Bajaj Analysis
Bajaj Analysis
Bajaj Analysis
5
INDEX
• Category Projections
• Bajaj Performance
• Brand Strategy
6
INDUSTRY ANALYSIS
AND
PROJECTIONS
* 7
INDUSTRY
• 15 year Trend
• Growth Drivers
8
INDIAN MOTORCYCLE INDUSTRY
(DOMESTIC + EXPORTS)
Yearly Total
Motorcycle Industry – Volumes (Yearly Total)
9,000,000
8446591
8,000,000
7091545
7,000,000
5,000,000
4312751
4,000,000
3756409
3,000,000
2861061
2,000,000 2033147
1612895
1,000,000
1176779
802266 913956
0
96-97 97-98 98-99 99-00 00-01 01-02 02-03 03-04 04-05 05-06 06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10
9
DOMESTIC MOTORCYCLE INDUSTRY
Yearly Total
8000000 50%
46% 7340417
7000000
40%
6586443
6000000 34%
5826678 5826816 30%
5756927 26%
5000000 24% 21%
23%
15% 4725996 20%
4000000
3898751 13%
3396409 10%
3000000
2537061 1% 0%
2000000
1733147
1396895
-10%
1000000
-13%
0 -20%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
10
MOTORCYCLE DOMESTIC INDUSTRY -
PROJECTIONS
Yearly Total
12000000
10,476,596 (13%)
10000000
9,259,922 (14%)
3,396,409
2000000
2,537,061
1,733,147
1,396,895
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
11
GROWTH DRIVERS (YR 2010-11)
• GDP
– 8.5%
• Consumer Confidence
– 55% are Rural
• Crop Production (expected was 260 MT vs Actual near to 230 MT)
• MSP (Major Crops Y-O-Y)
– Sugarcane (33% hike)
– Paddy (11%)
– Wheat (8%)
• Rain (Quantity, Time and Spread)
– 45% are Urban and Semi Urban
• Salary rises
12
CATEGORY PROJECTIONS
13
CATEGORY SHARE PROJECTIONS
80%
44%
40% 43% 44% 38%
33% 31%
36% Commuter Standard
25%
19%
20% 19%
12% 14% 16%
10% 17%
8% 8% 9%
6%
2%
Sports
0%
FY 2001-02 Fy 2002-03 FY 2003-04 FY 2004-05 FY 2005-06 FY 2006-07 FY 2007-08 FY 2008-09 FY 2009-10 FY 2010-11
14
CATEGORY VOLUME PROJECTIONS (MA)
Segment Volumes
500000
440961
400000
Commuter Deluxe
391656
299110
286476 271616
300000
234738
199079
208899 209422
179196
200000 Commuter Standard
214524
129166 150622 128896
172275 118263
120184
117391
100000 108544
102713 109109 55568 59500 67714 102449
43663
17987 26901 32698
4036 Sports
0
FY 2001-02 Fy 2002-03 FY 2003-04 FY 2004-05 FY 2005-06 FY 2006-07 FY 2007-08 FY 2008-09 FY 2009-10 FY 2010-11
15
BAJAJ PERFORMANCE
16
BAL PERFORMANCE
• Overall
• Category Wise
17
OVERALL (MA)
Overall
750000 35.0%
31%
30% 30%
29% 611679 30.0%
600000
551467
24% 487008 25.0%
23.0% 24% 24%
492925
450000 481738
22% 20.0%
353190 404052
306293
15.0%
300000
10.0%
235916
150000 137587
145578 173242
148479 5.0%
54292 120807
106369
72164 85303
0 0.0%
FY 2001-02 Fy 2002-03 FY 2003-04 FY 2004-05 FY 2005-06 FY 2006-07 FY 2007-08 FY 2008-09 FY 2009-10
18
COMMUTER STANDARD (MA)
Commuter Standard
250000 50%
214524 45%
44%
209422
200000 40% 41% 38% 40%
38%
36% 39%
172275 35%
33%
150000 150622 30% 30%
118560 25%
117391
109109 120184
100000 20%
102713 78135
76178
81245
15%
57066
50000 44583 45169 10%
39050
41411
35506 5%
0 0%
FY 2001-02 Fy 2002-03 FY 2003-04 FY 2004-05 FY 2005-06 FY 2006-07 FY 2007-08 FY 2008-09 FY 2009-10
19
COMMUTER DELUXE (MA)
Commuter Deluxe
500000 25%
20% 390892
400000 20%
18%
17%
15%
300000 299110 15%
286476 271616
208899 11% 234738
11%
200000 9% 179196 199079 10%
10%
7%
100000 129166 5%
56131
35978 48148 32374
21343 21448 66366
12269
0 11867 0%
FY 2001-02 Fy 2002-03 FY 2003-04 FY 2004-05 FY 2005-06 FY 2006-07 FY 2007-08 FY 2008-09 FY 2009-10
20
SPORTS (MA)
Sports
150000 100%
93%
90%
85%
80%
72%
102447
70%
100000 71% 65%
60%
54%
50%
67714 46%
59500 40%
43%
50000 55568
25% 43663 30%
46607
26901 32373
32698 20%
17987 31465 35865
28825
24910 23181 10%
4036 15312
1014
0 0%
FY 2001-02 Fy 2002-03 FY 2003-04 FY 2004-05 FY 2005-06 FY 2006-07 FY 2007-08 FY 2008-09 FY 2009-10
21
PORTFOLIO COMPOSITION
90.0%
80.0%
76% 76%
70.0%
Discover + Pulsar
62% 63% 59%
60.0%
58%
54% 54% 53%
50.0%
46% 46% 47%
42%
40.0%
38% 37% 41%
Platina + CT 100
30.0%
24% 24%
20.0%
10.0%
0.0%
FY 2001-02 Fy 2002-03 FY 2003-04 FY 2004-05 FY 2005-06 FY 2006-07 FY 2007-08 FY 2008-09 FY 2009-10
22
BRAND STRATEGY
23
TWO BROAD
MOTORCYCLE SEGMENTS
Commuter Sports
Share of the 83% of the 17% of the Market
Market Market
• Commuter : Discover
• Sports : Pulsar
25
DISCOVER – ATTACK STRATEGY
26
Bajaj Idea
27
Two step upgradation plan
28
Upgrade 1 : Feature Up-gradation
29
FEATURE UP-GRADATION :DISCOVER 100
30
THE CONSUMERS WERE EXCITED….
VOLUME MONTH
DTS-Si Engine
Long Wheelbase
Nitrox Suspension
Electric Start
33
And now….
34
EXPERIENCE UP-GRADATION :
DISCOVER 150
35
DISCOVER 150 :
EXCITEMENT PER LITRE
Disk Brake
Max Power [Ps @ rpm] 13.0 @ 7500 10.4 @ 7500 7.8 @ 7500 9.0 bhp @ 7000
10.35 Nm @ 4000
Max Torque [Nm @ rpm] 12.75 @ 5500 10.78 @ 5500 8.04 @ 4500
rpm
Gears 5 4 4 4
37
PULSAR – DEFENSE STRATEGY
38
PULSAR : DEFENSE STRATEGY
• Up the Benchmark
– Fastest Indian : Top Speed – 145 km/hr
39
PULSAR VOLUME
70000
65002 63353
60000
61687
52022
55022
49437
50000
41663
44349
40000 39214 38013
35328
30000 38194
24233
20000
10000
0
Apr-09 May-09 Jun-09 Jul-09 Aug-09 Sep-09 Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10
40
MAJOR INITIATIVES
AND OUTLOOK FOR YEAR 2010 – 11
41
MAJOR INITIATIVES
Actions 2009-10 2010-11
1. New Products
Discover 100 a
Pulsar 135 LS a
Platina 125 a
Discover 150 a
2. Quality
Oil Frequency Reduction (From 5000 Km to 10000 Km) a a
Service Frequency Reduction (From 2500 Km to 5000 Km) a a
3. Network
Dealers Expansion (10% increase) a a
Secondary network Quality up gradation (RSO‘s to ASC’s) a
4. Brand
Twin Brand Strategy
Pulsar
• a a
Discover
• a a
5. Customer Finance (Direct Cash Collection)
850 ASC’s offer DCC model a a 42
OUTLOOK FOR YR 2010 – 11
43
COMMERCIAL VEHICLE BUSINESS 44
Growth Drivers & characteristics - SCV Industry
9.00
SCV Industry
8.00
• Growth at 13% 7.00 3.01
CAGR
6.00
• Drivers –
No of Veh (Lacs)
5.00 2.94 2.34
GDP growth, 3.05
4.00 2.33
Hub & Spoke model, 1.96
1.44
Poor public transport, 3.00
5.36
Replacement triggered by 2.00
2.99 3.33 3.50
3.97
2.50 2.54
availability of alt. fuel 1.00
0.00
2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10
Cargo 1.44 1.96 2.33 3.05 2.94 2.34 3.01
4Wh Pass 2.50 2.54 2.99 Year
3.33 3.50 3.97 5.36
45% 3Wh
55%
Passenger
Passenger Cargo Cargo
• Growth at 13%
• Growth at 15% • Growth at 30% • De-Growth at
CAGR
CAGR CAGR -3% CAGR
Growth driven by
• Primarily a rural • Versatile vehicle • Affected by
diesel/Incity
people mover suitable for both launch of a more
passenger
Long trip distance intra and inter city versatile vehicle
Non - AC AC
Call Taxi
Rs / Km
1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 5.5 6 6.5 7 7.5 8 8.5 9 9.5 10 10.5 11 11.5 12 12.5 13 13.5 14 14.5 15
– Attractiveness to operators/users
– Attractiveness to Environmentalists
• BAL Plans
– Set & raise industry standards of excellence in products, service, quality and innovation
– Wider product range – RE 145 family, RE 205 family (07 products)
– Investment in technology development and emission management --- GDI, CNG and
LPG versions optimized for use with alternate fuels and not merely tuned to run on
alternate fuels
– Cutting down on dead weight further by optimized engineering and use of alternate
materials.
COMMERCIAL VEHICLE BUSINESS 48
Rural -- Current vehicle usage
Magic
14 + Jeeps
No of Pass. Carried (avg)
12 RE 445 L Jeeps
Ape Magic
RE 445 L
10 Ape
Magic
RE 445 D RE 445 M
8
Ape
6
RE 145/205
<10 <20 30 40 >60
Trip Distance
• Small 3WH are used for distances < 10 KMs & upto 8 passengers
• Larger 3+1 3WH are used upto 30 KMs lead & upto 12 passengers
• Magic/jeeps is for longer leads (40 – 60 Kms)
COMMERCIAL VEHICLE BUSINESS 49
Rural Passenger
• In suburban and rural areas 3W are primarily used as substitutes for
buses.
• They thrive because of very poor public transport (Poor Frequency
Impatience?) and on shorter trip distances.
• They carry from 6-15 passengers. Availability of passenger per trip
decreasing as population of 3w increasing
• They compete with host of substitute products doing the same thing
i.e. act as substitute for buses eg. jeeps etc.
• Success here in future would depend on providing a vehicle with right
space for, keeping costs low, best fuel efficiency reasonable revenue
to give highest earnings under the given operating conditions.
• BAL Plan
– Use the ‘RE’ equity to gain leading market share over a two year time frame.
– Developed and launched LPG/CNG versions of RE445M products to be ready
when environmental concerns spread to upcountry markets.
2009-10 2010-11
2009-10 2010-11
Nationalized Banks 25% 35%
CLEAN MACHINE
THANK YOU
COMMERCIAL VEHICLE BUSINESS 58
International Business
59
Volume Trends
1,000,000 Overall CAGR- 37%
900,000
CAGR-26%
800,000
700,000
600,000
Volumes
CAGR-38%
500,000
400,000
300,000
200,000
100,000
0
2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10
MCY 53,366 90,210 130,949 174,923 301,775 482,030 633,463 726,115
CV 40,875 65,797 65,767 75,447 140,645 136,315 139,056 164,887
TTL 94,241 156,007 196,716 250,370 442,420 618,345 772,519 891,002
60
FY 10 Performance
38%
9% 19%
6% 18% 15%
18%
37% AFRICA
Middle East Bajaj
LA Chinese
SE ASIA Japanese
20%
SOUTH ASIA
19% 67%
Africa & ME Contribute 56% of the market Chinese motorcycle has 67% of the
world market
• Asia
– Defend high shares. Drive growth through penetration in Bangladesh
– Indonesia : rejig portfolio with Pulsar 135. Reposition Pulsar brand.
• Latam
– Focus on Pulsar and Discover brands
– Selectively strengthen routes to market
No part of this presentation is to be circulated, quoted, or reproduced for any distribution without prior written
approval from Bajaj Auto Limited, Mumbai-Pune Road, Akurdi, Pune-411 035, India.
Certain part of this presentation describing estimates, objectives and projections may be a “forward looking
statement” within the meaning of applicable laws and regulations. Actual results might differ materially from
those either expressed or implied. This material was used by Bajaj Auto Limited during an oral presentation; it is not
a complete record of the discussion.
64