Into The 21 Century

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Into the 21st century

• The world since the 1990s has thrown up new


challenges, but not necessarily the ones that
Fukuyama and Huntington predicted
• Both visions of the future have been dismissed
as simplistic and irrelevant to the reality of the
21st century
• Instead, recent years have shown the limits of
unipolarity and the beginnings of a shift towards
nonpolarity or even a new bipolarity
Unipolarity undermined
• The United States remains the world’s only military
superpower – a position that will not be challenged
for many decades
• The USA continues to maintain a huge international
military commitment
The limits of American power
• Despite its overwhelming
military power, the USA
has seen its prestige
damaged as a result of
the wars in Iraq and
Afghanistan
• Military power has not
proved sufficient to
achieve a satisfactory
political settlement
China: the new superpower?
• After 20 years of sustained
economic growth, China has
the ability to translate its
considerable economic
power into real military
power
• How will it use this power?
China’s first aircraft carrier
• In September 2012,
China commissioned
its first aircraft carrier,
the Liaoning
• The ship gives China
the ability to project
its power beyond the
country’s borders
The Liaoning
Projecting power
• China’s new ability to
project its power into the
surrounding seas has
caused anxiety in the region
• China claims a large area of
the South and East China
seas as its sovereign
territory
• Chinese claims conflict with
those of its neighbours
China and the wider international
system
• It is uncertain how a more powerful China will fit into
the wider international system
• Will China use its power to become a rival to the
United States?
• Will Chinese power see the emergence of a new
Cold War?
• Liberals believe that a more assertive China can be
accommodated within the current international
system
• Realists expect that growing Chinese power will lead
to confrontation with the United States

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