The Ministry of Health Services, Regulation and Coordination has been created.
• Primary health care services are provided through a well-established infrastructure of
over 7500 first level care facilities and outreach services in the public sector.
• The National Health Information Resource Centre (NHIRC) has been mandated
under the Ministry of National Health Services, Regulations and Coordination
through notification.
26 Pakistan
Health profile 2015
Pakistan 27
Health profile 2015
institutional frameworks for outsourcing health services. Quality and safety of care are major
challenges for public and private health care providers at primary health care and hospital
levels. The global health initiative supports health system strengthening as a national health
strategy and plan, and promotes integrated service delivery. There are no federal or national
human resources for a health development policy. However, human resources for health
profiles have been compiled by three provinces and this will help in the development of the
respective provincial human resources for health strategies. A human resources for health
strategy for Sindh province has now been drafted and is awaiting cabinet approval.
In view of the devolution of power in the country, it is essential to strengthen the capacity
of the provincial health departments, supported by the district health offices, to effectively
deliver essential health services to the population and introduce innovative financing
schemes to cover the poor. Improving the quality of care through the adoption of service
standards, investments in health infrastructure and human resources development should
be a priority. Considering the emergency situation in different parts of the country, it is
crucial to enhance the capacity of the health system in disaster preparedness and response
through an integrated approach.
28 Pakistan
Health profile 2015
Pakistan 29
Preparedness,
surveillance
and response
Alert and response
capacities
Epidemic and
pandemic-prone
diseases
Emergency risk and
crisis management
Food safety
Poliomyelitis
eradication
Outbreak and crisis
response
Health profile 2015
32 Pakistan
Health profile 2015
Pakistan 33
Health profile 2015
another deterrent to an effective system for timely detection and response to epidemic-
prone diseases. The country remains endemically vulnerable to dengue fever, cholera,
hepatitis caused by hepatitis E virus, and Crimean–Congo haemorrhagic fever.
For continuously monitoring the threats of both endemic and epidemic-prone public health
problems in the country, priority should be given to establishing a nationwide integrated
disease surveillance system as part of a strengthened public health system. This system would
be able to drive and support a national strategic plan. It would also be evidence-informed,
drawing on intersectoral and cross-disciplinary leverage for the control of common and
emerging health problems. A control programme for influenza and antimicrobial resistance
should be embedded into this national strategic plan for the control of epidemic and
pandemic diseases.
34 Pakistan
Health profile 2015
at risk to promote healthy behaviours that will reduce risks and prepare for disasters. The
country is a pilot country for the One United Nations approach. Under this approach, the
country has launched a capacity development project in Dera Ismail Khan province to
address community vulnerabilities.
There is a need for a thorough assessment of all capacity development initiatives, including
the health facilities, to harmonize the approach with the all-hazard multisectoral emergency
risk management in policy and planning.
Food safety
The country has decentralized food safety to state level administrations as part of a major
administrative reform.
The establishment of a central federal food safety unit is recommended in order to coordinate
and regulate uniform food safety enforcement throughout the country. In addition, each
federal state will need a fully functional food safety unit. There is also a strong need to
review and update the food safety legislation of the country to match the new structure and
incorporate new aspects of food safety.
Poliomyelitis eradication
The country contributed 85% of the global case load in 2014 (306 cases) and has reported
nine of out of the 10 cases, so far in 2015 (37). The challenges are unique, particularly the
killing of polio workers and the escorting police officers (more than 60 have been killed since
July 2012) and inaccessibility due to the ongoing conflicts. Moreover, significant numbers
of children are being missed due to governance, accountability and management issues.
In 2015, the endemic transmission of polio is mainly restricted to three geographically
distinct, well defined transmission zones in the Federally Administered Tribal Areas, Khyber
Pakhtunkhwa and Karachi. The increase in polio cases in 2014 was the result of a ban on
vaccination in North and South Waziristan Agencies in the Federally Administered Tribal
Areas as well as barriers to vaccination, including insecurity in key transmission areas. The
government and its partners are cognizant of the fact that global polio eradication hinges
on the progress in the country. A robust low transmission season plan has been developed,
and emergency operation centres have been established at the federal and provincial
levels to track and monitor the implementation of the low transmission plan. In its recent
meeting (February 2015) in Islamabad, the Technical Advisory Group concluded that the
challenges are unique but they could be overcome with strong resolve and commitment of
the government and its partners, and the country could be in a strong position to eradicate
polio if the plan is implemented properly
Pakistan 35
Health profile 2015
Full and synchronized implementation of the low transmission season plan and establishing
a strong framework to monitor implementation by the emergency operation centres in
Islamabad and at provincial levels to reach every child anywhere in the country are the
essentials to stop poliovirus transmission in the country.
36 Pakistan
Health profile 2015
Demographic profile
Population pyramid 2010 Population pyramid 2050
Estimated population in 2010: 173 149 310 Projected population in 2050: 8 906 480
85 85
80 80
75 75
70 70
65 65
60 60
Age group (years)
12 10 8 6 4 2 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5
Population (millions) Population (millions)
80
Number of children per woman
70
4
50 60
%
3
40
2
30
20
1
10
0
1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Year Year
14
13
80
9 10 11 12
Ratio per 100 adults
70
70
Age (years)
60
65
50
8
40
7
30
60
1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Year Year
Child dependency Old age dependency Females Males
Pakistan 37
Health profile 2015
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
10 12 14 16 18 20
%
%
8
6
4
2
0
0
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013
Year Year
EMR median Group 3 median Country EMR median Group 3 median Country
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
%
%
0
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Year Year
EMR median Group 3 median Country EMR median Group 3 median Country
700
100 200 300 400 500 600
Deaths per 100 000 live births
Deaths per 1000 live births
20
0
1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
Year Year
EMR median Group 3 median Country EMR median Group 3 median Country
38 Pakistan
Health profile 2015
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