11 January 2021

Piramal Enterprises
Update | Sector: Healthcare

–– Piramal Enterprises
BSE SENSEX S&P CNX
49,269 14,485
CMP: INR1,507 TP: INR1,750 (+16%) Buy
Pharma: A solid mix of services/products/distribution
 Piramal Enterprises (PIEL) has built a differentiated and robust business model in
the Pharma space, with an established presence in Contract Development and
Bloomberg PIEL IN Manufacturing Outsourcing (CDMO, 60% of Pharma sales), Complex Hospital
Equity Shares (m) 212 Generics (CHG, 30% of Pharma sales), and India Consumer Products (ICP, 10% of
M.Cap.(INRb)/(USDb) 340.1 / 4.7 Pharma sales).
52-Week Range (INR) 1728 / 608  After some aberration in the recent past, it is back on the growth path in the
1, 6, 12 Rel. Per (%) -2/-31/-14 Pharma space. Its order book has strengthened in the CDMO segment.
12M Avg Val (INR M) 2570  The company re-strategized its business, subsequently introduced new products,
and increased its distribution reach, thereby driving enhanced revenue growth in
the ICP segment.
Financials & Valuations (INR b)
Y/E MARCH 2020 2021E 2022E  We expect CHG segment to revive gradually as elective surgeries are yet to return
Revenues 130.7 131.3 146.9 to normalcy.
EBITDA 17.9 32.1 38.5  We remain positive on PIEL on superior execution across Pharma segments and an
PAT -5.5 24.8 30.4 increasing retail-focused lending book. Reiterate Buy.
EPS (INR) -24.5 109.8 128.1
EPS Gr. (%) -135 -548 17 Pharma – On a robust footing despite recent aberrations
BV/Sh. (INR) 1,274 1,345 1,436 PIEL has delivered consistent performance, with 15%/33% revenue/EBITDA
Payout (%) -53 35 35
CAGR in the Pharma space over FY11-20, led by strong traction/steady
Valuations
P/E (x) -61.2 13.7 11.7 improvement in the CHG/CDMO segment. With the addition of high margin
P/BV (x) 1.2 1.1 1.0 products and strong operating leverage, it has been able to grow EBITDA at a
Div. Yield (%) 0.9 2.6 3.0 much higher rate than sales growth over past 10 years. However, the growth
trajectory took a brief pause, particularly in CHG segment over the past six
Shareholding pattern (%)
months. This is largely due to disruption on account of COVID-19. With demand
As On Sep-20 Jun-20 Sep-19
factors being structurally intact and PIEL resilient in its performance, a revival in
Promoter 46.1 46.1 46.1
DII 10.2 9.9 10.0
the growth trajectory is underway over the near to medium term.
FII 29.7 30.3 29.3 CDMO – Integrated service offerings to drive growth
Others 14.1 13.8 14.6
While COVID-19 has led the CHG segment to take a temporary back seat in
FII Includes depository receipts
terms of growth, it has aided increased order book in the CDMO segment. This
Stock performance (one-year)
has enabled PIEL to undertake better business in the CDMO segment, and paved
Piramal Enterp.
the way to further showcase its capabilities to innovator Pharma companies.
Sensex - Rebased We expect 17% sales CAGR from the CDMO segment over FY20-23E v/s ~13%
1,900 CAGR seen over FY11-20 on: a) strong order-book, and b) offerings spanning
1,550 research as well as manufacturing.
1,200
Niche products/strong commercial skills key for CHG
850 The CHG segment comprises injectables, inhaled anesthetics, intrathecal
500 spasticity and pain management, and selected anti-infective products. A strong
Nov-20
May-20
Jul-20
Sep-20
Jan-20
Mar-20

Jan-21

distribution network in this segment puts PIEL in a sweet spot to maintain its
growth momentum on a structural basis. The reduced numbers of elective
surgeries had impacted performance of this segment over the recent past (14%
YoY decline in 1HFY21). With vaccine development happening at a rapid pace to
prevent COVID-19, we expect elective surgeries to pick-up over the medium
term. Considering the impact of the pandemic on FY21, we expect ~5% revenue
CAGR from this segment over FY20-23E.
Research Analyst: Alpesh Mehta ([email protected]) / Tushar Manudhane ([email protected])
Piran Engineer ([email protected]) / Nitin Aggarwal ([email protected])
6 January 2021 Investors are advised to refer through important disclosures made at the last page of the Research Report. 1
Motilal Oswal research is available on www.motilaloswal.com/Institutional-Equities, Bloomberg, Thomson Reuters, Factset and S&P Capital.
 Piramal Enterprises

Power brands/wide reach/e-commerce key for ICP

PIEL has put in considerable effort towards building its product portfolio and
expanding its reach in the health-focused consumer products. It has over 20 brands
in this segment. From its presence in 16 towns (24k outlets) in FY08, it is now
present in over 1,500 cities (280k outlets) and has a strong field force of over 1,700
people driving growth in this segment. We expect 25% sales CAGR over FY20-23E on
new product introductions, better traction in existing products, stronger distribution
network, and greater use of e-commerce.

‘Retailization’ of the lending book; provisioning adequate

Over the past 1-2 years, the management focused on: a) running down large
corporate exposures, b) infusing capital, and c) increasing share of long-term
borrowings in the NBFC segment. Over the next 1-2 years, the key priority is to grow
its recently launched Consumer Lending business. In addition to home loans, it looks
to undertake LAP and small business loans. This business has been launched in 40
locations and has witnessed a healthy initial response. Over the next five years, this
segment is likely to constitute ~50% of the consolidated loan book. On the asset
quality front, while there could be a rise in delinquencies in the next few quarters,
the same has been adequately provided for. Total provisions amount to 6% of loans,
i.e. more than double outstanding GNPLs. Even with rising delinquencies, there
should not be any P&L impact ahead.

Pharma stake sale provides a war chest for expansion

PIEL has received a fresh capital investment of ~USD490m from Carlyle for 20%
equity stake in the Pharma business (Piramal Pharma). The deal values the business
at an EV of ~USD2.8b, with an upside of up to USD360m depending on the
company’s FY21 performance. Proceeds from the stake sale, along with leverage,
would be deployed for capacity expansion at current facilities and to provide a war
chest for inorganic growth opportunities. Usage of these funds would be for
increased capacity and inorganic growth opportunities in products, brand
acquisitions, and for adding new business lines. This would provide a further upside
to our current estimates.

Valuation and view

Over the past year, the company has executed on all strategic priorities such as
reducing Balance Sheet leverage, trimming large exposures, and curtailing loan
growth. Going forward, loan growth would accrue from the Retail Lending business.
With the team, analytics, infrastructure, etc. well in place, PIEL is poised to grow this
business significantly over the medium-to-long term.
Even on the Pharma side, we expect it to deliver 14% sales CAGR over FY20-23E on
the back of 17%/25%/5% sales CAGR in the CDMO/ICP/CHG segment.
We use SoTP to arrive at our TP of INR1,750 per share (FY22E-based). Maintain Buy.

11 January 2021 2
 Piramal Enterprises

Pharma – On a robust footing despite recent aberrations

 PIEL has exhibited healthy revenue CAGR (15.1%) in the Pharma space over FY11-20,
led by a 19%/14.2%/13.4% sales CAGR in CHG/ICP/CDMO. EBITDA grew at 33% CAGR
over FY11-20. EBITDA margin expanded by over 1,900bp to 26.5% in FY20.
 Decline in CHG was more than offset by healthy growth in CDMO and ICP businesses in
1HFY21.
 With the development of a vaccine for COVID-19 fast-tracked at the global level, we
expect even the CHG business to revive over the near term.
 We expect 14% sales CAGR for the Pharma business over FY20-23E. Inorganic
initiatives can further boost the sales growth trajectory.

Strong business model with unique businesses

 Post sale of the Domestic Formulation business to Abbott, it has built a resilient
Healthcare business, adding niche segments like CDMO and Hospital Generics.
 In 1HFY21, CDMO/CHG/ICP accounted for 60%/30%/10% of Pharma sales.

Exhibit 1: Pharma segment composition (FY20)

CDMO
(INR31.5b)

Pharma
(INR54.3b)

Hospital India
Injectables Consumer
(INR18.5b) (INR4.2b)

Source: MOFSL, Company

 The Pharma business was impacted in 1HFY21 as elective surgeries were

postponed on account of COVID-19. 1HFY21 revenue was almost flat YoY
compared to 13% sales growth in FY20.
 There has been improved business prospects in the CDMO segment considering:
a) its strong order book b) contract research work being extended to contract
manufacturing at the commercial level, c) expansion of the manufacturing
capacity, and d) smooth operations despite COVID-related constraints.
 The ICP segment grew 15% YoY in 1HFY21 led by solid launches and supported
by e-commerce and by leveraging its field force/distribution.
 Decline in the CHG was offset by better growth in the CDMO/ICP segment.

11 January 2021 3
 Piramal Enterprises

Expect growth momentum to be back on track over the medium term

 The Hospital Generics business has been the fastest growing segment over the
past nine years and has the highest EBITDA margin among the three divisions,
followed by CDMO and India consumer OTC business.
 There is increased demand in the CDMO space to fulfil current market demand
for injectables, which should bode well for this segment in the near term. The
consumer OTC business is seeing healthy traction for supplements and other
products. With initiatives to strengthen the e-commerce chain over the past 6-8
months, PIEL is seeing increased demand from e-commerce platforms. Though
Hospital Injectables has recovered from the lows of 1Q, low-mid single-digit
growth is expected for FY21 due to the COVID-19 pandemic.
 We expect mid-teen revenue growth for the CDMO and consumer business
segments on combined basis over FY21-23E and low double-digit revenue
growth for the hospital business considering some slowdown due to COVID-19
in FY21.
 The company boasts of strong regulatory compliance with over 130 regulatory
audits cleared in FY20, including three from the USFDA.

Exhibit 2: Piramal Pharma revenues grew at 15% CAGR over FY11-20

CDMO (INRb) Coplex Hospital Generics (INRb) India Consumer (INRb)

4
3
3 19
4 17
3 14
2 9 11
2 8 2
2 7
1
4 6 32 8
1
4 25 25 28
18 20 23
10 14 16 15

FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 1HFY21

Source: MOFSL, Company

11 January 2021 4
 Piramal Enterprises

CDMO – Integrated service offerings to drive growth

 PIEL bolstered its offering in the CDMO space with tuck-in acquisitions to add
capabilities in areas such as manufacturing of cytotoxic injectable products, HPAPIs
(high potent APIs), and OSDs.
 The company is well-placed to benefit from: a) favorable demand prospects, and b)
skill-sets spanning across research to manufacturing.

Combination of organic/inorganic led growth in the CDMO segment

 The CDMO business is the highest contributor to Pharma revenue, accounting
for 60% in 1HFY21. It delivered 13.4% CAGR over FY11-20, led by new customers
as well as new projects from existing customers.

Exhibit 3: CDMO revenue grew at 13.4% CAGR over FY11-20 on a high base

CDMO (INRb)

32
25 25 28
20 23
16 18 15
10 14

FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 1HFY21

Source: MOFSL, Company

Exhibit 4: Notable inorganic initiatives in the CDMO division over the last five years
CY15 CY16 CY20
Acquired Coldstream Laboratories, a US- Acquired Ash Stevens, a US-based Acquired a solid oral dosage drug
based CDMO, specializing in the CDMO, specializing in the product facility in Sellersville,
manufacture of cytotoxic injectable manufacture of HPAPIs Pennsylvania, USA
products

Source: MOFSL, Company

Wide array of capabilities across the product life cycle bodes well for
business opportunities in the CDMO space
 In the CDMO business, PIEL provides integrated solutions from drug discovery
support to commercialization of on-patent and off-patent drugs. The company
can support discovery and route scouting, process development and starting
materials, drug product and substance development, manufacturing of finished
dosage in various forms such as injectables, OSDs, potent OSDs, controlled
substances, etc. from various facilities in India, the US and UK. It has strong
capabilities in niche products such as HPAPIs, Antibody Drug Conjugates (ADCs),
injectables and hormones, which helps in serving different types of clients with
varying requirements and to expand margin with these niche products.
 Development services currently contribute the most to CDMO revenues,
followed by commercial drugs, which constitute a small portion. Given its end-
to-end integrated service offerings, PIEL gains from expanded project mandates
as molecules progress through various clinical phases to the commercial stage.

11 January 2021 5
 Piramal Enterprises

Capital work in progress to meet future requirements

 PIEL undertook capex in FY20 for enhancement of: a) API capabilities at its UK
facility (Morpeth), b) OSD capacity expansion at its Pithampur facility, and c)
addition of two new API reactor suites at Aurora, Canada.

Promising industry outlook

 The CDMO market is expected to grow ~9%, accounting for growth in research
and manufacturing services. The global marketplace is recently experiencing a
shortage in the CDMO manufacturing space, especially in the Injectables
segment due to: a) increased demand, including that for COVID-19 treatments
and vaccines, and b) some headwinds for injectable manufacturing sites from
regulatory authorities.
 We expect momentum in CDMO revenues (17% sales CAGR) to sustain for PIEL
over FY20-23E on account of the aforementioned catalysts. Owing to the
shortage in sterile manufacturing capacities across the globe, we expect 200-
400bp margin expansion for this segment over the near to medium term.
 Over the longer term, PIEL benefits from end-to-end capabilities, providing
integrated services, beginning of research support services, to supplying
commercial quantities of API and formulations in different dosage forms.
Integrated approach to CDMO enables PIEL to cross-sell its differentiated
offerings to customers across its value chain.

Exhibit 5: Pictographic layout of the product life cycle and manufacturing facilities

Source: MOFSL, Company

11 January 2021 6
 Piramal Enterprises

Niche products/strong commercial skills - key for CHG

 CHG segment clocked 19% CAGR over FY11-20 led by organic and inorganic initiatives.
 Its portfolio includes low competition and difficult to manufacture products in the
inhaled anesthetics and injectables category, which is promoted by its own field force.
 We expect new launches and deep penetration in its focus markets to sustain the
momentum in this segment over the next 2-3 years.

COVID-led aberration in the revenue growth trajectory of the CHG segment

 The CHG business grew 13% YoY and accounted for 34% of Pharma revenues in
FY20.

Exhibit 6: Inorganic initiatives drove 19% CAGR in CHG sales over FY11-20

Coplex Hospital Generics (INRb)

17 19
14
9 11
6 7 8 8
4 4

FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 1HFY21

Source: MOFSL, Company

 CHG revenues declined 14% YoY to INR7.6b on lower off-take of injectables and
anesthetics due to postponement of elective surgeries.
 PIEL manufactures and distributes a portfolio of CHG products comprising
injectables, inhaled anesthetics, intrathecal spasticity and pain management,
and selected anti-infective products in over 100 countries, including the US, EU,
and Japan, through its dedicated field force.
 It has 23 differentiated products that are currently distributed, with muscle
relaxant Rocuronium Bromide expected to be launched in FY22.
 In FY20, it undertook a pilot launch of Desflurane in the UK, South Africa, Italy,
France, and Germany; launched Sevoflurane in Russia; and won a dual supply
contract for Sevoflurane to members of Vizient – the largest group purchasing
organization (GPO) in the US that covers ~50% of hospitals and surgery centers.
Inhaled anesthesia and sterile injectables segments have a global market size of
over USD50b and provides additional room to gain market-share.
 PIEL’s CHG business was supported by acquisition of products. The company
acquired five products from Janssen Pharma (J&J) in 2016 (for ~USD175m), two
products from Mallinckrodt in 2017 (for USD171m in cash and USD32m in
milestone-based payments) and two other products in 2018. These acquired
products were complemented by products developed in-house and via affiliates.
 The products in PIEL’s portfolio are in select therapies like anesthetics, pain
management, anti-infectives, and controlled substances.
 It has 30% market-share in inhaled anesthesia products in North America and is
one of the only three generics companies approved for Sevoflurane in Japan.

11 January 2021 7
 Piramal Enterprises

 It also has the leading market share for Fentanyl in Japan and is the only
branded generic company approved for Fentanyl. These products are primarily
promoted by PIEL’s sales force in the US, UK and Japan to hospitals directly.

Advantage PIEL in the CHG space

 PIEL’s portfolio: a) faces low competition owing to the complexity of products,
resulting in limited price erosion, b) has lower sales and promotional costs as
the products are distributed to hospitals, and c) enjoys cost advantages of
backward integration.
 We expect 5% revenue CAGR for this segment over FY20-23E, taking into
account the COVID-led impact in FY21. Inorganic initiatives – acquisition/in-
licensing – are expected to further accelerate growth in the near term.

Exhibit 7: Notable inorganic initiatives in the CHG segment over the last five years
Acquired in 2016 Acquired in 2017 Acquired in 2018 Acquired in 2020 Self/Affiliate

•Sublimaze (Fentanyl •Gablofen (Baclofen) •Levothyroxine •Rocuronium Bromide •Sojourn (Sevoflurane

Citrate) •Mitigo (Morphine Sodium USP)
•Sufenta (Sufentanil Sulfate) •Yargesa (Miglustat) •Terrell (Isoflurane
Citrate) USP)
•Rapifen (Alfentanil •Fluothane
Hydrochloride) (Halothane USP)
•Dipidolor •Torrane (Desflurane
(Piritramide) USP)
•Hypnomidate •Haemaccel
(Etomidate) (Polygeline)
•Ampicillin Sulbactam
•Cefepime
•Ceftriaxone
•Oxacillin
•Ampicillin Sodium
•Piperazilin
Tazobactam
•Linezolid bag
•Glycopyrrolate
injection

Source: MOFSL, Company

11 January 2021 8
 Piramal Enterprises

Power brands/wide reach/e-commerce – key for ICP

 PIEL’s ICP business witnessed 14% sales CAGR over the last nine years and 25% YoY
growth in FY20.
 Its portfolio of over 20 brands, new launches, and enhanced distribution/field force
productivity drives sales and would boost ICP profitability over the next 3-4 years.

Renewed strategy to strengthen business prospects in the ICP segment

 The Indian health-focused, branded consumer segment is valued ~USD19b
(2019) and is expected to grow by 7-8% CAGR over the next 4-5 years.

Exhibit 8: India consumer business clocks 14% CAGR over FY11-20

India Consumer (INRb)

3.8 4.2
3.5 3.3
2.4 2.6 2.4
1.7 2.1
1.3 1.4

FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 1HFY21

Source: MOFSL, Company

 PIEL’s ICP business is a low capex business that has grown on the back of brand
acquisitions and new product/SKU launches. Its products are mainly in skin care,
women’s health, pain management, general health supplements, and kids’
wellbeing and care categories. Its portfolio includes well known consumer
brands like Saridon, Lacto Calamine, i-pill, etc.
 Over the past five years, its consumer business made some notable acquisitions,
including five brands (like Naturolax, Lactobacil and Farizym) acquired from
Organon India and MSD in 2015, four brands (Ferradol, Neko, Sloan’s and
Waterbury’s) acquired from Pfizer in 2016, and Digeplex and associated brands
from Shreya Lifesciences in 2017.

Exhibit 9: Strong distribution network spread across the country

Source: MOFSL, Company

11 January 2021 9
 Piramal Enterprises

 These products are available across 280k outlets spread over 1,500 Indian
towns. It is supported by a field force of over 1,700 sales representatives. While
brand awareness campaigns generate pull for its products, the use of analytics
to improve distribution, and listing of products on e-commerce platforms have
been able to translate marketing into actual sales.
 Robust performance over the past few years was paused in 1HFY21 (11% YoY
growth) due to COVID-19 led disruptions.
 However, the management has been quick to revise its strategy by using the e-
commerce channel to distribute its products.
 It also launched two new brands of hand sanitizers during the pandemic.
 It enhanced usage of analytics and technology to improve productivity and
strengthen distribution.
 We expect 25% sales CAGR for the ICP segment over FY20-23E on a lower base
driven by higher demand from e-commerce platforms. Tuck-in acquisitions of
brands could further strengthen growth in this segment.

Exhibit 10: Notable inorganic initiatives in the ICP division over the last five years

2015 Acquired five

brands from
2016 Acquired four
brands from Pfizer
2017 Acquired Digeplex
Organon India and – Ferradol, Neko, and associated
MSD, including Sloan’s and brands from Shreya
Naturolax, Waterbury’s Lifesciences
Lactobacil and Compound
Farizym

Acquired baby care

brand Little

Source: MOFSL, Company

11 January 2021 10
 Piramal Enterprises

Pharma stake sale provides a war chest for expansion

 In Oct’20, PIEL sold 20% stake in its Pharma business to Carlyle for USD490m, at a
valuation of ~USD2.8b, with upside of USD360m subject to FY21 performance
 This provides it with growth capital to pursue organic and inorganic opportunities
across existing business segments and add new business verticals, subject to
appropriate valuations in the future, over and above our current estimates.

 PIEL received a fresh capital investment of ~USD490m from Carlyle for 20%
equity stake in its Pharma business (Piramal Pharma). The deal values the
business at an EV of ~USD2.8b, with an upside of up to USD360m depending on
company’s FY21 performance.
 Proceeds from the stake sale will be used for capacity expansion at its current
facilities and provides a war chest for inorganic growth opportunities.
 The CHG business has been built on the back of acquisitions, and the funds from
the stake sale could be deployed to expand its product portfolio.
 Growth in the India Consumer business segment has also been aided by brand
acquisitions. The company has made significant investments over the last 12
months on targeted marketing campaigns and to grow its e-commerce platform.
Expansion of the India Consumer portfolio through brand acquisitions is one of
the key focus areas for the management.
 In the CDMO segment, PIEL is attracting customer interest for dedicated lines.
There is strong demand globally for CDMO players, particularly for companies
with capabilities to manufacture complex dosage forms. Proceeds from the
stake sale could be deployed to expand capacities at its current facilities.
 Usage of these funds would be for increased capacity and inorganic growth
opportunities in products, brand acquisitions, and for adding new business lines.
This would provide a further upside to our current estimates.

11 January 2021 11
 Piramal Enterprises

Other highlights in the Pharma segment

EBITDA margin on an uptrend after a sharp fall in 1QFY21
 PIEL has delivered a consistent improvement in profitability over FY11-20, led by
the introduction of high margin products, backward integration for raw
materials, leveraging global distribution, optimizing yields and manufacturing
process, cost rationalization initiatives, and better capacity utilization.
 Considerable reduction in sales on account of the COVID-led lockdown resulted
in a reduction in profitability in 1HFY21 (EBITDA margin of 17.9% for 1HFY21 vs
26.5% for FY20).
 With an ease in lockdown restrictions, renewed strategy in the ICP segment,
improved business prospects in the CDMO space, and gradual increase in the
number of surgeries in the CHG segment, PIEL was able to revive profitability.

Exhibit 11: EBITDA margin expands over 1,900bp to 26.5% over FY11-20

EBITDA (INRb) EBITDA Margin (%)

26.5
21.3
17.0 18.4 17.9
13.7 14.2 14.8
10.8
7.2 7.3

1.1 1.4 2.5 3.7 4.3 5.1 6.6 7.9 10.2 14.4 4.4

FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 1HFY21

We expect EBITDA margin to reach FY20 levels by FY23E.

Capex – Investments to support growth in all segments

 Capex for CDMO and the Hospital Generics businesses are backed by high
customer demand and revenue generation opportunities, which de-risks the
whole capex program.
 In the CDMO business, expansion is underway at Riverview (Michigan, US) and
Aurora (Canada) facilities as current capacity is almost booked up. Some capex
may be incurred at its Lexington (Kentucky) facility as some of its current
customers are looking for dedicated/semi-dedicated capacity. PIEL is in
advanced engineering and design stages of expansion at its UK sites as many
customers have requested for expanded capacities.
 In the hospital generics business, PIEL anticipates additional volumes in
Sevoflurane and Desflurane. There is expected to be some planned capex at the
Bethlehem plant to support additional capacities. In addition to capacity
expansion, some part of the capex would be spent on product in-licensing in the
form of upfront or milestone payment, or both. External innovation is the
building block of Piramal Pharma’s Hospital Generics business, which ensures
new and innovative products are added to its portfolio from time to time.
 The domestic consumer business is capex light and investments, if any, would go
towards inorganic expansion.

11 January 2021 12
 Piramal Enterprises

Valuation and view

 Post sale of its Domestic Formulation business in 2010, PIEL focused on creating
value in CDMO/CHG/ICP space within the Pharma space. With: a) an established
presence across drug discovery to commercialization driving the CDMO
business, b) niche products portfolio and wide distribution network driving the
CHG business, and c) strong brand portfolio, and d) expanding field
force/distribution reach across India driving the ICP business, the company is
well-placed to deliver consistent mid-teens sales CAGR in the Pharma space.
Strategic inorganic acquisitions would boost sales growth further as and when it
is executed, subject to appropriate valuations.
 Proceeds from the stake sale in the Pharma business has provided it with
growth capital. Usage of funds for organic/inorganic opportunities provides a
potential upside from our current estimates.
 PIEL has navigated the difficult business environment well over the past two
years. By curtailing Balance Sheet growth, infusing capital (via stake sales in
SHTF/the Pharma space, sale of DRG) and rights issue, it has reduced
consolidated leverage to 1x now. In the lending segment too, leverage is ~1.5x.
 It has also reduced its exposures to 10 large clients by 20% to INR140b over the
past six quarters. We see room for further reduction in some key exposures.
Pick-up in home sales over the past few months is encouraging and bodes well
for collections. While GNPLs are likely to increase, the same would not be as
much as initially anticipated due to the pick-up in home sales and adequate
provisions. Its provision buffer of 6% of loans is more than twice its outstanding
GNPLs (2.5% of loans).
 The next phase of PIEL’s journey will be in retail lending. Over the past few
months, it has worked on setting up a team, infrastructure, analytics, models,
etc. With the foundation well in place, PIEL is poised to grow this business
significantly over the medium-to-long term. Over the next five years, this
business can be a meaningful contributor to Balance Sheet size and profitability.
 We value PIEL on a SoTP basis (Exhibit 12) to arrive at our PT of INR1,750 per
share. Reiterate Buy.

Exhibit 12: SoTP-based price target

Value Value INR per % to Rationale
(INR b) (USD b) share total
Lending business 195 2.6 820 47  1x P/BV
 Pharma EV/EBITDA of 14x; EV of INR238b; 80% stake; 20% holding
Pharma business 150 2.0 630 36
company discount
Shriram Group 39 0.5 165 9  Based on our TP for SHTF and SCUF
Unallocated NW 32 0.4 135 8  1x P/BV (net of DTA, OCI and Shriram Group allocated NW)
Total value 416 5.5 1,750 100  Implied 1.2x consolidated BV
Current market cap. 356 4.8 1,501
Upside (%) 16.6 16.6 16.6
Source: MOFSL

11 January 2021 13
 Piramal Enterprises

Financials and valuations

Income Statement (INR m)
FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21E FY22E
Revenue 63,815 85,468 106,394 132,153 130,683 131,278 146,878
Change (%) 24.6 33.9 24.5 24.2 -1.1 0.5 11.9
Healthcare 34,670 38,927 43,220 47,860 54,189 55,772 67,208
Financial Services 17,397 33,515 49,816 70,634 76,494 75,506 79,670
Info Mgmt. 11,559 12,224 12,092 13,322
Others 188 802 1,266 337
EBITDA* 13,726 21,007 29,611 36,582 17,889 32,096 38,532
Change (%) 57.8 53.0 41.0 23.5 -51.1 79.4 20.1
Healthcare 3,266 6,028 8,001 9,809 14,336 11,154 15,458
Financial Services # 8,185 12,837 19,933 24,507 3,553 20,942 23,074
Info Mgmt. 2,276 2,143 1,677 2,266
EBIT* 11,172 17,190 24,838 31,380 12,686 26,718 32,904
Change (%) 92.6 53.9 44.5 26.3 -59.6 110.6 23.2
Healthcare 1,151 3,124 4,244 5,880 9,208 5,776 9,830
Financial Services # 8,159 12,813 19,897 24,431 3,478 20,942 23,074
Info Mgmt. 1,862 1,254 697 1,069
Unallocated Inc./(Exp.) -4,028 -3,988 -5,200 -6,605 -3,510 490 488
Core PBT 7,144 13,202 19,638 24,775 9,176 27,208 33,391
Change (%) 110.6 84.8 48.7 26.2 -63.0 196.5 22.7
Exceptional Items 457 -99 0 -4,656 0 0 0
Reported PBT 7,600 13,103 19,638 20,119 9,176 27,208 33,391
Taxes 495 2,281 6,928 8,611 19,604 6,802 8,348
Tax Rate (%) 6.5 17.4 35.3 42.8 213.7 25.0 25.0
PAT 7,105 10,821 12,710 11,507 -10,429 20,406 25,043
Change (%) -73.6 52.3 17.5 -9.5 -190.6 -295.7 22.7
Minority Interest 0 -3 0 0 0 0 0
Share from Asso. Cos. 1,942 1,699 2,801 3,194 4,896 4,364 5,339
PAT Post MI 9,047 12,523 15,511 14,701 -5,533 24,770 30,383
Change (%) -68.3 38.4 23.9 -5.2 -137.6 -547.7 22.7
Dividend (Including Tax) 3,635 4,348 5,415 6,065 3,500 8,669 10,634
* Ex Exceptional, # Post interest expenses; FY16-18 nos based on Ind AS; FY18 Excluding one off DTA of INR35.6b

Balance Sheet (INR m)

Y/E MARCH FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19E FY20E FY21E FY22E
Equity Share Capital 345 345 424 424 451 451 474
Reserves (Ex-OCI) 121,102 133,609 243,287 253,732 286,835 302,936 340,161
Net worth 121,447 133,954 243,711 254,156 287,286 303,387 340,635
OCI 8,037 14,872 21,977 18,430 18,430 18,430 18,430
Net Worth 129,484 148,826 265,688 272,586 305,716 321,816 359,065
Change (%) -3.6 14.9 78.5 2.6 12.2 5.3 11.6
Borrowings 162,788 304,510 441,608 559,867 419,562 470,905 521,474
Change (%) 126.5 87.1 45.0 26.8 -25.1 12.2 10.7
Other liabilities 17,526 29,058 20,708 23,808 23,808 29,032 34,651
Change (%) 26.0 65.8 -28.7 15.0 0.0 21.9 19.4
Total Liabilities 309,798 482,394 728,004 856,261 749,086 821,753 915,189
Loans + Investments 198,500 325,163 514,984 645,325 548,231 573,712 627,223
Change (%) 57.9 63.8 58.4 25.3 -15.0 4.6 9.3
Goodwill 54,854 54,272 56,326 59,395 11,391 11,391 11,391
Fixed Assets 23,949 54,251 57,402 57,510 57,935 63,729 70,739
Other assets 32,495 48,707 99,293 94,032 131,529 172,922 205,837
Change (%) 22.2 49.9 103.9 -5.3 39.9 31.5 19.0
Total Assets 309,798 482,394 728,004 856,261 749,086 821,753 915,189

11 January 2021 14
 Piramal Enterprises

Financials and valuations

Profitability Ratios (%) FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19E FY20E FY21E FY22E
EBITDA margin - IT 19.7 17.5 13.9 17.0
EBITDA margin - Pharma 9.4 15.5 18.5 20.5 26.5 20.0 23.0
Core RoE 5.5 9.8 8.2 5.9 -2.0 8.4 9.4
RoE 7.5 9.8 8.2 5.9 -2.0 8.4 9.4

Valuations
Book Value (INR) 704 776 1,148 1,198 1,274 1,345 1,436
BV Growth (%) 1.0 10.3 47.9 4.3 6.4 5.6 6.8
Price-to-BV (x) 1.2 1.1 1.0
EPS (INR) 52 73 73 69 -25 110 128
EPS Growth (%) -68.3 38.4 0.7 -5.2 -135.4 -547.7 16.7
Price-to-Earnings (x) -61.2 13.7 11.7
DPS (INR) 18 21 25 28 13 38 45
Dividend Yield (%) 0.9 2.6 3.0
E: MOSL estimates

11 January 2021 15
 Piramal Enterprises

NOTES

11 January 2021 16
 Piramal Enterprises

Explanation of Investment Rating

Investment Rating Expected return (over 12-month)
BUY >=15%
SELL < - 10%
NEUTRAL < - 10 % to 15%
UNDER REVIEW Rating may undergo a change
NOT RATED We have forward looking estimates for the stock but we refrain from assigning recommendation
*In case the recommendation given by the Research Analyst is inconsistent with the investment rating legend for a continuous period of 30 days, the Research Analyst shall within
following 30 days take appropriate measures to make the recommendation consistent with the investment rating legend.
Disclosures
The following Disclosures are being made in compliance with the SEBI Research Analyst Regulations 2014 (herein after referred to as the Regulations).
Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd. (MOFSL) is a SEBI Registered Research Analyst having registration no. INH000000412. MOFSL, the Research Entity (RE) as defined in the
Regulations, is engaged in the business of providing Stock broking services, Investment Advisory Services, Depository participant services & distribution of various financial
products. MOFSL is a subsidiary company of Passionate Investment Management Pvt. Ltd.. (PIMPL). MOFSL is a listed public company, the details in respect of which are
available on www.motilaloswal.com. MOFSL (erstwhile Motilal Oswal Securities Limited - MOSL) is registered with the Securities & Exchange Board of India (SEBI) and is a
registered Trading Member with National Stock Exchange of India Ltd. (NSE) and Bombay Stock Exchange Limited (BSE), Multi Commodity Exchange of India Limited (MCX) and
National Commodity & Derivatives Exchange Limited (NCDEX) for its stock broking activities & is Depository participant with Central Depository Services Limited (CDSL) National
Securities Depository Limited (NSDL),NERL, COMRIS and CCRL and is member of Association of Mutual Funds of India (AMFI) for distribution of financial products and Insurance
Regulatory & Development Authority of India (IRDA) as Corporate Agent for insurance products. Details of associate entities of Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited are
available on the website at http://onlinereports.motilaloswal.com/Dormant/documents/List%20of%20Associate%20companies.pdf
MOFSL and its associate company(ies), their directors and Research Analyst and their relatives may; (a) from time to time, have a long or short position in, act as principal in, and
buy or sell the securities or derivatives thereof of companies mentioned herein. (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other
compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company(ies) discussed herein or act as an advisor or lender/borrower to such company(ies) or may have
any other potential conflict of interests with respect to any recommendation and other related information and opinions.; however the same shall have no bearing whatsoever on the
specific recommendations made by the analyst(s), as the recommendations made by the analyst(s) are completely independent of the views of the associates of MOFSL even
though there might exist an inherent conflict of interest in some of the stocks mentioned in the research report
MOFSL and / or its affiliates do and seek to do business including investment banking with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, the recipients of this report
should be aware that MOFSL may have a potential conflict of interest that may affect the objectivity of this report. Compensation of Research Analysts is not based on any specific
merchant banking, investment banking or brokerage service transactions. Details of pending Enquiry Proceedings of Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited are available on the
website at https://galaxy.motilaloswal.com/ResearchAnalyst/PublishViewLitigation.aspx
A graph of daily closing prices of securities is available at www.nseindia.com, www.bseindia.com. Research Analyst views on Subject Company may vary based on Fundamental
research and Technical Research. Proprietary trading desk of MOFSL or its associates maintains arm’s length distance with Research Team as all the activities are segregated
from MOFSL research activity and therefore it can have an independent view with regards to Subject Company for which Research Team have expressed their views.
Regional Disclosures (outside India)
This report is not directed or intended for distribution to or use by any person or entity resident in a state, country or any jurisdiction, where such distribution, publication, availability
or use would be contrary to law, regulation or which would subject MOFSL & its group companies to registration or licensing requirements within such jurisdictions.
For Hong Kong:
This report is distributed in Hong Kong by Motilal Oswal capital Markets (Hong Kong) Private Limited, a licensed corporation (CE AYY-301) licensed and regulated by the Hong
Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) pursuant to the Securities and Futures Ordinance (Chapter 571 of the Laws of Hong Kong) “SFO”. As per SEBI (Research Analyst
Regulations) 2014 Motilal Oswal Securities (SEBI Reg No. INH000000412) has an agreement with Motilal Oswal capital Markets (Hong Kong) Private Limited for distribution of
research report in Hong Kong. This report is intended for distribution only to “Professional Investors” as defined in Part I of Schedule 1 to SFO. Any investment or investment activity
to which this document relates is only available to professional investor and will be engaged only with professional investors.” Nothing here is an offer or solicitation of these
securities, products and services in any jurisdiction where their offer or sale is not qualified or exempt from registration. The Indian Analyst(s) who compile this report is/are not
located in Hong Kong & are not conducting Research Analysis in Hong Kong.
For U.S.
Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited (MOFSL) is not a registered broker - dealer under the U.S. Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the"1934 act") and under
applicable state laws in the United States. In addition MOFSL is not a registered investment adviser under the U.S. Investment Advisers Act of 1940, as amended (the "Advisers
Act" and together with the 1934 Act, the "Acts), and under applicable state laws in the United States. Accordingly, in the absence of specific exemption under the Acts, any
brokerage and investment services provided by MOFSL , including the products and services described herein are not available to or intended for U.S. persons. This report is
intended for distribution only to "Major Institutional Investors" as defined by Rule 15a-6(b)(4) of the Exchange Act and interpretations thereof by SEC (henceforth referred to as
"major institutional investors"). This document must not be acted on or relied on by persons who are not major institutional investors. Any investment or investment activity to which
this document relates is only available to major institutional investors and will be engaged in only with major institutional investors. In reliance on the exemption from registration
provided by Rule 15a-6 of the U.S. Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the "Exchange Act") and interpretations thereof by the U.S. Securities and Exchange
Commission ("SEC") in order to conduct business with Institutional Investors based in the U.S., MOFSL has entered into a chaperoning agreement with a U.S. registered broker-
dealer, Motilal Oswal Securities International Private Limited. ("MOSIPL"). Any business interaction pursuant to this report will have to be executed within the provisions of this
chaperoning agreement.
The Research Analysts contributing to the report may not be registered /qualified as research analyst with FINRA. Such research analyst may not be associated persons of the U.S.
registered broker-dealer, MOSIPL, and therefore, may not be subject to NASD rule 2711 and NYSE Rule 472 restrictions on communication with a subject company, public
appearances and trading securities held by a research analyst account.
For Singapore
In Singapore, this report is being distributed by Motilal Oswal Capital Markets Singapore Pte Ltd (“MOCMSPL”) (Co.Reg. NO. 201129401Z) which is a holder of a capital markets
services license and an exempt financial adviser in Singapore.As per the approved agreement under Paragraph 9 of Third Schedule of Securities and Futures Act (CAP 289) and
Paragraph 11 of First Schedule of Financial Advisors Act (CAP 110) provided to MOCMSPL by Monetary Authority of Singapore. Persons in Singapore should contact MOCMSPL
in respect of any matter arising from, or in connection with this report/publication/communication. This report is distributed solely to persons who qualify as “Institutional Investors”,
of which some of whom may consist of "accredited" institutional investors as defined in section 4A(1) of the Securities and Futures Act, Chapter 289 of Singapore (“the
SFA”). Accordingly, if a Singapore person is not or ceases to be such an institutional investor, such Singapore Person must immediately discontinue any use of this Report and
inform MOCMSPL.
Specific Disclosures
1 MOFSL, Research Analyst and/or his relatives does not have financial interest in the subject company, as they do not have equity holdings in the subject company.
2 MOFSL, Research Analyst and/or his relatives do not have actual/beneficial ownership of 1% or more securities in the subject company
3 MOFSL, Research Analyst and/or his relatives have not received compensation/other benefits from the subject company in the past 12 months
4 MOFSL, Research Analyst and/or his relatives do not have material conflict of interest in the subject company at the time of publication of research report
5 Research Analyst has not served as director/officer/employee in the subject company
6 MOFSL has not acted as a manager or co-manager of public offering of securities of the subject company in past 12 months
7 MOFSL has not received compensation for investment banking/ merchant banking/brokerage services from the subject company in the past 12 months
8 MOFSL has not received compensation for other than investment banking/merchant banking/brokerage services from the subject company in the past 12 months
9 MOFSL has not received any compensation or other benefits from third party in connection with the research report
10 MOFSL has not engaged in market making activity for the subject company

11 January 2021 17
 Piramal Enterprises

********************************************************************************************************************************
The associates of MOFSL may have:
- financial interest in the subject company
- actual/beneficial ownership of 1% or more securities in the subject company
- received compensation/other benefits from the subject company in the past 12 months
- other potential conflict of interests with respect to any recommendation and other related information and opinions.; however the same shall have no bearing whatsoever on the
specific recommendations made by the analyst(s), as the recommendations made by the analyst(s) are completely independent of the views of the associates of MOFSL even
though there might exist an inherent conflict of interest in some of the stocks mentioned in the research report.
- acted as a manager or co-manager of public offering of securities of the subject company in past 12 months
- be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the
company(ies) discussed herein or act as an advisor or lender/borrower to such company(ies)
- received compensation from the subject company in the past 12 months for investment banking / merchant banking / brokerage services or from other than said services.

The associates of MOFSL has not received any compensation or other benefits from third party in connection with the research report
Above disclosures include beneficial holdings lying in demat account of MOFSL which are opened for proprietary investments only. While calculating beneficial holdings, It does not
consider demat accounts which are opened in name of MOFSL for other purposes (i.e holding client securities, collaterals, error trades etc.). MOFSL also earns DP income from
clients which are not considered in above disclosures.
Analyst Certification
The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the personal views of the analyst(s) about the subject securities or issues, and no part of the compensation of the
research analyst(s) was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations and views expressed by research analyst(s) in this report.
Terms & Conditions:
This report has been prepared by MOFSL and is meant for sole use by the recipient and not for circulation. The report and information contained herein is strictly confidential and
may not be altered in any way, transmitted to, copied or distributed, in part or in whole, to any other person or to the media or reproduced in any form, without prior written consent
of MOFSL. The report is based on the facts, figures and information that are considered true, correct, reliable and accurate. The intent of this report is not recommendatory in
nature. The information is obtained from publicly available media or other sources believed to be reliable. Such information has not been independently verified and no guaranty,
representation of warranty, express or implied, is made as to its accuracy, completeness or correctness. All such information and opinions are subject to change without notice. The
report is prepared solely for informational purpose and does not constitute an offer document or solicitation of offer to buy or sell or subscribe for securities or other financial
instruments for the clients. Though disseminated to all the customers simultaneously, not all customers may receive this report at the same time. MOFSL will not treat recipients as
customers by virtue of their receiving this report.
Disclaimer:
The report and information contained herein is strictly confidential and meant solely for the selected recipient and may not be altered in any way, transmitted to, copied or
distributed, in part or in whole, to any other person or to the media or reproduced in any form, without prior written consent. This report and information herein is solely for
informational purpose and may not be used or considered as an offer document or solicitation of offer to buy or sell or subscribe for securities or other financial instruments. Nothing
in this report constitutes investment, legal, accounting and tax advice or a representation that any investment or strategy is suitable or appropriate to your specific circumstances.
The securities discussed and opinions expressed in this report may not be suitable for all investors, who must make their own investment decisions, based on their own investment
objectives, financial positions and needs of specific recipient. This may not be taken in substitution for the exercise of independent judgment by any recipient. Each recipient of this
document should make such investigations as it deems necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of companies referred to in this
document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult its own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. The investment discussed or views
expressed may not be suitable for all investors. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options, another derivative products as well as non-investment grade
securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of
the information and opinions contained in this document. The Disclosures of Interest Statement incorporated in this document is provided solely to enhance the transparency and
should not be treated as endorsement of the views expressed in the report. This information is subject to change without any prior notice. The Company reserves the right to make
modifications and alternations to this statement as may be required from time to time without any prior approval. MOFSL, its associates, their directors and the employees may from
time to time, effect or have effected an own account transaction in, or deal as principal or agent in or for the securities mentioned in this document. They may perform or seek to
perform investment banking or other services for, or solicit investment banking or other business from, any company referred to in this report. Each of these entities functions as a
separate, distinct and independent of each other. The recipient should take this into account before interpreting the document. This report has been prepared on the basis of
information that is already available in publicly accessible media or developed through analysis of MOFSL. The views expressed are those of the analyst, and the Company may or
may not subscribe to all the views expressed therein. This document is being supplied to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on,
directly or indirectly, to any other person or published, copied, in whole or in part, for any purpose. This report is not directed or intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or
entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction, where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law,
regulation or which would subject MOFSL to any registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction. The securities described herein may or may not be eligible for sale in
all jurisdictions or to certain category of investors. Persons in whose possession this document may come are required to inform themselves of and to observe such restriction.
Neither the Firm, not its directors, employees, agents or representatives shall be liable for any damages whether direct or indirect, incidental, special or consequential including lost
revenue or lost profits that may arise from or in connection with the use of the information. The person accessing this information specifically agrees to exempt MOFSL or any of its
affiliates or employees from, any and all responsibility/liability arising from such misuse and agrees not to hold MOFSL or any of its affiliates or employees responsible for any such
misuse and further agrees to hold MOFSL or any of its affiliates or employees free and harmless from all losses, costs, damages, expenses that may be suffered by the person
accessing this information due to any errors and delays.
Registered Office Address: Motilal Oswal Tower, Rahimtullah Sayani Road, Opposite Parel ST Depot, Prabhadevi, Mumbai-400025; Tel No.: 022 71934200/ 022-71934263;
Website www.motilaloswal.com.CIN no.: L67190MH2005PLC153397.Correspondence Office Address: Palm Spring Centre, 2nd Floor, Palm Court Complex, New Link Road,
Malad(West), Mumbai- 400 064. Tel No: 022 7188 1000.
Registration Nos.: Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited (MOFSL)*: INZ000158836(BSE/NSE/MCX/NCDEX); CDSL and NSDL: IN-DP-16-2015; Research Analyst:
INH000000412. AMFI: ARN - 146822; Investment Adviser: INA000007100; Insurance Corporate Agent: CA0579;PMS:INP000006712. Motilal Oswal Asset Management Company
Ltd. (MOAMC): PMS (Registration No.: INP000000670); PMS and Mutual Funds are offered through MOAMC which is group company of MOFSL. Motilal Oswal Wealth
Management Ltd. (MOWML): PMS (Registration No.: INP000004409) is offered through MOWML, which is a group company of MOFSL. Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited is
a distributor of Mutual Funds, PMS, Fixed Deposit, Bond, NCDs,Insurance Products and IPOs.Real Estate is offered through Motilal Oswal Real Estate Investment Advisors II Pvt.
Ltd. which is a group company of MOFSL. Private Equity is offered through Motilal Oswal Private Equity Investment Advisors Pvt. Ltd which is a group company of MOFSL.
Research & Advisory services is backed by proper research. Please read the Risk Disclosure Document prescribed by the Stock Exchanges carefully before investing. There is no
assurance or guarantee of the returns. Investment in securities market is subject to market risk, read all the related documents carefully before investing. Details of Compliance
Officer: Name: Neeraj Agarwal, Email ID: [email protected], Contact No.:022-71881085.
* MOSL has been amalgamated with Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited (MOFSL) w.e.f August 21, 2018 pursuant to order dated July 30, 2018 issued by Hon'ble National
Company Law Tribunal, Mumbai Bench.

11 January 2021 18