CVD Questions On Ivermectin
CVD Questions On Ivermectin
CVD Questions On Ivermectin
answered by Dr. Pierre Kory and Dr. Paul Marik (FLCCC Alliance)
Dec 27, 2020 (updated Jan 20, 2021)
There have been many questions about Ivermectin, and rightly so. Below we provide detailed and
comprehensive answers to the most common questions we have received. First and foremost, many
simply ask, “Can Ivermectin really do all you’ve said it can do—prevent and treat all phases of COVID-19
disease? It seems too good to be true – again.”
The answer to this question relies on the fact that ivermectin, since its development 40 years ago, has
already demonstrated its ability to make historic impacts on global health, given it led to the eradication
of a “pandemic” of parasitic diseases across multiple continents. These impacts are what awarded the
discoverers of ivermectin the 2015 Nobel prize in Medicine.
More recently, profound anti-viral and anti-inflammatory properties of ivermectin have been identified.
In COVID-19 specifically, studies show that one of its several anti-viral properties is that it strongly binds
to the spike protein, keeping the virus from entering the cell. These effects, along with its multiple
abilities to control inflammation, both explain the markedly positive trial results already reported, and
poise ivermectin to again achieve similar historic impacts via the eradication of COVID-19.
Please read also our One-page summary of the “Review of the Emerging Evidence Supporting the Use of
Ivermectin in the Prophylaxis and Treatment of COVID-19” (PDF; full review here).
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b. binding to the SARS-CoV-2 RNA-dependent RNA polymerase (RdRp), thereby inhibiting viral
replication (Swargiary, 2020);
c. binding/interference with multiple essential structural and non-structural proteins required by
the virus in order to replicate.
3) The theory that ivermectin would need supraphysiologic tissue concentration to be effective is
most strongly disproven by the now 24 controlled clinical trials which used standard doses of
ivermectin yet reported large clinical impacts in reducing rates of transmission, deterioration, and
mortality.
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Alliance guide to the management of COVID-19 (www.flccc.net/flccc-protocols-a-guide-to-the-management-
of-covid-19/; #24, p. 19). We also emphasize the importance of recognizing that COVID-19 respiratory
disease is not a viral pneumonia, but rather an “organizing pneumonia”, and as such, in fulminant cases,
would typically require high doses of corticosteroids as in our protocol. For support of this, please refer
to our paper on “SARS-CoV-2 Organizing Pneumonia” (bmjopenrespres.bmj.com/content/7/1/e000724.full).
Lastly, we recommend that patients ill with COVID-19 at any stage of disease receive ivermectin, as per
the accompanying manuscript which compiles and reviews the large evidence base supporting this therapy.
“Will ivermectin interfere with the vaccine and can I continue to take ivermectin
once vaccinated?”
Our understanding of the importance of ivermectin in the context of the new vaccines, is that ivermectin
prophylaxis should be thought of as complementary bridge to vaccination until the vaccines are made
available to all those in need. At this time, and after speaking with the vaccine experts, we do not
believe that ivermectin prophylaxis interferes with the efficacy/immune response to the vaccine,
however it must also be recognized that no definitive data exists to more specifically answer this
question. However, given that maximal immunity from the vaccines is only achieved 2 weeks after the
second dose of vaccine, it is reasonable to take bi-weekly ivermectin until this time point.
“Is ivermectin safe and are there any contraindications for use?”
The discovery of ivermectin in 1975 was awarded the 2015 Nobel Prize in Medicine given its global
impact in reducing onchocerciasis (river blindness), lymphatic filiariasis, and scabies in endemic areas of
central Africa, Latin America, India and Southeast Asia. It has since been included on the WHO’s “List of
Essential Medicines with now over 4 billion doses administered. Numerous studies report low rates of
adverse events, with the majority mild, transient, and largely attributed to the body’s inflammatory
response to the death of parasites and include itching, rash, swollen lymph nodes, joint paints, fever
and headache. In a study which combined results from trials including over 50,000 patients, serious
events occurred in less than 1% and largely associated with administration in Loa Loa infected patients.
Further, according to the pharmaceutical reference standard Lexicomp, the only medications contra-
indicated for use with ivermectin are the concurrent administration of anti-tuberculosis and cholera
vaccines while the anticoagulant warfarin would require dose monitoring. Another special caution is
that immunosuppressed or organ transplant patients who are on calcineurin inhibitors such as tacro-
limus or cyclosporine or the immunosuppressant sirolimus should have close monitoring of drug levels
when on ivermectin given that interactions exist which can affect these levels. A longer list of drug
interactions can be found on the database of https://www.drugs.com/ivermectin.html, with nearly all
interactions leading to a possibility of either increased or decreased blood levels of ivermectin. Given
studies showing tolerance and lack of adverse effects in human subjects given even escalating, high
doses of ivermectin, toxicity is unlikely although a reduced efficacy due to decreased levels may be a
concern. Finally, ivermectin has been used safely in pregnant women, children, and infants.
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“Can ivermectin be given to patients with acute or chronic liver disease?”
In regards to liver disease, ivermectin is well tolerated, given that there is only a single case of liver
injury reported one month after use that rapidly recovered. ivermectin has not been associated with
acute liver failure or chronic liver injury. Further, no dose adjustments are required in patients with liver
disease.
Currently, a total of over 3,000 patients have been included within numerous randomized,
controlled trials with the overall signal of benefit in important clinical outcomes strongly positive
with tight confidence intervals. This would make the likelihood of causing significant harm to
study subjects in a medical research trial using placebo to be unacceptably high given excessive
morbidity and mortality associated with COVID-19.
Further, the WHO ACT Accelerator Program (https://www.who.int/initiatives/act-
accelerator/about) sub-section focused on treatments for COVID-19 and headed by UNITAID has
hired research consultants to identify and perform a global systematic review and meta-analysis
of all active ivermectin trials in COVID-19. The consultant anticipates having results available
from several additional, large clinical trials within the next 4 weeks, and predicts the accumula-
tion of sufficient patient data in these trials to reach a conclusion and recommendation for or
against use of ivermectin in COVID-19 during the month of January 2021. Preliminary analyses by
the consultants were recently presented at an international research conference and all the
available trial results at the time strongly supported the efficacy of ivermectin in COVID-19. If,
based on the projected amount of trial data in the coming month, a recommendation for use of
ivermectin in COVID-19 is issued by the WHO, any planned subsequent placebo-controlled trials
would have to be terminated.
“Aren’t most of the trials poorly designed and executed, with high risks of bias?”
All clinical trials suffer from risks of bias in their design and conduct, as assessed by the Cochrane Risk of
Bias 2.0 tool that assesses trial biases with the grades of “some concern, low, moderate, high, or
serious”. Although one group of authors has assessed many of the trials as having moderate to severe
risks of bias, performing meta-analyses of these trials can more accurately detect the true effects
despite individual trial biases. Multiple groups, including ours, have performed meta-analyses of these
trials, with all groups finding consistent benefits amongst the trials. In fact, the consistency of trial
results from both sets of randomized and observational controlled trials from varied centers and
countries and trial sizes and disease phases lend even more validity to the estimates of benefit. The
references/links to two large meta-analyses can be found below, in addition to the meta-analyses of
both prophylaxis and treatment trials performed in our review manuscript:
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1) FLCCC Alliance review on ivermectin in COVID-19 – https://covid19criticalcare.com/flccc-
ivermectin-in-the-prophylaxis-and-treatment-of-covid-19/;
2) https://ivmmeta.com/ – this research group’s meta-analysis calculated that the odds of ivermectin
not being effective in COVID-19 is one in 67 million;
3) Toxicology and Pharmacology Department from Lyon University, France:
http://www.metaevidence.org/viewMApredictive2.aspx?exposition=684&pathology=87&selfocus=
1&selSubgroup=0&domain=12
“Given the large and rapidly rising numbers of U.S patients with COVID-19,
couldn’t a large randomized controlled trial be performed quickly?”
“Peacetime” processes of waiting for “the perfect clinical trial” when we are “at war” with rising case
counts, dwindling hospital beds, and increasing deaths is illogical and also unethical as above. All
therapeutic decisions in medicine involve implicit risk/benefit calculations. When considering a safe,
low-cost, widely available medicine that has been repeatedly shown to lead to consistent mortality and
transmission decreases, deferring adoption of this therapy while waiting for “perfect” or “unassailable”
data is far more likely to cause excessive harm compared to the lower risk of adopting a safe, low-cost
therapy. Again, based on a minimum of the 24 controlled trials results available, the odds that ivermectin
is ineffective is 1 in 67 million as per the Covid19 study research group above. ivermectin can and will be
studied in well-designed observational trials which can provide equally accurate conclusions.
The odds that, in the US, we continue to descend further into a humanitarian disaster of histori-
cally adverse economic and public health impacts is simply the current reality. Humanist pragmatism,
utilizing a therapeutic benefit/safety calculation must be emphasized in place of the now standard,
overly strict evidence-based medicine paradigm given the state of the current public health crisis.
Further, the numerous careful analyses reporting that, in regions with ivermectin distribution cam-
paigns, precipitous decreases in both case counts and case fatality rates occurred immediately after
these efforts began, this further supports the validity and soundness of the decision to immediately
adopt ivermectin in the prophylaxis and treatment of COVID-19.
“Shouldn’t we wait for more data before widely adopting another medicine that
may not work?”
Making a risk/benefit decision at this time, with the currently available data showing consistent high
efficacy and safety with mortality benefits from 24 controlled trials, would far exceed the strength and
validity of the rationales used to adopt the entirety of currently employed therapeutics in COVID-19
given all were adopted in the setting of either
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5) conflicting treatment guidelines (remdesivir – WHO and NIH recommendations conflict);
6) non-peer reviewed studies (remdesivir, monoclonal antibodies, convalescent plasma);
7) absence of even pre-print study data available for wider scientific review (vaccines).
Examples include:
1) Macedonia – December 23, 2020
2) Belize – December 22,2020
3) Uttar Pradesh in Northern India – a state with 210 million people – adopted early home treatment
kits which include ivermectin on October 10, 2020
4) State of Alto Parana in Paraguay – September 6, 2020
5) Capital City of Lucknow in Uttar Pradesh – August 22, 2020
6) State of Chiapas, Mexico – August 1, 2020
7) 8 state health ministries in Peru – Spring/summer 2020
8) Lima, Peru – Many clinics, districts use and distribute ivermectin, as of October the hospitals no
longer use.
“Isn’t the existing set of clinical studies of ivermectin inconclusive since they are
all small?
While a minority have been “small” (generally defined as including less than 100 patients, particularly
when looking at mortality as an endpoint), the majority have been large, with several including
hundreds of patients. The smaller studies were, as expected, less likely to find statistically significant
differences, while every randomized controlled trial (RCT) which included over 100 patients found highly
statistically significant differences in important clinical outcomes, reporting decreases in rates of
transmission, progression, or mortality as follows:
3 prophylaxis RCT’s with > 100 patients each – large benefits, all statistically significant;
3 outpatient RCT’s with > 100 patients each – large benefits, all statistically significant;
4 hospital patient RCT’s with > 100 patients each – large benefits, all statistically significant.
Further, the total number of patients within controlled trials now include over 6,500 patients with over
2,500 within randomized, controlled trials alone. This number of randomized patient data now
approaches the number of treated patients with the RECOVERY randomized controlled trial, a study
whose results immediately transformed the treatment of COVID-19 with widespread adoption of
corticosteroids in patients with moderate to severe illness.
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“Isn’t the promotion of ivermectin the same thing as hydroxychloroquine –
everyone claims it works when all the randomized controlled trials showed it
didn’t?”
The decision to adopt hydroxychloroquine was made early in the pandemic, when, despite the lack of
clinical trials data to support use, there existed a scientific rationale given pre-clinical data suggesting
anti-viral and anti-inflammatory properties. Thus, the decision at that time was likely a sound one based
on a risk/benefit calculation given HCQ’s low cost, minimal adverse effect profile, wide availability/ease
of compounding, and long history of use. Such a decision was also entirely in keeping with Principle 37
of the Helsinki Agreement on Medical Research, first formulated in 1964, which declares that
“physicians may use an unproven intervention if in the physician’s judgement it offers hope of saving life,
re-establishing health or alleviating suffering. This intervention should subsequently be made the object
of research.” In keeping with Declaration 37, immediately after the widespread adoption of HCQ, studies
were immediately conducted by many centers. Unfortunately, all of the RCT’s reported negative results
which led to rapid de-adoption with the exception of sporadic continued use in early phase disease.
Note that the current widespread non-adoption of ivermectin in the face of hundreds of thousands of ill
and dying, currently violates Declaration 37 in that adoption is being purposely and overtly avoided
despite the efficacy/risk assessment of now numerous well controlled trials including over 3,000 total
patients which report massive drops in transmission and large decreases in mortality when used in the
treatment of COVID-19 patients. The data supporting adoption is now approaching that of
corticosteroids, where widespread use began almost immediately upon the reporting of results of the
6,000 patient RECOVERY trial which demonstrated a mortality benefit (with only 2,000 patients treated
with corticosteroids in that trial).
“How does the NIH arrive at their recommendations for current widely used
therapies and why is the rationale for these recommendations so difficult to
understand?”
We are unable to identify a consistent approach to the strength and timing of NIH recommendations
and/or updates to the recommendations as illustrated in the following examples:
Convalescent plasma use was adopted early in the pandemic and fell into widespread use despite the
absence of supportive clinical trials evidence at the time and the high cost/resource use associated. The
current NIH recommendation, last updated July 17th, 2020 is that “there are insufficient data to
recommend either for or against use.” As of December 26, 2020, 7 RCT’s and 6 OCT’s have been
conducted without reporting a single statistically significant clinical outcome benefit. No updated
recommendation has been issued despite these trial results. Widespread use continues.
Remdesivir – a purported anti-viral agent, currently has been given a “neutral” recommendation (i.e.,
neither for or against use) by the NIH in hospital patients who are not on oxygen, while it has a B-IIa in
support of use in hospitalized patients on supplemental oxygen only (i.e., without need for either high
flow or any form of mechanical ventilation). A B-IIa indicates that the recommendation is of moderate
strength and is based on either an RCT with a major limitation or from a sub-group analysis of an RCT.
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The RCT used in support of this recommendation found that in a subgroup or patients that received 5
days of remdesivir, their clinical condition on Day 11 was improved compared to standard care although
the sub-group that received 10 days of therapy did not achieve an improved clinical condition on day 11.
Note also that remdesivir is high cost (over $3,000 per dose), requires IV administration, and resulted in
a statistically significant increased number of adverse effects. Finally, no RCT has shown remdesivir to
reduce the mortality rate of COVID-19 patients and the above NIH recommendation in support of use
conflicts with the updated November 20, 2020 recommendation by the WHO against the use of
remdesivir in COVID-19, regardless of disease severity, based on findings from their SOLIDARITY trial
along with 3 other RCT’s including a total of 7,000 patients. Despite this effort by an international
guideline development group consisting of 28 clinical care experts, 4 patient-partners and an ethicist,
the NIH COVID-19 treatment guideline, last updated December 3, continues to recommend the use of
remdesivir in COVID-19.
Anti-IL-6 therapy (tocilizumab, siltuximab, sarilumab) – the NIH recommendation, last updated
November 3, 2020 is a B-I against use (moderate strength, based on RCT data). Currently, only one RCT
has been conducted and was negative, although it was performed prior to recommendations for
corticosteroid use, indicating that as a stand-alone immunomodulatory therapy, it appears ineffective.
However, a meta-analysis of findings from 16 observational trials including a total of 2,931 patients
currently reports statistically significant decreases in mortality when used. Clearly the evidence for use
conflicts, suggesting perhaps a “neutral” recommendation more appropriate, but the NIH rating scheme
appears to weigh a single RCT over meta-analyses of observational trials in this instance.
Monoclonal Antibodies – guidance approach with these novel recombinant human monoclonal
antibodies is even more complex/confusing. Currently , they (casirivimab, imdevimab, and
bamlanivimab) all have an EUA (emergency authorization for use) by the FDA for patients with mild-to-
moderate illness at high risk for progression. This EUA, although specifically stated that it does not
constitute FDA approval of these products, appear to give the impression that they are either
appropriate for use, or simply can be used as a treatment option. However, the NIH recommendation on
these agents, of December 2nd, is a “neutral” one, i.e., “at this time, there are insufficient data to
recommend either for or against the use of casirivimab plus imdevimab for the treatment of outpatients
with mild to moderate COVID-19.” We interpret the totality of these actions to mean that these agents
are permitted for use, but are not necessarily recommended for use and is thus left to clinician/patient
judgement. It should be noted that these actions above were based on a single RCT whose primary
endpoint, although a positive one, was the change in nasopharyngeal SARS-COV-2 levels over 7 days, a
non-patient centered outcome. The secondary endpoint was a composite need for an ER visit or
hospitalization, and although lower in the treated group, both were of low incidence and the data on
hospitalization need compared to an ED visit was curiously not provided. Again, no mortality benefit was
found with use of these, novel, high-cost agents, both requiring IV administration. However, it appears
to have earned what we would interpret as a cautious, weak recommendation for use by our leading
governmental health agencies. One clearly positive aspect of this action is the clear attempt to ensure
an available option for early treatment with the hopes of preventing hospitalization. We encourage
further such efforts, albeit with more effective and more widely available medications like ivermectin,
given the numerous RCT’s showing less transmission, need for hospitalization, and fatalities.
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Ivermectin – the NIH recommendation, when updated August 27, 2020 was an A-III against use,
indicating “strong level”, based on “expert opinion” only. This recommendation persisted until after our
review manuscript, first available on a pre-print server on November 13, 2020, and Dr. Kory’s Senate
Testimony on December 8, 2020 brought significant national and international attention to the topic.
We were then invited to present our detailed compilation of the existing evidence base to the NIH
Guidelines panel on January 6, 2021, in collaboration with the expert consultant to the WHO, Dr.
Andrew Hill. Subsequently, on January 14, 2021 the NIH upgraded their recommendation and now
considers ivermectin an option for use in COVID-19 — by no longer recommending “against” the use of
ivermectin for the treatment of COVID-19. A similar neutral stance applies to monoclonal antibodies and
convalescent plasma, both of which are widely used in COVID-19 treatment in the U.S.
However, the FLCCC considers the Panel’s unwillingness to provide more specific guidance in
support of the use of ivermectin in COVID-19 to be severely out of alignment with the known clinical,
epidemiological, and observational data. Our detailed response to the Panel’s criticism of the existing
evidence base can be found here.
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“Aren’t the majority of the existing studies not yet peer-reviewed?”
1) 14 of the 24 controlled trial results have been peer reviewed, along with 2 of the 5 case series.
2) Applying findings from trial manuscripts posted on pre-print servers have been a standard in many
of the sciences, including medicine, particularly during the pandemic. Every novel therapeutic that
has been widely adopted in medical practice during COVID-19 happened before the peer-reviewed
manuscript was available for analysis by the medical community, with the exception of hydroxy-
chloroquine which was initially adopted without any posted or published clinical evidence base.
Examples of pre-print adopted therapeutics are remdesivir, corticosteroids, monoclonal antibodies,
convalescent plasma and the vaccines. Again, all were widely adopted before succeeding the peer-
review process.
3) Note that the vaccines represent an even more unique case as inoculations of citizens began even
before a pre-print manuscript was made available for wider review by the scientific community.
Thus, to dismiss the value of ivermectin study results because only 50% have been published in
peer-reviewed journals, would suddenly create a new evidentiary standard at a critical point in the
pandemic that willfully ignores both the extreme importance that pre-prints play in the rapid
dissemination of medical knowledge as well as the reason for their creation. Peer-review takes
months. We do not have months. Thousands are dying every day.
“Isn’t it a problem that all the trials were done in foreign countries and may not
be generalizable to our patients here?”
Such concerns reflect a surprising degree of ethnocentrism that we believe will lead to further harms
against humanity. We cannot deny that these concerns currently present a significant barrier for the
evidence compiled in our manuscript to influence practice. We recently learned that a COVID-19 thera-
peutics committee of a large hospital health care system in the Midwest recently reviewed the existing
trials data for ivermectin in November and decided not to recommend ivermectin, with one of the
stated reasons being that “many of the studies were performed abroad and are likely not generalizable
to our patients”. The belief that a potent anti-viral medicine only works in foreigners and not in
Americans is ludicrous and deserves no further comment or explanation except to note it as an example
of the most extreme skepticism that can be displayed by providers who simply “do not believe” in the
efficacy of ivermectin.
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unethical. For any who require more clinical trials data, well-designed observational controlled trials are
a perfectly valid alternative and will (and should) be conducted by many, even after adoption as a
treatment agent.
“The NIH recommends against the use of ivermectin outside of clinical trials”
That recommendation is from August 27th, is graded IIIA, which means that it was expert opinion only
and reflected a “strong” opinion against. Given the amount of data available as of today, December 26,
2020, we must ask the question, “What should the strength and level of recommendation for ivermectin
be updated to by the NIH? First, all must understand how recommendations for medical therapies are
created by the NIH. They essentially use the below grading scale which provides an assessment of both
the strength of the recommendation and the quality of evidence to support that recommendation.
The last NIH recommendation on ivermectin from August 27th was graded AIII against use as per above
table, indicating a strong recommendation based on expert opinion only, despite it being one of the
world’s safest, cheapest and most widely available drugs. No rationale or supporting evidence. Further,
the grade implies that there was no available clinical evidence at the time to make an “evidence-based”
grading, yet we know of a number of trials results available at that time.
Currently, the strongest recommendation possible would be an A-I in support of ivermectin and
thus would require “one or more randomized trials with clinical outcomes and/or laboratory endpoints.”
Although not specifically stated, this grade typically requires a large, multi-center, randomized, double-
blinded, placebo-controlled trial dependent on immense financial resources and infrastructure using the
support of pharmaceutical companies or large government research grants. Neither has occurred with
ivermectin nor do we think it reasonable or ethical to do so at this point. Despite this, we are fortunate
that researchers from many single, academic and non-academic medical centers decided to conduct
such trials. Although not a large multi-center trial, we have data from 15 randomized controlled trials
(RCT’s) with nearly all reporting improvements in “clinical outcomes” and/or “laboratory endpoints.”
Note that the 15 RCT’s consist of trials studying ivermectin as a prophylactic agent (4), early outpatient
treatment (5), and in hospitalized patients (6). In each phase of illness, all the RCTs with over 100 pa-
tients found statistically significant reductions in rates of transmission, need for hospitalization/mechanical
ventilation, or mortality. Thus, it would appear that ivermectin more than fulfills the criteria for a Level
A-I recommendation in support of its use as a prophylactic and treatment agent for COVID-19 and thus
heath care providers would immediately adopt ivermectin.
However, if somehow the entirety of the above RCT results could be dismissed as constituting
“insufficient” or “low quality” evidence, the question would then be whether the ivermectin trials data
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meets Level A-II evidence. It should be noted that level A-II evidence, in the face of the pandemic and in
the context of a cheap, safe and widely available drug, would effectively translate into the same level of
action and adoption as level A-I evidence by the nation’s health care providers given that remdesivir, a
medication with only a B-IIa recommendation is widely used. For a level A-II recommendation, evidence,
all that is required are supportive findings from “one or more well-designed non-randomized, or obser-
vational cohort studies”. Again, fortunately, there are many such studies on ivermectin in COVID-19,
with the largest and strongest being Dr. Rijter’s study from Florida, published in the major medical
journal Chest several weeks ago, where they used propensity matching, a technique accorded by many
to be as valid a design as a well-conducted RCT’s. His and many other well-designed OCT’s exist, all
reproducing the findings from the above mentioned RCT’s. Thus, at a minimum, an A-II recommendation
would be met, which would and should lead to immediate and widespread adoption. Further, given the
amount of patient data and number of trials results available, it is not worth considering whether a
recommendation would be issued as anything less, such as moderate strength (B), or weak strength (C)
or a quality grade of III. So, it would appear that ivermectin clearly meets either an A-I or A-II level
recommendation in favor of use in COVID-19. Note that this recommendation can be made without the
epidemiologic data that has been amassed supporting the population-wide impacts of widespread
ivermectin use.
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