LSSGB SVES January 2018 Final PDF
LSSGB SVES January 2018 Final PDF
LSSGB SVES January 2018 Final PDF
WARNING
© Binghamton University
State University of New York
Binghamton University 1
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Use basic lean six sigma tools for project definition and Continuous process improvement
Introduction to lean
process baseline
Introduction to six sigma
Understand the need for advanced problem solving and
DMAIC (Define, Measure, Analyze, Improve, and
improvement methodologies used by project teams Control)
• Define Phase: Project charter; process mapping; voice of
Integrate lean six sigma knowledge and tools to
the customer; 7 "new" management and planning tools; 7
successfully implement and deploy process "old" quality control tools; CTQ trees; SIPOC diagram; etc.
improvements
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• Measure Phase: Basic probability and statistics for six • Control Phase: Statistical process control; process
sigma; Measurement System Analysis (MSA); Gauge R&R capability analysis; cost savings and Return On Investment
studies; process capability analysis; benchmarking; etc. (ROI) calculations; mistake-proofing; control plan; etc.
CI Definition
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Philosophy
• Standardize
• Make improvements, changes
• Standardize/measure again
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Definition of lean
Types of waste
Tools
Kaizen
Luciano Brandao de Souza, 2009. Trends and approaches in lean healthcare. Leadership in Health Services. 22(2): 121–139.
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Transportation 5 4 Motion
Unnecessary movement
of people, parts or
Unnecessary movement of people machines within
or parts between processes.
a process.
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Swimlane diagram
• Displays processes carried out
for multiple roles across
multiple stages
• AHRQ (2013). Mapping and Redesigning Workflow: A Guide on Workflow Mapping. Available at:
http://www.ahrq.gov/professionals/prevention-chronic-care/improve/system/pfhandbook/mod5appendix.html#sl1
Systems Science and Industrial Engineering 35 Systems Science and Industrial Engineering 36
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Pareto Analysis:
What Makes a Product More Difficult to Remanufacture How to Create a Pareto in Minitab
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How to Create a Pareto in Minitab (cont’d) Example 1 – Error Type While Downloading File
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Ishikawa (Fishbone) or Cause and Effect Diagram Example: Inner/Outer Rings of Ball Bearings
Eliminate Bottlenecks
Bottlenecks:
• A point in a process where Demand > Capacity
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type)
Types of Capacity
Ce = Cd x U
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Continuous Learning
Highest quality, lowest cost,
shortest lead time by
eliminating wasted time and activity Capabilities & Skills Lean Building Blocks
Decision
Strategic Planning C&E Pareto chart
support Plannng
Diagram systems
Employee Empowerment
Just in Time (JIT) Jidoka Information & Support
PDSA Advanced
• Produce what • Manual or Systems Access
Push & Pull
Financial Excellence
Process Excellence
Client Satisfaction
Results Feed the
you need automatic line Pull Value Organization’s
• Non-batching stop & Streamline Flow Takt Time Kanban
SMED Andon Balanced Score
• Pull • Separate Card
Structured
operator and Jidoka
Problem Solving Standardized work FMEA
machine Plan -Do-Check -Act
activities Spaghetti Diagrams
5S Kaizen
• Error proofing Basic Stability
Events
• Visual control
Basic Knowledge Throughput
Visual Management Hejunka
Time
(Getting Started) Value
Operational Stability
High Performing
Transformational
Stream
Lean Tools
Push & Pull Value Stream Map
Visual Control Heijunka
Kanban Time and Motion
Takt Time SIPOC
Throughput and Throughput
Time
Standardized Work Lean Tools
Jidoka & Andon
Mistake Proofing (Poka-Yoke) • Lean tools for identifying opportunity
Single Minute Exchange of Die • Lean tools for improving flow
(SMED) • Lean tools for improving quality/reducing errors
5Ss • Lean tools for implementation
Kaizen Blitz Event
Spaghetti Diagram
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T = W / D (time unit)
• Transport time
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SIPOC – Template
Suppliers Inputs Process Outputs Customers
(Specifications) (Name) (Requirements) Excellence Through Innovative Research
Step/Activity # 1
Step/Activity #2
Six Sigma
.
.
.
Step/Activity #n
Agenda
Project Management
DMAIC
Case Studies
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Pexton (2005)
Bendell (2006)
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Target Customer The Classical View of Quality The Six Sigma View of Quality
Specification “99% Good” (Z = 3.8σ) “99.99966% Good” (Z = 6σ)
BEFORE
3s 6.6% Defects
3s 20,000 lost articles of mail per hour
Customer
Specification 2 short or long landings at most One short or long landing at most
major airports daily major airports every five years
AFTER
6s No Defects
6s 200,000 wrong drug prescriptions
each year
68 wrong drug prescriptions
each year
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1818: Gauss uses the normal curve 1924: Walter A. Shewhart introduces
to explore the mathematics of error the control chart and the distinction of
analysis for measurement, probability special vs. common cause variation as
analysis, and hypothesis testing. contributors to process problems.
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Lean Sigma
• Follows the DMAIC methodology for project management
Lean Methodology
McLaughlin & Hays (2008) Adapted from IBM Learning (2006)
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Differences: Lean vs. Six Sigma The Lean Six Sigma Process
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Existing
Six-Sigma ROAD MAP Model
Existing Manufacturing
Business Suppliers Inputs /Service Outputs Customers
Processes Processes
Define
Six Sigma Measure
Methodology
Control DMAIC
Analyze
Improve
Improved
Business Quality Productivity Cost Profitability
Performance
Evans & Lindsay (2004)
Voice of the Customer Champions/Sponsors: Trained business leaders who lead the deployment
of Six Sigma in a significant business area
Define Control Black Belts: Fully-trained Six Sigma experts who lead
improvement teams, work projects across the business
and mentor Green Belts
Green Belts: Fully-trained individuals who apply
Six Sigma skills to projects in their job areas
Yellow Belts: Individuals who
Institutionalization receive specific Six Sigma training
and who support/direct/guide
projects in their areas
The DMAIC Model
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Green Belt Roles & Responsibilities Black Belt Roles & Responsibilities
Roles Responsibilities
Roles Responsibilities
Leads business process improvement projects where
Six Sigma technical expert
Six Sigma project Six Sigma approach is indicated
Demonstrated mastery of Green Belt body of knowledge
originator Temporary, full-time
Six Sigma project Demonstrated proficiency at achieving results through change agent (will return
originator the application of the Six Sigma approach to other duties after Successfully completes high-impact projects that result
completing a two to three in tangible benefits to the enterprise
Recommends and participates on Six Sigma projects year tour of duty as a
Part-time Six Sigma Leads Six Sigma teams in local improvement projects Black Belt)
change agent. Continues
Works closely with other continuous improvement Demonstrated mastery of Black Belt body of
to perform normal duties
leaders to apply formal data analysis approaches to knowledge
while participating on Six
Sigma project teams projects Demonstrated proficiency at achieving results through
the application of the Six Sigma approach
Teaches local teams, shares knowledge of Six Sigma
Internal Process Improvement Consultant for
Six Sigma champion in Successful completion of at least one Six Sigma project
functional areas
local area every 12 months to maintain their Green Belt certification
Coach/Mentor and recommends Green Belts for
Pyzdek (2003) certification Pyzdek (2003)
DMAIC Phase Steps Tools Used DMAIC Phase Steps Tools Used
D - Define Phase: Define the project goals and customer (internal and external) M - Measure Phase: Measure the process to determine current performance
deliverables
• Histogram
• Pareto Chart
•Define Customers and Requirements •Project Charter • Scatter Plot
•Develop Problem Statement, Goals and •Process Flowchart •Define Defect, Opportunity, Unit and • Cause and Effect/Fishbone Diagram
Benefits Metrics • 5 Whys
•Identify Champion, Process Owner and •SIPOC Diagram •Detailed Process Map
• Process Map Review and Analysis
Team •Stakeholder Analysis •Develop Data Collection Plan
•Validate the Measurement System • Data Collection Plan
•Define Resources
•Evaluate Key Organizational Support •DMAIC Work Breakdown Structure •Collect the Data • Benchmarking
•Determine Process Capability and Sigma
•Develop Project Plan and Milestones •CTQ Definitions Baseline
• Measurement System Analysis/Gauge R&R
•Develop High Level Process Map • Process Sigma Calculation
•Voice of the Customer Gathering
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DMAIC Phase Steps Tools Used DMAIC Phase Steps Tools Used
A - Analyze Phase: Analyze and determine the root cause(s) of the defects I - Improve Phase: Improve the process by eliminating defects
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Program Direction,
Deployment Process
Support,
Team Owner
and Marketing Leadership
Black Belt
Change Agents
and
Process Leaders
Green Belt/Lean Expert
Organizational
“Buy-in”
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Lean Six Sigma Roles (cont’d) System Value Stream Analysis (VSA)
• Yellow Belt (YB)
• Part-time position
• Yellow Belt
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Feasibility/
Patient Financial Strategic Create a Project Select Team
Likelihood Charter Members
Impact Impact Alignment ME/QM Will
of Success Does the
project
No Manage/Track the
Project
cross Schedule Project
department Identify Team
al lines? Champion(s)
5- Send Project to
5 - Medium 5 - Medium 5 - Medium SC for
Medium Prioritization
Create a Project
Charter
Select Team
Members
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• Long-time source of
Train….
frustration
Apply…..
Review….. • New regulatory
requirements
• Easiest to implement
UHSH Quality & Patient Services
-Program Management
• Stakeholder delight
--100 Lean Experts
-- 70 Champions • Biggest financial
impact
• Burning platform
Integrate training with metrics performance to maximize the bottom
line impact
• Community Need
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Project Weight Ease to Stakeholder Financial Total Using scoring scales helps to simplify the
Implement Buy in Impact
process
• 1,2,3,4…10
Weight Ease to Stakeholder Financial Total Weight Ease to Stakeholder Financial Total
Project Implement Buy in Impact
Project Implement Buy in Impact
ED TAT ED TAT 9
Pharmacy Pharmacy 1
Ordering Ordering
Billing Accuracy Billing Accuracy 5
Meal Delivery Meal Delivery 5
Outpatient Outpatient 9
Wait Times Wait Times
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Weight Ease to Stakeholder Financial Total Weight Ease to Stakeholder Financial Total
Project Implement Buy in Impact
Project Implement Buy in Impact
ED TAT 9 1 ED TAT 9 1 5
Pharmacy 1 5 Pharmacy 1 5 9
Ordering Ordering
Billing Accuracy 5 5 Billing Accuracy 5 5 5
Meal Delivery 5 5 Meal Delivery 5 5 5
Outpatient 9 1 Outpatient 9 1 9
Wait Times Wait Times
Weight Ease to Stakeholder Financial Total Weight Ease to Stakeholder Financial Total
Project Implement Buy in Impact
Project Implement Buy in Impact
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Project Scoping
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Why? Problem
CHF Core Identified
Measure Why?
Scores are The process is
poor
too complex Why?
We are not
Level I performing Why? YES Root N
The Complex Cause O
well on ¾ of Known?
Process,
Level II elements Documentation,
follow-up, Med Streamline process & Solution Problem
Level lII Rec documentation
Known? Type?
Level IV YES N
O
VELOCITY VARIATION
Project Level
Our project then becomes in measurable terms: Just Do It!
Rapid Improvement
Workshop
Process VSA
Six Sigma/DMAIC
Project
Improving CHF Core Measure Performance by 25% of base-
line within 3 months post implementation
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Six Sigma Project Charter Template Six Sigma Project Charter Template (cont’d)
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Scope Time
• Definite End Management Management
Procurement
Quality
Management
Management
(Vendors
)
Risk
Management
• PROJECT PLANNING
• Why so Important?
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• Project • Agenda
• Shows time and probabilities
Technical Design Discuss and develop technical
• Face to Face As Needed Technical Technical Lead • Meeting
Meetings design solutions for the project.
Staff Minutes
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• Scheduling • Scheduling:
• PERT
• CPM
• Improves on the Gantt chart by showing the relationships
• Builds on PERT
between tasks
• Adds the concept of cost per unit time that a project runs
• project is viewed as an integrated whole
• allows for the determination of the longest series of inter-
• time value for each activity is known
related events that must be completed in the project: the
• perfect for complex projects critical path
• PERT coordinates and synchronizes various parts of the • The times associated with the activities must be well
overall job estimated and costs calculated
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• Scheduling
(predecessors, successors)
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D - Define Phase:
• Define Customers and Requirements
(CTQs)
• Develop Problem Statement, Goals
and Benefits
• Identify Champion, Process Owner
and Team
• Define Resources
• Evaluate Key Organizational Support
• Develop Project Plan and Milestones
• Develop High Level Process Map
Information
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Example 1 Example 2
Check sheet depicting telephone interruptions Checklist of a device assembly startup run
Luke (2011)
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Histogram Examples
Histograms
Bar graph that shows frequency data which provide the easiest way to Composition in n-3 and n-6 fatty acids of farmed and
evaluate the distribution of data wild rainbow trout and salmon (% of total fatty acids)
Developing a histogram:
• Step 1: Collect data and sort it into categories
• Step 2: Label the data set
Independent variable: The characteristic of data set in each category
Dependent variable: The frequency of data set in that category
• Step 3: Each mark on both axes should be in equal increments
• Step 4: For each category, find the related frequency and make the
horizontal marks to show that frequency
Some applications:
• To determine and compare the distribution of sales, services, quantities
• To understand how the output of a process relates to customer expectations
http://www.dfo-mpo.gc.ca/aquaculture/ref/morin_aaq-eng.htm
Applications:
• To study and identify direct relationship between 2 variables (e.g., number
of patient visits to a hospital each hour of the day)
http://www.dfo-mpo.gc.ca/aquaculture/ref/morin_aaq-eng.htm
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Problem:
"As cheese ages, various chemical processes take place that determine the taste
of the final product. In a study of cheddar cheese from the LaTrobe Valley of
Victoria, Australia, samples of cheese were analyzed for their chemical
composition and were subjected to taste tests. Overall taste scores were
obtained by combining the scores from several tasters. This dataset contains
concentrations of various chemicals in 30 samples of mature cheddar cheese,
and a subjective measure of taste for each sample. The variables "Acetic Acid"
and "H2S" are the natural logarithm of the concentration of acetic acid and
hydrogen sulfide respectively. The variable "Lactic Acid" has not been
transformed."
McLaughlin & Hays (2008)
statsci.org
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0.002 0 0
statsci.org
Features: Problem:
• Time based • Team suspect that theoretical output quantities does NOT
• Cyclical equal actual results (actual output yield is fluctuating)
• Shows pattern
Action
• Team developed a run chart
http://community.asq.org/statistics/category/Run-Chart
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Matrix Diagrams
Arrow Diagrams
• Step 10: Lay the groups outs, keeping the affinity clusters together Affinity Statement
Data Card Data Card
Data Card
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Tertiary Tertiary
Cause Secondary Cause
Primary Cause Cause
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Construction:
• Step 1: Write Tree Diagram topic (Objective card)
• Step 2: Identify constraints on how objective can be achieved
• Step 3: Discuss means of achieving objective (primary means, first level
strategy)
• Step 4: Take each primary mean, write objective for achieving it (secondary
means)
• Step 5: Continue to expand to the fourth level
• Step 6: Review each system of means in both directions (from objective to
means and means to objective)
• Step 7: Add more cards (if needed) and connect all of them
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Construction:
Step 1: Write final-level means from Tree Diagram forming y-axis
Step 2: Write evaluation categories (efficacy, practicability, and rank) on x-axis
Step 3: Examine final-level means to identify whom will implement them
Step 4: Write names along horizontal axis
Step 5: Label group of columns as “Responsibilities” and right-hand end of horizontal axis
as “Remarks”
Step 6: Examine each cell and insert the appropriate symbol
Step 7: Determine score for each combination of symbols, record in rank column
Step 8: Examine cells under Responsibility Columns, insert double-circle for Principal
and single-circle for Subsidiary
Step 9: Fill out remarks column and record meanings of symbol
Michalski (1997)
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NO
developed
NO NO
YES YES NO
NO NO
YES
NO
Goal http://www.itrcweb.org/ism-1/6_LABORATORY_SAMPLE_PROCESSING_AND_ANALYSIS.html
Construction:
Step 1: Set-up goal, its alternatives, and criteria for decision
Step 2: Place selection in order of importance
Step 3: Apply percentage weight to each option (all weights should add up to 1)
Step 4: Sum individual ratings to establish overall ranking (Divide by number of options for
average ranking)
Step 5: Rank order each option with respect to criterion (Average the rankings and apply a
completed ranking)
Step 6: Multiply weight by associated rank in Matrix
Step 7: Result is Importance Score and add up them in each case
Step 8: Rank order the alternatives according to importance
Next, complete the diagram
http://www.itrcweb.org/ism-1/6_LABORATORY_SAMPLE_PROCESSING_AND_ANALYSIS.html
Based solely on numerical data
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There are various parameters in a process but all of them may not be
as significant or critical as the ones quoted / expected by the CTQs usually must be interpreted from a qualitative customer
customer statement to an actionable, quantitative business specification
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CTQ Example
http://www.whatissixsigma.net/six-sigma-dmaic-define-phase/
Contents
2. Basic Statistics
5. Probability Distributions
6. Process Capability
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Process Data
Attribute data:
• Categorical data that can be counted
• Pass/fail, good/bad, etc.
• Cross-sectional —data that are collected over a single What type of data will we need to answer the question?
period of time Where can we find the data?
• Time series —data collected over time Who can provide the data?
Number of variables How can we collect the data with minimum effort and with
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future?
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“A good sampling plan should select a sample at the lowest cost Sampling error (statistical error)
that will provide the best possible representation of the population, Non-sampling error (systematic error)
consistent with the objectives of precision and reliability that have Factors to consider:
Stratified sampling
Systematic sampling
Cluster sampling
Judgment sampling
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Learning Math!
Basic Statistics
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The mean is the arithmetic average of the population: The median is the middle value of the sample or
population. If the data are arranged into an
array (an ordered data set):
3, 3, 5, 6, 8
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Mathematical Descriptions
Coefficient of Variation Basic Statistics – Example
Dataset:
The coefficient of variation (CV) is a measure of the 27 17 12 7 21 44 23 3 36 32 21
relative variation in the data. It is the standard deviation
divided by the mean Mean:
Mode, M =21
Median, (n+1)/2 th data= (11+1)/2 th data = 21
Measure
Y = customer CTQs
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Measurement – the act of quantifying the performance A statistical tool to explore the variation in a measurement
system
dimensions of products, services, processes, and other
Due to:
business activities. Calibration: Drift in average measurements of an absolute value
Stability: Drift the absolute value over time
Measures and indicators - numerical information that Repeatability: Variation in measuring equipment when measured by one appraiser in
the same setting at the same time
results from measurement Reproducibility: Variation in measurement when measured by two or more
• Defects/unit appraisers multiples times
Linearity: Accuracy of measurement at various measurement points of measuring
• Errors/opportunity range in the equipment
Bias: It’s the difference between the actual and observed measurement at various
• DPMO measurement points of the measuring
range
All data from the process should be filtered through this system
An Introduction to Six Sigma and Process Improvement (2009)
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Variation:
Precise but not Accurate but not Not accurate or Accurate and
accurate precise precise precise
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• A number of appraisers (usually two or three) measure a number of parts (or process r: no. of appraisers (operators)
output) (usually 5 to 20) a number of times (usually two or three)
m: no. of trials
• Results are compared within each appraiser (Repeatability) and between appraisers
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Reproducibility
• AV is Appraiser variation
• If a negative value is calculated under the square root sign, the value AV defaults to
zero
• n = No. of parts
• m = No. of trials
• K2 = 5.15/d2 where d2 depends the no. of trials (m) and (g)
Part variation
Control limits
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%EV = 100(EV/TV)
http://www.dmaictools.com/dmaic-measure/grr
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Repeatability:
Equipment Variation (EV): 0.048916505
Reproducibility:
R & R:
R&R: 1.279257581
Part variation:
PV: 4.565602837
%EV 1.03 OK
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Process Capability
The range over which the natural variation of a process
occurs as determined by the system of common causes
Measured by the proportion of output that can be
produced within design specifications
A measure of how well the process can produce output
Process Capability that meets desired standards or specifications
Compares process specifications (set by the customer or
management) to control limits (the natural or common
variability in the process)
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Test for Stability and Control Short Term (Cp) vs. Long Term (Pp) Capability
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(a) (b)
Meets Specification
specification specification
YES NO
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Cp=2, Process
Cp >= 1.33 Achieved 6 Sigma
Process is Quality
capable
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40 min?
Summary
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Contents Analysis
Analysis is the examination of processes, facts, and data
1. Correlation Coefficient to gain an understanding of why problems occur and
where opportunities for improvement exist
2. Regression Analysis
3. Confidence Intervals
4. Hypothesis Testing
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metrics
Causation:
A cause that produces an effect which gives rise to any action, phenomenon, or condition
Cause Effect
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Y Y Y
X X X
r = -1 r = -.6 r=0
Y
Y Y
X X X
r = +1 r = +.3 r=0
http://www.syque.com/quality_tools/toolbook/
http://www.syque.com/quality_tools/toolbook/
http://www.syque.com/quality_tools/toolbook/
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Regression Analysis
Linear regression:
It is used to described a straight line that best fits a series of ordered pairs (x,y)
• One variable is considered independent (=predictor) variable (x) and the other the
dependent (=outcome) variable y
b x
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Exercise: Simple Linear Regression (cont’d) Exercise: Simple Linear Regression (cont’d)
Errors associated with the various linear models Sum of squared errors associated with the various linear
models
The best line = 1.3(X) + 2.4 has the lowest squared error
of all the models
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Variation
n Sample size
Hypothesis Testing
Make statement(s) regarding unknown population parameter values
based on sample data
Conjectures Î
A … or … B (Hypotheses)
Consequences
Motivation:
Examine two opposing
conjectures (hypotheses), H0
and HA
Zone of Belief
Hypothesis Testing
(Test Method)
Evaluation
hypotheses are mutually exclusive
and exhaustive
collect and analyze sample
information - for the purpose of
determining which of the two
hypotheses is true and vice versa
Beyond the issue of truth,
addressed statistically, is the issue
of justice which is beyond the
scope of statistical investigation
Gather & Evaluate
An assumption about the population parameter
Facts
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Tests About
a
Population Mean
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Test Statistic:
Null hypothesis:
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Hypothesis Testing
Example Solution Type I (α) and Type II (β) Errors
Ho: μ1=μ2 Ha: μ1≠μ2
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df
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Contents
Signal Measured
factors System response
What we learn from an experiment may depend on WHERE we look,
HOW we look, and the SCOPE of our view!!!
Control factors
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Ex.: Samples from the same batch Experimental Error: It’s the variation in the response variables when levels and
Interaction: It’s Effect of one input factor that depends on level of another input factors are held constant
factor Experimental Design: It’s the formal experiment plan that includes the responses,
factors, levels, blocks, treatments, replication and so on
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Table 1: Hypothetical Data for Driving Study: Average Number of Lane Deviations
Main
effect Interaction
effect
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• Each individual
Factor A
measurement is 1 2 … j … a
composition of 1 … … … … … …
• Overall mean 2 … … … … … …
• Effects
Factor B
… … … … … … …
• Interactions i … … … yijk … …
n
• Measurement errors replications
… … … … … … …
b … … … … … …
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Example 1 – DOE for Printed Circuit Board Quality Example 1 – DOE for Printed Circuit Board Quality
Improvement Improvement
1. Define the experiment objective: 3. Factors and levels
¾ The objective is to determine the optimal settings of the
critical-to quality factors in the screening process of PCB.
Any defect in the solder joint can lead to circuit failure, the
screening process is regarded as the most critical process
in PCB manufacturing. According to the current process
capability study of a PCB company, the capability of the
screening process is under 1.33—the company
requirement.
Example 1 – DOE for Printed Circuit Board Quality Example 1 – DOE for Printed Circuit Board Quality
Improvement Improvement
4. Design the experiment 5. Experiment Run
¾ Experimental conditions
(1) Room temperature: 25C ¾ “A full factorial experiment was carried out, and the whole
(2) Room humidity: 56%
(3) Machine number: 12 experiment was completed in about two hours. There were
(4) Number of operators: 1
48 types of printing, and two PCBs were measured for
(5) Model: Neptune
(6) Snap off distance: nearly zero
each type of printing. In total, 96 PCBs were measured,
(7) Squeegee pressure: 28 bar
(8) Squeegee speed: 0.7 inch/sec and 480 solder paste height data were collected for
(9) Point locations: J1, U1, U1, U2, U2, and
(10) Specification: (4.5–7) mil analysis.”
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Example 1 – DOE for Printed Circuit Board Quality Example 1 – DOE for Printed Circuit Board Quality
Improvement Improvement
6. Results (Main effect plots) 7. Normal effect plots for height average
Example 1 – DOE for Printed Circuit Board Quality Example 1 – DOE for Printed Circuit Board Quality
Improvement Improvement
8. Normal effect plots for height variation 9. Data Analysis—Interactions.
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ANalysis Of VAriance
(ANOVA)
One-way ANalysis Of VAariance (ANOVA) is It’s a method for comparing several population means and a factor in ANOVA
describes the cause of the variation in the data.
used to test hypotheses about three or more • Conditions for applying ANOVA:
levels of treatment. A t-test will give the same a. Population should be normally distributed
b. The samples must be independent of each other
information as an ANOVA when there are only c. Each population must have the same variance
two treatment levels of interest. Procedure:
Two-way and higher ANOVAs are used when
there is more than one type of treatment variable
of interest.
MANOVA/MANCOVA are used when there is
more than one outcome or dependent variable of
interest.
Munro et al. (2007)
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Source of
Sum of squares DF Mean squares F-statistic
“Daily product defect rates are collected on three different methods
variation
Between treatment K-1 of production.
Within treatment N-k
Total N-1
• The Null Hypothesis (H0) is stated: There is no statistically
N # reading T Grand total of readings
significant difference in the daily product defect rates and the
n # per level (or treatment)
Michalski (1997)
Munro et al. (2007)
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Calculate F-ratio
1 7 12 14 19
2 8 17 18 25
3 15 13 19 22
4 11 18 17 23
5 9 19 16 18
Michalski (1997)
6 10 15 18 20
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7. Assign the predicted severity, occurrence, and detection levels and compare and controls
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Summary: Steps to Perform FMEA (cont’d) Summary: Steps to Perform FMEA (cont’d)
6. Determine the worst potential consequence (or effect) of each 9. Rate the severity of each effect (on a scale of 1 to 10, with 10 being the
possible Failure. most severe). This rating should reflect the impact of any controls
7. Identify the cause(s) (contributory factors) of each potential failure. that reduce the severity of the effect.
An RCA can be helpful in this step. Note that there may be more 10. Rate the likelihood (occurrence score) that each cause will occur (on
than one cause for each potential failure. a scale of 1 to 10, with 10 being certain to occur). This rating should
8. Identify any failure “controls” that are currently present. A control reflect the impact of any controls that reduce the likelihood of
reduces the likelihood that causes or failures will occur, reduces the occurrence.
severity of an effect, or enables the occurrence of a cause or failure 11. Rate the effectiveness of each control (on a scale of 1 to 10, with 1
to be detected before it leads to the adverse effect. being an error-free detection system).
12. Multiply the three ratings by one another to obtain the risk priority
number (RPN) for each cause or contributory factor.
13. Use the RPNs to prioritize problems for corrective action. All causes
that result in an effect with a severity of 10 should be high on the
priority list, regardless of RPN.
14. Develop an improvement plan to address the targeted causes (who,
when, how assessed, etc.).
[Healthcare Operations Management, 2008] [Healthcare Operations Management, 2008]
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Summary: Steps to Perform FMEA (cont’d) Summary: Steps to Perform FMEA (cont’d)
Number
Severity to Occurrence of the Detection of Occ: Likelihood of Occurrence (1-10)
Organization Severity Occurrence
Damage without Absolute
10
warning
Very high (1 in 2)
Uncertainty Det: Likelihood of Detection (1-10)
9 Damage with warning Very high (1 in 3) Very remote
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House of Quality/Quality
Function Deployment (QFD)
http://www.isa.org/InTech
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Product
Requirements
Technical Identify Correlation between each Need
Requirements
& Specification
Process
Requirements
Product Establish Specification into Hierarchy
Requirements
Control
Requirements
Process
www.thequalitycatalyst.com Requirements (Eppinger & Ulrich, 2001)
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Appointment
appointment
length range
Information
Subsequent
Customer
notification
notification
needs
schedule
On-time
on need
Time to
Initial
Knowledge that it is time for an office visit Time knowledge
Knowledge of why follow-up is needed Why knowledge
Convenient
Convenient to schedule
Appointment length
Known appointment length Appointment time
Appointment on time
appointmen
Subsequent
U Weak = 1
notification
notification
advantage
Appointme
Informatio
n on need
Subsequent
notification
notification
nt length
Appointme
Informatio
schedule
appointme
On-time
n on need
Time to
nt length
schedule
On-time
Initial
range
Time to
Initial
range
t
nt
Time knowledge 5
Time knowledge 5 D
Why knowledge 3 Why knowledge 3 D
Convenient 4
Appointment length 3
Convenient 4 D
Appointment time 4 Appointment length 3 D
Appointment time 4 D
Binghamton University 415 Binghamton University 416
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Relationships:
Appointment
appointment
length range
Information
D Strong = 5
Subsequent
notification
notification
appointmen
Subsequent
notification
notification
Appointme
Informatio
Medium = 3
n on need
schedule
On-time
nt length
on need
schedule
Time to
U Weak = 1
On-time
Time to
Initial
Initial
range
t
Time knowledge 5 5 3
Time knowledge 5 5 3
Why knowledge 3 5
Why knowledge 3 5
Convenient 4 5
Convenient 4 3
Appointment length 3 5 3
Appointment length 3 5 3
Appointment time 4 3 5
Appointment time 4 3 5
25 15 15 20 27 29
Binghamton University 417 Binghamton University 418
appointmen
Subsequent
Subsequent
notification
notification
notification
notification
Appointme
Appointme
85% compliance
Informatio
Informatio
n on need
n on need
nt length
nt length
schedule
schedule
On-time
On-time
Time to
Time to
Initial
Initial
range
range
t
t
Time knowledge 5 5 3 Time knowledge 5 5 3
Why knowledge 3 5 Why knowledge 3 5
Convenient 4 5 Convenient 4 5
Appointment length 3 5 3 Appointment length 3 5 3
Appointment time 4 3 5 Appointment time 4 3 5
25 15 15 20 27 29 25 15 15 20 27 29
Binghamton University 419 Binghamton University 420
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Contents
2. Control Plan
Measure
Analyze
Improve Tools
Control Tools
Binghamton University 423 Binghamton University 424
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SPC
Out-of-Control Situations SPC (cont’d)
50% of
patients 10% of
wait patients
more wait
than 30 more
minutes than 30
minutes
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If assignable causes are present, the process output is not stable over time
and is not predicable
Prediction
?
?? ? ?
? ?
Frequency
? ?
? ?
? ?
? ??
?? ?
Frequency
Prediction
Weight
Weight
Binghamton University 429 Binghamton University 430
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Population and Sampling Distribution (cont’d) Variable Control Chart: Xbar and R
• Determine sample size and frequency
• Calculate average and range, and the average of both measures
• Calculate the control limits based on the subgroup sample size
Sampling • Plot the data and analyze the chart
distribution
of means Upper Control Limit Lower Control Limit
Process
distribution Range (R) Chart
of means
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R chart
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p control chart
np control chart
u control chart
C control chart
n= sample size
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Example – P-Chart
http://www.syque.com/quality_tools/toolbook/Control/example.htm
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Case Study I: A Case Study In Small Scale Industry A Case Study In Small Scale Industry (cont’d)
¾ Ball-bearing manufacturing facility ¾ Grinding process plays a crucial role in the making of
¾ Study was conducted in the unit where inner rings (IR)
and outer rings (OR) of ball bearings are processed Rings
¾ Main process in IR and OR is the grinding process ¾ All the grinding machines are computer controlled
¾ Tight tolerances are required in finishing of both IR and
machines
OR up to a level of 3 – 10 microns.
¾ Besides dimension other requirements are ¾ Even though the machines are computer controlled there
¾ Surface finish are still rejections of rings
¾ Free from pin holes
¾ Ovality of the rings ¾ Rejection rate was 2.2%
¾ Demagnetization
A Case Study In Small Scale Industry (cont’d) A Case Study In Small Scale Industry (cont’d)
¾ Inner/outer ring manufacturing process ¾ DMAIC
¾ Bearing steel (SAE 52100) is machined (turned) or forged ¾ Define
into rough cut, basic ring configurations ¾ Defining process stages using SIPOC
¾ Rings are machined to within rough tolerance ¾ Reduction in rejection rate of IR and OR is targeted
specifications
¾ Rings are heat treated to increase the steel’s strength
¾ Ring faces receive the final grinding, removing any rough
spots
¾ Ring OD and ID are finish ground to a smooth surface
¾ Raceways are also finish ground to an even surface
¾ Raceways are honed to a polished finish
¾ Rings are then cleaned and readied for assembly
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A Case Study In Small Scale Industry (cont’d) A Case Study In Small Scale Industry (cont’d)
¾ DMAIC ¾ DMAIC
¾ Measure ¾ Analyze
¾ Measurement system analysis is conducted which includes ¾ Pareto Chart
gauge repeatability and reproducibility studies. ¾ Bearing rings
¾ Gauge R&R study, results indicate repeatability as 1.97% and rejection arises due
reproducibility as 0.18% and the total measurement variation to:
to be 2.15% ¾ Bore diameter
defect (BD)
¾ Track defects (TD)
¾ Face defects (FD)
¾ Outside diameter
defects (OD)
¾ Bore diameter defects
caused the major
portion in rejection of
Reddy & Reddy (2010)
rings Reddy & Reddy (2010)
A Case Study In Small Scale Industry (cont’d) A Case Study In Small Scale Industry (cont’d)
¾ DMAIC ¾ DMAIC
¾ Analyze ¾ Analyze
¾ Cause & Effect diagram ¾ Parameters which affect the bore diameter based on C&E :
¾ Material composition
¾ Machine settings
¾ Coolant quality
¾ Measurement of rings
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A Case Study In Small Scale Industry (cont’d) A Case Study In Small Scale Industry (cont’d)
¾ DMAIC ¾ DMAIC
¾ Improve ¾ Improve
¾ Steps in improve phase: ¾ Steps in improve phase (cont’d):
¾ Supplier quality: maintain consistency in material composition ¾ Coolant quality: recycling and change of coolant at regular
as well as dimensions intervals
¾ Machine settings: operators trained on machine setting as well ¾ Loading and unloading (handling): Loading and unloading
as in statistical methods useful in quality control points in the machines are arranged in the best manner to
¾ Tool life (grinding wheel): for each specific bearing size, avoid the damage to the things
optimum grinding wheel life has been estimated and instructed ¾ Power supply quality: Steps initiated to stabilize the power
A Case Study In Small Scale Industry (cont’d) A Case Study In Small Scale Industry (cont’d)
¾ DMAIC ¾ DMAIC
¾ Control ¾ Control
¾ Sigma levels before and after improvement ¾ Pareto chart after improvement
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A Case Study In Small Scale Industry (cont’d) A Case Study In Small Scale Industry (cont’d)
¾ DMAIC ¾ DMAIC
¾ Control ¾ Control
¾ Process capability after improvement ¾ T-test for 2009 vs.2008
Project Title: ED Throughput Project Scope: What is the Right Y (CTQ) to Measure? How will it be measured?
In Scope - Treat to Street pts, Staffing patterns (ED MDs
Y = Door to Doc Time. From the time a patient enters through the door until the physician
& RNs), Equip’t, FTEs, Registration, Lab, X-R.
enters the exam room to assess the patient, measured in minutes.
Out of Scope - ED Admits, ED Hold Hours, Bed Control,
Housekeeping, Transport to Floor, MR, US, CT, Pharm.
Customer(s):
Patients, Physicians
What is our goal?
Improve the average ED Throughput Time for Patients by 40%.
Potential Benefits:
• Decrease LWBS
Reduce the weighted average Door-to-Doc time from 65 minutes to 40 minutes.
Project Description : • Increase patient satisfaction (Press Ganey #s) Improve our throughput yield of patients seeing a physician within 60 minutes (USL) from
Moving patients through the ED takes too long. • Reduce ED LOS (Soft Dollars) 67% current to 80%.
One-third of patients wait longer than 60 minutes to This reduction in defect rate of 13% represents over 7,500 customers.
be seen by a physician.
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Analyze Analyze
Statistical Analysis
Value Stream Map Opportunities for Performance Improvements:
ED Lab
Call critical values
Waiting
Patient Flow Room Treatment
People Flow
Tube/blood
(RN, MD, etc.)
E-Info Flow
MD
Other Flow
(blood, etc.)
Phone Call Arr QR QR Triage Triage Bed Bed MD
Patient Wait Time 6.3 min 11.6 min 23.5 min 22.9 min
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Improve Improve
Bedside Registration What is the mean and median of our process? What is the standard
deviation?
Triage
EKG, Draw
Measure Phase Control Phase +Δ %
Blood, UA, Registration Non-value added Mean score 64.3 minutes 39.8 minutes 38.1%
Front Order X-Ray,
Desk / QR
administer Pain
med
If rooms ful step removed Median 38.5 minutes 34.0 minutes 11.7%
2- RNs
may reg pt Standard Deviation 44.7 minutes 27.7 minutes 38.0%
while
1 Tech
waiting.
HI/LO 241 / 11 minutes 129 / 4 minutes 46.5% (HI; outliers)
Range 230 minutes 125 minutes 45.7%
ED
What is our process capability (Z score, DPMO, Yield %)?
Waiting Z Short-Term Score = 1.91σ 2.35σ 0.44σ
Patient Flow Room DPMO = 333,333 175,000 <109,523>
People Flow Yield % = 66.7% 82.5% 15.8%
(RN, MD, etc.) Impacts:
1 – Inc. Patient Satisfaction
E-Info Flow 2 – Red. time by 8.7 minutes
Patient Wait Time
3 – Red. variability in process
www.healthcare.isixsigma.com www.healthcare.isixsigma.com
What are our financial results? How were they calculated? Project Title: Linen Utilization
Our Financial Impact is $1,120,650 and reflects the improvement in LWBS visits and the
corresponding admissions as well as a conservative (5%) recognition as a result of Project Description: To Identify
throughput improvement. opportunities within the organization
which allows for better linen utilization
without compromising quality or patient
What is the plan for monitoring/ auditing the process? What is the Control care.
Plan?
Problem Statement: Currently, linen usage is
higher than what is expected for a facility of size
and acuity level. We need to look for ways to
better utilize our daily linen supply and lower
our overall pounds per patient day as well as
our cost per patient day.
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What are the data sources? How will the data be collected?
Data Sources include the Linen Distribution Program currently in place, as
well as national benchmark data.
Step 7 Step 6 Step 5
Secondary Linen carts are Linen re-stock
deliveries are made exchanged for amounts are
What is our goal? to units as required those already on recorded in Textile
at 12 hour mark. Nursing Units. tracking program.
To reduce the overall linen utilization to between 14 and 16 pounds per
patient day.
www.healthcare.isixsigma.com www.healthcare.isixsigma.com
Measure
Graphical Analysis
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Achieved goal of 14 Pounds per Patient Day. Education and focus on Scrubs,
and ancillary usage will contribute to maintaining this goal.
www.healthcare.isixsigma.com www.healthcare.isixsigma.com
What are our financial results? How were they calculated? • Four hospital system enjoying 50% market
share
Our Per Patient Day costs for linen have decreased by 20% over 2002. From
an average of 20lbs to an average of 16lbs. • Materials management improvements needed
to leverage economies of scale, utilize best
practices, and prevent inefficiencies:
• Pricing structure for orthopedic implants
What is the WWW (Who-What-When) plan for turning the project over to the highly variable
process owner? What is the plan for monitoring/auditing the process?
• Inconsistent orthopedic implant utilization Barry D. Brown Health Education
The process is a permanent one and will be tracked through reports given to • Deficiencies in OR charge master capture Center at Virtua West Jersey Hospital
Voorhees
the units, Executive Sponsor, and the Linen Utilization Committee. • Gap in OR supplies between what patient
pays vs. what hospital is charged
The Linen Utilization Committee will oversee the process and progress. • OR “on hand” inventory management
needed
Process Improvement to Reduce Cost
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Solutions… Results
• Orthopedic Implant Pricing Cap… Determined • Project results along with data shifted purchases to a primary orthopedic
actual versus lowest and average prices to establish implant vendor, savings of $159,000 were attained.
a fair cap price.
• Annual savings of $239,400 through demand matching template at all
• Orthopedic Implant Demand Matching… hospital sites that do hip and knee replacement surgery.
Examined 132 medical records and compared
implants used against widely accepted industry • Patient billing data review indicated potential loss of greater than $200,000
criteria for implant selection by orthopedist annually due to missing charges, much of which was rectified with the
• Charge Master Review… Reviewed OR charge corrections in the current charge masters.
master systems and identified opportunities for • Project savings attained totaled $63,845 plus shared savings with
improvement and standardization orthopedic cap project.
• Price Point Reduction… Identified price reduction • Conservative inventory reduction by facility: Facility A $187k, Facility B
opportunities $92k, Facility C $47k, and Facility D $18k. Represents an 8% reduction of
• OR Inventory Reduction… HISI contracted to the $4.1MM of baseline inventory on hand.
conduct physical inventories in four ORs and two
surgical centers Sustainable Results With Bottom Line Impact
www.healthcare.isixsigma.com www.healthcare.isixsigma.com
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www.vahimss.org www.vahimss.org
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Number of Hours to Surgery did not Effect LOS Perforations Did Affect LOS
www.vahimss.org www.vahimss.org
Standardize protocol for surgeon involvement in case Implement new Abdominal pain protocol that involves
Standardize lab/radiology utilization per case standardized testing and notification of surgeon.
Implement new triage process to see patients sooner Incorporate protocol into new triage process for the
Emergency room
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Further Successes
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Thank You!
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