Internal Test 4 - Case

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Build A Financial Model

An company has sales of $50 million growing at 25% YoY with EBITDA margins at 20%. It secures a JV in Year 3
6 (linear scaling implies Revenue Yr-3=20, Yr-4=30). Capex required for normal growth of the firm is 7.5% of sal
7.5% of JV sales). The model should use debt, retained earnings to grow the firm. The current debt ratio of the
60 days. New Capex should be done at current debt equity ratio. For current year inventory = 6mn, receivables
Tax rate for the company is 30%, Depreciation rate is 10%, Interest Expense Rate is 10% (depreciation and inter
income on beginning of period cash). Value the firm using both methods DCF and Relative. For DCF Valuation a
market risk premium is 7% and Beta of comparable company is 0.5. Company goes in maturity stage from year
the value of the firm in year 6 at PE of 15 ? What is the value of the firm today at 1 year forward PE 10 ?

Formulae for Working Capital Line Items:


DOH Average Inventory / (COGS/365)
DSO Average Accounts Receivables / (Sales/365)
Pay Days Average Trade Payables / (COGS/365)
%. It secures a JV in Year 3 with additional business of $20 million at EBITDA of 12.5% which linearly scales up to $50 millio
of the firm is 7.5% of sales and Capex required for expansion at time of JV is $4 million (after JV year capex for JV revenue
e current debt ratio of the firm is 2:1 with average cash conversion cycle of 90 days and payment terms with debtor and cr
ntory = 6mn, receivables = 8 mn, payables = 5 mn and retained earning = 9mn, Fixed Asset, Net & Gross = 15mn and Cash
% (depreciation and interest to be calculated on average of current and previous year) and Interest Income Rate is 5%(inte
ative. For DCF Valuation assume weights of equity and debt based on current book value. Risk free return in the economy
maturity stage from year 7 onwards with growth at 5% forever. For relative valuation use P/E as valuation metric. What w
ar forward PE 10 ?
Year-0 Year-1 Year-2 Year-3 Year-4 Year-5 Year-6

Income Statement

Sales 50 63 78 98 122 153 190.73


y/y % growth 25% 25% 25% 25% 25% 0.25
Sales - JV 0 0 20 30 40 50.00
Total Sales 50 63 78 118 152 193 240.73

COGS 50 63 96 124 157 196.34

EBITDA 20% 13 16 20 24 31 38.15


EBITDA-JV 12.50% - - 3 4 5 6.25
EBITDA-Total 13 16 22 28 36 44.40
Depreciation 10.0% 2 2 3 4 6 7.17
EBIT 11 13 19 24 30 37.22
Interest Expense 10.0% 1.956 2.308 2.881 3.638 4.500 5.58
Interest Income 5.0% 0.150 (0.066) 0.513 (0.042) 0.991 0.71
EBT 8.959 10.989 16.542 20.227 26.459 32.35

Tax 30.0% 2.69 3.30 4.96 6.07 7.94 9.71


PAT 6.27 7.69 11.58 14.16 18.52 22.65

Capex Schedule
Capex 5 6 7 9 11 14
Capex as % Sales 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5%
Capex - JV 4 2 3 4
Capex as % Sales JV 7.5% 7.5% 7.5%
Total Capex 5 6 11 11 14 18

Capex Funding
Debt 3 4 8 8 10 12
Equity - Retained Earning

Balance Sheet

Cash 3 (1) 10 (1) 20 14 41


Inventory 6 19 12 35 26 51 45
Account Receivable 8 13 13 26 24 39 40
PPE, Gross 15 20 26 37 48 63 81
Acc Dep 2 4 7 11 17 24
PPE, Net 15 18 22 30 37 46 57
Total Assets 32 48 57 89 107 150 183

Accounts Payable 5 11 9 22 18 33 31
Debt 18 21 25 33 40 50 62
Retained Earnings 9 15 23 35 49 67 90
Total Liabilities and Sh Equity 32 48 57 89 107 150 183
Checksum - - - - - - -

D/E
DOH 90 90 90 90 90 90 90
DSO 60 60 60 60 60 60 60
Pay Days 60 60 60 60 60 60 60

Cash Flow Statement

PAT 6 8 12 14 19 23
Dep 2 2 3 4 6 7
Change in Inv (13) 6 (23) 9 (25) 6
Change in AR (5) (1) (12) 1 (14) (1)
Change in AP 6 (2) 13 (4) 15 (2)
CFO 0 -3 14 -7 24 -1 32

Capex (5) (6) (11) (11) (14) (18)


CFI 0 -5 -6 -11 -11 -14 -18

Change in Debt 3 4 8 8 10 12
CFF 0 3 4 8 8 10 12

Net Change in Cash 0 -4 12 -11 21 -6 26

BOP Cash 3 (1) 10 (1) 20 14


EOP Cash 3 (1) 10 (1) 20 14 40.60

DCF Valuation

We
Wd
Ke
Kd
WACC

NOPAT = EBIT*(1-T)
Depreication
Capex
Change in Working Capital
FCFF
TerminalValue
Total Cash Flows
Enterprise Value
Less: Debt
Add: Cash
Intrinsic Equity Value

Relative Valuation

PAT - Year1 PAT - Year6


PE PE
Value Value

CAGR %
<==fcff(6)*(1+5%)/(wacc-5%)

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