India-United States Strategic Partnership in Indian Ocean Region and Its Implications For Pakistan
India-United States Strategic Partnership in Indian Ocean Region and Its Implications For Pakistan
India-United States Strategic Partnership in Indian Ocean Region and Its Implications For Pakistan
Aima Tahir
Kinnaird College for Women, Lahore, Pakistan.
Khushboo Ejaz
Kinnaird College for Women, Lahore, Pakistan.
ABSTRACT
The Indian Ocean is the region which would be the center of conflicts among world powers
in near future. Major powers of the world have their strategic and economic interests in the
Indian Ocean. U.S. sole super power of the world, in the current timeframe, has been
changing its policies in the Indian Ocean keeping in view its vital interests. Under Trump
administration, U.S. policies in the Indian Ocean has been diverted from Obama‟s
administration. India considers the Indian Ocean as its backyard. U.S. sole hegemonic
power wants to have supremacy over the ocean that is why U.S. has shared responsibilities
with India to control politics of the Ocean. Indo-U.S. strategic partnership has been
strengthened by signing deals such as Logistics Exchange Memorandum of Agreement.
They have also joined naval forces. They are actively patrolling and conducting deep-rooted
Malabar exercise in the Indian Ocean. The study focuses on the geopolitical complexities
which converge the interest of India and U.S. in the ocean. These developments have
serious implications for regional security and regional actors like Pakistan. China is the
most important factor in the changing geopolitics of Indian Ocean. Case study method has
been applied to study implications for Pakistan in Indian Ocean. Primary and secondary
data have been collected for the research. It has been concluded that China plays the role of
regional balancer for Pakistan in Gwadar port regarding Indo-U.S. strategic partnership in
Indian Ocean Region. In order to maintain asymmetrical balance in the region, Pakistan has
to revisit its strategic and maritime policy keeping in view its crucial role in the ocean.
The third largest Ocean of the world is the Indian Ocean (IO), partially covering
one fifth of the total area of world‟s ocean i.e. 7,056,0000 km2 (27,240,000 sq.
mil), which is approximately 20% of the water on Earth. The Indian Ocean (IO) is
bounded by the coastal land of India, which is the center of the Indian Ocean,
Asian region on north, on west by Africa and the western Indian Ocean i.e.
Arabian Peninsula, Bay of Bengal (BoB) near Myanmar and Indonesia, on east
near Australia, and on South with Southern Ocean. The geopolitical and strategic
location of the Indian Ocean is very crucial as it provides shortest oceanic routes
The growing importance of the Indian Ocean in the geopolitics of the world has
diverted the interest of great powers specifically U.S. towards the Indian Ocean
Region (IOR). For U.S. to deepen its control in the Indian Ocean Region, U.S. has
to strengthen its strategic partnership with India. Indo-U.S. strategic partnership
has increased its vulnerability and implications for Pakistan. The study has been
conducted to identify the factors and actors which has lead U.S. to develop strong
strategic and defense ties with India in the Indian Ocean Region. In case of
Pakistan, little research has been conducted to identify the impact caused by U.S.
strategic policies prior to and post 2016 U.S. president elections in the Indian
Ocean Region. Therefore, this study has been conducted to analyze Indo-U.S.
strategic partnership in the Indian Ocean Region and to identify its implications for
Pakistan.
Research objectives
To identify the factors and actors that shape U.S. strategic partnership
towards India in Indian Ocean Region.
To analyze the shift in U.S. strategic and defense policies towards Indian
Ocean before to and after 2016 American Presidential election.
Methodology
The research conducted is qualitative in nature. The methodology used for the
research are descriptive, historical, analytical and content analysis. Case study
design has been applied and primary data has been collected for case study in
which interviews were conducted. Data have been collected through primary and
secondary sources, and content analysis has been used to conduct the research. For
primary sources, interviews have been conducted from naval officers and experts
on maritime affairs. Structured and open ended questions have been used for
taking interviews. The interview included the following questions, what are the
factors and actors that shape U.S. strategic policies towards India in Indian Ocean
Region (IOR)? What are the strategic and security compulsion of India to have
alliance with U.S. in the Indian Ocean? What are the implications of Indo-U.S.
strategic partnership on Pakistan in Indian Ocean Region (IOR)? What will be the
impact of the shift in U.S. policies towards Indian Ocean (IO) during President
Trump‟s administration on Pakistan? Data for secondary source and content
analysis have been collected from national and international journals, articles,
newspaper articles, books, research papers and reports.
After the cold war era, U.S. interest grew vigorous in South Asian region with
deep-rooted strategies. The strategic partnership between India and U.S. began in
post-cold war era under former President Bill Clinton‟s Administration. Former
President Clinton viewed India as a capable partner in South Asia during his visit.
He deliberately mentioned that U.S. has neglected India for a long time. U.S.
formed strategic partnership with India in Indian Ocean Region (IOR) based on
common goals (Fani, 2009).
Post 9/11
The September 11, 2001 attack on U.S. soil, gave India an opportunity to develop
strategic partnership in Asian region. U.S. is also inclined towards India, because
of China‟s emergence as a great power economically and militarily, becoming a
great threat to U.S. hegemonic power. China may even surpass U.S. on global
scale and even in Asia and Indian Ocean, China and Pakistan‟s collaboration will
result in the downfall of India in becoming global power (Mohan & Khanna,
2006).
President Donald Trump has given a definite strategy and approach towards Indian
Ocean Region (IOR) unlike his predecessors. It is because; former President
Obama has always hesitated to talk about Rebalancing or Pivot of Asia policy with
its true objectives. Although, the latter policies involve Asia Pacific which do not
cover the entire Indian Ocean Region. President Trump, on the other hand, has
directly represented all his strategies and policies towards the region through Indo-
Pacific strategy. President Trump has adopted a new terminology for Asia Pacific
i.e. Indo-Pacific region, which signifies a broad perspective of U.S. geopolitical
and geo-strategic policies in the region. Also, by adopting the name of Indo-
Pacific, U.S. highlights the importance of India as a core state in the region and as
the most trustworthy ally of U.S. in Indo-Pacific region. On a broader scale, Indo-
Pacific includes two largest and important oceans of the world i.e. Indian Ocean
and Pacific Ocean. According to President Trump administration, the term Asia
Pacific was linked with U.S. strategies towards the whole of Asia or towards East
Asia only. Adopting this term, U.S. has ultimately remodeled strategic and
geopolitical map for China and Pakistan. In this way, Indo-U.S. strategic policy
along with Japan and Australia has initiated their aim to curtail and isolate China
in South China Sea and limit Pakistan‟s movement in the sea, and to achieve great
influence and control over the Indian Ocean (Chen , 2018).
The strategic and security compulsions due to which India has joined hands with
U.S. in the Indian Ocean is based on their common goals and interests in the
Indian Ocean Region. India, a littoral state, located at the heart of the Indian Ocean
has direct access to the ocean and high sea. India is the most suitable option for
U.S. in the Indian Ocean Region and vice versa. Indo-U.S. strategic partnership
would help U.S. in getting access of Indian naval bases and India is being
benefited with military equipment, strategic and nuclear aid in information and
technology. U.S. is utilizing naval bases of India to keep check on China
expansion in the region. The presence of U.S. and Indian naval forces patrolling in
the Indian Ocean, would keep China and Pakistan naval forces away from the high
sea. India and China have now become strategic, economic and power
competitors. U.S. and India fears that if China gets hold on Sea Lines of
Communication (SLOC) in the Indian Ocean, not only trade would be affected but
U.S. hegemony would also be swayed. In order to maintain and rebalance power in
Asia, India is collaborating with U.S. to become a powerful influencer. India
already has some influence over SLOC, particularly on Strait of Malacca (trade
route for China and Japan). India and U.S. are making strong allies with littoral
states (near choke points) to curtail the movement of China and contain it in South
China Sea (Rogin, 2018).
India has also signed accords with regional states to construct sea ports near
chowk points for strategic purposes. India is building Chabahar port with Iran and
Duqm sea port with Oman in Persian Gulf, in order to gain influence in North
Arabian Sea and Arabian Gulf. This will pose threats to Pakistan‟s Makran coast,
Gwadar Port and Arabian Sea. India will constraint the movement of Pakistan
naval forces in its territorial sea. India‟s geo-strategic interest in the region is to
protect these ports and gain regional hegemonic status. And India needs U.S.
assistance in protecting its strategic interest in the region. Both India and U.S.
works in collaboration with each other to remain dominant in the Indian Ocean.
India is also a major partner of Quad (Quadrilateral ties between U.S., Japan, India
and Auatralia on maritime affaris in IO). However, China still has an upper hand
on India in gaining military influence in the region, because Hambantota sea port
in Sri Lanka has been officially given to China (Khan, 2019).
India is trying to follow the objective of „Akhand Baharat‟ (Greater India) and
thus has created more enemies than friends around it. In west it has already fought
four wars and three military stand-offs with its arch nuclear rival; Pakistan due
nuclear flash point of Kashmir and very recently India has suffered an Arial defeat
from Pakistan over Palwama incidence in Kashmir. In North it had already fought
Diplomatic relations
Technology terms
Indo-U.S. strategic partnership in the Indian Ocean Region also includes trade of
high technology between both states. Trading of technology means that India and
U.S. would share their technological devices; equipment for military and defense
purposes to use it for better serving their interest and objectives (Sekhon &
Purushothaman, 2014).
However, India is in favor of enhancing strategic and economic partnership
and still needs U.S. assistance to gain military dominance in the Indian Ocean.
India wants to be treated equally in sharing all sort of sensitive information and
nuclear technology with Indian military forces as well (Singh, 2015).
Indo-U.S. strategic partnership, under Trump‟s administration, in Indian
Ocean Region is assisting India in technological and military terms to upgrade
India‟s military capability. Recently, India and U.S. have agreed on sharing
logistics, and sensitive military technology and information. U.S. and India have
signed a new agreement known as Logistic Exchange Memorandum of Agreement
(LEMOA), which allows the military of both states to use each other‟s military
domain and land i.e. air, land and naval bases for repair, resupplies, refueling and
resting the military at each other‟s bases. Both have agreed on transferring military
technology and logistics to each other. LEMOA also allows both militaries to keep
check on China‟s expansion and to counter terrorism in the region. The agreement
aims to strengthen both states military and strategic ties, maintaining peace and
prosperity in the ocean, and conducting large scale naval exercises. LEMOA
encourages Indian and U.S. naval forces to conduct naval exercise and naval
Economic ties
China’s factor
Impact on Pakistan
Rebalancing Asia
US, under former President Obama, has neglected the rise of China in Indo-
Pacific, when the future could be predicted that the Indian Ocean Region would be
the center of concern of world‟s economy, U.S. has shifted its policy towards the
Indian Ocean. Pakistan‟s Gwadar Port is not the only threat U.S. and India is
concerned about. Balance of power in this region has already been disrupted, due
to which U.S. is strengthening India as its regional anchor, so that China‟s rise
could be curtailed in South China Sea, and also for Pakistan to not gain power.
This strategy of U.S. is known as rebalancing of Asia and rebalancing the power
shift in the Indian Ocean Region in order to protect and secure free and open trade
in the Indian Ocean (Malik, 2014).
U.S. strategic interest in the Indian Ocean is centered towards China. U.S.
Indo-Pacific falls under Rebalancing of Asia policy of former President Obama
administration. Rebalancing policy also includes preventing China from gaining
control over Malacca and Hormuz Strait. It also connects the Indian Ocean to the
Pacific Ocean. Controlling this strait would eventually lead the state to control
maritime trade activities in IO. In view of this U.S., along with India, is monitoring
China‟s growing expansion in the Ocean. U.S. has also strengthened military and
diplomatic ties with Japan, Australia and Korea in the region. Other than that U.S.
has built important military bases in littoral states of Middle East (Qatar and Iran),
Japan and South Korea and have also formed strategic alliance with other
democratic ally states to gain influential control in the Indian Ocean and South
China Sea (Khan & Amin, 2014).
In the Indian Ocean Region, Pakistan is likely to face many implications and
challenges from regional and extra-regional states. With the rise of China and
Indo-U.S. strategic partnership in the Indian Ocean Region, Pakistan has been
entangled with consequences resulting from their rivalry. India and Pakistan,
however, are old rivals therefore, the impact on Pakistan is much greater. The
balance of power in the region has been disturbed since India has developed
strategic ties with U.S. in the ocean. The disruption in balance of power is not only
between India and China but also Pakistan is facing huge impact in the region
because of the rivalry between India and China, and the latter being a strategic and
economic partner of Pakistan. Any use of force or threat to use of force will
destabilize the entire region wagging into conflicts and even war. Thus, Indo-U.S.
strategic partnership in Indian Ocean Region has several implications for Pakistan,
which are as fallowed.
Economic dimension
Military dimension
Pakistan military would face huge consequences if things did not go well for
Pakistan on economic grounds. In case of Pakistan, most regional and extra-
regional states conduct naval exercises in the ocean. The main purpose of naval
exercise and operation is to observe the enemy forces and their presence in the
ocean. In Indian Ocean Region, India and U.S. have been conducting large scale
naval exercise known as Malabar exercise. Japan and Australia are also significant
partners of U.S. and India and their joint military exercise is known as the Quad.
Consequently, U.S. has provided India with carriers, operational aircrafts and other
military equipment, so that the technological gap could be minimized while
conducting operations. Interoperability is far higher during operations and
exercise. It has since been improved between India and U.S. because of their joint
conduct in large scale naval exercise. Pakistan have been conducting exercise
AMAN, a multinational exercise, as an alternate to exercise Malabar. Exercise
AMAN is a large scale naval exercise in which U.S., Japan and Russia also
participated. Similarly, India was not invited in this exercise as the former does not
invite China and Pakistan in any exercises particularly Malabar exercise in the
Indian Ocean. Another big loss that India would face, is losing Russia as its
partner in the Indian Ocean. Since Russia has developed defense and strategic ties
with Pakistan and has also shown interest in Gwadar Port and CPEC i.e. Russia‟s
policies are leaning towards Pakistan and China in the Indian Ocean. Thus, the
nexus in the Indian Ocean would be Triple Axis i.e. Pakistan, Russia and China
and the Quad i.e. U.S., India, Japan and Australia.
Recently Pakistan‟s Navy has deducted two Indian submarines trying to enter
Pakistani waters. There is a need to enhance naval capacity to at least secure its
area of interest by adding at least four nuclear submarines with capability to launch
Intercontinental Ballistic Nuclear Missile and two air craft carriers. In order to
protect and develop CPEC and its Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) Pakistan must
Technological dimension
China has emerged as the second largest economy of the world. The economic gap
between China and U.S. is very little. However, China lags behind U.S. on
technological scale. With the development of P8I-Posedian (long range aircraft to
hunt down submarine), U.S. naval forces has become stronger than before and now
U.S. has lead P8I-Posedian to India in the Indian Ocean. U.S. has been providing
carriers, vessels, stealth (large radius) submarines, aircrafts, anti-submarines,
nuclear technology and nuclear aid, weapons, warships to India, so they can
conduct large scale naval exercises and to exceed China and Pakistan‟s naval
forces. Not only China but the regional states, particularly Pakistan also fear this
technology. The reason for U.S. providing naval aid and nuclear technology to
India in the Indian Ocean is, so that the gap between Pakistan and Indian naval
forces could not be reduced. Besides that, India‟s potential and combat naval war
forces keep increasing to that of Pakistan. Since U.S. is providing technological
submarines and other technological assistance to India to increase its strength and
power; due to which the Indian naval forces have become vulnerable to Pakistan as
well as China in the Indian Ocean Region.
China has initiated its Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) policy with Pakistan and
other regional states in order to develop and industrialize the remaining 6% of its
area (the rest 94% of China is industrialized) as well. Pakistan with the help of
CPEC, specifically Gwadar Port is going to be a trendsetter and economic hub of
the future in the Indian Ocean. Successful completion of CPEC and Gwadar Port
will result in China and Pakistan‟s economic boost up on regional and global scale.
Since, the center of gravity of world economy has been shifted towards Indo-
Pacific from Atlantic; U.S. has been facing economic and strategic challenges
from China‟s emergence. Along with China, Pakistan‟s rise is also a big deal for
India. Being the nuclear rival states, India would have to face greater
consequences from Pakistan‟s rise. Since India has rivalry with Pakistan as well as
China, it stimulates double threat for India in Asia and even in Indian Ocean
Region. It can be simplified that China and Pakistan will become strategically and
economically strong, leaving India behind. This will affect not only India‟s
economy and strength, but India would also be in fear and pressure from China
and Pakistan. Since Gwadar Port will influence the SLOC and straits passages in
the Indian Ocean; trade and economy of India would also be affected. This is
something that U.S. and India does not want to happen, especially in the Indian
Ocean Region (Ahmed, 2019).
Pakistan development and progress of Gwadar port has also threatened the
maritime domain of Pakistan. Maritime security challenges on land and offshore
domain of Pakistan has increased. The maritime threats on coastal and offshore
area of Pakistan are transnational threats including conventional and non-
conventional threats, such as maritime terrorism, piracy, smuggling of drugs and
weapons, human trafficking, cyber space threats and other such threats. In order to
counter these threats and challenges, Pakistan Navy (PN) plays a very important
role in countering maritime terrorism and other maritime threats and challenges.
Pakistan Navy is playing an active role in maritime security of Western Indian
Ocean and is involved in maritime exercises and operations to counter terrorism,
piracy and is a part of Combined Task Force 150 for countering maritime
terrorism. Other than that Pakistan Navy is fighting against terrorism in coastal
areas and areas where sea ports are located such as in Balochistan, PN is playing a
huge role in developing and building infrastructure in the province of Balochistan
to avoid conflicts and violent activities in the region and on coastal area. Thus,
maritime security has become extremely challenging for Pakistan in the recent
timeframe.
With the success of Gwadar port, Pakistan would be economically stable and
strong, also Gwadar port would become economic hub of the region. In this case,
India would be left with no other option but to develop friendly relation with
Pakistan in order to increase its economic status in the region. Regardless of this,
India would need land access to start trade with Pakistan, Afghanistan, Iran and to
initiate trade with Central Asian region as well, otherwise India would face
isolation in economic terms. And India cannot get access to all these landlocked
states without passing through Pakistan. If India uses the sea route through
Conclusion
Indo-U.S. strategic partnership has become a hot topic of debate since their
partnership in Indo-Pacific Region. India dreams of becoming regional hegemon
of Asia has become true with its strategic partnership with U.S. India‟s „Ankhand
Bharat‟ view in the Indian Ocean Region would also be fulfilled with its assistance
to U.S., which would result in negative impact on regional scale, particularly for
Pakistan in the Indian Ocean. U.S. is already providing high technological naval
weapons and nuclear submarine to India to compete against China and Pakistan in
the Indian Ocean Region. Another purpose of India developing weapons and
transferring of technology and equipment for Indian naval forces from U.S., is that
so the former can have greater naval power than Pakistan. This has eventually
resulted in arms-race in the region, disrupting balance of power. Thus, the strategic
partnership of India and U.S. in Indo-Pacific region has become much more
influential which has put Pakistan in a less secure position than the rest of regional
states. India and U.S. have been conducting extensive naval exercises and
patrolling in the Indian Ocean to gain military dominance in suspicion of China
and Pakistan pre-dominating their military presence in the ocean particularly near
North Arabian Sea through Gwadar Port. India‟s intension of building Blue Water
Navy with U.S. collaboration in the Indian Ocean also serves to predominate high
sea and help U.S. in containing China and Pakistan‟s growing activities towards
the ocean. Leaning of power balance towards India due to its strategic partnership
with U.S., Pakistan would likely to face deadly implications not only in oceanic
domain but also in political, economic, social, defense and on international ground,
resulting in nuclear arms race and conflicts with rival India (involving U.S. and
China) in order to maintain power balance in the region.
For Pakistan, to counter Indo-U.S. strategic partnership in the Indian Ocean
Region, the former has to change its paradigm from land lord thinking to maritime
nation thinking. The reason to start thinking and acting like a maritime state is that
so Pakistan could focus on developing its maritime sector, and by developing blue
economy which includes oceanic industries for extraction of hydrocarbons,
Recommendations
References
Biographical Note
Aima Tahir is M.Phil. Scholar at Kinnaird College for Women, Lahore, Pakistan.
Dr. Khushboo Ejaz is an Assistant Professor at Kinnaird College for Women,
Lahore, Pakistan.
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