FRM 2018 Lobs PDF
FRM 2018 Lobs PDF
FRM 2018 Lobs PDF
FRM
LEARNING OBJECTIVES
®
LEARNING OBJECTIVES
Part I
2018 Financial Risk Manager (FRM®) Learning Objectives Part I
The readings that you should focus on for this section and the specific learning objectives that should be achieved with
each reading are:
Michel Crouhy, Dan Galai, and Robert Mark, The Essentials of Risk Management, 2nd Edition (New York, NY:
McGraw-Hill, 2014).
Chapter 1. Risk Management: A Helicopter View (Including Appendix 1.1) [FRM–1]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Explain the concept of risk and compare risk management with risk taking.
• Describe the risk management process and identify problems and challenges that can arise in the risk
management process.
• Evaluate and apply tools and procedures used to measure and manage risk, including quantitative measures,
qualitative assessment, and enterprise risk management.
• Distinguish between expected loss and unexpected loss, and provide examples of each.
• Interpret the relationship between risk and reward and explain how conflicts of interest can impact
risk management.
• Describe and differentiate between the key classes of risks, explain how each type of risk can arise, and assess the
potential impact of each type of risk on an organization.
James Lam, Enterprise Risk Management: From Incentives to Controls, 2nd Edition (Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley &
Sons, 2014).
Chapter 4. What is ERM? [FRM–4]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Describe Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) and compare and contrast differing definitions of ERM.
• Compare the benefits and costs of ERM and describe the motivations for a firm to adopt an ERM initiative.
• Describe the role and responsibilities of a Chief Risk Officer (CRO) and assess how the CRO should interact with
other senior management.
• Distinguish between components of an ERM program.
René Stulz, “Risk Management, Governance, Culture and Risk Taking in Banks,” FRBNY Economic Policy Review,
(August 2016): 43-59. [FRM–5]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Assess methods that banks can use to determine their optimal level of risk exposure, and explain how the optimal
level of risk can differ across banks.
• Describe implications for a bank if it takes too little or too much risk compared to its optimal level.
• Explain ways in which risk management can add or destroy value for a bank.
• Describe structural challenges and limitations to effective risk management, including the use of VaR in
setting limits.
• Assess the potential impact of a bank’s governance, incentive structure, and risk culture on its risk profile and
its performance.
Steve Allen, Financial Risk Management: A Practitioner’s Guide to Managing Market and Credit Risk, 2nd Edition
(New York, NY: John Wiley & Sons, 2013).
Chapter 4. Financial Disasters [FRM–6]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Analyze the key factors that led to and derive the lessons learned from the following risk management case studies:
-- Chase Manhattan and their involvement with Drysdale Securities
-- Kidder Peabody
-- Barings
-- Allied Irish Bank
-- Union Bank of Switzerland (UBS)
-- Société Générale
-- Long Term Capital Management (LTCM)
-- Metallgesellschaft
-- Bankers Trust
-- JPMorgan, Citigroup, and Enron
Markus K. Brunnermeier, 2009. “Deciphering the Liquidity and Credit Crunch 2007—2008,” Journal of Economic
Perspectives 23:1, 77—100. [FRM–7]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Describe the key factors that led to the housing bubble.
• Explain the banking industry trends leading up to the liquidity squeeze and assess the triggers for the
liquidity crisis.
• Explain the purposes and uses of credit default swaps.
• Describe how securitized and structured products were used by investor groups and describe the consequences of
their increased use.
• Describe how the financial crisis triggered a series of worldwide financial and economic consequences.
• Distinguish between funding liquidity and market liquidity and explain how the evaporation of liquidity can lead to a
financial crisis.
• Analyze how an increase in counterparty credit risk can generate additional funding needs and possible
systemic risk.
Gary Gorton and Andrew Metrick, 2012. “Getting Up to Speed on the Financial Crisis: A One-Weekend-Reader’s
Guide,” Journal of Economic Literature 50:1, 128—150. [FRM–8]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Distinguish between triggers and vulnerabilities that led to the financial crisis and their contributions to the crisis.
• Describe the main vulnerabilities of short-term debt especially repo agreements and commercial paper.
• Assess the consequences of the Lehman failure on the global financial markets.
• Describe the historical background leading to the recent financial crisis.
• Distinguish between the two main panic periods of the financial crisis and describe the state of the
markets during each.
• Assess the governmental policy responses to the financial crisis and review their short-term impact.
• Describe the global effects of the financial crisis on firms and the real economy.
René Stulz, “Risk Management Failures: What Are They and When Do They Happen?” Fisher College of Business
Working Paper Series, October 2008. [FRM–9]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Explain how a large financial loss may not necessarily be evidence of a risk management failure.
• Analyze and identify instances of risk management failure.
• Explain how risk management failures can arise in the following areas: measurement of known risk exposures,
identification of risk exposures, communication of risks, and monitoring of risks.
• Evaluate the role of risk metrics and analyze the shortcomings of existing risk metrics.
Edwin J. Elton, Martin J. Gruber, Stephen J. Brown and William N. Goetzmann, Modern Portfolio Theory and
Investment Analysis, 9th Edition (Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons, 2014).
Chapter 13. The Standard Capital Asset Pricing Model [FRM–10]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Understand the derivation and components of the CAPM.
• Describe the assumptions underlying the CAPM.
• Interpret the capital market line.
• Apply the CAPM in calculating the expected return on an asset.
• Interpret beta and calculate the beta of a single asset or portfolio.
Noel Amenc and Veronique Le Sourd, Portfolio Theory and Performance Analysis (West Sussex, UK: John Wiley &
Sons, 2003).
Chapter 4. Applying the CAPM to Performance Measurement: Single-Index Performance Measurement Indicators
(Section 4.2 only) [FRM–11]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Calculate, compare, and evaluate the Treynor measure, the Sharpe measure, and Jensen’s alpha.
• Compute and interpret tracking error, the information ratio, and the Sortino ratio.
Zvi Bodie, Alex Kane, and Alan J. Marcus, Investments, 10th Edition (New York, NY: McGraw-Hill, 2013).
Chapter 10. Arbitrage Pricing Theory and Multifactor Models of Risk and Return [FRM–12]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Describe the inputs, including factor betas, to a multifactor model.
• Calculate the expected return of an asset using a single-factor and a multifactor model.
• Describe properties of well-diversified portfolios and explain the impact of diversification on the residual risk of
a portfolio.
• Explain how to construct a portfolio to hedge exposure to multiple factors.
• Describe and apply the Fama-French three factor model in estimating asset returns.
“Principles for Effective Data Aggregation and Risk Reporting,” (Basel Committee on Banking Supervision
Publication, January 2013). [FRM–13]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Explain the potential benefits of having effective risk data aggregation and reporting.
• Describe key governance principles related to risk data aggregation and risk reporting practices.
• Identify the data architecture and IT infrastructure features that can contribute to effective risk data aggregation
and risk reporting practices.
• Describe characteristics of a strong risk data aggregation capability and demonstrate how these characteristics
interact with one another.
• Describe characteristics of effective risk reporting practices.
The readings that you should focus on for this section and the specific learning objectives that should be achieved with
each reading are:
Michael Miller, Mathematics and Statistics for Financial Risk Management, 2nd Edition (Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley &
Sons, 2013).
Chapter 2. Probabilities [QA–1]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Describe and distinguish between continuous and discrete random variables.
• Define and distinguish between the probability density function, the cumulative distribution function, and the
inverse cumulative distribution function.
• Calculate the probability of an event given a discrete probability function.
• Distinguish between independent and mutually exclusive events.
• Define joint probability, describe a probability matrix, and calculate joint probabilities using probability matrices.
• Define and calculate a conditional probability, and distinguish between conditional and unconditional probabilities.
James Stock and Mark Watson, Introduction to Econometrics, Brief Edition (Boston, MA: Pearson, 2008).
Chapter 4. Linear Regression with One Regressor [QA–6]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Explain how regression analysis in econometrics measures the relationship between dependent and
independent variables.
• Interpret a population regression function, regression coefficients, parameters, slope, intercept, and the error term.
• Interpret a sample regression function, regression coefficients, parameters, slope, intercept, and the error term.
• Describe the key properties of a linear regression.
• Define an ordinary least squares (OLS) regression and calculate the intercept and slope of the regression.
• Describe the method and three key assumptions of OLS for estimation of parameters.
• Summarize the benefits of using OLS estimators.
• Describe the properties of OLS estimators and their sampling distributions, and explain the properties of consistent
estimators in general.
• Interpret the explained sum of squares, the total sum of squares, the residual sum of squares, the standard error of
the regression, and the regression R 2.
• Interpret the results of an OLS regression.
Francis X. Diebold, Elements of Forecasting, 4th Edition (Mason, OH: Cengage Learning, 2006).
Chapter 5. Modeling and Forecasting Trend [QA–10]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Describe linear and nonlinear trends.
• Describe trend models to estimate and forecast trends.
• Compare and evaluate model selection criteria, including mean squared error (MSE), s2, the Akaike information
criterion (AIC), and the Schwarz information criterion (SIC).
• Explain the necessary conditions for a model selection criterion to demonstrate consistency.
John C. Hull, Risk Management and Financial Institutions, 4th Edition (Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons, 2015).
Chapter 10. Volatility [QA–14]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Define and distinguish between volatility, variance rate, and implied volatility.
• Describe the power law.
• Explain how various weighting schemes can be used in estimating volatility.
• Apply the exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) model to estimate volatility.
• Describe the generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH(p,q)) model for estimating volatility
and its properties.
• Calculate volatility using the GARCH(1,1) model.
• Explain mean reversion and how it is captured in the GARCH(1,1) model.
• Explain the weights in the EWMA and GARCH(1,1) models.
• Explain how GARCH models perform in volatility forecasting.
• Describe the volatility term structure and the impact of volatility changes.
Chris Brooks, Introductory Econometrics for Finance, 3rd Edition (Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 2014).
Chapter 13. Simulation Methods [QA–16]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Describe the basic steps to conduct a Monte Carlo simulation.
• Describe ways to reduce Monte Carlo sampling error.
• Explain how to use antithetic variate technique to reduce Monte Carlo sampling error.
• Explain how to use control variates to reduce Monte Carlo sampling error and when it is effective.
• Describe the benefits of reusing sets of random number draws across Monte Carlo experiments and how to
reuse them.
• Describe the bootstrapping method and its advantage over Monte Carlo simulation.
• Describe the pseudo-random number generation method and how a good simulation design alleviates the effects
the choice of the seed has on the properties of the generated series.
• Describe situations where the bootstrapping method is ineffective.
• Describe disadvantages of the simulation approach to financial problem solving.
The readings that you should focus on for this section and the specific learning objectives that should be achieved with
each reading are:
John C. Hull, Risk Management and Financial Institutions, 4th Edition (Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons, 2015).
Chapter 2. Banks [FMP–1]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Identify the major risks faced by a bank.
• Distinguish between economic capital and regulatory capital.
• Explain how deposit insurance gives rise to a moral hazard problem.
• Describe investment banking financing arrangements including private placement, public offering, best efforts, firm
commitment, and Dutch auction approaches.
• Describe the potential conflicts of interest among commercial banking, securities services, and investment banking
divisions of a bank and recommend solutions to the conflict of interest problems.
• Describe the distinctions between the “banking book” and the “trading book” of a bank.
• Explain the originate-to-distribute model of a bank and discuss its benefits and drawbacks.
John C. Hull, Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 10th Edition (New York, NY: Pearson, 2017).
Chapter 1. Introduction [FMP–4]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Describe the over-the-counter market, distinguish it from trading on an exchange, and evaluate its advantages
and disadvantages.
• Differentiate between options, forwards, and futures contracts.
• Identify and calculate option and forward contract payoffs.
• Calculate and compare the payoffs from hedging strategies involving forward contracts and options.
• Calculate and compare the payoffs from speculative strategies involving futures and options.
• Calculate an arbitrage payoff and describe how arbitrage opportunities are temporary.
• Describe some of the risks that can arise from the use of derivatives.
• Differentiate among the broad categories of traders: hedgers, speculators, and arbitrageurs.
Jon Gregory, Central Counterparties: Mandatory Clearing and Bilateral Margin Requirements for OTC Derivatives
(New York, NY: John Wiley & Sons, 2014).
Chapter 2. Exchanges, OTC Derivatives, DPCs and SPVs [FMP–16]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Describe how exchanges can be used to alleviate counterparty risk.
• Explain the developments in clearing that reduce risk.
• Compare exchange-traded and OTC markets and describe their uses.
• Identify the classes of derivative securities and explain the risk associated with them.
• Identify risks associated with OTC markets and explain how these risks can be mitigated.
Chapter 14 (section 14.4 only). Risks Caused by CCPs: Risks Faced by CCPs [FMP–18]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Identify and explain the types of risks faced by CCPs.
• Identify and distinguish between the risks to clearing members as well as non-members.
• Identify and evaluate lessons learned from prior CCP failures.
Anthony Saunders and Marcia Millon Cornett, Financial Institutions Management: A Risk Management Approach, 8th
Edition (New York, NY: McGraw-Hill, 2014).
Chapter 13. Foreign Exchange Risk [FMP–19]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Calculate a financial institution’s overall foreign exchange exposure.
• Explain how a financial institution could alter its net position exposure to reduce foreign exchange risk.
• Calculate a financial institution’s potential dollar gain or loss exposure to a particular currency.
• Identify and describe the different types of foreign exchange trading activities.
• Identify the sources of foreign exchange trading gains and losses.
• Calculate the potential gain or loss from a foreign currency denominated investment.
• Explain balance-sheet hedging with forwards.
• Describe how a non-arbitrage assumption in the foreign exchange markets leads to the interest rate parity theorem,
and use this theorem to calculate forward foreign exchange rates.
• Explain why diversification in multicurrency asset-liability positions could reduce portfolio risk.
• Describe the relationship between nominal and real interest rates.
Frank Fabozzi (editor), The Handbook of Fixed Income Securities, 8th Edition (New York, NY: McGraw-Hill, 2012).
Chapter 12. Corporate Bonds [FMP–20]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Describe a bond indenture and explain the role of the corporate trustee in a bond indenture.
• Explain a bond’s maturity date and how it impacts bond retirements.
• Describe the main types of interest payment classifications.
• Describe zero-coupon bonds and explain the relationship between original-issue discount and reinvestment risk.
• Distinguish among the following security types relevant for corporate bonds: mortgage bonds, collateral trust
bonds, equipment trust certificates, subordinated and convertible debenture bonds, and guaranteed bonds.
• Describe the mechanisms by which corporate bonds can be retired before maturity.
• Differentiate between credit default risk and credit spread risk.
• Describe event risk and explain what may cause it in corporate bonds.
• Define high-yield bonds, and describe types of high-yield bond issuers and some of the payment features unique to
high yield bonds.
• Define and differentiate between an issuer default rate and a dollar default rate.
• Define recovery rates and describe the relationship between recovery rates and seniority.
Bruce Tuckman and Angel Serrat, Fixed Income Securities: Tools for Today’s Markets, 3rd Edition (Hoboken, NJ:
John Wiley & Sons, 2011).
Chapter 20. Mortgages and Mortgage-Backed Securities [FMP–21]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Describe the various types of residential mortgage products.
• Calculate a fixed rate mortgage payment, and its principal and interest components.
• Describe the mortgage prepayment option and the factors that influence prepayments.
• Summarize the securitization process of mortgage backed securities (MBS), particularly formation of mortgage
pools including specific pools and TBAs.
• Calculate weighted average coupon, weighted average maturity, and conditional prepayment rate (CPR) for a
mortgage pool.
• Describe a dollar roll transaction and how to value a dollar roll.
• Explain prepayment modeling and its four components: refinancing, turnover, defaults, and curtailments.
• Describe the steps in valuing an MBS using Monte Carlo simulation.
• Define Option Adjusted Spread (OAS), and explain its challenges and its uses.
} Value-at-Risk (VaR)
} Expected shortfall (ES)
} Stress testing and scenario analysis
} Option valuation
} Fixed income valuation
} Hedging
} Country and sovereign risk models and management
} External and internal credit ratings
} Expected and unexpected losses
} Operational risk
The readings that you should focus on for this section and the specific learning objectives that should be achieved with
each reading are:
Linda Allen, Jacob Boudoukh and Anthony Saunders, Understanding Market, Credit and Operational Risk: The
Value at Risk Approach (New York, NY: Wiley-Blackwell, 2004).
Chapter 2. Quantifying Volatility in VaR Models [VRM–1]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Explain how asset return distributions tend to deviate from the normal distribution.
• Explain reasons for fat tails in a return distribution and describe their implications.
• Distinguish between conditional and unconditional distributions.
• Describe the implications of regime switching on quantifying volatility.
• Evaluate the various approaches for estimating VaR.
• Compare and contrast different parametric and non-parametric approaches for estimating conditional volatility.
• Calculate conditional volatility using parametric and non-parametric approaches.
• Explain the process of return aggregation in the context of volatility forecasting methods.
• Evaluate implied volatility as a predictor of future volatility and its shortcomings.
• Explain long horizon volatility/VaR and the process of mean reversion according to an AR(1) model.
• Calculate conditional volatility with and without mean reversion.
• Describe the impact of mean reversion on long horizon conditional volatility estimation.
Kevin Dowd, Measuring Market Risk, 2nd Edition (West Sussex, UK: John Wiley & Sons, 2005).
Chapter 2. Measures of Financial Risk [VRM–3]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Describe the mean-variance framework and the efficient frontier.
• Explain the limitations of the mean-variance framework with respect to assumptions about return distributions.
• Define the VaR measure of risk, describe assumptions about return distributions and holding period, and explain the
limitations of VaR.
• Define the properties of a coherent risk measure and explain the meaning of each property.
• Explain why VaR is not a coherent risk measure.
• Explain and calculate Expected Shortfall (ES), and compare and contrast VaR and ES.
• Describe spectral risk measures, and explain how VaR and ES are special cases of spectral risk measures.
• Describe how the results of scenario analysis can be interpreted as coherent risk measures.
John C. Hull, Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 10th Edition (New York, NY: Pearson, 2017).
Chapter 13. Binomial Trees [VRM–4]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Calculate the value of an American and a European call or put option using a one-step and two-step binomial model.
• Describe how volatility is captured in the binomial model.
• Describe how the value calculated using a binomial model converges as time periods are added.
• Explain how the binomial model can be altered to price options on: stocks with dividends, stock indices, currencies,
and futures.
• Define and calculate delta of a stock option.
Bruce Tuckman and Angel Serrat, Fixed Income Securities: Tools for Today’s Markets, 3rd Edition (Hoboken, NJ:
John Wiley & Sons, 2011).
Chapter 1. Prices, Discount Factors, and Arbitrage [VRM–7]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Define discount factor and use a discount function to compute present and future values.
• Define the “law of one price,” explain it using an arbitrage argument, and describe how it can be applied to
bond pricing.
• Identify the components of a US Treasury coupon bond, and compare and contrast the structure to Treasury
STRIPS, including the difference between P-STRIPS and C-STRIPS.
• Construct a replicating portfolio using multiple fixed income securities to match the cash flows of a given fixed-
income security.
• Identify arbitrage opportunities for fixed income securities with certain cash flows.
• Differentiate between “clean” and “dirty” bond pricing and explain the implications of accrued interest with respect
to bond pricing.
• Describe the common day-count conventions used in bond pricing.
Aswath Damodaran, “Country Risk: Determinants, Measures and Implications - The 2017 Edition” (July 19, 2017).
(Pages 1-47 only). [VRM-12]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Identify sources of country risk.
• Explain how a country’s position in the economic growth life cycle, political risk, legal risk, and economic structure
affect its risk exposure.
• Evaluate composite measures of risk that incorporate all types of country risk and explain limitations of the risk
services.
• Compare instances of sovereign default in both foreign currency debt and local currency debt, and explain common
causes of sovereign defaults.
• Describe the consequences of sovereign default.
• Describe factors that influence the level of sovereign default risk; explain and assess how rating agencies measure
sovereign default risks.
• Describe the advantages and disadvantages of using the sovereign default spread as a predictor of defaults.
Arnaud de Servigny and Olivier Renault, Measuring and Managing Credit Risk (New York, NY: McGraw-Hill, 2004).
Chapter 2. External and Internal Ratings [VRM–13]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Describe external rating scales, the rating process, and the link between ratings and default.
• Describe the impact of time horizon, economic cycle, industry, and geography on external ratings.
• Explain the potential impact of ratings changes on bond and stock prices.
• Compare external and internal ratings approaches.
• Explain and compare the through-the-cycle and at-the-point internal ratings approaches.
• Describe a ratings transition matrix and explain its uses.
• Describe the process for and issues with building, calibrating, and backtesting an internal rating system.
• Identify and describe the biases that may affect a rating system.
Gerhard Schroeck, Risk Management and Value Creation in Financial Institutions (New York, NY: John Wiley &
Sons, 2002).
Chapter 5. Capital Structure in Banks (pp. 170-186 only) [VRM–14]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Evaluate a bank’s economic capital relative to its level of credit risk.
• Identify and describe important factors used to calculate economic capital for credit risk: probability of default,
exposure, and loss rate.
• Define and calculate expected loss (EL).
• Define and calculate unexpected loss (UL).
• Estimate the variance of default probability assuming a binomial distribution.
• Calculate UL for a portfolio and the risk contribution of each asset.
• Describe how economic capital is derived.
• Explain how the credit loss distribution is modeled.
• Describe challenges to quantifying credit risk.
John C. Hull, Risk Management and Financial Institutions, 4th Edition (Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons, 2015).
Chapter 23. Operational Risk [VRM–15]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Compare three approaches for calculating regulatory capital.
• Describe the Basel Committee’s seven categories of operational risk.
• Derive a loss distribution from the loss frequency distribution and loss severity distribution using Monte
Carlo simulations.
• Describe the common data issues that can introduce inaccuracies and biases in the estimation of loss frequency and
severity distributions.
• Describe how to use scenario analysis in instances when data is scarce.
• Describe how to identify causal relationships and how to use Risk and Control Self-Assessment (RCSA) and Key
Risk Indicators (KRIs) to measure and manage operational risks.
• Describe the allocation of operational risk capital to business units.
• Explain how to use the power law to measure operational risk.
• Explain the risks of moral hazard and adverse selection when using insurance to mitigate operational risks.
Stress Testing: Approaches, Methods, and Applications, Edited by Akhtar Siddique and Iftekhar Hasan (London,
UK: Risk Books, 2013).
Chapter 1. Governance over Stress Testing [VRM–16]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Describe the key elements of effective governance over stress testing.
• Describe the responsibilities of the board of directors and senior management in stress testing activities.
• Identify elements of clear and comprehensive policies, procedures, and documentations on stress testing.
• Identify areas of validation and independent review for stress tests that require attention from a governance perspective.
• Describe the important role of the internal audit in stress testing governance and control.
• Identify key aspects of stress testing governance, including stress-testing coverage, stress-testing types and
approaches, and capital and liquidity stress testing.
“Principles for sound stress testing practices and supervision” (Basel Committee on Banking Supervision
Publication, May 2009). [VRM–18]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Describe the rationale for the use of stress testing as a risk management tool.
• Describe weaknesses identified and recommendations for improvement in:
-- The use of stress testing and integration in risk governance
-- Stress testing methodologies
-- Stress testing scenarios
-- Stress testing handling of specific risks and products
• Describe stress testing principles for banks regarding the use of stress testing and integration in risk governance,
stress testing methodology and scenario selection, and principles for supervisors.
LEARNING OBJECTIVES
Part II
2018 Financial Risk Manager (FRM®) Learning Objectives Part II
Market Risk Measurement and Management – Part II Exam Weight 25% (MR)
The broad areas of knowledge covered in readings related to Market Risk Measurement and Management include
the following:
The readings that you should focus on for this section and the specific learning objectives that should be achieved with
each reading are:
Kevin Dowd, Measuring Market Risk, 2nd Edition (West Sussex, UK: John Wiley & Sons, 2005).
Chapter 3. Estimating Market Risk Measures: An Introduction and Overview [MR–1]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Estimate VaR using a historical simulation approach.
• Estimate VaR using a parametric approach for both normal and lognormal return distributions.
• Estimate the expected shortfall given P/L or return data.
• Define coherent risk measures.
• Estimate risk measures by estimating quantiles.
• Evaluate estimators of risk measures by estimating their standard errors.
• Interpret QQ plots to identify the characteristics of a distribution.
Philippe Jorion, Value-at-Risk: The New Benchmark for Managing Financial Risk, 3rd Edition (New York, NY:
McGraw-Hill, 2007).
Chapter 6. Backtesting VaR [MR–3]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Define backtesting and exceptions and explain the importance of backtesting VaR models.
• Explain the significant difficulties in backtesting a VaR model.
• Verify a model based on exceptions or failure rates.
• Define and identify Type I and Type II errors.
• Explain the need to consider conditional coverage in the backtesting framework.
• Describe the Basel rules for backtesting.
“Messages from the academic literature on risk measurement for the trading book,” Basel Committee on Banking
Supervision, Working Paper, No. 19, Jan 2011. [MR–5]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Explain the following lessons on VaR implementation: time horizon over which VaR is estimated, the recognition of
time varying volatility in VaR risk factors, and VaR backtesting.
• Describe exogenous and endogenous liquidity risk and explain how they might be integrated into VaR models.
• Compare VaR, expected shortfall, and other relevant risk measures.
• Compare unified and compartmentalized risk measurement.
• Compare the results of research on “top-down” and “bottom-up” risk aggregation methods.
• Describe the relationship between leverage, market value of asset, and VaR within an active balance sheet
management framework.
Gunter Meissner, Correlation Risk Modeling and Management (New York, NY: John Wiley & Sons, 2014).
Chapter 1. Some Correlation Basics: Properties, Motivation, Terminology [MR–6]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Describe financial correlation risk and the areas in which it appears in finance.
• Explain how correlation contributed to the global financial crisis of 2007 to 2009.
• Describe the structure, uses, and payoffs of a correlation swap.
• Estimate the impact of different correlations between assets in the trading book on the VaR capital charge.
• Explain the role of correlation risk in market risk and credit risk.
• Relate correlation risk to systemic and concentration risk.
Chapter 2. Empirical Properties of Correlation: How Do Correlations Behave in the Real World? [MR–7]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Describe how equity correlations and correlation volatilities behave throughout various economic states.
• Calculate a mean reversion rate using standard regression and calculate the corresponding autocorrelation.
• Identify the best-fit distribution for equity, bond, and default correlations.
Chapter 4. Financial Correlation Modeling—Bottom-Up Approaches (Sections 4.3.0 (intro), 4.3.1, and 4.3.2 only) [MR–9]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Explain the purpose of copula functions and the translation of the copula equation.
• Describe the Gaussian copula and explain how to use it to derive the joint probability of default of two assets.
• Summarize the process of finding the default time of an asset correlated to all other assets in a portfolio using the
Gaussian copula.
Bruce Tuckman and Angel Serrat, Fixed Income Securities: Tools for Today’s Markets, 3rd Edition (Hoboken, NJ:
John Wiley & Sons, 2011).
Chapter 6. Empirical Approaches to Risk Metrics and Hedging [MR–10]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Explain the drawbacks to using a DV01-neutral hedge for a bond position.
• Describe a regression hedge and explain how it can improve a standard DV01-neutral hedge.
• Calculate the regression hedge adjustment factor, beta.
• Calculate the face value of an offsetting position needed to carry out a regression hedge.
• Calculate the face value of multiple offsetting swap positions needed to carry out a two-variable regression hedge.
• Compare and contrast level and change regressions.
• Describe principal component analysis and explain how it is applied to constructing a hedging portfolio.
Chapter 8. The Evolution of Short Rates and the Shape of the Term Structure [MR–12]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Explain the role of interest rate expectations in determining the shape of the term structure.
• Apply a risk-neutral interest rate tree to assess the effect of volatility on the shape of the term structure.
• Estimate the convexity effect using Jensen’s inequality.
• Evaluate the impact of changes in maturity, yield, and volatility on the convexity of a security.
• Calculate the price and return of a zero coupon bond incorporating a risk premium.
Chapter 10. The Art of Term Structure Models: Volatility and Distribution [MR–14]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Describe the short-term rate process under a model with time-dependent volatility.
• Calculate the short-term rate change and determine the behavior of the standard deviation of the rate change using
a model with time dependent volatility.
• Assess the efficacy of time-dependent volatility models.
• Describe the short-term rate process under the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) and lognormal models.
• Calculate the short-term rate change and describe the basis point volatility using the CIR and lognormal models.
• Describe lognormal models with deterministic drift and mean reversion.
John C. Hull, Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 10th Edition (New York, NY: Pearson, 2017).
Chapter 20. Volatility Smiles [MR–15]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Define volatility smile and volatility skew.
• Explain the implications of put-call parity on the implied volatility of call and put options.
• Compare the shape of the volatility smile (or skew) to the shape of the implied distribution of the underlying asset
price and to the pricing of options on the underlying asset.
• Describe characteristics of foreign exchange rate distributions and their implications on option prices and
implied volatility.
• Describe the volatility smile for equity options and foreign currency options and provide possible explanations for
its shape.
• Describe alternative ways of characterizing the volatility smile.
• Describe volatility term structures and volatility surfaces and how they may be used to price options.
• Explain the impact of the volatility smile on the calculation of the “Greeks.”
• Explain the impact of a single asset price jump on a volatility smile.
Credit Risk Measurement and Management – Part II Exam Weight 25% (CR)
The broad areas of knowledge covered in readings related to Credit Risk Management include the following:
} Credit analysis
} Default risk: Quantitative methodologies
} Expected and unexpected loss
} Credit VaR
} Counterparty risk
} Credit derivatives
} Structured finance and securitization
The readings that you should focus on for this section and the specific learning objectives that should be achieved with
each reading are:
Jonathan Golin and Philippe Delhaise, The Bank Credit Analysis Handbook, 2nd Edition (Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley &
Sons, 2013).
Chapter 1. The Credit Decision [CR–1]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Define credit risk and explain how it arises using examples.
• Explain the components of credit risk evaluation.
• Describe, compare and contrast various credit risk mitigants and their role in credit analysis.
• Compare and contrast quantitative and qualitative techniques of credit risk evaluation.
• Compare the credit analysis of consumers, corporations, financial institutions, and sovereigns.
• Describe quantitative measurements and factors of credit risk, including probability of default, loss given default,
exposure at default, expected loss, and time horizon.
• Compare bank failure and bank insolvency.
Giacomo De Laurentis, Renato Maino, and Luca Molteni, Developing, Validating and Using Internal Ratings (West
Sussex, UK: John Wiley & Sons, 2010).
Chapter 2. Classifications and Key Concepts of Credit Risk [CR–3]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Describe the role of ratings in credit risk management.
• Describe classifications of credit risk and their correlation with other financial risks.
• Define default risk, recovery risk, exposure risk and calculate exposure at default.
• Explain expected loss, unexpected loss, VaR, and concentration risk, and describe the differences among them.
• Evaluate the marginal contribution to portfolio unexpected loss.
• Define risk-adjusted pricing and determine risk-adjusted return on risk-adjusted capital (RARORAC).
René Stulz, Risk Management & Derivatives (Florence, KY: Thomson South-Western, 2002).
Chapter 18. Credit Risks and Credit Derivatives [CR–5]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Using the Merton model, calculate the value of a firm’s debt and equity and the volatility of firm value.
• Explain the relationship between credit spreads, time to maturity, and interest rates, and calculate credit spread.
• Explain the differences between valuing senior and subordinated debt using a contingent claim approach.
• Explain, from a contingent claim perspective, the impact of stochastic interest rates on the valuation of risky bonds,
equity, and the risk of default.
• Compare and contrast different approaches to credit risk modeling, such as those related to the Merton model,
CreditRisk+, CreditMetrics, and the KMV model.
• Assess the credit risks of derivatives.
• Describe a credit derivative, credit default swap, and total return swap.
• Explain how to account for credit risk exposure in valuing a swap.
Allan Malz, Financial Risk Management: Models, History, and Institutions (Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons, 2011).
Chapter 7. Spread Risk and Default Intensity Models [CR–6]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Compare the different ways of representing credit spreads.
• Compute one credit spread given others when possible.
• Define and compute the Spread ‘01.
• Explain how default risk for a single company can be modeled as a Bernoulli trial.
• Explain the relationship between exponential and Poisson distributions.
• Define the hazard rate and use it to define probability functions for default time and conditional default probabilities.
• Calculate the conditional default probability given the hazard rate.
• Calculate risk-neutral default rates from spreads.
• Describe advantages of using the CDS market to estimate hazard rates.
• Explain how a CDS spread can be used to derive a hazard rate curve.
• Explain how the default distribution is affected by the sloping of the spread curve.
• Define spread risk and its measurement using the mark-to-market and spread volatility.
© 2018 Global Association of Risk Professionals. www.garp.org/frm 30
2018 Financial Risk Manager (FRM®) Learning Objectives Part II
Chapter 8. Portfolio Credit Risk (Sections 8.1, 8.2, 8.3 only) [CR–7]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Define and calculate default correlation for credit portfolios.
• Identify drawbacks in using the correlation-based credit portfolio framework.
• Assess the impact of correlation on a credit portfolio and its Credit VaR.
• Describe the use of a single factor model to measure portfolio credit risk, including the impact of correlation.
• Define and calculate Credit VaR.
• Describe how Credit VaR can be calculated using a simulation of joint defaults.
Jon Gregory, The xVA Challenge: Counterparty Credit Risk, Funding, Collateral, and Capital, 3rd Edition (West
Sussex, UK: John Wiley & Sons, 2015).
Chapter 4. Counterparty Risk [CR–9]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Describe counterparty risk and differentiate it from lending risk.
• Describe transactions that carry counterparty risk and explain how counterparty risk can arise in each transaction.
• Identify and describe institutions that take on significant counterparty risk.
• Describe credit exposure, credit migration, recovery, mark-to-market, replacement cost, default probability, loss
given default, and the recovery rate.
• Identify and describe the different ways institutions can quantify, manage and mitigate counterparty risk.
Chapter 12. Default Probabilities, Credit Spreads, and Funding Costs [CR–14]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Distinguish between cumulative and marginal default probabilities.
• Calculate risk-neutral default probabilities, and compare the use of risk-neutral and real-world default probabilities
in pricing derivative contracts.
• Compare the various approaches for estimating price: historical data approach, equity based approach, and risk
neutral approach.
• Describe how recovery rates may be estimated.
• Describe credit default swaps (CDS) and their general underlying mechanics.
• Describe the credit spread curve and explain the motivation for curve mapping.
• Describe types of portfolio credit derivatives.
• Describe index tranches, super senior risk, and collateralized debt obligations (CDO).
Stress Testing: Approaches, Methods, and Applications, Edited by Akhtar Siddique and Iftekhar Hasan (London,
UK: Risk Books, 2013).
Chapter 4. The Evolution of Stress Testing Counterparty Exposures [CR–17]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Differentiate among current exposure, peak exposure, expected exposure, and expected positive exposure.
• Explain the treatment of counterparty credit risk (CCR) both as a credit risk and as a market risk and describe its
implications for trading activities and risk management for a financial institution.
• Describe a stress test that can be performed on a loan portfolio and on a derivative portfolio.
• Calculate the stressed expected loss, the stress loss for the loan portfolio and the stress loss on a derivative portfolio.
• Describe a stress test that can be performed on CVA.
• Calculate the stressed CVA and the stress loss on CVA.
• Calculate the DVA and explain how stressing DVA enters into aggregating stress tests of CCR.
• Describe the common pitfalls in stress testing CCR.
Michel Crouhy, Dan Galai and Robert Mark, The Essentials of Risk Management, 2nd Edition (New York, NY: McGraw-
Hill, 2014).
Chapter 9. Credit Scoring and Retail Credit Risk Management [CR–18]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Analyze the credit risks and other risks generated by retail banking.
• Explain the differences between retail credit risk and corporate credit risk.
• Discuss the “dark side” of retail credit risk and the measures that attempt to address the problem.
• Define and describe credit risk scoring model types, key variables, and applications.
• Discuss the key variables in a mortgage credit assessment and describe the use of cutoff scores, default rates, and
loss rates in a credit scoring model.
• Discuss the measurement and monitoring of a scorecard performance including the use of cumulative accuracy
profile (CAP) and the accuracy ratio (AR) techniques.
• Describe the customer relationship cycle and discuss the trade-off between creditworthiness and profitability.
• Discuss the benefits of risk-based pricing of financial services.
Chapter 12. The Credit Transfer Markets and Their Implications [CR–19]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Discuss the flaws in the securitization of subprime mortgages prior to the financial crisis of 2007.
• Identify and explain the different techniques used to mitigate credit risk, and describe how some of these
techniques are changing the bank credit function.
• Describe the originate-to-distribute model of credit risk transfer and discuss the two ways of managing a bank
credit portfolio.
• Describe the different types and structures of credit derivatives including credit default swaps (CDS),
• first-to-default puts, total return swaps (TRS), asset-backed credit-linked notes (CLN), and their applications.
• Explain the credit risk securitization process and describe the structure of typical collateralized loan obligations
(CLOs) or collateralized debt obligations (CDOs).
• Describe synthetic CDOs and single-tranche CDOs.
• Assess the rating of CDOs by rating agencies prior to the 2007 financial crisis.
Moorad Choudhry, Structured Credit Products: Credit Derivatives & Synthetic Securitization, 2nd Edition (New York,
NY: John Wiley & Sons, 2010).
Chapter 12. An Introduction to Securitization [CR–20]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Define securitization, describe the securitization process, and explain the role of participants in the process.
• Explain the terms over-collateralization, first-loss piece, equity piece, and cash waterfall within the securitization process.
• Analyze the differences in the mechanics of issuing securitized products using a trust versus a special purpose
vehicle (SPV) and distinguish between the three main SPV structures: amortizing, revolving, and master trust.
• Explain the reasons for and the benefits of undertaking securitization.
• Describe and assess the various types of credit enhancements.
• Explain the various performance analysis tools for securitized structures and identify the asset classes they are most
applicable to.
• Define and calculate the delinquency ratio, default ratio, monthly payment rate (MPR), debt service coverage ratio
(DSCR), the weighted average coupon (WAC), the weighted average maturity (WAM), and the weighted average
life (WAL) for relevant securitized structures.
• Explain the prepayment forecasting methodologies and calculate the constant prepayment rate (CPR) and the
Public Securities Association (PSA) rate.
• Explain the decline in demand for new-issue securitized finance products following the 2007 financial crisis.
Adam Ashcraft and Til Schuermann, “Understanding the Securitization of Subprime Mortgage Credit,” Federal
Reserve Bank of New York Staff Reports, No. 318 (March 2008). [CR–21]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Explain the subprime mortgage credit securitization process in the United States.
• Identify and describe key frictions in subprime mortgage securitization, and assess the relative contribution of each
factor to the subprime mortgage problems.
• Describe the characteristics of the subprime mortgage market, including the creditworthiness of the typical
borrower and the features and performance of a subprime loan.
• Describe the credit ratings process with respect to subprime mortgage backed securities.
• Explain the implications of credit ratings on the emergence of subprime related mortgage backed securities.
• Describe the relationship between the credit ratings cycle and the housing cycle.
• Explain the implications of the subprime mortgage meltdown on portfolio management.
• Compare predatory lending and borrowing.
Operational and Integrated Risk Management – Part II Exam Weight 25% (OR)
The broad areas of knowledge covered in readings related to Operational and Integrated Risk Management include
the following:
The readings that you should focus on for this section and the specific learning objectives that should be achieved with
each reading are:
“Principles for the Sound Management of Operational Risk,” (Basel Committee on Banking Supervision Publication,
June 2011). [OR–1]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Describe the three “lines of defense” in the Basel model for operational risk governance.
• Summarize the fundamental principles of operational risk management as suggested by the Basel Committee.
• Explain guidelines for strong governance of operational risk, and evaluate the role of the board of directors and
senior management in implementing an effective operational risk framework.
• Describe tools and processes that can be used to identify and assess operational risk.
• Describe features of an effective control environment and identify specific controls that should be in place to
address operational risk.
• Explain the Basel Committee’s suggestions for managing technology risk and outsourcing risk.
Brian Nocco and René Stulz, “Enterprise Risk Management: Theory and Practice,” Journal of Applied Corporate
Finance 18, No. 4 (2006): 8–20. [OR–2]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Define enterprise risk management (ERM) and explain how implementing ERM practices and policies can create
shareholder value, both at the macro and the micro level.
• Explain how a company can determine its optimal amount of risk through the use of credit rating targets.
• Describe the development and implementation of an ERM system, as well as challenges to the implementation of an
ERM system.
• Describe the role of and issues with correlation in risk aggregation, and describe typical properties of a firm’s
market risk, credit risk, and operational risk distributions.
• Distinguish between regulatory and economic capital, and explain the use of economic capital in the corporate
decision making process.
“Observations on Developments in Risk Appetite Frameworks and IT Infrastructure,” Senior Supervisors Group,
December 2010. [OR–3]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Describe the concept of a risk appetite framework (RAF), identify the elements of an RAF, and explain the benefits
to a firm of having a well-developed RAF.
• Describe best practices for a firm’s Chief Risk Officer (CRO), Chief Executive Officer (CEO), and its board of
directors in the development and implementation of an effective RAF.
• Explain the role of an RAF in managing the risk of individual business lines within a firm, and describe best practices
for monitoring a firm’s risk profile for adherence to the RAF.
• Explain the benefits to a firm from having a robust risk data infrastructure, and describe key elements of an
effective IT risk management policy at a firm.
• Describe factors that can lead to poor or fragmented IT infrastructure at an organization.
• Explain the challenges and best practices related to data aggregation at an organization.
Anthony Tarantino and Deborah Cernauskas, Risk Management in Finance: Six Sigma and Other Next Generation
Techniques (Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons, 2009).
Chapter 3. Information Risk and Data Quality Management [OR–4]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Identify the most common issues that result in data errors.
• Explain how a firm can set expectations for its data quality and describe some key dimensions of data quality used
in this process.
• Describe the operational data governance process, including the use of scorecards in managing information risk.
Marcelo G. Cruz, Gareth W. Peters, and Pavel V. Shevchenko, Fundamental Aspects of Operational Risk and
Insurance Analytics: A Handbook of Operational Risk (Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons, 2015).
Chapter 2: OpRisk Data and Governance [OR–5]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Describe the seven Basel II event risk categories and identify examples of operational risk events in each category.
• Summarize the process of collecting and reporting internal operational loss data, including the selection of
thresholds, the timeframe for recoveries, and reporting expected operational losses.
• Explain the use of a Risk Control Self Assessment (RCSA) and key risk indicators (KRIs) in identifying, controlling,
and assessing operational risk exposures.
• Describe and assess the use of scenario analysis in managing operational risk, and identify biases and challenges
that can arise when using scenario analysis.
• Compare the typical operational risk profiles of firms in different financial sectors.
• Explain the role of operational risk governance and explain how a firm’s organizational structure can impact
risk governance.
Philippa X. Girling, Operational Risk Management: A Complete Guide to a Successful Operational Risk Framework
(Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons, 2013).
Chapter 8. External Loss Data [OR–6]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Explain the motivations for using external operational loss data and common sources of external data.
• Explain ways in which data from different external sources may differ.
• Describe challenges that can arise through the use of external data.
• Describe the Société Générale operational loss event and explain the lessons learned from the event.
“Standardised Measurement Approach for operational risk—consultative document,” (Basel Committee on Banking
Supervision Publication, March 2016). [OR–8]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Explain the elements of the proposed Standardized Measurement Approach (SMA), including the business indicator,
internal loss multiplier and loss component, and calculate the operational risk capital requirement for a bank using
the SMA.
• Compare the SMA to earlier methods of calculating operational risk capital, including the Alternative Measurement
Approaches (AMA), and explain the rationale for the proposal to replace them.
• Describe general and specific criteria recommended by the Basel Committee for the identification, collection, and
treatment of operational loss data.
Kevin Dowd, Measuring Market Risk, 2nd Edition (West Sussex, UK: John Wiley & Sons, 2005).
Chapter 7. Parametric Approaches (II): Extreme Value [OR–9]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Explain the importance and challenges of extreme values in risk management.
• Describe extreme value theory (EVT) and its use in risk management.
• Describe the peaks-over-threshold (POT) approach.
• Compare and contrast generalized extreme value and POT.
• Evaluate the tradeoffs involved in setting the threshold level when applying the GP distribution.
• Explain the importance of multivariate EVT for risk management.
Giacomo De Laurentis, Renato Maino, Luca Molteni, Developing, Validating and Using Internal Ratings (Hoboken,
NJ: John Wiley & Sons, 2010).
Chapter 5. Validating Rating Models [OR–10]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Explain the process of model validation and describe best practices for the roles of internal organizational units in
the validation process.
• Compare qualitative and quantitative processes to validate internal ratings, and describe elements of each process.
• Describe challenges related to data quality and explain steps that can be taken to validate a model’s data quality.
• Explain how to validate the calibration and the discriminatory power of a rating model.
Michel Crouhy, Dan Galai and Robert Mark, The Essentials of Risk Management, 2nd Edition (New York, NY: McGraw-
Hill, 2014).
Chapter 15. Model Risk [OR–11]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Identify and explain errors in modeling assumptions that can introduce model risk.
• Explain how model risk can arise in the implementation of a model.
• Explain methods and procedures risk managers can use to mitigate model risk.
• Explain the impact of model risk and poor risk governance in the 2012 London Whale trading loss and the 1998
collapse of Long Term Capital Management.
Chapter 17. Risk Capital Attribution and Risk-Adjusted Performance Measurement [OR–12]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Define, compare, and contrast risk capital, economic capital, and regulatory capital, and explain methods and
motivations for using economic capital approaches to allocate risk capital.
• Describe the RAROC (risk-adjusted return on capital) methodology and its use in capital budgeting.
• Compute and interpret the RAROC for a project, loan, or loan portfolio, and use RAROC to compare business
unit performance.
• Explain challenges that arise when using RAROC for performance measurement, including choosing a time horizon,
measuring default probability, and choosing a confidence level.
• Calculate the hurdle rate and apply this rate in making business decisions using RAROC.
• Compute the adjusted RAROC for a project to determine its viability.
• Explain challenges in modeling diversification benefits, including aggregating a firm’s risk capital and allocating
economic capital to different business lines.
• Explain best practices in implementing an approach that uses RAROC to allocate economic capital.
“Range of practices and issues in economic capital frameworks,” (Basel Committee on Banking Supervision
Publication, March 2009). [OR–13]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Within the economic capital implementation framework describe the challenges that appear in:
-- Defining and calculating risk measures
-- Risk aggregation
-- Validation of models
-- Dependency modeling in credit risk
-- Evaluating counterparty credit risk
-- Assessing interest rate risk in the banking book
• Describe the BIS recommendations that supervisors should consider to make effective use of internal risk measures,
such as economic capital, that are not designed for regulatory purposes.
• Explain benefits and impacts of using an economic capital framework within the following areas:
-- Credit portfolio management
-- Risk based pricing
-- Customer profitability analysis
-- Management incentives
• Describe best practices and assess key concerns for the governance of an economic capital framework.
“Capital Planning at Large Bank Holding Companies: Supervisory Expectations and Range of Current Practice,”
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, August 2013. [OR–14]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Describe the Federal Reserve’s Capital Plan Rule and explain the seven principles of an effective capital adequacy
process for bank holding companies (BHCs) subject to the Capital Plan Rule.
• Describe practices that can result in a strong and effective capital adequacy process for a BHC in the following areas:
-- Risk identification
-- Internal controls, including model review and validation
-- Corporate governance
-- Capital policy, including setting of goals and targets and contingency planning
-- Stress testing and stress scenario design
-- Estimating losses, revenues, and expenses, including quantitative and qualitative methodologies
-- Assessing the impact of capital adequacy, including risk-weighted asset (RWA) and balance sheet projections
Bruce Tuckman and Angel Serrat, Fixed Income Securities: Tools for Today’s Markets, 3rd Edition (Hoboken, NJ:
John Wiley & Sons, 2011).
Chapter 12. Repurchase Agreements and Financing [OR–15]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Describe the mechanics of repurchase agreements (repos) and calculate the settlement for a repo transaction.
• Explain common motivations for entering into repos, including their use in cash management and liquidity management.
• Explain how counterparty risk and liquidity risk can arise through the use of repo transactions.
• Assess the role of repo transactions in the collapses of Lehman Brothers and Bear Stearns during the (2007 - 2009)
credit crisis.
• Compare the use of general and special collateral in repo transactions.
• Describe the characteristics of special spreads and explain the typical behavior of US Treasury special spreads over
an auction cycle.
• Calculate the financing advantage of a bond trading special when used in a repo transaction.
Kevin Dowd, Measuring Market Risk, 2nd Edition (West Sussex, UK: John Wiley & Sons, 2005).
Chapter 14. Estimating Liquidity Risks [OR–16]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Define liquidity risk and describe factors that influence liquidity, including the bid-ask spread.
• Differentiate between exogenous and endogenous liquidity.
• Describe the challenges of estimating liquidity-adjusted VaR (LVaR).
• Describe and calculate LVaR using the constant spread approach and the exogenous spread approach.
• Describe endogenous price approaches to LVaR, their motivation and limitations, and calculate the elasticity-based
liquidity adjustment to VaR.
• Describe liquidity at risk (LaR) and compare it to LVaR and VaR, describe the factors that affect future cash flows,
and explain challenges in estimating and modeling LaR.
• Describe approaches to estimate liquidity risk during crisis situations and challenges which can arise during
this process.
Allan Malz, Financial Risk Management: Models, History, and Institutions (Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons, 2011).
Chapter 11. Section 11.1. Assessing the Quality of Risk Measures [OR–17]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Describe ways that errors can be introduced into models.
• Explain how model risk and variability can arise through the implementation of VaR models and the mapping of risk
factors to portfolio positions.
• Identify reasons for the failure of the long-equity tranche, short-mezzanine credit trade in 2005 and describe how
such modeling errors could have been avoided.
• Explain major defects in model assumptions that led to the underestimation of systematic risk for residential
mortgage backed securities (RMBS) during the 2007 - 2009 financial downturn.
Darrell Duffie, 2010. “The Failure Mechanics of Dealer Banks,” Journal of Economic Perspectives 24:1, 51-72. [OR– 19]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Describe the major lines of business in which dealer banks operate and the risk factors they face in each line
of business.
• Identify situations that can cause a liquidity crisis at a dealer bank and explain responses that can mitigate these risks.
• Describe policy measures that can alleviate firm-specific and systemic risks related to large dealer banks.
“Stress Testing Banks,” Til Schuermann, prepared for the Committee on Capital Market Regulation, Wharton
Financial Institutions Center (April 2012). [OR–20]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Describe the historical evolution of the stress testing process and compare methodologies of historical EBA, CCAR
and SCAP stress tests.
• Explain challenges in designing stress test scenarios, including the problem of coherence in modeling risk factors.
• Explain challenges in modeling a bank’s revenues, losses, and its balance sheet over a stress test horizon period.
“Guidance on Managing Outsourcing Risk,” Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, December
2013. [OR–21]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Explain how risks can arise through outsourcing activities to third-party service providers, and describe elements of
an effective program to manage outsourcing risk.
• Explain how financial institutions should perform due diligence on third-party service providers.
• Describe topics and provisions that should be addressed in a contract with a third-party service provider.
John C. Hull, Risk Management and Financial Institutions, 4th Edition (Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons, 2015).
Chapter 15. Basel I, Basel II, and Solvency II [OR–22]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Explain the motivations for introducing the Basel regulations, including key risk exposures addressed, and explain
the reasons for revisions to Basel regulations over time.
• Explain the calculation of risk-weighted assets and the capital requirement per the original Basel I guidelines.
• Describe and contrast the major elements—including a description of the risks covered—of the two options available
for the calculation of market risk capital:
-- Standardized Measurement Method
-- Internal Models Approach
• Calculate VaR and the capital charge using the internal models approach, and explain the guidelines for
backtesting VaR.
• Describe and contrast the major elements of the three options available for the calculation of credit risk capital:
-- Standardized Approach
-- Foundation IRB Approach
-- Advanced IRB Approach
• Describe and contrast the major elements of the three options available for the calculation of operational risk
capital: basic indicator approach, standardized approach, and the Advanced Measurement Approach.
• Describe the key elements of the three pillars of Basel II: minimum capital requirements, supervisory review, and
market discipline.
• Define in the context of Basel II and calculate the worst-case default rate (WCDR).
• Differentiate between solvency capital requirements (SCR) and minimum capital requirements (MCR) in the
Solvency II framework, and describe the repercussions to an insurance company for breaching the SCR and MCR.
• Compare the standardized approach and the Internal Models Approach for calculating the SCR in Solvency II.
Chapter 16. Basel II.5, Basel III, and Other Post-Crisis Changes [OR–23]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Describe and calculate the stressed VaR introduced in Basel 2.5, and calculate the market risk capital charge.
• Explain the process of calculating the incremental risk capital charge for positions held in a bank’s trading book.
• Describe the comprehensive risk measure (CRM) for positions that are sensitive to correlations between default risks.
• Define in the context of Basel III and calculate where appropriate:
-- Tier 1 capital and its components
-- Tier 2 capital and its components
-- Required Tier 1 equity capital, total Tier 1 capital, and total capital
• Describe the motivations for and calculate the capital conservation buffer and the countercyclical buffer introduced
in Basel III.
• Describe and calculate ratios intended to improve the management of liquidity risk, including the required leverage
ratio, the liquidity coverage ratio, and the net stable funding ratio.
• Describe the mechanics of contingent convertible bonds (CoCos) and explain the motivations for banks to issue them.
• Explain the major changes to the US financial market regulations as a result of Dodd-Frank.
This Chapter references the December 2014 proposal for the FRTB. The final version is “Minimum capital requirements
for market risk” and is listed on the following page as an Optional Regulatory Reading for Reference.
“Sound management of risks related to money laundering and financing of terrorism,” (Basel Committee on
Banking Supervision, June 2017). (Pages 1—32 only) [OR–25]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Explain best practices recommended by the Basel Committee for the assessment, management, mitigation and
monitoring of money laundering and financial terrorism (ML/FT) risks.
• Describe recommended practices for the acceptance, verification and identification of customers at a bank.
• Explain practices for managing ML/FT risks in a group-wide and cross-border context, and describe the roles and
responsibilities of supervisors in managing these risks.
• Explain policies and procedures a bank should use to manage ML/FT risks in situations where it uses a third party to
perform customer due diligence and when engaging in correspondent banking.
“Basel II: International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards: A Revised Framework—
Comprehensive Version,” (Basel Committee on Banking Supervision Publication, June 2006).*
“Basel III: A global regulatory framework for more resilient banks and banking systems—revised version,” (Basel
Committee on Banking Supervision Publication, June 2011).*
“Basel III: The Liquidity Coverage Ratio and liquidity risk monitoring tools,” (Basel Committee on Banking
Supervision Publication, January 2013).*
“Revisions to the Basel II market risk framework—updated as of 31 December 2010,” (Basel Committee on Banking
Supervision Publication, February 2011).*
“Basel III: the net stable funding ratio.” (Basel Committee on Banking Supervision Publication, October 2014).*
“Minimum capital requirements for market risk” (Basel Committee on Banking Supervision Publication,
January 2016).*
Risk Management and Investment Management – Part II Exam Weight 15% (IM)
The broad areas of knowledge covered in readings related to Risk Management and Investment Management
include the following:
} Factor theory
} Portfolio construction
} Portfolio risk measures
} Risk budgeting
} Risk monitoring and performance measurement
} Portfolio-based performance analysis
} Hedge funds
The readings that candidates should focus on for this section and the specific learning objectives that should be
achieved with each reading are listed as follows:
Andrew Ang, Asset Management: A Systematic Approach to Factor Investing (New York, NY: Oxford University
Press, 2014).
Chapter 6. Factor Theory [IM–1]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Provide examples of factors that impact asset prices, and explain the theory of factor risk premiums.
• Describe the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) including its assumptions, and explain how factor risk is addressed
in the CAPM.
• Explain implications of using the CAPM to value assets, including equilibrium and optimal holdings, exposure to
factor risk, its treatment of diversification benefits, and shortcomings of the CAPM.
• Describe multifactor models, and compare and contrast multifactor models to the CAPM.
• Explain how stochastic discount factors are created and apply them in the valuation of assets.
• Describe efficient market theory and explain how markets can be inefficient.
Richard Grinold and Ronald Kahn, Active Portfolio Management: A Quantitative Approach for Producing Superior
Returns and Controlling Risk, 2nd Edition (New York, NY: McGraw-Hill, 2000).
Chapter 14. Portfolio Construction [IM–5]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Distinguish among the inputs to the portfolio construction process.
• Evaluate the methods and motivation for refining alphas in the implementation process.
• Describe neutralization and methods for refining alphas to be neutral.
• Describe the implications of transaction costs on portfolio construction.
• Assess the impact of practical issues in portfolio construction, such as determination of risk aversion, incorporation
of specific risk aversion, and proper alpha coverage.
• Describe portfolio revisions and rebalancing, and evaluate the tradeoffs between alpha, risk, transaction costs, and
time horizon.
• Determine the optimal no-trade region for rebalancing with transaction costs.
• Evaluate the strengths and weaknesses of the following portfolio construction techniques: screens, stratification,
linear programming, and quadratic programming.
• Describe dispersion, explain its causes, and describe methods for controlling forms of dispersion.
Philippe Jorion, Value-at-Risk: The New Benchmark for Managing Financial Risk, 3rd Edition (New York, NY:
McGraw-Hill, 2007).
Chapter 7. Portfolio Risk: Analytical Methods [IM–6]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Define, calculate, and distinguish between the following portfolio VaR measures: individual VaR, incremental VaR,
marginal VaR, component VaR, undiversified portfolio VaR, and diversified portfolio VaR.
• Explain the role of correlation on portfolio risk.
• Describe the challenges associated with VaR measurement as portfolio size increases.
• Apply the concept of marginal VaR to guide decisions about portfolio VaR.
• Explain the risk-minimizing position and the risk and return-optimizing position of a portfolio.
• Explain the difference between risk management and portfolio management, and describe how to use marginal VaR
in portfolio management.
Robert Litterman and the Quantitative Resources Group, Modern Investment Management: An Equilibrium
Approach (Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons, 2003).
Chapter 17. Risk Monitoring and Performance Measurement [IM–8]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Define, compare, and contrast VaR and tracking error as risk measures.
• Describe risk planning, including its objectives, effects, and the participants in its development.
• Describe risk budgeting and the role of quantitative methods in risk budgeting.
• Describe risk monitoring and its role in an internal control environment.
• Identify sources of risk consciousness within an organization.
• Describe the objectives and actions of a risk management unit in an investment management firm.
• Describe how risk monitoring can confirm that investment activities are consistent with expectations.
• Explain the importance of liquidity considerations for a portfolio.
• Describe the use of alpha, benchmark, and peer group as inputs in performance measurement tools.
• Describe the objectives of performance measurement.
Zvi Bodie, Alex Kane, and Alan J. Marcus, Investments, 10th Edition (New York, NY: McGraw-Hill, 2013).
Chapter 24. Portfolio Performance Evaluation [IM–9]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Differentiate between time-weighted and dollar-weighted returns of a portfolio and describe their appropriate uses.
• Describe and distinguish between risk-adjusted performance measures, such as Sharpe’s measure, Treynor’s
measure, Jensen’s measure (Jensen’s alpha), and information ratio.
• Describe the uses for the Modigliani-squared and Treynor’s measure in comparing two portfolios, and the graphical
representation of these measures.
• Determine the statistical significance of a performance measure using standard error and the t-statistic.
• Explain the difficulties in measuring the performance of hedge funds.
• Explain how changes in portfolio risk levels can affect the use of the Sharpe ratio to measure performance.
• Describe techniques to measure the market timing ability of fund managers with a regression and with a call option
model, and compute return due to market timing.
• Describe style analysis.
• Describe and apply performance attribution procedures, including the asset allocation decision, sector and security
selection decision, and the aggregate contribution.
G. Constantinides, M. Harris and R. Stulz, eds., Handbook of the Economics of Finance, Volume 2B (Oxford, UK:
Elsevier, 2013).
Chapter 17. Hedge Funds [IM–10]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Describe the characteristics of hedge funds and the hedge fund industry, and compare hedge funds with
mutual funds.
• Explain biases that are commonly found in databases of hedge funds.
• Explain the evolution of the hedge fund industry and describe landmark events that precipitated major changes in
the development of the industry.
• Evaluate the role of investors in shaping the hedge fund industry.
• Explain the relationship between risk and alpha in hedge funds.
• Compare and contrast the different hedge fund strategies, describe their return characteristics, and describe the
inherent risks of each strategy.
• Describe the historical portfolio construction and performance trend of hedge funds compared to equity indices.
• Describe market events that resulted in a convergence of risk factors for different hedge fund strategies, and
explain the impact of such a convergence on portfolio diversification strategies.
• Describe the problem of risk sharing asymmetry between principals and agents in the hedge fund industry.
• Explain the impact of institutional investors on the hedge fund industry and assess reasons for the growing
concentration of assets under management (AUM) in the industry.
Kevin R. Mirabile, Hedge Fund Investing: A Practical Approach to Understanding Investor Motivation, Manager
Profits, and Fund Performance, 2nd Edition (Hoboken, NJ: Wiley Finance, 2016).
Chapter 12. Performing Due Diligence on Specific Managers and Funds [IM–11]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Identify reasons for the failures of funds in the past.
• Explain elements of the due diligence process used to assess investment managers.
• Identify themes and questions investors can consider when evaluating a manager.
• Describe criteria that can be evaluated in assessing a fund’s risk management process.
• Explain how due diligence can be performed on a fund’s operational environment.
• Explain how a fund’s business model risk and its fraud risk can be assessed.
• Describe elements that can be included as part of a due diligence questionnaire.
The readings that you should focus on for this section and the specific learning objectives that should be achieved with
each reading are:
Cohen, Benjamin H. and Gerald A. Edwards, Jr., “The new era of expected credit loss provisioning,” BIS Quarterly
Review, March 20, 2017.* [CI-1]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Describe the reasons to provision for expected credit losses.
• Compare and contrast the key aspects of the IASB (IFRS 9) and FASB (CECL) standards.
• Assess the progress banks have made in the implementation of the standards.
• Examine the impact on the financial system posed by the standards.
Varian, Hal, “Big Data: New Tricks for Econometrics,” Journal of Economic Perspectives 28:2 (Spring 2014), 3-28.* [CI-2]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Describe the issues unique to big datasets.
• Explain and assess different tools and techniques for manipulating and analyzing big data.
• Examine the areas for collaboration between econometrics and machine learning.
van Liebergen, Bart, “Machine Learning: A Revolution in Risk Management and Compliance?” Institute of
International Finance, April 2017.* [CI-3]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Describe the process of machine learning and compare machine learning approaches.
• Describe the application of machine learning approaches within the financial services sector and the types of
problems to which they can be applied.
• Analyze the application of machine learning in three use cases:
-- Credit risk and revenue modeling
-- Fraud
-- Surveillance of conduct and market abuse in trading
Cont, Rama, “Central clearing and risk transformation,” Norges Bank Research, March 2017.* [CI-4]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Examine how the clearing of over-the-counter transactions through central counterparties has affected risks in the
financial system.
• Assess whether central clearing has enhanced financial stability and reduced systemic risk.
• Describe the transformation of counterparty risk into liquidity risk.
• Explain how liquidity of clearing members and liquidity resources of CCPs affect risk management and financial stability.
• Compare and assess methods a CCP can use to help recover capital when a member defaults or when a liquidity
crisis occurs.
Song Shin, Hyun, “The bank/capital markets nexus goes global,” BIS Quarterly Review, November 2016.* [CI-5]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Describe the links between banks and capital markets.
• Explain the effects of forced deleveraging and the failure of covered interest rate parity.
• Discuss the US dollar’s role as the measure of the appetite for leverage.
• Describe the implications of a stronger US dollar on financial stability and the real economy.
“FinTech credit: Market structure, business models and financial stability implications.” BIS—Committee on Global
Financial Systems, May 2017.* [CI-6]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Describe how FinTech credit markets are likely to develop and how they will affect the nature of credit provision and
the traditional banking sector.
• Analyze the functioning of FinTech credit markets and activities, and assess the potential microfinancial benefits
and risks of these activities.
• Examine the implications for financial stability in the event that FinTech credit grows to account for a significant
share of overall credit.
Lo, Andrew W., “The Gordon Gekko Effect: The Role of Culture in the Financial Industry,” Federal Reserve Bank of
New York Economic Policy Review, 22:1 (August 2016).* [CI-7]
After completing this reading you should be able to:
• Explain how different factors can influence the culture of a corporation in both positive and negative ways.
• Examine the role of culture in the context of financial risk management.
• Describe the framework for analyzing culture in the context of financial practices and institutions.
• Analyze the importance of culture and a framework that can be used to change or improve a corporate culture.
garp.org
The Global Association of Risk Professionals (GARP) is the leading
association dedicated to the education and certification of risk
professionals, connecting members in more than 190 countries and
territories. GARP’s mission is to elevate the practice of risk management
at all levels, setting the industry standard through education, training,
media, and events.