Money Supply in India 1
Money Supply in India 1
Money Supply in India 1
s1111111 in lnd•a
1. Introduction _ ......
1ne modem economists are of the view that money is not only a medium of exchan · .
means of store of value. Hence, all financial instruments which perform the du?-1 functions 0~e b~t.also
exchange and store of value should be induded in the supply of money. According to this vi rned111ni
th a
of money consists .of a,anency with th~ public, demand deposit of the banks as well as time:'d e sullpt
present some of the economists of the opinion that the supply of money should includ ePosit. At
financial assets which are near substitutes of money like bonds; shares etc. But this broader all thase
supply of money is not practical. In India, Reserve Bank of India indudes in ~the supply O .of.the VJ(
cunency with the public, demand time deposits with the banks and de~sits with the post rnon~,
every economy, suppJy of money is an important policy instrument. The monitory authority of thoffices, In
and its central bank strives to achieve its objectives by making suitable changes in the supply of m e country
price, rate of interest and other economic variables may be influenced by instituting changes in ~ney, the
of money. In ·this chapter,· we shall study the trends of money supply. in India and causes of its .vanatjon.
e
G Currency with
Demand Deposits . Other Deposits
s witJ) the Banks with Reserve Bank
v· the Public
r;:l->IL-_____
p
p
L
y
L-J M_i____+_·___De_po_s_its_·_in~P-os_t_O_fli_ce
Saving Bank Account_ _--1
&L-/___ _ _ _____i]
T_im_e_:_e_:°5_anks_its.:..._wi_·th
+___
M_i·____
·-6 \Vo.
I~
I
. •n Jndia
StJPplY I 69
== currency with the Public + D~mand Deposits of
Banks + Other Deposits with the Reserve Bank • I
"; iCJ98.-Working Group of Money Supply has re~m~ en~ed_f~llowins!~~ liquidi!Y a~gatesi ., ,
11
~- l'M2 = currency with the Public + Demand Deposits + Other Deposits with RBI + Short TE!!Jll
(1) Tune DepOSits . .• , . . • . ·'., , . ·•· t:
(Zl NM3 = NM3 -t Long-tenn :r~une Oeposi~ + CalVterm Funding from -Rnancial.Jn~tutions _
) L · = NM3 + Postal Deposits __ .
(3 1 - - '' .
,. 14)·1.Ji = Term Money Borrowings + -~ficates of Deposits' ~ Term'~sjts ~-
{p)l.J = 4 + Public Deposits with Non-Banking Financial Compani~ ,.
t Relaf,jqn ;am~ng different concept,s of the Supply of Money in India · _ .
Relation among different concepts of the supply of mo~ey becomes clecµ-from the following table.
Table 1. In India, Relation among M1, M2, M3 and M4 (23-3-2012)
..
Concept of Money · . ... ,.,... crore
Mt '
. 17,33.320 .
(1) Currency with the public
..-. 10,31,310
--- ... -.
+ (2) Omland deposits of banks 7,00,210
+·(3) Other deposits with the Reserve Bank . I -1;790
17,38,360
(1) Mt · 11,33,320 .
+ (2) Post Office savings bank deposit 5,040 . '
Ms 73,47,530
-
(1) Mt -
17,33,320. - • .
Yean Not..la
Cln:alatlon
Rupee Coins S.m all -Colns . Cash with
Banks
Total
cunency With
---
(t crore)
the public
. (1) (2) (3) (4) (1 +2 +3-41
4,169 247 137 186 4,367
1970-71
4,514 1,388 8,479 2;32·:831
2001-02 2,35,408
2,67,478 5,398 1,452 9,003 2,65,325
2002-03
3,19,732 5,832 1,465 12,057 3,14,971
2003-04 ...
()tber Deposits with the Reserve_8-ank: "Other deposits" with the Reserve Bank of India,
.; ~: j:6Se deposits which the ~o~le, i~stitutions like, Ind~~al Develci_P'!;'~rit Bari!<, Unit Trust of India,
~ ~gn governments keep with 1t. The amount of these other deposits IS very httle and the R~e
. . ·no interest on them. : · ·
Ba)1k ~e can know currency with the public and total deposits with the banks in:different years from
ble3below. . . .. . .
tali>,:, :, • Table 3. Currency with the Public and Deposits with the Banks
~ear Currency with Deniand Deposits · ·Other Deposits
Total
the Public with Banks with Reserve Bank
.. '
~i976-n
;, i,l" ..
4,367 2,910 44 7,321
- ~-03 2,71,581 1,98,757 3,242 _ 4,_73,581
~---_2()03-04 3,14,971 2,58,626 5,U9 5;78,716
.2004-05 3,55,863 2,85,154 6,478 · 6,47,495
. :·~ 4,13,119 4,06,388 - 6,869 8,26,375
·2006-07 4,82,906 4,75,687 7,496 9,66;089
- 2007-08 5,68,410 5,78,372 9,054 1:i,55;836
.2008-09 6,65,450 · - . -5,88,688 5,570 i2,59,707
20()()-10 7,67,492 7,17,970 3,839 14;89,301
·..?910-11 9,14,170 7,13,735 3,740 16,31,645
2011-12 10,26,6oo 7,00,210 3,060 17,29,870
(Source: Reserve Bank of India Bulletin, May 2012)
. , Theabove table shows that the proportion of demand deposits with ban~ in relation to total supply
mflfoney. 'In 1970-71 proportion of demand deposits with banks to total supply of supply (M1 ) was 40 per
, and that of currency with the public was 60 per cent. In 2011-12, proportit:>n of demand deposits with
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•~ 41 per cent and the proportion of currency.with the public is 59 per cent. It is mainly due to the
• ~f banking facilities in the country. After nationali7.atio!" (1969) banking has expanded rapidly in
~--Wrth the expansion of trade and literacy banking tiabi~ ofthe people have changed for the
:i~ es, banks have been giving liberal loans to the people ~cause of the monetary policy of the
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: lndlan,F.fnanc1oi S
.
,2.2. Mz Concept of Supply of Money · · ·
.., ll~
,1
Or
tc. ==CaiacfwldtdaePllblic + De nddepvsils with the Banks + ·0t1aa
Dq db wlda die R aw B b + Tiae Deposits + Total Dep wits witll-
, - ()llices. 11ae M.. Cwept of lloaey i s ~ less liqllid.
IM = c + DD + ool
1
(Hae C = Cuneno; with the Public; 00 = Demand Deposits with the Bank; OD Other Deposits
tltieP.eeveBank)
t"'1 Powm!d Money is money issued by Reserve Bank and Government of India and held bl/ the
il!ltand birics. It is also c.aled Reaerve Mcmey or Base Money.
. t"'11bw!ed Money or Reserve Money (H} is the sum of (i) Currency held bl/ the public. (ii) Ca-itl
-.W of lie banb, and {iii) Other deposits of the RBI. In the other words
Itt = c+ R + oo + sol ·
' . ll'le!e H = High Powered or Reserve Money; R =Cash Reserve of Banks and OD = Other Deposits
llh! and BD = Banker's Deposits with Reserve Bank) .
Onain1paringaboveequations regarding Mi and High R,wered MooeY, we find that C-and OD~ ·
~tobolh M and Hand that the only difference between.the two is due.to the second component of
1
~DD in M and R in H. This diffmmce is of aucial importmce for the theory of money Supply.
1
.-..cfrorn the preaeuce of banks as producers of demand deposits which are counted as money at par
·&tto be able to produce DD, banks have to maintain R, which is a part of H, produced only bl/ the
/
N
monetary authority and not by banks thernselv~, We
kn
0
Indian Financ; 1
.
that banks can create aedit on the bas· 0
deposits. Its value depends on credit
:
a'
l
the~ !
cash reserves and it leads to manifold inaease m deman d credit multiplier is 10 then the final • Ultipuer.
Suppose the Cash reserves of the banks are f 10 crores an ey supply depends on high pow~icre~ in
demand deposits will amount f 100 aores. Hence,the mon llloney
The money supply is influenced by changes in high powered money. ,, ·
In 1970-71 .
. thevalueofReserveMoneywas f 4,822crores.AsonMarch31 2011 itincreasedto
, 13, 76,770 aores. The main resources of changes in Reserve Money are us follows:
.
·(5) ·Banking Sector's Net Non-monetary Liabilities other than Time Deposits with
aob= While estimating M3, net non- monetary liabilities of the banking sector are deducted from the
~te.Thus, .
· M,·:.: Net Bank Credit to Government+ Bank Credit•to Commercial Sector+ Net
Foreign Exchange Assets of Banking Sector + Government's Current Liabilities
with the Public - Banking Sector's Net Non-monetary Uabi~ities
The above analysis <;>f M3 by the RBI presents statistics relating to·the different factors but it does not
i:resent any theoretical analysis of it. C.Onsequently, it is of little help in analysing cause or effect of changes
in .ate supply of money. ·
; ,. Jl) It Is only an Accounting Concept: Since the RBI' s analysis is purely accounting it has no
explanatory power of its own. It is not an explanatory concept. It reveals only actual or expost statistics
money supply. It cannot explain the consequences for money supply of various policy and
IIOn-l)Ohcy autonomous changes such as the open market operations, or changes in statutory reserve
~ ents. etc. ·
- ,.(2) Abaeaace of Theory-of Mon-w Supply: The RBI fourtier analysis is Qnly an exercise ~post
~t .t h~fore cannot serve .the purpose,of ·~ ~eory.. In the absence of a theory 1t 1s not
exJ>.1,in ,the changes in the supply of money. .
(3) ln ,..,_ Credit Creation by Banke· The RBJ?s accounting analyslS adds up components
of biah money (H) and ,ordinary money (M1 ). The result has been a total denial of the fact th~t
~ ·de?endsnot .only on high powered money ~ut on ~dit expansioni In other. wo~~
~the influence of money multiplier process or of thJ aedit aeation by banks on the bas15 0
(R) •It i6 the greatest weakness of this concept.
ly in India 77.
eYSLIPP " _ .
./J~ , ·· rove it from the above table that it ~~ the effect on the value of money: qut it .has:got no
· We ~n ~hip. Increase in money supply w!ll·result in increase in price level will c;lepend on several·
reJa~~ increase in production. According to Prof. B.N. Pandit, there is a Time Lag one year
spec\ncrease in the money supply and its effect on its price level. During the planning period rate of
::;-:money stJPPly is about 14% while the rate of growth has been 4.1 % and the rate of inflation has
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t<"' · i. ·J QUESTIONS . '.
t '
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