Homework 10

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Advanced Econometrics

AES910

Problem Set 10

Due: Wednesday, June 19th, 2019


Total Points: 10
1. Suppose you graduated from a mixed high school and your friend told you that girls who
attended girls only high schools do better in math than those who attended mixed high
schools. Suppose your professor of Advanced Econometrics (me) gives you a data set with
a random sample of senior high school girls from Distrito Metropolitano de Quito. This is
your opportunity to prove your friend hypothesis! In the data set you have the variable
score which is the score on the “ser bachiller” math test, you also have the variable
girlschool which is a dummy variable indicating whether a student attends a girls only high
school.
a) What other factors would you control for in the equation? (You should be able to
reasonably collect data on these factors.) 

Las variables más fáciles de medir son: ingreso de la familia, nivel de educación del padre
y nivel de educación de la madre.

b) Write an equation relating score to girlschool and the other factors you listed in part (i).
𝑆𝑐𝑜𝑟𝑒 = 𝛽0 + 𝛽1 𝑔𝑖𝑟𝑙𝑠𝑐ℎ𝑜𝑜𝑙 + 𝛽2 𝑖𝑛𝑔𝑓𝑎𝑚𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑎 + 𝛽3 𝑒𝑑𝑢𝑐𝑝𝑎𝑑𝑟𝑒 + 𝛽4 𝑒𝑑𝑢𝑐𝑚𝑎𝑑𝑟𝑒 + 𝑢

c) Suppose that parental support and motivation are unmeasured factors in the error

 term in part (ii). Are these likely to be correlated with girlschool? Explain. 

Los padres que motiven y apoyen a sus hijas en el colegio tienden a sobreprotegerlas con
la finalidad de que mantengan esa línea de responsabilidad en las materias de la escuela.
Por esta razón, es posible que este tipo de padres tengan la necesidad de inscibir en un
colegio femenino, por lo que girlschool y u están correlacionadas.

d) Discuss the assumptions needed for the number of girls’ high schools within a 
 20-mile
radius of a girl’s home to be a valid IV for girlschool. 

Si denotamos a numghs como el número de colegios de niñas en un radio menor a 20
millas, se deberían cumplir dos condiciones.
𝑐𝑜𝑣(𝑔𝑖𝑟𝑙𝑠𝑐ℎ𝑜𝑜𝑙, 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑔ℎ𝑠) ≠ 0
𝑣𝑎𝑟(𝑢, 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑔ℎ𝑠) = 0
Se podría decir que existe un problema al evaluar la varianza entre el error y numghs ya
que pueden existir factores como las preferencias por asistir a escuelas públicas o
privadas. Hay casos específicos en los que el puntaje de un estudiante no está ligado a
ninguno de los factores que se especifican en la ecuación.

e) Suppose that, when you estimate the reduced form for girlschool, you find that
the
 coefficient on numghs (the number of girls’ high schools within a 20-mile radius)
is negative and statistically significant. Would you feel comfortable proceeding with IV
estimation where numghs is used as an IV for girlschool? Explain. 


2. The dataset family includes, for women in Perú during 2009, information on family size and
education, religious and economic status variables.
a) Estimate the model


by OLS, and interpret the estimates. In particular, holding age fixed, what is the
estimated effect of another year of education on fertility? If 100 women receive another
year of education, how many fewer children are they expected to have? 


Variable Coefficient Std. Error t p-value


Constante -4.1383 0.2405 -17.200 <2e-16
educ -0.09057 0.0059 -15.298 <2e-16
Age 0.3324 0.0165 20.088 <2e-16
agesq -0.0026 0.0002 -9.561 <2e-16
R-cuadrado 0.5684

El resultado indica que con año más de educación de las mujeres de Perú , la tasa de
natalidad se reduce en 0.9

b) The variable fsixmoths is a dummy variable equal to one if the woman was born during
the first six months of the year. Assuming that fsixmoths is uncorrelated with the error
term from part (i), show that fsixmoths is a reasonable IV candidate for educ. (Hint: You
need to do a regression.) 

Fsixmoths tiene un gran efecto sobre la variable educ. Este efecto puede estar explicado
porque las mujeres comienzan la escuela en el mismo mes del año una vez que han
alcanzado la edad necesaria para poder estudiar.

Variable Coefficient Std. Error t p-value


Constante 9.6928 0.5980 16.20 <2e-16
fsixmoth -0.8522 0.1128 -7.554 5.12e-14
Age -0.1079 0.0420 -2.568 0.0103
agesq -0.00050 0.00069 -0.730 0.4657
R-cuadrado 0.1077

c) Estimate the model from part (i) by using fsixmoths as an IV for educ. Compare the
estimated effect of education with the OLS estimate from part (i). 


d) Add the binary variables electricity, television, and bcycle to the model and assume
these are exogenous. Estimate the equation by OLS and 2SLS and compare the
estimated coefficients on educ. Interpret the coefficient on television and explain why
television ownership has a negative effect on fertility.

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