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    Meryl Jagarnath PHD Abstract

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    Meryl Jagarnath
    Dr. Meryl Jagarnath completed a PHD thesis on developing a framework for low carbon and climate resilient urban spatial planning in Durban, South Africa. The research combined spatial data on greenhouse gas emissions, land use trends from 1994-2016, and climate change impacts to create land use change scenarios. Three scenarios were modeled - Business As Usual, Green Space Protection, and Integrated Public Transport Network. The scenarios were analyzed in the context of projected increases in temperature and rainfall to identify climate change risks and inform spatial planning strategies. Key recommendations included identifying priority land uses for climate action, understanding changing climate risks over time, and recognizing challenges for developing countries. The research contributes a novel approach to facilitating low carbon and climate resilient

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    Meryl Jagarnath PHD Abstract

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    Meryl Jagarnath
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    Dr. Meryl Jagarnath completed a PHD thesis on developing a framework for low carbon and climate resilient urban spatial planning in Durban, South Africa. The research combined spatial data on greenhouse gas emissions, land use trends from 1994-2016, and climate change impacts to create land use change scenarios. Three scenarios were modeled - Business As Usual, Green Space Protection, and Integrated Public Transport Network. The scenarios were analyzed in the context of projected increases in temperature and rainfall to identify climate change risks and inform spatial planning strategies. Key recommendations included identifying priority land uses for climate action, understanding changing climate risks over time, and recognizing challenges for developing countries. The research contributes a novel approach to facilitating low carbon and climate resilient

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    Meryl Jagarnath phd abstract

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    Dr. Meryl Jagarnath completed a PHD thesis on developing a framework for low carbon and climate resilient urban spatial planning in Durban, South Africa. The research combined spatial data on greenhouse gas emissions, land use trends from 1994-2016, and climate change impacts to create land use change scenarios. Three scenarios were modeled - Business As Usual, Green Space Protection, and Integrated Public Transport Network. The scenarios were analyzed in the context of projected increases in temperature and rainfall to identify climate change risks and inform spatial planning strategies. Key recommendations included identifying priority land uses for climate action, understanding changing climate risks over time, and recognizing challenges for developing countries. The research contributes a novel approach to facilitating low carbon and climate resilient

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as pdf or txt
    46 views1 page

    Meryl Jagarnath PHD Abstract

    Uploaded by

    Meryl Jagarnath
    Dr. Meryl Jagarnath completed a PHD thesis on developing a framework for low carbon and climate resilient urban spatial planning in Durban, South Africa. The research combined spatial data on greenhouse gas emissions, land use trends from 1994-2016, and climate change impacts to create land use change scenarios. Three scenarios were modeled - Business As Usual, Green Space Protection, and Integrated Public Transport Network. The scenarios were analyzed in the context of projected increases in temperature and rainfall to identify climate change risks and inform spatial planning strategies. Key recommendations included identifying priority land uses for climate action, understanding changing climate risks over time, and recognizing challenges for developing countries. The research contributes a novel approach to facilitating low carbon and climate resilient

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    © All Rights Reserved
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    Dr Meryl Jagarnath

    PHD thesis title: Low carbon climate resilient urban spatial planning under a changing climate:
    A case study of Durban (eThekwini) metropolitan area (2019)
    Contact: [email protected] for more information

    Abstract

    In recent years, spatial planning has been increasingly promoted as potentially providing the
    integrated framework for climate change planning that responds to the various emissions,
    impacts, and developmental contexts within cities. To this end, this novel research combines
    various spatial information on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, land use trends and
    projections and climate change impacts linked to spatial planning to inform low carbon
    climate resilience planning. The focus is on how land change scenarios and climate change
    data can assist in climate change planning for South African cities. This research is the first
    time that land use change scenarios were used to explore and assess low carbon climate
    resilient pathways in South Africa, with the Durban (eThekwini) metropolitan area as a case
    study.

    A GHG emissions inventory is developed as the first step to understand the location and
    contribution of various sectors to GHG emissions and to propose a low emissions zone to
    focus spatial planning for mitigation. The spatial distribution of carbon emitting land use
    activities is used to inform a land use classification system for climate change planning. This
    classification scheme is applied to medium-resolution multi-temporal Landsat images that are
    classified using a supervised, geographic object-based image analysis (GEOBIA) approach.
    Between 1994-2016, the total changed area of the metropolitan was 118403 ha (47% of
    landscape) and 11 land use transitions are identified to understand land use change processes
    and patterns that can inform spatial planning for climate change. These past changes are the
    inputs to a pattern-based land change model, and together with driving factors, to project
    future land use change based on (i) Business-As-Usual (BAU) and two scenarios for low carbon
    climate resilient pathways: (ii) Green Space protection (GSP) and (iii) Integrated Public
    Transport Network (IPTN). These scenarios are explored in the context of projected increases
    in temperature and rainfall to identify future land use and climate change hotspots and helps
    to inform appropriate spatial planning strategies in the short, medium, and long term.

    Key recommendations in developing low carbon climate resilient spatial planning includes (i)
    identifying land use classes that are key priorities and should be targeted for low carbon
    climate resilience, (ii) understanding the changing spatial and temporal risks associated with
    climate change to inform flexible planning responses, and (iii) recognizing the challenges for
    low carbon climate resilience planning developing country city compared to a typical
    developed country city and the need for differentiated climate policy. This research
    contributes to facilitating an understanding of low carbon climate resilient cities for South
    Africa and developing innovative frameworks to combine spatial information to address
    multiple climate change and development priorities and support the transition to low carbon
    climate resilient cities.

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