Sr. No. of Question Paper 6699 Your Roll No ...............

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Sr. No. of Question Paper 6699 D Your Roll No ............... .

Unique Paper Code 237101

Name of the Course B.Sc. (Dons.) Statistics - First Year

Name of the Paper STHT - 104 : Probability and Statistical Methods - I

Semester I

Time : 3 Hours Maximum Marks: 75

Instructions for Candidates

1. Write your Roll No. on the top immediately on receipt of this question paper.
2. Attempt 6 questions in all.
3. Q. No. 1 is compulsory.
4. Attempt 5 more questions selecting atleast 2 questions from each section.

1. (a) Fill in the blanks :

(i) Mean Deviation is least when taken about _ __

(ii) If P2 <3, the distribution is said to be _ __

(iii) 10 is the mean of 7 observations and 5 is the mean of 3 observations.


The mean of the combined set is _ __

(iv) If attributes A and B are completely associated then---

(v) If A and B are mutually exclusive events, then P(A n B)= _ __

(b) Variance of first n natural numbers is _ __

(c) Suppose P(A)=0.7, P(B)=0.5 and P(A n ~) = 0.1. Find

(i) P(A n B)

(ii) P(A I B)

P.T.O.

r
6699 2

(d) If A and Bare two mutually exclusive events, then show that

- P(A)
p (AI B) = [1- p (B) J
0

(e) Examine whether A and B are independent, positively associated or negatively


associated given that :

(A)= 490, (AB) = 294, (a)= 57 and (ap) = 380.

(f) If 25% of the items are less than 10 and 25% are more than 40, then the
coefficient of quartile deviation is (5,2,2,2,2,2)

SECTION -A

2. (a) The mean and the standard deviation of a given variable X are m and cr
respectively. If the deviations are small compared with the value of the
mean, show that

Mean ( 1 )
.j;_ = 1 ( 1 + Sm
J;;; 3cr ) approximately.

2

(b) Find the mean deviation about mean and standard deviation of A.P. a,
a+d, a+2d, ... , a+2nd and verify that standard deviation is greater than mean
deviation about mean. (6,6)

3. (a) Discuss the principle of least squares. Derive the normal equations for
fitting the curve Y = abx to the given set of n points {(xi, y), i = 1,2 .... n}.

(b) Define Pearsonian coefficients P" P2, yl' y2 and discuss their utility in
statistics. Also prove that for any discrete distribution P2 > 1. (6,6)

4. (a) Let r be the range and" s be the standard deviation of a set of observations
XI, x2, xn. Prove that s ::5: r.
000

(b) Given the following ultimate class frequencies, find the frequencies of positive
class:

..,
6699 3

(ABC)= 149, (ABy) = 738, (APC) = 225, (Apy) = 1196, (aBC)= 204,
(aBy) = 1762, (ape)= 171, (apy) = 21842. (6,6)

5. (a) In an anti-malarial campaign in a certain area, quinine was administered to


812 persons out of a total population of 3248. The number of fever cases
is shown below :

Treatment Fever No Fever

Quinine 20 792

No Quinine 220 2216

Discuss the usefulness of quinine in checking malaria.

(b) In a frequency table, the upper boundary of each class interval has a constant
ratio to the lower boundary. Show that the geometric mean G may be
expressed by the following formula :

log G = Xo + ~ z)i (i - 1),


I

where x0 is the logarithm of the mid value of the first interval and c is the
logarithm of the ratio between upper and lower boundaries. (6,6)

SECTION B

6. (a) Give the classical and statistical definitions of probability. What are the
objections raised in these definitions?

(b) Ifp 1 = P(A), p 2 = P(B), p 3 = P(A n B) (p 1, p2, p 3 ~ 0), express the following
in terms of pi' p 2 , p 3 :

(i) P(A u B) (ii) P(A u 13)


(iii) P(A n B) (iv) P(A u B)

(v) P(A n 13) (vi) P(A n B) (6,6)

PTO.

I
6699 4

7. (a) For any three events A, B and C, defined on the sample space S, prove that
P(A uBI C) = P(A I C) + P(B I C) - P(A n B I C).

(b) In a random arrangement ofthe letters of the word 'COMMERCE', find the
probability that all the vowels come together. (6,6)

8. (a) An urn contains four tickets marked with numbers 112, 121, 211, 222 and
one ticket is drawn at random. Let A;(i = 1,2,3) be the event that i1h digit of
the number of the ticket drawn is 1. Discuss the independence of the events
A 1, A 2 and A 3 •

(b) State Bayes' theorem.


The contents of urns I, II and III are as follows :
1 white, 2 black and 3 red balls,
2 white, 1 black and 1 red balls and
4 white, 5 black and 3 red balls.
One urn is chosen at random and two balls are drawn from it. They
happen to be white and red. What is the probability that they come from urn
III? (6,6)

(200)

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