Achieving Net Zero
Achieving Net Zero
Achieving Net Zero
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March 2020
Image inspired by Figure SPM.3a from IPCC Report Global Warming of 1.5°C (2018)
https://report.ipcc.ch/sr15/pdf/sr15_spm_final.pdf
Executive Summary
Structural materials (i.e., steel and concrete) are responsible for over 10% of global carbon
dioxide emissions. This paper outlines five paths to achieve a net zero-carbon future within the
built environment. These paths include varying levels of adoption of 4 transition tracks: (1)
design improvements, (2) greening the electrical grid, (3) material production improvements,
and (4) carbon offsets.
Through design optimization, we estimate that between 10% and 25% of emissions can be
avoided relative to current practices. Ways in which these emissions can be reduced include
the avoidance of over-design, topology optimization, and performance-based design. Likewise,
we estimate another 10% to 25% reduction in carbon emissions may be possible by specifying
the appropriate materials. For example, concrete mix designs of the same compressive strength
can vary significantly in their carbon emissions. Selecting concrete mixtures for both their
structural and environmental performance can help structural designers reduce the carbon
emissions of their structural systems by up to 40%. In addition, by reducing construction waste,
for example through modular construction, we estimate between 5% and 10% reductions in
carbon emissions can be achieved. Often the most effective design strategy to reduce carbon
emissions from structural systems is to avoid new construction through retrofit and the adaptive
reuse of existing buildings. Through retrofit, we estimate that between 5% and 15% of structural
system carbon emissions could be reduced. Another design strategy to reduce carbon
emissions is the use of substitute structural systems. By building with biogenic carbon (e.g.,
wood and straw), we estimate potential reductions in carbon emissions between 15% and 25%.
Finally, design for resilience may be a contributing strategy, but insufficient research is available
to estimate how much this strategy may contribute to embodied carbon reductions by 2050. The
structural engineering community's adoption of these design optimization strategies has the
potential to reduce carbon emission between 10% and 55%, showing a significant potential for
reductions between present day and 2050.
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reducing the unit carbon footprints of their products over the past decades by incorporating
more efficient manufacturing technologies. The carbon intensity of cement in the US has
reduced by 33% within the past 50 years, though most U.S. production is already using modern,
energy-efficient kilns so additional progress will likely not be as rapid moving forward. The
greatest promise for U.S. concrete production is a move towards blended cements, such as
those popular in the European markets. For steel manufacturing, the energy intensity dropped
by 10% between 1990 and 1998. However, the rate of reduction is slowing due to the minimum
theoretical energy required to produce steel. For wood products, carbon reductions are likely to
come from sustainable forestry management practices, better understanding and measurement
of carbon sequestration, and future harvesting and manufacturing efficiencies.
The final option to achieve net zero carbon emissions is the use of carbon offsets. Carbon
offsets are investments in actions that reduce carbon emissions and should be third-party
verified.
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1. Introduction
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has determined that to limit global
warming to 1.5°C we must reduce CO2 emissions by 45% from 2010 levels by 2030 and to net
zero by 20501. For buildings, this means we must work towards reducing the CO 2e2 emissions
(“carbon” emissions, also called Global Warming Potential (GWP)) associated with materials
and construction (“embodied carbon”) to zero. How can structural engineers help accomplish
this objective?
The SEI Sustainability Committee’s Carbon Working Group (CWG) is studying this issue. This
paper primarily addresses structural materials, although other design professionals—especially
architects—will need to play a central role. Structural materials represent half or more of the
embodied impacts of most new buildings,3 and an even higher proportion of most infrastructure
projects such as bridges and dams, so structural engineers must be leaders in the essential
transition to net zero embodied carbon and beyond to net-positive carbon-sequestering design.
We identified four transition tracks that have the ability to reduce carbon emissions associated
with structural materials:
1. Design Improvements: Structural engineers must make design choices and other
design improvements, such as material selection and optimization, that reduce the
carbon emissions of new construction.
2. Greening the Electrical Grid: The electrical power used to manufacture building
materials must continue to transition towards renewable sources.
3. Material Production Improvements: Material producers must continue to reduce the
carbon emissions associated with manufacturing processes and work towards
designing products and materials that durably store carbon.
4. Carbon Offsets: Any remaining carbon emissions must be offset with investments in
validated near-term carbon reduction projects.
Carbon sequestration and storage in building materials will be essential to achieve net zero
carbon without relying on offsets. Carbon storage includes the temporary removal of carbon
1
IPCC, 2018: Summary for Policymakers. In: Global Warming of 1.5°C. An IPCC Special Report on the
impacts of global warming of 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels and related global greenhouse gas
emission pathways, in the context of strengthening the global response to the threat of climate change,
sustainable development, and efforts to eradicate poverty [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, H.-O. Pörtner,
D. Roberts, J. Skea, P.R. Shukla, A. Pirani, W. Moufouma-Okia, C. Péan, R. Pidcock, S. Connors,
J.B.R. Matthews, Y. Chen, X. Zhou, M.I. Gomis, E. Lonnoy, T. Maycock, M. Tignor, and T. Waterfield
(eds.)] (https://www.ipcc.ch/sr15/chapter/spm/).
2
CO2e refers to CO2 equivalent. Emissions other than carbon dioxide, such as methane, also
contributes to global warming. CO2e includes the effect of these other emissions normalized to CO 2.
3
See e.g. Strain, Larry. Time Value of Carbon, Carbon Leadership Forum white paper, May 2017
(http://carbonleadershipforum.org/2017/02/09/the-time-value-of-carbon/).
3
from the atmosphere in products such as wood framing which will eventually return to the
atmosphere at building end-of-life. Carbon sequestration refers to the more permanent removal
of carbon, for example in chemical reactions that lock the carbon into the molecular matrix of a
material.
Carbon can be stored in wood and agricultural products, but careful consideration of their supply
chains is essential in order to be effective in reversing climate disruption. Timber harvesting
causes an uptick in carbon emissions, mostly due to soil exposure, that can take many years to
recover. Experts argue that only wood extracted from sustainably managed forests, such as
those certified by the Forest Stewardship Council, are a climate-friendly material choice.
Agricultural products made into building materials, such as straw and hemp, more clearly
sequester carbon in the near-term because of the annual growing cycle. Designers can select
such products to reduce the carbon footprint of their projects.
Material producers can also sequester carbon in their products. Some companies are already
offering such technology for concrete and aggregate production.4 Others are sure to follow.
The path to net zero embodied carbon will surely include various combinations of these
transition tracks. We offer five possibilities, as outlined in Table 1-1 and Figure 1-1. Many other
combinations are possible. We examine the potential for each track later in this paper.
4
Sequestration possibilities include the development of carbon capture and storage technology at
production facilities such as cement kilns. Product examples include Blue Planet, which is soon to be
commercially available but already performing very well in trials at the San Francisco airport. Blue
Planet captures emissions and turns them back into limestone aggregate for new concrete, heralding
the possibility of truly carbon-sequestering concrete. Technologies which incorporate organic matter
into stable inorganic matrices such as hempcrete also qualify.
4
Material
Electricity Production Offsets
Path ID Design Track Track Track Track
Table 1-1: Some Possible Combinations of Transition Tracks to Get to Zero Embodied Carbon
Figure 1-1: Some of the Possible Paths to Net Zero Embodied Carbon by 2050. Each bar
represents different combinations of the four available reduction tracks.
The first two paths in the table and figure include strong action in some but not all the tracks.
The third path represents strong action in all three tracks, but without sequestration, and
therefore leans on offsets to make up the difference. The fourth path is the most desirable:
strong action on all tracks as well as sequestration to compensate for remaining emissions
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rather than offsets. The final path represents the business-as-usual scenario, where emissions
continue to drop at a slow rate, necessitating major investments in offsets to get to net zero.
To plot a route to net zero embodied carbon, we must understand where the opportunities lie.
We used public information from the U.S. Census Bureau5 and the U.S. Energy Information
Administration’s Commercial Buildings Energy Consumption Survey (CBECS)6 to estimate the
proportion of construction in the commercial and residential sectors by structural frame type, as
shown in Figure 1-2. The data shows that about two-thirds of new construction is in the
residential sector and one-third in the commercial sector. Residential construction is dominated
by wood-framed single-family homes. Most commercial construction is steel- and concrete-
framed.
Figure 1-2: Annual New Construction in the United States by Building Type and Type of
Structural Frame
5
U.S. Census Bureau, New Residential Construction, 2017
https://www.census.gov/construction/nrc/index.html.
6
U.S. Energy Information Administration, Commercial Buildings Energy Consumption Survey, 2012
https://www.eia.gov/consumption/commercial/.
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“...about two-thirds of new construction is in the residential
sector and one-third in the commercial sector.”
We estimated the U.S. consumption of the primary structural materials—concrete, steel, and
wood—in building construction using data from the American Institute of Steel Construction,7
the National Ready Mix Concrete Association,8 and the Forest Products Lab.9 Using information
from industry-average Environmental Product Declarations (EPDs), we estimated the carbon
emissions associated with these materials, as shown in Figure 1-3. Unlike Figure 1-2 which is
by framing type, Figure 1-3 includes all concrete whether the building is steel-framed, wood-
framed, or concrete-framed, including concrete foundations and floors. (It bears noting that
almost all new buildings use at least some wood, steel, and concrete; we designate them as
wood, concrete, or steel structures based on which material predominates in the structural
system.) We see that the emissions associated with concrete, even without including plant-
mixed precast concrete and steel reinforcement, account for over three-quarters of the total
emissions associated with these three materials. Although most single-family homes are
constructed with wood framing, the contribution of wood to carbon emissions is small relative to
the emissions associated with concrete in these structures.10 The carbon emissions from
residential construction exceed the emissions from commercial construction. Although structural
engineers play a limited role in most residential construction projects, this sector must be
addressed.
7
American Institute of Steel Construction, Structural Steel: An Industry Overview, August, 2018.
8
National Ready Mixed Concrete Association, Historical US Ready Mixed Concrete Production,
unpublished, provided 14 March 2019.
9
United States Department of Agriculture, Forest Products Laboratory, U.S. Forest Products Annual
Market Review and Prospects, 2013–2017, Research Note FPL–RN–0348, July 2017.
10
The wood EPDs that are the data source for this assessment treat biogenic carbon emissions as
carbon neutral.
7
Figure 1-3: Annual CO2e Emissions Associated with Structural Materials Used in New
Construction in the United States by Building Sector
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2: Reduced Carbon Footprint through Design
Designers have the most control over reducing the embodied carbon of the buildings they
design. This section provides a roadmap of different measures that designers can use to reduce
the embodied carbon intensity of buildings. This section briefly introduces strategies, leaving it
to the structural engineer and design team to determine which are best employed for their
project. More comprehensive discussions of each of these strategies are included in the Whole
Building LCA Practice Guide11 published previously by the committee.
Design Optimization
Design teams can optimize their designs to reduce their structures’ embodied carbon. Many
design strategies exist, such as optimizing column grid layout and beam spacing to minimize
the total weight of materials used. Material quantity reduction strategies are often building and
architecture specific, yet general principles apply for different materials. Some strategies for
reducing material quantities for the three main structural materials follow:
Steel: Utilize composite design, braced frames instead of moment frames, long-
span deck systems to eliminate intermediate framing, and/or lightweight concrete
to reduce the weight of the structure. Also, the use of optimized element sizes
rather than keeping all elements of similar size, can reduce steel tonnage even
though this may not be the least expensive option.
Wood: Optimize framing from a value engineering perspective to reduce the total
volume of wood. These techniques, often described as “Optimum Value
Engineering” or “Advanced Framing,” include incorporating single top plates, 24-
inch stud spacing, eliminating headers in non-load-bearing walls, and using two
studs at corners. Further information is available at the APA website12 and
elsewhere.
11
Yang, F. (Ed.). (2018). Whole Building Life Cycle Assessment: Reference Building Structure and
Strategies. American Society of Civil Engineers. Access at: https://doi.org/10.1061/9780784415054
12
https://www.apawood.org/advanced-framing
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concrete, as well as the reinforcing bars. If reinforcement is required, use
partially-grouted masonry walls over fully-grouted.
These savings can be evaluated using LCA. The reader is referred to the WBLCA Practice
Guide produced by the SEI Sustainability Committee previously referenced.
Supporting Research
Kaethner & Burridge (2012) studied three commercial building types from cradle-to-site using
alternative structural systems (steel-framed, concrete-framed, and long-span) and found that
no particular structural system was consistently the lowest in embodied carbon. The margin of
uncertainty due to variability in material impact factors was greater than any advantage between
structural materials. However, once a structural system was chosen, Kaethner & Burridge found
that there was significant opportunity for embodied carbon reduction through careful
specification and efficient design. Kaethner & Burridge found that the embodied carbon of the
building’s structure was more than half the embodied carbon of the entire building and that
adding a long-span scheme added about 10% to the whole building impact.
Research shows that there is a large opportunity to reduce embodied carbon by increasing the
efficiency of steel design. Moynihan & Allwood (2014) found in a study of 23 steel buildings
with more than 1,000 steel beams that the average beam utilization was below 50%. Repetition
across floor plates eases the design and fabrication burden; Moynihan & Allwood found that in
the buildings studied, 5 beam sizes accounted for more than 75% of the beams in the floor
plates, suggesting many buildings are designed based on worst-case loading. Thirion (2012)
explored the reduction in embodied carbon possible if a steel cross section is varied along its
length and found the potential reduction is up to 30%. Thirion acknowledges, however, that a
large portion of this reduction is due to the overdesign of steel beams, similar to Moynihan &
Allwood’s findings. When design and fabrication costs are factored in, it is likely that varying
the cross section of a beam over its length is not cost-effective and that most of the reduction
can be realized by designing beams closer to their ultimate strength.
Advanced design techniques can also lead to reductions in structural material and thus
embodied carbon emissions. Topology design is a computational mathematical method that
finds an optimal solution based upon loads and boundary conditions. One case where topology
optimization has been used to reduce structural material use is in post-tensioned concrete.
Avelino and colleagues (2018)13 used topology optimization to inform the layout of the post-
tensioning and optimized for gravity loads and geometry. In contrast to a typical orthogonal grid
of post tensioning, “wave-shaped” post tensioning led to reductions in slab material of up to
35%. While using topology requires more design time, it has the potential to significantly reduce
the amount of structure required for buildings, thus reducing the embodied carbon of the built
environment.
13
Avelino, R. M., Shook, D., Beghini, A., Long, E., & Sarkisian, M. (2018, July). Efficient flat-slab post-
tensioning layouts guided by Topology Optimization. In Proceedings of IASS Annual Symposia (Vol.
2018, No. 3, pp. 1-8). International Association for Shell and Spatial Structures (IASS).
10
Another design strategy that engineers may employ to optimize their designs is performance-
based design (PBD). PBD approaches can result in more efficient designs than designs based
on prescriptive requirements. See the discussion under “Design for Resilience” below.
Material Specifications
Concrete: Material specifications can have a profound impact on the embodied carbon of a
structure. In concrete, cement is the primary contributor to emissions. Several strategies can
reduce these emissions. The most effective means of specifying low-embodied carbon
concretes is to reduce the amount of cement in a mix design. Depending upon the performance
requirements, material suppliers can work with structural engineers to reduce the cement
intensity of concrete without the need for any additional materials. For example, specifying a
56-day or even 112-day compressive strength rather than 28-day compressive strength will lead
to significant reductions in cement intensities; designers should give the concrete all the time to
cure that the project schedule allows. Another common method of cement reduction is to replace
cement with supplementary cementitious materials (SCMs), such as fly ash or slag. Over 40%
cement replacement can be achieved. Engineers should engage material suppliers to discuss
mix designs rather than specifying target SCM replacements to ensure that strength objectives
are met but not unnecessarily exceeded.
14
Miley, Nicholas et. al. Embodied Carbon Impacts of California Concrete Mix Designs. In the 2019
SEAOC Convention Proceedings (pp 486-495). Squaw Creek, CA
(https://www.seaoc.org/store/ViewProduct.aspx?ID=14829558).
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Figure 2-1: GWP of concrete mixes relative to strength
The data from the SEAOC study was used to inform the concrete GWP limits set in the new
Bay Area Low-Carbon Concrete Code, intended to serve as the basis of low-carbon concrete
codes across North America. More information on this project, including template low-carbon
concrete specification language for residential and commercial projects, is available at
https://www.marincounty.org/depts/cd/divisions/sustainability/low-carbon-concrete-project.
While cement is the largest contributor to the embodied carbon of concrete mixes, there are
other technologies that can be specified to reduce concrete’s embodied carbon. One technology
uses accelerated carbonation of fresh-state concrete to slightly increase the strength, which
reduces the cement quantities needed. Modest reductions in embodied carbon of up to 5% can
be achieved. Another technology captures CO2 to create synthetic aggregates which can
replace traditional aggregates in concrete. Still in early stages of development, this carbon
capture and storage technology holds promise to not just reduce the embodied carbon of
concrete, but to go so far as to make it a new absorber of emissions. For more information see
Section 1 of this white paper.
Low-alkali cement is used fairly commonly, particularly in western North America, to address
the potential for alkali-aggregate reactions (AAR). However, the production of low-alkali cement
comes with a greater carbon footprint. Gases and particulates containing alkali metals are
released from the kiln, creating greater amounts of cement kiln dust (CKD), which reduces the
amount of clinker that is produced. Thus, for the same energy input to the kiln, less cement is
produced, so the cement that is produced has a greater embodied carbon content per ton.
Engineers should consider whether standard portland cement may be an option, particularly in
cases where the concrete will remain dry, resulting in a lesser risk for developing AAR.
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Steel: When specifying steel sections, considering the source of steel sections can lead to
embodied carbon reductions. While electric arc furnaces (EAF) typically have lower embodied
carbon than basic oxygen furnaces (BOF), care should be taken to ensure that reductions are
achieved. For example, specifying HSS sections sourced from EAFs rather than BOFs does not
always lead to embodied carbon reductions because HSS shapes are more efficient in
compression compared to wide-flange sections. Another strategy to consider is specifying high
strength steel, which would reduce overall steel tonnage while providing the same performance.
Wood: Forest management varies significantly across the US. The embodied carbon of wood
framing depends upon forest management practices, which is not well reflected in most Life
Cycle Inventory (LCI) data.15 Specifying wood from sustainably managed forests, such as those
certified by the Forest Stewardship Council (FSC), increases the likelihood that it has low or
even negative embodied carbon; transportation impacts must be considered since these can
be significant. Additionally, specifying grade stamps on all wood members can help for future
retrofitting and salvaging of materials, contributing to a circular economy in the built
environment.
Masonry: Specify the use of 20% to 30% supplementary cementitious materials to offset
portland cement in concrete blocks. Many manufacturing plants can provide low-cement units
with properties similar to normal units, for little or no increase in price. Specifying lightweight
blocks results in lower carbon emissions from transportation. Finally specifying strength-based
grout rather than proportion-based usually reduces the amount of portland cement required,
and the corresponding carbon footprint, by as much as 33%.16
Conclusion: Given the prevalence of concrete in structures and the opportunities for embodied
carbon reductions, we estimate that material specification strategies could reduce the embodied
carbon in structures by 10% to 25% relative to current practice.
15
Beverly Elizabeth Law and Mark E Harmon, “Forest sector carbon management, measurement and
verification, and discussion of policy related to climate change,” Carbon Management (2011) 2(1), 73–
84.
16
SEI Sustainability Committee member James D’Aloisio did an informal study on proportion-based vs.
performance-based grout mixes a few years ago. A typical proportion-based grout mix design has
about 820 pounds of cement per cubic yard of grout. Mr. D’Aloisio reasons that reducing this cement
content by 33% to 549 pounds per cubic yard would certainly provide 2,500 psi strength.
13
Design for Resilience
Introduction
The link between resilience and embodied carbon has been discussed in previous
documents,17,18 but the implementation into calculations has been less developed than separate
LCA or resilience-based assessment tools.19 Much of the focus of the link between damage and
embodied carbon has been related to seismic events, so this section will focus predominantly
on earthquake damage. Note that other disasters (wildfires, hurricanes, etc.) could utilize a
similar methodology. Because hazards are location-specific, the guidelines for any resilience-
carbon design vary by region and many buildings may not find any benefits from this type of
design strategy.
Procedure
The calculation of embodied carbon associated with seismic design requires the probabilistic
assessment of damage during the service life of a building. In simplified terms, this would
include calculating a “repair embodied carbon” associated with the materials and construction
associated with the repair (or replacement) of a structure during its service life. This repair could
include construction work on structural materials and of non-structural components, such as
partition walls, exterior cladding, and floor finishes, that suffered damage during an earthquake.
Additionally, the repair scope needs to include elements that may not have suffered damage
but would need to be replaced to access damaged components (e.g., floor finishes over cracked
slabs and ceilings covering damaged moment frame connections). All of the components of the
repair would then be assessed for global warming potential in a similar procedure to a typical
new building LCA. FEMA P-58 provides a methodology for completing this type of integrating
study using its PACT tool, based on material quantity and GWP assigned to each component
repair in the P-58 assessment.20
Limitations
The procedure to assess and design for embodied carbon seismic damage poses a number of
challenges. Most critically, the procedure requires an assessment over a prescribed building
service life and needs to include considerations for when the seismic event occurs. That is, if a
building is assumed to have a 50-year service life and an earthquake causes near collapse of
that building a few years after construction, the carbon effects are great because effectively two
17
Rodriguez-Nikl, Tonatiuh et. al. (2015). “Disaster Resilience and Sustainability.” Accessed from:
https://sites.google.com/site/seisustainabilitycommittee/working-groups/disaster-resilience-white-paper
18
Souto-Martinez, A., Sutley, E.J, Liel, A.B, and Srubar, W.V III. “Embodied Carbon of Wood and
Reinforced Concrete Structures Under Chronic and Acute Hazards,” Chapter 4 of Embodied Carbon in
Buildings, ed. by F. Pomponi, C. De Wolf, and A. Moncaster, 2018.
19
Hasik, V., Chhabra, J.P.S., Warn, G.P., Bilec, M.M. “Review of approaches for integrating loss
estimation and life cycle assessment to assess impacts of seismic building damage and repair,”
Engineering Structures, Volume 175, 15 November 2018, Pages 123-137.
20
FEMA (2018), FEMA P-58-4 Seismic Performance Assessment of Buildings, Volume 4 -
Methodology for Assessing Environmental Impacts.
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full structures need to be constructed to serve the same programmatic goal. However, if the
earthquake occurs near the end of the service life, the embodied carbon effects of that damage
are nearly zero. Furthermore, one could argue that the building material advancements during
the service life would mean that the carbon associated with that future repair is much lower than
today’s construction. Including these probabilistic assessments at different time frames
complicates this procedure.
Additionally, to truly grasp the embodied carbon improvements of a resilient design (and use it
as a strategy to “get to zero”), the LCA methodology of all buildings should include a probabilistic
future damage component so that realistic reductions can be calculated. This discussion raises
a larger question of the scope of LCA in general, because the assessment does not include
building performance during its service life; an LCA only includes the construction and possibly
demolition with no considerations in between.
Studies
Huang and Simonen21 completed studies of multiple buildings in seismic zones and used the
P-58 PACT tool to quantify the embodied carbon associated with repair of structural materials
and with exterior cladding, floor finishes, partitions and HVAC systems. These studies suggest
that the embodied carbon benefits of resilient design may eventually prove to be more beneficial
for non-structural components. The embodied carbon of non-structural components is a key
aspect of sustainable building design but is not fully covered in this document.
Design Strategies
For conventional structural systems, the calculation of embodied carbon in relation to resilient
design can be complicated. For example, a more ductile system may reduce the probability of
collapse and thus reduce the risk of carbon associated with demolition and replacement.
However, that more ductile structure would likely see larger seismic drifts during a smaller event
and may result in more damage to non-structural components. On the other hand, increasing
the stiffness of a lateral system may both reduce risk of collapse and reduce seismic drifts but
may require an upfront investment in structural material and associated carbon.
For seismic design, strategies that both reduce design seismic demands and provide for better
future performance have the most benefit for reducing embodied carbon. For example, seismic
21
Huang, M. & Simonen, K. (2019) “Comparative Environmental Analysis of Seismic Damage in
Buildings.” Journal of Structural Engineering, Vol. 146, Issue 2.
22
Welsh-Huggins, Sarah J. and Abbie B. Liel. “Is a Stronger Building also Greener? Influence of
Seismic Design Decisions on Building Life-Cycle Economic and Environmental Impacts.” (2016).
15
isolation or damping systems can reduce superstructure seismic demands in the design stage,
leading to an immediate reduction in materials. Additionally, the reduced drifts and/or floor
accelerations of these systems in a seismic event would lead to less damage in an earthquake,
and the repair carbon could be demonstrated to be reduced as well. Sarkisian et al23 showed a
reduction of 15% to 20% embodied carbon for a residential building in San Francisco accounting
for damage and repair from seismic events over a 50-year life-span, when comparing a fixed
base to isolated structure.
Scope
The resilient design strategies that lead to greater reductions in carbon may need to be on a
larger scale and governed more by policy than on individual building decisions. Examples
include project sites, where policies limiting construction of buildings in flood-prone or fire-prone
areas could lead to an overall reduction in a community’s repair embodied carbon. On the
structural side, reductions in lateral forces from developments of codes and analysis methods
could provide material savings.
Conclusion
There are definite ties between resilient design and embodied carbon, but the method of
calculation and accounting is not fully defined when making comparisons. One possibility is to
include a type of embodied carbon credit system for projects that can demonstrate a reduction
of probabilistic embodied carbon over a building’s life span as compared to a baseline building
which would allow for a reduced amount of carbon offsets.
Since resilience needs to be considered on a community scale, the carbon effects of resilient
design strategies should be considered on this larger scale as well. After a large earthquake or
other disaster, there is a great amount of waste and pollution created and power generated from
inefficient sources as the city gets back to functionality. The environmental impacts of these
types of immediate shocks should be considered and decisions can be made at the community
scale of which buildings and infrastructure should look at enhanced recovery-based design
strategies to both limit environmental impacts and best shelter, protect and assist the community
residents immediately after a disaster.
23
Sarkisian, Mark et. al. (2018) “Developing a Basis for Design – Embodied Carbon in Structures”
Proceedings from IABSE Conference – Structural Engineering: Providing Solutions to Global
Challenges.
16
Conclusion: Since research in this strategy is on-going, we do not have the basis at this time to
estimate the potential contribution of this strategy to embodied carbon reduction by 2050.
Modular Construction
Prefabricating structural assemblies in factories has been shown to reduce the carbon
emissions from the construction cycle, in addition to providing economic and quality benefits.25
This is especially true of wood-framed wall panels and has been widely practiced in recent
construction of four to six-story “podium”-style multifamily residential buildings. The reductions
result from less field labor travel to and from construction sites, as well as reduction in the
volume of waste material.
Conclusion: We estimate that improved construction waste strategies could reduce embodied
carbon in building structures by 5% to 10% relative to current practice.
In order to determine whether building retrofit or new construction is more advantageous for a
specific project, a life cycle assessment for each option should be carried out. There are two
main reasons for this; new construction often is more energy efficient than retrofitted existing
construction and existing building retrofits often come with renovations and building upgrades.
It is important to understand the environmental impacts of each of these options, which life cycle
assessment can measure.
24
Monahan, J., & Powell, J. C. (2011). An embodied carbon and energy analysis of modern methods of
construction in housing: A case study using a lifecycle assessment framework. Energy and Buildings,
43(1), 179-188.
25
Quale, J., Eckelman, M.J., Williams, K.W., Sloditskie, G., and Zimmerman, J.B., “Construction
Matters: Comparing Environmental Impacts of Building Modular and Conventional Homes in the United
States,” Journal of Industrial Ecology, Vol. 16, Issue 2, April 2012.
17
Preservation Green Lab (PGL) published a study in 2011, The Greenest Building: Quantifying
the Environmental Value of Building Reuse, which thoroughly compares and documents the
total carbon footprint of building reuse vs.new construction through seven case studies in four
cities. Details of the study are available on the organization’s website.
For its base case, PGL assumed that both the reuse and new construction options have equal
energy consumption. To evaluate the possibility that the new construction options may be more
energy efficient than the reuse options, PGL also compared the reuse vs. new cases assuming
30% less energy use in new buildings. While PGL used a 75-year time-frame for its base case,
it also looked at time-frames ranging from 1 to 100 years.
The results of the PGL show that the net embodied carbon associated with new vs. reuse
options varies widely depending upon the use-phase energy consumption assumptions. In the
baseline case, where the energy consumption is assumed equal, the 50-year CO2 impacts are
12% to 17% less for the reuse option. In the case where the new building is 30% more energy
efficient, the 50-year CO2 impacts are 1% to 12% less than the new options. Over a 75-year
lifetime, the 30% more energy efficient new buildings have carbon footprints that are 5% to 16%
less than the retrofitted buildings. Over the critical 30-year time period leading to 2050, the
retrofitted office building in Chicago performs about 18% better than the newly constructed
building assuming equal use-phase energy performance, whereas the new construction with
30% better energy performance has a 4% lower embodied carbon after 30 years than the retrofit
option.
The PGL study shows that over a 30-year life cycle, retrofitting existing buildings can
significantly reduce carbon emissions compared to replacing them, as long as the two options
have similar use-phase energy performance. However, retrofits must address energy
performance, since even over a 30-year time-frame more energy efficient new construction can
offset the initial embodied carbon associated with construction.
Prior to the publication of the PGL study, two other studies using life cycle assessment tools to
compare new construction to retrofitted existing buildings were published. The British Empty
Homes Agency published a study in 2008 comparing the global warming impact of three
refurbished homes over a 50-year time period. Based on actual projects with real bills of
material, the retrofitted buildings performed marginally better than the new construction (~3%)
over the 50-year time period and marginally worse (4%) over the 75-year time period. The
results of this study demonstrate that while the reuse buildings use more energy per square foot
per year (an average of 2.76 vs. 2.23 kg/sf/yr), the embodied impacts are so much lower that at
the end of the 50-year or even the 75-year time-frames the differences in total emissions are
small. On the 30-year return, the retrofitted existing building has about a 14% lower carbon
footprint than the newly constructed building.
Similarly, in 2009, the Athena Sustainable Materials Institute (ASMI) published a study for Parks
Canada comparing the energy use and carbon emissions of four real buildings to the impacts
of demolishing the existing buildings and constructing similar buildings in their place. This study
18
did not attempt to quantify the embodied impacts associated with renovating the existing
buildings. Even without including the embodied footprint of renovation, only one of the existing
buildings performed better than the newly constructed building; in the other three cases, the
new construction had a lower carbon footprint. Looking at a 30-year time-frame, the retrofitted
buildings averaged about an 8% lower carbon footprint.
In summary, studies show that building reuse can significantly reduce embodied carbon
compared to new construction, especially when the retrofits address energy performance. This
conclusion is even more decisive when considering the time-value of carbon emissions, since
the up-front emissions associated with the construction of a building have a greater effect when
considering the 30-year period leading to 2050 than those associated with later use-phase
emissions.
Conclusion: We estimate that building reuse could reduce embodied carbon in building
structures by 5% to 15% relative to current practice. Retrofits must also address building energy
performance to maximize reductions in carbon emissions over the building life.
Salvaged materials incur transport and sometimes refabrication impacts, but these impacts are
commonly 10% or less of the impact of new materials. Where salvaged materials are used in
place of new materials, therefore, embodied carbon reductions of 80% to 90% are feasible.
Conclusion: Since the supply of salvaged materials is limited, we estimate that using salvaged
materials could reduce embodied carbon in building structures by 5% to 10% relative to current
practice.
19
Much of the mass of wood is carbon, which originated from the CO2 molecules that were
absorbed by the tree during its lifetime. However, timber harvesting generally reduces both the
stored carbon in the forest and the ability of the forest to absorb atmospheric carbon, which can
take many years to recover, even when saplings are planted for each tree felled. Forest
management impacts vary widely, from clear-cutting to Forestry Stewardship Council-certified
practices. Other agricultural products such as straw and hemp made into building materials
store carbon in the near-term because of their shorter annual growing cycle. In any case, if
biogenic carbon is included in a project's carbon tally it should be offset by the products’ end-
of-life impacts, since the carbon will only be stored for the service life of the material.
Use of alternative structural systems should be supported using project-specific whole building
LCA as buildings using low-embodied carbon materials for the structural system do not
necessarily have lower embodied carbon than those using higher embodied carbon materials.
Wood sourced from sustainably managed forests is more likely to have lower embodied carbon
than wood sourced from conventionally managed forests. It is possible that the use of wood
products from well-managed forestry practices can result in an overall negative carbon impact-
-a material that absorbs more atmospheric CO2 that it emits during its overall service life.
We also note that data sources vary in how they account for environmental impacts.26 Thus,
when evaluating alternatives, it is recommended that the designer compare structural systems
using a single source of LCA data.
Many LCA studies of alternative structural systems show the potential benefits of considering
alternate structural materials and systems. For four buildings ranging in height from 3 to 21
stories, Skullestad et al. found reductions in GHG emissions of 34% to 84% by substituting steel
and concrete with timber. The large range in reductions is due to the range of building heights
and methodological assumptions.27 Further, Pierobon et al. conducted an LCA-based
comparative study of prototype commercial mid-rise office buildings made of mass timber with
a baseline concrete building and found that the GWP of the wood prototype buildings ranged
from 394 to 405 kg CO2e/m2 while the GWP of the concrete baseline building was estimated at
530 kg CO2e/m2.28
An LCA conducted by MOSO in cooperation with INBAR and Delft University of Technology29
found that the lifecycle of bamboo beams is CO2e negative. One way bamboo beams are
26
Stringer, Megan, & Comber, Matthew. Differences in Embodied Carbon Assessments of Structural
Systems. In the 2015 SEAOC Convention Proceedings (pp 131-141). Seattle, WA.
27
Skullestad, Julie Lyslo; Bohne, Rolf Andre; and Lohne, Jardar. (2016). High- Rise Timber Buildings
as a Climate Change Mitigation Measure - A Comparative LCA of Structural System Alternatives.
28
Pierobon, F., Huang, M., Simonen, K., Ganguly, I. Environmental benefits of using hybrid CLT
structure in midrise non-residential construction: An LCA based comparative case study in the U.S.
Pacific Northwest. Journal of Building Engineering.
29
Vogtlander, J. G., & van der Lugt, P. (2015). The Environmental Impact of Industrial Bamboo
Products: Life-Cycle Assessment and Carbon Sequestration. 2nd Ed., Beijing, China. The International
Network for Bamboo and Rattan.
20
produced is by placing rough bamboo strips in resin and compressing them into molds to form
high-density beams. A carbon negative material means that carbon dioxide was removed from
the atmosphere rather than releasing or offsetting CO2 released during the life cycle of the
material. Attributes of bamboo that help achieve making it a carbon negative material in the LCA
study are carbon sequestration during growth and the assumption that 90% of the bamboo
would be burned in an electrical power plant to generate electricity or heat. Although the carbon
sequestered during the growth of the bamboo is released back into the atmosphere when
burned, the authors state that the burning of bamboo is replacing the need to use fossil fuels to
produce electricity and heat, thus providing bamboo a ‘carbon credit.’
The burning of wood/garbage to produce electricity and heat is common in Europe, where the
LCA study took place, however in other parts of the world, like North America, energy production
from the burning of garbage or organic material does not make up a large percent of total energy
consumed to make electricity.
Most bamboo is sourced from Asia, and therefore it is essential to consider the CO2 used for
transporting material to the manufacturing plant where bamboo beams are produced and to the
construction site they are utilized.
Another critical aspect of the life-cycle analysis of bamboo is whether it was harvested from a
plantation or forest where proper forest management is practiced. When there are no changes
in the area of forest versus the amount of bamboo consumed, there will be no carbon
sequestration.
When all of the parameters above are properly considered in a whole building LCA, bamboo
can be a feasible material even with its limited availability in North America and lower strength
properties, so long as transportation impacts are considered. Some potential structural
applications for bamboo are framing of non-structural interior partition walls and primarily
framing for single-story structures.
Robertson et al. also worked on quantifying and comparing the environmental impacts of
alternative structural systems.30 Using TRACI characterization of the USEPA, the authors found
that timber offered lower environmental impact in 10 out of 11 assessment categories. In fact,
they found that the Global Warming Potential for the timber-framed option was 71% lower than
its concrete counterpart.
Teshnizi et al. at the University of British Columbia, Vancouver compared the tallest timber
building (Brock Commons) to a concrete building (Cedar House) of the same scale.31 The Global
Warming Potential (GWP) of the wood-framed dormitory per square meter was found to be 25%
less than that of concrete.
30
Robertson Adam, et al. (2012). A Comparative Cradle-to-Gate Life Cycle Assessment of Mid-Rise
Office Building Construction Alternatives: Laminated Timber or Reinforced Concrete.
31
Teshnizi Zahra, et al. (2018). Lessons learnt from Life Cycle Assessment and Life Cycle Costing of
Two Residential Towers at the University of British Columbia.
21
Court et al. compared 8 different structural/seismic systems (two concrete, two masonry, two
steel, and two timber) for a prototype 5-story office building in Los Angeles, CA to assess the
relative environmental impacts of these functionally equivalent alternative designs.32 The study
focused on the structural systems in isolation and did not address the non-structural impacts or
operational impacts. For each structural/seismic system, the study used a building of the same
size and dimension, with the same column layout, core area layout, perimeter curtain wall
system, and equivalent floor quality in terms of sound-proofing and solidness. While for some
materials, this did not produce the most efficient structural designs, it was how the authors
decided to create functionally equivalent buildings. This study found that the timber buildings
generally had significantly less impact (on the order of 3 times less) than the steel buildings and
the steel buildings generally had less impact than the concrete and masonry buildings. While
this was the case for this particular study, no general conclusions should be made about which
material is the most environmentally efficient. It does however illustrate the importance of doing
an LCA early in design before the primary structural system has been chosen.
While using timber for a structure that is typically constructed out of concrete or steel will likely
have great environmental benefits, timber is not always the best material for a project. Project
goals and the pros and cons of any structural system should be considered in addition to the
structure's environmental impact. For example, Zeitz et al. found that for parking garages, timber
loses its advantages under best practices scenario when comparable garages use high cement
replacement and recycled steel.33
● Structural Insulated Panels (SIPs). While they are not appropriate for every project, SIPs
can if specified properly result in lower carbon emissions than a steel-framed or concrete
wall system.
● Straw bale. Straw bale structures, where appropriate and practical, can have a very low
carbon footprint, especially if lime-based parging is used instead of portland cement-
based parging.
● Insulated Concrete Forms (ICFs). ICFs can allow the use of high volume SCM (up to
50%) and minimal formwork and waste and can compare favorably to a standard wall
assembly including structure and similar-performing thermal envelope elements.
Other alternative systems commonly used in other countries, such as Autoclaved Aerated
Concrete and “Ziegel blocks,” may emerge in the U.S. as carbon-efficient construction systems.
We have not researched LCA studies comparing these options to “conventional” construction
techniques, so encourage designers to evaluate them on a case-by-case basis, as with any
substitute system proposal.
32
Court, Anthony B., Podesto, Lisa, and Harburg-Petrich, Patti. SEAOC LCA Study Comparing
Environmental Impacts of Structural Systems. In the 2013 SEAOC Convention Proceedings (pp 137-
153). San Diego, CA.
33
Zeitz, C.T. Griffin and P. Dusicka (2019). Comparing the embodied carbon and energy of a mass
timber structural system to typical steel and concrete alternatives for parking garages.SEAOC.
22
Conclusion: We estimate that structural system substitution could reduce embodied carbon in
building structures by 15% to 25% relative to current practice.
Additional Strategies
Refer to the previously cited Structural Materials and Global Climate and Sustainability
Guidelines for the Structural Engineer for additional design strategies for reducing embodied
carbon.
Table 2-1 summarizes our estimates of how much each design strategy could contribute to
achieving net zero embodied carbon of structural systems by 2050. These percentages are
multiplicative, not additive. If the design optimization strategy were fully maximized, the other
strategies would apply to the proportion of emissions remaining.
Potential Contribution to
Design Strategy Reaching Net Zero
23
3. Decarbonizing the Grid
The U.S. electrical grid is becoming increasingly carbon-free as renewable energy sources such
as solar, wind, and hydroelectric supplant fossil fuels. The decline of coal used for energy
production is also aiding the trend (Figure 3-1).
Figure 3-1: Historical and Project U.S. Electricity Generation (U.S. Energy Information
Administration, Annual Energy Outlook 2017 )
The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) projections in Figure 3-1 do not consider the
aggressive drive towards more renewable electricity generation by many states and
municipalities. For example:
● In September 2018 Gov. Jerry Brown of California signed a bill mandating 100% zero
emission electricity by 2045 and issued an executive order calling for statewide carbon
neutrality by the same year (https://www.npr.org/2018/09/10/646373423/california-
sets-goal-of-100-percent-renewable-electric-power-by-2045).
● The 2015 New York State Energy Plan targets 50% of its electricity sources to be
renewable by 2030, resulting in a 40% reduction in CO2e emissions from 1990 levels.
The plan calls for an 80% reduction in CO2e emissions by 2050.
(https://energyplan.ny.gov/Plans/2015.aspx).
● The 2008 Massachusetts Global Warming Solutions Act requires the state to reduce
its total GHG emissions by 80% by 2050 relative to 1990
(https://www.mass.gov/service-details/clean-energy-and-climate-plan-for-2020). The
state’s targets will require most electricity to be produced using zero-emission sources
by 2050.
24
Project Drawdown issued a report detailing the path to zero-emission electricity by 2050
(https://www.drawdown.org/solutions/electricity-generation), with utility scale on-shore wind
turbines and distributed solar hot water generation leading the way. Figure 3-2 summarizes
Project Drawdown’s findings regarding opportunities for carbon reductions.
How much would carbon-free electricity reduce the embodied carbon of structural materials?
AISC estimates that about 50% of the carbon emissions associated with EAF-produced rolled
shapes is attributable to electricity. Thus transitioning to carbon-free electricity would cut the
carbon footprint of EAF steel in half. If steel presently produced in BOFs shifts towards EAFs,
the embodied carbon footprint would be reduced by both the changes in production as well as
the changes to the grid, since the CO2e emissions associated with BOFs are higher than EAFs.
25
emits about 124 lb of CO2 per ton of cement. The EPD for portland cement reports a GWP of
1,040 kg CO2e/metric ton of cement, or about 2,080 lb/ton, so about 6% of the CO2e associated
with cement production is due to electricity consumption. Using cement as a proxy for concrete,
we estimate that electricity consumption contributes a similar percentage of the CO2e emissions
associated with concrete. The transition to a carbon-free electrical grid, in other words, will not
by itself result in a large reduction in the carbon emissions associated with concrete use.
Accounting for the relative total carbon emissions associated with all the structural steel,
concrete, and wood consumed in the United States (see the Introduction), we conclude that the
transition of the electrical grid to carbon-free sources would reduce the total emissions
associated with structural materials by only about 10%.
26
4. Manufacturing Improvements Reducing
Emissions
This section addresses concrete and steel production. Production improvements in structural
wood products are also likely, including forestry management practices and engineered wood
processes and adhesives, but are not addressed in this paper
Material manufacturers have been steadily reducing the unit carbon footprints of their products
over the past decades by incorporating more efficient manufacturing technologies. For example,
the carbon intensity of cement in the US has been reduced by 33% since 197534 and is expected
to decrease further by increasing thermal efficiencies, switching fuels, reducing the clinker-to-
cement ratios, and using carbon capture techniques35. Between 1990 and 1998, the energy
intensity of steel dropped 10% to 18 Mbtu per ton. Yet, the rate of reduction is slowing due to
the theoretical minimum energy required to produce steel (14 MBtu/ton)36. Reducing the carbon-
intensity of building materials is a key opportunity for the building sector to achieve zero
embodied carbon.
This carbon reduction track is somewhat outside of the building designer’s control. Yet, building
designers have the ability to create demand for lower carbon building products by specifying
them for their projects.
It is well known that portland cement manufacture contributes significant CO2e emissions to the
atmosphere. Recent estimates are that 7% of global CO2e emissions are due to the
manufacture of portland cement.37 It’s not true, however, that embodied CO2e emissions in
concrete are equal to those in portland cement. Portland cement is a grayish powder that serves
as the binder in concrete. By volume, cement is used in the smallest proportion of the four
primary components of concrete (water, cement, fine aggregate, and coarse aggregate), but it
typically contributes approximately 90 percent of the total CO2e emissions associated with the
concrete. For this reason, reductions in cement content in concrete is an important strategy in
reducing embodied carbon in concrete, as was discussed previously.
34
2007 Report on Sustainable Manufacturing, Portland Cement Association, Skokie, IL, 2007,
http://www.cement.org/smreport07/index.htm.
35
https://www.iea.org/newsroom/news/2018/april/cement-technology-roadmap-plots-path-to-cutting-
co2-emissions-24-by-2050.html
36
https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/41d0/b702c1e70f3677676a033d771bac7857b27b.pdf
37
IEA. (2018). Technology Roadmap—Low-Carbon Transition in the Cement Industry (p. 66).
International Energy Agency (https://webstore.iea.org/technology-roadmap-low-carbon-transition-in-the-
cement-industry).
27
To explain potential reductions in CO2e emissions from cement manufacturing, it is important to
first understand the sources of CO2e emissions. A detailed explanation of these processes are
included in Structural Materials and Global Climate.38 Cement requires energy to produce,
which generates some of the CO2e emissions. But CO2e emissions are also generated from
calcination, which is the process in which calcium carbonate is heated and broken down to
calcium oxide. The relative breakdown of CO2e emissions from the two different sources during
the cement manufacturing process are:
1. approximately 40% of the CO2e generated is due to the use of fossil fuels in the kiln, and
2. approximately 60% of the CO2e generated is due to calcination.
To bring about conditions sufficient to produce the chemical conversion of the raw materials into
clinker, the kilns must be heated to approximately 1450ºC in their hottest zones. The amount of
energy required to operate a cement kiln (and thus the amount of fuel that must be burned)
varies depending on the specific type of kiln that is used. Several advances have occurred in
cement kiln technology over the years that have improved energy efficiency significantly.
There are four main types of cement-production kilns used in the United States: wet, long dry,
dry with preheater, and dry with preheater and precalciner. The thermal energy required
between these four types of production can vary widely, with the dry with preheater and
precalciner kilns using 85% less thermal energy than wet kilns on average. Currently, about 93
percent of the cement produced in the United States is manufactured using dry process
technology, up from 75% in 1999.39
In order to generate such high temperatures in a kiln, energy is supplied through the burning of
fuel. The average energy input required to make one ton of cement is 4.4 million Btu—the
equivalent of about 389 pounds of coal.40 Coal is the primary fuel source burned for heating
cement kilns in the United States—about 12.6 million tons annually.41 Because the amount of
CO2e released during fuel burning will vary not only with fuel type but also with kiln type, it is
difficult to assess carbon emissions associated with fuel burning with a single number. However,
using average data, Van Oss and Padovani computed a value of 0.43 tons of CO2e emissions
38
Webster, Mark D., ed., Structural Materials and Global Climate: A Primer on Carbon Emissions for
Structural Engineers, American Society of Civil Engineers, Structural Engineering Institute, Carbon
Task Group, 2017 (https://ascelibrary.org/doi/book/10.1061/9780784414934).
39
Ernest Orlando Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL). (2008). Energy Efficiency
Improvement and Cost Saving Opportunities for Cement Making.
40
PCA. (2012). U.S. and Canadian Labor-Energy Input Survey 2012
41
PCA. (2019). PCA website <accessed March 20, 2019>
https://www.cement.org/structures/manufacturing/Cement-Industry-Overview
28
from fuel combustion per ton of clinker produced in the U.S.42 For cement composed of 95
percent clinker by weight, fuel combustion would generate 0.41 tons of CO2e per ton of cement.
To summarize, the two primary sources of carbon emissions in cement manufacturing are the
calcination of limestone and the burning of fuel. These result in roughly 0.48 and 0.41 tons,
respectively, of CO2e emissions per ton of cement produced. In total, approximately 0.89 tons
of CO2e are released for each ton of cement that is produced. Based upon data from the Cement
Sustainability Initiative, the total carbon footprint for cement ranges from approximately +50%
to -20% from average depending on manufacturing efficiency and fuel source.
The greatest opportunity for reducing energy use (and the resulting embodied carbon) in the
cement manufacturing process occurs when kilns are converted from wet to dry processes.
Switching away from coal and petroleum coke to natural gas may also prove a viable strategy
because the “CO2 emissions intensity of natural gas (kgCO2/GJ) is less than 60% of coal and
petroleum coke” (Hasanbeigi and Springer 2019).
One measure of the embodied carbon of cement is the clinker-to-cement ratio. In this
formulation, “cement” includes portland cement and other materials, such as SCMs, natural
pozzolans, calcined clay, limestone dust, and gypsum. Presently the global average clinker-to-
cement ratio is 65%. The IEA estimates that this ratio could drop to 60% by 2050, reducing the
42
van Oss, Hendrik G. and Padovani, A. (2003). "Cement and the environment; Part II—Environmental
challenges and opportunities." J. of Industrial Ecology 7, no. 1: 93-120.
29
process CO2 intensity of cement by 30%. China today leads the world with a clinker-to-cement
ratio of under 60%. In contrast, this figure is over 70% for the Americas.43
Low-Carbon Cement
Several lower-carbon cements are emerging in the marketplace in an effort to compete with
ordinary Type I portland cement. These different cements vary in carbon-reduction potentials,
availability, and commercial scalability.
Belitic clinker
Technology to create belitic cement is very similar to that of portland cement thus allowing it to
be produced in existing plants with little additional investment. Lower temperatures are required,
which reduces the amount of carbon dioxide released during production by about 10%.44
Because these types of cements are less reactive, their lower heat of hydration can be
advantageous in mass concrete applications. However, the potential CO2 savings of this type of
cement are also reduced due to its reduced reactivity.
Calcium sulfoaluminate (CSA) cement can also be produced with the same technology as
ordinary portland cement. Its reduced carbon footprint is due to its chemical composition. CSA
cement relies on less calcium (from limestone) in its primary reactive phase, which reduces the
kiln emissions from the decarbonization of limestone. Like Belitic clinker, firing temperatures are
also lower, and post processing (grinding) is easier, than for ordinary portland cement. These
unique characteristics lead to a potential CO2 savings of 20% to 30%.45 Challenges to adoption
of CSA cement are related to:
● Setting time: The setting time of CSA cement can be fast and variable, so they
are better suited to use in precast concrete applications.
● Durability: There has been little research into the long-term durability of CSA
cement in various environments.
● Expense: The high-alumina raw materials, primarily bauxite, required for CSA
cement is expensive and less available. If all bauxite currently used for
aluminum production was used for CSA cement, only 15% of the current
cement demand could be met by CSA cement.46
43
IEA. (2018). Technology Roadmap—Low-Carbon Transition in the Cement Industry (p. 66).
International Energy Agency (https://webstore.iea.org/technology-roadmap-low-carbon-transition-in-the-
cement-industry).
44
Favier, Aurélie; Catherine De Wolf; Karen Scrivener; and Guillaume Habert. 2018. A sustainable
future for the European Cement and Concrete Industry. https://doi.org/10.3929/ethz-b-000301843.
45
Ibid.
46
Ibid.
30
Calcined Clay
Calcined clay can be substituted for clinker in ordinary portland cement production to reduce
the carbon footprint. The clay must be fired prior to use, but the energy required to do this is
much less than that required in a cement kiln. The calcined clay reduces the early age strengths
of concrete, compared to straight portland cement mixtures, but that low-early-age strength may
be offset with the addition of finely ground limestone.47
Low-lime calcium silicate cement (CSC) production uses less limestone and lower kiln
temperatures than OPC, “the carbon dioxide emissions at the cement kiln from 810 kg/t for OPC
to 565 kg/t for CSC.”48 During the curing process, CSC cures due to reaction with gaseous
carbon dioxide, which embodies up to 300 kg CO2/t of cement used in the concrete, instead of
water. However, there are several limitations to their use and applications are limited to
prefabricated products.49 Because the CSC reacts with CO2, elements must be thin enough for
the carbon dioxide to penetrate and small enough to fit into a special curing chamber. Also,
because of the reduced alkalinity of the matrix, convention steel reinforcement will not be
protected from corrosion as in a normal hydraulic cement matrix.
Alkali-activated binders
Alkali-activated binders, also known as geopolymers, are an alternative binding system that
does not contain any portland cement. Instead, the binders consist of precursors
(aluminosilicates) and alkaline activators. Common precursors include pozzolanic materials,
such as slag, fly ash, in addition to calcined clays. Alkali-activated binders have been used for
the past decades at scale in countries such as the US, Russia, and Australia. A notable project
which used alkali-activated binders in lieu of OPC is the Brisbane West Wellcamp Airport which
consisted of 40,000 cubic meters of concrete. While alkali-activated binders cover a wide variety
of binding systems, the environmental impacts have shown 40% to 80% reductions in CO2
emissions as compared to OPC.50
47
Hasanbeigi, Ali and Cecilia Springer. 2019. California’s Cement Industry: Failing the Climate
Challenge. Report for Global Efficiency Intelligence.
48
Jain, Seth and DeCristofaro. “Environmental impact and durability of carbonated calcium silicate
concrete.” Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers. http://dx.doi.org/10.1680/jcoma.17.00004
49
Favier, Aurélie; Catherine De Wolf; Karen Scrivener; and Guillaume Habert. 2018. A sustainable
future for the European Cement and Concrete Industry. https://doi.org/10.3929/ethz-b-000301843.
50
Provis, J. L. (2018). Alkali-activated materials. Cement and Concrete Research, 114, 40–48.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cemconres.2017.02.009
31
Carbon-sequestering aggregate
We conclude that there is little opportunity to further reduce the embodied carbon of
domestically produced OPC. However, the use of blended cements and cement substitutes
have the potential to reduce carbon dioxide emissions from the cement and concrete industries
by 30% by 2050. Experts predict that CSA and CSC cements have the greatest potential for
market penetration.51 Given the dominant contribution of concrete to structural system
emissions, we estimate that improvements in concrete production technologies could reduce
overall structural embodied carbon by 15% to 20% by 2050.
Structural Steel
While this section is focused on structural steel, many of the conclusions apply to steel
reinforcement and cold-formed steel as well.
Recent estimates are that 7% of global CO2e emissions (2.3Gt CO2 per year)52 are due to the
manufacture of steel. The primary cause for emissions is the energy needed for high-
temperature processes required in melting iron ore or rolling steel. Coal is also a large
contributor to the CO2 emissions as it fuels roughly 75% of global steel production energy.
Significant advancements have been made since the era of the open hearth in the early 1900’s
to improve efficiency by over 60% per ton over the last 50 years53. Improvements in technology
have come from using electric arc furnaces (EAF) rather than coal blast furnaces and
developing the chemical composition. Current manufacturing methods are transitioning to
energy optimized furnaces (EOF) and using a high percentage of scrap material in EAF
production. However, as demand for steel continues to grow, CO2 emissions are expected to
increase to 3.3Gt by 2050 under business as usual. Potential for improvement comes in the
51
Favier, Aurélie; Catherine De Wolf; Karen Scrivener; and Guillaume Habert. 2018. A sustainable
future for the European Cement and Concrete Industry. https://doi.org/10.3929/ethz-b-000301843.
52
Energy Transitions Commission (2018). Mission Possible, 41. http://www.energy-
transitions.org/sites/default/files/ETC_MissionPossible_FullReport.pdf
53
World Steel Association (2019). Steel’s Contribution to a Low Carbon Future..
https://www.worldsteel.org/publications/position-papers/steel-s-contribution-to-a-low-carbon-future.html
32
form of advancing carbon capture methods, using hydrogen as a reducing agent for iron ore,
and application of electrolysis in the reduction process. Improvements to CO2 through
electrification are highly dependent on a transition to renewables in the electric grid.
Steel is currently created in one of two ways: either new (virgin) steel is made from breaking
down iron ore or recycled steel is melted down and repurposed. Blast furnace-blast oxygen
furnace (BF-BOF) process is used to make over 95 percent of the world’s virgin steel. BF-BOF
production is a coal-powered process by which iron ore is reduced and melted at temperatures
around 1,200 °C.54 This is the largest contributor of CO2 emissions from steel manufacturing as
it takes four times as much energy to make virgin steel than recycled steel.
The remaining 5 percent of virgin steel is created through direct reduction of iron (DRI) followed
by smelting through an electric arc furnace (EAF). EAFs break down and recycle scrap steel.
It is much more efficient and environmentally friendly to produce steel using EAF rather than
BOF. However, availability of scrap steel is highly dependent on geographic location and a
history of steel production. Nearly all the steel in the US, where there is a healthy scrap market,
is made using EAFs. But due to varying stages of development and access to scrap metal,
countries are expected to transition to EOF at different times. China is an important example.
China, the largest producers of steel globally and significant contributors to global emissions,
produced 89 percent of its steel using BOFs55 as of 2015. A transition to recycled steel
production is essential to curb global emissions. At present, however, there is a concern that
there is insufficient scrap available to fully meet the demand for steel, especially in developing
economies. Furthermore, even as emissions due to virgin steel production plateau, recycled
steel demand is expected to double, causing a projected 30% increase in emissions.56
Research and pilot programs have begun for both BOF and EAF processes. The optimal route
for decarbonization will be different by location and determined by local electricity prices and
the local feasibility and cost of carbon capture and storage.
In locations where the BOF process is needed to produce virgin steel, innovative techniques
to optimize production for carbon capture and sequestration (CCS) are being developed.
HISarna and top gas recycling (TGR) are two ultra-low carbon dioxide steelmaking (ULCOS)
54
de Pee, A., et al (2018). Decarbonization of industrial sectors: the next frontier. McKinsey and
Company.
55
Vercammen, S., et al (2017). The growing importance of steel scrap in China. McKinsey and
Company.
56
WSA 2016, McKinsey Basic Materials Institute.
33
methods aiming to reduce CO2 by at least 50%. These lower emissions by reducing coal and
increased percentage of CO2 in exhaust so that it can be captured at a lower cost.
Neither top gas recycling or HISarna require altering existing plant processes. However, a
challenge of CCS is converting CO2 into useful chemicals consumes a lot of energy, resulting
in increased costs and strong demand for zero-carbon electricity.
Biofuel as feedstock can also reduce CO2 emissions in BOF steel production. Brazil has found
ways to reduce coal inputs to BOF by using charcoal. However, this has been found to reduce
efficiency by ~40%, requires small furnaces, and existing facilities functioning on coal cannot
be adapted.
The EAF process also plays a critical role in decarbonization. As more scrap material is
available, a transition is made to EAF. The primary carbon emitter is heating scrap steel in the
Direct Reduced Iron (DRI) process. Future developments aim to reduce CO2 by replacing
natural gas with biogas or hydrogen.60 This transition would not require a large retrofit. German
steelmaker, Thyssenkrupp, has done so successfully with hydrogen and state a target of
reducing CO2 by 20 percent as a result of the change.61
57
Tata Steel (n.d.). Sustainable in every sense.
https://www.tatasteeleurope.com/en/sustainability/hisarna
58
Satyendra (2019). Top Gas Recycling Blast Furnace Process. https://www.ispatguru.com/top-gas-
recycling-blast-furnace-process/
59
Perez-Fortez, M., et all (2014). CO2 Capture and Utilization in Cement and Iron and Steel Industries.
European Commission, Joint Research Centre, Institute for Energy and Transport
60
Vogl, V., Ahman, M., Nilsson, L. (2018). Assessment of hydrogen direct reduction for fossil-free
steelmaking. Journal of Cleaner Production, p 736-745.
61
Wettengel, J. (2019). Thyssenkrupp tests use of hydrogen in steel production to bring down
emissions. https://www.cleanenergywire.org/news/thyssenkrupp-tests-use-hydrogen-steel-production-
bring-down-emissions
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develop and implement this technology, but offers potential for 10% reduction in
greenhouse gas emissions for the country.62 Notably, this process is expected to come
at some cost premium. As such, researchers anticipate political policy to be a driving
risk factor for developing this technology and ensuring a market for “green” steel.
● Coke dry quenching (CDQ)63 is a heat recovery system to quench red hot coke from a
coke oven to a temperature appropriate for transportation. It is an energy saving
system in which, during the quenching process, sensible heat of the red hot coke is
recovered and utilized for power generation or as steam.
● Electrolysis is a process that extracts iron from ore using electricity rather than heat.
Advancements in chemistry, specifically inexpensive, nonconsumable anodes have
contributed to the viability of this process. MIT researcher, Donald Sadoway, suggests
30% more energy efficient than conventional methods.64 Reducing energy can result in
a cost savings in production as well as reduce carbon dioxide emissions by 10% when
clean electricity grid is used. This process is currently in practice for aluminum
production. However, this method would require redesign of existing blast furnace
facilities or construction of new facilities.
62
http://www.hybritdevelopment.com/
63
Steel Plantech (2015). Coke Dry Quenching (CDQ). https://steelplantech.com/product/cdq/
64
Ifran, U. (2013). Cleaner, Cheaper Way to Make Steel Uses Electricity. ClimateWire.
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5. Offsets for Remaining Emissions
Any remaining emissions that are not addressed by design improvements, decarbonization of
the grid, and advances in manufacturing may be addressed by purchasing offsets.
Carbon offsets are investments in actions that reduce carbon emissions. Offsets should pay
only for actions that would not take place without the support of the offsets, a concept known
as “additionality.”
Certified Emission Reductions (CERs) and Verified Emissions Reductions (VERs) are two forms
of carbon offsets with additionality. Both are accepted by the International Living Futures
Institute for its Zero Carbon Certification.65
CERs are issued by the United Nations’ Clean Development Mechanism (CDM), which was
established by the Kyoto Protocol. CERs cover emission reduction activities that also support
sustainable development in developing countries. Typical projects supported by CERs include:
● destruction of HFCs
● reduction of methane emissions
● renewable energy
● efficient cookstoves
VERs (sometimes known as “Voluntary Emission Reductions”) are third-party verified carbon
credits that are not recognized by the CDM. Certification standards include Verra’s Verified
Carbon Standard (VCS) Program (https://verra.org/project/vcs-program/) and the Gold
Standard program (https://www.goldstandard.org/) supported by WWF and many other non-
profit organizations. VERs are mostly generated by wind energy projects, REDD+ (Reduced
Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation) projects, and landfill methane projects.66
65
International Living Future Institute, Embodied Carbon Guidance: A Resource for Calculating and
Reducing Embodied Carbon, 18 December 2019.
66
Unlocking Potential: State of the Voluntary Carbon Markets 2017, Forest Trends’ Ecosystem
Marketplace, May 2017 (https://www.cbd.int/financial/2017docs/carbonmarket2017.pdf)
67
Nathanial Gronewold, “U.N. Panel Calls for Offsets to New Coal-Fired Plants to Be Suspended,”
Scientific American, July 11, 2011 (https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/un-panel-suspends-
offsets-new-coal-fired-plants/).
68
Stephen Lacey, “In The ‘Crazy’ World Of Carbon Finance, Coal Now Qualifies For Emission
Reduction Credits, ThinkProgress, September 19, 2012 (https://thinkprogress.org/in-the-crazy-world-of-
carbon-finance-coal-now-qualifies-for-emission-reduction-credits-a4c853ebb999/).
36
“It is always better to utilize all means of reducing
embodied carbon directly before turning to offsets.”
According to a carbon offset specialist we contacted in 2019, the current cost of carbon offsets
is in the range of $1.40 to $2.50 per metric ton of CO2, depending upon the size of the purchase.
The cost of offsetting the embodied carbon in a 10,000 square foot building with 80 pounds of
embodied carbon per square foot would therefore cost about $725 if the offsets cost
$2.00/metric ton. The specialist told us that the price of carbon offsets has been fairly constant
over the past decade and that the future price will depend on the capitalist forces of supply and
demand.
37
6. Acknowledgements
Thank you to the many authors and reviewers who contributed to this white paper.
The white paper was authored by members of the SEI Sustainability Committee’s Carbon
Working Group under the leadership of Mark D. Webster. Current and past Working Group
members who contributed are:
Many thanks as well to our outside reviewers who provided valuable comments and gave us
confidence that our work is valid and useful:
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