Ict E: A W A R Q ?: Rgomez@uw - Edu Pathers@cput - Ac.za
Ict E: A W A R Q ?: Rgomez@uw - Edu Pathers@cput - Ac.za
Ict E: A W A R Q ?: Rgomez@uw - Edu Pathers@cput - Ac.za
ABSTRACT
The evaluation of information and communication technologies (ICT) in development
activities has metamorphised through different phases in the last 30 years. In this paper we
explore the experiences of ICT evaluation in the broad business environment and draw
parallels with the ICT for development (ICTD) environment. The paper motivates the need
for a fundamental paradigm shift in ICTD evaluation. We argue that it is not sufficient to
focus on the easily measurable tangible and quantifiable benefits of ICT. We motivate that
the intangible benefits of ICT on development such as empowerment, self-esteem and social
cohesion are more important from a developmental perspective. Consequently, a more
detailed exploration of the theoretical and methodological implications of this shift in the
ICTD field is warranted.
1. INTRODUCTION
The evaluation of the effectiveness of Information and Communication Technologies (ICT)
has been evolving since the first commercial deployment of computers. There has been much
debate in the field of evaluation with regards to approaches to assess the benefits and impact
of ICT, which are elusive and frequently intangible. The introduction of ICT into
international development activities since the late 1990s added a new layer of challenges to
the already elusive subject of ICT evaluation. This paper discusses the following question:
how can we assess the direct and indirect benefits of the use of information and
communication technologies in the context of international and community development
efforts?
The application of ICTs as a developmental tool has progressed through various
phases over time. Thirty years ago the use of ICT for development (ICTD) was viewed by
skeptics as a needless luxury: “How can we prioritize computers when people need water and
roads?” was a typical response by critics in the late 1980s. Twenty years ago ICTs became a
panacea that was euphorically believed to solve every development problem: “ICTs will
bring about a new world”, is another example of a typical euphoric claim as we approached
the end of the millennium. Ten years ago, however, much cynicism followed the euphoria,
fueled in part by the many anecdotal stories of failure and success of ICT experiences in
development that characterized much of the ICTD environment during the first few years of
the new millennium. Despite widespread investment in ICT by governments and donor
agencies, questions still remain as to what are the impacts, if any, of ICT in development.
Today, a handful of researchers have started to ask hard questions about the
evaluation of ICT impacts, wondering whether they do exist, and whether there is a way to
reliably measure them (e.g., Heeks, 2009a, and TASCHA, 2010). In recent years,
nonetheless, ICT and development initiatives are being either abandoned, mainstreamed into
broader sector development themes (environment, agriculture, gender, education, etc.), or
“gadgetized”: ICTD is becoming a lab where numerous technology applications, devices and
gadgets are developed, hoping they will be adopted and used by people working in
international development contexts.
In reflecting on the ICTD evaluation landscape, we suggest the ICTD evaluation field
may be too narrowly focused on measuring the tangible and quantifiable economic benefits of
ICT for development, and as a result we may have been “barking up the wrong tree”. Have
we been so concerned with evaluating the tangible social and economic impacts that we have
neglected other intangible impacts, which may be equally or more important for human
development than the tangible and quantifiable ones? We argue that in the early days of
ICTD we were focused on evaluating the outputs (counting number of computers, number of
users, etc), and eventually turned our focus towards tangible outcomes related to economic
growth such as business opportunities, income generation, new markets, etc. This is
convergent with the modernization paradigm of development as transfer of technology for
economic growth. To elaborate this idea, we explore the experiences of ICT evaluation in the
business world, which has a longer history of ICT evaluation, and draw some parallels which
inform how the goalposts in ICTD evaluation could be shifted. We conclude this paper by
suggesting a fundamental shift in the way we think about ICTD evaluation. Finally, we point
the way towards a mindset which focuses on both tangible and intangible contributions of
ICT to human development.
After 30 years, the field of evaluation of ICTD is still maturing. In the post hype era
of the millennium, there is an opportunity to refocus evaluation by moving beyond the
modernization paradigm and by closer introspection of intangible benefits. To inspire this
path, we will first discuss the experience of ICT evaluation in the business environment,
following which we present views regarding alternatives to the modernization approach to
development.
1
We refer to the broad private sector business environment, as a means of reflection on the extant body of knowledge on IT
evaluation. This provides a useful basis to contrast with the application and evaluation thereof of ICTs for developmental
purposes in a broader societal context.
service perspective. With the Transformate phase, ICT evaluation began to focus more on the
intangible aspects of business benefits, including issues such as trust, loyalty, and brand
improvement in evaluation frameworks.
Before we explore the possible parallels of these models in the field of ICTD
evaluation, let us examine in more detail, the intangible benefits of IT in the business world.
High
IT is an enabler
Maturity of supply
IT is a partner
IT is a service
IT is a facility
Low
Low High
Maturity of demand
Similarly, in the ICTD environment as both maturity of demand and supply increase
with increasing investments in infrastructure, our evaluation foci should be tending towards
dimensions and metrics related to enablement. Thus, the context of ICT from a development
perspective must focus on ICT as an enabler, e.g., of socio-economic development. However
this is exactly where the evaluation challenge becomes more complex, as ICT may enable a
diverse set of outcomes that are difficult to link from an attribution or cause-effect
perspective.
The implementation of ICTs, regardless of the setting, can result in a variety of
benefits, some tangible, some intangible, and even some unexpected benefits (Kohli, Sherer,
& Baron, 2003). In the business domain, a tangible benefit is one which directly affects the
firm’s profitability, whereas an intangible benefit is one which can be seen to have a positive
effect on the firm’s business, but does not necessarily influence the firm’s profitability
directly (Remenyi, Money, Sherwood-Smith, & Irani, 2000). A number of approaches have
been adopted to evaluate both tangible and intangible benefits of IT. Examples of IT
evaluation techniques over the years have included system usage (Srinivasan, 1985; Trice &
Treacy, 1986); information value (Gallagher, 1974); user satisfaction (Bailey & Pearson,
1983; Shaw et al., 2002); and service quality (Jiang et al., 2002).
Hitt and Brynjolffson (1996) posit that the question of IT value is not a single one,
but rather consists of several related but distinct issues such as increased productivity, i.e., is
there now more output per given quantity of input? improved business profitability, i.e., has
the business been able to use IT to gain competitive advantage and earn higher profits than it
would have earned otherwise? improved value for consumers, i.e., what is the magnitude of
benefits that have been passed on to the consumers? In terms of the latter, the issue of profits
is not relevant in the ICTD domain. However improved value for both individuals and
communities is of increasing concern, and as suggested already, the measurement constructs
associated with such value is usually intangible.
From the figure above we can observe that unquantifiable, intangible benefits are
those which are the most difficult to measure, assuming that some form of measurement is
the goal of management and other decision makers. However, this does not imply that these
areas of intangible IT benefits need to be excluded from evaluation. Likewise in the ICTD
domain we are hard pressed to extend evaluation frameworks of quantifiable data that are
more easily measured such as teledensity, bandwidth per capita, number of connection points,
number of training certificates issued, etc. Taylor & Zhang (2007) hone in on the issue by
arguing that “when a technology is regarded as the prime initiator of change in society,
measuring the changing technology might seem to be enough” and that “measuring
computers, cables, and connections tells us very little about the actual state of society”.
Let us now turn to the evaluation of ICT in development contexts. In doing so we
draw some lessons from the business world in order to help move the field from the early
euphoria, subsequent instrumental focus on primarily tangible, economic benefits of ICT on
society, towards a more “mature” evaluation perspective which incorporates intangible,
unquantifiable impacts of ICT in development contexts.
applied in ICTD contexts. Researchers, studying business benefits of ICTs, have over the
years adapted theories from other disciplines in their quest to develop models for evaluating
ICT benefits. Examples of these include Communications Theory (Shannon & Weaver,
1949), Resource-Based Theory (Penrose, 1959), and Theory of Reasoned Action (Fishbein &
Ajzen, 1975). However, even the business information systems researchers have been
challenged. This is evident in the fragmented body of ICT effectiveness knowledge and lack
of consistent trends in the application of the associated theoretical paradigms. Moreover the
tools and techniques to evaluate ICTs in the business environment are not useful in the
context of societal development. This therefore exacerbates the problem, as existing theories
and models need to be studied carefully and adapted, if this is indeed possible, for application
in the context of ICTD evaluation. Alternatively new theories for ICT evaluation needs to be
developed. This of course has been recognized by the scientific community, and there have
been a number of calls to the ICTD research community to respond to the challenge by
providing new theories and methods e.g. van Dijk (2006); Heeks (2006); Pather & Uys
(2010). Perhaps, more importantly, we require theories which will enhance a deeper
understanding of the effects of ICTs on social outcomes and the level of success thereof.
Perhaps then only will assessments of economic outcomes derived from ICTs be more
meaningful.
A new approach to ICT evaluation in a development context would also be
convergent with transformations in the notion of development itself. While early notions of
development simply equated it with economic growth and transfer of technology from
developed countries to underdeveloped ones, theories of development have long abandoned
such simplistic and mechanistic approaches in favor of a more holistic view. Such a view
includes meeting basic needs in an endogenous process that builds participatory democracy,
strengthens self-reliance, promotes structural changes, and fosters empowerment and
liberation (Servaes, 2008; Melkote, 2001). But the changes in approaches and theories of
development do not seem to have affected the field of ICTD, which seems to be still in the
development as modernization paradigm.
Today, thirty years after the ICT productivity paradox was highlighted, the challenges
faced in evaluating impact and productivity are as relevant in the ICTD context as they were
in the business environments back then. This underscores the difficulties associated with
measuring ICTs regardless of the area of application and not least of which relates to the
issue of impact measurement. The ‘productivity’ resulting from ICTs in respect of facilitating
socio- economic development of the large numbers of impoverished and underserved
communities are still to be properly understood. This is underscored by Heeks (2008:27),
who in evaluating the initial ICTD era argues that insofar as evaluation is concerned the work
in this field was “held aloft by hype and uncorroborated stories, which fostered a new
interest in objective impact evaluation”.
Thus, in the ICTD environment the same questions that confronted businesses for
many years still prevail, especially since the digital divide is a phenomenon linked not only to
the topic of access to the Internet, but also intrinsically to the one of usage and usage benefit
(Fuchs & Horak, 2008). Even though millions of dollars have been spent on ICTs by donor
and government agencies around the world, we still do not have sufficient insight into
appropriate methods for evaluating the effectiveness of these technologies on especially
socio-economic development. Many ICTD studies and commissioned research by
governments tend to focus on quantitative data in respect of penetration and rates of usage
and adoption. However the true value of social development is not easy to conceptualize and
hence measure. Parthasarathy & Srinivasan (2006) make a strong case that by relying on easy
to measure data for well-defined indicators, econometric techniques may well suffice to
measure development, but development also leads to changes that are not economic and not
all social changes lend themselves to measurement using well-defined indicators. Qureshi
(2005) is also critical of macroeconomics models used by International Agencies to predict
the effects of government policies relating to information technology investments and
services on economic growth. She argues that while these models play a pivotal role in
decision making, they often cannot explain why certain IT policies do not have the effects
intended of them, or why certain investments in IT infrastructure do not bring about social
and economic change. Taylor & Zhang (2007) lend support to this critique when they assert
that ICTs do not create the transformations in society by themselves; they are designed and
implemented by people in their social, economic, and technological contexts.
“…analysts and decision makers are still struggling to make sense of the
mixed experience of information technologies in developing countries. Very
often such experiences seem to amount to little more than a heterogeneous
and unrelated set of anecdotes. However spectacular, successful, moving, or
important some of these anecdotes may be, they remain a precarious basis for
justifying major policy or investment decisions”.
Indeed there can be no doubt that we have witnessed steady, albeit slow, progress
insofar as closing the digital divide from the perspective of broad access to ICT. For example,
ITU statistics show that over the last 10 years, the digital divide between the developing and
the developed countries has been narrowing in terms of fixed telephone lines, mobile
subscribers, and Internet users. In contrast to the slow fixed line growth, phenomenal growth
rates in the mobile sector particularly have been able to reduce the gap that separates the
developed from the developing countries from 27 in 1994, to 4 in 2004. The fixed line gap
has been reduced from 11 to 4 during the same period (ITU, 2006).
Nonetheless, more infrastructure and more access does not necessarily translate into
more meaningful use of ICT, and the evidence of its contribution to social and economic
development is still limited. International agencies have explored innovative ways to measure
the success of their initiatives and their impact on human development with different degrees
of success. Let us briefly discuss some of the most salient experiences in this regard:
World Bank: The World Bank and its affiliates, the International
Telecommunications Union (ITU) and the OECD, have tended to focus on statistical
indicators of economic growth and human development indices. The World Bank’s recent
studies focus on the deployment of broadband connectivity and mobile telephony, and its
contribution to businesses and government applications (World Bank, 2009 ICTD Report,
Extending Reach and Increasing Impact).
The World Bank’s flagship program on ICTD, InfoDev, has focused on drawing
implementation lessons from its many pilot projects around the world and developed a
framework for monitoring and evaluation of pilot projects on ICTD (Batchelor & Norrish,
undated).
International Donors: Several international donors such as Canadian, Swiss, Danish
and Swedish International Development agencies (CIDA, SDC, Danida and Sida,
respectively) and international agencies (UNESCO in particular) have followed broadly the
same direction of InfoDev and other World Bank program directions described above.
Agencies such as the Canadian International Development Research Center (IDRC), on the
other hand, have increasingly moved away from a focus on impact to that of outcomes in
evaluating development activities (Earl, Carden & Smutylo, 2001). The shift is significant:
rather than trying to assess large-scale social impacts, which happen slowly over time and are
the result of what many people do, outcome mapping focuses on assessing the direct and
observable changes in behavior that can be directly attributed to the activities that are
implemented as part of a development program. The shift from evaluating impact to mapping
outcomes comes at a cost. The detailed process to effectively conduct outcome mapping is
extremely time consuming, and the resulting findings offer limited explanation of the larger,
broader, or longer-term benefits social development is expected to produce.
The evaluation of ICTD activities has been caught at the crossroads of these three
trends. The statistics and tangible indicators for economic growth, the lessons learned from
pilot studies or scattered anecdotes of success, and the detailed documentation of outputs and
outcomes do not add up to an understanding of larger social or economic impacts, which are
essential to inform better policy decisions and program implementation.
measured tangible, quantifiable benefits. What would the intangible benefits of ICT for
development look like? In Figure 3 we offer a preliminary characterization:
There are indications of a growing awareness of the need to explore intangible and
unquantifiable impacts, even among the international organizations that have promoted the
early focus on tangible and measurable outputs and outcomes. For example, the World
Telecommunication and ICT Development report (ITU, 2006) stated that:
“Instead, the most important economic impact of the spread and use of ICTs
is indirect, by transforming the way individuals, businesses and other parts of
the society work, communicate, and interact. The beneficial impact of ICTs
on productivity – which can help reduce poverty – is of particular interest as
ICT diffusion levels across all countries rise. One way of understanding the
difficulty of measuring the impact that ICTs have, is to imagine the impact
that electricity has had on the economy and society. As with ICTs, there is no
denying that electricity has had important impacts on individuals, businesses
and society at large but its measurement is elusive. Part of the difficulty is that
both ICTs and electricity are “enabling” or “General Purpose Technologies”,
which means their use and their impacts are ubiquitous yet difficult to
measure because they are mainly indirect. It is not electricity or ICTs as such
that make the (bulk) impact on economy and society but how they are used to
transform organisation, processes and behaviours”.
The foregoing endorses our views regarding the “elusive” and “ubiquitous” nature of
ICTD impact measurement, and also highlights the importance of focusing on the “enabling”
and “transformational” aspects in our evaluation frameworks. McNamara (2003) extends this
point in the following excerpt, emphasizing the enabling role of ICTs in one of these elusive
areas impact viz. that of social capital:
A question worthy of introspection is “Why have these calls for attention to intangible
impacts, from influential people and organizations, fallen on deaf ears?”. Our premise is that
this lack of response is simply because evaluating intangible impacts is far more challenging,
and hence we have chosen not to go down the path of complexity and murkiness, and our
baskets of tangible and quantifiable indicators remain as they are, incomplete as they may be.
Similar evaluation problems have been faced before, e.g. evaluating benefits of water supply
and electricity. One such study highlights the intangible aspect of empowerment. In this study
it was found that given that the poor often feel marginalized and their lives can be
characterized by a sense of powerlessness and instability, even the perception of benefits can
assist in empowerment, which is likely to lead to proactive initiatives by the poor themselves
(Songco, 2002). Another example of an intangible impact, referred to by McNamara above is
that of cohesiveness. In the words of Reimer, only cohesive people can “respond collectively
to achieve valued outcomes and to deal with the economic, social, political, or environmental
stresses (positive or negative) that affect them” (Reimer, 2002). This therefore suggests that
the tangible impacts that we have been so focused on are in fact facilitated and preceded by
the intangible impacts on which we have been focused. Thus we have expended our energies
on evaluating impacts which are too far down the impact timeline, and this has contributed to
the fuzziness which belies the linking of ICTs with development.
We suggest therefore that examples of intangible impacts which need to be evaluated
could include empowerment, self-esteem, and sense of self-worth, at the individual level, and
social cohesion and strengthening of social fabric, at the collective level. Social cohesion was
defined by Ritzen and colleagues as “a state of affairs in which a group of people demonstrate
an aptitude for collaboration that produces a climate for change” (Ritzen et al, 2000).
According to these authors, the role of social cohesion is to strengthen the trust inside and
between different social groups in order to accelerate socio-economic growth with “a
reasonable distribution over those groups in the population”. In the same way, Maxwell
(1996) identified social cohesion with the processes of building shared values and
communities of interpretation, reducing disparities in wealth and income, enabling people to
have a sense that they are engaged in a common enterprise, facing shared challenges, and that
they are members of the same community. These are all impacts that have been anecdotally
reported in the ICTD literature, but with little traction in the face of the dominant attention
paid to tangible and quantifiable, economic impacts.
Let us take the case of a small semi-rural fishing village in the southernmost tip of
Africa. None of the fisherman in this village have actually learned how to use the public
access computer at the local library, a typical community based ICTD project2. However
evidence from a case study (Pather & Mitrovic, 2008) indicates that the public access
computers in the library provided a means of uniting the fishermen around a common cause
related to fishing licenses. This in turn improved their basic livelihoods in indirect ways. If
the evaluation of the centre was based on tangible measures of usage statistics, such an
impact would not have been identified. In this case, a closer look at issues of empowerment
and cohesion provided evidence that ICTs have indeed transformed the life of the community
in ways that are far more important than what the number of users of computers would
reveal.
8. CONCLUSION
We require new measurement strategies and a shift in focus from measuring the tangible
symptoms or outputs to measuring intangible outcomes e.g., the more strategic development
goals such as improved self-reliance and social cohesion. These are important building blocks
of socio-economic development, and thus our ICT evaluation toolkits need to account for
such indicators. Currently agencies and governments find it difficult to rationalize their
expenditure and evidence. At most, much of the evaluation done to date is based on
quantitative output. Some agencies, though not all, are able to provide data such as the
number of people trained or rate of usage of centers. However this in itself does not inform us
if any meaningful change has been brought about in people’s lives. An important question
that should therefore be placed on the ICTD research agenda is: How do we extract credible
evidence of the socio-economic change in people’s lives, especially when this change is
unquantifiable and intangible? A further question that should also be placed on the agenda is:
what are useful techniques for evaluating such change? The value of ICTD evaluation lies in
producing data that substantiates socio-economic outcomes and impact. The research and
practitioner community has to work hard to ensure that as the next era, viz. ICTD 2.0 (see
Heeks, 2008) dawns upon us we should no more be held aloft by hype and uncorroborated
stories.
The example of the fishing village described in the foregoing section is a typical case
of an anecdote which does not convincingly provide evidence of impact due to a lack of a
suitable framework which goes beyond tangible and quantifiable indicators of success of ICT
for development projects. A collection of numerous anecdotes such as this does not, in itself,
constitute evidence of impact. Instead, a structured approach to evaluate impact of ICT,
which includes attention to intangible and unquantifiable aspects (e.g. self-worth and the
strengthening of social fabric) that are facilitated indirectly through use, or even the presence
of ICTs, will provide a more complete and holistic perspective of ICT impact.
Finally, we discussed how the euphoria and disillusionment with ICT for development
may be a consequence of two issues. Firstly, it stems from its roots in a modernization
paradigm which equates development with economic growth. Secondly it has to do with an
evaluation approach that focuses on measuring quantifiable, tangible outputs and outcomes of
the ICTD interventions. Drawing from the experience of ICT evaluation in the business
environment we suggest that it is not only possible but desirable to mature into an evaluation
paradigm which includes attention to intangible and unquantifiable impacts of ICT. Thus a
focus on empowerment and social fabric instead on economic growth would also be
2
For an overview of the Cape Access Project see http://www2.capeaccess.org.za/
convergent with current theories and approaches to development, which have long abandoned
the modernization paradigm. To this end, all stakeholders in the ICTD environment,
including researchers, practitioners, and funders need to undergo a process of
conscientization. In so doing we should aim to detach ourselves from the fixation with
narrow tangible and quantitative impact metrics. A more detailed exploration of the
theoretical and methodological implications of this shift in the ICT for development field is
warranted.
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