Risk Management
Risk Management
Risk Management
TERM PROJECT
GROUP
2
Table of Contents
Introduction..........................................................................................................................3
Financial Analysis............................................................................................................6
Ratio Analysis..................................................................................................................7
Competitors Analysis.....................................................................................................10
Comparison....................................................................................................................10
Credit risk:.....................................................................................................................15
Market risk.....................................................................................................................16
Liquidity risk:................................................................................................................16
Operational risk.............................................................................................................17
Prices Changes...................................................................................................................17
Conclusion.....................................................................................................................18
Bibliography......................................................................................................................19
3
Introduction
The report aims to analyze a Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD Bank) functioning under Canada's
principles and framework. The first chapter comprises an industrial overview that evaluates the
size, market share, trends, and briefly outlines Canada's banking regulation. In the second
chapter, Financial statements are analyzed particularly over five years period (from 2015 to
2019) through Horizontal and Ratio analysis. Moreover, the Royal Bank of Canada is compared
to various dimensions with TD Bank for five years to measure profitability and risk. The third
chapter is comprised of risk management. This chapter aims to analyze the bank risk appetite,
exposure, and different type of risk associated with it. In chapter third, the pieces changes are
compared and evaluated for Royal Bank of Canada, Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD Bank), and
Banking serves as the backbone of any economy. Canadian banking hold assets of more than
trillions of dollars. Five banks dominate the Canadian banking industry. Royal Bank of Canada
(RBS) and Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD Bank) are two of the most dominant banks in terms of
Assets. The other three banks are Bank of Nova Scotia (Scotiabank), Bank of Montreal
(BMO) and the Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CIBC) in size and revenues. Canadian
bank possesses one of the highest market capitalizations in the world. In 2018, the Royal Bank of
Canada (RBC) had the highest market capitalization of Canadian banks at 114.9 billion U.S.
dollars. With 104.1 billion, Toronto-Dominion Bank led, just above third-place Scotiabank.
[ CITATION MSz20 \l 1033 ].
Canada is the world's second-largest economy. Branch banking is critical for many sparsely-
populated areas. There are fewer people per branch in the provinces further north, but still the
smallest bank branches. The number of bank branches has decreased in recent years because of
online banking and other mobile alternatives.
Canadian Banking Association (2020) has stated facts regarding size, changes, and new banking
industry trends: A total of 88 banks operate in Canada, and branches were counted at 5,890. As of
4
May 2020, only 2.26% of bank mortgages are in arrears. That indicates the careful borrowing of
the Canadian. $ 12.7 billion paid as tax liability by Canadian banks. The banking sector
contributed 3.3% to Canada’s GDP and boosted the workforce of 275,825 Canadians and
109,094 foreigners. The banking sector is serving the three million sole praetorship and small
and medium business. In the last decade, the six largest banks have spent 100 billion on IT. 91%
of the people have felt that technology has improved banking efficiency and effectiveness. 76%
of people prefer to use digital banking through online and mobile banking. 23% use mobile
technology as their prime banking method[ CITATION Can20 \l 1033 ].
Banking Regulations in Canada
Canada has a centrally supervised banking structure emphasizing the financial system's
macroprudential supervision and stabilization. The primary aim of the Bank Act, the main federal
law regulating all facets of banking, is to encourage a productive and robust banking sector
comprising competitive and vital institutions, to protect the interests of depositors and customers,
and to preserve the integrity and public confidence of the financial system. The primary law
regulating Canada's financial industry is the Bank Act, a statutory statute passed by the
Parliament of Canada. Through schedule I, the Bank Act regulates domestic banks, subsidiaries
of foreign banks under the supervision of foreign institutions through Schedule II; Foreign banks'
subsidiaries, and bank branches through Schedule III.
Banks' critical regulatory bodies are the Financial Consumer Agency of Canada (FCAC)
and OSFI; OSFI is responsible for prudential supervision and performs annual banking
assessments regarding compliance with the funding, reporting, and corporate practices standards.
FCAC is responsible for customer safety and regulates banks' compliance with such rules of
ethics that are voluntary. According to Section 485(1) of the Bank Act, banks shall retain
sufficient resources and adequate and suitable liquidity forms. The resources and liquidity
comply with the Capital Adequacy Criteria Guideline of the Office of the Superintendent of
Financial Institutions (OSFI). Banks must retain a capital ratio that is at least equal to (subject to
adjustments) Tier 1 capital. For some important financial institutions in Canada, however,
minimum capital ratios are higher. OSFI evaluates the number of metrics such as assets size,
intra-financial claims and obligations, and banks' positions in domestic financial markets and
financial infrastructures. OSFI designates banks that are domestic systemically relevant banks
(D-SIBs) that are of domestic systemic significance. Common Equity Tier 1 capital (CET1)
5
additional charges equal to 1 percent of risk-weighted assets (RWA) would apply to D-SIBs. In
terms of national and foreign trends, the 1 percent capital surcharge is annually reviewed.
Pervious is consistent with the levels and timing gave for in the D-SIB system of the Basel
Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS).
The OSFI Corporate Governance Guidance allows banks to create an enterprise-wide risk
appetite policy accepted by the board that defines the bank's risk-taking practices and the
benchmarks and limitations for the amount of risk that the bank can tolerate. It is meant to be
forward-thinking and, in addition to its reputation, consider the bank's material threats. The
bank's strategies, practices, and operations should all help the structure of risk appetite.
Chapter 2: Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD Bank)
understand percentage changes in the main account. Total Assets were 1.1 trillion CAD $ in
2015. The assets saw an increasing trend, a slight increase of 7% in 2016 and 9% in 2017, 4% in
2018, and 6% in 2019. Total Assets were 1.33 trillion CAD in 2019. Like the Total Assets, Total
liabilities saw a slight increase in the five years that indicates the company has financed most of
its assets through debt financing. The liabilities saw an increasing trend, a slight increase of 6%
in 2016 and 9% in 2017, 4% in 2018, and 6% in 2019. Total liabilities were 1.03 trillion $ CAD
6
in 2015 and 1.25 trillion in 2019. Total Equity account saw a fluctuating trend as it saw a rise of
Statement of Financial Performance is attached in Annexure 2. Total revenue saw a rising trend
as 9% in 2016, 5% in 2017, 7% in 2018 and 6% in 2019. Total revenue was 31 billion$ in 2015
and 41 billion $CAD in 2016. Net income followed a random trend as it saw a rise of 11% in
2016, 18% in 2017,8% in 2018, and 3% in 2019. Net income was 8 billion in 2015 and 11 billion
in 2019.
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Ratio Analysis
Basic Basic EPS indicates how much earnings Basic earnings per share were 6.26 in
earnings per are attributed to each shareholder. 2019, 6.02 in 2018, 5.51 in 2017,
share 4.68 in 2016, and 4.22 in 2015. The
company has shown profitability in
all five years.
Diluted Diluted EPS indicates how much Diluted earnings per share were 6.25
earnings per earnings are attributed to each in 2019, 6.01 in 2018, 5.5 in 2017,
share shareholder if all convertible securities 4.67 in 2016, and 4.21 in 2015. There
are converted. is not much difference that indicates
the company holds a nominal
amount of convertible securities.
Dividends It indicates how much dividends are Dividends per share were 2.89 in
per share attributed to the shareholders. 2019, 2.61 in 2018, 2.35 in 2017,
2.16 in 2016, and 2.00 in 2015. The
company has paid dividends overall
five years that would enhance the
company's perception in the eyes of
potential investors.
Book value It indicates net assets available per Book value per share was 45.2 in
per share share. 2019, 40.5 in 2018, 37.76 in 2017,
36.71 in 2016, and 33.81 in 2015.
The company possesses the second
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Dividend It indicates the percentage of a The dividend yield was 3.9 in 2019,
yield company's share price that it pays out 3.5 in 2018, 3.6 in 2017, 3.9 in 2016,
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Tier 1 It is the ratio of bank tier 1 Capital to Tier 1 Capital ratio was 13.5 in 2019,
Capital ratio overall risk-weighted assets. 13.7 in 2018, 12.3 in 2017, 12.2 in
2016, and 11.3 in 2015.
Total Capital This ratio compares the total It was 16.3 in 2019, 16.2 in 2018,
ratio obligations to the total capitalization. 14.9 in 2017, 15.2 in 2016 and 14.0
It portrays the risk. in 2015. The ratio saw a slight
increase. Banks carry a larger
amount of deposits (liabilities) for
this reason, this ratio.
Capital Ratios
18.0
16.3 16.2
16.0 14.9 15.2
13.5 13.7 14.0
14.0
12.3 12.2
12.0 11.3
10.0
8.0
6.0
4.0
2.0
0.0
2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Competitors Analysis
Banking serves as the backbone of any economy. Canadian banking hold assets of more than
trillions of dollars. Five banks dominate the Canadian banking industry. Royal Bank of Canada
(RBS) and Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD Bank) are two of the most dominant banks in terms of
Assets. Therefore, it is preferred to take the Royal Bank of Canada to make a reasonable
comparison. Royal Bank of Canada has 7.2 million active digital users. It was named Canada’s
10
most valuable brand by Brand Finance in 2019. It possesses a workforce of more than 13,000
employees.
Key Ratios of RBC
Comparison
Basic EPS: It is an indicator of profitability. Basic EPS indicates how much earnings are
attributed to each shareholder. RBC is the biggest bank in Canada, and it has shown better
earnings per share due to higher income than TD bank in respective years.
BASIC EPS
8.78
8.39
7.59
6.80
6.75
6.26
6.02
5.51
4.68
4.22
ROE: It indicates the total return in relevance to the total equity. RBC has shown higher returns
than TD bank. However, TD bank has shown a slightly increasing trend, but RBC's return on
equity has declined over the years.
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ROE
2015 13.40%
18.6%
2016 13.30%
16.3%
TD Bank
2017 14.90% RBC
17.0%
2018 15.70%
17.6%
2019 14.50%
16.8%
0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 14.0% 16.0% 18.0% 20.0%
Return on Risk-Weighted Assets: It measures risk as it divides the total profit by the risk-
weighted assets. Risk assets areas that bank faces the threat of borrower default. In 2015, the
return on risk-weighted assets was higher for RBC bank, and in 2015, RORWA was higher for
TD bank in 2019.
RORWA
2.60% 2.55%
2.52%
2.55% 2.56% 2.49%
2.50% 2.45%
2.46%
2.40%
2.34%
2.30%
2.20%
2.21% 2.20%
2.10%
2.00%
2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
RBC TD Bank
It indicates the ability of the bank to earn interest on loans. Interest is a significant revenue
stream for the business. It has declined for both banks throughout the five years. TD Bank has
shown a slightly higher interest Margin than TD Bank.
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1.50%
1.61% 1.64% 1.69% 1.70% 1.71%
1.00%
0.50%
0.00%
2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
RBC TD Bank
Tier 1 capital ratio: It is the ratio of bank tier 1 Capital to overall risk-weighted assets. The
primary financing source of capital is Tier 1 capital. It constitutes equity and retained earnings.
It measures bank financial health. As both banks have a tier 1 capital ratio of higher than 4.5 %
(minimum required by Basel III), both are financially healthy. TD bank was slightly lower than
TD bank in 2015, but in 2019, TD bank showed better tier 1 capital ratio and health than RBC
bank.
8.0%
6.0%
4.0%
2.0%
0.0%
2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
RBC TD Bank
Total capital ratio: This ratio compares the total obligations to the total capitalization. Capital
Ratio is a measure of risk. A higher capital ratio shows better financial health for the bank.
Higher CAR enables the bank to stand firm in a more challenging economic condition. TD Bank
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has demonstrated a higher CAR than RBC bank throughout the five years. That shows TD bank
financially more stable than RBC bank.
RBC TD Bank
Conclusion: RBC bank has shown higher profitability and market than TD bank. However, TD
bank has shown higher
TD Bank takes risks required to build its business, but only if the risks can be understood and
managed and fits the business strategy. Suppose it does not expose the firm to any significant single-
loss events. Do not risk harming the TD brand is applying its risk appetite; TD considers both the
current conditions in which it operates and the impact that emerging risks will have on TD's
strategy and risk profile. Adherence to the enterprise risk appetite is managed and monitored
across TD and is based on a broad collection of principles, policies, processes, and procedures,
including risk appetite statements and related performance measures for significant risk
categories and the business segments[ CITATION TDB20 \l 1033 ].
At the enterprise level, metrics are tracked against key risks like capital adequacy, market risk,
liquidity risk, credit risk, and operational risk. These metrics and compliance with the Risk
Appetite Statement are monitored and reported by risk dashboards on an ongoing basis. To
ensure that TD Bank's Risk Appetite Statement remains current and relevant, TD has established
a Risk Appetite Governance Framework approved annually by the Risk Committee of the Board
(RCoB). This framework describes TD's processes, structure, and responsibilities to develop,
14
govern, and approve the Risk Appetite Statement and the requirements for monitoring and
escalating exceptions. Specifically, the governance process provides that:
Risk Appetite Statement and related metrics must be reviewed at least annually.
Risk Management develops updates and amendments with input from business segments,
corporate functions, the senior executive team, and the RCoB.
The TD Enterprise Risk Appetite Statement and related metrics must be reviewed and
approved by the RCoB annually.
Risk Appetite Statement must be recommended by each of the Business Groups heads
and approved by the president and chief executive officer (CEO) and chief risk officer
(CRO) annually.
Performance against the Enterprise and Segment Risk Appetite Statements must be
monitored and reported daily[ CITATION TDB20 \l 1033 ].
TD Bank Financial Group’s goal is to earn satisfactory returns from our different business
activities at an acceptable risk level. For this, we need to understand the risks involved in the
businesses and make sure that the risks they assume are within prudent limits. Through retail and
wholesale companies, banks are exposed to four significant risks: credit risk, market risk,
liquidity risk, and operational risk.
Risk management involves analyzing each risk's possible effect and setting up policies
and procedures to reduce them. Their guiding principles include trained experts in risk
management, independent of the business units, developing their policy structure, and identifying
risk limits. Risk responsibility and ownership rest with the business units, whose risk
management structure is specified based on business need to meet governance
standards[ CITATION TDB20 \l 1033 ].
TD has an extensive ongoing risk management system that integrates its business
divisions, Company Risk Management, Legal, Audit, Compliance, Finance, Human Resources,
and other organizational functions with expertise and professional knowledge. Governance and
senior management supervision are crucial strategic components of our system, including a
regular review by the Risk Committee of the Board of Directors of significant risk policies. A
systematic analysis by an executive risk oversight committee consisting of our senior executives
of organizational risk, management policies and strategies, and critical initiatives.
Comprehensive internal audit reports assure senior management regarding the internal control
15
environment's consistency and compliance with defined policies and procedures for risk
management.
Credit risk:
Through their conventional lending activities and transactions that include settlements between
the bank and their counterparties, including other financial institutions, we are exposed to credit
risk[ CITATION TDB20 \l 1033 ].
Managing credit risk
Country risk is the risk that cross-border payments for goods and services, loans, trade-related
financing, and dividends, as well as repatriation of TD's capital from abroad, may be affected by
economic or political changes in a country. They currently have visibility in many nations, with
the most considerable portion in North America. Based on an internal risk rating framework, they
develop country exposure guidance. Country limits cover all facets of credit, exposure through
our different enterprises[ CITATION TDB20 \l 1033 ]. For credit exposure to companies and
governments, they have set industry and community limits. Their loan portfolio uses a structured
approach to develop and communicate risk criteria for each business area.
Their portfolio of financial institutions is split into 15 main categories. Individual businesses
have similar characteristics and common risk factors in each group. Among these categories,
they have established particular exposure guidelines for 24 parts. Group Risk Management
performs continuous segment analysis and exposure guidance for each group
Personal credit: Credit requests are evaluated using automated credit scoring systems or are
directed to regional credit centers operating within clear authority limits. Once retail credits are
funded, they are continually monitored within quantitative account management programs to
identify changes in risk and to provide opportunities that increase risk-adjusted performance
Market risk
Managing market risk is an integral part of their business planning process. The process begins
new trading operations and expands existing ones only if the threat has been thoroughly assessed
and judged within their risk capacity and business expertise. They have the infrastructure in place
to monitor, control, and manage the risk. They work market risk by enforcing trading limits and
stress testing” our trading activities[ CITATION TDB20 \l 1033 ].
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Liquidity risk:
TD’s overall liquidity requirement is measured as the amount of liquidity required Support for
expected cash outflows and a proactive reserve of liquidity to fund future cash outflows. Suppose
there was a disruption in the capital markets or other event that could affect their access to
liquidity. TD does not rely on short-term wholesale funding for purposes other than funding
marketable securities or short-term assets. Liquidity requirements are measured under different
stress scenarios with a base case scenario Defining the minimum amount of liquidity to be
maintained at all times. This situation offers coverage for 100% of our unsecured wholesale debt
due for a minimum duration of thirty days and other possible deposit run-off and contingent
liabilities. Additional scenarios can require higher coverage
Operational risk
Group Risk Management works closely with the business units' risk management
functions to facilitate the implementation of the operational risk management framework and the
implementation of leading industry practices. Group Risk Management is responsible for
continually identifying, measuring, and reporting on our businesses' operational risk exposures.
They allocate economic capital based on assessments of operational risk. They oversee the
execution of critical enterprise-wide risk management practices, including an extensive system of
internal controls, trained and competent people, segregating incompatible functions, and clearly
defined operating procedures. They continuously assess TD’s insurable risk exposures,
developing and implementing appropriate risk management solutions. These include managing a
broad portfolio of insurance coverage combined with other risk transfer vehicles that protect TD
from the adverse impact of internal and external events in the course of doing business.
Prices Changes
The three biggest banks (as of market chaptalization) are taken for the comparison. Royal Bank
of Canada (RY) and Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD Bank), and Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS), price
changes are compared monthly. The price changes report is attached in Annexure 5.
Comments:
17
All stocks have gone through wide fluctuations through different microenvironment and macro-
environment factors. There is a risk factor associated with stocks. There are systematic risk and
nonsystematic risks that cause changes in prices. Systematic risk cannot be controlled and is
related to the whole market. Beta is a measure of systematic risk, as the beta of three stocks less
than one highlights that stocks are fluctuating less than the market. All three stocks are less
volatile than the market as the beta is less than 1. Unsystematic can be controlled associated
PRICES CHANGES
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
TD RY BNS
Royal Bank of Canada has outperformed the TD Bank and Bank of Nova Scotia. Analysis has
shown that the Royal Bank of Canada generated the highest profitability, higher market cap, and
multi-national attracts more investors than the other two banks. TD and BNS went through up
and down throughout the periods. Over five years, RY has shown a 1.18% average increase each
month, TD has delivered a 0.99% average increase each month and BNS has demonstrated an
Conclusion
Five banks dominate the Canadian banking industry. Royal Bank of Canada (RBS) and Toronto-
Dominion Bank (TD Bank) are two of the most dominant banks in terms of Assets. The primary
law regulating Canada's financial industry is the Bank Act. Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD Bank)
have shown adequate financial performance and usually performed over benchmarks. When
compared with RBC, it has demonstrated better risk handling but less profitability and
marketability. RBC has outperformed both TD and BNS through the period of five months.
References:
Bibliography
Canadian Banking Association. (2020, November 17). Focus: Fast Facts About the Canadian
Banking SystemFocus: Fast Facts About the Canadian Banking System. Retrieved from
Last Name, F. M. (Year). Article Title. Journal Title, Pages From - To.
company/index.html
Szmigiera, M. (2020, November 16). Canadian banking industry - Statistics & Facts. Retrieved
canada/#:~:text=Five%20firms%20dominate%20the%20Canadian,Bank%20of
%20Commerce%20(CIBC).
19
TDBank. (2020, October 30). TD Financial Stress Monitor. Retrieved from TD Bank:
https://economics.td.com/ca-financial-market-stress
Toronto-Dominion Bank. (2020). Get to know TD, a top 10 North American bank. Retrieved
Yahoo. (2020). Royal Bank of Canada (RY). Retrieved from Yahoo Finance:
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/RY?p=RY&.tsrc=fin-srch
Yahoo. (2020). The Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD). Retrieved from Yahoo Finance:
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TD?p=TD&.tsrc=fin-srch
Yahoo Finance. (2020). The Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS). Retrieved from Yahoo fiannce:
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/BNS?p=BNS&.tsrc=fin-srch
Appendix
Annexure 1
Annexure 2
ROYAL BANK OF CANADA (Millions of Canadian dollars, except percentages and per share
24
amounts)
2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Earnings per shares –
$ 8.78 $ 8.39 $ 7.59 $ 6.80 $ 6.75
basic
Earnings per shares – $ 8.75 $ 8.36 $ 7.56 $ 6.78 $ 6.73
diluted
ROE 16.8% 17.6% 17.0% 16.3% 18.6%
Return on risk 2.52% 2.55% 2.49% 2.34% 2.45%
weighted average
assets
Efficiency Ratio 52.5% 53.6% 53.6% 52.9% 53.3%
PCL on impaired loans
as a % of average net 0.27% 0.20% 0.21% 0.28% 0.24%
loans and acceptances
Net interest margin 1.61% 1.64% 1.69% 1.70% 1.71%
Common shares
1,430,096 1,438,794 1,452,535 1,484,235 1,443,955
outstanding (000s)
Dividends declared per $ 4.07 $ 3.77 $ 3.48 $ 3.24 $ 3.08
common share
Dividend yield 4.1% 3.7% 3.8% 4.3% 4.1%
Dividend payout ratio 46% 45% 46% 48% 46%
Book value per share $ 54.41 $ 51.12 $ 46.41 $ 43.32 $ 39.51
Common share price $ 106.24 $ 95.92 $ 100.87 $ 83.80 $ 74.77
Market capitalization 151,933 138,009 146,554 124,476 107,925
Market price to book 1.95 1.88 2.17 1.93 1.89
value
Common Equity Tier 1 12.1% 11.5% 10.9% 10.8% 10.6%
capital ratio
Tier 1 capital ratio 13.2% 12.8% 12.3% 12.3% 12.2%
Total capital ratio 15.2% 14.6% 14.2% 14.4% 14.0%
Leverage Ratio 4.3% 4.4% 4.4% 4.4% 4.3%
Annexure 5