Buy Emami 1098 - May'18

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CMP INR: 1,098

Emami Ltd. Target Price INR: 1,210


Expected Return: 10%
EDELSTAR • FUNDAMENTAL RESEARCH Date: 18th June, 2018

Business Overview QUICK DATA


Emami is a leading FMCG player in India, operating in certain attractive
segments such as skin care and hair oil. The company is promoted by
Face Value (Rs.) 1.0
Kolkata‐based industrialists, Mr. R. S. Agarwal and Mr. R. S. Goenka. The
company has been operating in health, beauty and personal care Div. Yield (%) 0.6
products for the past 30+ years and has sustained a prominent position No of shares ('mn) 227
in therapeutic and Ayurvedic based products, ensuring strong entry 52-week High/Low (Rs.) 1365 /1001
barriers for competition. Over the years, Emami has innovated and built
NSE Symbol EMAMILTD
block‐buster brands such as Navratna, Boroplus, and Fair and
Handsome. With the acquisition of ‘Zandu’, another strong Ayurvedic BSE Code 531162
brand was added to the portfolio. Emami recently forayed into female Edel Code EMALTD
hygiene space by acquisition of SHE (no.4 player in the category with Market cap (Rs. bn) 250
1.1% market share). The company recently acquired Kesh King
(portfolio includes ayurvedic medicinal oil, aloe vera herbal shampoo
and conditioner and ayurvedic capsules) which is a leader in the SHAREHOLDING PATTERN (%)
ayurvedic hair and scalp care category.
Promoters 72.7

Key highlights MFs, FIs & Banks 5.5


 Emami’s product portfolio provides a play on Indian FMCG FIIs 13.1
spend by virtue of its strong presence in less penetrated and Others 8.7
high growth categories. More than 80% of Emami’s products
have Ayurvedic base. The therapeutic usage gives customer
loyalty leading to high gross margins, high barriers to entry, EDELWEISS CLASSIFICATION
strong brand equity, mass acceptance and superior growth
Market Cap Large Cap
opportunities.
Relative Risk High

 Emami has a superior track record of launching new brands Relative Reco Perform
(Fair & Handsome captures ~64% market share of men’s fairness Sector Rating Underweight
cream market) and transforming them into blockbusters.
Emami has also built other blockbuster brands such as Navratna
and Boroplus

 Introduction of lower SKUs for Zandu balm and rejuvenating


more than 200 of Zandu’s Ayurvedic-based prescription
products will be another growth driver for Emami. Emami is
slowly diversifying its portfolio (with foray into face wash, hair oils,
deodorants, female hygiene care) to insulate itself from
seasonal impact. Though we are enthused by Emami’s new
launch aggression it needs to sustain investment on innovation
and ad spends to remain competitive in the newer segments
(MNC competition high).

Risks
 Seasonality risk is one of the biggest risks to Emami. Summer
products’ (like Talc and cooling oil) and winter products’ (like
Boroplus) sales depend upon the weather conditions.
 Ayurvedic products are produced by more than a thousand
small companies in India, though only about a dozen are big
national players. Given Emami’s success, entry of new
competitors cannot be ruled out.

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Edelweiss Ratios
Company Emami Dabur Marico
1 Wk Price performance (%) 6.2 0.7 3.1
3 M Price performance (%) 4.0 19.1 13.1
PE (x) 81.3 49.8 54.1
EV to EBITDA (x) 32.1 38.2 36.4
Return on Capital Employed (%) 23.5 30.5 47.1

Financial Snapshot
Year to March FY16 FY17 FY18E FY19E

Net Revenue 2,397 2,532 2,540 3,005


Revenue Growth (%) 18.3 5.7 1.5 18.7

EBITDA 687 759 719 871

Adjusted PAT 362 339 306 437


Adjusted diluted EPS (INR) 15.9 14.9 13.4 19.2
EPS Growth (%) -26 -6 -10 42.7
ROAE (%) 25.4 20.1 16.1 20.5

Technical View
S1 S2 R1 R2
Emami 1077 1035 1143 1175

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Edelweiss Broking Limited, 1st Floor, Tower 3, Wing B, Kohinoor City Mall, Kohinoor City, Kirol Road, Kurla(W)
Board: (91-22) 4272 2200

Vinay Khattar

Head Research

[email protected]

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Asset Management and Life Insurance. There were no instances of non-compliance by EBL on any matter related to the capital markets, resulting in significant and material disciplinary
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