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PIERCE COUNTY WATERBORNE TRANSPORTATION STUDY

ADVISORY GROUP MEETING 2 AGENDA


Wednesday, January 14, 2015, 1:30-3:30pm
Steilacoom Community Center, 2301 Worthington Street

MEETING OBJECTIVES:
• Review Situation Assessment initial findings on ridership, demographics, fares, and financial outlook
and gather Advisory Group input and feedback.
• Gather input on survey design.

1:30 Welcome and Introduction Valerie Thorsen (Pierce County)/


• Objectives for today’s meeting Michael Hodgins (BERK)
• Meeting schedule
• Review December meeting summary

1:40 Ridership, Market, and Demographic Analysis Michael


• Current and historic trends
• Baseline projections

2:25 Fares and Financial Situation Vivien/Michael


• Fare structure
• Current financial situation
• Baseline financial outlook

3:10 Survey Design and Key Questions Melanie


• Summary of previous survey questions
• Areas of focus for 2015 surveys

3:20 Public Comment


3:30 Confirm Next Steps; Adjourn Michael
PIERCE COUNTY WATERBORNE TRANSPORTATION STUDY
Advisory Group Meeting: December 8, 2014
DRAFT Meeting Summary

In Attendance:
Jim Bixler (Chief, Anderson Island Fire and Kendel Lyman (Anderson Island Volunteer
Rescue) Patrol)
Marion Chenaur (Ketron Island Resident) Krista Ullis (Riviera Club Media: Anderson
Island)
Ann Dasch (Anderson Island Resident)
Laurie Vallieres (Anderson Island Elementary
Chris Frye (Anderson Island Resident)
Principal, Steilacoom School District)
Dave Jacobsen (Anderson Island Citizens’
Valerie Thorsen (Pierce County Public Works
Advisory Board Ferry Liaison)
and Utilities)
Paul Loveless (Administrator, town of
Michael Hodgins (BERK)
Steilacoom)
Melanie Mayock (BERK)

Welcome & Introductions


Michael described the purpose of the meeting: to kick off the 2014/15 Waterborne Transportation
Study Advisory Group, to share the current approach to the project, and to understand the Advisory
Group’s perspectives on the challenges and opportunities facing the Pierce County Ferry System today.
Advisory Group members introduced themselves, any organizations they are representing, and their
history on ferry issues.

Advisory Committee Structure and Purpose


Committee Purpose & Operating Procedures
The purpose of the Advisory Group is to advise the consultant and Pierce County staff on the study. The
Group was designed to represent a broad array of stakeholders.

Advisory Group members discussed the options for getting input from seasonal island residents.
Because no organization or group has been identified to represent that group, it was agreed that
general communication tools (including surveys) would be used to get input from that group.

The Advisory Group operating principles and communication protocols were reviewed. [See “Advisory
Group Roles and Responsibilities” for details.]

Public Comment Procedures


Michael described the public comment procedures. An Advisory Group member asked how the public is
notified of meetings. The County provides notification through updates posted on the Pierce County
website. (There is no official public notification required for this meeting type.)

DRAFT 1/14/15 1
PIERCE COUNTY WATERBORNE TRANSPORTATION STUDY
DRAFT ADVISORY GROUP MEETING SUMMARY, 12/8/14

Future meeting times and locations


Advisory Group members requested the meeting location and time fit with the ferry schedule. The
group settled on the second Wednesday of the month at 1:30pm for the regular meeting date and time.
The next meeting will be Wednesday, January 14th at 1:30pm. The meeting location will either be in
Steilacoom or again at the Pierce County Environmental Services Building.

Project Approach, Schedule, and Milestones


A description of the project approach, schedule, task, and products was presented. The charge of the
project is to update the 2003 study. There will be three phases: 1.) Situation Assessment; 2.)
Development of Alternatives; and 3.) Evaluation of Alternatives and Plan Development. The phases are
described in the written materials that were provided.

The baseline ridership and financial outlook describes what happens if there are no changes. Surveys are
part of that process, including origin/destination surveys of people using the ferry. This study will build
on the previous study; examine how things are different today than in 2003. The Situation Assessment
will inform the survey and help determine if there key questions that weren’t asked in 2003. There will
also be a property owner survey.

Michael responded to several questions from the group:


• Information from the County’s six-year Transportation Improvement Plan ferry element will be
used in the project.
• MAP-21 refers to federal transportation planning rules. The County’s plan must be consistent
with these rules (but the federal government doesn’t have to approve the plan).
• Hornblower Marine Services, the private contractor who operates the ferry system, will be
involved with the technical side of the study, but it’s not appropriate to have them on the
Advisory Group.
• The next meeting will include discussion about the survey – what we need to ask, how to get
responses, who we’re targeting and how.
• The Technical team includes BERK, Pierce County, and others as needed. For example, staff from
County finance, engineering.

Michael explained more about the tasks in the project approach. Tasks 2 (Population and Ridership), 3
(Service Evaluation), and 4 (Fare Analysis) will interact with each other. The Fare Analysis will examine
what role fare revenue should play in financial sustainability of this system, which is a key question. For
the Financial Analysis, fares will also play a large role. The Financial Analysis will start with a baseline
description of what the world looks like if there are no changes.

BERK will come back to the Advisory Group in January with initial findings from the Situation Assessment
and ask for feedback. Then we will transition to alternatives development.

Michael mentioned that the time-frame for this study (approximately six months) is relatively short. The
County would like to finish the study in this time frame because of other County policy decisions.

Additional questions about the project were asked:


• One Advisory Group member asked if the project will include website interface and e-
commerce. Michael explained that yes, the study will include technology assessments that may
have value to the system, such as a fare collection system. In fact, one of the first tasks for the
study is the sub-consultant IBI to review fare collection, including the kinds of systems being

DRAFT 1/14/15
PIERCE COUNTY WATERBORNE TRANSPORTATION STUDY
DRAFT ADVISORY GROUP MEETING SUMMARY, 12/8/14

offered, how they align with the marketplace, operations here and elsewhere, opportunities for
fare policies, and how to improve operations and customer convenience.
• An Advisory Group member mentioned that there had been a website breakdown and security
issues. There is a report that will be forwarded.
• An Advisory Group member mentioned that using the current website requires 19 clicks to get a
ticket. Another member commented that the community has been asking for a monthly pass for
a while, but the current system can’t handle it.

Strengths and Weaknesses of Pierce Ferry System


Michael explained that a SWOT analysis (Strength/Weakness/Opportunity/Threat) is a key part of the
situation assessment and helps determine what issues are important. He asked the group to provide
input on the strengths and weaknesses of the current system.

Strengths listed by members of the group include:


• The ferry crews are highly respected and appreciated.
• The reservation system for Ketron Island is working well.

Weaknesses described by group members include:


• Buying tickets on the website is difficult.
• The ferry system doesn’t link well with other transportation, such as Pierce Transit. For example,
the first ferry gets to mainland at 6:45am and the bus gets there at 7:15am. Pierce Transit only
runs every 2 hours because it lacks ridership, but people aren’t riding bus because doesn’t
match ferry schedule. Chicken and egg dilemma.
• The town of Steilacoom has concern about ferry customers parking second vehicles in town.
• There’s a lack of infrastructure on Anderson Island, such as bicycle trails, poor lighting, no public
transportation.
• Families with children can’t live on Ketron Island, because the first ferry to get back to the Island
after school departs Steilacoom at 5:10pm.
• Fare structure changes led to bigger fare increases for passengers than for car and driver. There
is a lot of passenger capacity, but people don’t ride as often because of the cost per person.
Lowering passenger fares a little would increase mobility and access.
• Livability is a concern. The ferry does not operate during all commute hours. For example,
people can’t get to jobs that start on Base at 7am and can’t access jobs further away. It’s also
difficult to attend kid concerts, civic things, and access jobs at night. The Island is not livable if
you want to be engaged elsewhere in Puget Sound.
• The ferry doesn’t stay on schedule when it’s near capacity for cars. In summer with heavy loads,
combined with trains, it leaves 10-20 minutes late. As a daily user, that gets tough for people.
• Summer Overloads:
o During the summer there are overloads on both sides. These are relatively predictable.
o The Sunday 12:30pm ferry is always overloaded in summer. An extra run in the summer
after 12:30 has been suggested.
o Seems there are more people coming to the island on weekends than in the past. On
weekends many of the passengers are weekenders, not full-time residents. They are
vacation home owners or are visiting someone.
o The first boat off the island on Monday morning is usually an overload (due to
weekenders). This makes it difficult for residents trying to get to work.
o A reservation system for Anderson Island has been proposed but hasn’t happened.

DRAFT 1/14/15
PIERCE COUNTY WATERBORNE TRANSPORTATION STUDY
DRAFT ADVISORY GROUP MEETING SUMMARY, 12/8/14

o It’s hard to say if summer weekend travel to Anderson has increased. Levels could be
similar to 2004, before the recession. There is an increase in ridership compared to last
year. Ridership dropped in recession.
o There are lots of events in the summer, such as weddings.
• Ferry crews are awesome, but there are concerns about how tight the ferry is packed. Crew
sometimes forget that not everyone’s a regular on the ferry. They’ll get upset that someone
pulled up too close.
• Concern about implementation of this study. There have been lots of previous conversations
about ferry improvements with Public Works, but we have not seen changes. For example, the
website.
• School District:
o The School district is appreciative of the car & driver exemption. There are more
students with higher needs now and so the District has to bring out specialists, which
costs a lot of money. Would appreciate more staff exemptions.
o The School district is working with high-school and middle school principals to see about
matching up schedules better for next year. High-schoolers wait at the dock for way too
long – makes them rambunctious on the ferries. Looking at time revisions for them, but
not sure it’s possible.
• Vehicle exemption –All the County folks used to be exempt, not anymore. County pays its way,
etc. This has differing effects on different stakeholders.

Communications issues:
• Real-time information about delays: Lack of communication on the Anderson side if there’s a
delay or the ferry’s down because the train broke down – no Twitter, notification, etc.
• It’s hard to get communication out to people on Anderson Island. For example, many people
don’t know about the extra ferry for the golf tournament.
• There’s a lack of communication to the general public when a decision is made by the County.
For example, many people renting homes on the island don’t know about ferry schedule
changes in advance.
• Michael summarized that there are concerns about communications on multiple levels:
o Breakdown/delay information in real time.
o Communication about County decisions.

Opportunities and Challenges Facing Pierce County Ferry System

Opportunities:
• Make the ferry available for other uses when it’s not serving this route.
• Pierce County could work with Skagit and Whatcom counties to share the spare boat for haul-
out times.
• A contract with the State to serve McNeil. (This was looked at, not sure why that idea died.)
• Spending less on fuel than anticipated.
• In the long-term, consider feasibility of serving the Key peninsula population, Fox Island, or
other areas in Pierce County.
• The proposal for a 4:45am run is critical for island residents getting to work on time. The ferry is
the lifeblood for residents and has to conform to life, work, schools, and events. If fares go up,
we should make sure the system will get people to work. With the last summer rate increase,
people wondered why we’re paying more now than last year.

DRAFT 1/14/15
PIERCE COUNTY WATERBORNE TRANSPORTATION STUDY
DRAFT ADVISORY GROUP MEETING SUMMARY, 12/8/14

Challenges:
• Concern about financial sustainability. One thousand households contributing $1k/year is not
enough. You’ve got to have the households spending $4k-$6k.
• The triangle run was added as result of the last study. How much did that change save money
versus harm customers? Some commutes are longer. This should be in the study scope.
• How might fare structure changes impact Anderson residents living in poverty?

Other thoughts and questions


There was some discussion of who owns the ferry terminal on the Steilacoom side. The consensus was
that the County owns the dock, but the state may own the tideland. For the tie-up floating dock, the
town owns the promenade on the left and Ketron Island residents own the floating dock attached to
that.

The representative from Steilacoom mentioned that parking for Anderson Island residents and guests is
a big concern for the community. While the town cannot stop private landowners from renting out
parking spaces, that is different from providing public parking, which has been suggested. The County
has never offered mitigation to Steilacoom for ferry impacts.

Roundtable

Public Comment
No members of the public attended for public comment.

Confirm Next Steps; Adjourn

DRAFT 1/14/15
PIERCE COUNTY WATERBORNE TRANSPORTATION STUDY

RIDERSHIP TRENDS AND PROJECTIONS


DISCUSSION DRAFT| January 14, 2015

RIDER MARKET SEGMENTS


Pierce County Ferry ridership can be broken into five broad categories or market segments:

Regular commuters
Commuters are the most frequent users of the ferry system. These riders primarily use the ferry system for
transportation to and from their workplace or school. The majority are assumed to travel from Anderson
Island to the mainland in the morning and back to the Island in the evening. However, employment data
shows that most jobs on the Island are held by people who live off-island, which indicates there are reverse
commute trips as well. Commuting customers commonly purchase multi-ride commuter tickets in order to
reduce the costs of commuting. In 2013, 46% of customers traveled with commuter tickets, a share that has
remained fairly steady over the past decade.

Non-commuting island residents


Non-commuting island residents do not regularly travel to the mainland for work or school. However, they
do rely on the ferry system for occasional trips such as errands, shopping, medical care, and other
miscellaneous purposes. In 2002, 23% of customer survey respondents indicated their trip purpose was
shopping/personal business.

Seasonal and weekend residents


These riders typically own or rent homes on the islands and either reside on the island on a seasonal basis
or travel to the island on weekends. These customers travel more frequently during the summer months.
According to the 2010 Census, 42% of all housing units on Anderson Island were for seasonal, recreational,
or occasional use.

Tourists and visitors


These customers travel to the islands for recreation, business, or visiting friends and relatives. They travel
infrequently and typically during the peak summer months or major holidays. In 2002, 25% of survey
respondents self-identified as visitors. Washington State Ferries (WSF) data indicates that 76% of WSF
recreational trips are generated by customers residing in the Central Puget Sound region, with 14% coming
from outside the region (Washington State Department of Transportation, 2010).

Business and commercial vehicles


Business and commercial vehicles include freight and delivery services (USPS, UPS, and Fed-Ex) as well as
independent construction/trade businesses. 2013 ridership data indicates that drivers of trucks (vehicles
over 20 feet in length) are a small fraction of all customers (1.3%).

TRAVEL PATTERNS BY MARKET SEGMENT


A new ridership survey will provide information on current travel patterns by market segment. The most
recent data available is an on-board ridership survey of Pierce County Ferry customers conducted during

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RIDERSHIP TRENDS AND PROJECTIONS DISCUSSION DRAFT
PIERCE COUNTY WATERBORNE TRANSPORTATION 2015

the summer of 2002 (IBI Group, 2003). That survey focused on three segments: Fulltime residents,
Seasonal/Weekenders, and Visitors. Exhibit 1 shows how trip purpose varies by day of the week and by
market segment. Not surprisingly, a large portion of weekday trips were commutes as well as
business/shopping. On Saturday, vacation/recreation was the dominant rider response.
Exhibit 1
Trip Purpose by Market Segment and Day of Travel, Summer 2002

Source: IBI Group, 2003

A separate mail out survey asked property owners to indicate the frequency of travel during the summer
and non-summer months. Exhibit 2 shows that frequency varies by market segment, with fulltime residents
making, on average, the most trips per month while island visitors the least.
Exhibit 2
Round Trips per Month by Market Segment, Summer 2002

Source: IBI Group 2003

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POPULATION AND DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS

Anderson Island
The most frequent riders of Pierce County ferries are Anderson Island residents. This section summarizes
population and demographic trends that may be related to ferry travel patterns.

Population and Housing


Anderson Island lies in unincorporated Pierce County and is home to 1,037 residents according to the 2010
Census. However, many residents are seasonal which results in a fluctuating population which typically
peaks in the summer months. Exhibit 3 shows that the U.S. Census (measured in April 2010) reflects steady
population growth over the past two decades.
Exhibit 3
Anderson Island Population, 1990 – 2010
1200
1100
CAGR: 4.14% CAGR: 2.35%
1000 1,037

900
800 822
700
600
500 548

400
1990 2000 2010
Source: U.S. Census 1990, 2000, 2010
Note: CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate

During the same period Anderson Island has also seen steady residential development, as shown in Exhibit
4. The greatest share of this new development has been in homes for seasonal and recreational use.
Exhibit 4
Anderson Island Housing Growth, 1990 - 2010
1200
1000 82
800
63 435 Vacant
600
37 246 Vacation/Seasonal Use
400 235 Full-Time Ooccupancy
200 417 508
245
0
1990 2000 2010

Source: U.S. Census 1990, 2000, 2010

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Exhibit 5 shows that the Island’s fulltime occupancy rate has recently fallen from 57% in 2000 to 50% in
2010. The percentage of homes indicated by the Census to be for “seasonal, recreational, or occasional
use” has grown from 34% in 2000 to 42% in 2010.
Exhibit 5
Housing Occupancy Status as Share of Total Housing Units
100%
7% 9% 8%

80%
34%
45% 42%
60% Vacant

40% Vacation/Seasonal
Use
57%
47% 50%
20% Full-time
occupancy
0%
1990 2000 2010

Source: U.S. Census 1990, 2000, 2010

Age
Residents of Anderson Island are older, on average, that those in Washington State. The median age of
Island residents in 2010 was 56 compared to 37 for the state as a whole. In 2000 the median age on
Anderson Island was 52.
Exhibit 6 shows the how the age distribution has shifted over the past two decades. The percentage of
people under the age of 20 has decreased significantly from 21.7% in 2000 to 15.5% in 2010. The share of
adults age 30 – 64 has increased during the same period from 42.5% to 51.4%.

Exhibit 6
Anderson Island Age Distribution, 1990 - 2010
100%

32.1% 28.6%
80% 36.5%
65 and over
60% 30 - 64
39.6% 42.5% 51.4% 20 - 30
40%
5 - 19
5.5% 3.5%
20% 4.4%
12.6% 16.2% Under 5
12.7%
0% 5.8% 5.7% 2.8%
1990 2000 2010

Source: U.S. Census 1990, 2000, 2010

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RIDERSHIP TRENDS AND PROJECTIONS DISCUSSION DRAFT
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Exhibit 7 shows total population by age group. The greatest increase in population between 2000 and 2010
was among adults between the ages of 55 and 74 years of age, possibly indicating an influx of recent
retirees or people who plan to retire in the coming years.

Exhibit 7
Anderson Island Population by Age Group, 1990 - 2010

85 years and over


80 to 84 years
75 to 79 years
70 to 74 years
65 to 69 years
60 to 64 years
55 to 59 years
50 to 54 years
45 to 49 years 2010
40 to 44 years 2000
35 to 39 years 1990
30 to 34 years
25 to 29 years
20 to 24 years
15 to 19 years
10 to 14 years
5 to 9 years
Under 5 years

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140

Source: U.S. Census 1990, 2000, 2010

The island had 132 school age children in 2010 and 133 in 2000. Anderson Island Elementary is the sole
public school on Anderson Island. Total enrollment during 2012-2013 was 27 (Washington State
Superintendent of Public Instruction, 2014). In 2004-2005 41 students attended the school, and enrollment
counts have generally declined since to a low of 5 students in 2011-2012. Older students must ride the ferry
to attend Pioneer Middle and Steilacoom High schools off-island. No data is available regarding the
numbers of students attending school off-island.
The decline in elementary enrollment and decline in the number of younger children on the island indicates
school-related ferry ridership may decline in the coming years.

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RIDERSHIP TRENDS AND PROJECTIONS DISCUSSION DRAFT
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Income
Median household income on Anderson Island in 2013 was $43,333, compared to $59,204 in Pierce County
and $59,478 in Washington State. The lower income on the island is likely due in part to the large number
of retirees. When adjusting for inflation, median income on the island has declined since 2000 when it was
$49,351 in 2013 dollars. Exhibit 8 shows growth among households in the highest and lowest income
groups and a decline in households in the upper-middle ($50-$75K) income group.

Exhibit 8
Share of Total Households by Income Group

100%
80%
Greater than $75,000
60%
$50,000 - $75,000
40%
$30,000 - $50,000
20%
Less than $30,000
0%
2000 2013 5-Year estimates

Source: Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2000; American Community Survey 2013 5-Year Estimates

Employment
30% of Anderson Island residents over the age of 16 are employed compared to 56% of Pierce County
residents and 58% of Washington State residents. As shown in Exhibit 9
Employment Status: Population 16 Years and OlderExhibit 9, Anderson Island also has a lower share of total
adult population that is unemployed than the county and state and a much higher percentage of residents
who are not in the labor force due to retirement or other reasons. This is consistent with the age profile
presented above (Exhibit 7) where the largest number of residents were grouped in the 50-70 age range
(2010).
Exhibit 9
Employment Status: Population 16 Years and Older
100%
80% 34% 35%
65%
60% 11% 9%
Not in labor force
40% Unemployed
5% 56% 58%
20% Employed
30%
0%
Anderson Island Pierce County Washington
State

Source: American Community Survey 2013 5-Year Estimates

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RIDERSHIP TRENDS AND PROJECTIONS DISCUSSION DRAFT
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Exhibit 10 shows employment counts and primary job locations for Anderson Island residents. During the
past decade employment among island residents has grown overall, despite fluctuations from year to year.
The vast majority of residents who work do so off island in Pierce or King County and therefore most likely
use the ferry for commute travel.

200 Exhibit 10
180 Employed Anderson Island Residents by Work Location
160
140 All Other Locations
120 Thurston County
100
King County
80
60 Pierce County (off island)
40 Anderson Island
20
0
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Source: U.S. Census 2000 and American Community Survey 2009-2013 5-Year Estimates

Anderson Island employment (jobs located on the island) was 69 in 2011. With the exception of a spike in
2005, employment on the island has remained fairly constant. As shown in Exhibit 11 the majority of jobs
located on the island are held by people who do not live on the island and therefore most likely use the
ferry for commute travel.

Exhibit 11
Anderson Island Employment, by Worker Home Location
200

150
Employed in the Selection Area but
100 Living Outside
Employed and Living in the
Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2013. LODES Data
50 Selection Area

0
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2013. LODES Data

Ketron Island
The U.S. Census does not tabulate population data for Ketron Island. According to Pierce County data there
are 16 single family homes on the island as of 2014.

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RIDERSHIP TRENDS AND PROJECTIONS DISCUSSION DRAFT
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RIDERSHIP STATISTICS AND HISTORIC TRENDS


In 2013 Pierce County Ferries had 183,594 riders.1 Exhibit 12 shows an overall decline in ridership since a
high of 212,541 riders in 2005. This decline occurred during a period of population growth on Anderson
Island as well as a time when the island was experiencing growth in the number of employed Anderson
Island residents working off island.
Exhibit 12
Ferry Ridership and Anderson Island Population Growth

250 Island 1,200


Population
1,000
200
Ridership (Thousands)

800
150

Population
Passengers
600
Vehicles
100 Population
400

50
200

0 0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Source: Pierce County, 2014; U.S. Census Bureau 2000, 2010

One possible explanation for the decline in ridership is the response of customers to fare increases. Exhibit
13 shows yearly ridership per Anderson Island full-time resident alongside vehicle and passenger fares. The
largest fare increase occurred in January 2006. Counter-intuitively, ridership per resident did not
immediately drop. However, ridership per resident did drop strongly the following year in 2007. A drop in
ridership per resident can also be seen in 2012 after a fare increase. Smaller fare increases in 2004 and
2008 did not appear to affect ridership per resident.

1
“Riders” are inclusive of vehicle drivers and passengers. Ridership statistics count one vehicle driver per vehicle. All
other ferry riders are considered “passengers”. Passengers may be walk on or accompanying a vehicle driver. All
ridership stats count travel one-way from Steilacoom to the islands.

January 14, 2015 8


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Exhibit 13
Yearly Ridership per Resident and Fares
250 $18
$16
200 $14
$12
150
$10 Rides per Resident

$8 Vehicle Fare
100
$6 Passenger Fare

50 $4
$2
0 $0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Source: Pierce County, 2014; U.S. Census Bureau 2000, 2010

Error! Reference source not found. shows a similar pattern with regards to yearly ridership per housing
unit.2 However, this measure is declining at a slightly faster rate than rides per resident, most likely due to
the increasing share of homes for vacation or seasonal use.

Exhibit 14
Yearly Ridership per Housing Unit and Fares
300 $18
$16
250
$14
200 $12 Rides per Housing
Unit
$10
150 Vehicle Fare
$8
Passenger Fare
100 $6
$4
50
$2
0 $0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Source: Pierce County, 2014; U.S. Census Bureau 2000, 2010

2
A housing unit is defined as a house, apartment, mobile home or trailer that is intended for occupancy as a place of
residence.

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RIDERSHIP TRENDS AND PROJECTIONS DISCUSSION DRAFT
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Exhibit 15 shows total yearly ridership counts broken down by customer category. It indicates the largest
declines in the adult non-commuter category which includes both vehicle drivers and adult passengers. One
possible explanation for this decline is island residents replacing of off-island shopping trips with shopping
online. Commuter travel has also remained flat despite an increase in the number of residents working off
island. This may be explained by an increase in the number of people who occasionally work from home as
telework technology improves. Future surveys of island residents could shed light on these or other
possible explanations.
Exhibit 15
Ridership by Customer Category
(vehicle drivers and passengers combined)

250,000

200,000
Exempt

150,000 Senior/Disabled
Child (under 5)
100,000 Youth (5-18)
Adult (non-commute)
50,000 Commuter

0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Source: Pierce County, 2014

Ferry ridership typically follows a seasonal pattern, with peak demands occurring in the summer months
and much lower demand in the winter months. As shown in Exhibit 16, seasonal variation is relatively stable
from year to year.
Exhibit 16
Monthly Ridership and Cars Left Behind, 2010-2013
25,000 5,000

20,000 4,000
Cars left behind
Ridership

15,000 3,000
Vehicles
10,000 2,000 Passengers
5,000 1,000 Cars Left Behind

0 0
Jan-10
Apr-10
Jul-10
Oct-10
Jan-11
Apr-11
Jul-11
Oct-11
Jan-12
Apr-12

Apr-13
Jul-12
Oct-12
Jan-13

Jul-13
Oct-13

Source: Pierce County, 2014

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BASELINE RIDERSHIP PROJECTIONS


A recent Pierce County forecast projects that there will be 404 additional housing units on Anderson Island
in 2030, which is a 39% percent growth over 2010 units.3 Assuming recent trends with regards to the
growth in full-time and vacation homes on the Island continue, BERK estimates a 2030 population of 1,239.
Exhibit 17 shows two ridership forecasts. Ridership Projection A assumes that the number of rides per
Island resident remain constant. Projection B assumes that the number of rides per Island housing unit
remain constant. Both projections assume no increase in fares.4
Exhibit 17
Ridership, Population, and Housing Trends and Projections 2001-2030
260,000 2500

240,000
2000

Housing and Population


220,000
Historic Ridership
200,000 1500 Ridership Projection A
Ridership

180,000 Ridership Projection B


160,000 1000 Housing Units

140,000 Full time Households


500 Population
120,000

100,000 0
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
2013
2015
2017
2019
2021
2023
2025
2027
2029

Source: BERK 2015; Pierce County 2014

These baseline projections assume continuation of current policies regarding service and fares.

3
Note: Pierce County is currently reviewing this forecast and it is subject to change.
4
Ridership per resident and ridership per housing unit have both declined in recent years. However not enough data is
available to determine the relative impact of fare increases on those declines versus other factors. Therefore these
projections assume no further decline in ridership per resident or per housing unit.

January 14, 2015 11


PIERCE COUNTY WATERBORNE TRANSPORTATION STUDY

INTRODUCTION TO FARES
DISCUSSION DRAFT| January 14, 2015

FARE SETTING POLICY AND GUIDANCE


Current process
Pierce County Public Works and Utilities (PWU) operates the Pierce County Ferry. PWU reviews fares
annually and generally recommends fare increases biannually to Pierce County Council with the goal of
meeting a 50% farebox recovery (proportion of operating expenditures covered by revenue generated by
fares). Upon Council passage, fares are recorded in the Pierce County Code [§10.38.010 Passenger and
Vehicle Fares], which contains the compilation of County ordinances with the force of law.

Fare setting guidance


Pierce County Ferry has several sources of guidance for fare setting. With the exception of the federal grant
requirements, guidance from these sources is non-compulsory.
• Federal Grant Requirements. Pierce County Ferry is a grantee recipient of federal funds, most recently
for vessel repair and terminal improvements. These funds are contingent on fare policies that favor
seniors, disabled individuals, and Medicare card holders with fares no more than 50 percent of peak
hour fare [US Code Title 49 § 5307 (c)(1)(D)].
o Further, under RCW 47.04.140, County ferries applying for federal aid must file fare schedules for
approval to the State Department of Transportation. Approval is granted unless the Department
finds that under the fare schedule, “aggregate revenues to be derived from the county's ferry
operations will exceed the amount required to pay the actual and necessary costs of operation,
maintenance, administration, and repair of the county's ferries and their appurtenances.”
• Washington State Ferries (WSF) Policy. WSF fare policies have historically been a benchmark for Pierce
County fare setting. Competitiveness with WSF has at times been cited as a basis for fare setting [Pierce
County Resolution 21820].
• The Anderson Island Citizens Advisory Board (AICAB). The AICAB is authorized in the Pierce County
Code [§ 2.61.020] to “facilitate a structured two-way communication process between the County and
Island residents, property owners and business owners regarding significant issues...[including] ferry
service.” AICAB makes ferry fare recommendations in this facilitation role.
• Pierce County Ferry Committee. The Pierce County Ferry Committee collaboratively addresses ferry
system operations and the suggestions and concerns of Ketron Island and Anderson Island residents.
This committee is not an officially chartered Pierce County Board or Commission. Membership consists
of the Pierce County Airport and Ferry Administrator, Pierce County staff, a designated representative
of HMS Global Maritime (the ferry operator on behalf of Pierce County), an appointed representative
from the Anderson Island Citizens' Advisory Board (AICAB), and interested citizens of Ketron and
Anderson Islands. The committee meets quarterly to discuss changes and issues concerning the Pierce
County Ferry System, including fare recommendations.

January 14, 2015 1


INTRODUCTION TO FARES DISCUSSION DRAFT
PIERCE COUNTY WATERBORNE TRANSPORTATION 2015

• Waterborne Transportation Studies. In 1989 and 2003, Pierce County Ferry commissioned a
comprehensive examination of the ferry system demographics, finances, fares, and service. These
studies have resulted in recommendations for fare setting practices that have been largely followed in
years following the studies. The 2015 Waterborne Transportation Study is currently underway.
o The 1989 study recommended regular fare increases aimed at recovering operating costs.
o The 2003 study recommended adjusting fares every two years with an 80% farebox recovery target
and proposed a fare structure that based all pricing off algorithmic relationships with base vehicle
and passenger fares. The recommended target and fare structure were not fully adopted.

CURRENT FARE STRUCTURE


All Pierce County fares are for round-trips and are collected at the Steilacoom Terminal on the mainland
prior to boarding the ferry. Pierce County Ferry has three categories of fares:
1. Walk-On or Passenger Fares. Passengers are charged according to age. Fares are in effect year-round.
a. Adults (ages 19 and over)
b. Youth (ages 6 through 18)
c. Children (under age 6)
2. Vehicle Fares. Vehicles are charged step-wise according to the length of the vehicle and include the
fare for the driver. Vehicle fares vary seasonally (peak, non-peak).
a. Standard vehicle. A standard vehicle is up to and including 21’.
b. Vehicles over 21’ and up to 90’ are charged according to 10’ increments with a maximum fare
for vehicles over 90’.
c. Motorcycle/Stowage & Driver. Vehicles licensed as motorcycles. This fare also applies to large
carry-on items such as kayaks, canoes, and other items of comparable size which are typically
stowed on the vehicle deck of the vessel.
d. 3-Wheel Vehicle. Any motorcycle with a trailer or sidecar or any vehicle licensed as a
motorcycle with three or more wheels.
3. Bicycle Fares. One bicycle per passenger is allowed at the same fare as the walk-on fare for the rider.
Discounts and Exceptions
The base fares described above might be subject to discounts and exceptions. These include:
• Senior/Disabled/Medicare Discounts. As a federal transportation grant recipient, PWU must comply
with a number of federal guidelines, including tariff-related policies. Fares charged to seniors, disabled
persons, and Medicare card holders must be 50% or less of the base peak passenger fare, as required
by the Federal Department of Transportation.
• Value Pass (5 Trips). Frequent users may choose to purchase a Value Pass for Passenger, Vehicle &
Driver up to and including 21’, and Motorcycle/Stowage fare types. The Value Pass represents a 20%
discount off the purchase price of 5 individual fares, is redeemable for 5 round trips of a particular fare
type, and must be used within 40 days of purchase.
• School District Travel. The Steilacoom School District is authorized one round trip vehicle each school
day for no cost. This vehicle is limited to a maximum of 21’ in length and its driver for the limited

January 14, 2015 2


INTRODUCTION TO FARES DISCUSSION DRAFT
PIERCE COUNTY WATERBORNE TRANSPORTATION 2015

purpose of transporting school lunches, school books, and other school supplies to Anderson Island.
Vehicle passengers shall be required to pay full fare.
Surcharges
Surcharges are applied to the base fares discussed above, including:
• Peak Surcharge. Because Pierce County has seasonal ridership trends, a peak season surcharge on
vehicle fares is used to help manage demand and match peak traffic periods. The surcharge is
approximately 25% of the base fare. Peak season is in effect from May 1 to September 30 of each year,
and Non-Peak in effect from October 1 to April 30.
• Width Surcharge. Vehicles over 11’ in width are charged twice the fare determined by their length.
• Vessel Replacement Surcharge. SSB 6081 authorizes counties to impose a vessel replacement
surcharge. This charge must be at least equal to the WSF capital surcharge which is $0.25 per fare. The
revenue must only be used for the construction or purchase of ferry vessels and must be clearly
indicated, if possible on the fare media itself. Pierce County does not currently exercise this surcharge.
• Note: Unlike many county ferry systems, Pierce County accounts for capital depreciation in its
farebox revenue target [County Road Administration Board, December 2008].
• Fuel Surcharge. A fuel surcharge was used most recently in 2007. No surcharge is currently in effect.
Exhibit 1 summarizes Pierce County Ferry’s active fares, discounts, and surcharges.
Exhibit 1
Summary of Current Fares, Discounts and Surcharges (Effective January 1, 2015)
Categorical Value Pass Peak Season
Base Fare Discount (-) Discount Surcharge
/Surcharge (+) (5-trip) (May 1-Sept 30)
Passengers
Adult $5.30 -- 20% --
Youth $3.40 -- -- --
Children FREE -- -- --
Senior/Disabled/Medicare $5.30 -50% -- --
Vehicles (including driver)
Up to and including 21’ $17.80 -- 20% ~25%
Up to and including 21’ – Senior or disabled $14.85 -- -- ~25%
Over 21’ to under 30’ $36.05 -- -- ~25%
30’ to under 40’ $57.40 -- -- ~25%
40’ to under 50’ $76.65 -- -- ~25%
50’ to under 60’ $95.80 -- -- ~25%
60’ to under 70’ $114.95 -- -- ~25%
70’ to under 80’ $140.85 -- -- ~25%
80’ to under 90’ $166.75 -- -- ~25%
90’ and greater $197.25 -- -- ~25%
Over 11’ in width Fare by length +100% -- ~25%
Motorcycle/Stowage $9.60 -- 20% ~25%
3-Wheel Vehicle $11.25 -- -- ~25%
Steilacoom School District vehicle (1x/day) $17.80 -100% -- --
Bicycle Passenger fare -- -- --
Source: Pierce County Code §10.38.010 Passenger and Vehicle Fares

January 14, 2015 3


INTRODUCTION TO FARES DISCUSSION DRAFT
PIERCE COUNTY WATERBORNE TRANSPORTATION 2015

HISTORICAL FARE TRENDS


Error! Not a valid bookmark self-reference. shows historical fares for the Pierce County Ferry from 1978 to
2015, adjusted for inflation and shown in constant 2014 dollars.
• Vehicle fares have increased at an annual average of 4.3% since 1978. After adjustment for inflation,
the average annual increase was 0.6%.
• The adult passenger fare has increased by 4.6% annually on average since 1978. The annual increase
after adjustment for inflation was 0.9%.
• The senior/disabled fare has consistently been 50% of the adult passenger fare. The youth fare was also
50% of the adult passenger fare until a policy change in 2002 redefined youth as those 18 years old and
under, rather than 12 years old and under. Youth fares subsequently rose at a higher rate to account
for that difference.
Exhibit 2
Historic Inflation Adjusted Fares (1978-2015)
$20.00
$17.80
$18.00 CAGR: 0.59%

$16.00
$14.32
$14.00 Car & Driver
Adult Passenger
$12.00 Youth Passenger
Senior or Disabled
$10.00
2002: Definition of adult
changes from 12 years
$8.00
1984: Senior
fare introduced $5.30
$6.00 CAGR: 0.89%
$3.40
$4.00 $3.82
CAGR: 1.57%
$1.91 $2.65
$2.00
CAGR: 2.06%
$1.41
$0.00
1976 1982 1987 1993 1998 2004 2009 2014

COUNTY FERRY FARE COMPARISON


Exhibit 3 displays key operating metrics and fare structure for Pierce County Ferry and two comparable
County Ferry systems. Pierce County is the largest system of the three systems with competitive fare
structures similar farebox recovery.
Pierce County’s ridership is much more heavily weighted toward vehicles, with the passenger: vehicle
ridership ratio at nearly 1:1.

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INTRODUCTION TO FARES DISCUSSION DRAFT
PIERCE COUNTY WATERBORNE TRANSPORTATION 2015

Exhibit 3
Selected County Ferry Operating Context and Fare Structure
Pierce County Ferry Skagit County Whatcom County
Guemes Island Ferry Lummi Island Ferry
Operating Context
(2013)
Trip Length 10 min. to Ketron Island
5 min. to Guemes Island 5 min. to Lummi Island
20 min. to Anderson
Operating Expenses
(Note: Does not include $3,129,350 $1,617,612 $2,520,681
capital costs)
Fare Revenue $2,000,987 $985,791 $1,475,990
Passenger Trips 183,594 376,941 171,317
Vehicle Trips 174,576 197,786 106,594
Passenger:Vehicle
1.05:1 1.90:1 1.61:1
Ridership Ratio
Farebox Recovery 62% 61% 59%
(Target) (80%) (65%) (55%, per ORD 2010-054)
Passenger Fare
$5.30 $2.50 $7.00
(Base, RT)
Multi-ride 5 trips @ $21.20 (-20%) 25 trips @ $53.00 (-15%) 25 trips @ $115.00 (-34%)
Senior $2.65 (-50%) $1.50 (-40%) No special single trip fare
Youth $3.40 (-36%) $1.50 (-40%) FREE
Vehicle Base <= 21’ Base <= 20’ Base <8,001 lbs
(Base, RT, Non-Peak) Non-peak: $17.80 Non-peak: $8.00 Year-round: $13.00
Multi-ride 5 trips @ $71.20 20 trips @ $136.00 10 trips @ $102.00 (-22%)
(-20%) (-15%) 25 trips @ $235.00 (-28%)
Oversize/Weight • Length measured in • Length measured in 5’ • Weight:
Pricing 10’ increments to 90’ increments to 65’ o to 20,000 lbs ($32.00)
• Corresponding price • Corresponding price o to 36,000 lbs ($68.00)
increments from increments from $5-$11 o to 50,000 lbs ($133.00)
$18.25-$25.90 • Implied price per foot: • Trailer length:
• Implied price per $1.00 - $2.20 o to 16’ ($18.00)
foot: $1.83-$2.59 • Each 5’ increment over o to 30’ ($34.00)
• Flat rate of $197.25 65’: $5.00 o over 30’ ($63.00)
above 90’ • Overwidth (>8’6”): o implied price per foot
Double length charge $1.13-$1.14
• Overwidth (occupying
more than one ferry lane)
charged additional +50%
Passenger:Vehicle
0.30:1 0.31:1 0.54:1
Base Fare Ratio

January 14, 2015 5


PIERCE COUNTY WATERBORNE TRANSPORTATION STUDY

2015 SURVEY APPROACH


DISCUSSION DRAFT| January 14, 2015

BERK will survey ferry riders and property owners to inform the 2015 Waterborne Transportation Study.
Understanding how current property owners and riders use the ferry and their responses to potential
changes in financial structures, fares, or service will help develop options for future service and fares.

Previous Surveys
For the 2003 Pierce County Waterborne Transportation Study, surveys were conducted of ferry riders and
property owners on Anderson and Ketron Islands. The rider survey was conducted on-board the ferry over
four days in late August and early September of 2002, with 1,123 surveys completed. The property owner
survey was mailed to 3,000 households on Anderson and Ketron Island in October 2002 and 950 completed
surveys were returned. In addition, in 2014 Pierce County conducted a survey of ferry riders.

Past Survey Questions


Question 2002 2002 Property 2014
On-Board Owner Survey
Demographics
Do you own or rent property on Anderson Island or Ketron Island?
Are you a full-time resident, seasonal resident, visitor, or
weekender? (If seasonal, which season?)
What are the ages of the members of your household?
Ridership/Trip Characteristics
What is the purpose of your trip?
How do you get to the ferry terminal, on both sides?
How do you pay your fare (full fare ticket, commuter ticket, senior
or disabled)?
If you drove on the ferry, how many people in your vehicle?
How many ferry trips do you make each month (summer and rest
of the year)?
Options for Service, Fare Changes
Rank the following options for providing additional weekday
service: Before 6am, Morning Peak, Mid-Day, Afternoon Peak, or
After 6pm.
How much additional fare would you pay for service
improvements? What times of day should a fare increase be
applied?
Are there any other methods to pay for ferry improvements,
besides fare increases?
Would you pay extra for new ticket sales locations?
Would you use a reservation system to guarantee passage on a
sailing? Would you pay $3 more for a reservation?

January 9, 2015 1
SURVEY APPROACH DISCUSSION DRAFT
PIERCE COUNTY WATERBORNE TRANSPORTATION 2015

Question 2002 2002 Property 2014


On-Board Owner Survey
How important is a larger ferry to you?
Would you support changing the first weekday run to depart 10
minutes earlier?
Would you support trading the 5:45am Saturday run for additional
service elsewhere during the week?
• If yes, what is your first preference? (6 options given)
Ferry Communications
Do you use the Ferry Rider Alert system?
• If no, would a tutorial increase your use?
Do you read the Sound Waves electronic newsletter?
• What stories would you like to see?
Do you use the following communication methods: email, text,
Facebook, Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube?
What changes would you suggest for the printed ferry schedule?
(open-ended question)
Customer Satisfaction
How would you rank current ferry service?
Other
Do you have any additional comments? (open-ended)

2015 Survey Approach


The 2015 survey will be designed to meet two general objectives:
• Assess trends in over time by repeating selected, relevant questions from previous surveys
• Target specific information needs for current policy decisions by incorporating new questions

Potential New Information Needs


On-Board Survey
• Rider demographics
o Home location (city and state)
o Age (of all passengers in party)
o Tenure (if Island resident, how long have you lived there)
o Employment (if island resident, do you work? If yes, on-island, off-island, location of
employment)
• Trip details
o Origin and Destination (city and state)
o Frequency and purpose of travel
• General service questions regarding needs, gaps in schedule, fares, operations
Property Owner Survey
• Property owner demographics
o Home location (city and state)
o Household characteristics (number of people employed, number of children)

January 14, 2015 2


SURVEY APPROACH DISCUSSION DRAFT
PIERCE COUNTY WATERBORNE TRANSPORTATION 2015

o Tenure (how long have you lived and/or owned your property)
o What were the factors that led you to purchase a home on the island?
• Property owner travel habits
o Frequency of travel by trip type (shopping, work, school, etc )s off island
o Employed residents: days commuting off island/ working from home/ working on island
• Rentals and guests
o Do you rent your property out? If so, how many times/year, which seasons
o How often do you have guests at your property? How many, when
• General service questions regarding needs, gaps in schedule, fares, operations

January 14, 2015 3

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