Composition 14jan2015 201503271900500958
Composition 14jan2015 201503271900500958
Composition 14jan2015 201503271900500958
MEETING OBJECTIVES:
• Review Situation Assessment initial findings on ridership, demographics, fares, and financial outlook
and gather Advisory Group input and feedback.
• Gather input on survey design.
In Attendance:
Jim Bixler (Chief, Anderson Island Fire and Kendel Lyman (Anderson Island Volunteer
Rescue) Patrol)
Marion Chenaur (Ketron Island Resident) Krista Ullis (Riviera Club Media: Anderson
Island)
Ann Dasch (Anderson Island Resident)
Laurie Vallieres (Anderson Island Elementary
Chris Frye (Anderson Island Resident)
Principal, Steilacoom School District)
Dave Jacobsen (Anderson Island Citizens’
Valerie Thorsen (Pierce County Public Works
Advisory Board Ferry Liaison)
and Utilities)
Paul Loveless (Administrator, town of
Michael Hodgins (BERK)
Steilacoom)
Melanie Mayock (BERK)
Advisory Group members discussed the options for getting input from seasonal island residents.
Because no organization or group has been identified to represent that group, it was agreed that
general communication tools (including surveys) would be used to get input from that group.
The Advisory Group operating principles and communication protocols were reviewed. [See “Advisory
Group Roles and Responsibilities” for details.]
DRAFT 1/14/15 1
PIERCE COUNTY WATERBORNE TRANSPORTATION STUDY
DRAFT ADVISORY GROUP MEETING SUMMARY, 12/8/14
The baseline ridership and financial outlook describes what happens if there are no changes. Surveys are
part of that process, including origin/destination surveys of people using the ferry. This study will build
on the previous study; examine how things are different today than in 2003. The Situation Assessment
will inform the survey and help determine if there key questions that weren’t asked in 2003. There will
also be a property owner survey.
Michael explained more about the tasks in the project approach. Tasks 2 (Population and Ridership), 3
(Service Evaluation), and 4 (Fare Analysis) will interact with each other. The Fare Analysis will examine
what role fare revenue should play in financial sustainability of this system, which is a key question. For
the Financial Analysis, fares will also play a large role. The Financial Analysis will start with a baseline
description of what the world looks like if there are no changes.
BERK will come back to the Advisory Group in January with initial findings from the Situation Assessment
and ask for feedback. Then we will transition to alternatives development.
Michael mentioned that the time-frame for this study (approximately six months) is relatively short. The
County would like to finish the study in this time frame because of other County policy decisions.
DRAFT 1/14/15
PIERCE COUNTY WATERBORNE TRANSPORTATION STUDY
DRAFT ADVISORY GROUP MEETING SUMMARY, 12/8/14
offered, how they align with the marketplace, operations here and elsewhere, opportunities for
fare policies, and how to improve operations and customer convenience.
• An Advisory Group member mentioned that there had been a website breakdown and security
issues. There is a report that will be forwarded.
• An Advisory Group member mentioned that using the current website requires 19 clicks to get a
ticket. Another member commented that the community has been asking for a monthly pass for
a while, but the current system can’t handle it.
DRAFT 1/14/15
PIERCE COUNTY WATERBORNE TRANSPORTATION STUDY
DRAFT ADVISORY GROUP MEETING SUMMARY, 12/8/14
o It’s hard to say if summer weekend travel to Anderson has increased. Levels could be
similar to 2004, before the recession. There is an increase in ridership compared to last
year. Ridership dropped in recession.
o There are lots of events in the summer, such as weddings.
• Ferry crews are awesome, but there are concerns about how tight the ferry is packed. Crew
sometimes forget that not everyone’s a regular on the ferry. They’ll get upset that someone
pulled up too close.
• Concern about implementation of this study. There have been lots of previous conversations
about ferry improvements with Public Works, but we have not seen changes. For example, the
website.
• School District:
o The School district is appreciative of the car & driver exemption. There are more
students with higher needs now and so the District has to bring out specialists, which
costs a lot of money. Would appreciate more staff exemptions.
o The School district is working with high-school and middle school principals to see about
matching up schedules better for next year. High-schoolers wait at the dock for way too
long – makes them rambunctious on the ferries. Looking at time revisions for them, but
not sure it’s possible.
• Vehicle exemption –All the County folks used to be exempt, not anymore. County pays its way,
etc. This has differing effects on different stakeholders.
Communications issues:
• Real-time information about delays: Lack of communication on the Anderson side if there’s a
delay or the ferry’s down because the train broke down – no Twitter, notification, etc.
• It’s hard to get communication out to people on Anderson Island. For example, many people
don’t know about the extra ferry for the golf tournament.
• There’s a lack of communication to the general public when a decision is made by the County.
For example, many people renting homes on the island don’t know about ferry schedule
changes in advance.
• Michael summarized that there are concerns about communications on multiple levels:
o Breakdown/delay information in real time.
o Communication about County decisions.
Opportunities:
• Make the ferry available for other uses when it’s not serving this route.
• Pierce County could work with Skagit and Whatcom counties to share the spare boat for haul-
out times.
• A contract with the State to serve McNeil. (This was looked at, not sure why that idea died.)
• Spending less on fuel than anticipated.
• In the long-term, consider feasibility of serving the Key peninsula population, Fox Island, or
other areas in Pierce County.
• The proposal for a 4:45am run is critical for island residents getting to work on time. The ferry is
the lifeblood for residents and has to conform to life, work, schools, and events. If fares go up,
we should make sure the system will get people to work. With the last summer rate increase,
people wondered why we’re paying more now than last year.
DRAFT 1/14/15
PIERCE COUNTY WATERBORNE TRANSPORTATION STUDY
DRAFT ADVISORY GROUP MEETING SUMMARY, 12/8/14
Challenges:
• Concern about financial sustainability. One thousand households contributing $1k/year is not
enough. You’ve got to have the households spending $4k-$6k.
• The triangle run was added as result of the last study. How much did that change save money
versus harm customers? Some commutes are longer. This should be in the study scope.
• How might fare structure changes impact Anderson residents living in poverty?
The representative from Steilacoom mentioned that parking for Anderson Island residents and guests is
a big concern for the community. While the town cannot stop private landowners from renting out
parking spaces, that is different from providing public parking, which has been suggested. The County
has never offered mitigation to Steilacoom for ferry impacts.
Roundtable
Public Comment
No members of the public attended for public comment.
DRAFT 1/14/15
PIERCE COUNTY WATERBORNE TRANSPORTATION STUDY
Regular commuters
Commuters are the most frequent users of the ferry system. These riders primarily use the ferry system for
transportation to and from their workplace or school. The majority are assumed to travel from Anderson
Island to the mainland in the morning and back to the Island in the evening. However, employment data
shows that most jobs on the Island are held by people who live off-island, which indicates there are reverse
commute trips as well. Commuting customers commonly purchase multi-ride commuter tickets in order to
reduce the costs of commuting. In 2013, 46% of customers traveled with commuter tickets, a share that has
remained fairly steady over the past decade.
the summer of 2002 (IBI Group, 2003). That survey focused on three segments: Fulltime residents,
Seasonal/Weekenders, and Visitors. Exhibit 1 shows how trip purpose varies by day of the week and by
market segment. Not surprisingly, a large portion of weekday trips were commutes as well as
business/shopping. On Saturday, vacation/recreation was the dominant rider response.
Exhibit 1
Trip Purpose by Market Segment and Day of Travel, Summer 2002
A separate mail out survey asked property owners to indicate the frequency of travel during the summer
and non-summer months. Exhibit 2 shows that frequency varies by market segment, with fulltime residents
making, on average, the most trips per month while island visitors the least.
Exhibit 2
Round Trips per Month by Market Segment, Summer 2002
Anderson Island
The most frequent riders of Pierce County ferries are Anderson Island residents. This section summarizes
population and demographic trends that may be related to ferry travel patterns.
900
800 822
700
600
500 548
400
1990 2000 2010
Source: U.S. Census 1990, 2000, 2010
Note: CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate
During the same period Anderson Island has also seen steady residential development, as shown in Exhibit
4. The greatest share of this new development has been in homes for seasonal and recreational use.
Exhibit 4
Anderson Island Housing Growth, 1990 - 2010
1200
1000 82
800
63 435 Vacant
600
37 246 Vacation/Seasonal Use
400 235 Full-Time Ooccupancy
200 417 508
245
0
1990 2000 2010
Exhibit 5 shows that the Island’s fulltime occupancy rate has recently fallen from 57% in 2000 to 50% in
2010. The percentage of homes indicated by the Census to be for “seasonal, recreational, or occasional
use” has grown from 34% in 2000 to 42% in 2010.
Exhibit 5
Housing Occupancy Status as Share of Total Housing Units
100%
7% 9% 8%
80%
34%
45% 42%
60% Vacant
40% Vacation/Seasonal
Use
57%
47% 50%
20% Full-time
occupancy
0%
1990 2000 2010
Age
Residents of Anderson Island are older, on average, that those in Washington State. The median age of
Island residents in 2010 was 56 compared to 37 for the state as a whole. In 2000 the median age on
Anderson Island was 52.
Exhibit 6 shows the how the age distribution has shifted over the past two decades. The percentage of
people under the age of 20 has decreased significantly from 21.7% in 2000 to 15.5% in 2010. The share of
adults age 30 – 64 has increased during the same period from 42.5% to 51.4%.
Exhibit 6
Anderson Island Age Distribution, 1990 - 2010
100%
32.1% 28.6%
80% 36.5%
65 and over
60% 30 - 64
39.6% 42.5% 51.4% 20 - 30
40%
5 - 19
5.5% 3.5%
20% 4.4%
12.6% 16.2% Under 5
12.7%
0% 5.8% 5.7% 2.8%
1990 2000 2010
Exhibit 7 shows total population by age group. The greatest increase in population between 2000 and 2010
was among adults between the ages of 55 and 74 years of age, possibly indicating an influx of recent
retirees or people who plan to retire in the coming years.
Exhibit 7
Anderson Island Population by Age Group, 1990 - 2010
The island had 132 school age children in 2010 and 133 in 2000. Anderson Island Elementary is the sole
public school on Anderson Island. Total enrollment during 2012-2013 was 27 (Washington State
Superintendent of Public Instruction, 2014). In 2004-2005 41 students attended the school, and enrollment
counts have generally declined since to a low of 5 students in 2011-2012. Older students must ride the ferry
to attend Pioneer Middle and Steilacoom High schools off-island. No data is available regarding the
numbers of students attending school off-island.
The decline in elementary enrollment and decline in the number of younger children on the island indicates
school-related ferry ridership may decline in the coming years.
Income
Median household income on Anderson Island in 2013 was $43,333, compared to $59,204 in Pierce County
and $59,478 in Washington State. The lower income on the island is likely due in part to the large number
of retirees. When adjusting for inflation, median income on the island has declined since 2000 when it was
$49,351 in 2013 dollars. Exhibit 8 shows growth among households in the highest and lowest income
groups and a decline in households in the upper-middle ($50-$75K) income group.
Exhibit 8
Share of Total Households by Income Group
100%
80%
Greater than $75,000
60%
$50,000 - $75,000
40%
$30,000 - $50,000
20%
Less than $30,000
0%
2000 2013 5-Year estimates
Source: Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2000; American Community Survey 2013 5-Year Estimates
Employment
30% of Anderson Island residents over the age of 16 are employed compared to 56% of Pierce County
residents and 58% of Washington State residents. As shown in Exhibit 9
Employment Status: Population 16 Years and OlderExhibit 9, Anderson Island also has a lower share of total
adult population that is unemployed than the county and state and a much higher percentage of residents
who are not in the labor force due to retirement or other reasons. This is consistent with the age profile
presented above (Exhibit 7) where the largest number of residents were grouped in the 50-70 age range
(2010).
Exhibit 9
Employment Status: Population 16 Years and Older
100%
80% 34% 35%
65%
60% 11% 9%
Not in labor force
40% Unemployed
5% 56% 58%
20% Employed
30%
0%
Anderson Island Pierce County Washington
State
Exhibit 10 shows employment counts and primary job locations for Anderson Island residents. During the
past decade employment among island residents has grown overall, despite fluctuations from year to year.
The vast majority of residents who work do so off island in Pierce or King County and therefore most likely
use the ferry for commute travel.
200 Exhibit 10
180 Employed Anderson Island Residents by Work Location
160
140 All Other Locations
120 Thurston County
100
King County
80
60 Pierce County (off island)
40 Anderson Island
20
0
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Source: U.S. Census 2000 and American Community Survey 2009-2013 5-Year Estimates
Anderson Island employment (jobs located on the island) was 69 in 2011. With the exception of a spike in
2005, employment on the island has remained fairly constant. As shown in Exhibit 11 the majority of jobs
located on the island are held by people who do not live on the island and therefore most likely use the
ferry for commute travel.
Exhibit 11
Anderson Island Employment, by Worker Home Location
200
150
Employed in the Selection Area but
100 Living Outside
Employed and Living in the
Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2013. LODES Data
50 Selection Area
0
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2013. LODES Data
Ketron Island
The U.S. Census does not tabulate population data for Ketron Island. According to Pierce County data there
are 16 single family homes on the island as of 2014.
800
150
Population
Passengers
600
Vehicles
100 Population
400
50
200
0 0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
One possible explanation for the decline in ridership is the response of customers to fare increases. Exhibit
13 shows yearly ridership per Anderson Island full-time resident alongside vehicle and passenger fares. The
largest fare increase occurred in January 2006. Counter-intuitively, ridership per resident did not
immediately drop. However, ridership per resident did drop strongly the following year in 2007. A drop in
ridership per resident can also be seen in 2012 after a fare increase. Smaller fare increases in 2004 and
2008 did not appear to affect ridership per resident.
1
“Riders” are inclusive of vehicle drivers and passengers. Ridership statistics count one vehicle driver per vehicle. All
other ferry riders are considered “passengers”. Passengers may be walk on or accompanying a vehicle driver. All
ridership stats count travel one-way from Steilacoom to the islands.
Exhibit 13
Yearly Ridership per Resident and Fares
250 $18
$16
200 $14
$12
150
$10 Rides per Resident
$8 Vehicle Fare
100
$6 Passenger Fare
50 $4
$2
0 $0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Source: Pierce County, 2014; U.S. Census Bureau 2000, 2010
Error! Reference source not found. shows a similar pattern with regards to yearly ridership per housing
unit.2 However, this measure is declining at a slightly faster rate than rides per resident, most likely due to
the increasing share of homes for vacation or seasonal use.
Exhibit 14
Yearly Ridership per Housing Unit and Fares
300 $18
$16
250
$14
200 $12 Rides per Housing
Unit
$10
150 Vehicle Fare
$8
Passenger Fare
100 $6
$4
50
$2
0 $0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
2
A housing unit is defined as a house, apartment, mobile home or trailer that is intended for occupancy as a place of
residence.
Exhibit 15 shows total yearly ridership counts broken down by customer category. It indicates the largest
declines in the adult non-commuter category which includes both vehicle drivers and adult passengers. One
possible explanation for this decline is island residents replacing of off-island shopping trips with shopping
online. Commuter travel has also remained flat despite an increase in the number of residents working off
island. This may be explained by an increase in the number of people who occasionally work from home as
telework technology improves. Future surveys of island residents could shed light on these or other
possible explanations.
Exhibit 15
Ridership by Customer Category
(vehicle drivers and passengers combined)
250,000
200,000
Exempt
150,000 Senior/Disabled
Child (under 5)
100,000 Youth (5-18)
Adult (non-commute)
50,000 Commuter
0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Ferry ridership typically follows a seasonal pattern, with peak demands occurring in the summer months
and much lower demand in the winter months. As shown in Exhibit 16, seasonal variation is relatively stable
from year to year.
Exhibit 16
Monthly Ridership and Cars Left Behind, 2010-2013
25,000 5,000
20,000 4,000
Cars left behind
Ridership
15,000 3,000
Vehicles
10,000 2,000 Passengers
5,000 1,000 Cars Left Behind
0 0
Jan-10
Apr-10
Jul-10
Oct-10
Jan-11
Apr-11
Jul-11
Oct-11
Jan-12
Apr-12
Apr-13
Jul-12
Oct-12
Jan-13
Jul-13
Oct-13
240,000
2000
100,000 0
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
2013
2015
2017
2019
2021
2023
2025
2027
2029
These baseline projections assume continuation of current policies regarding service and fares.
3
Note: Pierce County is currently reviewing this forecast and it is subject to change.
4
Ridership per resident and ridership per housing unit have both declined in recent years. However not enough data is
available to determine the relative impact of fare increases on those declines versus other factors. Therefore these
projections assume no further decline in ridership per resident or per housing unit.
INTRODUCTION TO FARES
DISCUSSION DRAFT| January 14, 2015
• Waterborne Transportation Studies. In 1989 and 2003, Pierce County Ferry commissioned a
comprehensive examination of the ferry system demographics, finances, fares, and service. These
studies have resulted in recommendations for fare setting practices that have been largely followed in
years following the studies. The 2015 Waterborne Transportation Study is currently underway.
o The 1989 study recommended regular fare increases aimed at recovering operating costs.
o The 2003 study recommended adjusting fares every two years with an 80% farebox recovery target
and proposed a fare structure that based all pricing off algorithmic relationships with base vehicle
and passenger fares. The recommended target and fare structure were not fully adopted.
purpose of transporting school lunches, school books, and other school supplies to Anderson Island.
Vehicle passengers shall be required to pay full fare.
Surcharges
Surcharges are applied to the base fares discussed above, including:
• Peak Surcharge. Because Pierce County has seasonal ridership trends, a peak season surcharge on
vehicle fares is used to help manage demand and match peak traffic periods. The surcharge is
approximately 25% of the base fare. Peak season is in effect from May 1 to September 30 of each year,
and Non-Peak in effect from October 1 to April 30.
• Width Surcharge. Vehicles over 11’ in width are charged twice the fare determined by their length.
• Vessel Replacement Surcharge. SSB 6081 authorizes counties to impose a vessel replacement
surcharge. This charge must be at least equal to the WSF capital surcharge which is $0.25 per fare. The
revenue must only be used for the construction or purchase of ferry vessels and must be clearly
indicated, if possible on the fare media itself. Pierce County does not currently exercise this surcharge.
• Note: Unlike many county ferry systems, Pierce County accounts for capital depreciation in its
farebox revenue target [County Road Administration Board, December 2008].
• Fuel Surcharge. A fuel surcharge was used most recently in 2007. No surcharge is currently in effect.
Exhibit 1 summarizes Pierce County Ferry’s active fares, discounts, and surcharges.
Exhibit 1
Summary of Current Fares, Discounts and Surcharges (Effective January 1, 2015)
Categorical Value Pass Peak Season
Base Fare Discount (-) Discount Surcharge
/Surcharge (+) (5-trip) (May 1-Sept 30)
Passengers
Adult $5.30 -- 20% --
Youth $3.40 -- -- --
Children FREE -- -- --
Senior/Disabled/Medicare $5.30 -50% -- --
Vehicles (including driver)
Up to and including 21’ $17.80 -- 20% ~25%
Up to and including 21’ – Senior or disabled $14.85 -- -- ~25%
Over 21’ to under 30’ $36.05 -- -- ~25%
30’ to under 40’ $57.40 -- -- ~25%
40’ to under 50’ $76.65 -- -- ~25%
50’ to under 60’ $95.80 -- -- ~25%
60’ to under 70’ $114.95 -- -- ~25%
70’ to under 80’ $140.85 -- -- ~25%
80’ to under 90’ $166.75 -- -- ~25%
90’ and greater $197.25 -- -- ~25%
Over 11’ in width Fare by length +100% -- ~25%
Motorcycle/Stowage $9.60 -- 20% ~25%
3-Wheel Vehicle $11.25 -- -- ~25%
Steilacoom School District vehicle (1x/day) $17.80 -100% -- --
Bicycle Passenger fare -- -- --
Source: Pierce County Code §10.38.010 Passenger and Vehicle Fares
$16.00
$14.32
$14.00 Car & Driver
Adult Passenger
$12.00 Youth Passenger
Senior or Disabled
$10.00
2002: Definition of adult
changes from 12 years
$8.00
1984: Senior
fare introduced $5.30
$6.00 CAGR: 0.89%
$3.40
$4.00 $3.82
CAGR: 1.57%
$1.91 $2.65
$2.00
CAGR: 2.06%
$1.41
$0.00
1976 1982 1987 1993 1998 2004 2009 2014
Exhibit 3
Selected County Ferry Operating Context and Fare Structure
Pierce County Ferry Skagit County Whatcom County
Guemes Island Ferry Lummi Island Ferry
Operating Context
(2013)
Trip Length 10 min. to Ketron Island
5 min. to Guemes Island 5 min. to Lummi Island
20 min. to Anderson
Operating Expenses
(Note: Does not include $3,129,350 $1,617,612 $2,520,681
capital costs)
Fare Revenue $2,000,987 $985,791 $1,475,990
Passenger Trips 183,594 376,941 171,317
Vehicle Trips 174,576 197,786 106,594
Passenger:Vehicle
1.05:1 1.90:1 1.61:1
Ridership Ratio
Farebox Recovery 62% 61% 59%
(Target) (80%) (65%) (55%, per ORD 2010-054)
Passenger Fare
$5.30 $2.50 $7.00
(Base, RT)
Multi-ride 5 trips @ $21.20 (-20%) 25 trips @ $53.00 (-15%) 25 trips @ $115.00 (-34%)
Senior $2.65 (-50%) $1.50 (-40%) No special single trip fare
Youth $3.40 (-36%) $1.50 (-40%) FREE
Vehicle Base <= 21’ Base <= 20’ Base <8,001 lbs
(Base, RT, Non-Peak) Non-peak: $17.80 Non-peak: $8.00 Year-round: $13.00
Multi-ride 5 trips @ $71.20 20 trips @ $136.00 10 trips @ $102.00 (-22%)
(-20%) (-15%) 25 trips @ $235.00 (-28%)
Oversize/Weight • Length measured in • Length measured in 5’ • Weight:
Pricing 10’ increments to 90’ increments to 65’ o to 20,000 lbs ($32.00)
• Corresponding price • Corresponding price o to 36,000 lbs ($68.00)
increments from increments from $5-$11 o to 50,000 lbs ($133.00)
$18.25-$25.90 • Implied price per foot: • Trailer length:
• Implied price per $1.00 - $2.20 o to 16’ ($18.00)
foot: $1.83-$2.59 • Each 5’ increment over o to 30’ ($34.00)
• Flat rate of $197.25 65’: $5.00 o over 30’ ($63.00)
above 90’ • Overwidth (>8’6”): o implied price per foot
Double length charge $1.13-$1.14
• Overwidth (occupying
more than one ferry lane)
charged additional +50%
Passenger:Vehicle
0.30:1 0.31:1 0.54:1
Base Fare Ratio
BERK will survey ferry riders and property owners to inform the 2015 Waterborne Transportation Study.
Understanding how current property owners and riders use the ferry and their responses to potential
changes in financial structures, fares, or service will help develop options for future service and fares.
Previous Surveys
For the 2003 Pierce County Waterborne Transportation Study, surveys were conducted of ferry riders and
property owners on Anderson and Ketron Islands. The rider survey was conducted on-board the ferry over
four days in late August and early September of 2002, with 1,123 surveys completed. The property owner
survey was mailed to 3,000 households on Anderson and Ketron Island in October 2002 and 950 completed
surveys were returned. In addition, in 2014 Pierce County conducted a survey of ferry riders.
January 9, 2015 1
SURVEY APPROACH DISCUSSION DRAFT
PIERCE COUNTY WATERBORNE TRANSPORTATION 2015
o Tenure (how long have you lived and/or owned your property)
o What were the factors that led you to purchase a home on the island?
• Property owner travel habits
o Frequency of travel by trip type (shopping, work, school, etc )s off island
o Employed residents: days commuting off island/ working from home/ working on island
• Rentals and guests
o Do you rent your property out? If so, how many times/year, which seasons
o How often do you have guests at your property? How many, when
• General service questions regarding needs, gaps in schedule, fares, operations