WP No. 530 PDF
WP No. 530 PDF
WP No. 530 PDF
530
Charan Singh1
RBI Chair Professor
Economics & Social Science
Indian Institute of Management Bangalore
Bannerghatta Road, Bangalore – 5600 76
Ph: 080-26993818
[email protected]
1
RBI Chair Professor in Economics. Views are personal. The author would like to thank Rohan Das, Subhash Bharadwaj Pemmaraju and Jafar
Baig for research assistance.
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Abstract
In India, banks have played an important role in economic growth and development. Since the
1970s, public sector banks (PSBs) have been in the forefront of mobilizing resources from far
flung rural areas as well as extending banking services in the remotest parts of the country. The
burden of social agenda has largely been shouldered by PSBs without any compensation.
Therefore, in the interest of maintaining credibility of PSBs which account for nearly 70 percent
of banking activity in the country, the government is justified in recapitalizing the PSBs
regularly. However, there is need to undertake research on evolving appropriate norms, granular,
for evaluating performance of different banks operating in India without stifling flow of credit to
productive sectors.
Keywords: public sector banks, non-performing assets, stressed assets, priority sector lending
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The objective of macro policy in a country is to achieve steady rate of growth. To ensure steady
growth, Government needs to institute mechanism to stabilize the economy from shocks
emerging from internal and external factors. Further, to have a focused approach towards
stabilizing policies, government delegates the monetary policy to the central bank of a country,
while keeping the portfolio of fiscal policy within itself. The objective of monetary policy is to
stabilise the financial system including inflation and financial institutions while that of the fiscal
policy is to provide conducive environment for growth through managing taxes and expenditure.
The history of central banks, assigned with the task of monetary policy, is short. In 1900, there
were only a handful of central banks, mainly in Europe, and in Japan. Incidentally, the Fed
Reserve was established in 1914 and the Reserve Bank of India in 1935. The functions of a
central bank are fundamentally the same, though evolving over a period of time, which is to
maintain the internal and external value of the currency and ensure conducive environment for
steady growth. As the globally accepted definition of the money supply included time and
demand deposits as well as credit extended by the commercial banks, the regulation and
supervision of all banks is also generally delegated to the central bank of the country.
Commercial banks have a significant role in creating money supply in the country.
Banking defined
The banking activity means accepting of deposits of money from public, for the purpose of
lending or investment. Banks contribute to economic development by mobilizing small and
scattered savings of the community and disbursing those as loans among enterprises. Thus, banks
perform the task of credit intermediation, and netting and settlement of payments. As money
deposited may generally be for short-term while the loans may generally require long-term
commitments, banks also perform the role of maturity transformation. The task of managing and
monitoring risks associated with lending is also crucial to banking.
Origin of Banking
The word, Bank can be traced to ancient Roman Empire where money lenders would set up their
stalls on a bench called Bancu. Some economists trace the origin of the word to the French word,
Banque as it is believed that earlier bankers transacted their business on benches placed in a
market place. Still, others believe that the word Bank has originated from the German word Banc
or the Italian word Banco. In any case, the first public Bank was Bank of Venice, founded in
Italy in 1157 A.D. However, the first modern bank, named Banco Di San Giorgio, was
established in Genova, Italy in 1406.
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Banking functions
The financial system, especially banking, facilitates efficient allocation of resources from savers
to investors and plays an important role in economic growth. The banks are conduits in
channelling resources to borrowers with productive investment opportunity. The banking system
provides financial intermediation and also creates money supply. The process of bank credit is an
important channel of monetary policy transmission. Banks accept and deploy large amounts of
public funds as well as leverage such funds through credit creation.
The main functions of the banking system are to mobilize resources from the public and channel
them into growth oriented activities. The more developed the banking system is, better would be
financial intermediation. The banking system with its widespread network is most effective in
collecting savings from the public and allocating it to productive activity.
1. Mobilizing and pooling savings: Financial systems mobilize savings from many diverse
individuals, overcoming transaction costs and information asymmetry, and invest in
projects that elicit high returns, thereby enabling economic growth.
2. Producing Information ex-ante about possible investments and allocating capital:
Individuals face a high cost of acquiring information on firms, managers, market
conditions and related issues where investment opportunities exist. Financial
intermediaries reduce such information costs through specialization and economies of
scale and thus improve resource allocation.
3. Monitoring Investments and exerting corporate governance: As a provider of capital,
financial intermediaries can effectively monitor and influence how firms use capital and
utilize resources more effectively.
4. Facilitating Trading, Diversification and Management of Risks: Financial systems help
mitigate risks associated with individual firms, industries, countries etc. by investing in a
diversified portfolio of innovative projects. Financial systems also facilitate inter-
temporal risk sharing and smoothing over generations.
5. Facilitating Exchange of Goods and Services: A financial system facilitates transactions
in the economy, by providing the mechanism to make and receive payments.
The banks undertake asset transformation whereby a depositor can place resources in a bank and
the bank in turn can lend to the market. Banks also perform asset liability management focusing
on gap between amount of assets subject to interest rate risk and the quantity of liabilities subject
to such risk. The banks have also to manage risk especially with new instruments like
derivatives.
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The growing international dimension of banking has also brought in a variety of risks like
portfolio risk, credit risk, country risk, interest rate risk and foreign exchange risk. Management
of risk has become an increasing challenge for commercial banks across the world and hence the
need for uniform rules and regulations in form of Basel norms.
The central bank forms the backbone of the banking system. As a banker to the banks, in
addition to being a central clearing house, the central bank ensures financial stability by acting in
interest of depositors to prevent failure of banks, which helps maintain investor confidence in the
economy. Apart from acting as a lender of last resort in times of crisis, the central bank also acts
as a financial regulator and supervisor of financial institutions in the country. The monetary
policy functions involve maintaining appropriate interest rates and adequate credit supply which
help facilitate a growth inducing atmosphere. The central bank also strives to maintain a balance
between growth and inflation.
The banking institutions play an important role in credit markets and serve as a center of social
accounts. This function of a “social accountant”, stressing the role of banking as a social
institution needed for the constrained realization of individual choices and to make those choices
mutually compatible, has a critical impact on the economy. The commercial banks are also
repositories of unique information about their borrowers, an important segment of the credit
market.
There are two views on the relationship between finance and growth. According to one view
prevalent in 19th century, enterprise leads and finance follows implying that banks do not have a
leading role in growth. The other view stresses complementarity between development and
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capital accumulation. So banks could finance investment in physical capital and growth in a
proactive manner.
Whatever is the direction of causality between financial sector and economic growth, the
importance of banking sector in economic growth cannot be ignored. Consider the impact of
banking credit in real terms across different sectors of the Indian economy. Empirically, the
relationship between credit and GDP growth is very strong (Graph 1). In fact, in times of high
credit growth, in exuberance, quality standards could get compromised which are seeds to a
crisis that follow thereafter. Long periods of prosperity and increasing value of investments lead
to risky speculation using borrowed money. This culminates in a “Minsky Point” or a “Minsky
Moment”, which is the starting phase of a financial crisis where the supply of credit dries up,
causing a panic in the financial system.
35
30
25
Growth (In Percent)
20
15
10
-5
-10
Industrial Credit Total Credit Total GDP
Source: Basic Statistical Returns of Scheduled Commercial Banks in India, Various Issues; Economic Survey 2015-16
To finance growth there are two alternatives – domestic financing and external sector financing.
The implications of external sector financing are serious because of exchange rate risk as well as
political ramifications. Therefore, countries generally follow a conservative approach in
restricting current account deficit to less than 2 per cent of GDP. Consequently, the burden of
financing growth is largely borne by domestic financing. The overall health of the economy is
reflected in the health of the banking system. The slowdown of the economy immediately gets
reflected in the increase of non-performing assets of the banking system.
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Banks have a major role to play in meeting the resources required of a growing economy. The
major challenge in a growing economy is to convert unproductive physical savings into financial
savings. Banks in India have traditionally being the main source of credit for various sectors of
the economy and their lending operations have evolved in response to the needs of the economy.
Banks can also help reduce poverty in an economy. There are two main channels through which
financial sector development can impact poverty reduction – indirect channel which acts through
economic growth, explained in famous trickle-down theory, and the direct channel by providing
poor people access to financial services through financial inclusion. The impact of growth on
poverty broadly works through the following channels:
Financial sector development can directly contribute to poverty reduction by broadening the
poor’s access to financial services. Informational asymmetries produce credit constraints that are
particularly binding on the poor. These constraints restrict the poor from exploiting investment
opportunities and thus constrain growth. An ineffective financial system also exacerbates income
inequality among the poor as it keeps capital from flowing to wealth-deficient entrepreneurs.
Limits to Banking
In sharp contrast to general belief, excessive financialisation is not good for the country because
it means excessive leverage or excessive expansion of credit. Excessive expansion of credit to
the household sector can be captured by excessive demand for houses or cars, which are further
dependent on credit conditions. Similarly, financialisation of corporate sector is reflected in
significant income derived from treasury operation often unrelated to the main business activity
of the corporate. These operations are multi country and cross border in many cases and can be a
threat to stability of not only domestic economy but also global economy.
Banking in India
In India, banking has been prevalent in some or the other form since long and is reflected in the
works of Kautilya’s Arthashastra. In India, in modern sense, Allahabad Bank was established in
1865, Alliance Bank of Shimla in 1875, Oudh Commercial Bank in 1881 and Punjab National
Bank in 1894. Earlier there had been repeated attempts and discussions on having a commercial
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bank since 1683. Historically, the Government Bank of Bombay was set up in December 1720
and closed in 1770. The Bank of Bengal was set up in 1809, Bank of Bombay in 1840, the Bank
of Madras was incorporated in 1843. The Imperial Bank of India was established in 1921
through the amalgamation of three presidency banks of Madras, Bombay and Bengal. Over the
years, banking industry flourished and many banks, commercial and co-operatives, became
operational in India.
To finance specialized activities, sectorally, Industrial Development Bank was set up in 1964,
though Industrial Finance Corporation and Industrial Credit and Industrial Corporation had been
set up earlier in 1948 and 1955, respectively. Export Import bank of India and National Bank for
Agriculture and Rural Development were set up in 1982.
Nationalization of Banks: At independence there were two major issues – first, nexus between
bank and industry; and second, neglect of agriculture. There was also a concern about bank
failures, soundness of banking and stability of banking sector in India. The State Bank of India
came to function from July 1, 1955 with the State Bank of India Act, 1955. The key objective of
the new bank was to ensure the extension of banking facilities on a much grander scale than
before, particularly in the much neglected rural and semi-urban areas.
There was also an apprehension that a few business houses might acquire control over the
country’s banking assets through banks. To address these concerns, social control over banking
was introduced in December 1967 through an Act which came into force on February 1, 1969.
The key objective of social control was to achieve the widest spread of banking credit, prevent
misuse of banking assets, and direct larger volume of credit to priority sector to achieve
economic development.
To achieve economic growth with social justice, the Government nationalized 14 banks in 1969,
and later 6 banks in 1980. The Indian banking system has undergone a structural transformation
since then (Table 1 and Graph 2). The emphasis has been on making banking facilities available
in unbanked areas. Also, there was considerable reorientation of bank lending to accelerate the
process of development, especially of the priority sector of the economy which had not
previously received sufficient attention. The government has been successful in directing credit
to agricultural sector, micro, small and medium enterprises and industry.
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Source: Persistence of Informal Credit in Rural India: Evidence from ‘All-India Debt and Investment Survey’ and
Beyond (RBI Working Paper Series, 2013); All India Debt and Investment Survey, Various Issues.
Rural Credit
100
80
(In Percent)
60
40
20
0
1951 1961 1971 1981 1991 2002 2012
Source: As in Table 1.
In India, savings rate is in the range of 30-35 per cent and banks can mobilize such resources.
The physical savings, which are sometimes unproductive, need to be minimized, while financial
savings, which have the potential to enhance growth, need to be encouraged. In India, there is a
large potential for tapping savings of rural and suburban areas as well as converting unproductive
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physical savings into financial savings. The banking system is most appropriate for such activity.
Financial savings made in the banking system also have a relationship with GDP growth (Graph
3). These deposits are an important source of funding tapped by banks to extend credit to the
economy. Demand deposits however, have been more volatile in growth. This could be due to
the transactional demand for money which increases during periods of high economic growth
and decreases during periods of low economic growth.
70
60
50
40
Growth (In Percent)
30
20
10
0
-101976-77 1980-81 1984-85 1988-89 1992-93 1996-97 2000-01 2004-05 2008-09 2012-13
-20
-30
-40
Total GDP Demand Deposits Time Deposits
In India, like any other emerging country, banking has played an important role in economic
development and growth. Since 1967 there has been a debate on social banking and the concept
of priority sector lending has emerged as a consequence. Since 1972 there have been a series of
revisions in the scope and extent of priority sector lending. The objective of financial inclusion to
extend financial services to a large portion of unserved or underserved population of the country
is along similar lines. The extension of the branch network in unbanked areas also follows a
similar philosophy. The number of banking offices in India on the eve of establishment of the
RBI in 1935 was 946. In March 1969 when nationalization became effective, there were only
1,833 rural and 3,342 semi urban bank offices out of the total 8,262 offices. Of these there were
160 branches of Imperial Bank, 98 of exchange banks and 688 of Indian joint stock banks. This
implied one bank branch for 3 lakhs of population. In such a situation money lender were doing
substantial business and because agriculture was not covered by bank credit facility, money
lenders played an important role in the rural sector. However, the spread of branch network is
now extensive, (Tables 2 and 3) but as revealed earlier in Table 1, in recent years since 1991,
role of professional moneylenders is increasing too.
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With a view to overcoming several weaknesses that had crept into the system over the years and
with a view to creating a strong, competitive and vibrant banking system, several measures were
initiated beginning in the early 1990s. Some of these were –
(i) The banking system was strengthened by introducing prudential norms, which were
subsequently tightened in line with international best practices.
(ii) Competition in the banking sector was enhanced by allowing entry of new private
sector banks and enhanced presence of foreign banks. Foreign direct investment in
private sector banks was also allowed up to 74 per cent.
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(iii) Public sector banks were allowed to access the capital market and also provided with
operational flexibility and functional autonomy.
(iv) The system of administered interest rates was almost dismantled and pre-emptions in
the form of reserve requirements were reduced.
(v) The supervisory system was revamped in view of its crucial role in the creation of a
sound banking system.
(vi) Corporate governance practices and disclosure standards were strengthened.
(vii) Regional rural banks, urban co-operative banks and rural co-operatives were also
strengthened.
Despite the reforms and positive impact in banking penetration, less than 60 percent of
households had a bank account in 2011 (Table 4).
Source: RBI
To ensure a banking account in every family, the Prime Minister, on assuming office, in the
maiden speech on August 15, 2014 from the ramparts of Red Fort announced the need for
concerted efforts. Pradhan Mantri Jan Dhan Yojana, which envisages universal access to
banking facilities with at least one basic banking account for every household, consolidates
the government’s effort to increase the number of households availing banking services. As of
May 11, 2016 a total of 21.81 crore accounts have been opened under this scheme. Considering
that the total Bank Deposits Accounts with SCBs was around 123 crore as of March 31, 2014,
and number of accounts in post offices is nearly 28 crore, the number of new accounts opened
under the scheme is noteworthy.
PSBs have been the backbone of Indian financial architecture since nationalization of State Bank
of India in 1955, followed by more banks in 1969 and 1980. Despite critical global conditions
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and turbulence in the Indian economy, PSBs have been successful in meeting their mandate with
support from the Government and the RBI.
In recent years, though the credit offtake has been lower than expected, capital adequacy is
appropriate and deposit growth has been following a steady pace. However, the NPAs of PSBs
have increased significantly in the recent past though the uptrend had been brewing for some
time (Tables 5 and 6). The general refrain of PSBs is that they operate under constraints, are not
on equal footing with private financial institutions and have to lend to certain risky segments of
the economy as part of priority sector lending, as well as directed lending, sometimes under
political compulsions. However, NPAs in PSBs have been critical in the past also but staged a
recovery. In view of the fact, that NPAs in present context are explainable in terms of global
meltdown or because of beggar-thy-neighbor behavior of some neighboring countries of India,
recovery should not be a problem, if concerted efforts are made.
PSBs account for a substantially large share of stressed assets in mining, iron and steel, textiles,
infrastructure and aviation as compared to private sector banks (PVBs) because of substantially
larger exposure to these sub-sectors. Illustratively, PSBs account for 17.6 percent of advances to
infrastructure as compared with 8.4 percent of the PVBs, while stressed assets were 30.9 percent
compared with 18.2 percent, respectively. Similar are the results when comparison is extended to
other stressed sectors. Thus, when granularly analyzed, relatively, performance of PSBs is not
inferior to that of PVBs. Table 5 report the incidence of NPAs and stressed assets in PSBs and
PVBs respectively. Though the incidence of NPAs is higher in PSBs, it is important to
understand the context behind such high incidence before any measures can be suggested.
Since the first nationalization of State Bank of India in 1955, followed by more in 1969 and 1980, PSBs
were created to pursue social objectives and focus on banking the unbanked. Consequently, PSBs have
been in the forefront in rural areas and relentlessly pursuing implementation of welfare schemes of the
government in terms of priority sector lending, and pension and insurance schemes, including those
recently announced. And, PSBs, admirably, despite pursuing social objectives are competing well on
various financial parameters with PVBs. Therefore, there may be a need, in absence of level playing field,
to evaluate PSBs and PVBs on different scale. Illustratively, to be fair to the PSBs, the owner and
regulator should take cognizance of the fact that in opening 16.5 crore Jan Dhan accounts within first six
months of launching the scheme, without seeking additional man-power, these PSBs would have
deployed all their resources at the cost of other activities. In contrast, PVBs only opened 68 lakh Jan Dhan
accounts. Additionally, as one can make out from Table 7, PSBs have been paying a steady stream of
dividends year on year. The government being the largest shareholder in PSBs, is the biggest beneficiary
of these dividends. This is over and above the corporate taxes and other taxes that all corporate entities
including PSBs have to pay. Therefore, the norms and benchmarks for these unique PSBs typical to India
have to be designed especially for PSBs, and comparison and contrasts of
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Source: RBI.
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Performance, evaluated amongst themselves. Then only can PSBs be compared with other
competitors performing on a level playing field. Such empirical analysis is lacking in Indian
context.
There are various alternatives to address the issue of rising NPAs. First, consider disinvestment
in public sector banks to bring the ratio of capital to 51 percent as has been discussed in recent
years. Second, to privatize the public sector banks and reverse the process of nationalization
initiated just a few decades ago. The objective for which banks were nationalized have yet not
been fulfilled and banking penetration continues to be low despite new accounts under Jan Dhan.
Similarly, credit penetration through the banking system is also low as has been depicted in the
data earlier in terms of share of non-institutional credit in the economy. Third, recapitalization of
banks has been undertaken since 1999 but banks return to difficult times over and over again.
This demonstrates that there is need for corrective and structural change in the management of
public sector banking. Finally, and most importantly, it can be considered that when the
government asks the public sector banks to fulfill its social agenda, the government may consider
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covering cost of services, at market value, that the PSBs render. This measure would be more
professional in approach and seem appropriate to scrutiny of commercial activity.
Banks are vulnerable to corruption and malfeasance because they deal in most liquid of assets.
The rise in instances of frauds leading to NPAs in banking sector also underpin a growing
concern of rising corruption in banking sector. The emphasis on knowing the customer,
employees and partners have been stressed upon time and again. Yet loopholes either in the
credit disbursal or audit mechanism also allow for agents to indulge in corruption to make
suitable gains through frauds. Corruption, in macro terms, has both direct and indirect costs.
While the direct costs are well known in terms of scandals and loss of confidence in
administration, the indirect costs are debilitating causing low growth and higher income in
equality. It can also erode the ethical standard of citizens. Thus it has significant impact on
macro-economic stability and sustainable economic growth. It also impedes conduct of
budgetary and monetary policy, weakens financial oversight and hurts inclusive growth.
Corruption weakens government capacity to raise revenue and perform its core functions by
diluting culture of complaints and increasing tax evasion. Corruption also inflates costs in public
procurement process and undermines the quality and even the quantity of public spending. The
general costs also rise in the economy because citizens, manufacturers, industrialists factor
corruption in the pricing model. The uncertainty for firms also hurts the growth of the
economy. Social and environmental concerns are relegated and enforcement of environmental
regulations suffer leading to more pollution, over extraction of natural resources and health
decease. It can lead to political instability, conflict and policy paralysis as in the case of mining
in India. To mitigate corruption transparency in decision making and enhancing the rule of law is
important. However, over regulation can create problems and therefore deregulation and
simplification need to be considered.
Conclusion
To conclude, banking plays an important role in economic growth and development. In India,
PSBs have been in the forefront of mobilizing resources from far flung rural areas as well as
extending banking services in the remotest parts of the country. The burden of social agenda has
largely been shouldered by PSBs without any compensation. Therefore, in the interest of
maintaining credibility of PSBs which account for nearly 70 percent of banking activity in the
country, the government is justified in recapitalizing the PSBs regularly. However, there is need
to undertake research on evolving appropriate norms, granular, for evaluating performance of
different banks operating in India without stifling flow of credit to productive sectors.
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References:
8. Singh C. (2005), “Financial Sector Reforms in India”, Working Paper No. 241, Stanford
Center for International Development.
9. Singh, C and J. S. Brar (2016) “Stressed Assets and Banking in India,” The Indian Banker,
Vol. III, Issue 12, July 2016.
10. Singh, C, S.B. Pemmaraju and R. Das (2016), Economic Growth and Credit in India, IIMB
WP 531.
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