Does Corporate After Mergers? Performance Improve: Paul M. Healy
Does Corporate After Mergers? Performance Improve: Paul M. Healy
Does Corporate After Mergers? Performance Improve: Paul M. Healy
North-Holland
Paul M. Healy
Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02139, USA
We examine post-acquisition performance for the 50 largest U.S. mergers between 1979 and
mid-1984. Merged firms show significant improvements in asset productivity relative to their
industries, leading to higher operating cash flow returns. This performance improvement is
particularly strong for firms with highly overlapping businesses. Mergers do not lead to cuts in
long-term capital afld R&D investments. There is a strong positive relation between postmerger
increases in operating cash flows and abnormal stock returns at merger announcements,
indicating that expectations of economic improvements underlie the equity revaluations of the
merging firms.
1. Introduction
This study examines the postmerger cash flow performance of acquiring
and target firms, and explores the sources of merger-induced changes in cash
flow performance. Our research is motivated by the inability of stock price
*We acknowledge the helpful comments of the referee, Michael Jensen (the editor), Robin
Cooper, George Foster, Robert Kaplan, Richard Leftwich, Mark Wolfson, Karen Wruck, and
seminar participants a’r Baruch College, Carnegie Mellon University, Columbia University,
Dartmouth College, Duke University, the Federal Reserve Bank (Washington, DC), Harvard
University, the London School of Economics, the University of Michigan, Massachusetts Insti-
tute of Technology, New York University, Northwestern University, the University of Minnesota,
the University of Rochester, Stanford University, the University of Southern California, the
University of Alberta, and the U.S. Department of Justice. We are thankful to Chris Fox and
Ken Hao, who provided research assistance, and the International Financial Services Center at
MIT and the Division of Research at the Harvard Business School for financial support.
‘See Caves (1989) for a review of the studies that examine the ex post performance of merged
firms.
2Dodd (19801, Asquith (19831, Dodd and Ruback (1977), Bradley, Desai, and Kim (1983), and
Ruback (1988).
“Three recent studies have examined earnings performance following management buyouts of
corporations [Bull (19881, Kaplan (1990), and Smith (199011.Our paper focuses on acquisitions of
one public company by another in either a merger or a tender offer, rather than on management
buyouts.
P. Healy et d., Performance improcements after mergers 137
2. Experimental design
2. I. Sample
The analysis in this study is based on the largest 50 acquisitions during the
period January 1979 to June 1984. We limit the number of acquisitions
studied to make the hand data collection tasks manageable. The largest
acquisitions have several important advantages over a similarly sized random
sample. First, although the sample consists of a small fraction of the total
acquisitions in the sample period, the total dollar value of the 59 firms
selected accounts for a significant portion of the dollar value of domestic
138 P. Heal’! et al., Performance improcnements after mergers
merger activity4 Second, if there are economic gains from a takeover, they
are most likely to be detected when the target firm is large. Third, it is less
likely that the acquirers in the sample undertake equally large acquisitions
before or after the events we study, reducing the probability of confounding
events. Finally, public concern about the consequences of takeovers is typi-
cally triggered by the largest transactions, making them interesting in their
own right.
The sample period is selected to focus on recent mergers and also to have
sufficient postmerger performance data? To select the acquisition sample, we
iden@ the 382 merger-related delistings GJI the Center for Research in
Security Prices (CRSP) database in the sample period. The names of the
acquirers are identified from the Wall Street Journal Index. The sample
comprises acquisitions involving the 50 largest targets that satisfy the follow-
ing two criteria: the acquirer is a U.S. company liste on the New York Stock
Exchange (NYSE) or the American Stock Exchange (Amex), and the target
and acquirer are not financial or regulated companies. Target-firm size is
computed from Compustat as the market value of common stock plus the
book values of net debt and preferred stock at the beginning of the year
before the acquisition. Acquisitions are deleted from the sample if the
acquirers are non-U.S. or private companies, since post-acquisition financial
information is not available for these mergers. Regulated (railroads and
utilities) and financial firms are deleted because they are subject to special
accounting and regulatory requirements, making them difficult to compare
with other firms.
A summary of the sample is provided in the appendix. The information
provided includes target and acquiring firms’ names, a description of their
businesses and industries from Value Line reports, target equity v&ue before
the merger, the target’s assets as a percentage of the acquirer’s assets, and
the merger completion date. The sample targets and acquirers represent a
wide cross-section of Value Line industries. The target firms belong to 24
industries; the acquiring firms come from 33 industries.
The transactions are approximately evenly distributed over the sample
years: eight acquisitions in the sample were completed in 1979, seven in 1980,
twelve in 1981, eleven in 1983, and two in 1984. Since we focus on mergers
completed in only a few years, however, the sample firms’ postmerger
performance is likely to be influenced by economywide changes. Our tests,
therefore, control for these factors by comparing sample firms’ performance
with their corresponding industries’.
4The aggregate market value of equity of the 50 target firms in our sample one year before the
acquisition is $43 billion.
‘The sample period ends in June 1984 to ensure that when the study was initiated, at least five
years of postmerger data were available on Compustat for the sample firms. Compustat files end
in June each year.
P. Healy et al., Performance improvements after mergers 139
under the pooling-of-interests method. Finally, for the first year of the
merger, the purchase method consolidates results of the target with those of
the acquirer from the date the merger took place; the pealing method
consolidates results for the two firms from the beginning of the year regard-
less of when the merger took place.
The same transaction typically results in lower postmerger earnings under
purchase accounting than under pooling. The purchase method increases
depreciation, cost of goods sold, and goodwill expenses after the takeover.
Also, in the year of the merger, earnings are usually lower under purchase
acccunting because the target’s and acquirer’s earnings are consolidated for a
shorter period than under pooling. The lower earnings reported under the
purchase method are due to differences in the method of accounting for the
merger and not to differences in economic performance. Further, postmerger
book assets under the purchase method will be larger than those under
pooling because of the asset write-up under the purchase method. It is
theref3re misleading to compare post- and premerger accounting rate of
return for firms that use purchase accounting to infer whether there are
economic gains from merger:,
Our operating cash flow performance measure - unlike earnings-based
performance measures - is unaffected by depreciation and goodwill. It is
comparable cross-sectionally and on a time-series basis when firms use
different methods of accounting for the merger. We exclude the first year of
the merger in our analysis because of the differences between the purchase
and pooling methods in timing the consolidation of the target with the
acquirer. Excluding the first year also mitigates the effect of inventory
write-ups under the purchase method, since this inventory is usually included
in cost of sales in the merger year.6 Because the asset base in our return
metric is the market value of assets, rather than book value, it is also
unaffected by the accounting method used to record the merger.
“Firms using the LIFO inventory valuation method expense the written-up inventory as
inventory layers are depleted, making it difficult to determine when to adjust earnings for the
effect of the write-up. We therefore do not make any adjustments for these firms. This lack of
adjustment will not lead to a serious downward bias in our earnings measure, however, since
LIFO inventory liquidations are relatively infrequent.
P. Healy et al., Performance improvements after mergers 141
mance of the other lines of business of the acquiring firms. Th-, authors also
use FTC line-of-business data, which have several potential problems. Defi-
nitions of business segments may change systematicAly after mergers if
acquirers restructure their operations. Results oi‘ tests using segment data
reported to the FTC are also likely to be difficult to interpret, since reporting
firms have incentives to use accounting discretion to mask superior perfor-
mance, thereby reducing the likelihood of antitrust suits by the FTC [see
Watts and Zimmerman (198611.
Herman and Lowenstein (1988) examine postmerger performance using a
sample of hostile acquisitions between 1975 and 1983. Complete postmerger
data are unavailable for transactions after 1979, however, which limits the
analysis to a small number of postmerger years for many sample firms.
Further, the return on equity measure, which is used to judge postmerger
performance, does not control for differences in pooling and purchase
accounting, methods of merger financing, or the effect of common industry
shocks. These limitations make it diflicult to interpret the study’s findings.
cash flow returns will not show any abnormal increase, even though the
merger results in an increase in operating cash flows.
For example, consider an acquiring firm (company A) and a target (com-
pany T) with annual operating cash flows of $20 and $10 forever. Both firms
have the same cost of capital (lo%), implying that their market values are
$200 and $100. Therefore, a portfolio conprising of A and T has a market
value of $300 and cash flows of $30, producing an annual return of 10%.
Suppose that when A acquires T combined cash ilows increase to $35 per
year. An efficient market capitalizes this $5 improvement at $50. If post-
merger cash flow returns are computed as the ratio of postmerger cash flows
($35) and postmerger assets including the premium ($350), measured perfor-
mance will be identical to the premerger operating return for the portfolio of
A and T (10%). There is no improvement in the measured cash flow return
even though cash flows per year have increased by $5. Our measure of
performance is computed as the ratio of postmerger cash flows ($35) and
postmerger assets excluding the asset revaluation ($350 - $50). This return
measure (11.7%) correctly reflects the improvement in operating perfor-
mance after the merger.
We also adjust the merging firms’ performance for the impact of contem-
poraneous unrelated events by measuring industry cash flow returns during
the same ten-year period. We use Value Line industry definitions, and
exclude the target and acquiring firms’ returns from the industry computa-
tions. Before the merger, industry values for the sample firms arc constructed
by weighting median performance measures for the target and acquiring
firms’ industries by the relative asset sizes of the two firms at the beginning of
each year. In all of the postmeiger years target and acquirer industry cash
flow returns are weighted by the relative asset sizes of the two firms one year
before the merger.
We focus our analysis on years -5 to - 1 arid 1 to 5. Year 0, the year of
the merger, is excluded from the analysis for two reasons. First, many of the
acquiring firms use the purchase accounting method, implying that in
the year of the merger the two firms are consolidated for financial reporting
purposes only from the date of the merger. Results for this year are therefore
not comparable across firms or for iniustry comparisons. Second, year 0
figures are affected by one-time merger costs incurred during that year,
makin? it difficult to compare them with results for other years.
Table 1
Postmerger firm and industry growth in operating cash flows and market value of assets for 50
combined target and acquirer firms in mergers completed in the period 1979 to mid-1584.a
aOperating cash flows are sales less cost of goods sold, less selling and administrative
expenses, plus depreciation. The market value of assets, measured at the beginning of the year,
is the market value of equity plus the book values of preferred stock and net debt. Year - 1 cash
flow and asset values for the combined firm are weighted averages of target and acquirer values,
with the weights being the relative asset values of the two firms. Postmerger values use data for
the merged firms. Industry-adjusted cash flow and asset growth rates are computed for each firm
and year as the difference between the sample-firm growth rate in that year and growth rates for
aggregated cash flows and assets of other firms in the same industry (as defined by Value Line in
year - 1). Target and acquirer industry growth rates are weighted by the relative asset values of
the acquirer and target firms in year - 1.
bSignificantly different from zero at the 1% level, using a two-tailed test.
‘Significantly different from zero at the 5% level, using a two-tailed test.
‘To calculate the sample median pretax operating cash flow return for years -5 to - 1, we
first compute the median return in these years for each sample firm. The reported sample
median is the median of these values. Sample median returns in the postmerger period are
calculated the same way.
P. Healy et al., Performaxe improvements after mergers 145
‘Throughout the paper we use a two-tailed test and a 10% or lower cutoff significance level.
This is equivalent to a 5% cutoff or,e-tailed test for the many cases where the hypotheses
examined are directional,
(‘We calculate the percentage increase relative to the industry as 2.8/(20.5 - 2.8).
146 P. Healy et al., Performance improvements after mergers
Table 2
Median operating cash flow return on actual market value of assets for 50 combined target and
acquirer firms in years surrounding mergers completed in the period 1979 to mid-1984.a
aOperating cash fIow return on assets is sales less cost of goods sold, less selling and
administrative expenses, plus depreciation, divided by the market value of assets at the beginning
of the year. Change in equity values of the target and acquiring firms at the merger announce-
ment are excluded from the market values of assets in the postmerger years. Industry-adjusted
cash flow returns are computed for each firm and year as the difference between the sample firm
value in that year and median values for other firms in the same industry (as defined by Value
Line in year - 1). Premerger returns for the combined firm are weighted averages of target and
acquirer returns, with the weights being the relative asset values of the two firms. Postmerger
returns use data for the merged firms. Premerger industry returns are weighted averages of
target and acquirer industry median returns, with the weights being the relative asset values of
the acquirer and target firms each year. In the postmerger period the weights used to compute
industry returns are the relative asset values of the acquirer and target firms in year - 1.
L4CRp0sr,i and OCR,,,, i are the median annual industry-adjusted operating cash flow returns
in the post- and premerger periods for firm i.
Significantly different from zero at the 1% level, using a two-tailed test.
isignificantly different from zero at the 5% level, using a two-tailed test.
Significantly different from zero at the 10% level, using a two-tailed test.
P. Healy et al., Performance improcements after mergers 147
where LACR,,,;,, i is the median annual industry-adjusted cash flow return for
company i from the postmerger years and L4CRpre.i is the premerger
median for the same company. Our measure of the abnormal industry-
adjusted return is the intercept cy from (1). The slope coefficient p captures
any correlation in cash flow returns between the pre- and postmerger years
SO that /3 LciCR,,,i measures the effect of the premerger performance on
postmerger returns. The intercept Q!is therefore independent of premerger
returns.
As shown in panel B of table 2, for our sample, the estimate of /? is 0.37,
indicating that industry-adjusted cash flow returns tend to persist over time.
The estimate of ~1!shows ;hat there is a 2.8% per-year increase in postmerger
cash flow returns after premerger performance is controlled for. This evi-
dence indicates that there is a significant improvement in the merged firms’
cash flow returns in the post-merger period.”
“‘These results remain unchanged when we reestimate the model excluding outlier observa-
tions identified using Belsley, Kuh, and Welsch (1980) influence diagnostics. We also conduct
specification tests for regression equation (1) to assess whether the residuals are homoskedastic
[see White (1980)] and normally distributed, We cannot reject the hypotheses that the residuals
are homoskedastic and normally distributed at the 5% level.
148 P. Healy et al., Performance improcements after mergers
Table 3
Median industry-adjusted and raw stock returns for combined target and acquirer companies in
the five years before the merger, and for the merged firm for five years after the merger, for
mergers completed in the period 1979 to mid-1984.a
“Returns in years -5 to - 1 and 1 to 5 are taken from Compustat , consistent with the equity
values reported in table 1. Returns in year 0 are from CRSP. For target firms. the merger
announcement period is the date from the first announcement of a takeover offer for the target
to the date a merger is completed. For acquirers, the merger announcement period is the dete
from the first announcement of a takeover offer by the acquirer to the date a merger is
completed. Premerger returns for the combined firm are weighted averages of target and
acquirer values, with the weights being the relative equity values of the two firms. Postmerger
performance measures use data for the merged firms. Industry-adjusted returns are computed
for each firm and year as the difference between the sample-firm value in that year and median
values for other firms in the same industry (as defined by Value Line in year - 1). Premerger
industry returns are weighted averages of target and acquirer industry median returns, with the
weights being the relative equity values of the acquirer and target firms each year. In the
postmerger period the weights used to compute industry returns are the relative equity values of
the acquirer and target firms in year - 1.
‘Sig$ficantly different from zero at the 1% level, using a two-tailed test.
CSignificantly different from zero at the 10% level, using a two-tailed test.
To compute the value of equity for the combined firm at the beginning of
year 1, we start with the total market equity value for the target and acquirer
at the beginning of year - I. We then add year - 1 and year 0 values of the
merged firm’s after tax cash from operations (net of interest expense,
nonoperating income, and cash taxes) and cash from new share issues, and
subtract cash dividends to common and preferred stockholders and cash used
to acquire treasury stock. ” In each of years 2 through 5, we repeat this
procedure using the estimated equity at the beginning of the prior year, and
“For firms that use purchase accounting, new debt or equity issued at the merger includes the
merger premium for the target, whereas for firms that use the pooling method it does not. To
make the measure comparable across firms, we deduct the target premium for the purchase
accounting tirms in computing the quasi-market values of equity.
150 P. Hea!y et al., Performance improcements after mergers
adding changes in equity cash flows for the merged firm during the prior
year. The resulting quasi-market equity measure captures changes in equity
available for reinvestment, but does not reflect revaluations of growth oppor-
tunities after the merger announcement.
To provide a benchmark for evaluating the postmerger returns, we also
compute comparable equity values at the beginning of years -5 to - 1. For
yeas - 1 we use the actual market value of assets at the beginning of the
year. To compute the pro forma equity value for the combined firm at the
beginning of year - 2, we start with the total market value of equity for the
target and acquirer at the beginning of year - 1. We then subtract year - 2
values of the target’s and acquirer’s after-tax cash from operations (net of
interest expense, nonoperating income, and cash taxes) and cash from new
share issues, and add cash dividends to common and preferred stockholders
and cash used to acquire treasury stock. This procedure is repeated for years
-3 to -5.
We estimate the quasi-market value of assets in each of the years -5 to
+5 as the sum of the quasi-market value of equity estimated as above and
the book value of net debt. We then compute the ratio of operating cash flow
to the estimated quasi-market value of assets in each year to provide an
alternative return measure.
The main advantage of the cash flow return on the quasi-market value of
assets is that it excludes postmerger equity market revaluations from the
asset base. The measure preserves some important features of the original
measure: it is unaffected by the method of merger financing or asset write-ups,
and retie& funds invested in the firm in each year. But, it is not without
limitations. The measure does not take into account reductions in asset
values from economic depreciation. ‘This can lead to a significant overstate-
ment of asset values in the postmerger period, ieading in turn to an
understatement of measured postmerger performance. Also, for firms that
use purchase accounting, cash from operations for the target in year 0 is
reflected in the acquirers’ records only from the date the merger is consum-
mated. This leads to a small understatement of the postmerger asset values.
Both these limitations are avoided by the market value of assets used in our
original cash flow return measure.
Cash flow returns computed using the alternative measure of asset values
are reported in table 4. The results are generally consistent with the findings
reported in table 2. The merged firms continue to show higher cash flow
returns on assets than their industries in the postmerger period. Median
industry-adjusted pretax operating returns for the merged firms are 2.8% in
year 1, 2.6% in year 2, and 2.1% in year 3, all significantly different from
zero. The percentage of industry-adjusted returns that are positive is 67% in
year 1, 62% in year 2, and 65% in year 3, all above the value expected by
chance alone (50%;. Overall, the annual median pretax return in the five
postmerger years is 3.2%.
P. Healy et al., Performance improvements after mergers 151
Table 4
Median operating cash flow return on quasi-market value of assets for 50 combined target and
acquirer firms in years surrounding mergers completed in the period 1979 to mid-19&La
aPretax operating c&h flow return on assets is sales less cost of goods sold, less selling and
administrative expenses, plus depreciation, divided by quasi-market value of assets at the
beginning of the year. The computation of quasi-market value of assets begins with market
values in year - 1 and adjusts for changes in capital available for reinvestment in other years.
Premerger returns for the combined firm are weighted averages of target and acquirer values,
with the weights being the relative asset values of the two firms. Postmerger returns are for the
merged firm. Industry-adjusted cash flow returns are computed for each firm and year as the
difference between the sample-firm value in that year and median values for other firms in
the same industry (as defined by Value Line in year - 1). Premerger industry returns are
weighted averages of target and acquirer industry median returns, with the weights being the
relative asset values of the acquirer and target firms each year. In the postmerger period the
weights used to compute industry returns are the relative asset values of the acquirer and target
firms in year - 1. L4CRposr i and L4CR,,,,i are the median annual industry-adjusted pretax
operating cash flow returns in the post- and premerger periods for firm i.
bSignificantly different from zero at the 1% level, using a two-tailed test.
‘Significantly different from zero at the 5% level, using a two-tailed test.
dSignificantly different from zero at the 10% level, using a two-tailed test.
152 P. Healy et al., Performance improvements after mergers
l2We again conduct specification tests for (1) to assess whether the residuals are homoskedas-
tic [see While U930); acid normally distributed. We cannot reject the hypotheses that the
residuals are homoskedastic and normally distributed at the 5% level.
P. Healy et al., Performance improvements after mergers 153
Table 5
Definitions of variables used to analyze actual performance of 50 targets and 50 acquirers in
years surrounding mergers.
Variable Definition
margins than their industries in these years. When we control for premerger
operating margins, there is no evidence of a significant change in margins
after the merger. Rather, merged firms seem to use their assets more
productively.
Mergers also give the acquirer an opportunity to renegotiate expiicit and
implicit labor contracts tc, lower labor costs and achieve a more efficient mix
of capital and labor [see Shleifer and Summers (1988)]. Because we are
unable to obtain sufficient data on wages directly, we examine employee
growth rates and pension expense per employee to analyze changes in labor
costs in years surrounding the mergers.
The median number of employees declines in each of the postmerger
years. Overall, the industry-adjusted employee growth rate is negative after
we control for the growth rate in the premerger period. There is also
evidence of a decline in pension expense per employee after the merger.
Before the merger the sample firms have a significant!;l higher pension
expense per employee than their industries. After the merger the pension
expense of the merged firms is reduced to the industry level. There are two
ways to view these findings. One interpretation is that mergers are followed
by improvements in operating efficiency achieved through reduced labor
costs. Alternatively, mergers lead to a wealth redistribution between employ-
ees and stockholders through renegotiations of explicit and implicit employ-
ment contracts. Whatever the explanation, the labor cost reductions in the
postmerger period do not appear to be large, since they do not lead to
significant changes in postmerger operating margins.;”
‘“Pontiff, Shleifer, and Weisbach (1990) report that 11% of takeovers involve pension fund
reversions, accounting for lo-13% of takeover premiums in these transactions. Thus for their
sample as a whole pension fund reversions ac,‘otint for an average l-2% of the takeover
premium. Similarly, Rosett (1990) reports tl;:dt labor union wealth changes in the six years
following takeovers account for l-2% of the premiums. Our conclusions are consistent with the
results uf both these studies.
156 P. Healy et al., Performance improvements after mergers
‘4Kaplan and Weisbach (1992) find that acquirers of firms in unrelated businesses are more
likely to later divest their targets than acquirers of related businesses. They find no evidence,
however. that divested businesses are systematically poor performers.
“We reestimate (1) after including asset sales in the pre- and postmerger periods. The
coefficients on both these variables are insignificant, and the intercept remains positive and
significant.
P. Healy et al., Performance impror*ements after mergers IS7
Table 7
Unexpected equitv and asset returns at merger announcements for target, acquirer, and
combined firms, and tests of the relation between unexpected asset returns and ex post cash flow
returns for 50 target and acquiring firms merging in the period 1979 to mid-1984.”
Panel C: Relation between median postmerger industry-adjusted cash flow returns and
unexpected asset returns at merger announcement (t-values in parentheses)
EACRpOsr.i = 1.9% + 0.26 L4CR,r,, i + 0.24 (AV/v’)
(1.6) (1.7Y (3.4Jb
R* = 0.30, F-statistic = 8.5,b !V = 42
aUnexpected merger announcement equity returns are the sum of market-adjusted changes in
equity values for the target and acquirer firms in the merger anrwncement period as a
percentage of the sum of the premerger equity values for the two firms. Unexpected merger
announcement asset returns (AV/V) are unlevered market-adjusted equity returns. LACRposr
and IACR,,,, are median industry-adjusted cash flow returns for eacn firm in the five years after
and the five years before the merger.
bSignificantly different from zero at the 1% level, using a two-tailed test.
‘Significantly different from zero at the 10% level, using a two-tailed test.
market performance and the postmerger cash flow performance. If the stock
market capitalizes expected improvements, there should be a significant
positive correlation between the stock market revaluation of merging firms
and the actual postmerger cash flow improvements.
“Risk-adjusted returns, computed using premerger market model estimates, are similar to t
market-adjusted returns reported in the paper.
158 P. Healy et al., Performance improcements after mergers
necessarily by the ultimate acquirer) to the date the target is delisted from
trading on public exchanges. Returns for the acquirer are measured from five
days before its first offer is announced to the date the target is delisted from
trading on public exchanges. Much as earlier studies have found, target
shareholders earn large positive returns from mergers (mean 45.6% and
median 44.8%), and acquiring stockholders earn insignificant returns.
We also compute the aggregate market-adjusted return for the two firms in
the merger announcement period. This return is the weighted average of the
market-adjusted returns for the target and acquirer, where the weights are
the relative market values of equity of the two firms before the merger
announcement period. The mean aggregate return, reported in panel A of
table 7, is 9.1%, and the median is 6.6%. Both these values are significantly
different from zero. These findings are consistent with those of Bradley,
Desai, and Kim (1988).
AV AE E ADD
-=-- --
V E V+ D V’ i‘2J
Assuming that the valuf: of debt does not change at takeover announcements,
asset returns equal the equity announcement returns multiplied by the
equity-to-assets ratio E/i?’ We use leverage at the beginning of the year of
the takeover announcement to compute the equity-to-assets ratio. We use the
book value of debt and the market value of equity to measure leverage.
Summary statistics on the estimated asset returns at the announcement of
the merger for the target firms, acquiring firms, and combined firms are
reported in panel B of table 7. The mean and median asset returns for the
“A number of studies, including Asquith and Kim (1982), report evidence consistent with this
assumption.
P. Healy et al., Performance improvements after mergers 159
targets are 40.6% and 32.5% and for the combined firms 8.8% and 5.2%. The
asset returns for the bidding firm are insignificant.
ACF
AV=- (3)
0 ’
ACF AV
-=ov*
V
(4)
ACF
- = (Y= IACRposl,i - p IAcR,,,,i - &i, (5)
V
AV
LACRPosr, i = p LACR,,., , i + @I/’ + Ei’ (6)
Eq. (6) forms the basis for our tests of the relationship between ex post
cash flow improvements and the anticipated gains represented by merger
announcement returns. Since AV/V is the capitakzed value of future cash
flow return improvements and LACRpOSris the pretax cash flow return
improvement per year, the coefficient 0 in (6) equals the pretax capitaliza-
tion rate. For example, if the cash flgw return improvements are permanent
and the pretax capitalization rate is 20%, the coefficient WOU
160 P. Healy et al., Performance improcem?pnts after mergers
5. Discussion
Our finding that there are postmerger cash flow increases advances the
debate on mergers from whether there are cash flow changes after these
transactions to why these cash flow improvements OCC~LThe improvements
in samb’e firms’ cash flow returns are primarily a result of increased asset
‘HSpecification tests are conducted for (6) to assess whether the residuals are homoskedastic
[see White (1980)] and normally distributed. We cannot reject the hypotheses that the residuals
are homoskedastic and normally distributed at the 5% level. We also reestimated the regression
excluding observations more than two standard deviations from the mean for each variable. The
results are very similar to those reported. Finally, we estimate Spearman rank correlation
coefficients between the median annual postmerger industry-adjusted cash flow return and
unexpected asset returns at the merger announcement. The correlation is 0.41 and is significant
at the 1% level.
P. He&y et ul., Performance improvements after mergers 161
One popular hypothesis on how mergers improve cash flows is that they
provide opportunities for economies of scale and scope, synergy, or product
market power. This implies that mergers by firms that have overlapping
businesses will show greater cash flow improvements than mergers between
firms with no overlap. We examine this proposition by classifying our sample
mergers as those with high, medium, and low business overlap between the
target and acquiring firms. This classification is made by reading the line of
business discussion in the merging firms’ annual reports, merger prospec-
tuses, Value Line reports, and Moody’s Industrial Manuals.
The following cases illustrate our classifications. The combination of Best
Products and Modern Merchandising, both of which are catalog showroom
retailers, is classified as a high overlap transaction. The merger between
Holiday Inns and Harrahs is treated as a transaction with medium overlap
because Holiday Inns operates a hotel chain and arrahs operates casinos
162 P. Hea!:) et al., Performance improL*ements after mergers
~q3os,, i = Q! + p LAC’Rpr,,i+dMEDIUMi+~HICHi+&i, m
Table 8
Comparison of postmerger performance fx nergers between firms whose industries have high,
medium, and low overlap for 50 target and acquiring firms merging in the period 1979 to
mid- 1984.a
___- -.~ -
.Panel A: Full sample
(waiues in parentheses)
IA CFR po.5:.1= 0.018 + 0.005 MEDIUM, + 0.033 HIGH, + 0.35 IACR,,,.;
(0.9) (0.2) (1.3) (2.2jC
R2 = 0.13, F-statistic = 2.2,d N = 47
__~ ----____ _____-
Panel B: Sample excluding ou tliers b
{t-values in parentheses)
IACFR,~,,,,i = 0.006 + 0.016 IbEDIV.~i + 0.051 HlGHi + 0.33 ~CRp,r,,
(0.3) (0.6) .- o\d
(1.0, (2.lY
R2 = 0.17 F-statistic = 2.9’ N = 45
‘IACRpuv, and IACR,,, are median industry-adjusted cash flow returns for each firm in the
five years after and the five years before the merger. MEDIUM and HIGH are dummy variables
that take the value one if the merger is between two firms whose product markets have medium
and high overlap.
‘This sample excludes two observations identified as influential outliers using Belsey, Kuh,
and Welsch (1980) diagnostics. These transactions are the LTV-Republic Steel and the Penn
Central-GK Technologies mergers.
‘Significantly different from zero at the 5% level, using a two-tailed test.
dSignificantly different from zero at the 10% level, using a two-tailed test.
“‘Previous studies examine the relation between stock returns and the form of financing for
acquiring and target firms separately. See Huang and Walkling (1987) and Asquith, Bruner, and
Mullins (1990).
164 P. Healy et al., Performance improl-ements after mergers
6. Summary
T?is paper examines the post-acquisition operating performance of merged
firms using a sample of the 50 largest mergers between U.S. public industrial
firms completed in the period 1979 to mid-1984 We develop a methodology
to deal with a number of measurement issues that arise in studying the
consequences of takeovers. Further, we integrate accounting and stock return
data in a consistent fashion to permit richer tests of corporate control
theories. This general approach has been adopted by several recent studies to
examine mergers and acquisitions - Tehranian and Cornett (1991) and
Linder and Crane (1991) analyze performance in bank mergers, and Jarrell
(1991) investigates postmerger performance using analysts’ forecasts of sales
margins.
Our findings indicate that merged firms have significant improvements in
operating cash flow returns after the merger, resulting from increases in asset
productivity relative to their industries. These improvements are particularly
strong for transactions involving firms in overlapping businesses. Postmerger
cash flow improvements do not come at the expense of long-term perfor-
“‘The findings on the relation between transaction characteristics and postmerger perfor-
mance are not sensitive to outliers.
“Recent examples of clinical studies on corporate control issues include Baker and Wruck
( 1989), Kaplan ( 1989), and Donaldson ( 1990).
P. Healy et al., Performance improvements after mergers 105
mance, since sample firms maintain their capital expenditure and R&D rates
relative to their industries after the merger. Finally, there is a strong positive
relation between postmerger increases in operating cash flows and abnormal
stock returns at merger announcements, indicating that expectations of
economic improvements explain a significant portion of the equity revalua-
tions of the merging firms.
Appendix
(frozen foods. broiler chicken, eggs, seafood, and pet products) industries. Peavey is also a
diversified food processor and retailer engaged in grain merchandising, food processing (flour,
bakery mixes, and jams), and the operation of specialty retail stores.
Acquirer industry: Food processing Target industry: Food processing
Acquisition date: July 20 1982 Relation between firms: High overlap
Target equity value: $186.5 million Relative size uf target: 71.9%
Acquirer stock return: 2.7% Target stock return: 58.1%
10. Cooper Industries /Gardner-Denver
Cooper is a diversified, international corporation that produces consumer and industrial tools,
aircraft services, mining and construction, and energy services. Gardner-Denver makes portable
and stationary air compressors, drilling equipment for above- and underground, and air-operated
tools. Drilling equipment for mining, petroleum, and construction industries makes up 67% of
sales.
Acquirer industry: Machinery Target industry: Construction and
mining machinery
Acquisition date: April 30 1979 Relation between firms: Medium overlap
Target equity value: $605.5 million Relative size of target: 66.7%
Acquirer stock return: - 5.2% Target stock return: 49.7%
11. Dart Industries / Krafi Inc.
Dart is a diversified company that manufactures and markets consumer products (including
Tupperware containers, Duracell batteries, and West Bend appliances), chemicals, plastics, and
packaging products. Kraft manufactures food products and markets them to retail, industrial,
and food service customers.
Acquirer industry: House hold products Target industry: Food processing
Acquisition date: Sept. 25 1980 Relation between firms: Low overlap
Target equity value: $1,099.4 million Relative size of target: 78.7%
Acquirer stock return: - 17.0% Target stock return: - 6.6%
12. Diamond Shamrock/ Natomas Co.
Diamond Shamrock is a domestic integrated oil and gas company vith interests in coal and
chemicals. Natomas is principally engaged in petroleum exploration and production. Its opera-
tions also include ocean shipping, coal, real estate, and geothermal energy.
Acquirer industry: Integr. petroleum Target industry: Integr. petroleum
Acquisition date: Aug. 31 1983 Relation between firms: High overlap
Target equity value: $1,610.0 million Relative size of target: 86.2%
Acquirer stock return: - 1.6% Target stock return: 66.7%
13. E. I. Du Pans de Nemours/Conoco Inc.
Du Pont manufactures diversified lines of chemicals, plastics, specialty products, and fibers.
Conocc is engaged in the exploration, prod:ntion, and transportation of crude oil, coal, and
natural gas; petroleum refining; and the production, processing, and transportation of chemicals.
Acquirer industry: Basic chemicals Target industry: Integr. petroleum
Acquisiti,,n date: Sept. 30 1981 Relation between firms: Low overlap
Target equity value: $5,524.9 million Relative size of target: 82.7%
Acquirer stock return: - 16.5% Target stock return: 33.1%
14. Eaton Corp./ Cutler-Hammer Inc.
Eaton is engaged in areas of transportation, materials handling, industrial automation, security,
construction, agriculture, and consumer durabies. Cutler-Hammer designs and manufactures
electronic and electrical components and systems for industrial, aerospace, air traffic control,
semiconductor, housing, and consumer markets.
Acquirer industry: Replacement auto Target industry: klectricai
parts equipment
Acquisition date: Jan. 2 1979 Relation between firms: Low overlap
Target equity value: $382.7 million Relative size of target: 19.7%
Acquirer stock return: - 8.4% Target stock return: 60.7%
168 P. Healy et al., Performance improl*ements after mergers
Internorth owns and operates natural gas businesses; produces, transpor’s, and markets liquid
fuels and petrochemicals; and is involved in the exploration and production of oil and gas. Beico
170 P. Healy et al., Performance improcements after mergers
is engaged in the exploration and production of crude oil and natural gas and in the production
of coal.
Acquirer industry: Natural gas Target industry: Integr. petroleum
Acquisition date: July 29 1983 Relation between firms: High overlap
Target equity value: $803.2 million Relative size of target: 30.0%
Acquirer stock return: 50.4% Target stock return: 17.1%
Worthington has diversified business operations that deal with the manufacture of process
equipment and industrial products.
Acquirer industry: Home appliance Target industry: Diversified manufg.
Acquisition date: Oct. 23 1979 Relation between firms: Medium overlap
Target equity value: $712.9 million Relative size of target: 82.4%
Acquirer stock return: 2.9% Target stock return: 92.1%
32. Motorola Inc./ Four-Phase Systems Inc.
Motorola produces data communication equipment and systems, semiconductors, and other
high-technology electronic equipment. Four-Phase produces clustered video display computer
systems for distributed data processing applications.
Acquirer industry: Electronics Target indu ,try: Computer/data
processing
Acquisition date: March 2 1982 Relation between firms: Medium overlap
Target equity value: $234.7 million Relative size of target: 6.8%
Acquirer stock return: - 6.2% Target stock return: 42.7%
33. Morton-Norwich Products / Thiokol Cerporation
Morton-Norwich produces ethical and proprietary drugs, salt for domestic and industrial uses,
household cleaning and laundry products, and specialty chemicals. Thiokol manufactures spe-
cialty chemical products (44% of revenues), and propulsion and ordnance products and services
for the government.
Acquirer industry: Proprietary drug Target industry: Aerospace/
diversified
Acquisition date: Sept. 24 1982 Relation between firms: Low overlap
Target equity value: $564.4 million Relative size of target: 69.3%
Acquirer stock return: 1.3% Target stock return: 33.5%
34. Occidental Petroleum /Cities Service Company
Occidental produces and markets crude oil and coal, and manufactures industrial chemicals and
plastics, metal finishes, agricultural chemicals, and fertilizers. Oil and gas business accounts for
70% of the company’s sales. Cities Service is an integrated oil company.
Acquirer industry: Integr. petroleum Target industry: Integr. petroleum
Acquisition date: Dec. 2 1982 Relation between firms: High ovellap
Target equity value: 3,792.5 million Relative size of target: 130.1%
Acquirer stock return: - 24.3% Target stock return: 12.9%
35. Pan Am Corp./National Airlines Inc.
Pan Am is primarily an international commercial air carrier providing services to 73 cities in 43
foreign countries. National Airlines is a domestic air carrier with routes extending from its hub
in Miami to New York, San Francisco, and Los Angeles. Although the company also has
transatlantic service to London, Paris, Frankfurt, and Amsterdam, 96% of its revenues are
derived from domestic routes.
Acquirer industry: Air transportation Target industry: Air transportation
Acquisition date: Jan. 7 1980 Relation between firms: Medium overlap
Target equity value: $426.0 million Relative size of target: 29.8%
Acquirer stock return: - 27.8% Target stock return: 158.4%
36. Penn Central Corp./GK Technologies Inc.
Penn Central is a diversified company whose primary businesses include oil refining, the
transportation and marketing of refined petroleum products and crude, real estate development,
operation of amusement parks, and production of offshore drilling rigs. GK Technologies
produces wire and cable, primarily for the telecommunications industry, and electronic compo-
nents, and provides engineering services for weapons systems and environmental products.
Acquirer industry: Conglomerate Target industry: Electronics
Acquisition date: May 14 1981 Relation between firms: Low overlap
Target equity value: $636.5 million Relative size of target: 27.5%
Acquirer stock return: 96.3% Target stock return: 73.7%
172 P. Healy et al., Performance improcements after mergers
related chemical products that are used widely in medicine and science and in a broad range of
industrial applications.
Acquirer industry: Et hical drugs Target industry: Precision
instruments
Acquisition date: March 4 1982 Relation between firms: Medium overlap
Target equity value: $1,000.8 million Relative size of target: 15.5%
Acquirp: stock return: 3.1% Target stock return: 85.4%
43. Yohio / Kennecott Corp.
Sohio is an integrated petroleum company engaged in all phases of the petroleum business.
Kennecott produces copper, gold, silver, molybdenum, and lead; manufactures industrial abra-
sive and resistant materials; manufactures and markets industrial engineered systems; and owns
two-thirds of a Canadian producer of titanium dioxide slag, high-purity iron, and iron powders.
Acquirer industry: Integr. petroleum Target industry: General metals and
mining
Acquisition date: June 3 1981 Relation between firms: Low overlap
Target equity value: $1,760.4 million Relative size of target: 11 ,/-%
Acquirer stock return: - 21.4% Target stock return: 140.3%
44. Standard Brands /Nabisco Inc.
Standard Brands is a manufacturer, processor, and distributor of food and related products.
Nabisco is a manufacturer and marketer of food products (specializing in cookies and crackers,
which account for 60% of total sales), toiletries, pharmaceuticals, and household accessories.
Acquirer industry: Food processing Target industry: Food processing
Acquisition date: July 2 1981 Relation between firms: High overlap
Target equity value: $929.0 million Relative size of target: 81.4%
Acquirer stock return: 1.0% Target stock return: - 5.7%
45. Tenneco/ Houston Oil & Minerals Corp.
Tenneco is a diversified company. Its major businesses include natural gas, petrochemicals,
construction and farm equipment, automotive components, shipbuilding, chemicals, packaging,
agriculture and land management, and life insurance. The recent business emphasis of Houston
Oil & Minerals has been on exploration for oil and natural gas on undeveloped properties, and
the development of production upon discovery. In 1980, the breakdown of revenues was oil 2l%,
gas 61%, and pipeline and other 21%.
Acquirer industry: Natural gas Target industry: Petroleum
producing industry
Acquisition date: April 23 1981 Relation between firms: Medium overlap
Target equity value: $1,447.0 million Relative size of target: 13.9%
Acquirer stock return: - 21.4% Target stock return: - 3.4%
46. Tosco Corp./ AZL Resources Inc.
Tosco owns and operates petroleum refineries and related wholesale distribution facilities. Prior
to the merger AZL had been in the process of changing its focus from agricultural-based
businesses to oil and gas exploration ano production.
Acquirer industry: Integr. petroleum Target industry: Agricultural
products
Acquisition date: Dec. 31 1982 Relation between firms: Low overlap
Target equity value: $77.9 million Relative size of target: 42.8%
Acquirer stock return: - 29.0% Target stock return: 30.8%
47. U.S. Steel /Marathon Oil Co.
U.S. Steel’s principal businesses include steel, chemicals, resource development, fabricating and
engineering, and transportation. Marathon is an integrated petroleum company engaged in the
production, refining, and transoortation of crude oil, natural gas, and petroleum products.
Acquirer industry: Integr. steel Target industry: Integr. petroleum
Acquisition date: March 11 1982 Relation between firms: Low overlap
Target equity value: $4,438.3 million Relative size of target: 145.0%
Acquirer stock return: 21.4% Target stock return: 29.0%
174 P. Healy et al., Performance improvements after mergers
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