ROPAX ESTONIA: Stockholm Agreement Past, Present, Future
ROPAX ESTONIA: Stockholm Agreement Past, Present, Future
ROPAX ESTONIA: Stockholm Agreement Past, Present, Future
137-158
Marine
Technology
April 1, 2001 marked the fourth anniversary of the Stockholm Agreement (SA}, a period during which
almost 80% of the roll-on/roll-off (Ro-Ro) fleet in North West Europe have been subjected to calculations,
model testing and numerical simulations in the struggle to meet these demanding new requirements. The
experience gained has been invaluable in understanding better the problem at hand and is being utilized
to shape new developments likely to lead to more meaningful requirements. The North-South divide,
however, continues to cause unrest, particularly at the European level. Efforts to assess the status quo in
North West Europe, and to use the information amassed so far as a means to predict the potential impact
of introducing the SA in the South, led to a dedicated call by the Commission and to a contract being
awarded to two closely collaborating teams, one at the Ship Stability Research Centre of the University of
Strathclyde under the leadership of Professor Vassalos and one at the Ship Design Laboratory of the
National Technical University of Athens, under the leadership of Professor Papanikolaou, representing the
North and South of Europe, respectively. This background provided the incentive for an introspective look
at the SA, with a view to ascertaining its status before embarking into future projections. This forms Part
1 of the SA related research with Part 2 aiming to cover the results of the Commission study itself.
2. Background
Calculate Al Arna
sim lified
Historical overview
Historically, most changes in international regulations for
~------~
ship design and operation have been introduced as a result of
major disasters with a large loss of life. The first notable of
SOLAS'9(). such disasters was the sinking of the Titanic, which led a
Damage Stability Criter year later to the first International Convention for the Safety
for 2 compartment stan
of Life at Sea in London. The first damage stability require-
ments were introduced, however, following the 1948 SOLAS
Convention and the first specific criterion on residual stabil-
ity standards at the 1960 SOLAS Convention with the re-
*)dates: 1.10. 799B10.201, quirement for a minimum residual GM (0.05 m). This repre-
sented an attempt to introduce a margin to compensate for
the upsetting environmental forces. "Additionally, in cases
where the Administration considered the range of stability in
**) dates: 1. 10. 799B 70.200 the damaged condition to be doubtful, it could request further
---------------------------
SOLAS 90 +SC investigation to their satisfaction." Although this was a very
Damage Stability
(Stockholm Agreemer
Software Mbdule vague statement, it was the first attempt to legislate on the
Damage Stability Criter
for 2 compartment stanc SOLAS '90+ WO range of stability in the damaged condition. It is interesting
Module
to mention that a new regulation on "Watertight Integrity
~l'.lsons Above the Margin Line" was also introduced reflecting the
Duck Tail general desire to do all that was reasonably practical to en-
Physical•M~ITestl Side·. Ca&inQS
oftbe.O~dS. Cros5f(ooding sure survival after severe collision damage by taking all nec-
in the Operatmna Bulkheads essary measures to limit the entry and spread of water above
Buoyancy· Device
M<:Xlel~;'Jrne1'its i - - - - - - Curv~ .Decks the bulkhead deck. The first probabilistic damage stability
a Suital:ile 1)gf1anf< ____..____ Reduce Draft
FINAL DECISION Other
rules for passenger vessels, deriving from the work of Kurt
Wendel on "Subdivision of Ships," [7] were introduced in the
Fig. 1 "Total stability assessment" procedure late sixties as an alternative to the deterministic require-
I
Responsible: Responsible: Responsible: Responsible: Responsible: Responsible: Responsible: Responsible:
Knud E. Hansen Task 2.1: DTU Marintek MariTerm University Kvcerner-Masa Bureau Veritas DNV Technica
Task 2.2: DMI of Strathclyde Delta Marin DNV Technica
_J Germ. Lloyd
Nordic Group Tech. Univ. Lyng by DMI SSPA Task -Leaders Germ. Lloyd Task Leader
SSPA DNV Univ. Strathclyde Subprojects Bureau Veritas Task 6
Univ. Helsinki 2,3,6
Germ. Lloyd
Fig. 2 Nordic Project Organization
vival factor with water on deck, sw, is based on a concept where the righting moment has its maximum, i.e., ernax• cal-
whereby the critical wave height at which the vessel will culated traditionally by using the constant displacement
capsize is found, and sw will simply be the probability that method and allowing for free-flooding of the vehicle deck
this wave height is not exceeded. Strictly speaking, this criti- when the deck edge is submerged. This fact, coupled with
cal significant wave height cannot be determined uniquely observations from physical model experiments and the expe-
because of the random nature of the sea. In connection to rience amassed from studying large numbers of numerical
this, the term "Survivability Boundary" represents a contour tests led to the development of a Static Equivalent Method
within the capsize region ("Capsize Band") with equal prob- (SEM) which allows for the calculation of the critical amount
ability of vessel capsize. Therefore, the main task in estimat- of water on deck from static stability calculations. To this
ing the probability of survival with water on deck has been to end, a flooding scenario is considered in which the ship is
formulate a connection between the critical sea state and damaged only below the vehicle deck but with a certain
parameters which can be readily calculated without resort- amount of water on the (undamaged) deck inside the upper
ing to numerical simulations or physical model experiments. (intact) part of the ship. The critical amount of water on deck
Observations from the latter revealed that the dominant fac- is then determined by the amount causing the ship to assume
tor determining the behavior of the vessel is the amount of an angle of loll (angle of equilibrium) that equals the angle
floodwater accumulating on the vehicle deck, Fig. 3. In case
of large-scale flooding, the vessel motions become subdued
with the mean heel angle increasing slowly until a critical ROLL MOTION
value is reached beyond which heeling increases exponen-
tially and the vessel capsizes very rapidly. In this context, the 70
term "point of no-return" is used as indicative of the fate of 60
the vessel when this critical heel angle is attained. Put dif- g; 50
40
ferently, the floodwater on the vehicle deck increases slowly, ~
w 30
depending on the vessel and environmental conditions, until ...J
(!) 20
z
the amount accumulated reaches a critical level that cannot ct 10
be supported by the vessel/environment and the vessel cap-
-10
sizes quickly as a result. In relation to this, two points de-
serve emphasis. This amount is substantially less than the TIME (sec)
amount of water just before the vessel actually capsizes but is
WATER ON VEHICLE DECK
in excess of the amount required to statically capsize the
ship. In this respect, the energy input on account of the waves
7000
helps the vessel sustain a larger amount of water than what
here static restoring characteristics appear to dictate. Be-
6000
I -f···
cause of the nature of the capsize mode describe above, it is
~
en
(I)
c
c
5000
4000
3000
+ :
-f---·
r
r
-
2000
at the point of no-return from experimental or numerical I- _,Ii,,_
simulation records considering either the floodwater on the ~ 1000
0 -
vehicle deck or the roll motion of the vessel as indicated by -1000 - n,,n
-
nAn •n
•v
">n - ·- ~ln --
the arrow in Fig. 3. TIME (sec)
A key observation from model experiments and numerical
simulations was that vessel capsize occurs close to the angle Fig. 3 Typical capsize mode with water on deck
Height of 0.5
Water on
Deck
WL (Metres)
=+=====i===::::::::=
WL 0
2:0
Residual Freeboard {m)
Fig. 4 Stability of a damaged ship with water accumulated on deck (Static
Equivalent Method-SEM) Fig. 5 Stockholm Agreement (height of water on deck)
I(/) 3
::i:
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142
SHIPS
Fig. 7 Comparative assessment of Ro-Ro damage survival (worse SOLAS damage)
5 i
i:
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i :
i
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4 . ,. ' '· '''"' '·· . '"'''' •·· ..... ..., ...•.
·;,' I
L
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•
•••..•..J ,. ,, •... : .. ; .. ... ,..... ;,,, . •·· L ..
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i
:
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l' ;,.,.,, ,,,, ,,.
i i
i ! i
i
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r
0
j
:'
i
I I 11111
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142
SHIPS
Fig. 8 Comparative assessment of Ro-Ro damage survival (midship damage)
•• *• •• •
5
•• t
•• • • •
4 •
l
.i+;d
. • ••1m" ,1'¢
• •• ..•
,.....,
E
..__.
3 ;
.:·• •• •• • • •
• •
.... jjlJi
....
(/)
:c t • ... """
·<llllJ
2 •
• HSPB
HSSTO
-Linear (HSPB)
0 ~Linear (HSSTO:
0.05 0. 1 0. 1 5 0.2 0.25 0.3
A GZmax [m]
5.5 ..
5 '
4.5
4
,.....,
E 3.5
..__.
•
(/)
:c 3
2.5
2, • + HSPB
HSSTO
1.5
-Linear (HSPB)
1 Linear (HSSTo:;
0.05 0. 15 0.25 0.35 0.45 0.55 0.65
B GZmax [m]
Fig. 9 (a) Worst SOLAS damage; (b) Midship damage
With the smaller size vessels, floodwater sloshing is average, sea states above 3 m H 8 . In this respect, SOLAS
more pronounced and so should be the damping effect on '90 provides the right platform for future developments.
roll motion. Research to quantify the latter is currently • The critical parameter in achieving compliance with
under way. SOLAS '90 is usually GZmax·
• In general, ships that satisfy SOLAS '90 criteria "pass" • The Stockholm Agreement standard is in general more
the numerical/physical model tests and by implication difficult to satisfy than the numerical/physical model
will be deemed to be safe according to the Equivalence tests specified by the Equivalence route. The reason for
route. This is true for all the ships considered in this this derives directly from the fact that the height of wa-
sample. There are exceptions, of course, and it has to be ter on the vehicle deck postulated by this standard is
appreciated and understood that prescriptive criteria unrealistic. Its derivation was influenced largely by re-
could not possibly represent reality meaningfully in all sults from vessels with vehicle deck configurations that
cases. This result is very encouraging, considering that were conducive to increased heights of water on deck,
SOLAS '90 has been adopted as the new global standard namely, ships with side casings and transverse bulk-
for all existing ferries. It is also somewhat surprising to heads [12,13]. In only very few occasions, the limiting H 8
see that the previously adopted conjecture that vessels calculated on the basis of the Stockholm Agreement ex-
constructed to meet SOLAS '90 standards were capable ceeds that corresponding to the operational sea state.
of avoiding rapid capsize after damage in moderate sea This is shown clearly in Figs. 7 and 8, particularly so for
states with a significant wave height of only 1.5 m was a the worst SOLAS damage.
drastic underestimate. Results of ships meeting SOLAS • Examining Figure 9, it would appear that the trends
'90 standards appear to be capable of surviving, on the between physical/numerical tests and Stockholm Agree-
4-
3.5
2.5
ment are in general similar with the best correlation that is generally in agreement with that determined
resulting when considering GZmax· However, a system- through performance-based methods. However, it
atic study is required before any concrete conclusions must not be overlooked that it is a deterministic stan-
can be derived concerning generalizations of such corre- dard and hence it could misrepresent the true level of
lations. In addition, the Stockholm Agreement underes- a vessel's safety.
timates limiting H 8 on the average by 2 m for the worst SA appears to be unrealistically stringent, in general,
SOLAS damage and by 1 m for the midship damage. demanding levels of safety well beyond those deter-
• Figure 10 clearly shows that the critical damage for com- mined through performance-based methods and, at
pliance is the worst SOLAS damage. This result con- times, simply not attainable.
trasts with findings from earlier research where it was
shown that the midship damage is the most onerous
from a survivability point of view-a discrepancy that 5. Practical impact
can be attributed to the positioning of bulkheads on the
In addition to upgrading concerning damage stability
car deck.
safety standards, operational safety is as big a challenge for
• On several occasions what is defined to be worst damage
designers and operators in the adversity of increasing com-
according to SOLAS '90 calculations is not the worst
petition where lower costs, increased earning capacity and
damage from a survivability point of view. This is shown
enhanced safety standards, all conflicting criteria, are be-
in Tables Al to A3 of Appendix A where discrepancies up
coming key factors to success. Deriving from this, the prac-
to 1 m H 8 can be noted.
tical impact on the design and operation of existing Ro-Ro
The investigation presented in the foregoing continues passenger ships deriving from the formal application of the
with several other ships, thus offering a unique opportunity provisions of the Stockholm agreement is in general severe,
to provide more convincing evidence of the correlation be- depending on the ship and area of operation. Relevant costs
tween safety standards as postulated by the current rules include running costs (e.g., effect of increased resistance on
and survivability standards as dictated by the vessel's opera- fuel costs following external modifications of the ship geom-
tional environment. Based on this investigation, the follow- etry), operational costs (e.g., effect on line length and on turn-
ing observations can be made: around times following modification of internal ship layout)
and other less straightforward to quantify effects (e.g., com-
• The agreement between numerical and physical model fort related implications because of the normally increased
tests has been impressive enough so far to warrant care- vessel restoring stiffness as a result of the upgrading pro-
ful consideration for adopting the numerical tests as an cess). The governing factors that determine the ensuring
alternative to physical model testing, for compliance. costs comprise the following:
• The results derived from this study show worrying in-
consistencies between SOLAS '90 and Stockholm Agree- 1. Current Stability Standard (of the ship in question)-In
ment standards, which are not in favor of the shipown- general ships complying with SOLAS '90 two compartment
ers/operators. At the current stage of research, the standard, or the equivalent A.265 probabilistic standard,
following findings must be noted: might be required to undergo very little or no modification,
SOLAS '90 is a "good" standard reflecting meaning- when exploiting the optimization route, outlined in Fig. 1
fully the safety of Ro-Ro vessels at a level of safety (TSA). SOLAS '74 and especially SOLAS '60 ships, on the
Table 4 Indicative costs of compliance with provisions of Stockholm Agreement (based on data of NW European operators [14])
Bow/Stern Cross-Flooding
Door Transverse Longitudinal Sponsons/ Drainage/
Reinforcement Doors/BHDs BHDs Ducktails Miscellaneous
Design
procurement mio ($US) mio ($US) mio ($US) mio ($US) mio ($US)
installation 0.25-0.60 0.60-1.80 0.60-1.80 0.60-3.60 0.12-1.20
Loss of payload tonnes tonnes tonnes tonnes tonnes
(lane length) 2-10 30-80 30-80 50-400 0-20
(5-10% on lane length)
mio ($US) mio ($US)
Loss of revenue not checked not checked not checked
1.2/yr 2.4/yr
Loss of speed 0 0 0 1-2 knots 0
mio ($US) mio ($US) mio ($US)
Manning 0 0
0.12/yr 0.12/yr 0.06/yr
mio ($US) mio ($US) mio ($US) mio ($US)
Maintenance 0
0.06/yr 0.06/yr 0.024/yr 0.024/yr
Notes:
1. Indicative costs are likely to change significantly from ship to ship.
2. Indicative costs refer to ships that underwent conversion for compliance with provisions of SA without adopting any design optimi-
zation.
c..
c
r
-<
I\)
0
0
I\)
Appendix A
Damage survivability standards for typical passenger Ro-Ro vessels from North West Europe
Table A I: Principal Particulars
LOA (m) 84.9 85.15 90.03 94 I01.25 161 166.3 175.48 163.4 176.8 175.3 129.78 152.()3 168 168.5 205.25
LBJ' (m) 78 78 80.4 85.2 91.2 144 150 154.2 157.6 159.6 164.6 119.47 136 153.4 154.5 181.6
B (m) 15.8 15.8 15.8 15.8 18 29 28.4 30.30 25.7 28.4 22 19.75 24.2 29.2 25.6 26.6
T (m) 3.176 3.1 3.18 3.15 4.17 6.4 6.7 6.65 5.5 6.7 5.85 5 5.8 6.5 5.71 6.1
ll (tonnes) 2342 2371 2648 3112 3814 17974 16648 21270 13293 18274 12778 7831 12508 17671 16678 I 19329
KG
Operational (m) I 6.5 I 6.769 I 7.256 I 7.568 I 8.89 I 13 I 12.76 I 13.842 I 11.4 I 13.3 I 10.57 I 9.5 I I 1.6 I 13.45 I l l.67 I 12.43
GMT
Intact Cm) I 1.937 I 2.108 I 1.909 I l.65 I 1.693 3.221 I 2.072 I 4.295 I 3.428 I 2.098 I 1.414 I 1.383 I 2.866 2.435 I 2.152 I I .498
s:
)>
::D
z
m
-i
m
(')
:::c:
z
0
r
0
G>
-<
c...
c
r-
-<
I\)
0
0
I\)
Note: SC: Side Casings; CC: Centre Casing; FP: Freeing Ports; OD: Open Deck; SD: Subdivided Deck
Table A 1: Principal Particulars (Continued)
Lo" (m) 184.55 161 156.4 151 179.2 184.6 169.4 169.4 178.69 110.5 181.6 84.63 161.85 132.5 149.02 I 166.52
LHI' (m) 163 144 135.8 137 169.5 170.6 149.8 149.8 170.34 96.5 172.3 75 146.4 126.1 131.00 I 150.00
B (m) 26.4 27.6 25.9 23.5 25.08 23.5 27.6 27.6 24.49 17.2 23.4 15.8 27.6 22.7 26.0 I 28.4
T (m) 6.44 6.217 6.08 6.5 6.1 6.35 6.35 6.35 5.5 4.7 5.75 3.1 6 .. 21 5.5 6.12 I 6.8
6 (tonnes) 15902 16574 12359 13095 19101 17306 16810 I 16811 I 15310 I 4618 I 15437 I 2386 I 15922 I 8562.2 I 12536 I 16939
KG
Operational (m) II 10.45 12.81 10.35 I I Cl.3 I 11.989 I 10.2 I 12.95 13.077 I 10.18 I 7.27 I 10.889 7.13 I 13.100 10.370 12.32 I 13.41
GMT
Intact (m) I 3.98 I 2.167 I 3.6 I l.84 I 1.548 I 1.85 I 1.844 I 2.8 I 1.29 I 1.994 I 1.699 I 2.159 I 2.100 I 1.50 I 1.732 I 2.153
s:
)>
:xi
z
m
-I
~ Note: SC: Side Casings; CC: Centre Casing; FP: Freeing Ports; OD: Open Deck; SD: Subdivided Deck
z
0
r-
eG)
-<
.....
~
......
(11
I\)
c..
c
I
-<
I\)
0
0
I\)
LOA (m) 179.0 190.0 132.65 181.6 163.9 133.8 163.53 133.0 177.0 137
LHI' (m) 170.0 169.0 120.7 171.99 150.0 126.5 150.0 122.3 159.6 126.0
B (m) 27.8 29.0 21.0 21.60 28.4 22.5 27.0 22.5 28.4 24.0
T (m) 6.25 6.74 5.0 6.1 6.8 5.0 6.505 5.0 6.7 5.64
/:-, (tonnes) 17300 21550 7889.7 14256 16911 8681 15342 9072.2 18375 11368
KG
Operational (m) II 12.89 14.10 I 9.95 9.43 I 13.61 I 10.6 12.442 I 10.266 I 13.71 11.4
GMT
Intact <m) II 2.63 I 1.50 I 1.674 I 0.966 I 3.32 I 1.97 I 2.505 I 2.413 I 1.616 1.591
~
:0
Note: SC: Side Casinbas; CC: Centre Casing;
-- .....
FP: Freeing..... Ports; OD: Open Deck; SD: Subdivided Deck
z
m
-I
m
(")
:c
z
0
I
0
G>
-<
c...
c:
....
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0
0
I\)
0.124 0.134 0.131 0.202 0.147 0.178 0. 187 0. I 58 0.165 0. I 13 0.1 I I 0. 123 0.201 0.156 0.128 0.108
GZmax (m) II (0.12) (0.13) (0.13) (0.2) (0.14) (0.14) (0.13) (0.15) (0.16) (0. I I) (0.1 I) (0.1 I) (0.!l) (0.14) (0.12) I (0.1)
Range (degrees) I 23.35 22.05 17.35 33.22 20.6 13.93 17.29 l l .63 17.88 I 8.41 16.844 24.425 18.526 21.837 16.92 I 17.595
Arca up to
GZmax (m.rad) I 0.0163 I 0.0131 I 0.0126 I 0.0339 I 0.0153 I 0.0106 I 0.0184 I 0.0101 I o.o 122 I 0.0097 I 0.021 I 0.02 I 0.016 0.018 I 0.012 0.01
Arca up to cp,
(m.rad) I o.0353 I o.m 12 I cHm5 I 0.0108 I o.o3n I 0.0265 I 0.0321 I 0.0206 I 0.0294 I 0.0283 I 0.021 I 0.034 I 0.039 I 0.044 I 0.()23 I Cl.02 I
Limiting Hs -
Worst SOLAS 4.25 - 4.00 - 3.50- 4.25 - 4.25 - 4.75- 4.50- 3.75 - 3.00- >5.00 >5.00 3.75- 3.25 - 4.75 - 3.25 - 3.25
~ II 4.50 I 4.25 I 3.75 I 4.50 I 4.50 I 5.00 I 4.75 I 4.00 I 3.25 I I I 4.00 I 3.50 I 5.00 I 3.50 I 3.50
Limiting Hs -
Actual 3.75 - 4.25 4.00- 4.25 -
(m) II I I I I 4.00 I 4.50 I I I I 4.25 I 4.50
:s:
)>
::0
z
m
-I
m
(")
:c Limiting Hs (m) >4.00 >4.00 >4.00 >4.40 >4.00 >4.50 4.70 3.75 - 3.00- >4.50 >5.00
z 4.80 4.00 3.25
0
....
0
G)
-<
......
CJl
(,.)
....
<J1
.;..
c...
c:
!:(
I\)
0
~
Range (degrees) 14.56 13.508 17.81 23.86 13.229 14.86 17.0 14.2 14.08 I 15.5
Arca up to
GZmax (m.rad) II 0.015 I 0.008 I 0.009 I 0.()1 I 0.01 I (l.009 I o.011s I 0.01 I O.()] 0.0118
Arca up to cp,
(m.rad) II O.o31 I 0017 I 0.0228 0.025 0.021 I o.o 174 I 0.0255 0.0192 I 0.017 I 0.0222
Limiting Hs -
Worst SOLAS 3.75- 3.75 - 3.5 - 3.5 - 3.0- 3.25 - 3.25 - 3.0- 3.5 - 2.75 -
(m) I 4.0 I 4.0 I 3.75 I 3.75 3.25 I 3.5 I 3.5 I 3.25 I 3.75 I 3.0
:s:
~
::0
z
m
-I
m
0
::r:
z
0
I""'
0
G)
-<
c...
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r-
-<
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Table A2: Limiting Parameters (Worst SOLAS Damage), Continued
0
0
I\)
0.26 0.101 0.239 0.103 0.101 0.15 I 0.128 0.159 0.119 0.112 0.125 0.152 0.128 0.114 0.175 0.156
GZmax (m) I (0.1) (0.1) (0.1) (0.1) (0.1) (0.1) (0.122) (0.1) (0.1) (0.11) (0.12) (0.121) (0.1) (0.14) (0.142)
Range (degrees) II 11.704 15.57 16.807 15.63 21.53 23.008 13.5 11.98 13.96 16.70 15.918 30 18.57 15.193 22.08 13.2
Arca up to
GZmax (m.rad) II 0.0279 0.0061 0.018 I o.oo8s 0.0086 0.019 0.0094 0.()()9 I 0.0091 I o.c)093 I o.c)11s I 0.0388 I 0.0087 0.008 I 0.012 I 0.013
Arca up to <j\
(m.rad)
I 0.04 0.0169 I 0.046 o.o 183 I o.cl237 1 0.039 I 0.0184 I Cl.0212 I 0.0174 I O.Cl2 l 3 I O.Cl225 I 0.0642 I 0.0267 0.018 0.040 0.0221
STOCKHOLM AGREEtv[ENT
Limiting Hs (m) II 2.65 l.5 2.75 I l.65 I 2.00 3.70 I 1.6 1.50 I 1.5 I 1.7 I 2.5 I >4 I 2.3 1.75 >4.0
s
I Limiting I ls (m) I 3.8
I
>4.75
I
4.00
I
3.5
I
4.75
I
>4.00
I
4.45
I
3.75
I
>4.00
I
2.75
I
>5.00
I
>4.00 I 3.25-3.5 I 3.0 -
3.25 I
3.5-
3.75 I
3.75 -
4.0
:t:>
::0 Limiting Hs -
z
m Actual 3.25 3.25 - 3.0 - 3.0- 3.0- 2.75 -
-I
m
('")
:c
I (m) II I 3.5 I 3.5 I 3.25 I I 3.25 I 3.25 I 3.0
z
0
r-
0 PHYSICAL MODEL TESTS
C>
-< 3.75 3.0- 3.5 - 3.5 -
Limiting Hs (m) >4.0 4.0 >4.0 >4.0 :us 3.75 >4.0 3.75 I >4.0
.....
(11
(11
......
CJ1
a>
c..
c
I
-<
N
0
0
N Table A3: Limiting Parameters (Midship Damage)
Ship 16
GZmax ~ 0.192 N/A 0.197 ().255 0.161 0.287 0.195 0.274 0.247 0.179 0.208 0.156 NIA 0.165 0.172 I 0.149
Range (degrees) 25.48 22.14 34.553 19.29 17.38 17.03 22.35 20.36 20.05 16.931 27.533 I I 22.911 I 16.31 I 18.784
Arca up to
GZmax (m.rad) 0.0192 I 1 o.cl262 (l.0415 0.0174 0.0603 I 0.0196 0.0227 0.0236 I 0.0463 I ().()30 I 0.024 I I 0.046 I 0.015 I 0.015
J to cp, I I 0.0486 I 0.0927 I 0.()35 I 0.0603 I 0.0334 I 0.067 I o.0546 I 0.0463 I 0.()30 I 0.049 I I 0.046 I 0.028 I 0.029
Limiting Hs -
Worst SOLAS 4.75 3.75 - 4.25 - 4.25 >5.00 4.50- >5.00 4.00 >5.00 4.50- 3.75 - >5.00 >3.50 3.25 -
(m) I 5.00 I I 4.00 I 4.50 I 4.50 I I 4.75 I I 4.25 I I 4.75 I 4.00 I I I I 3.50
Limiting Hs -
Actual 3.75 - 4.50- 3.75 4.25 -
(Ill) II I I I I 4.00 I I 4.75 I 4.00 I I 4.50
[32
:s:
:t>
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z
m
I
Umih<>g H, (m) I >4.00
l I
>4.00
l
>4.40
l
>4.00
I
>4.35
I
4.50-
4.75 I
>5.00
I
4.00 -
4.25
I >4.75 I >5.00
-I
m
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0
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Ship 32
3.4
0.1 0.176
GZmax (m) NIA 0.582 NIA 0.209 0.108 0.164 0.151 NIA 0.153 0.149 0.128 0.174 NIA (0.1) NIA (0.142)
Range (degrees) 41.38 24.23 18.65 25.181 16.46 16.13 14.84 17.56 27.95 27.82 15.01
Arca up to
GZrnax (m.rad) I I 0.1389 I I 0.0264 I 0.0115 I 0.02 I 0.0107 I 0.0143 I 0.0111 0.015 I I 0.0154 I ().()36 I 0.01
Arca up to tj>,
0.2302 I I ().()578 0.022 I 0.046 I 0.0245 I I 0.0245 O.Cl238 I 0.0239 I 0.0516 I I (l.058 I I 0.028
Limiting Hs -
Worst SOLAS I I >4.75 I 3.75 I 3.75 _ I 4.00 _ I 4.00 I 4.00 _ I 2;0~) _ I >5.00 I >4.75 I I 3.75 _ I I 3.75 -
(m) I 4.00 4.25 I 4.25 -.~5 4.0 4.0
Limiting Hs -
Actual 3.0
-----
(m) II I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I 3.25
:s:
)>
::0
z
m
-I
m I Limiting Hs (m) I 4.75 3.75 4.00 I >4.00 I 4.4
I
4 00 2
I :2~5- I
4.50 I >4.00 I 4.0 -
I
3.75
(')
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z
I I I I > · I 4.25 I -4.0
0
r-
0
G>
-<
.....
U1
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....
Ul
co
c:...
c
I
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l'IJ
0
0
l'IJ Table A3: Limiting Parameters (Midship Damage), Continued
Sbip33 Ship34 Ship35 Ship 36 I Ship 37 Ship 38 Ship 39 f Ship 40 TShip4L I <s~ip42 Ship 43 Ship44 Ship 45 I .Ship 46 Ship47 Ship48
Operational Hs 2.6 4.0 J.4 J.4 2.6 2.5 J.O J.O J.4 2.6
(rn)
SOLAS '90 .• :
STOCKHOLM AGREEMENT
····--·"·•••.::••·····•••••••••••·•··-·•··-~----··"·--··-·•·•·••·••···---·-.-----·····-·••••·••·•·•·•••••·••·••••••'"···--·---~...-!..'!.!l'!..~!1:!.'!:.~!'?..'!.~!1'!!..!!..i!...9..~i~'!.!...~'!...--•-~----C•---~~-~---~--~,.:.•.~-----··-·•··-·---··--·---:...c.:-~----····-···--···-·············--·-·-··········---·-·-··•--···.:--...
NUMERICAL SIMULATION
Limiting Hs -
Worst SOLAS 4.25 - >4.0 J.75- >J.O
(m) 4.5 4.0
Limiting Hs -
Actual J.25 - J.O-
(m) J.5 J.25
This paper pr?vide~ a. succinct summary of the findings ensuing the undertaking of a dedicated EU-funded
research proiect aiming to address the impact of the Stockholm Agreement (SA) on the EU Ro-Ro
passenger ships. !his is achieved by utilizing the experience gained, the data and knowledge accumulated
t.hrouQh the ado~t1on oft.he St?ckholm Agreement in North West Europe to form the basis for predicting the
likely impact ?f intr?duc1n9 th1~ Agreem~nt to vessels operating in EU waters not covered yet by it. The
background, in~lu?1ng a h1stoncal overview and a detailed introspective look at the SA, together with an
~ssessment ?f its impact on pa~senger Ro-Ro ship safety standards, design and operation are presented
in a companion paper (Part 1) 1n the July 2002 issue of MARINE TECHNOLOGY.
1
The Ship Stability Research Centre, NAME, The Universities of H=l.5 m
Glasgow and Strathclyde, UK.
2
National Technical University of Athens, Ship Design Labora- Residual Freeboard
tory, Greece. Fig. 1 Stockholm Agreement (height of water on deck)
Glasgow and Strathclyde and the other at the Ship Design work undertaken, a brief account of which is presented here,
Laboratory of the National Technical University of Athens. following an outline description of the background and aims
This study was finalized in March 2001 and a detailed tech- of the study and of the methodology adopted in completing
nical report produced describing comprehensively all the this work.
Others Bahamas/Bermuda
Period 1961-1970 8% 7%
After 1991 6%
Estonia
4%
Period 1971-1980
36%
Finland
10%
10%
Panama
1%
Period 1981-1990
14'%
43%
s:
)>
JJ A (SEU - 302 sampled vessels) B (SEU - 302 sampled vessels)
z
m Fig. 3a Distribution of year of built Fig. 3b Current flag distribution
-I
m
(')
:c
z
0
r-
0
G>
-<
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~
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0
I\)
0
(')
-I
0
CJ
m
::0
I\)
0
0
I\)
A265
1.00
0.95
(NEU - 128 sampled vessels)
I><
0.90
A. 265 SOLAS 60 c:
5% 4% 8
~ 0.85
<
0.80
0.75
SOLAS74
35% 0.70
B
- ~
-M ~
- ~
N
-
M
~
M
~
~
Fig. 4b
~
~
~
~
-
~
~
~
M
~
Distribution of A/Amax
~
~ ~
~ -
~
~
~
M
- -
0
~
0
--
~
-
-
N N
~
~
M
M
SOLAS90/92
54%
2%
A (SEU - 85 sampled vessels)
Fig. 4a Compliance with SOLAS regulations
::::::
)>
::0
z
m
-I
m
(')
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z
0
r-
0
G)
-<
Fig. 5 Distribution of H5 is NEU
The SSRC-NTUA Commission Study quirements adapted at regional level, and transposed into
their national legislation, ... provided those requirements do
Background and aims of the study not exceed those specified in the Annex of Resolution 14 (Sta-
bility Requirements Pertaining to the Agreement) of the 1995
At the conclusion of the second Stockholm Conference at SOLAS Conference and have been notified to the Secretary-
which the Agreement was adopted, the Commission services
General of the IMO, in accordance with the procedures speci-
issued a statement, taking note of the Agreement concluded
fied in point 3 of that resolution."
and expressing the opinion that the same level of safety
Taking fully into account the above elements, the Commis-
should be ensured for all Ro-Ro passenger ferries operating
sion invited tenders to a study to examine the extent and
in similar conditions. Noting that the Agreement is not ap- effect of the application of the Stockholm Agreement concern-
plicable to other parts of the European Union, the Commis-
ing specific stability requirements for Ro-Ro passenger ships,
sion announced its intention to examine the prevailing local
and the suitability of extending its scope to European waters
conditions, environmental and operational, under which Ro- not covered by it. The contract to undertake this study was
Ro passenger ferries sail in all European waters and that this
awarded to the NAME-SSRC/NTUA-SDL partnership. More
examination will include the extent and effect of the appli-
specifically, the overall aim of the study was to assess the
cation of the Agreement in the region covered by it. The state-
impact of the Stockholm Agreement on European Ro-Ro pas-
ment concluded that in light of this examination the Com-
senger ships by targeting the following two objectives:
mission would make a decision with regard to the need for
further initiatives and this statement was confirmed at sub- A. Impact assessment on the extent and the effect of the
sequent meetings of the Council highlighting the need to en- application of the Stockholm Agreement concerning
sure the same level of safety for all Ro-Ro ferries operating in specific stability requirements for Ro-Ro passenger
similar conditions was more precisely defined by referring to ships in the area covered by it.
both international and domestic voyages. B. Impact assessment on the extent and the effect of the
Furthermore, in its latest proposal for Community legisla- application of the Stockholm Agreement concerning
tion governing the safety of Ro-Ro passenger ships, the Com- specific stability requirements for Ro-Ro passenger
mission included a draft provision that Ro-Ro ferries shall ships in European waters not covered by it.
fulfill the specific stability requirements adopted at the re-
gional level, when operating in the region governed by such Proposed methodology
regional rules. This proposal was endorsed by the Council
with a number of adaptations to clarify that host States shall The methodology adopted in completing this work is shown
check that Ro-Ro ferries "comply with specific stability re- in Fig. 2, explaining for each of the two distinct areas A and
;*
z .....
::::; •
CD
5000
~ 4000
=>
w
:.
.....
~ 3000
0
0
~ m ~ ~ ~ ~ m ~ ~ ~ ~ m ~ ~ ~ ~ m ~ ~ ~ ~
~ ~ N N N N N ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~
Ship sample
Fig. 7 Distribution of overall cost of upgrading (NEU-58 sampled vessels)
Fig. 10). As a general comment, it has been noted that the data being unavailable; the variation of cost of modification
experimental route to compliance with the Stockholm Agree- with ship size is generally best represented by a logarithmic
ment is normally preferred (77% experimental route to 23% law, GT seemingly giving the best fit to the data available; it
calculation route based on 79 upgraded vessels), since opting is virtually impossible to detect a trend of variation of cost of
for this alternative enables shipowners to obtain a margin on modification versus significant wave height. It is to be noted
the attained H 8 for their vessels, without increasing the com- that since the sample data available for achieving this task
plexity or cost of the upgrading. This margin is particularly were limited, the regression linking the cost of upgrading to
valuable to shipowners, as it is likely to influence positively GT and A/Amax implied an unacceptably large error. For this
the resale value of their vessels. reason, this analysis was repeated and verified in greater
Inventory of passenger Ro-Ro vessels upgrading and re- detail, as explained next.
lated costs A(c)-A comprehensive inventory was undertaken Assessment of overall SA compliance cost for NEU Ro-Ro
of the technical modifications and adaptations carried out to vessels A(e)-In this task it has been attempted to further
all ferries, which had to comply with the SA by 31/12/99 or demonstrate and better quantify the link between upgrading
earlier, and of the associated costs. This part of the study cost and relevant parameters such as A/Amax and GT, con-
showed that although a large number of the ships affected by tinuing from the results presented in A(d) by using a sample
SOLAS '90 and SA need major modifications in order to com- representing about 70% of the NEU fleet that needs to com-
ply with these stability standards (80% major, 13% minor ply with the SA. On this basis, statistical trends were estab-
and 7% none based on 61 vessels), a good part of these is due lished, representative of the present status of the implemen-
to the specific requirements related to SOLAS '90 standard. tation of SA in the NEU, to be used for estimating on the
Although this is not necessarily the case if larger values of whole the possible effect of introducing the SA to SEU. Fur-
operational Hs need to be attained, in practice this indicates thermore, an estimate of the cost of the modifications still
that the main effect of the SA in the NEU has been to accel- required to complete the SA upgrading in NEU was provided.
erate the schedule of compliance with SOLAS '90 require- In general, this part of the project corroborates all the find-
ments. ings of part A(d), offering a better regression formula linking
Distributions of major and minor modifications are shown A/Amax and GT to overall cost of upgrading (Fig. 9). More-
in Fig. 6 while the cost distribution is presented in Fig. 7, this over, a detailed analysis of the cost of each type of modifica-
varying from €60k to €5.5M with an average of €2.lM per tion has also been attempted, leading to similar results in
vessel, based on 58 vessels. terms of overall cost of modifications per ship. On the basis of
Average SA compliance cost for NEU Ro-Ro vessels A(d)- this analysis and estimating that about 28 vessels were still
Studies aiming to establish average compliance cost per ves- undergoing upgrading in the NEU, the total cost of the out-
sel as a function of the operational sea state and A/Amax standing upgrading was calculated to be approximately
category for a given vessel were undertaken, based on the €11. 7M. This raised the total cost of upgrading of the NEU
experience accumulated by the application of the SA in the fleet to about €85M, with 36% of the fleet not requiring any
NEU. Statistical trends in this respect were established, upgrading and about 69% of the vessels having been up-
which provided a useful input for evaluating the extent of graded for less than €1.0M.
modifications required by the SEU fleet. The results of this
task (Fig. 8), showed that: in the NEU there are compar-
atively more ships belonging to the lower upgrading cost EU waters not covered by the
brackets than to the higher ones; there is good correlation Stockholm Agreement
between average overall cost of upgrading and GDP per
capita (GDP per capita referring to the country in which the Key findings
ship was upgraded or-in absence of this information-the
country where the ship operates from); cost of upgrading and As shown in Fig. 2, the study comprises five tasks, each
A/Amax values are well correlated and since there is good forming part of the methodology adopted as explained
correlation between age and A/Amax, it is reasonable to use therein and summarized below:
the first as an indicator of a ship stability standard, all other Survey of prevailing sea conditions and safety-critical local
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conditions B(a)-The prevailing sea conditions and other values. Results of this study show (Fig. 10) that relevant
safety-critical local conditions in SEU geographical areas not significant wave heights (H,) in the Mediterranean are gen-
covered yet by the SA were investigated. The wave heights erally lower than 3.0 m, with the exception of the region west
were determined following two alternative, yet essentially of the island of Corsica where the obtained Hs was approxi-
complementary, approaches. In the first approach the main mately 3.25 m. However, larger wave heights, even exceeding
ferry routes between ports involving at least one SEU state 4.0 m, were noted in the Atlantic routes to Madeira and the
were analyzed. In the second approach, whole geographical Azores. Concerning other, possibly safety-critical local condi-
regions have been associated with characteristic wave height tions, such as wind, air and sea surface temperatures, vis-
0
(")
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m Regulation 8-1 Regulation 8-1 Regulation 8-2
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0
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Regulation 8-1 (simulated ships) Regulation 8-1 (simulated ships) Regulation 8-2 (simulated ships)
Compliance of 2-comp std ships Compliance conditionally Compliance conditionally (Reg. 8-1)
25
20
15
10
0
Greece Spain France Italy Portugal
A
Fig. 12a GDP per country in SEU
2000
1800
0 1600
ci::
;::I 1400
>.i;l
..:.::
1200
.5
1000
"'0
u 800
E <lJ
600
;..
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200
B
Fig. 12b Overall cost of upgrading= 0.0195 x (GDP per capita x GT x (1-A/Amax)) + 212.4 ± 610.2
tests according to the "Equivalent Model Test Procedure" of continuous function of time and that the relevant shipping
Resolution 14, SOLAS '95, it has been concluded that the companies will rather choose to wait until it is absolutely
modification cost of SEU ships for compliance with the pro- necessary to modify ships, it is concluded that the time re-
visions of the SA will be approximately the same as the quired for the modifications will be strictly following the
associated cost for compliance with the requirements of the "phase in" procedure for compliance with the provisions of
SOLAS '90 two-compartment standard. Based on the results Stockholm Agreement, to be decided by the European Coun-
of a detailed cost analysis of modifications for the NEU ships cil. Therefore, the present task has been based on the as-
(task A(e)) and the derived regression formulas therein, the sumption of an accelerated compliance schedule for the af-
A!Amax values and GT values of the inventory ships and fected SEU ships with the full provisions of SOLAS '90 (Reg.
the GDP of the flag state, the itemized cost/ship as well as 8-1 and Reg. 8-2) based on the deduction outlined in B(d)
the overall cost for the SEU ships has been deduced. Based above. The assumed time schedule, ranging from 1 October
on this, the total modification for the whole SEU fleet 2002 for ships with lower values of A!Amax, to 1 October
(264 ships) is estimated to range between a minimum 2005 for those in the highest A!Amax category, appears fea-
of €106M and a maximum of €250M. It is to be noted sible in all respects, as this compliance schedule does not
that these estimates do not consider the possible removal deviate from the existing compliance with Regulation 1 of
from service of aged SEU ships, which is to be expected SOLAS '90 (provisions for one compartment standard com-
since it might prove economically more advantageous for pliance). More importantly, this holds true for the large ma-
shipowners to replace some of these ships with new build- jority of existing vessels (78.1 %, 235 out of 301 existing
ings instead of undertaking onerous extensive modifications. ships), whereas for the remaining ships already complying
(See Fig. 12.) with Regulation 1, SOLAS '90 (21.9%, 66 out of 301 ships) the
Assessment of modification time for compliance of SEU impact is considered to be less severe and feasible within the
vessels with SA B(e)-The objective of this task was to assess set accelerated time schedule. From the point of view of avail-
the time required to execute the necessary modifications ability and capacity of European shipyards in order to accom-
for the affected SEU ships, identified and analyzed under plish the requested modifications and the seamless continu-
B(b), B(c) and B(d), considering the capacity of European ation of service, it can be concluded that, since the time
shipyards, anticipated delivery times and the need to en- schedule for compliance with the provisions of SOLAS '90 is
sure continuity of service. Taking into account the fact practically unchanged, no additional negative effects would
that the process of upgrading the affected ships is not a result from the introduction of Stockholm Agreement in