Analysing Profitability of Opening A Subway Sandwiches Franchise in Stockbridge
Analysing Profitability of Opening A Subway Sandwiches Franchise in Stockbridge
Analysing Profitability of Opening A Subway Sandwiches Franchise in Stockbridge
Stockbridge:
1.1 Introduction
Where is a suitable restaurant that serves fast food and has healthy
options in Stockbridge? Currently, there is none of this kind of
dining experience. Due to the increase in percentage of people
nationwide that are trying to eat a healthier diet and run healthier
lifestyle, it seems as though there is a slight niche in the market
here.
There are many fatty fast food restaurants in the area, such as
Franco's and Pizza Hut but no healthy food can be bought in these two
places. Subway is a sandwich making restaurant which the sandwiches
are highly customizable so is made exactly to the customer's desires.
Stockbridge is a small area with one main street which mainly consists
of tertiary sector small retail stores and many housing area around
this central street. The retail stores bring consumers into the area
with cash to buy goods with and some of this money will be spent on
meals while the consumer is out of their home.
1.2 Objectives:
Without objectives any firm will fail. Objectives are usually the
firm's targets but they are written out in such a way so that they are
SMART (specific, measurable, agreed, realistic, time measured). The
main objective is to create a feasibility study into the profitability
of setting up a branch of the Subway franchise in Stockbridge.
* Competitors
* Suppliers
Where will a business get its stock from? Will the food still be fresh
after a long journey from the suppliers? The location of suppliers is
just as important to the cost of stock, especially in the food
business where freshness is the key to quality and quality is the main
way the business uses to attract customers.
* Customers
Customers form the basis of any business. Without them, the business
would not be able to create any revenue and would therefore fail.
* Brand Image
The brand image is how customers will distinguish your product from
the others in the same market. If customers think higher of one
product over another then they are far more likely to buy the product
which they prefer unless the value they place on it is less than the
price. Having a large brand image will help get customers to be loyal
to a business or product and not go to competition instead.
* Finances
Cash is the gears behind a business that make it work. The cash is
used in every transaction a firm does with anyone else and is used by
businesses to help in growth. Money is needed to start and maintain a
business so is fairly important and should be considered in much
detail.
1.3 Research:
Research is the method used to collect information that can later on
be used to create plans for the future, for example for creating
objectives, aims or targets. This information is data collected
directly from the source as raw data. This data must then be sorted
and reorganised until it can become useful. Secondary information is
data that has already been collected and sorted and can usually be
found on hard-copy or by asking experts in the field that is being
researched.
This study will mainly consist of secondary research for finding facts
and figures about the area of Stockbridge such as the number of
residents in the area itself. I will then know my potential market.
This information is better than primary information because it is
usually done on a very large scale to get the most accurate results
possible for the people who use it whereas the results may be very
wrong in a small survey done over 15 people. If there are a decent
number of residents in the area then I can assume that a fair amount
of those people will at some stage visit the subway branch and may
become regular customers due to the ease of getting from their homes
to the store. Repeat customers have been known to make up the vast
majority of the customer base as opposed to one time only customers
for most businesses in the restaurant market. Repeat customers are
also a good sign of customer satisfaction because if a customer was
not satisfied with the service on offer then they would not have come
back for a second or more time.
I will use systematic sampling to randomly choose the people that will
be surveyed in my questionnaire. This will mean I will have to ask
every 10th person who walks by during the time specified if they would
be interested in participating in a survey about opening a Subway
branch of the restaurant on that street, This should give a fairly
random sample of people asked as it is out of my control who the 10th
person to walk past will be. This should give me a large amount of
results as a copious amount of people walk past the area in which I am
going to be at so the results should give a fairly good view on the
general opinion of people of the area. The survey will be carried out
at the lunch time because the sandwiches made at the Subway franchise
are more of a lunch meal as opposed to a dinner or breakfast mean
although it does stay open from lunch through till dinner in case
anyone wants a sandwich as an afternoon snack.
I hope to find that competition in the area for the specific market
the franchise tailors to will be fairly low or easy to overcome. As in
all areas, there will always be a few restaurants so it would be
unlikely for there to be no competition in Stockbridge. Problems may
arise if there is already a supply of the same goods and services that
I want to supply to the consumers in the area.
Using the above reasoning, I have found that there is some competition
in the food market which may be hard to compete against as they may
have brand loyalty but most of the customers will be from a more
specific niche market, the market of young professionals. This will be
analysed more closely when researching the secondary objectives for
the customers.
There are many ways of finding out about potential customers. One of
these is to look at how many people there are living in the area of
Stockbridge. This is useful because it would be convenient for the
residents of that area to often have a quick snack or meal from a fast
food restaurant. By using the Census Report of 2003, I have found that
approximately 6,954 people live in the area with the postcode
beginning with EH4, which is the Stockbridge area. This number of
residents gives a promising outlook on the number of local potential
customers.
The number of households in the area with two or more cars is rated
high by the ACORN profile. This could mean that incomes may be fairly
high and couples live together. If there are two cars then each one
will probably be for each person in the couple, so at least one person
in the relationship will work because they need two cars because they
will be doing two different things at the same time. This will mean
that there is at least one professional in each household and they
will most likely be a young professional because 47.6% of people in
Stockbridge are 20-49 years of age. The socio-economic profile for the
area is the population is well educated and there are nearly three
times the amounts of professionals in Stockbridge than the national
average. Young professionals are the target market for the Subway
restaurant so this information is very promising in constructing a
customer base.
Attitudes are very important in every day life. They can determine
what we buy, where we go and what we do. ACORN tells that there is a
60% greater chance of someone being a vegetarian in Stockbridge than
the national average. This may be the cause for the low meat
consumption in the area. The most popular grocery products are ground
coffee, dog food, mineral water, fresh fish and fresh fruit. Subway
provides its customers with a range of fresh products and almost all
sandwiches bought have salad and other vegetables in them. It seems
that people in Stockbridge enjoy fresh foods and do not eat much meat.
Because of the customisability of the sandwiches, the customers can
choose what they would like on their sandwich so if they do not want
meat, it will not be added to their sandwich.
Unfortunately, winter holidays are 73% more popular and long holidays
are 2.7 times more popular than the national average so sales may be
expected to decrease in the winter and on holiday occasions. Many of
the young professionals will not travel though because they will be
hard working and want to spend lots of time on their job so may not
want to travel far away, such as abroad.
Stockbridge is a very affluent area with 3.5 times more people earning
£40,000 per annum than the national average. This will mean there is
more professionals in the area than in other places. Professionals
take their jobs very seriously and do not have long lunch breaks so
fast service is very important along with the healthy lifestyle the
majority of people now lead.
Leisure activities are very popular in the area as people are very
active. According to ACORN, they do lots of sports so probably live by
the attitude of a healthy body is a healthy mind. One part of having a
healthy body is the food they eat, eating at Franco's (an unhealthy
restaurant in Stockbridge) would not be a common option for healthy
eaters, instead they would probably prefer a healthy sandwich.
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Most of the people in the survey turned out to live in the area. Each
person who answered that they would visit the restaurant if one were
to open in Stockbridge and also said they lived in the area may become
regular customers due to the ease of being able to reach the
restaurant and they also expressed an interest in visiting the store.
Repeat customers are vital to the success of a business and make up
most of the total number of sales a business will receive.
Brand names are very important in modern society and may be the
determining factor which will help a consumer decide between two
similar brands. I wanted to find out whether Subway's brand name was
as well known in Scotland as it was in the United States of America.
On the side of the cups Subway sells for its drinks, it states,
"Subway, the leading franchise in the world." After some background
research I found this to be true as Entrepreneur Magazine[‡] rates
Subway as the number one franchise opportunity each year for the past
11 years. This shows that it is not just an advertising method. This
is one of the methods Subway uses to increase their brand awareness
and to help to increase their brand loyalty. Brand loyalty is very
important to Subway so they try to make it so that the customers do
not forget which store they are in. They do this by putting their logo
on most things on the store, for example on the walls of the store and
on the wrappers of the sandwiches. I asked other people around school
if they had heard of Subway and 19 out of 20 people said they had been
to a branch and everyone had heard of the brand. There is not another
Subway franchise in Edinburgh but still everyone has heard of it or
has been to one.
Over the past 38 years, Subway have been slowly promoting their brand
and building up a strong brand image and lots of brand loyalty. If one
were to look on the back of the number 54 NASCAR Winston Cup Car
driven by Todd Bodine at Watkins Glen, they would see the Subways logo
over the back of the car. This is a way Subway promotes their brand
into different markets. This is advertising in the market for young
people who enjoy watching cars race.
In my survey, I asked people if they had heard of Subway and out of
the 50 people asked, only 1 did not know, therefore it is safe to
assume that approximately 98% of people in the area know of the
restaurant. This is due to the promotions and advertising done by the
franchise to increase their brand awareness throughout the United
Kingdom. Out of the sample, 54% had purchased something from the
restaurant which shows us that about this percentage of the people may
be regular customers or have experienced the restaurant. Combined with
my question about how customers would rate the restaurant, this shows
that Subway is fairly popular with the public in the Stockbridge area
so I can say that there is definitely some forecasted demand for the
sandwiches sold in the restaurant.
Due to the many methods Subway uses to advertise, they have created a
very strong brand image and are very well known. This is very useful
for franchisees because their store will be well known and will be
easier to attract potential customers. This is good for my primary
objective.
Initial Fee
12500
12500
12500
Real Property (2 months rent)
2000
5000
12000
Leasehold Improvements
40000
75000
100000
2500
2500
6000
Security System
1000
2500
5000
Freight Charges
2000
3000
4000
Outside Signs
2000
4000
8000
Opening Inventory
2500
4000
5000
Insurance
800
1500
2500
Supplies
500
750
1000
Training Expenses
1500
2000
3000
Legal And Accounting
1000
2500
4500
Opening Advertising
2000
2300
2500
Miscellaneous Expenses
4000
6000
8000
12000
26000
41000
Total Investment
86300
149550
213500
With sales revenue, many things must be considered; these include a
sales volume forecast and the effect of seasons. The forecast for the
volume of sales must be looked at in three timeframes, long medium and
short term. In the short term, it seems that many people in the area
will visit the restaurant to try it to see if it meets their standards
and their tastes in food. This should mean a relatively high volume of
sales in the short term but the medium and long term sales will come
from repeat customers. Repeat customers form the main consumer base of
the majority of markets so they keep the demand high. The sales are
not likely to be affected by seasonal changes unless there is a
psychological connection with the weather and peoples' eating habits
which is yet to be proven. The price set for the product being sold to
the customers is set by the administration of the Subway franchise so
the franchisee does not need to research into pricing tactics such as
price discrimination or selective discounting.
Direct cost may include materials, stock bought and labour. As shown
in the above table, the stock each three months will cost from £500 to
£1000 but a freight charge will also have to be paid to get the stock
into the store. There would also need to be somewhere to store the
stock which must also be paid for. This could be avoided by using a
just in time basis or by having frequent, small deliveries of stock.
Due to the nature of the business, having small and frequent
deliveries would be the best option because the food must be fresh
when sold to the customer, ensuring high quality goods and service.
There are many different start-up plans Subway has to offer so even if
the franchisee does not have enough money to pay the costs, they can
get help from Subway in raising the finances. This is very useful
because it allows more franchisees to be able to afford to start up
the higher cost stores which in turn are of better quality than the
lower cost store. The total start-up investment needed to be a
franchisee ranges from £86,300 to £213,500. If the franchisee feels
they can make this money back through sales then this option seems
financially feasible.
By 5 years into the business venture, I hope that at least the initial
start-up costs will be paid off and the branch is making a continuous
profit. I would like to compare the opportunity cost of investing the
£149550 in a building society with extremely low risk instead of
investing in the business proposition with very high risk over a 5
year period.
Profit (£)
Year
Business Venture
Building Society
0
(149 550)
149 550
1
(50 550)
154 784.30
2
39 450
160 201.70
3
129 450
165 808.80
4
219 450
171 612.10
5
309 450
177 618.50
For this table, I assume the branch will make a revenue of £90 000 per
year. I also assume that there is a fixed interest rate of 3.5% on my
building society investment.
The above table shows that if the base rate remains the same then the
interest rate will also be the same and after 5 years, £177 618 would
be the amount of money the business would have by the end of the five
years that could come from investing this money into a building
society in a building society called Nationwide Building Society. If
the business venture was taken up, £309450 would be the money made
after paying back the loan.
This means that if the money were to be put into a business society
then the opportunity cost of this would be that (409 450 - 177 618.50)
£231 831.5 was missed out on.
There are many problems with this method to calculate payback, the
main one being that costs are not taken into consideration. The costs
for the business venture will be fairly high so the figures calculated
are not an accurate representation of the future, it is only a model.
The cost of investing in the building society is also not considered
because of depreciation in the economy for currency.
The second problem with this method is that it does not take into
account risk. The risk in the business venture is extremely high and
if there are problems then the franchisee will be completely liable
whereas the investing in a building society has little and almost no
risk attached to it. Risk is one of the main factors in making
important decisions about whether or not to become a franchisee. My
calculations seem to show that it would be a very profitable to take
up the business venture but it has also made me consider the factor of
risk in more detail which has led me to the conclusion that it may not
be such a good idea to take up the business venture after all.
3.1 Conclusion
After much deliberation, I feel that it is probably not the best of
ideas to start up a Subway restaurant in Stockbridge. My main
reasoning behind this is because there is so much risk involved. The
amount of risk outweighs all of the other factors and the potential
franchisee must be 100% sure that the business will succeed.
The start-up costs are very high and a large loan would have to be
taken out to reach this value of money. With interest being paid over
a period of time on a large amount borrowed, the total amount of money
that would have to be paid because of interest is very high.
If a more in depth feasibility study was carried out and more than
just the main 5 factors were considered, there may have been a
different outcome. With more time and chances, I would have looked at
as many aspects and then rated them in list of priority which could
then be used to find out whether it would be feasible or not.
3.2 Appendix
Questionnaire:
How often would you visit a Subway branch per month if one were to
open in Stockbridge?
â–¡ Other
How would you rate the service and environment inside Subway branches?
Questionnaire Results:
No: 2% (1)
If you answered NO to the last question, if one branch were to open in
Stockbridge would you ever visit it?
How often would you visit a Subway branch per month if one were to
open in Stockbridge?
Stockbridge: 23
Pilton: 3
Granton: 1
Inverleith: 11
Blackhall: 0
Other: 1
If you have visited a Subway restaurant, how would you rate the
service and environment inside Subway branches?
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5-9: 0
10-14: 1
15-19: 7
20-29: 14
30-39: 20
40+: 9
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Property Prices:
ACORN profile:
Financial- affluent areas - 3.5 times more people earning £40,000 per
annum than national average
Leisure- Winter holidays are 73% more popular and long holidays are
2.7 times more popular than national average. Eating out is extremely
popular here, particularly in the evenings. All types of cuisine are
popular (excluding English). Very active people- do lots of sports and
activities.