Guna Fund Business Whitepaper Provisional June 6 2018
Guna Fund Business Whitepaper Provisional June 6 2018
Guna Fund Business Whitepaper Provisional June 6 2018
Business Whitepaper
Authors:
Abstract
The popularity of digital assets is ever-growing. While this space offers immense
potential of growth and returns to an investor, it does not come without risks and a
high requirement of mind share. The Guna Fund is a hedge fund of digital assets
backed by artificial intelligence (AI) aimed at providing a low risk, high and stable
return to its investors by relieving them of the hassles of tracking the market/assets,
ensuring security and preventing them from committing individual trading mistakes.
The use of AI is intended to optimize the performance of the fund.
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Cryptocurrencies, like Bitcoin or Litecoin, which primarily serve the purposes of being a store
of value, a means of exchange, and a unit of account.
Platforms, like Ethereum or NEO, which create an infrastructure that can be leveraged to
build on top of. Ethereum, for example, allows developers to create smart contracts (code that
can execute transactions without a third party or intermediary) on top of the platform the coin
creates which can power decentralized applications.
Protocols, like 0x or Kyber, are the set of rules that govern the network. Blockchain protocols
usually include rules about consensus, transaction validation, and network participation.
Decentralized Applications (DApps), like Augur or Cindicator, which represents the
decentralized equivalent of an app or platform and are built on top of platforms like Ethereum.
The market capitalization of this space grew from under $20 billion in early 2017 to as high as $850
billion in January 2018, before retracing towards a consolidation level of around $250 billion (more
than 1000% return). The potential of digital assets, backed by decentralized computing technologies
like Blockchain, Hashgraph, etc. is immense and highly disruptive, and the market is expected to
expand to over $1 trillion by 2020.
While this offers a very lucrative opportunity for individuals and institutions to derive gains on their
investments on these assets, the volatile nature of the market coupled with fraudulent projects in the
space pose challenge to their profit realization. Many investors get swayed into investing in digital
assets during the end of a hyper bull run only to witness their investments suffer loss, albeit notional,
after a couple of months. They also see themselves at the wrong end of a scam ICO investment and their
hard earned money is thus lost without being able to reap the long term benefits that this space has to
offer. Even an investor who is well versed with this space faces issues of managing time to put into
research of promising projects and track the markets, which are open 24/7, regularly to enter and exit at
the ideal buying and selling opportunities and wishes for a solution to take care of such needs at times.
To address the above mentioned problem, we present to you the Guna Fund, a hybrid hedge-cum-equity
fund of digital assets backed by artificial intelligence. The fund’s management team will conduct due
diligence and invest in only those projects and digital assets which pass their screening parameters. It will
also try to maximize the fund’s value during bearish market cycles by taking hedge strategies that keep
the fund’s position as neutral to market risks as possible. Investors of the Guna Fund will own a highly
valuable portfolio of blockchain assets by investing in only one blockchain asset – the Guna Fund
Token (GNA). This solves the issue of actively choosing from a large number of blockchain assets and
timely adjusting their portfolio for making gains.
a higher price than normal. A close ended fund also allows it to have a lower expense ratio courtesy the
absence of a need to issue and distribute new tokens. This allows it to command less fees despite being
an actively managed fund.
The entire fund will be actively managed. The fund management activities will mainly involve
the following:
Investment in altcoins
Margin trading
Investing in ICOs
The portion of the total fund to be allocated to each activity will vary depending on the
market conditions.
Participating in markets that offer returns on successful predictions on events pertaining to sports,
films, elections, weather and other natural events is a plan for the future.
To optimize the performance of the fund’s management, the team will deploy AI algorithms to obtain
profitable trade signals. Details of the algorithms and their implementation are provided in the
technical whitepaper.
The trading of assets held by the fund will be carried out by their fundamental, sentiment and
technical analysis.
Fundamental analysis is a method of evaluating an asset in an attempt to measure its intrinsic value,
by examining related economic, financial and other qualitative and quantitative factors. The end goal
of fundamental analysis is to produce a quantitative value that an investor can compare with an asset’s
current price, thus indicating whether the asset is undervalued or overvalued.
Rubrics will be developed by the fund management team and AI systems that are aimed to select the
best projects. These may be copyrighted and published after due testing. Based on the rubrics used, a
Net Fundamental Score (NFS) will be assigned to each asset.
Also known as opinion mining or emotion AI, sentiment analysis refers to the use of natural language
processing, text analysis, computational linguistics, and biometrics to systematically identify, extract,
quantify, and study affective states and subjective information. Generally speaking, sentiment analysis
aims to determine the attitude of a speaker, writer, or other subject with respect to some topic or the
overall contextual polarity or emotional reaction to a document, interaction, or event. The attitude may
be a judgment or evaluation (see appraisal theory), affective state (that is to say, the emotional state of
the author or speaker), or the intended emotional communication (that is to say, the emotional effect
intended by the author or interlocutor).
In the parlance of trading blockchain assets, sentiment analysis involves analyzing tweets, subreddits,
threads on forums, etc. about certain blockchain assets and forecasting the price movements from the
posts. Details of the sentiment analysis approach are provided in the technical whitepaper.
The AI component of the Guna Fund will perform sentiment analysis of the fund’s assets through
the following flow:
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Presently, cryptocurrency price movements mostly occur on the basis of news, rumors,
and speculations. We call these events to be catalysts to the price movements. Some
common catalysts are:
Whenever any project plans to exercise any such event, rumors inevitably surface through posts
on social media such as Twitter, Reddit, Bitcointalk, Medium, and Steemit. The posts usually
involve the use of the project’s cashtag, which is the ticker (symbol) of the currency prefixed by a
dollar sign, e.g. $BTC for Bitcoin.
The retriever component of the AI will retrieve rumors or news based on certain keywords
corresponding to the previously mentioned catalysts. So, if we are looking to invest in
projects which are in talks with big organizations for a potential partnership, rumors about
such developments will have surfaced on social media, and posts related to such rumors will
be captured by the GR.
The authenticity of a rumor or news will be determined by the validator component of Guna’s
AI. Only those rumors that are backed with proof or are originating from sources with extended
past credibility will be considered for further sentiment analysis.
The posts returned by the GV will then be assessed by the sentiment analyzer. It will
determine and filter the favorable rumors or news from those otherwise based on the aspects of
news quantification detailed above. Post filtration, the projects will be ranked on the basis of
their sentimental favorability and a Net Sentiment Score (NSS) will be assigned to each asset.
The list of such projects will be forwarded to the Guna Technical Analyzer.
Technical analysis is a trading tool employed to evaluate assets and attempt to forecast their future
movement by analyzing statistics gathered from trading activity, such as price movement and volume.
Over the years, numerous technical indicators have been developed by analysts in attempts to accurately
forecast future price movements. Some indicators are focused primarily on identifying the current
market trend, including support and resistance areas, while others are focused on determining the
strength of a trend and the likelihood of its continuation.
The team will aim to develop their own technical analysis models assisted by the AI system, based on
strategies like mean reversion or statistical arbitrage or devise a new technical paradigm, and these may
be copyrighted and published after due testing.
On receiving the recommendation from the GSA, the Technical Analyzer will evaluate the assets
technically by assessing its charts, patterns, volume data, and momentum indicators to
determine its ideal entry (buy) and exit (sell) prices. At the end of its analysis, it will assign a
Net Technical Score (NTS) to each asset and also indicate the prices at which an asset should
be bought or sold.
The execution of trades will be performed by a mix of human and AI activity. The Net Asset
Score (NAS) will be considered before buying or selling an asset. It will be computed as,
NAS = NFS*NSS*NTS
All components of the Artificial Intelligent System will be trained by the Guna Fund’s team of
blockchain asset analysts.
3. Token Metrics
In order to invest in the Guna Fund, one needs to purchase our fund’s utility token, GNA.
Summary of the Token:
A total of 50,000,000 GNA tokens will ever be in existence. At the time of the private sale launch, 1 GNA
will be worth $1.
An entry load of 2% will be levied, i.e., on an investment of 1 BTC being made, the contribution to the fund
is 0.98 ETH.
Profits made by the fund will be commissioned on the last working day of a calendar month at a
rate of 20%. However, if the NAV of the fund is below the watermark (below the NAV at the time of last
commission realization) of the previous month, commission will not be charged for that period.
Out of the total revenue collected by the Guna Fund, its utilization will be as follows:
The Token Offering will begin from February 27, 2018 when the fund goes live. Individuals can send their
investments to the fund in the form of Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) or Litecoin (LTC). The deposit
addresses for each of the above mentioned cryptocurrencies are as follows:
BTC: 1Ni2GnyTbt8yFGqRa3RgVYvH33aMeiDPuX
ETH: 0xa72af427aaeb9c654559734e7b030a3d799a4d1d
LTC: LhAPG6KwpnjZKfy7UTeUAvAd1aZPSdLuNw
On deposit of their funds in the form of BTC/ETH/LTC, the investors will receive equivalent amount of
GNA tokens in their account wallet on the website within 24 hours. Funds need not be sent from ERC20
compatible wallets.
GNA token holders can redeem their GNA tokens by exchanging them for BTC/ETH/LTC at the
then current rate on the Guna Fund website.
The fund will build and maintain its portfolio of blockchain assets and apply various techniques of investment
and trading to maximize its Net Asset Value (NAV). From March 5 th 2018, the fund will go live and the price
of the GNA token will be pegged to the NAV of the fund. The price of a GNA token will be the live value
of the Guna Fund’s NAV. It will be computed by the following formula:
=
Where,
Where,
MCS = Maximum Circulating Supply
xi = Number of GNA tokens in the master GNA wallet of the i-th exchange it is listed in
The above formula ensures that the price of the token is not affected by the buying and selling of it.
So, if the fund makes a profit of 30% from March 5th 2018 to April 30th 2018, the price of 1 GNA on April 30th
2018 will be $1.30. Likewise, if the fund incurs a loss of 15%, the price of 1 GNA will be $0.85.
As mentioned in the section on revenue model, the fund will charge 20% commission on profits on the last
day of a calendar month. The commissions will be realized by means of airlift of GNA tokens from the
investor’s wallet to the Guna Team’s GNA master wallet.
Illustration 1:
Paul invests 100 GNA worth of BTC/ETH/LTC on March 5, 2018 at a GNA price of $1. He further
invests another 50 GNA worth of cryptocurrencies on March 10 , 2018 when each GNA token was trading
at $1.08. He decides to withdraw 20 GNA worth of fund on March 17, 2018. Since at this time each GNA is
worth higher than at the time of his purchase, he will be charged a commission of 20% of profits realized on
his withdrawal, i.e., 0.35 GNA will be airlifted from his wallet. He further invests 30 GNA worth of capital
on March 25, 2018 and the Guna Fund team realizes commissions on profit made till March 31, 2018.
Date GNA GNA GNA Price GNA GNA
Bought Sold Airlifted Balance
0.2 ∗ [{( 150 ) ∗ 129.65 ∗ ( 1 )} + {( 150 ) ∗ 129.65 ∗ ( 1.08 )} + {30 ∗ ( 1.10 )}]
Illustration 2:
Paul invests 100 GNA worth of BTC/ETH/LTC on March 5, 2018 at a GNA price of $1. He further invests
another 50 GNA worth of cryptocurrencies on March 10 , 2018 when each GNA token was trading at $1.08.
He decides to withdraw 20 GNA worth of fund on March 17, 2018. Since at this time each GNA is worth
higher than at the time of his purchase, he will be charged a commission of 20% of profits realized on his
withdrawal, i.e., 0.35 GNA will be airlifted from his wallet. He further invests 30 GNA worth of capital on
March 25, 2018 and the Guna Fund team realizes commissions on profit made till March 31, 2018.
Profit Commission Realized on April 30th 2018: 0 (Since the GNA price of $1.10 on April 30th 2018 is
lower than that of $1.15 at the time of the last commission booking on March 31st 2018)
Illustration 3:
Paul carries forward the balance of 171.12 GNA into the month of May 2018. He invests another 60 GNA
worth of capital into the fund on May 14, 2018 with each GNA being priced at $1.19. He decides to withdraw
25 GNA worth of capital from the fund on May 21, 2018 at which time each GNA token is worth $1.23. The
commission charged by the Guna Fund team at that moment will be levied on the investments made at a time
when each GNA was priced lower than $1.23. This comes to be 0.46 GNA which gets airlifted from his wallet.
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After investing another 15 GNA worth of capital on May 28, 2018, he gets charged the monthly commission
on profits made during the period between the previous realization of monthly commission on March 31, 2018
to the last day of May 2018 which comes to be 3.96 GNA, leaving him with 216.70 GNA to carry into June.
1.23 − 1.19
+ 60 ∗ ( )}] = 0.46
1.19
1.25 − 1.24
∗( )] = 3.96
124
Service to our business partners (detailed in the following section under Partnerships) will be monetized
and 5% the revenue generated will be shared with the investors through airdrops. This is intended to be a
gesture of gratitude to the community of investors for contributing towards a large corpus of which a
portion will be utilized for conducting R&D.
The GNA token will allow its holder the right to vote in all major decisions of the fund. This privilege will
come to use when we would need to venture in directions that affect the investors of the Guna Fund. Based
on feedback from the investors, polls would be conducted on the fund’s website. Examples of voting would be
to decide whether to
Illustration:
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Paul refers Anne who invests $100. After a month, Anne’s investment becomes $130. Commission made
by the Guna team = 0.20*$30 = $6 out of which $5 will be credited to Paul in the form of GNA tokens.
5. Security
Not more than 25% of the fund will be held on exchanges for active trading. These assets used for active
trading will be distributed over multiple accounts on exchanges in a manner such that not more than 5% of
the actively traded fund resides in a single account. This would be done to reduce the impact of an account’s
compromise on the fund, if and when it happens. The assets meant to be held for mid to long term positions
will be stored in hardware wallets like Ledger Nano S and Trezor. Assets not supported by these wallets will
be stored in encrypted USB drives. These storage devices will be held in secure safe deposit boxes with back-
up paper-wallets stored at separate secure locations. Locations are undisclosed for security consideration. A
public audit will confirm the presence and safe storage of the USB drives and paper-wallets to the investors of
the fund.
6. Partnerships
6.1 Investment and Trading Firms
Blockchain projects are growing on traditional investment firms as an upcoming asset class. The Guna
team intends to handle the outsourced blockchain assets investment activities of such large firms or provide
them its expertise and research.
In addition to forecasting prices of blockchain assets, the models developed by research and utilization of
hybrid intelligence will see extended utility in other domains such as weather forecasting, retail, healthcare,
gambling and sports betting, agriculture and others. The team behind Guna aims to offer solutions and
hybrid intelligent consulting to leading firms from these domains and monetize such offerings.
7. Roadmap
• May 2017 – Fund launched as a mutual fund of digital assets by the CIO in private
• September 2017 – Use of margin trading/hedge fund strategies adopted by the
fund’s management
• March 2018 – Fund opened to public
• April 2018 – Commencement of development of the Sentiment Analyzer components
• May 2018 – Commencement of development of algorithmic trade bots
• June 2018 – Migration of investors’ funds to the private blockchain
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• January 2018 – Diversification into other asset classes like equities, forex, commodities and
other entities of alternate prediction markets
8. Team
9. Legal Considerations
To be filled.
10. Conclusion
11. References