Multiple Regression
Multiple Regression
Multiple Regression
Y 1 X1 X2 X3 X4 X5 X6 X7 X8 X9
Sl.No. Exports Ones M1 Lend Price Exch.
1 2.6 1 5.1 7.8 114 2.16
2 2.6 1 4.9 8 116 2.17
3 2.7 1 5.1 8.1 117 2.18
4 3 1 5.1 8.1 122 2.2
5 2.9 1 5.1 8.1 124 2.21
6 3.1 1 5.2 8.1 128 2.17
7 3.2 1 5.1 8.3 132 2.14
8 3.7 1 5.2 8.8 133 2.16
9 3.6 1 5.3 8.9 133 2.15
10 3.4 1 5.4 9.1 134 2.16
11 3.7 1 5.7 9.2 135 2.18
12 3.6 1 5.7 9.5 136 2.17
13 4.1 1 5.9 10.3 140 2.15
14 3.5 1 5.8 10.6 147 2.16
15 4.2 1 5.7 11.3 150 2.21
16 4.3 1 5.8 12.1 151 2.24
17 4.2 1 6 12 151 2.16
18 4.1 1 6 11.4 151 2.12
19 4.6 1 6 11.1 153 2.11
20 4.4 1 6 11 154 2.13
21 4.5 1 6.1 11.3 154 2.11
22 4.6 1 6 12.6 154 2.09
23 4.6 1 6.1 13.6 155 2.09
24 4.2 1 6.7 13.6 155 2.1
25 5.5 1 6.2 14.3 156 2.08
26 3.7 1 6.3 14.3 156 2.09
27 4.9 1 7 13.7 159 2.1
28 5.2 1 7 12.7 161 2.11
29 4.9 1 6.6 12.6 161 2.15
30 4.6 1 6.4 13.4 161 2.14
31 5.4 1 6.3 14.3 162 2.16
32 5 1 6.5 13.9 160 2.17
33 4.8 1 6.6 14.5 159 2.15
34 5.1 1 6.8 15 159 2.1
35 4.4 1 7.2 13.2 158 2.06
36 5 1 7.6 11.8 155 2.05
37 5.1 1 7.2 11.2 155 2.06
38 4.8 1 7.1 10.1 154 2.11
39 5.4 1 7 10 154 2.12
40 5 1 7.5 10.2 154 2.13
41 5.2 1 7.4 11 153 2.04
42 4.7 1 7.4 11 152 2.14
43 5.1 1 7.3 10.7 152 2.15
44 4.9 1 7.6 10.2 152 2.16
45 4.9 1 7.8 10 151 2.17
46 5.3 1 7.8 9.8 152 2.2
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Data
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Data
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Data
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Data
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Data
X10
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Data
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Data
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Data
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Data
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A B C D E F G H I J K L M
1 Multiple Regression Results Exports
2
3 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
4 Intercept M1 Lend Price Exch.
5 b -4.01546 0.36846 0.0047 0.03651 0.2679
6 s(b) 9.2956 0.21454 0.16539 0.03134 3.94969
7 t -0.43197 1.71741 0.02843 1.16509 0.06783
8 p-value 0.6673 0.0909 0.9774 0.2484 0.9461
9
10 VIF 3.2072 5.3539 6.2887 1.3857
11
12 ANOVA Table
13 Source SS df MS F FCritical p-value
14 Regn. 32.9463 4 8.23658 6.47069 2.5201 0.0002 s 1.12823
15 Error 78.9202 62 1.27291
16 Total 39.9361 66 0.60509 R2 0.8250 Adjusted R2 -1.1037
17
18
19 Prediction Interval
20
21 Given X M1 Lend Price Exch.
22 1 5 10 150 2
23
24 1-a (1-a) CI for Y for given X 1-a (1-a) CI for E[Y | X]
25 95% 3.88621 + or - 2.85906 95% 3.88621 + or - 1.75722
26
A B E F G H I J K L M Q R
1 Residual Analysis Exports
2
3 Errors
4 -0.0412 Durbin-Watson d = 2.583278
5 -0.04415
6 -0.0575
7 0.05459 12 Residual Plot
8 -0.12111
9 -0.09328 10
-0.09538
Residual
10
11 0.323553 8
12 0.188916
13 -0.08806 6 X Axis
14 0.059065
Exports
15 -0.07618
4
16 0.205686
17 -0.61713
-0.0065 2
18
19 0.008341
20 -0.14345 0
21 -0.22991 0 2 4 6 8 10 12
0.201157
Corresponding N orm al Z
22
23 -0.04024
24 0.026861
25 0.162951
26 0.084893
27 -0.53886 Normal3 Probability Plot
28 0.910924
-0.9286 2
29
30 -0.09591
31 0.133093 1
32 -0.02977
33 -0.25716 0
34 0.533584 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
35 0.132116 -1
36 -0.06568
37 0.171669 -2
38 -0.62002
39 -0.04861 -3
0.198913 Residual
40
41 -0.03595
A B C D E F G H I J K L
1 Correlation matrix Exports
2
3 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
4 M1 Lend Price Exch.
5 1 M1 1.0000
6 2 Lend -0.1120 1.0000
7 3 Price 0.4471 0.7451 1.0000
8 4 Exch. -0.4097 -0.2786 -0.4196 1.0000
9 5
10 6
11 7
12 8
13 9
14 10
15
16 Y Exports 0.7751 0.3350 0.7699 -0.4329
A B C D E F
1 Partial F Calculations Exports
2
3 #Independent variables in full model 4 k
4 #Independent variables dropped from the model 2 r
5
6 SSEF 78.92022
7 SSER 8.747573
8
9 Partial F -27.56394
10 p-value Err:502