Petroleum Supply Chain
Petroleum Supply Chain
Petroleum Supply Chain
Nectar Rusinga
B Com Finance (Hons) NUST, Zim
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Acknowledgements
Special thanks also go to the Supply Coastal Manager for ABC Oil Co (who will
unfortunately remain anonymous) for making my research possible within ABC Oil Co.
I am eternally grateful to my dear husband, Freeternity and our daughters, Adelaide and
Lisa for their support and encouragement. I thank them for their patience as they never
complained as I spent hours conducting research and the write up of this dissertation.
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Declaration
I declare that “Value Chain Analysis along the Petroleum Supply Chain” is my own
work, both in concept and execution. It has not been submitted for examination in any
other university, and all sources that I have used or quoted from have been indicated and
acknowledged by complete references.
……………………………….
Nectar Rusinga
27 July 2010
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List of Figures
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ABSTRACT
The wide range of the petroleum industry‟s products as well as the varied value of these
products coupled with the global nature of the petroleum industry presents both
challenges and opportunities within the petroleum supply chain. It is along this supply
chain that challenges for creating value for the customer exist as well the opportunities
for reaching this goal. Value chain analysis methodology has been hailed as being
capable to lend itself to process improvement challenges faced along supply chains. To
achieve this objective, a case study method was used to collect and analyse data. This
dissertation identifies and follows one of the supply chains of a petroleum company
operating in South Africa to investigate how value chain analysis can be implemented
along its supply chain.
The study confirms the key findings in the value chain analysis literature, especially the
issues around strategic value chain activities and their importance in conferring
competitive advantage in the context of the oil industry. In addition, the study reflects the
challenges that oil companies that are integrated all the way to the retail end of the supply
chain face.
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List of Contents
Abstract i
List of Figures ii
Contents iii
Chapter 1 Introduction 1
1.1 Research Objectives 6
1.2 Organisation of the Dissertation 7
Chapter 2 Literature Review 8
2.1 Introduction 8
2.2 Strategic cost management: A value chain perspective 8
2.3 Strategic Cost Management 8
2.3.1 Target costing 9
2.3.2 Kaizen costing 9
2.3.3 Life-cycle costing 10
2.3.4 The balances scorecard 10
2.3.5 Just-in-time 10
2.3.6 Theory of constraints 11
2.3.7 Total Quality management and Benchmarking 11
2.3.8 Activity- based costing 11
2.3.9 Activity-based management 12
2.3.10 Value chain analysis 13
2.3.10.1 Cost leadership 14
2.3.10.2 Differentiation 14
2.3.10.3 Focus 14
2.3.10.4 Attributes of Value chain analysis 18
2.3.10.4a Identification of a clear strategy chosen by the 18
Organisation
2.3.10.4b Emphasis on sources of competitive advantage 19
2.3.10.4c Focus on the importance of complex linkages and 19
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Interrelationships
2.3.10.4ci Internal linkages 19
2.3.10.4cii External linkages 20
2.3.10.5 Value chain and Cost analysis 21
2.3.10.6 Developing a sustainable competitive advantage 22
2.3.10.7 Examples of value chain analysis implementation 23
2.3.10.8 Limitations of value chain analysis 23
2.4 Conclusion 24
Chapter 3 Research Methodology 24
3.1 Introduction 24
3.2 Research method 24
3.3 Motivation for case study 24
3.4 Research setting 25
3.5 Application of the research method 28
3.6 Limitations 32
Chapter 4 Results 33
4.1 Introduction 33
4.2 The Study 34
4.2.1 Refining 36
4.2.1.1 Crude oil 37
4.2.1.2 Crude Slate 38
4.2.1.3 Refinery Configuration 39
4.2.1.4 Product Slate 43
4.2.1.5 Refinery Cost drivers 44
4.2.1.6 Refinery Profitability 45
4.2.2 Petroleum Logistical Network 48
4.2.2.1 Product exchanges 50
4.2.2.2 Primary Transport 50
4.2.2.3 Secondary Transport 51
4.2.2.4 Pipeline 51
4.2.2.5 Ship Transport 53
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4.2.2.6 Rail Transport 53
4.2.2.6.1 Rail Transport Services 54
4.2.2.7 Road Transport 54
4.2.2.8 Terminals 56
4.2.2.9 Secondary Transport Optimisation 59
4.2.3 Retail and Marketing 60
4.2.3.1 Product pricing in South Africa 61
4.2.3.1.1 Free on board 63
4.2.3.1.2 Freight costs 63
4.2.3.1.3 Insurance costs 64
4.2.3.1.4 Ocean loss allowance 64
4.2.3.1.5 Cargo dues 64
4.2.3.1.6 Coastal Storage 64
4.2.3.1.7 Stock Financial Cost 64
4.2.3.1.8 Domestic elements 65
4.2.3.1.9 Transport elements 65
4.2.3.1.10 Delivery costs 65
4.2.3.1.11 Wholesale margin 65
4.2.3.1.12 Retail margin 66
4.2.3.1.13 Equalisation Fund levy 66
4.2.3.1.14 Fuel tax 66
4.2.3.1.15 Customs and excise levy 66
4.2.3.1.16 Road accident fund 66
4.2.3.1.17 Slate levy 67
Chapter 5 Analysis 79
5.1 Conclusion 81
Appendix 1 82
References 86
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Chapter 1
Introduction
In recent years, developments in the dynamic global economic environment have caused
many businesses to modify their strategies in order to remain competitive. One of the
most significant drivers of change in the business environment in the world today is
globalisation. A notable result of this phenomenon in business has been the opening up of
new markets that were previously closed due to cost, regulations or indirect barriers such
as the ability to tape labour and knowledge resources on a world wide scale (Kraemer,
2002). In the process, businesses have opportunities to reap higher incomes and also the
improved availability of better quality and increasingly differentiated final product by
trading on a global scale (Gereffi et al., 2001). Benefiting from these opportunities
however, requires a fundamental restructuring of organisational strategy and processes
(Bradley et al., 1993) to cope with the global competition.
Many firms around the world have had to come up with advanced manufacturing
technologies to keep up with competitors in order to curb waste and increase the “speed
to market”. Furthermore, due to the increase in competitive pressures, many companies
are using new technologies to extend their products and operations to achieve new
innovative transactional organisational forms (Boudreau et al., 1998).
An example of new technology is the advent of e-commerce. This phenomenon has posed
various concerns for many organizations as the world has become a global market place
where firms need to be more streamlined and efficient while simultaneously extending
the geographic reach of their operations (Kraemer, 2002). The adoption of the new
technology such as the internet makes it cheaper and easier for firms to extend their
markets, manage their operations and coordinate value chains across borders (Cavusgil,
2002; Williams et al., 2001; Globerman et al., 2001). As a result of firms‟ globalisation
of services, the ability to reach a wide variety of customers has been increased and thus
giving consumers a wider choice of products. Thus technology has both been driven and
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has been a driver of globalisation, as both forces continually reinforce one another
(Bradley et al., 1993).
Given the many choices of product available to the customer, the advances in
technologies described above have also increased customer‟s expectation of better
product functionality and quality. In past year‟s firms succeeded by focusing on a limited
product range but all has changed due to businesses shifting in focus to customer
satisfaction rather than low cost production. Today many of the critical success factors
for any business are customer oriented (Blocher et al, 2005). The challenge now for
business is to provide quality products, exceptional service, timeliness of delivery, and
flexibility so as to respond to customer‟s desire for specific features but at the same time
maintaining competitive advantage.
These changes to the global economic business environment have affected the operations
of many industry sectors and the petroleum industry is no exception. This is particularly
true because the increase in business activity around the world has resulted in an increase
in the demand for petrochemical products. Due to the steady increase in global demand
for oil and its derivatives, oil and petrochemical companies have managed to increase
their market share and profitability through reaching a wider customer base (Hussain et
al., 2006). However, due to the rigidity in the petroleum industry‟s supply chain, this
boom in the global demand and the ease of international trade has made the petroleum
industry‟s supply chains more complex and challenging to manage (Coia, 1999). Hussain
et al., (2006) ascribed this rigidity to the constraints such as long lead-times,
manufacturing capacity, and limited means of transportation along the supply chain,
which are in most cases beyond the control of the petroleum companies. At first glance,
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one way that appears to be feasible to reduce the lead time and transportation costs, is
opening distribution centres closer to the dispersed customers. However, the inventory
and operating costs of acquiring the facilities are often substantial (Hebert, 2004)1. Under
these circumstances, oil and petrochemical companies either pass on the costs to the
already overburdened customers or absorb the cost.
Furthermore, due to the global nature of the petroleum business, the transportation of oil
and its products between locations which in most cases are continents apart presents a
huge challenge. The modes of transport which are normally used in the transportation of
crude oil and its derivates are mainly by ships, trucks, pipelines or by rail. In some
instances, a shipment can utilise all transportation modes before reaching the final
consumer. The long distances between parties along the oil supply chain, coupled with
the slow modes of transport increase transportation and inventory costs. These
transportation challenges require that entities along the supply chain devise innovative
ways of meeting the highest levels of service and still be cost-effective. A true solution
recognizes the broad range of entities making up the supply chain and views it as a whole
rather than individual links in order to enable efficient and profitable operations across
the entire business (Clark, 2005).
The supply chain of the petroleum industry is therefore, extremely complex compared to
other industries (Hussain et al., 2006). It is much bigger than procurement and logistics;
it is an entirely new way of thinking and organising the total lifecycle from raw materials
to use of a final product or service by an ultimate consumer\user. It comprises of two
major segments: the upstream and downstream supply chains. The upstream supply chain
involves the acquisition of crude oil, which is the specialty of the oil companies. The
upstream activities also include exploration, forecasting, production and logistics
management of delivering crude oil from remotely located oil wells to refineries. The
downstream supply chain starts at the refinery, where the crude oil is converted into
consumable products that are the specialty of refineries and petrochemical companies.
The downstream supply chain also involves demand forecasting, production and the
1
http://www.azstarnet.com/dailystar/starmedia/31783.
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logistics management of delivering the crude oil derivatives to customers. It is within
these two segments of the supply chain that the challenges in creating value for the
customer exist as well the opportunities in reaching this goal.
Hussain et al. (2006) identified numerous challenges that the petroleum industry faces.
These include logistical challenges, integrated process management, information systems
and information sharing, organisational restructuring and cultural reorientation. Improved
supply chain efficiency in the petroleum industry will help in addressing these
challenges. Given that both challenges and opportunities lie within the entire oil supply
chain, it follows therefore that improving the supply chain processes does have potential
to confer competitive advantage via creating value for the customer.
Supply chain management (SCM) is one of the business models that many industries are
turning to as a strategic response to intense competition, to help transform their
operations to become more responsive to ever-changing customer needs ( Poirier, 1999).
Supply chain management involves the flow of the entire organization‟s set of activities,
materials and other resources required to produce and deliver the product to the final
customer. SCM can be defined as;
“An integrative approach to manage the total flow of a distribution channel from
the supplier to the ultimate user”, (Schary and Skjott-Larsen, 2001; p. 25).
Companies can not afford to ignore what other parts of the chain are doing, as actions by
any one firm in the supply chain will influence the profitability of others. Hence, firms
now look to compete as part of a supply chain against other supply chains, rather than a
single business against other firms (Johnson and Pyke, 1999). One example of successful
implementation of SCM is in the automobile industry as described by Albright and Davis
(1999). Thus, the holistic view that supply chain management adopts requires that value
is added along each stage of the chain in order to maintain competitive advantage. In
order to achieve this, the management accounting literature argues that it is necessary for
supply chains to effect process improvement using various techniques or methodologies.
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These approaches are all bandied under the term strategic cost management as
propounded by Shank and Govindarajan (1992). Some of the common techniques that
constitute strategic cost management include Activity - based Costing (ABC) and
Activity- based Management (ABM) target costing, value chain analysis, etc. Of these
techniques or methodologies, the value chain analysis methodology has been hailed as
capable of lending itself so easily to process improvement challenges faced along supply
chains (Chivaka, 2007). Thus one way of enhancing value creation along the supply
chain is the application of a value chain analysis methodology in order to ensure that all
activities performed create value for the end-user.
The concept of the value chain was developed by Porter (1985) as a concept to describe a
sequence of stages of value-adding activities for product flow within the firm, namely;
inbound logistics, operations, outbound logistics, sales and marketing and service.
Understanding the cost structure of each activity enables the firm to understand the whole
organizations cost structure, which in turn allows the firm to formulate a competitive
strategy. The value chain can be defined as” a linked set of value creating activities”
(Shank and Govindarajan, 1992; p14). The focus of the value chain is both internal and
external to the firm (Thompson and Strickland, 1996), thus it focuses on all the overall
value creating activities of which the firm is a part, from basic raw materials to end-use
customer.
The value chain concept differs from the traditional management accounting system
which is largely internal to the firm and takes a value-added perspective because of its
focus which starts with purchases and ends with charges to customers. In contrast, the
strategic insights yielded by value chain analysis, however, differ significantly from, and
are superior to those suggested by value added analysis. Value chain analysis describes
the activities the organization performs and links them to the organizations‟ competitive
advantage.
Porter, (1980) noted that for any business to compete and survive in today‟s highly
competitive environment, a company must achieve and maintain a sustainable
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competitive advantage. This can be done by following any one of three strategies; low
cost, differentiation or focus. The concept of the value chain aims to provide a break
down of the whole supply chain into value creating activities and non-value creating
activities. This enables the organization to focus on value creating activities and
minimize or eliminate non-value creating activities (Shank and Govindarajan,
1992).Value chain analysis has been used to analyse the airline industry, manufacturing
industry with great success (Shank and Govindarajan, 1992). However, apart from
Porter‟s work (1985) and a few other scholars (Shank and Govindarajan, 1992; Donelan
and Kaplan 1998; Tagoe 2001 and Hoque 2005), there is very little literature on value
chain analysis as a tool to assist in the effective management of supply chains in order to
support strategic cost management efforts.
This research therefore aims at analysing how value chain analysis can be applied along
the petroleum supply chain to support value creation for the firm by answering the
following question:
How is value chain analysis applied along the supply chain to support value creation
within the South African petroleum industry?
Research objectives
The focus of this research is to gather information about the petroleum value chain with
the intention of illustrating how the value chain analysis methodology is applied along
the petroleum supply chain and in what ways it confers competitive advantage. To this
end, the dissertation seeks to analyse the extent to which value chain analysis influence
and informs management strategy. In addition, the research aims to identify existing
linkages between activities along the chain with particular emphasis on activities
performed around the core assets employed along the value chain.
Lastly, an analysis of the costs associated in performing activities and categorizing all
activities into non-value adding and value- adding activities along the value chain aims to
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provide insights into the areas of process improvement. In so doing the research aims to
identify areas where operational efficiency can be achieved.
Chapter 2 discusses value chain analysis in the context of strategic cost management. The
work by Michael Porter in the 1980s among other scholars will feature prominently in
this chapter. Chapter 3 details a case study methodology followed in gathering and
analysing data from the research site. The chapter provides the motivation for the case
study and how this choice assisted the researcher in achieving the study‟s objectives.
In chapter 4 the research findings are discussed and a final analysis presented using both
qualitative and quantitative data. Finally Chapter 5 concludes with the major findings, as
well as outlines some limitations of the current study and potential future research areas.
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Chapter 2
Literature review
2.1 Introduction
In this chapter the concept of strategic cost management is defined and examined through
the brief description of a number of tools employed by management in formulating and
achieving strategic objectives with particular focus on value chain analysis.
Cost information is critical on all these stages in strategic cost management. The explicit
attention of management to strategy is what distinguishes strategic cost management.
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Target costing
Target costing can be defined as “… a cost management tool for reducing overall cost of
a product over its entire life cycle with the help of the production, engineering, R&D,
marketing, and accounting departments” (Reeve, 2003; pg 385). The logic of target
costing is that of looking at tomorrow‟s market and determining what level of quality and
functionality will succeed within each segment, given a predetermined price (Cooper and
Chew, 1996). The focus of target costing is reducing costs not only at the production
stage but also at the planning and design stages (Sakurai, 1984).
Delivering products customers want at a price they are willing to pay is a fundamental
premise of target costing (Cooper, 1995). To achieve this target costing practices treat
selling prices and margins as uncontrollable variables because the markets determine the
prices and companies must earn adequate margins to remain in business over the long
term, thus the only variable that management can control is cost. Thus target costing
focuses management attention to cost management with the goal to produce products that
meet customers‟ acceptable standards for quality, functionality and price. Success in
managing these three elements ensures companies gain competitive advantage (Albright,
1998). To this end, target costing ensures that success with customers will yield
economic success for the company. Albright (1998) highlighted such success in
developing the Mercedes M-Class in 1998.
Kaizen costing
Another management tool which can be used with target costing is a management process
called Kaizen costing or continuous improvement which was developed by the Japanese.
Kaizen costing starts at the manufacturing stage and thus begins where target costing
ends. The role of cost reduction at this phase is to continuously develop new
manufacturing methods and to use new operational controls such as total quality
management to further reduce costs (Blocher et al, 2003).
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Life-cycle costing
Life -cycle costing provides a long term perspective because it considers the costs of the
product from concept to customer after sales service. It therefore provides a complete
perspective on product costs and products profitability throughout their life-cycle. For
instance poor design of a product can lead to high costs in customer after sales costs due
to returns and defective products. Poor product quality and functionality will in turn lead
to loss of customers. Therefore lifecycle costing provides management with insights into
the consequences of developing a product and possible areas for improvement and likely
areas of concerns that will require careful monitoring (Blocher et al, 2003).
Just-in-time (JIT)
JIT can be described as a set of manufacturing techniques and concepts or a philosophy
of doing business that minimizes inventory levels and enjoys the commensurate effects of
doing so. Japanese companies have been very successful in implementing JIT (Clinton
and Hsu, 2003). JIT exposes any manufacturing problems because there is no buffer
stock in inventory. As a result delays in the manufacturing process ensue. These delays
will inevitable lead to increased manufacturing costs. Therefore, JIT is quality oriented
and emphasizes simplicity in the manufacturing process and prevention of future
problems.
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Theory of constraints
The theory of constraints (TOC) is a systems-management philosophy developed by
Goldratt in the 1980s.The idea behind TOC is that constraints determine the performance
of any system and any system has a few constraints. TOC advocates that management
focus on these constraints rather than product costs. TOC can be used to reduce
production lead times, improve product quality and dramatically improve profitability
(Ruhl, 1996).
However, every organization is unique and best practices may not necessarily be relevant
to the way the company operates. Thus, although benchmarking provides guidelines,
companies still need to analyse their own operations and formulate a strategy that best
suits their business and the way the business chooses to compete.
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ABC assigns product costs based on the activities that a product draws upon. An activity
may be defined as a particular operation in the production cycle, or it could be defined as
the entire material acquisition process (Raffish, 1991). ABC approach assigns costs to
activities because it is activities that consume resources which are necessary for the
provision of products and services. This is achieved by using two classes of cost drivers;
the underlying assumption of the first class of drivers is those related to the volume
produced and the underlying assumption of the second class is those unrelated to the
volume. There is no direct relationship between resources consumed and the volume
produced (Cooper, 1988).
ABC is beneficial to firms because it provides more accurate costing information which
means products can be priced more accurately when the cost of making them has been
derived accurately. Furthermore, the accuracy of the product‟s profitability is also
improved aiding management in decision-making. Coupled with the improved accuracy
in costing there is improved cost management and more informed process improvement
efforts.
However, allocating cost and determining relevant cost drivers can be difficult because
not all costs have appropriate or unambiguous activities. Also some costs though not
specific to the product are essential for the production of the product these include
facility-sustaining costs for example warehouse insurance and security costs. It is also
particularly difficult to ascertain how much advertising and marketing costs should be
allocated to a particular product. Furthermore, an ABC system is very expensive to
develop and time consuming to implement
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spent on customers, products and activities, ABM improves management focus on the
firms‟ critical success factors and enhances competitive advantage.
Cooper and Kaplan (1998) classify ABM applications into two categories namely
operational ABM and strategic ABM with the former centred on enhancing operational
efficiency and asset utilization. The latter‟s thrust is on altering the demand for activities
and increasing profitability at the current or improved activity efficiency. Thus, strategic
ABM focuses on choosing the right activity for the operation.
ABM also uses cost driver analysis, activity analysis and performance measurement to
improve operation. However, ABM‟s reliance the ABC information will not aid
managers when the activity analysis becomes difficult or if the cost drivers are not
allocated appropriately.
This means that if an organization has a strong relative position than its competitors then
it has potential competitive advantage. “A competitive advantage is something a firm can
do that rivals cannot match”2 .The question then is how does an organization attain
2
http://www.pcte.edu.in/site/OJMR/Marketing/devstg.pdf “Developing Marketing Strategies to create
competitive advantage”, pg 2.
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competitive advantage? Thus, as mentioned above, firms can choose any one of three
strategies; cost leadership, differentiation or focus.
Cost leadership
Cost leadership requires a high relative market share or other advantages such as easy
access to raw materials. A cost leader must find and exploit all sources of cost advantage.
Low cost producers typically sell a standard or no frills product and place considerable
emphasis on reaping cost advantages from all sources (Porter, 1985). Low cost can be
achieved through these approaches; economies of scale in production, experience curve,
tight cost controls and cost minimization in such areas ad design, service and advertising
(Shank and Govindarajan, 1992).
Differentiation
This strategy‟s primary focus is to produce a product that customers perceive as unique.
Product uniqueness can be achieved through branding, superior customer service, product
design and superior technology. In differentiation strategy a firm seeks to be unique in its
industry along some dimensions that are widely valued by buyers. It selects one or, more
attributes that many buyers in an industry perceived as important and uniquely positions
it to meet those needs. It is rewarded for its uniqueness with a premium price. A firm that
can achieve and sustain differentiation will be an above average performer in its industry
if its price premium exceeds the extra costs incurred in being unique. A differentiator
therefore, must always seek ways of differentiating that lead to a price premium greater
than the cost of differentiating (Porter, 1985).
Focus
This strategy is significantly different to the other two because it rests on the choice of a
narrow competitive scope within an industry. The focus strategy requires one to identify a
segment or a group in an industry and tailor its strategy to serving that group or segment
exclusively. By so doing the focuser will aim to optimize its strategy for the target group
to achieve a competitive advantage in that particular segment even though it does not
necessarily possess a competitive advantage overall.
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There are two main variants to the focus strategy: cost focus and differentiation focus, in
cost focus the firm aims to achieve cost advantage in its target market while in
differentiation focus the firm seeks differentiation in its target segment (Porter, 1985).
However, for the success of the strategy rests on the differences between the focuser‟s
target market and other segments in the market. For instance, the target segments can
either have buyers with unusual needs or a production and delivery system that are
unique in the market. Cost focus will target cost behaviours‟ in the market and cost
differentiation will aim at optimizing and exploit the special needs of buyers in certain
segments.
In his next book, Competitive advantage in 1985, Porter introduced the concept of the
value chain. Once a firm has established its competitive strategy, it can then develop
competitive advantage by applying the value chain concept. The value chain is so called
because each stage of the business processes should add value (Donelan and Kaplan,
1998). Shank and Govindarajan (1992) describe value chain analysis as one of the major
themes in strategic cost management that enables managers to organize their thinking
around managing costs because of its broad focus.
According to Porter, (1985) a value chain includes everything that contributes to a major
organisational output. Value chain analysis describes the activities the organization
performs and links them to the organizations competitive position. Therefore, it evaluates
what value each particular activity adds to the organizations products or services. Porter
argues that the ability to perform particular activities and to manage the linkages between
these activities is a source of competitive advantage, as shown in Figure 1 below:
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Figure 1: The basic model of Porters value chain
Margin implies that an organization realizes a profit as a result of their ability to manage
linkages between all activities in the value chain. The organization should be able to
deliver a product/service for which the customer is willing to pay more than the sum of
the costs of all activities in the value chain.
The focus of value chain analysis is on the products‟ total value chain, from design to
manufacture to distribution and finally to the customer. In any industry a company can
occupy selected parts within the industry value chain. It is unusual that a single company
performs all activities from product design, production of components, and final
assembly to delivery to the final user by itself. Most often, organizations are elements of
a value system or supply chain. Hence, value chain analysis should cover the whole value
system in which the organization operates. The business determines which part of the
value chain to compete in depending on its strategy and core competencies. For instance
in the paper manufacturing industry, one firm can decide to concentrate on the upstream
activities which include forestry and milling. On the other hand another can focus on the
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downstream activity which could incorporate the marketing and distribution of paper and
sales. Although the areas of operation of the two organizations differ, they rely on each
other‟s success, in the sense that the success of the paper sales ensures that the forestry
and milling business remain operational. This means therefore that activities external to
the firm have become critical as much as internal activities such that businesses need to
have an external focus to be able to survive in the global environment. This is why value
chain analysis has emerged as one of the useful techniques in understanding intra-
organization and inter-organization processes to better identify sources of competitive
advantage (Chivaka, 2007).
Whether an organization can develop and sustain their chosen strategy depends
fundamentally on how the firm manages its value chain relative to its competitors.
Ultimately competitive advantage is derived from being able to provide better customer
satisfaction for a lower cost. Thus value chain analysis can assist business to identify
where value can be enhanced and where costs can be reduced. An organization performs
activities such as product/service design, production, marketing and delivery to support
the strategy. Although these activities provide support to the strategy, they however fall
short in providing an analysis of the business processes and their strategic importance to
the business. Value chain analysis is then employed to assist in the decomposition of the
business activities into strategically important activities and facilitating the understanding
of the impact of these activities on the overall business processes.
This analysis of value chain activities enables management to understand the behaviour
of costs across different activities and bring management focus to these activities. By
conducting an activity analysis in the value chain, management is able to have an
understanding of the interdependencies in processes across business units and activities.
Furthermore, management can fully grasp the impact of suppliers and customers on the
activities the business performs and their associated costs, and thus facilitates the
identification of sources of differentiation.
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Strategic cost management: A value chain perspective
From a strategic cost management perspective value chain analysis has three key
attributes that make it a very useful tool. These are;
The organization needs to identify strategic and non-strategic value chain activities.
Strategic value chain activities are those activities that are critical in the organizations‟
ability to provide products and services to their customers and are pertinent in the
organizations ability to maintain a competitive advantage (Chivaka, 2007).
Non-strategic activities are those activities which are important in the overall provision of
products and services for example within the oil industry‟s value chain, security services
are important for the provision of a service but are not core activities that the business is
about. These services do not offer competitive advantage and usually these activities are
outsourced, reduced or streamlined. Failure to link value creating activities will result in
huge wastage due to the performance of activities and processes that are not longer
compatible with the organization strategy. Furthermore, continued emphasis on non-
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strategic activities will result in the increase in costs and thus impact on the ability of the
business to maintain competitive advantage.
Companies need to analyse value activities and their impact to the rest of the chain in
order to understand the impact each activity has on the overall chain. Furthermore this
analysis provides the efficient monitoring of the different activities and identification of
the various challenges faced at each activity. It is clear that at each level of value
activities the business faces different challenges and different competitors. For instance
some competitors may be a fully integrated company and some are focused specialists. It
is therefore critical for the business to approach these challenges differently and not adopt
an across the board solution which will not yield success. Although the challenges are
different for each activity, the impact is felt throughout the chain, therefore value chain
activities should be managed bearing in mind the interrelation that exists within the chain.
a. Internal linkages
Internal linkages are typified by relationships between tasks and activities that form part
of a process within the organization. For instance, in the oil industry there are linkages
within business units to provide gasoline to the consumer at the service station. These
would typically be from manufacturing – refinery to the distribution network which is
usually done by the logistics segment of the business. It is of paramount importance for
the business to identify value creating activities throughout the business processes. This
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will give management a process view of their business and how each unit can contribute
to the improvement in processes, cost reduction efforts, capacity utilization and overall
business efficiency importantly.
b. External linkages
The external linkages and interrelations are mainly between the suppliers and the
customers. This represents the supply and demand interfaces of the business.
Traditionally, the relationship between suppliers and customers has always been strained
and hence the adoption of the value added approach which begins with purchases and
ends with sales. However, this approach has two big disadvantages in that it starts too late
and ends too soon (Shank and Govindarajan, 1992). Starting the cost analysis process
with purchases misses the point of exploiting linkages with suppliers. This is an
important linkage because the supplier has a strong effect on the cost of the business‟s
product or service. Due to the broad analysis of the value chain the business is able to
exploit its linkages with suppliers and customers.
Linkages with suppliers should be managed such that the relationship is beneficial to both
parties. Suppliers not only produce and deliver products used in the business‟s value
activities but in so doing they influence the cost structure of the company. It follows then
that the suppliers indirectly affect the companies‟ differentiation position hence influence
the companies‟ strategy. Furthermore, the activities of an organization‟s upstream value
chain can affect the performance of the down stream activities. For instance, an outbreak
of mad cow disease on a farm can have far reaching effects which will be felt right down
the value chain by the customer at a fast food restaurant. It is thus very important for any
organization to have a value chain approach to dealing with suppliers and strive for a
collaboration approach. The success of such collaborative relationships can present
dramatic results for the business. A case in mind is the success of a bulk chocolate
supplier which introduced an innovative delivery system of transporting chocolate in
liquid form thereby reducing packaging and moulding costs. These savings were in turn
passed to the confectionary producer who also eliminated unpacking and melting costs
(Porter, 1985).
28
Customer linkages are also equally important and again the relationship should be of
mutual benefit to both parties. It is of paramount importance for the business to realize
that maintaining customer loyalty ensures business sustainability. There are numerous
examples were these linkages have proved beneficial to both parties. Hergert and Morris
(1989) report of some container manufacturers that chose to locate their businesses next
to beer producers and deliver their products directly to the assembly line of the beer
producers. The result of this partnership was significant transport cost savings of
transporting such bulky containers. It is apparent that if a firm product costs constitute a
huge percentage of the customer‟s total costs then the firm should look for opportunities
to exploit any linkages that might exist.
For any organization to gain and sustain competitive advantage requires an understanding
of the entire value system and not only the portion of the value chain in which it operates.
Suppliers and customers and suppliers‟ customers‟ customers have profit margins that are
important in identifying a firm‟s positioning and its cost structure. An understanding of
the entire value system also aids in decision-making for management in that all
businesses in the value chain understand the overall performance of the industry in which
they operate. Furthermore, as companies analyse their value activities they can decide to
streamline or expand operations depending on their competencies in the value chain.
29
activities that will have the greatest leverage for the future relative cost position but may
not be currently receiving attention (Porter, 1985).
Cost driver analysis should be conducted to show management what is influencing the
behaviour of their costs and this will in turn facilitate the development of strategies to
sustain competitive advantage through controlling costs better than the competition. A
firm gains cost advantage if its cumulative costs of performing all value activities is
lower than competitors‟ costs. The strategic value of cost advantage hinges on its
sustainability, i.e. when sources of a firms cost advantage are difficult for competitors to
imitate (Porter, 1985). It is important to understand that assigning costs and assets does
not require the precision needed for financial reporting; estimates are more than adequate
to highlight strategic cost issues (Shank and Govindarajan, 1992). However, cost
advantage leads to superior performance only if the firm provides an acceptable level of
value to the buyer so that its cost advantage is not nullified by the need to charge a lower
price than competitors (Porter, 1985).
30
Power of the Value Chain
Walters and Lancaster (1999) acknowledge the importance of the value chain as the ideal
vehicle when used to identify an organisation‟s strengths and weaknesses and to compare
these with the opportunities posed by its external environment. An example of the
superior insights which can be derived from the application of the value chain is Shank
and Govindarajan (1992) analysis of a case study of the airline industry. The study
discussed a comparison of insights from traditional cost accounting analysis with value
chain analysis on the airline business. Traditional cost accounting suggested the airline
should be able to raise revenues by aggressive pricing and filling up capacity while
holding fleet cost, pilots, flight attendants, and ground personnel cost unchanged in the
short run. However, value chain analysis showed that operating an aircraft does not
involve purely a fixed cost because the study revealed that as seat miles flown increased,
operating costs doubled.
To compensate for this increase in operating expenses, the airline then increased the price
per seat mile without clearly considering the overall business strategy. The airline‟s
strategy was to increase customer satisfaction with capital expenditure on advanced
ticketing and reservation technologies to justify high prices in an ageing fleet. However,
the increased operating costs offset most of the profits from the increase in revenue. It
was noted that cost driver analysis is essential in order for a business to fully understand
its costs and then develop an informed competitive strategy.
Another example of the successful application of the value chain analysis approach is a
case study of the UK beef food service sector (Francis, et al, 2008). The approach proved
useful in rapidly generating large amounts of data for any the specific focal problem
areas. Furthermore, the study enabled the generation of useful training, induction and
company public relations material.
Although there are benefits of value chain analysis as discussed above there have been a
few shortcomings and limitations of the value chain analysis highlighted by some
authors. The following section will briefly discuss these limitations.
31
Limitations of value chain analysis
Francis, (2008) sites that the value chain approach proved time consuming for facilitators
to catalogue and process all the generated information during the case of the UK beef
foodservice sector. This tends to lead to the processing of data taking months to
catalogue, resulting in the loss of some of the people on the specific projects as personnel
3
changes within the organisation. Fearne, et al, (2009) also agrees with this view that
value chain analysis is essentially intensive in terms of the time required for interviews
and the time interviewees have to spend discussing their business processes. Fearne
(2009) believes, “value chain analysis is a relatively high cost diagnostic- rich in insight,
across several dimensions, but expensive in terms of both research budget and
stakeholder engagement” (p. 11). This barrier was clearly evident in the research
reported in this dissertation as discussed at length in the methodology in Chapter 3. Value
chains also constantly evolve and can rapidly change; therefore, any value chain analysis
faces this limitation of providing a static picture at any point in time.
Conclusion
An organization can attain competitive advantage in relation to its competitors by
employing three generic competitive strategies; cost leadership, differentiation and focus.
In order to achieve competitive advantage through the use of any of the three generic
strategies, an organization performs, through its daily operations, activities which
collectively support these strategies. Strategic cost management tools then assists
management in formulating and developing controls that monitor the success of
achieving of attaining competitive advantage.
Value chain analysis is one such tool that can help management diagnose potential areas
for competitive advantage and finding ways to sustain it. Value chain analysis helps
organizations by systematically decomposing the organization into strategically important
activities and provides a framework that links an organization‟s activities to its strategy.
3
Donor Interventions in value Chain Development, Working
Paper,www.informaworld.com/index/915259114.pdf
32
Furthermore, by focusing on activities, value chain analysis enables the organization to
understand the complex interdependencies in processes, activities, business units,
suppliers and customers as a way of identifying opportunities for optimization throughout
the value chain.
33
Chapter 3
Research methodology
Introduction
In this chapter, the path followed to undertake this research, in order to best assist the
researcher to answer the research question, is outlined. The chapter also discusses the
motivation for choice of research method as well as limitations thereof.
Research method
A case study method was used to collect and analyse data. A case study can be defined as
an inquiry that investigates a contemporary phenomenon within its real life context,
especially when the boundaries between the phenomenon and the context are not clearly
evident (Yin, 2003). Case research methodology is one of the empirical approaches that
aim at developing our understanding of “real world” events (McCutcheon and Meredith,
1993, pp. 240-1) and has increasingly been used as a research tool (Hamel, 1992; Perry
and Kramer, 1986). A case study was therefore chosen as the best approach to assist with
achieving the objectives of this study.
34
The case study method is best suited in applying theory to an already operational
organization, with the researcher having the privilege of being part of the daily processes
of the organization. The method also allows the investigator to understand and retain the
holistic and meaningful characteristics of real-life events, such as the organisational and
managerial processes and maturation of industries (Yin, 2003).
The research question in this study which begins with “how” denotes an explanatory type
of research strategy which would need to deal with the operational links of the subject of
the case study over a period of time, rather than mere frequencies or incidence which
would be more suited to an experimental type of strategy. Hence, the researcher sought to
investigate the application of value chain analysis along the petroleum supply chain by
understanding the operations of one organization which is the subject of this study.
Research setting
The research focused on a study of a single company operating within the South African
petroleum supply chain, thus the research will focus on this particular company‟s
petroleum value chain. However, for confidentiality reasons the name of the company is
not disclosed in this dissertation. For the purposes of this dissertation, the company is
hereafter referred to as ABC Oil Company. Figure 2 shows an example of a typical
petroleum value chain.
35
Figure 2: The Petroleum Value Chain (Moore, 2005)
1
Multiple Market Cruise Primary Secondary
Entry & Exit Logistics Distribution Distribution
Points
2
Interlinked & Crude Refining Wholesale Retail
Complex Production Marketing Marketing
Economics –
Inventory &
Prices
3
Thousands of
Moving Parts; Crude Inter- Products Products
Companies, Market Mediates Market Market
People Assets & (wholesale) (Rack)
Work Processes
The petrochemical value chain is like no other manufacturing business sectors‟ value
chains in that it is the only industry which has one input and a range of products totalling
about 40 different products, which makes the pricing process extremely difficult. Another
consideration is the transportation and storage costs of the products, bearing in mind that
the petroleum products are highly flammable and very hazardous to the environment and
to people. Options for trading, swapping and exchanging crude, intermediates and
products throughout the chain only add more complexity to the determination of the
profitability of the different products. The situation is exacerbated by a proliferation of
regional product specifications, volatile markets, increasingly stringent environmental
regulations, and constantly changing supply and demand patterns. This is particularly true
to the South African market where the fuel price is regulated by the government.
Operating in such a market creates huge challenges because of the volatility of the crude
prices which is filtered down to the price of final product. In many cases due to the length
of the value chain and the manufacturing processes, a company may begin the production
of a product which it is not sure how much it will be sold for to the end customer. It is in
light of these many challenges in the downstream petroleum value chain that this research
36
will not include the upstream activities and will only focus on the downstream activities
of the petroleum value chain.
ABC Oil Company is one of the major multinational oil companies in South Africa,
participating throughout the petroleum value chain as shown in the above diagram and
has invested assets that span across the entire chain. It manufactures petroleum products
from crude oil and so the study will focus only on fossil fuel products. The research will
focus on the value activities across ABC‟s petroleum value chain in South Africa and
offers insights into the opportunities as well challenges faced by this company as it
manufactures and markets petroleum products for the South African market.
Thus an interview guide4 was prepared with the dual aim of avoiding bias, and ensuring
adequate reporting within the frame of reference of the study (Brenner, 1985). An
interview guide ensures complete and consistent coverage in each interview of themes
under study and thus reduces the tendency to resort to unplanned and non-neutral probes
(McCracken, 1988). In order to elicit full and undirected accounts from participants on
the themes under study, the interview guide was designed to be used flexibly (Brenner,
1985).The major themes that were investigated using the interview guide included; core
activities of the respondents in their respective roles and their positioning within the
companies value chain. The interview guide also sought to assist researcher to identify
4
Interview guide see Appendix 1
37
strategic assets deployed along the supply chain and understand their respective value for
the business. Questions also probed the rationale behind the asset positioning along the
petroleum supply chain.
Another theme investigated was the issue of process improvement within the respective
departments of the company and if any, limitations to such improvement. And lastly, due
to the nature of the petroleum industry, the researcher also included the questions to
probe the environmental aspect of the petroleum business and the effect of environmental
legislation to the refining, distribution, storage and marketing of petroleum products.
The Manufacturing Manager and the Refinery Commercial Manager where interviewed
to provide insights into the value activities at the refining stage of the value chain as well
to provide insights on to the key performance indicators used to measure refinery
profitability. The Refinery Asset economist was also interviewed to provide information
regarding the sourcing of crude and the refinery diet and all aspects that affect the crude
purchase decisions as well as timing of such decisions.
For insights into the distribution and storage of petroleum products from refining to
market, the Regional Stocks Manager, Transport Manager and the Logistics Manager
were interviewed. These key individuals were pertinent in providing information about
the petroleum supply management. Given the nature of petroleum product, the
transportation of these products forms an intricate part of the logistics team role within
the value chain.
Lastly, the Marketing Manager and Retail Managers were interviewed to provide insights
into the last stages of the value chain- providing petroleum products to the consumers.
Due to the geographical locations of the major cities in South Africa where demand is
greatest, location of the retail market proves to be a very strategic decision in order to
reach a wider market.
38
For each of the respondents, the researcher first conducted a 20 – 30 minute meeting
informing them of the nature of the research and the research objectives. This was done
to both inform the respondents and to notify them of the forthcoming request for an
interview. An interview guide was not sent in advance due to the need to introduce the
research project to respondents during the initial meeting. Interviews took a total time of
30 minutes to an hour; the ideal time would have been an hour but this proved a
challenge as the interviews were conducted during working hours, and respondents had
other engagements and sometimes were not available for the full hour.
Follow up interviews were conducted in cases were the researcher required further clarity
and confirmation on key issues. This was the case with the Manufacturing Manager and
the Refinery Commercial Manager. Similarly, follow up interviews were also conducted
with the Transport Manager and Logistics Manager to seek confirmation of issues of
petroleum product exchanges and the limitations around inland petroleum products
supply.
The nature of the questions asked to the respondents was mainly open-ended and semi-
structured. The use of the semi-structured interviews enables the interviewer to discover
and learn for themselves the subject matter and provides a scenario were the rules are
loosely defined but guided so as to obtain the best information from the interviewee.
The responses from the interviews were tape recorded and sometimes the researcher
jotted down notes. Permission to tape record the interviews was sought before the
beginning of the interview and was done with the respondents‟ consent. Permission was
granted by the organization to carry out the interviews during working hours and collect
any company documents which would be useful in this research. Permission to collect or
view these documents was sought before hand and consent received. The documents
collected included; refinery configuration diagrams and crude yield diagrams to help the
researcher understand refinery processes. Petroleum supply chain internal studies done by
previous employees and external parties. These documents were helpful in providing a
general understanding of the petroleum supply chain and also identifying core value
39
activities. Other documents included terminal distribution network maps which showed
the strategic positioning of the company‟s terminals across South Africa. This was
particularly useful to inform the researcher‟s understanding of the role that the state
infrastructure played in influencing the company‟s location and how demand of
petroleum products also dictates management decisions on this issue.
Lastly, financial documents in the form of income statements were also collected to
provide insights into the profitability of the business and how this profitability is
measured. However, these statements provided total costs and profits of the business as a
refining and marketing business. Data for each specific stage of the value chain was not
available.
The interview data was transcribed using specific words of the respondents where
possible, but also on the basis of the researcher‟s understanding of what the respondents
had said. However, to ensure accuracy of the results, the respondents were given
opportunity to peruse the final document and sign to confirm the authenticity of the
report.
The results obtained from interviews were presented as both qualitative and quantitative.
According to Yin (1981), the terms, qualitative and case study are often used
interchangeably but case study research can involve qualitative data only, quantitative
only or both (Yin, 1984). In this research, both qualitative and quantitative data was used
as this approach has been seen to be highly synergistic (Eisenhardt, 1999). Financial
statements, transport costs and product prices were the quantitative data that were
collected. This quantitative evidence can indicate relationships which may be salient to
the researcher. Furthermore, it can bolster findings when it corroborates those findings
from qualitative evidence. The interviews with the respondents indicated above, and
discussions with colleagues within the company, also provided qualitative data which
was useful for understanding the rationale or theory underlying relationships revealed in
the quantitative data (Jick, 1979).
40
Limitations
The researcher found that very little literature in the industry was available for reference
hence had to rely on writings from other industries. There was a major limitation on time
as most of the respondents were in their working environment and in most cases were in
meetings and the researcher could not schedule sufficient time for the interviews. The
researcher at times managed to meet with respondents for 30 minutes instead of the
requested one hour because of respondents‟ other commitments. This major reliance on
respondents for information proved to be a major limitation in undertaking this study.
This limitation at times resulted in failure by the researcher to conduct a follow up
interview because some of the respondents‟ had travelled, and sometimes resigned from
the company and therefore while they served their notice period the researcher could not
engage them on company matters because of company policy. As a result the researcher
had to look for another respondent who was familiar with the departmental activities and
could provide insights thereof.
Similarly, the researcher was also in a work environment and other job requirements
which conflicted with the scheduling of the interview. This extended the data collection
process as interviews had to be rescheduled weeks from the original date at times.
Furthermore, the data sourced needed further interpretation which was also time
consuming. In addition, the respondents were in most cases not too enthusiastic in taking
time to do so as this only further took time out of their busy schedule.
To mitigate these constraints; the researcher also relied on sourcing information from
other channels, for instance research done on similar industries as well as drawing on
own experience from working within the company. Information discussions with
colleagues who had useful knowledge of the problematic issues also provided additional
insights for the researcher. Furthermore, comments and useful feedback was received
from respondents when the researcher finally got a chance to certify that everything
relevant had been captured accurately as per previous discussions.
41
Chapter 4
Results
Introduction
This chapter details the specific value chain activities of interest, from the refining of
crude oil to the delivery of the products to the final user. The downstream petroleum
industry refers to all aspects of refining, distribution, marketing and retailing of
petroleum. This chapter aims to investigate the application of the value chain analysis
methodology within these key activities in order to ascertain how it confers competitive
advantage through customer value creation. The results from the interviews conducted in
the research setting are then presented.
The petroleum downstream sector is complex and highly competitive. From the major
input of crude oil, numerous products are produced of which each product in each market
region reacts to a different set of supply and demand as well as transportation pressures.
To remain viable, refiners must balance a number of competing factors in crude selection,
capital investment and what range of products to manufacture. These critical decisions
are further complicated by the need to operate in a sustainable and environmentally
responsible manner.5
Petroleum is the second largest consumable on the planet- second only to water. As a
society, we depend more on petroleum than any other resource for the comforts and
conveniences of our modern world. The industry provides products that are critical to the
functioning of the economy. Virtually all transportation, land, sea, and air, is fuelled by
products that are refined from crude oil (Piorg, 2007). The increasing reliance on
petroleum is motivating industry business leaders to find better ways to secure, process,
and deliver petroleum products, while maximizing margins, minimizing waste, and
5
Overview of the Canadian Downstream Petroleum Industry, Oil Division , July 2005.
42
improving overall corporate profitability with the constraints set by prevailing societal
and environmental pressures.6
South Africa produced 23571 million litres7 of liquid fuels products in 2005, according to
the South African Petrochemicals Industry Association (SAPIA). About 36 percent of the
domestic supply is met by synthetic fuels (synfuels), which are produced locally, largely
from coal and from natural gas. The rest (64 percent) is supplied by products refined
locally from imported crude oil. This dissertation focused on products produced from
crude oil as stated in the research methodology. Although the refined products markets
differ from crude markets, the crude prices strongly influence the prices of refined
products. Refined product prices have historically reacted to changes in the acquisition
cost of crude in both directions, with falling crude prices leading to declines in refined
product prices and vice-versa.
The Study
The downstream petroleum supply chain studied spans from refining to the delivery of
the final product to the customer. Figure 3 shows the petroleum value chain in which
ABC Oil Company operates; from crude sourcing to delivering product to the end
customers. ABC manufactures petroleum products to serve a variety of customers which
range from aviation, mining, agriculture, marine as well as individuals. This broad focus
inherent in the petroleum supply chain distinguishes it from any other manufacturing
supply chain where costs, schedules and distribution processes are fixed and do not
change. The petroleum supply chain is therefore more complex and challenging (Hussain
6
http://www.petrovantage.com/publication_files/Enterprise_Opt_Petro_WP.pdf Aspen Technology, Inc (
April, 2002)
7
www.dme.gov.za/energy/liquid.stm
43
et al, 2006). At any point in the petroleum downstream supply chain, components can be
bought and sold to any of thousands of market participants. This inherent optionality
leads to inevitable value leakage ranging from sub-optimal crude slate purchases, to
inefficient transportation schedules among other factors.8In light of these challenges it is
of paramount importance that the oil industry looks for opportunities to improve
efficiency and maximize value in order to increase margins and still provide products at a
competitive price as well as an acceptable quality.
The value activities identified along this particular supply chain include; refining,
including crude sourcing, distribution and marketing. The sections that follow will focus
on these value activities that were investigated.
Onshore Sales
Product Exports to other oil
companies Product Imports
MININ
G
RURA
L
BUNKER
S
BP
Fuels
CRUDE FREIGHT COASTAL DISTRIBUTION
REFINER TERMINA
Y L Fuel
PIPELINE s
INDUSTR
Y
AVIATIO
N
8
Oil and Gas Journal, June 2006, Russian Edition
9
Adapted from ABC Oil Company
44
Refining
Petroleum in its unrefined state is of limited value and of limited use, thus refining is
required to obtain products that are attractive to the market (Gary, et al, 2007). Thus
petroleum refining is a series of steps by which the crude oil is converted into saleable
products with the desired qualities and in the amounts dictated by the market (Speight
and Ozum, 2002). A refinery can be defined as an integrated group of manufacturing
plants that vary in number with the variety of products (Gary, et al, 2007).
South Africa has the second largest oil refinery system in Africa. Egypt has the largest
with 726,250 barrels per day. Since South Africa is not a major oil producer it relies on
crude imports for its refining needs. According to SAPIA, the majority of the crude oil
imports destined for South African refineries come from the Middle East, Iran and Saudi
Arabia. Nigeria and Angola (among others) also supply crude oil to South Africa.
Most of South Africa‟s refined products are sold to the local market and exported within
the Southern Africa Region and the Indian and Atlantic Basins. Major refineries include
South African Petroleum Refineries (SAPREF) (172,000bbl/day) and Engen Refinery
(118,750 bbl/d) in Durban, Chevron Refinery (110,000bbl/d) in Cape Town, and National
Refinery (87,547 bbl/d) at Sasolburg.10 Appendix 2 shows the location of these refineries
around South Africa.
International Oil Companies (IOCs), including British Petroleum, Chevron, Engen, Shell,
and Total are major participants in South Africa‟s downstream petroleum industry. There
are other several domestic firms that also participate in the industry, including Naledi
Petroleum and Afric Oil.
Refineries are the major assets of the downstream petroleum business and effective
management of the refinery activities underpin the organizations‟ success. Management
decisions regarding refinery activities are critical in ensuring the company creates value
for the customer. These decisions range from input sourcing as well as the range of
10
Oil an Gas Journal, South African Petroleum Industries Association (2007)
45
products to produce and refinery utilization. Crude oil is the primary input in the
petroleum refining industry, therefore a brief discussion on the properties and the sources
of crude will provide valuable context to the downstream business.
Crude oil
Crude oil as it comes from the ground is of little use and must undergo a series of refining
processes which converts it into a variety of more valuable products for instance, fuel for
cars, fuel for heating, diesel fuels for heavy transport to name a few.11
The term crude oil covers a wide assortment of materials that may vary widely in
volatility, specific gravity, and viscosity. Crude can be considered sour or sweet based on
its properties. Sour crude contains substances such as sulphur compounds, carbon dioxide
that is often mixed with hydrocarbons in various proportions and cause problems in
production and processing. Crude oil is considered sweet if it contains few sulphur
components. Sour crude contains an appreciable amount of hydrogen sulphide and carbon
dioxide. The existence of any measurable sulphur content (more than one part per
million) and sulphur components, particularly hydrogen sulphide can cause considerable
damage to the production facilities and can significantly lower the commercial value of
the oil or gas (Dawe, 2001). Therefore, the sulphur components will have to be extracted
from crude oil (however, they can be converted to sulphur and sold on as a useful
product). Other materials which can be found in crude include metal containing
constituents. Notably, those compounds that contain vanadium and nickel usually occur
in the more viscous crude oils in amounts of up to several thousands parts per million and
can have serious consequences during processing of these feed stocks (Gruse and
Stevens, 1960; Speight, 1984).
11
Heather Wansbrough , Refining Crude Oil
46
altering the product formulation in order to reduce air emissions generated by their use
(Gary et al, 2007).
In a bid to reduce the sulphur emissions from petroleum, South African passed energy
legislation advocating the reduction of the sulphur content in diesel. Diesel fuel used in
South Africa as of January 1, 2006 now has ultra-low sulphur content of 0.005 – 0.05
percent.
However, it is not only choice of crude oil that determines the viability of a refinery;
supply and demand factors are pertinent in ensuring an efficient and economic operation.
The overall economics or viability of a refinery depends on the interaction of three key
elements:
the choice of crude oil used (crude slate),
the complexity of the refining equipment (refinery configuration)
and the desired type and quality of products produced ( product slate)
These factors, which are critical in improving the effectiveness of value chain activities,
are discussed in the following sections below.
Crude slate
Evaluating the economic performance of the petroleum refining industry is complicated
by the fact that many refineries can use crude oil of different quality as an input, while
others cannot (Piorg, 2005). This is mainly because of the configuration of the refinery as
well as the strategy of the refinery and the desired products to be produced. Crude oil can
be of lighter or heavier density, as well as having higher or lower sulphur content. The
density of the crude is of importance because lighter crude oil input yields a lighter
product mix which is more valuable and therefore results in higher prices for the refiner.
However, this does not mean that refiners always seek to use the lightest crude available.
The crude oil market pricing mechanism compensates for differences in the quality of
crude oil by a price differential, the light-heavy price spread. At any given time, the
actual spread value is also influenced by the relative availability of crude oil on the world
47
market as well as the location of the crude oil. As a result, the value of the spread
changes, and at given time, the purchase of either light or heavy crude might be
warranted by economic conditions (Piorg, 2005). Another element that ensures the
economic and efficient operation of a refinery is the refinery configuration which is
discussed in the following section.
Refinery Configuration
Figure 4 below of a typical refinery shows the various processes involved in refinery to
produce the desired products as per demand specifications. The type of crude that a
refinery is able to process is determined by the type of processing units at the refinery .At
different stages of refining the product slate can be upgraded to create value for the
refinery by producing even more value products.
48
Figure 4: Typical Refinery12
Other
Gasoline
13% Reformate NGL 5%
Naphtha Fuel 6%
Stove Oil
Reformers
(Jet Fuel)
Hydrocracker
13%
Diesel
22% Gasoline
Crude
56%
Oil
Feed
Crude Units
FCCU Gasoline
Light
Oil
26%
FCCU
Jet Hydrotreater
Jet Fuel
Cokers
19%
Coke
5%
49
“very complex” (coking) refinery is characterized by significant upgrading capacity and a
high level of integration. Simple refineries have the lowest margins and are often
operated by small, niche players. As shown in Figure 4 above, complex refineries are
able to change the composition of the crude oil input, taking low-value heavy oils and
converting them into high-value, light products. The heavy oils are reduced through a
process of distillation and cracking from 26 per cent to 5 per cent and thus increasing the
gasoline and jet fuels from 13 per cent to 56 per cent and 19 per cent respectively.
Coking refineries use the coking process to eliminate the vacuum residue, converting
virtually the entire barrel of crude to valuable light products. Coking refineries enjoy the
highest upgrading margins and are highly flexible. Unlike cracking refineries, the
economics of coking refineries are driven largely by the light-heavy differential, the
difference in price between light, sweet crude oils and heavy, sour crude oils. Complex
refineries tend to make large margins when processing heavy, sour crudes and smaller
margins when processing light crudes (Gary et al, 2007).
The most advantageous position for a complex refinery that has invested in the capability
to produce a light product mix from a heavy crude input is a large price spread between
light and heavy crude, and a similarly large spread between light and heavy products. The
potential for economic gain represented by these two price spreads form the incentive for
investing in more complex processing units in the refining process. The ability to better
handle the heavy crudes enhances the economic potential of most refineries (Gary et al,
2007).
With reference to this study, ABC‟s refinery can be described as a „complex‟ cracking
refinery. The refinery has two distillation units; Crude Distiller 2 (CD2) and Crude
Distiller 3 (CD3), a cracking unit, a visbreaker unit and a lubes complex. Each of these
units performs a specific function to ensure desired products slate is produced.
According to ABC‟s manufacturing manager, the ideal crude mixture to maximize the
refinery‟s profitability is 15% condensate, 30% light crude, 45% medium/heavy crude
50
and 10% heavy crude. Condensate, light crudes and heavy crude are sourced from the
Asian Gulf and Nigeria whereas medium and heavy crudes are bought from Angola. But
before discussing the purchasing of these crudes, the next sections offer a brief
explanation of the processing operations at ABC refinery.
This mix mentioned above is only used for processing in CD2 which manufactures the
main fuels; gasoline and mogas (diesel and petrol respectively) as well as liquid
petroleum gas (LPG) and jet fuel. The residue from the distillation is used as feed for the
cracking unit for further processing to produce more products as above. Similarly, the
residue from this unit will again be processed in the visbreaker unit which produces fuel
oil which is used to fuel ships.
Crude sourcing for ABC refinery to feed into the units mentioned above is a process that
requires careful planning. Three departments at ABC Oil Company work together in this
planning process, namely; refining, marketing and supply. The marketers forecast
products demand for the company and communicate this to refining. In turn, refinery will
come up with a manufacturing plan to cater for this demand. Refining will then advise
supply of the production plan which they will use to plan their distribution plan which
ensures the products get to the customer as per demand.
The purchase decision will depend on the profitability analysis done by the Asset
Economists as well as the Crude Trader who will complete the purchase. The Asset
Economists use mathematical models to arrive at the most profitable mix of crudes which
51
will yield the best financial gain for the refinery. These mathematical models take into
account the required products slate (discussed in more detail in the following sections)
and refinery availability. The result of this analysis produces what is referred to as the
“crude pecking order”; this is the ranking of the crudes to be considered for purchase. All
the information is then passed onto the Crude Trader who will source these crudes on the
market. ABC has no crude trading capability so this function is located at their parent
company in Europe. Sometimes the desired crudes might not be available at the required
price and timing, in which case, the “crude pecking order” is revised and the above
process repeated. This process is always carried out 90 days in advance; this allows time
for amendments to the purchasing decisions if required as well to accommodate any
changes in the crude oil market.
Once crude has been purchased it is transported by ship to the refinery. To minimize
freight costs, ABC has agreed a co-freight agreement with other oil companies in South
Africa. This was agreed to because all but one oil company discharges their crude in
Durban. As shown in appendix 2, most refineries are located along the South African
coast. The inland refineries also receive their crude at the coast and then transport it by
pipeline inland. Most of the crude into South Africa as discussed earlier comes from the
Asian Gulf and Angola; hence this agreement is relatively simple to coordinate.
Product slate
The main products of refining are commodities, that is, they are undifferentiated from
those of a competitor and are sold on the basis of price, defined in competitive markets
through the intersection of supply and demand curves. The main products of refining are
gasoline (aviation and motor gasoline and light distillates), middle distillates (diesel fuel,
jet fuel, and home heating oil), fuel oil and other products (fuel gas, lubricants, wax,
solvents, and refinery fuels). The product slate is determined by the demand, inputs and
process units available, and the result of intermediaries entering into the production of
other products. The price differential between gasoline and fuel oil and other products
represent the supply – demand requirements for the fuel and the premium for production.
52
Refinery Cost drivers
The economics of a refinery is a function of many variables, namely the plant
configuration, acquisition price of crude oil, product prices and strategic decisions with
regards to location and scale of operations as well as operating cost, and environment
requirements. The two inter-linked structural cost drivers; plant configuration and
technology utilized on the plant significantly affect refinery economics. Drivers often
interact to determine the cost of an activity. In this case, the plant configuration
determines the refiner‟s complexity and ability to produce different product slates from a
variety of different crude slates. The plant configuration affects the ability to process a
lower valued crude slate into a higher valued product slate. Furthermore, the flexibility of
the plant also enables the production of more differentiated product slate to deal with
regulation and demand fluctuations. Coupled with the plant configuration, technology
utilized is also important because it provides more cost efficient processes.
Optimizing a refinery is a matter of balance because every benefit has a cost, every
incremental gain has an offsetting loss, and every attempt to remove one unwanted
product creates a new waste stream. Utilization fluctuates as refinery operation adjust to
changes in demand, however, refiners can increase their refinery utilization by reducing
refinery downtime and the number of unplanned outages, executing maintenance and
revamps more efficiently and extending run times through improved catalyst performance
( Gary et al, 2007).
The refiner has some control over the cost of production but price structures exhibit a
more complex relationship. Refiners attempt to maximize earnings from fluctuations in
the market price of the crude oil and the product slate. The potential for economic gain
arises when there is a large spread between light and heavy crude and light and heavy
products. A refiner will buy heavy crude to minimize input costs and sell a light product
mix to maximum product revenues.
The location of the refinery is of utmost importance as it will affect the accessibility of
the refinery to markets as well as to the inputs. ABC‟s refinery as discussed earlier is
53
located at the coast to reduce transportation costs. Other refineries can also be
strategically located inland, for instance in Johannesburg, as it is right where the greatest
demand for product is. Thus even though it is located further away from the crude
receiving point, it has an advantage in locating near the market, (See Figure 9).
Lastly, the scale of the refinery operations also affects the economics of the refinery.
Scale driven efficiency improvements reduce the cost per barrel. This is achieved by
taking advantage of economies of scale which is the ability to spread fixed costs over a
greater number of barrels. However, complex refineries find it difficult to really achieve
economies of scale due to the multiplicity of products and production processes.
Refinery Profitability
The refining industry has historically been a high volume, low margins industry,
characterized by low return on investments (ROI) and volatile profits. This trend can be
attributed to the high capital requirements that are needed for the set up of a refinery and
the volatile market in which refining inputs and products are sourced and traded. Refinery
profitability is measured by a number of key indicators which provide a holistic view of
the financial performance. These include the gross margin, Return on Capital Employed
(ROCE), crude margin gain and losses (CMGL), the business environment, feedstock
product selection (FPS) and availability (refinery availability).
The gross margin is equal to the difference between sales and cost of sales. However, the
difference of this calculation to any other accounting calculation is that the cost of sales
are adjusted and valued at the replacement cost of crude. The sales are also valued at
crude import/export parity. The reason for this adjustment is due to the fact that refining
of petroleum products is linked to the international economic situation. In addition, the
inputs and products are bought and sold on the world market. Thus it makes business
sense to value sales and cost of sales with what it would cost to import and export the
products to gain a clear and more accurate gross margin value. Similarly, the ROCE is
also adjusted to reflect the replacement cost value, for instance, ABC values their crude
oil and products at the end of a financial period at what it would cost the refinery to
54
replace these assets. This means if they were to purchase crude and products at current
market prices- what would it cost? This adjustment helps the refinery to reflect their true
performance and to reflect a more current representation of the return of investment.
Another key indicator is the CMGL which looks at the quoted price including the
differences and the replacement cost of crude which is the basic price before the
differences. The refinery will analyse the differences in the month in which the crude is
processed in order to ascertain the effect of their crude buying decisions on profit
margins. Coupled with this indicator is the FPS which analyses the crude selection effect
on profitability. As a result of varied refinery configurations, a refinery will have a set of
crude that it is designed to process (basket crudes). However, a refinery can choose to
include one or two types of crude outside the basket which improve the product slate and
thereby produce high value products. Thus this indicator measures the profitability of
such crude sourcing decisions.
Lastly, the global market indicator known as the Site Available Margin (SAM) in dollars
and refinery availability, shown as a percentage, are measured to give the refiner an
indication of how well the refinery has performed in light of the global economic
environment. SAM provides the margins that are available for the refining business for a
particular region at a given period. The refiner should therefore aim to ensure that the
refinery is fully operational at those times and is available to produce products to supply
the markets when the expected margins are increasing to maximize on profits.
Figure 5 below shows a comparison of SAM and refinery availability for ABC at a given
time period. The SAM from January to Mar shows the margins fluctuating from $3 to $8,
at this same time period, the refinery availability was around 90 percent for the January
and February but dropping to about 83 percent in March. This shows that during the time
margins where low the refinery did not operate at an optimum level and thus was below
plan. However, as margins start to pick, from April to May, the refinery operated above
plan at around 95 percent and thus fully taking advantage of the high margins. This
information is used to inform the business regarding the commercial performance of the
55
refinery. In turn this would inform management decisions such as equipment upgrade at
the refinery to avoid breakdowns which would cost the company.
After the refining process has been completed, petroleum products are then transported to
various parts of South Africa to be marketed. The next sections discuss the supply
logistical network of the petroleum supply chain. This supply logistical network involves
the use of primary transport from the refinery to terminals. Secondary forms of transport
will then transport products from these terminals to the retailers.
56
Petroleum Supply Logistical Network
The logistics network required to supply petroleum products from the refineries to the
end-users is a complex system of pipelines, ships, railways, a countrywide terminal
network and trucks. In most instances, two or more modes of transport are utilized to
move product from the refinery to terminals across South Africa and finally to the retail
stations. The long distance and variety of modes of transport represent further challenges
to oil companies that range from product degradation, loss and theft as well as risk of
accidents. Understanding the value activities around the petroleum logistical chain is
critical to the profitability of the entire value chain. This is because even though the
logistical activities do not generate revenue for the business, they incur costs. It is
therefore paramount for the business to put in place cost management strategies that
ensure the effective transportation of petroleum products from the refinery to the end user
in a cost effective way within the constraints of the supply chain. Figure 6 below shows
this distribution network.
57
In a competitive market, the oil industry is faced with the challenge of ensuring a
constant supply of product in line with market demand. The challenge therefore is to
ensure efficiency in the supply chain as well as flexibility as and when required. The
constraints that exist on the pipelines and the rail network add to the supply challenges,
these challenges coupled with the ever increasing inland demand for fuel, transporting
products from coastal refineries is thus very demanding. The oil companies therefore
need to strategically position their terminals near the markets and thus will require ample
storage facilities to curb loss of business due to product unavailability.
ABC has strategically positioned terminals around South Africa to cater for their
customers around the country. The size of the terminal, in terms of tank capacity is
determined by the demand in and around the terminal. This terminal distribution will be
discussed in full in the later sections.
Further to strategically locating one‟s business near the market, companies have to
contend with additional risks associated with the nature of petroleum products. Petroleum
products present challenges to transport and handle because of their high flammable
nature. These products present huge environmental impact in cases of spills, regardless of
what mode of transport. A spill on the road or in water will have far reaching effects on
the environment and huge costs for the cleanup process. Petroleum products can also be
easily sold on the open market and this further presents risk of truck hijackings and theft.
In South Africa, the pipelines and rail network is state-owned and operated. The oil
companies therefore, have to share pipeline capacity as well as rail tank cars as
prescribed by Transnet Pipelines and Spoornet respectively. Any outstanding volumes
that can not be accommodated by pipe and rail will therefore be transported by ship along
the coast and by truck inland as well as along the coast. Given this limitation, oil
companies have resorted to product exchanges and co- loading (similar to the co-freight
arrangement) on ships to reduce costs.
58
Product exchanges
To reduce transport costs. Oil companies have resorted to product exchanges in different
parts of South Africa. Product exchanges occur when one refiner provides another refiner
with specific products in a certain location in exchange for a similar quality and volume
of products in another location. These product exchanges significantly reduce the
volumes and distances over which products are moved, thereby considerably reducing
transportation costs and environmental exposure. Similarly, the same arrangements have
been applied to the coastal shipping network, where product is transported from the
Durban refineries to the coastal cities of East London and Cape Town. The oil companies
have gone as far as opening “Borrow/loan” product accounts of which any outstanding
volumes can be settles over an agreed period of time. This system is extensively used by
ABC such that a team of analyst is employed specifically to manage these exchanges.
These arrangements have enabled the industry to consolidate their refinery operations and
have also been extended to the terminals as well. Many terminals are now co- owned or
one company can host one or more oil company at their terminals. These relationships
will be discussed later on in this chapter.
In cases were products exchanges are not available, ABC companies will need to makes
their own arrangements to transport product to their terminals as well as retail outlets. To
do so ABC owns a fleet of trucks that can transport 40,000 litres to 80,000litres of fuels.
Where these trucks do not meet customer requirements, contract operators are employed.
These company owned trucks are used for secondary transport only, all the trucking
requirements for primary transport are outsourced.
Primary Transport
All the primary transport is outsourced and it the rail and road rates are all negotiated
separately except for the pipeline rates which are published and adjusted every year. The
main purpose of primary transport is to move refined products from the refinery to the
terminals located strategically around the country. The product is then stored at these
59
terminals before being transported to the retail sites who then sell to the final customer at
the pump.
Secondary Transport
Similarly to primary transport, pipe, ship, rail and road are the modes of transport used in
this part of the petroleum products distribution. This leg of distribution delivers product
from terminals to end users, industry as well as individuals. The method of transportation
that is used to transport product is strongly influenced by demand, geographical barriers,
the risks associated with different transport modes as well as the relative costs of
transportation. In each case, the choice of transportation has its own strengths and
weaknesses.
The following sections briefly discuss the different modes of transport that are used by
ABC in distributing their products to their terminals and to their customers.
Pipeline
Transnet Pipelines owns, maintains and operates a network of 3000km of high-pressure
petroleum and gas pipelines. Figure 7 shows the Durban-Johannesburg Pipeline (DJP).
The products transported by Transnet Pipelines include, leaded and unleaded petroleum,
diesel, aviation turbine fuel crude oil and gas. Transnet pipelines convey 77% of all
petroleum products from the coastal refineries and inland refineries, to the depots owned
and operated by oil companies.
60
Figure 7: Gas – Crude – Refined Products Pipelines
Secondary transport is then used to transport the products from the pipeline end point at
the terminals to the final destination. The pipelines operate on an open access principle
and tariffs are equal to all the different zone prices for regulated petroleum products13
Pipelines form the cornerstone of bulk transport of petroleum products and gas. However,
the one pipeline South Africa is not sufficient to service the inland demand as it continues
to rise (Figure 10). There demand is forecasted to continue to grow with the staging of
the 2010 Football World Cup in South Africa. To address this deficit Transnet has
13
Http://www.kzvtransport.gov.za/public_trans/freight_databank/kzn/pipeline/1_xml.html 8/07/2008
61
awarded a R2.5 billion contract to a joint venture including the international company,
Spiecapag and Group Five Civil Engineering Company to build the R11.2 billion New
Multi-Product Pipeline between Durban and Gauteng14. The new pipeline will encompass
the replacement and expansion in capacity of the (DJP).
Currently, ABC has a weekly allocation to transport 20million litres from their coastal
refinery to their inland terminals on the DJP. This volume is used to supply the inland
market, which include the major cities as well as the surrounding areas, Johannesburg,
Pretoria, and Polokwane as well Rustenburg. The products ABC injects into the pipeline
include petrol, diesel as well as Jet fuel to supply the Oliver Tambo International Airport.
ABC also supplies the coastal cities of East London, Port Elizabeth as well as Cape Town
with main fuels. This is done mainly by ship.
Ship Transport
The coastal areas mentioned above are supplied with petroleum products by two time
charter vessels. ABC has chartered these vessels to operate along the Durban- Cape Town
coast line as well as to supply product to neighbouring countries including, Namibia and
Mozambique. Similarly, a co-freight arrangement is in place if any of the other oil
companies operating along the same route need the vessels‟ services.
Rail Transport
The rail network is also owned and operated by Transnet division, Spoornet. As
discussed earlier, all volumes that can not be transported by pipe are then distributed to
the relevant terminals by rail. Rail provides bulk, safe and a cost effective service to oil
companies. Transnet runs dedicated freight trains on a regular schedule, with the service
determined by the cost-efficiency of the specific freight logistics solution. Customers are
able to customize wagons which enable the company to meet varying customer needs.
14
Transnet press release, 21 May 2008 , Transnet Ltd spokesman John Dludlu.
62
Type of services
Mega Rail Dedicated jet fuel trains that runs from Durban to Johannesburg
International airport daily.
Flexi rail Block train traffic is moved from Krugersdorp to Botswana, Pretoria to
Zambia and Sasolburg to Beitbridge.
Access rail Small consignment loads which are transported on mixed or general trains.
They are distributed throughout the country from all six refineries.
Rail tank car the fuel rail tank car (RTC) fleet comprises of about 4000 RTC‟s in total15.
The XP series are used interchangeably for jet fuel, petrol and paraffin.
The XJ series for diesel, XV series for liquid petroleum gas and the XO
series for heavy furnace oil, the average carrying capacity of the XP‟s is
36000 litres and for XP‟s 30000litres.
To supplement the DJP volume into the inland market, ABC also runs two RTCs to
Pretoria.
Road Transport
All road transport trucks utilized for primary transport are owned and operated by
contractors which include, Unitrans Group, Wardens, Tanker Services and Nokwe
petroleum to name a few. The rates for this transport can be influenced by a number of
factors, such as, the distance, the risk associated with the route, the volume of the
journeys and the duration of the contract. However, the oil companies are able to
negotiate individually with the service providers for favourable rates. In this regard,
relationship building with the truck operators is very critical. ABC also performs its own
route assessments, the truck companies are required to strictly travel on these routes.
These routes would have been analysed for dangers and therefore reduced accident risks
and allows the security and safe transportation of ABC‟s product.
Figure 8 below shows transport comparative costs, the cheapest costs for primary
transportation of products is by Ship; this mode of transport is only used along the east
15
www.spoornet.co.za/Website/fuel.html
63
coast of South Africa from Durban to the ports cities of East London and Cape Town.
Thus the mode of transport that applies to the rest of the country and most cost effective
is pipe. However, due to the restrictions on the pipeline, ABC has to resort to road
transport which is costly and holds the highest risk.
3.5
3
2.5
Pipeline
2 Rail
US c/l
1.5 Road
Ship
1
0.5
0
0 70 200 350 500 650 800
Km
The major problem with road transport is the risk of road accidents and possible
hijackings. The results of such incidents are mainly loss of product due to theft or spillage
and even death to the driver and even other road users. The fact that refined products
have a ready market also makes managing of road transport complex. To mitigate ABC
has put in place measures to reduce such incidents by enforcing conditions in their
contracts with truck operators. These conditions include the use of drivers who hold valid
defensive driving certificates and ensuring that they work reasonable hours on the road to
avoid fatigue. The vehicles should also be road worthy and be serviced regularly.
Adherence to the route as prescribed by the company as mentioned above is also another
mitigation factor. This is to say that the selection of Truck Company to service the
16
BP Statistical Review 2008
64
logistical needs of the oil company should be one that has the capacity to provide the
level of safety which is in line with the oil companies‟ standards.
Once petroleum products have left the refinery using the various modes of transport
mentioned above, the products are periodically stored at various terminals. The following
sections briefly discuss these terminals and their strategic role along the supply chain.
Terminals
As discussed earlier the refined products are delivered to the terminals before further
being distributed to the retailer. The terminal plays the role of storing the huge volumes
transported which will then be transported in smaller quantities by road to different
retailers. The terminals therefore play a significant role in the petroleum supply chain,
and their location and storage capacity is of paramount importance in the petroleum value
chain. The demand profile map (Figure 9) clearly shows the areas were the demand is
concentrated, that is around major cities with the majority of the demand (60 per cent) in
Johannesburg. The oil companies have therefore organized their terminal networks to be
able to meet the demand and thus the terminal network is more widely spread compared
to the refineries and location of the terminals is also in line with the demand for the
particular region. Figure 10 shows the distribution of terminals in South Africa.
65
Figure 9: South Africa refined Products Demand Profile17
18
17 17
Adapted from ABC Oil Company
66
Figure 10: South African Terminal Network19
It is in light of these constraints that oil companies have resorted to accommodating one
another in the already established terminals around the country. This is particularly
evident in the Gauteng province because of the nearness to market, thus the region is of
19
Source: http://safrica.bpweb.bp.com/distribution/depots/South_Africa.htm
67
strategic importance to all oil companies. For instance, as shown in the map 2 above, BP
Southern Africa owns the Pretoria terminal and Shell owns the Alberton terminal. The
two oil companies have reached an agreement to work together in the region and thus, BP
accommodates Shell at Pretoria and Shell accommodates BP at Alberton. The similarly
trend is followed by other oil companies around the country.
Although, the two companies will receive the same product from the refinery but before
the product leaves the terminal the different companies add additives to the fuel which
differentiate the product from competitors. This branding of the product differentiates the
product and depending on the marketing efforts, branding can give the company
competitive advantage. When the refined products are ready to leave the terminal they are
then transported in smaller volumes to retail sites by truck.
The fleet is optimized to ensure that the most cost effective route used for the delivery is
selected and the trucks are used effectively. The truck deliveries are organized into zones
determined by the logistic team in line with the geographical locations of the retail
customers and the amount of the volumes to be delivered. This analysis is aided by the
use of a mathematical model which inputs the volume and distance in kilometres that is
required to service the customers and also factors in the costs of maintaining the fleet
which include tyres, fuel and lubricants. As mentioned earlier the logistical function
provides a service to the refining and marketing functions and thus the costs associated
with the distribution of petroleum products is allocated to the refining and marketing
functions.
68
Figure 11: Secondary Transport Optimisation
So far, the study has traced the petroleum product value chain from manufacturing
through to distribution. The following section focuses on the final activity of the
downstream petroleum value chain; retail and marketing. This final activity in the chain
is the customer facing activity and all the preceding activities aim to provide a desired
product for this final customer. The following sections discuss this activity and all the
government regulations which govern the marketing and pricing of the main fuels.
69
owned and operated by individuals. All these sites all carry the companies branding and
the general appearance and operation are all the same as this is specified by the oil
company.
The above mentioned sites all receive their products from the terminals described above.
At ABC the marketing and retail function is all combined into one business unit-
marketing. Sales representatives are employed to cater for the varied needs of the retail
sites, these needs include ensuring the sites receive their product timely and all the site
operation conform to the oil company specifications.
As discussed earlier in this chapter the retail price of petrol is regulated by the South
African government, a brief discussion of the pricing structure is essential to provide
context to the retail business.
70
Figure 12: How Fuel Price is calculated in South Africa (BFP determination) 20
For simplicity purposes, the pricing structure of only two products will be discussed,
petrol and diesel. The prices for these products are driven by supply and demand in a
particular market. As mentioned earlier crude oil prices have a major effect on the
product prices. For a refiner to be profitable, the price of the products produced should be
higher than the price of crude. The retail petrol price is regulated by government and
adjusted every month on the first Wednesday of the month (see Appendix 2 of the
January 2008 price adjustment press release). The calculation of the new price is done by
the Central Energy Fund on behalf of the Department of Minerals and Energy (DME)21.
The petrol pump price is composed of a number of elements and these can be divided into
international and domestic elements. Basic fuel price (BFP) is the international element
20
Source: The http://www.sasol.com/sasol_internet/downloads/FuelPrice_calculation_SA_07_1170868230705.pdf
21
http://www.sasol.com/sasol_internet/downloads/FuelPrice_calculation_SA_07_1170868230705.pdf
71
which is based on what it could cost a South African importer to buy from an
international refinery and to transport the product onto South African shores. BFP
formula was first used in April of 2003 replacing the In Bond Landed Cost (IBLC) 22; the
formula was agreed by the African Minerals and Energy Forum (AMEF) and SAPIA and
maintains an import parity structure. Therefore, BFP reflects the realistic cost of
importing a litre of product from international refineries with products of a similar quality
compared to local South African specifications on a sustainable basis.
The following sections will briefly discuss the nature of the cost elements which make up
the petrol pump price.
Free on Board
The largest component of BFP is the price that one would be paying on international
markets when physically importing product to South Africa. The FOB (Free on ship‟s
board) product prices from different locations in the world, based on product availability
and product quality, are used.
Freight costs
Freight cost represent the voyage costs from the Mediterranean, Arab Gulf and in 50:50
contributions as appropriate in the international markets used in the FOB calculations for
the respective products. Freight tariffs used are published by the World Scale Association
22
IBLC was first introduced in the 1950‟s with the establishment of the first refinery in South Africa, and
was previously revised in 1995, when market spot price component was introduced.
72
for the transportation of refined products via medium range vessels to a weighted average
for South African coastal ports, plus demurrage for an average 35000 ton vessel for 3
days, adjusted with the average Freight Rate Assessment (AFRA) of the London Tanker
Brokers Panel, plus a market premium for transporting fuels to South Africa.
Insurance costs
Insurance costs are calculated as 0.15 percent of the product FOB and freight costs, to
cover insurance cost, as well as other costs such as letters of credit, surveyors‟ and
agents‟ fees, and laboratory costs.
Cargo Dues
The BFP calculates Cargo Due charges in terms of the ruling National Ports Authority of
South Africa contract tariffs for Petroleum products.
Coastal Storage
This element allows recovering for the costs realistically incurred in a substantial import
scenario, related to costs of the handling facilities at coastal terminals providing storage.
The BFP as determined above is converted to SA cents per litre by applying the
applicable SA RAND/US Dollar exchange rate (four banks selling rates at eleven o‟clock
73
averaged over the pricing period before the price change, and a constant litre per gallon
factor of 3.8038 for petrol.
Domestic elements
To arrive at the final pump price in the different pricing zones ( magisterial district zones)
certain domestic transport costs, government imposts, taxes and levies and retail and
wholesale margins needs to be added to the international price.
Transport costs
In keeping with the import parity principle, this element recovers the cost of transporting
petroleum products form the nearest coastal harbour (Durban, Port Elizabeth, East
London, Mossel Bay or Cape Town) to the inland depot serving the area or zone.
Transport to the different pricing zones is determined using the most economic mode of
transport, that is, pipelines (C zones), road (B zones), or rail (A zones). This is the only
element which values differ per pricing zone, and is the reason why the petrol price is not
the same for the whole country.
74
ranting marketers a return of 15% on depreciated book values of assets, with allowance
for additional depreciation, but before tax and payment of interest.
Retail margin
The retail margin if fixed by the department of Minerals and Energy (DME). It is
determined on the basis of actual costs incurred by the service station operator in
distributing petrol. All proportionate driveway related costs such as rental, interest,
labour, overheads and profit are also considered. The way in which the margin is
determined creates an incentive to dealers to strive towards greater efficiency, to beat the
average and to realize a net profit proportionate to their efficiency.
Fuel Tax
Tax is levied by government annually adjusted by the Minister of Finance effective form
the price change in April of each year, announced in the Minister of Finance in his annual
budget speech.
75
Slate levy
A levy paid by the motorists recovering money “owed” to the oil companies due to the
time delay in the adjustment of the petrol pump price.
From the above diagram for the February 2007, the wholesale margin is 39.268 cents/litre
and this margin is thus available to the refiners when they supply independent dealers or
franchisees. Similarly, 46.9 cents per litre is the set margin for the retailers. Since these
margins are fixed it is up to the retailer or wholesaler to formulate their own competitive
strategy around activities that they can influence. This therefore intales that the retailers
23
Source: The http://www.sasol.com/sasol_internet/downloads/FuelPrice_calculation_SA_07_1170868230705.pdf
76
have to be creative in the way they market their products to increase volumes in the case
of the petrol. Diesel provides a more options for the retailer because the retail price of
diesel is not regulated by the government thus retailers can either choose to accept a
lower margin in the anticipation of selling more volumes or rather maximize on full
margin and thus are covered in cases of decreased demand.
ABC activities‟ in the retail market ensures that they have the option of both the
wholesalers margin (dealer owned and operated sites), and the retailers‟ margin
(company owned and operated sites). As the wholesaler and retailer margin is
determined by the government as mentioned above, petrol retails at the same price at any
petrol station. Therefore, for ABC to gain any advantage over its competitors, location of
retail sites becomes a key strategic decision. An increased volume of traffic at ones sites
ensures high sales volume resulting in increased income. ABC has therefore strategically
located its retail sites to maximise on traffic volume. However, it might not be always
possible to obtain premium location hence the need to offer customers something more
than just petrol at the site. ABC has therefore incorporated convenience shops, fast food
restaurants and car wash services. These changes to the traditional petroleum retail
market have provided ABC with other sources of revenue and also strategically position
their businesses to be able to reach a wider market.
The decision to include restaurants, fast food outlets and convenience shops to petrol
station is a strategic one that in the long run is expected to contribute to the increased
sales volume of petrol and diesel. The logic is that it is better to stop at a retail site that
will provide with all amenities from car wash food as well as filling up your car.
Marketing efforts have also been increased to improve brand awareness. Marketing of
retail sites through the media as well as customer promotions such as competitions, have
also assisted in building customer loyalty and in some cases attract new customers. An
example would be promoting products such as bread and milk in retail convenience
shops. As these are perishable products motorists will tend to frequent the retail station.
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This is a strategic decision which is hoped would lead to the increased demand for
petroleum products.
Although the petroleum supply chain is complex and oil companies are being confronted
by many challenges, it is clear that there are many opportunities for creating value for the
customer as well as areas which will require striving for process improvement.
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Chapter 5
Analysis
This research has been carried out with an objective of analysing the application of value
chain analysis along the downstream petroleum supply chain. This process required the
identification of the petroleum value chain, which includes; refining, distribution as well
as retail and marketing. Within these value activities, the research sought to understand
the extent to which value chain analysis is applied to infer competitive advantage and
also inform organisation‟s strategy in attaining this advantage.
In Chapter 4, the case study reveals the activities of the oil company studied and how
these activities support the company‟s strategy. The company has clearly identified the
value activities as the manufacturing of the product (refining), supply to market
(distribution) and availing the product to the consumer (retail and marketing). In
performing these activities the company has identified the cost drivers of each activity as
explained in the previous chapter, for instance the location of the refinery, choice of
crude grades. Similarly, on the distribution the company has sought to locate its terminals
near to market and in cases where this is not possible, linkages with other supply chain
participants has been sought by entering into exchange agreements or seeking to share
distribution centres across the country. These activities clearly show that the structure of
the petroleum industry does lend itself to the value chain analysis and a company can
formulate strategies as a result of such analysis.
In addition, the study has shown the identification of non-value activities and how this
process informs management decisions. For instance, the outsourcing of all primary road
transport from external parties shows that at this level the company does not need to get
to avail resources which would otherwise be utilised elsewhere. Also the fact that all
other modes of primary transport are owned and state run supports the decision to
outsource this service.
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On the retail activities, price differentiation is not possible for petrol and diesel
(wholesale only) however, a number of strategic activities have been incorporated in the
retail sector of the business to differentiate the products. The inclusion of additives at the
terminals to differentiate the product has also assisted the ABC Oil Company to build
customer loyalty and therefore create competitive advantage. The addition of
convenience shops, although not essential to the retail of petroleum products, is a
strategic decision which supports the petrol retail business by attracting customers to the
retail sites.
The research has also highlighted how customer product demand informs manufacturing
decisions. This reveals how management should view all supply chain activities as
interlinked activities. For instance in this study, the demand forecast informs the refinery
production plan and in turn, refinery production plan will inform supply distribution plan.
In addition, the supply challenges faced by the company studied also highlight the need
for greater co-operation among the petroleum companies in South Africa to build supply
chain stability. The petroleum industry‟s infrastructure constraints highlighted in Chapter
4 along the petroleum supply chain suggest that companies should strive to look for
synergies to optimise the supply of petroleum products to the inland market. In addition,
because of the state owned and operated distribution infrastructure such as pipelines and
rail network, which forms part of the industry‟s primary transport network, the study also
highlights the need for the petroleum industry to engage with the government in
infrastructure developments decision along the supply chain.
Furthermore, the study also highlights the need to understand cost structure of all
petroleum products, not just the main fuels discussed in this study but all petroleum
products. Understanding each products cost structure would enable management to make
calculated improvement decisions in line with overall strategy. The research also
highlighted the impacts of the global environment on the South African petroleum
industry. From crude sources, refinery performance as well as marketing, the global
economic, political and social developments have a huge impact on the South African
petroleum industry. The volatility of crude oil prices alone has a huge impact on the
80
business and requires flexibility and swift response by management in terms of strategy
and manufacturing decisions. To this end the study has highlighted the need for accurate
and reliable demand forecast data that inform supply decisions.
Conclusion
The study confirms the key findings in the value chain analysis literature, especially the
issues around strategic value chain activities and their importance in conferring
competitive advantage in the context of the oil industry. In addition the study
demonstrates the importance of understanding cost structure of all petroleum products,
not just the main fuels, so as to facilitate management improvement decisions in line with
overall strategy.
However, this research was based on the analysis of one company which does provide
limited insights. Further studies on more similar organisation or a comparative study
between two similar companies can provide more comprehensive data and greater
insights of the petroleum industry. In addition, further study focusing on a wider range of
other petroleum products in different settings and even including the upstream activities,
provides a broader focus of the value chain from the oil wells to the consumer.
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Appendix 1
Interview guide24
Introduction
General introduction to researcher and institution
Introduction to research question and objectives
The research was conducted in an informal setting as all the interviewees were colleagues
of the researcher and it was important for the researcher to understand the nature of the
business and the daily operations before embarking on the research.
The interview was very relaxed as it was conducted in familiar setting to both researcher
and respondent.
The interview was tape-recorded to allow the researcher the ability to fully concentrate
on the discussion and the interviewee was asked if they objected to the conversation
being recorded. The respondents‟ permission to record the interview was sought prior to
commencing the interview.
The recording of the interview allowed for the researcher to ensure accuracy and for
preservation of the data and to allow the researcher to refer to the interview at a latter
date.
24
Interview guide adapted from Anne M. Lillies , A framework for the analysis of interview data from
multiple field research site, Accounting and Finance,1999.
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Confidentiality was assured to all participants and confirmation of management
permission in conducting these interviews was communicated to all respondents and that
all information received would be used for academic purposes only.
Organisational Background
This information had been made available to the researcher; hence there was no need to
ask related questions to the interviewee.
Interview questions
The study was conducted with semi-structured questions. The reasons for this included
the need not to limit the responses and to encourage the interviewee to fell free to add on
any material they thought was useful to the research. The questions that were put to the
respondent were only for the purpose of guiding the discussion. For this reason no
questionnaires were used in this research. The semi- structured questions were meant to
help the research to understand the interviewee‟s knowledge of the value chain and how
their activities impacted there of the business.
Questions
Understanding of the petroleum value chain
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Assets
3. a) What are the assets employed to carry out activities?
b) Are there any restrictions on these assets?
c) Any there any strategic reasons for the positioning/location of these assets
along the supply chain?
Value creation
4. a) Where are you creating value for the business?
b) Are there any constraints in you achieving this objective?
c) Do you focus on the next activity in the value chain?
d) Are you looking at your department as part of the overall value chain?
Environmental matters
Rationale
The petroleum business deals with highly flammable products that are also very harmful
to the environment in cases of spillage or fires. There are also concerns with regards to
pollution in the production of petroleum products as well as the amount of hazardous
chemicals that are allowed in finished products for instance, the sulphur content in diesel.
6. a) what are the regulations in terms of your operation with regards to the
environment you operate?
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b) What is the cost implication of having all these controls?
Demographic information
Job Title……………………………………………………………………………………
Length of service within the organization…………………………………………………
Length of time in Current position………………………………………………………….
Age………………………………………………………………………………………….
85
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