Descriptive Statistics

✁✂✄☎ ✆✂✝✞✟✞✠ ✡☛☞✌✍✝✎✟☛✞ ✏☛✄☎✌✍✝ ✑✝☎☞✍✂ ✏☛✄☎✌✍✝ ✒✓✝☎☞✍✂ ✔✕✖✕✗✖✕✖✘✖✙✚

✑☛✄✎ ✛✜✢✣ ✤✥✦✧★✩ ✪✫ ✯✰✱✰✱✲✱✳✱✰✴✵
✪✫✬✢★✥✩✪✫✭ ✜✢✮★✢
✆✂✝✞ ✶✤★✢✥✭★ N n ✴

✷ Xi ✻ Xi
i✸1 X1 ✾ X2 ✾ ... ✾ X n i✼1
✺ ✹ X✽ ✽
N n n
✆✂✿✟✝✞ ❀❁★ ❂✪✮✮✦★ ✤✥✦✧★ ❃ ✲
❁✥✦❄ ✥✢★ ❅★✦✜❆ ✥✫✮ ❁✥✦❄
✥✢★ ✥❅✜✤★
✆☛✿✂ ❀❁★ ✤✥✦✧★ ❆✪✣❁ ✣❁★ ✰
❂✜✩✣ ✥❇❇★✥✢✥✫✬★✩
❲ ❲
n
❈✝✄✟✝✞❉✂ ❀❁★ ✥✤★✢✥✭★ ✜❄ ✣❁★
2 1 N 2 2 ❚✰❯✴❱ ❳ ❚✰❯✴❱ ❳ ❚✲❯
❲ ❲ ❲
✩❊✧✥✢★✮ ✮★✤✪✥✣✪✜✫✩ ❋ ▲ ■ ●X i ❑ ▼❍ ❘◆ Xi P X❖ ✴❱ ❳ ❚✳❯✴❱ ❳ ❚✰✴❯✴❱
❅★✣❆★★✫ ✣❁★ ✤✥✦✧★✩ N i ❏1 2 i ❙1 ✮✪✤✪✮★✮ ❅❨ ❩ ✤✥✦✧★✩ ❬
✥✫✮ ✣❁★ ❂★✥✫
s ◗
✰✴❭❪❩ ❬ ✲✲❫✴
nP1
✑✎✝✞✿✝✄✿ ❀❁★ ✩❊✧✥✢★ ✢✜✜✣ ✜❄ 2 n ✛❊✧✥✢★ ✢✜✜✣ ✜❄ ✲✲❫✴ ❬
❞ ❢ ❡ 2
❴✂❵✟✝✎✟☛✞ ❛✥✢✪✥✫✬★✱ ✣❁✜✧✭❁✣ ✜❄ Xi X❤ ❩❫♠✳✴✴
❦❣ ✐
✥✩ ✣❁★ ❜✥✤★✢✥✭★❝
2 i❧1
✮★✤✪✥✣✪✜✫ ❄✢✜❂ ✣❁★ s❥ s ❥

❂★✥✫❫
n✐1
♥☛✂♦♦✟❉✟✂✞✎ ❀❁★ ✤✥✢✪✥✣✪✜✫ ✢★✦✥✣✪✤★ s ❩❫♠✳✴✴ ✮✪✤✪✮★✮ ❅❨ ✴ ❬
☛♦ ✣✜ ✣❁★ ✤✥✦✧★ ✜❄ ✣❁★ CV ♣ q❫✳✴✴✰
❈✝✄✟✝✎✟☛✞ ❂★✥✫ X
✆✟✞✟☎✌☎ ❀❁★ ❂✪✫✪❂✧❂ ✤✥✦✧★ ✰

✆✝✓✟☎✌☎ ❀❁★ ❂✥r✪❂✧❂ ✤✥✦✧★ ✰✴

s✝✞✠✂ t✥r✪❂✧❂ ❂✪✫✧✩ ✰✴ ❃ ✰ ❬ ✰❩

t✪✫✪❂✧❂

Probability Terms
✁✂✄☎ ✆✂✝✞✟✞✠ ✉☛✎✝✎✟☛✞ ✒✓✝☎☞✍✂✈ ✇①✂✂ ♦☛☛✎✞☛✎✂②
✡✄☛③✝③✟✍✟✎④ ⑤✜✢ ✥✫❨ ★✤★✫✣ ✶✱ ❇✢✜❅✥❅✪✦✪✣❨ ✪✩ ✢★❇✢★✩★✫✣★✮ ❆✪✣❁✪✫ q ⑥ ⑦ ⑥✰❫ ⑧⑨⑩ q❫❩

s✝✞✿☛☎ ✶ ❇✢✜✬★✩✩ ✦★✥✮✪✫✭ ✣✜ ✥✣ ✦★✥✩✣ ❶ ❇✜✩✩✪❅✦★ ✜✧✣✬✜❂★✩ ❆✪✣❁ ❷✜✦✦✪✫✭ ✥ ✮✪✬★

✒✓☞✂✄✟☎✂✞✎ ✧✫✬★✢✣✥✪✫✣❨ ✥✩ ✣✜ ❆❁✪✬❁ ❆✪✦✦ ✜✬✬✧✢❫
✒❵✂✞✎ ✶ ✩✧❅✩★✣ ✜❄ ✥✦✦ ❇✜✩✩✪❅✦★ ✜✧✣✬✜❂★✩ ✜❄ ✥✫ ★r❇★✢✪❂★✫✣❫ ❸✤★✫✣✩ ✶ ✥✫✮ ❹

❺✞✎✂✄①✂❉✎✟☛✞ ☛♦ ❻★✣ ✶ ✥✫✮ ❹ ❅★ ✣❆✜ ★✤★✫✣✩❫ ❀❁★✫ ✣❁★ ✪✫✣★✢✩★✬✣✪✜✫ ✜❄ ✣❁★ ✣❆✜ ❾❿➀ ❀❁★ ★✤★✫✣ ✣❁✥✣ ✥ ❶ ✥❇❇★✥✢✩
✒❵✂✞✎① ★✤★✫✣✩ ✪✩ ✣❁★ ★✤★✫✣ ✣❁✥✣ ❅✜✣❁ ✶ ✥✫✮ ❹ ✜✬✬✧✢ ❚✦✜✭✪✬✥✦ ✶❼❽❱❫
➁✞✟☛✞ ☛♦ ✒❵✂✞✎① ❀❁★ ✧✫✪✜✫ ✜❄ ✣❁★ ✣❆✜ ★✤★✫✣✩ ✪✩ ✣❁★ ★✤★✫✣ ✣❁✥✣ ✶ ✜✢ ❹ ❚✜✢ ❅✜✣❁❱ ❾➃➀ ❀❁★ ★✤★✫✣ ✣❁✥✣ ✥ ✰✱ ❶✱ ➄✱ ❩ ✜✢ ✴
✜✬✬✧✢✩ ❚✦✜✭✪✬✥✦ ➂❷❱❫ ✥❇❇★✥✢✩
♥☛☎☞✍✂☎✂✞✎ ❻★✣ ✶ ❅★ ✥✫ ★✤★✫✣❫ ❀❁★ ✬✜❂❇✦★❂★✫✣ ✜❄ ✶ ✪✩ ✣❁★ ★✤★✫✣ ✣❁✥✣ ✶ ✮✜★✩ ❀❁★ ★✤★✫✣ ✣❁✥✣ ✥✫ ✜✮✮ ✫✧❂❅★✢
A
✫✜✣ ✜✬✬✧✢ ❚✦✜✭✪✬✥✦ ❼➂❀❱❫ ✥❇❇★✥✢✩
✆✌✎✌✝✍✍④ ✶ ✥✫✮ ❹ ✥✢★ ✩✥✪✮ ✣✜ ❅★ ❂✧✣✧✥✦✦❨ ★r✬✦✧✩✪✤★ ✪❄ ✥✣ ❂✜✩✣ ✜✫★ ✜❄ ✣❁★ ✶ ✥✫✮ ❹ ✥✢★ ✫✜✣ ❂✧✣✧✥✦✦❨
✒✓❉✍✌①✟❵✂ ✒❵✂✞✎① ★✤★✫✣✩ ✶ ✥✫✮ ❹ ✬✥✫ ✜✬✬✧✢❫ ★r✬✦✧✩✪✤★ ❅★✬✥✧✩★ ✪❄ ✥ ❶ ✥❇❇★✥✢✩✱
❅✜✣❁ ✶ ✥✫✮ ❹ ✜✬✬✧✢
♥☛✍✍✂❉✎✟❵✂✍④ ✶ ✥✫✮ ❹ ✥✢★ ✩✥✪✮ ✣✜ ❅★ ✬✜✦✦★✬✣✪✤★✦❨ ★r❁✥✧✩✣✪✤★ ✪❄ ✥✣ ✦★✥✩✣ ✜✫★ ✜❄ ✶ ✥✫✮ ❹ ✥✢★ ✫✜✣ ✬✜✦✦★✬✣✪✤★✦❨
✒✓➅✝✌①✎✟❵✂ ✣❁★ ★✤★✫✣✩ ✶ ✜✢ ❹ ❂✧✩✣ ✜✬✬✧✢❫ ★r❁✥✧✩✣✪✤★ ❅★✬✥✧✩★ ✪❄ ✥ ✲
✒❵✂✞✎① ✥❇❇★✥✢✩✱ ✫★✪✣❁★✢ ✶ ✫✜✢ ❹ ✜✬✬✧✢
➆✝①✟❉ ➇✌✎❉☛☎✂① ❀❁★ ✩✪❂❇✦★ ✪✫✮★✬✜❂❇✜✩✥❅✦★ ❇✜✩✩✪❅✦★ ✢★✩✧✦✣✩ ✜❄ ✥✫ ★r❇★✢✪❂★✫✣❫ ❹✥✩✪✬ ✜✧✣✬✜❂★✩ ✰✱ ❶✱ ✲✱ ➄✱ ❩✱ ✥✫✮
➂✫★ ✥✫✮ ★r✥✬✣✦❨ ✜✫★ ✜❄ ✣❁★✩★ ✜✧✣✬✜❂★✩ ❂✧✩✣ ✜✬✬✧✢❫ ❀❁★ ✩★✣ ✜❄ ✴
❅✥✩✪✬ ✜✧✣✬✜❂★✩ ✪✩ ❂✧✣✧✥✦✦❨ ★r✬✦✧✩✪✤★ ✥✫✮ ✬✜✦✦★✬✣✪✤★✦❨
★r❁✥✧✩✣✪✤★❫
✑✝☎☞✍✂ ✑☞✝❉✂ ❀❁★ ✣✜✣✥✦✪✣❨ ✜❄ ❅✥✩✪✬ ✜✧✣✬✜❂★✩ ✜❄ ✥✫ ★r❇★✢✪❂★✫✣❫ ✯✰✱❶✱✲✱➄✱❩✱✴✵

➈ ❷✜✦✦ ✥ ❄✥✪✢ ✮✪★ ✜✫✬★❫ ❻★✣ ✶ ❅★ ✣❁★ ★✤★✫✣ ✥✫ ★✤★✫ ✫✧❂❅★✢ ✥❇❇★✥✢✩✱ ✦★✣ ❹ ❅★ ✣❁★ ★✤★✫✣ ✥ ✰✱ ❶ ✜✢ ❩ ✥❇❇★✥✢✩
Probability Rules
If events A and B are mutually ✁✂✄☎✆✝✞✟✁ If events A and B are NOT mutually ✁✂✄☎✆✝✞✟✁

✓☛✡✏✔ ✕✡✖✖✔

✠✡☛☞ ✌✍✎✏✑✒ ✠✡☛☞ ✌✍✎✏✑✒

✗✘✙✚✛ ✗✘✙✚ ✗✘✙✚✛ ✗✘✙✚

✗✘ A ✚✛ ✜ ✢ ✗✘✙✚ ✗✘ A ✚✛ ✜ ✢ ✗✘✙✚

✗✘✙✚ ✦ ✗✘✤✚

✗✘✙✣✤✚✛ ✥ ✗✘✙✣✤✚✛ ✧★✩✪ ✫✬ ✭ ✮★✯

✰ ✮✱✲
✫★✯✲✳✲★✯✲★✴

✗✘✙✵✤✚✛ ✗✘✙✚ ✶ ✗✘✤✚ ✗✘✙✵✤✚✛ ✗✘✙✚ ✶ ✗✘✤✚

✷ ✗✘✙✣✤✚

✗✘✙✸✤✚✛ P❍ A ▲ B■
General probability rules▼
P ❏ B❑
✹ Bayes'
1) ◆❖ P◗❘❙❚❯ ❱ P◗❘❯❲ ❳❨❩❬ ❭ ❪❬❫ ❴ ❪❵❩ ❛❜❝❞❡❞❜❝❞❜❢
Law✺ ✻✼✽
❞❣❞❜❢❤✐ ❥❖❦❵ ❩❧❪♠♥♦❩❲ ❵❦♦♦♣❬q ❫♣r❩ ❦❬❩ ❪❖❳❩❵ ❳❨❩ ❦❳❨❩❵st
✾✿❀❁❂ ❃❄❅❆❇

❈✾❉❈ ❊

2) ◆❖ ❳❨❩❵❩ ❪❵❩ ✉ ♥❦✈✈♣✇♦❩ ❦①❳r❦♠❩✈ ②❨♣r❨ ❪❵❩ ❩③①❪♦♦④ ✾✿❀❁❂❋●

♦♣⑤❩♦④ ❳❦ ❦rr①❵▼
⑧ ✗✘✙✣✤✚ ✛ ✗✘✙✸✤✚ ✦ ✗✘✤✚
⑥❥❦①❳r❦♠❩ ♣ ❦rr①❵✈s ⑦ ❖❦❵ ❩❪r❨ ⑩ ❶ ❷❸❲ ❹❲ ttt❲ ✉❺
⑨ ✗✘✙✣✤✚ ✛ ✗✘✤✸✙✚ ✦ ✗✘✙✚

❻❼❽❾❿➀➁➂➃ ➄➅➆➇➇➁➂ ❾ ➈➂➉➊ ➋➇ ➉❾➌➈➍➎ ❾✉➈ ➀⑩➉➊ ➋✉➂ ❒❮❰ÏÐÑ Ò

✗✘✙✚✛
❾➏ ➌❾✉➈➋❿➐ ➑➒➉➅➋➍➂✉ ➉❾➌➈ ⑩➍ ❾ ➓➔→➣ ↔ ➓↕➙➛➐ ❒❮❰Ï BÑ
Ó Û
ÔÕÖ×ØÙÔÕØÙ Ú Û

3) ◆❖ ❩➜❩❬❳ ❭ ♣✈ r❦♠♥❦✈❩❫ ❦❖ n ❞➝➞➟➠➠➡ ➠❛➢❞➠➡ ➤➟❤❛➥ ÔÕÖ× B ÙÔÕ B Ù

➦➞❢➥➦➧❞❤▼

➨➩➫➭➯➲ ➳➵ ➸➺➻➼➽ ➾➩➚➽➳➫➯➻ ➼➪ ➶

⑥❥❭s ⑦ ÜÝÞßàáâãä åßæã ß çãèæ éê ëì èßíçîï åßæã éðñ ì èßíçî îãòðãóñôßââõö
➪
÷ðñ çéóøñ âééæ ßñ ñùã êôíîñï åùã áíé÷ß÷ôâôñõ ñùßñ ñùã îãèéóç èßíç õéð
èùéîã úßî ß û ôî ñùã áíé÷ß÷ôâôñõ éê èùééîôóü ß û ❮ãýãóñ ❰Ñ ßêñãí
❻❼❽❾❿➀➁➂➃ ➄➆➀➀➋➍➂ ➹➂ ➏➋➍➍ ➏➹➋ ➈⑩➉➂➐ ➘➂➏ ➴
èùééîôóü ß û ❮ãýãóñ ÐÑö áâðî ñùã áíé÷ß÷ôâôñõ éê èùééîôóü ß û
➈➂✉➋➏➂ ➏➅➂ ➂➷➂✉➏ ➏➅❾➏ ➏➅➂ ➍➆❿ ➋➇ ➏➅➂ ➏➹➋ ➈⑩➉➂ ⑩➍ ➬➐
❮ãýãóñ ❰Ñ ßêñãí óéñ èùééîôóü ß û ❮ãýãóñ ÐÑö úùôèù ãòðßâî
➑➒➴➣ ↔ ➮↕➱✃ ↔ ➓↕➬➎ ❐➂➉❾➆➍➂ ➏➅➂➌➂ ❾➌➂ ➮ ➋➆➏ ➋➇ ➱✃ ❮þìÿëþÑ❮þ ÿëìÑ Ò ❮þ ÿëþÑ❮ ✁ÿëìÑ Ó þÿ✂ Ó ✄ïìëï
❐❾➍⑩➉ ➋➆➏➉➋❿➂➍ ➏➅❾➏ ➹⑩➁➁ ➍➆❿ ➬➐
Random Variables and Distributions
✁✂ ✄☎✆✄✝✆☎✞✟ ✞✠✟ ✡☛☞✌✍✎✌✏ ✑✒✓✔✌ E ✕ X ✖ ✘ ✗ x ✙ P ✕X ✘ x ✖ ✚ ✝✛✟ ✞✠✟ ✜✂✆✆✂✢✣✤✥ ✞☎✦✆✟✧
★ ✩ ★ ✪ ★

✡✫✌✬✎ ✭✒✮✯✰✰ ✭✱✯✲✒✲✳✓✳✎✮ ✴✌✳✵✶✎✌✏ ✭✒✮✯✰✰

✷✤☎✸✟ ✂✜ ✜✣✹✛✞ ✟✺✟✤✞✻ ✷✼☎✽✂✜✜ ✂✜ ✜✣✹✛✞ ✟✺✟✤✞ ✣✤ ✾✻ ✷✼✹✂✦☎✦✣✆✣✞✽ ✂✜ ✜✣✹✛✞ ✟✺✟✤✞ ✿❀❁❀❂✻ ✷✼✹✂❃✝✄✞ ✂✜ ❁☎✽✂✜✜ ✩ ❁✹✂✦☎✦✣✆✣✞✽✻
✷✤☎✸✟ ✂✜ ✛✟✄✂✤❃ ✟✺✟✤✞✻ ✷✼☎✽✂✜✜ ✂✜ ✛✟✄✂✤❃ ✟✺✟✤✞ ✣✤ ✾✻ ✷✼✹✂✦☎✦✣✆✣✞✽ ✂✜ ✛✟✄✂✤❃ ✟✺✟✤✞ ✿❀❁❀❂✻ ✷✼✹✂❃✝✄✞ ✂✜ ❁☎✽✂✜✜ ✩ ❁✹✂✦☎✦✣✆✣✞✽✻
✷✤☎✸✟ ✂✜ ✞✠✣✹❃ ✟✺✟✤✞✻ ✷✼☎✽✂✜✜ ✂✜ ✞✠✣✹❃ ✟✺✟✤✞ ✣✤ ✾✻ ✷✼✹✂✦☎✦✣✆✣✞✽ ✂✜ ✞✠✣✹❃ ✟✺✟✤✞ ✿❀❁❀❂✻ ✷✼✹✂❃✝✄✞ ✂✜ ❁☎✽✂✜✜ ✩ ❁✹✂✦☎✦✣✆✣✞✽✻

✩ ❄✟✟ ✟❅☎✸✼✆✟ ✣✤ ❆❇❇❈ ❂ ✼☎✥✟ ❉❊ ❋✯✎✒✓ ●✡☛☞✌✍✎✌✏ ✭✒✮✯✰✰❍■ ✷✞✂✞☎✆ ✂✜ ☎✆✆ ❏✟✣✥✠✞✟❃ ❁☎✽✂✜✜✛ ☎✦✂✺✟✻

✁✂ ✄☎✆✄✝✆☎✞✟ ✞✠✟ ✑✒✱✳✒✬✍✌ ❑☎✹▲▼◆ ✪ ◗ ❖ x ❙ E ❖X PP 2 P ❖X ❘ xP ☎✤❃ ❚✎✒✬✏✒✱✏ ❯✌✫✳✒✎✳✯✬ ❨ ❱ X ❲ ❳ Var❱X ❲ ✚ ✝✛✟✧

★ ❩ ★ ✪ ★ ❬❭✪ ★ ✩ ★ ✪ ★
❪ ❪
✡✫✌✬✎ ✭✒✮✯✰✰ ✡☛☞✌✍✎✌✏ ✡✱✱✯✱ ●✡✱✱✯✱❍ ✭✱✯✲✒✲✳✓✳✎✮ ✴✌✳✵✶✎✌✏ ●✡✱✱✯✱❍
✭✒✮✯✰✰
❫❴ ❫❴ ❫❴ ❫❴ ❫❴ ❫❴ ❝ ❫❴
✷❂ ✷❂ ✷✁✂✞☎✆ ✜✹✂✸ ✷❂ ✼☎✽✂✜✜ ✸✣✤✝✛ ❂ ❵✹✹✂✹ ❂ ✟✺✟✤✞❜✛ ❂ ▲❵✹✹✂✹◆ ✩ ❂ ✟✺✟✤✞❜✛
✟✺✟✤✞✻ ✼☎✽✂✜✜✻ ☎✦✂✺✟✻ ❵❅✼✟✄✞✟❃ ❁☎✽✂✜✜✻ ✛❛✝☎✹✟❃ ✼✹✂✦☎✦✣✆✣✞✽ ✼✹✂✦☎✦✣✆✣✞✽
❞❡ ❞❡ ❞❡ ❞❡ ❞❡ ❞❡ ❝ ❞❡
✷❭ ✷❭ ✷✁✂✞☎✆ ✜✹✂✸ ✷❭ ✼☎✽✂✜✜ ✸✣✤✝✛ ❭ ❵✹✹✂✹ ❭ ✟✺✟✤✞❜✛ ❭ ▲❵✹✹✂✹◆ ✩ ❭ ✟✺✟✤✞❜✛
✟✺✟✤✞✻ ✼☎✽✂✜✜✻ ☎✦✂✺✟✻ ❵❅✼✟✄✞✟❃ ❁☎✽✂✜✜✻ ✛❛✝☎✹✟❃ ✼✹✂✦☎✦✣✆✣✞✽ ✼✹✂✦☎✦✣✆✣✞✽
❣❡ ❣❡ ❣❡ ❣❡ ❣❡ ❣❡ ❝ ❣❡
✷❢ ✷❢ ✷✁✂✞☎✆ ✜✹✂✸ ✷❢ ✼☎✽✂✜✜ ✸✣✤✝✛ ❢ ❵✹✹✂✹ ❢ ✟✺✟✤✞❜✛ ❢ ▲❵✹✹✂✹◆ ✩ ❢ ✟✺✟✤✞❜✛
✟✺✟✤✞✻ ✼☎✽✂✜✜✻ ☎✦✂✺✟✻ ❵❅✼✟✄✞✟❃ ❁☎✽✂✜✜✻ ✛❛✝☎✹✟❃ ✼✹✂✦☎✦✣✆✣✞✽ ✼✹✂✦☎✦✣✆✣✞✽

✑✒✱✳✒✬✍✌■ ✷✞✂✞☎✆ ✂✜ ☎✦✂✺✟✻

❚✎✏❤ ❯✌✫✳✒✎✳✯✬■ ✷✛❛✝☎✹✟ ✹✂✂✞ ✂✜ ❑☎✹✣☎✤✄✟✻

Counting Rules
❋✌✱✐ ❥✌✒✬✳✬✵ ❦✯✱✐✔✓✒ ✡☛✒✐☞✓✌
❧✒♠✳✍ ♥✯✔✬✎✳✬✵ ✁✠✟ ♣qrst✉ ✂✜ ✢☎✽✛ ✞✂ ✼✣✄✈ ✇ ✁✠✟ ♣qrst✉ ✂✜ ✢☎✽✛ ✞✂
♦✔✓✌ ✞✠✣✤✥✛ ✂✝✞ ✂✜ ☎ ✛✟✞ ✂✜ ♣ ▲✢✣✞✠ ✼✣✄✈ ❊ ✛✼✟✄✣✜✣✄ ✄☎✹❃✛ ✂✝✞ ✂✜
❾ n❻ n!
✤✂ ✹✟✥☎✹❃ ✞✂ ✂✹❃✟✹◆① ✁✠✟ ❼ ❹ ❸ ☎ ❃✟✄✈ ✂✜ ❉❭ ✣✛✧
②✉③s④s⑤⑥⑤⑦⑧ ✣✛ ✄☎✆✄✝✆☎✞✟❃ ☎✛ ❂⑨✇
❽
x❺ x! ⑩n ❷ x ❶! ❉❭❿⑨▲▲❊❿◆▲❊➀❿◆◆ ✪ ❭➁✿✚➁❭❉✚
✂✜ ✞✠✟ ✹✟✛✝✆✞① ☎✤❃ ✞✠✟ ②✉③s④s⑤⑥⑤⑦⑧ ✣✛
❂⑨❭➁✿✚➁❭❉ ✪ ✿①✿✿✿✿✿❢➂➃❊
❧✌✱✬✯✔✓✓✳ ➄✂✹ ☎ ✛✟❛✝✟✤✄✟ ✂✜ ♣ ✞✹✣☎✆✛✚ ✟☎✄✠ ➛✜ ☎✤ ☎✣✹✆✣✤✟ ✞☎✈✟✛ ❭✿
✭✱✯✍✌♠♠ ✢✣✞✠ ☎✤ ✂✝✞✄✂✸✟ ✂✜ ✟✣✞✠✟✹ ✹✟✛✟✹✺☎✞✣✂✤✛✚ ☎✤❃ ✞✠✟✹✟ ✣✛ ☎
✛✝✄✄✟✛✛ ✂✹ ✜☎✣✆✝✹✟✚ ✟☎✄✠ ✢✣✞✠ ☎ ✿①➃ ✼✹✂✦☎✦✣✆✣✞✽ ✞✠☎✞ ✟☎✄✠
✼✹✂✦☎✦✣✆✣✞✽ ✂✜ ② ✞✂ ✛✝✄✄✟✟❃ ➅ ✼☎✛✛✟✤✥✟✹ ✢✣✆✆ ✛✠✂✢ ✝✼✚
✞✠✟ ✼✹✂✦☎✦✣✆✣✞✽ ✞✂ ✥✟✞ ✇ ↕ n! → x ✞✠✟✤ ✞✠✟ ✼✹✂✦☎✦✣✆✣✞✽ ✞✠☎✞
n➑ x
✛✝✄✄✟✛✛✟✛ ✣✛ ✟❛✝☎✆ ✞✂ ✞✠✟ ❆☎✛✣✄ P➊X ➌ x n , p➋ ➙ ➣ ➓ p ➏1 ➒ p ➐ ✌☛✒✍✎✓✮ ❂➂ ✼☎✛✛✟✤✥✟✹✛ ✢✣✆✆
➆✂✝✤✞✣✤✥ ➇✝✆✟ ✜✂✹✸✝✆☎ ↔ x! ➍n ➒ x ➎! ➔ ✛✠✂✢ ✣✛✧
➈ ❞➉➈
▲☎✦✂✺✟◆ ✞✣✸✟✛ ✼ ▲❂❩✼◆ ① 20! ➜➝ ➞
▲✿①➃◆ ▲✿①❂◆
16! 4!
✪ ✿①✿➀➃➁➀
❧✌✱✬✯✔✓✓✳ ✁✠✟ ✟❅✼✟✄✞✟❃ ✺☎✆✝✟ ✂✜ ☎ ➛✤ ✞✠✟ ✟❅☎✸✼✆✟ ☎✦✂✺✟✚ ✞✠✟
✡☛☞✌✍✎✌✏ ✑✒✓✔✌ ❆✟✹✤✂✝✆✆✣ ❁✹✂✄✟✛✛✚ ✥✣✺✟✤ ♣ ✤✝✸✦✟✹ ✂✜ ✼✟✂✼✆✟ ✟❅✼✟✄✞✟❃
➟➠➡➢ ➤ ➥➦
✞✹✣☎✆✛ ☎✤❃ ② ✼✹✂✦☎✦✣✆✣✞✽① ✞✂ ✛✠✂✢ ✣✛✧ ▲❭✿◆▲✿①➃◆ ✪ ❂➀
❧✌✱✬✯✔✓✓✳ ✁✠✟ ✺☎✹✣☎✤✄✟ ✂✜ ☎ ❆✟✹✤✂✝✆✆✣ ➛✤ ✞✠✟ ✟❅☎✸✼✆✟ ☎✦✂✺✟✚ ✞✠✟
✑✒✱✳✒✬✍✌ ❁✹✂✄✟✛✛✚ ✥✣✺✟✤ ♣ ✞✹✣☎✆✛ ☎✤❃ ② ❆✟✹✤✂✝✆✆✣ ❑☎✹✣☎✤✄✟ ✣✛
➧➨➩➠➡➢ ➤ ➥➦➠➫ ➭ ➦➢
✼✹✂✦☎✦✣✆✣✞✽① ▲❭✿◆▲✿①➃◆▲✿①❂◆ ✪ ❂①➀
❧✌✱✬✯✔✓✓✳ ✁✠✟ ✛✞☎✤❃☎✹❃ ❃✟✺✣☎✞✣✂✤ ✂✜ ☎ ➛✤ ✞✠✟ ✟❅☎✸✼✆✟ ☎✦✂✺✟✚ ✞✠✟
❚✎✒✬✏✒✱✏ ❆✟✹✤✂✝✆✆✣ ❁✹✂✄✟✛✛✧ ❆✟✹✤✂✝✆✆✣ ❄✞☎✤❃☎✹❃
❯✌✫✳✒✎✳✯✬
➯➠➡➢ ➤ np( 1 ➲ p )
➳✟✺✣☎✞✣✂✤ ✣✛ 1.8 ✪ ❂①❢❊
➵✳✬✌✒✱ ➛✜ ▼ ✣✛ ✹☎✤❃✂✸ ☎✤❃ ➸✪☎▼➺✦✚ ➟➠➻➢ ➤ ➨➼➟➠➡➢ ➽ ➾
❋✱✒✬♠✰✯✱✐✒✎✳✯✬ ✞✠✟✤ ✞✠✟ ✜✂✆✆✂✢✣✤✥ ✜✂✹✸✝✆☎✛ ➚
➧➨➩ ➠➻➢ ➤ ➨ ➼➧➨➩➠➡➢
♦✔✓✌ ☎✼✼✆✽✧
➯ ➠➻➢ ➤ ➪➨➪➼➯➠➡➢
Uniform Distribution
✁✂✄☎✆✝✂✞✟✠✟✡ ☛☞✄☎✌✍✞

a ✘b ✗ ✖
✎✏✑✂✒✓✂✔ ✕✞✍✌✂ X ✙
2
2
2 ✛b ✢ a ✜
✕✞✄✠✞✟✒✂ ✚X ✣
12
★b ✪ a ✩
✤✓✞✟✔✞✄✔ ✥✂✦✠✞✓✠☞✟ ✧X ✫
12
✬✄☞✭✞✭✠✍✠✓✮ ✓✯✞✓ ✰ falls ✼ ✽✻
✷ ✲✶ ✸ ✵ ✸ ✴ ✳ ✾
✭✂✓✱✂✂✟ c ✞✟✔ d ✺✽✹

Normal Distribution
z 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09
0.0 .0000 .0040 .0080 .0120 .0160 .0199 .0239 .0279 .0319 .0359
0.1 .0398 .0438 .0478 .0517 .0557 .0596 .0636 .0675 .0714 .0753
0.2 .0793 .0832 .0871 .0910 .0948 .0987 .1026 .1064 .1103 .1141
0.3 .1179 .1217 .1255 .1293 .1331 .1368 .1406 .1443 .1480 .1517
0.4 .1554 .1591 .1628 .1664 .1700 .1736 .1772 .1808 .1844 .1879
0.5 .1915 .1950 .1985 .2019 .2054 .2088 .2123 .2157 .2190 .2224
0.6 .2257 .2291 .2324 .2357 .2389 .2422 .2454 .2486 .2517 .2549
0.7 .2580 .2611 .2642 .2673 .2704 .2734 .2764 .2794 .2823 .2852
0.8 .2881 .2910 .2939 .2967 .2995 .3023 .3051 .3078 .3106 .3133
✿❀❁❂❃❂❄❅❄❆❇ ❈❉❊❋❄❆❇ ●❍❊■❆❄❁❊❏ 0.9 .3159 .3186 .3212 .3238 .3264 .3289 .3315 .3340 .3365 .3389
2
1 ❚ ▼x ❯❳ ◆ ◗
1 ❯ ❘
❲ P
❖ 1.0 .3413 .3438 .3461 .3485 .3508 .3531 .3554 .3577 .3599 .3621
f X ❑x ▲ ❱ e 2❙ 1.1 .3643 .3665 .3686 .3708 .3729 .3749 .3770 .3790 .3810 .3830
❩ 2❨
❬❭❪❫❪ ❴ ❵ ❛❜❝❞❝❡ ❢❣❤ ❪ ❵ ✐❜❥❝❦❛ 1.2 .3849 .3869 .3888 .3907 .3925 .3944 .3962 .3980 .3997 .4015
1.3 .4032 .4049 .4066 .4082 .4099 .4115 .4131 .4147 .4162 .4177
❧❆❃❊♠❃❀♠ ❈❉♥❄❃❆❄❁❊❋ ❃♦❃❇ ♣❀❁q ❆r❉ q❉❃❊❏ 1.4 .4192 .4207 .4222 .4236 .4251 .4265 .4279 .4292 .4306 .4319
X ✉t 1.5 .4332 .4345 .4357 .4370 .4382 .4394 .4406 .4418 .4429 .4441
Z ✈
s 1.6 .4452 .4463 .4474 .4484 .4495 .4505 .4515 .4525 .4535 .4545
✇① ❢❣❤ ② ❢❫❪ ③❬❢④④❢⑤⑥❪⑦⑧
1.7 .4554 .4564 .4573 .4582 .4591 .4599 .4608 .4616 .4625 .4633
⑨✇❢ ⑩ ❶ ⑩ ⑤⑧ ❷ ❢❫❪❢ ❸❣❤❪❫ ❹❺✇❻⑧ ⑤❪❼❬❪❪❣ ❢ ❢❣❤ ⑤❽ 1.8 .4641 .4649 .4656 .4664 .4671 .4678 .4686 .4693 .4699 .4706
➆ a ➍➑ ➉ b ➍ ➑ ➉➃ 1.9 .4713 .4719 .4726 .4732 .4738 .4744 .4750 .4756 .4761 .4767
P ❾a ➀ X ➀ b ❿ ➏ P ➄➌➊ ➇➎ Z
➌
➎➊ ➇➁
➅➋ ➐ ➈ ➋ ➐ ➈➂ 2.0 .4772 .4778 .4783 .4788 .4793 .4798 .4803 .4808 .4812 .4817
2.1 .4821 .4826 .4830 .4834 .4838 .4842 .4846 .4850 .4854 .4857
❧❆❃❊♠❃❀♠ ➒❁❀q❃❅ ➓❃❂❅❉ ➔ ❋❉♥❉❊ ❍❋❃→❉ ❋■❉❊❃❀❄❁❋❏ 2.2 .4861 .4864 .4868 .4871 .4875 .4878 .4881 .4884 .4887 .4890
2.3 .4893 .4896 .4898 .4901 .4904 .4906 .4909 .4911 .4913 .4916
➣ ↔ ➣ ↕
2.4 .4918 .4920 .4922 .4925 .4927 .4929 .4931 .4932 .4934 .4936
2.5 .4938 .4940 .4941 .4943 .4945 .4946 .4948 .4949 .4951 .4952
➣ ➔ ➣ ➙
2.6 .4953 .4955 .4956 .4957 .4959 .4960 .4961 .4962 .4963 .4964
2.7 .4965 .4966 .4967 .4968 .4969 .4970 .4971 .4972 .4973 .4974
➣ ➔ ➣ ➙
2.8 .4974 .4975 .4976 .4977 .4977 .4978 .4979 .4979 .4980 .4981
2.9 .4981 .4982 .4982 .4983 .4984 .4984 .4985 .4985 .4986 .4986
➣ ↔
3.0 .4987 .4987 .4987 .4988 .4988 .4989 .4989 .4989 .4990 .4990
Correlation
➛ ➜♣ ➝ ❃❊♠ ➞ ❃❀❉ ❆♦❁ ♠❄♣♣❉❀❉❊❆ ❋❉❆❋ ❁♣ ♠❃❆❃➟ ❆r❉❄❀ ■❁❀❀❉❅❃❆❄❁❊ ❄❋ ❀❉➠❀❉❋❉❊❆❉♠ ❂❇ ➡❁❀❀ ➢➤➥➦➟ ❀ ➤➥➟ ❁❀ ➧➨ ➩❀r❁➫➭
 ✁✂ ✄ ☎✆✝✞✟✠✡✟✡ ✠✡ ☛ ☎✆✝✞✟✠✡✟✡☞ ✌ ✍ ✎ ✏✑ ✍ ✒✓ ✁✂ ✄ ✔✟✝✞✟✠✡✟✡ ✠✡ ☛ ☎✆✝✞✟✠✡✟✡☞ ✕✒ ✍ ✎ ✏✑ ✍ ✌✓
✖✗✟ ✟✘✙✞✟✚✟✡ ✎ ✏✑ ✛ ✒ ✠✆✔ ✎ ✏✑ ✛ ✕✒ ☎✆✔☎✝✠✙✟✔ ✜✟✞✂✟✝✙ ✝✢✞✞✟✣✠✙☎✢✆ ✤ ☎✆✂✢ ✠✥✢✦✙ ✢✆✟ ✞✟✡✦✣✙✡ ☎✆ ✠✆ ✟✘✠✝✙ ✜✞✟✔☎✝✙☎✢✆ ✠✥✢✦✙ ✙✗✟ ✢✙✗✟✞✓
✁✂ ☛ ✠✆✔ ✄ ✠✞✟ ✝✢✚✜✣✟✙✟✣✧ ✦✆✝✢✞✞✟✣✠✙✟✔☞ ✎✏✑ ✛ ✌✓
✖✗✟ ★✩✪✫✬✭✫✮✯✰ ✢✂ ☛ ✠✆✔ ✄☞ ✱✢✲✳✏✑✴ ☞ ✗✠✡ ✙✗✟ ✡✠✚✟ ✡☎✵✆ ✠✡ ✎ ✏✑☞ ✗✠✡ ✦✆✦✡✦✠✣ ✦✆☎✙✡ ✠✆✔ ☎✡ ✦✡✦✠✣✣✧ ✠ ✚✟✠✆✡ ✙✢ ✂☎✆✔ ✎ ✏✑✓
✶✰✬✷ ✸✩✬✷✹✺✫ ✻✩✼✰✽
★✩✬✬✰✺✫✼✭✩✮ Cov ✾ XY ✿ ❂✡✟✔ ❃☎✙✗ ✱✢✲✠✞☎✠✆✝✟ ✂✢✞✚✦✣✠✡ ✥✟✣✢❃
Corr ✾ XY ✿ ❁
❀ X ❀Y
★✩✪✫✬✭✫✮✯✰ ❄❅ ✂✢✞✚✦✣✠✡❆ Cov ❇ XY ❈ ■ E ❋❉X ❍ X ❊❉Y ❍Y ❊● ❱✦✚ ✢✂ ✙✗✟ ✜✞✢✔✦✝✙✡ ✢✂ ✠✣✣ ✡✠✚✜✣✟ ✜✠☎✞✡❲ ✔☎✡✙✠✆✝✟ ✂✞✢✚ ✙✗✟☎✞
✞✟✡✜✟✝✙☎✲✟ ✚✟✠✆✡ ✚✦✣✙☎✜✣☎✟✔ ✥✧ ✙✗✟☎✞ ✞✟✡✜✟✝✙☎✲✟ ✜✞✢✥✠✥☎✣☎✙☎✟✡
❏❑▲▼▼▲◆❖P◗ ◗❘ ◆❙P◆❖P❙◗❚❯
Cov ❳ XY ❨ ❴ E❩XY ❬ ❫ ❭X ❪❭Y ❪ ❱✦✚ ✢✂ ✙✗✟ ✜✞✢✔✦✝✙✡ ✢✂ ✠✣✣ ✡✠✚✜✣✟ ✜✠☎✞✡ ✚✦✣✙☎✜✣☎✟✔ ✥✧ ✙✗✟☎✞
✞✟✡✜✟✝✙☎✲✟ ✜✞✢✥✠✥☎✣☎✙☎✟✡☞ ✚☎✆✦✡ ✙✗✟ ✜✞✢✔✦✝✙ ✢✂ ✥✢✙✗ ✚✟✠✆✡
✸✭✮❵✭✮❛ ★✩✪✫✬✭✫✮✯✰ Cov ❜ XY ❝ ❡ ❞ X ❞ Y Corr ❜XY ❝
❛✭✪✰✮ ★✩✬✬✰✺✫✼✭✩✮
Portfolio Analysis❢
✶✰✬✷ ✸✩✬✷✹✺✫ ❣❤✫✷✐✺✰❥
❦✟✠✆ ✢✂ ✠✆✧ ❧✢✞✙✂✢✣☎✢ ♠❱♥ S ♣ a X ♦ bY S ✛ q❄r✓✌s❆t ✉❄✒✒✓✌s❆ ✛ r✓✈✇s
❧✢✞✙✂✢✣☎✢ ④✠✞☎✠✆✝✟ ⑤⑥ ⑨ a ⑦ X ⑧b ⑦Y
2 2 2 2 ⑩ ❶ ✛ ❄q❆❶❄✌✓✇❆❶ t ❄✉❆❶❄❷✓✌❆❶ ✛ ❅✓❸❹✌❷
①②◆❘③③❚P❙◗❚❑ ❧✢✞✙✂✢✣☎✢ ❱✙✠✆✔✠✞✔ ❺✟✲☎✠✙☎✢✆ ⑩ ✛ ✒✓✇❾❷❅
⑤ ❽ a 2❻ X2 ❼ b 2❻ Y2
❧✢✞✙✂✢✣☎✢ ④✠✞☎✠✆✝✟ ➅ ➀2aX ➄bY ➁ ➃ a 2➅ X2 ➂ b 2➅ Y2 ➂ 2abCov➀XY ➁
❿❘③③❚P❙◗❚❑
❧✢✞✙✂✢✣☎✢ ❱✙✠✆✔✠✞✔ ❺✟✲☎✠✙☎✢✆ ➋
➆aX ➊bY ➇ ➉ a ➋ X ➈ b ➋ Y ➈ 2abCov➆XY ➇
2 2 2 2

➌ ❧✢✞✙✂✢✣☎✢ ♠❱♥ ✝✢✚✜✢✡✟✔ ✢✂ q ❱✙✢✝➍ ➎ ❄✚✟✠✆ ✞✟✙✦✞✆➏ r✓✌s☞ ✡✙✠✆✔✠✞✔ ✔✟✲☎✠✙☎✢✆➏ ✌✓✇s❆ ✠✆✔ ✉ ❱✙✢✝➍ ➐ ❄✒✒✓✌s☞ ❷✓✌s ✞✟✡✜✟✝✙☎✲✟✣✧❆
The Central Limit Theorem Continuity Correction
➑✢✞✚✠✣ ✔☎✡✙✞☎✥✦✙☎✢✆ ✝✠✆ ✥✟ ✦✡✟✔ ✙✢ ✠✜✜✞✢✘☎✚✠✙✟ ❂✆✣☎➍✟ ✝✢✆✙☎✆✦✢✦✡ ❄✆✢✞✚✠✣❆ ✔☎✡✙✞☎✥✦✙☎✢✆✡ ❄☎✓✟✓ ➓☞ ✙☎✚✟❆☞ ✔☎✡✝✞✟✙✟
✥☎✆✢✚☎✆✠✣✡ ✢✂ ✚✢✞✟ ✙✗✠✆ ❸✌ ✙✞☎✠✣✡ ❄✆➒❸✌❆➏ ✥☎✆✢✚☎✠✣ ✔☎✡✙✞☎✥✦✙☎✢✆ ✢✂ ☎✆✙✟✵✟✞✡ ❄☎✓✟✓ ➔ ✜✟✢✜✣✟❆ ✚✦✡✙ ✥✟ ✝✢✞✞✟✝✙✟✔➏
✶✰✬✷ ✸✩✬✷✹✺✫ →✺❵ ✯✹✼✩➣➣ ✻✰↔ ✯✹✼✩➣➣
↕✰✫✮ ➙➛➜➝ ➞ ➟➠ ➡➛➜➢➤➥➝ ➡➛➜➢➤➥➦➧➝
➨✫✬✭✫✮✯✰ ➩➫➭➛➜➝ ➞ ➟➠➛➯ ➲ ➠➝ ➡➛➜➳➤➥➝ ➡➛➜➳➯➵➦➧➝
➸✼✫✮❵✫✬❵ ⑤➛➜➝ ➞ np( 1 ➻ p ) ➡➛➜➼➤➥➝ ➡➛➜➼➯➵➦➧➝
➺✰✪✭✫✼✭✩✮
➡➛➜➽➤➥➝ ➡➛➜➽➤➥➦➧➝

Sampling Distribution of the Mean Sampling Distribution of a Proportion

✁✂ ✙✗✟ ➾➚➪✡ ✠✞✟ ✆✢✞✚✠✣✣✧ ✔☎✡✙✞☎✥✦✙✟✔ ❄❘③ ② ➒ ❸✌❆☞ ✙✗✟✆ ✁✂☞ ✂✢✞ ✠ ✜✞✢✜✢✞✙☎✢✆☞ ② ➒ ❸✌ ✙✗✟✆ p➹ ☎✡ ✆✢✞✚✠✣✣✧
➶ ☎✡ ✆✢✞✚✠✣✣✧ ✔☎✡✙✞☎✥✦✙✟✔ ❃☎✙✗➏ ✔☎✡✙✞☎✥✦✙✟✔ ❃☎✙✗➏
✶✰✬✷ ✸✩✬✷✹✺✫ ✶✰✬✷ ✸✩✬✷✹✺✫
↕✰✫✮ ↕✰✫✮ p
➸✼✫✮❵✫✬❵ ❣✬✬✩✬ ✩➣ ✼➘✰ ➴ ➸✼✫✮❵✫✬❵ ➺✰✪✭✫✼✭✩✮ p ➷1 ➮ p ➬
↕✰✫✮
n n
Confidence Intervals
✁✂✄✂☎✆✝✆✄ ✞✟✠✡☛☞✆✠✌✆ ✍✠✝✆✄✎✂✏ ✑✒✂✓✆ ✔✂☎✕✏✆

✛
✗ ✚ ✣ ✙✜ ✢ ✤✥✦✧★✩ ✪✫✥✬✫ ✭
✘
✖
✰
✮ ✲ ✵ ✱✴ ✳ ✶★✦✷✸ ✹✫✺✫✥✬✫ ✭
✯

✿
✻ ✮ ❁ ❈ ❀ ✼❃ ❇❅ ❂❆ ❄ ✽ ✤✥✦✧★✩ ❉✧★✩✩ ✹✫✺✫✥✬✫ ✭
✾

❑
❏●❖ ▼ ❑
❏❍
❊ ❋ ❑
❏ ◆ ▲◗ P ❘❙✫✥✧❙★✩ ✶★✦✷✸
■

❩❪
❚ ❲ ❱ ❳ ❲❯ ❭ ❵ ❬❴ ❫ ✤✥✦✧★✩ ❛★❜❝❞✸❡ ❢★❙✦❣
❨

2 2 ✪✫✥✬✫ ✭④
✉ ♣ ✉♦
❦ ❥ ❧ ❦✐ t ② s ① r ♠✈ ③ 2 ♥ ✇ ✤✥✦✧★✩ ⑤✫❡✸❢✸✫❡✸✫❜
q♣ q♦
❉★✧❢✩✸❣
❤
2 2
❶⑨ ❶⑧
❦ ❧❦ ❹ ❼ ❸ ❻ ❷ ⑥❾ ❽ 2 ⑦ ❺ ✶★✦✷✸
❥ ✐
⑩⑨ ⑩⑧

➍ ➆
➋ ➉ 1 ➏ ➋➍ ➉ ➇ ➍ ➆
➋ ➈ 1 ➏ ➋➍ ➈ ➇
➍ ➍
❿ ➂ ➁ ➃ ➂➀ ➋ ➉ ➏ ➋ ➈ ➑ ➌ ➄➒ ➎ 2 ➅ ➐ ❘❙✫✥✧❙★✩ ✶★✦✷✸
➊➉ ➊➈

➓✟✄☎➔✏✂✆ →➔☛☞✆ t-table

d. f. 0.100 0.050 0.025 0.010 0.005
➸
1 3.078 6.314 12.706 31.821 63.656
➡➩➥➙➠➛ ➤➛↔➥ 2 1.886 2.920 4.303 6.965 9.925
➞↕ 3 1.638 2.353 3.182 4.541 5.841
➣↔↕➙➛➜➝➞↕➟↔➠ ➫➩➭➭➛↕➛➥➯➛➢
➺ 4 1.533 2.132 2.776 3.747 4.604
➞↕
➡➟↔➠➠➢ ➤↔➨➯➲➛➳ 5 1.476 2.015 2.571 3.365 4.032
➞↕
➼ ➵➥➳➛➧➛➥➳➛➥➨➢ 6 1.440 1.943 2.447 3.143 3.707
➾ 7 1.415 1.895 2.365 2.998 3.499
➤➛↔➥ 8 1.397 1.860 2.306 2.896 3.355
➞↕
➦↕➞➧➞↕➨➩➞➥➢ 9 1.383 1.833 2.262 2.821 3.250
10 1.372 1.812 2.228 2.764 3.169
➽ 11 1.363 1.796 2.201 2.718 3.106
➡➩➥➙➠➛ ➧ 12 1.356 1.782 2.179 2.681 3.055
➞↕
➫➩➭➭➛↕➛➥➯➛➢ 13 1.350 1.771 2.160 2.650 3.012
14 1.345 1.761 2.145 2.624 2.977
➻
15 1.341 1.753 2.131 2.602 2.947
16 1.337 1.746 2.120 2.583 2.921
➚➪➶➹➘➴➷➶➬➷ ➮➷➱➷✃ ❐➪ ❒❮❰Ï✃Ð➷ ÑÐ➘➴➷ 17 1.333 1.740 2.110 2.567 2.898
➚➪➶➹➘➴➷➶➬➷ ➮➷➱➷✃ ❒ ÒÓ ÔÕ❮ÖÏ➘✃× ❒ ÔØ❮ÖÏ➘✃× 18 1.330 1.734 2.101 2.552 2.878
ÙÚÛ Ü ÕÚÛ ÝÞßà áÞàâ 19 1.328 1.729 2.093 2.539 2.861
ãÚÛ Ü ØÚÛ ÝÞäâå ÝÞßà 20 1.325 1.725 2.086 2.528 2.845
ãæÛ Ü æÛ ÝÞçä ÝÞäâå 21 1.323 1.721 2.080 2.518 2.831
ããÛ Ü ØÛ ßÞåèå ßÞéßå 22 1.321 1.717 2.074 2.508 2.819
➬ Ü ØêÚ❮➬ ëìíîïð ñìíòó ôð 23 1.319 1.714 2.069 2.500 2.807
24 1.318 1.711 2.064 2.492 2.797
õ➷❐➷ö÷➘➶➘➶ø ❐ù➷ úûûö➪ûö➘Ï❐➷ üÏ÷û✃➷ ü➘ý➷ 25 1.316 1.708 2.060 2.485 2.787
Ö➷ö÷ þ➪ö÷Ï✃ õ➘ÿ❐ö➘ Ð❐➘➪➶ ✁➪ö÷Ð✃Ï ✂ö➪û➪ö❐➘➪➶ ✁➪ö÷Ð✃Ï 26 1.315 1.706 2.056 2.479 2.779

n☞
✠1.96✡ 2 ☛ 2 ✌
1.96 2 27 1.314 1.703 2.052 2.473 2.771
✔✂☎✕✏✆ ✔☛✄✆ ☎ ✡✟✄ ✆✝✞ ✆✟ n
e 2
4e 2 28 1.313 1.701 2.048 2.467 2.763
Hypothesis Testing
 ✁✂✄☎✆✝✞✟✠ ✡✂✁✟☛✄☎✆✝✞ ☞✌✌✟☛✄☎✆✝✞

✟✍☎ ✎✌✟ ✟✍☎ ✏☎✆☎✝✍☎✝✑ H✒

✓☛✝☎✝✑✆✞ H✒
✓☛✝☎✝✑✆✞ H✒
✓☛✝☎✝✑✆✞
✔✆✞✕✟ ✔✆✞✕✟ ✔✆✞✕✟

✏✝✖✗✞✟ ✘n z0 ✣ Xs✢ ✜ 0 ✤ ✥ ✤0 ✧ z✦ 2 ★ ✩ ★0 ✬ ✫✪ ✭ ✮ ✭0 ✯ ✫✪
✙✚✛ n

✏✝✖✗✞✟ ✘n t0 ✲ Xs✱ ✰ 0 ✤ ✥ ✤0 ✷ t✳n✶1,✵ 2 ✴ ★ ✩ ★0 ✾ ❀✸✿✽✼✻✺ ✹ ✭ ✮ ✭0 ❇ ❉❁❈❆❅❄❃ ❂

✙✚✛ n

p● ❍ p 0
✏✝✖✗✞✟ p ✘n z0 ■ p ❏ p0 ▲ z❑ 2 p ▼ p0 p ◗ p0
p 0 ❊1 ❍ p 0 ❋ P ❖◆ ❘ ❖◆
✙✚✛ n

❙✝❚❚❯ ❱✟☎✁✟✟✖ z0 ❬ ❲X ❩ Y ❳ ❩ 0
s 2 2
❫ X ❪ ❫Y ❭ 0 ▲ z❑ 2 ❛X ❵ ❛Y ❴ 0 P ❖◆ ❞X ❝ ❞Y ❜ 0 ❘ ❖◆
☎✁✂ ✍ ❨s
x Y

nx nY

❡p♣ X ♥ p♣ Y ❢ ♥ 0
❙✝❚❚❯ ❱✟☎✁✟✟✖ z0 ♦
❧ n ♠ nY ✐❣ pX r pY q 0 ✧ z✦ 2 pX t pY s0 ✬ ✫✪ pX ✈ pY ✉0 ✯ ✫✪
☎✁✂ p✍ p♣ ❡1 ♥ p♣ ❢❥❥ X
❦ nX nY ❣❤

✓✞✆✍✍✝✑ ✇✎✌✂☎①✟✍✝✍ ✟✍☎✝✖✗ ②☛✂✑✟✠✕☛✟

✏☎✟✌ ❙✟✍✑☛✝✌☎✝✂✖ ③④✆⑤✌✞✟
⑥ ⑦✂☛⑤✕✞✆☎✟ ✁✂ ⑧⑨⑩ ⑨❶❷❸❹⑨⑩❺⑩❺ ❸❻❼⑨❹ ❹❸ ❽⑩ ❾❻❹❻❿➀➀❶ ⑩➁➂➀❻❺➃➄⑩ ❿➅➆ ➂❸➀➀⑩➂❹➃➄⑩➀❶ H0 : ➐ = 0
✇✎✌✂☎①✟✍✟✍ ⑩➁⑨❿❻❺❹➃➄⑩➇ ⑧⑨⑩ ⑨❶❷❸❹⑨⑩❺➃❺ ❹❸ ❽⑩ ❹⑩❺❹⑩➆ ➈❹⑨⑩ ➅❻➀➀ ⑨❶❷❸❹⑨⑩❺➃❺➉ ❿➀➊❿❶❺
➂❸➅❹❿➃➅❺ ❿➅ ⑩➋❻❿➀❺ ❺➃❼➅➌ ➍⑩➎⑩➍➍➃➅❼ ❹❸ ❺❸❾⑩ ❷➍❸❷❸❺⑩➆ ➄❿➀❻⑩ ❸➎ ❿ HA: ➐ < 0
❷❸❷❻➀❿❹➃❸➅ ❷❿➍❿❾⑩❹⑩➍➇ ⑧⑨⑩ ❿➀❹⑩➍➅❿❹➃➄⑩ ⑨❶❷❸❹⑨⑩❺➃❺ ➅⑩➄⑩➍ ➂❸➅❹❿➃➅❺ ❿➅
⑩➋❻❿➀❺ ❺➃❼➅➌ ❽❻❹ ➂❿➅ ❽⑩ ⑩➃❹⑨⑩➍ ❿ ❸➅⑩➏❺➃➆⑩➆ ❸➍ ❹➊❸➏❺➃➆⑩➆ ➃➅⑩➋❻❿➀➃❹❶➇
➑ ✏✟✞✟✑☎ ✆ ✟✍☎ ✏☎✆☎✝✍☎✝✑ ⑧⑨⑩ ❹⑩❺❹ ❺❹❿❹➃❺❹➃➂ ➃❺ ❿ ❺❹❿➅➆❿➍➆➃➒⑩➆ ⑩❺❹➃❾❿❹⑩ ❸➎ ❹⑨⑩ ➆➃➎➎⑩➍⑩➅➂⑩ ❽⑩❹➊⑩⑩➅ ➼ ➚ ➾➽
❸❻➍ ❺❿❾❷➀⑩ ❿➅➆ ❺❸❾⑩ ⑨❶❷❸❹⑨⑩❺➃➒⑩➆ ❷❸❷❻➀❿❹➃❸➅ ❷❿➍❿❾⑩❹⑩➍➇ ➓❹ ❿➅❺➊⑩➍❺
❹⑨⑩ ➋❻⑩❺❹➃❸➅➔ →➣↔ ↕➙➛ ➜➝➞➞ ➙➟➠➡↕➙➛➢➤➢ ➥➛➦➛ ↕➦➝➛➧ ➙➡➥ ➨➩➜➟ ➢↕➩➜➫➩➦➫ ➻
➫➛➭➤➩↕➤➡➜➢ ➤➢ ➡➝➦ ➢➩➨➠➞➛ ➩➥➩➟ ↔➦➡➨ ➥➙➛➦➛ ➥➛ ➛➯➠➛➲↕➛➫ ➤↕ ↕➡ ➳➛➵➸ ➺
✙ ❙✟☛✝➪✟ ✆ ❙✟✑✝✍✝✂✖ ➶✕✞✟ ⑧⑨⑩ ➆⑩➂➃❺➃❸➅ ➍❻➀⑩ ➂❸➅❺➃❺❹❺ ❸➎ ➍⑩❼➃❸➅❺ ❸➎ ➍⑩➹⑩➂❹➃❸➅ ❿➅➆ ➅❸➅➏➍⑩➹⑩➂❹➃❸➅➌ ➘⑩ ➍⑩➹⑩➂❹ ➴➷ ➃➎
➆⑩➎➃➅⑩➆ ❽❶ ➂➍➃❹➃➂❿➀ ➄❿➀❻⑩❺ ❸➎ ❹⑨⑩ ❹⑩❺❹ ❺❹❿❹➃❺❹➃➂➇ ➓❹ ➃❺ ❻❺⑩➆ ❹❸ ⑩❺❹❿❽➀➃❺⑨ ❹⑨⑩ ✃
❷➍❸❽❿❽➀⑩ ❹➍❻❹⑨ ❸➍ ➎❿➀❺➃❹❶ ❸➎ ❹⑨⑩ ➅❻➀➀ ⑨❶❷❸❹⑨⑩❺➃❺➇ ➱ ❰ ❐ 0 ❮ ➮❒ ➇
➬
Ï ✓✆✞✑✕✞✆☎✟ ☎①✟ ✔✆✞✕✟ ✂❚ ☎①✟ Ó➃❹⑨⑩➍ ➍⑩➹⑩➂❹ ❹⑨⑩ ➅❻➀➀ ⑨❶❷❸❹⑨⑩❺➃❺ ➈➃➎ ❹⑨⑩ ❹⑩❺❹ ❺❹❿❹➃❺❹➃➂ ➎❿➀➀❺ ➃➅❹❸ ❹⑨⑩ X Õ Ô 0 Ö 0.21 Ö 0
✟✍☎ ✏☎✆☎✝✍☎✝✑Ð Ñ✖➪✂Ò✟ ☎①✟ ➍⑩➹⑩➂❹➃❸➅ ➍⑩❼➃❸➅➉ ❸➍ ➆❸ ➅❸❹ ➍⑩➹⑩➂❹ ❹⑨⑩ ➅❻➀➀ ⑨❶❷❸❹⑨⑩❺➃❺ ➈➃➎ ❹⑨⑩ ❹⑩❺❹ ×
❙✟✑✝✍✝✂✖ ➶✕✞✟ ✝✖ ✞✝✗①☎ ✂❚ ❺❹❿❹➃❺❹➃➂ ➆❸⑩❺ ➅❸❹ ➎❿➀➀ ➃➅❹❸ ❹⑨⑩ ➍⑩➹⑩➂❹➃❸➅ ➍⑩❼➃❸➅➇ s 0.80
☎①✟ ✟✍☎ ✏☎✆☎✝✍☎✝✑ n 50
 Regression
✁✂✄✂☎✆✂☎✝ ✁✞✟✠✡☛ Regression Statistics
✣✤✥✦✧★✥✩ ✪ ✫✬✭✮✯✰
☞✌✍✎✏✎✌✍✎✌✑ ✒✓✔✕✓✖✗✎✘ ✙✚✛✜✙✢
✪ ✱✲✤✳✴✩ ✫✬✭✵✮✮
✽✾✿✤❀✦✩✾ ✪ ✱✲✤✳✴✩ ✫✬✭✫✵✮
✶✎✏✎✌✍✎✌✑ ✒✓✔✕✓✖✗✎ ✷✓ ✔✓✌✍✸✹ ✺✓✔✕✓✖✗✎✻ ✼
✱✦✳❁✾✳✴✾ ❂✴✴❃✴ ✯✬✯❄❄✫

✶✎✏✎✌✍✎✌✑ ✒✓✔✕✓✖✗✎ ✷✓✌ ✕✌✍✕✺✕✍❅✓✗ ✼❇ ❈❉❀✩✴❊✳✦✧❃❁❀ ❋●

✸✖✘✎✔✺✓✑✕✸✌ ✓✹✸✌❆ ✘✓✹✏✗✎✻ ✽❍❈■✽

☞✌✑✎✔❏✎✏✑ ✷✸✔ ❏✸✌✘✑✓✌✑✻❑ ✓✌ ❅✌▲✌✸▼✌ ◆0 ❖P ◗◗ ❘◗ ❙ ◗❚❯❱❚P❚❲❳❱❲❨ ❙

✏✸✏❅✗✓✑✕✸✌ ✏✓✔✓✹✎✑✎✔ ✪✩❩✴✩❀❀✧❃❁ ❬ ✮❭✫❪✬✫❄❭❫ ❄✰✮❄✬✫✵❫❭ ✯✮✬✫❫✭✵ ❴❵❴❴❴❴
❡ ✪✩❀✧✾✤✳✥ ❋❬ ✮❄✯✬❄✫✰❭ ❪❫✬✰✮✫❭
❛✘✑✕✹✓✑✎✍ ✕✌✑✎✔❏✎✏✑❑ ✓✌ ✎✘✑✕✹✓✑✎ ✸❜ ❝ 0 ❞ 0
❢❃✦✳✥ ❋❣ ✯❄❫✫✬❄❫✯✫

❤✗✸✏✎ ✷✸✔ ❏✸✎❜❜✕❏✕✎✌✑✻ ❜✸✔ ☞✌✍✎✏✎✌✍✎✌✑ ❥1 ❦❧❨PP❚❲❚❨❱♠♥ ◗♠❳❱❖❳♦❖ ♣♦♦❧♦ ♠ ◗♠❳♠ qrs❳t✉❨
✒✓✔✕✓✖✗✎ ✐ ✷❅✌▲✌✸▼✌✻ ✈❁✦✩✴✇✩★✦ ①❬❴❵②③❬❬ ④❵⑤❋②④ ⑥❄✬✫❭✮✰ ✫✬✫✯✫✵
❛✘✑✕✹✓✑✎✍ ✘✗✸✏✎ ❜✸✔ ☞✌✍✎✏✎✌✍✎✌✑ ✒✓✔✕✓✖✗✎ ✐❑ ⑨ ✱✧⑩✩ ❶❋❴❴ ❀✲ ❷✦❸ ❣❵②❋❋③ ❴❵❣❋❴❣ ❋❴❵●❴●④ ❴❵❴❴❴❴
⑧1
✓✌ ✎✘✑✕✹✓✑✎ ✸❜ ⑦ ❹❃✦ ✱✧⑩✩ ❶❋❴❴❴ ❀✲ ❷✦❸ ❣❵③❋③③ ❴❵③❺❣❺ ❺❵❋③❴● ❴❵❴❴❴❴
1

✁✂✄✂☎✆✂☎✝ ❻❼✄❽❽❾❿ ✁✂✄✂☎✆✂☎✝ ❻❼✄❽❽❾❿

✁✞✟✠✡☛ ➅✡➆✟➁☛✄ ✁✞✟✠✡☛ ➅✡➆✟➁☛✄
✂✡ ➀➁✂❽➁✂ ➂✠✡➃❾➄ ✂✡ ➀➁✂❽➁✂ ➂✠✡➃❾➄

n
➊➋➌➍➎➎
✶✎✏✎✌✍✎✌✑ ✒✓✔✕✓✖✗✎
➇ Yi SSE
✷✘✓✹✏✗✎ ✹✎✓✌ ✸❜ n Y i ➈1
R➏✘➐❅✓✔✎ R2 ➓ 1➒
✸✖✘✎✔✺✓✑✕✸✌✘✻ ➉ ✷➑✸✎❜❜✕❏✕✎✌✑ ✸❜ TSS
n ✶✎✑✎✔✹✕✌✓✑✕✸✌✻

✶✎✏✎✌✍✎✌✑ ✒✓✔✕✓✖✗✎ ➊➋➌➎➙➛

✷✎✘✑✕✹✓✑✎✍ ✺✓✗❅✎ ❜✸✔ ✓
❆✕✺✎✌ ✺✎❏✑✸✔ ✸❜
Y➔ i → →
x→ →
x
↕ ➣ 0 ↔ ➣ 1 1i ↔ ➣ 2 2 i ↔ ➣ 3 3 i ↔ x ... ↔ ➣→ k x ki ➜❅✗✑✕✏✗✎ R R ➝ R2
✷➑✸✎❜❜✕❏✕✎✌✑ ✸❜
✕✌✍✎✏✎✌✍✎✌✑ ✺✓✔✕✓✖✗✎✘✻
➜❅✗✑✕✏✗✎ ➑✸✔✔✎✗✓✑✕✸✌✻

❛✔✔✸✔ ❜✸✔ ✸✖✘✎✔✺✓✑✕✸✌ i➞

➟➠✎ ❅✌✎➡✏✗✓✕✌✎✍
➳ SSE ➭
➯ ➩
✍✕❜❜✎✔✎✌❏✎ ✖✎✑▼✎✎✌ ✑➠✎
➲ n➵k ➵1➫
✓❏✑❅✓✗ ✺✓✗❅✎ ✸❜ Y❇ ✓✌✍ ➢i ➦ Yi ➥ Y➤ i ➊➋➌➊➍➎
R2 ➸ 1➵
✑➠✎ ✏✔✎✍✕❏✑✕✸✌ ❜✸✔ Y❇ ➧✍➨❅✘✑✎✍ R➏✘➐❅✓✔✎ ➳ SST ➭
✖✓✘✎✍ ✸✌ ✸❅✔ ✔✎❆✔✎✘✘✕✸✌ ➯ ➩
✹✸✍✎✗➞ ➲ n➵1➫

n 2
TSS ➙➋➙➺➺➊
SSE
➙➺➻➊➋➺➻➙➊ ➶ ➾➼ i ➪ Y Y➽ ➬ ➹➹➴ ➷ ➹➹➘ ❤✑✓✌✍✓✔✍ ❛✔✔✸✔ s➮ ✃
✷✸✔ ❤❤➟✻
➟✸✑✓✗ ❤❅✹ ✸❜ ❤➐❅✓✔✎✘ i ➚1 ✷✓➞▲➞✓➞ ❤✑✓✌✍✓✔✍ n➱k➱1
❛✔✔✸✔ ✸❜ ✑➠✎ ❛✘✑✕✹✓✑✎✻

2 Ó➺➋➊❐➎➛
n Ø
➎➺➙➋➺➊➛❐ Ò t➏✘✑✓✑✕✘✑✕❏ ❜✸✔ ✑✎✘✑✕✌❆ Ú1 Û 0
SSE Ñ ❰❒ i Ð Y Yi ❮ t0 Ü
❤❅✹ ✸❜ ❤➐❅✓✔✎✘ ✍❅✎ ✑✸
i Ï1
H 0 : Õ 1 Ô 0 ✺✘➞ sÙ 1
❛✔✔✸✔
H A : ×1 Ö 0
➊➋➊➙➊➍
Ý➻➋➛➎➊❐
SSE p➏✺✓✗❅✎ ❜✸✔ ✑✎✘✑✕✌❆
MSE ß p➏✺✓✗❅✎ ã P àT â t0 á
➜✎✓✌ ❤➐❅✓✔✎✘ ✍❅✎ ✑✸ nÞkÞ1 H 0 : Õ 1 Ô 0 ✺✘➞
❛✔✔✸✔
H A : ×1 Ö 0
n 2
➎❐➊Ý➋➊➺❐➻ ë
MSR
SSR ê çå i é Y Yæ ➙➎➋➊➻➌➍ F ì
❤❅✹ ✸❜ ❤➐❅✓✔✎✘ ✍❅✎ ✑✸ MSE
i è1 F
ä✎❆✔✎✘✘✕✸✌

➺➛➎➺➋➊➍➻❐ SSR nîk î1 R2

➜✎✓✌ ❤➐❅✓✔✎✘ ✍❅✎ ✑✸ MSR í ð ï
ä✎❆✔✎✘✘✕✸✌
k k 1 î R2