Ogilvy TheAnnual
Ogilvy TheAnnual
Ogilvy TheAnnual
OGILVY CONSULTING
The Behavioural
Science Annual
The ambition of our global practice is to creatively apply the insights
of behavioural science to diagnose, create and validate what we call
‘Unseen Opportunities’. These can be fresh ways of looking at a
problem, as well as interventions helping us to address old challenges in
unexpected and effective ways.
Critically, the intention of The Annual is not simply to share the projects
where we have achieved significant impact, but also interventions
that are incomplete or unsuccessful in their objective. As public and
private sector organisations increasingly look to behavioural insights
to address their challenges, we hope our experience and learning will
advance our success and ultimately, help us all achieve more positive
outcomes through behavioural science.
We’re immensely proud of our work this year and we hope you enjoy
the read!
SAM TATAM
Consulting Partner
Head of Behavioural Science,
Ogilvy Consulting, UK
1
At A Glance
HELPING ORGANISATIONS...
Reciprocity Self-Efficacy
TO ACHIEVE...
• Nudging direct debit payments
• Creating a ‘Home Safe Checklist’
• Giving ‘free’ a value for teenagers
• Optimising coffee cup collection bins
• Designing better debt advice
• Re-framing recycling waste
• Behavioural ergonomics for safer factories
• Improving banners to nudge donations
• New envelopes to nudge donations
• Asking twice for mental health
2
Contents
THE VIEW FROM RORY 4
INTERVENTIONS FOR 39
LOCAL GOVERNMENT AND THE PUBLIC SECTOR
3
Here’s to the people
who changed their
behaviour this year.
4
THE VIEW FROM RORY
There are two great things about behavioural interventions. The first is
that they work. The second is that they don’t always work completely, or
not in the way we expect. For people obsessed with conceptual neatness
and reductionist models of the world, this messiness is a constant
source of frustration. I believe it is an underappreciated virtue of the
behavioural approach.
Let’s take the example of direct debit payments on page 40. There
are many ‘bad’ reasons why someone may not complete a direct debit
mandate: they may not find the benefits salient, for instance, or they may
not realise that the council prefers you to pay that way. Maybe they’ve
never done it before. Or they may be focused on the short term: at time
of deciding, it may be easier to send a one-off payment than to dig out
your bank details, and so short-term expediency triumphs over long-
term ease.
But there are also ‘good’ reasons not to fill in a direct debit. Best of all
might be that you don’t have a bank account. Or perhaps your finances
are so precarious that you could never be sure in advance that you
had funds available to cover the payment. Or perhaps you are secretly
planning to skip town and hide out in the Ecuadorian Embassy for the
next seven years?
5
When Richard Thaler wrote Nudge, the working title was Libertarian
Paternalism. Since its release, there has been more attention paid
to the paternalistic aspects of the idea than to the libertarian ones.
But the libertarian aspect is vitally important. In the case study on
page 40 (indeed in many of the cases in this report) a lawyer or an
economist would devise solutions that are wholly inappropriate or
unfair for a large percentage of the sample. An economist might fine
people for not completing a direct debit or else subsidise people who
do; a lawyer might make direct debits mandatory. In each case they
are penalising people who have perfectly sound reasons for dissenting.
(The annoying thing about government is that it is the lawyers and
economists who tend to be consulted first; it makes no sense to try
compulsion before you have even attempted persuasion.)
Or let’s assume that you charge people much more for running their
domestic appliances during the day (when carbon emissions are higher
for every kilowatt used). Is this a good idea? Well it would work. But
it would be significantly unfair to people who work night shifts, who
might be understandably reluctant to leave their appliances running
while unattended (indeed it might even be dangerous). It would also
be unkind to people in apartments whose bedroom lies beneath their
neighbour’s washer-dryer when it launches the spin-cycle at 3am.
6
I make this point because understanding the upside to the limitations
of persuasion is vital if we are accurately to assess the success of
any nudge-style intervention. If a benign behaviour which was
previously adopted by 40% of people is, post-nudge, adopted by 60%,
how successful have we been? Framed one way, we have increased
conversion by 50%, which is significant. But how successful have
we been overall? Is our intervention only 33% effective, since we
persuaded only one third of the audience to change their minds? I think
this understates things. Indeed, if 30% of people have a good reason
not to change their behaviour, I would argue that we have been 66%
effective, since two thirds of the people who can and should adopt a new
behaviour have now done so. And (unlike a typical solution proposed by
lawyers or economists) we have imposed no unfair penalties or coercion
on people who are perfectly justified in continuing doing what they did
before.
in a better light.”
7
8
1
INTERVENTIONS
FOR THE
CHARITY AND
NON-PROFIT
SECTOR
9
Increasing donations
with heavy envelopes
AUTHOR: MADDIE CROUCHER
Our Approach
A long list of ideas were then refined, developed, and prioritised with
Christian Aid, guided by anticipated feasibility and impact. This
resulted in six final behavioural strategies, brought to life in six new
envelope designs.
10
Country: UK Trial length: 1 week
Date: May 2018 Sample: 200,000 per condition
Our ideas
2. Urgency
“We’re collecting donations this
week only!” banner.
Strategy: Scarcity
3. Appeal
“Appeal. Donation Envelope”
banner.
Strategy: Cognitive Ease
4. Orientation
Portrait orientation envelope to give
cues that it was an envelope rather
than a leaflet.
Strategy: Affordance Cues
5. Gift Aid
Highlighting the benefits of Gift Aid
“Boost your donation by 25% for
free”.
Strategy: Salience
6. Weight
Using thicker paper stock to increase
the perceived value of the envelope.
Strategy: Costly Signalling
11
Our Results
• Orientation +17%
• Weight +14%
• Hand Delivered Stamp +13%
• Appeal +10%
Specifically, the Orientation and Hand Delivered Stamp drove return
rates, the Weight envelope drove average donations, and Appeal
drove both.
12
RETURN RATE: NUMBER OF ENVELOPES RECEIVED (CHI-SQUARE TEST)
Note: only gift aided envelopes were tracked as part of this trial
13
Start small, ask twice!
Creating simple actions
for better Mental Health
AUTHOR: SARA BARQAWI
Our Approach
Our Ideas
From the COM-B diagnosis, three creative concepts were brought into
initial research. Research consisted of nine focus groups, engaging over
90 people in total.
The strongest performer from this testing was ‘Ask Twice’, a message
encouraging those to ask their friends how they are, twice, to break
beyond the response of ’I’m fine’ the first time around.
14
Country: UK
Sample: 600 C1C2D men
Date: October 2018–Present
15
Our Results
After having seen our campaign, 35% of our sample claimed that
they've stepped in to help a friend.4 When extrapolated to the broader
picture of all of those who have recognised the campaign, this equates
to the behaviour change of 547,000 people. 5 In terms of media spend,
that equates to £1.15 per person taking action – our most effective
campaign yet.6
HTTPS://WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/WATCH?V=NOKH2JGK4P0
16
CALL TO ACTION
Amongst those who viewed the ‘Ask Twice’ campaign, there was greater
self-reported willingness to 'check-in with a friend', 'listen without
judging' and 'watch out for friends acting differently', compared to
previous campaigns.
Base: All who recognised Time To Change campaign: IYC 1 – April 2017 (94);
IYC 2 – October 2017 (166); Ask Twice – October 2018 (192).
17
Ads for Good
AUTHOR: PETE DYSON
Let’s be honest, we all usually hit the ‘skip ad’ button when faced with an
advert online. Could we design a compelling message to motivate users to
watch the adverts they are shown and donate to charity in the process?
Our Approach
Our Ideas
18
Country: UK Trial length: 4 months
Date: April 2018 Sample: 500,000 users
The banner concepts were tested online for a period of four months –
showing ads to over half a million people. The banners were shown to
500,000 users and received over 13,000 clicks on sites such as Stylist,
Netmums, The Londonist, CityAM and WikiHow.
Our Results
The test was kept accurate by using Good Loop’s original banner
supported by the mattress brand Simba. The independent variable was
the seven behavioural conditions, which aimed to achieve a better click-
through-rate (CTR).
“Our platform
needed a creative
leap and it was
the behavioural
framework that
really cracked
open these
new banner
executions for us”
AMY WILLIAMS,
FOUNDER & CEO, GOOD-LOOP
19
Dealing with debt:
Helping users make the right start
AUTHOR: JORDAN BUCK
It’s not just what you say, it’s how you say it.
The Money Advice Trust (MAT) has been producing a self-help advice
guide for 25 years, designed to give those with financial issues all the
necessary information they need to resolve and deal with their debts.
However, the guide had not had a significant review or redesign in over
five years, and there had also been no independent user-testing during
this time. Our challenge was to help MAT redesign and restructure
the guide, embedding behavioural science techniques to make it more
behaviourally motivating, putting the user experience at the heart of the
redesign.
Our Approach
Working alongside MAT and the Money and Pensions Service (formerly
Money Advice Service), we immersed ourselves in the existing guide and
conducted research to uncover relevant insights regarding the current
benefits and drawbacks of the existing guide.
20
Country: UK
Official launch: April 2019
Date: 2017–2018
The strongest concepts were incorporated into an initial draft of the new
guide. Comprehensive user-testing was then conducted to validate and
improve the guide’s effectiveness, ensuring that everything in the newly
designed resource is ultimately driven by the needs of the end user.
21
Our Ideas
One key insight was that simply giving people all the necessary
information is not enough to enable and encourage a lasting and
concerted behaviour change.
The Results
The new ‘How to deal with debt’ guide is now available in debt advice
charities across England and Wales. It is available both in print and
online, and can be downloaded from www.nationaldebtline.org
22
“We are delighted to have worked with the Money and
Pensions Service and Ogilvy Consulting Behavioural Science
Practice in producing a resource that we hope resonates with
people in debt and inspires them to take action”
JOANNA ELSON
OBE, CEO OF THE MONEY ADVICE TRUST
23
Making waste feel
like a wasted opportunity
AUTHOR: DANE SMITH
24
Country: Australia Trial length: 4 months
Date: : November 2018–February 2019 Sample: 4.691 million
Our Approach
Our Ideas
25
Our Results
From the start, our campaign has greatly exceeded industry benchmarks.
Awareness
Participation
26
OUR BROADCAST ADVERTISEMENT, URGING QUEENSLANDERS NOT TO
THROW AWAY THE CASH IN THEIR CONTAINERS.
HTTPS://WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/WATCH?V=OJ0QLPB7ULG
27
28
2
INTERVENTIONS
FOR THE
PRIVATE
SECTOR
29
Counting the cups:
Helping to make recycling
behaviour more noticeable.
AUTHOR: JORDAN BUCK
Over seven million disposable coffee cups are used every day in the UK8,
but less than 1% of those cups are currently recycled.
30
Country: UK
Date: Jul 2018—Oct 2018
Our Approach
31
Our Ideas
One of our intervention ideas combined two new bin designs, making
it as simple and easy as possible for people to correctly dispose of their
cups. A key issue we identified was that of contamination; namely,
people not recycling correctly (removing the lid and liquid from the
cup) and putting other material in the recycling bins.
32
Additional ideas in development are:
33
Making safety salient
AUTHOR: PETE DYSON
Our Approach
34
Country: USA & Canada Trial length: 18 months
Date: 2017–2018 Sample: 5,000 employees
across 4 manufacturing sites
Our Ideas
Workers suffer from stress when their machines are running below
target (typically measured on an hourly board). Colour theory suggests
that swapping red pens for purple pens would calm people down. We
saw a 26% reduction in operators feeling pressure to ‘catch up’ on a task.
35
Mindful Moment
Results
36
“I’d never have expected operators could be learning
and applying behavioural science principles to
improve their own and teammates’ safety. This
approach is unique in the safety space”
MATT LITTLETON,
SAFETY LEAD, KIMBERLY-CLARK FAMILY CARE
NORTH AMERICA
37
38
3
INTERVENTIONS
FOR THE
PUBLIC
SECTOR
39
Creating the 'Effort Index'
Nudging to Direct Debit payments
AUTHOR: MIKE HUGHES
Our Approach
1. Opening the letter: We found that some clients did not open
their letters due to the high volume of letters received, or
simply because they believed it could be bills or spam. This
was exacerbated by not having any indication of who the letter
was from.
2. Acceptance to pay: The invoice received didn’t outline the
previous agreement to undergo care; therefore, some clients
were not expecting an invoice. In addition, some service users
did not agree that they had to pay for their care; or were
confused about the state of their current care plan.
3. Making a payment: For many, it wasn’t immediately clear
on the ‘next steps' necessary to make a payment. The helpline
number included on the invoice was no longer in use. Similarly,
there was no perceived consequence for non-payment, as well as
a lack of positive reinforcement for paying, while there was no
‘preferred’ way for the user to pay.
40
Country: UK Trial length: 3 months
Date: February 2018–February 2019 Sample: 1100 Worcestershire
Care Users
Our Ideas
41
2). Increase the perceived value of the service:
Concreteness: Stating that ‘every penny you pay goes back into
providing your care’ (with an image of a penny included) increased
the ease for users to understand how their care is funded.
Labour Illusion: Highlighting the effort that the care workers go to,
to deliver ‘thousands of hours’ of care, increased the perception of the
service’s value.
Goal Gradient: Using a ‘negative’ goal gradient helped the user more
easily process where they currently were in the journey and indicated
the consequences of non-payment (e.g. ‘investigation commences in
14 days’).
Our Results
42
CONDITION 1 CONDITION 2 CONDITION 3
Increase Increase
the ease to the ease to
+ +
Current process process
Version As information information
Increase Increas
Is the the
perceived perceive
value of the consequen
service
ON 1 CONDITION 2 CONDITION 3
Increase Increase
the ease to the ease to
+ +
t process process
As information information
Increase Increase
the the
perceived perceived
value of the consequences
service
ON 2 CONDITION 3
Increase
the ease to
+
process
ncrease information Increase
the the
erceived perceived
lue of the consequences
service WE RANDOMLY ASSIGNED
DOMICILIARY CARE RECEIVERS
ACROSS 3 CONDITIONS,
vice “Failure to pay means TESTING OUR TWO
e” moving to the next stage” EXPERIMENTAL CONDITIONS
AGAINST THE CONTROL.
43
44
PERCENTAGE OF DIRECT DEBIT SIGNUPS
WITHIN EACH CONDITION AND PHASE
If we were to roll out our direct debit intervention for the domiciliary
care service within WCC, we could potentially see a total benefit of
approximately £70,000* over the next 12 months (reduced invoicing
costs and increased debt repayment).
45
Raising the bar of patient experience
AUTHOR: VISHAL GEORGE
People don’t always understand the treatment they receive. In the National
Adult Inpatient Experience Survey, understanding of medication side-
effects and condition management received persistently low scores. Health
Quality and Safety Commission partnered with our behavioural science
team at Ogilvy to investigate these questions and co-designed three
nudges to fix issues and improve patient experience in hospitals.
Our Approach
46
Country: New Zealand Trial length: Co-designed nudges
Date: October 2018 between November 2017
and February 2018
Sample: 20 patients per hospital
for our pre-pilot
47
Measurements
Right. The final version of the ‘Home Safe Checklist’ nudge pre-piloted with
patients at the Whangarei Hospital (Waikato DHB) in New Zealand. This
behaviourally optimised checklist incorporates the following features: (a) The
‘Am I ready to go home?’ heading primes patients to think about what they
need to know, (b) The check-list arranges information into easy to process
chunks 4 (c) The salient5 red icon draws attention to ‘Speak with your nurse’
and (d) the signature request at the start asks as a commitment6 device for
users to complete the information.
48
For more information:
Publication of Phase 1 Investigation - https://www.hqsc.govt.nz/assets/Consumer-
Engagement/Publications/Raising_the_bar_on_the_National_Patient_Experience_Survey_-_
May_2017.pdf
49
An offer too good to be true? Framing
value for the National Citizen Service
AUTHOR: JACK DUDDY
NCS tasked us to find the most appealing way to frame the £50 cost.
The challenge was to increase the perceived value of the course without
changing the price and using language alone. These ‘value frames’ would
have to apply to two audiences: teens (15–17 years old) and their parents/
guardians.
Our Approach
50
Country: UK Sample: 600 teens and 600 parents/
Date: 2017—2018 guardians across the UK.
Our Ideas
Our Results
The 10 frames were placed into a conjoint analysis test using 1,200
participants across the UK: 600 teens and 600 parents/guardians. The
results illustrated that two frames resonated most strongly with teenagers:
However, the strongest result resonated extremely well with both audiences:
These value frames have now become a key part of NCS’s marketing
and acquisition strategies.
51
Results of Conjoint Analysis for Teens frame preference.
Sample size: 600 teens and 600 parents/guardians across the UK.
52
Behavioural Principles Glossary:
Affordance Cues. Affordance cues give us a hint of how we should interact
with something.
Ambiguity aversion. We have an instinctive avoidance of the unknown.
Anchoring. We rely heavily on initial pieces of information as a reference
point for making subsequent decisions.
Chunking. Smaller, individual tasks are perceived as less daunting than big
ones with multiple, interacting stages
Cognitive Ease. We have a preference for tasks that are perceived as ‘easier’
to achieve.
Commitment. We like to be seen to be consistent in our promises and actions.
Concreteness. We process concrete concepts easier than abstract ones.
Costly Signalling. We trust things more when we feel there is an inherent
cost attached to produce them.
Endowment. Closely related to the concept of loss aversion, the prospect of
owning something increases its value to us.
Effort Reward Heuristic. We value things more when we have expended
more effort on them.
Goal Gradient. The closer we think we are to completing a goal, the more we
try to achieve it.
Labour Illusion. We value things more when we believe extra effort has been
exerted on our behalf.
Loss aversion. We are more motivated to avoid losses than to pursue gains.
Ostrich Effect. We tend to avoid making choices when faced with a
potentially negative outcome.
Power of Free. We see no downside to FREE – this makes it overly,
irrationally, attractive.
Reciprocity. We feel compelled to return favours done on our behalf.
Regret aversion. When people fear that their decision will turn out to be
sub-optimal or wrong in hindsight they attempt to minimise potential regret.
Salience. Our attention is drawn to what’s novel and seems relevant to us.
Scarcity. People value attractive products more highly when they believe that
they are scarce.
Self-efficacy. An individual’s belief in their ability to achieve a goal.
Social Norms. Our behaviour is heavily influenced by that of others, with
common patterns signalling what is 'appropriate’.
Re-framing. Information may be numerically identical, but people will
interpret them very differently depending upon how it is presented.
53
Behavioural Frameworks Explained:
COM-B. The COM-B model is a powerful diagnostic tool which can help us
understand and prioritise why desired behaviour is or isn’t happening. Developed
by Susan Michie et al. at UCL, the model helps us identify key barriers to
overcome, and key drivers to leverage for preferred behaviour change.
For more information: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21513547
MINDSPACE. MINDSPACE is behaviour change framework that boils
down the last century of behavioural research into nine principles of human
behaviour. Professor Paul Dolan and some of the world’s leading behavioural
thinkers have developed the MINDSPACE framework to make it possible to
apply psychological insights to non-academic settings.
For more information: https://www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/sites/
default/files/publications/MINDSPACE.pdf
EAST. A behaviour change framework developed by The Behavioural
Insights Team, EAST suggests that if you want to encourage a behaviour,
make it Easy, Attractive, Social and Timely (EAST).
For more information: https://www.behaviouralinsights.co.uk/wp-content/
uploads/2015/07/BIT-Publication-EAST_FA_WEB.pdf
References:
1. Time To Change Campaign, “Ask Twice”, October 2018 Adult Campaign Dip
by Consumer Insights, p. 41.
2. Ibid, p. 19.
3. Time To Change Campaign, “Ask Twice”, October 2018 Adult Campaign Dip,
Highlights, p.10.
4. Ibid, p.20.
5. Ibid.
6. Ibid, p. 21.
7. Kahneman, D. & Tversky, A. (1992). "Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative
representation of uncertainty". Journal of Risk and Uncertainty. 5 (4): 297–323.
8. https://www.independent.co.uk/environment/disposable-coffee-cups-
how-big-problem-environment-landfill-recycling-incinerate-export-
rubbish-a8142381.html
9. Lindhout, P., Reniers, G. (2017). What about nudges in the process industry?
Exploring a new safety management tool.
10. Phillips, R. O., Fyhri, A., & Sagberg, F. (2011). Risk compensation and bicycle
helmets. Risk Analysis: An International Journal, 31(8), 1187-1195.
11. Dekker, S. (2014). Safety differently: human factors for a new era. CRC Press.
54
Editors of this document:
An innovative and creative behavioural strategist, Mike excels at solving
complex problems through behavioural insight and creative thinking.
Mike is host of Ogilvy’s ‘O Behave’ podcast, you can listen to him ask
the biggest questions in behavioural science here:
https://soundcloud.com/o-behave
55
Introducing Ogilvy Consulting
Behavioural Science.
A unique skillset of psychologists, designers,
evolutionary biologists & marketers.
Stay In Touch
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http://o-behave.tumblr.com/
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https://soundcloud.com/o-behave
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June 2019
This paper is published by Ogilvy Consulting. No article may be reproduced or
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56
OGILVY CONSULTING
OGILVY CONSULTING
The Behavioural
Science Annual