Europe's Leading Conventional Lithium Project: Savannah Resources PLC Corporate Presentation - March 2020
Europe's Leading Conventional Lithium Project: Savannah Resources PLC Corporate Presentation - March 2020
Europe's Leading Conventional Lithium Project: Savannah Resources PLC Corporate Presentation - March 2020
A N E N E R G Y M E TA L S G R O U P Lithium Project
SAVANNAH RESOURCES PLC
CORPORATE PRESENTATION – March 2020
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C O R P O R AT E S N A P S H O T
KEY DATA SHAREHOLDER ANALYSISii
OPTIONS/WARRANTSi 74,874,428
Alita ASX suspension (14 Aug-19) Nemaska TSX suspension (24 Dec-19)
iAs at 30 Mar 2020, iiAs at 31 Dec 2019, iiiBloomberg, Yahoo Finance (equity prices), S&P Global Platts (Spodumene price) 3
S TAT U S U P D AT E - P R O G R E S S M A D E I N 2 0 1 9 & 1 Q 2 0 2 0
Corporate:
• Won the UK Department of International Trade’s Overseas Direct Investment Award for Portugal
• £5m raised from new and existing shareholders in Sept-19 (6th largest raise by AIM mining Co in 2019)
• 2019 Year-end cash position of £3.5m, no debt
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S TAT U S U P D AT E - M I N A D O B A R R O S O
Commercialisation progressing well
Lithium offtake: Currently in advanced offtake negotiations for majority of spodumene concentrate produced
and working towards definitive agreement (significant achievement against challenging lithium market
background)
Co-product offtake: Currently in advanced offtake negotiations following declaration of maiden 14.4Mt co-
product (quartz and feldspar) resource in Sept-19
Contractor/Strategic Partner: Formalising potential Strategic Partnership with industrial group for provision of
multiple services during project construction and operation. Potential investment in the project also being
considered
Licencing process being initiated
Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA): 1st key report in licencing process to be submitted to Portuguese
authorities in April for review and approval (c.2,000 page document)
Mine Plan (MP): 2nd key report in licencing process covering all aspects of the project’s development and
operation, submitted alongside EIA (c.400 page document)
Financing preparations ongoing
Definitive Feasibility Study (DFS): For debt providers and other financiers, DFS to be completed this year once
metallurgical test work programmes completed. Can draw significant content from completed EIA and MP
EU battery initiative funding: Engagement with the EU’s lithium battery industry development initiatives
Stakeholder engagement to be expanded
EIA and MP provide factual basis for comprehensive stakeholder engagement throughout 2020
Benefit Sharing Plan in development
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S TAT U S U P D AT E - T H E L I M A R K E T 2 0 1 9 & Q 1 2 0
Positive:
• 2019 Li chemical demand +14.6% (+41kt LCE) y-o-y at 305kt LCEi
• US$17.4bn estimated funding secured by e-mobility companies in 2019ii
• 2019 Global EV sales +9% y-o-y to 2.26m (2.5% market share vs. 2.2% in 2018)iii
• Global EV sales now > total new car sales in South Koreaniv and in-line with UK salesV
• 44% growth in European EV sales and rapid development of domestic LIB industry
• Li supply industry reacted to falling prices with cuts to current & future production
• Chinese Government cancelled planned 2020 EV subsidy reduction
Negative:
China’s cut of 2019 EV subsidies impacted sales (+3% y-o-y), and N.Am sales fell y-o-yiii
2019 Li chemical production outweighed demand by 7% (73% produced in China)
Li prices ↓ ↓ ↓ : 2019 SC6 price 33%↓, Lithium carbonate 43%↓, Lithium Hydroxide
41% ↓iv as inventories of SC6 and Li chemicals built up
Li suppliers severely challenged by price falls & weak market sentiment
1Q 2020 SC6 inventory c.400kt, Li chemical inventory c.30kt. Equivalent to 10 weeks
and 6 weeks demand respectively in a ‘normal’ market
Pre-Coronavirus 2020 outlook:
EV sales growth in all major markets, especially in Europeiv
Inventories to clear during year and market in balancei
16 % growth in Li chemical demandi
iRK Equity Lithium Supply/Demand Update, March 2020
iiiEV-volumes.com ivBloombergNEF
iiEV Boosters, Global E-Mobility Funding Report, Q4 2019
vhttps://www.best-selling-cars.com/
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S TAT U S U P D AT E - L O N G T E R M L I M A R K E T O U T L O O K
ii, iii
Lithium Chemical Supply/Demand & Spodumene price forecast
Substantial long term growth expected in Li
demand:
Global EV sales forecast to rise from 2.3m in
2019 to c.10m in 2025i driving a 3x increase in
total lithium chemical demandii. (EV sales are
forecast at 28m in 2030i) Targeted MdB
commissioning
Supply crunch ahead: & ramp up
iCanaccord Genuity research note ‘Cosmic Irony’, 12 August 2019, Bloomberg Electric Vehicle Outlook 2019
iiRK Equity Lithium Supply/Demand Update, March 2020
iiiBenchmark Mineral Intelligence from Altura Mining’s ‘Proposed Debt Refinancing’ RNS, 2 Dec 2019
ivCompany estimates based on IHS Markit data in Transport & Environment, ‘Electric Surge: Carmakers’ electric car plans across Europe 2019-2025’, July 2019
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S TAT U S U P D AT E - E U R O P E A N L I T H I U M M A R K E T
i
8
iEV-volumes.com iiTransport & Environment, ‘Electric Surge: Carmakers’ electric car plans across Europe 2019-2025’, July 2019
*important Project of common European Interest
E U E V M A R K E T - N E E D S I T S O W N L I B S U P P LY C H A I N
Auto LIB Demand 2020: c.46 GWhi 2025: c.176 GWhi 2030: c.215 GWhi
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iiiCompany estimates based on Benchmark Mineral Intelligence, ‘Europe’s Role in the Battery Megafactory Supply Chain’, Mar-19
ivCompany estimate based on LCE production rates in latest studies from Deutsche Lithium, EUA, EMH, INF, KELIBER, SAV, assuming all are in production by 2025
v5 of the 6 proposed Li chemical plants are part of combined mine-plant development projects by Deutsche Lithium, EUA, EMH, INF, KELIBER
MINA DO BARROSO - LITHIUM PROJECT OVERVIEW
Mina do Barroso is one of four highly Savannah acquired a 75% interest in the In June 2019 Savannah exercised an
prospective lithium tenements covering Portuguese Li portfolio in May 2017 and option with Aldeia & Irmão S.A. for the
546km2 in northern Portugal - one granted secured 100% control via an all share acquisition of a 2.94km2, three-block
Mining Leasei (5.42km2), a Mining Licence transaction for the outstanding 25% Mining Lease (once granted) near the
application and three pending Exploration completed in June 2019 Mina do Barroso Mining Lease
Licence Applicationsii
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M I N A D O B A R R O S O - K E Y D E P O S I T S A N D TA R G E T S
Mina do Barroso features multiple lithium deposits across the 30 year c-100 Mining Leasei
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M I N A D O B A R R O S O - C O N C E P T U A L S I T E L AYO U T
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MINA DO BARROSO – GOOD GOVERNMENT SUPPORT
13
PROJECT TIMELINE – MINA DO BARROSO
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ADDITIONAL UPSIDE - MOZAMBIQUE
M U TA M B A H E AV Y M I N E R A L S A N D S
World class project with significant scale being developed in partnership with Rio Tinto
One of the largest undeveloped, globally
significant, mineral sands projects
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M O Z A M B I Q U E - M U TA M B A I N N U M B E R S
M AY 2 0 1 7 S C O P I N G S T U D Y BY T Z M I S H O W S P O T E N T I A L F O R A L O N G L I F E , R O B U S T P R O J E C T
NPVii 2:451
Targeting annual average LOM strip ratio
US$245M (waste:ore)
production of 456,000t of
ilmenite and 118,000t of
non-magnetic concentrate IRRii Paybackii
23% 4 years
iBased on Management Case Two +20% Product Price (US$/t), RNS 30.05.17
iiBased on Management Case One +10% Product Price (US$/t) and Pre-tax figures. RNS 30.05.17
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ADDITIONAL UPSIDE - OMAN
B L O C K 4 & 5 C O P P E R P R O J E C T S – S T R AT E G I C R E V I E W U N D E R W AY
Majority stake in two large exploration blocks on the copper rich Semail ophiolite belt
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THE INVESTMENT CASE -
EUROPE’S LEADING CONVENTIONAL LITHIUM PROJECT
Owner/operator of the 100% owned Mina do Barroso Lithium Project in Portugal - Western
Europe’s largest spodumene lithium discovery…and growing!
Strategically located close to the EU’s fast-growing lithium ion battery production hubs. Geo-
economically strategic to the development of an end-to-end lithium value chain in Europe
Strong market fundamentals for Electric Vehicles – European automotive lithium demand to
rise 7x by 2025 as OEMs are forced to produce more EVs to meet tightening emissions
legislation and respond to growing public awareness of climate change issues
Progress made over the past 12 months has significantly de-risked the Mina do Barroso Project
Additional value from world class heavy mineral sand project in JV with Rio Tinto and high-
grade copper project in Oman
iCompany estimates based on IHS Markit data in Transport & Environment, ‘Electric Surge: Carmakers’ electric car plans across Europe 2019-2025’, July 2019
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APPENDIX
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THE EXECUTIVE TEAM
DAVID ARCHER - CEO
Over 30 years’ mining experience
Outstanding track record of successful public company development – resources, telecommunications, oil & gas
CEO of ASX quoted Savage Resources - developed from small IPO to a major, mid-tier mining group with a
market cap of ~AUD$400m
Advanced ASX quoted Hillgrove Resources from a listed shell into a profitable, dividend paying, AUD$200m market
cap company
MICHAEL MCGARTY - CFO
Qualified accountant with extensive M&A, Financial Leadership, and strategic planning experience
Previous roles at blue chip MNC (Ingersoll Rand - NYSE:IR) covering Europe, Middle East and Africa: Commercial
Financial Controller, Director of FP&A, Leader of European Sarbanes-Oxley compliance initiative,
Finance and Project Management
Technical
Consultants
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MINA DO BARROSO - THE PROJECT IN NUMBERSi
The June 2018 Scoping Study by Hatch demonstrated Mina do Barroso’s economic viability
Operating parameters and assumptions Financial & economic outcomes
Mineable open pit resource 14.4Mt @ 1.07% Li2O Revenue (LoM; Avg pa) ii US$1,555m; US$140m
LoM Stripping ratio (waste: ore) 5.2: 1 EBITDA (LoM; Avg pa) US$805m; US$73m
Final Lithium concentrate product 6% Li2O spodumene (Spod) Pre-tax FCF (LoM; Avg pa) US$651m; US$59m
Spod concentrate production & Avg price 175,000tpa; US$685/t Net FCF (LoM; Avg pa) US$458m; US$41m
Lithium carbonate/hydroxide equivalent ~26,000tpa/~29,000tpa Pre-tax NPV (8% discount rate) US$356m
Co-products feldspar, quartz, pegmatite Pre-tax IRR 63.2%
Li recovery processing route (80% recovery) crush-grind-DMS-flotation Pre-tax payback 1.7 years
C1 cash costs (net of co-product revenues) US$271/t concentrate Post-tax NPV (8% discount rate) US$241m
Production in context:
Lithium carbonate equivalent (net of conversion losses): 22,100tpaiii
Lithium carbonate requirement/kWh of battery capacity: 0.8kg/kWhiv
BMW i3 2019 battery pack capacity: 42kWhv
Jaguar i-Pace 2019 battery pack capacity: 90kWhv
Mina do Barroso annual production vehicle battery pack equivalent: 307,000 (Jaguar I-Pace) – 655,000 (BMW i-3)
iFigures based on June 2018 Scoping Study, RNS 13.06.18 iiRevenue: lithium and co-products
iiiAssuming plant Li2O conversion rate of 85% ivRoskill, pers comm, January 2019
vhttps://ev-database.uk
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MINA DO BARROSO - CO-PRODUCT CREDITS
Testing has shown tailings stream from the lithium concentrator has significant commercial value
+ Co-products from the Li concentrator tail include: High purity feldspar & quartz
and a bulk, mixed feldspar-quartz stream
+ Commercial test work has shown that:
+ The feldspar product is suitable for use in ceramics, float & container
glass and could sell at US$65-100/t vs. Scoping Study assumed price of
US$39/t
+ The quartz product is suitable for use in lead crystal & container glass
and could sell at US$60-100/t vs. Scoping Study assumed price of
US$33/t
+ Bulk tail (mixed feldspar & quartz) suitable for use in ceramics and could
sell at US$40-45/t
+ Bulk tail production only could save c.US$15m on plant capex
+ Portugal and Spain produce 570 million m2 of ceramic tiles per yeari (Europe has
a ~€30bn ceramics market)ii
+ ~33Mt of container and float glass are produced in Europe each year, including
from plants in Portugal and Spainiii
+ Discussions are underway with potential offtake partners/customers for all
products to determine sales volumes
+ Co-product resource estimates to be published this year
iSource: First Test Minerals Ltd iiSource: Cerame-Unie iiiSources: Glass Alliance Europe, Glass for Europe, EY
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M I N A D O B A R R O S O – THE LI RESOURCE HAS GROWN RAPIDLY
50 Mineral Resource
Exploration Target Range
45
Potential Project Mineral
Inventory Range
40
35
30
(Mt)
25
20
15
10
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M I N A D O B A R R O S O - LARGE RESOURCE + GROWTH POTENTIAL
Spodumene is the primary Li2O bearing mineral, with trace or low amounts (~1%) of Li2O also present within eucryptite and petalite,
both lithium aluminosilicate minerals, similar in structure to spodumene. Trace epidolite (lithium bearing mica) is also present
Primary gangue minerals are feldspar (albite and microcline), quartz and mica (muscovite and phlogophite)
Deposits included
Current JORC (2012) Mineral Resource Estimate on the C-100 Mining Lease (May 2019, 0.5% Li2O cut-off)
Measured Indicated Inferred Total
Grandao Million tonnes 6.6 8.4 12.0 27.0
Reservatorio Li2O (%) 1.1 1.0 1.1 1.0
Pinheiro Fe2O3 (%) 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.9
NOA
Contained Li2O (000t) 72 87 128 286
Aldeia Block A
Contained LCE equivalent (000t) 177 214 316 707
MULTIPLE OPPORTUNITIES TO ADD TO THE CURRENT MINERAL RESOURCE BASE AND EXTEND THE PROJECT’S CURRENT 11 YEAR SCHEDULE
iCautionary Statement: The potential quantity and grade of the Exploration Targets is conceptual in nature, there has been insufficient exploration work to estimate a mineral resource
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LITHIUM MINING IN PORTUGAL -
THE INDUSTRY EXISTS - AND MOVING TO 5TH PLACE
Portugal is already the world’s 10th largest lithium miner in 2018, and the largest in Europe
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SAVANNAH
www.savannahresources.com
[email protected]
@SavannahRes