Economics For Finance
Economics For Finance
Economics For Finance
Study Material
(Modules 1 to 3)
Paper 8B
Economics
for Finance
BOARD OF STUDIES
THE INSTITUTE OF CHARTERED ACCOUNTANTS OF INDIA
This Study Material has been prepared by the faculty of the Board of Studies. The
objective of the Study Material is to provide teaching material to the students to enable
them to obtain knowledge in the subject. In case students need any clarification or
have any suggestion for further improvement of the material contained herein, they
may write to the Director of Studies.
All care has been taken to provide interpretations and discussions in a manner useful
for the students. However, the Study Material has not been specifically discussed by the
Council of the Institute or any of its Committees and the views expressed herein may
not be taken to necessarily represent the views of the Council or any of its Committees.
Permission of the Institute is essential for reproduction of any portion of this material.
Website : www.icai.org
E-mail : [email protected]
At the Intermediate Level, you are expected to not only acquire professional
knowledge but also the ability to apply such knowledge in problem solving.
Learning outcomes which you need to demonstrate after learning each topic
have been detailed in the first page of each chapter/unit. Demonstration of
these learning outcomes would help you to achieve the desired level of
technical competence. The process of learning should also help you inculcate
the requisite professional skills, i.e., the intellectual skills and communication
skills, necessary for achieving the desired professional competence.
The dynamic nature of the economic variables that influence decision making
at various levels necessitates a comprehensive understanding of the
behavioural patterns of economic entities. Therefore, of late, the tools of
Economics have gained wide application in nearly all areas of business and
finance. It has thus become increasingly important that our accounting and
iii
iv
vi
vii
viii
ix
DETERMINATION OF
NATIONAL INCOME
UNIT I: NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTING
LEARNING OUTCOMES
At the end of this unit, you will be able to:
Define national income
Determination of
National Income
National Income
Accounting
Limitations and
Different concepts of Measurement of
Challenges of National
National Income National Income in India
Income Computation
1.1 INTRODUCTION
When we undertake the study of national economies, we are interested in
macroeconomic aggregates such as, aggregate income, output, employment,
prices, consumption, savings, investment etc. Just as there are accounting
conventions which measure the performance of business, there are conventions for
measuring and analyzing the economic performance of a nation. National Income
Accounting, pioneered by the Nobel prize-winning economists Simon Kuznets and
Richard Stone, is one such measure.
National Income is defined as the net value of all economic goods and services
produced within the domestic territory of a country in an accounting year plus the
net factor income from abroad. According to the Central Statistical Organisation
(CSO) ‘National income is the sum total of factor incomes generated by the normal
residents of a country in the form of wages, rent , interest and profit in an
accounting year’.
of wheat may, thus, be added with millions of apples and with value of services
such as airplane journeys.
While learning about national income, there are a few important points which one
needs to bear in mind:
(i) The value of only final goods and services or only the value added by the
production process would be included in GDP. By ‘value added’ we mean the
difference between value of output and purchase of intermediate goods. Value
added represents the contribution of labour and capital to the production
process.
(ii) Intermediate consumption consists of the value of the goods and services
consumed as inputs by a process of production, excluding fixed assets whose
consumption is recorded as consumption of fixed capital. Intermediate goods
used to produce other goods rather than being sold to final purchasers are not
counted as it would involve double counting. The intermediate goods or
services may be either transformed or used up by the production process. For
example, the value of flour used in making bread would not be counted as it
will be included while bread is counted. This is because flour is an intermediate
good in bread making process. Similarly, if we include the value of an
automobile in GDP, we should not be including the value of the tyres
separately.
(iii) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is a measure of production activity. GDP covers
all production activities recognized by SNA called the ‘production boundary’.
The production boundary covers production of almost all goods and services
classified in the National Industrial Classification (NIC). Production of
agriculture, forestry and fishing which are used for own consumption of
producers is also included in the production boundary. Thus, Gross Domestic
Product (GDP) of any nation represents the sum total of gross value added
(GVA) (i.e, without discounting for capital consumption or depreciation) in all
the sectors of that economy during the said year.
(iv) Economic activities, as distinguished from non-economic activities, include all
human activities which create goods and services that are exchanged in a
market and valued at market price. Non-economic activities are those which
produce goods and services, but since these are not exchanged in a market
transaction they do not command any market value; for e.g. hobbies,
housekeeping and child rearing services of home makers and services of family
members that are done out of love and affection.
(v) National income is a ‘flow’ measure of output per time period—for example,
per year—and includes only those goods and services produced in the current
period i.e. produced during the time interval under consideration. The value
of market transactions such as exchange of goods which already exist or are
previously produced, do not enter into the calculation of national income.
Therefore, the value of assets such as stocks and bonds which are exchanged
during the pertinent period are not included in national income as these do
not directly involve current production of goods and services. However, the
value of services that accompany the sale and purchase (e.g. fees paid to real
estate agents and lawyers) represent current production and, therefore, is
included in national income.
(vi) An important point to remember is that two types of goods used in the
production process are counted in GDP namely, capital goods (business plant
and equipment purchases) and inventory investment—the net change in
inventories of final goods awaiting sale or of materials used in the production
which may be positive or negative. Additions to inventory stocks of final goods
and materials belong to GDP because they are currently produced output.
The national income in real terms when available by industry of origin, give a
measure of the structural changes in the pattern of production in the country which
is vital for economic analysis.
1.3.2 Nominal GDP vs Real GDP: GDP at Current and Constant prices
Since we measure the value of output in terms of market prices, GDP, which is
essentially a quantity measure, is sensitive to changes in the average price level.
The same physical output will correspond to a different GDP level if the average
level of market prices changes. That is, if prices rise, GDP measured at market prices
will also rise without any real increase in physical output. This is misleading because
it does not reflect the changes in the actual volume of output. To correct this i.e. to
eliminate the effect of prices, in addition to computing GDP in terms of current
market prices, termed ‘nominal GDP’ or ‘GDP at current prices’, the national income
accountants also calculate ‘real GDP ’or ‘GDP at constant prices’ which is the value
of domestic product in terms of constant prices of a chosen base year. Real GDP
changes only when production changes. As a rule, when prices are changing
drastically, nominal GDP and real GDP diverge substantially. The converse is true
when prices are more or less constant. For example, the GDP of 2015-16 may be
expressed either at prices of that year or at prices that prevailed in 2011-12. In the
former case, GDP will be affected by price changes, but in the latter case GDP will
change only when there has been a change in physical output.
1.3.3 Gross National Product (GNP)
Gross National Product (GNP) is a measure of the market value of all final economic
goods and services, gross of depreciation, produced within the domestic territory
of a country by normal residents during an accounting year including net factor
incomes from abroad. Gross National Product (GNP) is evaluated at market prices
and therefore it is in fact Gross National Product at market prices (GNP MP).
GDP but not in GNP. Similarly, profits earned by Company Y, an Indian company in
UK would be excluded from GDP, but included in GNP.
1.3.4 Net Domestic Product at market prices (NDP MP)
Net domestic product at market prices (NDP MP) is a measure of the market value
of all final economic goods and services, produced within the domestic territory of
a country by its normal residents and non residents during an accounting year less
depreciation. The portion of the capital stock used up in the process of production
or depreciation must be subtracted from final sales because depreciation
represents capital consumption and therefore a cost of production.
At this stage, we need to clearly understand the difference between the concepts:
‘market price’ and ‘factor cost.’ In addition to factor cost, the market value of the
goods and services will include indirect taxes which are:
• product taxes like excise duties, customs, sales tax, service tax etc., levied by
the government on goods and services, and
• taxes on production, such as, factory license fee, taxes to be paid to the local
authorities, pollution tax etc. which are unrelated to the quantum of
production.
You might have noticed that the government gives subsidy to many goods and
services. The market price will be lower by the amount of subsidies on products
and production which the government pays to the producer. Hence, the market
value of final expenditure would exceed the total obtained at factor cost by the
amount of product and production taxes reduced by the value of similar kinds of
subsidies. Direct taxes do not have the same effect since they do not impinge
directly on transactions but are levied directly on the incomes. For example if the
factor cost of a unit of good X is ` 50/, indirect taxes amount to ` 15/per unit and
the government gives a subsidy of ` 10/per unit, then market price will be ` 55/-
Thus, we find that the basis of distinction between market price and factor cost is
net indirect taxes (i.e., Indirect taxes - Subsidies).
The Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation has released the new
series of national accounts, revising the base year from 2004-05 to 2011-12. In the
revision of National Accounts statistics done by Central Statistical Organization
(CSO) in January 2015, it was decided that sector-wise estimates of Gross Value
Added (GVA) will now be given at basic prices instead of at factor cost. In simple terms,
for any commodity the ‘basic price’ is the amount receivable by the producer from
the purchaser for a unit of a product minus any tax on the product plus any subsidy on
the product.
1.4.1 The Circular Flow of Income
Circular flow of income refers to the continuous circulation of production, income
generation and expenditure involving different sectors of the economy. There are
three different interlinked phases in a circular flow of income, namely: production,
distribution and disposition as can be seen from the following figure.
Figure 1.1.1
Circular Flow of Income
Production of
goods and
services
Disposition Distribution as
Consumption factor incomes
/Investment (Rent , Wages,
Interest ,Profit
(i) In the production phase, firms produce goods and services with the help of
factor services.
(ii) In the income or distribution phase, the flow of factor incomes in the form of
rent, wages, interest and profits from firms to the households occurs
Phase of Output: Value The sum of net values added Contribution of production
economy, namely,
government, consumer
households, and producing
enterprises
Corresponding to the three phases, there are three methods of measuring national
income. They are: Value Added Method (alternatively known as Product Method);
Income Method; and Expenditure Method.
Adding the net value-added by all the units in one sub-sector, we get the net value-
added by the sub-sector. By adding net value-added or net products of all the sub-
sectors of a sector, we get the value-added or net product of that sector. For the
economy as a whole, we add the net products contributed by each sector to get
Net Domestic Product. We subtract net indirect taxes and add net factor income
from abroad to get national income.
Net value added (NVA MP) – Net Indirect taxes = Net Domestic
Product (NVA FC)
SUMMARY
• National income accounts are extremely useful for analyzing and evaluating
the performance of an economy, knowing the composition and structure of the
national income, income distribution, economic forecasting and for choosing
economic policies and evaluating them..
• Gross domestic product (GDP MP) is a measure of the market value of all final
economic goods and services, gross of depreciation, produced within the
domestic territory of a country during a given time period gross of
depreciation.
• Capital goods (business plant and equipment purchases) and inventory
investment—the net change in inventories of final goods awaiting sale or of
materials used in the production are counted in GDP
• To eliminate the effect of prices, in addition computing GDP in terms of current
market prices, termed ‘nominal GDP’ or GDP at current prices, the national
income accountants also calculate ‘real GDP ’or GDP at constant prices which
is the value of domestic product in terms of constant prices of a chosen base
year.
• GNP MP = GDP MP + Net Factor Income from Abroad
14. How does Personal Income differ from Disposable Personal Income?
15. Define ‘Private income’ as used in India
16. Illustrate the circular flow of income
17. How do you arrive at ‘gross value added’
18. What is meant by intermediate consumption?
19. How is production for self consumption treated in national income accounts?
20. Define ‘Net Factor Income from Abroad’
21. What is meant by the term ‘net exports’
III Long Answer Type Questions
1. Define national income and explain the usefulness of national income
estimates
2. Describe the generally used concepts of national income
3. What are the different methods of calculation of national income
4. Explain the term Gross Domestic Product (GDP). How is it estimated?
5. Distinguish between GDP current and constant prices. What purpose does real
GDP serve?
6. What is the difference between the concepts ‘market price’ and ‘factor cost in
national income accounting?
7. Illustrate the circular flow of income and describe its relevance for
measurement of national income
8. Explain Value Added Method as applied in national income? accounting
9. How is national income calculated under ‘Income Method’?
10. Explain ‘Expenditure Method’ for calculation of national income?
11. Write notes on the system of regional accounts in India
12. Explain with illustrations the limitations of national income computation?
Consumption 750
Investment 250
Exports 100
Imports 200
2. Calculate Gross Domestic Product at market Prices (GDPMP) and derive national
income from the following data (in Crores of Rupees)
Exports 200
Depreciation 50
Imports 100
3. Find GDPMP and GNP MP from the following data (in Crores of Rs) using income
method. Show that it is the same as that obtained by expenditure method.
Depreciation 800
Wages 6,508
Interest 1,060
Rental Income 34
Exports 1,346
Imports 1,408
4. From, the following data calculate the Gross National Product at Market Price
using Value Added method
(` in Crores)
Value of output in primary sector 500
700
ANSWERS/HINTS
I Multiple Choice Type Questions
1 b 6 b 11 a 16 d
2 b 7 d 12 b 17 c
3 b 8 d 13 a 18 c
4 c 9 a 14 d 19 b
5 b 10 a 15 a 20 a
II Hints to Short Type Questions
1. The net value of all economic goods and services produced within the domestic
territory of a country in an accounting year plus the net factor income from
abroad/ the sum total of factor incomes generated by the normal residents of
a country in the form of wages, rent , interest and profit in an accounting year’
2. SNA, developed by United Nations, provide a comprehensive conceptual and
accounting framework for compiling and reporting macroeconomic statistics
for analysing and evaluating the performance of an economy.
3. GDP MP is the market value of all final economic goods and services, gross of
depreciation, produced within the domestic territory of a country during a
given time period.
4. ‘Value added’ we mean the difference between value of output and purchase
of intermediate goods.
5. Intermediate goods used to produce other goods rather than being sold to
final purchasers are not counted as it would involve double counting whereas
final goods are those that meant for final consumption
2. Expenditure Method
GDPMP = Personal consumption expenditure + Gross Investment (Gross
business fixed investment + inventory investment) + Gross residential
construction investment + Gross public investment + Government purchases
of goods and services + Net Exports (Exports-imports)
GNPMP = GDPMP +Net factor income from abroad
GNPMP - Indirect Taxes = GNP FC
3. Income Method
GDPMP = Employee compensation (wages and salaries + employers'
contribution towards social security schemes) + profits + rent + interest +
mixed income + depreciation + net indirect taxes (Indirect taxes - subsidies)
GDPMP = 6,508+ 34 + 1060 + 806+ 682 + 1,000 + 800 = 10,890
GNP MP = GDPMP + NFIA =10,890+ 40 =10,930
Expenditure Method
Y = C + I + G + (X – M)
Y = 7314 + 1482 + 2196+ (1346 –1408)
Y = (7314 + 1482 + 2196) – 62
Y = 10930
GNP MP = GDPMP + NFIA =10,890+ 40 =10,930
4. GDPMP = (Value of output in primary sector - intermediate consumption of
primary sector) + (value of output in secondary sector - intermediate
consumption of secondary sector) + (value of output in tertiary sector -
intermediate consumption of tertiary sector)
Value of output in primary sector = 500
- Intermediate consumption of primary sector = 250
+ Value of output in secondary sector = 900
- Intermediate consumption in secondary sector = 300
+ Value of output in tertiary sector = 700
- Intermediate consumption of tertiary sector = 300
GDP MP = ` 1250 Crores
Determination of National
Income
2.1 INTRODUCTION
In the last unit on measurement of national income, we have developed theoretical
insights into the different concepts of national income and methods of
measurement. In this unit, we shall focus on two issues namely, the factors that
determine the level of national income and the determination of equilibrium
aggregate income and output in an economy. A comprehensive theory to explain
these phenomena was first put forward by the British economist John Maynard
Keynes in his masterpiece ‘The General Theory of Employment Interest and Money’
published in 1936. The Keynesian theory of income determination is presented in
three models:
(i) The two-sector model consisting of the household and the business sectors,
(ii) The three-sector model consisting of household, business and government
sectors, and
(iii) The four-sector model consisting of household, business, government and
foreign sectors
Before we attempt to explain the determination of income in each of the above
models, it is pertinent that we understand the concept of circular flow in an
economy which explains the functioning of an economy.
i.e., foreign trade does not exist; there are no exports and imports and external
inflows and outflows. All investment outlay is autonomous (not determined either
by the level of income or the rate of interest); all investment is net and, therefore,
national income equals the net national product.
In the figure 1.2.1, the circular flow of income and expenditure which presents the
working of the two- sector economy is illustrated in a simple manner.
Figure 1.2.1
The circular broken lines with arrows show factor and product flows and present
‘real flows’ and the continuous line with arrows show ‘money flows’ which are
generated by real flows. These two circular flows-real flows and money flows-are
in opposite directions and the value of real flows equal the money flows because
the factor payments are equal to household incomes. There are no injections into
or leakages from the system. Since the whole of household income is spent on
goods and services produced by firms, household expenditures equal the total
receipts of firms which equal value of output.
Before we go into the discussion on the equilibrium aggregate income and changes
in it, we shall first try to understand the meaning of the term ‘equilibrium’ (defined
as a state in which there is no tendency to change; or a position of rest). Equilibrium
output occur when the desired amount of output demanded by all the agents in
the economy exactly equals the amount produced in a given time period. Logically,
an economy can be said to be in equilibrium when the production plans of the firms
and the expenditure plans of the households match.
Having understood the working of the two sector model and the meaning of
equilibrium output, we shall now have the formal presentation of the theory of
income determination in a two-sector model which is the simplest representation
of the key principles of Keynesian economics. To see the factors that determine the
level of income, first we consider the factors that affect the components of
aggregate demand namely, consumption and investment.
AD = C + I (2. 1)
Of the two components, consumption expenditure accounts for the highest
proportion of the GDP. In a simple economy, the variable I is assumed to be
determined exogenously and constant in the short run. Therefore, the short-run
aggregate demand function can be written as:
AD = C + I̅ (2.2)
Where = constant investment.
From the equation (2.2), we can infer that, in the short run, AD depends largely on
the aggregate consumption expenditure. We shall now go over to the discussion
on consumption function.
C = f (Y) (2.3)
The private demand for goods and services accounts for the largest proportion of
the aggregate demand in an economy and plays a crucial role in the determination
of national income. According to Keynes, the total volume of private expenditure
in an economy depends on the total current disposable income of the people and
the proportion of income which they decide to spend on consumer goods and
services. The specific form of consumption–income relationship termed the
consumption function, proposed by Keynes is as follows:
C = a + bY (2.4)
where C = aggregate consumption expenditure; Y = total disposable income; a is
a constant term which denotes the (positive) value of consumption at zero level of
disposable income; and the parameter b, the slope of the function, (∆C /∆Y) is the
marginal propensity to consume (MPC) i.e the increase in consumption per unit
increase in disposable income.
Figure 1.2.2
The Keynesian Consumption Function
∆𝐂𝐂
MPC = =b (2.5)
∆ 𝒀𝒀
Although the MPC is not necessarily constant for all changes in income (in fact, the
MPC tends to decline at higher income levels), most analysis of consumption
generally works with a constant MPC.
2.3.3 Average Propensity to Consume (APC)
Just as marginal propensity to consume, the average propensity to consume is a
ratio of consumption defining income consumption relationship. The ratio of total
consumption to total income is known as the average propensity to consume (APC).
Total Consumption 𝐂𝐂
APC = Total Income
= (2.6)
𝐘𝐘
The table below shows the relationship between income consumption and saving.
Table 2.1
Relationship between Income and Consumption
0 500 500/0 = ∞ - -
∆𝐒𝐒
MPS = = 1- b (2.7)
∆𝐘𝐘
Marginal Propensity to Consume (MPC) is always less than unity, but greater than
zero, i.e., 0 < b < 1 Also, MPC + MPS = 1; we have MPS 0 < b < 1. Thus, saving is
an increasing function of the level of income because the marginal propensity to
save (MPS) = 1- b is positive, i.e. saving increase as income increases.
2.3.6 Average Propensity to Save (APS)
The ratio of total saving to total income is called average propensity to save (APS).
Alternatively, it is that part of total income which is saved.
Total Saving 𝐒𝐒
APS = Total Income = (2.8)
𝐘𝐘
In figure 2.3 showing the consumption and saving functions, the 45° line is drawn
to split the positive quadrant of the graph and shows the income-consumption
relation with Y = C (AD = Y) at all levels of income. All points on the 45° line indicate
that aggregate expenditure equal aggregate output; i.e. the value of the variables
measured on the vertical axis (C+I) is equal to the value of the variable measured
on the horizontal axis ( i.e. Y). Because aggregate expenditures equal total output
for all points along the 45-degree line, the line maps out all possible equilibrium
income levels. As long as the economy is operating at less than its full-employment
capacity, producers will produce any output along the 45-degree line that they
believe purchasers will buy.
Figure 1.2.3.
The Consumption and Saving Function
C+I=C+S
or
I=S (2.9)
In a two sector economy, the aggregate demand (C+ I) refers to the total spending
in the economy i.e. it is the sum of demand for the consumer goods (C) and
investment goods (I) by households and firms respectively. In figure 1.2.4, the
aggregate demand curve is linear and positively sloped indicating that as the level
of national income rises, the aggregate demand (or aggregate spending) in the
economy also rises. The aggregate expenditure line is flatter than the 45-degree
line because, as income rises, consumption also increases, but by less than the
increase in income.
Figure 1.2.4
Determination of Equilibrium Income: Two Sector Model
You may bear in mind the basic point that according to Keynes, aggregate demand
will not always be equal to aggregate supply. Aggregate demand depends on
households plan to consume and to save. Aggregate supply depends on the
producers’ plan to produce goods and services. For the aggregate demand and
the aggregate supply to be equal so that equilibrium is established, the households’
plan must coincide with producers’ plan. The expectations of businessmen are
realized only when aggregate expenditure equals aggregate income. In other
words, aggregate supply represents aggregate value expected by business firms
and aggregate demand represents their realized value. At equilibrium, expected
value equals realized value. However, Keynes held the view that that there is no
reason to believe that:
(i) consumers’ consumption plan always coincides with producers’ production
plan, and
(ii) that producers’ plan to invest matches always with households plan to save
Putting it differently, there is no reason for C + I and C + S to be always equal.
The figure 1.2.4 depicts the determination of equilibrium income. Income is
measured along the horizontal axis and the components of aggregate demand, C
and I, are measured along the vertical axis. The consumption function (I) is shown
in panel B of the figure, the (C+ I) or aggregate expenditure schedule which is
obtained by adding the autonomous expenditure component namely investment
to consumption spending at each level of income. Since the autonomous
expenditure component (I) does not depend directly on income, the (C+I) schedule
lies above the consumption function by a constant amount. Equilibrium level of
income is such that aggregate demand equals output (which in turn equals
income). Only at point E and at the corresponding equilibrium levels of income and
output (Y0), does aggregate demand exactly equal output. At that level of output
and income, planned spending precisely matches production. Once national
income is determined, it will remain stable in the short run.
Our understanding of the equilibrium level of income would be better if we find
out why the other points on the graph are not points of equilibrium. For example,
consider a level of income below Y0, for example Y1, generates consumption as
shown along the consumption function. When this level of consumption is added
to the autonomous investment expenditure (I), the aggregate demand exceeds
income; i.e the (C +1) schedule is above the 45° line. Equivalently, at all those
levels I is greater than S, as can be seen in panel (B) of the figure 1.2.4. The
aggregate expenditures exceed aggregate output. Excess demand makes
businesses to sell more than what they currently produce. The unexpected sales
would draw down inventories and result in less inventory investment than business
firms planned. They will react by hiring more workers and expanding production.
This will increase the nation’s aggregate income. It also follows that with demand
outstripping production, desired investment will exceed actual investment.
Conversely, at levels of income above Y0, for example at Y2, output exceed demand
(the 45° line is above the C +I schedule). The planned expenditures on goods and
services are less than what business firms thought they would be; business firms
would be unable to sell as much of their current output as they had expected. In
fact, they have unintentionally made larger inventory investments than they
planned and their actual inventories would increase. Therefore, there will be a
tendency for output to fall. This process continues till output reaches Y0, at which
current production exactly matches planned aggregate spending and unintended
inventory shortfall or accumulation are therefore equal to zero. At this point,
consumers’ plan matches with producers’ plan and savers’ plan matches with
investors’ plan. Consequently, there is no tendency for output to change.
Since C + S = Y, the national income equilibrium can be written as
Y=C+I (2.10)
The saving schedule S slopes upward because saving varies positively with income.
In equilibrium, planned investment equals saving. Therefore, corresponding to this
income, the saving schedule (S) intersects the horizontal investment schedule (I).
This intersection is shown in panel (B) of figure 1.2.4.
This condition applies only to an economy in which there is no government and no
foreign trade. To understand this relationship, refer to panel (B) of figure 1.2.4
Without government and foreign trade, the vertical distance between the
aggregate demand (C+I) and consumption line (C) in the figure is equal to planned
investment spending, I. You may also find that the vertical distance between the
consumption schedule and the 45° line also measures saving (S = Y- C) at each
level of income. At the equilibrium level of income (at point E in panel B), and only
at that level, the two vertical distances are equal. Thus, at the equilibrium level of
income, saving equals (planned) investment. By contrast, above the equilibrium
level of income, Y0 , saving (the distance between 45° line and the consumption
schedule) exceeds planned investment, while below Y0 level of income, planned
investment exceeds saving.
The equality between saving and investment can be seen directly from the identities
in national income accounting. Since income is either spent or saved, Y = C + S.
Without government and foreign trade, aggregate demand equals consumption plus
investment, Y = C + I. Putting the two together, we have C + S = C + I, or S = I.
An important point to remember is that Keynesian equilibrium with equality of
planned aggregate expenditures and output need not take place at full
employment. It is possible that the rate of unemployment is high. In the Keynesian
model, neither wages nor interest rates will decline in the face of abnormally high
unemployment and excess capacity. Therefore, output will remain at less than the
full employment rate as long as there is insufficient spending in the economy.
Keynes argued that this was precisely what was happening during the Great
Depression.
Numerical Example:
Given the empirical consumption function C= 100+0.75 Y and I = 1000, calculate
equilibrium level of national income. What would be the consumption expenditure
at equilibrium level national income?
C= 100+0.75 Y and I = 1000,
𝐈𝐈
Y= 100+0.75 Y + 1000 = 𝐘𝐘 = (100+1000)
𝟏𝟏−𝟎𝟎.𝟐𝟐𝟐𝟐
𝐈𝐈
(1100) = 4400.
𝟏𝟏−𝟎𝟎.𝟐𝟐𝟐𝟐
∆Y
k= (2.11)
∆I
The size of the multiplier effect is given by ∆ Y = k ∆I.
For example, if a change in investment of ` 2000 million causes a change in national
income of ` 6000 million, then the multiplier is 6000/2000 =3. Thus multiplier
indicates the change in national income for each rupee change in the desired
investment. The value 3 in the above example tells us that for every ` 1 increase in
desired investment expenditure, there will be ` 3 increase in equilibrium national
income. Multiplier, therefore, expresses the relationship between an initial
increment in investment and the resulting increase in aggregate income. Since the
increase in national income (∆Y) is the result of increase in investment (∆I), the
multiplier is called ‘investment multiplier.’
The process behind the multiplier can be compared to the ‘ripple effect’ of water.
Let us assume that the initial disturbance comes from a change in autonomous
investment (∆I) of 500 units. The economy being in equilibrium, an upward shift in
aggregate demand leads to an increase in national income which in a two sector
economy will be, by definition, distributed as factor incomes. There will be an equal
increase in disposable income. Firms experience increased demand and as a
response, their output increases. Assuming that MPC is 0.80, consumption
expenditure increases by 400, resulting in increase in production. The process does
not stop here; it will generate a second-round of increase in income. The process
further continues as an autonomous rise in investment leads to induced increases
in consumer demand as income increases.
We find at the end that the increase in income per rupee increase in investment is:
∆𝒀𝒀 𝟏𝟏 𝟏𝟏
∆𝑰𝑰
=
𝟏𝟏−𝑴𝑴𝑴𝑴𝑴𝑴
= 𝑴𝑴𝑴𝑴𝑴𝑴
(2.12)
From the above, we find that the marginal propensity to consume (MPC) is the
determinant of the value of the multiplier and that there exists a direct relationship
between MPC and the value of multiplier. Higher the MPC, more will be the value
of the multiplier, and vice-versa. On the contrary, higher the MPS, lower will be the
value of multiplier and vice-versa. The maximum value of multiplier is infinity when
the value of MPC is 1 i.e the economy decides to consume the whole of its
additional income. We conclude that the value of the multiplier is the reciprocal of
MPS.
For example, if the value of MPC is 0.75, then the value of the multiplier is multiplier
as per (2. 11) is:
1
=4
0.25
The multiplier concept is central to Keynes's theory because it explains how shifts
in investment caused by changes in business expectations set off a process that
causes not only investment but also consumption to vary. The multiplier shows how
shocks to one sector are transmitted throughout the economy.
Increase in income due to increase in initial investment, does not go on endlessly.
The process of income propagation slows down and ultimately comes to a halt.
Causes responsible for the decline in income are called leakages. Income that is not
spent on currently produced consumption goods and services may be regarded as
having leaked out of income stream. If the increased income goes out of the cycle
of consumption expenditure, there is a leakage from income stream which reduces
the effect of multiplier. The more powerful these leakages are the smaller will be
the value of multiplier. The leakages are caused due to:
1. progressive rates of taxation which result in no appreciable increase in
consumption despite increase in income
2. high liquidity preference and idle saving or holding of cash balances and an
equivalent fall in marginal propensity to consume
3. increased demand for consumer goods being met out of the existing stocks or
through imports
Y = C+I+G (2.13)
Since there is no foreign sector, GDP and national income are equal. As prices are
assumed to be fixed, all variables are real variables and all changes are in real terms.
To help interpret these conditions, we turn to the flowchart below. Each of the
variables in the model is a flow variable.
Figure 2.6
Circular Flow in a Three Sector Economy
The functioning of the two sectors namely household and the business sector has
been discussed by us in the two sector model. The three-sector, three-market
circular flow model which accounts for government intervention highlights the role
played by the government sector. From the above flow chart, we can find that the
government sector adds the following key flows to the model:
i) Taxes on households and business sector to fund government purchases
ii) Transfer payments to household sector and subsidy payments to the business
sector
iii) Government purchases goods and services from business sector and factors of
production from household sector, and
iv) Government borrowing in financial markets to finance the deficits occurring
when taxes fall short of government purchases
However, unlike in the two sector model, the whole of national income does not
return directly to the firms as demand for output. There are two flows out of the
household sector in addition to consumption expenditure namely, saving flow and
the flow of tax payments to the government. These are actually leakages. The
saving leakage flows into financial markets, which means that the part of that is
saved is held in the form of some financial asset (currency, bank deposits, bonds,
equities, etc.). The tax flow goes to to the government sector. The leakages which
occur in household sector do not necessarily mean that the total demand must fall
short of output. There are additional demands for output on the part of the
business sector itself for investment and from the government sector. In terms of
the circular flow, these are injections. The investment injection is shown as a flow
from financial markets to the business sector. The purchasers of the investment
goods, typically financed by borrowing, are actually the firms in the business sector
themselves. Thus, the amount of investment in terms of money represents an
equivalent flow of funds lent to the business sector.
The three-sector Keynesian model is commonly constructed assuming that
government purchases are autonomous. This is not a realistic assumption, but it
will simplify our analysis. Determination of income can be explained with the help
of figure 1.2.7
Figure 1.2.7
Determination of Equilibrium Income: Three Sector Model
The variables measured on the vertical axis are C, I and G. The autonomous
expenditure components namely, investment and government spending do not
directly depend on income and are exogenous variables determined by factors
outside the model. You may observe that in panel B of the figure 1.2.7, the lines
that plot these autonomous expenditure components are horizontal as their level
does not depend on Y. Therefore, C + I + G schedule lies above the consumption
function by a constant amount.
The line S + T in the graph plots the value of savings plus taxes. This schedule
slopes upwards because saving varies positively with income. Just as government
spending, level of tax receipts (T) is decided by policy makers.
The equilibrium level of income is shown at the point E 1 where the (C + l + G)
schedule crosses the 45° line, and aggregate demand is therefore equal to income
(Y). In equilibrium, it is also true that the (S + T) schedule intersects the (I + G)
horizontal schedule.
We shall now see why other points on the graph are not points of equilibrium.
Consider a level of income below Y. We find that it generates consumption as
shown along the consumption function. When this level of consumption is added
to the autonomous expenditures (I + G), aggregate demand exceeds income; the
(C + I + G) schedule is above the 45° line. Equivalently at this point I + G is greater
than S + T, as can be seen in panel B of the figure 1.2.7. With demand outstripping
production, desired investments will exceed actual investment and there will be an
unintended inventory shortfall and therefore a tendency for output to rise.
Conversely, at levels of income above Y1, output will exceed demand; people are
not willing to buy all that is produced. Excess inventories will accumulate, leading
businesses to reduce their future production. Employment will subsequently
decline. Output will fall back to the equilibrium level. It is only at Y that output is
equal to aggregate demand; there is no unintended inventory shortfall or
accumulation and, consequently, no tendency for output to change. An important
thing to note is that the change in total spending, followed by changes in output
and employment, is what will restore equilibrium in the Keynesian model, not
changes in prices.
Figure 1.2.8
Circular Flow in a Four Sector Economy
In the four sector model, there are three additional flows namely: exports, imports
and net capital inflow which is the difference between capital outflow and capital
inflow. The C+I+G+(X-M) line indicates the total planned expenditures of
Y = C + I + G + (X-M) (2.14)
The domestic economy trades goods with the foreign sector through exports and
imports. Exports are the injections in the national income, while imports act as
leakages or outflows of national income. Exports represent foreign demand for
domestic output and therefore, are part of aggregate demand. Since imports are
not demands for domestic goods, we must subtract them from aggregate demand.
The demand for imports has an autonomous component and is assumed to depend
on income. Imports depend upon marginal propensity to import which is the
increase in import demand per unit increase in GDP. The demand for exports
depends on foreign income and is therefore exogenously determined. Imports are
subtracted from exports to derive net exports, which is the foreign sector's
contribution to aggregate expenditures. With the help of figure 1.2.9, we shall
explain income determination in the four sector model.
Figure 1.2.9
Determination of Equilibrium Income: Four Sector Model
The greater the value of v, the lower will be the autonomous expenditure multiplier.
The more open an economy is to foreign trade, (the higher v is) the smaller will be
the response of income to aggregate demand shocks, such as changes in
government spending or autonomous changes in investment demand. A change in
autonomous expenditures— for example, a change in investment spending,—will
have a direct effect on income and an induced effect on consumption with a further
effect on income. The higher the value of v, larger the proportion of this induced
effect on demand for foreign, not domestic, consumer goods. Consequently, the
induced effect on demand for domestic goods and, hence on domestic income will
be smaller. The increase in imports per unit of income constitutes an additional
leakage from the circular flow of (domestic) income at each round of the multiplier
process and reduces the value of the autonomous expenditure multiplier.
An increase in demand for exports of a country is an increase in aggregate demand
for domestically produced output and will increase equilibrium income just as an
increase in government spending or an autonomous increase in investment. In
summary, an increase in the demand for a country’s exports has an expansionary
effect on equilibrium income, whereas an autonomous increase in imports has a
contractionary effect on equilibrium income. However, this should not be
interpreted to mean that exports are good and imports harmful in their economic
effects. Countries import goods that can be more efficiently produced abroad, and
trade increases the overall efficiency of the worldwide allocation of resources. This
forms the rationale for attempts to stimulate the domestic economy by promoting
exports and restricting imports.
2.8 CONCLUSION
According to the Keynesian theory of income and employment, national income
depends upon the aggregate effective demand. If the aggregate effective demand
falls short of that output at which all those who are both able and willing to work
are employed, it will result in unemployment in the economy. Consequently, there
will be a gap between the economy's actual and optimum potential output. On the
SUMMARY
• John Maynard Keynes in his masterpiece ‘The General Theory of Employment
Interest and Money’ published in 1936 put forth a comprehensive theory to
explain the determination of equilibrium aggregate income and output in an
economy.
• The equilibrium analysis is best understood with a hypothetical simple a two-
sector economy which has only households and firms with all prices (including
factor prices), supply of capital and technology constant; the total income
produced Y, accrues to the households and equals their disposable personal
income.
• The equilibrium output occur when the desired amount of output demanded
by all the agents in the economy exactly equals the amount produced in a
given time period.
• In the two-sector economy aggregate demand (AD) or aggregate expenditure
consists of only two components: aggregate demand for consumer goods and
aggregate demand for investment goods, I being determined exogenously and
constant in the short run.
• Consumption function expresses the functional relationship between
aggregate consumption expenditure and aggregate disposable income,
expressed as C = f (Y). The specific form consumption function, proposed by
Keynes C = a + bY
• The value of the increment to consumer expenditure per unit of increment to
income (b) is termed the Marginal Propensity to Consume (MPC).
• The domestic economy trades goods with the foreign sector through exports
and imports.
• Imports are subtracted from exports to derive net exports, which is the foreign
sector's contribution to aggregate expenditures. If net exports are positive (X
> M), there is net injection and national income increases. Conversely, if X<M,
there is net withdrawal and national income decreases.
• The autonomous expenditure multiplier in a four sector model includes the
1 1
effects of foreign transactions and is stated as (1−𝑏𝑏+𝑣𝑣) against (1−𝑏𝑏) in a closed
economy.
• The greater the value of v, the lower will be the autonomous expenditure
multiplier.
• An increase in the demand for exports of a country is an increase in aggregate
demand for domestically produced output and will increase equilibrium
income just as would an increase in government spending or an autonomous
increase in investment.
(a) 8,000
(b) 6,000
(c) 10,000
(d) None of the above
9. In the Keynesian cross diagram, the point at which the aggregate demand
function crosses the 45 degree line indicates the
(a) level of full employment income.
(b) less than full employment level of income.
(c) equilibrium level of income which may or may not be full employment level
of income
(d) autonomous level of income which may not be full employment level of
income
10. In a closed economy, aggregate demand is the sum of
(a) consumer expenditure, demand for exports , and government spending.
(b) consumer expenditure, planned investment spending, and government
spending.
(c) consumer expenditure, actual investment spending, government
spending, and net exports.
(d) consumer expenditure, planned investment spending, government
spending, and net exports.
11. In an open economy, aggregate demand is the sum of
(a) C+I+G
(b) C+I
(c) C+I+G+(X-M)
(d) None of the above
12. Aggregate output and autonomous consumer expenditure are ________ related
(a) negatively
(b) positively
(c) proportionately
(d) collectively
13. The slope of the consumption function is called
(a) autonomous consumption when income is zero
(b) average propensity to consume.
(c) marginal propensity to consume.
(d) None of the above
14. The saving function shows
(a) the incremental saving caused by incremental disposable income
(b) the level of saving at each level of disposable income
(c) position where saving is equal to investment
(d) change in saving due to autonomous investment
15. Which of the following statement is true
(a) saving is an increasing function of the level of income and MPS is positive
(b) Since the Marginal Propensity to Consume (MPC) is always less than unity,
but greater than zero, i.e., 0 < b < 1
(c ) MPC + MPS = 1 and MPS 0 < b < 1.
(d) All the above
II Short Answer Type Questions
1. Define equilibrium output?
2. What are the components of aggregate expenditure in two sector economy?
3. Define consumption function?
4. Explain the concept of marginal propensity to consume?
5. Define average propensity to consume?
6. Distinguish between saving function and marginal propensity to save
7. What is meant by autonomous expenditure?
8. What would happen if aggregate expenditures were to exceed the economy’s
production capacity?
ANSWERS/ HINTS
I Multiple Choice Type Questions
1 a 6 a 11 c
2 b 7 c 12 b
3 c 8 c 13 c
4 a 9 c 14 b
5 b 10 b 15 d
6. The saving function shows the level of saving (S) at each level of disposable
income (Y). The increment to saving per unit increase in disposable income (1
- b) is called the marginal propensity to save.
7. Expenditures that do not vary with the level of income. They are determined
by factors other than income such as business expectations and economic
policy
8. Aggregate expenditures in excess of output lead to a higher price level once
the economy reaches full employment. Nominal output will increase, but it
merely reflects higher prices, rather than additional real output.
9. The marginal propensity to consume is the determinant of the value of the
multiplier. The higher the (MPC) the greater is the value of the multiplier.
10. The more powerful the leakages are, the smaller will be the value of multiplier.
11. Three components namely, household consumption(C), desired business
investment demand (I) and the government sector’s demand for goods and
services (G).
12. Imposes taxes on households and business sector, effects transfer payments to
household sector and subsidy payments to the business sector, purchases
goods and services and borrows from financial markets
13. The foreign sector's contribution to aggregate expenditures; derived by
subtracting imports from exports
14. The greater the value of propensity to import v, the lower will be the
autonomous expenditure multiplier.
IV Application Oriented Questions
1. (a) The money value of output equals total output times the average price per
unit. The money value of output is (7,000 x 5) = ` 35,000.
(b) In a two sector economy, households receive an amount equal to the
money value of output. Therefore, the money income of households is the
same as the money value of output i.e ` 35,000.
(c ) Total spending by households (` 35,000 x 0.8) ie. ` 28,000.
(d) The total money revenues received by the business sector is equal to
aggregate spending by households ie. ` 28, 000.
(e) The business sector makes payments of ` 35000 to produce output,
whereas the households purchase only output worth ` 28,000 of what is
produced. Therefore, the business sector has unsold inventories valued at
` 7000. They should be expected to decrease output.
2. (a) Consumption for each level of disposable income is found by substituting
the specified disposable income level into the consumption equation.
Thus, for Y = ` 4,000, C = ` 500 + 0.80(` 4,000) = ` 500 + ` 3,200 = ` 3,700.
Likewise C is ` 4,500 when Y = ` 5,000, and ` 5,300 when Y = ` 6,000.
(b) Saving is the difference between disposable income and consumption. It
is the difference between the consumption line and the 45 line at each
level of disposable income
Using the calculation from part a) above, we find that saving is ` 300 when
Y is ` 4,000; ` 500 when Y is ` 5,000 and ` 700 when Y is ` 6,000.
(c) Autonomous consumption is the amount consumed when disposable
income is zero; autonomous consumption is ` 500, i.e the consumption
expenditure when the consumption line C intersects the vertical axis and
disposable income is 0. Since autonomous consumption is unrelated to
income, autonomous consumption is ` 500 for all levels of income.
(d) Induced consumption is the amount of consumption that depends upon
the level of income. Consumption is ` 3,700 when disposable income is
` 4,000. Since ` 500 is autonomous (ie consumed regardless of the income
level), ` 3,200 out of the ` 3,700 level of consumption is induced by
PUBLIC FINANCE
UNIT I: FISCAL FUNCTIONS: AN OVERVIEW
LEARNING OUTCOMES
economy
Describe the various interventionist measures adopted by the
government
Analyze the governmental economic actions and classify them
Public Finance
Fiscal Functions: An
Overview
1.1 INTRODUCTION
The following are a few headlines which appeared recently in the leading business
dailies:
1. Crop worry: Centre scraps import duty on wheat to ease supply and check
prices
2. Monetary Policy panel members voted unanimously for a rate cut
3. A fortified mid -day meal gets underway at Karnataka’s government schools
4. Government to spend ` 60,000 crores more on rural jobs
5. Government looking at subsidizing Smart phones to boost digital payments
6. No service tax on credit, debit card transactions up to ` 2,000
Each of the above statements represents a proactive response on the part of the
government to achieve certain objectives in the interest of the economy and the
society.
What exactly is the government planning to accomplish by the above measures?
On close examination, we can find that the first two steps are intended to control
potential rise in prices; the next two seek to bring in welfare to the underprivileged
sections of the society by ensuring equity and fairness and the remaining two are
meant to provide incentives to promote the production/ use of resources in a
socially desirable direction. The government does not expect the economic
variables underlying the above mentioned phenomena to function automatically;
a major role. This comes out of the belief that government intervention will
invariably influence the performance of the economy in a positive way.
Richard Musgrave, in his classic treatise ‘The Theory of Public Finance’ (1959),
introduced the three branch taxonomy of the role of government in a market
economy. Musgrave believed that, for conceptual purposes, the functions of
government are to be separated into three, namely, resource allocation, (efficiency),
income redistribution (fairness) and macroeconomic stabilization. The allocation
and distribution functions are primarily microeconomic functions, while
stabilization is a macroeconomic function. The allocation function aims to correct
the sources of inefficiency in the economic system while the distribution role
ensures that the distribution of wealth and income is fair. Monetary and fiscal
policy, the problems of macroeconomic stability, maintenance of high levels of
employment and price stability etc fall under the stabilization function. We shall
now discuss in detail this conceptual three function framework of the
responsibilities of the government.
provision by the government. These interventions do not imply that markets are
replaced by government action. In its allocation role, the government acts as a
complement rather than as a substitute to the market system in an economy.
The resource allocation role of government’s fiscal policy focuses on the potential
for the government to improve economic performance through its expenditure and
tax policies. The allocative function in budgeting determines who and what will be
taxed as well as how and on what the government revenue will be spent. It is
concerned with the provision of public goods and the process by which the total
resources of the economy are divided among various uses and an optimum mix of
various social goods (both public goods and merit goods). The allocation function
also involves the reallocation of society’s resources from private use to public use.
A variety of allocation instruments are available by which governments can
influence resource allocation in the economy. For example,
• government may directly produce the economic good(for example, electricity
and public transportation services)
• government may influence private allocation through incentives and
disincentives (for example, tax concessions and subsidies may be given for the
production of goods that promote social welfare and higher taxes may be
imposed on goods such as cigarettes and alcohol)
• government may influence allocation through its competition policies, merger
policies etc which will affect the structure of industry and commerce ( for
example, the Competition Act in India promotes competition and prevents
anti-competitive activities)
• governments’ regulatory activities such as licensing, controls, minimum wages,
and directives on location of industry influence resource allocation
• government sets legal and administrative frameworks, and
• any of a mixture of intermediate techniques may be adopted by governments
Maximizing social welfare is one of the primary and most commonly manifest
reasons for government intervention in the market. However, it is also possible
that instead of eliminating market distortions, sometimes governments may
contribute to generate them. The possible sources of this type of government
failures are inadequate information, conflicting objectives and administrative costs
involved in government intervention.
The stabilization issue also becomes more complex as the increased international
interdependence causes forces of instability to get easily transmitted from one
country to other countries This is also known as contagion effect”.
The stabilization function is one of the key functions of fiscal policy and aims at
eliminating macroeconomic fluctuations arising from suboptimal allocation. As you
might recall, the economic crisis that engulfed the world in 2008 and the more
recent euro area crisis have highlighted the importance of macroeconomic stability
and has, therefore, revived interest in countercyclical fiscal policy.
The stabilization function is concerned with the performance of the aggregate
economy in terms of:
• labour employment and capital utilization,
• overall output and income,
• general price levels,
• balance of international payments, and
• the rate of economic growth.
Government’s fiscal policy has two major components which are important in
stabilizing the economy:
1. an overall effect generated by the balance between the resources the
government puts into the economy through expenditures and the resources it
takes out through taxation, charges, borrowing etc.
2. a microeconomic effect generated by the specific policies it adopts.
Government’s stabilization intervention may be through monetary policy as well as
fiscal policy. Monetary policy has a singular objective of controlling the size of
money supply and interest rate in the economy which in turn would affect
consumption, investment and prices. Fiscal policy for stabilization purposes
attempts to direct the actions of individuals and organizations by means of its
expenditure and taxation decisions. On the expenditure side, Government can
choose to spend in such a way that it stimulates other economic activities. For
example, government expenditure on building infrastructure may initiate a series
of productive activities. Production decisions, investments, savings etc can be
influenced by its tax policies.
We know that government expenditure injects more money into the economy and
stimulates demand. On the other hand, taxes reduce the income of people and
therefore, reduce effective demand. During recession, the government increases its
expenditure or cuts down taxes or adopts a combination of both so that aggregate
demand is boosted up with more money put into the hands of the people. On the
other hand, to control high inflation the government cuts down its expenditure or
raises taxes. In other words, expansionary fiscal policy is adopted to alleviate
recession and contractionary fiscal policy is resorted to for controlling high
inflation. The nature of the budget (surplus or deficit) also has important
implications on a country’s economic activity. While deficit budgets are expected
to stimulate economic activity, surplus budgets are thought to slow down economic
activity. Generally government’s fiscal policy has a strong influence on the
performance of the macro economy in terms of employment, price stability,
economic growth and external balance.
There is often a conflict between the different goals and functions of budgetary
policy. Effective policy design to meet the diverse goals of government is very
difficult to conceive and to implement. The challenge before any government is
how to design its budgetary policy so that the pursuit of one goal does not
jeopardize the other.
1.6 CONCLUSION
We have discussed the need for and rationale of government intervention to
improve social welfare by enhancing stability, efficiency and fairness. However, we
should also understand that when we say that the market-generated allocation of
resources is imperfect, it does not necessarily imply that the government is always
infallible and at all times capable of correcting the failures of the market.
Governments are likely to commit serious errors in its attempt to correct market
failure. For example, in certain cases the costs incurred by government to deal with
some market failure could be greater than the cost of the market failure itself.
Moreover, just as individuals, governments too have only imperfect information,
and hence can commit mistakes. It is also possible that individuals may use
government as a mechanism for maximizing their self-interest. Moreover,
governments may not always be unbiased and benevolent.
SUMMARY
• Government intervention to direct the functioning of the economy is based on
the belief that the objective of the economic system and the role of
government is to improve the wellbeing of individuals and households.
• An economic system should exist to answer the basic questions such as what, how
and for whom to produce and how much resources should be to set apart to
ensure growth of productive capacity
• Since the 1930s, the traditional functions of the state have been supplemented
with the economic functions (also called the fiscal functions or the public finance
function)
• Richard Musgrave (1959) introduced the three branch taxonomy of the role of
government in a market economy namely, resource allocation, income
redistribution and macroeconomic stabilization
• The allocation and distribution functions are primarily microeconomic functions,
while stabilization is a macroeconomic function.
• One of the most important functions of an economic system is the optimal or
efficient allocation of scare resources so that the available resources are put to
their best use and no wastages are there.
• Market failures, which hold back the efficient allocation of resources, occur
mainly due to imperfect competition, presence of monopoly power, collectively
consumed public goods, externalities, factor immobility, imperfect information,
and inequalities in the distribution of income and wealth.
• The allocation responsibility of the governments involves appropriate corrective
action when private markets fail to provide the right and desirable combination
of goods and services
• A variety of allocation instruments are available by which governments can
influence resource allocation in the economy such as, direct production,
provision of incentives and disincentives, regulatory and discretionary policies
etc.,
• The distributive function of budget is related to the basic question of for whom
should an economy produce goods and services
• The distribution function aims at redistribution of income so as to ensure
equity and fairness to promote the wellbeing of all sections of people and is
for the masses. Critically examine the implications of this policy on the airlines
market.
ANSWERS/HINTS
I Multiple Choice Type Questions
1.(d) 2.(b) 3.(c) 4.(d) 5(b) 6.(b) 7(a)
IV Hints to Application Oriented Questions
1. (a) (i) Public good – Merit good- Positive externalities – Inefficient market
outcomes - Possible market failure –scope for market intervention to
improve social welfare - Adam Smith’s proposition of resource
allocation role of government i.e establishment and maintenance of
highly beneficial public institutions and public works which the market
may fail to produce on account of lack of sufficient profits. Define the
resource allocation role of government’s policy - the potential for the
government to improve economic performance through its
expenditure to provide an optimum mix of various social goods.
(ii) Nature and characteristics of the programme of government action –
Policy of Expenditure - Purpose- Welfare outcomes of programmes
for eradication of mosquito-borne diseases –Possibility of government
failure.
(iii) Substantiate with examples from recent policy propositions of
government.
(b) (i) The distributive function of budget related to the basic question of for
whom should an economy produce goods and services. Left to the
market, only private benefits and private costs would be reflected in
the price paid by consumers. This means, through the market
mechanism, people would consume inadequate quantities compared
to what is socially desirable. Outcome: social welfare will not be
maximized. Therefore - Government Intervention in the case of Merit
Goods eg Healthcare - government deems that its consumption
should be encouraged - Price intervention- setting price ceilings - to
influence the outcomes of a market on grounds of fairness and equity
- price floor for ensuring minimum price and price ceiling for making
a resource or commodity available to all at reasonable prices - May
illustrate with diagram.
LEARNING OUTCOMES
Public Finance
Maket Failure
Incomplete
Market Power Externalities Public Goods
Information
2.1 INTRODUCTION
Before we go into the subject matter of market failure which is the focus of this
unit, we shall examine two familiar events that are in some way connected with the
phenomenon of market failure.
Case I
Sarva Shiksha Abhiyan (SSA) is a centrally sponsored scheme implemented by the
Government of India in partnership with the state governments, for universalising
good quality elementary education for all children in the 6-14 age groups in a time-
bound manner. Through this programme, the government aims to provide
opportunity for children to learn about and master their natural environment in order
to develop their potential intellectually, spiritually as well as materially. The ultimate
objective is to bring in social, regional and gender quantity.
Nearly everyone believes that providing basic education to all citizens is an
important responsibility of the government. This is the reason why education is
almost entirely administered and extensively financed by government.
Questions
• Why do you think governments should intervene to provide education?
• What do you think the outcome will be if it is left to private entrepreneurs?
Case II
In November 2016, the Central Pollution Control Board (CPCB), the nation’s apex
pollution control body, has come up with the ‘Guidelines For Environmentally
Sound Management (ESM) of End- of - Life Vehicles (ELVs)’ with the
recommendation that the Union Environment Ministry draft the necessary
legislative framework for the sector considering the growing concern about the
health and environmental hazards posed by them. CPCB advocates disposing of
such vehicles in an environmentally friendly manner and recommends a system of
“shared responsibility” involving all stakeholders—the government, manufacturers,
recyclers, dealers, insurers and consumers.
The central board has called for periodic review of the registration of all vehicles
by transport offices so that the environment is not harmed by the continued use of
polluting vehicles as well as initiation of a massive awareness campaign aimed at
sensitizing stakeholders like consumers about the environmental hazards posed by
ELVs.
• Externalities,
• Public goods, and
• Incomplete information
We shall discuss each of the above in detail.
2.3.1 Market Power
Market power or monopoly power is the ability of a firm to profitably raise the
market price of a good or service over its marginal cost. Firms that have market
power are price makers and therefore, can charge a price that gives them positive
economic profits. Excessive market power causes the single producer or a small
number of producers to produce and sell less output than would be produced in a
competitive market. Market power can cause markets to be inefficient because it
keeps price higher and output lower than the outcome of equilibrium of supply
and demand. In the extreme case, there is the problem of non existence of markets
or missing markets resulting in failure to produce various goods and services,
despite the fact that such products and services are wanted by people. For example,
the markets for pure public goods do not exist.
2.3.2 Externalities
We begin by describing externalities and then, proceed to discuss how they create
market inefficiencies. As we are aware, anything that one individual does, may have,
at the margin, some effect on others. For example, if individuals decide to switch
from consumption of ordinary vegetables to consumption of organic vegetables,
they would, other things equal, increase the price of organic vegetables and
potentially reduce the welfare of existing consumers of organic vegetables.
However, we should note that all these operate through price mechanism i.e.
through changes in prices. The price system works efficiently because market prices
convey information to both producers and consumers.
However, sometimes, the actions of either consumers or producers result in costs
or benefits that do not reflect as part of the market price. Such costs or benefits
which are not accounted for by the market price are called externalities because
they are “external” to the market. In other words, there is an externality when a
consumption or production activity has an indirect effect on other’s consumption
or production activities and such effects are not reflected directly in market prices.
The unique feature of an externality is that it is initiated and experienced not
through the operation of the price system, but outside the market. Since it occurs
outside the price mechanism, it has not been compensated for, or in other words
it is uninternalized or the cost (benefit) of it is not borne (paid) by the parties.
Externalities are also referred to as 'spillover effects', 'neighbourhood effects'
'third-party effects' or 'side-effects', as the originator of the externality imposes
costs or benefits on others who are not responsible for initiating the effect.
Externalities may be unidirectional or reciprocal. Suppose a workshop creates
earsplitting noise and imposes an externality on a baker who produces smoke and
disturbs the workers in the workshop, then this is a case of reciprocal externality.
If an accountant who is disturbed by loud music but has not imposed any
externality on the singers, then the externality is unidirectional.
Externalities can be positive or negative. Negative externalities occur when the
action of one party imposes costs on another party. Positive externalities occur
when the action of one party confers benefits on another party. The four possible
types of externalities are:
• Negative production externalities
• Positive production externalities
• Negative consumption externalities ,and
• Positive consumption externalities
Negative Production Externalities
A negative externality initiated in production which imposes an external cost on
others may be received by another in consumption or in production. As an example,
a negative production externality occurs when a factory which produces aluminum
discharges untreated waste water into a nearby river and pollutes the water causing
health hazards for people who use the water for drinking and bathing. Pollution of
river also affects fish output as there will be less catch for fishermen due to loss of
fish resources. The former is a case where a negative production externality is
received in consumption and the latter presents a case of a negative production
externality received in production. The firm, however, has no incentive to account
for the external costs that it imposes on consumers of river water or fishermen
when making its production decision. Additionally, there is no market in which
these external costs can be reflected in the price of aluminum.
involved in a transaction. If we take the case of a producer, his private cost includes
direct cost of labour, materials, energy and other indirect overheads. As we have
mentioned above, firms do not have to pay for the damage resulting from the
pollution which they generate. As a result, each firm’s private cost would be the
direct cost of production only which does not incorporate externalities.
Social costs refer to the total costs to the society on account of a production or
consumption activity. Social costs are private costs borne by individuals directly
involved in a transaction together with the external costs borne by third parties not
directly involved in the transaction.
associated with their production, the result is excess production and unnecessary
social costs. The problem, though serious, does not usually float up much because:
• The society does not know precisely who are the producers of harmful
externalities
• Even if the society knows it, the cause-effect linkages are so unclear that the
negative externality cannot be unquestionably traced to its producer.
The problem can be explained with the help of the figure below:
Figure 2.2.1
Negative Externalities and Loss of Social welfare
MSB and represents over production. The shaded triangle represents the area of
dead weight welfare loss. It indicates the area of overconsumption. Thus, we
conclude that when there is negative externality, a competitive market will produce
too much output relative to the social optimum. This is a clear case of market failure
where prices fail to provide the correct signals.
• Private goods can be parceled out among different individuals and therefore,
it is possible to refer to total consumption as the sum of each individual’s
consumption. Therefore, the market demand curve for a private good is
obtained by horizontal summation of individual demand curves
• All private goods and services can be rejected by the consumers if their needs,
preferences or budgets change.
• Additional resource costs are involved for producing and supplying additional
quantities of private goods
• Since buyers can be excluded from enjoying the good if they are not willing
and able to pay for it, consumers will get different amounts of goods and
services based on their desires and ability and willingness to pay. Therefore,
whenever there is inequality in income distribution in an economy, issues of
fairness and justice tend to arise with respect to private goods.
• Normally, the market will efficiently allocate resources for the production of
private goods.
Most of the goods produced and consumed in an economy are private goods. A
few examples are: food items, clothing, movie ticket, television, cars, houses etc.
You can make a list of ten such goods and check whether each of them satisfies all
the above mentioned characteristics.
Having understood the features of private goods, we shall now proceed to consider
the distinguishing characteristics of public goods.
2.4.2 Characteristics of Public Goods
• Public goods yield utility to people and are products (goods or services) whose
consumption is essentially collective in nature. No direct payment by the
consumer is involved in the case of pure public goods.
• Public good is non-rival in consumption. It means that consumption of a public
good by one individual does not reduce the quality or quantity available for all
other individuals. When consumed by one person, it can be consumed in equal
amounts by the rest of the persons in the society. That is, your consumption of
a public good in no way interferes with its consumption by other people. For
example, if, you eat your apple, another person too cannot eat it. But, if you
walk in street light, other persons too can walk without any reduced benefit
from the street light.
• Public goods are non-excludable. Consumers cannot (at least at less than
prohibitive cost) be excluded from consumption benefits. If the good is
provided, one individual cannot deny other individuals’ consumption. Provision
of a public good at all by government means provision for all. For example,
national defence once provided, it is impossible to exclude anyone within the
country from consuming and benefiting from it.
• Public goods are characterized by indivisibility. For example, you can buy
chocolates or ice cream as separate units, but a lighthouse, a highway, an
airport, defence, clean air etc cannot be consumed in separate units. In the
case of public goods, each individual may consume all of the good i.e. the total
amount consumed is the same for each individual.
• Public goods are generally more vulnerable to issues such as externalities,
inadequate property rights, and free rider problems.
Once a public good is provided, the additional resource cost of another person
consuming the goods is ‘zero’. A good example is a Lighthouse near a sea shore
to guide the ships. Once the beacon is lit, an additional ship can use it without any
additional cost of provision.
Public goods are generally divided into two categories namely, public consumption
goods and public factors of production. A few examples of public goods are:
national defence, highways, public education, scientific research which benefits
everyone, law enforcement, lighthouses, fire protection, disease prevention and
public sanitation.
A unique feature of public goods is that they do not conform to the settings of
market exchange. The property rights of public goods with extensive indivisibility
and nonexclusive properties cannot be determined with certainty. Therefore, the
owners of such products cannot exercise sufficient control over their assets. For
example, if you maintain a beautiful garden, you cannot exercise full control over
it so as to charge your neighbours for the enjoyment which they get from your
garden. As a consequence of their peculiar characteristics, public goods do not
provide incentives that will generate optimal market reaction. Producers are not
motivated to produce a socially-optimal amount of products if they cannot charge
a positive price for them or make profits from them. As such, though public goods
are extremely valuable for the well being of the society, left to the market, they will
not be produced at all or will be grossly under produced.
Now that we have understood the difference between private goods and public
goods, we shall examine the implications of these characteristics on the production,
supply and use of these goods. As mentioned above, ideally competitive markets
have sufficient incentives to produce and supply private goods. Because of the
peculiar characteristics of public goods such as indivisibility, non excludability and
nonrivalry, competitive private markets will fail to generate economically efficient
outputs of public goods. That is why public goods are often (though not always)
under-provided in a free market economy.
2.4.3 Classification of Public Goods
One approach to classify goods so as to establish taxonomy of different types of
goods is to concentrate on the non rival and non excludable characteristics of
public goods. The following table presenting the taxonomy of goods will help us
understand the classification of goods.
Excludable Non-excludable
Rivalrous A B
Private goods food, Common resources such as fish
clothing, cars stocks, forest resources, coal
Non-rivalrous C D
Club goods, cinemas, Pure public goods such as
private parks, satellite national defence
television
• Goods in category A are rival in consumption and are excludable. These are
also known as pure private goods.
• Goods in category D which are characterized by both non-excludability and
non-rivalry properties are called pure public goods. A pure public good is non
-rival as well as non- excludable. The benefit that an individual gets from a pure
public good does not depend on the number of users. The clarity of your radio
reception, for example, is generally independent of the number of other
listeners. Knowledge is another non-rivalrous good. Once something has been
discovered, one person's use of that knowledge does not preclude others from
applying the same knowledge. But, this is not the case with most private goods.
• Consumption goods that fall in category B are rival but not excludable.
Common resources would come under this (explained in section 2.4.6 below)
Let us take another example. Bees from the hives of different bee keepers
collect nectar from the nearby orange garden. The blossom is rival as the nectar
We have seen above that impure public goods only partially satisfy the two public
good characteristics of non-rivalry in consumption and non-excludability. The
possibility of exclusion from the use of an impure public good has two implications.
1. Since free riding can be eliminated, the impure public good may be provided
either by the market or by the government at a price or fee. If the consumption
of a good can be excluded, then, the market would provide a price mechanism
for it.
2. The provider of an impure public good may be able to control the degree of
congestion either by regulating the number of people who may use it , or the
frequency with which it may be used or both.
Two broad classes of goods have been included in the studies related to impure
public goods.
1. Club goods; first studied by Buchanan
2. Variable use public goods; first analyzed by Oakland and Sandmo
Examples of club goods are: facilities such as swimming pools, fitness centres etc.
These goods are replicable and, therefore, individuals who are excluded from one
facility may get similar services from an equivalent provider.
Variable use public goods include facilities such as roads, bridges etc. Once they
are provided, everybody can use it. They can be excludable or non excludable. If
they are excludable, some people can be discouraged from using it frequently by
making them pay for its consumption. In doing so, the frequency of usage of the
public good can be controlled. Since they are not replicable, the facility should be
accessible to all potential users. Why should we exclude the enjoyment of roads,
bridges etc of some people? The reason is the possibility of congestion due to large
number of vehicles and the potential reduction of benefit to the users.
2.4.5. Quasi Public Goods (Mixed Goods)
This second approach to classification of impure public goods focuses on the mix
of services that arise from the provision of the good. For example, if one gets
inoculated against measles, it confers not only a private benefit to the individual,
but also an external benefit because it reduces the chances getting infected of
other persons who are in contact with him. You can observe here that the external
effect associated with the consumption of a private good may have the
characteristics of a public good.
Similarly, education will improve the individual’s earning potential and at the same
time, it may facilitate basic research creating nonrival non excludable knowledge
and information which are public goods. Other examples of benefits to the society
through education are improvement in decision making behaviour, provision of a
screening device for the labour market to determine the quality of labour and
better cultural environment and heritage for future generations. For example, other
things remaining the same, the students pursuing the chartered accountancy
programme will have a demand curve for the programme at various prices. This
reflects the private benefits which the students believe they would enjoy as a result
of this education. These may be viewed as ‘private return’ on education and they
depend in part on the income differential that students expect during their working
life as a result of chartered accountancy education. However, there are likely other
benefits such as, the possible addition which you may make to accounting
knowledge and practices, the consultancy services you give to others, the policy
recommendations that you may be able to put forth for a better tax or budgeting
system etc. to mention a few. These have the characteristics of public good as
everyone in the society can consume them without reducing the amount available
for consumption by others. Obviously, your demand curve for the CA programme
did not incorporate all these external effects.
The quasi-public goods or services, also called a near public good (for e.g.
education, health services) possess nearly all of the qualities of the private goods
and some of the benefits of public good. It is easy to keep people away from them
by charging a price or fee. However, it is undesirable to keep people away from
such goods because the society would be better off if more people consume them.
This particular characteristic namely, the combination of virtually infinite benefits
and the ability to charge a price results in some quasi-public goods being sold
through markets and others being provided by government. As such, people argue
that these should not be left to the market alone.
Markets for the quasi public goods are considered to be incomplete markets and
their lack of provision by free markets would be considered as inefficiency and
market failure.
2.4.6 Common Access Resources
Common access resources or common pool resources are a special class of impure
public goods which are non-excludable as people cannot be excluded from using
them. These are rival in nature and their consumption lessens the benefits available
for others. This rival nature of common resources is what distinguishes them from
insurance are those who are most likely to use it, i.e. people with unhealthy life
styles and those with underlying health issues. The insurance company being aware
of this raises the average price of insurance cover. This prices healthy consumers
out of the market as healthy people will be unwilling to pay such high premium.
The result is that only high risk individuals buy insurance. This is a market failure.
Another example is the used car market i.e. the ‘market for lemons’. The owner of
a car knows much more about its quality than anyone else. The buyer’s willingness
to pay for any particular car will be based on the ‘average quality’ of used cars.
Anyone who sells a ‘lemon’ (an unusually poor car) stands to gain. The market
becomes flooded with lemons. Eventually the market may offer nothing but lemons.
The good-quality cars disappear because they are kept by their owners or sold only
to friends. Briefly put, buyers expect hidden problems in items offered for sale,
leading to low prices and the best items being kept off the market.
Moral hazard is opportunism characterized by an informed person’s taking
advantage of a less-informed person through an unobserved action. It arises from
lack of information about someone’s future behavior. Moral hazard occurs when an
individual knows more about his or her own actions than other people do. This
leads to a distortion of incentives to take care or to exert effort when someone else
bears the costs of the lack of care or effort.
When someone is protected from paying the full costs of their harmful actions, they
tend to act irresponsibly, making the harmful consequences more likely. Moral
hazard occurs when a party whose actions are unobserved can affect the probability
or magnitude of a payment associated with an event. For example: the insured
consumers are likely to take greater risks, knowing that a claim will be paid for by
the insurance company. The more of one’s costs that are covered by the insurance
company, the less a person cares whether the doctor charges excessive fees or uses
inefficient and costly procedures as part of his health care. This causes insurance
premiums to rise for everyone, driving many potential customers out of the market.
This became a big issue in India when the health insurance providers and big
private hospitals came in conflict and the issue was resolved by putting in place a
‘third party administration’ to settle the medical claims.
Asymmetric information, adverse selection and moral hazard affect the ability of
markets to efficiently allocate resources and therefore lead to market failure
because the party with better information has a competitive advantage.
2.6 CONCLUSION
Markets, do not always lead to efficiency. When there is a market failure, the market
outcomes may be inefficient and government intervention can improve society’s
welfare. Government can ensure economic efficiency by providing the necessary
legal and regulatory system that facilitates efficiency and /or it can intervene to
correct specific market failures. The role of the government in combating market
failures will be discussed in the next unit.
SUMMARY
• Market failure is a situation in which the free market fails to allocate resources
efficiently in the sense that there is either overproduction or underproduction
of particular goods and services leading to less than optimal market outcomes.
• The demand-side market failures are said to occur when demand curves do not
take into account the full willingness of consumers to pay for a product. The
supply -side market failures happen when supply curves do not incorporate
the full cost of producing the product.
• The price system and markets work efficiently only if market prices convey
information to both producers and consumers.
• There are four major reasons for market failure. They are: market power,
externalities, public goods, and incomplete information.
• Excessive market power causes the single producer or small number of
producers to produce and sell less output than would be produced and charge
a higher price in a competitive market.
• Externalities, also referred to as ‘spillover effects’, ‘neighbourhood effects’
‘third-party effects’, or ‘side-effects’, occur when the actions of either
consumers or producers result in costs or benefits that do not reflect as part
of the market price.
• Externalities cause market inefficiencies because they hinder the ability of
market prices to convey accurate information about how much to produce and
how much to buy. Since externalities are not reflected in market prices, they
can be a source of economic inefficiency.
• Externalities are initiated and experienced, not through the operation of the
price system, but outside the market and therefore, are external to the market.
• A pure public good is non-rivalrous and non excludable. Impure public goods
are partially rivalrous or congestible. Because of the possibility of congestion,
the benefit that an individual gets from an impure public good depends on
the number of users.
• The provider of an impure public good may be able to control the degree of
congestion either by regulating the number of people who may use it, or the
frequency with which it may be used or both.
• The quasi-public goods or services, also called a near public good (for e.g.
education, health services) possess nearly all of the qualities of the private
goods and some of the benefits of public good. They exhibit market failure as
incomplete markets.
• Common access resources or common pool resources are a special class of
impure public goods which are non excludable as people cannot be excluded
from using them. These are rival in nature and their consumption lessens the
benefits available for others.
• Since price mechanism does not apply to ‘common resources’, producers and
consumers do not pay for these resources and therefore, they overuse them
and cause their depletion and degradation.
• Economists use the term ‘tragedy of the commons’ to describe the problem
which occurs when rivalrous but non excludable goods are overused to the
disadvantage of the entire universe.
• The incentive to let other people pay for a good or service, the benefits of
which are enjoyed by an individual is known as the free rider problem.
• If every individual plays the same strategy of free riding, the strategy will fail
because nobody is willing to pay and therefore nothing will be provided by the
market.
• Complete information is an essential element of competitive market. But it is
not fully satisfied in real world markets for goods or services due to highly
complex nature of products.
• Asymmetric information occurs when there is an imbalance in information
between buyer and seller i.e. when the buyer knows more than the seller or the
seller knows more than the buyer. This can distort choices. With asymmetric
information, low-quality goods can drive high-quality goods out of the market.
(c) makes the firms price makers and restrict output so as to make allocation
inefficient
(d) (b) and(c) above
4. Markets do not exist
(a) for pure public goods
(b) for goods which have positive externalities
(c) for goods which have negative externalities
(d) none of the above
5. The unique feature of an externality is that it is
(a) initiated and experienced, not through the operation of the price system
but affects an external agent
(b) initiated and experienced, not through the operation of the price system,
but outside the market
(c) initiated and experienced by the same entity, but causes decrease in social
welfare
(d) causes decreases in social welfare through the system of prices prevailing
in the market
6. If a textile mill produces large amounts of negative externality, then which
one of the following is possible?
(a) The output of textile is too little when compared to the socially optimal
quantity
(b) The output of textile is too large when compared to the socially optimal
quantity
(c) The output of textile is not socially optimal as it is likely to be a regulated
one
(d) Any of the above
7. All but one of the following statements is incorrect. Identify the correct
statement.
(a) When there is a negative externality, the social marginal cost will exceed
private marginal cost
(b) When there is a positive externality the social marginal cost will exceed
private marginal cost
(c) Common property resources are non rival and non excludable public
goods so that the problem of sustainability becomes grave
(d) Goods that are rival in consumption and are non excludable are known as
private goods
8. In case of a positive externality
(a) the social marginal cost will exceed private marginal cost
(b) the social marginal cost will be equal to private marginal cost
(c) the social marginal cost will be less than private marginal cost
(d) the social marginal cost has no relation to private marginal cost
9. Which of the following statement is correct in respect of externalities?
(a) When social marginal costs are equal to private marginal costs, the level
of output will be equal to the socially optimal level
(b) When social marginal costs are less than private marginal costs, the level
of output will be lower than the socially optimal level
(c) When social marginal costs are greater than private marginal costs, the
level of output will be higher than the socially optimal level
(d) All of the above.
10. Match the following
16. If an individual tends to drive his car in a dangerously high speed because he
has a comprehensive insurance cover, it is a case of
(a) free riding
(b) moral hazard
(c) negative externality
(d) efficiency
17. Read the following statements
I. Common resources are pure public goods which are non rival
II. Since price mechanism does not apply to common resources, producers
and consumers do not pay for these resources
III. Self-interest makes them overuse the common resources and cause their
depletion and degradation
IV. The common resources impure public goods which are excludable but non
rival
(a) Statement I alone is correct
(b) Statements I and IV are correct
(c) Statements II and III are correct
(d) Statements I ,II and III are correct
18. Market failure will never occur in a
(a) Socialist economy which is developed
(b) Unplanned economy which is under developed
(c) Capitalist economy which is developed
(d) None of the above
II Short Answer Type Questions
1. Explain the term market failure
2. Explain, with the aid of examples, the main characteristics of private goods.
3. Identify a pure public good using the criteria for identification
4. Explain the free rider problem. Give examples
ANSWERS/HINTS
I Multiple Choice Type Questions
1. (b) 2. (d) 3. (d) 4. (a) 5. (b)
6. (b) 7. (a) 8. (c) 9. (c) 10. (d)
11. (b) 12. (d) 13. (c) 14. (b) 15. (a)
16 (b) 17 (c) 18. (d)
LEARNING OUTCOMES
Public Finance
Government
Interventions to Correct
Market Failure
In the previous unit, we have seen that under a variety of circumstances the market
and the price system fail to achieve productive and allocative efficiency in an
economy. As such, it should be construed that the existence of a free market does
not altogether eliminate the need for government and that government
intervention is essential for the efficient functioning of markets. The focus of this
unit will be the intervention mechanisms which governments adopt to ensure
greater welfare to the society and the probable outcomes of such market
interventions.
Government plays a vital role in creating the basic framework within which fair and
open competitive markets can exist. It is indispensable that government
establishes the ‘rule of law’, and in this process, creates and protects property
rights, ensures that contracts are upheld and sets up necessary institutions for
proper functioning of markets. For achieving this, an appropriately framed
competition and consumer law framework that regulates the activities of firms and
individuals in their market exchanges should be in place.
We have seen in the previous unit that the major reasons for market failure are
market power, externalities, public goods, and incomplete information. Before we
go into the details of government intervention, we shall try to have a quick glimpse
of the forms of government intervention.
As Supplier
Public Goods/
Information
Direct
As buyer /
Government Procurement
Intervention
Taxes /Subsidies to
alter costs
Indirect
Regulation/influence
competition and prohibit actions that are likely to restrain competition. These
legislations differ from country to country. For example, in India, we have the
Competition Act, 2002(as amended by the Competition (Amendment) Act, 2007) to
promote and sustain competition in markets. The Antitrust laws in the US and
the Competition Act, 1998 of UK etc are designed to promote competitive economy
by prohibiting actions that are likely to restrain competition. Such legislations
generally aim at prohibiting contracts, combinations and collusions among
producers or traders which are in restraint of trade and other anticompetitive
actions such as predatory pricing. On the contrary, some of the regulatory
responses of government to incentive failure tend to create and protect monopoly
positions of firms that have developed unique innovations. For example, patent
and copyright laws grant exclusive rights of products or processes to provide
incentives for invention and innovation.
Policy options for limiting market power also include price regulation in the form
of setting maximum prices that firms can charge. Price regulation is most often
used for natural monopolies that can produce the entire output of the market at a
cost that is lower than what it would be if there were several firms. If a firm is a
natural monopoly, it is more efficient to permit it serve the entire market rather
than have several firms who compete each other. Examples of such natural
monopoly are electricity, gas and water supplies. In some cases, the government‘s
regulatory agency determines an acceptable price, so as to ensure a competitive or
fair rate of return. This practice is called rate-of-return regulation. Another
approach to regulation is setting price-caps based on the firm’s variable costs, past
prices, and possible inflation and productivity growth.
1. Direct controls that openly regulate the actions of those involved in generating
negative externalities, and
2. Market-based policies that would provide economic incentives so that the self-
interest of the market participants would achieve the socially optimal solution.
Direct controls prohibit specific activities that explicitly create negative externalities
or require that the negative externality be limited to a certain level, for instance
limiting emissions. Production, use and sale of many commodities and services are
prohibited in our country. Smoking is completely banned in many public places.
Stringent rules are in place in respect of tobacco advertising, packaging and
labeling etc.
Governments may pass laws to alleviate the effects of negative externalities.
Government stipulated environmental standards are rules that protect the
environment by specifying actions by producers and consumers. For example, India
has enacted the Environment (Protection) Act, 1986. The government may, through
legislation, fix emissions standard which is a legal limit on how much pollutant a
firm can emit. The set standard ensures that the firm produces efficiently. If the firm
exceeds the limit, it can invite monetary penalties or/and criminal liabilities. The
firms have to install pollution-abatement mechanisms to ensure adherence to the
emission standards. This means additional expenditure to the firm leading to rise
in the firm’s average cost. New firms will find it profitable to enter the industry only
if the price of the product is greater than the average cost of production plus
abatement expenditure.
Another method is to charge an emissions fee which is levied on each unit of a
firm’s emissions. The firms can minimize costs and enhance their profitability by
reducing emissions. Governments may also form special bodies/ boards to
specifically address the problem: for instance the Ministry of Environment & Forest,
the Pollution Control Board of India and the State Pollution Control Boards.
The market-based approaches–environmental taxes and cap-and-trade – operate
through price mechanism to create an incentive for change. In other words, they
rely on economic incentives to accomplish environmental goals at lesser costs. The
market based approaches focus on generation of a market price for pollution. This
is achieved by:
1. Setting the price directly through a pollution tax
2. Setting the price indirectly through the establishment of a cap-and-trade
system.
The key to internalizing an externality (both external costs and benefits) is to ensure
that those who create the externalities include them while making decisions. One
method of ensuring internalization of negative externalities is imposing pollution
taxes. The size of the tax depends on the amount of pollution a firm produces.
These taxes are named Pigouvian taxes after A.C. Pigou who argued that an
externality cannot be alleviated by contractual negotiation between the affected
parties and therefore taxation should be resorted to. These taxes, by ‘making the
polluter pay’, seek to internalize external costs into the price of a product or activity.
More precisely, the tax is placed on the externality itself (the amount of pollution
emissions) rather than on output (say, amount of steel). For each unit of pollution,
the polluter must choose either to pay the tax or to reduce pollution through any
means at its disposal. Tax increases the private cost of production or consumption
as the case may be, and would decrease the quantity demanded and therefore the
output of the good which creates negative externality. The proceeds from the tax,
some argue, can be specifically earmarked for projects that protect or enhance
environment.
The following figure illustrates the market outcomes of pollution tax.
Figure 2.3.1
Market Outcomes of Pollution Tax
When negative production externalities exist, marginal social cost is greater than
marginal private cost. The free market outcome would be to produce a socially non
optimal output level Q at the level of equality between marginal private cost and
marginal private benefit. (Since externalities are not taken into account, marginal
private benefit would be contemplated as marginal social benefit). When
externalities are present, the welfare loss to the society or dead weight loss would
be the shaded area ABC. The tax imposed by government (equivalent to the vertical
distance AA1) would shift the cost curve up by the amount of tax, prices will rise to
P1 and a new equilibrium is established at point B, where the marginal social cost
is equal to marginal social benefit. Output level Q1 is socially optimal and eliminates
the whole of welfare loss on account of overproduction.
However, there are problems in administering an efficient pollution tax.
• Pollution taxes are difficult to determine and administer because it is difficult
to discover the right level of taxation that would ensure that the private cost
plus taxes will exactly equate with the social cost. If the demand for the good
is inelastic, the tax may only have an insignificant effect in reducing demand.
• The method of taxing the polluters has many limitations because it involves
the use of complex and costly administrative procedures for monitoring the
polluters.
• This method does not provide any genuine solutions to the problem. It only
establishes an incentive system for use of methods which are less polluting.
• In the case of goods which have inelastic demand, producers will be able to
easily shift the tax burden in the form of higher product prices. This will have
an inflationary effect and may reduce consumer welfare.
• Pollution taxes also have potential negative consequences on employment and
investments because high pollution taxes in one country may encourage
producers to shift their production facilities to those countries with lower taxes.
The second approach to establishing prices is tradable emissions permits (also
known as cap-and-trade). These are marketable licenses to emit limited quantities
of pollutants and can be bought and sold by polluters. Under this method, each
firm has permits specifying the number of units of emissions that the firm is allowed
to generate. A firm that generates emissions above what is allowed by the permit
is penalized with substantial monetary sanctions. These permits are transferable,
and therefore different pollution levels are possible across the regulated entities.
Permits are allocated among firms, with the total number of permits so chosen as
Figure 2.3.2
Effect of Subsidy on Output
market, only private benefits and private costs would be reflected in the price paid
by consumers. This means, compared to what is socially desirable, people would
consume inadequate quantities. Examples of merit goods include education, health
care, welfare services, housing, fire protection, waste management, public libraries,
museum and public parks.
In contrast to pure public goods, merit goods are rival, excludable, limited in supply,
rejectable by those unwilling to pay, and involve positive marginal cost for
supplying to extra users. Merit goods can be provided through the market, but are
likely to be under-produced and under-consumed through the market mechanism
so that social welfare will not be maximized. The following diagram will show the
market outcome for merit goods.
Figure 2.3.3
Market Outcome for Merit Goods
In the absence of government intervention, the output of the merit good would be
Q where the marginal private cost (MPC) is equal to marginal private benefit (MPB).
The welfare loss to the society due to under production and under consumption is
the shaded area (ABC). On account of considerable positive externalities, the
optimal output is Q* at which marginal social (MSC) cost is equal to marginal social
benefit (MSB). This is a strong case for government intervention in the case of merit
goods.
The additional reasons for government provision of merit goods are:
• Information failure is widely prevalent with merit goods and therefore
individuals may not act in their best interest because of imperfect information.
• Equity considerations demand that merit goods such as health and education
should be provided free on the basis of need rather than on the basis of
individual’s ability to pay.
• There is a lot of uncertainty as to the need for merit goods E.g. health care.
Due to uncertainty about the nature and timing of healthcare required in
future, individuals may be unable to plan their expenditure and save for their
future medical requirements. The market is unlikely to provide the optimal
quantity of health care when consumers actually need it, because they may be
short of the necessary finances to pay the market price.
The possible government responses to under-provision of merit goods are
regulation, subsidies, direct government provision and a combination of
government provision and market provision. Regulation determines how a private
activity may be conducted. For example, the way in which education is to be
imparted is government regulated. Governments can prohibit some type of goods
and activities, set standards and issue mandates making others oblige. For example,
government may make it compulsory to avail insurance protection. Compulsory
immunization may be insisted upon as it helps not only the individual but also the
society at large. Government could also use legislation to enforce the consumption
of a good which generates positive externalities. E.g. use of helmets, seat belts
etc. The Right of Children to Free and Compulsory Education Act, 2009 which
mandates free and compulsory education for every child of the age of six to
fourteen years is another example. A variety of regulatory mechanisms may also be
set up by government to enhance consumption of merit goods and to ensure their
quality.
When governments provide merit goods, it may give rise to large economies of
scale and productive efficiency apart from generating substantial positive
externalities and overcoming the problems mentioned above.
When merit goods are directly provided free of cost by government, there will be
substantial demand for the same. As can be seen from the following diagram, when
people are required to pay the free market price, people would consume only OQ
quantity of healthcare. If provided free at zero prices, the demand OD far exceeds
supply.
Figure 2.3.4
Consumption of Merit Goods at Zero Price
negative externalities are not essentially demerit goods; e.g. Production of steel
causes pollution, but steel is not a socially undesirable good.
The generally held argument is that consumers overvalue demerit goods because
of imperfect information and they are not the best judges of welfare with respect
to such goods. The government should therefore intervene in the marketplace to
discourage their production and consumption. How do governments correct
market failure resulting from demerit goods?
• At the extreme, government may enforce complete ban on a demerit good.
e.g. Intoxicating drugs. In such cases, the possession, trading or consumption
of the good is made illegal.
• Through persuasion which is mainly intended to be achieved by negative
advertising campaigns which emphasize the dangers associated with
consumption of demerit goods.
• Through legislations that prohibit the advertising or promotion of demerit
goods in whatsoever manner.
• Strict regulations of the market for the good may be put in place so as to limit
access to the good, especially by vulnerable groups such as children and
adolescents.
• Regulatory controls in the form of spatial restrictions e.g. smoking in public
places, sale of tobacco to be away from schools, and time restrictions under
which sale at particular times during the day is banned.
Imposing unusually high taxes on producing or purchasing the good making them
very costly and unaffordable to many is perhaps the most commonly used method
for reducing the consumption of a demerit good. For example, the GST Council has
bracketed four items namely, high end cars, pan masala, aerated drinks and
tobacco products into demerit goods category and therefore these would be taxed
(with a cess being added on to the basic tax) at much higher rates than the top
GST slab of 28 per cent.
However, there are various limitations for government to succeed in producing the
desired optimal effects in the case of demerit goods. There are many practical
difficulties in imposing taxes. In order to impose a tax which is equivalent to the
marginal external cost, the governments need to know the exact value of the
marginal external cost and then ascribe accurate monetary value to those negative
externalities. In practice, this is extremely difficult to do.
The government can fix a minimum price below which the demerit good should not
be exchanged. The effect of such minimum price fixation above equilibrium price
is shown in the figure below:
Figure 2.3.5
Outcomes of Minimum Price for a Demerit Good
Free market equates marginal private cost with marginal private benefit (point B)
and produces an output of a demerit good Q at which marginal social benefit (MSB)
is much less than marginal private benefit (MPB). At this level of output, there is a
divergence (BC) between marginal private benefit (MPB) and marginal social benefit
(MSB). The shaded area represents loss of social welfare. If the government
determined minimum price is P1, demand contracts and the quantity of alcohol
consumed would be reduced to Q1. At Q1level of output, marginal social benefit
(MSB) is equal to marginal social cost (MSC) and the quantity of alcohol consumed
is optimal from the society’s point of view.
The demand for demerit goods such as, cigarettes and alcohol is often highly
inelastic, so that any increase in price resulting from additional taxation causes a
less than proportionate decrease in demand. Also, sellers can always shift the taxes
to consumers without losing customers.
The effect of stringent regulation such as total ban is seldom realized in the form
of complete elimination of the demerit good; conversely such goods are secretly
driven underground and traded in a hidden market.
prices. The objective is to guarantee steady and assured incomes to farmers. In case
the market price falls below the MSP, then the guaranteed MSP will prevail. The
following diagram will illustrate the effects of a price floor. Nevertheless, mere
announcement of higher support prices for commodities, which are not effectively
backed up by procurement arrangement, does not serve the purpose of
remunerative levels of prices for producers.
Figure 2.3.6
Market Outcome of Minimum Support Price
When price floors are set above market clearing price, suppliers are encouraged
to over-supply and there would be an excess of supply over demand. At price
`150/ which is much above the market determined equilibrium price of ` 75/, the
market demand is only Q1, but the market supply is Q2.
When prices of certain essential commodities rise excessively, government may
resort to controls in the form of price ceilings (also called maximum price) for
making a resource or commodity available to all at reasonable prices. For example:
maximum prices of food grains and essential items are set by government during
times of scarcity. A price ceiling which is set below the prevailing market clearing
price will generate excess demand over supply. As can be seen in the following
figure, the price ceiling of ` 75/ which is below the market determined price of
` 150/leads to generation of excess demand over supply equal to Q1-Q2.
Figure 2.3.7
Market Outcome of Price Ceiling
SUMMARY
• Governments intervene in various ways to correct the distortions in the market
which occur when there are deviations from the ideal perfectly competitive
state.
• Because of the social costs imposed by monopoly, governments intervene by
establishing rules and regulations designed to promote competition and
prohibit actions that are likely to restrain competition.
• Natural monopolies such as electricity, gas and water supplies are usually
subject to price controls.
• Government initiatives towards combating market failures due to negative
externalities are either direct controls or market-based policies that would
provide economic incentives.
• Direct controls prohibit specific activities that explicitly create negative
externalities or require that the negative externality be limited to a certain level,
for instance limiting emissions.
• Government may pass laws to alleviate the effects of negative externalities or
fix emissions standard which is a legal limit on how much pollutant a firm can
emit. It may charge an emissions fee which is levied on each unit of a firm’s
emissions.
• The market-based approaches– environmental taxes and cap-and-trade –
operate through price mechanism to create an incentive for change.
• The key is to internalizing an externality (both external costs and benefits) is to
ensure that those who create the externalities include them while making
decisions.
• One method of ensuring internalization of negative externalities is imposing
pollution taxes. Pigouvian taxes by ‘making the polluter pay’, seek to internalize
external costs into the price of a product or activity.
• Pollution taxes are difficult to determine and administer due to difficulty to
discover the right level of taxation, problems associated with inelastic nature of
demand for the good and the problem of possible capital flight.
• Tradable emissions permits are marketable licenses to emit limited quantities
of pollutants and can be bought and sold by polluters. The high polluters have
to buy more permits and the low polluters receive extra revenue from selling
their surplus permits.
• The system is administratively cheap and simple, allows flexibility and reward
efficiency and provides strong incentives for innovation
• Subsidy is market-based policy and involves the government paying part of the
cost to the firms in order to promote the production of goods having positive
externalities
• Merit goods such as education, health care etc are socially desirable and have
substantial positive externalities. They are rival, excludable, limited in supply,
rejectable by those unwilling to pay, and involve positive marginal cost for
supplying to extra users.
• Left to the market, merit goods are likely to be under-produced and under-
consumed so that social welfare will not be maximized.
• The possible government responses to under-provision of merit goods are
regulation, legislation, subsidies, direct government provision and a combination
of government provision and market provision.
• When governments provide merit goods, it may give rise to large economies
of scale and productive efficiency and there will be substantial demand for the
same.
• Demerit goods are goods which impose significant negative externalities on
the society as a whole and are believed to be socially undesirable.
• The production and consumption of demerit goods are likely to be more than
optimal under free markets. The government should therefore intervene in the
marketplace to discourage their production and consumption.
• Steps taken by government include complete ban of the good, legislations,
persuasion and advertising campaigns, limiting access to the good, especially
by vulnerable groups,
• In the case of pure public goods where entry fees cannot be charged, direct
provision by governments through the use of general government tax revenues is
the only option. Excludable public goods can be provided by government and the
same can be financed through entry fees.
• A very commonly followed method in the case of public good is to grant licenses
to private firms to build a facility and then the government regulates the level of
the entry fee chargeable from the public.
• Due to strategic and security reasons, certain goods are produced and
consumed as public goods and services despite the fact that they can be
produced or consumed as private goods.
• Price controls may take the form of either a price floor (a minimum price buyers
are required to pay) or a price ceiling (a maximum price sellers are allowed to
charge for a good or service).
• When prices of certain essential commodities rise excessively government may
resort to controls in the form of price ceilings (also called maximum price) for
making a resource or commodity available to all at reasonable prices.
• With the objective of ensuring stability in prices and distribution, governments
often intervene in grain markets through building and maintenance of buffer
stocks.
• Government failures where government intervention in the economy to correct
a market failure creates inefficiency and leads to a misallocation of scare
resources occur very often.
• Government failure occurs when intervention is ineffective causing wastage of
resources expended for the intervention and/or when intervention produces
fresh and more serious problems.
6. What is the rationale behind the argument that public goods should be
provided by government?
7. Why do you think it is necessary for the government to manipulate the price
and output of commodities and services? What consequences do you foresee
in the absence of government intervention?
IV Application Oriented Questions
1. The pharmaceutical industry is involved in innovation, development,
production, and marketing of medicines in India. Ensuring the availability of
lifesaving drugs at reasonable prices is the duty of the government. The
National Pharmaceutical Pricing Authority (NPPA) is the watchdog in India,
which controls the prices of drugs. Government has to consider the interest of
both the producers and the buyers.
Questions
(i) Elucidate the market outcomes if matters relating to drugs are entirely left
to the pharmaceutical industry.
(ii) Appraise the need for government action in the above case. Do you
consider government action necessary in the case of medicines? Why?
(iii) What are the different policy options available to government to meet its
public health objectives?
2. The draft of New Education Policy, 2016 proposes key changes in government’s
policy towards education. Explain the rationale for government action to
streamline the education system in the county.
3. The Commission for Agricultural Costs and Prices (CACP) advises the
government on minimum support prices of 23 agricultural commodities which
comprise 7 cereals, 5 pulses, 7 oilseeds, and 4 commercial crops.
(i) What is the underlying principle of minimum support prices? Do you think
MSP is a form of market intervention? Why?
(ii) Why do you consider free markets undesirable for the above mentioned
agricultural commodities?
ANSWERS/HINTS
I Multiple Choice Type Questions
1. (d) 2. (d) 3. (c) 4. (b) 5. (c)
primary products is less than one – need to guarantee steady and assured
incomes to farmers - Minimum Support Price (MSP) programme as well as
procurement by government agencies at the set support prices - Illustrate
with figure : Market outcome of minimum support price- When price floors
are set above market clearing price, suppliers are encouraged to over-
supply and there would be an excess of supply over demand – limitations
-possible government failure
Public Finance
Fiscal Policy
Automatic
Objectives of Stabilizers Versus Instruments of Types of Fiscal
Fiscal Policy Discretionary Fiscal Policy Policy
Fiscal Policy
4.1 INTRODUCTION
In the previous unit, we have studied the nature of governments’ intervention in
markets to provide public goods, remedy externalities, ensure efficient allocation
and to enable redistribution of income. We have also looked into how taxes and
subsidies influence the incentives for private economic activity. We have been
doing this from the microeconomic point of view. From the macroeconomic
perspective, the focus is on the aggregate economic activity of governments, say,
aggregate expenditure, taxes, transfers and issues of government debts and deficits
and their effects on aggregate economic variables such as total output, total
employment, inflation, overall economic growth etc . These, in fact, form the subject
matter of fiscal policy.
The significance of fiscal policy as a strategy for achieving certain socio economic
objectives was not recognized or widely acknowledged before 1930 due to the faith
in the limited role of government advocated by the then prevailing laissez-faire
approach. Great Depression and the consequent instabilities made policymakers
support a more proactive role for governments in the economy. However, later on,
markets started demonstrating an enhanced role in the allocation of goods and
services in the economy. In the previous unit, we have seen situations under which
markets fail to achieve optimal outcomes and the need for government
intervention to combat those market failures. In recent times, especially after being
threatened by the global financial crisis and recession, many countries have
preferred to have a more active fiscal policy.
Governments of all countries pursue innumerable policies to accomplish their
economic goals such as rapid economic growth, equitable distribution of wealth
and income, reduction of poverty, price stability, exchange rate stability, full-
employment, balanced regional development etc. Government budget is one
among the most powerful instruments of economic policy. The important tools in
the budgetary policy could be broadly classified into public revenue including
taxation, public expenditure, public debt and finally deficit financing to bridge the
gap between public receipts and payments. When all these tools are used for
achieving certain goals of economic policy, public finance is transformed into what
is called fiscal policy. In other words, through the use of these instruments
governments intend to favourably influence the level of economic activity of a
country.
Fiscal policy involves the use of government spending, taxation and borrowing to
influence both the pattern of economic activity and level of growth of aggregate
demand, output and employment. It includes any design on the part of the
government to change the price level, composition or timing of government
aggregate production and income, such that the instability caused by business
cycle is automatically dampened without any need for discretionary policy action.
Any government programme that automatically tends to reduce fluctuations in
GDP is called an automatic stabilizer. Automatic stabilizers have a tendency for
increasing GDP when it is falling and reducing GDP when it is rising. In automatic
or non discretionary fiscal policy, the tax policy and expenditure pattern are so
framed that taxes and government expenditure automatically change with the
change in national income. It involves built- in- tax or expenditure mechanism that
automatically increases aggregate demand when recession is there and reduces
aggregate demand when there is inflation in the economy. Personal income taxes,
corporate income taxes and transfer payments (unemployment compensation,
welfare benefits) are prominent automatic stabilizers.
Automatic stabilisation occurs through automatic adjustments in government
expenditures and taxes without any deliberate governmental action. These
automatic adjustments work towards stimulating aggregate spending during the
recessionary phase and reducing aggregate spending during economic expansion.
As we know, during recession incomes are reduced; with progressive tax structure,
there will be a decline in the proportion of income that is taxed. This would result
in lower tax payments as well as some tax refunds. Simultaneously, government
expenditures increase due to increased transfer payments like unemployment
benefits. These two together provide proportionately more disposable income
available for consumption spending to households. In the absence of such
automatic responses, household spending would tend to decrease more sharply
and the economy would in all probability fall into a deeper recession.
On the contrary, when an economy expands, employment increases, with
progressive system of taxes people have to pay higher taxes as their income rises.
This leaves them with lower disposable income and thus causes a decline in their
consumption and therefore aggregate demand. Similarly, corporate profits tend to
be higher during an expansionary phase attracting higher corporate tax payments.
With higher income taxes, firms are left with lower surplus causing a decline in their
consumption and investments and thus in the aggregate demand. Again, during
expansion unemployment falls, therefore government expenditure by way of
transfer payments falls and with lower government expenditure inflation gets
controlled to a certain extent. Briefly put, during an expansionary phase, all types
of incomes rise and the amount of transfer payments decline resulting in
GDP = C + I + G + NX.
We know that GDP is the value of all final goods and services produced in an
economy during a given period of time. The right side of the equation shows the
different sources of aggregate spending or demand namely, private consumption
(C), private investment (I), government expenditure i.e purchases of goods and
services by the government (G), and net exports, (exports minus imports) (NX). It is
evident from the equation that governments can influence economic activity (GDP)
by controlling G directly and influencing C, I, and NX indirectly, through changes in
taxes, transfer payments and expenditure.
While a budget surplus reduces national debt, a budget deficit will add to the
national debt. A nation’s debt is the difference between its total past deficits and
its total past surpluses. If a government has borrowed money over the years to
finance its deficits and has not paid it back through accumulated surpluses, then it
is said to be in debt. Deliberate changes to the composition of revenue and
expenditure components of the budget are extensively used to change macro
economic variables such as level of economic growth, inflation, unemployment and
external stability. For instance, a budget surplus reduces government debt,
increases savings and reduces interest rates. Higher levels of domestic savings
decrease international borrowings and lessen the current account deficit.
Real GDP at Y1 level lies below the natural level, Y 2. This represents a situation
where the economy is initially in a recession. There is less than full employment of
the resources in the economy. The classical economists held the view that in such
a condition flexibility of wages would cause wages to fall resulting in reduction in
costs. Consequently, suppliers would increase supply and the short run aggregate
supply curve SAS1 will shift to the right say SAS 2 and bring the economy back to the
level of full employment at Y2. However, according to Keynes, wages are not as
flexible as what the classical economists believed and are ‘sticky downward,’
meaning wages will not adjust rapidly to accommodate the unemployed. Therefore,
recession, once set in, would persist for a long time. How does the government
intervene? The government responds by increasing government expenditures in
adequate quantities as to cause a shift in the aggregate demand curve to the right
from AD 1 to AD 2. In doing so, the government may have to incur a budget deficit
by spending more than its current receipts. As a response to the shift in AD, output
increases as the total demand in the economy increases. Firms respond to growing
demand by producing more output. In order to increase their output in the short-
run, firms must hire more workers. This has the effect of reducing unemployment
in the economy.
A relevant question here is how much should be the increase in government
expenditure? Should it be exactly the same amount as the required level of increase
in output? (Y 2 - Y 1 )? The answer is that it depends upon the GNP gap created due
to recession and also on the size of multiplier which depends upon marginal
propensity to consume. The increase in government expenditures need not be
equal to the difference between Y 2 and Y 1, it can be much less. The concept of
‘fiscal multiplier,’ i.e. the response of gross domestic product to an exogenous
change in government expenditures is of use to determine the required level of
government expenditure. Any increase in autonomous aggregate expenditures
(including government expenditures) has a multiplier effect on aggregate demand.
As such, the government needs to incur only a lesser amount of expenditure to
cause aggregate demand to increase by the amount necessary to achieve the
natural level of real GDP.
A pertinent question here is; from where will the government find resources to
increase its expenditure? We know that if government resorts to increase in taxes,
it is self- defeating as increased taxes will reduce the disposable incomes and
therefore aggregate demand. The government should in such cases go for a deficit
budget which may be financed either through borrowing or through monetization
(creation of additional money to finance expenditure). The former runs the risk of
crowding out private spending.
It may however be noted that expansionary fiscal policy will be successful only
if there is accommodative monetary policy. If interest rates rise as a result of
increased demand for money but money supply does not rise concurrently,
then private investment will be adversely affected. If interest rates remain
unchanged, private investment will not be affected badly and a rise in
government expenditure will have full effect on national income and
employment.
Figure 2.4.2
Contractionary Fiscal policy for Combating Inflation
As real GDP rises above its natural level, (Y in the above figure), prices also rise,
prompting an increase in wages and other resource prices. This causes
the SAS curve to shift from SAS 1 to SAS 2. As a result, the price level goes up
from P 1 to P 3. Nevertheless, the real GDP remains the same at Y. The government
now needs to intervene to control inflation by engaging in a contractionary fiscal
policy designed to reduce aggregate demand so that the aggregate demand curve
(AD1) does not shift to AD2 . The government needs to reduce expenditures or raise
taxes only by a small amount because of the multiplier effects that such actions
may have. Even as expenditures are reduced, the government may attempt to
enhance public revenues in order to generate a budget surplus. In any economy,
on account of political, social and defence considerations government spending
cannot be reduced beyond a particular limit. However, the government can change
its expenditure in response to inflationary pressures.
recession phase the government would be able to borrow from the market without
increasing interest rates.
4.9 CONCLUSION
Well designed and timely fiscal responses are necessary for an economy which is
either going through stages of recession or inflation or on a drive to achieve
economic growth and/ or equitable distribution of income. During periods of
recession when there are idle productive capacity and unemployed workers, an
increase in aggregate demand will generally bring about an increase in total output
without changing the level of prices. On the contrary, if an economy is functioning
at full employment, an expansionary fiscal policy will exert pressure on prices to
go up and will have no impact on total output. Fiscal policy is also a potent
instrument for bringing in economic growth and equality in distribution of income.
SUMMARY
• From a macro-economic perspective, the focus of fiscal policy is on the
aggregate economic activity of governments, say, aggregate expenditure,
taxes, transfers and issues of government debts and deficits and their effects
on aggregate economic variables such as total output total employment,
unemployment rate, inflation, overall economic growth etc.
• Laissez-faire approach advocated limited role of government resulting in non
recognition of the significance of fiscal policy as a strategy for achieving certain
socio economic objectives till 1930.
• Through the use of budgetary instruments, such as public revenue, public
expenditure, public debt and deficit financing, governments intend to
favourably influence the level of economic activity of a country.
• The objectives of fiscal policy may vary from country to country, but generally
they are: achievement and maintenance of full employment, maintenance of
price stability, acceleration of the rate of economic development and equitable
distribution of income and wealth.
• Fiscal policy involves the use of government spending, taxation and borrowing
to influence both the pattern of economic activity and level of growth of
aggregate demand, output and employment.
(b) refers to how governments may directly as well as indirectly influence the
level of taxes to attain export competitiveness
(c) refers to deliberate policy actions on the part of the government to change
the levels of expenditure and taxes to influence the level of national
output, employment and prices
(d) refers to deliberate policy actions on the part of the government to change
the composition of taxes to influence compliance
7. Keynesian economists believe that
(a) fiscal policy can have very powerful effects in altering aggregate demand,
employment and output in an economy
(b) when the economy is operating at less than full employment levels and
when there is a need to offer stimulus to demand fiscal policy is of great
use
(c) Wages are flexible and therefore business fluctuations would be
automatically adjusted
(d) (a) and(b) above
8. Which of the following may ensure a decrease in aggregate demand during
inflation
(a) decrease in all types of government spending and/ or an increase in taxes
(b) increase in government spending and/ or a decrease in taxes
(c) decrease in government spending and/ or an decrease in taxes
(d) All the above
9. A recession is characterized by
(a) Declining prices and rising employment
(b) Declining unemployment and rising prices
(c) Declining real income and rising unemployment.
(d) Rising real income and rising prices
10. Discretionary fiscal policy differs from non discretionary fiscal policy in which
of the following manner?
II. Crowding out effect is the negative effect fiscal policy may generate when
money from the private sector is ‘crowded out’ to the public sector.
III When spending by government in an economy increases government
spending would be crowded out.
IV. Private investments, especially the ones which are interest –sensitive, will
be reduced if interest rates rise due to increased spending by government
(a) I and III only
(b) I, II, and III
(c) I, II, and IV
(d) III only
15. Which of the following policies is likely to shift an economy’s aggregate
demand curve to the right?
(a) Increase in government spending
(b) Decrease in taxes
(c) A tax cut along with increase in public expenditure
(d) All the above
16. Identify the incorrect statement
(a) A progressive direct tax system ensures economic growth with stability
because it distributes the burden of taxes equally
(b) A carefully planned policy of public expenditure helps in redistributing
income from the rich to the poorer sections of the society.
(c) There are possible conflicts between different objectives of fiscal policy
such that a policy designed to achieve one goal may adversely affect
another
(d) An increase in the size of government spending during recessions may
possibly ‘crowd-out’ private spending in an economy.
II Short Answer Type Questions
1. Define fiscal policy.
2. What are the objectives of fiscal policy?
7. Unemployment and recessionary trends can be solved through the use of fiscal
policies. Do you agree? Justify your answer.
IV Application Oriented Questions
1. The government of Country X, an underdeveloped country, having a severe
problem of unemployment of labour embarks on a massive development
programme. It has recognized the imminent need for boosting up investments
to take the country to a higher than average growth trajectory. The following
steps were taken by the government:
i) Invited tenders for a huge net work of highways, solar energy generation,
communication systems ad computerized systems
ii) Large number of schools throughout the country
iii) Research grants for universities and private research institutes
iv) Announced a number of free health care programmes for all
v) All citizens assured of social security
vi) Increase in payments under existing social security schemes
vii) Tax exemption limit raised for individuals, instituted progressive taxes with
high marginal rates - increased corporate taxes
Very soon prices started spiraling and there was general unrest among people
especially the poor.
i) Analyze each of the above measures from a fiscal policy perspective.
ii) Why did overall prices increase?
iii) What policies do you suggest to solve the problem of price rise?
iv) What are the limitations?
2. In the above example, suppose that the increase in government spending has
been ` 5 billion. Assume that the marginal propensity to consume of people
is equal to 0.6.
(i) what will be the government spending multiplier
(ii) What impact would a ` 5 billion increase in government expenditure have
on equilibrium GDP?
ANSWERS/HINTS
I. Multiple Choice Type Questions
1. (c) 2. (b) 3. (a) 4. (b) 5. (c) 6 (c)
7. (d) 8. (a) 9. (c) 10. (c) 11. (d) 12 (c)
13. (a) 14. (c) 15. (d) 16. (a)
II. Short Answer Type Questions
1. Use of government spending, taxation and borrowing to influence both the
pattern of economic activity and level of growth of aggregate demand, output
and employment.
2. Objectives vary from country to country- achievement and maintenance of full
employment, maintenance of price stability, acceleration of the rate of
economic development, and equitable distribution of income and wealth
3. Automatic stabilisation occurs through automatic adjustments in government
expenditures and taxes (non-discretionary policy) without any deliberate
governmental action - stimulate aggregate spending during the recessionary
phase and reduce aggregate spending during economic expansion.
Discretionary fiscal policy ( refer hint (1) above)
4. Refer hint (3 )above
5. Employment increases, with progressive system of taxes - higher taxes - lower
disposable incomes - higher corporate tax payments- lower surplus - decline
in consumption and investments – decline in aggregate demand.
6. Declining GDP - growing unemployment- declining prices – lower aggregate
demand
7. Also known as a contractionary gap, the difference between the actual
aggregate demand and the aggregate demand which is required to establish
the equilibrium at full employment level of income.
8. Tax policy to encourage private consumption and investment - general
reduction in income taxes -higher disposable incomes -higher consumption-
low corporate taxes –further investment.
9. Less potential profits - disincentives- stifles new investments less growth
10. Pump priming - certain volumes of public spending to revive the economy-
compensatory spending is government spending to compensate for the
deficiency in private investment
MONEY MARKET
UNIT I: THE CONCEPT OF MONEY DEMAND:
IMPORTANT THEORIES
LEARNING OUTCOMES
Money
Market
The Concept of
Money Demand
Post-Keynesian
Theories of Developments in
Functions of The Demand for
Demand for the Theory of
Money Money
Money Demand for
Money
1.1 INTRODUCTION
Money is at the centre of every economic transaction and plays a significant role in
all economies. In simple terms money refers to assets which are commonly used
and accepted as a means of payment or as a medium of exchange or of transferring
purchasing power. For policy purposes, money may be defined as the set of liquid
financial assets, the variation in the stock of which will have impact on aggregate
economic activity.
Money has generalized purchasing power and is generally acceptable in settlement
of all transactions and in discharge of other kinds of business obligations including
future payments. Anything that would act as a medium of exchange is not
necessarily money. For example, a bill of exchange may also be a medium of
exchange, but it is not money since it is not generally accepted as a means of
payment. Money is a totally liquid asset as it can be used directly, instantly,
conveniently and without any costs or restrictions to make payments. At the
fundamental level, money provides us with a convenient means to access goods
and services. Money represents a certain value, but currency which represents
money does not necessarily have intrinsic value. As you know, fiat money has no
intrinsic value, but is used as a medium of exchange because the government has,
by law, made them “legal tender,” which means that they serve by law as means of
payment. In modern days, money is not necessarily a physical item; it may also
constitute electronic records. Money is, in fact, only one among many kinds of
financial assets which households, firms, governments and other economic units
hold in their asset portfolios. Unlike other financial assets, money is an essential
element in conducting most of the economic transactions in an economy.
Before we go into the theories of demand for money, we shall have a quick look at
some important variables on which demand for money depends on. The quantity
of nominal money or how much money people would like to hold in liquid form
depends on many factors, such as income, general level of prices, rate of interest,
real GDP, and the degree of financial innovation etc. Higher the income of
individuals, higher the expenditure and richer people hold more money to finance
their expenditure. The quantity is directly proportional to the prevailing price level;
higher the prices, higher should be the holding of money. As mentioned above,
one may hold his wealth in any form other than money, say as an interest yielding
asset. It follows that the opportunity cost of holding money is the interest rate a
person could earn on other assets. Therefore, higher the interest rate, higher would
be opportunity cost of holding cash and lower the demand for money. Innovations
such as internet banking, application based transfers and automatic teller machines
reduce the need for holding liquid money. Just as households do, firms also hold
money essentially for the same basic reasons.
MV = PT
Where, M= the total amount of money in circulation (on an average) in an
economy
V = transactions velocity of circulation i.e. the average number of
times across all transactions a unit of money(say Rupee) is spent in
purchasing goods and services
P = average price level (P= MV/T)
MV + M'V' = PT
Where M' = the total quantity of credit money
V' = velocity of circulation of credit money
The total supply of money in the community consists of the quantity of actual
money (M) and its velocity of circulation (V). Velocity of money in circulation (V) and
the velocity of credit money (V') remain constant. T is a function of national income.
Since full employment prevails, the volume of transactions T is fixed in the short
run. Briefly put, the total volume of transactions (T) multiplied by the price level (P)
represents the demand for money. The demand for money (PT) is equal to the
supply of money (MV + M'V)'. In any given period, the total value of transactions
made is equal to PT and the value of money flow is equal to MV+ M'V'.
We shall now look into the classical idea of the demand for money. Fisher did not
specifically mention anything about the demand for money; but the same is
embedded in his theory as dependent on the total value of transactions undertaken
in the economy. Thus, there is an aggregate demand for money for transactions
purpose and more the number of transactions people want, greater will be the
demand for money. The total volume of transactions multiplied by the price level
(PT) represents the demand for money.
1.4.2 The Neo classical Approach: The Cambridge approach
In the early 1900s, Cambridge Economists Alfred Marshall, A.C. Pigou, D.H.
Robertson and John Maynard Keynes (then associated with Cambridge) put forward
a fundamentally different approach to quantity theory, known as neoclassical
theory or cash balance approach. The Cambridge version holds that
money increases utility in the following two ways:
1. enabling the possibility of split-up of sale and purchase to two different points
of time rather than being simultaneous ,and
2. being a hedge against uncertainty.
While the first above represents transaction motive, just as Fisher envisaged, the
second points to money’s role as a temporary store of wealth. Since sale and
Md = k PY
Where
Md = is the demand for money
Y = real national income
P = average price level of currently produced goods and services
PY = nominal income
k = proportion of nominal income (PY) that people want to hold as cash
balances
The term ‘k’ in the above equation is called ‘Cambridge k’. The equation above
explains that the demand for money (M) equals k proportion of the total money
income.
Thus we see that the neoclassical theory changed the focus of the quantity theory
of money to money demand and hypothesized that demand for money is a function
of only money income. Both these versions are chiefly concerned with money as a
means of transactions or exchange, and therefore, they present models of the
transaction demand for money.
1.4.3 The Keynesian Theory of Demand for Money
Keynes’ theory of demand for money is known as ‘Liquidity Preference Theory’.
‘Liquidity preference’, a term that was coined by John Maynard Keynes in his
masterpiece ‘The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money’
(1936), denotes people’s desire to hold money rather than securities or long-term
interest-bearing investments.
According to Keynes, people hold money (M) in cash for three motives:
(i) Transactions motive ,
(ii) Precautionary motive, and
(iii) Speculative motive.
(a) The Transactions Motive
The transactions motive for holding cash relates to ‘the need for cash for current
transactions for personal and business exchange.’ The need for holding money
arises because there is lack of synchronization between receipts and expenditures.
The transaction motive is further classified into income motive and business (trade)
motive, both of which stressed on the requirement of individuals and businesses
respectively to bridge the time gap between receipt of income and planned
expenditures.
Keynes did not consider the transaction balances as being affected by interest rates.
The transaction demand for money is directly related to the level of income. The
transactions demand for money is a direct proportional and positive function of
the level of income and is stated as follows:
Lr = kY
Where
Lr, is the transactions demand for money,
k is the ratio of earnings which is kept for transactions purposes
Y is the earnings.
Keynes considered the aggregate demand for money for transaction purposes as
the sum of individual demand and therefore, the aggregate transaction demand
for money is a function of national income.
(b) The Precautionary Motive
Many unforeseen and unpredictable contingencies involving money payments
occur in our day to day life. Individuals as well as businesses keep a portion of
their income to finance such unanticipated expenditures. The amount of money
demanded under the precautionary motive depends on the size of income,
(iii) the return on money balances will be greater than the return on alternative
assets
(iv) If the interest rate does increase in future, the bond prices will fall and the idle
cash balances held can be used to buy bonds at lower price and can thereby
make a capital-gain.
Summing up, so long as the current rate of interest is higher than the critical rate
of interest, a typical wealth-holder would hold in his asset portfolio only
government bonds while if the current rate of interest is lower than the critical rate
of interest, his asset portfolio would consist wholly of cash. When the current rate
of interest is equal to the critical rate of interest, a wealth-holder is indifferent to
holding either cash or bonds. The inference from the above is that the speculative
demand for money and interest are inversely related.
The speculative demand for money of individuals can be diagrammatically
presented as follows:
Figure: 2.1.1
Individual’s Speculative Demand for Money
of government bonds. If the rate of interest falls below the critical rate of interest
rc, the individual will hold his entire wealth in the form of speculative cash balances.
When we go from the individual speculative demand for money to the aggregate
speculative demand for money, the discontinuity of the individual wealth-holder's
demand curve for the speculative cash balances disappears and we obtain a
continuous downward sloping demand function showing the inverse relationship
between the current rate of interest and the speculative demand for money as
shown in figure below:
Figure: 2.1.2
Aggregate Speculative Demand for Money
According to Keynes, higher the rate of interest, lower the speculative demand for
money, and lower the rate of interest, the higher the speculative demand for
money. The sum of the transaction and precautionary demand, and the speculative
demand, is the total demand for money.
To sum up, an increase in income increases the transaction and precautionary
demand for money and a rise in the rate of interest decreases the demand for
speculative demand money.
• is positively related to the price level, P. If the price level rises the demand for
money increases and vice versa.
• rises if the opportunity costs of money holdings (i.e. returns on bonds and
stock) decline and vice versa.
• is influenced by inflation, a positive inflation rate reduces the real value of
money balances, thereby increasing the opportunity costs of money holdings.
1.5.3 The Demand for Money as Behavior toward Risk
In his classic article, ‘Liquidity Preference as Behavior towards Risk’ (1958), Tobin
established that the theory of risk-avoiding behavior of individuals. provided the
foundation for the liquidity preference and for a negative relationship between the
demand for money and the interest rate. The risk-aversion theory is based on the
principles of portfolio management. According to Tobin, the optimal portfolio
structure is determined by
(i) the risk/reward characteristics of different assets
(ii) the taste of the individual in maximizing his utility consistent with the existing
opportunities
In his theory which analyzes the individual's portfolio allocation between money
and bond holdings, the demand for money is considered as a store of wealth. Tobin
hypothesized that an individual would hold a portion of his wealth in the form of
money in the portfolio because the rate of return on holding money was more
certain than the rate of return on holding interest earning assets and entails no
capital gains or losses. It is riskier to hold alternative assets vis-à-vis holding interest
just money alone because government bonds and equities are subject to market
price volatility, while money is not. Thus, bonds pay an expected return of r, but as
asset, they are unlike money because they are risky; and their actual return is uncertain.
Despite this, the individual will be willing to face this risk because the expected rate
of return from the alternative financial assets exceeds that of money.
According to Tobin, rational behaviour of a risk-averse economic agent induces
him to hold an optimally structured wealth portfolio which is comprised of both
bonds and money. The overall expected return on the portfolio would be higher if
the portfolio were all bonds, but an investor who is ‘risk-averse’ will be willing to
exercise a trade- off and sacrifice to some extent the higher return for a reduction
in risk. Tobin's theory implies that the amount of money held as an asset depends
on the level of interest rate. An increase in the interest rate will improve the terms
on which the expected return on the portfolio can be increased by accepting
greater risk. In response to the increase in the interest, the individual will increase
the proportion of wealth held in the interest-bearing asset, say bonds, and will
decrease the holding of money. Within Tobin's framework, an increase in the rate
of interest can be considered as an increase in the payment received for
undertaking risk. When this payment is increased, the individual investor is willing
to put a greater proportion of the portfolio into the risky asset, (bonds) and thus a
smaller proportion into the safe asset, money. His analysis implies that the demand
for money as a store of wealth will decline with an increase in the interest rate.
Tobin's analysis also indicates that uncertainty about future changes in bond prices,
and hence the risk involved in buying bonds, may be a determinant of money
demand. Just as Keynes’ theory, Tobin's theory implies that the demand for money
as a store of wealth depends negatively on the interest rate.
1.6 CONCLUSION
We have discussed the important theories pertaining to demand for money. All the
theories have provided significant insights into the concept of demand for money.
While the transactions version of Fisher focused on the supply of money as
determining prices, the cash balance approach of the Cambridge University
economists established the formal relationship between demand for real money
and the real income. Keynes developed the money demand theory on the basis of
explicit motives for holding money and formally introduced the interest rate as an
additional explanatory variable that determines the demand for real balances. The
post-Keynesian economists developed a number of models to provide alternative
explanations to confirm the formulation relating real money balances with real
income and interest rates. However, we find that all these theories establish a
positive relation of demand for money to real income and an inverse relation to
the rate of return on earning assets, i.e. the interest rate. However, the propositions
in these theories need to be supported by empirical evidence. As countries differ
in respect of various determinants of demand for money, we cannot expect any
uniform pattern of behaviour. Broadly speaking, real income, interest rates and
expectations in respect to inflation are significant predictors of demand for money.
SUMMARY
• Money refers to assets which are commonly used and accepted as a means of
payment or as a medium of exchange or of transferring purchasing power.
• Money is totally liquid and has generalized purchasing power and is generally
acceptable in settlement of all transactions and in discharge of other kinds of
business obligations including future payments.
• The functions of money are: acting as a medium of exchange to facilitate easy
exchanges of goods and services, providing a ‘common measure of value’ or
‘common denominator of value’, serving as a unit or standard of deferred
payments and facilitating storing of value both as a temporary abode of
purchasing power and a permanent store of value.
• Money should be generally acceptable, durable, difficult to counterfeit,
relatively scarce, easily transported, divisible without losing value and
effortlessly recognizable.
• The demand for money is derived demand and is a decision about how much
of one’s given stock of wealth should be held in the form of money rather than
as other assets such as bonds.
• Both versions of the theory of money namely the classical approach and the
neoclassical approach demonstrate that there is strong relationship between
money and price level and the quantity of money is the main determinant of
the price level or the value of money.
• Keynes’ theory of demand for money is known as the ‘liquidity preference
theory’. ‘Liquidity preference’, is a term that was coined by John Maynard
Keynes in his masterpiece ‘The General Theory of Employment, Interest and
Money’ (1936).
• According to Keynes, people hold money (M) in cash for three motives: the
transactions, precautionary and speculative motives.
• The transaction motive for holding cash is directly related to the level of in-
come and relates to ‘the need for cash for the current transactions for personal
and business exchange.’
• The amount of money demanded under the precautionary motive is to meet
unforeseen and unpredictable contingencies involving money payments and
depends on the size of the income, prevailing economic as well as political
(b) there is strong relationship between money and price level and the
quantity of money is the main determinant of the price
(c) changes in the value of money or purchasing power of money are
determined first and foremost by changes in the quantity of money in
circulation
(d) All the above
6. The Cambridge approach to quantity theory is also known as
(a) Cash balance approach
(b) Fisher’s theory of money
(c) Classical approach
(d) Keynesian Approach
7. Fisher’s approach and the Cambridge approach to demand for money consider
(a) money’s role in acting as a store of value and therefore, demand for money
is for storing value temporarily.
(b) money as a means of exchange and therefore demand for money is
termed as for liquidity preference
(c) money as a means of transactions and therefore, demand for money is
only transaction demand for money.
(d) None of the above
8. Real money is
(a) nominal money divided by price level
(b) real national income
(c) money demanded at given rate of interest
(d) nominal GNP divided by price level
9. The precautionary money balances people want to hold
(a) as income elastic and not very sensitive to rate of interest
(b) as income inelastic and very sensitive to rate of interest
(c) are determined primarily by the level of transactions they expect to make
in the future.
(d) are determined primarily by the current level of transactions
10. Speculative demand for money
(a) is not determined by interest rates
(b) is positively related to interest rates
(c) is negatively related to interest rates
(d) is determined by general price level
11. According to Keynes, if the current interest rate is high
(a) people will demand more money because the capital gain on bonds would
be less than return on money
(b) people will expect the interest rate to rise and bond price to fall in the
future.
(c) people will expect the interest rate to fall and bond price to rise in the
future.
(d) Either a) or b) will happen
12. The inventory-theoretic approach to the transactions demand for money
(a) explains the negative relationship between money demand and the
interest rate.
(b) explains the positive relationship between money demand and the interest
rate.
(c) explains the positive relationship between money demand and general
price level
(d) explains the nature of expectations of people with respect to interest rates
and bond prices
13. According to Baumol and Tobin’s approach to demand for money, the optimal
average money holding is:
(a) a positive function of income Y and the price level P
(b) a positive function of transactions costs c,
(c) a negative function of the nominal interest rate i
ANSWERS/HINTS
I. Multiple Choice Type Questions
as bonds. Demand for money is actually demand for liquidity and a demand to
store value.
9. Demand for money is in the nature of derived demand; it is demanded for it
purchasing power. Basically people demand money because they wish to have
command over real goods and services with the use of money
10. Demand for money has an important role in the determination of interest,
prices and income in an economy.
11. Important determinant of demand for money. Higher the interest rate, higher
would be opportunity cost of holding cash and lower the demand for money.
12. The main postulates of the theory are: the proportionality of m and p, the active
or causal role of m, neutrality of money on real variables, exogenous nature of
nominal money supply and the monetary theory of the price level.
13. According to Keynes, people hold money in cash for three motives: the
transactions, precautionary and speculative motives.
14. In contrast to the Keynesian demand for transaction balances which is interest-
inelastic, the transaction demand of Baumol and Tobin is interest-elastic.
IV Application Oriented Question
(a) Transaction, precautionary and speculative demand – depends on the nature
of the holder- institutional payments mechanisms and the gap between receipt
and use of money, amount of income and changes in incomes, general level of
prices, cost of conversion from near money to money etc.
(b) Not always- Partly held in assets- Depends on costs in terms of time and
resources to keep moving in and out of bonds or other assets, the levels of
interest payments, expectations about bond prices, future price levels- concept
of speculative demand for money
(c) Depends on financial infrastructure, how costless and immediate are transfers,
preferences, attitude towards risks and the opportunity costs.
(d) Financial assets other than money are also performing the function of store of
value. Just as money has, the financial assets have fixed nominal value over
time and represent generalized purchasing power. Therefore, money is not a
unique store of value.
List out the need for and rationale of measuring money supply
Money
Market
The concept
of Money
Supply
2.1 INTRODUCTION
In the previous unit, we have discussed the theories related to demand for money.
Money plays a crucial role in the smooth functioning of an economy. Money supply
is considered as a very important macroeconomic variable responsible for changes
in many other significant macroeconomic variables in an economy and is therefore
considered as a matter of considerable interest to the economists and policy
makers. Economic stability requires that the supply of money at any time should
to be maintained at an optimum level. A pre-requisite for achieving this is to
accurately estimate the stock of money supply on a regular basis and appropriately
regulate it in accordance with the monetary requirements of the country. In this
unit, we shall look into various aspects related to the supply of money.
The term money supply denotes the total quantity of money available to the people
in an economy. The quantity of money at any point of time is a measurable
concept. It is important to note two things about any measure of money supply:
(i) The supply of money is a stock variable i.e. it refers to the total amount of
money at any particular point of time. It is the change in the stock of money
(say, increase or decrease per month or year,) , which is a flow.
(ii) The stock of money always refers to the stock of money available to the ‘public’
as a means of payments and store of value. This is always smaller than the total
stock of money that really exists in an economy.
The term ‘public’ is defined to include all economic units (households, firms and
institutions) except the producers of money (i.e. the government and the banking
system). The government, in this context, includes the central government and all
state governments and local bodies; and the banking system means the Reserve
Bank of India and all the banks that accept demand deposits (i.e. deposits from
which money can be withdrawn by cheque mainly CASA deposits). The word ‘public’
is inclusive of all local authorities, non-banking financial institutions, and non-
departmental public-sector undertakings, foreign central banks and governments
and the International Monetary Fund which holds a part of Indian money in India
in the form of deposits with the RBI. In other words, in the standard measures of
money, interbank deposits and money held by the government and the banking
system are not included.
The second major source of money supply is the banking system of the country.
The total supply of money in the economy is also determined by the extent of credit
created by the commercial banks in the country. Banks create money supply in the
process of borrowing and lending transactions with the public. Money so created
by the commercial banks is called 'credit money’. The high powered money and
the credit money broadly constitute the most common measure of money supply,
or the total money stock of a country. (For a brief note on the process of creation
of credit money, refer to Box 1, end of this chapter).
The RBI regards these four measures of money stock as representing different
degrees of liquidity. It has specified them in the descending order of liquidity, M1
being the most liquid and M4the least liquid of the four measures.
We shall briefly discuss the important components of each. Currency consists of
paper currency as well as coins. Demand deposits comprise the current-account
deposits and the demand deposit portion of savings deposits, all held by the public.
These are also called CASA deposits and these are cheapest sources of finance for
a commercial bank. It should be noted that it is the net demand deposits of banks,
and not their total demand deposits that get included in the measure of money
supply. The total deposits include both deposits from the public as well as inter-
bank deposits. Money is deemed as something held by the ‘public’. Since inter-
bank deposits are not held by the public, they are netted out of the total demand
deposits to arrive at net demand deposits.
'Other deposits’ of the RBI are its deposits other than those held by the government
(the Central and state governments), and include demand deposits of quasi-
government institutions, other financial institutions, balances in the accounts of
foreign central banks and governments, and accounts of international agencies
such as IMF and the World Bank. Empirically, whatever the measure of money
supply, these 'other deposits' of the RBI constitute a very small proportion (less
than one per cent) of the total money supply.
Following the recommendations of the Working Group on Money (1998), the RBI
has started publishing a set of four new monetary aggregates on the basis of the
balance sheet of the banking sector in conformity with the norms of progressive
liquidity. The new monetary aggregates are:
M = m X MB
Where M is the money supply, m is money multiplier and MB is the monetary base
or high powered money. From the above equation we can derive the money
multiplier (m) as
Money supply
Money Multiplier (m)=
Monetary base
Money multiplier m is defined as a ratio that relates the changes in the money
supply to a given change in the monetary base. It denotes by how much the money
supply will change for a given change in high-powered money. The multiplier
indicates what multiple of the monetary base is transformed into money supply.
If some portion of the increase in high-powered money finds its way into currency,
this portion does not undergo multiple deposit expansion. In other words, as a rule,
an increase in the monetary base that goes into currency is not multiplied, whereas
an increase in monetary base that goes into supporting deposits is multiplied.
reserve ratio since the banks keep with them a higher than the statutorily required
percentage of their deposits in the form of cash reserves. The additional units of
high-powered money that goes into ‘excess reserves’ of the commercial banks do
not lead to any additional loans, and therefore, these excess reserves do not lead
to creation of money. Therefore, if the central bank injects money into the banking
system and these are held as excess reserves by the banking system, there will be
no effect on deposits or currency and hence no effect on money supply.
When the costs of holding excess reserves rise, we should expect the level of excess
reserves to fall; when the benefits of holding excess reserves rise, we would expect
the level of excess reserves to rise. Two primary factors namely market interest rates
and expected deposit outflows affect these costs and benefits and hence in turn
affect the excess reserves ratio.
We know that the cost to a bank while holding excess reserves is in terms of its
opportunity cost, i.e. the interest that could have been earned on loans or securities
if the bank had chosen to invest in them instead of excess reserves. If interest rate
increases, it means that the opportunity cost of holding excess reserves rises
because the banks have to sacrifice possible higher earnings and hence the desired
ratio of excess reserves to deposits falls. Conversely, a decrease in interest rate will
reduce the opportunity cost of excess reserves, and excess reserves will rise.
Therefore, we conclude that the banking system's excess reserves ratio e is neg-
atively related to the market interest rate.
If banks fear that deposit outflows are likely to increase (that is, if expected deposit
outflows increase), they will want more assurance against this possibility and will
increase the excess reserves ratio. Conversely, a decline in expected deposit
outflows will reduce the benefit of holding excess reserves and excess reserves will
fall.
As we know, money is mostly held in the form of deposits with commercial banks.
Therefore, money supply may become subject to ‘shocks’ on account of behaviour
of commercial banks which may present variations overtime either cyclically and
more permanently. For instance, in times of financial crises, banks may be unwilling
to lend to the small and medium scale industries who may become credit
constrained facing a higher risk premia on their borrowings. The rising interest rates
on bank credit to the commercial sector reflecting higher risk premia can co-exist
with the lowering of policy rates by the central bank. The lower credit demand can
lead to a sharp deceleration in monetary growth at a time when the central bank
pursues an easy monetary policy.
devices for analysing such changes. Consequently, these variables are designated
as the ‘proximate determinants’ of the nominal money supply in the economy.
The bank has ` 1000/ in cash against claims of `1900/. In short, the bank has created
` 900/ out of "thin air" since these ` 900/ are not supported by any genuine money.
At any time, the fractional reserve commercial banks have more cash liabilities than
cash in their vaults.
Now suppose B buys goods worth ` 900/ from C and pays C by cheque. C places
the cheque with his bank, Bank Y. After clearing the cheque, Bank Y will have an
increase in cash of ` 900/, which it may take advantage of and use to lend out `
810/ to D which may again be deposited in another bank, say Bank Z. Again 10 per
cent of ` 810 (` 81) has to be kept as required reserves and the remaining `. 719/
can be lent out, say to E. This sequence keeps on continuing until the initial deposit
amount `. 1,000 grows exactly by the multiple of required reserves(in this case,
10%). Ultimately, the expanded credit availability would be 1000 + 900 (90% of
1000) + 810 (90% of 900) + 729 (90% of 810) + (90% of 719) +… …. This summation
would end with an amount which is equivalent to 1/10% of 1000, which is `. 10,000.
Thus, in our example, the initial deposit is capable of multiplying itself out 10 times.
In short, we find that the fact that banks make use of demand deposits for lending
it sets in motion a series of activities leading to expansion of money that is not
backed by money proper. It is interesting to know that there is no difference
between the type of money created by commercial banks and that which are issued
by the central bank.
The deposit multiplier and the money multiplier though closely related are not
identical because :
a) generally banks do not lend out all of their available money but instead
maintain reserves at a level above the minimum required reserve.
b) all borrowers do not spend every Rupee they have borrowed. They are likely to
convert some portion of it to cash.
SUMMARY
• The measures of money supply vary from country to country, from time to time
and from purpose to purpose.
• The high-powered money and the credit money broadly constitute the most
common measure of money supply, or the total money stock of a country.
• High powered money is the source of all other forms of money. The second
major source of money supply is the banking system of the country. Money
created by the commercial banks is called 'credit money’.
• Measurement of money supply is essential from a monetary policy perspective
because it enables a framework to evaluate whether the stock of money in the
economy is consistent with the standards for price stability, to understand the
nature of deviations from this standard and to study the causes of money
growth.
• The stock of money always refers to the total amount of money at any
particular point of time i.e. it is the stock of money available to the ‘public’ as
a means of payments and store of value and does not include inter-bank
deposits.
• The monetary aggregates are:
M1 = Currency and coins with the people + demand deposits of banks
(Current and Saving accounts) + other deposits of the RBI;
M2 = M1 + savings deposits with post office savings banks,
M3 = M1 + net time deposits of banks and
M4 = M3 + total deposits with the Post Office Savings Organization
(excluding National Savings Certificates).
• Following the recommendations of the Working Group on Money (1998), the
RBI has started publishing a set of four new monetary aggregates as: Reserve
Money = Currency in circulation + Bankers’ deposits with the RBI + Other
deposits with the RBI, NM1 = Currency with the public + Demand deposits with
the banking system + ‘Other’ deposits with the RBI, NM2 = NM1 +Short-term
time deposits of residents (including and up to contractual maturity of one
year),NM3 = NM2 + Long-term time deposits of residents + Call/Term funding
from financial institutions
• The Liquidity aggregates are :
L1 = NM3 + All deposits with the post office savings banks (excluding
National Savings Certificates).
L2 = L1 +Term deposits with term lending institutions and refinancing
institutions (FIs) + Term borrowing by FIs + Certificates of deposit issued
by FIs.
• The Reserve money, also known as central bank money, base money or high
powered money determines the level of liquidity and price level in the
economy.
• The money multiplier approach showing relation between the money stock and
money supply in terms of the monetary base or high-powered money, holds
that total supply of nominal money in the economy is determined by the joint
behaviour of the central bank, the commercial banks and the public.
• M= m X MB; Where M is the money supply, m is money multiplier and MB is
the monetary base or high powered money. It shows the relationship between
the reserve money and the total money stock.
• The money multiplier is a function of the currency ratio which depends on the
behaviour of the public, excess reserves ratio of the banks and the required
reserve ratio set by the central bank.
• The additional units of high-powered money that goes into ‘excess reserves’
of the commercial banks do not lead to any additional loans, and therefore,
these excess reserves do not lead to the creation of deposits.
• When the required reserve ratio falls, there will be greater multiple expansions
for demand deposits.
• Excess reserves ratio e is negatively related to the market interest rate i. If
interest rate increases, the opportunity cost of holding excess reserves rises,
and the desired ratio of excess reserves to deposits falls.
• An increase in time deposit-demand deposit ratio (TD/DD) means that greater
availability of free reserves for banks and consequent enlargement of volume
of multiple deposit expansion and monetary expansion.
• When the Reserve Bank lends to the governments under WMA /OD it results
in the generation of excess reserves (i.e., excess balances of commercial banks
with the Reserve Bank).
(c) currency in circulation + Bankers’ deposits with the RBI + Other deposits
with the RBI
(d) none of the above
5. Under the ‘minimum reserve system’ the central bank is
(a) empowered to issue currency to any extent by keeping an equivalent
reserve of gold and foreign securities.
(b) empowered to issue currency to any extent by keeping only a certain
minimum reserve of gold and foreign securities.
(c) empowered to issue currency in proportion to the reserve money by
keeping only a minimum reserve of gold and foreign securities.
(d) empowered to issue currency to any extent by keeping a reserve of gold
and foreign securities to the extent of ` 350 crores
6. The primary source of money supply in all countries is
(a) the Reserve Bank of India
(b) the Central bank of the country
(c) the Bank of England
(d) the Federal Reserve
7. The supply of money in an economy depends on
(a) the decision of the central bank based on the authority conferred on it.
(b) the decision of the central bank and the supply responses of the
commercial banking system.
(c) the decision of the central bank in respect of high powered money.
(d) both a) and c) above.
8. Banks in the country are required to maintain deposits with the central bank
(a) to provide the necessary reserves for the functioning of the central bank
(b) to meet the demand for money by the banking system
(c) to meet the central bank prescribed reserve requirements and to meet
settlement obligations.
(d) to meet the money needs for the day to day working of the commercial
banks
9. If the behaviour of the public and the commercial banks is constant, then
(a) the total supply of nominal money in the economy will vary directly with
the supply of the nominal high-powered money issued by the central bank
(b) the total supply of nominal money in the economy will vary directly with
the rate of interest and inversely with reserve money
(c) the total supply of nominal money in the economy will vary inversely with
the supply of high powered money
(d) all the above are possible
10. Under the fractional reserve system
(a) the money supply is an increasing function of reserve money (or high
powered money) and the money multiplier.
(b) the money supply is an decreasing function of reserve money (or high
powered money) and the money multiplier.
(c) the money supply is an increasing function of reserve money (or high
powered money) and a decreasing function of money multiplier.
(d) none of the above as the determinants of money supply are different
11. The money multiplier and the money supply are
(a) positively related to the excess reserves ratio e.
(b) negatively related to the excess reserves ratio e.
(c) not related to the excess reserves ratio e.
(d) proportional to the excess reserves ratio e.
12. The currency ratio represents
(a) the behaviour of central bank in the issue of currency.
(b) the behaviour of central bank in respect cash reserve ratio.
(c) the behaviour of the public.
(d) the behaviour of commercial banks in the country.
13. The size of the money multiplier is determined by
(a) the currency ratio (c) of the public,
(b) the required reserve ratio (r) at the central bank, and
18. For a given level of the monetary base, an increase in the currency ratio causes
the money multiplier to _____ and the money supply to _____.
(a) decrease; increase
(b) increase; decrease
(c) decrease; decrease
(d) increase; increase
19. If commercial banks reduce their holdings of excess reserves
(a) the monetary base increases.
(b) the monetary base falls.
(c) the money supply increases.
(d) the money supply falls.
II. Short Answer Type Questions
(a) Explain the nature of currency issue under minimum reserve system
(b) Define ‘credit money’.
(c) List the components of M1
(d) Distinguish between M1 and M2
(e) What is the rationale behind inclusion of net demand deposits of banks in
money supply measurement?
(f) Define ‘Reserve Money’
(g) Write a note on two major components Reserve money?
(h) Describe the term ‘cash reserve ratio’ (CRR)
(i) Write a note on the liquidity aggregates compiled by RBI
(j) Define ‘money multiplier’
(k) What is the nature of relationship between money multiplier and the money
supply?
(l) What would be the effect on money multiplier if banks hold excess reserves?
(m) What effect does government expenditure have on money supply?
(n) What is the value of the money multiplier in a system of 100% reserve banking?
4. What will be the total credit created by the commercial banking system for
an initial deposit of ` 1000/ for required reserve ratio 0.02, 0.05 and 0.10
percent respectively? Compute credit multiplier
5. How would each of the following affect money multiplier and money supply?
(i) Commercial banks in India decide to hold more excess reserves
(ii) Fearing shortage of money in ATMs, people decide to hoard money
(iii) Banks open large number ATMs all over the country
(iv) E banking becomes very common and nearly all people use them
(v) During festival season , people decide to use ATMs very often
(vi) If banks decide to keep 100% reserves. What would be the effect on money
multiplier and money supply?
(vii) Suppose banks need to keep no reserves only 0% reserves are there.
ANSWERS/HINTS
Multiple Choice Questions
1. (d) 2. (c) 3. (b) 4. (a) 5. (b) 6 (b)
7. (b) 8. (c) 9. (a) 10. (a) 11. (b) 12 (c)
13. (d) 14. (c) 15. (c) 16. (b) 17. (a) 18 (c)
19. (c)
Short Answer Type Questions
(a) Under the ‘minimum reserve system’ the central bank is empowered to issue
currency to any extent by keeping only a certain minimum reserve of gold
and foreign securities.
(b) 'Credit money’ refers to the fraction of money supply created by commercial
banks in the process of borrowing and lending transactions with the public.
(c) M1 is composed of currency and coins with the people, demand deposits of
banks (current and saving accounts) and other deposits of the RBI.
(d) M2 includes M1( as above) as well as savings deposits with post office savings
banks
(n) If banks keep the whole deposits as reserve, deposits simply replace currency
as reserves and therefore no new extra claims will be created and no new
money will be created by banks.
(o) The Credit Multiplier also referred to as the deposit multiplier or the deposit
expansion multiplier, describes the amount of additional money created by
commercial bank through the process of lending the available money it has in
excess of the central bank's reserve requirements. It is the reciprocal of the
required reserve ratio. If reserve ratio is 20%, then credit multiplier
= 1/0.20 = 5.
1
Credit Multiplier=
Required Reserve Ratio
IV Application Oriented Question
1. From the RBI website, collect the relevant information from the ‘publications
(weekly) page.
2. Reserve Money=Currency in Circulation + Bankers’ Deposits with RBI+ ’Other’
Deposits with RBI 15428.40+4596.18+183.30= 20205.68
3. M3 = 128,443.9 Currency with the Public + Demand Deposits with Banks+ Time
Deposits with Banks+ ‘Other’ Deposits with Reserve Bank
=12637.1+14,106.3+101,489.5+210.9 = 128,443.9
4. Credit Multiplier =1/ Required Reserve Ratio
1000 x 1/0.02= 50,000
1000x 1/0.05 – 20,000
1000x1/0.10= 10,000
5. (i) Excess reserves are those reserves that the commercial banks hold with the
central bank in addition to the mandatory reserve requirements. Excess
reserves result in an increase in reserve-deposit ratio of banks; less money
for lending reduces money multiplier; money supply declines.
(ii) When people hold more money, it increases the currency-deposit ratio
;reduces money multiplier; money supply declines.
(iii) ATMs let people to withdraw cash from the bank as and when needed,
reduces cost of conversion of deposits to cash and makes deposits
relatively more convenient. People hold less cash and more deposits, thus
Money Market
Monetary Policy
The Organisational
The Monetary Policy
Structure for Monetary
Framework
Policy Decisions
3.1 INTRODUCTION
As citizens of a free nation, we have many dreams about what ought to be the state
of affairs in our economy. We value stable prices and low rates of inflation. We
share a quest for well-being through high levels of growth which ensure jobs and
prosperity and we work towards it. Unfortunately, in reality, we live in a crisis prone
economy with nightmares of financial downturns, of being laid- off or being
battered by financial crises. We observe that the Reserve Bank of India is
occasionally manipulating policy rates for maneuvering liquidity conditions with
reasons thereof explicitly notified. In fact, we have only a limited understanding of
the monetary phenomena which coutld strengthen or paralyse the domestic
economy. The discussion that follows is an attempt to throw light on the well-
acknowledged monetary measures undertaken by governments to fight economic
instability.
(iii) the operating procedure which focuses on the operating targets and
instruments.
3.3.1 The Objectives of Monetary Policy
The objectives set for monetary policy are important because they provide explicit
guidance to policy makers. Monetary policy of a country is in fact a reflection of
its economic policy and therefore, the objectives of monetary policy generally
coincide with the overall objectives of economic policy. There are significant
differences among different countries in respect of the selection of objectives,
implementation procedures and tools of monetary policy either due to differences
in the underlying economies or due to differences in the financial systems and in
the infrastructure of financial markets. Coverage of aspects related to monetary
policies of different countries would be beyond the scope of this unit. Therefore,
the following discussions relate to the monetary policy situations in the context of
Indian economy.
In the pre-Keynesian period, monetary policy, with its conventional objective of
establishment and maintenance of stability in prices, was the single well-
acknowledged instrument of macroeconomic policy. The Great Depression in 1930s
and the associated economic crises marked a turning point resulting in a major
shift in the objective of governments’ economic policy in favour of maintenance of
full employment, more generally described as economic stability. The most
commonly pursued objectives of monetary policy of the central banks across the
world are maintenance of price stability (or controlling inflation) and achievement
of high level of economy’s growth and maintenance of full employment
The Reserve Bank of India Act, 1934, in its preamble sets out the objectives of the
Bank as ‘to regulate the issue of bank notes and the keeping of reserves with a view
to securing monetary stability in India and generally to operate the currency and
credit system of the country to its advantage’. It is to be noted that though price
stability as an objective is not explicitly spelt out, the monetary policy in India has
evolved towards maintaining price stability and ensuring adequate flow of credit
to the productive sectors of the economy. Price stability, as we know, is a necessary
precondition for sustainable growth. Fundamentally, the primary objective of
monetary policy has been maintenance of a judicious balance between price
stability and economic growth.
Multiple objectives, all of which are equally desirable, such as rapid economic
growth, debt management, moderate long-term interest rates, exchange rate
stability and external balance of payments equilibrium were incorporated as
objectives of monetary policy by policy makers in later years. The need for
The standard asset price channel suggests that asset prices respond to monetary
policy changes and consequently affect output, employment and inflation. A policy‐
induced increase in the short‐term nominal interest rates makes debt instruments
more attractive than equities in the eyes of investors leading to a fall in equity
prices. If stock prices fall after a monetary tightening, it leads to reduction in
household financial wealth, leading to fall in consumption, output, and
employment.
The manner in which these different channels function in a given economy depends
on:
(i) the stage of development of the economy, and
(ii) the underlying financial structure of the economy
3.3.3 Operating Procedures and Instruments
The operating framework relates to all aspects of implementation of monetary
policy. It primarily involves three major aspects, namely,
(i) choosing the operating target,
(ii) choosing the intermediate target, and
(iii) choosing the policy instruments.
The operating target refers to the variable (for e.g. inflation) that monetary policy
can influence with its actions. The intermediate target (e.g. economic stability) is a
variable which the central bank can hope to influence to a reasonable degree
through the operating target and which displays a predictable and stable
relationship with the goal variables. The monetary policy instruments are the
various tools that a central bank can use to influence money market and credit
conditions and pursue its monetary policy objectives.
The day-to-day implementation of monetary policy by central banks through
various instruments is referred to as ‘operating procedures’. For implementing
monetary policy, a central bank can act directly, using its regulatory powers, or
indirectly, using its influence on money market conditions as the issuer of reserve
money (currency in circulation and deposit balances with the central bank).
In general, the direct instruments comprise of:
(a) the required cash reserve ratios and liquidity reserve ratios prescribed from
time to time.
(b) directed credit which takes the form of prescribed targets for allocation of
credit to preferred sectors (for e.g. Credit to priority sectors), and
(c) administered interest rates wherein the deposit and lending rates are
prescribed by the central bank.
The indirect instruments mainly consist of:
(a) Repos
(b) Open market operations
(c) Standing facilities, and
(d) Market-based discount window.
We shall now discuss in detail how these instruments are put to use for meeting
the stated objectives of monetary policy.
1. Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR)
Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) refers to the fraction of the total net demand and time
liabilities (NDTL) of a scheduled commercial bank in India which it should maintain
as cash deposit with the Reserve Bank. The RBI may set the ratio in keeping with
the broad objective of maintaining monetary stability in the economy. This
requirement applies uniformly to all scheduled banks in the country irrespective of
its size or financial position. Non Bank Financial Institution (NBFIs) are outside the
purview of this reserve requirement.
The Reserve Bank does not pay any interest on the CRR balances maintained by the
scheduled commercial banks (SCBs) with effect from the fortnight beginning March
31, 2007; however, failure of a bank to meet its required reserve requirements
would attract penalty in the form of penal interest charged by the RBI.
CRR has, in recent years, assumed significance as one of the important quantitative
tools aiding in liquidity management. Higher the CRR with the RBI, lower will be
the liquidity in the system and vice versa. During slowdown in the economy, the
RBI reduces the CRR in order to enable the banks to expand credit and increases
the supply of money available in the economy. In order to contain credit expansion
during periods of high inflation, the RBI increases the CRR. The cash reserve ratio
as on 8th July, 2017 was 4.0 per cent.
2. Statutory Liquidity Ratio (SLR)
The Statutory Liquidity Ratio (SLR) is a prudential measure. As per the Banking
Regulations Act 1949, all scheduled commercial banks in India are required to
maintain a stipulated percentage of their total Demand and Time Liabilities (DTL) /
Net DTL (NDTL) in one of the following forms:
(i) Cash
(ii) Gold, or
(iii) Investments in un-encumbered Instruments that include:
(a) Treasury-bills of the Government of India.
(b) Dated securities including those issued by the Government of India from
time to time under the market borrowings programme and the Market
Stabilization Scheme (MSS).
(c) State Development Loans (SDLs) issued by State Governments under their
market borrowings programme.
(d) Other instruments as notified by the RBI. These include mainly the
securities issued by PSEs.
While CRR has to be maintained by banks as cash with the RBI, the SLR requires
holding of assets in one of the above three categories by the bank itself. The banks
which fail to meet its SLR obligations are liable to be imposed penalty in the form
of a penal interest payable to RBI. As per the Second Bi-Monthly Monetary Policy
Statement 2017-18 of the RBI on June 7th 2017, it has been decided to reduce the
statutory Liquidity Ratio (SLR) from 20.5 percent to 20.0 per cent from June 24,
2017.
The SLR is also a powerful tool for controlling liquidity in the domestic market by
means of manipulating bank credit. Changes in the SLR chiefly influence the
availability of resources in the banking system for lending. A rise in the SLR which
is resorted to during periods of high liquidity, tends to lock up a rising fraction of
a bank’s assets in the form of eligible instruments, and this reduces the credit
creation capacity of banks. A reduction in the SLR during periods of economic
downturn has the opposite effect. The SLR requirement also facilitates a captive
market for government securities.
3. Liquidity Adjustment Facility(LAF)
A central bank is a ‘bankers’ bank.’ It provides liquidity to banks when the latter
face shortage of liquidity. This facility is provided by the Central Bank through its
discount window. The scheduled commercial banks can borrow from the discount
window against the collateral of securities like commercial bills, government
securities, treasury bills, or other eligible papers. This type of support earlier took
the form of refinance of loans given by commercial banks to various sectors (e.g.
Exports, agriculture etc). By varying the terms and conditions of refinance, the RBI
could employ the sector-specific refinance facilities as an instrument of credit
policy to encourage /discourage lending to particular sectors. In line with the
financial sector reforms, the system of sector-specific refinance schemes (except
export credit refinance scheme) was withdrawn. From June 2000, the RBI has
introduced Liquidity Adjustment Facility (LAF).
The Liquidity Adjustment Facility(LAF) is a facility extended by the Reserve Bank of
India to the scheduled commercial banks (excluding RRBs) and primary dealers to
avail of liquidity in case of requirement (or park excess funds with the RBI in case
of excess liquidity) on an overnight basis against the collateral of government
securities including state government securities.
The introduction of LAF is an important landmark since it triggered a rapid
transformation in the monetary policy operating environment in India. As a key
element in the operating framework of the RBI, its objective is to assist banks to
adjust their day to day mismatches in liquidity. Currently, the RBI provides financial
accommodation to the commercial banks through repos/reverse repos under the
Liquidity Adjustment Facility (LAF).
Repurchase Options or in short ‘Repo’, is defined as ‘an instrument for borrowing
funds by selling securities with an agreement to repurchase the securities on a
mutually agreed future date at an agreed price which includes interest for the funds
borrowed’. In other words, repo is a money market instrument, which enables
collateralised short term borrowing and lending through sale/purchase operations
in debt instruments. The Repo transaction in India has two elements: - in the first,
the seller sells securities and receives cash while the purchaser buys securities and
parts with cash. In the second, the securities are repurchased by the original holder.
The user pays to the counter party the amount originally received, plus the return
on the money for the number of days for which the money was used, which is
mutually agreed. All these transactions are reported on the electronic platform
called the Negotiated Dealing System (NDS). The Clearing Corporation of India Ltd.
(CCIL) has put in an anonymous online repo dealing system in India, with an
anonymous order matching electronic platform. Repo or repurchase option is a
collaterised lending. The rate charged by RBI for this transaction is called the ‘repo
rate’. Repo operations thus inject liquidity into the system.
linked to repo rate. The Reserve Bank also conducts variable interest rate reverse
repo auctions, as necessitated under the market conditions.
There are three types of repo markets operating in India namely:
(i) Repo on sovereign securities
(ii) Repo on corporate debt securities ,and
(iii) Other Repos
In addition to the existing overnight LAF (repo and reverse repo) and MSF, from
October 2013, the Reserve Bank has introduced ‘Term Repo’ (repos of duration
more than a day) under the Liquidity Adjustment Facility (LAF) for 14 days and 7
days tenors. LAF is conducted at a fixed time on a daily basis on all working days
in Mumbai (excluding Saturdays).
4. Marginal Standing Facility (MSF)
The Reserve Bank of India, being a bankers’ bank, acts as a lender of last
resort. The Marginal Standing Facility (MSF) announced by the Reserve Bank of
India (RBI) in its Monetary Policy, 2011-12 refers to the facility under which
scheduled commercial banks can borrow additional amount of overnight money
from the central bank over and above what is available to them through the LAF
window by dipping into their Statutory Liquidity Ratio (SLR) portfolio up to a limit
( a fixed per cent of their net demand and time liabilities deposits (NDTL) liable to
change every year ) at a penal rate of interest. This provides a safety valve against
unexpected liquidity shocks to the banking system. The scheme has been
introduced by RBI with the main aim of reducing volatility in the overnight lending
rates in the inter-bank market and to enable smooth monetary transmission in the
financial system.
Banks can borrow through MSF on all working days except Saturdays, between 7.00
pm and 7.30 pm, in Mumbai. The minimum amount which can be accessed through
MSF is ` 1 crore and more will be available in multiples of ` 1 crore.
The MSF would be the last resort for banks once they exhaust all borrowing options
including the liquidity adjustment facility on which the rates are lower compared
to the MSF. The MSF rate being a penal rate automatically gets adjusted to a fixed
per cent above the repo rate. MSF is at present aligned with the Bank rate.
Practically, MSF represents the upper band of the interest corridor with repo rate
at the middle and reverse repo at the lower band. In fact, the MSF rate and reverse
repo rate determine the corridor for the daily movement in the weighted average
call money rate.
The choice of CPI was made because it closely reflects cost of living and has larger
influence on inflation expectations compared to other anchors. With this step, India
is following countries such as the New Zealand, the USA, the UK, European Union,
and Brazil. Although in recent times many of the countries are moving away from
this approach and the targeting nominal GDP growth.
3.4.2. The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC)
An important landmark in India’s monetary history is the constitution of an
empowered six-member Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) in September, 2016
consisting of the RBI Governor (Chairperson), the RBI Deputy Governor in charge
of monetary policy, one official nominated by the RBI Board and the remaining
three central government nominees representing the Government of India who are
persons of ability, integrity and standing, having knowledge and experience in the
field of Economics or banking or finance or monetary policy.
The MPC shall determine the policy rate required to achieve the inflation target.
Accordingly, fixing of the benchmark policy interest rate (repo rate) is made
through debate and majority vote by this panel of experts. With the introduction
of the Monetary Policy Committee, the RBI will follow a system which is more
consultative and participative similar to the one followed by many of the central
banks in the world. The new system is intended to incorporate:
• diversity of views,
• specialized experience,
• independence of opinion ,
• representativeness , and
• accountability.
The Reserve Bank’s Monetary Policy Department (MPD) assists the MPC in
formulating the monetary policy. The views of key stakeholders in the economy and
analytical work of the Reserve Bank contribute to the process for arriving at the
decision on the policy repo rate.
The Financial Markets Operations Department (FMOD) operationalises the
monetary policy, mainly through day-to-day liquidity management operations. The
Financial Markets Committee (FMC) meets daily to review the liquidity conditions
so as to ensure that the operating target of monetary policy (weighted average
lending rate) is kept close to the policy repo rate.
3.5 CONCLUSION
The theoretical exposition of monetary policy might appear uncomplicated.
However, the choice of a monetary policy action is rather complicated in view of
the surrounding uncertainties and the need for exercising complex judgment to
balance growth and inflation concerns. Additional complexities arise in the case of
an emerging market like India. There are many challenges which need to be
addressed, such as rudimentary and noncompetitive financial systems, lack of
integrated money and interbank markets, external uncertainties and issues related
to operational autonomy of the central bank. Explicit inflation targeting requires a
good degree of operational autonomy for the central bank and a system in which
there is a good coordination between fiscal and monetary authorities.
SUMMARY
• Monetary policy refers to the use of monetary policy instruments which are at
the disposal of the central bank to regulate the availability, cost and use of
money and credit so as to promote economic growth, price stability, optimum
levels of output and employment, balance of payments equilibrium, stable
currency or any other goal of government's economic policy.
• The monetary policy framework which has three basic components, viz. the
objectives of monetary policy, the analytics of monetary policy which focus on
the transmission mechanism, and the operating procedure which focuses on
the operating targets and instruments.
• Though multiple objectives are pursued , the most commonly pursued
objectives of monetary policy of the central banks across the world has become
maintenance of price stability (or controlling inflation) and achievement of
economic growth.
• The process or channels through which the evolution of monetary aggregates
affects the level of production and price level is known as ‘monetary
transmission mechanism’ ie how they impact real variables such as aggregate
output and employment.
• There are mainly four different mechanisms, namely, the interest rate channel,
the exchange rate channel, the quantum channel, and the asset price channel.
• A contractionary monetary policy‐induced increase in interest rates increases
the cost of capital and the real cost of borrowing for firms and households
who respond by cut back on their investment and consumption respectively.
• The exchange rate channel works through expenditure switching between
domestic and foreign goods on account of appreciation / depreciation of the
domestic currency with its impact on net exports and consequently on
domestic output and employment.
• Two distinct credit channels- the bank lending channel and the balance sheet
channel- operate by altering access of firm and household to bank credit and
by the effect of monetary policy on the firm’s balance sheet respectively.
• Asset prices generate important wealth effects that impact, through spending,
output and employment.
• The operating framework of monetary policy relates to all aspects of
implementation namely, choosing the operating target, choosing the
intermediate target ,and choosing the policy instruments.
• The day-to-day implementation of monetary policy by central banks through
various instruments is referred to as ‘operating procedures’.
• Monetary policy instruments are the various tools that a central bank can use
to influence money market and credit conditions and pursue its monetary
policy objectives. There are direct instruments and indirect instruments.
• The Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) refers to the fraction of the total net demand
and time liabilities (NDTL) of a scheduled commercial bank in India which it
should maintain as cash deposit with the Reserve Bank irrespective of its size
or financial position.
• The Statutory Liquidity Ratio (SLR) is what the scheduled commercial banks in
India are required to maintain as a stipulated percentage of their total Demand
and Time Liabilities (DTL) / Net DTL (NDTL) in Cash, Gold or approved
investments in securities.
• On the basis of the recommendations of Narsimham Committee on banking
sector reforms the RBI introduced Liquidity Adjustment Facility (LAF) under
which RBI provides financial accommodation to the commercial banks through
repos/reverse repos.
II. The Monetary Policy Committee shall determine the policy rate through
debate and majority vote by a panel of experts required to achieve the
inflation target.
III. The Monetary Policy Committee shall determine the policy rate through
consensus from the governor of RBI
IV. The Monetary Policy Committee shall determine the policy rate through
debate and majority vote by a panel of bankers chosen for eth purpose
(a) I only
(b) I and II only
(c) III and IV
(d) III only
II Short Answer Type Questions
1. Define monetary policy.
2. Describe the objectives of monetary policy?
3. What is meant by the term monetary policy framework?
4. Define ‘monetary transmission mechanism’.
5. Explain the transmission of monetary policy outcomes through interest rate
channel?
6. Distinguish between the bank lending channel and the balance sheet channel
of monetary transmission?
7. How do asset prices asset prices respond to monetary policy?
8. What is meant by the term ‘monetary policy instruments’?
9. What is the distinction between direct and indirect instruments of monetary
policy?
10. Write notes on Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) Explain the operation of CRR
11. Distinguish between CRR and Statutory Liquidity Ratio (SLR)
12. What are the eligible securities for SLR?
13. Explain the functioning of SLR?
14. What is the role of Liquidity Adjustment Facility (LAF)?
15. Define ‘repo’
2. Write a brief note about the reasons why the policy rates were changed /not
changed in the recent monetary policy announcement by the RBI
ANSWERS/HINTS
I Multiple Choice Type Questions
1. (d) 2. (b) 3. (c) 4. (b) 5. (a) 6 (b)
7. (c) 8. (d) 9. (c) 10. (a) 11. (b) 12 (c)
13. (b)
II Short Answer Type Questions
1. Instruments which are at the disposal of the central bank to regulate the
availability, cost and use of money and credit so as to attain predetermined
objectives, mainly growth with stability
2. The most commonly pursued objectives of monetary policy: maintenance of
price stability (or controlling inflation) and achievement of economic growth.
Context-specific multiple objectives are pursued such as moderate long term
interest rates, exchange rate stability and external balance of payments
equilibrium etc.
3. The operating framework relates to all aspects of implementation of monetary
policy
4. Different mechanisms through which monetary policy is able to influence the
price level and the national income
5. A monetary policy‐induced change in interest rates generate corresponding
changes in the cost of capital and the real cost of borrowing for firms and
households who respond by changing on their investment and purchase
expenditures respectively affecting aggregate demand and employment.
6. Two distinct credit channels- the bank lending channel and the balance sheet
channel- operate by altering access of firms and households to bank credit and
by the effect of monetary policy on the firm’s balance sheet respectively.
7. Asset prices generate important wealth effects that impact, through spending,
output and employment.
8. Monetary policy instruments are the various tools that a central bank can use
to influence money market and credit conditions and pursue its monetary
policy objectives.
18. Under the Market Stabilisation Scheme (MSS) the Government of India
borrows from the RBI (such borrowing being additional to its normal borrowing
requirements) and issues treasury-bills/dated securities that are utilized for
absorbing from the market excess liquidity of a more enduring nature arising
from large capital inflows.
19. The bank rate has been aligned to the Marginal Standing Facility (MSF) rate
and, therefore, as and when the MSF rate changes alongside policy repo rate
changes, the bank rate also changes automatically. Now bank rate is used only
for calculating penalty on default in the maintenance of Cash Reserve Ratio
(CRR) and the Statutory Liquidity Ratio (SLR).
20. Open Market Operations (OMO) is a general term used for market operations
conducted by the Reserve Bank of India by way of sale/ purchase of
Government securities to/ from the market with an objective to adjust the
rupee liquidity conditions in the market on a durable basis.
21. The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) consisting of six members shall
determine the policy rate to achieve the inflation target through debate and
majority vote by a panel of experts.
IV Hints to Application Oriented Questions
(i) Contractionary monetary policy
(ii) Expansionary monetary policy
(iii) Expansionary monetary policy
(iv) Contractionary monetary policy
(v) Contractionary monetary policy
(vi) Contractionary monetary policy
(vii) Absorbs the liquidity in the system
(viii) Influence the availability of resources in the banking system for lending
INTERNATIONAL
TRADE
UNIT I: THEORIES OF INTERNATIONAL
TRADE
LEARNING OUTCOMES
International Trade
1.1 INTRODUCTION
International trade is the exchange of goods and services as well as resources
between countries. It involves transactions between residents of different countries.
As distinguished from domestic trade or internal trade which involves exchange of
goods and services within the domestic territory of a country using domestic
currency, international trade involves transactions in multiple currencies.
Compared to internal trade, international trade has greater complexity as it involves
heterogeneity of customers and currencies, differences in legal systems, more
elaborate documentation, diverse restrictions in the form of taxes, regulations,
duties, tariffs, quotas, trade barriers, standards, restraints to movement of specified
goods and services and issues related to shipping and transportation. At present,
liberal international trade is an integral part of international relations and has
become an important engine of growth in developed as well as developing
countries.
While some economists and policy makers argue that there are net benefits from
keeping markets open to international trade and investments , others feel that
(iii) International trade is often criticized for its excessive stress on exports and
profit-driven exhaustion of natural resources due to unsustainable production
and consumption. Substantial environmental damage and exhaustion of
natural resources in a shorter span of time could have serious negative
consequences on the society at large.
(iv) Probable shift towards a consumer culture and change in patterns of demand
in favour of foreign goods which are likely to occur in less developed countries
may have adverse effect on the development of domestic industries and may
even threaten the survival of infant industries. Trade cycles and the associated
economic crises occurring in different countries are also likely to get
transmitted rapidly to other countries.
(v) Risky dependence of underdeveloped countries on foreign nations impairs
economic autonomy and endangers their political sovereignty. Such reliance
often leads to widespread exploitation and loss of cultural identity. Substantial
dependence may also have severe adverse consequences in times of wars and
other political disturbances.
(vi) Welfare of people may be ignored or jeopardized for the sake of profit.
Excessive exports may cause shortages of many commodities in the exporting
countries and lead to high inflation (e.g. onion price rise in 2014). Also, import
of harmful products may cause health hazards and environmental damage.
(e.g. Chinese products).
(vii) Too much export orientation may distort actual investments away from the
genuine investment needs of a country.
(viii) Instead of cooperation among nations, trade may breed rivalry on account of
severe competition
(ix) Finally, there is often lack of transparency and predictability in respect of many
aspects related to trade policies of trading partners. There are also many risks
in trade which are associated with changes in governments’ policies of
participating countries, such as imposition of an import ban or trade
embargoes.
Table 4.1.1
Output per Hour of Labour
Cloth (yards/hour) 4 5
As can be seen from the above table, one hour of labour time produces 6 bushels
and 1 bushel of wheat respectively in country A and country B. On the other hand,
one hour of labour time produces 4 yards of cloth in country A and 5 in country B.
Country A is more efficient than country B, or has an absolute advantage over
country B in production of wheat. Similarly, country B is more efficient than country
A, or has an absolute advantage over country A in the production of cloth. If both
nations can engage in trade with each other, each nation will specialize in the
production of the good it has an absolute advantage in and obtain the other
commodity through international trade. Therefore, country A would specialise
completely in production of wheat and country B in cloth.
If country A exchanges six bushels of wheat (6W) for six yards of country B’s cloth
(6C), then country A gains 2C or saves half an hour or 30 minutes of labour time
(since the country A can only exchange 6W for 4C domestically). Similarly, the 6W
that country B receives from country A is equivalent to or would require six hours
of labour time to produce in country B. These same six hours can produce 30C in
country B (6 hours x 5 yards of cloth per hour). By being able to exchange 6C
(requiring a little over one hour to produce in the country B) for 6W, country B
gains 24C, or saves nearly five hours of work.
This example shows trade is advantageous, although gains may not be distributed
equally, because their given resources are utilised more efficiently, and, therefore,
both countries can produce larger quantities of commodities which they specialize
in. By specialising and trading freely, global output is , thus, maximized and more
of both goods are available to the consumers in both the countries . If they
specialise but do not trade freely, country A’s consumers would have no wheat, and
country B’s consumers would have no rice. That is not desireable situation.
The theory discussed above gives us the impression that mutually gainful trade is
possible only when one country has absolute advantage and the other has absolute
disadvantage in the production of at least one commodity. What happens if a
Cloth (yards/hour) 4 2
Table 4.1.2 differs from table 4.1.1 only in one respect; i.e, in this example, country
B can produce only two yards of cloth per hour of labour. Country B has now
absolute disadvantage in the production of both wheat and cloth. However, since
B’s labour is only half as productive in cloth but six times less productive in wheat
less than 12C for 6W from country A. Thus, the range for mutually advantageous
trade is 4C < 6W < 12C.
The spread between 12C and 4C (i.e., 8C) represents the total gains from trade
available to be shared by the two nations by trading 6W for 6C. The closer the rate
of exchange is to 4C = 6W (the domestic, or internal rate in country A), the smaller
is the share of the gain going to country A and the larger is the share of the gain
going to country B. Alternatively, the closer the rate of exchange is to 6W = 12C
(the domestic or internal rate in country B), the greater is the gain of country A
relative to that of country B. However, if the absolute disadvantage that one nation
has with respect to another nation is the same in both commodities, there will be
no comparative advantage and no trade.
Ricardo based his law of comparative advantage on the ‘labour theory of value’,
which assumes that the value or price of a commodity depends exclusively on the
amount of labour going into its production. This is quite unrealistic because labour
is not the only factor of production, nor is it used in the same fixed proportion in
the production of all commodities.
In 1936, Haberler resolved this issue when he introduced the opportunity cost
concept from Microeconomic theory to explain the theory of comparative
advantage in which no assumption is made in respect of labour as the source of
value. Opportunity cost is basically the value of the forgone option. It is the ’real’
cost in microeconomic terms, as opposed to cost given in monetary units.
According to the opportunity cost theory, the cost of a commodity is the amount
of a second commodity that must be given up to release just enough resources to
produce one extra unit of the first commodity. The opportunity cost of producing
one unit of good X in terms of good Y may be computed as the amount of labour
required to produce one unit of good X divided by the amount of labour required
to produce one unit of good Y. That is, how much Y do we have to give up in order
to produce one more unit of good X. Logically, the nation with a lower opportunity
cost in the production of a commodity has a comparative advantage in that
commodity (and a comparative disadvantage in the second commodity).
In the above example, we find that country A must give up two-thirds of a unit of
cloth to release just enough resources to produce one additional unit of wheat
domestically. Therefore, the opportunity cost of wheat is two-thirds of a unit of
cloth (i.e., 1W = 2/3C in country A). Similarly, in country B, we find that 1W = 2C,
and therefore, the opportunity cost of wheat (in terms of the amount of cloth that
must be given up) is lower in country A than in country B, and country A would
When the prices of the output of goods are equalized between countries as they
move to free trade, then the prices of the factors (capital and labor) will also be
equalized between countries. It means that product mobility and factor mobility
become perfect substitutes. Whichever factor receives the lowest price before two
countries integrate economically and effectively become one market will therefore
tend to become more expensive relative to other factors in the economy, while
those with the highest price will tend to become cheaper.
The table 4.1.3 presents, though not exhaustive, a comparison of the theory of
comparative costs and modern theory.
Table 4.1.3
Comparison of Theory of Comparative Costs and Modern Theory
Does not take into account the factor Considers factor price differences as
price differences the main cause of commodity price
differences
Does not provide the cause of Explains the differences in comparative
differences in comparative advantage. advantage in terms of differences in
factor endowments.
Normative; tries to demonstrate the Positive; concentrates on the basis of
gains from international trade trade
• Network effects are the way one person’s value of a good or service is
affected by the value of that good or service to others. The value of the product
or service is enhanced as the number of individuals using it increases. This is
also referred to as the ‘bandwagon effect’. Consumers like more choices, but
they also want products and services with high utility, and the network effect
offers increased utility from these products over others. A good example will
be Mobile App such as Whats App and software like Microsoft Windows.
SUMMARY
• International trade is the exchange of goods and services as well as
resources between countries and involves greater complexity compared to
internal trade
• Trade can be a powerful stimulus to economic efficiency, contributes to
economic growth and rising incomes, enlarges manufacturing capabilities,
ensures benefits from economies of large scale production, and enhances
competitiveness and profitability by adoption of cost reducing technology and
business practices.
• Efficient deployment of productive resources to their best uses, productivity
gains, decrease the likelihood of domestic monopolies, cost effective sourcing
of inputs and components internationally, innovative products at lower prices,
wider choice in products and services for consumers are also claimed as
benefits of trade
• Enhanced foreign exchange reserves, increased scope for mechanization and
specialisation, research and development, creation of jobs, reduction in
poverty ,augmenting factor incomes, raising standards of livelihood ,increase
in overall demand for goods and services and greater stimulus to innovative
services are other benefits
• There are also other possible positive outcomes in the form of prospects of
employment generating investments, improvement in the quality of output,
superior products, labour and environmental standards, broadening of
productive base, export diversification, stability in prices and supply of goods,
human resource development and strengthening of bonds between nations.
• The arguments against trade converge on negative labour market outcomes,
economic exploitation, profit-driven exhaustion of natural resources, shift
towards a consumer culture, risky dependence, shortages resulting in inflation,
disregard for welfare of people, quick transmission of trade cycles, rivalries and
Country A Country B
Cloth 40 80
Grain 80 40
(a) Country A
(b) Country B
(c) Neither A nor B
(d) Both A and B
6. According to the theory of comparative advantage
(a) trade is a zero-sum game so that the net change in wealth or benefits
among the participants is zero.
(b) trade is not a zero-sum game so that the net change in wealth or benefits
among the participants is positive
(c) nothing definite can be said about the gains from trade
(d) gains from trade depends upon factor endowment and utilization
7. Given the number of labour hours to produce wheat and rice in two countries
and that these countries specialise and engage in trade at a relative price of
1:1 what will be the gain of country X ?
Labour cost (hours) for production of one unit
Wheat Rice
Country X 10 20
Country Y 20 10
15. Describe the reasons for the superiority of Hecksher Ohlin theory of
international trade over the classical theory of international trade.
IV Application Oriented Questions
1. The price index for exports of Country A in year 2012 (2000 base-year), was
116.1 and the price index for Country A’s imports was 120.2 (2000 base-year)
(i) What do these figures mean?
(ii) Calculate the index of terms of trade for Country A
(iii) How do you interpret the index of terms of trade for Country A?
2. The table below shows the number of labour hours required to produce wheat
and cloth in two countries X and Y.
Commodity Country X Country Y
ANSWERS/HINTS
I Multiple Choice Type Questions
1. (b) 2. (d) 3. (b) 4. (c) 5. (b) 6 (b) 7. (b) 8. (d) 9. (b)
10. (d)
International Trade
The Instruments of
Trade Policy
2.1 INTRODUCTION
Before we go into the subject matter of this unit, we shall take a quick look into a
few recent developments in the international trade arena.
2.2 TARIFFS
Tariffs, also known as customs duties, are basically taxes or duties imposed on
goods and services which are imported or exported. It is defined as a financial
charge in the form of a tax, imposed at the border on goods going from one
customs territory to another. They are the most visible and universally used trade
measures that determine market access for goods. Import duties being pervasive
than export duties, tariffs are often identified with import duties and in this unit,
the term ‘tariff’ would refer to import duties.
Tariffs are aimed at altering the relative prices of goods and services imported, so
as to contract the domestic demand and thus regulate the volume of their imports.
Tariffs leave the world market price of the goods unaffected; while raising their
prices in the domestic market. The main goals of tariffs are to raise revenue for the
government, and more importantly to protect the domestic import-competing
industries.
or related items. For example: `3000/ on each solar panel plus ` 50/ per kg
on the battery.
(d) Tariff Rate Quotas : Tariff rate quotas (TRQs) combine two policy instruments:
quotas and tariffs. Imports entering under the specified quota portion are
usually subject to a lower (sometimes zero), tariff rate. Imports above the
quantitative threshold of the quota face a much higher tariff.
(e) Most-Favored Nation Tariffs: MFN tariffs are what countries promise to
impose on imports from other members of the WTO, unless the country is part
of a preferential trade agreement (such as a free trade area or customs union).
This means that, in practice, MFN rates are the highest (most restrictive) that
WTO members charge one another. Some countries impose higher tariffs on
countries that are not part of the WTO.
(f) Variable Tariff: A duty typically fixed to bring the price of an imported
commodity up to the domestic support price for the commodity.
(g) Preferential Tariff: Nearly all countries are part of at least one preferential
trade agreement, under which they promise to give another country's products
lower tariffs than their MFN rate. These agreements are reciprocal. A lower
tariff is charged from goods imported from a country which is given
preferential treatment. Examples are preferential duties in the EU region under
which a good coming into one EU country to another is charged zero tariffs.
Another example is North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) among
Canada, Mexico and the USA where the preferential tariff rate is zero on
essentially all products. Countries, especially the affluent ones also grant
‘unilateral preferential treatment’ to select list of products from specified
developing countries .The Generalized System of Preferences (GSP) is one such
system which is currently prevailing.
(h) Bound Tariff : A bound tariff is a tariff which a WTO member binds itself with
a legal commitment not to raise it above a certain level. By binding a tariff,
often during negotiations, the members agree to limit their right to set tariff
levels beyond a certain level. The bound rates are specific to individual
products and represent the maximum level of import duty that can be levied
on a product imported by that member. A member is always free to impose a
tariff that is lower than the bound level. Once bound, a tariff rate becomes
permanent and a member can only increase its level after negotiating with its
trading partners and compensating them for possible losses of trade. A bound
tariff ensures transparency and predictability.
(i) Applied Tariffs: An 'applied tariff' is the duty that is actually charged on
imports on a most-favoured nation (MFN) basis. A WTO member can have an
applied tariff for a product that differs from the bound tariff for that product
as long as the applied level is not higher than the bound level.
(j) Escalated Tariff structure refers to the system wherein the nominal tariff rates
on imports of manufactured goods are higher than the nominal tariff rates on
intermediate inputs and raw materials, i.e the tariff on a product increases as
that product moves through the value-added chain. For example a four
percent tariff on iron ore or iron ingots and twelve percent tariff on steel pipes.
This type of tariff is discriminatory as it protects manufacturing industries in
importing countries and dampens the attempts of developing manufacturing
industries of exporting countries. This has special relevance to trade between
developed countries and developing countries. Developing countries are thus
forced to continue to be suppliers of raw materials without much value
addition.
(k) Prohibitive tariff : A prohibitive tariff is one that is set so high that no imports
will enter.
(l) Important subsidies : In some countries, import subsidies also exist. An import
subsidy is simply a payment per unit or as a percent of value for the
importation of a good (i.e., a negative import tariff).
(m) Tariffs as Response to Trade Distortions: Sometimes countries engage in
'unfair' foreign-trade practices which are trade distorting in nature and adverse
to the interests of the domestic firms. The affected importing countries, upon
confirmation of the distortion, respond quickly by measures in the form of tariff
responses to offset the distortion. These policies are often referred to as
"trigger-price" mechanisms. The following sections relate to such tariff
responses to distortions related to foreign dumping and export subsidies
(i) Anti-dumping Duties: Dumping occurs when manufacturers sell goods in a
foreign country below the sales prices in their domestic market or below their
full average cost of the product. Dumping may be persistent, seasonal, or
cyclical. Dumping may also be resorted to as a predatory pricing practice to
drive out established domestic producers from the market and to establish
monopoly position. Dumping is an international price discrimination favouring
buyers of exports, but in fact, the exporters deliberately forego money in order
to harm the domestic producers of the importing country. This is unfair and
constitutes a threat to domestic producers and therefore when dumping is
trade level of imports and are usually enforced by issuing licenses. This is referred
to as a binding quota; a non-binding quota is a quota that is set at or above the
free trade level of imports, thus having little effect on trade.
Import quotas are mainly of two types: absolute quotas and tariff-rate quotas.
Absolute quotas or quotas of a permanent nature limit the quantity of imports to
a specified level during a specified period of time and the imports can take place
any time of the year. No condition is attached to the country of origin of the
product. For example: 1000 tonnes of fish import of which can take place any time
of the year from any country. When country allocation is specified, a fixed volume
or value of the product must originate in one or more countries. Example: A quota
of 1000 tonnes of fish that can be imported any time of the year, but where 750
tonnes must originate in country A and 250 tonnes in country B. In addition, there
are seasonal quotas and temporary quotas.
With a quota, the government, of course, receives no revenue. The profits received
by the holders of such import licenses are known as ‘quota rents’. While tariffs
directly interfere with prices that can be charged for an imported good in the
domestic market, import quota interferes with the market prices indirectly.
Obviously, an import quota at all times raises the domestic price of the imported
good. The license holders are able to buy imports and resell them at a higher price
in the domestic market and they will be able to earn a ‘rent’ on their operations
over and above the profit they would have made in a free market.
The welfare effects of quotas are similar to that of tariffs. If a quota is set below
free trade level, the amount of imports will be reduced. A reduction in imports will
lower the supply of the good in the domestic market and raise the domestic price.
Consumers of the product in the importing country will be worse-off because the
increase in the domestic price of both imported goods and the domestic
substitutes reduces consumer surplus in the market. Producers in the importing
country are better-off as a result of the quota. The increase in the price of their
product increases producer surplus in the industry. The price increase also induces
an increase in output of existing firms (and perhaps the addition of new firms), an
increase in employment, and an increase in profit.
(ii) Price Control Measures : Price control measures (including additional taxes
and charges) are steps taken to control or influence the prices of imported goods
in order to support the domestic price of certain products when the import prices
of these goods are lower. These are also known as 'para-tariff' measures and
include measures, other than tariff measures, that increase the cost of imports in a
or indefinite period. This may be done due to political reasons or for other reasons
such as health, religious sentiments. This is the most extreme form of trade barrier
Over the past few decades, significant transformations are happening in terms of
growth as well as trends of flows and patterns of global trade. The increasing
importance of developing countries has been a salient feature of the shifting global
trade patterns. Fundamental changes are taking place in the way countries
associate themselves for international trade and investments. Trading through
regional arrangements which foster closer trade and economic relations is shaping
the global trade landscape in an unprecedented way. Alongside, the trading
countries also have devised ingenious policies aimed at protecting their economic
interests. The discussions in this unit are in no way comprehensive considering the
faster pace of discovery of such protective strategies. Students are expected to get
themselves updated on such ongoing changes.
SUMMARY
• Trade policy encompasses all instruments that governments may use to
promote or restrict imports and exports.
• Trade policies are broadly classified into price- related measures such as tariffs
and non-price measures or non-tariff measures (NTMs)
• Tariff, also known as customs duty is defined as a financial charge in the form
of a tax, imposed at the border on goods going from one customs territory to
another. Tariffs are the most visible and universally used trade measures.
• A specific tariff is an import duty that assigns a fixed monetary tax per physical
unit of the good imported whereas an ad valorem tariff is levied as a constant
percentage of the monetary value of one unit of the imported good.
• Mixed tariffs are expressed either on the basis of the value of the imported
goods (an ad valorem rate) or on the basis of a unit of measure of the imported
goods (a specific duty),depending on desired yields.
• Compound Tariff or a compound duty is a combination of an ad valorem and
a specific tariff and is calculated on the basis of both the value of the imported
goods (an ad valorem duty) and a unit of measure of the imported goods
• Tariff rate quotas (TRQs) combine two policy instruments namely quotas and
tariffs.
• MFN tariffs are what countries promise to impose on imports from other
members of the WTO, unless the country is part of a preferential trade
agreement (such as a free trade area or customs union).
• Preferential tariff occurs when a country gives another country's products lower
tariffs than its MFN rate.
• The bound rate is specific to individual products and represents the maximum
level of import duty that can be levied on a product imported by that member.
• An 'applied tariff' is the duty that is actually charged on imports on a most-
favoured nation (MFN) basis.
• Escalated tariff structure refers to the system wherein the nominal tariff rates
on imports of manufactured goods are higher than the nominal tariff rates on
intermediate inputs and raw materials, i.e the tariff on a product increases as
that product moves through the value-added chain.
• A prohibitive tariff is one that is set so high that no imports will enter.
• Trigger-price mechanisms are quick responses of affected importing countries
upon confirmation of trade distortion to offset the distortion. Eg. Anti-
dumping duties.
• Dumping occurs when manufacturers sell goods in a foreign country below the
sales prices in their domestic market or below their full average cost of the
product. It hurts domestic producers.
• Anti-dumping measures are additional import duties so as to offset the foreign
firm's unfair price advantage.
• Countervailing duties are tariffs to offset the artificially low prices charged by
exporters who enjoy export subsidies and tax concessions offered by the
governments in their home country.
• Tariff barriers create obstacles to trade, reduce the prospect of market access,
make imported goods more expensive, increase consumption of domestic
goods, protect domestic industries and increase government revenues
• Non-tariff measures (NTMs) are policy measures, other than ordinary customs
tariffs, that can potentially have an economic effect on international trade in
goods, changing quantities traded or prices or both
• Technical Barriers to Trade (TBT) are ‘Standards and Technical Regulations’ that
define the specific characteristics that a product should have, such as its size,
shape, design, labelling / marking / packaging, functionality or performance
and production methods, excluding measures covered by the SPS Agreement.
ANSWERS/HINTS
I. Multiple Choice Type Questions
1. (d) 2. (b) 3. (b) 4. (b) 5. (c) 6 (d) 7. (d) 8. (c) 9. (d)
10. (c) 11. (b) 12. (b)
15. Non-tariff measures (NTMs) are policy measures, other than ordinary customs
tariffs, that can potentially have an economic effect on international trade in
goods, changing quantities traded, or prices or both
16. SPS measures are applied to protect human, animal or plant life from risks
arising from additives, pests, contaminants, toxins or disease-causing
organisms and to protect biodiversity
17. An import quota is a direct restriction which specifies that only a certain
physical amount of the good will be allowed into the country during a given
time period, usually one year.
18. Local content requirements mandate that a specified fraction of a final good
should be produced domestically
19. Voluntary Export Restraints (VERs) refer to a type of informal quota
administered by an exporting country voluntarily restraining the quantity of
goods that can be exported out of a country during a specified period of time
20. Trigger-price mechanisms are quick responses of affected importing countries
upon confirmation of trade distortion to offset the distortion. Eg. Anti-
dumping duties
IV Application Oriented Questions
1. (i) Dumping by Country B and Country C. B because it sells at a lower price
than that in domestic market; Country C because it is selling at a price
which is less than the average cost of production.
(ii) Adverse effects on domestic industry as they will lose competitiveness in
their markets due to unfair practice of dumping. Country D may prove
damage to domestic industries and charge anti dumping duties on goods
imported from Country B and Country C so as to raise the price and make
it at par which similar goods produced by domestic firms.
2. (i) Unfair and artificially created price advantage to trousers exporters of India
– price does not reflect costs- German trousers industry lose
competitiveness and market share as trousers from India are lower priced-
Loss of world welfare. German industry can ask for protection by
introducing countervailing duties.
(ii) An equivalent countervailing duty will push the prices of Indian trousers
and afford protection to domestic trousers industry. World welfare will be
the same as before India introduced export subsidy.
International Trade
Trade Negotiations
3.1 INTRODUCTION
The recent years have seen intense bilateral and multilateral negotiations among
different nations in the international arena. India, for example, has already become
part of 19 such concluded agreements and is currently negotiating more than two
dozens of such proposals. Events such as Britain planning an exit from the European
Union, the US deliberations on the impact of NAFTA, and many other unpredictable
developments in the trade front make trade negotiations a highly relevant topic in
Economics.
International trade negotiations, especially the ones aimed at formulation of
international trade rules, are complex interactive processes engaged in by countries
having competing objectives. Trade negotiations are not just face to face
discussions; rather they are multilevel or network games and involve intricate and
time consuming processes. They usually involve many parties who have conflicting
interests and objectives. It is not national governments alone who are the
stakeholders in a trade negotiation. Many interest groups, lobbying groups,
pressure groups and Non Governmental Organizations (NGO) exert their influence
on the process. As anyone can guess, the positions taken by each of the negotiating
parties would represent their underlying agenda of interests. For example, in trade
negotiations, when one of the parties seems to be bargaining for market access
through reduction in tariffs, the other (s) may be clamouring on the issue of
possible grant of protection to domestic industries.
Before we go into the discussion on multilateral trade negotiations and the related
institutions, it is relevant to understand the nature of regional as well as free trade
agreements which evolve through negotiations.
2. Bilateral Agreements are agreements which set rules of trade between two
countries, two blocs or a bloc and a country. These may be limited to certain
goods and services or certain types of market entry barriers. E.g. EU-South
Africa Free Trade Agreement; ASEAN–India Free Trade Area
3. Regional Preferential Trade Agreements among a group of countries reduce
trade barriers on a reciprocal and preferential basis for only the members of
the group. E.g. Global System of Trade Preferences among Developing
Countries (GSTP)
4. Trading Bloc has a group of countries that have a free trade agreement
between themselves and may apply a common external tariff to other countries
Example: Arab League (AL), European Free Trade Association (EFTA)
5. Free-trade area is a group of countries that eliminate all tariff barriers on trade
with each other and retains independence in determining their tariffs with
nonmembers. Example: NAFTA
6. A customs union is a group of countries that eliminate all tariffs on trade
among themselves but maintain a common external tariff on trade with
countries outside the union (thus technically violating MFN). e.g. EC,
MERCOSUR.
7. Common Market: A Common Market deepens a customs union by providing
for the free flow of factors of production (labor and capital) in addition to the
free flow of outputs. The member countries attempt to harmonize some
institutional arrangements and commercial and financial laws and regulations
among themselves. There are also common barriers against non-members
(e.g., EU, ASEAN)
8. In an Economic and Monetary Union, members share a common currency and
macroeconomic policies. For example, the European Union countries
implement and adopt a single currency.
There has been significant growth in international trade since the end of the Second
World War, mostly due to multilateral trade system which is both a political process
and a set of political institutions. It is a political process because it is based on
negotiations and bargaining among sovereign governments based on which they
arrive at rules governing trade between or among themselves. The political
institutions that facilitate trade negotiations, and support international trade
cooperation by providing the rules of the game have been the former General
Agreements on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) and the World Trade Organization (WTO).
(GATT). Despite the fact that the WTO replaced GATT as an international
organization, the General Agreement still exists as the WTO’s umbrella treaty for
trade in goods, updated as a result of the Uruguay Round negotiations.
The objectives of the WTO Agreements as acknowledged in the preamble of the
Agreement creating the World Trade Organization, include “raising standards of
living, ensuring full employment and a large and steadily growing volume of real
income and effective demand, and expanding the production of and trade in goods
and services” The principal objective of the WTO is to facilitate the flow of
international trade smoothly, freely, fairly and predictably. The WTO does its
functions by acting as a forum for trade negotiations among member governments,
administering trade agreements, reviewing national trade policies, assisting
developing countries in trade policy issues, through technical assistance and
training programmes and cooperating with other international organizations
3.5.1 The Structure of the WTO
The WTO activities are supported by a Secretariat located in Geneva, headed by a
Director General. It has a three-tier system of decision making. The WTO’s top level
decision-making body is the Ministerial Conference which can take decisions on all
matters under any of the multilateral trade agreements. The Ministerial
Conference meets at least once every two years. The next level is the General
Council which meets several times a year at the Geneva headquarters. The General
Council also meets as the Trade Policy Review Body and the Dispute Settlement
Body. At the next level, the Goods Council, Services Council and Intellectual
Property (TRIPS) Council report to the General Council. These councils are
responsible for overseeing the implementation of the WTO agreements in their
respective areas of specialisation. Numerous specialized committees, working
groups and working parties deal with the individual agreements and other areas
such as the environment, development, membership applications and regional
trade agreements.
The WTO accounting for about 95% of world trade currently has 164 members, of
which 117 are developing countries or separate customs territories accounting for
about 95% of world trade. Around 25 others are negotiating membership. The
WTO’s agreements have been ratified in all members’ parliaments.
10. Market Access: The WTO aims to increase world trade by enhancing market
access by converting all non- tariff barriers into tariffs which are subject to
country specific limits. Further, in major multilateral agreements like the
Agreement on Agriculture (AOA), to specific targets have been specified for
ensuring market access.
11. Special privileges to less developed countries: With majority of WTO
members being developing countries and countries in transition to market
economies, the WTO deliberations favour less developed countries by giving
them greater flexibility, special privileges and permission to phase out the
transition period. Also, these countries are granted transition periods to make
adjustments to the not so familiar and intricate WTO provisions.
12. Protection of Health & Environment: The WTO’s agreements support
measures to protect not only the environment but also human, animal as well
as plant health with the stipulation that such measures should be non-
discriminatory and that members should not employ environmental
protection measures as a means of disguising protectionist policies.
13. A transparent, effective and verifiable dispute settlement mechanism:
Trade relations frequently involve conflicting interests. Any dispute arising out
of violation of trade rules leading to infringement of rights under the
agreements or misunderstanding arising as regards the interpretation of rules
are to be settled through consultation. In case of failures, the dispute can be
referred to the WTO and can pursue a carefully mapped out, stage-by-stage
procedure that includes the possibility of a judgment by a panel of experts,
and the opportunity to appeal the ruling on legal grounds. The decisions of
the dispute settlement body are final and binding.
3.5.3 Overview of the WTO agreements
The WTO agreements cover goods, services and intellectual property and the
permitted exceptions. These agreements are often called the WTO’s trade rules,
and the WTO is often described as “rules-based”, a system based on rules. (The
rules are actually agreements that the governments negotiated).
The WTO agreements are voluminous and multifaceted. The ‘Legal Texts’ consist of
a list of about 60 agreements, annexes, decisions and understandings covering a
wide range of activities. (The list of WTO agreements is given at the end of this
unit).
Following are the important agreements under WTO. Since a thorough discussion
on the features of each agreement is beyond the scope of this unit, only the major
provisions are given below.
1. Agreement on Agriculture aims at strengthening GATT disciplines and
improving agricultural trade. It includes specific and binding commitments
made by WTO Member governments in the three areas of market access,
domestic support and export subsidies.
2. Agreement on the Application of Sanitary and Phytosanitary (SPS) Measures
establishes multilateral frameworks for the planning, adoption and
implementation of sanitary and phytosanitary measures to prevent such
measures from being used for arbitrary or unjustifiable discrimination or for
camouflaged restraint on international trade and to minimize their adverse
effects on trade.
3. Agreement on Textiles and Clothing replaced the Multi-Fiber Arrangement
(MFA) which was prevalent since 1974 which entailed import protection
policies. ATC provides that textile trade should be deregulated by gradually
integrating it into GATT disciplines over a 10-year transition period.
4. Agreement on Technical Barriers to Trade (TBT) aims to prevent standards and
conformity assessment systems from becoming unnecessary trade barriers by
securing their transparency and harmonization with international standards.
Often excessive standards or misuse of standards in respect of manufactured
goods, and safety/environment regulations act as trade barriers.
5. Agreement on Trade-Related Investment Measures (TRIMs) expands disciplines
governing investment measures in relation to cross-border investments by
stipulating that countries receiving foreign investments shall not impose
investment measures such as requirements, conditions and restrictions
inconsistent with the provisions of the principle of national treatment and
general elimination of quantitative restrictions. For example: measures such as
local content requirements and trade balancing requirements should not be
applied on investing corporations.
6. Anti-Dumping Agreement seeks to tighten and codify disciplines for
calculating dumping margins and conducting dumping investigations, etc. in
order to prevent anti-dumping measures from being abused or misused to
protect domestic industries
7. Customs Valuation Agreement specifies rules for more consistent and reliable
customs valuation and aims to harmonize customs valuation systems on an
international basis by eliminating arbitrary valuation systems.
8. Agreement on Pre-shipment Inspection (PSI) intends to secure transparency of
pre-shipment inspection wherein a company designated by the importing
country conducts inspection of the quality, volume, price, tariff classification,
customs valuation, etc. of merchandise in the territory of the exporting country
on behalf of the importing country’s custom office and issues certificates. The
agreement also provides for a mechanism for the solution of disputes between
PSI agencies and exporters.
9. Agreement on Rules of Origin provides for the harmonization of rules of origin
for application to all non-preferential commercial policy instruments. It also
provides for dispute settlement procedures and creates the rules of origin
committee.
10. Agreement on Import Licensing Procedures relates to simplification of
administrative procedures and to ensure their fair operation so that import
licensing procedures of different countries may not act as trade barriers.
11. Agreement on Subsidies and Countervailing Measures aims to clarify
definitions of subsidies, strengthen disciplines by subsidy type and to
strengthen and clarify procedures for adopting countervailing tariffs
12. Agreement on Safeguards clarify disciplines for requirements and procedures
for imposing safeguards and related measures which are emergency measures
to restrict imports in the event of a sudden surge in imports.
13. General Agreement on Trade in Services (GATS): This agreement provides the
general obligations regarding trade in services, such as most- favored-nation
treatment and transparency. In addition, it enumerates service sectors and
stipulates that in the service sectors for which it has made commitments, a
member country cannot maintain or introduce market access restriction
measures and discriminatory measures that are severer than those that were
committed during the negotiations.
14. Agreement on Trade-Related Aspects of Intellectual Property Rights (TRIPS):
This agreement stipulates most-favored-nation treatment and national
treatment for intellectual properties, such as copyright, trademarks,
geographical indications, industrial designs, patents, IC layout designs and
undisclosed information. In addition, it requires member countries to maintain
SUMMARY
• International trade negotiations, especially the ones aimed at formulation of
international trade rules, are complex interactive processes engaged in by
countries having competing objectives.
• Regional Trade Agreements (RTAs) are defined as groupings of countries (not
necessarily belonging to the same geographical region) which are formed with
the objective of reducing barriers to trade between member countries.
• Trade negotiations result in different types of agreements, namely: unilateral
trade agreements, bilateral agreements, regional preferential trade
agreements, trading bloc, free-trade area, customs union, common market and
economic and monetary union
• The General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) provided the rules for
much of world trade for 47 years, from 1948 to 1994
• Eight multilateral negotiations known as “trade rounds” held under the
auspices GATT resulted in substantial international trade liberalization.
• The eighth of the Uruguay Round of 1986-94, was the last and most
consequential of all rounds and culminated in the birth of WTO and a new set
of agreements replacing the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT).
• The principal objective of the WTO is to facilitate the flow of international trade
smoothly, freely, fairly and predictably.
• The WTO does its functions by acting as a forum for trade negotiations among
member governments, administering trade agreements, reviewing national
trade policies, cooperating with other international organizations and assisting
developing countries in trade policy issues through technical assistance and
training programmes.
• The WTO activities are supported by the Secretariat located in Geneva, headed
by a Director General. It has a three-tier system of decision making. The top
level decision-making body is the Ministerial Conference, followed by councils
namely, the General Council and the Goods Council, Services Council and
Intellectual Property (TRIPS) Council.
• The WTO, accounting for about 95% of world trade, currently has 164
members, of which 117 are developing countries or separate customs
territories.
• The major guiding principles of the WTO are trade without discrimination,
most-favoured-nation treatment(MFN), the national treatment principle (NTP),
freer trade, predictability, general prohibition of quantitative restrictions,
greater competitiveness, tariffs as legitimate measures for protection,
transparency in decision making, progressive liberalization, market access and
a transparent, effective and verifiable dispute settlement mechanism.
• The important agreements under WTO are on agriculture, (SPS) measures,
textiles and clothing, technical barriers to trade (TBT), trade-related investment
measures (TRIMs), anti-dumping, customs valuation, pre-shipment inspection
(PSI) , rules of origin, import licensing procedures, subsidies and countervailing
measures , safeguards, trade in services (GATS), intellectual property rights
(TRIPS), settlement of disputes (DSU), trade policy review mechanism (TPRM)
and plurilateral trade agreements on trade in civil aircraft and government
procurement.
• The Doha Round, formally the Doha Development Agenda, which is the ninth
round since the Second World War was officially launched at the WTO’s Fourth
Ministerial Conference in Doha, Qatar, in November 2001.
• The major issues related to the WTO are in respect of slow progress of
multilateral negotiations, uncertainties resulting from regional trade
agreements, inadequate or negligible trade liberalisation, and those which are
specific to the developing countries, namely, protectionism and lack of
willingness among developed countries to provide market access, difficulties
that they face in implementing the present agreements ,apparent north-south
divide, exceptionally high tariffs, tariff escalation, erosion of preferences and
difficulties with regard to adjustments.
(d) imported products should have the same tariff , no matter where they are
imported from
4. ‘Bound tariff’ refers to
(a) clubbing of tariffs of different commodities into one common measure
(b) the lower limit of the tariff below which a nation cannot be taxing is
imports
(c) the upper limit on the tariff that a country can levy on a particular good,
according to its commitments under the GATT and WTO.
(d) the limit within which the country’s export duty should fall so that there
is cheaper exports
5. The essence of ‘MFN principle’ is
(a) equality of treatment of all member countries of WTO in respect of
matters related to trade
(b) favour one, country , you need to favour all in the same manner
(c) every WTO member will treat all its trading partners equally without any
prejudice and discrimination
(d) all the above
6. The World Trade Organization (WTO)
(a) has now been replaced by the GATT
(b) has an inbuilt mechanism to settle disputes among members
(c) was established to ensure free and fair trade internationally.
(d) b) and c) above
7. The Agreement on Agriculture includes explicit and binding commitments
made by WTO Member governments
(a) on increasing agricultural productivity and rural development
(b) market access and agricultural credit support
(c) market access, domestic support and export subsidies
(d) market access, import subsidies and export subsidies
7. What is the objective behind limiting protection by tariffs only? How does it
promote international trade?
IV Applications Oriented Question
Case Scenario
India aims to become a global leader in solar energy and for achieving this; the
Jawaharlal Nehru National Solar Mission (JNNSM) was launched in 2010. To
persuade and to promote producers to participate in the national solar programme,
the government planned long-term power purchase agreements with solar power
producers, thus effectively guaranteeing the sale of the energy produced as well as
the price that solar power producers could obtain. However, there was a stipulation
that the producers should use domestically sourced inputs, namely solar cells and
modules. India lost the case in DSB and WTO has ruled against the stipulation of
local content requirements by government of India.
Answer the following questions
(i) How does the ‘local content requirements’ clause violate the WTO agreements?
(ii) Do you think Indian domestic solar power industry will be affected when India
scraps the local-sourcing regulation as per the ruling of WTO?
ANSWERS/HINTS
I Multiple Choice Type Questions
1. (c) 2. (b) 3. (b) 4. (c) 5. (d) 6 (d) 7. (c) 8. (b) 9. (d)
10. (c) 11. (b)
II Short Answer Type Questions
1. Regional Trade Agreements (RTAs) are groupings of countries, which are
formed with the objective of reducing barriers to trade between member
countries.; not necessarily belonging to the same geographical region. They
reduce trade barriers on a reciprocal and preferential basis for only the
members of the group.
2. Free-trade area is a group of countries that eliminate all tariff barriers on trade
with each other and retains independence in determining their tariffs with non-
members. Example: NAFTA
11. Agreement on Technical Barriers to Trade (TBT) aims to prevent standards and
conformity assessment systems from becoming unnecessary trade barriers by
securing their transparency and harmonization with international standards.
12. Establishes disciplines governing investment measures in relation to cross-
border investments by stipulating that countries receiving foreign investments
shall not impose investment measures such as requirements, conditions and
restrictions inconsistent with the provisions of the principle of national
treatment and general elimination of quantitative restrictions.
13. This agreement stipulates most-favored-nation treatment and national
treatment for intellectual properties.
IV Application Oriented Questions
(i) Local-sourcing regulation is considered as a protectionist measure inconsistent
with India’s international obligations under WTO agreement. Discrimination on
the basis of the national ‘origin’ of the cells and modules is a violation of its
trade commitment for ‘national treatment obligation’ under WTO. If the
objective is cost reduction and efficiency, then the solar power producers
should be free to choose energy-generation equipments and components on
the basis of price and quality, irrespective of whether they are manufactured
locally or not. By mandatorily requiring solar power producers to buy locally,
the government has, it is argued, tried to distort competition. This imposes
extra cost, and may possibly be passed on to the final consumers. Therefore,
the interests of the consumers will not be protected.
(ii) The market forces would prevail in respect of solar energy production -The
import competing domestic industry of solar panels and modules may face stiff
competition from imported items, especially those from China. Indian solar
industry is in its infancy. Possibility of subsidized imports and dumping from
different countries. India can evoke anti dumping duties, countervailing duties
and safe guards as provided for in WTO agreements. Need for innovation, cost
reduction and quality improvement of Indian solar industry to compete with
global manufacturers. Since clean energy is a merit good, government may
produce and supply it directly - economies of large scale production can be
reaped leading to cost and price reduction.
The Exchange
Rate Regimes
Exchange Rate
International and its Changes in
Trade Economic Exchange Rates
Effects
Devaluation Vs
Depreciation
4.1 INTRODUCTION
Each day we get fascinating news about currency which fuel our curiosity, such as
Rupee gains 12 paise against US dollar, Dollar Spot/Forward Rates plummet, Rupee
down, Euro holds steady, Pound strengthens etc. Ever wondered what these and
other jargons mean? We shall try to understand a few fundamentals related to
currency transactions in this unit.
currency is the base currency and the foreign currency is the counter currency. As
the US dollar is the dominant currency in global foreign exchange markets, the
general convention is to apply direct quotes that have the US dollar as the base
currency and other currencies as the counter currency.
There may be two pairs of currencies with one currency being common between
the two pairs. For instance, exchange rates may be given between a pair, X and Y
and another pair, X and Z. The rate between Y and Z is derived from the given rates
of the two pairs (X and Y, and, X and Z) and is called ‘cross rate’. When there is no
difference between the buying and the selling rate, the rate is said to be ‘unique’
or ‘unified’. But, in practice, it is rarely so. . There are generally two rates – selling
rate and buying rate – for any currency when one goes to exchange it in the market.
Selling rate is generally higher than the buying rate for a currency. This is the
commission of the money exchanger (dealer) to run its operations.
V. However, in the fixed or managed floating (where the market forces are
allowed to determine the exchange rate within a band) exchange rate regimes,
the central bank is required to stand ready to intervene in the foreign exchange
market and, also to maintain an adequate amount of foreign exchange reserves
for this purpose.
Basically, the free floating or flexible exchange rate regime is argued to be efficient
and highly transparent as the exchange rate is free to fluctuate in response to the
supply of and demand for foreign exchange in the market and clears the imbalances
in the foreign exchange market without any control of the central bank or the
monetary authority. A floating exchange rate has many advantages:
(i) A floating exchange rate has the great advantage of allowing a Central bank
and /or government to pursue its own independent monetary policy
(ii) Floating exchange rate regime allows exchange rate to be used as a policy tool:
for example, policy-makers can adjust the nominal exchange rate to influence
the competitiveness of the tradeable goods sector
(iii) As there is no obligation or necessity to intervene in the currency markets, the
central bank is not required to maintain a huge foreign exchange reserves.
However, the greatest disadvantage of a flexible exchange rate regime is that
volatile exchange rates generate a lot of uncertainties in relation to international
transactions, and add a risk premium to the costs of goods and assets traded across
borders. In short, a fixed rate brings in more currency and monetary stability and
credibility; but it lacks flexibility. On the contrary, a floating rate has greater policy
flexibility; but less stability.
Another exchange rate concept, the Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER) is the
nominal effective exchange rate (a measure of the value of a domestic currency
against a weighted average of variouis foreign currencies) divided by a price
deflator or index of costs. An increase in REER implies that exports become more
expensive and imports become cheaper; therefore, an increase in REER indicates a
loss in trade competitiveness.
While a foreign exchange transaction can involve any two currencies, most
transactions involve exchanges of foreign currencies for the U.S. dollars even when
it is not the national currency of either the importer or the exporter. On account of
its critical role in the forex markets, the dollar is often called a ‘vehicle currency’.
Figure 4.4.1
Determination of Nominal Exchange Rate
The equilibrium rate of exchange is determined by the interaction of the supply and demand
for a particular foreign currency. In figure 4.4.1, the demand curve (D$) and supply curve
(S$ )of dollars intersect to determine equilibrium exchange rate eeq with Qe as the equilibrium
quantity of dollars exchanged.
that when one currency depreciates against another, the second currency must
simultaneously appreciate against the first.
To put it more clearly:
• Home-currency depreciation (which is the same as foreign-currency appre-
ciation) takes place when there is an increase in the home currency price of the
foreign currency (or, alternatively, a decrease in the foreign currency price of
the home currency). The home currency thus becomes relatively less valuable.
• Home-currency appreciation or foreign-currency depreciation takes place
when there is a decrease in the home currency price of foreign currency (or
alternatively, an increase in the foreign currency price of home currency). The
home currency thus becomes relatively more valuable.
Under a floating rate system, if for any reason, the demand curve for foreign
currency shifts to the right representing increased demand for foreign currency,
and supply curve remains unchanged, then the exchange value of foreign currency
rises and the domestic currency depreciates in value. This is illustrated in figure
4.4.2.
Figure 4.4.2
Home-Currency Depreciation under Floating Exchange Rates
The market reaches equilibrium at point E with equilibrium exchange rate e eq. An
increase in domestic demand for the foreign currency, with supply of dollars
remaining constant, is represented by a rightward shift of the demand curve to D1$.
The equilibrium exchange rate rises to e1. It means that more units of domestic
currency (here Indian Rupees) are required to buy a unit of foreign exchange
(dollar) and that the domestic currency (the Rupee) has depreciated.
We shall now examine what happens when there is an increase in the supply of
dollars in the Indian market. This is illustrated in figure 4.4.3.
Figure 4.4.3
Home-Currency Appreciation under Floating Exchange Rates
An increase in the supply of foreign exchange shifts the supply curve to the right
to S1 $ and as a consequence, the exchange rate declines to e1. It means, that lesser
units of domestic currency (here Indian Rupees) are required to buy a unit of
foreign exchange (dollar), and that the domestic currency (the Rupee) has
appreciated.
As we are aware, in an open economy, firms and households use exchange rates to
translate foreign prices into domestic currency terms. Exchange rates also permit
us to compare the prices of goods and services produced in different countries.
Furthermore, import or export prices could be expressed in terms of the same
currency in the trading contract. This is the reason why exchange rate movements
can affect intentional trade flows.
(i) Exchange rates have a very significant role in determining the nature and
extent of a country's trade. Changes in import and export prices will lead to
changes in import and export volumes, causing changes in import spending
and export revenue.
(ii) Fluctuations in the exchange rate affect the economy by changing the relative
prices of domestically-produced and foreign-produced goods and services. All
else equal (or other things remaining the same), an appreciation of a country’s
currency raises the relative price of its exports and lowers the relative price of
its imports. Conversely, a depreciation lowers the relative price of a country’s
exports and raises the relative price of its imports. When a country’s currency
depreciates, foreigners find that its exports are cheaper and domestic residents
find that imports from abroad are more expensive. An appreciation has
opposite effects i.e foreigners pay more for the country’s products and
domestic consumers pay less for foreign products. For example; assume that
there is devaluation or depreciation of Indian Rupee from $1=Rs 65/ to
$1=Rs 70/.A foreigner who spends ten dollars on buying Indian goods will,
post devaluation, get goods worth Rs.700/ instead of Rs 650/ prior to
depreciation. An importer has to pay for his purchases in foreign currency, and,
therefore, a resident of India, who wants to import goods worth $1 will have to
pay Rs 70/ instead of Rs 65/ prior to depreciation. Importers will be affected
most as they will have to pay more rupees on importing products. On the
contrary, exporters will be benefitted as goods exported abroad will fetch
dollars which can now be converted to more rupees.
(iii) Exchange rate changes affect economic activity in the domestic economy. A
depreciation of domestic currency primarily increases the price of foreign
goods relative to goods produced in the home country and diverts spending
from foreign goods to domestic goods. Increased demand, both for domestic
import-competing goods and for exports encourages economic activity and
creates output expansion. Overall, the outcome of exchange rate depreciation
is an expansionary impact on the economy at an aggregate level. The positive
effect of currency depreciation, however, largely depends on whether the
switching of demand has taken place in the right direction and in the right
amount, as well as on the capacity of the home economy to meet the additional
demand by supplying more goods to meet the increased domestic demand.
(iv) By lowering export prices, currency depreciation helps increase the
international competitiveness of domestic industries, increases the volume of
exports and promotes trade balance. However, a point to be noted is that the
price changes in exports and imports may counterbalance or offset each other
only if trade is in balance and terms of trade are not changed. In case the
country’s imports exceed exports, the net result is a reduction in real income
within the country.
(v) We have seen above that by changing the relative prices, depreciation may
increase windfall profits in export and import-competing industries. However,
depreciation may also cause contractionary effects. We shall see how it may
happen. In an under developed or semi industrialized country, where - inputs
(such as oil) and components for manufacturing are mostly imported and
cannot be domestically produced, increased import prices will increase firms’
cost of production , push domestic prices up and decrease real output.
(vi) For an economy where exports are significantly high, a depreciated currency
would mean a lot of gain. In addition, if exports originate from labour-intensive
industries, increased export prices will have positive effect employment
income and potentially on wages.
(vii) Depreciation is also likely to add to consumer price inflation in the short run,
directly through its effect on prices of imported consumer goods and also due
to increased demand for domestic goods. The impact will be greater if the
composition of domestic consumption baskets consists more of imported
goods. Indirectly, cost push inflation may result through possible escalation in
the cost of imported inputs. In such an inflationary situation, the central bank
of the country will have no incentive to cut policy rates as this is likely to
increase the burden of all types of borrowers including businesses.
(viii) When a country’s currency depreciates, production for exports and of import
substitutes become more profitable. Therefore, factors of production will be
induced to move into the tradable goods sectors and out of the non tradable
goods sectors. The reverse will be true when the currency appreciates. These
types of resource movements involve economic wastes.
(ix) A depreciation or devaluation is also likely to affect a country’s terms of trade.
(Terms of trade is the ratio of the price of a country’s export commodity to the
price of its import commodity) Since the prices of both exports and imports
rise in terms of the domestic currency as a result of depreciation or devaluation,
the terms of trade of the nation can rise , fall or remain unchanged, depending
on whether price of exports rises by more than , less than or same percentages
as price of imports.
(x) The fiscal health of a country whose currency depreciates is likely to be affected
with rising export earnings and import payments and consequent impact on
current account balance. A widening current account deficit is a danger signal
as far as growth prospects of the overall economy is concerned. If export
earnings rise faster than the imports spending then current account will
improve otherwise not.
(xi) Companies that have borrowed in foreign exchange through external
commercial borrowings (ECBs) but have been careless and did not sufficiently
hedge these loans against foreign exchange risks would also be negatively
impacted as they would require more domestic currency to repay their loans.
A depreciated domestic currency would also increase their debt burden and
lower their profits and impact their balance sheets adversely. These would
signal investors who will be discouraged from investing in such companies.
(xii) Countries with foreign currency denominated government debts, currency
depreciation will increase the interest burden and cause strain to the exchequer
for repaying and servicing foreign debt. Fortunately, India’s has small
proportion of public debt in foreign currency.
(xiii) Exchange rate fluctuations make financial forecasting more difficult for firms
and larger amounts will have to be earmarked for insuring against exchange
rate risks through hedging.
(xiv) With growth of investments across international boundaries, exchange rates
have assumed special significance. Investors who have purchased a foreign
asset, or the corporation which floats a foreign debt, will find themselves facing
foreign exchange risk. Exchange rate movements have become the single most
important factor affecting the value of investments on an international level.
They are critical to business volumes, profit forecasts, investment plans and
investment outcomes. Depreciating currency hits investor sentiments and has
radical impact on patterns of international capital flows.
(xv) Foreign investors are likely to be indecisive or highly cautious before investing
in a country which has high exchange rate volatility. Foreign capital inflows are
characteristically vulnerable when local currency weakens. Therefore foreign
portfolio investment flows into debt and equity as well as foreign direct
investment flows are likely to shrink. This shoots up capital account deficits
affecting the country’s fiscal health. If investor sentiments are such that they
anticipate further depreciation, there may be large scale withdrawal of
portfolio investments and huge redemptions through global exchange traded
the domestic aggregate demand falls and, therefore, economic growth is likely
to be negatively impacted.
(ii) The outcome of appreciation also depends on the stage of the business cycle
as well. If appreciation sets in during the recessionary phase, the result would
be a further fall in aggregate demand and higher levels of unemployment. If
the economy is facing a boom, an appreciation of domestic currency would
trim down inflationary pressures and soften the rate of growth of the economy.
(iii) An appreciation may cause reduction in the levels of inflation because imports
are cheaper. Lower price of imported capital goods, components and raw
materials lead to decrease in cost of production which reflects on decrease in
prices. Additionally, decrease in aggregate demand tends to lower demand pull
inflation. Living standards of people are likely to improve due to availability of
cheaper consumer goods.
(iv) With increasing export prices, the competitiveness of domestic industry is
adversely affected and, therefore, firms have greater incentives to introduce
technological innovations and capital intensive production to cut costs to
remain competitive.
(v) Increasing imports and declining exports are liable to cause larger deficits and
worsen the current account. However, - the impact of appreciation on current
account depends upon the elasticity of demand for exports and imports.
Relatively inelastic demand for imports and exports may lead to an
improvement in the current account position. Higher the price elasticity of
demand for exports , greater would be the fall in demand and higher will be
the fall in the aggregate value of exports. This will adversely affect the current
account balance.
(vi) Loss of competitiveness will be insignificant if currency appreciation is because
of strong fundamentals of the economy.
From the discussions in this unit, we understand that all countries would desire to
have steady exchange rates to eliminate the risks and uncertainties associated with
international trade and investments. However, nations may sometimes go in for
tradeoffs with weaker exchange rate to stimulate exports and aggregate demand,
or a stronger exchange rate to fight inflation. Learners may keep themselves well-
informed on contemporary exchange rate developments and their implications on
the economic welfare of countries.
SUMMARY
• Exchange rate is the rate at which the currency of one country exchanges for
the currency of another country
• A direct quote (European Currency Quotation) is the number of units of a local
currency exchangeable for one unit of a foreign currency. For example, Rs
65/US$
• An indirect quote (American Currency Quotation).is the number of units of a
foreign currency exchangeable for one unit of local currency; for example: $
0.0151 per rupee.
• In a direct quotation, the foreign currency is the base currency and the
domestic currency is the counter currency. In an indirect quotation, the
domestic currency is the base currency and the foreign currency is the counter
currency
• The rate between Y and Z which is derived from the given rates of another set
of two pairs of currency (say, X and Y, and, X and Z) is called cross rate.
• An exchange rate regime is the system by which a country manages its currency
in respect to foreign currencies.
• There are two major types of exchange rate regimes at the extreme ends;
namely floating exchange rate regime, (also called a flexible exchange rate)
and fixed exchange rate regime
• Under floating exchange rate regime the equilibrium value of the exchange
rate of a country’s currency is market determined i.e the demand for and supply
of currency relative to other currencies determines the exchange rate.
• A fixed exchange rate, also referred to as pegged exchanged rate, is
an exchange rate regime under which a country’s government announces, or
decrees, what its currency will be worth in terms of either another country’s
currency or a basket of currencies or another measure of value, such as gold.
• A central bank may implement soft peg policy under which the exchange rate
is generally determined by the market, or a hard peg where the central bank
sets a fixed and unchanging value for the exchange rate
• A fixed exchange rate avoids currency fluctuations and eliminates exchange
rate risks and transaction costs, enhances international trade and investment
and lowers the levels of inflation. But, the central bank has to maintain an
• Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER) is the nominal effective exchange rate (a
measure of the value of a currency against a weighted average of various
foreign currencies) divided by a price deflator or index of costs.
• The wide-reaching collection of markets and institutions that handle the
exchange of foreign currencies is known as the foreign exchange market. Being
an over-the-counter market, it is not a physical place; rather, it is an
electronically linked network bringing buyers and sellers together and has only
very narrow spreads
• On account of arbitrage, regardless of physical location, at any given moment,
all markets tend to have the same exchange rate for a given currency. Arbitrage
refers to the practice of making risk-less profits by intelligently exploiting price
differences of an asset at different dealing places.
• There are two types of transactions in a forex market: current transactions
which are carried out in the spot market and contracts to buy or sell currencies
for future delivery which are carried out in forward and futures markets
• Usually, the supply of and demand for foreign exchange in the domestic
foreign exchange market determine the external value of the domestic
currency, or in other words, a country’s exchange rate.
• Changes in exchange rates portray depreciation or appreciation of one
currency. The terms, ‘currency appreciation’ and ‘currency
depreciation’ describe the movements of the exchange rate.
• Currency appreciates when its value increases with respect to the value of
another currency or a basketof other currencies. On the contrary, currency
depreciates when its value falls with respect to the value of another currency
or a basket of other currencies.
• Devaluation is a deliberate downward adjustment by central bank in the value
of a country's currency relative to another currency, group of currencies or
standard.
• An appreciation of a country’s currency cause changes in import and export
prices will lead to changes in import and export volumes, causing resulting in
import spending and export earnings
• Exchange rate depreciation lowers the relative price of a country’s exports,
raises the relative price of its imports, increases demand both for domestic
import-competing goods and for exports, leads to output expansion,
encourages economic activity, increases the international competitiveness of
domestic industries ,increases the volume of exports and improves trade
balance.
• Currency appreciation raises the price of exports, decrease exports; increase
imports, adversely affect the competitiveness of domestic industry, cause
larger deficits and worsens the trade balance.
(c) The demand curve for dollars shifts to the right and Indian Rupee
depreciates
(d) The demand curve for dollars shifts to the left and leads to an increase in
exchange rate
3. ‘The nominal exchange rate is expressed in units of one currency per unit of
the other currency. A real exchange rate adjusts this for changes in price levels’.
The statements are
(a) wholly correct
(b) partially correct
(c) wholly incorrect
(d) None of the above
4. Match the following by choosing the term which has the same meaning
ANSWERS/HINTS
I Multiple Choice Type Questions
1. (b) 2. (c) 3. (a) 4. (d) 5. (c) 6 (d)
7. (a) 8. (b) 9. (c) 10. (d)
II Short Answer Type Questions
1. The price of one currency expressed in terms of units of another currency-
represents the number of units of one currency that exchanges for a unit of
another
2. A direct quote (European Currency Quotation) is the number of units of a local
currency exchangeable for one unit of a foreign currency. For example, Rs
66/US$. An indirect quote (American Currency Quotation).is the number of
units of a foreign currency exchangeable for one unit of local currency; for
example: $ 0.0151 per rupee.
3. The rate between Y and Z which is derived from the given rates of another set
of two pairs of currency (say, X and Y, and, X and Z) is called “cross rate”.
4. An exchange rate regime is the system by which a country manages its currency
in respect to foreign currencies.
5. There are two major types of exchange rate regimes at the extreme ends;
namely floating exchange rate regime, (also called a flexible exchange rate)
and fixed exchange rate regime
6. Under floating exchange rate regime the equilibrium value of the exchange
rate of a country’s currency is market determined i.e the demand for and supply
of currency relative to other currencies determines the exchange rate.
7. A fixed exchange rate, also referred to as pegged exchanged rate, is
an exchange rate regime under which a country’s government or central bank
announces, or decrees, what its currency will be worth in terms of either
another country’s currency or a basket of currencies or another measure of
value, such as gold.
8. A floating exchange rate allows a government to pursue its own independent
monetary policy and there is no need of market intervention or maintenance
of reserves.
9. The volatile exchange rates generate a lot of uncertainties in relation to
international transactions
10. The ‘real exchange rate' incorporates changes in prices and describes ‘how
many’ of a good or service in one country can be traded for ‘one’ of that good
or service in a foreign country.
Domestic price Index
Real exchange rate = Nominal exchange rate X
Foreign price Index
11. Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER) is the nominal effective exchange rate (a
measure of the value of a currency against a weighted average of various
foreign currencies) divided by a price deflator or index of costs.
12. The wide-reaching collection of markets and institutions that handle the
exchange of foreign currencies is known as the foreign exchange market. Being
an over-the-counter market, it is not a physical place; rather, it is an
electronically linked network bringing buyers and sellers together and has only
very narrow spreads.
13. Arbitrage refers to the practice of making risk-less profits by intelligently
exploiting price differences of an asset at different dealing places. On account
of arbitrage, regardless of physical location, at any given moment, all markets
tend to have the same exchange rate for a given currency.
14. There are two types of transactions in a forex market ; current transactions
which are carried out in the spot market and contracts to buy or sell currencies
for future delivery which are carried out in forward and futures markets
15. Currency appreciates when its value increases with respect to the value of
another currency or a basket of other currencies. On the contrary, currency
depreciates when its value falls with respect to the value of another currency
or a basket of other currencies.
16. Devaluation is a deliberate downward adjustment in the value of a country's
currency relative to another currency, group of currencies or standard.
IV Application Oriented Question
I. (i) Higher demand in Sherry Land for foreign exchange (say $) to make
development imports for industrialization ; coupled with no proportionate
increase in supply on account of meager inflow of foreign exchange
consequent on stagnant exports for more than a decade, lead to rise in
exchange rate and depreciation in the value of domestic currency.
(ii) Increased demand for foreign exchange in Australia; the domestic currency
depreciates
(iii) Increased demand for foreign exchange ; Roseland’s domestic currency
depreciates
(iv) International capital outflow: demand for foreign currency-outflow of
foreign exchange , depreciation of domestic currency
II. (i) The spot exchange rate changes from Rs 61/ 1$ to Rs 64/1$. It implies
depreciation of Rupee and appreciation of Dollar. Exports become cheaper
and more attractive to foreigners; imports will be discouraged as they
become costlier to import.
(ii) The spot exchange rate changes from Rs 66/ 1$ to Rs 63/1$. This means
that Rupee has appreciated in value and dollar has depreciated. Exports
become costlier and so demand for Indian exports may fall; imports
become cheaper.
III. (i) The spot exchange rate between AUD and USD will not be affected as
increased demand for foreign currency in each country will be matched by
a proportionate increase in the supply of foreign exchange.
(ii) Investors in Australia would demand more USD for making dollar
denominated financial investments in the US. Supply of US dollars
remaining the same, being in floating rate, AUD will depreciate and USD
will appreciate.
(iii) Large scale shift of Australian financial investments back to home due to
political uncertainties in the US would result in large scale sale of financial
assets and capital outflow from the US. This will lead to more inflow of US
dollars to Australia and demand remaining the same, depreciation in the
value of USD viz a viz AUD.
(iv) Ban of exports to the US reduces USD inflows to Australia; demand for USD
remaining the same, AUD may depreciate.
LEARNING OUTCOMES
International Trade
FDI FPI
5.1 INTRODUCTION
In unit one, our focus was on international trade in goods and services. of late, we
find enormous increase in international movement of capital. This phenomenon has
received a great deal of attention from not just economists and policy-makers but
people in different walks of life including workers’ organisations and members of
the civil society. In this unit, we shall look into international capital movements;
more precisely into why do capital move across national boundaries and what are
the consequences of such capital movements. We shall also briefly touch upon the
FDI situation in India.
(vi) desire to procure a promising foreign firm to avoid future competition and
the possible loss of export markets
(vii) risk diversification so that recessions or downturns may be experienced with
reduced severity
(viii) shared common language or common boundaries and possible saving in
time and transport costs because of geographical proximity
(ix) necessity to retain complete control over its trade patents and to ensure
consistent quality and service or for creating monopolies in a global context
(x) promoting optimal utilization of physical, human, financial and other
resources
(xi) desire to capture large and rapidly growing high potential emerging markets
with substantially high and growing population
(xii) ease of penetration into the markets of those countries that have established
import restrictions such as blanket bans, high customs duties or non-tariff
barriers which make it difficult for the foreign firm to sell in the host-country
market by ‘getting behind the tariff wall’.
(xiii) lower environmental standards in the host country and the consequent
relative savings in costs
(xiv) stable political environment and overall favourable investment climate in the
host country
(xv) higher degree of openness to foreign capital exhibited by the recipient
country and the prevalence of preferential investment systems such as
special economic zones to encourage direct foreign investments
(xvi) the strategy to obtain control of strategic raw material or resource so as to
ensure their uninterrupted supply at the lowest possible price; usually a form
of vertical integration
(xvii) desire to secure access to minerals or raw material deposits located
elsewhere and earn profits through processing them to finished form
(Eg.FDI in petroleum)
(xviii) the existence of low relative wages in the host country because of relative
labour abundance coupled with shortage and high cost of labour in capital
exporting countries, especially when the production process is labour
intensive.
(xix) lower level of economic efficiency in host countries and identifiable gaps in
development
(xx) tax differentials and tax policies of the host country which support direct
investment. However, a low tax burden cannot compensate for a generally
fragile and unattractive FDI environment
(xxi) inevitability of defensive investments in order to preserve a firm’s
competitive position
(xxii) high gross domestic product and high per capita income coupled with their
high rate of growth . There are also other philanthropic objectives such as
strengthening of socio-economic infrastructure, alleviation of poverty and
maintenance of ecological balance of the host country ,and
(xxiii) prevalence of high standards of social amenities and possibility of good
quality of life in the host country
Table 4.5.2
Host Country Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment
15. Better work culture and higher productivity standards brought in by foreign
firms may possibly induce productivity related awareness and may also
contribute to overall human resources development.
4. Often, the foreign firms may partly finance their domestic investments by
borrowing funds in the host country's capital market. This action can raise
interest rates in the host country and lead to a decline in domestic investments
through ‘crowding-out’ effect. Moreover, suppliers of funds in developing
economies would prefer foreign firms due to perceived lower risks and such
shifts of funds may divert capital away from investments which are crucial for
the development needs of the country.
5. The expected benefits from easing of the balance of payments situation might
remain unrealised or narrowed down due to the likely instability in the balance
of payments and the exchange rate. Obviously, FDI brings in more foreign
exchange, improves the balance of payments and raises the value of the host
country's currency in the exchange markets. However, when imported inputs
need to be obtained or when profits are repatriated, a strain is placed on the
host country's balance of payments and the home currency leading to its
depreciation. Such instabilities jeopardize long-term economic planning.
Foreign corporations also have a tendency to use their usual input suppliers
which can lead to increased imports. Also, large scale repatriation of profits
can be stressful on the balance of payments.
6. Jobs that require expertise and entrepreneurial skills for creative decision
making may generally be retained in the home country and therefore the host
country is left with routine management jobs that demand only lower levels of
skills and ability. The argument of possible human resource development and
acquisition of new innovative skills through FDI may not be realized in reality.
7. High profit orientation of foreign direct investors tend to promote a distorted
pattern of production and investment such that production could get
concentrated on items of elite and popular consumption and on non-essential
items.
8. Foreign entities are usually accused of being anti-ethical as they frequently
resort to methods like aggressive advertising and anticompetitive practices
which would induce market distortions.
9. A large foreign firm with deep pockets may undercut a competitive local
industry because of various advantages (such as in technology) possessed by
it and may even drive out domestic firms from the industry resulting in serious
problems of displacement of labour. The foreign firms may also exercise a
high degree of market power and exist as monopolists with all the
accompanying disadvantages of monopoly. The high growth of wages in
The overseas investments have been primarily driven by resource seeking, market
seeking or technology seeking motives. Many Indian IT firms like Tata Consultancy
Services, Infosys, WIPRO, and Satyam acquired global contracts and established
overseas offices in developed economies to be close to their key clients. Of late,
there has been a surge in resource seeking overseas investments by Indian
companies, especially to acquire energy resources in Australia, Indonesia and
Africa. Indian entrepreneurs are also choosing investment destinations in countries
such as Mauritius, Singapore, British Virgin Islands, and the Netherlands on account
of higher tax benefits they provide.
At present, any Indian investor can make overseas direct investment in any bona-
fide activity except in certain real estate activities. This has been made possible by
progressive relaxation of the capital controls and simplification of procedures for
outbound investments from India. For example, the annual overseas investment
ceiling to establish joint ventures (JV) and wholly owned subsidiaries has been
raised to US$ 125,000 from US$ 75,000. The RBI has also relaxed norms for foreign
investment by Indian corporates by raising the borrowing limit.
Policies in respect of foreign investments undergo far reaching changes from time
to time. (Learners are expected to keep pace with the modifications in government
policy in respect of inbound and outbound foreign investments).
SUMMARY
• Foreign capital may flow into an economy in different ways, such as foreign
aid, grants, borrowings, deposits from non-resident Indians, investments in the
form of foreign portfolio investment (FPI) and foreign direct investment (FDI)
• Foreign direct investment is defined as a process whereby the resident of one
country (i.e. home country) acquires ownership of an asset in another country
(i.e. the host country) and such movement of capital involves ownership,
control as well as management of the asset in the host country.
• Direct investments are real investments in factories, assets, land, inventories
etc. and have three components, viz., equity capital, reinvested earnings and
other direct capital in the form of intra-company loans. FDI may be categorized
as horizontal, vertical or conglomerate.
• Foreign portfolio investment is the flow of ‘financial capital’ with stake in a firm at
below 10 percent, and does not involve manufacture of goods or provision of
services, ownership management or control of the asset on the part of the investor.
• The main reasons for foreign direct investment are profits, higher rate of return,
2. Define foreign direct investment (FDI). What are the features of FDI?
3. What are the characteristics of foreign portfolio investments (FPI)?
4. Describe the factors influencing foreign direct investments?
5. Enumerate the host country determinants of foreign direct investment?
6. What are the factors in the host country that discourage inflow of foreign
investments?
7. Explain the different modes of effecting foreign direct investment (FDI)?
8. What are the benefits of foreign direct investments to the host country?
9. Critically examine the general arguments put forth against entry of foreign
capital
10. Write a note on foreign direct investment in India
11. Give an account of overseas direct investments by Indian companies?
12. Distinguish between foreign direct investment and foreign institutional
investment?
13. Elucidate the potential costs and benefits of foreign direct investment?
14. Explain the state of affairs of foreign direct investment in India
15. What are the grounds on which the opponents of foreign investments criticise
the flow of FDI to developing countries?
16. Mention two arguments made in favour of FDI to developing economies like
India? Illustrate your answer
17. Which are the sectors in India where FDI is prohibited? Why?
18. “Foreign capital is not a bag of unmixed blessings as far as its impact on the
host country is concerned”. Comment on this statement.
IV Application Oriented Questions
1. Which of the following is a FDI?
(i) Claram Joe, a German investor buys 5000 shares of Ford, a US Automobile
company.
(ii) Annette D, the US Company acquires all the equity shares of Emeline & Co
in Alice Land which makes computer components.
(iii) A Bulgarian investor Boryana Gergiev pays cash and buys 0.2 % of all
outstanding equity shares of Mariette company which makes computer
peripherals
(iv) Maansi Tech solutions purchase 52% stake in a Sarra, a Jamaican
technology firm
(v) Kora extends a loan to Christa Victorine, a power producing firm in which
it holds 60 percent of equity
(vi) Augusta Corp lends pounds 10 million to Lee Sud, a Dutch parts making
firm in which it holds 79 percent of equity
(vii) Labour group in your country oppose the flow of FDI into the country on
grounds of perceived inequities consequent on FDI. What are their
arguments?
(viii) Beth & Sushil are members of the committee for resolution of the issue
cited under What arguments would they put forth to convince the labour
groups of the welfare implications for labour that may arise from FDI?
ANSWERS/HINTS
I Multiple Choice Type Questions
1. (c) 2. (d) 3. (c) 4. (c) 5. (a) 6 (b) 7. (d) 8. (d) 9. (c)
10. (c)
II Short Answer Type Questions
1. Foreign aid or assistance, multilateral aid from international organizations like
the World Bank, borrowings of all types; such as, soft loans, external
commercial borrowings, deposits from NRIs, and investments both FPI and FDI.
2. All investments involving a long term relationship and reflecting a lasting
interest and control of a resident entity in one economy in an enterprise
resident in an economy other than that of the direct investor and occur through
acquisition of more than 10 percent of the shares of the target asset.
3. FDI has three components, viz., equity capital, reinvested earnings and other
direct capital in the form of intra-company loans.
4. A horizontal direct investment is said to take place when the investor
establishes the same type of business operation in a foreign country as it
operates in its home country, whereas a vertical investment is one under
which the investor establishes or acquires a business activity in a foreign
country which is different from the investor’s main business activity, yet in
some way supplements its major activity.
5. Foreign portfolio investment is the flow of ‘financial capital’ rather than ‘real
capital’ and does not involve ownership, control, or management on the part
of the investor.
6. The main forms of direct investments are: the opening of overseas companies,
including the establishment of subsidiaries or branches, creation of joint
ventures on a contract basis, joint development of natural resources and
purchase or annexation of companies in the country receiving foreign capital.
7. Direct investments through ‘automatic route’ do not need any prior approval
either of the Government or of the Reserve Bank of India.
8. Benefits of higher wages, better opportunities for employment and skill
enhancement, increased productivity, adverse effects of displacement due to
use of capital intensive methods, crowding in jobs requiring low skills,
perpetuation of low labour standards and differential treatment.
9. Typically of short term nature with no intention to create capital assets;
tendency to often speedily shift the capital from one country to another with
changes in prospects of returns.
10. Better opportunities for employment, likely to concentrate in less skill requiring
jobs, possible displacement due to use of capital intensive methods
11. Possible state-of-the-art technology transfer, improvement in host country
technology (may be inappropriate for a labour abundant nation). Often
criticized of transferring outdated technology
12. Unequal competition, gainfully outperforms the host country's domestic firms,
tendency to undercut a competitive local industry, may even drive out
domestic firms from the industry, exercise a high degree of market power and
exist as monopolists, high growth of wages in foreign corporations can
influence a similar escalation in the domestic corporations, decreasing
competitiveness, detrimental to the long term interests.
13. Increased competition decreases market power and the chance of formation
of monopolies. However, foreign firms may also act as monopolists.
14. Possible due to capital intensive technology which is inappropriate for a labour
abundant country; displacement of labour if industries fail or are forced to close down
15. Better and more efficient utilization of available resources, but resources are
likely to be unsustainably overexploited causing environmental damage.
16. Policy of import substitution, extensive controls, selective policy
IV Application Oriented Questions
(i) Not FDI because less than 10 percent (which is the globally accepted criterion)
(ii) FDI since 100 percent shares are bought
(iii) Not FDI because an insignificant part of the total stake is acquired
(iv) FDI because it involves more than 10 percent of the company’s shares.
(v) FDI; lending to a company in which Kora has majority stake
(vi) FDI refer (e)above
(vii) Foreign corporates concentrate on capital-intensive methods of production -
so they need to hire only relatively few workers, technology inappropriate for
a labour-abundant country - does not support generation of jobs or address
poverty and unemployment- help accentuate the already existing income
inequalities- jobs that require expertise and entrepreneurial skills for creative
decision making may generally be retained in the home country and therefore
the host country is left with routine management jobs that demand only lower
levels of skills and ability. The argument of possible human resource
development and acquisition of new innovative skills through FDI may not be
realized in reality- may resort to anti-ethical, and anticompetitive practices-
‘off –shoring’, or shifting jobs – negative effects on employment potential of
home country- continuance of lower labour or environmental standards and
ruthless labour and natural resources exploitation.
(viii) FDI will - accelerate growth and foster economic development – bring in
technological know-how, management skills and marketing methods-
generate direct employment in the recipient country- Subsequent FDI as well
as domestic investments propelled in the downstream and upstream projects
that come up in multitude of other services generate multiplier effects on
employment and income - generate indirect employment opportunities--
promote relatively higher wages for skilled jobs- more indirect employment
will be generated to persons in the lower-end services sector occupations
thereby catering to an extent even to the less educated and unskilled engaged
in those units. Better work culture and higher productivity standards- induce
productivity related awareness and may also contribute to overall human
resources development.
48. Credit multiplier: Also referred to as the ‘deposit multiplier’ or the ‘deposit
expansion multiplier’, describes the amount of additional money created
by commercial bank through the process of lending the available money it
has in excess of the central bank's reserve requirements.
49. Cross rate: The rate between Y currency and Z currency derived from the
given rates of the two pairs of currencies (X and Y, and, X and Z).
50. Crowding Out: A decline in one sector’s spending caused by an increase in
some other sector’s spending.
51. Crowding-out effect: the negative effect fiscal policy may generate when
money from the private sector is ‘crowded out’ to the public sector.
52. Currency appreciation: A decrease in the domestic currency price of the
foreign currency in a floating-rate system, which is the same as an increase
in the value of a currency.
53. Currency convertibility: The ability to exchange one national currency for
another without any restriction or limitation.
54. Customs union: A group of countries that eliminate all tariffs on trade
among themselves but maintain a common external tariff on trade with
countries outside the union. Example the European Union (EU).
55. Customs Valuation Agreement: A WTO agreement that specifies rules for
more consistent and reliable customs valuation. It aims to harmonize
customs valuation systems on an international basis by eliminating arbitrary
valuation systems.
56. Deadweight loss: The loss in total surplus that occurs whenever an action
or a policy reduces the quantity transacted below the efficient market
equilibrium quantity.
57. Deficit in the balance of payments: The excess of debits over credits in
the current and capital accounts, or autonomous transactions.
58. Deflation: A state of sustained decrease in prices and increase in
purchasing power of money.
59. Demerit goods: Goods which impose significant negative externalities on
the society as a whole and therefore believed to be socially undesirable.
60. Desired or planned investment: The level of investment expenditures that
business would like to undertake.
74. Escalated tariff structure: The system wherein the nominal tariff rates on
imports of manufactured goods are higher than the nominal tariff rates on
intermediate inputs and raw materials, i.e the tariff on a product increases
as that product moves through the value-added chain.
75. European currency quotation: A direct quote which shows the number of
units of a local currency exchangeable for one unit of a foreign currency. Eg.
$ 1 = Rs.66.12
76. Exchange rate: The rate at which the currency of one country exchanges for
the currency of another country.
77. Expansionary fiscal policy: Policy designed to stimulate the economy
during the contractionary phase of a business cycle; accomplished by
increasing aggregate expenditures and aggregate demand through an
increase in all types of government spending and / or a decrease in taxes.
78. Expansionary monetary policy: Monetary policy that raises aggregate
demand, real income and employment.
79. Expenditure Method: Also called ‘Expenditure Approach’, or ‘Income
Disposal Approach’ a method of estimating national income, measures the
aggregate final expenditure in an economy during an accounting year
composed of final consumption expenditure, gross domestic capital
formation and net exports.
80. Export Subsidies: The granting of tax relief and subsidized inputs to
exporters
81. Export tariff : A tax or duty on exports.
82. External balance: The state of equilibrium in a nation's balance of
payments.
83. Externality: A by-product of consuming or producing a good that affects
someone other than the buyer or seller. These can be external benefits and
external costs.
84. Factor Income Method: Also called ‘Factor Payment Method’ or
‘Distributed Share Method’, under which national income is calculated by
summation of factor incomes paid out by all production units within the
domestic territory of a country as wages and salaries, rent, interest, and
profit.
85. Factor-endowment theory: See Heckscher-Ohlin theory.
86. Factor-price equalization theorem: The part of the H-O theory that
predicts, under highly restrictive assumptions, that international trade will
bring about equalization in relative and absolute returns to homogeneous
factors across nations.
87. Fiat money: Money which has no intrinsic value, but is used as a medium
of exchange because the government has, by law, made it ‘legal tender.’
88. Fiscal multiplier: The response of gross domestic product to an exogenous
change in government expenditures.
89. Fiscal policy: The use of government spending, taxation and borrowing to
influence both the pattern of economic activity and level of growth of
aggregate demand, output and employment.
90. Fixed exchange rate: Also referred to as ‘pegged exchange rate’, is an
exchange rate regime under which a country’s government announces, or
decrees, what its currency will be worth in terms of either another country’s
currency or a basket of currencies or another measure of value, such as
gold.
91. Floating exchange rate: The flexible exchange rate system under which the
exchange rate is always determined by the forces of demand and supply
without any government intervention in foreign exchange markets.
92. Foreign Direct Investment (FDI): The process whereby the resident of one
country (i.e. home country) acquires ownership of an asset in another
country (i.e. the host country) and such movement of capital involves
ownership, control as well as management of the asset in the host country.
93. Foreign exchange futures: A forward contract for standardized currency
amounts and selected calendar dates traded on an organized market
(exchange).
94. Foreign exchange market: The framework for the exchange of one national
currency for another.
95. Foreign exchange options: A contract specifying the right to buy or sell a
standard amount of a traded currency at or before a stated date.
96. Foreign exchange risk: Also called an ‘open position’. The risk resulting
from changes in exchange rates over time and faced by anyone who expects
to make or to receive a payment in a foreign currency at a future date.
97. Foreign portfolio investment: The flow of ‘financial capital’ rather than
‘real capital’ and does not involve manufacture of goods or provision of
services or ownership management or control of the asset on the part of
the investor.
98. Forward rate: The exchange rate quoted in foreign exchange transactions
involving delivery of the foreign exchange on a future date as per the
contract agreed upon.
99. Free rider problem: A problem that results when individuals who have no
incentive to pay for their own consumption of a good take a “free ride” on
anyone who does pay; a problem with goods that are nonexcludable
100. Free trade area: Free-trade area is a group of countries that eliminate all tariff
barriers on trade with each other and retains independence in determining
their tariffs with nonmembers. Examples EFTA, NAFTA, and MERCOSUR.
101. General Agreement on Trade in Services (GATS): A WTO agreement that
provides the general obligations regarding trade in services, such as most-
favoured-nation treatment and transparency.
102. Global public goods: Public goods, with benefits and/or costs that
potentially extend to all countries, people, and generations.
103. Globalization: The increasing integration of economies around the world,
particularly through trade and financial flows and also through the
movement of ideas and people, facilitated by the revolution in
telecommunication and transportation.
104. Government Failure : An outcome that occurs when government’s
intervention is ineffective causing wastage of resources expended for the
intervention and/or when government intervention in the economy to
correct a market failure creates inefficiency and leads to misallocation of
scarce resources.
105. Gross Domestic Product (GDP): The total income earned domestically,
including the income earned by foreign-owned factors of production. May
be expressed at constant prices or at current prices.
106. Gross National Product (GNP): The total income of all residents of a
nation, including the income from factors of production used abroad; ie the
total expenditure on the nation’s output of goods and services.
107. Hard peg: An exchange rate policy where the central bank sets a fixed and
unchanging value for the exchange rate.
108. Heckscher-Ohlin (H-O) theorem: The theory that postulates that a nation
will export the commodity intensive in its relatively abundant and cheap
factor and import the commodity intensive in its relatively scarce and
expensive factor.
109. Hedging: The avoidance of a foreign exchange risk (or the covering of an
open position).
110. High powered money see Reserve Money ,Base money
111. Home-currency appreciation or foreign-currency depreciation: Takes
place when there is a decrease in the home currency price of foreign
currency (or alternatively, an increase in the foreign currency price of home
currency). The home currency thus becomes relatively more valuable.
112. Home-currency depreciation or foreign-currency appreciation: Takes
place when there is an increase in the home currency price of the foreign
currency (or, alternatively, a decrease in the foreign currency price of the
home currency). The home currency thus becomes relatively less valuable.
113. Import Quota: A direct restriction which specifies that only a certain
physical amount of the good will be allowed into the country during a given
time period, usually one year.
114. Import tariff: A tax or duty on imports.
115. Income Method: The national income is calculated by summation of factor
incomes paid out by all production units within the domestic territory of a
country as wages and salaries, rent, interest, and profit. Transfer incomes
are excluded.
116. Inflation targeting: A monetary policy under which the central bank
announces a specific target, or target range, for the inflation rate.
117. Inflation: A general increase in prices and fall in the value or purchasing
power of money.
118. Intellectual property rights: The exclusive rights granted to the creators
of intellectual property, and include trademarks, copyright, patents,
industrial design rights etc.
119. Inter-bank money market: A very short-term money market, which allows
financial institutions such as banks, to borrow and lend money at interbank
rates.
120. Investment function: The relationship between investment expenditures
and income.
121. Investment multiplier (k): The ratio of change in national income (∆Y)
due to change in investment (∆I)
122. Kennedy Round: The multilateral trade negotiations that were completed
in 1967 under which agreement was reached to reduce average tariff duties
on industrial products by 35 percent.
123. Keynesian cross: A simple model of income determination, based on the
ideas in Keynes’s ‘General Theory’, which shows how changes in spending
can have a multiplied effect on aggregate income.
124. Keynesian model: A model derived from the ideas of Keynes’s ‘General
Theory’; a model based on the assumptions that wages and prices do not
adjust to clear markets and that aggregate demand determines the
economy’s output and employment.
125. Laissez-faire: The policy of minimum government interference in or
regulation of economic activity, advocated by Adam Smith and other
classical economists.
126. Liquidity Adjustment Facility (LAF): Facility under which the RBI
provides financial accommodation to the commercial banks through
repos/reverse repos. Instituted on the basis of the recommendations of
Narsimham committee on banking sector reforms.
127. Local content requirements: The mandate that a specified fraction of a
final good should be produced domestically.
128. M1: Also called ‘Narrow Money’ is a measure of money supply =Currency
and coins with the people + demand deposits of banks (Current and
Saving accounts) + other deposits of the RBI.
129. M2 = M1 + savings deposits with post office savings banks.
130. M3 = Also called ‘Broad Money’ =M1 + net time deposits with the banking
system.
141. MERCOSUR: The South American Common Market that was formed by
Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay, and Uruguay in 1991
142. Merit goods: Goods which are socially desirable and have substantial
positive externalities. They are rival, excludable, limited in supply, rejectable
by those unwilling to pay, and involve positive marginal cost for supplying
to extra users Eg. Education, health care etc.
143. Minimum Support Price (MSP): Guaranteed minimum price as well as
procurement by government agencies at the set support prices to ensure
steady and assured incomes to producers.
144. Mixed tariff: A combination of an ad valorem and a specific tariff.
145. Monetary base: The sum of currency and bank reserves; also called High-
powered money.
146. Monetary Policy Committee (MPC): An empowered six-member panel of
experts in India to determine through debate and majority vote, the
benchmark policy interest rate (repo rate) required to achieve the inflation
target.
147. Monetary Policy Department (MPD): Assists the MPC in formulating the
monetary policy.
148. Monetary Policy Framework Agreement: An agreement reached between
the Government of India and the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on the
maximum tolerable inflation rate that the RBI should target to achieve price
stability.
149. Monetary policy instruments: The various direct and indirect instruments
that a central bank can use to influence money market and credit conditions
and pursue its monetary policy objectives.
150. Monetary policy: The use of monetary policy instruments which are at the
disposal of the central bank to regulate the availability, cost and use of
money and credit so as to promote goals of government's economic policy.
151. Monetary transmission mechanism: The process or channels through
which the evolution of monetary aggregates affects real variables such as
aggregate output and employment.
152. Monetary union: A group of economies that have decided to share a
common currency and thus a common monetary policy.
167. Nominal GDP: Gross Domestic Product (GDP) evaluated at current market
prices and is not inflation adjusted. Therefore nominal values of GDP for
different time periods can differ due to changes in quantities of goods and
services and/or changes in general price levels.
168. Nominal tariff: (such as an ad valorem one) calculated on the price of a
final commodity.
169. Non tariff Measures: Policy measures for restricting trade, other than
ordinary customs tariffs, that can potentially have an economic effect on
international trade in goods, changing quantities traded, or prices or both.
170. Non-excludable goods: Goods in the case of which the supplier cannot
prevent those who do not pay from consuming the good.
171. Non-Profit Institutions Serving Households: Non-profit institutions
which provide goods or services to households for free or at prices that are
not economically significant. Examples include churches and religious
societies, sports and other clubs, trade unions and political parties.
172. Non-rival goods: The same unit of good can be consumed by more
than one person at the same time.
173. North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA): The agreement to
establish a free trade area among the United States, Canada, and Mexico
that came into existence on January 1, 1994.
174. Open-market operations: A general term used for market operations
conducted by the Reserve Bank of India by way of sale/ purchase of
Government securities to/ from the market with an objective to adjust the
rupee liquidity conditions in the market on a durable basis.
175. Opportunity cost: The value of the next-highest-valued alternative use of
that resource that is given up when a decision is made.
176. Over-the-counter market: A decentralized market, without a central
physical location, where market participants trade with one another through
various communication modes.
177. Own account production: Production performed by a business or
government for its own use.
178. Per Capita Income: Income per head; ie total national income divided by
total population.
191. Prohibitive tariff: A tariff sufficiently high to stop all international trade
192. Public borrowing: Borrowing by governments.
193. Public goods: Nonexclusive and nonrival good; the marginal cost of
provision to an additional consumer is zero and people cannot be excluded
from consuming it.
194. Pump priming: When private spending becomes deficient, certain volumes
of public spending will help revive the economy
195. Pure private good: A good that is both rivalrous and excludable.
196. Pure public good: A good that is both nonrival and non excludable.
197. Quantitative Restrictions (QRs): A trade restriction ( also called trade
quota) which places limits on the volume or value of a good or service that
can be improved into a country; frequently resorted to for protecting the
price of domestically produced goods or to decrease or eliminate a trade
deficit.
198. Quantity theory of money: A theory which postulates that the nation's
money supply times the velocity of circulation of money is equal to the
nation's general price index times physical output at full employment.
199. Quasi public goods: Also called ‘near public good’ possess nearly all of the
qualities of private goods and some of the benefits of public good. It is easy
to keep people away from them by charging a price or fee. (for e.g.
education, health services).
200. Real effective exchange rate (REER): The nominal effective exchange
rate (a measure of the value of a currency against a weighted average of
several foreign currencies) divided by a price deflator or index of costs.
Domestic price Index
201. Real exchange rate = Nominal exchange rate X Foreign price Index
202. Real GDP: An inflation-adjusted measure that reflects the value of all goods
and services produced by an economy in a given year, expressed in base-
year prices, and is often referred to as GDP at constant-price, or inflation-
corrected GDP.
203. Recession: Stage of contraction in a business cycle which results in a
general slowdown in economic activity.
204. Recessionary gap: Also known as ‘contractionary gap’, is said to exist if the
existing levels of aggregate production is less than what would be produced
with full employment of resources.
205. Redistribution function: The state’s function to ensure equity and fairness
to promote the wellbeing of all sections of people and achieved through
taxation, public expenditure, regulation and preferential treatment of target
populations.
206. Regional Trade Agreements (RTAs): Groupings of countries (not
necessarily belonging to the same geographical region) which are formed
with the objective of reducing barriers to trade among member countries.
207. Repos: Repurchase Options or ‘Repo’, is an instrument for borrowing funds
by selling securities with an agreement to repurchase the securities on a
mutually agreed future date at an agreed price which includes interest for
the funds borrowed. It is a money market instrument, which enables
collateralised short term borrowing and lending through sale/purchase
operations in debt instruments.
208. Reserve money: Reserve money is comprised of currency held by the
public, cash reserves of banks and other deposits of RBI.
209. Reverse Repo: An instrument for lending funds by purchasing securities
with an agreement to resell the securities on a mutually agreed future date
at an agreed price which includes interest for the funds lent.
210. Rivalrous: Referring to a good, describes the case in which one unit cannot
be consumed by more than one person at the same time.
211. Rules of origin: Criteria used by governments of importing countries to
determine the national source of a product. Their importance is derived
from the fact that duties and restrictions in several cases depend upon the
country of origin of imports.
212. Safeguard Measures: Measures initiated by countries to restrict imports
of a product temporarily if its domestic industry is injured or threatened
with serious injury caused by a surge in imports.
213. Sanitary and Phytosanitary Measures (SPS): Measures provided for in
WTO agreements which can be applied to protect human, animal or plant
life from risks arising from additives, pests, contaminants, toxins or disease-
causing organisms and to protect biodiversity.
214. Saving function: The relationship between saving and income. In general,
saving is negative when income is zero and rises as income rises, in such a
way that the increase in consumption plus the increase in saving equals the
increase in income.
215. Social costs: The total costs to the society on account of a production or
consumption activity. Social costs are private costs borne by individuals
directly involved in a transaction together with the external costs borne by
third parties not directly involved in the transaction. Social Cost = Private
Cost + External Cost.
216. Soft peg: An exchange rate policy under which the exchange rate is
generally determined by the market, but in case the exchange rate tend to
be move speedily in one direction, the central bank will intervene in the
market.
217. Special Drawing Rights (SDRs): International reserves created by the IMF
to supplement other international reserves and distributed to member
nations according to their quotas in the Fund.
218. Specific tariff: An import duty that assigns a fixed sum per physical unit
of the good imported.
219. Speculative motive: People’s desire to hold cash in order to be equipped
to exploit any attractive investment opportunity requiring cash expenditure.
220. Spot exchange rates: The exchange rate in foreign exchange transactions
which are carried out in the spot market and the exchange involves
immediate delivery.
221. Stabilization function: One of the key functions of fiscal policy which aims to eliminate
macroeconomic fluctuations arising from suboptimal allocation.
222. Stabilization policy: Public policy aimed at reducing the severity of short-
run economic fluctuations.
223. Stagflation: The combination of recession or stagnation and increasing
prices or inflation.
224. Statutory Liquidity Ratio (SLR): A stipulated percentage of the total
demand and time liabilities (DTL) / Net DTL (NDTL) of a scheduled
commercial bank in India which it is are required to maintain with RBI in
cash, gold or approved investments in securities.
225. Supply of money: The nation's total money supply which is equal to the
nation's monetary base times the money multiplier.
226. Tariff rate quotas (TRQs): Combine two policy instruments namely, quotas
and tariffs. Imports entering under the specified quota portion are usually
subject to a lower (sometimes zero), tariff rate. Imports above the
quantitative threshold of the quota face a much higher tariff.
227. Tariffs: Also known as customs duties, are taxes or duties imposed on
goods and services which are imported or exported.
228. Theory of liquidity preference: A simple model of the interest rate, based
on the ideas in Keynes’s General Theory, which says that the interest rate
adjusts to equilibrate the supply and demand for real money balances.
229. Tradable emissions permits: The system of marketable permits allocated
among firms, to emit limited quantities of pollutants which can be bought
and sold by polluters. The high polluters have to buy more permits and the
low polluters receive extra revenue from selling their surplus permits.
230. Trade policy: The regulations governing a nation’s commerce or
international trade and encompass all instruments that governments may
use to promote or restrict imports and exports.
231. Trade-Related Aspects of Intellectual Property Rights (TRIPS): A WTO
agreement that stipulates most-favored-nation treatment and national
treatment for intellectual properties, such as copyright, trademarks,
geographical indications, industrial designs, patents etc.
232. Trading bloc: A group of countries that have a free trade agreement among
themselves and may apply a common external tariff to other countries.
233. Tragedy of the commons: The problem of overuse when a good is
rivalrous but non excludable.
234. Transaction demand for money: The demand for active money balances
to carry on business transactions; it varies directly with the level of national
income and the volume of business transactions.
235. Transfer payment: Any Payment from the government to individuals that
are not in exchange for goods and services. Eg. Social Security payments.
236. Trigger price mechanisms: The quick responses of affected importing
countries upon confirmation of trade distortion to offset the distortion.