Trading Off Between Value Creation and Value Appropriation: The Financial Implications of Shifts in Strategic Emphasis
Trading Off Between Value Creation and Value Appropriation: The Financial Implications of Shifts in Strategic Emphasis
Trading Off Between Value Creation and Value Appropriation: The Financial Implications of Shifts in Strategic Emphasis
arketing strategy is concerned with creating sus- costs, advertising, and network externalities, for example,
Journal of Marketing
Vol. 67 (January 2003), 63–76 Value Creation and Value Appropriation / 63
has not explored what effect strategic emphasis has on finan- sumer surplus, and other firms (competitors and noncom-
cial performance. Our study addresses this issue by examin- petitors) will get a portion of it through profits stemming
ing the effect shifts in strategic emphasis (i.e., the emphasis from imitation and development cost savings (Mansfield et
on value appropriation versus value creation capabilities) al. 1977).
have on stock return. Considerable variation exists across innovations as to
Our analysis makes use of movements in the {[advertis- the proportion of the surplus captured by each of the major
ing expenditures – research and development (R&D) expen- players. The polio vaccine is perhaps the most extreme
ditures]/assets} ratio as an indicator of shifts in strategic example of an innovation that created tremendous societal
emphasis. Although other factors also influence value value, but where the innovator did not appropriate any sur-
appropriation and value creation, movements in this mea- plus. Jonas Salk did not patent the vaccine (stating a desire
sure can be expected to provide information about shifts in not to personally profit from it) but rather wished the vac-
strategic emphasis related to value appropriation versus cine to be disseminated as widely as possible. As such, con-
value creation. That is, increases in the ratio will tend to be sumers claimed the entire surplus from the innovation.
associated with increased emphasis on value appropriation, Even firms with a desire for profit often do not profit
and decreases in the ratio will tend to be associated with from their innovations. For example, the CT scanner was
increased emphasis on value creation. Empirically, we find invented by EMI Ltd., but the firm’s inability to profit from
that the stock market reacts favorably when a firm increases the innovation led to its takeover around the same time the
its emphasis on value appropriation rather than on value cre- inventors were receiving the Nobel Prize in Medicine. Com-
ation. However, this effect is moderated by firm and indus- petitors and consumers claimed the surplus generated by the
try characteristics, in particular, financial performance, the innovation. However, it is the hope of realizing profits that
past level of strategic emphasis of the firm, and the techno- motivates firms to innovate. Indeed, countless examples
logical environment in which the firm operates. These exist in which a firm captured considerable surplus from its
results do not negate the importance of value creation capa- innovation. Dupont with Teflon, G.D. Searle with
bilities, but rather highlight the importance of isolating NutraSweet, Microsoft with Windows, and Pfizer with Via-
mechanisms that enable the firm to appropriate some of the gra, for example, were all able to appropriate a substantial
value it has created. proportion of the societal value created by their innovations.
As such, both value creation and value appropriation
capabilities are required for achieving sustained competitive
Value Creation and Value advantage (Figure 1). A firm, however, has significant lati-
Appropriation tude in deciding the extent to which it emphasizes one set of
Firms engage in innovative activities that lead to creation of capabilities as opposed to the other. They both shape the
societal value, that is, the total social surplus arising from firm’s competitive advantage (Ghemawat 1991; Rumelt
the difference between the utility that consumers derive 1987). Value creation influences the potential magnitude of
from the product and the costs of producing it. The societal the advantage; value appropriation influences the amount of
value will end up being captured by three major players in the advantage the firm is able to capture and the length of
the market: The innovating firm will appropriate some of the time the advantage persists. Because firm value depends on
societal value it has created in the form of economic profit, both the magnitude and the persistence of advantage, both
the customers will claim a portion of it in the form of con- processes influence financial performance. As such, they
FIGURE 1
Marketing Strategy and the Sustainable Competitive Advantage Framework
Marketing Strategy
Superior
Customer-
Value Creation
Capabilities
Organizational Sustainable Superior
Competitive Financial
Advantage Performance
Value
Appropriation
Capabilities
∑ (1 + r) ,
CFt
Late in 1991, in response to increased competitive pressures (1) Vi =
t
from Advanced Micro Devices and C&T, Intel launched its t =1
“Intel Inside” campaign. The campaign marked a shift in where Vi is the present value of marketing strategy (i), CFt
strategy for Intel to bolster its brand attributes. We show in is cash flow at time period t generated as a result of the use
Figure 2 that the S9 measure captures Intel’s shift to of marketing strategy (i), and r is the cost of capital.
enhancing value appropriation capabilities. Although Intel In practice, it is virtually impossible to estimate the
maintained an emphasis on value creation capabilities (i.e., value of a marketing strategy with this formula. Although
S9 is negative for the entire period), the measure shows a the measure of Vi is not available, under the efficient mar-
definite positive drift associated with the execution of the kets hypothesis, abnormal stock return (the difference
“Intel Inside” campaign and the shift in emphasis toward the between the actual and expected return, given the market
development of value appropriation assets. and firm risk characteristics) will provide an unbiased esti-
mate of the change in Vi. Given efficient markets, all avail-
The Financial Implications of the able information about future cash flows is incorporated into
the current stock price. When an unanticipated change in
Trade-Off Between Value Creation strategy occurs, the markets react, and the new stock price
and Value Appropriation reflects the long-term implications such change is expected
Our research goal is to assess the financial effect generated to have on future cash flows. As such, abnormal stock return
by shifts in emphasis between value creation and value provides an estimate of the difference in market value of the
appropriation and to address the conditions under which firm before and after the change in marketing strategy
these shifts might have differential performance implica- occurs. Therefore, it can be used as an estimate of the long-
tions. To capture the long-term financial impact (i.e., the term financial value that results from a shift in marketing
total expected value), our analysis focuses on the effect of strategy.2
strategic emphasis on the stock market valuation of the firm.
Testing for the “Information Content” of Strategic
Emphasis
FIGURE 2 We seek to assess the extent to which changes in strate-
Strategic Emphasis Indicator for the Intel gic emphasis are associated with long-term financial perfor-
Corporation 1982–98 mance. We do so by examining the information content of
strategic emphasis (i.e., whether changes in the S9 series are
Year associated with stock return). A significant relation would
indicate that investors view these changes as signaling
’82 ’84 ’86 ’88 ’90 ’92 ’94 ’96 ’98
0
–.02 2Although market anomalies exist, they tend to be rare and
–.04 short-lived. As such, particularly for analysis based on a large num-
~~
SE –.06 ber of firms across a long time period, the efficient markets
–.08 hypothesis appears to be a good approximation for the functioning
1991
–.1 “Intel Inside” campaign begins of the financial markets. Even those who question the overreliance
–.12 on the efficient markets hypothesis (e.g., De Bondt and Thaler
1985) agree that it is a good starting point.
ensure correspondence between the stock price and account- Rather, consistent with the time series models showing that
ing information, an additional requirement that companies ROA exhibits persistence, a shock to ROA will not dissi-
have a December fiscal year is used. Our data sample con- pate immediately but is likely to persist over several years.
sists of observations from 566 different firms reporting for The greater the persistence of a ROA shock, the larger is
all or some of the period 1980–98. We have a total of 3480 the earnings response coefficient in the stock return equa-
observations available for analysis. In Table 2, we provide tion (Miller and Rock 1985). As such, the market reaction
descriptive statistics for and the definitions of the variables to unanticipated ROA reflects that it provides information
that form the basis of our analysis. not only about the current-term results but also about the
future-term profits.
Table 4 also shows that changes in strategic emphasis
Estimation Results are significantly related to stock return. The positive coeffi-
We first estimate first-order autoregressive time series mod- cient (1.18) means that, on average, investors view increases
els for ROA and strategic emphasis. In Table 3, we present in emphasis on value appropriation coming at the expense of
the estimated models. Following the convention (e.g., Kor- value creation as being positively related to future-term per-
mendi and Lipe 1987), we use the residuals from these mod- formance.7 Because the model accounts for the direct influ-
els as the measures of the unanticipated changes in ROA and ence of unanticipated ROA, this effect is incremental to
strategic emphasis of a firm.5 In Table 4, we present the information contained in accounting returns. Investors per-
results of estimating Equation 4 for our entire sample and ceive strategic emphasis as providing incremental informa-
for the high-, stable-, and low-technology subsamples.6 tion about the future-term prospects of the firm above and
beyond that contained in current accounting returns.
The Full Sample Results However, the total effect of strategic emphasis is not
constant, but rather is evidenced to vary systematically.
In Table 4, the results for the full sample estimation indi-
Although the interactive effect with lagged strategic empha-
cate that unanticipated ROA has a positive (1.58) and sig-
sis (i.e., –.61) is statistically insignificant, the interactive
nificant effect on stock return. The coefficient estimate
effect with unanticipated ROA is positive and highly signif-
greater than 1.0 does not indicate that investors are short-
icant. The positive interactive effect (3.73) indicates that
term oriented in that they overvalue current-term results.
investors view a shift toward value appropriation capability
8Another interpretation of this interactive effect, which is obser- higher earnings response coefficients. This interpretation has merit
vationally equivalent, is that ∆S9it moderates the effect of ∆ROAit. in that value appropriation capabilities enhance the persistence of
Firms experiencing increased emphasis on value appropriation have ROA and the magnitude of the earnings response coefficient.
TABLE 2
Descriptive Statistics
Stock return
Mean .27 .28 .26 .24
S.D. (.87) (.91) (.88) (.69)
ROA
Mean .087 .052 .099 .145
S.D. (.22) (.28) (.19) (.11)
~~
SE
Mean –.024 –.07 –.007 .049
S.D. (.11) (.11) (.10) (.08)
Number of
observations 3480 1288 1770 422
Variable definitions:
shares outstandingit × priceit + dividendsit − shares outstandingit − 1 × priceit − 1
Stock returnit =
shares outstandingit − 1 × priceit − 1
TABLE 3
~~
First-Order Time-Series Models for ROA and SE*
ity as more preferable. This condition exists when unantici- Moderating effects of profitability. The moderating
pated ROA is less than –.32 (i.e., 1.18/3.73). effect of unanticipated ROA on strategic emphasis is posi-
tive for both the high-technology and stable-technology
The Role of the Technological Environment environments. This positive effect indicates that investors
Analysis of the high-, stable-, and low-technology subsam- value a shift toward emphasizing value appropriation capa-
ples reveals both similarities and differences across the three bility when earnings are greater than anticipated. In other
environments. All three samples exhibit positive effects of words, when a firm is doing well, the market wants the firm
unanticipated ROA on stock return. One difference to note to increase emphasis on value appropriation. The moderat-
among the samples relates to the magnitude of the earnings ing effect is larger in stable-technology markets than in the
response coefficient estimates. The estimated effect is low- high-technology sector (5.37 versus 2.79). This is consistent
est for the high-technology sample (1.36), increases for the with the relative role that Chandler (1994) notes innovation
stable-technology sample (1.80), and is highest for the low- plays in these two markets. In stable-technology markets,
technology sample (3.09). Theoretical valuation models where innovation is less central, firms need to place greater
(e.g., Miller and Rock 1985) depict the magnitude of the emphasis on appropriation when the firm has an advantage.
earnings response coefficient to increase the greater the per- Locking in an advantage is still important in high-
sistence of profits and decrease the larger the discount rate. technology markets, but less important than in the stable-
The observed differential effect is consistent with differ- technology markets. The estimated effect is negative for the
ences across the three environments. Shocks to ROA are low-technology firms. However, the size of the standard
more likely to persist and future-period returns are dis- error makes it difficult to isolate the effect or draw
counted less, the less dynamic the environment is. conclusions.
The estimated direct effects of strategic emphasis are Moderating effects of the past strategy. The most dra-
positive and significant for both high- and stable-technology matic difference among industry groupings is for the inter-
markets. Although the estimated coefficients decrease in active effect of unanticipated strategic emphasis with the
magnitude, moving from high- (2.01) to stable- (1.5) to low- lagged level of strategic emphasis. The estimated effect is
(.91) technology markets, a Chow test is unable to reject the positive and significant for high-technology firms (6.00),
hypothesis that the direct effect of strategic emphasis is the negative and significant for stable-technology firms (–3.44),
same across technological environments. Thus, we find no and negative (though insignificant) for low-technology firms
evidence to suggest that value appropriation is any less (–5.80).
important in high-technology markets than in stable- The negative effect is consistent with the proposition of
technology markets. diminishing marginal returns to a high value creation or
FIGURE 4
FIGURE 3
Effects of the Directional Change in the Strategic
Effects of the Directional Change in the Strategic
Emphasis on Stock Return Given the Past Level
Emphasis on Stock Return Given the Past Level
of Strategic Emphasis: The High-Technology
of Strategic Emphasis: The Stable-Technology
Sample
Sample
VA
VA
Amount Allocated to Value Appropriation
Positive Effect on
Amount Allocated to Value Appropriation
~~
SE = –.33
H Positive Effect on
Positive Effect on Stock Return
Stock Return
Budget constraint line
Budget constraint line (i.e., the total expenditure on VA and VC)
(i.e., the total expenditure on VA and VC) VC
VC Amount Allocated to Value Creation
Amount Allocated to Value Creation
Notes: Point H represents a separating point ~
because
~ firms tend to
Notes: Point S represents an optimal point ~because
~ firms tend to achieve increased stock return when SE moves away from
achieve increased stock return when SE moves toward .44. –.33.
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